The stats are dry, the year by year summaries, a mostly numerical compendium of this game we play with dice. But there’s so much more. You spend hours next to a person twice a year for 25 years…it adds up. Here are our collective thoughts and memories of playing Jeff, the man.
From Matt: I'll never forget a series at his house where just the two of us "sampled" his homemade zinfandel well into the evening.
I always scheduled my 2nd half series over his house. Inevitably it’d be really wintry and cold. I think Hopkinton gets even more snow than Holliston. The randomness of global warming days had yet to ever hit my travels to his house. I’ll miss the repetition of going over there in midwinter. It was something to count on. Weird that it’s gone.
Without a doubt, the funniest moment in SOMBILLA draft history involved Jeff. It was at the 2015 draft, 7th round- Jeff announced that he was drafting erstwhile 22-year old prospect Oscar Tavares, who had died tragically in a car accident the previous October. There's a pause, then Tom says "You do realize he's dead, right?" Howls of laughter ensued and we let him make another pick.
From Harold: He had a fantastic sense of pop culture. I had a pitcher, Jarrod Washburn, who whenever he started Jeff said Here comes D.W. Washburn" - D.W. Washburn being the name of an obscure 1968 Monkees single. Of calling three straight strike outs in an inning (K-K-K) a Carver after Daniel Carver, frequent guest on the Howard Sterrn Show and Ku Klux Klan member.
From Jed: A generic memory is that typically I/we would predict Jeff to finish last and he would basically respond go f___ yourselves and proceed to beat the tar out of me when we played.
The last World Series I played in was against Jeff. I felt sure I would win. I had the better team Jeff shouldn’t have even made the playoffs. I took the first game, as I recall, and proceeded to lose the series 4 games to 2. Once again underestimating Jeff....
From Clint: My memories are more distant; however, I clearly remember his wry sense of humor and can still hear his distinct chuckle when laughing.
From Tom: My first year in the league, Jeff and I decided to have a beer or two in the hot tub after our series. I had a bit of a back spasm issue and was opining that we should just play our entire series in the hot tub next time. Jeff laughed and made some joke about bubbles and wet cards. I said “We could laminate them..”
I think we only did one more après series hot tub, but the lamination of my team(s) had its start in chlorine and beer fumes…
I could always count on one or two times in the season where we would end up outside just doing the family chat – parents in the Rochester Area, kids, wives, new job, job hunt – whatever was the latest thing - in the cold. He would always tease me that I had to start a conversation after we left whoever’s warm comfortable table…
From Randy: Knowing someone through the SOMBILLA is odd. You see the others 3 times a year (two series, draft, occassional playoffs). You meet as opponents. But before you know it this has gone on for 20+ years (twice that for some founders). You get glimpses of a person's family life and maybe career or hobby, and their taste in beer. Never really reflected on this until now.
My memory of Jeff to share is the one time we met outside of the context of the SOMBILLA. Jeff and Amy attended a sketch comedy that Arnie and I were both in in Ashland two years ago this winter. They were dressed for a night on the town, had a bit to drink, and were having a great time. It opened my eyes as to how they were as a couple, and how entertaining they were (for others and each other). Grateful for this memory, and so sad there was not time to spend more of this sort of time together.
From Robin: I tried to look this up on the website (what? we have a website) but couldn't find the correct year and didn't want to spend too much time on this. Several years ago, Jeff couldn't be at the draft (possibly to attend one of Reese's diving competitions) and Tom created a "Draft-o-Matic," which we used to draft for Jeff. However, at some point the Draft-o-Matic failed (none of the players Jeff had designated were available or Jeff had an extra draft pick that wasn't accounted for or something) and we had to contact Jeff for his pick(s). I was chosen/volunteered to do this because perhaps Tom was still drafting/scouting and I was done?--not sure. I also can't even remember if I was talking to him on the phone or just texting back and forth. Anyway, it was a late-round pick, one that you would typically use for an unheralded rookie you had a good feeling about or a one-year-wonder to fill a need for your team, but Jeff said to draft Bartolo Colon (who was neither), and I responded something like "Are you sure you want to draft Bartolo Colon?," thinking that he was maybe confusing him for someone else, but Jeff did indeed want to draft the aged Colon.I don't recall what the league's response to his choice was.
From Arnie: Not that I doubt your memory but I searched the file that has all draft analyses <=2013 for "Colon" and could not see anywhere where Jeff drafted him. I remembered that same draft where we drafted E. Santana for him with conflicting information and he was OK with it. Yet I could not find any draft where he drafted E. Santana <queue twilight zone theme>
I wish I could tell my classic Jeff story, except I don’t have
one. At least none that’s come to mind since Arnie asked us to submit our
tributes. I’ve rummaged around the junk in my head for two weeks now looking
for something that jumps out and all I’ve found are scattered impressions.
They’re not vague; they’re just here and there and, in the depths of our
sadness, suddenly too few….
***
The Baker
Jeff came down to Plymouth for a series last year right before
Hanukkah and he (the Catholic) and Sue (the Jew) spent in the neighborhood of
ten minutes talking about the challenges and rewards of baking the perfect
latkes. “It’s a cultural identity thing,” Sue said. “I’m reconnecting to my
roots. But I follow the recipes, and they come out like shit.” Jeff spoke
eloquently about cooking oils, oven temps, spuds, spices, and scoffed at frozen
latkes, Sue’s suggestion as a last resort.
“Crap,” he said.
“You really know latkes, Jeff.”
“I have lots of Jewish
friends,” he said.
“Of which I’m one,” I
said, shaking the dice in my hand.
***
The Perfect Host
“Nope.” He led me into a parlor. (A parlor?!) In the shadows was a
baby grand piano, with no one at the piano seat, save maybe a Dickensian ghost.
“It’s a player piano.”
“Holy shit, Jeff! That’s the coolest thing I’ve ever seen!”
“Man, am I jealous.” And I was. I had just bought about a
half-dozen jazz CDs to play on my new Bose wave radio, and was pretty much
mainlining them round the clock. “So let me get this straight. You can play
anyone on this? Like Bill Evans or Art Tatum?”
“I don’t see why not.”
“This is heaven. I feel like I’m at a bar.”
“Want a drink. Before I kick your ass?”
***
No lie: until last year, I needed to use my GPS every time I
traveled to Jeff’s in Hopkinton. What is that, like a dozen years or so? It’s
not that there were a lot of turns once you got off the highway; there are more
turns driving to Arnie and Robin’s, and there’s nothing to compare with the
North Shore Slog up to frickin’ Marblehead…
I think it was the lone, narrow, winding road, cut through the
dark woods, and the too-wide SUVs barreling at me, and then the sub-development
maze of giant brick homes and roads that snaked up a near-treeless hillside to
Everett Circle, that just made it impossible for directions to stick.
“You still don’t know
how to get here by memory?” Jeff would razz me.
“I can’t figure it out. How do you
find your way home. I’m just grateful to get here. I need a beer.”
***
Let’s get serious…which is something I was kinda hoping to avoid.
This tribute to Jeff has been difficult for me to write. Arnie’s deadline has
been weighing on me, and I feel badly that I’ve held him up.
Anyway…
Sue and I have some friends visiting from North Carolina. They’re
staying on the Cape, and Wednesday night we met up with them at another
friend’s house. All these people are musicians, and the house we visited has a
music studio in the basement, and the evening was spent listening to a couple
of them jam. We’ve done this a number of times, and it’s cool to have such
talented friends. But truth be told, there have been some nights where I’ve
found this tedious, in part because they often play original songs that just
don’t do it for me, crummy as I feel saying that. Plus, it’s loud and hard to
talk.
And then something curious happened. For lack of a better
description, the room got deeper, the sound got richer, the moment slowed, and
the antsy-ness faded into a kind of bliss, a feeling of wellbeing and
gratitude. And in this moment of wellbeing and gratitude I thought of Jeff. And
the thought was obvious, something we always say to each other after a terrific
loss: value the moment, treasure what’s in front of you, because you never know
when it’ll be gone…
I love my friends. All my friends. But we don’t usually say stuff
like this because we’re buttoned up in an I-don’t-feel-comfortable-saying-this
sort of way. But there you have it. On the way home I brought this up and it
seems Sue had the same feelings—a deep connection to the moment and the people
in it, and a profound appreciation for it. I called it the Jeff Effect. And now
I always will.
Lastly, below is a link to a video, to commemorate Jeff’s love of
latkes…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?reload=9&v=z2GOrdxCm6Q
The SOMBILLA has had five different champions over the past 5 seasons – Robin, Tom, Arnie, Sam, and Randy. So, I threw them all into one Recent Champions League. But then I decided it’d be more fun to let others play. Just a scant 8 years ago, Jeff won the SOMBILLA Championship, so I added his ’15-16 team to the mix from beyond the grave.
Shockingly, Eric with 9 SOMBILLA Championships (second only to RAT’s 12) now has a 12-year drought. He last won the league with The Cheddarmen in 2011-2012. Harold’s last championship was the year before that in ’10-11. So I threw them into the Champions League.
* That leaves poor Jed. His last championship was with Shithead in 1984-1985. Even if wanted to purchase the 1983 card set ($30!), I would have to travel back to Holliston and try to find the stats in the attic to recreate his team. Probably doable but way too much effort. But it seemed unfair to not let Jed play, so I went back to the ’19-20 season when Oceanus lost the World Series to Randy in 6 games, and let Jed use that team. Hence the asterisk.
So, here’s the lineup:
2023-2024 Bay City
2022-2023 Constantinople
2021-2022 North Dakota
2020-2021 Neverwinter
2019-2020 Future Wax
2019-2020 Oceanus
2015-2016 “What Eric Said?”
2011-2012 The Cheddarmen
2010-2011 New Orleans
The oldest three teams played in leagues that used a 25-man roster, but I gave each team a 26-man roster based on the final stats of the 26 most used players. Actual ballparks played in of course (another reason to not include the 85 Shithead team – we didn’t even use ballparks back then! ). I also used the pre-2020 rules (no ghost runner or three batter reliever rule, since the majority of these teams didn’t use them.
I set up a 160 game schedule. Here are the standings through April 30:
LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 2024 Champions League
WON LOST PCT
GB MAGIC#
19-20 Oceanus OCE
18 10 .643 ----
133
11-12 The Cheddarmen CHE
15 10 .600
1.5
10-11 New Orleans NEW
13 12 .520
3.5
20-21 Neverwinter NEV
13 12 .520
3.5
21-22 North Dakota NDK
14 13 .519
3.5
22-23 Bay City BAY
12 13 .480
4.5
15-16 "WhatEricSaid?" WES
13 16 .448
5.5
19-20 Future Wax FUT
7 12 .368
6.5
21-22 Constantinople CON
9 16 .360
7.5
Here are the standings as of May 31:
LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 2024 Champions League
WON LOST PCT
GB MAGIC#
21-22 North Dakota NDK
33 22 .600 ----
107
19-20 Oceanus OCE
31 24 .564
2.0
11-12 The Cheddarmen CHE
26 21 .553
3.0
20-21 Neverwinter NEV
30 26 .536
3.5
10-11 New Orleans NEW
24 26 .480
6.5
19-20 Future Wax FUT
23 27 .460
7.5
15-16 "WhatEricSaid?" WES
26 31 .456
8.0
22-23 Bay City BAY
24 29 .453
8.0
21-22 Constantinople CON
21 32 .396 11.0
Now that’s more like it! Note that teams have played close to the SOMBILLA 56 game schedule. I’m sure Tom is reveling in his team’s basement dwelling. Current leaders:
LEAGUE LEADERS FOR 2024 Champions League through May 31.
LEAGUE LEADERS FOR 2024 Champions League
----BATTING AVERAGE---- --------HOMERUNS------- -----RUNS BATTED IN---- ---------
A.Benintendi
BAY .347 R.Devers CON 16
R.Acuna NEV 36
J.Baez FUT .303
M.Machado FUT 13
J.Bell NEV 36
A.Jones
NEW .297 A.Dunn NEW 13
A.Bregman NEV 36
LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 2024 Champions League
WON LOST PCT
GB MAGIC#
2122 North Dakota NDK
47 30 .610 ----
78
1920 Oceanus OCE
45 36 .556
4.0
1516 "WhatEricSaid?" WES
40 40 .500
8.5
1011 New Orleans NEW
38 39 .494
9.0
2021 Neverwinter NEV
42 44 .488
9.5
1112 The Cheddarmen CHE
37 39 .487
9.5
1920 Future Wax FUT
36 40 .474 10.5
2223 Bay City BAY
36 44 .450 12.5
2122 Constantinople CON
37 46 .446 13.0
----------WINS--------- ----------ERA----------
M.Clevinger OCE 11 S. Bieber
NDK 2.41
J.Degrom
NDK 9 S. Ohtani
CON 2.48
C.Carpenter
NEW 9 Z. Gallen
BAY 2.59
T.Lincecum
CHE 9 W. Buehler OCE
2.67
LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 2024 Champions League
WON LOST PCT
GB MAGIC#
1920 Oceanus OCE
63 46 .578 ----
52
2122 North Dakota NDK
58 46 .558
2.5
1011 New Orleans NEW
56 48 .538
4.5
2122 Constantinople CON
55 53 .509
7.5
1516 "WhatEricSaid?" WES
52 55 .486 10.0
1112 The Cheddarmen CHE
51 56 .477 11.0
1920 Future Wax FUT
50 57 .467 12.0
2021 Neverwinter NEV
50 61 .450 14.0
2223 Bay City BAY
47 60 .439 15.0
AWARDS VOTING FOR 2024 Champions League through
July 31
MVP AWARD
CY YOUNG AWARD
A.Bregman(NEV) 377
S.Doolittle(OCE) 112
T.Tulowitzki(CHE) 366 S.Bieber(NDK) 99
J.Ramirez(OCE) 213
M.Scherzer(FUT) 49
T.Story(OCE) 139
K.Giles(WES)
19
R.Devers(CON) 102
F.Ni*(NEW) 9
* That’s Harold’s 2009 mutant Fu-Te Ni in the Cy Young voting.
Standings at the end of August:
LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 2024 Champions League
WON LOST PCT
GB MAGIC#
1920 Oceanus OCE
79 55 .590 ----
22
2122 North Dakota NDK
75 60 .556
4.5
1011 New Orleans NEW
74 61 .548
5.5
2122 Constantinople CON
66 69 .489 13.5
1516 "WhatEricSaid?" WES
65 69 .485 14.0
1112 The Cheddarmen CHE
66 71 .482 14.5
1920 Future Wax FUT
63 72 .467 16.5
2021 Neverwinter NEV
61 71 .462 17.0
2223 Bay City BAY
57 78 .422 22.5
Only 3 ½ games separating 5 teams for the final playoff berth.
ALL-STAR SELECTIONS BY POSITION through August 31C J.Realmuto(NEV) 1,508,632 Y.Gomes(FUT) 1,429,130
1B P.Konerko(CHE) 2,828,805
A.Dunn(NEW) 2,290,945
2B J.Baez(FUT) 2,993,961 B.Zobrist(NEW) 2,294,825
3B J.Ramirez(OCE) 2,618,228
E.Suarez(BAY) 2,609,630
SS T.Tulowitzki(CHE) 4,199,471
A.Bregman(NEV) 3,941,466
LF S.Ohtani(CON) 2,273,859
C.Crawford(CHE) 2,195,045
CF R.Acuna(NEV) 2,668,890
T.Grisham(NDK) 1,992,453
RF B.Harper(CON) 3,153,191
J.Werth(CHE) 2,024,181
Pi S.Doolittle(OCE) 4,031,492
S.Bieber(NDK) 3,486,695
K.Giles(WES) 3,187,528
F.Ni(NEW) 2,539,522
A.Nola(OCE) 2,444,339 M.Scherzer(FUT) 2,147,078
A.Manoah(CON) 1,905,326
W.Buehler(OCE) 1,901,106
T.Lincecum(CHE) 1,874,515
G.Gallegos(NEV) 1,857,843
L.Lynn(NDK) 1,654,532 M.Clevinger(OCE) 1,635,227
FINAL LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 2024 Champions
League
WON LOST PCT
GB MAGIC#
1920 Oceanus OCE
89 71 .556 ----
1
2122 North Dakota NDK
89 71 .556 ----
1011 New Orleans NEW
86 74 .538
3.0
1516 "WhatEricSaid?" WES
81 79 .506
8.0
1112 The Cheddarmen CHE
80 80 .500
9.0
2021 Neverwinter NEV
79 81 .494 10.0
1920 Future Wax FUT
73 87 .456 16.0
2122 Constantinople CON
73 87 .456 16.0
2223 Bay City BAY
70 90 .438 19.0
Pretty
close final standings. Oceanus takes
first place by virtue of an 11-9 head to head advantage over North Dakota. Jeff beats out Eric by 1 game and Sam by two
games for the final playoff berth. Sam’s
Bregman wins MVP and Bieber wins the Cy Young
MVP AWARD
CY YOUNG AWARD
A.Bregman(NEV) 384 S.Bieber(NDK) 121
T.Tulowitzki(CHE) 366 S.Doolittle(OCE) 91
S.Bieber(NDK) 213
A.Nola(OCE) 49
T.Story(OCE) 138
K.Giles(WES)
19
J.Ramirez(OCE) 97
F.Ni(NEW) 8
ALL-STAR SELECTIONS BY POSITION
C J.Realmuto(NEV) 1,810,491 Y.Gomes(FUT) 1,635,135
1B P.Konerko(CHE) 2,931,530
J.Bell(NEV) 2,708,852
2B J.Baez(FUT) 3,419,584 B.Zobrist(NEW) 2,322,666
3B E.Suarez(BAY) 3,005,760
J.Ramirez(OCE) 2,871,495
SS A.Bregman(NEV) 4,989,471
T.Tulowitzki(CHE) 4,287,771
LF C.Crawford(CHE) 2,440,222
S.Ohtani(CON) 2,212,426
CF R.Acuna(NEV) 3,185,328
A.Jones(WES) 2,316,288
RF B.Harper(CON) 3,340,445
J.Werth(CHE) 2,309,734
Pi S.Bieber(NDK) 4,789,892
K.Giles(WES) 4,151,239
S.Doolittle(OCE) 4,081,147
A.Nola(OCE) 3,284,038
F.Ni(NEW) 2,914,700 G.Gallegos(NEV) 2,781,002
M.Scherzer(FUT) 2,236,026
T.Lincecum(CHE) 1,960,962
L.Lynn(NDK) 1,883,824 J.Degrom(NDK) 1,848,345
W.Buehler(OCE) 1,791,639
A.Manoah(CON) 1,730,018
LEAGUE LEADERS FOR 2024 Champions League
----BATTING AVERAGE---- --------HOMERUNS------- -----RUNS BATTED IN----
I.Suzuki
NEW .301 R.Devers CON 39
J.Baez FUT 97
L.Guillorme
NDK .284 E.Suarez BAY 36
J.Bell NEV 96
A.Bohm
NDK .269 A.Bregman NEV 34
P.Konerko CHE 96
J.McNeil
BAY .267 S.Ohtani CON 33
A.Bregman NEV 95
C.Figgins
NEW .266 A.Dunn NEW 33
M.Machado FUT 89
A.Dickerson
NDK .264 B.Harper CON 32
A.Dunn NEW 89
J.Martinez
WES .263 F.Tatis Jr CON 32
S.Ohtani CON 84
R.Cano
NEW .263 J.Votto CON 32
R.Acuna NEV 82
A.Bregman
NEV .262 J.Bell NEV 32
R.Cano NEW 82
J.Altuve
OCE .261 T.Tulowitzki CHE 32
B.Harper CON 80
J.Baez
FUT .259 R.Acuna NEV 31
T.Mancini NEV 80
C. Crawford CHE .257 E.Suarez
FUT
31
B.Zobrist NEW 80
(obviously plays better for me –
Robin)
----------WINS--------- ----------ERA---------- ---------SAVES---------
S.Bieber
NDK 19 S.Bieber NDK 2.28 S.Doolittle OCE 55
L.Lynn
NDK 18 W.Buehler OCE 2.49 F.Ni NEW 41
A.Nola
OCE 18 A.Nola OCE 2.81 K.Giles WES 36
G.Gonzalez
CHE 16 C.Carpenter NEW 3.08 J.Leclerc FUT 33
M.Scherzer
FUT 15 J.Happ NEW 3.09 J.Thatcher
CHE 33
C.Kluber
OCE 15 T.Lincecum CHE 3.19 G.Gallegos NEV 32
M.Clevinger
OCE 15 T.Lilly NEW 3.20 K.Graveman CON 29
T.Lincecum
CHE 15 C.Rodon CON 3.22 R.Marinaccio BAY 27
M.Scherzer FUT 3.27 D.Pomeranz NDK 25
M.Clevinger OCE 3.39 L.Hendriks NDK 11
Z.Gallen BAY 3.44 D.Bard BAY 8
J.Lester
WES 3.50
Playoffs!
Jed vs. Jeff
Arnie vs. Harold
Oceanus 1 “What Eric Said?” 0
Oceanus 6 “What Eric Said?” 1
Oceanus 4 “What Eric Said?” 2
“What Eric Said?” 1 Oceanus 0
Oceanus 3 “What Eric Said?” 0
Oceanus wins series 4 games to 1
MVP – Corey Kluber 2-0, 1.29 ERA
New Orleans 5 North Dakota 2
North Dakota 8 New Orleans 3
North Dakota 8 New Orleans 6
North Dakota 1 New Orleans 0
North Dakota 6 New Orleans 1
North Dakota wins series 4 games to 1
MVP - Francisco Lindor .409, 1HR, 4 RBI
World Series: Oceanus vs. North Dakota. North Dakota attempts to defend the honor of
the Champions against a pretender.
Oceanus 5 North Dakota 3
Oceanus 3 North Dakota 2
North Dakota 4 Oceanus 3
Oceanus 12 North Dakota 1
North Dakota 9 Oceanus 1
Oceanus 2 North Dakota 1
Oceanus wins series 4 games to 2
MVP – Kluber 2-0, 2.63
Least likely to make a midseason trade – Bay City
Most likely to change team name midseason or offseason – Koop Island
Blues
Most likely to use Lamana in drafting and to structure trades – Oceanus
Most likely to lampoon teams for using Lamana – North Dakota
Most likely to have multiple layers of reasons for having to reschedule
– Constantinople
Least likely to see your email within 24 hours (and most likely to
respond to it several months later) – Future Wax
Most likely to draft a Yankee – New Orleans
It’s been a while since we looked into each owner’s payroll. Who are the SOMBILLA’s big market teams, for whom money is no object? Who is trying to buy the Championship? In other words, who are the Mets of the SOMBILLA (I wanted to say Yankees, but the Mets, with a ridiculous $344.1 million payroll, $64.8 million over the 2nd place Yankees, have surpassed them for highest payroll now.) Given the performance of the Mets so far, you do not want to be the Mets of the SOMBILLA.
Conversely, who are the league’s small market cheapskate owners, operating on a shoestring budget? (The A’s of the SOMBILLA, with a minuscule $60.8 million payroll). You probably don’t want to be the A’s of the SOMBILLA either.
For this study, I let the computer choose each person’s 26-man roster as that was the most expedient. The computer always makes a few questionable choices, but it was good enough for this. I used the 2023 MLB data that is readily available on a few websites.
So, who is the SOMBILLA’s big market, Mets/Yankees trying to purchase the championship? I’ll give you one guess:
1. Future Wax – Payroll $295,302,000. Interestingly, even in an all-star league, Future Wax’s payroll is almost $50 million less than the Mets payroll. This says more about the Mets than Future Wax. They did win the championship 3 years ago, but they still refuse to cut payroll in hopes of a return to the glory days. Highest paid players:
Max Scherzer $43,333,333
Giancarlo Stanton $32,000,000
Trea Turner $27,273,000
Marcus Stroman $25,000,000
George Springer $22,500,000
Number of
minimum salaried players: 4
2. North Dakota – Payroll $279,764,000. Future Wax wannabes? Horrors! Like Future Wax though, they did recently win the championship (2022), so money talks.
Paul Goldschmidt $46,000,000
Francisco Lindor $34,100,000
Jake deGrom $30,000,000
Mookie Betts $25,000,000
Chris Bassitt $19,000,000
Number of minimum salaried players: 5
3. Bay City – Payroll $261,982,000. Lost the World Series in extra innings of game 7. Could a few more $$ have been the difference? Will she buy some free agents to put her over the top?
Gerrit Cole $36,000,000
Carlos Correa $33,333,333
Yu Darvish $25,000,000
Starling Marte $20,750,000
Sal Perez $20,000,000
Number of minimum salaried players: 5
4. Neverwinter – Payroll $261,974,000. In a virtual tie with Bay City for 3rd place. Although not in contention last year, he’s only two years removed from winning the championship. I’m seeing a pattern here. Sam is not afraid to spend, but note that his highest paid players were all signed by Jeff:
Alex Bregman $30,500,000
Freddie Freeman $27,000,000
J. T. Realmuto $23,875,000
Mike Mikolas $20,416,000
Charlie Morton $20,000,000
Number of minimum salaried players: 4
5. Constantinople – Payroll $252,091,000. Last year’s champion rounds out the top 5, easily correlating to the most recently successful franchises in the league. Coincidence? I think not. 59% of this team’s salary is tied up in these 5 players:
Mike Trout $37,116,000
Dansby Swanson $32,285,000
Shohei Ohtani $30,000,000
Bryce Harper $27,538,000
Carlos Rodon $22,833,000
Number of minimum salaried players: 9
6. New Orleans – Payroll $233,449,000. Note the huge drop-off in payroll from the top 5 to the bottom 3. Also note the huge drop-off in recent SOMBILLA success. This franchise hasn’t made the playoffs in three years and is now 12 years removed from his last championship. Money talks in this league.
Aaron
Judge
$40,000,000
Marcus Semien $26,000,000
Zach Wheeler $24,500,000
Matt Olson $21,000,000
Kenley Jansen $16,000,000
Number of minimum salaried players: 6
7. Dead Nettles – Payroll $231,389,000. Now 11 years removed from his last championship, this team has fallen on some hard times, cutting corners everywhere and it shows. Spends more on his dogs than his team.
Justin Verlander $43,333,333
Nolan Aronado $35,000,000
Xander Bogaerts $25,455,000
Edwin Diaz $19,650,000
Joc Pederson $19,650,000
Number of minimum salaried players: 7
8. Oceanus – Payroll $201,809,600. The Oakland Athletics of the SOMBILLA. This cheap bastard’s payroll is a distant last, actually lower than 7 MLB teams. The long-suffering fans of this moribund franchise deserve better. The owner won’t even spring for a new laptop. An embarrassment.
Jose Altuve $29,000,000
Joe Musgrove $20,000,000
Julio Rodriguez $17,442,000
Aaron Nola $16,000,000
Byron Buxton $15,286,000
Number of minimum salaried players: 7
The
Waiver Draft: An Analysis [7/23]
By Jed Corman, guest columnist
Ah, the Waiver Draft! The culmination of a week's worth of coming down from the Actual Draft's high. You agonize over making those last few cuts. You sift through others' trash hoping to find treasure. Then as the MLB season unfolds you watch as players you cut enjoy career seasons and ultimately get re-drafted by someone else. Or worse yet, by you.
Just to refresh your memory, the Waiver Draft was Tom's brainchild back in 2009. Some league members have traditionally eschewed the Waiver Draft while others have embraced it. The question is, how has it affected Eric? Well, that's one question. (Spoiler alert: not a lot).
This study will answer a number of burning questions you have
about the Waiver Draft. Of course, the burning part might just be something you
ate.
Note that the historical record for the Waiver Draft is sadly incomplete. We seem to be missing a few years. Thus, this study has an asterisk next to it.
Who has picked up the most players in the Waiver Draft?
I'll bet you're thinking, well, obviously, it's Jed who's chosen the most players in the Waiver Draft. However, you might be surprised. But you won't be. I have indeed chosen the most players, although more recently Harold has become the most active Waiver Draft participant. Here are the tallies:
Jed: 31
Harold: 21
Tom: 19
Arnie: 11
Randy: 6
Robin: 3
Jeff/Sam: 3
Eric: 2
Notably, Eric has not picked up a player in the Waiver Draft since the very first one back in 2010. Which went 9 rounds, by the way – the longest Waiver Draft in history. It was noted that by round 8 Jeff was shouting “Spooneybarger” (via email, see below) in a desperate attempt to bring the proceedings to a close.
What is the Most Number of Players Chosen during a Specific Waiver Draft?
The most players picked up in any individual Waiver Draft was 8 by yours truly in 2010. I suspect that's a record unlikely to be broken. Though judging by the way things are going for my team this year, who knows.
Who are the Greatest Waiver Draft Pickups of All Time?
I'm thinking my selection of Jose Altuve – cut by North Dakota in 2014 – probably represents the best Waiver Draft pickup of all time. In 2013 Altuve hit .283 but had an OPS of .679 and was a 3e10 in the field. So Arnie couldn't be blamed for thinking that the diminutive second baseman wasn't going to amount to much. (But MPSTM can be blamed). In 2014, Altuve hit .341 with an OPS of .830. Including 2014, Altuve went on to produce 8 seasons with an OPS of > .800. 4 of which were > .900. And he may still have something left in the tank given he's only 33. And knowing what pitch is coming will certainly help.
Arnie's selection of Liam Hendriks in 2018 has paid significant dividends. Of course, Hendriks didn't have a great 2017 card (hence his getting cut) but interestingly Hendriks didn't do well in 2018 either yet Arnie kept the faith. And then in 2019, Hendriks started a run of 4 excellent seasons (with WHIPs of .96, .67, .73 and 1.04). During the 2021/22 SOMBILLA season, Hendriks led the league in saves with 15. Have to think Hendriks is the #2 all-time Waiver Wire pickup.
And then there was Joey Votto. After holding onto Votto for 3 pretty much unusable seasons, I figured he was washed up at age 91 in 2021. Tom then claimed him. And then he produced a vintage year with an OPS of .938 (above his career average). He was the #7 card in the set according to Lamanna. During the 2022/23 SOMBILLA campaign – where Tom won the World Series – Votto had an OPS of .899.
Corey Hart – another pickup by Tom – had three outstanding seasons from 2010-2012 after Eric cut him. He hit 87 homers over that span and his OPS was never lower than .841. Might be worthy of #3 as an all-time Waiver Draft pickup! He had 19 homers for Constantinople over two SOMBILLA seasons.
The Waiver Draft has in a number of instances provided some immediate if not long-term value. Some recent examples include
· Arnie's drafting of Chad Green (cut by Eric) in 2022. Green was (according to Arnie's go-to source, John Lamanna one of the top relievers. [Ed note: It’s laughable that Lamanna liked him so much considering he had 5 ballparks against both sides and he was only drafted for future potential (MPSTM) and to replace the worst previous worst reliever in my bullpen, R. Rodriguez. He played in fewer than half my series, strictly to absorb innings. Eric had no use for him either. But Lamanna says he was one of the best. Sad!). Unfortunately for Arnie, Green got injured while associating with some Bay City players or he (Green, not Arnie) might've provided more than one usable year. (Ed note again: he’s supposedly coming back in August. But again, he was barely usable last year and drafted for the future).
·
Isaiah Kiner-Falefa (cut by Sam) in 2022 gave me a serviceable
stop-gap measure at short.
·
Also: Harold's acquisition of Eddie Rosario (cut by Jed) in 2022
gave him a pinch hitter who, albeit in only 26 AB, had an OPS of 1.092 in the
SOMBILLA this past season.
I don't feel like looking up stats for all the players but here are a few additional examples of waiver draft value, in no particular order:
• Adam Warren, picked up by Harold in 2017, probably because Warren got traded to the Yankees in real baseball, produced his career season that year (a .87 WHIP). He provided Harold with 21 IP and a 1.71 ERA during the 2018/19 SOMBILLA campaign.
• Patrick Corbin, picked up by Arnie in 2017, went on to have his two best seasons in 2018 and 2019. He went 8-2 for Arnie during the 2019/20 SOMBILLA season, with a 3.08 ERA. Although 0-2, with a 9.00 ERA in 2020/21. Still, 2 usable seasons for a waiver pickup. Corbin may qualify as the 5th or 6th best waiver draftee of all time (see Darren O'Day below).
• Randy picking up Hyun-jin Ryu in 2015 would've been brilliant if he'd kept Ryu on his roster until 2018 (and 2019). However, at some point Ryu got cut and Harold used a 2nd-round draft pick to obtain him in 2020.
• Harold's selection of Mike Moustakas in 2015 was a darned good one. The Moose had a down year in 2014, leading to his getting cut. But in 2015 he had an OPS of .818 and overall produced 3 more years of > .800 OPS. In 2016, Harold traded Moustakas to Robin for Kenley Jansen (!). Later in 2016, Robin traded Moustakas to Jed for Matt Duffy, a 9th round draft pick (who turned into BJ Upton?) and a player to be named later (Cody Allen). Moustakas provided some value, maybe as much or more than Corbin. And Harold parlaying him into Jansen – that was a coup only made possible by the Waiver Draft! Arguably Moustakas generated the most activity of any waiver draftee.
• Harold's picking up of Sabathia in 2014 (again, probably because he was a Yankee) might have worked out well for him. But from 2013-2015, Sabathia was unusable, leading to his getting cut again. Starting in 2016, however, he produced three years in a row of sub 4.00 ERA seasons. However, I guess if Sabathia had been that good he would've gotten re-drafted. I don't see that he was in the league at all during those years....
• And how could I not mention Darren “Luck O' the Irish” O'Day? You might ask “Why can't I get players like that?” Well, a good start would be not cutting him.... He was actually cut twice! Originally drafted by Robin in 2010, she eventually cut him. And RAT drafted him in 2013, cutting him a year later. I picked O'Day in the final round of the 2014 Waiver Draft. I don't really understand why he was cut because he had a 2.18 ERA with a 1.00 WHIP in MLB 2013. During the 2014/15 SOMBILLA campaign he pitched 22 1/3 innings for me with a 2.01 ERA. And O'Day would go on to have fine seasons in 2014 and 2015 (and later, in 2017-2020 – but he had been cut and re-drafted). O'Day arguably is the 4th or 5th best Waiver Draft pickup of all time.
• Reliever Tyler Clippard – grabbed by Harold (of course) in the 2013 Waiver Draft after a somewhat down season and traded to North Dakota in 2015 – provided multiple usable cards. He's up there with O'Day and maybe ahead of Corbin and Moustakas as a waiver draftee..
Has Any Player been Drafted More Than Once in the Waiver Draft?
Yes! Tommy “I am the” Edman was waiver drafted by Harold in 2021 (after being cut by Arnie). Interestingly, to obtain Edman, Harold cut Christian Walker, who was re-drafted in 2023 by Randy. Edman was cut by Harold in 2023 and picked up by Jed this year.
What was the Best Waiver Draft Trade? (i.e, trades after the regular draft but before the waiver draft)
There have been 3 (pre-) Waiver Draft Trades:
1. In 2012, Tom traded Coco Crisp to Eric for Chipper Jones.
2. Also in 2012, Tom traded Kelly Johnson to Jed for Rafael Furcal.
3. In 2021, Eric traded Pressly to Jed for Eovaldi.
One would think that getting a future Hall of Famer for a box of cereal would be the steal of the century. However, Crisp would go on to produce at least 2 above career average seasons in 2012 and 2013. He was a base stealer and I believe a good defender in CF. Meanwhile, Chipper Jones would play only one more season with stats far below his career averages, though he probably was usable. So really, the trade was something of a wash and maybe actually to Eric's advantage.
Without checking, I'd say Kelly Johnson got cut in 2013 and never made it back to the SOMBILLA. He was usable in a limited way with his 2011 card but checking the stats he didn't play. Furcal had a fine career (despite lying about his age) but only played one more full season (2012). He didn't play for Tom. So this trade was the definition of a wash.
And as previously touched on, Pressly for Eovaldi is still TBD. Pressly has been arguably more productive in the SOMBILLA thus far, with his 15 saves in 2022. But Eovaldi has gotten some usage, and at the time I am writing this is having a fine 2023 season and made the All-Star team! Too bad Eric cut him this year.
I'd conclude that the Pressly for Eovaldi trade has been the most impactful Waiver Draft trade.
Who Performed Better: Waiver Draft Pickups or their Cut Counterparts?
Hoo boy, this would take more hours than I want to put into it. But it's a great question, isn't it? So, I decided to focus just on the original 9-round Waiver Draft. I don't know if that's sufficient to draw statistically significant conclusions from. But here's what I found (I removed all the passes). (Ed note: Because it was so new and we weren’t sure about the best way to implement it, this first waiver draft was actually held via e-mail. Each manager had 24 hours to make their pick. The entire draft lasted over a month. Remember that? I remember making one pick from a Delaware hotel room. – Arnie)
Waiver Draft 2010
1st round
3. Harold - claims Edgar Renteria from A51, and cuts Orlando Cabrera. Renteria played two more years and one was possibly usable. Orlando Cabrera played two more years and one was possibly usable. Extremely marginal advantage in the pickup.
4. Tom - claims Milton Bradley from Jed, cuts Mark Ellis. Bradley played two more unusable years. Ellis played 4 more years and hit .291 in 2010. Should've kept.
6. Jed - claims FW's Jeremy Guthrie and cuts Chris Sampson. Guthrie had a good 2010 (starred starter with a 1.16 WHIP). Nothing after that. Sampson never played again. Advantage: pickup.
7. RAT - reclaims F. Cordero and cuts Saltalamacchia.
Francisco (“don't call me Franchy”) Cordero had 40 saves in 2010 and yet was likely unusable due to a 1.43 WHIP. But...Cordero had a 1.02 WHIP in 2011. But...he doesn't seem to have been used during the 2012/13 SOMBILLA season. Jarrod (“Salty”) Saltalamacchia played for quite a while after 2009, with 25 homers in 2012 and a .804 OPS in 2013. So this was either a wash or maybe even they shoulda kept Salty.
2nd round
2. Arnie - claims C. Delgado from A51 and cuts Luke Scott. Delgado never played in MLB after 2009. But...Arnie did get some use out of his limited 2009 card. Luke Scott had 25 homers and a .828 OPS in 2009 and then 27 homers and a .902 OPS in 2010. Why was he cut? Well, fact is, Scott never got re-drafted so I guess he wasn't usable enough. Advantage pickup!
3. Harold - claims Jarrod Saltalamacchia and cuts newly drafted Ryan Roberts. Harold re-cut Saltalamacchia so never enjoyed his good seasons. I don't think Roberts was ever usable, so this was a complete wash.
4. Tom - claims Tim Wakefield from BC and waives Taylor Bucholz. Wakefield played 2 more unusable years. Buchholz was never usable. Wash.
6. Jed - reclaims Manny Corpas and cuts Rick Ankiel*. Corpas went on to suck. Ankiel went on to suck. Wash.
8. Eric - claim Chris Snyder and cuts Dioner Navarro. Snyder might've been marginally usable in a limited way in 2011. Or not. Navarro's career year was 2013 and he was limited but good. Should've kept but nobody would've kept him that long. I'll say it was a wash.
* At that time, an outfielder. Originally drafted by Robin as a pitcher but presumably cut due to Daniel Bard syndrome.
3rd round
4. Tom - claims Theriot and cuts X. Nady, Theriot was godawful. Nady was godawful. Wash.
6. Jed - claims Capps and cuts JJ Hardy. Capps certainly didn't do much and likely didn't get any SOMBILLA usage. (Ed note: I remember he got off to a hot start in MLB (remember we were drafting in May and into June), and Harold commented on Jed’s drafting of the hot player). Hardy was around for a while and produced some decent years after getting cut. (Hardy hit 30 homers in 2011. Should've kept Hardy, but I made up for this in the next round.
4th round
2. Arnie - claims Jerry Blevins, cuts Scot (only one 't') Shields. Blevins produced a couple of usable seasons in 2012 and 2013. Did Arnie keep him that long? Nope – he was re-cut and later drafted by Harold (Blevins was a reliever, of course). Shields pitched in 2010 but he shouldn't have. This was a wash even though Blevins was the better player (because Arnie didn't get any benefit from this pickup).
4. Tom - reclaims Smoltz, cuts Wakefield. Smoltz never pitched after 2009. Wakefield, as mentioned, sucked. Wash.
6. Jed - reclaims JJ Hardy, cuts Tony Pena. Hardy as mentioned had at least one excellent season upcoming. I believe this was Tony Pena the pitcher, who sucked. Good pickup. (Ed note: In January 2012, Oceanus traded Hardy to North Dakota along with a 7th round pick [became Coco Crisp] for Jimmy Rollins and David Murphy. The trade was ostensibly to help Oceanus immediately, ND just needed a SS placeholder for the rest of the presumably lost season. But Hardy helped North Dakota win the championship [and Matt Joyce, called up by ND from the taxi squad to replace Murphy on the 25-man roster, became the World Series MVP]).
8. Eric - reclaims Rowand, cuts Dickerson. Aaron Rowand was awful. Chris (“the dick”) Dickerson was worthless. Wash.
5th round
2. Arnie - cuts Albert Pujols and immediately redrafts him Huh? Well, I guess we can say this was a wash. But I don't think this is allowed. Must've been a joke. (Ed note: Yes, Pujols was still very good. Easier to pull this joke off via e-mail).
4. Tom - cuts Bradley, claims Tejada. Mentioned Bradley was useless. Doesn't look like Miguel Tejada got any SOMBILLA playing time. Wash.
6. Jed - cuts Dice K, claims A. Soriano. Dice K amounted to nothing. But Soriano was something. His stats make it seem like he should've been usable, but I don't find him in the historical SOMBILLA record. Eventually Harold got a hold of him, and he played for him. But since I didn't get any benefit, this was a wash.
6th round
2. Arnie - claims Dice-K, cuts Chris Young (pitcher). As mentioned Dice K never lived up to the hype. Chris Young had one usable limited year in 2015 but it doesn't look like he was in the SOMBILLA during the 2016/17 campaign. So...another wash.
4. Tom - claims Aviles - waives Jenks. Mike Aviles had his best year in 2010. But didn't get used! Bobby Jenks was never usable. Wash.
6. Jed - cut Jeff Francouer and claimed James Loney. James (“Only the”) Loney never played in the SOMBILLA after getting picked up. Francouer had his career year in 2011 and would have been worth keeping for that. And yet...he didn't play in the SOMBILLA in 2012/13 so this turned out to be a wash.
7th round
2. Arnie - reclaims Chris Young, cuts J. Blevins. Shoulda kept Blevins.
4. Tom - claims C. Hart - waives Tejada. As mentioned above, Corey Hart was one of the best Waiver Draft pickups of all time. Tejada was useless at this point in his career.
6. Jed - cuts Fuentes, reclaims Sampson. As mentioned above, Sampson provided no value. But neither did Fuentes. Wash.
8th round
2. Arnie - claims Beimel, cuts R. Ramirez. Beimel went on to suck. Ramon Ramirez had a usable 2011. But he didn't play in the SOMBILLA. Wash.
5. Tom - claims Max Ramirez - waives E. Santana. Max Ramirez never had more than a cup of MLB coffee. Santana definitely had some usable years. Should have kept. But...I don't see Santana appearing in the SOMBILLA stats over the next several years, so I guess even this was a wash.
9th round
5. Tom - reclaims E. Santana, waives Morrow. Tom makes up for the mistake of cutting Santana. But...again...he didn't use Santana. Morrow did have a usable 2012 and was picked up by Jeff and pitched ok for him in the SOMBILLA. Mostly a wash because it is unlikely anyone would have kept Morrow around long enough to enjoy his one good year.
6. Jed - cut Sampson, claims Ohman. Again, Sampson was useless, so cutting him was a good move. Ohman always sucked, not sure why he was ever drafted. Wash.
So it looks like the most likely Waiver Draft transaction outcome is a wash. Mainly because both the player you cut and the player you pick up are likely to suck.
Subjective Assessment of the Impact of the Waiver Draft
Based on the fact that there have been few players selected in the waiver drafts who've gone on to illustrious careers and produced multiple usable years, the impact of the Waiver Draft has been pretty minor. The golden nuggets are rare indeed (Altuve, Hendriks, Votto, Hart, maybe O'Day, maybe Clippard). The most probable outcome of a Waiver Draft transaction is that it will be a wash. I still say it was an awesome idea on Tom's part and I think represents a nice light dessert after the main course of the Actual Draft.
Who
(does the computer think) are the best players for this upcoming Strat-O
season? [7/23]
I took all the major leaguers with 2022 cards and let the computer draft a 26-man roster. Who are the best 26 players in the league, at least according to the computer? Below is the roster, along with the round that the computer drafted the player in. Do you agree? And more important, if you are Jed, does Lamanna agree? The first pick overall? New Orleans’ Aaron Judge.
Hard to argue too much with this All-SOMBILLA first team, except for the fact that the third drafted pitcher, JP Feyereisen is not even in the league this year (although he was an available serious righty reliever mutant). Still, it may not be exactly the team that you (or Lamanna) would draft, but it would kick some serious butt in the SOMBILLA.
|
Player |
Computer Draft Position |
SOMBILLA Team |
|
Aaron Judge |
1 |
New Orleans |
|
Paul Goldschmidt |
2 |
North Dakota |
|
Yordan Alvarez |
3 |
Dead Nettles |
|
Austin Riley |
4 |
New Orleans |
|
Mookie Betts |
5 |
North Dakota |
|
Jose Altuve |
7 |
Oceanus |
|
Willy Adames |
11 |
Future Wax |
|
J.T. Realmuto |
13 |
Neverwinter |
|
Kyle Schwarber |
18 |
Neverwinter |
|
Mike Trout |
20 |
Constantinople |
|
Sal Perez |
21 |
Bay City |
|
Shohei Ohtani* |
24 |
Constantinople |
|
Brendan Donovan |
26 |
Constantinople |
|
Daulton Varsho |
27 |
Oceanus |
|
|
|
|
|
Justin Verlander |
6 |
Dead Nettles |
|
Emmanuel Clase |
8 |
New Orleans |
|
J.P. Feyereisen |
9 |
----------- |
|
Zac Gallen |
10 |
Bay City |
|
Ryan Helsley |
12 |
Neverwinter |
|
Evan Phillips |
14 |
Constantinople |
|
Sandy Alcantara |
15 |
New Orleans |
|
Edwin Diaz |
16 |
Dead Nettles |
|
Devin Williams |
17 |
Constantinople |
|
Tony Gonsolin |
19 |
New Orleans |
|
Spencer Strider |
22 |
Future Wax |
|
Shohei Ohtani* |
23 |
Constantinople |
|
Jason Adam |
25 |
New Orleans |
* Interestingly, although the computer drafted pitcher Ohtani and hitter Ohtani consecutively, it knew that he was one guy because it actually drafted 27 rounds of players, even though I told it to draft 26.
I then had the computer draft a 2nd team – the all SOMBILLA 2nd team. Or the Washington Generals of the SOMBILLA.As with the first team, the computer found a guy – Dylan Moore – who is not in the league (marginally usable against lefties but plays all OF and IF positions). A few eyebrow raising choices. This team would be a likely SOMBILLA playoff team, but not a shoo-in for the championship.
|
Player |
Computer Draft Position |
SOMBILLA Team |
|
Freddie Freeman |
1 |
Neverwinter |
|
Manny Machado |
2 |
Future Wax |
|
Michael Harris |
3 |
New Orleans |
|
Kyle Tucker |
4 |
North Dakota |
|
Dansby Swanson |
5 |
Constantinople |
|
Marcus Semien |
7 |
New Orleans |
|
Willson Contreras |
10 |
North Dakota |
|
Joc Pederson |
12 |
Dead Nettles |
|
Julio Rodriguez |
18 |
Oceanus |
|
Trayce Thompson |
20 |
Bay City |
|
Adley Rutschman |
21 |
Dead Nettles |
|
Dylan Moore |
22 |
----------- |
|
Nolan Aranado |
26 |
Dead Nettles |
|
|
|
|
|
Alek Manoah |
6 |
Constantinople |
|
Daniel Bard |
8 |
Bay City |
|
Corbin Burnes |
9 |
Bay City |
|
Alexis Diaz |
11 |
Constantinople |
|
John Schreiber |
13 |
Constantinople |
|
Clayton Kershaw |
14 |
Future Wax |
|
Erik Swanson |
15 |
Future Wax |
|
Nestor Cortes |
16 |
New Orleans |
|
Jordan Romano |
17 |
North Dakota |
|
Tyler Anderson |
19 |
Neverwinter |
|
Max Fried |
23 |
Neverwinter |
|
Feliz Bautista |
24 |
Neverwinter |
|
Carlos Rodon |
25 |
Constantinople |
Combining these two teams, here are the totals of players in the computer’s top 50:
Constantinople – 10
New Orleans - 9
Neverwinter– 7
Dead Nettles – 6
North Dakota – 5
Future Wax – 5
Bay City – 5
Oceanus – 3
Rediscovered Twits Notes [7/23]
Sometime around 2000, I spent a long while typing up all the old standings and articles from the SOMBILLA’s pre-Internet days to upload to the league’s new website. You can find many famous articles, such as “Eric Lost the Scoresheets,” “The SOMBILLA Trading and Loan Scandal,” “Tsuan Guruism,” and “How League Members React to Receiving Shit” in the Archives.
But some poignant and interesting Twits Notes tidbits were never included. Mostly because it would’ve been too time-consuming to go through the voluminous piles of newsletters accumulated in our Holliston attic to find everything. Well, as promised two summers ago, when I published, “The Summer Newsletter” as a study: “This is Part 1 of going through old newsletters in the attic. Next summer, I'll dig up old newsletter headlines (such as “Who is this Dan Pasqua,” “Another bad start for Jed,” “Tsuan pays up!”) and good lost Twits Notes not already posted to the website.”
OK, I’m one year late. But here you go, these Twits Notes will now be memorialized forever. Interestingly, I found tons of good stuff, but to my pleasant surprise, a lot of it is already on the website! Check out the Archives some day when you are bored. Anyway, we start off with something, not Twits Notes at all, but the first published Draft Day Agenda – the first 10-round draft after the creation of the permanent league:

Long lost Twits Notes and Newsletter Headlines:
12/31/86 What’s wrong with the Folders? (I.e., why aren’t they losing?). The shocking Manila Folders continue their rampage, with every week bringing dozens of new franchise records. The consensus around the league among those who have actually faced Matt is that he has been incredibly lucky. Though much of Strat-O is luck and karma, can a truly bad team go on a 56-game luck streak? Will Vince Coleman and Ozzie Smith continue to be 1-2 in batting at .367 and .345? Will Dwight Evans finish in the home run leaders? Will Leibrandt and Guidry continue to baffle lefty killers? Will Bill Campbell and the Quiz continue to not to choke? We say no. Perhaps 1000-1 was a bit harsh, and they might not even finish last. But playoffs????!!!!
Injuries are up over 250% over last year. The dice are not any more dangerous, nor are the cards flimsier or the players in worse condition. Rather, the increase is due solely to Tsuan’s new injury rule. Every team has felt the impact, and the players are dropping like flies. In one game, both Matt’s 2nd basemen were injured (not bad luck, because he still won), and other horrible stories abound. Though confusion reigns about maximum injury length (it’s all in the rules shown in Vol 1, which should be posted in your bathroom, by now), stupidity abounds where managers have forgotten to call up replacements. The moral is to be prepared for injuries, keep track of who has been injured, and yell at Tsuan when your best player gets hurt, causing you to miss the playoffs.
12/21/86: Play of the week: Ken Oberkfell of the Manila Folders lined into a triple play and was injured for 4 games.
1/24/88: Joel Jacobs, one of the SOMBILLA’s founding fathers, has decided to resign from the league. Seven-year member, stalwart, pillar of stability Jacobs, claims he is doing this out of fairness to the league. Now if this rock solid (admittedly losing) franchise owner decided he was bored, hated Strat-O, didn’t have the time, hated other league members, or would rather crawl over hot coals on his stomach than play in the SOMBILLA, we (the league) could buy his argument. But nooooooooo! Joel claims that his lack of energy input into operating his team is unfair to the league, and therefore he will withdraw. Let’s address this issue.
Does Joel really think he is doing us a disservice by being in the league? Do we abhor his presence? What does Joel add to the league? We play Strat-O because we enjoy each other’s presence, the laughs over strange plays, friendship, getting off on the stats, etc. Joel does not detract from any of this. In fact, Robin says she likes playing Joel more than anyone else, not for obvious reasons (actually she claims she does poorly against him) but because he’s the most easy-going opponent. Does Joel really want eight gung-ho dynasty types? Do we really want 8 Tsuan & Andy’s? One Tsuan & Andy is enough. They add something to the league, just as Eric or Matt or Joel add something to the league. Now, I admit nobody likes losing. But there’s nothing about Sardukar that 1 hour of draft preparation couldn’t take care of. I’m not asking you to change your managing or become a newly diligent owner. We know that’s not feasible. I do think if you study the draft preparation list for 1 hour, and take the draft seriously, you can help your team immensely at little cost or effort to you. Therefore, instead of taking the easy, gutless, sleazy, spineless step of quitting the league, I ask that you prepare for the draft for 1 hour. That’s all you have to do – managing is easier, and your team wins more when you draft better.
Therefore, for reasons specified above, the league refuses to accept Joel’s resignation.
(By the way, if Joel goes 4-12, he will break the all-time record for worst winning percentage.)
1/30/88: Joel promises to consider reconsidering withdrawal.
2/15/88: Joel still thinking
2/28/88: Will Joel desert his friends? Joel Jacobs, stalwart, pillar of stability, lovable, admirable, role-model, The Great One, will be making an announcement regarding his future friendship with all of us. Please, Joel, don’t leave!!!!
(Ed note: as noted on the website, Joel decides to move on with his life).
11/20/88: Future Wax hits a farcical 20 homers – Commissioner outraged! Is this ‘twisted’ team ‘ruining the league’? (or are we all jealous?)
2/15/89: Down to the wire: slim North Dakota hopes rest upon wife
1/7/90: ‘Mellor Magic’ – surprising LH’s take hold of 4th place, can they really do it?
1/28/90: Frustration setting in: Tsuan refuses to play North Dakota, refuses to return phone calls to league or co-manager. Commissioner outraged: “We will take action”
From the pre-season newsletter 10/28/90:

11/27/90: Commissioner takes Boston job. League to remain Boston-based for at least two years.
(Ed note: after graduating law school in 1990, I was certain I’d get a Maine lawyer job, and Robin and I were ready to move. It was not to be).
1/9/91: Who is this Dan Pasqua? That Dan Pasqua of Future Wax leading the league with 33 rbis and third with 11 homers has done it in only 66 at bats. He is also hitting .379. His stats projected to 594 at bats are 99 homers and 297 rbis
1/23/91: Mellor Magic again! Harold wins 13 of 16, guns for 2nd
2/16/91: SOMBILLA to invade Worcester County. Residents flee!
12/3/91: Eric has changed his team’s name again, adding an ‘e’ to Fredonia, one month after dropping the ‘e’ and one year after Matt dropped an “l” from Manilla.
12/10/91 The league would like to publicly apologize for falsely accusing Clint of leaving Sam Horn in against a lefty, causing him embarrassment among his peers, and a scolding from Jed. While no court case has yet decided whether it is libelous to falsely accuse someone of ‘Horn-leaving’, the league is voluntarily making a contribution to the Joel Jacobs School for Strat-O Managing Strategy in Clint’s name.
10/25/92 (pre-season issue): Arnie (revised from Arni, as in Andy to Andrew)…Good news and bad news on the stadium front: While the team has been able to lease a parking lot in Moose Jaw, Saskatchewan, for the first 18 games, work on the state of the art (400 capacity) stadium in Gackle has neem stopped by a group of picketers calling themselves “Gacklonians for an end to mediocrity”)
11/22/92 – In the wake of Jed’s winning 3 of 4 from the Hatchbacks, Dave has filed an official protest because he “didn’t get to play against Clint”. The League is investigating…Moose Jaw’s 17-game lease for the parking lot has expired and the owner of the lot has decided not to renew the lease. Desperate for a field, the team has accepted an offer to promote marijuana paraphernalia in Holland and will be known as ‘Amsterdam’ indefinitely.
12/6/92 – Andrew has arbitrarily changed his team’s name to Bismarck. While it cannot be proven, there is suspicion that this change was made solely to confuse league members into thinking that the North Dakota franchise (currently operating as Amsterdam while its stadium is under construction) is floundering, rather than ‘Future Wax’. Given that the change was made in the middle of the North Dakota/Moose Jaw/Amsterdam’s sweep of Future Wax, the vindictive name change theory is quite probable.
12/31/92 – North Dakota/Moose Jaw/Amsterdam is mobilizing its army to surround the Bismarck franchise and forcibly remove them from the state.
1/10/93 Name change – Bismarck has resumed playing as Future Wax; Nomadic North Dakota after a league record 13 years in one place, has been unceremoniously booted out of Amsterdam in a drug scandal and was forced to find its 3rd home this season on short notice. The only available field was in Greenland, hence the new name.
Mr. Irrelevant (8/22)This study was suggested by someone (I think Eric) at the draft. A look at the last pick in every draft. Without even examining the list, I can think of one player who stands tall above the others. Do you know who it is? Here is the list:
|
Player &
Manager |
Comments |
|
|
1985 |
Rich Dotson, Joel |
The original 35-round draft. Dotson was actually usable and played one season for Joel. Also chosen in round 35? Dennis Eckersley by Eric |
|
1986 |
Dave Lapoint, Yitz |
Never played in the SOMBILLA |
|
1987 |
Don Sutton, Joel |
The future hall-of-famer was 42 when Joel drafted him. Enough said. |
|
1988 |
Andres Thomas, Eric |
Never played in the SOMBILLA |
|
1989 |
Jody Davis, Dave |
Was at the end of his career, never usable after this. (He did have a fine career with Yitz’s team.) |
|
1990 |
Fred Manrique, Dave & Clint |
Never played in the SOMBILLA |
|
1991 |
Chuck Nagy, Jed |
Nice pick, played 3 seasons for Jed, going 15-17 |
|
1992 |
Dave Hollins, T&A |
Young 3B who played 12 years in the majors, but only 1 for T&A. |
|
1993 |
JT Bruett, Dave |
Never played in the SOMBILLA |
|
1994 |
Lonnie Smith, Arnie |
Played one season for North Dakota at the end of his career |
|
1995 |
Danny Jackson, Jed & Clint |
Played one season after being drafted at the end of his career. |
|
1996 |
Jason Giambi, Land |
The real deal! Chosen in the 12th round, Giambi was a 5-time all-star, an MVP and played 20 years in the majors. He had a long and distinguished (steroid-infused) career for Land and is the 2nd best Mr. Irrelevant. I also found this in the archives from Robin “*RP note: Land had the last pick in the draft and was choosing between Giambi and Mark Whiten. I counseled him to take the pre-steroid Giambi because he was so cute.) Also of note is that Harold chose Mariano Rivera in the 10th round. |
|
1997 |
Rob Deer, Matt |
Played one season for Matt. Would have been a great last pick 12 years earlier. |
|
1998 |
Someone named Andy Sheets, Matt |
Never played in the SOMBILLA |
|
1999 |
David Ortiz, Arnie |
Who? |
|
2000 |
Paul Abbott, RAT |
Played one season for RAT |
|
2001 |
Mark Grace, Harold |
Well after his prime, Harold got 2 more years out of him. |
|
2002 |
Jeremy Burnitz, Harold |
Well after his prime, never played in the SOMBILLA after this. |
|
2003 |
Tim Spooneybarger, RAT |
Although he never played in the SOMBILLA, his legend continues. |
|
2004 |
Doug Waechter, Tom |
Never played in the SOMBILLA |
|
2005 |
Damian Easley, Tom |
“Damian Easley deserves some kind of honorable mention for being the last pick of the draft and supplying .886 OPS for two years on a World Series winning team.” - Tom |
|
2006 |
Russell Branyon, Arnie |
He was immediately traded to Tom for a 6th round pick in ’07. |
|
2007 |
Chris Sampson, Tom |
One-year wonder RP, cut after one year |
|
2008 |
Lee Gardner, Harold |
One-year wonder RP, cut after one year |
|
2009 |
Carlos Gomez, Jed |
“CarGo has been the best of what is one of the best late rounds I have ever seen.” - Tom |
|
2010 |
Francisco Cervelli, Harold |
Catcher, played one season at least |
|
2011 |
Andrew Jones, Harold |
Note this was well after his prime. He played one season from this. |
|
2012 |
Josh Reddick, Robin |
“Reddick has been a better major league player than SOMBILLA player, but he has potential well beyond the last pick of the draft (Ed note: and he’s cute).” - Tom |
|
2013 |
Felix Doubront, Arnie |
Hung on to for several years but never played in the SOMBILLA |
|
2014 |
James Loney, RAT |
Never played, cut after one year |
|
2015 |
Joakim Soria, Tom |
Originally drafted by Jed in 2008, for whom he had a fine career. Played one season for Tom. Redrafted by Arnie in 2020 and pitched in last year’s SOMBILLA WS. |
|
2016 |
Cody Anderson, Robin |
Cut after one season |
|
2017 |
Manual Margot, Jed |
Never played for Oceanus. He was picked up during a waiver draft by Arnie and hit .239 in limited action during the 2020-2021 campaign. Still owned. |
|
2018 |
David Freese, Randy |
“Freese was originally drafted by Future Wax in 2011 and cut in 2014. In 2017 I think he was a lefty-killer? Certainly he was much better vs. L. Anyway, in 2018/19, he hit .296 for Randy 54 AB.” - Jed |
|
2019 |
Nick Martini, Harold |
Friends with Boston Bruins announcer Bob Beers. Never played in the SOMBILLA |
|
2020 |
Stephan Crichton, Tom |
|
|
2021 |
Dylan Moore, Sam |
|
|
2022 |
Josiah Gray, Randy |
|
Behind Big Papi, I think Land’s
Jason Giambi is a distant second as best last pick ever. Jed’s Carlos Gomez is
3rd. He was an all-star twice, won a gold glove and played for Jed
through the 2014 carded season (’15-16) – six years. He also played for CN after
Jed finally cut him.
In fourth place, a tie
between Robin’s Josh Reddick, who played 13 years in the majors and Jed’s Chuck
Nagy.
Worst pick: From the first
Mr. Irrelevant study, back in 2005: When Joel
drafted Don Sutton with the last pick of the 1987 draft, the guy was 42, and
Joel was about to end his affiliation with the SOMBILLA. To me, that’s the
worst Mr. Irrelevant pick. Although there were plenty of swings and misses on
this list, at least everyone else was trying.
It seems to me that if we’re going to focus on the last pick of the
draft, shouldn’t we also look at the first pick in the draft, which is clearly
more important? Although many of these
players had great careers and ended up in the hall of fame, more would be
perceived as busts.
|
Year |
Player & Manager |
Comments |
|
1985 |
Dwight Gooden, T&A |
He was 20 years old and had just gone 24-4 with a 1.53 ERA. Pretty sure he was the consensus first pick. 4-time all-star, had several great seasons, but ultimately derailed by injuries at age 27 and was never great again. |
|
1986 |
Vince Coleman, Matt |
Rookie of the year and a 2-time all-star |
|
1987 |
Ruben Sierra, Arnie |
Despite being a 4-time all-star with a 20-year career, he was always considered a disappointment. Joel drafted Jose Canseco 2nd overall, who’d be in the HOF but for steroids. |
|
1988 |
Mark McGwire, Matt |
HOF but for roids |
|
1989 |
Greg Jefferies, T&A |
2-time all-star. Other first rounders were Cone (Robin) R. Alomar (Arnie) HOF, Sheffield (T&A) |
|
1990 |
Ken Griffey Jr., T&A |
HOF |
|
1991 |
Frank Thomas, Robin |
HOF |
|
1992 |
Phil Plantier, Matt |
LOL. He passed on HOF Pudge Rodriguez (Robin picked him 3rd), Mike Mussina (5th overall by Arnie), HOF Jeff Bagwell (7th overall by Durga & Harold) |
|
1993 |
Curt Schilling, Dave |
Borderline HOF based on career, but an asshole Trumper. |
|
1994 |
Manny Ramirez, Harold |
HOF but for roids. Pedro was chosen 5th overall by T&A. |
|
1995 |
Alex Rodriguez, Land |
HOF but for roids |
|
1996 |
Charles Johnson, Matt |
2-time all-star, 4-time gold glover. HOFs Chipper Jones (2nd by Dave & Jeff) and Derek Jeter (6th by Robin) were also first-rounders that year. |
|
1997 |
Edgar Renteria, Jeff |
5-time all-star, 2-time gold glover. |
|
1998 |
Ben Grieve, Robin |
Rookie of the year, but never became a star, despite several solid seasons. Vlad Guerrero (see 2002 below) was chosen 2nd by Jed & Clint. (From Robin: Hopefully I made up for this pick by drafting Vlad Jr. when I had the chance to.) |
|
1999 |
JD Drew, Eric |
Much-maligned Sox player made one all-star team, but had a 14-year career with a .384 career OBP and career .489 slugging pct. |
|
2000 |
Kris Benson, Harold |
A disappointment. Never became a star. Finished MLB career 70-75, 4.42 |
|
2001 |
Rafael Furcal, Matt |
Won Rookie of the Year and was a 3-time all-star. Never panned out to be a superstar as projected; it turns out he was older than everyone thought. |
|
2002 |
Vlad Guerrero, Jeff |
HOF. This was the year of the expanded draft due to the league contraction of Jed & Clint’s BiG DiG franchise. Their best player, Vlad, became a free agent and Jeff pounced. |
|
2003 |
Mark Prior, Robin |
Had a spectacular card when he was drafted, but injuries derailed his career and he retired at age 25, and he is still alive! |
|
2004 |
Miguel Cabrera, Robin |
Should be HOF. Makes up for Prior. |
|
2005 |
David Wright, Harold |
A 7-time all-star and 2-time gold glover. |
|
2006 |
Felix Hernandez, Jed |
A truly great pitcher, until he wasn’t. |
|
2007 |
Delmon Young, Jeff |
“ Delmon Young as a first overall pick just escaped worst pick status by putting together a good year this year that leads hope to future usability. I do not think he will ever live up to the pre-trade hype.” – Tom. Verlander was chosen with the very next pick by Eric. |
|
2008 |
Fausto Carmona, Harold |
“Fausto Carmona turned out to be older than MLB thought and really named Roberto Hernandez. He turned out to be a malcontent in the clubhouse and while we cannot fault Harold, Carmona/Hernandez has to be considered the worst pick of this exceptional first round.” - Tom (First rounders that year – Lincecom, Eric; J. Hamilton & M. Ordonez, Arnie; A. Gordon, Jeff; Gallardo, Robin; Braun, RAT) |
|
2009 |
Evan Longoria, Jeff |
“Both Evan Longoria and Hiroki Kuroda did play in the SOMBILLA all four years, but Evan Longoria has to be the choice [for best first round pick that year]. He is a perennial 1 at third and the #2 Lamanna choice at his position for the near future, and the 4th best in the current set. It is surprising that his slash lines were not better given his performance in MLB, but I think anyone would take him #1 overall if there was a re-draft now.” - Tom |
|
2010 |
Matt Wieters, Arnie |
A 4-time all-star and 2-time gold glover. |
|
2011 |
Buster Posey, Robin |
“Posey comes close [to Stanton], as he is listed as the best C for the future and in the current set. Posey’s bat is good enough that SF hopes that playing him at first will lengthen his career and effectiveness.” - Tom |
|
2012 |
Brett Lawrie, Jeff |
Almost the worst pick of the first round and was drafted before Trout who went 2nd. |
|
2013 |
Bryce Harper, Tom |
“Bryce Harper has been one of the most hyped, young players and as such a no brainer number 1 overall pick. He has a MLB NL MVP and even in his off years he is still a top 5 player at his position. After a strong comeback year, he is still the best pick in the round.” - Tom |
|
2014 |
Jose Fernandez, Harold |
“This draft has a number of pitchers who have passed on. If not for a boating accident fueled by narcotics, the best pick laurels would have graced this young hurler’s head. Alas, it seems that water and SOMBILLA pitchers do not mix.” - Tom. Tom picked Josh Donaldson 7th. |
|
2015 |
Jose Abreau, Jed |
Passed up Mookie Betts (3rd overall by Arnie) to draft this 26-year old with a great card. Had very good stats for Jed. Still playing and has 238 career homers. |
|
2016 |
Carlos Correa, Robin |
(Arnie chose Lindor #2). “So the battle [for best first round pick] goes down to Lindor versus Correa and you could go either way but Lindor wins on health and a better SS glove.” – Tom (Arnie: A year after this draft after Lindor had had a much better 2016 than Correa, I offered Robin to trade Lindor straight up for Correa, but she said no.) |
|
2017 |
Andrew Benintendi, Robin |
“Benintendi hasn't justified being selected #1 overall. However, he did hit .285 in one SOMBILLA year (the 2018-2019 season) and he's still on Bay City's roster. He just turned 27 and he's having a relatively good year so there's still hope. Hence, he's not the worst pick [in this round].” – Jed [Robin: and is the second cutest]”. Was an all-star this year but is not vaccinated. |
|
2018 |
Cody Bellinger, Eric |
See Summer Study #3 – 2018 draft analysis below. |
|
2019 |
Shohei Ohtani, Tom |
I remember Tom was shocked to win the roll off with only a 27% chance to do so, and so pessimistic that he had not prepared for this. He paced back and forth for a bit (losing his chair to Gus the cat) before choosing Ohtani. |
|
2020 |
Yordan Alvarez, Eric |
|
|
2021 |
Luis Robert, Harold |
|
|
2022 |
Franco Wander, Eric |
|
All-star team of first picks overall:
C – Buster Posey
1B – Miguel Cabrera
2B – Greg Jeffries
SS – A-Rod
3B – Evan Longoria
OF - Ken Griffey Jr.
OF – Manny Ramirez
OF – Bryce Harper
DH – Frank Thomas
P – Dwight Gooden (with Schilling #2?
Maybe don’t choose pitchers first overall?) Too soon for Ohtani
Who has the oldest team in
the league? Who has the youngest team? Does
it matter? It stands to reason that the youngest teams should improve in the
near future while the oldest teams will have to retool. Is that true? Since
this is the first time I’ve done a study like this, we have no historical data
to analyze. And no, Eric, I’m not going to research that. We’ll have to relook
at this list in a few years.
I got the idea after
realizing that in my draft this year, I drafted a lot of old guys (under the
philosophy that I’d rather draft someone who’s good instead of someone who is
young.)
Looking at each team’s 45-man
roster, here are the results (ages as of 7/1/22):
|
Average Age |
Players 35 and over |
Players 24 and under |
|
|
Vita-Rays |
28.1 |
4 (Brantley, Molina, Verlander, Wainright) |
8 (Anderson, Crochet, Franco, Graterol, Rodgers,
Soroka, Soto, Vaughn) |
|
Oceanus |
28.2 |
2 (Abreau, Kluber) |
5 (Chisolm, Doval, Huff, Marsh, Sanchez) |
|
Bay City |
28.6 |
2 (Darvish, Gurriel) |
4 (Baddoo, Carlson, Guerrero, Luzardo |
|
Future Wax |
28.8 |
5 (Blackmon, Castro, Greinke, McHugh, Scherzer) |
4 (Giminez, Gray, Kelenic, Ruiz) |
|
Constantinople |
29.1 |
5 (Carrasco, Donaldson, Luetge, Ruf, Votto) |
7 (Adell, Manoah, May, McKenzie, Patino, Sanchez,
Tatis |
|
Neverwinter |
29.5 |
5 (Bleier, Cain, Clippard, Morton, Watson) |
3 (Acuna, Bichette, Kirilloff) |
|
New Orleans |
29.7 |
2 (McGee, Posey) |
2 (Clase, Robert) |
|
North Dakota |
30.2 |
3 (Crawford, Hill, Lynn) |
1 (Lux) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
League Ave |
29.0 |
|
|
Eric has the youngest team in
the league, although Jed is close. Eric has 8 players 24 and younger, most in
the league. Meanwhile, as I predicted, North Dakota has the oldest team, with
only 1 player 24 and under sadly.
But what about teams for the
upcoming year? That is, ignoring unusable prospects and other players on your
taxi squad, who has the oldest and youngest players?
Using the computer’s choices
for each team’s 26-man roster here are the results for each franchise’s
upcoming Strat-O Team:
|
Team |
Average Age |
Players 34 and over |
Players 25 and under |
|
Oceanus |
28.3 |
2 (Abreau, Pollock) |
4 (Doval, L Garcia, Varsho, Webb) |
|
Vita-Rays |
28.7 |
2 (Molina, Wainright) |
5 (Alvarez, Anderson, Rodgers, Rogers Soto) |
|
Bay City |
28.9 |
3 (Darvish, Kelly, Tepera) |
4 (Albies, Baddoo,
Guerrero, Stephenson) |
|
Future Wax |
29.4 |
4 (Belt, Kershaw, McHugh, Scherzer) |
1 (Mountcastle) |
|
Constantinople |
29.4 |
5 (Gibson, Luetge, Martinez, Ruf, Votto) |
4 (Devers, Manoah, Tatis, Urias |
|
Neverwinter |
29.6 |
2 (Cain, Morton) |
3 (Acuna, Bichette, India) |
|
New Orleans |
30.3 |
6 (Cruz, Jansen, McGee, Posey, Treinan, Turner) |
4 (Clase, McClanahan, Riley, Robert) |
|
North Dakota |
30.4 |
5 (Crawford, deGrom, Goldschmidt, Kimbrel, Lynn) |
2 (Grisham, Tucker) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
League Ave |
29.4 |
|
|
Of course, the
computer is not 100% accurate in choosing everyone’s 26-man roster, but it’s
good enough for a study like this. The league average is a little older, which
makes sense. These are established good players not just hopeful prospects. But
the overall order is close to the first one. North Dakota is still the oldest
team, Jed and Eric still have the two youngest teams. Harold has the most
extreme aged team with 10 of his 26 players old or young, rather than
mid-career.
This
study piggybacks on two summer studies previously done. Back in 2010, I
compiled a list of all SOMBILLA trades in league history. If you are
reading this on your computer you can see it here:
http://SOMBILLA.x10.mx/studies.htm#attr
Then,
I updated this list in 2016: http://sombilla.x10.mx/studies.htm#tradeu
So,
for this new study, I’m going back through these lists, adding in trades
post-2016, and helped by any comments and observations from the first studies,
I subjectively went through and have ranked the top 20.
Of
course, for every great trade there is someone on the other side of the ledger
who made a shitty trade. So, this is also a ranking of the shittiest trades in league history. Two sides of the same coin.
These
are totally subjective, of course; we could always put this to a vote. But here’s my take. These will be done countdown style:
20. 11/16/15: Oceanus
and the Smoking Loons have agreed to terms on a trade that will send Troy
Tulowitzki to Oceanus in exchange for Xander Bogaerts. Tulo faded quickly and was essentially out of
baseball in two years. Xander is now one
of the best [Robin: and cutest] SS in baseball.
19. 1/15/13: Cheddarmen traded their 1st
round pick (April 2014 Draft -- 2013 Cards, became Shelby Miller) for CN's closer
(Papelbon) and starting right fielder (Pence) - a steal for Eric, and helped
get him into the World Series and several playoff appearances.
18. 3/26/99: About a week before the draft,
Jed & Clint acquired Jose Offerman and a 3rd round pick (became Mike
Caruso) from Constantinople for a 2nd round pick (became Bobby Abreau) and a
6th round pick (became Howry). Abreau played for 15 more years. Snicker.
17. 11/85: Joel receives Lloyd Moseby from FW for
Chris Bando (a steal, per Twits Notes).
Moseby had 6 more productive years.
Who was Chris Bando? [Robin: Sal’s lesser known
sibling?]
16. June 1979: Arnie trades Gossage and Carew
to Jed for someone named Jerry Martin and 3 other nobodies. The trade helped Jed make it to the first
SOMBILLA World Series. It’d rank higher
except that it was before the permanent league.
15. Feb 1994: BC trades Dennis Martinez and a 6th
round pick (Amaral) to FW for a 2nd round pick (Sean Berry). Martinez won two
games for Randy in the SOMBILLA World Series against ND, and this trade
precipitated marital strife for two years.
14. Draft Day 2001: Kevin Brown to Harold
from Jed & Clint for a 1st, 5th & 7th in both the 2001 and 2002 drafts.
This was a huge trade at the time. But the 2001 picks became Dempster &
Lugo (they could not use the 7th round pick, having exhausted their 10 picks
beforehand). And because Jed & Clint’s team, BiG DiG was contracted out of
existence, they never got to use their 2002 picks either (Harold did forfeit
his 2nd , 6th and 8th round picks in the 2002
contraction draft). Meanwhile, Kevin
Brown gave Harold three great years as one of the best starters in the league.
13. 4/14/20: Attempting to acquire as many
players ending in "inger" as they can, North Dakota announces the
acquisition of Mike Clevinger from Oceanus.
In exchange, North Dakota sends Nelson Cruz, German Marquez, a 4th round
draft pick, an 8th round pick (the one previously acquired from Oceanus), 2
bags of baseballs, three dozen bats, and a batting cage to Oceanus.
Nelson Cruz continues to be one of the best
hitters in baseball, Marquez is an all-star and Clevinger has Tommy John
surgery.
12. 1/26/16:
"What Eric Said"? (now "What Eric Said?") acquired Justin
Turner and an 8th round pick (became Dan Haren) from North Dakota in exchange
for a 3rd rounder (became Andrew Chafin).
Turner helped WES win the World Series that year and gave Jeff several
great seasons. And he was an all-star
this year.
11. 3/6/16: “In its third, yes, third! trade
of the season, Bay City acquires Moustakas from New Orleans for Kenley Jansen
(thus purging its bullpen of all Jansens/Janssens, as Casey was cut last year),
enabling the Moose to rejoin many of his real-life
Royals teammates on the BC roster.”
7. 1/24/10:
ND sends Josh Hamilton to FW for Nelson Cruz, ND. After FW won the trade early (with Hamilton
having an MVP-type season), 11 years later, Cruz is still one of the best
hitters in baseball, while Hamilton flamed out quickly, but see #13 above.
Anyway, while Jeffries gave Jed several good years, Mike Piazza
was 25, won 2 SOMBILLA MVPs and gave Future Wax 10+ great cards and is in the
Hall of Fame. Along with THE Pedro he
helped Future Wax to not only win 2 SOMBILLA championships,
but set the SOMBILLA record for consecutive playoff appearances (15 –
from 1993-2008).
5. 11/86:
Robin trades Kirby Puckett to Jed straight up for Andy Hawkins! At the time of
the trade, Puckett had 4 career MLB homers.
He ended with 207 MLB homers 10 years later and is in the Hall of Fame.
[Robin: But did face charges of “fondling” and suffered an early death].
4. Draft
Day, 1979: Tsuan acquires Reggie Jackson
from Arnie for two ballpoint pens.
Reggie helped Tsuan win the first SOMBILLA Championship. The only reason this doesn't rank higher is
that it was before the permanent league and thus just for one season.
3. Summer 1994: Key, L. Smith, Bordick and a
4th round pick from Arnie to Dave for Larkin and B. Williams. With 1’s up the middle (Alomar, Larkin, B.
Williams), this trade helped North Dakota to 3 SOMBILLA Championships. And Larkin is in the Hall of Fame.
2. 2/5/1994:
Clemens, Eric to Arnie for two first round picks (became McMurtry and
Hamelin). This trade, along with the
trade above with Dave, helped set up North Dakota for 3 championships in 5
years.
1. 1988: Durga trades Barry Bonds
and a 6th round pick (became Leiter) to FW for a 2nd round pick (became Ron Gant)
and Kevin McReynolds, altering the course of the SOMBILLA for the next 20
years. Bonds won 4 SOMBILLA MVPs, helping Randy, Andrew, and Tsuan win 5
SOMBILLA championships.
This is Part 1 of going
through old newsletters in the attic.
Next summer, I'll dig up old newsletter headlines (such as “Who is this
Dan Pasqua,” “Another bad start for Jed,” “Tsuan pays up!”) and good lost Twits
Notes not already posted to the website.
For this summer, it's all
about the Summer Newsletter. This study is a little personal. Not really much of a
study, more of a documentation of personal milestones. For most years, as a heading for the Annual
Meeting Minutes I used “Thoughts While …..” and
completed the phrase with something going on in my life that summer. I actually stole
this from Peter Gammons. Some of you may
recall he did the same thing for parts of his Sunday Baseball column in the Boston
Globe, although his were typically baseball related.
The
first summer newsletter as we know it now was dated “Summer 1986.” It had no title (just “THE SOMBILLA”) and no
“Thoughts while....” (just “League Meeting – April 6, 1986). 1987's summer newsletter was similarly
untitled and dated “Summer 1987.” But it
had the first meeting notes label “Thoughts While Tanning.” It contained an
impassioned diatribe against the new rule limiting starred starters to 50% of
innings (previously they had been unlimited), a report on the new ballpark rule
we just adopted, a note on Robin’s and my move to Watertown, and a blurb called
“On the Barbecue Circuit,” where I reported that Eric randomly met up with
former SOMBILLA manager John Dudek at a friend's cookout.
1988's Summer newsletter was the first one not handwritten; it was typed on my new electronic typewriter. Still untitled and not specifically dated. Unimaginatively, it still used “Thoughts While Tanning” to summarize the meeting. It also contained the article “Tsuan Guruism,” a copy of which is on the website: articles (x10.mx)
1989's
summer newsletter was still untitled and not specifically dated, but I did
change the meeting summary title to “Thoughts While Jet-Skiing.”
Swimsuit
Summer Issue”) and first one with a date (August 1990). So, without further ado, here are the titles
of all SOMBILLA Summer Newsletters and the title of the meeting minutes
contained within:
|
Summer Newsletter Title |
Meeting Minutes Title |
Notes |
|
|
1990 |
Annual
|
Thoughts
while studying for (and drinking at) the bar |
|
|
1991 |
A
Midsummer Night's Newsletter |
Thoughts
while painting the fence |
We
had just bought our first house (Medford) |
|
1992 |
Ain't
no cure for the summertime newsletter |
Thoughts
while mowing the lawn |
|
|
1993 |
Summertime...and
the newsletter is easy |
Thoughts
while changing diapers |
!! |
|
1994 |
Annual
|
N/a |
Minutes
say “minutes of annual meeting and draft April 2,
1994”. You could say I was harried or something, but the newsletter is a long
one. |
|
1995 |
First
annual Post-Pollinger-Administration Summer Issue |
Thoughts
while coping with the diaper girls |
Dave
Pinto was elected Commissioner for 5 years |
|
1996 |
The
Endless Summer Newsletter |
Thoughts
while looking at yet another house |
|
|
1997 |
The
Suzanne & Donna Summer Newsletter |
Thoughts
while mowing the lawn |
|
|
1998 |
A
Midsummers Night Newsletter (note the difference in
punctuation from 1991) |
Thoughts
while working on the SOMBILLA archives |
Setting
up the website |
|
1999 |
IT |
Thoughts
while sitting in the kiddie pool |
|
|
2000 |
SOMBILLA
Summer Newsletter |
Thoughts
while teaching kids to ride two-wheeler |
|
|
2001 |
The
SOMBILLA's Shiny Happy Summer Newsletter |
Thoughts
while walking the new dog |
|
|
2002 |
There's
no cryonics in baseball Summer Newsletter |
Thoughts
while watching Independence Day parade |
|
|
2003 |
The
SOMBILLA's illegally corked Summer Newsletter |
Thoughts
while standing in right field, looking at dandelions |
|
|
2004 |
The
SOMBILLA's 25th Summer Newsletter |
Thoughts
while running the 200 meters against high school kids |
|
|
2005 |
The
SOMBILLA's First Summer Newsletter of the Post Red Sox Championship Era |
Thoughts
while floating in the new pool |
|
|
2006 |
Who
wants to be a SOMBILLA Manager? The SOMBILLA Summer Newsletter |
Thoughts
while procrastinating to write the newsletter |
|
|
2007 |
Summer's
here, and the time is right, for reading the Summer Newsletter |
Thoughts
while driving through the beautiful North Dakota countryside |
|
|
2008 |
The Summer Newsletter apologizes for trying steroids when it was
younger. It was trying to recover from an injury and deeply regrets any pain
this has caused its readers. |
Thoughts
while listening to the Rangely Lake Loons |
|
|
2009 |
It's
a Cruel Summer Newsletter |
Thoughts
while converting all my Beatles albums to mp3s |
|
|
2010 |
The
Summertime Newsletter Blues |
Thoughts
while listening to the frogs in neighbors' pool |
|
|
2011 |
The
Summer Newsletter with no name |
Thoughts
while contemplating hip resurfacing surgery |
|
|
2012 |
The
(Donna) Summer Memorial Newsletter |
Thoughts
while aqua-jogging for hip resurfacing surgery
recovery |
|
|
2013 |
The
Summer Newsletter |
N/a |
|
|
2014 |
The
Other Side of Summer Newsletter |
N/a |
|
|
2015 |
Summer
Newsletter '15 |
Thoughts
while thinking about the summer newsletter |
|
|
2016 |
Summer
Newsletter 2016 The
Newsletter that is one year older, one year wiser, and one year slower |
Thoughts
while running at the track |
|
|
2017 |
Summer
Newsletter 2017 (insert snappy subtitle here) |
Thoughts
while redoing 2/3 of the summer newsletter after laptop fried |
|
|
2018 |
#Summer
Newsletter 2018 |
Thoughts
while scuba diving to find leaks in the pool |
|
|
2019 |
This SOMBILLA Summer Newsletter Dedicated to Our friend Jeff Donahue 1963-2019 |
Thoughts
while contemplating the shortness of life |
RIP
friend |
|
2020 |
SOMBILLA
Summer Newsletter: Pandemic Issue |
Thoughts
while quarantining at home |
|
|
2021 |
The
SOMBILLA Summer Newsletter: Return to Normalcy Issue* *(notwithstanding the Delta variant) |
Thoughts
while thinking about thoughts about the summer newsletter |
|
For the final summer study, I
had the computer choose each franchise’s best players over the past 5 years
(including the upcoming season based on the 2020 cards). No duplicate players
allowed – so Tom doesn’t get 5 Mike Trouts and Randy doesn’t get 5 Max
Scherzers, etc. Whichever version of the
player was drafted first by the computer makes the team.
Of course, nobody is
interested in looking backward, everyone wants to know how the upcoming ’21-22
season will shake out, weird new rules and all.
I think the computer was prejudiced against the 2020 cards because it
thought everyone was a limited mutant, no matter how good. The expected number of players chosen would
be 5 (using a 25-man roster based on 5 different seasons), but the average was
just over 2. It is what it is. For what it’s worth, here’s a list of all the
2020 carded players whom the computer chose to make each franchise’s all
2016-2020 team:
Bay City: B. Keller, S. Perez
Constantinople: M. Gonzalez,
L. Gurriel
Future Wax: J. Hahn, D. Lamet
Haiku Aggression: none
Neverwinter: M. Fried, L. Giolito,
K. Maeda
New Orleans: none
North Dakota: S, Bieber
Oceanus: T. Rosenthal
So, what would we
predict? Well, we’ve only played 4 of
the 5 seasons. For what it’s worth, here
are the 4-year records for the franchises:
W L Pct Championships
North Dakota 131
93 .585 1
Future Wax 123 101 .549
1
Oceanus 116 108 .518
Neverwinter 111 113
.496 1
New Orleans 108 116 .482
Constantinople 103 121 .460
1
Haiku Aggression 103
121 .460
Bay City 101 123 .451
But for this
league, that might be misleading. 5
Mookie Betts’s and 4 Jake deGroms aren’t going to be allowed to play. For this study, teams whose best players were
spread out among the 5-year period will do the best. Also, there’s no way to know how the
ballparks chosen for each team will affect the actual final roster.
OK, enough with
the foreplay. Let’s let the 5-year
franchise all-star teams have at it. The
rosters were only 25 men, so I had the league set up for no injuries and for
the computer to “Try to Limit Overusage”.
Here are the final regular season standings:
LEAGUE
STANDINGS FOR 2021 SOMBILLA Last 5
WON LOST PCT
GB MAGIC#
2021 Future
Wax WAX
93 75 .554 ----
*WON*
2021
Constantinople CON 88 80 .524
5.0
2021 North
Dakota NDK 87 81
.518 6.0
2021 New
Orleans NEW 87 81
.518 6.0
2021 HaikuAggression HAI 86 82 .512
7.0
2021 Oceanus
OCE 85 83
.506 8.0
2021 Bay
City BAY 74 94
.440 19.0
2021
Neverwinter NEV 72 96 .429 21.0
LEAGUE LEADERS
FOR 2021 SOMBILLA Last 5
|
----BATTING
AVERAGE---- |
-----HOMERUNS------- -----RUNS BATTED IN---- |
|
C.Seager
CON .303 |
M.Trout
CON 58 M.Trout CON 128 |
|
M.Trout
CON .298 |
K.Davis NDK 58
K.Davis NDK 115 |
|
M.Gonzalez
NDK .286 |
G.Stanton WAX 50 J.Donaldson CON 107 |
|
J.Martinez NEW .281 |
P.Alonso NDK 48
C.Yelich NDK 105 |
|
J.McNeil BAY .279 |
J.Martinez NEW 47 P.Alonso NDK 105 |
|
J.Lucroy HAI .276 |
J.Donaldson CON 45 J.Bell NEV 104 |
|
R.Cano NEV .274 |
A.Judge NEW 44
J.Martinez NEW 104 |
|
D.Lemahieu
HAI .270 |
B.Dozier WAX 43
M.Trumbo HAI 102 |
|
C.Yelich
NDK .268 |
C.Bellinger HAI 42 J.Smoak NEW 100 |
|
R.Acuna NEV .267 |
J.Smoak NEW 42
G.Stanton WAX 99 |
|
M.Cabrera
BAY .267 |
C.Yelich
NDK 41 B.Dozier WAX 97 |
|
E.Andrus NEV .266 |
OTHERS TIED WITH 38 R.Acuna NEV 97 |
|
----------WINS--------- |
|
M.Scherzer
WAX 19 |
|
J.Verlander HAI 19 |
|
J.Fernandez NEW 17 |
|
A.Nola OCE 17 |
|
J.Arrieta CON 16 |
|
R.Porcello NEV 16 |
|
J.Degrom NDK 16 |
|
Z.Greinke WAX 15 |
|
G.Cole BAY 14 |
|
C.Kershaw
WAX 14 |
|
OTHERS TIED WITH 13 |
|
---------SAVES--------- |
|
J.Leclerc WAX 37 |
|
B.Treinen NEW 34 |
|
C.Kimbrel
NDK 34 |
|
P.Strop OCE 34 |
|
K.Yates CON 32 |
|
A.Chapman NEV 30 |
|
Z.Britton BAY 29 |
|
B.Workman HAI 29 |
|
E.Diaz HAI 9
|
|
S.Doolittle CON 8
|
|
C.Allen
BAY 7
|
|
A.Bummer HAI 7 |
|
----------ERA---------- |
|
A.Nola OCE 2.91 |
|
L.Severino
HAI 3.09 |
|
K.Hendricks HAI 3.09 |
|
B.Snell BAY 3.12 |
|
C.Kershaw
WAX 3.15 |
|
J.Degrom NDK 3.30 |
|
J.Verlander HAI 3.47 |
|
J.Fernandez NEW 3.48 |
|
J.Flaherty HAI 3.52 |
|
W.Buehler OCE 3.55 |
|
C.Kluber
OCE 3.78 |
|
G.Cole BAY 3.79 |
AWARDS VOTING
FOR 2021 SOMBILLA Last 5
MVP AWARD
CY YOUNG AWARD
M.Trout(CON) 419
M.Scherzer(WAX) 118
G.Stanton(WAX) 341 J.Verlander(HAI) 95
J.Martinez(NEW) 204 A.Nola(OCE) 49
J.Donaldson(CON) 134 J.Degrom(NDK) 18
A.Judge(NEW) 100
J.Leclerc(WAX) 8
But it wouldn’t be
a season without the playoffs!
Future Wax vs. New Orleans
Constantinople vs. North Dakota
Future Wax 7 New Orleans 2
Future Wax 6 New Orleans 3
New Orleans 3 Future Wax 2
Future Wax 8 New Orleans 7 (10 innings)
Future Wax 6 New Orleans 2
Future Wax wins series 4 games to 1
MVP Max Scherzer (2-0, 1.80, 15 innings, 8 hits 6 BB,
21 K’s
Constantinople 7 North Dakota 4
Constantinople 8 North Dakota 6
Constantinople 8 North Dakota 5
Constantinople 13 North Dakota 6
Constantinople wins series 4 games to 0
MVP Roberto Perez (.313, 4 homers 11 rbis)
World Series!
Constantinople 5 Future Wax 4
Constantinople 10 Future Wax 5
Future Wax 10 Constantinople 7
Future Wax 6 Constantinople 4
Constantinople 8 Future Wax 7
Constantinople 10 Future Wax 9 (11 innings)
Game story for game 6:
Right
fielder Bryce Harper cracked 2 homeruns and had 5 RBI as the
Constantinople
Manatees bested Future Wax in 11 innings 10 to 9
at Wax Dome.
Both teams
were tied at 9 runs apiece after nine innings. Finally,
Constantinople
pulled the game out in the 11th inning.
Lourdes Gurriel
blasted a
solo shot. Constantinople totaled 11
hits on the night.
The victory
went to Seranthony Dominguez(2-0), who went 1 and 1/3
innings,
allowing no runs. Seth Lugo(0-1) was given the loss in relief.
Constantinople wins series 4 games to 2 and is crowned
“Best of the Last 5 Years”
MVP Mike Trout (.429, 2 HR, 6 RBI, 7 BB, OPS 1.214)
OK, Eric, you got your wish. I sprang for the 1987 computer cards to put together that famous ’88-89 Yoknapatawpha team of yours that went 44-12, still the SOMBILLA record. I already had 13 of the last 14 computer seasons, and chose the SOMBILLA champion for each year. That gave 14 teams in the tournament.
To round out THE GREATEST SOMBILLA LEAGUE OF ALL TIME, I added the 43-13 ’91-92 Future Wax champions, who won the last such tournament of great SOMBILLA teams back in 2009. To finish this impressive bunch of teams, I purchased the 1981 season so we could use the old Bay City Nazgul. They went 34-16 in the 6-team SOMBILLA, Robin’s first season in the SOMBILLA as she shared the team with Tsuan. For many years this team was considered “The Greatest SOMBILLA Team of All-Time”, at least until Yoknapatawpha came along. Considering they came from a 6-team league, as opposed to 8 from all the other teams in this study, should there be an asterisk if they win it all?
I used each team’s actual ballparks except for these three oldest SOMBILLA teams; I could not find any records to indicate what park they played in. So I gave them average ballparks. Likely this hurt Yoknapatawpha, holder of the best home record (22-6) of all-time.
Here is the final roster of teams:
’81-82 Bay City Nazgul
’88-89 Yoknapatawpha
’91-92 Future Wax
’06-07 Constantinople
’07-08 Future Wax
’09-10 Dem Bums
’10-11 New Orleans
’11-12 The Cheddarmen
’12-13 North Dakota
’13-14 North Dakota
’14-15 Future Wax
’15-16 “What Eric Said?”
’16-17 Constantinople
’17-18 Future Wax
’18-19 North Dakota
’19-20 Future Wax
For a first pass, each team will play each other 12 times, for a 180 game schedule:
And, without further ado, here are the results:
W L PCT GB
'12-13 North Dakota 116 64 .644 ----
'11-12 The Cheddarmen 104 76 .578 12.0
'09-10 Dem Bums 98 82 .544 18.0
'19-20 Future Wax 98 82 .544 18.0
'16-17 Constantinople 96 84 .533 20.0
'91-92 Future Wax 95 85 .528 21.0
'17-18 Future Wax 93 87 .517 23.0
'18-19 North Dakota 91 89 .506 25.0
'14-15 Future Wax 90 90 .500 26.0
'06-07 Constantinople 87 93 .483 29.0
'10-11 New Orleans 85 95 .472 31.0
'07-08 Future Wax 83 97 .461 33.0
'82-83 Bay City Nazgul 80 100 .444 36.0
'88-89 Yoknapatawpha 78 102 .433 38.0
'13-14 North Dakota 74 106 .411 42.0
'15-16 WES? 72 108 .400 44.0
I swear I did not rig this; that’s an impressive showing for that ’12-13 team against a strong field. But sorry there Eric and Robin. Is Strat-O discriminating against these older teams? And I can feel Jeff’s wrath from the ether. D. Murphy of the Wax led the league with a .353 average, followed by Harper (.330) and Ichiro (.323). Adrian Gonzalez hit 65 homers, ARod hit 63. D Lowe went 25-13, Kershaw was 18-3 with a 2.49 ERA to lead the league. The computer awarded the MVP to ARod (gag) .293, 63, 149
16 teams is too unwieldy. For the next round, the 9 teams that were .500 or better are invited. And to justify my expenses, the Yoks and Bay City Nazgul were extended invitational entries to give it another shot. 11 teams, playing each other 16 times for a 160 game schedule.
Round 2 Final Standings:
WON LOST PCT GB
'16-17 Constantinople 98 62 .613 ----
'12-13 North Dakota 93 67 .581 5.0
'11-12 The Cheddarmen 86 74 .538 12.0
'17-18 Future Wax 80 80 .500 18.0
'91-92 Future Wax 80 80 .500 18.0
'18-19 North Dakota 78 82 .488 20.0
'14-15 Future Wax 74 86 .463 24.0
'82-83 Bay City Nazgul 74 86 .463 24.0
'19-20 Future Wax 74 86 .463 24.0
'88-89 Yoknapatawpha 73 87 .456 25.0
'09-10 Dem Bums 70 90 .438 28.0
Some changes at the top with CN, 5th place 20 games out in the first run, vaulting to the top in this run. But no dice (to coin a phrase) for BCN and YOK. Bryce Harper (.319, 62, 146) won the MVP and Betances (7-3, 2.73, 33 saves) won the Cy Young.
Let’s move on. The top six teams move on to round 3 – two North Dakotas, 2 Future Waxes, one Constantinople, and The Cheddarmen.
Round 3
WON LOST PCT GB
'12-13 North Dakota 88 72 .550 ----
'11-12 The Cheddarmen 87 73 .544 1.0
'91-92 Future Wax 81 79 .506 7.0
'18-19 North Dakota 79 81 .494 9.0
'17-18 Future Wax 73 87 .456 15.0
'16-17 Constantinople 72 88 .450 16.0
MVP was Donaldson(.297, 56, 140) for last place CN, while the Cy Young went to Rob Dibble (12-8, 2.48, 36 sv) for the defending ’91-92 champs, hanging tough and making it to the final four.
Round 4
WON LOST PCT GB MAGIC#
'11-12 The Cheddarmen 96 72 .571 ----
'12-13 North Dakota 87 81 .518 9.0
'18-19 North Dakota 81 87 .482 15.0
'91-92 Future Wax 72 96 .429 24.0
This time it’s The Cheddarmen winning convincingly, Tulowitzki (.261, 37, 114) winning MVP, and R. Soriano (9-6, 3.39 30 sv) winning the Cy Young.
It’s time for a showdown. Who knew 7-8 years ago that these two champions in back to back years from the ancient rivals would be considered the top two SOMBILLA teams of all time? Best of 7? Nah, time for a 162-game showdown.
Round 5
WON LOST PCT GB
'11-12 The Cheddarmen 86 76 .531 ---- *WON*
'12-13 North Dakota 76 86 .469 10.0
Tulo (.288, 36, 92) repeats as MVP and Weaver (20-8, 3.01) wins the Cy Young. So there you go. The 2011-2012 Cheddarmen were the greatest SOMBILLA team of all time.
Or were they? They certainly proved to be the best team over the long haul. But what about in a short series? 16 teams affords us the opportunity to conduct a tournament of best of 7 series.
Using the Strat-O computer’s “Tournament Mode” I put these 16 teams into a 16-team best of 7 series bracket. I seeded the teams based on how they finished above.
Round 1 (seeding shown in parenthesis):
(1) '11-12 The Cheddarmen Defeats (16) '15-16 WES? 4 games to 0
(15) '13-14 North Dakota Defeats (2) '12-13 North Dakota 4 games to 1
(3) '18-19 North Dakota Defeats (14) '07-08 Future Wax 4 games to 3
(13) '10-11 New Orleans Defeats (4) '91-92 Future Wax 4 games to 1
(5) '17-18 Future Wax Defeats (12) ’06-07 Constantinople 4 games to 1
(6) '16-17 Constantinople Defeats (11) '09-10 Dem Bums 4 games to 2
(10) '19-20 Future Wax Defeats (7) '14-15 Future Wax 4 games to 1
(8) '82-83 Bay City Nazgul Defeats (9) '88-89 Yoknapatawpha 4 games to 1
A shocker for #15 seed ND, which knocks out the ’12-13 ND team that made it all the way to the finals of the first all-time league above. #13 New Orleans also pulled off an upset, knocking out Future Wax in 5 games. An intriguing #8 vs #9 matchup of the two old-timer teams, with BCN winning in 5 games to move on to the next round.
MVP for this round was Josh Donaldson (.611, 3, 10) for CN in 6 games.
Round 2
(1) '11-12 The Cheddarmen Defeats (15) '13-14 North Dakota 4 games to 1
(13) '10-11 New Orleans Defeats (3) '18-19 North Dakota NDA 4 games to 1
(10) '19-20 Future Wax Defeats (5) '17-18 Future Wax 4 games to 2
(8) '82-83 Bay City Nazgul Defeats (6) '16-17 Constantinople 4 games to 2
New Orleans pulls off its 2nd upset, knocking out ND in 5 games and will face the heavy favorite in the semi-finals. And the Robin-Tsuan entry rolls into the semi-finals as the 2nd seed remaining!
After two rounds, Dave Winfield of the Yoks was hitting .471 to lead the tournament. Tulowitzki of The Cheddarmen led with 5 homers and 14 rbis. Greinke of FW, Carpenter of New Orleans and Liriano of CN were all 3-0.
And we’re down to an intriguing final 4. On to the semi-finals!
Semi-finals
(1) '11-12 The Cheddarmen Defeats(13) '10-11 New Orleans 4 games to 0
(10)'19-20 Future Wax Defeats (8) '82-83 Bay City Nazgul 4 games to 0
It’s the end of the road for Cinderella New Orleans and retro darlings BCN as both get swept. Can unheralded 10th seeded last year’s champs Future Wax knock off The Cheddarmen juggernaut?
Finals
The Cheddarmen 3 Future Wax 2 (Verlander outduels Kershaw; Utley HR)
The Cheddarmen 3 Future Wax 1 (J. Weaver win, Soriano save; Scherzer loss, Konerko and Werth HR
Future Wax 4 The Cheddarmen 3 (11 innings) (Upton walk off HR off Balfour)
Future Wax 3 The Cheddarmen 2 (Foltynewicz win, McHugh save, G. Gonzalez L HRs: Tulowitzki, Baez, Voit
The Cheddarmen 10 Future Wax 9 (B. Wilson win, Soriano SV, Castillo L, HR - T.Tulowitzki, C.Crawford, J.Werth, R.Zimmerman, P.Fielder,
M.Machado-2
Future Wax 5 The Cheddarmen 1 (Scherzer win, Vazquez SV, Weaver L, HR: M.Machado, J.Upton, G.Springer
Series tied 3-3. Game 7!
Future Wax 5 The Cheddarmen 2
W – Watson, SV – McHugh, L – Balfour, HR: .Upton, M.Chapman-2, T.Tulowitzki
’19-20 Future Wax wins series 4 games to 3
Tulo and Machado each had 10 home runs in the tournament, with MVP Tulo adding 26 rbis. Soriano had 10 saves.
Study 2 A - The Ballpark Effect by Jed Corman
We all know that ballparks can have a significant effect on SOMBILLA games but just how great is that effect? Using my best guess at everyone’s 26-man roster (although the computer may have dropped it to 25. But I think that’s ok for my purposes.) I did a quick study and here are the results:
|
HR 1 SI 1 |
HR 10 SI 10 |
HR 19 SI 19 |
|
|
AVG |
0.199 |
0.238 |
0.271 |
|
ERA |
2.87 |
4.21 |
5.45 |
|
RUNS |
493.25 |
696.88 |
896.38 |
|
HITS |
1012.75 |
1244.75 |
1475.75 |
|
DBLS |
243.25 |
250 |
254 |
|
TPLS |
28.63 |
26 |
28.75 |
|
HRS |
153.13 |
257.13 |
359.25 |
|
SB |
65.88 |
52.75 |
42.75 |
|
BB |
519.25 |
543.88 |
545.63 |
The above is based on a 154-game season (2019 cards) and shows averages per team in our league. There is plenty more room to expand upon this study both in breadth and depth. For example, testing HR 2 SI 2 etc. Also, isolating for the effects of SI vs. HR. And doing different years....
Going from a minimal park to an average park there is an average 41% increase in runs scored. Going from an average park to a maximum park there is a 29% increase in runs scored. It would be interesting to do more testing to see whether there is a steady decline in the percentage increase as you add SI and HR.
There is a 20% increase in BA going from min to avg. And then a 14% increase in BA from avg to max.
There is a 23% increase in Hits from min to avg and a 19% increase from avg to max.
There seems to be a slight increase in the number of Doubles. Triples however fluctuated. I would have expected doubles and triples both to go up to some degree because even though ballparks shouldn't affect doubles and triples, the more at bats there are...the more you'd expect. Triples though are pretty rare and maybe will just fluctuate.
Homers show a 68% increase per team on average going from a min park to an avg park Wow. Then it's a 40% increase from avg to max.
Interestingly, SB went down and then down again. The obvious inference to draw is that SB are much more valuable in a min park than in a max park. I didn't fiddle with SB settings so I don't know whether I was being "aggressive" or conservative. Regardless, it does seem that SB definitely have a downward trajectory.
Walks seem to go up especially from min to avg (5% or so). The jump going from avg to max is negligible. Again, I would expect walks to go up because of more PA due to overall more offense but that's a guess on my part.
In conclusion, it seems that the biggest jumps occur when moving from a minimum to an average park. After that, while there is considerable impact still, it seems to lessen. The effect of ballparks on HRs is especially pronounced. This of course makes sense given that there are a lot more BP HR than BP SI chances on the cards, but now it's quantified.
Study 2 B – Managerial Ballpark Tendencies
Jed’s study gave me an idea to look at what ballparks SOMBILLA managers have chosen over the years to see if there are any tendencies among induvial managers or league-wide trends.
For the study, I examined the ballparks chosen by league managers for the 14 seasons from 2006-2007 through 2018-2019. Why these 14? Prior to 2006-2007, Matt’s Manila Folders were managing his shared team with Jed. And last year, the league collaborated to determine Jeff’s team’s ballpark. Choosing these 14 seasons allows us to look at the tendencies of 8 managers, including Jeff and Jed.
Here is the raw data for your perusal, showing the ballparks chosen by each manager: Note that the most recent 10 seasons list singles first and the earliest 4 seasons list HRs first. I copied these directly from the website and that’s how they were listed (and I’m too lazy to re-order them).

If you add up all 14 ballpark numbers and divide by 14, what is the average park chosen by each manager?
|
Arnie |
Robin |
Jed |
Eric |
Jeff |
Harold |
Randy |
Tom |
|||||||||
|
L |
R |
L |
R |
L |
R |
L |
R |
L |
R |
L |
R |
L |
R |
L |
R |
|
|
S |
7 |
10 |
5 |
7 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
8 |
6 |
6 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
14 |
14 |
|
HR |
9 |
11 |
9 |
10 |
6 |
6 |
9 |
10 |
7 |
8 |
7 |
9 |
10 |
9 |
11 |
12 |
Over the past 14 seasons, Tom’s parks on average are the most hitter friendly, highest in all four categories! Jed’s parks, on average are the most pitcher friendly for home runs, with Jeff and Robin having the lowest average for ballpark singles.
Arnie is most likely to favor righty hitters. Randy is the only manager whose parks on average favor lefties for homers, while Jed was the only manager whose parks on average favor lefties for singles.
Looking back at that first chart, Tom is most likely to be an extremist – he’s chosen 19’s across the board 4 times, and “1”s across the board once, including an odd sequence of three seasons from 2014-2017 when he went from all 19’s to all 1’s to all 19’s again.
Randy is most likely to be the most unbalanced; 5 times in 14 years, he has chosen the max differential in homers (R vs L), most of any team. (And if you count last season, it’s 6 times in the past 15 years). Robin and Jeff never chose a park that used the most unbalanced homers allowed.
What about the league as a whole? Are there any trends we can detect?

For this, I did add in last year’s ballparks chosen, which show that last year the league had the lowest BP HR numbers in the past 15 seasons! The overall trend is down a little bit, as the league attempts to tamp down on the home run explosion in real baseball.
Doing the same thing for Ballpark singles for the league:

Not much to see here; looks pretty random.
Anyway, thanks for playing along, hope you enjoyed it.
SUMMER STUDY NO. 3 – SOMBILLA 2020 Cute Ratings
By Robin Perlow
Teams are listed in order of most cute to least cute. 1 point was given for each cute player, 2 points for exceptionally cute players and -1 for particularly unattractive players/domestic abusers. All ratings are entirely subjective. My personal preference is generally for clean shaven players, and some players I labeled cute come with the “clean shaven only” (CSO) caveat. Exceptionally egregious facial hair gets a -1, and Kiké Hernandez in particular went from exceptionally cute to merely cute because of his mustache. It is entirely possible that some player I did not identify as cute would be cute clean shaven (the classic example being former Giants reliever [can’t remember whose Strato team he was on] Brian Wilson, who has great eyes but had [has?] a horrendous beard that couldn’t be overlooked); I did not take the time to search for pictures of all players bearded and unbearded. Point totals listed below are not total number of cute players but reflect a combination of cute and super-cute points and deductions taken as noted above.
Before the team rankings comes the eagerly anticipated new Cutest Man in the Sombilla (replacing the cut Chris Archer) announcement—as Jed guessed during the waiver draft, it is indeed Manatee Dansby Swanson (only because his older look-alike Charlie Culberson is not in the league and because Andrew Miller insists on a heavy beard—if he would commit to wearing a face mask at all times, he could take the crown away from Dansby).
1. Bay City (20). To absolutely no one’s surprise, my team is the cutest overall. Bay City boasts three super-cute players (Benintendi, Holt, and Reddick [all current or former Red Sox]) and benefited from last season’s trade with Oceanus, obtaining cute Burnes & Chirinos for average-looking Strop. The deduction for unattractive Blake Snell was negated by drafting cute Jesus Luzardo this season. Newly drafted Yuli Gurriel is not cute but has great hair.
2. Future Wax (18). Drafting former Bay City-ites Dinelson Lamet and Buster Posey and having more super-cute players than any other team (Greinke, Lamet, Paddack, Plesac, and Springer) makes up for behavioral deductions for Vazquez and Addison Russell (why is he still in the league?) and beard deduction for Blackmon.
3. New Orleans (17). Only one super-cute player (Kris Bryant) but an overall cute pitching staff, led by Glasnow, Sonny Gray, and Matz (nice waiver pickup), and no deductions boost Harold into the #3 spot.
4. Constantinople (15). Boasts the new Cutest Man in the Sombilla and an all-cute outfield of super-cute Bader and regular cute Haniger, Harper, Martinez, Trout, and CSO waiver-pickup Senzel. Tatis not cute but good hair. Deductions taken for Dustin May (the Justin Turner of pitchers) and Archie Bradley’s beard.
5. North Dakota (11). Has three super-cute players (Andrew Miller, B. Anderson, and Lindor) but loses points for unattractive Kimbrel and domestic abuser Osuna. And cut super-cute (now regular cute) Kiké and erstwhile Cutest Man in the Sombilla Archer.
6. Oceanus (10). Drafting Kiké keeps Jed from falling into the cellar, and if Kiké shaves his mustache, the Assholes move into a tie for fifth (rather than a tie for sixth). Loses a point for Doolittle’s facial hair (but I like his politics) and gains a point for drafting former Bay City-ite Anibal Sanchez. Rendon also gets the CSO label.
7. “What Eric Said?” (10). Really tied for sixth. Mikolas another cute player with a regrettable mustache. Drafting the super-cute Yaz (much cuter than his grandfather) keeps him a step ahead of Haiku Aggression.
8. Haiku Aggression (9). Only super-cute player is Xander. Cutting Matz was the kiss of death for this team. No deductions, just not enough good-looking players.
Jeff Donahue joined the SOMBILLA
in 1994. His in with the league was that
his wife Amy worked with Andrew & Beth Nowell. In his first year in the league,
he shared a team with Dave Pinto. Dave,
who had previously been managing full-time, preferred to share a team and cut
back on managerial duties.
Their team in ’94-95 was named Mirkwood, from Tolkien’s Lord of the Rings. They finished in 7th place (out of 9 teams) at 25-31.
The following year, ’95-96, Jeff changes the team name to Metrowest and they finish last (18-38).
But in ’02-03, Jeff squeezes into the playoffs, winning a one-game playoff for 4th place with New Orleans. Jeff drives 75 minutes to Marblehead to play one game, and wins 4-3 in 10 innings. Area 51 then stunned first place North Dakota 4 games to 1 to advance to the World Series for the first time to face mighty Future Wax. Led by Cy Young winner, Curt Schilling and Mike Mussina, Jeff wins the championship! He wrote “Area51 melts Wax 4 games to 1, cruising to the franchises first World Series victory. Celebrations and ticker tape parades are scheduled but will not be disclosed to the general public. Officials allege all celebratory information will be released once it is declassified.”
Jeff was voted manager of the year after winning his first SOMBILLA Championship.
The next year, ’03-04, defending champion Area 51 finished at 28-28, missing the playoffs. In ’04-05 the resurgent squad finished 3rd at 32-24, but lost to Constantinople in 5 games in the first round of the playoffs.
The following two seasons, ’05-06 and ’06-07 saw Area 51 finish in 7th and 8th place, respectively, although M. Young set an obscure league record with 10 triples in ’05-06.
In ’07-08, Area 51 made the playoffs again, finishing in 3rd place at 28-28, 9 games behind 2nd place Future Wax. After Jeff goes up 3 games to 1, Future Wax storms back to win the final 3 games to take the series.
After another last place finish in ’08-09, Jeff finishes 4th in ’09-10 (28-28) but is unceremoniously swept in the first round by first place Future Wax (who then get swept by Eric’s Dem Bums in the World Series).
Jeff finishes ’10-11 in 6th place, and then on opening night October 30, 2011: “After changing his team's name from Area 51 to the Raging Alcoholics (and changing his ballpark to Chicken and Beer Park) in honor of Lester and Buchholz, Jeff went out and swept Jed over the Internet.”
The Raging Alcoholics finish in 7th place 25-31. The next year, ’12-13, Jeff becomes “What Eric Said” and finished in 6th place with the same record as the year before. On 11/28/12, Javier Vazquez, pitched a no-hitter against Constantinople. He fell one hit batsman short of a perfect game. Carlos Gonzales made a spectacular play to rob a HR on Constantinople's 2nd batter of the game.
In ’13-14 “What Eric Said” misses the playoffs by two games (27-29).
In ’14-15, “What Eric Said” wins a one-game playoff over ND, 3-1 to finish in 4th place (30-27) but loses to Future Wax in 6 games. CarGo leads the league with 20 homers.
In the 2015-2016 pre-season poll, Jeff was picked for last place. After the mid-season holiday break, Jeff adds a “?” to his team’s name. He goes on to win manager of the year after winning his second championship, taking great pride and motivational indignation at the preseason poll. Lester leads the league in ERA at 2.71. After tying FW for 2nd place at 32-24, he beats them in five games in the playoffs, then defeats Jed in the World Series in 6 games.
He wrote “After a 13-year drought the faithful fans (all one or two of them) of “What Eric Said?” are celebrating a second World Series win. In post-game interviews the manager stated “It was a great win for the team, after coming up short in the first round the year prior, the team pulled it all together to make what most of the league prognosticators thought was impossible.” The manager attributes the catalyst that sparked the unlikely run to the inclusion of the “?” in the team’s name.
At the start of the ’16-17 season, Jeff moves the “?” to outside the quotation marks in “What Eric Said”?, but then moved it back after Robin (the editor) had asked him about it when scoring their first series of the season. Back to the bottom (16-40) in ’16-17, Jeff wins another manager of the year award in ’17-18 by finishing in 2nd place (33-23) after being picked for last in the preseason poll again. Realmuto leads the league with a .352 batting average, Tillman goes 8-3.
His all-time regular season record is 583-724 .446 and his post-season record was 26-29 .473. At the start of the ’16-17 season, Jeff moves the “?” to outside the quotation marks in “What Eric Said”?, but then moved it back after Robin (the editor) had asked him about it when scoring their first series of the season.
As suggested by Eric. Who is better at drafting players who immediately make the all-star team?
This year, Robin led the way with 3 drafted players making the all-star game (W. Smith, McNeil, Polanco): Eric, Arnie, Harold & Jed had 2 each while Jeff and Tom each drafted one all star. RAT did not draft any all-stars this year!. Looking back over the past 5 years:
Total All-stars All-stars who were just drafted
Arnie 51 8
Robin 35 8
Harold 35 7
Eric 37 6
Tom 37 6
RAT 47 3
Jed 40 3
Jeff 27 2
Looks like North Dakota and Bay City have drafted the most players who made the all-star team 3 months after being drafted - with 8 selections each. And North Dakota has the most all-stars over the last five years, averaging more than 10 a season. Good study, thanks Eric!
At the other end of the spectrum, looks like Jeff has both the fewest total all-stars and fewest newly drafted all-stars. Way to denigrate Jeff, Eric. Nice going, jerk.
Take a look at the standings on page 1. Last season, Jeff finished dead last 14 games out of first, 9 games out of the playoffs and 4 games out of 7th place. Not a good team in the SOMBILLA. What if he had Babe Ruth on his team last year? Using computer Strat-O and the Hall of Fame cards, I added the Babe to Jeff’s team (replacing Chisenhall, who batted .194 in 67 at bats). So what happened in a computer replay of last year?
WON LOST PCT GB
2018 Oceanus OCE
97 71 .577 ----
2018 New Orleans NOR
92 76 .548
5.0
2018 North Dakota NDA
89 79 .530
8.0
2018 Constantinople CON
85 83 .506 12.0
2018 Future Wax FUT
82 86 .488 15.0
2018 What Eric Said? WES
77 91 .458 20.0
2018 Nidavellir NID
75 93 .446 22.0
2018 Bay City BAY
75 93 .446 22.0
The Babe helped a little, enabling WES? to escape last place. He hit .an astounding 392 with 76 homers and 168 rbis to win the triple crown. But Jeff is still 14 games under .500 and 20 games out.
OK, let’s help out Jeff’s pitching and give him Walter Johnson. Johnson replaces Lester, who finished with an 11.45 ERA in the SOMBILLA. Jeff’s team with the Babe and the great Walter Johnson:
2018 Oceanus OCE 103
65 .613 ----
2018 New Orleans NOR 100
68 .595 3.0
2018 Future Wax FUT 92
76 .548 11.0
2018 North Dakota NDA 85
83 .506 18.0
2018 Nidavellir NID 75
93 .446 28.0
2018 What Eric Said? WES 74
94 .440 29.0
2018 Constantinople CON 73
95 .435 30.0
2018 Bay City BAY 70 98
.417 33.0
Jeff’s team is worse??!! The Big Train did his part, going 19-10 with a 3.14 ERA, but WES? had two 20-game losers (Samardjia and Leake). SAD! Alright, let’s stop fooling around. We’ll add both Christy Mathewson and Ted Williams to his team, replacing Brad Peacock and Trey Mancini, respectively. I mean, how can a team with Babe Ruth, Ted Williams, Christy Mathewson and Walter Johnson not win the SOMBILLA? (At first I considered Carl Hubbell but Jed reminded me Hubbell was a lefty.)
2018 New Orleans NOR 100
68 .595 ----
2018 Oceanus OCE 87
81 .518 13.0
2018 Future Wax FUT 87
81 .518 13.0
2018 Nidavellir NID 83
85 .494 17.0
2018 What Eric Said? WES 82
86 .488 18.0
2018 North Dakota NDA 80
88 .476 20.0
2018 Bay City BAY 77
91 .458 23.0
2018 Constantinople CON 76 92
.452 24.0
I’m kind of shocked. This is embarrassing. Ruth hit 59 homers and the Splendid Splinter and the Babe both hit .347, and Ted had a .454 OBP. Walter Johnson went 19-13, Mathewson was 17-11; Jeff’s team led the league in batting, but his pitching still needs help. The SOMBILLA is a tough league. .
So I gave him Bob Gibson and Rollie Fingers (replacing Leake and Rodney).
WON LOST PCT GB 2018 What Eric Said? WES 94 74 .560 ----
2018 New Orleans NOR 92 76 .548 2.0
2018 Oceanus OCE 91 77 .542 3.0
2018 Future Wax FUT 87 81 .518 7.0
2018 Bay City BAY 84 84 .500 10.0
2018 North Dakota NDA 84 84 .500 10.0
2018 Nidavellir NID 71 97 .423 23.0
2018 Constantinople CON 69 99 .411 25.0
That did it! Ted hit .382, Ruth won the MVP (.328, 62, 131), Johnson (21-11, 3.55) and Mathewson (20-7, 3.37) finished 1-2 in the Cy Young. Gibson and Fingers oddly each had 5.06 ERAs.
We have 4 SOMBILLA seasons, but
note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:
As a result, some of these teams’
players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, and
SBs) and be more maligned than they deserve.
Round 1:
|
1. Jed -- Abreu, Jose |
.290 / .336 / .531 / .867 (262 PA), 19 HR, 46 RBI, 2 SB |
Still Owned |
|
2. Eric -- Pederson, Joc |
Nothing showing for … |
Still Owned |
|
3. Arnie -- Betts, Mookie |
.251 / .315 / .356 / .671 (489 PA), 10 HR, 34 RBI, 10 SB |
Still Owned |
|
4. Robin -- Soler, Jorge |
.188 / .235 / .176 / .411 (17 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2018 waivers, redrafted by Arnie 2019 |
|
5. Jed -- Brantley, Michael |
.287 / .338 / .367 / .705 (450 PA), 6 HR, 36 RBI, 9 SB |
Still Owned |
|
6. Eric -- Richards, Garrett |
9-5, 0 SV, 4.57 ERA, 99 K (122 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
7. Harold -- Polanco, Gregory |
.233 / .258 / .226 / .484 (31 PA), 0 HR, 4 RBI, 3 SB |
Still Owned |
|
8. RAT -- Springer, George |
.242 / .316 / .380 / .696 (618 PA), 25 HR, 60 RBI, 10 SB |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: Jose Abreu supplied better SOMBILLA
statistics over a shorter span of time, but the best players are still George
Springer and Mookie Betts. Mookie gets
the nod as a superb defensive player and a perennial MVP candidate who is often
in the same sentence as Mike Trout. I
expect his SOMBILLA performances to only get better and better as the years go
on. Springer has been having a solid
year and is just a touch worse than Mookie when looking at all the metrics, and
may suffer from my slight Rotisserie biases.
I would say it was a coin toss but after Yelich got snubbed as being the
best first round pick last year, I had to give Arnie the nod this year.
Worst Picks: Jorge
Soler* was a SOMBILLA disappointment who never really hit and Robin cut him in
disgust before this analysis. As of
today, Soler has 36 homers, 91 RBI and a 876 OPS and projects for 43 homers and
111 RBI. He turned 27 and found a low
key major league city (KC) to bloom into a usable player.
Other:..Pederson might have some good stats, the SOMBILLA
just has not seen any. He has 26 homers
this year and 26 (2015), 25 (2016), 11 (2017) and 25 (2018) respectively in the
previous years showing consistency when healthy.
* Robin adds: Note that Soler
is taunting Bay City this year the way #5 pick & former Bay Cityite
continues to taunt me for cutting him.
Last Year Update: Last year we had Yelich taking second place
in the first round behind Josh Donaldson, but is now a rising MVP who should have been the
best of that round. Profar, who was the
worst pick in last year’s first round, actually has a job at last and a
question of what value he will have in five more years.
Round 2:
|
9. Eric -- Hendricks, Kyle |
5-5, 0 SV, 4.44 ERA, 61 K (81 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
1. Jed -- Mesoraco, Devin |
.236 / .310 / .371 / .681 (197 PA), 7 HR, 24 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
11. Robin -- Harrison, Josh |
.250 / .287 / .328 / .615 (582 PA), 7 HR, 51 RBI, 3 SB |
Cut in 2019 waivers |
|
12. Arnie -- deGrom, Jacob |
18-17, 0 SV, 4.86 ERA, 269 K (272 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
13. Jeff -- Martinez, J.D. |
.300 / .367 / .531 / .898 (706 PA), 45 HR, 126 RBI, 1 SB |
Traded Still Owned |
|
14. Tom -- Carrasco, Carlos |
23-12, 1 SV, 4.37 ERA, 256 K (232.67 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
15. Harold -- Santana, Danny |
.318 / .342 / .461 / .803 (219 PA), 6 HR, 35 RBI, 6 SB |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
16. RAT -- Stroman, Marcus |
9-9, 1 SV, 4.73 ERA, 109 K (144.67 IPS) |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: JD
Martinez was just a monster over this time period and was the World Series MVP
for Jeff’s last Championship team. He
was traded for NO 3rd round pick in the 2017 draft (became Buchter) plus a
player to be named later (Realmuto after the season).and continues to be a
mainstay for Harold now and into the future.
Worst Pick: The
perennial search for the next starting catcher led to Devin Mesoraco being
picked early in the second by Jed.
However, injury and a failure to break through in MLB led him to being
cut. Danny Santana made a run at being
just as bad but had a single good season to keep him from the worst pick of the
round.
Other Two good starters were a close 2nd
in this round – Jacob deGrom and Carlos Carrasco have distinguished themselves
in the SOMBILLA. deGrom is the
better MLB pitcher and has one of the best cards in the set that will be used
this year. Carrasco has been oft injured
but has put together some useful cards that have so far produced better SOMBILLA
statistics; that should change as deGrom looks to be the one getting better as
the two age.
Round 3:
|
17. Jed -- Tanaka, Masahiro |
9-12, 0 SV, 5.15 ERA, 157 K (174.67 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
18. Eric -- Castillo, Rusney |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
19. Arnie -- Miller, Andrew |
7-5, 8 SV, 2.75 ERA, 162 K (108 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
2. Robin -- Davis, Wade |
5-5, 15 SV, 1.81 ERA, 120 K (89.67 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
21. Jeff -- Giles, Ken |
4-1, 19 SV, 0.96 ERA, 74
K (56.33 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
22. Tom -- Arrieta, Jake |
19-12, 0 SV, 3.63 ERA, 278 K (278 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
23. Tom -- Betances, Dellin |
3-5, 7 SV, 2.13 ERA, 140 K (101.33 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
24. RAT -- Sanchez, Aaron |
6-2, 2 SV, 3.07 ERA, 65 K (73.33 IPS) |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: A lot of
good pitching went in this round and is still owned by their hopeful
teams. Jake Arrieta won a World Series
MVP and he pitched a large number of innings in the last 4 seasons. He has started to decline and might never be
dominant again but that can be said about the rest of the round as well. All but one of the other players have done
well but Arrieta did enough to take the honor.
Worst Pick: Eric optimistically
grabbed a Boston Red Sox prospect early, but he did not pan out and Eric cut
him immediately.
Other: Arnie and I
made a deal that got me an extra pick I used to draft Betances who I was
surprised was still available and might prove to have more good seasons than
Arrieta if he recovers from this year’s arm trouble. Arnie got perennial one year lefty killer
Steve Pearce to fill a need in the next round and something else….
Round 4:
|
25. Eric -- Dickerson, Corey |
.322 / .363 / .665 / 1.028 (212 PA), 19 HR, 54 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
26. Robin -- Britton, Zack |
6-3, 6 SV, 3.48 ERA, 87 K (75 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
27. Jed -- Neshek, Pat |
1-1, 11 SV, 2.10 ERA, 31 K (25.67 IPS) |
Cut After 1 year |
|
28. Arnie -- Kiermaier, Kevin |
.283 / .340 / .476 / .816 (368 PA), 15 HR, 53 RBI, 5 SB |
Still Owned |
|
29. Jeff -- Casilla, Santiago |
3-2, 1 SV, 2.25 ERA, 38 K (44 IPS) |
Cut in 2018 waivers |
|
3. Arnie -- Pearce, Steve |
.237 / .301 / .343 / .644 (143 PA), 3 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After 1 Year |
|
31. Harold -- Pompey, Dalton |
|
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
32. RAT -- Baez, Javier |
.000 / .000 / .000 / 0 (3 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: This was a
battle between the close Zack Britton and the slugging Corey Dickerson. In this
case the lack of complete statistics left Corey with an amazing slash line that
carried him over the 6 save sub 3.5 performance of Robin’s lefty.
Worst Pick: Pompey
had to be the worst pick, as he did not even have one year of contributions
before Harold gave up on him after two lackluster seasons.
Other: Javier Baez
had a break-out year last year and could end up being the best player of the
round. The SOMBILLA and Wax will have to
see how the slugging middle infielder works out. I would not vote against him, but he is a big
risk/big reward type player.
Round 5:
|
33. Jeff -- Sipp, Tony |
1-1, 1 SV, 2.45 ERA, 27 K (29.33 IPS) |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
34. Eric -- Duffy, Danny |
3-1, 0 SV, 4.36 ERA, 26 K (33 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
35. Robin -- Loup, Aaron |
0-0, 1 SV, 2.873 ERA, 12 K (15.67 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
36. Arnie -- Turner, Justin |
.254 / .330 / .357 / .687 (552 PA), 15 HR, 49 RBI, 4 SB |
Still Owned Traded |
|
37. Jeff -- Taylor, Michael |
|
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
38. Tom -- McHugh, Collin |
3-5, 0 SV, 5.34 ERA, 67 K (64 IPS) |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
39. Eric -- Semien, Marcus |
|
Cut in 2018 waivers |
|
4. RAT -- Fiers, Mike |
2-4, 4 SV, 3.30 ERA, 31 K (30 IPS) |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
Best Pick: Justin
Turner (and his beard) is much feared in MLB especially if you pitch left
handed. He is a high value real life
player who has produced some great cards that have not gotten as many good
rolls in the SOMBILLA. He has been a 1
at 3B and is back from injury and poised to be valuable going forward.
Worst Pick: Michael
Taylor has been passed over twice as a prospect in real MLB and Jeff held him
but then discarded him and ended up with the only player still owned in the
round (Turner) after making a trade with Arnie.
Round 6:
|
41. Eric -- Cron, C.J. |
|
Cut in 2016 waivers |
|
42. Jed -- Duda, Lucas |
.247 / .323 / .476 / .799 (189 PA), 14 HR, 38 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
43. Jed -- Van Slyke, Scott |
.257 / .366 / .585 / .951 (41 PA), 4 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
44. Robin -- Strop, Pedro |
5-2, 9 SV, 2.10 ERA, 91 K (90 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
45. Harold -- Odor, Rougned |
|
Still Owned |
|
46. Tom -- Rondon, Hector |
0-2, 4 SV, 4.57 ERA, 45 K (45.33 IPS) |
Cut in 2018 waivers |
|
47. Harold -- Ramirez, Neil |
0-0, 0 SV, 6.978 ERA, 9 K (1.33 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
48. RAT -- Duke, Zach |
1-0, 2 SV, 1.80 ERA, 12 K (15 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: Prospecting
and reliever round with Strop taking the honors via longevity and solid overall
statistics.
Worst Pick: CJ Cron
is a big tall hitter that ended up being a bust for the ever changing secretive
dwarves.
Round 7:
|
49. Jed -- Abad, Fernando |
2-0, 0 SV, 5.59 ERA, 4 K (19.33 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
5. Eric -- Jepsen, Kevin |
1-3, 2 SV, 3.86 ERA, 37 K (39.67 IPS) |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
51. Robin -- Ramos, AJ |
2-8, 4 SV, 5.01 ERA, 82 K (73.67 IPS) |
Cut in 2019 waivers |
|
52. Arnie -- Hutchison, Drew |
Cut After One Year |
|
|
53. Jeff -- Cain, Lorenzo |
.249 / .275 / .328 / .603 (652 PA), 7 HR, 49 RBI, 11 SB |
Traded Still Owned |
|
54. Tom -- Valbuena, Luis |
.209 / .284 / .338 / .622 (74 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2018 waivers |
|
55. Harold -- Franco, Maikel |
.344 / .382 / .735 / 1.117 (34 PA), 4 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
|
56. RAT -- Shoemaker, Matt |
0-0, 0 SV, 0.00 ERA, 5 K (4 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: Lorenzo
Cain was drafted by Jeff, who traded him to CN, and later regained his
services. Cain has been a solid speedy
defensive CF with a 1 glove and always seemed to hit left handed pitching
better than average.
Worst Pick: Hutchison
and Shoemaker were the two worst of this round.
Hutchison was a prospect grab by Arnie that never became a star and
Shoemaker was a journeyman who was oft injured but always made the sleeper
lists for Rotisserie leagues.
Round 8:
|
57. Arnie -- Gillaspie, Conor |
.196 / .229 / .313 / .542 (48 PA), 1 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
58. Robin -- Ruf, Darin |
.244 / .393 / .286 / .679 (56 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB |
Traded to FW for Hamels and cut in 2017 waivers |
|
59. Jed -- Warren, Adam |
5-8, 0 SV, 4.48 ERA, 78 K (84.33 IPS) |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
6. Arnie -- Boxberger, Brad |
0-0, 0 SV, 9.00 ERA, 14 K (6 IPS) |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
61. Jeff -- Singleton, Jonathan |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
62. Tom -- Smith, Seth |
.167 / .194 / .290 / .484 (31 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
63. Harold -- Bauer, Trevor |
2-0, 0 SV, 0.00 ERA, 8 K (15 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
64. RAT -- LaRoche, Adam |
.220 / .327 / .374 / .701 (211 PA), 10 HR, 24 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: The
eccentric Bauer looks to have put together a year that all the prognosticators
hoped for, and he is the only one of the round who has any hope for a SOMBILLA
future. There is a great article about
Bauer that became a chapter from a book from the Effectively Wild podcasters (“The
MVP Machine”).
Worst Pick: Jonathan
Singleton got a big contract from Houston and Jeff gave him a shot, but he was
gone after one year.
Round 9:
|
65. Jed -- Panik, Joe |
.287 / .360 / .423 / .783 (175 PA), 7 HR, 22 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut in 2019 waivers |
|
66. Eric -- Hahn, Jesse |
0-2, 1 SV, 4.86 ERA, 39 K (50 IPS) |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
67. Arnie -- Escobar, Eduardo |
.246 / .258 / .318 / .576 (66 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
68. Robin -- Alcantara, Arismendy |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
69. Jeff -- Bethancourt, Christian |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Tom -- Otero, Dan |
0-3, 2 SV, 2.67 ERA, 5 K (3.33 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
71. Harold -- Gonzales, Marco |
1-0, 1 SV, 2.89 ERA, 7 K (9.33 IPS) |
Cut in 2016 waivers |
|
72. RAT -- Peralta, Jhonny |
.196 / .231 / .342 / .573 (117 PA), 5 HR, 12 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: Choose
either Panik, who stayed around the longest but was a weak hitting part timer,
or Otero who was a one year wonder who pitched well and was eventually
re-drafted (to be written about in another draft analysis for the same team).
Worst Pick: Alcantara
or Bethancourt never played and were cut immediately, another pick-em in this
round of pick-ems…
Round 10-13:
|
73. Eric -- Wood, Alex |
3-0, 0 SV, 4.22 ERA, 28 K (32 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
74. Jed -- Peralta, David |
.299 / .396 / .455 / .851 (101 PA), 5 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
|
75. Robin -- Ahmed, Nick |
|
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
76. Arnie -- Taylor, Chris |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
77. Jeff -- Holland, Derek |
2-0, 0 SV, 4.22 ERA, 7 K (1.67 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
78. Jeff -- Peralta, Wily |
Cut After One Year |
|
|
79. Harold -- Morin, Michael |
0-2, 1 SV, 2.65 ERA, 13 K (17 IPS) |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
80. RAT -- Blackmon, Charlie |
.349 / .410 / .497 / .907 (288 PA), 8 HR, 47 RBI, 12 SB |
Still Owned |
|
81. Jed -- Quintana, Jose |
2-9, 0 SV, 6.03 ERA, 113 K (128.33 IPS) |
Cut in 2019 waivers |
|
82. Eric -- Cosart, Jarred |
Cut After One Year |
|
|
83. Arnie -- Kazmir, Scott |
6-5, 0 SV, 4.32 ERA, 78 K (102 IPS) |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
84. Robin -- Susac, Andrew |
.225 / .262 / .429 / .691 (42 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
85. Jeff -- Marisnick, Jake |
.429 / .429 / .429 / .858 (7 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
86. Tom -- Paxton, James |
3-4, 0 SV, 5.11 ERA, 73 K (88 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
87. Harold -- Heaney, Andrew |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
|
88. RAT -- Strickland, Hunter |
2-2, 5 SV, 4.74 ERA, 32 K (38 IPS) |
Cut in 2019 waivers |
|
89. Robin -- Herrera, Dilson |
.556 / .556 / 1.333 / 1.889 (9 PA), 2 HR, 6 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
9. Jeff -- Vazquez, Christian |
.274 / .337 / .348 / .685 (92 PA), 1 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
91. Tom -- Hammel, Jason |
3-1, 0 SV, 1.58 ERA, 27 K (45.67 IPS) |
Cut in 2016 waivers |
|
92. Harold -- Quackenbush, Kevin |
2-1, 0 SV, 4.15 ERA, 19 K (17.33 IPS) |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
93. RAT -- McKenry, Mike |
.268 / .373 / .482 / .855 (83 PA), 6 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
|
94. Tom -- Rollins, Jimmy |
.174 / .230 / .272 / .502 (191 PA), 4 HR, 15 RBI, 4 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
95. Harold -- Rivera, Rene |
.368 / .429 / .500 / .929 (42 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
96. Tom -- Soria, Joakim |
0-0, 1 SV, 2.55 ERA, 20 K (17.67 IPS) |
Cut in 2017 waivers |
Best Pick: Charlie
Blackmon turned into a valuable source of power and steals for Wax and is
starting to age out of MLB, so his time is coming to a close. James Paxton was a lefty starter with
potential drafted by CN and had some good partial seasons in MLB. He has had Cy Young type months, and the
question is can he be healthy and pitch up to his potential.
Waiver Wire: Wily
Peralta was cut in the same year he was drafted. The only worse decision than picking him was
claiming him. (Jeff and me)
Other: Chris Taylor
never played for Arnie but the versatile player put together a career year to be
re-drafted and analyzed in a future edition.
2014 Card Set Results:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
.239 / .301 / .365 / .666 (564 PA), 13 HR, 43 RBI, 3 SB |
|
Eric |
.308 / .349 / .639 / .988 (166 PA), 16 HR, 37 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Harold |
.315 / .346 / .442 / .788 (292 PA), 7 HR, 43 RBI, 9 SB |
|
Jeff |
.230 / .269 / .290 / .559 (238 PA), 2 HR, 18 RBI, 5 SB |
|
Jed |
.272 / .335 / .458 / .793 (883 PA), 47 HR, 132 RBI, 10 SB |
|
Robin |
.244 / .269 / .326 / .595 (279 PA), 4 HR, 34 RBI, 1 SB |
|
Tom |
.178 / .235 / .291 / .526 (289 PA), 7 HR, 28 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Wax |
.228 / .307 / .401 / .708 (397 PA), 21 HR, 50 RBI, 2 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
6-5, 0 SV, 3.89 ERA, 94 K (92.67 IPS) |
|
Eric |
11-9, 2 SV, 4.29 ERA, 166 K (191 IPS) |
|
Harold |
3-3, 2 SV, 4.00 ERA, 48 K (54 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
7-2, 10 SV, 2.29 ERA, 60 K (63 IPS) |
|
Jed |
8-6, 11 SV, 3.60 ERA, 131 K (135 IPS) |
|
Robin |
4-6, 13 SV, 2.50 ERA, 124 K (115 IPS) |
|
Tom |
18-20, 9 SV, 3.39 ERA, 309 K (361.33 IPS) |
|
Wax |
5-7, 9 SV, 2.36 ERA, 100 K (114.33 IPS) |
Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
.256 / .319 / .379 / .698 (1666 PA), 44 HR, 149 RBI, 19 SB |
|
Eric |
.322 / .363 / .665 / 1.028 (212 PA), 19 HR, 54 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Harold |
.318 / .350 / .472 / .822 (326 PA), 11 HR, 52 RBI, 10 SB |
|
Jeff |
.276 / .324 / .428 / .752 (1457 PA), 53 HR, 186 RBI, 14 SB |
|
Jed |
.275 / .339 / .432 / .771 (1415 PA), 62 HR, 185 RBI, 14 SB |
|
Robin |
.250 / .296 / .340 / .636 (706 PA), 12 HR, 70 RBI, 3 SB |
|
Tom |
.182 / .240 / .291 / .531 (296 PA), 7 HR, 28 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Wax |
.259 / .333 / .407 / .74 (1320 PA), 54 HR, 157 RBI, 25 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
31-27, 8 SV, 4.33 ERA, 523 K (488 IPS) |
|
Eric |
21-16, 3 SV, 4.45 ERA, 290 K (357.67 IPS) |
|
Harold |
5-3, 2 SV, 3.13 ERA, 56 K (69 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
10-4, 21 SV, 1.92 ERA, 146 K (14.33 IPS) |
|
Jed |
19-30, 11 SV, 5.12 ERA, 383 K (432.33 IPS) |
|
Robin |
18-18, 35 SV, 2.98 ERA, 392 K (344 IPS) |
|
Tom |
54-44, 15 SV, 3.81 ERA, 911 K (903 IPS) |
|
Wax |
31-27, 8 SV, 4.33 ERA, 523 K (488 IPS) |
Draft Summary:
|
Round |
Best |
Team |
Worst |
Team |
|
1 |
Betts |
Arnie |
Soler |
Robin |
|
2 |
JD Martinez |
Jeff |
Mesoraco |
Jed |
|
3 |
Arrieta |
CN |
Castillo, R |
Eric |
|
4 |
Dickerson |
Eric |
Pompey |
Harold |
|
5 |
Turner |
Arnie |
Taylor |
Jeff |
|
6 |
Strop |
Robin |
Cron |
Eric |
|
7 |
Cain |
Jeff |
Hutch/Shoemaker |
Arnie/Wax |
|
8 |
Baier |
Harold |
Singleton |
Jeff |
|
9 |
Panik/Otero |
Jed/CN |
Alcantara/Bethancourt |
Robin/Jeff |
|
10+ |
Blackmon |
Wax |
Wily Peralta |
Jeff/CN |
|
10+ |
Paxton |
CN |
|
|
Best Draft: I am
going to give it to Arnie and Jeff. 3 of
the best players in rounds 1-7 played on Jeff’s team at one point, and, well, in
this year I have to let him share the honor.
Arnie had the best player in the draft and accumulated a good blend of
hitting and pitching statistics from this draft over the years. He only had one Worst pick and that a flyer
on a SP who just failed to make his quality staff.
Worst Draft: This draft had a lot of individual bad rounds
for teams. Robin had the worst pick in
Soler in the first round. Eric and
Harold got the least statistically out of the draft, but both have some short
areas in the reporting. Eric pulls out
the worst draft by the lack of stats and 2 worst rounds in the top 6 rounds.
First published in 2006, now revised and updated.
Until 1998, Robin was in charge of all card burning decisions. The first documented card burning is from 1984, when we burned Bucky Dent. Card burnings for years prior to 1984 have not been documented, although it is believed that the annual SOMBILLA card burning did begin before 1984.
1985 - Mike Torrez
1986 - Pete Rose
1987 - Pete Rose
1988 - Steve Garvey
1989 - Glenn Hoffman
1990 - Bill Buckner
1991 - Gary Carter
1992 - Gary Carter
1993 - Gary Carter
1994 - Matt Young
1995 - Jack Morris
1996 - Darryl Strawberry
1997 - Mike Greenwell
At the ’97 draft, before we burned Mike Greenwell. Land proposed formalizing the card burning process by allowing for nominations and putting the card burning to a vote. His proposal passed 7-2.
1998 –Tony Phillips and Wil Cordero
1999 - Wil Cordero
2000 - Nominations were received for John Rocker, Al Martin, Daryl Strawberry, and Bobby Chouinard, the most number of nominations ever. The votes were Rocker 5, Martin 1 (Eric abstained). John Rocker was then burned.
2001 - The only nomination received was for Bobby Chouinard, who was then burned.
2002 - The winning choice was to burn Ruben Rivera. The card of Derek Jeter watched and cheered.
2003 - The winning choice was to burn David Wells, who was then burned. If we’d had a copy of his book we’d have burned that too.
2004 - There was a lot of sentiment around burning ‘alleged’ steroid user Barry Bonds. There was also a lot of momentum for burning another Future Wax bad boy, rapist Ramon Castro. Some tried to argue creatively that, if it hadn’t been for the steroids, Bonds would be a rapist too. In the end, that speculation proved to be no match for actual facts, and Castro was burned.
2005 - Robin had previously proposed resurrecting an old Canseco card and ‘injecting’ it, although she was vague about how that would be accomplished. As a result, we kept it simple and burned Barry Bonds.
2006 – As usual we burned Barry Bonds.
2007 - There was discussion of pouring gas onto an old Uegeth Urbina card and igniting it, but in the end we burned Brett Myers.
2008 - We burned 3-time SOMBILLA Cy Young Award winner, adulterer and steroid user Roger Clemens.
2009 - The league voted to burn A-Rod. However, Tom refused to allow his extra (non-laminated league-issued) A-Rod to be burned and after much hand wringing, we moved on without a card burning for the first time in draft history.
2010 - I printed off a computer version of A-Rod and an old computer version of Clemens (to prevent a reoccurrence of last year when the league voted to burn A-Rod, but Tom refused to allow his A-Rod to be burned). Jeff offered up Brett Myers as well, and for the first time ever, we had a triple burning. There was brief concern as the pyre grew to record heights.
2011 - After a brief discussion, Jed’s nomination of Nyjer Morgan, an all-around jerk, was approved and he was burned. Appropriately, a day or two later, he was referred to in the press as “the fiery Nyjer Morgan.”
2012 - After a brief discussion about burning John Lackey, Bobby Jenks, and/or Ryan Braun, the consensus was to burn Manny Ramirez.
2013 - The league very much wanted to burn A-Rod. But he is usable for Tom. After Harold promised to snail mail his copy of A-Rod to Tom, Tom finally agreed to the burning. (Robin adds that Ryan Braun is the early front-runner for next year’s burning – only because ‘banned for life’ A-Rod won’t have a card).
2014 - The league burned both A-Rod and Ryan Braun without much controversy.
2015 - The league burned Ervin Santana, who had just been suspended for PEDs.
2016 -The league burned Aroldis Chapman and Jose Reyes.
2017 – As A-Rod was not usable, Tom again let us burn him.
Card Burning Leaderboard
A-Rod 5
Gary Carter 3
Pete Rose 2
Wil Cordero 2
Barry Bonds 2
Roger Clemens 2
Brett Myers 2
In the wake of Harold’s drafting of former North Dakota OF Tommy Pham 3rd overall, I wanted to verify if that was indeed a record and decided to turn it into a study. Turns out it only tied the record, set by Ryan Dempster & Estaban Loaiza, both of whom were originally cut by the ill-fated Jed & Clint duo, and Matt Clement, cut by Tom. Who knew?
What other players have been re-drafted in the first two rounds, and how have they fared after being redrafted? Chagrined former manager in parenthesis. Stats shown are those after being redrafted.
First round
3rd – Tommy Pham, Harold 2018 (Arnie)
3rd – Ryan Dempster, Eric 2009 (Jed & Clint) 8-11, 5.90
3rd – Estaban Loaiza, Harold 2004 (Jed & Clint) 6-6, 4.14
3rd - Matt Clement , Eric 2003 (Tom) (13-8, 5.30)
4th – Joel Pineiro, Tom 2010 (Robin) (5-5, 5.81)
4th – Magglio Ordonez, Arnie 2008 (Jed) (.280, 18, 89)
4th – Jermaine Dye, Jed 2007 (Jeff) (.286, 13, 27)
4th - Jeff D'Amico, Matt, 2000 (Arnie) (4-5, 7.84)
5th – Michael Brantley, Jed 2015 (Robin) (.289, 6, 36)
5th – Jamey Wright, Robin 2000 (Robin) (3-6, 7.94)
6th – Daniel Murphy, FW 2017 (Arnie) (.312, 10, 42)
6th – Carlos Pena, Tom 2008 (Arnie) (.216, 40, 96)
Second round
1st – Frank Castillo, Matt 2000 (Land) Never played!
3rd –John Burkett, Eric 2002 (Eric) (2-3, 8.86)
4th – John Lackey, Harold, 2016 (WES?) (2-3, 7.20)
4th – Jeret Wright, Robin, 2004 (Eric) 5-2, 7.31 ERA
5th – Grant Balfour, Arnie 2009 (Robin) 1-4, 9 SV, 2.87
5th – Paul Wilson, Eric 2000 (Jeff) (0-3, 13 sv, 3.86)
6th – Ryan Madson, Harold 2018 (Future Wax and Bay City)
6th – Brett Myers, Jed 2011 (Jeff) appearing in both the first two studies! (5-6, 5.29)
8th – M. Young, Eric 2012 (Jeff) (.280, 4, 19)
8th – J. Benoit, Harold 2011 (Tom) (2-1. 2.95)
8th – Mike (not Joe) Thornton, Tom 2009 (Arnie) 4-7, 6 SV, 5.74
8th – Brad Radke, Tom 2005 (Matt) 4-5, 4.67 ERA, 52 K
8th – Tim Belcher, Arnie 1997 (Harold) (4-6, 7.55)
9th – Dave Nilsson, Jed & Clint 2000 (Future Wax) (.323, 16, 39)
Best performance by a retread in the first two rounds: Magglio Ordonez,4th overall by Arnie in 2008 (Jed) (.280, 18, 89). Honorable mention: C. Pena Tom (40 HR) and Matt Clement, Eric (13-8)
Most popular spot: 8th pick in the 2nd round
Most likely to draft a retread in first two rounds : Eric has done it five times
Most likely to be chagrined at having former cut redrafted in first two rounds: Jeff and Robin (4)
Most likely to redraft own player in first two rounds: Eric and Robin, 1 each
Part II
Who has had the most players redrafted, period? Well, I’m not going to comb through 20 years of draft reports for that; doing the first two rounds was tedious enough. But looking at the last five years can be done. Plus it may be more relevant anyway.
Here are the totals for the past 5 drafts (2014-2018)
Players cut who were redrafted:
1. Robin 13
2. Jed 9
3t. RAT 8
3t. Jeff 8
3t. Harold 8
6. Arnie 7
7. Tom 6
8. Eric 2
I’m sure this comes as no surprise to Robin (who notes that this number is even more striking given that some of her players died and were thus unlikely to be drafted posthumously). Eric appears to be the best ‘cutter.’ Or else his cuts are simply so crappy and useless there’s little chance anyone will ever want them again. Hard to say.
This next category is somewhat more random; I don’t think anyone specifically scouts or targets players who have previously been in the league any more than other players.
Players drafted who were previously in the league:
1. Tom 13
2. Jed 9
3. Harold 8
4t. Eric 7
4t. RAT 7
6. Jeff 5
7t. Arnie 4
7t. Robin 4
And finally, who has redrafted their own players?
Jed, Robin, Harold, Tom – twice each
Arnie, Eric – once
RAT, Jeff – have not redrafted their own player in the past five years.
North Dakota vs. Future Wax - which team was better? [8/18]
22 years ago I first published this study in the summer newsletter. Back then, I was coming off a heartbreaking World Series loss to Andrew in 6 games. That Series featured Dennis Martinez, Robin’s ace pitcher, traded to the Wax in mid-season (see “The Trading and Loan Scandal”) winning 2 games against me in the World Series. It also featured my thinking that Bernard Gilkey had hit a go-ahead 3-run homer in the 8th inning of game 6, only to learn (after yelling and leaping around the room like a maniac) from Andrew, calmly sitting there waiting for me to return, that I had been looking on the wrong side of Gilkey’s card. Like the Red Sox < 2004, I believed I would never win a SOMBILLA World Series in my lifetime.
That summer, I said:
“Which team was really better, North Dakota or Future Wax? What about before the big ransom trades? Who did the trades help more? And (again) which team was really better, North Dakota or Future Wax? To try to answer those questions, I played North Dakota against Future Wax on the trusty Strat-O computer for 1000 games, both before and after the big ransom trades.
Why do a study like this? Am I insane? (Of course, but sanity is not relevant.). I had nothing to gain and everything to lose. If it turned out North Dakota was better, then I was a lousy manager and should have won the World Series. If it turned out Future Wax was better, then that means that Future Wax really was better, a horrible thought.”
Here we are 22 years (and 5 North Dakota World Series titles) later, and I am coming off an even more heartbreaking World Series loss, in 7 games. A one-run loss in the finale, which could have gone either way, missing a 1-16 HR chance, yada, yada, yada.
So, I pitted the two teams against each other for 2000 games. What happened?
In summary, North Dakota kicked Future Wax’s ass. In 2000 games, North Dakota won 1119 and Future Wax won 881, a .560 winning percentage. Certainly statistically significant evidence that North Dakota was indeed the better team. Here are some stats:
|
AVG |
AB |
R |
H |
2B |
3B |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
CS |
E |
|
|
North Dakota |
.269 |
69890 |
9854 |
18815 |
3848 |
416 |
2736 |
9524 |
611 |
306 |
1167 |
|
Future Wax |
.247 |
69367 |
8675 |
17112 |
3113 |
406 |
2930 |
8404 |
270 |
159 |
1080 |
|
ERA |
W |
L |
IP |
H |
R |
ER |
HR |
BB |
SO |
|
|
North Dakota |
3.96 |
1119 |
881 |
18053.2 |
17112 |
8675 |
7945 |
2930 |
5725 |
19185 |
|
Future Wax |
4.59 |
881 |
1119 |
17944.8 |
18815 |
9854 |
9146 |
2736 |
6763 |
16336 |
OK, not that big a surprise. North Dakota did finish in
first place, 4 games and 71 percentage points ahead of Future Wax. North Dakota
led in every possible team stat category – except homers and errors. Here are
some interesting tidbits. Facing only FW or ND pitching for 2000 games, here
are the batting leaders:
|
D.Murphy |
.328 |
|
T.Turner |
.307 |
|
Y.Tomas |
.297 |
|
M.Betts |
.291 |
|
D.Ortiz |
.288 |
Daniel Murphy, who finished 5th in the actual SOMBILLA with a .312 average, hit better against North Dakota pitching than he did against the rest of the league.
Home Run leaders:
|
D.Ortiz |
469 |
|
C.Santana |
385 |
|
B.Dozier |
380 |
|
D.Murphy |
333 |
|
M.Machado |
316 |
RBIs:
|
D.Ortiz |
1126 |
|
B.Dozier |
1009 |
|
D.Murphy |
957 |
|
C.Santana |
932 |
|
C.Yelich |
930 |
Pitching winning percentage was not all North Dakota:
|
|
W |
L |
Pct |
|
A.Reed |
60 |
34 |
.638 |
|
C.Kershaw |
119 |
73 |
.620 |
|
R.Hill |
111 |
70 |
.613 |
|
C.Kimbrel |
47 |
33 |
.588 |
|
K.Herrera |
39 |
29 |
.574 |
Wins
|
J.Cueto |
184 |
|
M.Estrada |
141 |
|
M.Fulmer |
126 |
|
M.Scherzer |
125 |
|
J.deGrom |
121 |
ERA
|
N.Jones |
2.97 |
|
A.Miller |
3.01 |
|
C.Kershaw |
3.06 |
|
A.Reed |
3.17 |
|
S.Oh |
3.44 |
But wait! Things are different in a 7-game series. The best pitchers start more often, the sludge (Teheran was 85-168 5.83) are banished to a mop-up role. It’s a different analysis. So, I decided to pit the teams into 100 best of seven series, even inputting the actual World Series starters into the Starter schedule that the computer allows for.
So what happened in the 100 Best of 7 Replays? Here are some interesting facts:
North Dakota won 63 of the 100 series overall.
23 were won in 7 games
16 were won in 6 games
13 were won in 5 games
And 11 of the series were 4 game sweeps.
Of Future Wax’s 37 series wins:
11 were won in 7 games
15 were won in 6 games
10 were won in 5 games
And only 1 was a 4 game sweep.
So, overall, 34, or 1/3, went to 7 games as did the one in real life. Some more tidbits: David Ortiz was the MVP in 30 of the series. (Max Scherzer was 2nd with 10 MVP awards). Scherzer led the way with 20 Cy Young awards (Estrada was 2nd with 16).
In real life David Ortiz was 7 for 29 (.241), with 2 homers and 4 rbis (1 BB and 1 2B) in the World Series, his SOMBILLA swan song, not exactly MVP material. Certainly, had he performed as well as the 30 David Ortiz’s who won World Series MVP awards in this simulation (including perhaps hitting a 2-run homer in the 7th inning of game 7 to take a 4-3 lead in his last SOMBILLA at bat, instead of just missing and hitting a double [in which Ramos got thrown out at the plate]), it would have made a nice poetic ending to a great season and a great career. But it was not meant to be.
Combining this with the first study, it’s safe to say that North Dakota was the better team .Of course, instead of blaming David Ortiz, I could tip my hat to Manager of the Year runner-up Randy Divinski. Or series MVP Max Scherzer (2-0, 2.33 ERA, 19.3 inns, 12 hits, 8 BB, 23 Ks). Or blame myself for not being able to beat a team that the SOMBILLA computer at least believed to be inferior. I still don’t feel any better after doing this study.
Post-script: On the summer pool party/bbq circuit, I ran into Randy and we talked SOMBILLA and I mentioned I was doing this study. Randy lamented about 2010 when Future Wax (39-17) was swept by Eric (29-27) in the World Series, and that he couldn’t imagine any computer simulation from that season in which Eric’s team could win four consecutive games against FW. I guess we all have our SOMBILLA demons.
Thanks to Robin for suggesting this one. She knew she would be last; she prefers to focus on choosing who to burn. Who proposes the most rule changes? What are the most significant proposals people have come up with? For this study, I went back to 2000 and summarized everyone’s proposals as well as the results. No “Strat-O initiated changes” included.
|
GM |
# Proposals passed |
#Proposals voted down |
Total Proposals |
Most significant proposal |
|
Tom |
23 |
7 |
30 |
Eliminate cutting players at the draft, followed by a waiver draft (2009) |
|
Arnie |
14 |
10 |
24 |
Begin the season at the end of October instead of at the beginning of October (2002) |
|
Randy |
10 |
8 |
18 |
Post-season pitchers innings are 1/15 (same as limited batters) (2002) |
|
Eric |
7 |
10 |
17 |
Roll for rainout (2004) |
|
Jed |
2 |
7 |
9 |
Each team can design their own ballpark (2000) |
|
Matt |
|
6 |
6 |
All six were proposals to eliminate the DH |
|
Harold |
2 |
3 |
5 |
Call up a 26th man (2001) |
|
Tsuan |
2 |
1 |
3 |
12 round draft instead of 10 (2001) |
|
Jeff |
|
1 |
1 |
Eliminate the DH in honor of Matt (2010) |
|
Robin |
|
½ |
½ |
Compensation for dead players (2017) |
Which
teams rely on their farm systems? Who has the most active front office? Who
signs the free agents? This summer, I analyzed each team's current 45-man
roster and reviewed how every player ended up on the roster. I divided them up
into three categories:
Farm system –
Players who were originally drafted by the team and are still on the roster. In
essence, these players are those who have spent their entire SOMBILLA career
with one team.
Trade – Self-explanatory.
Free agents –
Drafted players who previously played for another team, were cut, and then
picked up as free agents, even if redrafted by the same team.
|
Team |
Farm
System |
Trade |
Free
Agent |
|
North Dakota |
39 |
4 |
2 |
|
Bay City |
39 |
4 |
2 |
|
Future Wax |
38 |
5 |
2 |
|
Smoking Loons |
36 |
2 |
7 |
|
“What Eric Said”? |
35 |
6 |
4 |
|
Constantinople |
34 |
4 |
7 |
|
New Orleans |
33 |
5 |
7 |
|
Oceanus |
28 |
12 |
5 |
|
Team |
Farm system |
Trade |
Free agents |
|
Future Wax |
42 |
1 |
2 |
|
Bay City |
43 |
0 |
2 |
|
Constantinople |
43 |
0 |
2 |
|
Area 51 |
40 |
1 |
4 |
|
New Orleans |
40 |
2 |
3 |
|
North Dakota |
41 |
2 |
2 |
|
Knuckle Sandwiches |
41 |
1 |
3 |
|
Hibernia |
43 |
2 |
0 |
I
took all the major leaguers with 2016 cards and let the computer draft a 25-man
roster. Who are the best 25 players in
the league, at least according to the computer? Below is the roster, along with
the round that the computer drafted the player in. The first puck overall? Bay City’s Zach Britton. Don’t get me wrong – he has a great card, but
really? A lefty reliever over Mike Trout
or a starting pitcher? The computer is
weird.
|
Player |
Computer Draft Position |
SOMBILLA Team |
|
Mike
Trout
|
2 |
Constantinople |
|
Brian
Dozier |
4 |
Future
Wax |
|
Nolan
Arenado |
5 |
Smoking
Loons |
|
Mookie
Betts |
6 |
North
Dakota |
|
Khris
Davis |
7 |
North
Dakota |
|
David
Ortiz |
8 |
North
Dakota |
|
Gary
Sanchez |
9 |
New
Orleans |
|
Corey
Seager |
12 |
Constantinople |
|
Wilson
Ramos |
15 |
North
Dakota |
|
Miguel
Cabrera |
19 |
Bay
City |
|
Charlie
Blackmon |
22 |
Future
Wax |
|
Nick
Franklin |
21 |
--------- |
|
Robinson
Cano |
23 |
Oceanus |
|
Kris
Bryant
|
24 |
New
Orleans |
|
Trevor
Story |
25 |
Oceanus |
|
|
|
|
|
Zach
Britton |
1 |
Bay
City |
|
Clayton
Kershaw |
3 |
Future
Wax |
|
Kyle
Hendricks |
10 |
Smoking
Loons |
|
Rich
Hill |
11 |
North
Dakota |
|
Chris
Devenski |
14 |
Bay
City |
|
Johnny
Cueto |
13 |
North
Dakota |
|
Kenley
Jansen |
16 |
New
Orleans |
|
Aroldis
Chapman |
17 |
“What
Eric Said”? |
|
Andrew
Miller |
18 |
North
Dakota |
|
Mark
Melancon |
20 |
Constantinople |
|
Player |
Computer Draft Position |
SOMBILLA Team |
|
Jose
Altuve |
1 |
Oceanus |
|
Josh
Donaldson |
2 |
Constantinople |
|
Joey
Votto |
3 |
Oceanus |
|
Mark
Trumbo |
4 |
Smoking
Loons |
|
Ryan
Braun |
5 |
Future
Wax |
|
Jackie
Bradley Jr |
7 |
New
Orleans |
|
Evan
Gattis |
9 |
Oceanus |
|
Carlos
Correa |
11 |
Bay
City |
|
Jonathan
Lucroy |
17 |
Smoking
Loons |
|
Yoenis
Cespedes |
20 |
New
Orleans |
|
Edwin
Encarnacion |
21 |
North
Dakota |
|
Hernan
Perez |
22 |
----------- |
|
Nelson
Cruz |
23 |
North
Dakota |
|
Joc
Pederson |
24 |
Smoking
Loons |
|
Jonathan
Villar |
25 |
North
Dakota |
|
|
|
|
|
Max
Scherzer |
6 |
Future
Wax |
|
Seung
Hwan Oh |
8 |
Smoking
Loons |
|
Madison
Bumgarner |
10 |
Future
Wax |
|
Jon
Lester |
12 |
“What
Eric Said”? |
|
Addison
Reed |
13 |
North
Dakota |
|
Jeurys
Familia |
14 |
New
Orleans |
|
Tyler
Thornburg |
15 |
“What
Eric Said”? |
|
Jake
Arrieta |
16 |
Constantinople |
|
Dan
Otero |
18 |
Constantinople |
|
Craig
Kimbrel |
19 |
North
Dakota |
North Dakota – 12
Constantinople – 6
Future Wax – 6
New Orleans - 6
Smoking Loons – 6
Oceanus – 5
Bay City – 4
“What Eric Said”? – 3
Total players over $10,000,000: 9
3. Bay City - $206,518,417
Surprise! Always
known for her generous clubhouse benefits (and death benefits for dependents of
deceased players), Robin has no problem showering her players with money. Like Jeff, that does not seem to help this
big market team in the win column. The uniforms may be a little tight, especially the pants, but the players
don’t complain. Buster and Sal constitute
the highest paid catching tandem in the league. Her five highest paid players:
A mid-market team, Jed studiously avoids spending over $200M and has gotten pretty good mileage. But like the Boston Bruins in the 80’s, 90’s, and 00’s, he puts out a competitive product to get the fans into seats, but he’s just too cheap to get the one or two players to put them over the top. Will Robinson Cano be that guy? Has the cheapest outfield in the league. His five highest paid players:
Total players over $10,000,000: 7
Six years ago, in the last SOMBILLA Salary study, the cheap bastards of RAT had the league’s lowest payroll. They’re not as cheap as they were, moving up to be a mid-market team . They do pay the league’s highest individual salary (Kershaw). RAT’s five highest paid players:
Total players over $10,000,000: Only 6!
Back in 2010, I compiled a list of all SOMBILLA trades in league history. You can see it here:
http://SOMBILLA.x10.mx/studies.htm#attr
I received a request to update this list. So here you go:
|
5/5/08 |
This
trade was not shown on the original list: A51 trades Chipper Jones to If |
|
11/10/09 |
Shoppach from FU for ND’s James Shields. If Shields is a #1 starter per Lamanna for the 2010 season, then ND also gets a 3rd round pick in the 2011 draft. If Shields is a #2 for 2010, its a 5th round pick in the 2011 draft. Shields was neither. Jed won this trade convincingly. |
|
12/20/09 |
With much trepidation, Dem Bums wish to announce a trade of Jones's, Adam for Chipper (NO). Eric worries that Adam will become the next Eric Davis (he noticed that Adam is now a 1 in cf), and remembers a similar trade he made some years ago, trading for an aging yet stellar Larry Walker, only to see his season go down the tubes despite improving his team significantly on paper. Harold assures Eric that Chipper will not disrupt the locker room cohesion. Eric thinks Harold is full of shit.
only time will tell... (Ed note: Adam Jones is not the next Eric Davis, and Eric won the World Series that year). |
|
1/19/10 |
Trade Update: after what seemed a prolonged negotiation in which little was actually negotiated, Arnie agreed to trade Grant Balfour to Eric for Ramon Ramirez, straight up, no chaser. It relieves Eric of one sox bullpenner, which was his primary motive. Too many pitchers on the olde home team had proved too stressful. Balfour said he was pleased to hear he was leaving a team that had changed its name mid-year. (Balfour had a few good seasons after this for Eric, while Ramirez was cut). |
|
1/24/10 |
ND sends Josh Hamilton to FW for Nelson Cruz, ND. After FW won the trade early (with
|
|
3/21/10 |
Fugakyu and |
|
1/5/11 |
North
Dakota, now 11 years removed from its last championship, and 2 years removed
from its choke as the league's overwhelming favorite, has acquired centerfielder
Carlos Beltran from hapless Bay City in exchange for 3B Chase Headley and a
2nd round draft pick (became Logan Morrison). Despite (true) whispers
that the two GMs were sleeping with each other, the Bay City front office
points out that it was in fact, Fugakyu that
initiated trade talks, "driving up the price" by forcing North
Dakota to sweeten its offer. |
|
1/6/11 |
The New Orleans Ellis and the Fugakyu Pufferfish have agreed (pending the result of physical examination of the cards) to exchange 3B Ian Stewart plus a conditional draft choice for 3B Chone Figgins. An anonymous source unauthorized to discuss the trade indicated that the conditional draft choice would be a 2011 4th round pick or a 2011 3rd round pick if the Ellis wins the Richman Cup (which he did! The pick became Evan Meek).
The addition of Figgins means that all 25 Ellis players have a 1 range rating. Figgins gives the Ellis a much sought-after leadoff threat and an irrepressible clubhouse presence.
The Pufferfish meanwhile seem to be sending a wait 'til next year signal. However, Stewart will get a chance to play and does add some power to the lineup. |
|
1/22/11 |
Eric has traded Bob Howry and a
6th round pick to Robin (became Wil Rhymes) for
reliever Kiko Calero. The
original draft pick that Eric and Robin agreed on was a 7th rounder, but that
got upgraded to a 6th rounder when Arnie, upon being notified of the trade's
imminence, and exercising some obscure husbandly prerogative, angrily
counter-offered a reliever of his own plus a better 6th round pick. |
|
10/12/11 |
Eric's team (still nameless) traded Alexei Ramirez to Fugaku for Rajai Davis and a 6th round pick next year (became Corey Luebke). |
|
10/30/11 |
Fukakyu traded CJ Wilson and Huff to |
|
2/9/12 |
Beating the trade deadline by mere hours (i.e. New Orleans 41st game tonight), the Raging Alcoholics trade Nick Swisher to New Orleans for a fourth round pick (became Brandon Belt) in the upcoming draft (which become a third if New Orleans wins the whole thing and Swisher plays in the World Series). Swisher
is scrambling to sober up to get to the series vs. |
|
4/3/12 |
CN
announces two trades: |
|
11/7/12 |
From
Harold to Arnie: Ok, so to recap: |
|
1/15/13 |
Cheddarmen traded his 1st round pick (April 2014 Draft -- 2013 Cards, became Shelby Miller) for CN's Closer (Papelbon) and starting RFer (Pence). |
|
3/9/13 |
Jeff and Harold made a trade - |
|
11/21/13 |
CN trades his 1st round pick (April 2015 Draft -- 2014 Cards, became Garrett Richards) to Cheddarmen for his closer (Grant Balfour) and Melky Cabrera (Starting LFer) and an 8th round pick (April 2015 Draft -- 2014 Cards, traded to ND). CN GM when
reached for comment, "We felt that we made a good deal last year and that
we would do it from either side. So when we say the opportunity to put
our money where our rhetoric was we did it." Cheese GM,
"We are open for business; we will not propose trades but send us real
offers and we will think about it." At which point, an as yet unnamed
reporter asked "What is it with all the "we's"?
Y'all royalty or some such..." That is when the fight broke out as
staffs of both teams streamed into the conference area and beat reporters
lived up to their names delivering... |
|
January, 2014 |
1/6 New Orleans has sent lefty
relievers Charlie Furbush and Luis Avilan to The Cheddarmen for a 5th round pick in the 2014
draft |
|
11/23/14 |
Only minutes before taking the field for game 1 of the much anticipated Tidy Bowl series between The Pierogies and Oceanus, Shin-Soo Choo found out he'd been traded to 'What Eric Said.' 'Yeah, I knew my card had been scanned into a PDF and attached to an email, so I'm not surprised' said the rotund Choo. Terms of the deal were Choo plus a conditional middle-round draft choice (became Tony Sipp) for a number 1 pick (became Michael Brantley). |
|
12/5/14 |
Victorino, OC to ND for a 6th round pick (became Scott Van Slyke) |
|
12/13/14 |
Oceanus has traded Joe Mauer to |
|
1/22/15 |
What Eric Said and Oceanus have agreed to the following trade: Heyward, Lawrie and Thornburg (WES) for Holliday, Kendrick, Nathan and Medlen (OCE). The first and only 7-player trade in league history. |
|
3/28/15 |
The Oceanus Assholes have traded Todd Frazier to the What Eric Said _____ for a conditional 2016 draft choice. It will be a 5th round choice if Frazier is rated in Lamanna's Baseball Bulletin as a top 75 player, otherwise it will be a 6th round choice (subsequently traded to Harold). |
|
4/3/15 |
New Orleans trades Jeff Samardzija and a conditional 8th round pick in 2016 (became Billy Burns) only if Samardzija isn't ranked as of the top 25 starters in Lamanna in 2016 to “What Eric Said” for a 6th round pick in the 2015 draft (became Roughned Odor) and a 2nd round pick in the 2016 draft (became Brad Ziegler). |
|
11/16/15 |
Oceanus and the Smoking Loons have agreed to terms on a trade that will send Troy Tulowitzki to Oceanus in exchange for Xander Bogaerts. |
|
11/18/15 |
Hiroki Kuroda for a 2016 7th round pick, which becomes a 6th round pick if Oceanus reaches the Finals (became Andres Blanco) or becomes a 5th round pick if Oceanus wins the Championship (ha ha ha ha). Actually, the ha ha ha ha part was an editorial comment, not part of the actual agreement. Terms were finalized when Oceanus agreed to have a wheelchair ferry the ancient Kuroda from the mound to the dugout between innings. |
|
10/15/15 |
NO receives Jeff’s 4th round and 6th round picks (JP Realmuto and Javy Lopez) in exchange for D. Santana and NO’s 6th round pick (traded to ND) |
|
12/2/15 |
North Dakota has acquired 2nd baseman Robinson Cano from New Orleans in exchange for a 2nd and a 7th round pick this year (John Lackey and Aaron Hicks), and a 6th round pick in 2017. "I have nothing funny to say. This is serious business," stated the North Dakota GM when asked to comment. "Fuck you all," he added. |
|
12/13/15 |
Robin had an uncharacteristically good day at Jeff's place (where she possibly went 2-10 last year), but what was truly shocking was that she made a trade! Harold offered Jayson Werth for a 7th-round pick (became Jarrett Parker), and BC picked up the hirsute RF and immediately ordered him to shave. |
|
1/26-27/16 |
1.
|
|
2/14/16 |
After
the 5th inning, ND and NO made a trade, with ND acquiring C Rene Rivera from
NO for a 10th round pick in 2017 (solely to save Matt Wieters' 2 remaining
plate appearances). Rivera grabbed his catcher's mitt and sprinted from
the NO dugout to home plate to catch for |
|
3/6/16 |
In its third, yes, third! trade of the season, Bay City acquires Moustakas from New Orleans for Kenley Jansen (thus purging its bullpen of all Jansens/Janssens, as Casey was cut last year), enabling the Moose to rejoin many of his real-life Royals teammates on the BC roster. |
|
3/21/16 |
New Orleans makes its third trade in this offseason, trading Stephen Strasburg and its 5th round pick this year (became Matt Duffy) to Oceanus for Jose Bautista and Oceanus’ 7th round pick in the 2017 draft. The 7th round pick is negated if Strasburg is not a top 25 starter in Lamanna for the 2017 season OR Strasburg pitches less than 150 innings in the 2016 MLB season.
|
|
3/29/16 |
|
Hall of Fame? Seriously, Arnie? How the heck are you gonna decide this? And why do you get all that power?
Good questions, and thanks for asking. The answer is that I am not going to decide – you all – the SOMBILLA managers -- have already decided. Every year (except for 1981-1984 when there were no awards), we SOMBILLA managers vote for MVP and Cy Young looking back over the season just ended. What better way to determine the best players over a period of time than to use the collective wisdom of SOMBILLA managers who voted each year?
I visited the hot attic to pull the annual voting summaries (tabulated in each summer newsletter). Then I added them all up year by year, player by player. The totals should give us a pretty good idea of who we, the SOMBILLA managers, felt were the best SOMBILLA performers over an extended time period – the history of the league.
One slight drawback – in addition to no awards for three of the earliest seasons of the league, I did not publish the MVP and Cy Young voting summaries < 1990. At least we know who won the award for those 6 seasons, so I gave the winners 25 points for each of those, a rough approximation of the winners’ vote totals. We still have actual voting totals for the past 26 seasons - not too shabby.
So, for this first ballot SOMBILLA Hall of Fame, 9 hitters and 9 pitchers will be inducted – the top 9 in each category of out annual voting. Why 9 and not, say 10? You’ll see in a minute. Here is your initial SOMBILLA Hall of Fame class, along with vote totals:
|
Name |
Team |
Vote total |
|
Bonds |
FW |
170 |
|
Piazza |
FW |
94 |
|
Pujols |
ND |
76 |
|
M. Ramirez |
NO |
74 |
|
|
FW |
65 |
|
Trout |
CN |
57 |
|
|
FW-MF |
57 |
|
Griffey |
FW |
56.5 |
|
McGwire |
MF |
56 |
|
Name |
Team |
Vote total |
|
Maddux |
FW |
148 |
|
Clemens |
Eric – ND - Jed |
136 |
|
Pedro |
FW |
103.5 |
|
Verlander |
Eric |
96 |
|
Rivera |
NO |
57 |
|
R. Johnson |
ND |
52 |
|
Smoltz |
Jed |
51.5 |
|
Ryan |
MF |
48 |
|
Schilling |
Jeff |
46 |
The controversial Barry Bonds
won a record four SOMBILLA MVP awards.
His high number of votes is even more impressive when you realize that
as steroid/giant head allegations dogged him at the end of his career, some SOMBILLA
managers began leaving him off their ballots completely. Unlike the real baseball
So who just missed the cut? Who is on the cusp? Here are the next six hitters and pitchers – number 10-15
|
A Rod |
CN |
50 |
|
Belle |
FW |
48 |
|
Baines |
Eric |
41 |
|
A. Gonzalez |
Eric |
39 |
|
Howard |
CN |
37 |
|
Votto |
Jed |
36 |
|
Kershaw |
FW |
43 |
|
Drabek |
BC |
42.5 |
|
Foulke |
Eric |
41.5 |
|
Clemens |
ND |
40 |
|
Guthrie |
FW |
35 |
|
Wetteland |
ND |
34 |
I made the executive decision to keep A. Rod out of this initial class. Indeed, after A. Rod won the ’06-07 SOMBILLA MVP, the 2007 SUMMER newsletter had the following asterisk next to A. Rod’s vote total: * asshole
Using the same data set, I thought it’d be fun for everyone to see all of the great players they’ve had who have received votes through the years. It’s not really an all-time franchise list, since there won’t be someone at every position, more of a list of each franchise’s players who have ever received votes for SOMBILLA MVP and Cy Young. But All-time franchise rosters sounds better.
|
1. Ripken |
25 |
|
1. |
25 |
|
3. Thomas |
23.5 |
|
4. Beltran |
16 |
|
5. M. Cabrera |
14 |
|
6. Jeter |
12 |
|
7. C. Davis |
9 |
|
8. G. Davis |
4 |
|
9. Green |
3 |
|
10. |
1.5 |
|
11. V. Martinez |
1 |
|
1. Drabek |
42.5 |
|
2. Boddicker |
25 |
|
2. Gordon |
25 |
|
2. Halladay |
25 |
|
5. Oswalt |
18 |
|
6. Prior |
6 |
|
7. |
3 |
|
1. Trout |
57 |
|
2. A Rod |
50 |
|
3. Howard |
37 |
|
4. JGiambi |
27 |
|
5. Bay |
18 |
|
6. Morales |
6 |
|
6. Mondesi |
6 |
|
6. Bruks |
6 |
|
6. A. Jones |
6 |
|
10. T. Hunter |
4 |
|
11. |
3 |
|
12. Alfonzo |
2 |
|
13. Stairs |
1 |
|
13. Jaso |
1 |
|
13. Harper |
1 |
|
13. B. Abreau |
1 |
|
1. |
31 |
|
2. Schmidt |
22 |
|
3. Zimmerman |
20 |
|
4. Dotel |
19 |
|
4. Park |
19 |
|
6. Wolf |
14 |
|
7. Papelbon |
12 |
|
8. Urbina |
8 |
|
9. Cain |
7 |
|
10. Dickey |
3 |
|
11. Benoit |
2 |
|
11. Foster |
2 |
|
11. G. White |
2 |
Eric (too many team names to list)
|
1. Baines |
41 |
|
2. A. Gonzalez |
39 |
|
3. Winfield |
25 |
|
4. |
16 |
|
5. Konerko |
15 |
|
6. Youkilis |
12 |
|
7. P. Fielder |
10 |
|
8. Y. Molina |
9 |
|
9. Hayes |
6 |
|
10. Palmeiro |
5 |
|
11. Tulowitzki |
4 |
|
11. Eisenreich |
4 |
|
13. Dykstra |
2 |
|
14. Soto |
1 |
|
14. Sanders |
1 |
|
1. Verlander |
96 |
|
2. Clemens |
75 |
|
3. Lincecom |
45 |
|
4. Foulke |
41.5 |
|
5. Burnett |
25 |
|
5. Hershiser |
25 |
|
5. Sutcliffe |
25 |
|
8. |
24 |
|
9. Weaver |
23 |
|
10. Frowirth |
13 |
|
11. J. Smith |
10 |
|
11. Nelson |
10 |
|
11. Nomo |
10 |
|
14. Lowe |
8 |
|
15. Millwood |
5.5 |
|
16. Jim Johnson |
4 |
|
16. P. Wilson |
4 |
|
16. Weaver |
4 |
|
19. Clement |
3 |
|
19. Hill |
3 |
Future Wax
|
1. Bonds |
170 |
|
2. Piazza |
94 |
|
3. |
65 |
|
4. Griffey |
56.5 |
|
5. |
53 |
|
6. Belle |
48 |
|
7. Strawberry |
33 |
|
7. Kemp |
33 |
|
9. J. Gonzalez |
28 |
|
10. Ludwick |
24 |
|
11. Thome |
22 |
|
12. Moss |
20 |
|
12. McCutchen |
20 |
|
14. |
18 |
|
15. Garciaparra |
16 |
|
16. Tartabull |
15 |
|
17. |
13 |
|
18. Berkman |
6 |
|
19. Pasqua |
5 |
|
20. Reyes |
2 |
|
21. Quentin |
1 |
|
1. Maddux |
148 |
|
2. Pedro |
103.5 |
|
3. Kershaw |
43 |
|
4. Guthrie |
35 |
|
5. Nathan |
33 |
|
6. Scherzer |
23 |
|
7. Zambrano |
18 |
|
8. Dibble |
17 |
|
9. Greinke |
9 |
|
9. J. Thompson |
9 |
|
11. Bosio |
6 |
|
11. Hanson |
6 |
|
11. J. Santana |
6 |
|
14. Garrelts |
3 |
|
14. Morgan |
3 |
|
14. Wood |
3 |
|
17. Moyer |
2.5 |
|
18. |
1 |
Jed (solo, with various team names and with Clint)
|
1. Votto |
36 |
|
2. Abreau |
9 |
|
3. C. Pena |
7 |
|
4. Gwynn |
6.5 |
|
5. Leyritz |
5 |
|
6. Suzuki |
4 |
|
7. Brantley |
3 |
|
8. Jeffries |
2 |
|
8. Bautista |
2 |
|
10. R. Henderson |
1 |
|
10. D. Lee |
1 |
|
1. Smoltz |
51.5 |
|
2. Clemens |
21 |
|
3. Lackey |
17 |
|
4. Sanders |
11 |
|
5. Webb |
8 |
|
6. Kluber |
3 |
|
6. Kuroda |
3 |
|
6. Mussina |
3 |
|
6. Soria |
3 |
|
10. F. Hernandez |
1 |
Jeff/Dave/Joel (this same franchise has had three managers)
|
1. L. Walker |
25 |
|
2. Puig |
8 |
|
3. D. Santana |
7 |
|
4. Tejada |
6 |
|
5. Greenwell |
5 |
|
5. Buhner |
5 |
|
7. LoDuca |
4 |
|
8. |
3 |
|
8. Olerud |
3 |
|
8. Markakis |
3 |
|
8. |
3 |
|
8. C. Gonzalez |
3 |
|
1. Schilling |
46 |
|
2. Belcher |
22 |
|
3. Samardzjia |
12 |
|
4. W. Rodriguez |
7 |
|
5. Pettitte |
6 |
|
6. Glavine |
5 |
|
6. Swindell |
5 |
|
8. Garcia |
4 |
|
8. Vazquez |
4 |
|
10. Lohse |
3 |
|
11. F. Rodriguez |
2 |
|
12. Lester |
1 |
|
12. Mussina |
1 |
Manila Folders (solo Matt and with Jed)
|
1. McGwire |
56 |
|
2. M. Williams |
19 |
|
3. O. Smith |
5 |
|
4. |
4 |
|
5. Whitaker |
3 |
|
5. D. |
3 |
|
5. Canseco |
3 |
|
8. J. Lopez |
2 |
|
9. Wilkins |
1 |
|
9. K. Millar |
1 |
|
9. Hoiles |
1 |
|
1. Ryan |
48 |
|
2. Appier |
7 |
|
1. Pujols |
76 |
|
2. R. Alomar |
34.5 |
|
3. M. Vaughn |
24 |
|
4. McGriff |
23 |
|
4. |
23 |
|
6. Ellsbury |
22 |
|
7. L. Gonzalez |
18 |
|
8. Alou |
16.5 |
|
9. B. Williams |
15 |
|
10. Hafner |
11 |
|
10. H. Ramirez |
11 |
|
12. Ortiz |
6 |
|
13. Justice |
4 |
|
13. Guerrero |
4 |
|
13. Craig |
4 |
|
13. Cirillo |
4 |
|
17. Segui |
1 |
|
17. Lankford |
1 |
|
17. Cano |
1 |
|
1. R. Johnson |
52 |
|
2. Clemens |
40 |
|
3. Wetteland |
34 |
|
4. Hoffman |
29 |
|
5. Kimbrel |
27 |
|
6.JR Richard |
25 |
|
7. Beck |
24 |
|
8. Peavy |
23 |
|
9. M. Morris |
13 |
|
9. Nagy |
13 |
|
11. Gagne |
11 |
|
12. Haren |
10 |
|
13. Wainright |
9 |
|
14. B. Jones |
7 |
|
15. M. Adams |
5 |
|
16. Cueto |
4 |
|
17. Fleming |
1 |
|
1. M. Ramirez |
74 |
|
2. Mitchell |
35 |
|
3. Cano |
32 |
|
4. Wright |
31 |
|
5. Sandberg |
27 |
|
6. |
21 |
|
7. |
8 |
|
8. Bagwell |
7 |
|
9. Glaus |
4 |
|
10. Vizquel |
3 |
|
11. Werth |
2 |
|
12. Van Slyke |
1 |
|
12. O. Cabrera |
1 |
|
12. Cuddyer |
1 |
|
1. Rivera |
57 |
|
2. R. Martinez |
32 |
|
3. Valenzuela |
25 |
|
4. Percival |
22 |
|
4. Willis |
22 |
|
6. D. Jones |
16 |
|
7. Chamberlain |
14 |
|
7. |
14 |
|
9. Leiter |
10 |
|
10. Brown |
9 |
|
10. Lilly |
9 |
|
12. Uehara |
8 |
|
13. Erickson |
6 |
|
14. Carpenter |
4 |
|
14. Harnisch |
4 |
|
16. Carmona |
3 |
|
16. Wagner |
3 |
|
18. Benson |
1 |
|
18. Langston |
1 |
How does the league do with its 1st pick overall? Who has had the most? Is there a difference in the top 3 picks? The answer to these questions and more drives this summer study. Below is a list of the top three draft picks each year, along with the decision of which of the top three picks was the best in hindsight. Wherever possible, I used the retrospective draft analyses – done by me through 2004, and Tom since 2005.
|
Year |
First pick overall |
2nd pick overall |
3rd pick overall |
Best pick |
|
1985 |
Gooden, T&A |
Sandberg, Joel |
Ripken, Robin |
Ripken, Robin (3) |
|
1986 |
Coleman, Matt |
S. Fernandez, Robin |
Guillen, Jed |
Fernandez, Robin (2) |
|
1987 |
Sierra, Arnie |
Canseco, Joel |
Eichhorn, Yitz |
Canseco, Joel (2) |
|
1988 |
McGwire, Matt |
Dunne, Dave |
B. Santiago, Arnie |
McGwire, Matt (1) |
|
1989 |
Jefferies, T&A |
Cone, Robin |
Belcher, Durga & Harold |
Cone, Robin (2) |
|
1990 |
Griffey Jr. T&A |
G. Olson, Durga & Harold |
A. Benes, Robin |
Griffey, T&A (1) |
|
1991 |
F. Thomas, Robin |
Justice, Arnie |
S. Alomar, Durga & Harold |
Thomas, Robin (1) |
|
1992 |
Plantier, Matt |
Barberie, Dave |
I. Rodriguez, Robin |
Rodriguez, Robin (3) |
|
1993 |
Schilling, Dave |
|
Eldred, Dave |
Schilling, Dave (1) |
|
1994 |
M. Ramirez, Harold |
Sele, Robin |
Bere, Land |
Ramirez, Harold (1) |
|
1995 |
A. Rod, Land |
Trachsel, Harold |
Klesko, Arnie |
A. Rod, Land (1)* |
|
1996 |
C. Johnson, Matt |
C. Jones, Dave & Jeff |
Nomo, Eric |
C. Jones, D&J (2) |
|
1997 |
Renteria. Jeff |
Radke, Matt |
A. Jones, Jed & Clint |
A. Jones, J&C (3) |
|
1998 |
Grieve, Robin |
V. Guerrero, Jed & Clint |
Alfonzo, Land & Brian |
Guerrero, J&C (2) |
|
1999 |
JD Drew, Eric |
O. Hernandez, Jed & Clint |
E. Chavez, Matt |
Chavez, Matt (3) |
|
2000 |
Benson, Harold |
Mateo, Harold |
Foulke, Eric |
Foulke, Eric (3) |
|
2001 |
Furcal, Matt |
Weaver, Jeff |
Vidro, Jeff |
Vidro, Jeff (3) |
|
2002 |
V. Guerrero. Jeff |
Oswalt, Robin |
Pujols, Arnie |
Pujols, Arnie (3) |
|
2003 |
Prior, Robin |
Beckett, Matt & Jed |
Clement, Eric |
Beckett, M&J (2) |
|
2004 |
M. Cabrera, Robin |
Webb, Matt & Jed |
Loaiza, Harold |
M. Cab, Robin (1) |
|
2005 |
Wright, Harold |
BJ Upton, Robin |
Mauer, Matt & Jed |
Wright, Harold (1) |
|
2006 |
F. Hernandez, Jed |
Patterson, Jeff |
Hermida, Harold |
Hernandez, Jed (1) |
|
2007 |
D. Young, Jeff |
Verlander, Eric |
A. Sanchez, Robin |
Verlander, Eric (2) |
|
2008 |
Carmona, Harold |
Lincecum, Eric |
Hamilton, Arnie |
Hamilton, Arnie (3) |
|
2009 |
Longoria, Jeff |
Bruce, RAT |
Dempster, Eric |
Longoria, Jeff (1) |
|
2010 |
Wieters, Arnie |
Hanson, Robin |
Zobrist, Harold |
Zobrist, Harold (3) |
|
2011 |
Posey, Robin |
Heyward, Jeff |
Stanton, Randy |
Stanton, Randy (3) |
|
2012 |
Lawrie, Jeff |
Trout, Tom |
Fister, Jed |
Trout, Tom (2) |
|
2013 |
Harper, Tom |
Cespedes, Harold |
Darvish, Robin |
Harper, Tom (1) |
|
2014 |
J. Fernandez, Harold |
Puig, Jeff |
Bogaerts, Jed |
Bogaerts, Jed (3) |
|
2015 |
Abreau, Jed |
Pederson, Eric |
Betts, Arnie |
Betts, Arnie (3) |
|
2016 |
Correa, Robin |
Lindor, Arnie |
Bryant, Harold |
Too soon |
* asshole
Summary
Total number of drafts: 31
Fairly even distribution actually. Sometimes, the best pick is clear and a consensus (examples, McGwire, Griffey, A. Rod). Sometimes the person with the first pick screws up badly by not choosing the consensus (choosing Lawrie over Trout for example) or choosing Phil Plantier over I. Rodriguez (or Mussina & Bagwell, also chosen in the first round of 1992’s draft).
But more often than not, the choice is not so clear cut. Many of these first rounders were chosen because of a great card rather than future potential, so it’s important to keep that in mind.
Other fun facts:
First pick overall
Robin 6
Matt 5
Harold 5
Jeff 5
RAT 3
Arnie 2
Jed 2
Eric 1
Tom 1
Dave 1
Land 1
With the demise of the Couch of Woe, a flurry of emails around the league brought to the forefront the always topical injury discussion. Seeing as it’s been 10 years since the last injury study, an update is in order.
Ideally, we would examine a historical list of all players who have gone on the DL, say, over the past 10 years, and add ‘em up. Or something like that. Although such data exists, it’s ridiculously difficult to sift through, while trying to determine which players were actually in the league at the time of the injury. So, I won’t.
Right now
At the all-star break, 42 of the league’s 360 players were on the DL, or 12%. They were spread not so evenly among the league’s teams. Unlike the all-star lists, you don’t want your team to be at or near the top:
NO – Vazquez, Morneau, A, Gordon, Wright, Wheeler, Strasburg, Werth, D. Gordon
BC – Mcab, Harrison, Cobb, Myers, Aoki, Odorizzi, Darvish
WES – Freeman, Cozart, Medlen, Garza, Holliday, D. Holland
PR – Dickerson, Weaver, Alvarez, Utley, Furbush, Zimmerman
ND – Perdoia, Nava, C Lee, Wainwright
OC – Mesoraco, Prado, d’Arnaud, Rendon, Bautista
FW – Springer, Stanton, Profar, A. Sanchez, Stroman, Scherzer
CN – W. Peralta, Doolittle, Adams
But that’s just a snapshot in time. It doesn’t prove anything and you can’t draw any conclusions from it. Indeed, the snapshot would’ve been different in May, and will be different again in September (except for people like Darvish, Wainwright, or Profar out for the season).
Pitchers get sore arms. Players pull hamstrings. These are normal, almost expected. But occasionally, weird, inexplicable injuries occur to players. Is this a random occurrence by team or not? Well, some teams clearly are more susceptible to weird injuries. Coincidence? At first I was going to list just the collection of some of the strangest injuries over the past 10 years affecting SOMBILLA players by team, but then I decided – what the heck, I’ll throw in all of the older weird injuries as well. (Listed in order of weird injury count):
Robin:
Eric
· Raul Ibanez missed time because of a sleeping injury. Seriously. It’s certainly not the most glamorous-sounding sports injury in history.
RAT
Arnie
Harold
Jeff
· Phillies reliever Antonio Bastardo was unavailable to pitch after he apparently was ticked off after allowing three runs (two charged to starter Cole Hamels) in relief against the Twins. The reliever took out his frustration on a squat machine, and the squat machine “returned the favor.” Bastardo reportedly ended up with a cut over his left eye, and the eye was nearly swollen shut.
· Texas Rangers shortstop Elvis Andrus was scratched from spring training action because of “sensitivity” in his left biceps. How did his arm get so irritated? From being tattooed for hours. Andrus spent nine hours getting a massive portrait of his father, Emilo, who died in 1996, tattooed on his left arm
· Michael Taylor sliced his finger after he hit his hand on a light fixture in the team’s dugout while throwing his gum away.
· Hisashi Iwakuma strained middle finger on his throwing hand. However, the injury didn’t happen while he was throwing. Instead, he got it caught in a net, the protective movable screen used for batting practice.
· Miami Marlins pitcher Henderson Alvarez was scratched from a start because of an infection in his right shin from an ingrown hair.
Jed
Tom
· Bryce Harper took 10 stitches above his left eye after smashing a bat against a wall in frustration.
· “The ham and cheese sandwich that attacked Matt Cain”. All right, to be technical, it wasn’t the ham, the cheese or the sandwich itself that assaulted Cain. It was the knife he was using to finish off that sandwich. Cain told the San Francisco Chronicle’s Henry Schulman that he’s managed to successfully make sandwiches, and cut them with a knife, many times. But with this one, he “went to cut it, to make it fancy in triangles.” And, alas, the knife cut more than his fancy this time. He was slicing away when he dropped the knife, tried to catch it and learned an important lesson: Knives are sharp. That’s why they’re used to cut fancy triangles in sandwiches instead of, say, fingers.
· In 2006, Matt Wise cut his hand on salad tongs at the team buffet.
· In 2011, Indians' rookie Jason Kipnis strained his hamstring while stretching to avoid, you know, straining his hamstring.
· Who can forget Kendry Morales, who went from elation to disappointment in a matter of seconds as he broke his leg celebrating a walkoff grand slam against Seattle. The injury caused him to miss the rest of the season.
On a more somber note, a few SOMBILLA players have actually died while on active rosters, none in the past 10 years, thankfully:
Conclusion.
It may not be entirely based on a statistically valid sample size, but Robin’s team does appear to have an inordinate number of both normal (see current DL) and weird injuries and deaths, heading up every category in this unscientific study. The Couch of Woe Effect is real. But will it be sustained?
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Back by popular demand, after a 9-year absence…The Cute Ratings! By Robin Perlow, guest columnist
To no one’s surprise, the team with the most cute players, and the cutest player in the SOMBILLA, is Bay City, sporting just over half a cute roster with 23 cuties. The team with the fewest is The Pierogies, with only 12 cute players, but it does feature the winner of “cutest newly discovered cute player” (someone whom I did not know what he looked like prior to assembling the rankings): pitcher Jarred Cosart. Below are the fascinating details (teams ranked least cute to most cute). Note that three teams are tied with 16:
The Pierogies—12: Catcher Norris loses out because of his 2014 Reddickian facial hair. Fewest number of cute pitchers with just 4. Would have even fewer if not for attractive draft (Pederson, G. Richards, R. Castillo, A Wood, and the aforementioned Cosart).
“What Eric Said”—16: The least cute of the three with 16 cuties due to deductions for extreme unattractiveness of Broxton, Buchholz, and Garza. Jeff’s infielder Cozart no match for Eric’s pitcher Cosart. Note that one of his cuties is former Bay Cityite (drafted but cut in the waiver draft) Jack Marisnick.
Oceanus—16: Boosted by Xander Bogaerts but undercut by Pat Neshek. Does have one of the top 5 cutest in Chris Archer. Scott Van Slyke, unlike his father, Andy, is not cute. Tied with Constantinople for cutest infield in number of players with 7, but Bogaerts the tie-breaker.
North Dakota—16: The cutest of the 16ers thanks to the Yankees’ no-beard policy. Andrew Miller exceptionally cute clean-shaven (although I prefer him with longer hair). Arnie’s draft also helped overall team attractiveness (Betts, DeGrom, Miller, Kiermaier, Gillaspie, Chris Taylor).
Future Wax—17: Second-cutest pitching staff (to mine) with
10. Greinke, Hamels, Kershaw make a good-looking 1-2-3 rotation. I prefer Aybar
and McCutchen with longer hair, but they are still attractive enough with short
hair to make the list.
Constantinople—19: Tied for cutest infield with Oceanus with
7. Sean Doolittle a detriment. Note that former Bay Cityite Kevin Siegrist
makes the list (if I had assembled my cut list by looks, I’d have done better
than I did by assembling by usability).
New Orleans—20: I gave both Jason Werth and Robinson Cano a half point each (Cano apparently started growing a beard the day he left the Yankees), as each would be cute clean-shaven. Sports the cutest outfield with 6.5 (everyone but Pompey and Santana). Harvey, Gray, Fernandez an attractive top 3 starting rotation. Quackenbush’s hideous beard and Joba Chamberlain bring down an otherwise very cute team. Note that former Bay Cityites Huston Street and Michael Cuddyer make the list.
Bay City—23: Features the “Cutest Player in the SOMBILLA” in former Head & Shoulders spokesman CJ Wilson (now out for the season, and, according to Dave Pinto, disliked by his teammates on the Angels). Unbeknownst to me, I drafted an extremely attractive pitcher in AJ Ramos. Reddick forgoing the “Rip Van Reddick” beard helps immensely [see comment on Norris], as does Danny Espinosa shaving the horrendous mustache he sported in Spring Training.
The rest of the league is closing the gap a bit; in 2006, I
had 21 cuties and the second-cutest team (A-51) had only 14.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For the next study, I decided to do the SOMBILLA Summer
Newsletter’s first tournament. I originally wanted to do a 16-team tourney
with the last 16 SOMBILLA Champions.
<Stepping onto soapbox>
Unfortunately, due to Strat-O’s arcane ‘key system’ for each computer year purchased, it is difficult to access past seasons, that had been downloaded onto a different computer. As I’ve complained about here before, Strat-O refuses to help, you are not only supposed to have kept the access code, but also be able to access the old computer’s hard drive to relinquish the one authorized code back to the “cloud” so you can download it onto the new computer. Ridiculous.
<Stepping off of soapbox>
I was able to access all of the past 8 seasons, which is at
least a nice geometric number. But an 8 team tournament is kind of boring, so
I took all 16 of the SOMBILLA’s World Series participant teams over the last 8
seasons. I thought about making it a 32-team tournament, using all 32 playoff
teams from the past 8 years, but it is labor intensive trying to ensure each
team has the correct roster as used (for most teams, they reflect my estimate
of the 25-man roster that I set up, and do not include in-season trades). So
16 it was. (Maybe next year I’ll have time to add the rest of the playoff
teams and let Jed and Jeff play.)
All managers are represented, except Jeff and Jed. Jeff has
not made it into the SOMBILLA World Series since he won the Championship in
2003. In the 12 years since then, he has lost in the first round of the
playoffs 4 times, including last season.
However, Jed blows that away. He has not appeared in the SOMBILLA World Series since 1990, when he managed the Plymouth Satellites to the 11th inning of the 7th game against legendary Yoknapatawpha (44-12). We all remember that one:
**POST MORTEM** About 2 or 3 days after the series,
Eric discovered to his horror and dismay that in the 9th inning of game 6,
Barrett, who botched a squeeze just before Jones's single won it, was
ineligible to pinch-hit for Uribe because no one was left to play shortstop.
What to do? Replay it from there, and then possibly replay game 7? (Horrors!)
Eric first consulted Jed, and then me. Both Jed and I came to the following
independent conclusions:
1. Barrett's at bat was inconsequential - he screwed
up; it was T. Jones who won the game.
2. If the games were replayed and Jed won, it would be
a 'tainted' victory.
Because Jed & I came to the same conclusions on our own, it was agreed by
all three of us to let the games stand. Thus, it is Eric who has the 'tainted'
victory. (Just kidding).
Anyway, Jed, both solo and co-owning (Clint and Matt) has lost in the first round of the playoffs 6 times in the past 25 years, having gone 14 seasons, from ’92-93 to ’05-06, without even making the playoffs.
Anyway, Eric has 4 teams in this tournament – 2 as The Cheddarmen, and one each as Go Avocado! and Dem Bums. Future Wax and New Orleans have 3 teams each, while Bay City, New Orleans, and North Dakota have two teams each.
For seeding, the World Series winning teams were seeded 1-8 of course. For those 8 teams, I used their teams’ post-season records. Three teams had 8-3 post-season records, so to break the tie, I went with regular season wins. Eric had the top two seeded teams. The number 1 seeded team in the tournament was Dem Bums ’09-10, which went 8-3 in the post-season after going 34-20 in the regular season.
Seeds 9-16 were the World Series losers, seeded in order of regular season wins. Interestingly, none of those 8 teams had the same number of wins, so I didn’t need to have a 2nd tiebreaker rule.
Here are the teams seeded 1-16:
9. Future Wax ’09-10
10. Go Avocado! ’10-11
11. New Orleans ’08-09
12. Constantinople ’13-14
13. The Cheddarmen ’12-13
14. New Orleans ’14-15
15. Bay City ’11-12
16. Bay City ’07-08
This sets up a rematch of two actual SOMBILLA World Series
in the first round - ’11-12 Cheddarmen/Bay City (2 vs 15 seed) and ’12-13
Cheddarmen/North Dakota (5 vs 12 seed).
Round 1:
(Seeding in parenthesis)
(8) 2010 NEW Defeats (9) 2009 RAT 4 games to 0(10) 2010 GOA Defeats (7) 2008 CON 4 games to 3(6) 2014 RAT Defeats (11) 2008 NEW 4 games to 2(5) 2007 WAX Defeats (12) 2013 CON 4 games to 1(13) 2012 CHE Defeats (4) 2012 NDK 4 games to 0(3) 2013 NDK Defeats (14) 2014 NEW 4 games to 1(15) 2011 BAY Defeats (2) 2011 CHE 4 games to 3(1) 2009 DBM Defeats (16) 2007 BAY 4 games to 1
Biggest upset of the first round? The 2011—2012 rematch – this time Bay City shocks Dem Bums in 7 games (Eric won the original in 5 games). The only other series to go 7 games was Eric’s ’10-11 Dem Bums knocking off ’08-09 CN in 7 games (CN’s World Series champs actually finished 4th that year at 27-29, so perhaps a no. 7 seed was a mistake). Eric’s teams went 3-1 overall, only Robin’s upset prevented him from claiming 4 of the 8 teams in the 2nd round. Randy’s 3 teams were 2-1. CN’s two teams were knocked out, leaving 5 managers still in it. Only 5 of the original World Series winners (the top 8 seeds) won in the first round.
Here is the first round leaderboardTOURNAMENT REAP REPORT - JulyMadness BATTING AVERAGE HOME RUNS RUNS BATTED INM.Young CHE .579 M.Ramirez DBM 5 A.Torres BAY 11
N.Markaki NEW .542 C.Pena CON 5 D.Fowler NDK 10
Y.Molina CHE .500 A.Huff DBM 4 A.Huff DBM 9
J.Thome WAX .471 A.Torres BAY 4 M.Napoli NEW 9
C.Utley CHE .462 OTHERS TIED W 3 OTHERS TIED W 8
WINS SAVES ERAJ.Peavy NDK 2 R.Soriano DBM 3 MANY TIED WIT 0.00
C.Kershaw RAT 2 J.Papelbo CON 3
J.Weaver* DBM 2 H.Kuo BAY 3
OTHERS TIED W 1 OTHERS TIED W 2
CUR HIT STREAK STOLEN BASES STRIKEOUTSC.Crawfor DBM 7 C.Crawfor DBM 3 J.Santana WAX 21
R.Martin CON 7 J.Reyes WAX 3 T.Lincecu DBM 19
A.Gonzale BAY 6 OTHERS TIED W 2 J.Weaver DBM 19
OTHERS TIED W 5 T.Lincecu DBM 19
OTHERS TIED W 17
Round 2:
So, we’re down to the Elite Eight. Here are the remaining teams:
1. Dem Bums ’09-10
3. North Dakota ’13-145. Future Wax ’07-086. Future Wax ’14-158. New Orleans ’10-11 10. Go Avocado! ’10-11
13. The Cheddarmen ’12-13 15. Bay City ’11-12 No rematches here, although ’11-12 Bay City, after knocking off #2 seed The Cheddarmen, is once again matched up against Eric, this time the #1 seed. Can they do it again? (6) 2014 RAT Defeats (8) 2010 NEW 4 games to 2(10) 2010 GOA Defeats (5) 2007 WAX 4 games to 3(13) 2012 CHE Defeats (3) 2013 NDK 4 games to 1(1) 2009 DBM Defeats (15) 2011 BAY 4 games to 2 No. And, after ’12-13 Cheddarmen upsets #3 seed ’13-14 North Dakota, Eric owns 3 of the Final Four teams. That ’12-13 Cheddarmen team, which lost the World Series to North Dakota in 5 games, is now 8-1 in the tournament. Here are the leaders after two rounds: BATTING AVERAGE HOME RUNS RUNS BATTED INN.Markaki NEW .542 A.Huff DBM 8 A.Huff DBM 18
M.Young CHE .472 M.Ramirez DBM 6 B.McCann WAX 15
P.Fielder CHE .472 L.Berkman WAX 6 L.Berkman WAX 12
P.Burrell CON .455 J.Thome WAX 6 J.Upton RAT 12
OTHERS TIED W .429 OTHERS TIED W 5 A.Torres BAY 12
WINS SAVES ERAC.Kershaw RAT 3 S.Downs DBM 4 J.Howell RAT 0.00
OTHERS TIED W 2 OTHERS TIED W 3 I.Kennedy NDK 0.00
J.Weaver CHE 0.59
K.Correia CON 0.84
C.Kershaw RAT 1.09
CUR HIT STREAK STOLEN BASES STRIKEOUTSR.Zimmerm DBM 12 J.Reyes WAX 4 M.Bumgarn RAT 32
B.McCann WAX 11 M.Bourn CHE 4 T.Lincecu DBM 32
B.Zobrist NEW 9 B.Upton BAY 4 J.Santana WAX 30
M.Cabrera BAY 9 OTHERS TIED W 3 M.Scherze RAT 27
C.Utley CHE 8 T.Lincecu DBM 25
Round 3 – the Final Four
It’s the Eric show! (And I don’t mean former North Dakota pitcher Eric Show). Only last year’s champion Future Wax cracks the Eric monopoly. Eric impressively has three different team names as well:
(1) Dem Bums ’09-10 vs. (13) The Cheddarmen ’12-13
(6) Future Wax ’14-15 vs. (10) Go Avocado ’10-11
Dem Bums 10 The Cheddarmen 1
The Cheddarmen 3 Dem Bums 1
The Cheddarmen 4 Dem Bums 3
The Cheddarmen 5 Dem Bums 4
The Cheddarmen 7 Dem Bums 6
The Cheddarmen wins 4 games to 1
Go Avocado! 9 Future Wax 5Go Avocado! 3 Future Wax 2Future Wax 7 Go Avocado! 1Future Wax 6 Go Avocado! 5Go Avocado! 2 Future Wax 1Go Avocado! 7 Future Wax 5 Go Avocado! wins 4 games to 2 World Series
It’s the team that lost the World Series to North Dakota in 5 games (13th seeded The Cheddarmen ’12-13) vs. the team that lost the World Series to New Orleans in 7 games (10th seeded Go Avocado! ’10-11).
Game 1 – The Cheddarmen 9 Go Avocado! 7
Win:Verlander(1-0) Loss:Wilson(0-1) Save:Betancourt(1st)Homeruns- P.Fielder(1st), A.Gonzalez(1st), T.Tulowitzki(1st), M.Ramirez(1st) Michael Young had 4 hits and scored 3 times at the ballpark as TheCheddarmen club beat the Go Avocado!2011 ballclub by the count of 9 to7.Justin Verlander(1-0) was pleased to get credit for the victory with a lot of help from his teammates. Game 2 – Go Avocado! 4 The Cheddarmen 3 Win:Lincecum(1-0) Loss:Weaver(0-1) Save:Franklin(1st)Homeruns- P.Fielder-2(3rd) Prince Fielder rocketed 2 homeruns as the Go Avocado!2011 team defeated theThe Cheddarmen ballclub by the score of 4 to 3 at the ballpark. Tim Lincecum(1-0) was very good in the win. He allowed only 6 hits and nowalks in 8 innings. Game 3 – Go Avocado! 4 The Cheddarmen 2 Win:Wuertz(1-0) Loss:Papelbon(0-1) Save:Thatcher(1st) In a tight game it was the Go Avocado!2011 team 4, The Cheddarmen club 2in 13 innings at the ballpark. The score was knotted at 1 after nine innings. Go Avocado!2011 ended upwinning it in the 13th inning. After an out was recorded, Troy Tulowitzkistarted the rally when he drew a walk. Ryan Zimmerman followed and hedoubled. Ryan Sweeney then doubled. Game 4 Go Avocado! 5 The Cheddarmen 3 Center fielder Nyjer Morgan had 2 base hits as the Go Avocado!2011 teamdefeated The Cheddarmen club by a score of 5 to 3 at the ballpark. Go Avocado!2011 won the game with a rally in the top of the 9th inning with 2runs on 3 base hits. Manny Ramirez led off the inning for Go Avocado!2011when he slapped a single. J.D. Drew was next and he stroked a single.Yadier Molina then slapped a one-base hit. Morgan was up next and he workedthe squeeze play to perfection. Game 5 The Cheddarmen 2 Go Avocado! 0 Justin Verlander took a no-hitter into the 7th inning as The Cheddarmenclub defeated the Go Avocado!2011 team by a score of 2 to 0 at theballpark. Verlander(2-0) was simply too much for the Go Avocado!2011 batters. He didn'tgive up much, just 1 hit and 1 walk in 7 and 2/3 innings. Verlander rackedup 10 strikeouts, seeing his ERA drop from 9.95 to 4.50. The right-handedVerlander lost his no-hit bid when Adrian Gonzalez doubled with two outs inthe 7th inning. Game 6 Go Avocado! 6 The Cheddarmen 5 Win:Lincecum(2-0) Loss:Weaver(0-2) Save:Franklin(2nd)Homeruns- T.Tulowitzki(1st), P.Fielder-2(6th), T.Tulowitzki(2nd) Designated hitter Prince Fielder launched 2 homeruns and had 5 RBI and TimLincecum mowed down 12 Cheddarmen batters at the ballpark where the GoAvocado!2011 team beat The Cheddarmen club by the score of 6 to 5. The home town fans were very appreciative of the fine hitting performanceprovided by Fielder. He lost the ball over the fence for three runs in the3rd inning and cleared the fences for a two-run home run in the 5th inning.The Cheddarmen threatened in the 9th but their rally came up short. The win went to Lincecum(2-0), who allowed 3 runs in 8 innings. Ryan Franklinearned his 2nd save. Jered Weaver(0-2) was the losing pitcher. When asked about his strikeout total for the game, Lincecum offered, 'Thefans really got into it. It is fun to see them tally up the strikeouttotals up there in the stands. Fortunately, I kept them busy this afternoon- of course, it would be all for naught without the 'W'.' Go Avocado! wins the Series (and the tournament) 4 games to 2
World Series MVP: Prince Fielder. Go Avocado! .259, 6 homers, 12 rbi’s.
As suggested by Eric (gee, I wonder why). Who has the best post-season record compared to their regular season record? Who is the worst? Normally, I get around to updating the all-time regular season and post-season totals per manager in September, just before the SOMBILLA season begins. I went ahead and did it a little earlier this year – these include the season just concluded:
|
Regular season |
|
|
|
|
Post season |
|
|
|
|
W |
L |
Pct. |
W |
L |
Pct |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Randy Divinski |
633 |
434 |
.593 |
|
Eric Robinson |
90 |
63 |
.588 |
|
Jed Corman |
594 |
497 |
.544 |
|
Tom Kinney |
48 |
40 |
.545 |
|
Tom Kinney |
486 |
409 |
.543 |
|
Randy Divinski |
77 |
78 |
.497 |
|
Arnie Pollinger |
979 |
864 |
.531 |
|
Jed Corman |
53 |
56 |
.486 |
|
Harold Mellor |
748 |
677 |
.525 |
|
Harold Mellor |
65 |
72 |
.474 |
|
Eric Robinson |
943 |
882 |
.517 |
|
Arnie Pollinger |
74 |
86 |
.463 |
|
Robin Perlow |
773 |
933 |
.453 |
|
Jeff Donahue |
15 |
18 |
.455 |
|
Jeff Donahue |
452 |
575 |
.440 |
|
Robin Perlow |
27 |
35 |
.435 |
So who has the biggest discrepancy? Here are the results of Post-season winning percentage minus Regular season winning percentage:
|
Manager |
Post season pct minus Regular season pct |
|
|
|
|
Eric |
+ .071 |
|
Jeff |
+ .015 |
|
Tom |
+ .002 |
|
Robin |
- .018 |
|
Harold |
- .051 |
|
Jed |
-. 058 |
|
Arnie |
- .068 |
|
Randy |
-.096 |
Big surprise there. The past two seasons have not knocked Eric off the top of the heap. (Indeed he still had a winning pct in the post-season of 2012-2013 despite losing the World Series in 5 games, thanks to sweeping Randy in the first round). Biggest post-season disappointment? Randy, almost 100 percentage points lower when March rolls around than in the regular season. Jeff, with one World Series crown, is a surprising 2nd, although his league-worst regular season winning percentage is a major factor.
As expected, the league fares worse, relatively speaking, in the post-season than in the regular season. What? How’s that now? Isn’t the aggregate winning pct for all teams .500 in both the regular season and the post-season? Yes. But not all teams get the chance to count toward that aggregate .500 post-season percentage. Only the best 4 teams move on and get to play in March. So, the regular season winning percentage of those teams who play in the playoffs is > .500, yet they play only .500 ball in March. Therefore, it’s logical that the regular season percentage should be higher than post-season pct for most teams.
Note that the winning percentages of the eight active managers is not .500 (it is .515), because it does not account for the combined totals of the rest (Clint, Matt, Dave, Land, Tsuan, Andrew, Brian, Tom M., Ritchie Dudek, Yitz and Durga)
Anyway, that was an easy one. Thanks, Eric.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Last summer we studied home and away records and concluded that Jed is the best manager at maximizing his ballpark dimensions to suit his team. This summer we ask different questions – what ballparks does each manager like to choose? How much do ballpark designs fluctuate from year to year? Which managers prefer hitter’s parks, average parks, and pitchers’ parks? What about fences (what about them)?
First, the raw data. Here are lists of every manager’s ballpark dimensions going back ten seasons. (These are readily available on the SOMBILLA website. Going back further than that would require a trip into the attic and digging through old newsletters, not gonna happen). Note that for Jed’s first two seasons in this study (’04-05 and ‘-05-’06, he shared a team with Matt, so Matt gets his nose into this study a little bit as well.
|
Home Runs |
Singles |
Fences |
|
|
|
Home Runs |
Singles |
Fences |
|
||||
|
|
L |
R |
L |
R |
|
Season |
|
|
L |
R |
L |
R |
|
Season |
Arnie |
11 |
11 |
5 |
5 |
High |
13-14 |
|
Harold |
8 |
8 |
19 |
19 |
High |
13-14 |
|
Ar |
14 |
18 |
5 |
8 |
Low |
12-13 |
|
|
18 |
18 |
19 |
19 |
High |
12-13 |
|
|
3 |
11 |
6 |
13 |
Low |
11-12 |
|
|
1 |
1 |
13 |
7 |
High |
11-12 |
|
|
7 |
15 |
13 |
19 |
Low |
10-11 |
|
|
1 |
1 |
15 |
9 |
High |
10-11 |
|
|
9 |
12 |
7 |
7 |
High |
09-10 |
|
|
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
High |
09-10 |
|
|
7 |
5 |
12 |
18 |
High |
08-09 |
|
|
2 |
5 |
15 |
15 |
High |
08-09 |
|
|
13 |
13 |
6 |
9 |
High |
07-08 |
|
|
19 |
19 |
19 |
19 |
High |
07-08 |
|
|
4 |
7 |
7 |
16 |
High |
06-07 |
|
|
19 |
19 |
19 |
19 |
High |
06-07 |
|
|
8 |
15 |
6 |
6 |
High |
05-06 |
|
|
10 |
1 |
10 |
4 |
High |
05-06 |
|
|
4 |
4 |
6 |
9 |
High |
04-05 |
|
|
19 |
19 |
4 |
4 |
High |
04-05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tom |
19 |
7 |
7 |
1 |
Split |
13-14 |
|
Randy |
16 |
8 |
10 |
10 |
Low |
13-14 |
|
|
10 |
19 |
13 |
19 |
High |
12-13 |
|
|
11 |
17 |
14 |
17 |
Low |
12-13 |
|
|
1 |
1 |
17 |
17 |
High |
11-12 |
|
|
10 |
5 |
13 |
8 |
Low |
11-12 |
|
|
17 |
17 |
19 |
19 |
High |
10-11 |
|
|
10 |
7 |
10 |
13 |
High |
10-11 |
|
|
3 |
10 |
10 |
19 |
Low |
09-10 |
|
|
1 |
8 |
5 |
14 |
Split |
09-10 |
|
|
19 |
12 |
19 |
12 |
High |
08-09 |
|
|
12 |
5 |
12 |
5 |
High |
08-09 |
|
|
19 |
19 |
19 |
19 |
Low |
07-08 |
|
|
19 |
9 |
19 |
9 |
High |
07-08 |
|
|
5 |
18 |
19 |
19 |
High |
06-07 |
|
|
18 |
10 |
19 |
15 |
Split |
06-07 |
|
|
1 |
10 |
10 |
19 |
High |
05-06 |
|
|
18 |
9 |
18 |
9 |
Low |
05-06 |
|
|
19 |
19 |
19 |
19 |
High |
04-05 |
|
|
19 |
7 |
15 |
11 |
Low |
04-05 |
|
|
Home Runs |
Singles |
Fences |
|
|
|
Home Runs |
Singles |
Fences |
|
||||
|
|
L |
R |
L |
R |
|
Season |
|
|
L |
R |
L |
R |
|
Season |
|
Robin |
6 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
High |
13-14 |
|
Jeff |
1 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
Low |
13-14 |
|
|
14 |
11 |
5 |
7 |
High |
12-13 |
|
|
10 |
10 |
9 |
9 |
Low |
12-13 |
|
|
10 |
10 |
14 |
14 |
High |
11-12 |
|
|
1 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
Low |
11-12 |
|
|
12 |
9 |
5 |
2 |
High |
10-11 |
|
|
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
High |
10-11 |
|
|
7 |
7 |
4 |
4 |
High |
09-10 |
|
|
4 |
10 |
9 |
9 |
Low |
09-10 |
|
|
15 |
15 |
5 |
5 |
High |
08-09 |
|
|
8 |
14 |
6 |
9 |
High |
08-09 |
|
|
11 |
14 |
11 |
11 |
High |
07-08 |
|
|
11 |
8 |
4 |
4 |
High |
07-08 |
|
|
3 |
16 |
3 |
11 |
High |
06-07 |
|
|
14 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
High |
06-07 |
|
|
15 |
19 |
7 |
7 |
High |
05-06 |
|
|
4 |
13 |
11 |
11 |
High |
05-06 |
|
|
7 |
11 |
5 |
11 |
High |
04-05 |
|
|
14 |
14 |
12 |
9 |
Split |
04-05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Eric |
3 |
3 |
11 |
8 |
Low |
13-14 |
|
Jed |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
High |
13-14 |
|
|
5 |
2 |
9 |
5 |
Split |
12-13 |
|
|
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
High |
12-13 |
|
|
7 |
14 |
6 |
6 |
Low |
11-12 |
|
|
14 |
19 |
10 |
10 |
High |
11-12 |
|
|
17 |
17 |
7 |
7 |
High |
10-11 |
|
|
14 |
5 |
11 |
5 |
High |
10-11 |
|
|
17 |
17 |
7 |
7 |
High |
09-10 |
|
|
1 |
1 |
10 |
5 |
Split |
09-10 |
|
|
16 |
13 |
7 |
7 |
Split |
08-09 |
|
|
4 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
High |
08-09 |
|
|
11 |
16 |
8 |
3 |
High |
07-08 |
|
|
7 |
14 |
7 |
14 |
High |
07-08 |
|
|
8 |
15 |
5 |
5 |
High |
06-07 |
|
|
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
High |
06-07 |
|
|
7 |
13 |
7 |
7 |
High |
05-06 |
|
Jed & Matt |
8 |
10 |
10 |
13 |
High |
05-06 |
|
|
15 |
15 |
10 |
10 |
High |
04-05 |
|
Jed & Matt |
8 |
10 |
13 |
15 |
High |
04-05 |
|
So, what parks does every manager choose, on average? Here is the answer – each manager’s average park over the past 10 seasons, rounded to the nearest integer: Average Ballparks for last 10 years |
|
||||
|
|
Home Runs |
Singles |
|
||
|
|
L |
R |
L |
R |
Index |
|
Tom |
11 |
13 |
15 |
16 |
186 |
|
Randy |
13 |
9 |
14 |
11 |
159 |
|
Harold |
10 |
9 |
13 |
12 |
145 |
|
Eric |
11 |
13 |
8 |
7 |
144 |
|
Robin |
10 |
12 |
6 |
7 |
136 |
|
Arnie |
8 |
11 |
7 |
11 |
132 |
|
Jeff |
7 |
9 |
6 |
6 |
106 |
|
Jed |
6 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
93 |
The “Index” is calculated as an estimate of the standard OPS (On base + Slugging) function, where Home Runs yield a “4” for Slugging, while Singles are a “1”. And both HR and singles are a “1” for On base. This yields an Index = (5 x (HR vs L + HR vs R)) + (2 x (S vs. L + S vs. R)).
Tom clearly is the manager who likes hitters’ parks the most, leading or tying for the lead in 3 of the 4 categories for highest average ballpark number, while Jed is the most pitchers’ park-oriented manager.
Using these calculated Indexes, we can slot each manager’s tendencies on a year by year basis. A true average park (1-10 for everything) yields an Index of 140. So, I used a range of 120-160 to depict an average park, while any ballpark > 160 is a hitters’ park, and any park < 120 is a pitchers’ park.
|
|
Pitchers park |
Ave park |
Hitters park |
|
|
< 120 |
120-160 |
> 160 |
|
Tom |
2 |
2 |
6 |
|
Randy |
3 |
2 |
5 |
|
Harold |
5 |
1 |
4 |
|
Eric |
2 |
4 |
4 |
|
Robin |
3 |
4 |
3 |
|
Arnie |
3 |
5 |
2 |
|
Jeff |
6 |
3 |
1 |
|
Jed |
5 |
4 |
1 |
Tom is most likely to choose a hitters’ park, followed closely by Randy. Jed and Jeff have chosen a hitters’ park just once in the last 10 years.
Boring Arnie is the most likely manager to choose an average park, although Eric, Robin and Jed appear to be fond of average parks as well. Extremist Harold is least likely to choose an average park. No surprise there.
Jeff is the most likely to choose a pitchers’ park, followed closely by Harold and Jed.
What about ballpark variations? Who wildly jumps around from year to year? Who is fairly consistent from year to year? We can answer these questions with Excel’s Standard Deviation function. The higher the standard deviation, the higher the variance from year to year in ballpark dimensions. Conversely, the lower the standard deviation, the more consistency from year to year:
|
Standard Deviation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Home Runs |
Singles |
|
||
|
|
L |
R |
L |
R |
Total SDEV |
|
Eric |
5 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
14 |
|
Robin |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
16 |
|
Arnie |
4 |
4 |
3 |
5 |
16 |
|
Jeff |
5 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
16 |
|
Randy |
6 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
17 |
|
Jed |
5 |
6 |
4 |
5 |
20 |
|
Tom |
8 |
6 |
4 |
6 |
24 |
|
Harold |
8 |
8 |
6 |
7 |
30 |
Remember, those numbers represent standard deviation from year to year, not the actual ballpark numbers (i.e. 1-8 or something). The most consistent ballpark chooser? Eric! You can see this from the first table, which shows the actual ballparks chosen every year. Eric’s had ballpark singles 1-7 for three years in a row (and for four of the 10 seasons). Indeed his ballpark single Standard Deviations of “2” for both sides are the lowest SDEV for anyone. At the other end is extremist Harold, who bounces wildly from extreme hitters’ park to extreme pitchers’ park willy nilly, much to the confusion of his fan base.
Finally, what about Fences? (Yes, what about them?)
|
|
|
Fences |
|
|
|
|
|
High |
Low |
Split |
|
Robin |
|
10 |
0 |
0 |
|
Harold |
|
10 |
0 |
0 |
|
Jed |
|
9 |
0 |
1 |
|
Tom |
|
7 |
2 |
1 |
|
Arnie |
|
7 |
3 |
0 |
|
Eric |
|
6 |
2 |
2 |
|
Jeff |
|
5 |
4 |
1 |
|
Randy |
|
3 |
5 |
2 |
“Split” means that half the fence is high, and half is low. Robin and Harold have never had low fences! Robin’s choice is out of moral opposition to the entire robbing HR rule; she’d have high fences even with “1”’s at every OF position. Jed is close to their High Fence perfection as well. Meanwhile, Randy has had high fences only 3 times in 10 seasons, splitting his fences in two years, same as Eric.
-------------------------------------------------------------
This past season, Harold got swept (by me) on the final night of the regular season. This annoyed both Robin (who got knocked out of the thing-off) and Jeff (who got knocked out of the playoffs). Harold asks, what are the W-L statistics for teams that have a chance to be in the rolloff during the final weekend of the season? In other words, is tanking really an issue as an incentive to getting a better draft pick?
Of course, we instituted the “thing-off” years ago for this very reason - to eliminate excessive focus on the final standings (a la the NBA) and therefore reduce the incentive to tank games. Nevertheless, the incentive still exists.
I went back 10 years for this one.
>>- Digression <<- In going through old Twits
Notes, I came across this entry for Twits Notes dated 2/13/2005, describing the
annual ice hockey game on the backyard rink: “It took 12 long months of
frustration for Matt and Arnie to extract revenge on the ice, but after an exhausting
15 minutes of action, (bolstered by replacement player callup Tom), they
finally eeked out a victory over Harold and Jeff, 3-2.
The ice was pristine early in the morning when Harold's family arrived, but
with the blaring sun, temps climbing into the high 30's and 6 kids feverishly
skating up and down the rink for 3+ hours, conditions had deteriorated to slush
and divots by the 1:30 game time.
Nevertheless a crowd of spouses and children provided the extra adrenaline for
the five aging gladiators to put on a show. The best action was provided
during the first half of the game which remained scoreless as fresh legs
focused on defense at all costs. Jeff broke free and finally scored the
first goal, but a nice feed from Tom to Matt tied it up. Fast and furious
action then produced a wild scramble in front of the net, and Arnie
("Espo") whacked in a loose puck from the side of the net to make it
2-1. A defensive breakdown left Jeff alone in front for the tying goal,
2-2. A barely perceptible, but clearly audible, sigh of relief was heard
at the announcement of "next goal wins". The extra man proved
to be the difference as Harold and Jeff were spread too thin to prevent some
nice passing from the trio, leaving Arnie alone in front to poke in the winning
goal. The crowd applauded, the players collapsed on the ice, the dog
barked, and this year's SOMBILLA hockey challenge drew to a close.”
Anyway, back to the study:
2005: The final night of the season had all the teams playing at once. All 4 series had something at stake as Robin, Matt, Eric and Arnie all battled for the final playoff spot, while Tom & Randy had to settle first place, and even Jeff needed to cement 3rd place. When Eric and Robin both won their first games against Harold and Tom respectively to start the night, things looked interesting. But then ND came from behind to beat Randy and hang onto a 2 game lead for 4th with 3 to play. FW came back to win game 2, but Eric couldn't capitalize on this, falling to Harold to remain 2 games out of the playoffs with 2 to go. Robin beat Tom again to stay alive to also remain 2 games out. Matt, meanwhile was eliminated early on, but still seemed to enjoy himself.
No evidence of tanking there, as far as I can tell.
2006: A controversial one-game playoff between Arnie and Randy resulted from the final weekend. Harold, Jeff and Matt were all safely out of the playoffs by the final weekend.
More old fun describing this controversial one-game playoff:
The one-game playoff of 2006.
The first controversy erupted when North Dakota ended the 56 game season with
only 2 innings of relief left for the one-game playoff. And starter Randy
Johnson had only 4 1/3 inns available. The only other ND eligible starter was
Escobar. Did Escobar have to start? Could Randy Johnson start?
What happens after 6 1/3 innings? A flurry of e-mails skyrocketed
around the league - with well-thought out issues, proposals, indignations and
controversy. Finally, ND sent an e-mail entitled "I DON'T GIVE A SHIT
ANYMORE" and agreed to adopt the FW proposal:
"OK, Randy Johnson will start this game in one hour. He will pitch 4
1/3 innings. Then I have three relievers available to pitch 2 1/3
innings. That's right, 2 1/3 innings. I audited all of my innings for the
entire year and found another 1/3 inning. Then after 6 2/3 innings,
whoever is on the mound will be tired for the rest of the game.
And I'm going to kick your ass."
FW won the game 7 -3.
The next morning (Sun. 3/4), Randy sent the following e-mail to the league:
"I was sitting down this morning to write to you all about the exciting
season finale in which Jim Edmonds went 4-4, with 3 doubles and a home run, for
5 RBIs, leading Future Wax to a 7-3 victory over North Dakota.
But first I was going to finish my season stats by adding the 57th game to the
regular season total. In doing so, I looked at my check sum routine and
discovered that there were no innings reported in game 53 (the other stats were
entered). I looked closer and to my horror, it was a game Zambrano pitched
7-1/3 innings.
This reduced Zambrano's available innings for game 57 to 5.3, but he pitched
6.6 in the game -- clearly illegal.
Therefore, we are going to have to replay some or all of the game. We are going
to need a ruling by Matt as to whether we should replay the game from the point
of "infraction" (that is, after the first out of the 5th, when
Zambrano's arm should have fallen off) or replay the entire game. (I want
the former, Arnie the latter; there is nothing decisive in the bylaws, I
think).
To make matters worse, Arnie and I cannot play before 2 pm today (he has a road
race). If I win, I am prepared to play Eric immediately, but Arnie may or may
not be. So we will have to work out with Eric whether he should come out
this way today and when.
If all this wasn't farcical enough, after the game last night Arnie ripped his
entire team in half. He will have to break out the Scotch tape to replay the
game.
In his last act as Vice Commissioner, Matt ruled that the game had to be
replayed in its entirety. Andrew responded angrily "I do not agree
at all with the ruling. It would have been perhaps different if they
entered the game thinking Zambrano had unlimited innings and come to find out
he had 1-2 innings. In this case it's a difference of his leaving in the
6th versus Randy choosing to leave him in a bit longer. He made an honest
mistake and in effect gets a 1972 Russian Basketball team "replay.”
The game was replayed anyway.
Big Papi's solo blast held up through 6 innings, ND ominously stranding 7
runners through the first 6. Bonds led off the 7th with a triple (on a
1-5, out otherwise) and was knocked in by Chavez to tie it. M. Alou
smacked his 21st homer in the 8th to make it 2-1 ND.
Bottom of the 9th, ND up 2-1. Bonds walks, Edmonds, singles, Giles
walks. Bases loaded nobody out for FW against a tired M. Gonzalez.
Infield in. But Chavez strikes out (on his card). C. Wilson
up. He hits a GB1b(X). Pujols (3e11) fields it cleanly and gets
Bonds at the plate. Clayton up. Tying run on 3rd, winning run on
2nd, ND one out away from the win. Clayton walks. Ford strikes
out. Extra innings.
ND gets 2 more on in the 10th but can't score (story of the season).
Bottom of the 10th, Burke walks. Berkman hits a gbss(x). It should be a
dp, but rolls a "5" so Burke moves over. Bonds hits an open
single to left. The slow (1-9) Burke rounds 3rd with Crawford (0 arm)
throwing. Randy rolls a 5. Game over, team ripped in half again.
M. Gonzalez, the last ND pitcher, with an arm that had fallen off, but was then
glued back on, pitched the final 4 innings tired (and yielded no tired
singles). ND stranded 12 runners in all.
2007: Unlike the two prior years, a potential tanking existed here with only 3 games separating 3rd from 6th in the final standings. ND finished one game out of the playoffs, despite winning 3 of 4 on the final night of the season!
Twits Notes (2/25/07) It was a wild final night of the
regular season. Run out of town by an angry mob, Reykjavik (ND) found
their season hanging by a thread (magic number for Randy = 2). After
winning game 1, 6-3, the enigmatic team blew a prime opportunity to win game 2,
losing 4-3 in 12 innings, leaving the bases loaded in the 3rd, 6th, and most
distressingly, 10th inning. Pujols had 2 chances to win the game in extra
frames and choked. (C. Jones had the big 12th inning hit for A51). The
pair of incompetent teams proceeded to torture Arnie and Jeff yet again in game
3 as the game dragged into the 12th inning yet again. This time it was
A51 leaving tons of runners. Finally, Pujols, the game 2 goat, homered in the
bottom of the 12th.
Just to see if the last game meant anything, I called Jed. He had just
won the first three against Randy!! So, with one game left, Reykjavik
(ND) and Future Wax were tied! A one-game playoff 2 years in a row
between the same teams??!! Contreras proceeded to pitch a 3-hit shutout
to win for RK/ND. On the Internet, Jed was up 2-0 against FW, but Randy
scored 2 in the 9th to send it to extra innings. Randy then scored 2 in
the 12th to go up 4-2, but Jed tied it! Finally, Randy won it on a HR to
clinch first place and avoid another one-game playoff.
2008: ND again was involved, but this time blew the chance at a playoff spot:
Twits Notes (2/29/08) With a playoff spot on the line, Game
1 was essentially a playoff game. The teams used 11 pitchers and 26
hitters. NO jumped to a 4-0 lead, but Watford City (ND) clawed back and
had one final chance in the bottom of the 9th down 6-4 with 2 on and 2 out with
Pujols up. Meredith struck him out to end it. That was all the
fight Watford City had left. They then rolled over on their back in game
2, 11-4 to be eliminated and hand Bay City a playoff berth. Chased out of
Watford City, the team ended up in Bismarck.
The last game was an experimental game for the fans. The teams used the:
2010: Needing to win 3 games against the lowly 7th place Earthworms
(ND) to make the playoffs, the Manatees quickly found themselves in a 2-0 hole,
helped by a costly Kinsler error in the 2nd inning. They clawed back and
managed to tie it in the 8th on a pinch-hit homer by Nady off Qualls. Tim
Hudson pitched valiantly for CN into the bottom of the 10th, yielding just 6
hits. But he was done in by Ian Kinsler who misplayed Papi's grounder
into a single and error. A walk to Kapler and sac by Pedroia forced CN to
bring the infield and outfield in. Then Ryan Doumit's sac fly won the game,
3-2, and CN had their backs up against the wall.
The Manatees jumped out to a 4-0 lead in game 2 and surprise 26th man, starter
C. Young is yanked in the 3rd. Mediocre relievers Heath Bell and Mike
'wait till next year' Adams pitch the next 5 2/3 innings for the Earthworms,
yielding just one run, but they're still down 5-2 going into the bottom of the
7th. Whereupon the Earthworms explode for 5 runs off Chad
Billingsley. Season over for the Manatees, stopping CN's 10-year
consecutive playoff streak. Final score 7-6, Flaming Earthworms.
Tom won the final two meaningless anti-climactic games.
Note that CN’s winning the final two games after being eliminated certainly counteracts any notion of tanking to get a better draft pick.
2011: Nothing interesting here to end the season, but Eric and I did exchange emails just before our playoff series (in which he swept me):
Eric: so i'll show you my team stats if you show me yours....
Arnie: Tom sent the stats already
Eric: right. but i was hoping to share our entire team, player by player stats, not totals. if you don't care to, that's fine. no prob.
Arnie: That's exactly what Tom always sends. Click on the tab at the bottom labeled "Ind Totals"
Eric: ahh...i knew that.
(actually, i never noticed that tab before....)
thanks.
oy.
Arnie: Idiot.
2012: There was a 4-way rolloff in the 2012 draft – the final weekend of the season featured only one sweep – and that was when Robin swept Jed after both were tied for 4th:
The BC/FU showdown almost didn't occur as Hamachi/connectivity issues took up the first hour. Finally, Jed saved the day by hosting a 'Webex' session and playing all of the games on his computer, while Robin dictated her managing over the phone and watched the action on a 30-second delay. After getting swept, perhaps Jed is having second thoughts, although nobody could doubt his integrity.
2013: “Twits Notes: Jeff's series win over Harold unfortunately sets up "Draftmaggedon" as there will need to be two rolloffs - the Bryce Harper rolloff between just Tom and Harold, and then another rolloff among Tom, Robin and Jeff for the second pick.” Given the complexity of this draftmaggedon, it seems highly unlikely Harold was trying to lose to trigger it.
And finally, 2014: Per Jed "Unsatisfying split likely knocks both teams out of playoff contention unless Randy can sweep Eric. There. I just freaked Eric out. Awoken the karmic gods."
“In fact, such a sweep by Randy would precipitate an unprecedented three-way tie for fourth and a scramble to check the bylaws on how to proceed. Randy finishes 2nd by winning 2-4 games, with ND finishing 3rd. If Eric wins 3 games, he finishes 3rd, ND takes 2nd and Randy finishes 4th. If Eric sweeps, he takes 2nd place, with ND in third and Randy in fourth. Got it?”
Eric ended up winning 3.
OK, so I admit that this ‘study’ actually devolved into
Twits Notes and e-mail memories. Anecdotally, I don’t think anyone has ever
purposely tanked by intentionally mismanaging. It has definitely been pointed
out that the better way to tank is to simply trade off your best players so
that you can still valiantly show you are trying to win by managing your ass
off with a truly shitty team. And that is legal. As for tanking the final
weekend, usually there are too many permutations. But that does not placate Robin
and Jeff, who are still pissed at Harold and me for my sweep of Harold on the
last week of the season this year.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tsuan asks, “Has any SOMBILLA team ever had the MVP, Cy Young and Rookie of the Year Award Winners”? I assume he means in real life, since the SOMBILLA does not give out a Rookie of the Year Award. The answer is – yes! It’s been done three times, twice by Tsuan’s teams and once by North Dakota:
2007 (’08-09 SOMBILLA Season) – North Dakota (Pujols – MVP, C. Lee – Cy Young, Pedroia – ROY)
1997 (’98-99 SOMBILLA Season) – Future Wax (Griffey – MVP, Pedro – Cy Young, Nomar – ROY)
1993 (’94-95 SOMBILLA Season) – Future Wax (Bonds – MVP; Maddux – Cy Young, Piazza and Salmon – ROY)
It is of course easy enough to ask whether any team has ever had both the SOMBILLA’s MVP and Cy Young winners anyway. The answer is yes, although it hasn’t been accomplished in 14 seasons:
1998 (’99-00 Season) – North Dakota (M. Vaughn - MVP, Clemens – Cy Young)**
1997 (’98-99 Season) – Future Wax (Piazza - MVP, Pedro - Cy Young)
1988 (‘89-90 Season) – Yoknapatawpha (Winfield – MVP, Hershiser – Cy Young) *
1987 (’88-89 Season) – Manila Folders (McGwire – MVP, Ryan – Cy Young) *
1983 (’84-85 Season) – Bay City (Murray – MVP, Boddicker – Cy Young)
* Eric and Matt also won Manager of the Year awards, respectively
** Arnie also won Manager of the year that year. But Mo Vaughn not only shared the MVP award (with Juan Go) that year, he was traded to ND in mid-season by Shithead.
This one is also by Tom. He
points out that it is more than just a rotisserie type study since he actually
has included left/righty stats. He ranks each team’s hitting vs R and L,
Starting pitching vs. R and L and “Power” however tt is computed. Presumably
he is including all 45 men on the roster.
Doing an analysis of our teams using the splits available
for the current (2013) MLB year:
|
Team |
Hitting vs L |
Hitting vsR |
SP vs L |
SP vs R |
RP vs L |
RP vs R |
Power |
Total |
|
NO |
6 |
8 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
21 |
|
ND |
4 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
1 |
23 |
|
CN |
1 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
26 |
|
Fugakyu |
3 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
3 |
28 |
|
BC |
2 |
4 |
7 |
8 |
2 |
6 |
5 |
34 |
|
Wax |
7 |
6 |
5 |
1 |
8 |
2 |
6 |
35 |
|
Eric |
5 |
7 |
4 |
5 |
7 |
5 |
8 |
41 |
|
A52 |
8 |
5 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
3 |
7 |
44 |
“I was 5th two weeks ago, but am now 3rd. ND and Harold are fighting for top honors…”
Breakdown::
|
|
|
Total |
Vs. Lefties |
||||||||||
|
HITTERS |
|
SB |
RC |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
2B% |
3B% |
HR% |
TB/PA |
BB% |
K% |
RC |
|
A52 Totals |
|
125 |
1021.1 |
0.254 |
0.32 |
0.395 |
4.9 |
0.3 |
2.4 |
0.36 |
8.2 |
21.4 |
273.2 |
|
Jed Totals |
|
184 |
1270.2 |
0.251 |
0.33 |
0.41 |
4.7 |
0.5 |
2.7 |
0.36 |
9.8 |
20.1 |
348.5 |
|
Robin Totals |
|
119 |
1012.2 |
0.267 |
0.324 |
0.41 |
4.9 |
0.5 |
2.4 |
0.37 |
6.9 |
17.7 |
284.5 |
|
CN Totals |
|
140 |
1179.5 |
0.258 |
0.329 |
0.418 |
5.2 |
0.3 |
2.8 |
0.37 |
8.9 |
21.5 |
310.3 |
|
Arnie Totals |
|
170 |
1250.1 |
0.269 |
0.333 |
0.442 |
5.5 |
0.3 |
3.2 |
0.4 |
8.2 |
16.2 |
340.6 |
|
Harold Totals |
|
116 |
851.8 |
0.276 |
0.35 |
0.429 |
4.6 |
0.4 |
2.8 |
0.38 |
9.7 |
18.3 |
277.2 |
|
Eric Totals |
|
95 |
1005.7 |
0.271 |
0.333 |
0.425 |
4.6 |
0.4 |
2.8 |
0.38 |
8.3 |
16.5 |
304.1 |
|
WAX Totals |
|
98 |
948.1 |
0.25 |
0.31 |
0.423 |
5.2 |
0.5 |
3.2 |
0.38 |
7.8 |
20.4 |
244.7 |
Vs. Righties
|
HITTERS |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
2B% |
3B% |
HR% |
TB/PA |
BB% |
K% |
RC |
|
A52 Totals |
0.268 |
0.33 |
0.434 |
4.6 |
0.5 |
3.1 |
0.39 |
7.9 |
18.5 |
758.1 |
|
Jed Totals |
0.272 |
0.34 |
0.438 |
4.8 |
0.4 |
3.1 |
0.39 |
8.5 |
18.2 |
930.2 |
|
Robin Totals |
0.265 |
0.333 |
0.421 |
4.6 |
0.4 |
2.8 |
0.38 |
8.3 |
17.6 |
736.9 |
|
CN Totals |
0.271 |
0.349 |
0.449 |
5 |
0.5 |
3.2 |
0.4 |
10 |
19.6 |
880.5 |
|
Arnie Totals |
0.276 |
0.341 |
0.446 |
4.8 |
0.4 |
3.2 |
0.4 |
8.6 |
17.4 |
915 |
|
Harold Totals |
0.262 |
0.329 |
0.412 |
4.4 |
0.5 |
2.7 |
0.37 |
8.6 |
19.5 |
581.4 |
|
Eric Totals |
0.268 |
0.324 |
0.417 |
4.3 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
0.38 |
7 |
16.8 |
711.2 |
|
WAX Totals |
0.27 |
0.339 |
0.428 |
4.7 |
0.3 |
3 |
0.38 |
8.9 |
20.1 |
713.8 |
|
|
Total |
Vs. Lefties |
|||||||||||
|
Pitchers |
IP |
TBF |
RA |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
H/9 |
2B/9 |
3B/9 |
HR/9 |
BB/9 |
K/9 |
RA |
|
A52 Totals |
1375 |
5703 |
641 |
0.258 |
0.309 |
0.421 |
9.14 |
1.74 |
0.17 |
1.23 |
2.92 |
7.66 |
310.2 |
|
Jed Totals |
1330 |
5524 |
609.8 |
0.242 |
0.295 |
0.37 |
8.24 |
1.41 |
0.21 |
0.85 |
2.95 |
7.75 |
277.1 |
|
Robin Totals |
1464 |
6192 |
703.7 |
0.242 |
0.301 |
0.385 |
8.38 |
1.51 |
0.21 |
1 |
3.24 |
8.14 |
318.8 |
|
CN Totals |
1403 |
5872 |
647.7 |
0.241 |
0.303 |
0.397 |
8.44 |
1.72 |
0.13 |
1.16 |
3.19 |
9.03 |
298.6 |
|
Arnie Totals |
1731 |
7238 |
834.3 |
0.253 |
0.301 |
0.403 |
8.78 |
1.97 |
0.13 |
0.99 |
2.77 |
8.08 |
361.7 |
|
Harold Totals |
1765 |
7315 |
750.8 |
0.236 |
0.294 |
0.366 |
8.04 |
1.6 |
0.1 |
0.88 |
3.29 |
8.87 |
366.9 |
|
Eric Totals |
1446 |
6034 |
639.7 |
0.243 |
0.305 |
0.374 |
8.29 |
1.5 |
0.17 |
0.88 |
3.49 |
7.51 |
326.3 |
|
WAX Totals |
1265 |
5207 |
542.8 |
0.248 |
0.298 |
0.406 |
8.63 |
1.72 |
0.22 |
1.11 |
2.98 |
9.26 |
243.5 |
Vs. Righties
|
Pitchers |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
H/9 |
2B/9 |
3B/9 |
HR/9 |
BB/9 |
K/9 |
RA |
|
A52 Totals |
0.24 |
0.279 |
0.375 |
8.14 |
1.64 |
0.12 |
0.89 |
2.2 |
7.76 |
330 |
|
Jed Totals |
0.259 |
0.287 |
0.405 |
8.92 |
1.69 |
0.08 |
1.06 |
1.97 |
7.97 |
330 |
|
Robin Totals |
0.245 |
0.291 |
0.396 |
8.48 |
1.5 |
0.12 |
1.16 |
2.85 |
8.34 |
381.4 |
|
CN Totals |
0.238 |
0.281 |
0.383 |
8.04 |
1.71 |
0.16 |
0.95 |
2.67 |
7.86 |
343.1 |
|
Arnie Totals |
0.252 |
0.286 |
0.4 |
8.72 |
1.74 |
0.18 |
1 |
2.21 |
8.42 |
471.5 |
|
Harold Totals |
0.237 |
0.279 |
0.359 |
8.01 |
1.28 |
0.08 |
0.9 |
2.53 |
8.27 |
381.7 |
|
Eric Totals |
0.237 |
0.292 |
0.371 |
7.93 |
1.48 |
0.09 |
0.94 |
3.02 |
8.04 |
311.5 |
|
WAX Totals |
0.23 |
0.268 |
0.355 |
7.66 |
1.69 |
0.14 |
0.73 |
2.31 |
7.84 |
301.3 |
So, if you could draft the absolute best players in MLB (and thus, the SOMBILLA) for the upcoming season, who would you draft? I let the computer draft a 25-man team from all players in MLB based on the 2012 cards, and this is the team it came up with.
DRAFT YEAR TEAM BAL AB DO TR HR BAVG BB K'S RBI OB% SL%
Mike Trout 1 2012 LAA 4R 559 27 8 30 .326 67 139 83 .399 .564
Miguel Cabrera 4 2012 DEA 4R 622 40 0 44 .330 66 98 139 .393 .606
Yadier Molina 5 2012 SLN 3L 505 28 0 22 .315 45 55 76 .373 .501
Ryan Braun 6 2012 MLN 5L 598 36 3 41 .319 63 128 112 .391 .595
Edwin Encarnacion 7 2012 TOA 3L 542 24 0 42 .280 84 94 110 .384 .557
Giancarlo Stanton 8 2012 MMN 1L 449 30 1 37 .290 46 143 86 .361 .608
Robinson Cano 9 2012 NYA 8R 627 48 1 33 .313 61 96 94 .379 .550
Ian Desmond 11 2012 WAN 1L 513 33 2 25 .292 30 113 73 .335 .511
Jay Bruce 16 2012 CIN 1R 560 35 5 34 .252 62 155 99 .327 .514
Buster Posey 18 2012 SFN 9L 530 39 1 24 .336 69 96 103 .408 .549
Josh Hamilton 23 2012 TEA 1R 562 31 2 43 .285 60 162 128 .354 .577
Pete Kozma 24 2012 SLN E 72 5 3 2 .333 7 19 14 .383 .569
Brandon Snyder 25 2012 TEA 6L 65 2 0 3 .277 3 26 9 .309 .446
Catcher 1b 2b 3b ss lf cf rf ARM
Trout 1e5 1e5 1e5 +1
Cabrera 4e14 4e14
Molina 1e1 -4t4p2 4e25
Braun 3e7 +0
Encarnacion 3e7 4e65 4e25 +1
Stanton 3e10 -3
Cano 1e6
Desmond 2e19
Bruce 1e6 -4
Posey 2e4 -1t6p0 3e13
Hamilton 2e9 3e9 3e9 -2
Kozma 4e22 3e22
Snyder 4e16 +2t20p0 3e13 4e25 4e16 4e16 +0
DRAFT BAL WON LOST ERA IP HITS WALKS K'S HR GS SV
Fernando Rodney 2 E 2 2 .60 75 43 15 76 2 0 48
Clayton Kershaw 3 1R 14 9 2.53 228 170 63 229 16 33 0
Kris Medlen 10 E 10 1 1.57 138 103 23 120 6 12 1
Gio Gonzalez 12 4R 21 8 2.89 199 149 76 207 9 32 0
Justin Verlander 13 E 17 8 2.64 238 192 60 239 19 33 0
Craig Kimbrel 14 1L 3 1 1.01 63 27 14 116 3 0 42
Arondis Chapman 15 2L 5 5 1.51 72 35 23 122 4 0 38
Grant Balfour 17 3L 3 2 2.53 75 41 28 72 4 0 24
R.A. Dickey 19 1R 20 6 2.73 234 192 54 230 24 33 0
Huston Street 20 3L 2 1 1.85 39 17 11 47 2 0 23
Ryan Cook 21 4R 6 2 2.09 73 42 27 80 4 0 14
David Price 22 2L 20 5 2.56 211 173 59 205 16 31 0
No argument with Trout as first overall, but what’s up with Brandon Snyder as the final pick? Yes, that Brandon Snyder who got some playing time for the Sox this year at 3B. He was not someone I considered drafting (couldn’t hit well enough) and the collective wisdom of the SOMBILLA agreed with me. I guess the computer likes him because he plays 5 positions, but all-MLB? That’s seriously fucked up. (Robin note – maybe he was picked so that there would be a backup for every position. I feel compelled to point out that each team does have two or more catchers).
For the heck of it, I then had the computer draft another team. So, here is your 2nd team All SOMBILLA/MLB:
DRAFT YEAR TEAM BAL AB DO TR HR BAVG BB K'S RBI OB% SL%
Andrew McCutchen 1 2012 PIN 4L 593 29 6 31 .327 70 132 96 .400 .553
Joey Votto 2 2012 CIN 3R 374 44 0 14 .337 94 85 56 .474 .567
Adrian Beltre 4 2012 TEA 5R 604 33 2 36 .321 36 82 102 .359 .561
Josh Willingham 3 2012 MNA E 519 30 1 35 .260 76 141 110 .366 .524
Aaron Hill 5 2012 ARN 2R 609 44 6 26 .302 52 86 85 .360 .522
Josh Reddick 7 2012 OAA 1L 611 29 5 32 .242 55 151 85 .305 .463
Jimmy Rollins 9 2012 PHN 4R 632 33 5 23 .250 62 96 68 .316 .427
Carlos Ruiz 11 2012 PHN 1R 372 32 0 16 .325 29 50 68 .394 .540
Adam Dunn 15 2012 CHA 1L 539 19 0 41 .204 105 222 96 .333 .468
Wilin Rosario 20 2012 CON 8L 396 19 0 28 .270 25 99 71 .312 .530
Alfonso Soriano 21 2012 CHN 1R 561 33 2 32 .262 44 153 108 .322 .499
Catcher 1b 2b 3b ss lf cf rf ARM
McCutchen 1e1 +0
Votto 1e9
Beltre 1e10
Willingham 5e6 +1
Hill 2e6
Reddick 3e7 1e7 -5
Rollins 1e14
Ruiz 1e7 -1t3p3
Dunn 5e6 5e16 +2
Rosario 4e1 -1t19p7 5e30 5e65
Soriano 5e1 -2
DRAFT BAL WON LOST ERA IP HITS WALKS K'S HR GS SV
Johnny Cueto 6 3R 19 9 2.78 217 205 49 170 15 33 0
Kenley Jansen 8 2R 5 3 2.35 65 33 22 99 6 0 25
Matt Cain 10 5R 16 5 2.79 219 177 51 193 21 32 0
Felix Hernandez12 1R 13 9 3.06 232 209 56 223 14 33 0
Tom Wilhelmsen 13 3R 4 3 2.50 79 59 29 87 5 0 29
Jim Johnson 14 1R 2 1 2.49 69 55 15 41 3 0 51
Casey Janssen 16 7L 1 1 2.54 64 44 11 67 7 0 22
Jake McGee 17 9R 5 2 1.95 55 33 11 73 3 0 0
Brandon Beachy 18 3L 5 5 2.00 81 49 29 68 6 13 0
Sergio Romo 19 2L 4 2 1.79 55 37 10 63 5 0 14
Kyle Lohse 22 1R 16 3 2.86 211 192 38 143 19 33 0
J.J. Putz 23 E 1 5 2.82 54 45 11 65 4 0 32
Jonathan Papelbon 24 E 5 6 2.44 70 56 18 92 8 0 38
Cole Hamels 25 E 17 6 3.05 215 190 52 216 24 31 0
A Harold-esque 14 man pitching
staff. Although not quite as good as the first team, this is still a great
team that would likely win the SOMBILLA championship (despite having only ‘5’s
in left field). Note that Soriano is not in the league. Here is the breakdown
of SOMBILLA team by team players on the first and second team all-MLB as chosen
by the Strat-O computer:
RAT (11)– Beachy, Braun, Bruce, Hamels, Hamilton, Hill, Kershaw, McCutchen, McGee, Ruiz, Stanton
Arnie (7) – Cueto, Encarnacion, J. Johnson, Kimbrel, Kozma, Rollins, Romo
Eric –(6) Balfour, G. Gonzalez, Y. Molina, Papelbon, Verlander, Wilhelmsen
Tom (6) – Cain, Dickey, Rodney, Rosario, Trout, Willingham
Jed (5)– Beltre, F. Hernandez, Medlen, D. Price, Votto
Robin (5) M. Cabrera, Jansen, Janssen, Posey, Reddick
Harold (5)– Cano, Desmond, Dunn, Putz, Street
Jeff (3) – Chapman, Cook, Lohse
With 11 of the top 50 players (at least according to the computer), perhaps Randy’s post-draft chest pounding may not have been all bluster after all.
For the next study, I returned to the Strat-O computer. I took each franchise’s players over the past 5 SOMBILLA seasons and let the computer choose the best 25 players, with no duplicate players (i.e, there is only one Albert Pujols on ND’s team, not five of them). Talk about a tough league! Yeah, I know we did this last year. I’m lazy, it’s relatively easy, and moderately interesting.
I let the computer decide which of the many duplicates were the best (based on the player’s computer draft position). It’s not exactly the same as last year – I have added in the 2012 cards, that is, the upcoming SOMBILLA season, yet to be played, and 2007 drops off. So the 5 MLB seasons are 2008-2012, featuring the last 4 SOMBILLA seasons, plus the upcoming one.
Because we are all focused on the upcoming season, here are the 2012 cards represented:
Bay City (Posey, Reddick, Scutaro, Headley, Jansen, Janssen)
Constantinople (Trout, Rosario, Willingham, Rodney, Dickey)
Future Wax (A. Ramirez, Ruiz, Braun, Stanton, McGee)
New Orleans (Desmond, Sale, Harvey, Street, Strasburg)
North Dakota (D. Murphy, Wieters, Beltran, Rollins, Kimbrel,
J. Johnson)
Oceanus (Beltre, Medlen, Price)
The Cheddarmen (Y. Molina, Balfour, G. Gonzalez)
“What Eric Said” (Pierzynski, Andrus, Lawrie, Chapman,
Lohse)
A couple of observations.
1. One would expect an even distribution of players from the five seasons. That is, the 2012 cards should have 1/5 of all the cards represented in the study, or 40 players (1/5 x 8 x 25). And indeed there 38 cards from the upcoming season (19%).
2. BC and ND have the most 2012 cards in the study, (6), Jed and Eric have the fewest (3). But you can’t necessarily draw many conclusions from that. A lot depends on the quality of each team’s 2007-2011 cards, making it ‘easier’ or ‘harder’ for one of their 2012 cards to break into the lineup.
So, what happened? Who has the best players over the past/present 5 years of the SOMBILLA? Using each team’s actual ballpark from the middle (‘10-11) season of the five, and a 168-game schedule, here are the final standings:
WON LOST PCT GB
Future Wax
93 75 .554 ----
Oceanus
91 77 .542 2.0
North Dakota 87 81 .518 6.0
The Cheddarmen
84 84 .500 9.0
Constantinople 81 87 .482 12.0
What Eric Said
80 88 .476 13.0
New Orleans 79 89 .470 14.0
Bay City
77 91 .458 16.0
Fairly good parity here, with only two teams able to win 90+ games. No doubt some of these results can be attributed to the vagaries of ballparks chosen, whether appropriate or not. But the league was only .513 at home, with Oceanus by far the best home team (51-33, big surprise – see study #1) and RAT the best road team (also 51-33).
Against the best pitchers over the past 5 years, only 3 players were able to hit over .300:
----BATTING AVERAGE----
J.Hamilton
RAT .328 (2010
cards)
M.Ramirez
CHE .317 (2008)
I.Suzuki
NEW .313 (2009)
B.Posey
BAY .299 (2012)
Y.Molina
CHE .296 (2012)
M.Trout
CON .289 (2012)
A.Beltre
OCE .287 (2012)
M.Kemp
RAT .277 (2011)
H.Ramirez
NDK .276 (2008)
M.Teixeira
WES .275 (2008)
D.Pedroia
NDK .270 (2011)
J.Ellsbury
NDK .269 (2011)
But Jose Bautista (2010 card) had a good year against the SOMBILLA’s best pitchers over the last 5 years!
--------HOMERUNS------- -----RUNS BATTED IN----
J.Bautista (2010)
OCE 66 J.Bautista OCE 137
M.Reynolds (2009)
NDK 49 V.Wells OCE 121
A.Pujols (2009)
NDK 46 M.Kemp RAT 117
M.Ramirez (2008)
CHE 45 A.Pujols NDK 113
V.Wells (2010)
OCE 43 M.Reynolds NDK 110
G.Stanton (2012)
RAT 40 R.Zimmerman CHE 108
M.Kemp (2011)
RAT 38 J.Werth (2009)CHE 104
J.Werth (2009)
CHE 38 P.Fielder CHE 100
J.Bay (2009)
CON 35 M.Ramirez CHE 98
J.Hardy (2011)
OCE 34 J.Willingham(2012)CON 93
P.Fielder (2009)
CHE 34 G.Stanton RAT 92
R.Zimmerman(2009)
CHE 34 Y.Molina CHE 91
Here are the MVP and all-star voting:
MVP AWARD J.Bautista(OCE) 405
M.Kemp(RAT) 357
V.Wells(OCE) 205
A.Pujols(NDK) 133
M.Ramirez(CHE) 98
ALL-STAR SELECTIONS BY POSITIONC Y.Molina(DBM) 1,720,572
1B A.Pujols(NDK) 3,028,604
2B D.Pedroia(NDK) 2,189,988
3B M.Reynolds(NDK) 2,699,630
SS H.Ramirez(NDK) 2,521,228
LF M.Ramirez(CHE) 3,025,627
CF M.Kemp(RAT) 3,311,426
RF J.Bautista(OCE) 4,762,673
Pitching:
----------WINS---------
C.Hamels
(2011) RAT 19-8
C.Sabathia
(2008) CON 19-13
I.Kennedy
(2011) NDK 17-9
J.Verlander(2011)
CHE 17-10
C.Kershaw
(2011) RAT 16-9
Z.Greinke
(2009) RAT 15-8
R.Halladay
(2011) BAY 15-13
A.Wainwright(2010)
NDK 15-13
J.Jurrjens
(2009) BAY 15-14
R.Dempster
(2008) CHE 15-14
----------ERA----------
R.Harden
(2008) RAT 3.29
C.Hamels
RAT 3.38
A.Wainwright
NDK 3.53
J.Vazquez
(2009) WES 3.57
C.Carpenter
(2009) NEW 3.60
C.Kershaw
RAT 3.66
Z.Greinke
RAT 3.66
J.Verlander
CHE 3.69
C.Buchholz
(2010) WES 4.00
J.Jurrjens
BAY 4.02
R. Hellickson
(2011)WES 4.13
-----SAVES---------
H.Kuo (2010)
BAY 39
J.Nathan (2008)
RAT 39
A.Chapman(2012) WES
39
R.Soriano(2010) CHE
37
A.Bailey (2009)
OCE 36
C.Kimbrel(2012)
NDK 35
F.Rodney (2012)
CON 34
M.Rivera (2008)
NEW 33
Finally, Cy Young voting:
CY YOUNG AWARDA.Bailey(OCE) 114
C.Hamels(RAT) 96
H.Kuo(BAY) 51
J.Verlander(DBM) 18
R.Harden(RAT) 8
Playoffs (note the interesting rematch of last year’s SOMBILLA playoffs, with both series an exact reversal of what happened in real life)
Future Wax 9 The Cheddarmen
3
Future Wax 3 The Cheddarmen
2
Future Wax 3 The Cheddarmen
1
Future Wax 11 The Cheddarmen
2
Future Wax wins series 4 games to 0
(Kemp .556, 3 HR, 5 RBI, Thome .357, 3 HR, 6 RBI)
Oceanus 10 North Dakota 1
North Dakota 8 Oceanus 4
Oceanus 12 North Dakota 4
Oceanus 3 North Dakota 1
North Dakota 12 Oceanus 8
North Dakota 9 Oceanus 3
Oceanus 5 North Dakota 4
Oceanus wins series 4 games to 3
(Wells .393, 4 HR, 11 RBI, Hardy .407, 4 HR, 10 RBI)
World Series: - Best of the Last 5 Years:
Future Wax 3 Oceanus 1
Future Wax 3 Oceanus 2
Future Wax 6 Oceanus 5
Future Wax 8 Oceanus 3
Future Wax wins World Series
(for the second time in a row for the ‘last 5’ leagues) 4 games to 0
MVP Aaron Hill (2009 card) .375, 2 HR, 5 RBI
Triggered by Jed’s incredible home/away split of the past two seasons, I decided to do a more in-depth analyses of the SOMBILLA’s home-field advantage.
As you may recall, it was determined in May that Jed set the record last year for most home wins minus away wins. In 2011-2012, he tied with Eric and ND for the best home record - 18-10. But he was dead last with an away record of 8-20, for a +10 home > away differential. He also led the league this past year with a +7 differential. Jed’s is a noble record on some level. (In theory, his team was really bad, likely the worst in the league in a neutral park based on his away record, but he chose the perfect park for his team to maximize its potential.
An odder record is the reverse - the team with the best Road wins > Home wins record. I guess that would prove who was the most inept manager at choosing a ballpark. This reverse record was also set last year - by Harold. He led the league with a 19-9 away record, but was last with only an 11-17 record at home, a -8 differential. He also had the worse home record this year (see below) and led the league at -3 away > home differential. Harold may need to rethink his “if I’m going to lose anyway, I want to have fun” strategy at picking his park.
We have readily accessible data on home/away records from the league’s website (‘What? We have a website?’) going back to the ’96-97 season, 17 full seasons. I could probably go up into the attic on this 95 degree day and dig up the data for prior years, but I don’t want to do that and you can’t make me. Anyway, below is a table showing every SOMBILLA manager’s home minus away wins per season for the past 17 years:

Despite managing in the league for only 7 of the past 17 seasons, Jed has at least twice as many home minus away wins as anyone else. And his average of 5.1 trounces everyone else. That, my leaguemates, is quite statistically significant. Jed is clearly the best manager in the league at maximizing home field advantage for his teams.
Other interesting facts – Tom is the league’s most equal home/away manager, winning one more game at home than away over 16 seasons. It doesn’t necessarily mean he is the worst (or 2nd worst) at maximizing home field advantage. I’m not exactly sure what it means. Other factors come into play here, especially with 8 managers bunched up between 0.2 and 1.8 home minus away wins per season. Away victories are greatly influenced by the quality of one’s team, being able to win at all parks. Home wins are influenced by quality of the team playing home games as well of course, but it can also be greatly influenced by maximizing the home field dimension advantage. Think of the parks you hate playing in because of match-up problems for your team, ballpark-homer wise.
I haven’t mentioned Clint, but I am impressed to see him significantly ahead of all managers in away wins minus home wins. I’m kind of at a loss here because I suspect Jed had something to do with choosing the parks when those two shared the team.
Finally, despite what I said about Tom and away wins above, I am still surprised to see North Dakota with less of a statistical home field advantage than almost everyone. Perhaps the annual 15,000 game pre-season computer simulation I do to choose a park is in vain. But I refuse to stop, ‘cause it’s fun.
Here is the data looking back at only the last 10 seasons:

Jed still leads of course, but Randy and Jeff are averaging more than two home wins more than away wins per season, so those guys appear to have learned how to obtain a nice home field advantage compared to ealier years . I’m last. Still not giving up my ballpark simulations.
And finally here is the data for just the past 5 seasons:
|
|
2013 |
2012 |
2011 |
2010 |
2009 |
Total 09-13 |
Average |
|
Jed |
7 |
10 |
3 |
8 |
1 |
29 |
5.8 |
|
Randy |
-1 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
4 |
12 |
4.0 |
|
Tom |
-2 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
7 |
3.5 |
|
Eric |
2 |
5 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
13 |
3.3 |
|
Jeff |
1 |
-1 |
-1 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
1.7 |
|
Arnie |
-1 |
4 |
-2 |
2 |
0 |
3 |
1.5 |
|
Robin |
-1 |
2 |
-4 |
1 |
1 |
-1 |
-0.3 |
|
Harold |
-3 |
-8 |
2 |
1 |
4 |
-4 |
-1.3 |
Jed has gotten even better, while Randy, Tom and Eric have figured it out! Harold has chosen some questionable parks for his teams over the past few seasons, and has paid the price. But at least he had fun doing it.
Here are the top 6 seasons of Home minus Away victories of all-time:
1. Jed 2011-2012 +10
2. Robin 1998-1999 +9
3. Jed 2009-2010 +8
4. Tom 2008-2009 +7
4. Randy 2009-2010 +7
4. .Jed 2012-2013 +7
Here are the top 5 seasons of Away minus Home victories of all-time:
1. Harold 2011-2012 -8
2. Eric 1996-1997 -6
2. Matt 1999-2000 -6
2. Robin 2001-2002 -6
2. Clint 2001-2002 -6
Until Harold’s record-breaking home ineptitude two years ago, it had been 10 years since any team had even 6 more away wins than home wins.
Here’s another chart – Standard Deviation. Think of that as a measure of volatility, or predictably. The lower the STD DEV the smaller the year-to-year variation:
|
|
STD DEV |
|
Robin |
3.52 |
|
Harold |
3.43 |
|
Matt |
3.38 |
|
Jed |
3.27 |
|
Tom |
3.05 |
|
Clint |
2.98 |
|
Randy |
2.84 |
|
Jeff |
2.82 |
|
Eric |
2.79 |
|
Arnie |
2.53 |
Over the past 17 seasons, Robin has been the most volatile/unpredictable, at least for Home-Away record, not temperament. Over the past 5 seasons, Harold’s home vs away record is the least predictable:
|
|
STD DEV |
|
Harold |
4.26 |
|
Jed |
3.31 |
|
Tom |
3.07 |
|
Randy |
2.87 |
|
Arnie |
2.15 |
|
Robin |
2.14 |
|
Jeff |
1.79 |
|
Eric |
1.74 |
Actually, I like this standard deviation stuff. Looking at all teams’ total wins and standard deviation of total wins (home + away) over the past five seasons:
|
|
2013 |
2012 |
2011 |
2010 |
2009 |
Ave Wins |
Std Dev |
|
Arnie |
37 |
32 |
32 |
20 |
34 |
31.0 |
6.48 |
|
Randy |
31 |
24 |
24 |
39 |
26 |
28.8 |
6.38 |
|
Robin |
25 |
30 |
14 |
19 |
25 |
22.6 |
6.19 |
|
Harold |
21 |
30 |
32 |
23 |
34 |
28.0 |
5.70 |
|
Jeff |
25 |
25 |
25 |
29 |
17 |
24.2 |
4.38 |
|
Eric |
32 |
31 |
36 |
34 |
26 |
31.8 |
3.77 |
|
Jed |
29 |
26 |
33 |
32 |
35 |
31.0 |
3.54 |
|
Tom |
24 |
26 |
28 |
28 |
27 |
26.6 |
1.67 |
Tom has been remarkably consistent over the past 5 seasons. His win totals range from 24-28, with a standard deviation of wins of less than half that of everyone else. I lead the volatility circus, aided greatly by the Flaming Earthworms’ 20-win 2009-2010 season.
Every summer, almost as a footnote, the newsletter lists each team’s all-stars as an unscientific look ahead at how each manager’s Strat-O team is doing. I decided to take a more formal look at that all-star count this summer to, among other things, see if it can actually be called scientific at all.
First, some raw data. Going back to the first year of the contracted re-created 8-team league , we’ve had 11 all-star summers, beginning with 22. Over that time period here are the numbers of all-stars for each manager:
| |
RAT |
Arnie |
Robin |
Eric |
Jed |
Tom |
Harold |
Jeff |
|
2012 |
11 |
8 |
7 |
10 |
8 |
8 |
9 |
3 |
|
2011 |
13 |
10 |
10 |
11 |
10 |
6 |
2 |
4 |
|
2010 |
9 |
10 |
8 |
12 |
10 |
9 |
6 |
11 |
|
2009 |
9 |
8 |
9 |
12 |
8 |
8 |
6 |
5 |
|
2008 |
11 |
6 |
4 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
6 |
6 |
|
2007 |
10 |
7 |
8 |
5 |
11 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
|
2006 |
10 |
7 |
9 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
8 |
6 |
|
2005 |
6 |
12 |
9 |
5 |
5 |
9 |
11 |
6 |
|
2004 |
8 |
10 |
9 |
3 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
10 |
|
2003 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
9 |
9 |
8 |
9 |
|
2002 |
5 |
12 |
9 |
9 |
6 |
5 |
8 |
6 |
|
Total |
98 |
97 |
89 |
89 |
86 |
84 |
76 |
72 |
No wonder I wanted to do this study! What about a more recent look – say, the past 5 years (including this year):
| |
Eric |
RAT |
Jed |
Arnie |
Tom |
Robin |
Jeff |
Harold |
|
2012 |
10 |
11 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
7 |
3 |
9 |
|
2011 |
11 |
13 |
10 |
10 |
6 |
10 |
4 |
2 |
|
2010 |
12 |
9 |
10 |
10 |
9 |
8 |
11 |
6 |
|
2009 |
12 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
9 |
5 |
6 |
|
2008 |
9 |
11 |
8 |
6 |
8 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
|
Total |
54 |
53 |
44 |
42 |
39 |
38 |
29 |
29 |
Over the last 5 years, Eric leads the way with 54 all-stars, followed closely behind by RAT. And again, Jeff is last.
But does the number of all-stars really mean anything? Does it have any actual predictive value towards a team’s results the following season? I can think of three reasons why it might not:
So, I took the 11 years worth of all-star data from the first table and paired each team’s number of all-stars with their team’s number of wins the following SOMBILLA season. Some correlation was obvious. RAT’s 11 all-stars in 28 helped lead the team to 39 wins in the ‘9-1 season. Eric’s 12 all-stars in 29 led him to 36 wins in ‘1-11. Conversely, Jed’s (and Matt’s) paltry 4 all-stars in 24 led them to only 14 wins in ‘5-6 (possibly causing Matt to flee the league). But how to explain Jed’s 37 wins the following year with only 5 all stars in 25? Or RAT’s 6 all-stars in 23 leading to 36 wins in ‘4-5? Is it all random or is there some correlation?
I lined up all 8 SOMBILLA seasons (1 seasons of 8 teams) worth of data and ran an excel correlation against the two variables. It turns out there is a correlation, albeit not very high. Based on actual data points (all stars between 4 and 12), one all-star is worth about one extra SOMBILLA win, on average, Yippee.
When you expand the table to extrapolate the data for numbers of all-stars below and above the actual data points, the correlation is even less, with 1 all-star representing about .65 wins:
|
Number of all-stars |
Number of wins the following year |
|
1 |
23.4 |
|
2 |
24.2 |
|
3 |
25.1 |
|
4 |
25.6 |
|
5 |
26.4 |
|
6 |
27.0 |
|
7 |
27.7 |
|
8 |
28.3 |
|
9 |
28.8 |
|
10 |
29.5 |
|
11 |
30.0 |
|
12 |
30.6 |
|
13 |
31.1 |
|
14 |
31.7 |
|
15 |
32.3 |
|
16 |
33.2 |
|
17 |
33.7 |
|
18 |
34.4 |
Note that the league record for most all-stars is 14, set by North Dakota back in 1997. In ‘98-99 ND won only 3 games but did go on to win the SOMBILLA World Series.
Finally here is the raw data so you can see for yourself how all team’s all-stars correlate to wins the following season:
| |
RAT |
AP |
Robin |
Eric |
Jed |
Tom |
Harold |
Jeff |
||||||||
| |
All-stars |
W |
All-stars |
W |
All-stars |
W |
All-stars |
W |
All-stars |
W |
All-stars |
W |
All-stars |
W |
All-stars |
W |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2012 |
11 |
|
8 |
|
7 |
|
10 |
|
8 |
|
8 |
|
9 |
|
3 |
|
|
2011 |
13 |
|
10 |
|
10 |
|
11 |
|
10 |
|
6 |
|
2 |
|
4 |
|
|
2010 |
9 |
24 |
10 |
32 |
8 |
30 |
12 |
31 |
10 |
26 |
9 |
26 |
6 |
30 |
11 |
25 |
|
2009 |
9 |
24 |
8 |
32 |
9 |
14 |
12 |
36 |
8 |
33 |
8 |
28 |
6 |
32 |
5 |
25 |
|
2008 |
11 |
39 |
6 |
20 |
4 |
19 |
9 |
34 |
8 |
32 |
8 |
28 |
6 |
23 |
6 |
29 |
|
2007 |
10 |
26 |
7 |
34 |
8 |
25 |
5 |
26 |
11 |
35 |
8 |
27 |
7 |
34 |
6 |
17 |
|
2006 |
10 |
37 |
7 |
24 |
9 |
26 |
7 |
23 |
7 |
23 |
7 |
39 |
8 |
24 |
6 |
28 |
|
2005 |
6 |
29 |
12 |
28 |
9 |
27 |
5 |
20 |
5 |
37 |
9 |
30 |
11 |
33 |
6 |
20 |
|
2004 |
8 |
32 |
10 |
31 |
9 |
32 |
3 |
35 |
4 |
14 |
7 |
32 |
5 |
27 |
10 |
22 |
|
2003 |
6 |
36 |
7 |
29 |
7 |
26 |
6 |
27 |
9 |
24 |
9 |
36 |
8 |
15 |
9 |
31 |
|
2002 |
5 |
30 |
12 |
31 |
9 |
18 |
9 |
35 |
6 |
23 |
5 |
31 |
8 |
28 |
6 |
28 |
| |
87 |
|
89 |
|
82 |
|
79 |
|
78 |
|
76 |
|
67 |
|
69 |
|
There are no wins shown for the 211 or 212 all-stars because we haven’t played with those cards yet, silly.
BEST OF THE LAST 5 YEARS [8/12]
For the next study, I turned to the Strat-O computer. I took each franchise’s players over the past 5 SOMBILLA seasons and let the computer choose the best 25 players, with no duplicate players (i.e, there is only one Albert Pujols on ND’s team, not five of them). I let the computer decide which of the many duplicates were the best (based on the player’s computer draft position). But this study has a twist. I threw in the 2011 cards, that is, the upcoming SOMBILLA season, yet to be played. So the 5 MLB seasons are 27-211, featuring the last 4 SOMBILLA seasons, plus the upcoming one.
Because we are all focused on the upcoming season, here are the 211 cards represented:
Area 51 (Avila, Clippard, Romero, Bastardo, Hellickson)
Bay City (Granderson, A. Cabrera, Morrison, Weeks, Heisey, Halladay, Janson, O’Flaherty, CJ Wilson, Madson)
Constantinople (Kinsler, Santana, Pence, Cain, Holland, Casilla, Vogelsong)
Fugakyu (Beltre, Hardy, Bonafacio, Fister, Salas, Hanrahan, Shields)
Future Wax (Kemp, Reyes, S. Rodriguez, Upton, Kershaw, Venters, Axford, Hamels)
New Orleans (Napoli, Ad. Jones, Putz, C. Martinez)
North Dakota (Ellsbury, Pedroia, Wieters, Craig, Kimbrel, Lee, Adams, Cueto)
The Cheddarmen (Y. Molina, Verlander, Weaver, Motte)
A couple of observations.
So, what happened? Who has the best players over the past/present 5 years of the SOMBILLA? Using each team’s actual ballpark from the middle (‘09-10) season of the five, and a 168-game schedule, here are the final standings:
WON LOST PCT GB
North Dakota
NDK 110 67
.601 ----
Future Wax
RAT
97 71 .577 4
The Cheddarmen
CHE 91 77 .542
10
Constantinople
CON 78 90
.464 23
Bay City
BAY
77 91 .458 24
Area 51
A51
76 92 .452 25
Fugakyu
FUG
76 92 .452 25
New Orleans
NEW
76 92 .452 25
No doubt some of these results can be attributed to the vagaries of ballparks chosen, whether appropriate or not. Yet, ND and FW had the best home record, while ND, CH and FW tied with the best road records. NO and A51 had the worst home records, while Bay City had the worst road record by far.
Only 3 players hit over .300:
----BATTING AVERAGE----
J.Hamilton (2010 card) RAT .322Albert Pujols (29 card) had a good year against the SOMBILLA’s best pitchers over the last 5 years:
--------HOMERUNS------- -----RUNS BATTED IN----
A.Pujols (2009) NDK 53 A.Pujols (2009) NDK 118MVP AWARD
A.Pujols (2009) (NDK) 395
ALL-STAR SELECTIONS BY POSITION
C B.McCann (2008) (RAT) 1,603,257
Pitching:
----------WINS---------
Z.Greinke (2009)
RAT 22-8
J.Peavy
(2007) NDK 18-7
A.Wainwright
(2010) NDK 18-8
C.Kershaw
(2011) RAT 18-11
U.Jimenez
(2010) RAT 17-11
J.Verlander
(2011) CHE 15-9
C.Carpenter
(2009) NEW 15-11
J.Shields
(2011) FUG 15-13
T.Lilly
(2009) NEW 14-12
C.Lee (2011)
NDK 14-12
----------ERA----------
R.Harden (2008)
RAT 2.66
C.Kershaw
(2011) RAT 2.91
Z.Greinke
(2009)
RAT 2.96
C.Carpenter
(2009) NEW 3.08
C.Sabathia
(2008) CON 3.11
C.Buchholz
(2010) A51 3.12
J.Peavy
(2007) NDK 3.26
J.Verlander
(2011) CHE 3.31
A.Wainwright
(2010) NDK 3.33
T.Lilly
(2009) NEW 3.49
---------SAVES--------
J.Soria (2008) FUG
41
J.Putz (2007)
RAT 39
M.Rivera
(2008)
NEW 38
A.Bastardo
(2011) A51 38
R.Soriano
(2010) CHE 34
T.Hoffman
(2009) NDK 33
G.Holland
(2011) CON 33
H.Kuo (2010) BAY 33
Playoffs
North Dakota 4 Constantinople 2
(Ludwick .579, 4 homers, 8 rbi; Hamilton .4)
World Series – best cards over the last 5 years
North Dakota vs., Future Wax
Game 1: North Dakota 4 Future Wax 1
Win: Lee(1-0) Loss: Kershaw(0-1) Save: Hoffman(1st) Homeruns- M.Ordonez-2(2nd), M.Alou(1st)
Magglio Ordonez knocked 2 homeruns as the North Dakota ballclub defeated the Future Wax club by a score of 4 to 1. Future Wax never recovered after North Dakota took the lead in the bottom of the 4th inning scoring one runner. North Dakota banged out 8 hits on the afternoon. The victory went to Cliff Lee(1-0) who went 7 and 1/3 innings, allowing 1 run. Lee was helped out by Trevor Hoffman who recorded his 1st save. Clayton Kershaw(0-1) took the loss. Despite the loss, he struckout 13 North Dakota batters in 6 and 2/3 innings.
Game 2: Future Wax 5 North Dakota 2
Win: Greinke(1-0) Loss: Wainwright(0-1) Homeruns- M.Reynolds(1st), D.Pedroia(1st)
Brian McCann had 2 base hits and Zack Greinke pitched a complete game as the Future Wax ballclub defeated the North Dakota club by the score of 5 to 2. Greinke(1-0) delivered a fine performance for Future Wax. He allowed 5 hits and 6 walks in 9 innings and was touched for 2 homeruns. Future Wax had a total of 9 hits for the game. Adam Wainwright(-01) took the loss. He surrendered 3 runs and 4 hits in 5 and 1/3 innings.
Game 3: North Dakota 4 Future Wax 1
Win: Peavy(1-0) Loss:Jimenez(0-1) Save:Hoffman(2nd) Homeruns- D.Pedroia(2nd), J.Thome(1st)
In a good matchup it was the North Dakota team 4, the Future Wax ballclub 1. Jake Peavy(1-0) pitched a solid game. He went 7 innings allowing 5 hits and 2 walks. Peavy mowed down 9 Future Wax batters. North Dakota had a total of 8 hits for the game. Peavy got relief help from Trevor Hoffman who gained credit for his 2nd save. Ubaldo Jimenez(0-1) was the losing pitcher. He surrendered 4 runs and 7 hits in 7 and 1/3 innings.
Game 4: Future Wax 4 North Dakota 2
Win: Hamels(1-0) Loss: Johnson(0-1) Save:Putz(1st) Homeruns- J.Rollins(1st), J.Thome(2nd)
Ryan Braun had 3 base hits and the Future Wax ballclub beat the North Dakota club 4 to 2. Future Wax tallied 3 runs in the bottom of the 4th inning when they had 4 base hits. The key offensive moment was provided by Jose Reyes who electrified the ballpark when he doubled bringing home two baserunners. Future Wax out-hit North Dakota for the game, 9 hits to 4. Cole Hamels(1-) got credit for the victory, pitching 5 and 1/3 innings and allowing 1 run. Hamels was helped out by J.J. Putz who recorded his 1st save. Josh Johnson(0-1) suffered the loss.
Game 5: Future Wax 4 North Dakota 2
Win: Harden(1-0) Loss: Cueto(0-1) Save: Putz(2nd) Homeruns- A.Pujols(1st), R.Braun(1st)
Rich Harden didn't allow a hit until the 7th inning as the Future Wax club bested the North Dakota team 4 to 2 at the [generic] ballpark. Ryan Braun helped send the fans home happy. He doubled in the 3rd inning and hit a 'grand salami' to the delight of his teammates in the 4th inning. Future Wax had 1 hits for the game and North Dakota had 2. Harden(1-0) got credit for the victory, pitching 8 innings and allowing 2 runs. The right-handed Harden lost his chance for a no-hitter when Albert Pujols homered with nobody out in the 7th inning. J.J. Putz preserved the game for Harden, recording his 2nd save. Johnny Cueto(0-1) took the loss. He was knocked around by Future Wax, allowing 6 hits and 2 walks in 3 and 2/3 innings. Everyone seemed to enjoy the performance of Harden - except North Dakota. North Dakota's manager lamented, "He just was 'on' this afternoon. He was keeping our guys off balance all game. A fine game by a good strikeout pitcher - makes it a fun game for the hometown fans - unfortunately we were the visitors"!
Game 6: North Dakota 5 Future Wax 2
Win: Lee(2-0) Loss: Kershaw(0-2) Homeruns- M.Reynolds(2nd)
David Ortiz hit 2 doubles and Cliff Lee had a complete game at the ballpark where the North Dakota ballclub beat the Future Wax club by the score of 5 to 2. Lee(2-0) was very good in the win. He allowed only 7 hits and 4 walks in 9 innings. Neither team managed to score after the 4th inning. Clayton Kershaw(-2) was tagged with the loss. He was not very effective, surrendering 5 runs in 3 and 1/3 innings.
Game 7: Future Wax 13 North Dakota 7
Win: Putz(1-0) Loss: Aardsma(0-1) Homeruns- J.Hamilton(1st), A.Hill(1st), R.Braun(2nd), J.Ellsbury(1st), A.Pujols(2nd), D.Ortiz(1st), M.Ordonez(3rd), M.Alou(2nd)
Josh Hamilton hit one over the fence and had 4 RBI as the Future Wax ballclub staged a dramatic comeback over the North Dakota team by a score of 13 to 7. North Dakota was unable to overcome the big offensive rally by Future Wax in the 9th inning as they ripped North Dakota for 7 runs on 3 hits. The big moment was provided by Aaron Hill who deflated the mood of the partisan fans when he caught a hold of a bad pitch for a Grand Slam homerun. For the game Future Wax out-hit North Dakota 12 to 7. The victory went to J.J. Putz(1-0) who went 2 innings, allowing 3 runs. David Aardsma(0-1) was the losing pitcher in relief. He surrendered 2 runs in 2 innings and saw his ERA increase from 3. to 5.4.
Future Wax wins series 4 games to 3. Damn.
Series MVP: Ryan Braun (2007 card) .5 (11 for 22), 2 HR, 7 RBI
Who are the SOMBILLA’s large market teams? Who are the small market teams operating on a shoestring? Who are the big spenders and cheapskate owners? Should the SOMBILLA institute a salary cap?
I let the computer choose each team's 25-man roster. The computer's not perfect in that regard, making a few surprising selections from amongst each team's 45-man roster, but I figure it got at least 20 of the 25 people correct for each team. That’s good enough for me and this study without spending another week of my precious summer nitpicking each selection. Using the salary database available on the USA Today website, here are the results:
1. Constantinople. $191,209,780. No surprise here. Tom was the league’s 2nd biggest spender in the last study three years ago with $174 million. Although we could call them the Yankees of the SOMBILLA, the amazing thing is that the Yankees payroll is actually higher ($202,689,028). Think about that. We have an all-star league, yet the Yankees payroll is higher than the SOMBILLA's highest team. (No, Harold, the Bosox payroll is actually only $161 million). The pressure will be on the high-priced CN players to perform this year. Number of millionaires: 21
Ten highest paid:
|
A Rod |
32,000,000 |
|
Sabathia |
24,285,714 |
|
Howard |
20,000,000 |
|
Hunter |
18,500,000 |
|
Bay |
18,125,000 |
|
Youk |
12,250,000 |
|
Hudson |
9,000,000 |
|
Cain |
7,333,333 |
|
Hart |
6,833,333 |
|
Billingsley |
6,275,000 |
2. New Orleans. $187,971,750. No secret to the SOMBILLA’s last year’s championship. Harold bought it! Like Tom, he outspends all MLB teams except the Yankees. 9 of his players make $10,000,000 or more. Number of millionaires: 21
Ten highest paid:
|
Suzuki |
18,000,000 |
|
Morneau |
15,000,000 |
|
Rivera |
14,911,700 |
|
Carpenter |
14,259,403 |
|
Wright |
14,250,000 |
|
Rios |
12,500,000 |
|
Dunn |
12,000,000 |
|
Kuroda |
11,765,724 |
|
Cano |
10,000,000 |
|
Figgins |
9,500,000 |
3. Go Avocado. $165,576,684. Hmmm, Go Avocado vs. New Orleans in a 7-games World Series. Coincidence? I think not. Now we know the real secret to their successful seasons last year. He pays a lot for his starters (Lincecum, Dempster, Verlander, Weaver), and they respond well. Number of millionaires: 20
|
Utley |
15,285,714 |
|
Crawford |
14,857,142 |
|
Lincecum |
14,000,000 |
|
Dempster |
13,500,000 |
|
Verlander |
12,850,000 |
|
Konerko |
12,000,000 |
|
Werth |
10,571,428 |
|
R Soriano |
10,000,000 |
|
Zimmerman |
9,025,000 |
|
J Weaver |
7,365,000 |
4. Fugakyu. $157,787,826. Another playoff team, another high payroll. His payroll is still higher than all MLB teams, other than the Yankees, Phillies and Red Sox. Number of millionaires: 21
Ten highest paid:
|
Mauer |
23,000,000 |
|
Beltre |
14,000,000 |
|
Furcal |
13,000,000 |
|
F Hernandez |
11,700,000 |
|
Roberts |
10,000,000 |
|
Huff |
10,000,000 |
|
Myers |
8,000,000 |
|
Bautista |
8,000,000 |
|
Victorino |
7,500,000 |
|
Votto |
7,410,655 |
5. Bay City. $135,780,783. A big drop-off from the league’s big-market teams to the small market teams, led by Robin. All those coiffered tight uniform expenses cut into the amount her team can spend on player salaries. Number of millionaires: 16
Ten highest paid:
|
Wells |
26,187,500 |
|
M Cab |
20,000,000 |
|
Halladay |
20,000,000 |
|
Oswalt |
16,000,000 |
|
V Mart |
12,000,000 |
|
Ethier |
9,500,000 |
|
F Sanchez |
6,000,000 |
|
A Sanchez |
3,700,000 |
|
Gallardo |
3,500,000 |
|
Kuo |
2,725,000 |
6. North Dakota. $135,541,162. Suspiciously similar payroll to Bay City for the league’s only owners who are married to each other. And as a small-market team, he has another excuse for blowing the playoff series to Eric. Number of millionaires: 21
|
Pujols |
14,508,395 |
|
Ortiz |
12,500,000 |
|
H Ramirez |
11,000,000 |
|
Lee |
11,000,000 |
|
M Ordonez |
10,000,000 |
|
Rolen |
8,166,666 |
|
Johnson |
7,750,000 |
|
Bell |
7,500,000 |
|
Wainright |
6,687,500 |
|
Danks |
6,000,000 |
7. Area 51 $131,421,738. Cheapskate Jeff had the highest payroll in the SOMBILLA just 3 years ago. Clearly something is afoot out there in New Mexico. Alien fans are not pleased. Number of millionaires: 19
Ten highest paid:
|
Teixeira |
23,125,000 |
|
Zambrano |
18,875,000 |
|
F Rod |
12,166,666 |
|
Swisher |
9,100,000 |
|
Sizemore |
7,666,666 |
|
Vlad |
7,611,455 |
|
W Rodriguez |
7,500,000 |
|
Garza |
5,950,000 |
|
Lester |
5,750,000 |
|
D. Young |
5,375,000 |
8. Future Wax $123,276,248. How the mighty have fallen. You’d think with 3 owners, these cheapskates could scrounge up some more dough to help the cause, but no, the Pirates of the SOMBILLA just don’t care anymore. This franchise is an embarrassment. Does Randy think we won't notice how they pocket ticket receipts? Number of millionaires: 16
Ten highest paid:
|
Santana |
21,644,707 |
|
A Ramirez |
14,600,000 |
|
Reyes |
11,000,000 |
|
Hamels |
9,500,000 |
|
Uggla |
9,146,942 |
|
Hamilton |
8,750,000 |
|
Kemp |
7,100,000 |
|
Valverde |
7,000,000 |
|
McCann |
6,700,000 |
|
Scott |
6,400,000 |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Everyone in the league agonizes over their final cuts and then inevitably laments their poor decisions, when guys they have cut go on to have great seasons. So, this summer, I decided to take a closer look at this phenomenon and answer the pressing questions of who is the worst ‘cutter’ in the league and who makes the best cutlist decisions.
I examined cuts from the last 15 years, going all the way back to the 1997 draft. At first, I thought about taking all the players each team had cut who had become redrafted and put all their ‘redrafted’ cards onto a computer Strat-O team. The goal of that league would be to come in last of course, to show that you were the most adept at cutting players, since the players you cut subsequently sucked more than anyone else’s players who’d been cut.
But I realized that it would be impossible to field enough players on a team (see below) who’d been cut and then redrafted by another team. I suppose I could’ve used all cut players, not just those who’d been redrafted, but that would have taken way too long.
So instead, I am just listing the players cut by each team in the past 15 years who have been redrafted by another team. (I also thought about compiling all the stats of those redrafted, but then decided I wanted a little bit more of the summer to myself).
So here are the lists. Note that any players who were cut and redrafted more than once appear on more than one team, so that each team can get ‘credit’ for screwing up. There is s second list of just those players redrafted by the same team that cut them:
Arnie. (29) – I guess I am the worst cutter in the league, because more players I’ve cut have been redrafted in the past 15 years than anyone else’s team. However, since this is my fucking study, I have decided to alter the conclusion, by rationalizing this by concluding that I’ve had more talent on my roster than anyone else over the past 15 years and therefore I can’t help but cut quality players who get picked up by others. Anyway, here they are:
S. Baker, Church, Infante, Kouzmanoff, C. Lewis, C. Pena, J. Rivera, D. Ross, R. Santiago, L. Scott, C. Snyder, Thornton, R. Belliard, Bradford, T. Clark, R. Winn, Eckstein, Bordick, J. Reed, M. Barrett, O. Cabrera, Conine, R. Sanchez, D’Amico, D. Wells, R. Cedeno, C. Hayes, Naehring, D. Lewis
Jed (28) – In fairness, I think a few of these guys were actually contracted out of a job rather than just cut, so Jed should probably rank 4th or 5th: (And maybe he can blame Clint or Matt for some of these). But he can’t complain about being 2nd too much, having cut Halladay.
Aurilia, T. Clark, Dempster, Grudzielanek, Zumaya, Radke, Loiaza, D. Ross, B. Giles, M. Ordonez, Carrasco, Howry, Ponson, O. Hernandez, K. Garcia, Schmidt, Halladay, M. Cordova, Leskanic, Higginson, Hollandsworth, A. Gonzalez, D. Lewis, Mayne, Tewksbury, McElroy, Espinoza, Deer
Robin (26) – I know she is shocked not to be first, but it’s still a fine, impressive list, and probably would have ‘won’ the computer league: Takes 3rd over Randy by virtue of more egregious cuts.
G. Anderson, Ankiel, Balfour, Breslow, O. Cabrera, Hensley, Ohman, Pineiro, Street, R. Tejada, J. Valentin, CJ Wilson, R Winn, Fucking Juan Uribe, M. Adams, Gross, Stairs, Acevedo, Embree, Vizcaino, K. Escobar, W. Gonzalez, J. Mesa, Surhoff, Grebeck, T. Goodwin
RAT (26) – Perhaps there is something to that roster talent hypothesis after all:
R. Castro, R. Durham, J. Guthrie, A. Jones, Saltalamachia, C. Zambrano, Bottalico, Mirabelli, L. Hernandez, B. Giles, Cormier, J. Tavarez, M. Williams, Wakefield, Nilsson, Embree, Velarde, T. Fernandez, M. Maddux, M. Stanton, Stottlemyre, R. Jefferson, Offerman, E. Davis, Radinsky, Becker
Jeff (21) – Can’t think of anything witty to say about Jeff, as usual:
Affeldt, Crede, R. Franklin, B. Myers, Olivo, Renteria, Wickman, Marrero, Glavine, Erstad, Eckstein, Cormier, Dye, Bordick, Randa, Holmes, Burnitz, P. Wilson, C. Guillen, Aguilera, Belinda
Harold (20) – Another fine computer team, just needs 5 more players:
Bradford, Branyan, T Jones, Percival, O. Vizquel, M. Alou, Leiter, Jenkins, Wunsch, Grace, Ochoa, L. Gonzalez, Lieber, G. Lloyd, Baldwin, Belcher, Guthrie, Trombley, MacFarlane, Valle
Ausmus, R. Belliard, Benoit, Ellis, Howry, J. Phelps, Politte, E. Santana, W. Alvarez. Timlin, Pavano, R. Durham, Clement, G. Anderson, M. Batista
Eric (6) – What the fuck?!! Jawdroppingly statistically significant. Has anyone else noticed that Eric consistently shows up as an outlier on my summer studies? He’s been the whitest team in the league, the oldest team in the league, had the fewest pitchers on a championship team, and was involved in the largest ‘who’s your daddy (vs Randy). He is clearly paranormal when it comes to the SOMBILLA:
Millwood, J. Wright, J. Valentin, Glavine, Clayton, Fassero
Next,
here is a (much shorter) list of everyone who has been redrafted by
the team that cut them
Pretty bunched other than Robin and Jed..
Two
players appear on both lists – Tom Glavine and Royce Clayton
were cut and redrafted by both the same team that cut them as well as
another team entirely. And in the course of doing this study, I
uncovered another record – only one player has actually played
on four different SOMBILLA franchises - Mike Bordick. (Harold, J&C,
Arnie and Dave).
For the first study this summer, the SOMBILLA’s research department looks at pitchers drafted in the first round. It’s no great draft secret that drafting pitchers is riskier than drafting position players. So many things can go wrong with pitchers, injury-wise. And yet, we can’t help ourselves. The main reason is shear pragmatism. Good available righty starters are always at a premium. There are rarely that many available, and so they are invariably taken in the first round, regardless of their future potential. But is that really true? Are most first round pitchers righty starters?
We’ve held 25 drafts since that original 35-round dispersal draft in 1985. (Man, are we old). There have been 210 first round draft picks. Of those, 96 have been pitchers (46%). So, despite the fact that these picks are generally riskier, the league has still split its first rounders almost evenly between pitchers and hitters.
What about first picks overall? Who have they been
and how have they fared? The very first player taken in the very first
draft was a pitcher. T&A drafted Dwight Gooden in that first and
only dispersal draft. But that draft doesn’t count. What about the
regular annual drafts after that?
Pitchers taken first overall in the draft
1993 – Curt Schilling (Dave)
2000 – Kris Bensen (Harold)
2003 – Mark Prior (Robin)
2006 – Felix Hernandez (Jed)
2008 – Fausto Carmona (Harold)
Two out of 5 had, or are in the middle of, great careers. Two (Bensen and Prior) were derailed by injuries, while it’s too early to determine where Carmona will end up
Eighteen pitchers have been taken second overall, including 4 of the 5 seasons where a pitcher was also taken 1st overall. This means that in 19 of the 25 drafts (76%) a pitcher was taken first or second overall. Who are these second overalls?
|
1986 |
S. Fernandez |
Robin |
|
1988 |
Dunne, M |
Dave |
|
1989 |
Cone |
Robin |
|
1990 |
Olson |
D&H |
|
1993 |
Tewksbury |
Jed |
|
1994 |
Sele |
Robin |
|
1994 |
Bere |
Land |
|
1995 |
Trachsel |
Harold |
|
1997 |
Radke |
Matt |
|
1999 |
O. Hernandez |
Jed |
|
2001 |
Weaver |
Jeff |
|
2002 |
Oswalt |
Robin |
|
2003 |
Beckett |
Matt |
|
2004 |
Webb |
Matt |
|
2006 |
Patterson |
Jeff |
|
2007 |
Verlander |
Eric |
|
2008 |
Lincecum |
Eric |
|
2010 |
Hanson |
Robin |
Twice we have had pitchers go 1-2-3. In 1993, it was Schilling, Tewksbury and then Eldred (Dave). Exactly 10 years later in 2003, it was Prior, Beckett and Clement (Eric). So get ready for a run on pitching early in the 2013 draft.
But despite almost half of the first round draft picks being pitchers, the most pitchers taken in the first round in any year is 5, which the league has done twice – in 1986 and 1990 – both years before we had 9 picks in the first round (which the league did from 1992 – 2001).
70% of pitchers taken in the first round are starters (67 out of 96). Of those 67, 62 of them (93%) were righty starters. Only 5 lefty starters have ever been chosen in the first round: S. Fernandez (Robin, ’86); Leiter (Harold ’97); Ankiel (Robin ’00); O. Perez (Harold ’05); C. Lee(Arnie ’09).
Of the 29 relievers taken in the first round, only one was a lefty – Rob Murphy, drafted by Eric in 1988 (Eric won the championship the next two seasons with Murphy a stalwart in the pen).
Who is the most likely to draft a pitcher in the first round? Eric. He has drafted 17 first round pitchers over the years. Least likely? Jeff, who has drafted only 2 first round pitchers in his 17 years of draft participation. (Tom also has only drafted 2 pitchers in the first round, but has participated in only 13 drafts, so Jeff's ’first round pitcher percentage is lower). The list:
Eric 17
Harold 14
Robin 14
RAT/T&A 12
Matt 11
Jed 9
Arnie 8
Tom 2
Jeff 2
Finally, two pitchers hold the odd distinction of having been drafted in the first round twice! Livan Hernandez (9th overall by RAT in ‘98; 7th in ’04 by Arnie) and Dempster (’01 by Jed; ’09 by Eric). But Dempster wins the oddity battle; both of his selections were as 3rd overall.
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As suggested by Tom. I really had to scrounge the attic for some of this stuff. I did the best I could; hopefully I was able to account for the vast majority of all SOMBILLA trades.
In going through some of the old stuff, I came to the conclusion that I was kind of a jerk at times. Sorry, Clint et al. I also enjoyed looking through a lot of it; damn we’ve been doing this a long time.
"This league hates to trade" – Durga Rao, 1988
|
Date |
Trade |
|
Draft Day 1979 |
Arnie despised Reggie Jackson, so immediately after the draft gave him to Tsuan for two pens. |
|
June 1979 |
Arnie trades Gossage and Carew to Jed for for someone named Jerry Martin and 3 other nobodies. |
|
11/1982 |
Arnie trades Lonnie Smith to Joel for Moose Haas. |
|
11/21/83 |
J.Niekro, L. Smith and L. Durham, Them (Jed) for J. Thompson, Lacy and Spillner, Shellshock II (Andrew). Forster, Shellshock II for J. Dwyer, Them |
|
11/22/83 |
Back in the olden days when the draft consisted of drafting 4 MLB teams for a one-year league, each team ended up with holes to fill and lots of trade bait of multiple players at one position. So, a week after the draft, we would schedule an official trade night.
|
|
12/4/83 |
P. Niekro, Montefusco, and T. Martinez, ND for Schmidt and Carlton, Eric |
|
12/20/83 |
McGlaughlin, ND for R. Jones, Shellshock II |
|
12/27/83 |
S. Sanderson, Sardukar for G. Hendrick, BC |
|
11/1985 |
Joel receives Moseby from FW for Chris Bando (a steal, per Twits Notes) |
|
11/1986 |
|
|
1/1/1987 |
According to the 1/11 Twits Notes "For the first time in league history, there have been no mid-season trades, although one was almost pulled off at Jed’s New Year’s party." |
|
1988 |
|
|
1988-1989 |
|
|
1989 |
Rickey Henderson, ND to Jed for G. Bell, Seitzer, and Shelby. Julio Franco, ND to Dave for Samuel John Farrell and a 4th round pick to Matt for Whitson |
|
Draft Day 1990 |
Dawson, ND for Darling, NO DeLeon and a 5th (Darwin) from Jed to Eric for Hrbek and Baines Seitzer, NO to Eric for a 2nd (R. Martinez) |
|
Draft Day 1991 |
Belcher and D. Ward, Durga and Harold to Dave for Gwynn. Then Gwynn, D&H to Jed for a 1st round pick (used to take S. Alomar 3rd overall). |
|
10/26/1991 |
Bonilla and a 4th round pick (became M. Flanagan) from Jed to Robin for C. Finley and a 10th (Desarcina) |
|
April 1992 |
After the expansion draft Land immediately traded Stanton and A. Rhodes to Jed for Zeile. He also traded M. Thompson to Eric for a 7 th rounder in the following year’s draft (became Neel). |
|
10/23/1992 |
Dawson, Harold to Eric for a 5th round pick (became Schofield) |
|
10/27/1992 |
Sam Horn, Dave & Land to Jed for B. Witt |
|
December 1992 |
McReynolds from Harold to Arnie for Raines |
|
Draft Day 1993 |
|
|
1993 |
Gooden, Jeffries and A. Watson to Jed & Clint from T&A for Piazza and P. Martinez (Mon.) |
|
12/23/94 |
Harnisch, CN to NO for Astacio and R. Martinez |
|
2/5/94 |
Clemens, Eric to Arnie for two first round picks (became McMurtry and Hamelin) |
|
Feb. 1994 |
|
|
Circa Draft Day 1994 |
|
|
Summer 1994 |
Key, L. Smith, Bordick and a 4th round pick from Arnie to Dave for Larkin and B. Williams |
|
1994-1995 |
|
|
Draft Day 1995 |
|
|
1995-1996 |
These trades were made during 95-96, involving draft picks. The summary here is the resulting trade after draft picks) per ’96 summer newsletter.
|
|
Draft Day 1996 |
|
|
2/21/97 |
Folders trade Ellis Burls to CN for J. Navarro and a 4th (became Offerman) |
|
Draft Day 1997 |
|
|
10/2/97 |
A. Martin, North Dakota was traded to Bay City for 1998 and 2000 5th round draft picks (J. Reed and Remlinger). |
|
1/31/98 |
At the trading deadline for both teams, North Dakota acquired Chales Nagy from J&C’s Bunghole Quahogs for a 1999 2nd round pick (became Woodard). |
|
3/23/98 |
New Orleans acquires Craig Biggio from the Bunghole Quahogs for Eric Young, a '98 4th round pick (Burnitz), a '99 1st round pick (Hinch) and a '99 5th round pick (Servace). Bunghole acquires Mussina for a 4th round pick (Brocail) from Jeff. |
|
Draft day 1998 |
Most trades below are written as analyzed in the 2002 SOMBILLA summer newsletter (thus the sometimes confusing tenses). 1. Eric traded Matt Stairs to Robin for her 2nd round pick. Eric used this pick to draft Kotsay, who played 1 season for Eric - at most, and may possibly have never played in the league. Stairs spent 3 productive years on the BC roster, hitting 26 homers and batting .303 one year. Clear advantage to Robin on this trade. 2. A. Benitez & Myers from Harold to Jeff for Glavine and a 6th round pick (became Carpenter). Glavine played one season for Harold, who then traded him to Eric. Glavine has pitched in the league every year and next season will be no exception. Benitez has been a mainstay in Jeff's bullpen as well. Myers pitched one season for Jeff, and Carpenter never pitched in the SOMBILLA. A tough call. If Glavine wasn't a lefty, this would be easy. We'll call it even. 3. Beck from Arnie to Matt for a 3rd rounder, which became A. Nunez. Beck lasted only one season with Matt, but that's one more than Nunez ever played. Advantage: Matt. 4. DeShields from Eric to Land for a 6th round pick (became Cather). Each lasted only one season in the league (Cather was a limited relief mutant). Even. 5. R. White and a 2nd round pick (became T. Greene) from Jeff to Land for I. Valdes. Both Valdes and R White have played on their new teams for 3 of the last 4 seasons, but White had a fine 2001 and Valdes' future is questionable. Advantage: Land & Brian. 6. B. Jones from ND to Land for Sanchez and a 7 th round pick (became Segui). Sanchez was instrumental in ND's '99 championship and Segui had 2 productive seasons. Jones pitched one season for CN. Advantage: ND 7. B. Roberts from RAT to Matt for a 9th round pick in '99. We assume he played for Matt in '98-99. RAT drafted Desi Relaford. A tie. 8. Jose Valentin from Robin to Eric for a 6 th round pick in '99 (that became Randy Winn). I’ll give this trade to Robin as Winn is having a fine 2002. Of course, Robin cut him last year. |
|
1/7/99 |
Metrowest acquires Mike Stanley from Kakania (Eric) in exchange for Pokey Reese and a 7th round pick (Wendell). |
|
1/7/99 |
North Dakota trades Albie Lopez, Jeff Cirillo, and an 8th round pick (H. Bush) to Manila Folders for Jeff Shaw |
|
3/13/99 |
BC acquires Mickey Morandini for B. Taylor. If either player makes a team’s roster the following year and the other does not, a 7th round pick is thrown in. |
|
3/26/99 |
About a week before the draft, Jed & Clint acquired Jose Offerman and a 3rd round pick (became Mike Caruso) from Constantinople for a 2nd round pick (became Abreau) and a 6th round pick (became Howry). Snicker. |
|
4/7/99 |
4 days after the draft, Eric acquired Tom Glavine from New Orleans for 2000 3rd round pick (became Geoff Jenkins), plus a very complicated formula for a player to be named later involving Eddie Perez or a swap of 2000 6th round picks. To make a long trade short, it turned out to be Glavine and Trot Nixon to Eric for Geoff Jenkins and Brent Mayne. A slight advantage to Eric. |
|
10/7/99 |
Clavius (Eric) acquires Brian Jordan from Shithead (Jed) for Encarnacion and a '01 5th round pick. |
|
12/8/99 |
The Constantinople Manatees held a press conference early today to announce the trading of right handed middle man Rob Nen to New Orleans for a player to be named later. (A third round draft pick if Harold does not make the playoffs, a second round draft pick if he does or first round pick if he wins the whole thing. Also, as part of the deal, Harold traded away the right to choose his 10th draft pick, giving CN 11 picks and NO 9 picks overall). |
|
12/28/99 |
SOMBILLA Defending champion North Dakota has announced the acquisition of Mo Vaughn from 'Fire Sale' Shithead today. The trade contains the most complicated contingency ever consummated by the 20-year old league. In exhange for Mo (currently batting .355 with 10 homers and 28 rbi's for the Quahogs), North Dakota gives up a 2nd round pick in the 2000 draft (became Nilsson) and a 2001 draft pick that could be anywhere from 1st-10th: 1st: If ND wins championship this year AND next year AND Mo hits 45+ homers or bats .330+ vs. righties in 2000. 2nd: If ND wins the championship this year AND Mo hits 45+ homers or bats .330+ vs. righties its a 2nd rounder. 3rd: If ND wins the championship this year AND Mo hits 40+ homers or bats .320+ vs. righties. 4th: If Mo (hits .300+ versus righties or 35 HR) AND has 350+ plate appearances 5th: If Mo (hits .300+ versus righties or 25 HR) AND has 300 - 349 plate appearances 6th: If Mo (hits .300+ versus righties or 20 HR) AND has 250 - 299 plate appearances 7th: If Mo hits below .300 versus righties AND has fewer than 35 HR, but has a card 8th: If Mo has fewer than 40 plate appearances (or no card), but plans to return in 2001. 9th: If Mo has no card because he retires or has a career-ending injury. 10th: If ND misses the playoffs this year, AND Mo has no card because he retires or has a career threatening injury. It ended up as a 4th and Bunghole chose Alfonseca. |
|
Draft day 2000 |
1. M. Williams, Manila Folders and a 4th round pick in 2002 to Future Wax for a 2nd round pick in 2000. Became Matt Williams and Craig Wilson for Torii Hunter. Williams gave FW a few great cards, but Hunter’s awesome. Advantage: Matt.
2. R. Clemens, North Dakota to Manila Folders for a 3rd round pick in 2001 and a 3rd round pick in 2002. The two picks for Clemens became Lance Berkman and Orlando Cabrera. We’ll call that one a draw. 3. Bunghole trades its 1st round pick (1st overall) to New Orleans for a 1st round pick (7th overall) and a 3rd round pick. Essentially, Harold got Benson from Jed & Clint for Zimmerman and Seanez. After all is said and done, a pretty minor trade, with a slight advantage to Jed & Clint. |
|
9/24/00 |
TTFKA Bay City acquiring Francisco Cordova and a 9th round pick (became Buehrle!) from North Dakota for a 4th rounder (R. White). |
|
10/21/00 |
Jay Buhner and a 9th round pick goes from Dewey Dells (Eric) to Area 51 for Reggie Sanders. Additionally, if Buhner makes Jeff's squad next year (2001-2002), then Eric gets his 9th pick and Jeff gets Eric's 10th pick in the March 2002 draft. |
|
10/27/00 |
The Dewey Dells have called up Albert Belle from their AAA club, the Manila Folders, in exchange for a 3rd round pick (Blanco). |
|
1/4/01 |
North Dakota reacquires Jeff Cirillo from the Folders in exchange for 1st and 6th round draft picks (Zito and Chen). |
|
1/11/01 |
Miguel Tejada was traded to Area 51 for Fernando Tatis and a 2001 7th round draft switch (if A51's pick is better than CN, CN will trade their 7th round pick for A51's) |
|
Draft Day 2001 |
1. Cirillo, ND to Robin for a 2nd round pick (became Rollins). Advantage: Arnie 2. Matt traded his 8th round pick to Eric (became Koskie) for an 8th rounder in 2002 (became Grimsley). Advantage: Eric. 3. Kevin Brown to Harold from Jed & Clint for a 1 st, 5th & 7th in both the 2001 and 2002 drafts. This was a huge trade at the time. But the 2001 picks became Dempster & Lugo (they could not use the 7th round pick, having exhausted their 10 picks beforehand). And because Jed & Clint’s team, BiG DiG was contracted out of existence, they never got to use their 2002 picks either (Harold did forfeit his 2nd , 6th and 8th round picks in the 2002 contraction draft). Advantage: Harold |
|
5/2001 |
Clint & Jed traded Travis Fryman and their second 5th round pick (whichever is worse) in the 2002 draft (became C. Wilson) for Future Wax's 2nd round pick in 2002. |
|
Draft Day 2002 |
|
|
5/1/2002 |
Biggio, FW to Jed for Palmer & a 7th. If Palmer hits > 25 HR, it becomes a 5th |
|
Draft Day 2003 |
There was a blockbuster trade on draft day. Matt and Jed traded Jim Edmonds and E. Chavez to RAT for B. Giles, Kendall, D. Lee and a first round pick (which was used to draft Eric Hinske). Edmonds then won back to back SOMBILLA MVP Awards for RAT. A minor trade on draft day was Kotsay from Eric to Harold for a 5th (Batista) and a 7th (Embree) During the week leading up to the draft, North Dakota traded Johnny Damon to Jeff for David Eckstein. Jeff got the better of that one, but not by a lot. |
|
11/24/2003 |
Constantinople acquires Gary Matthews Jr. from Gawd B (Eric) in exchange for an 8th round draft pick. |
|
12/17/2003 |
Eric trades Hideo Nomo, next year's #2 pick, and a player to be named later (B. Donnelly) to Jeff for Miguel Tejada and a swap of #3 picks, if Jeff has the higher pick in round 3. Later it would be revealed to be perhaps the first steroid user for steroid user trade (Donnelly for Tejada). |
|
Draft Day 2004 |
There was one blockbuster trade during draft week 2004. Lance Berkman, North Dakota was traded to Future Wax for Gary Sheffield and Jeff Kent. To completely evaluate that, though, note that 2 years later, North Dakota unloaded Sheffield and Jason Michaels and 2 draft picks (became Wang and C. Duncan) to Harold for Contreras and Glaus. So, counting just SOMBILLA stats since the trade, we have Berkman: .289 (233 for 807), 49 homers, 161 rbis vs. 2 years of Sheffield, Glaus and Contreras and 4 years of Kent: .256 (305 for 1193), 63 homers, 182 rbi's plus 12-6, 4.65 ERA. True, the Sheffield trade to New Orleans involved additional players, so a more accurate analysis would discount the ND stats listed above somehow to account for the trading of Michaels and 2 draft picks. Nonetheless after 4 SOMBILLA seasons, the trade appears to be fairly even. However, looking forward to the '07 and '08 cards, RAT appears to win this trade. |
|
12/2/2004 |
North Dakota acquires Estaban Loaiza from Montreal in exchange for a 1st and a 7th round pick in the 2005 draft (O. Perez and Buck). |
|
12/2004 |
Hildalgo from Harold to RAT for a 4th. If Hidalgo has no PA in the next 2 seasons for FW and is not traded, then Harold gives a 6th to FW in ’07 (Harold did). |
|
3/30/2005 |
M. Ramirez and a 4th round pick (Rowand) from New Orleans to Swarzluna (Eric) for L. Walker, Helton and P. Reese Tavarez from NO to SW for a 5th (becomes a 4th if Eric wins WS) |
|
3/31/2005 |
Orlando Hudson, Bay City to New Orleans for an ’05 (M. Adams) and an ’06 5th round pick (B. McCarthy)(the ’06 pick becomes a 7th rounder if Hudson loses his "1" fielding rating). |
|
4/2/2005 |
Johnny Estrada, Bay City to North Dakota for a 2006 4th round pick (R. Tejada) |
|
12/11/05 |
Bay City acquires Mench from Area 51 for a 4th round pick (Politte) and Quiroz |
|
4/1/2006 |
Michaels and Sheffield, a 9th round pick in '06 (became Wang) and a 4th round pick in '07 from North Dakota to New Orleans for Contreras and Glaus. |
|
4/2/2006 |
North Dakota trades the rights to the last pick in the draft (became Branyan) to Constantinople for a 6th round pick in '07 (became Johjima). |
|
Early 2007 |
Smoltz to Jeff from Jed for Olivo and a 6th (if Smoltz makes A51 next season and Olivo doesn’t). Jeff gets the 6th if Olivo makes Jed’s team and Smoltz doesn’t make Jeff’s |
|
Draft day 2007 |
Hafner, North Dakota to Knuckle Sandwiches for a 4th round pick (became Luke Scott) and a 1st round pick in ’08 (became M. Ordonez). |
|
3/29/08 |
Kelvim Escobar, North Dakota to Bay City for a 3rd round draft pick (Ellsbury) |
|
1/14/09 |
Jed acquires Neshek and Smoltz from Area 51 in exchange for Maine and a 4th round pick, which becomes a 3rd round pick if Jed makes the playoffs. |
|
1/22/09 |
Fugakyu trades Youkilis + a 3rd round pick (X. Nady) and a 7th round pick (Samardzija) to Constantinople for Pena + Beltre |
|
3/17/09 |
Chris Snyder, Dem Bums to North Dakota for Carl Crawford |
|
4/5/09 |
Dye, Hafner, and Smoltz, Fugakyu to Constantinople for Giambi |
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hard to believe it’s been 9 years since the SOMBILLA’s summer spotlight team examined the always interesting and controversial topic of racial profiling and racism in the SOMBILLA.
Here are the current team by team breakdowns, listed in order of least diversified to most:
<>Team White Latino African-American Asian Native American 2010 White% 2001 White%The numbers were compiled with Robin's assistance (who of course not only knows what all our players look like but also knows who has nice buns and who wears gold chains, etc). There were only about 10 players whom she was not familiar with, so she found pictures on the Internet for them.
As you can see, the league’s integration progress has stagnated over the past nine years. Although only 3 of the 9 teams are whiter than they were nine years ago, Constantinople’s shocking stockpiling of white players during this timespan is the bulk of the reason for the league’s lack of progress. The league does have fewer white players than MLB in general and more Latino ballplayers than ever before – more than 1/4 of the league, although they appear to have replaced African-Americans rather than white ballplayers. The black population in the league continues its steady decline, mirroring MLB. Asians are up to 12.5 from 8, and we now have a new category, as the SOMBILLA features 2 Native American players.
Tom takes over the dubious honor as whitest team in the league from two-time winner Eric (the 2nd whitest team), who back in 1991 in the inaugural study owned a team that was 80% white! Bucking the Latino trend, Tom employs a mere 8 players of Latino origin, and is also the only team with no Asians. 'Southern Man' Harold again has the fewest African-Americans on his team, only 2 (but the most Asians with 4).
Always employing among the most minorities on her club, Robin is the most politically correct team again. As always she has the most African-American and Latino ballplayers.
Other random facts – Jeff has the fewest white pitchers (11), while Jeff and RAT have the most Latino pitchers (7 each). Robin has 6 black outfielders, more than all but 2 other teams have on their entire rosters.
Note: Jeter was counted as half black/half white and Damon as half white/half Asian.
-------------------------------------------------------------
Study 3A
This study first ran in the 2002 summer newsletter and it seemed like a good time to update it. Not to mention fun! To refresh your memory, that study went back and chose the eight most recent SOMBILLA champions and threw them all into a Champions League to determine the greatest SOMBILLA team of all-time (or at least the eight seasons leading up to 2001-2002). The Future Wax team of 2001-2002 won that Champions League study.
This time, my goal was to expand the number of teams in the SOMBILLA Champions League. Because I have every computer baseball season since 1989, I figured that made a nice, even 20 champions we could look at!
Alas, since that original 2002 study, Strat-O has implemented a new disk protection system requiring you to hold a season "Authorization Code" before you can access the season. If you transferred that authorization to a computer and then got a new computer, you are out of luck unless you actually retained the Authorization Code. Who here still has the same computer they had back in 2002? You can see the issue.
I actually had to go up into the attic and pull out my old hard drive from my old computer that thankfully I still had. It had all the teams since 1989 on it, and wasn’t a total loss. I was able to access 12 of the past 20 seasons, oddly (including 12 of the past 13). I was unable to access 2004 or 1989-1994. I spoke with Strat-O and they were unsympathetic. I actually contacted Tom to see if he had the 2004 season to lend me, but like me, he had transferred that season to a now-defunct computer. Well, I certainly wasn’t going to fork over $80 to Strat-O (@ $10 a season) just to have a complete study. After my initial rage and bummed-out ness, I decided to make the best of it and have fun with it despite Strat-O’s paranoid absurd restrictions.
So, I still had a formidable 12-team, Champions League, with the following 12 SOMBILLA Champions participating in the league (listed chronologically):
Finn’s People ‘96-97
Future Wax ‘97-98
North Dakota ‘98-99
North Dakota ‘99-00
New Orleans ‘00-01
Future Wax ‘01-02
Area 51 ‘02-03
Gawd B ‘03-04
Constantinople ‘04-05
Constantinople ‘06-07
Future Wax ‘07-08
Constantinople ‘08-09
I used each team’s actual ballparks as well as the Computer Manager. Each team was scheduled to play each other team 14 times, 7 at home and away, for a 154 game schedule, just like the old days before 1962.
Here are the final regular season standings. (The first year listed is the actual MLB card year. The name of the team includes the SOMBILLA season)
LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 2008 SM Champions League
WON LOST PCT GB
That ’01-02 Future Wax team still looks like the team to beat, winning the pennant by an impressive 6 games. Interestingly the two last place teams are the two most recent champions. Here are the stats leaders from this league (you can match up the teams with the abbreviations shown above):
(Note the steroid-tainted HR leaders, probably all by Griffey & Bagwell? – RP)
Well, it wouldn’t be a real Strat-O season without playoffs. Because 50% of our league makes the playoffs, I put 50% (the top 6 teams) in these playoffs too. The first two teams got first round byes, with 3rd playing 6th and 4th playing 5th in the first round. This matched up Eric’s two champions – Gawd B and Finn’s People – against one another, while Constantinople from three years ago played FW’s 11-year old champion team in the other matchup.
Game 7
Finn’s People 5 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 - 8 12 1
North Dakota 0 4 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 1 - 9 10 0
Win:Wetteland(1-1) Loss:McMichael(1-1) Homeruns- R.Palmeiro(3rd), H.Baines(3rd), D.Segui(2nd), B.Santiago(1st)
"First baseman David Segui slammed a homerun and had 3 RBI as the North Dakota 99 ballclub defeated the Finn's People97 club in 10 innings by a score of 9 to 8 at the ballpark. Both teams were tied at 8 runs apiece after nine innings. North Dakota 99 won the game in the 10th inning. After an out was recorded, Scott Rolen drew a walk. Rolen was safe at second on a stolen base. Brad Fullmer struck out, unable to help the rally. Ryan Klesko came up and he was walked intentionally. Barry Larkin stepped into the box and delivered a single resulting in an exciting win for North Dakota 99 and a wild post-game celebration by the home town fans. North Dakota 99 banged out 10 hits on the afternoon. The win went to John Wetteland(1-1) who allowed no runs in 1 and 2/3 innings. Greg McMichael(1-1) was charged with the loss in relief. He allowed no hits and 2 walks in 1 inning."
And so, incredibly, we have a World Series rematch between the same teams from the summer study 7 years ago, won by Future Wax in 4 straight games.
Having knocked off all-comers in 2 studies seven years apart, I guess it’s safe to say that the 2001-2002 Future Wax is the greatest SOMBILLA team of alltime.
Study 3B
Next, I decided to let everyone play. I included Robin and Jed, both left out of Study 3A. For Robin, her World Series team from two years ago was the obvious choice. Jed, who has shared numerous forgettable teams with Clint and Matt over the years, seemingly had his best team (of those for which I had computer Strat-O) last year when he finished in first place.
For the other six holdovers, I chose the highest finishing team from Study 3A to compete in this 8-team league. Again, I used each team’s actual ballparks as well as the Computer Manager. Each team in this 8-team league was scheduled to play each other team 22 times, 11 at home and away, for a 154 game schedule, same as Study 3A.
Here are the final regular season standings. (The first year listed is the actual MLB card year. The name of the team includes the SOMBILLA season)
LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR Best of SOMBILLA
As expected, FW wins the pennant easily. Poor Eric! Finn’s People simply outclassed here, finishing 39 games out after a respectable showing in the first study. (I noticed that Mark Portugal finished 3-24 with a 7.87 ERA). Both Jed and Jeff sneak into the playoffs, just ahead of North Dakota.
Going into the playoffs, the question is whether any of these three teams can knock invincible Future Wax ‘01-02 down from the perch.
Study 3C
For the final study, I decided to do something completely different. For the 12 years to which I had access to computer Strat-O – 1995-2003, 2005-2007 (but not including 2008, which has yet to be played by us), I put together each franchise’s best 25-man roster. That is, the best 25 players over the past 12 years (sans 2004) for each team in one giant "Super League".
For Jed’s franchise, I decided to include not only players from his solo teams of the last few years, but the Manila Folder teams he shared with Matt. For the ‘95-2000 seasons, he shared a team with Clint. So, what the heck; because the Folders and the Clint/Jed teams for those six seasons were all fairly non-descript, I threw all those teams’ players into the Jed pool as well, calling that team the "Fugakyu Folders"
I had one main rule when assembling the rosters – no duplicate players. Not just within a team (so Future Wax couldn’t have 4 Barry Bonds and 5 Ken Griffeys), but also across teams. Only one Manny Ramirez or Roger Clemens for instance. I let the computer decide which player was the best, and he got to stay in the league.
Here is a list of the duplicate players (and year of card) across teams on the original 25 man rosters before I replaced the ‘lesser’ of the players:
|
Player |
Team that got to keep him |
Team that had to replace him |
|
Lance Berkman |
North Dakota (2002) |
Future Wax (2006)* |
|
Kevin Brown |
Fugakyu (1996) |
New Orleans (2000) |
|
Roger Clemens |
North Dakota (1997) |
Fugakyu (2005) ** |
|
Brian Giles |
Fugakyu (2002) |
Future Wax (2001) |
|
Troy Glaus |
New Orleans (2000) |
North Dakota (2005) |
|
Tom Glavine |
New Orleans (1997) |
Dem Bums (1998) Area 51 (1997) |
|
Vlad Guerrero |
Fugakyu (2000) |
Area 51 (2002) |
|
Todd Helton |
Dem Bums (2001) |
Fugakyu (2000) |
|
Andruw Jones |
Constantinople (2005) |
Fugakyu (2000) |
|
Rob Nenn |
New Orleans (2000) |
Constantinople (1998) |
|
Manny Ramirez |
New Orleans (2000) |
Dem Bums (2006) |
|
Curt Schilling |
Area 51 (2002) |
New Orleans (1998) |
|
Gary Sheffield |
Future Wax (1996) |
North Dakota (2003) |
|
Miguel Tejada |
Dem Bums (2002) |
Area 51 (2000) |
|
Larry Walker |
Area 51 (1997) |
Dem Bums (2001) |
* I’m sure they don’t believe me.
** Resigned to it
I let the computer decide the entire 25-man rosters. Some of the choices might be questionable (It couldn’t find a better 4th starter for North Dakota than Shawn Estes?) but I quickly decided not to try and second-guess any selections as that could lead to a slippery slope requiring me to spend a multitude of summer nights poring over this stuff. Fuck that.
I also chose an average ballpark for each team, since I’m not really sure what else would have been fair to cover an entire 12-year period. So, here are the "all-time" 25-man rosters for each franchise. Technically, they represent only 12 of the 29 SOMBILLA seasons, but so what. It’s my fucking study, I’ll call them "All-time teams" if I want to. Anyway, this list of rosters may be more interesting than anything else!
Area 51 All-time team
YEAR TEAM BAL AB DO TR HR BAVG BB K'S RBI OB% SL%
Catcher 1b 2b 3b ss lf cf rf ARM ClAv DP
Delgado 4e13 .341 23
Jones 3e18 4e20 .284 35
Boone 1e11 .305 26
Canseco 5e13 5e13 +1 .237 12
Wilson 2e8 -2 .323 39
Steinbach 2e4 -1t5p1 4e25 .276 42
Lo Duca 2e3 -1t7p1 3e14 4e25 +0 .338 35
Teixeira 1e3 .319 39
Lewis 4e41 4e14 4e48 .364 1
Erstad 3e2 1e4 2e4 +1 .327 15
Tettleton 4e2 +2t3p0 4e25 4e9 4e9 -1 .238 13
Young 3e19 .326 44
Walker 4e25 3e2 1e2 -4 .328 31
YEAR TEAM THROWS START RELIEF WON LOST ERA IP
<>B.J.
Ryan
2006 TOA
L
1 2 2 1.37 722009 Bay City All-Time Team
YEAR TEAM BAL AB DO TR HR BAVG BB K'S RBI OB% SL%
Sammy Sosa 2001 CHN 3L 577 34 5 64 .328 116 153 160 .437 .737Carlos Beltran 2006 NYN 4R 510 38 1 41 .275 95 99 116 .388 .594
Catcher 1b 2b 3b ss lf cf rf ARM ClAv DP
Sosa 3e6 +0 .297 2
Beltran 1e2 -3 .275 20
Rodriguez 1e1 -5t12p0 .304 68
Thomas 4e6 .323 21
Jeter 1e14 .318 22
Cabrera 3e12 4e7 -3 .318 34
Blalock 4e71 4e18 .276 43
Cantu 4e19 4e34 .309 67
Anderson 2e4 +0 .285 22
Frye 5e25 3e8 4e65 4e48 4e25 4e25 4e25 +2 .295 43
Surhoff 4e13 +2t1p20 3e13 3e3 4e3 4e3 +2 .359 19
Sweeney 4e4 +3t13p0 5e27 .308 45
Green 4e25 2e6 -2 .283 21
Mueller 4e22 2e21 5e48 .293 31
YEAR TEAM THROWS START RELIEF WON LOST ERA IP
Constantinople All-Time Team
YEAR TEAM BAL AB DO TR HR BAVG BB K'S RBI OB% SL%Alex Rodriguez 2007 NYA 4R 583 31 0 54 .314 95 120 156 .422 .645
Catcher 1b 2b 3b ss lf cf rf ARM ClAv DP
Rodriguez 2e14 .286 24
Giambi 3e8 .328 16
Burks 1e6 3e6 -1 .325 33
Abreu 3e8 -2 .275 27
Alfonzo 1e12 .291 27
Varitek 2e3 -1t11p2 .259 29
Howard 4e14 .264 2
Martin 1e1 -2t14p1 .293 34
Everett 3e5 4e5 3e5 +1 .303 16
Belliard 2e19 3e37 4e48 .290 40
Nevin 4e32 .287 19
Reboulet 4e16 +5t20p20 3e10 3e18 3e25 3e7 .273 16
Batista 3e19 .286 34
Jones 1e2 -4 .246 43
YEAR TEAM THROWS START RELIEF WON LOST ERA IPJonathan Papelbon 2006 BOA R 1 4 2 0.92 68
2009 Dem Bums All-Time Team
YEAR TEAM BAL AB DO TR HR BAVG BB K'S RBI OB% SL%Todd Helton 2001 CON 6R 587 54 2 49 .336 98 104 146 .432 .685
Catcher 1b 2b 3b ss lf cf rf ARM ClAv DP
Helton 1e2 .326 32
Finley 1e3 -1 .240 23
Tejada 1e19 .340 46
Lieberthal 1e3 -3t1p3 .281 41
Sprague 3e17 .242 12
Utley 3e24 3e19 .292 19
Vaughn 3e2 +2 .255 12
Buhner 1e3 -5 .280 16
Fielder 4e15 .267 29
Loretta 3e10 3e6 4e6 3e40 .283 31
Perez 2e1 +1t2p2 4e30 .349 24
Davis 4e25 2e4 3e4 +0 .277 8
Macfarlane 3e2 -1t7p1 .248 12
Drew 2e16 3e16 2e16 -1 .435 0
YEAR TEAM THROWS START RELIEF WON LOST ERA IPDerek Lowe 2002 BOA R 7 21 8 2.58 220
Fugakyu Folders All-Time Team
YEAR TEAM BAL AB DO TR HR BAVG BB K'S RBI OB% SL%Mark McGwire 1998 SLN 4R 509 21 0 70 .299 162 155 147 .470 .752
Catcher 1b 2b 3b ss lf cf rf ARM ClAv DP
McGwire 3e13 .299 5
Caminiti 1e23 .335 35
Belle 4e7 +1 .300 44
Edmonds 4e10 1e5 -1 .253 3
Lopez 4e1 +1t8p0 .332 33
Bell 3e25 4e22 .277 16
Aurilia 3e19 .254 33
Johnson 1e4 -2t5p2 .273 24
Figgins 3e23 2e10 4e31 2e5 3e5 3e5 +1 .276 29
Dye 4e7 -2 .277 27
Knoblauch 1e10 .327 16
Giles 3e8 4e8 +1 .288 22
Guerrero 2e11 -5 .284 37
Hafner 5e13 .284 14
YEAR TEAM THROWS START RELIEF WON LOST ERA IPKevin Brown 1996 FLN R 7 17 11 1.89 233
Future Wax All-Time Team
YEAR TEAM BAL AB DO TR HR BAVG BB K'S RBI OB% SL%Barry Bonds 2001 SFN 3R 476 32 2 73 .328 177 93 137 .515 .863
Catcher 1b 2b 3b ss lf cf rf ARM ClAv DP
Bonds 2e7 +1 .328 0
Griffey Jr. 1e7 -3 .322 29
Thome 4e13 .283 3
Gonzalez 3e3 +0 .309 28
Castilla 2e13 4e12 .337 53
Piazza 4e6 +1t10p2 .348 41
Garciaparra 2e29 .313 46
Kent 3e30 3e11 .287 29
Hocking 3e25 3e15 3e17 3e14 3e2 3e2 3e2 -2 .258 0
McCann 2e6 +0t7p1 .319 50
Wilson 5e7 +2t20p6 4e10 5e18 +2 .305 6
Thames 4e7 4e7 +0 .251 0
Sheffield 4e6 -1 .288 28
YEAR TEAM THROWS START RELIEF WON LOST ERA IPPedro Martinez 1997 MON R 7 17 8 1.90 241
New Orleans All-Time Team
YEAR TEAM BAL AB DO TR HR BAVG BB K'S RBI OB% SL%
Richard Hidalgo 2000
HON 1R 558 42 3 44 .314 56 110 122 .391 .636Catcher 1b 2b 3b ss lf cf rf ARM ClAv DP
Hidalgo 1e8 2e8 1e8 -4 .274 33
Bagwell 2e8 .283 11
Hundley 2e2 -1t6p2 .254 20
Soriano 3e24 .300 15
Vizquel 1e18 5e25 +3 .295 17
Alou 2e5 3e5 -1 .295 31
Spiers 4e25 3e23 2e35 4e72 .350 12
Perez 5e16 +5t20p20 2e21 .241 16
Posada 2e1 -2t8p3 4e21 .247 8
Martinez 5e11 .305 24
Grissom 1e1 -2 .257 28
Glaus 2e5 4e48 .277 9
Ramirez 3e4 -2 .307 2
YEAR TEAM THROWS START RELIEF WON LOST ERA IPBilly Wagner 1999 HON L 2 4 1 1.57 75
2009 North Dakota All-Time Team
YEAR TEAM BAL AB DO TR HR BAVG BB K'S RBI OB% SL%
Luis Gonzalez 2001 ARN
2R 609 36 7 57 .325 100 83 142 .429 .688Catcher 1b 2b 3b ss lf cf rf ARM ClAv DP
Gonzalez 3e0 +2 .297 30
Alomar 1e5 .359 20
Larkin 1e20 .284 38
Santiago 2e2 -2t13p2 4e13 .220 26
Pujols 1e7 .312 50
Rollins 1e12 .256 34
Lecroy 4e13 +1t1p0 4e25 .443 0
Cirillo 3e25 3e14 2e21 .325 33
Hernandez 2e1 -1t17p4 4e25 .270 40
Lankford 2e11 +2 .285 18
Ortiz 5e30 .277 28
Ordonez 3e1 -1 .393 35
Berkman 2e7 3e7 3e7 +0 .301 20
Rolen 1e14 .280 18
Justice 3e6 4e6 3e6 +0 .274 33
YEAR TEAM THROWS START RELIEF WON LOST ERA IPEric Gagne 2003 LAN R 1 2 3 1.20 82
Talk about a tough league!
New Orleans won the first "Study 3C" 7 years ago, when it represented only the best rosters of the then past 5 seasons (1996-2000) So, what happened this time? How’d it turn out? Here are the final standings (using a 168-game schedule, so that each team played each other team 24 times).
LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR All-time SOMBILLA Super League
2009 Future Wax WAX 100 68 .595 ----WON LOST PCT GB
LEAGUE GRAND TOTALS FOR All-time SOMBILLA Super League
TEAM AVG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS E
2009 Future Wax .263 5861 981 1541 268 30 424 966 42 27 103
2009 North Dakota .252 5690 898 1432 280 52 313 867 63 35 86
2009 New Orleans .247 5779 900 1428 312 27 321 877 111 40 141
2009 Bay City .247 5763 765 1423 299 29 283 748 46 20 107
2009 Area 51 .246 5808 856 1426 332 15 285 837 46 21 79
2009 Fugakyu Folders .245 5762 901 1414 249 21 379 887 54 17 100
2009 Constantinople .239 5706 812 1361 229 28 313 786 60 27 80
2009 Dem Bums .228 5709 795 1302 277 26 301 774 33 8 79
-------------------- ---- ----- ---- ----- ---- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----
LEAGUE TOTALS .246 46078 6908 11327 2246 228 2619 6742 455 195 775
TEAM ERA W L IP H R ER HR BB SO OAVG
2009 North Dakota 4.32 90 78 1503.1 1235 778 722 307 720 1774 .222
2009 New Orleans 4.50 94 74 1512.2 1433 842 756 322 594 1509 .246
2009 Dem Bums 4.59 80 88 1505.1 1402 808 768 298 653 1228 .245
2009 Future Wax 4.71 100 68 1519.1 1376 872 795 353 629 1779 .237
2009 Constantinople 4.84 79 89 1503.2 1447 854 809 322 584 1422 .251
2009 Area 51 4.93 87 81 1515.0 1419 885 830 323 680 1553 .245
2009 Fugakyu Folders 5.09 77 91 1498.0 1473 919 847 332 694 1272 .254
2009 Bay City 5.38 65 103 1483.1 1542 950 886 362 545 1363 .265
-------------------- ----- --- --- ------- ----- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----
LEAGUE TOTALS 4.79 672 672 12040.2 11327 6908 6413 2619 5099 11900 .246
Only one batter hit over .300!!
LEAGUE LEADERS FOR 2009 All-time SOMBILLA Super League
----BATTING AVERAGE---- --------HOMERUNS------- -----RUNS BATTED IN----
------WINNING PCT------ ----------ERA---------- ---------SAVES---------
J.Schmidt(16-5)CON .762 K.Brown FUG 3.38 B.Wagner NEW 45
P.Martinez(19-7)WAX.731 J.Schmidt CON 3.47 J.Smoltz FUG 35
G.Maddux (16-6)WAX .727 G.Maddux WAX 3.54 T.Saito BCY 34
K.Brown (21-9)FUG .700 R.Clemens NDK 3.60 J.Putz WAX 34
B.Webb (17-8) FUG .680 P.Martinez WAX 3.64 E.Gagne NDK 34
D.Lowe (18-9)DEM .667 C.Carpenter NEW 4.41 B.Ryan A51 33
R.Clemens(19-12)NDK.613 C.Schilling A51 4.53 J.Papelbon CON 29
C.Schilling(18-12)A51.600 R.Johnson NDK 4.54 K.Foulke DEM 23
I.Valdes(12-8) CON .600 J.Peavy NDK 4.58
K.Wood (14-11)WAX .560 M.Hampton DEM 4.59
T.Glavine(15-12)NEW.556 D.Lowe DEM 4.60
M.Mussina(12-10)A51.545 F.Garcia A51 4.68
AWARDS VOTING FOR 2009 All-time SOMBILLA Super League
MVP AWARD CY YOUNG AWARD
B.Bonds(WAX) 413 P.Martinez(WAX) 122
M.McGwire(FUG) 364 R.Clemens(NDK) 95
M.Piazza(WAX) 197 E.Gagne(NDK) 46
J.Thome(WAX) 129 G.Maddux(WAX) 17
L.Gonzalez(NDK) 96 K.Brown(FUG) 8
ALL-STAR SELECTIONS BY POSITION
C M.Piazza(WAX) 2,633,147 I.Rodriguez(BCY) 1,423,586
1B M.McGwire(FUG) 4,613,564 A.Pujols(NDK) 2,615,082
2B J.Kent(WAX) 2,236,892 B.Boone(A51) 1,889,604
3B A.Rodriguez(CON) 2,440,547 T.Glaus(NEW) 2,350,310
SS B.Larkin(NDK) 2,232,695 N.Garciaparra(WAX) 1,942,938
LF B.Bonds(WAX) 4,680,201 L.Gonzalez(NDK) 2,785,208
CF R.Hidalgo(NEW) 2,261,881 J.Edmonds(FUG) 2,035,410
RF S.Sosa(BCY) 2,895,502 L.Walker(A51) 2,395,755
Pi P.Martinez(WAX) 4,492,993 R.Clemens(NDK) 3,742,308
E.Gagne(NDK) 3,459,349 J.Schmidt(CON) 3,447,487
C.Schilling(A51) 3,168,633 K.Brown(FUG) 3,019,423
T.Saito(BCY) 2,958,432 B.Wagner(NEW) 2,948,016
G.Maddux(WAX) 2,931,412 J.Putz(WAX) 2,515,035
B.Ryan(A51) 2,267,609 R.Johnson(NDK) 2,069,258
All-time SOMBILLA Super League Playoffs
Future Wax 11 Area 51 1 (Bonds, Griffey, Piazza, Castilla HR)Future Wax wins series 4 games to 0
New Orleans 9 North Dakota 2 (Carpenter 6-hitter to kickoff this all-time super luggage series)
All-time SOMBILLA Super League World Series
Future Wax 3 North Dakota 2 (12 innings) (Thames walk-off, Putz 3 1/3 shutout inns for the win)Future Wax wins the All-Time SOMBILLA Super League World Series 4 games to 2
It’s a Future Wax sweep of the computer studies.
Which managers have an easier time against other managers? Who actually likes to play against Randy? Who can’t wait to play Jed? Who hates playing Robin?
This summer, we look at each manager’s won/loss record vs. each other team. I did it in two parts. First, I went back six seasons, starting with the 2003-2004 season. Originally, I was going to go back only 5 seasons, but in pulling down the data from the attic, I accidentally pulled the 6th season (‘03-04), so I figured what the heck, use the data.
Using the past six seasons also enables us to look at Matt’s last three years in the league in addition to Jed’s most recent three years. Each team played each other team 48 games (Matt and Jed 24 each, and Arnie and Randy who played 49 games owing to that one-game playoff a few years ago). Without further ado, here is the data:
|
Total 2003-2009 |
|||||||||
|
Wins are across, losses down |
|||||||||
|
Arnie |
Robin |
Eric |
Harold |
Randy |
Jeff |
Tom |
Jed |
Matt |
|
|
Arnie |
--- |
29 |
24 |
28 |
22 |
29 |
23 |
9 |
13 |
|
Robin |
19 |
--- |
20 |
26 |
19 |
22 |
19 |
13 |
16 |
|
Eric |
24 |
28 |
--- |
27 |
16 |
29 |
21 |
7 |
14 |
|
Harold |
20 |
22 |
21 |
--- |
24 |
30 |
17 |
12 |
15 |
|
Matt |
11 |
8 |
10 |
9 |
6 |
7 |
10 |
--- |
--- |
|
Randy |
27 |
29 |
32 |
24 |
--- |
29 |
20 |
11 |
18 |
|
Jeff |
19 |
26 |
19 |
18 |
19 |
--- |
17 |
11 |
17 |
|
Tom |
25 |
29 |
27 |
31 |
28 |
31 |
--- |
10 |
14 |
|
Jed |
15 |
11 |
17 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
14 |
--- |
--- |
So, over the last six seasons, who is the biggest daddy? That’s easy – Randy against Eric. Randy is 32-16 against Eric over the past six seasons, a .667 winning percentage.
Other notables:
Tom vs Harold (31-17), Tom vs Jeff (31-17) and Harold vs. Jeff (30-18). Jed is 17-7 against Eric. No wonder why Eric complains about playing on the computer.
But look at the league’s records against Matt, over his last three seasons. Every team had a winning percentage against him, led by Randy (18-6). No wonder we were all sad to see him go.
So, who likes to play against Randy? Why, Tom of course, who is 28-20 against him. Who likes playing Jed? Robin! She is 13-11 against him. Who hates playing Robin? Harold. She is 26-22 against him. Who is your Daddy?
Now, looking at just the most recent three seasons:
|
Total 2006-2009 |
||||||||
|
Wins are across, losses down |
||||||||
|
Arnie |
Robin |
Eric |
Harold |
Jed |
Randy |
Jeff |
Tom |
|
|
Arnie |
--- |
16 |
14 |
9 |
9 |
11 |
16 |
11 |
|
Robin |
8 |
--- |
12 |
14 |
13 |
11 |
9 |
11 |
|
Eric |
10 |
12 |
--- |
12 |
7 |
8 |
11 |
9 |
|
Harold |
15 |
10 |
12 |
--- |
12 |
13 |
20 |
9 |
|
Jed |
15 |
11 |
17 |
12 |
--- |
13 |
13 |
14 |
|
Randy |
13 |
13 |
16 |
11 |
11 |
--- |
17 |
11 |
|
Jeff |
8 |
15 |
13 |
4 |
11 |
7 |
--- |
7 |
|
Tom |
13 |
13 |
15 |
15 |
10 |
13 |
17 |
--- |
Over the past three years, Harold is a staggering 20-4 against Jeff. He should drive out to Hopkinton more often. In fact three of the top 4 "Daddy records" are against Jeff:
Jed vs. Eric (17-7)
Randy vs. Jeff (17-7)
Tom vs. Jeff (17-7)
Who’s your Daddy now?
Finally, with six years worth of data, how often do you think one team beat another 8 games to 0 during the season. To do that, you not only have to be good, you have to be lucky too, since even the worst teams are still an all-star team. It’s only been done three times in six years:
Harold has swept Jeff 8-0 two times in the past three seasons, including last year! And Randy swept Matt 8-0 in ‘05-06, Matt’s last year in the league (no wonder Randy was so verklempt when Matt resigned).
Just for good measure, here are the totals for last season:
|
2008-2009 |
|||||||||
|
Wins are across |
|||||||||
|
Arnie |
Robin |
Eric |
Harold |
Jed |
Randy |
Jeff |
Tom |
Total |
|
|
Arnie |
--- |
5 |
6 |
4 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
7 |
34 |
|
Robin |
3 |
--- |
4 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
25 |
|
Eric |
2 |
4 |
--- |
4 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
3 |
26 |
|
Harold |
4 |
3 |
4 |
--- |
5 |
5 |
8 |
5 |
34 |
|
Jed |
6 |
4 |
5 |
3 |
--- |
5 |
7 |
5 |
35 |
|
Randy |
4 |
5 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
--- |
6 |
3 |
26 |
|
Jeff |
2 |
5 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
--- |
3 |
17 |
|
Tom |
1 |
5 |
5 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
5 |
--- |
27 |
GREAT MOMENTS IN SOMBILLA
HISTORY (8/07)
It’s been > 10 years since this list was compiled. It is time to update and relook at the Great Moments throughout the years!
|
Early June 1979 |
Tsuan calls Arnie with the idea to form a summer Strat-O league. |
|
June 1979 |
At the league’s second week of games, Arnie presents the acronym "SOMBILLA" |
|
August 1979 |
Just before game #6 of the first World Series won by Tsuan in 6 games over Jed, Arnie says "Some didn't think it would go this far, others said 'it's going seven.' " (You had to be there.) |
|
November 1981 |
The draft almost got called off. This was the first winter league and we did the draft on a Friday night after work in my Marlborough St. apartment. Tsuan was sick and couldn't make it, but nobody wanted to reschedule, and we (Jed, Eric, Joel, Lou, [and I] were all ready. I called him: Tsuan's female roommate: "He's sick and throwing up. He
can't come." And so, Joel and Eric drove over to Tsuan's apartment on Beacon Hill, got the cards, returned, and the draft was on. |
|
January 1982 |
Don Sutton (Tsuan) no-hits Lou. |
|
November 1982 |
Vol. I No. 1 of the SOMBILLA newsletter. |
|
Dec. '82 - Jan. '83 |
North Dakota loses 13 straight and 24 of 26. |
|
March 1983 |
In her first year in the league, Robin wins the championship, sharing a team with Tsuan. |
|
November 1983 |
Joel wins 11 in a row to start the season. |
|
November 1984 |
"Tsuan attempts to pull draft coup" becomes the first blasting. |
|
November 1984 |
First SOMBILLA study, "The Ralph Houk Rating," which calculated a team’s inability to use its bench. |
|
January 1985 |
First known usage of the phrase "2-20 man" by Arnie |
|
May 5, 1985 |
|
|
October 6, 1985 |
League votes to expand/go to permanent league/elects first Commissioner. |
|
Nov. 17, 1985 |
Matt drafts Gary Redus 9th overall in permanent league dispersal draft. |
|
December 1985 |
SOMBILLA featured in Strat-o-Matic Review: "Gamer introduces wife to S-O-M baseball on first date" |
|
February 1986 |
Arnie accidentally breaks chair at Jed and Joel's after missing game-winning homer. |
|
November 1986 |
Jed invents the "dash" technique for recording non-strikeout outs. |
|
December 1987 |
Tom Henke pitches 12 innings in relief as last pitcher for Robin in 20-inning, 10-7 win over Future Wax. |
|
January 1988 |
Mike Scott (Jed) no-hits Joel. |
|
January 1988 |
Eric Davis (a.k.a. Roger Maris) hits 19th homer off Jack Morris (a.k.a Tracy Stallard) to break George Foster's (a.k.a. Babe Ruth's) record. 'There will be an asterisk" declares Commissioner (a.k.a. Ford C. Frick). |
|
January 1988 |
League original Joel stuns the league by announcing his resignation, effective at the end of the season. Despite pleas and threats from the league, Joel moves on with his life. |
|
March 1988 |
The first World Series game 7 in SOMBILLA history. In the bottom of the 11th, FW’s Andrew has righties E. Davis, McReynolds, Schmidt, and Laudner scheduled up. Either Yitz or Dave: "Should we put in Eichhorn?"
(Historical note - Eichhorn had 0 hit and walk chances vs. righties but
was vulnerable to lefties). Yitz and Dave put in Eichhorn to face Eric Davis. Andrew
pinch-hits Daryl Strawberry for Eric Davis. With Eric listening over
the speakerphone, and me straining to escape to drive Robin's friend,
Bev, to the airport, yet unable to bring myself to do it, Daryl
Strawberry hits a homer off Eichhorn's card. Yitz: "Fuck." |
|
July 1988 |
"Tsuan Guruism" coined in summer newsletter |
|
November 1988 |
Harold joins the league. He goes 3-17 to begin his SOMBILLA career. |
|
December 1988 |
Arnie accidentally breaks chandelier at Jed and Joel's after 9th inning game-winning hit. |
|
March 1989 |
Mark McGwire wins triple crown for Matt. |
|
December 1989 |
SOMBILLA headline blares: "League uncovers ‘Raines-gate’: Commissioner to be burned at the stake, beheaded, and face firing squad; retains first place" |
|
December 1989 |
North Dakota starts the season 20-4 with Yoknapatawpha close behind at 18-6, setting up a big 4-game series in Gackle Park. The Yoks sweep the series, pitching 3 shutouts and holding ND to 2 runs to set the mark for best first half (22-6). |
|
January 2, 1990 |
Danny Jackson, Tim Belcher & Randy Myers pitch a combined no-hitter for Harold vs. Future Wax . |
|
March 1990 |
Eric finishes the season 44-12. |
|
March 1990 |
Eric beats Jed 4 games to 3 in the World Series on Sax's sac fly in bottom of the 11th. Two days later, Eric discovers to his horror an error in playing game 6 (ineligible pinch-hitter), but games are not played over. (There were a few reasons. One of the reasons was that if the games were played over and Jed won, it would be a ‘tainted’ victory. Instead, Eric was left with the ‘tainted’ victory). |
|
November 1990 |
Clint joins the league, sharing a team with Dave. |
|
February 1992 |
Andrew wins 11 in a row to tie Joel's record. He finishes 12 games ahead of 2nd place Jed to set a record. |
|
March 1992 |
League votes to expand to nine teams and give Land his own team. |
|
January 1993 |
Clint loses 44 of first 61 games as manager to break North Dakota losing percentage mark. |
|
January 1993 |
Commissioner nearly resigns following allegations of bias against Clint. |
|
March 1993 |
Eric defeats Dave 9-5 in the 7th game to win the World Series, despite being outscored by his opponents in the regular season. |
|
January 1994 |
North Dakota was battling Future Wax for first place and acquired Roger Clemens at the trading deadline from Eric for 2 first round picks (after attempting to acquire him via loan, precipitating the Trading and Loan Scandal). Upon discovery of the Clemens trade, Andrew called Robin, the North Dakota manager's wife, to pursue a trade. At the time of receipt of Andrew's call, Robin had played 38 games, 2 fewer than the trading limit. Two nights before, a scheduled 4-game series with Dave that would have put Robin over the trading deadline was postponed when Dave simply forgot to show up, luckily for Future Wax. Dennis Martinez was Robin's best pitcher that year, and one of the best starters in the league. Robin traded Dennis Martinez (and a 6th round pick) to her husband's nemesis, Andrew, for a second round pick (which became Sean Berry). Martinez went on to win two games against North Dakota in the World Series, including a 2-1, 5-hitter against Saberhagen in a crucial Game 5 showdown. For two years after that, the trading of Martinez to Future Wax and Martinez's World Series success against North Dakota caused a small amount of marital friction. |
|
July 1994 |
After losing the World Series to Future Wax in 6 games, North Dakota’s manager plays the teams against each other in a 2,000 game computer simulation, to determine which team was really better, and concludes that Future Wax really was the better team. |
|
November 1994 |
Robin, in first place by 2 1/2 games at 20-8, gives birth to Jinny Ryann Pollinger. |
|
February 1995 |
Land discovers that he accidentally used Astacio for 2 more innings than allowed for the season during a win over Robin, and the game is decided to be replayed, with Land ahead, from that point in the 7th inning. After all the games are finished, Robin is still 1/2 game ahead of Eric, and the Land game is played over with Astacio replaced by Gott. Land hangs on to win 2-1 and the league has its first one-game playoff ever. Unfortunately for Robin, Frank Thomas was injured in the last series of the season, causing him to miss the playoff game. Eric wins league's first ever one-game playoff (9-2) and goes on to defeat Matt in the World Series in 7 games. |
|
March 1995 |
Arnie resigns as Commissioner. Dave elected as the SOMBILLA's second Commissioner. |
|
November 1995 |
Randy joins the league. |
|
March 1996 |
Game 7 of the North Dakota/New Orleans playoff series ends when, with ND ahead 4-3 in the 9th and NO up with 2 out and 2 runners on, Carlos Garcia hits into a clutch out. |
|
March 1996 |
After years of futility, ending with mutilated, burned and/or frozen teams, North Dakota wins its first World Series 4 games to 2 over Future Wax, beating Dennis Martinez in the final game (see January 1994). That night, the North Dakota manager absolved the Bay City manager of all future discussion of the Dennis Martinez incident. |
|
February 1997 |
Clint misses the playoffs by one game for the second year in a row. |
|
March 1997 |
Dave resigns as Commissioner. Arnie re-elected Commissioner. Matt named league’s first Vice-Commissioner. |
|
February 1998 |
Randy beats Eric 29-6, to set the league’s single game run mark. |
|
March 1998 |
Robin, Jeff, Brian and Clint are in the first 4-way rolloff for the first pick in the draft. Robin won (and chose Ben Grieve) |
|
October 1998 |
Tom joins the league |
|
October 1998 |
Carlos Hernandez makes his SOMBILLA debut, five years after he was drafted as a prospect, kept in the 'minors' for 3 years, cut in '96, then redrafted. Finally, after years of 10-hour bus rides, he made it to the big "SOMBILLA show". He came up in the third inning, struck out and was injured for three games. |
|
October 1998 |
Harold beats Clint 29-3, the largest wipeout in league history |
|
December 1998 |
In Eric's series with Clint, Lieberthal, in his first AB of the game, was HBP and injured. He was replaced by Stanley, who, in his first AB, was HBP and injured. With no catchers remaining, Eric used emergency catcher Robin Ventura, who, in his first AB, struck out and was injured. |
|
January 1999 |
Mike Piazza of FW breaks the SOMBILLA single season HR record with his 27th He finishes with 30. |
|
January 1999 |
North Dakota wins 11 in a row to tie league record |
|
January 1999 |
Randy Johnson fans 20 New Orleans hitters |
|
February 1999 |
Mike Piazza wins the triple crown for Future Wax |
|
March 1999 |
North Dakota comes back to win final 4 games of playoff series over New Orleans after losing the first 3 games |
|
November 1999 |
Randy wins 12 in a row to break the league record |
|
November 1999 |
Shithead (with Clint at the helm) loses 11 in a row to tie the league record |
|
February 2000 |
Clemens wins his 12th game for ND to set a new league mark |
|
February 2000 |
First SOMBILLA ice hockey game with Jeff & Harold defeating Arnie & Matt 3-1. Arnie complained that the choppy conditions negated any potential extra speed, and Matt complained that he had just moved a bunch of furniture the day before, and they both complained about the poor officiating |
|
January 2001 |
Matt loses 14 games in a row to break the all-time consecutive loss streak |
|
February 2001 |
Manila Folders break the SOMBILLA’s legendary single-season worst record at 10-43 (.189) |
|
February 2001 |
E-mail from Arnie: Eric has determined that if Clint wins five against Harold, I drop 2 of 3 to Robin, Eric wins only 4 of 7 against Matt and Jeff, and Randy sweeps Tom, then it's a five-way tie for 2nd place. Holy shit!! I checked the bylaws and they state "If more than 4 teams tie for 1st-4th, we'll play it by ear." We could be headed for a constitutional crisis! E-mail from Matt: It's not a crisis. It's just a reaffirmation that our System works. God bless you all, and God bless the Strat-o-Matic Baseball Ivy League League, Advanced. (<<<Standing Ovation>>>) E-mail from Eric: And God bless the vice commissioner, for without his disaster-by-design season I do believe we would not now look like so many stowaways stuffed inside a steamer trunk. Which only affirms my worst fears, that the Folders will rally round their Shemp-like leader and play the spoiler roll in true Stooge fashion, wherein the season will end in a melee of comedic chaos, and then fade to black abruptly without resolution....... |
|
February 2001 |
N. Dakota’s R. Alomar finishes regular season with .411 batting average. |
|
March 2001 |
New Orleans comes back to win final 4 games of World Series over Future Wax, after losing the first 2 games, to win first ever championship. |
|
October 2001 |
Overheard moments before Tom arrived in
Arlington: |
|
October 2001 |
In the FW/MF series, in the 6th inning of the 2nd game, M. Ordonez batting against L. Hernandez, the 20-sided 'thing' split in half during a routine roll. |
|
January – March 2002 |
Clint resigns from the league; league debates and finally decides to contract BiGDiG out of existence. |
|
January 2002 |
Harold defeats Jeff in the league’s first ever 7-game sweep, hitting 27 homers and outscoring him 79-25. |
|
March 2002 |
Future Wax wins World Series game 7, 8-7 against New Orleans with Pedro as the closer, the tying run on base, and Hundley, the winning run, at bat. Hundley grounds out. |
|
November 2002 |
Harold walks Barry Bonds intentionally 18 times in a row as Bonds finishes the series 0 for 5 with 4 K's. |
|
February 2003 |
ND scores 13 runs in the top of the first vs. Future Wax. In the record-setting first inning, ND recorded 15 hits (3 of them were tired rolls), 2 stolen bases, an error, and 2 homers all off the beleaguered Greg Maddux. A late FW rally fell short by three touchdowns as ND tied the league record for most runs in a game, winning 29-7. ND had a league-record total of 35 hits - Alomar, L. Gonzalez and Klesko had 5 each, while McGriff and Cabrera both chipped in with 4. |
|
February 2003 |
A steroid-filled Barry Bonds smacks his 31st homer to break the SOMBILLA’s single season HR record. He finishes with 32. |
|
March 2003 |
Jeff sweeps Matt to force a one-game playoff. He drives 75 miles to play one game, then defeats Harold 4-3 in 10 innings. |
|
March 2003 |
Area 51 defeats the Wax in 5 games in the World Series for first SOMBILLA championship. |
|
December 2003 |
Randy shows up at Tom’s old apartment (which he had moved from a year earlier) to play. After finally making it to Tom’s new house an hour late, their extra-inning filled series ends around 2 AM, with a Tom sweep. |
|
January 2004 |
Unbeknownst to Eric, he ties the league record with his 12th win in a row. |
|
January 2004 |
Eric’s Derek Lowe no-hits North Dakota. |
|
February 2004 |
For the first time in four years, conditions were set for the SOMBILLA hockey showdown – and a rematch. Gametime weather: bright sunshine, 24 degrees and blustery winds. Jeff started the scoring on a nice feed from Harold. But Arnie tied it up, putting on a Gretzky-like move through Jeff's legs. A score off a give and go with Matt appeared to give Matt and I a 2-1 lead, but it was ruled that Matt hadn't cleared the zone and the goal was disallowed (with little complaint). The seriousness of the game was never more evident when Jeff decked Arnie with a vicious elbow near the far boards (other observers would later say Arnie simply smashed into Jeff, who was just standing there, and just fell down). Good passing by Harold and Jeff led to the go-ahead goal, but a pretty pass from Matt led to an easy goal for me and it was tied 2-2. Windchills were around zero, players were tired and sweaty, as all four dug deep after it was announced "next goal wins". Play stayed near the perimeter and close checking and quick reactions reduced scoring chances. Harold had the puck on the left wing. Matt left Harold to cover Jeff, who was heading for the net, at the same time I charged to cover Harold to poke the puck away. Matt and I never saw each other. Time stood still as our two bodies and sticks became intertwined, and with that, our hopes at revenge, 'iced' for four years, crashed to the ice with us. Jeff potted the easy empty-netter and this year's hockey bash was history... |
|
February 2004 |
A.J. Burnett wins his 12th game for Eric to tie league record. |
|
December 2004 |
Tom begins season 23-5 to break the record for best first half record |
|
March 2005 |
Tom wins his first league championship, defeating Future Wax in 6 games. |
|
December 2005 |
Matt uses Pedro Feliz, a player not even in the SOMBILLA,
in a series against Tom. Eric summed it up when he
wrote: "Rosey Ruiz strikes again! Matt, you're a genius. I don't think
any punishment is necessary. The mere exposure of the incident is
enough. I stand in awe." |
|
January 2006 |
Randy defeats Harold 6-5 in 17 innings. 41 players are used, including 14 pitchers, and there were 5 bunts, including 3 squeeze plays. |
|
January 2006 |
Matt loses a record 17 games in a row, then shocks the league by announcing his resignation. |
|
March 2006 |
The one-game playoff of 2006. |
|
March 2006 |
With the winning run at bat in the 9th inning of Game 7 of the World Series, Tom’s Romero and Dotel strike out MVP Edmonds and Giles to beat Randy for his 2nd consecutive World Series win. |
|
November 2006 |
The SOMBILLA’s Internet era gets underway with a rocky start as the Smoltz-gate controversy mars the Knuckle/Constantinople series. |
|
December 2006 |
Jed travels over 300 miles to play 20 games in a hotel room in 24 hours, going 14-6 to take over first place. |
|
February 2007 |
Randy wins game 56 with a 13th inning HR to clinch 4th place and avoid another one-game playoff with ND. |
|
March 2007 |
Tom wins his third consecutive World Series against Randy, including his second consecutive game 7 one-run game. |
________________________________________________________________________________
HOW THE FRANCHISES WERE BUILT [8/08]
Which teams rely on their farm systems? Who has the most active front office? Who signs the free agents? This summer, I analyzed each team's current 45-man roster and reviewed how every player ended up on the roster. I divided them up into three categories:
Farm system – Players who were originally drafted by the team and are still on the roster. In essence, these players are those who have spent their entire SOMBILLA career with one team.
Front office – Players acquired via trade.
Free agents – Drafted players who previously played for another team, were cut, and then picked up as free agents.
|
Team |
Farm system |
Trade (front office) |
Free agents |
His own weird category* |
|
Future Wax |
42 |
1 (Berkman) |
2 (Anderson, Cameron) |
|
|
Bay City |
43 or 44* |
* |
1 (Bradford) |
1 (Escobar) |
|
Constantinople |
43 |
0 |
2 (C. Pena, Church) |
|
|
Area 51 |
40 |
1 (Smoltz) |
4 (Percival, Grudzelanik, Vizquel, Guerrero) |
|
|
New Orleans |
40 |
2 (Sheffield, Helton) |
3 (Carrasco, O. Cabrera, Phelps) |
|
|
North Dakota |
41 |
2 (Glaus, Kent) |
2 (Alou, M. Ordonez) |
|
|
Knuckle Sandwiches |
41 |
1 (Hafner) |
3 (Howry, Ankiel, Dye) |
|
|
Hibernia |
43 |
2 (M. Ramirez, Tejada) |
0 |
*Escobar was originally drafted by Robin, then cut, then redrafted by North Dakota, then traded back to Robin. This makes him eligible to be counted for Robin as both farm system and trade.
Surprisingly, at least to me, there is not a lot of variation among us. All teams have between 40 and 43 players on their roster who were drafted originally by them. And all teams, except for Tom, have 1 or 2 players on their roster acquired via trade. The most variation is among free agents.
In addition to the surprising lack of variability, the only other conclusion is that Durga's famous lament from 20 years ago still holds true. "This league hates to trade."
ALL-TIME
FRANCHISE PLAYERS (8/07)
Who’s your best player in franchise history? I asked each tem to help with this one and received responses from all but Jeff.
North Dakota
Randy Johnson. An integral part of the team’s championship glory years (including one championship year when, due to injury, he was actually a 66-inning reliever). Has made the team virtually every year since 1993.
Constantinople
Alex Rodriguez*. Since 1996, he is either #1 or #2 in all cumulative statistics of note including 168 homeruns, which is almost twice that of the second place Manatee who had 97 homers. The consummate team player, he has been willing to change positions, be a defensive replacement and accept a part time role for an isolated year if that means the team having its best shot at winning a championship. The face of the franchise.
The Human Stains, et al
Well, if I'd kept hold of Clemens I would say he's the all-time franchise player. But since I traded him and still won several titles A.C. (after Clemens), I suppose I should select someone else. That said, since I also don't keep stats anymore, unless I'm competing, it's a hard call. Minus statistical reflection, I may have to elect Rafael Palmeiro as the all-time franchise player, since I had him virtually his whole career (thanks to one of the worst trades I'll wager RAT ever made).
But where would I have been without, say, Lenny Dyskstra, Von Hayes, Dale Murphy, Harold Baines, Orel Hershiser, Dennis Eckersley, even Dave Winfield for a few years? Or Mike Stanley? and what about----Steve Sax? And Mark Clear? (just kidding.) and Rick Sutcliffe? ah, the good old days....so I guess Palmeiro gets the nod, steroids and all.
Manila Folders
Mark McGwire, perhaps the best SOMBILLA season ever, winning the triple crown for the first, and only, time.
A close second would be Gary Redus, for defining the drafting philosophy of the team so well.
Jed
Which franchise? I think players I traded had more impact on the league so I'll go with Mike Piazza.
New Orleans
Mariano Rivera. 10th round pick in '96 draft. 'Nuff said.
Bay City
Pudge Rodriguez. Pretty sure he’s made my team every year since I drafted him, and he probably saved me dozens (hundreds?) of runs with his throwing arm (or, more accurately, the threat of his throwing arm). Honorable mention to 1st BC pick ever, Cal Ripken, Jr.
Future Wax
The most important player in FW franchise history is
Barry Bonds, or __________ on his card. Bonds is a four-time league MVP
(92-93, 94-95, 01-02, 02-03), holds the league records for homeruns
(32), runs (74), OPS (1.465), and SLUG (.994). Since 1997, he has hit
42 post-season home-runs (stats for 01-02 are missing) over 90 play-off
games.
* asshole
SUCCESSFUL LEFTY
STARTERS (8/07)
Harold, on the heels of lefty Dontrelle Willis winning the Cy Young award asked how many lefties have ever won the Cy Young award? What championship teams have had lefties in the rotation?
The first question is easy – only 2 lefty pitchers have ever won the SOMBILLA’s Cy Young award. The first was Fernando Valenzuela for Yitz’s Learned Hands, back in ‘86-87. He finished with an 8-5 record and a 3.05 ERA for the 7th place Hands. And Dontrelle Willis, last year, was the second.
As far as lefties on championship teams goes, see below:
|
Year |
Manager |
Team Name |
Lefties in the rotation |
|
1979 |
Tsuan |
Nazgul |
Waits |
|
1981-1982 |
Tsuan |
Nazgul |
Reuss, Underwood |
|
1982-1983 |
Robin/Tsuan |
Bay City Nazgul |
Valenzuela |
|
1983-1984 |
Jed |
Evil Bunnies |
None |
|
1984-1985 |
Jed |
Shithead |
M. Young |
|
1985-1986 |
Eric |
Marakesh Express |
None |
|
1986-1987 |
Andrew/Tsuan |
Future Wax |
Hesketh |
|
1987-1988 |
Andrew/Tsuan |
Future Wax |
None |
|
1988-1989 |
Eric |
Yoknapatawpha |
None |
|
1989-1990 |
Eric |
Yoknapatawpha |
None |
|
1990-1991 |
Andrew/Tsuan |
Future Wax |
None |
|
1991-1992 |
Andrew/Tsuan |
Future Wax |
Nabholz, Mulholland |
|
1992-1993 |
Eric |
Franz Josef Land |
None |
|
1993-1994 |
Andrew/Tsuan |
Future Wax |
None |
|
1994-1995 |
Eric |
The White Visitation |
Fassero?* |
|
1995-1996 |
Arnie |
North Dakota |
R. Johnson |
|
1996-1997 |
Eric |
Finn's People |
None |
|
1997-1998 |
Randy/Andrew/Tsuan |
Future Wax |
None |
|
1998-1999 |
Arnie |
North Dakota |
R. Johnson |
|
1999-2000 |
Arnie |
North Dakota |
Rosado, D. Wells |
|
2000-2001 |
Harold |
New Orleans |
Leiter |
|
2001-2002 |
Randy/Andrew/Tsuan |
Future Wax |
D. Wells |
|
2002-2003 |
Jeff |
Area 51 |
None |
|
2003-2004 |
Eric |
Gawd B |
None |
|
2004-2005 |
Tom |
Constantinople |
Redman |
|
2005-2006 |
Tom |
Constantinople |
None |
|
2006-2007 |
Tom |
Constantinople |
Sabathia |
* not sure if he spot started.
13 of the 27 champions had no lefty starters. A compelling stat. And looking at the three champions with two lefty starters, Underwood (he of lefty-yanking rule fame), Nabholz, and Rosado were all spot starters, not regulars in the rotation. Meaning that half of all champions had no lefties in the rotation and the other half had one regular.
Presenting the nonannual Cute Ratings by Robin Perlow, guest columnist
To, I’m sure, no one’s surprise, Bay City is the cutest team in the Sombilla, with a whopping 21 cute players, easily topping runner-up A51, who has 14 cuties. Swarzluna has the fewest, with only 8 cute players, but only 9 truly ugly ones, whereas FW has 15 ugly guys (compared to BC, which has only 4 ugly ones—including trade pick-up Kevin Mench). Catcher is probably the least attractive position (I didn’t separate infielders or outfielders by position), with only 5 cute ones out of 29 in the league. MF has 2 of these, so 4 teams (CN, ND, NO, A51) have no cute catchers.
In my exhaustive search to determine the "cutest player in the SOMBILLA" (to replace the cut [and retired] Alex Gonzalez [not the Red Sox one] and the cut Steve Finley—the previous titleholders), there was no clear winner. I am forced to declare a tie amongst Khalil Greene (A51), Mike Cameron (FW), and newcomer J.J. Hardy (MF). My choices are purely subjective; thus, Cleveland heartthrob Grady Sizemore and former 50 Most Beautiful Person Mike Lowell didn’t make the cut. Certain players, including Matt Clement (SW), Nick Swisher (A51), Dan Johnson (FW), and Doug Davis (ND), would be more highly rated if they got rid of offensive facial hair—what I call the Billy Koch syndrome (a former BC player who, if not for his shaved head and chin fringe [the Jay Buhner look], would have been cute. Craig Wilson (FW) was much cuter as a Pirate with longer hair than as a Yankee (but this holds true for most players). A few current players (Jose Cruz, Jr., Ken Griffey, Jr., and Coco Crisp) are not as cute as their fathers (OK, I’m showing my age, and I’m anxious to get a look at Kyle Drabek, son of former BC ace Doug Drabek, who was highly drafted in MLB this June).
What follows are a few notes on the high and low lights of each team (from worst to first). Please note that if I was not familiar with a player’s looks, I relied on the MLB Web site, so some people may have been unfairly but unavoidably penalized for being non-photogenic.
SW (8)—Cutest player: Manny Ramirez (with the dreadlocks). Exceptionally unattractive bullpen (Turnbow, J. Tavarez, Rincon).
CN (10)—Cutest player: Brad Radke, ugliest: Wise. Giambi much cuter as an A in the pre-steroid days.
ND (10)—Cutest players: Rollins, Wily Mo, Francoeur (in fact, half the ND outfield is cute). Really ugly battery with Johnson pitching to either Bard or Castro. Travis Hafner (who’s actually from North Dakota) is the league’s ugliest DH.
FW (12)—Cutest players: Cameron, Nomar, B. Anderson, D. Johnson. Least attractive: Barajas, Penny, Jacobs.
MF (12)—Cutest players: Hardy, Zito (with hair), B. Roberts. Most attractive corps of catchers, with Javy Lopez and LaRue cute and Mauer not ugly. Tied with A51 for 2nd fewest ugly guys (6).
NO (12)—Cutest players Benson, Cano, Michaels. Best smile: former BCer O-Dog. Colon-Posada battery rivals ND’s for ugliest. Very cute infield with Soriano still at 2B for the coming season.
A51 (14)—Cutest player: Greene, Ugliest: Donnelly, Myers, Molina, Reyes. Another attractive outfield, with 5 of 8 being cute.
BC (21)—Cutest players: new draftees Cotts, Granderson, and Langerhans, along with usual suspects Blalock, Wakefield, and Hawpe (newly discovered as cute—I never knew what he looked like till I did this study—nor did I know what the cute draftees looked like [except Huston Street] ). Ugliest: former A51er Mench, Laird, and Tejeda (all either former or current Texas Rangers--but so’s Blalock, so it’s not in the water there).
BAD BOYS OF THE SOMBILLA [8/06]
Which league’s franchise doesn’t give a shit about societal mores? Who flaunts boorish, illegal behavior in the rest of the league’s face? Which team is the most gentlemanly, intolerant of criminal activity on its roster? This summer, the SOMBILLA spotlight team studies the bad boys of the SOMBILLA - detailing a team by team summary of arrest records.
Not surprisingly, Future Wax heads the shame roll. Tsuan and Andrew (and more recently Randy) clearly have an eye for stockpiling thugs, hoodlums and criminals. The question is, do their wives know about this predilection?
At the other extreme, Constantinople has a very scant bad boy record. Tom & Land win the goody two shoes award.
Future Wax
Area 51/Hatchbacks/Sardukar
Manila Folders/Bunghole Quahogs
(Jed assumes liability for both franchise’s bad boys)
New Orleans
North Dakota
Swarzluna
Bay City
Not really a study, just a compilation. Somewhat related to Study 3. Including direct quotes from recent summer newsletters:
2006 – As usual we burned Barry Bonds.
2005 - Robin had previously proposed resurrecting an old Canseco card and ‘injecting’ it, although she was vague about how that would be accomplished. As a result, we kept it simple and burned Barry Bonds.
2004 - There was a lot of sentiment around burning ‘alleged’ steroid user Barry Bonds. There was also a lot of momentum for burning another Future Wax bad boy, rapist Ramon Castro. Some tried to argue creatively that, if it hadn’t been for the steroids, Bonds would be a rapist too. In the end, that speculation proved to be no match for actual facts, and Castro was burned.
2003 - The winning choice was to burn David Wells, who was then burned. If we’d had a copy of his book we’d have burned that too.
2002 - The winning choice was to burn Ruben Rivera. The card of Derek Jeter watched and cheered.
2001 - The only nomination received was for Bobby Chouinard, who was then burned.
2000 - Nominations were received for John Rocker, Al Martin, Daryl Strawberry, and Bobby Chouinard, the most number of nominations ever. The votes were Rocker 5, Martin 1 (Eric abstained). John Rocker was then burned.
1999 - Wil Cordero
1998 - Tony Phillips and Wil Cordero
Previous to 1998, Robin was in charge of card burning decisions. At the ’97 draft, Land proposed formalizing the card burning process by allowing for nominations and putting the card burning to a vote. His proposal passed 7-2.
1997 - Mike Greenwell
1996 - Darryl Strawberry
1995 - Jack Morris
1994 - Matt Young
1993 - Gary Carter
1992 - Gary Carter
1991 - Gary Carter
1990 - Bill Buckner
1989 - Glenn Hoffman
1988 - Steve Garvey
1987 - Pete Rose
1986 - Pete Rose
1985 - Mike Torrez
1984 - Bucky Dent
Card burnings for years prior have not been documented.
All-time SOMBILLA Home Run Leaders (updated 7/05)
Last summer, we presented the top 71 all-time SOMBILLA home run leaders (all those with more than 50).
Here is an updated list of the top 20:
Rank Name HR
|
1 |
Bonds |
297 |
|
2 |
Griffey |
197 |
|
3 |
Piazza |
169 |
|
4 |
McGwire |
162 |
|
5 |
Ramirez |
158 |
|
6 |
Sosa |
147 |
|
7 |
Thome |
146 |
|
8 |
Bagwell |
132 |
|
9 |
Rodriguez, A |
130 |
|
10 |
Thomas, F |
127 |
|
11 |
Williams, M |
127 |
|
12 |
Martinez, E |
122 |
|
13 |
McGriff |
121 |
|
14 |
Sheffield |
120 |
|
15 |
Belle |
116 |
|
16 |
Davis, E |
113 |
|
17 |
Gonzalez, Ju. |
112 |
|
18 |
Walker, L |
110 |
|
19 |
Burks |
105 |
|
20 |
Palmeiro |
101 |
All-time SOMBILLA Wins Leaders
As promised last summer, here is the following list of SOMBILLA wins leaders, dating back from ‘83-84, the first year we kept stats for all the teams, through last year. A couple of years in there, (for example, last year) not all the teams did their stats, but this is the best we can do.
Hopefully, I got everyone. If you think of someone who should be on the list, let me know -and I’ll look into it. This list includes all those with 30 or more recorded wins:

Constantinople, thanks to the astute managing and GMing of Tom (and to a lesser extent, Land) won its first SOMBILLA championship 4 months ago – 13 years after being awarded an expansion franchise (Note: this 13 years is shorter than the 19 years it took the Yitz/Durga/Harold franchise to win its first championship, while Manila is on 20 and counting).
In the spring of 1992, the SOMBILLA voted 6-2 to award Land his own expansion team and become the 9th team in the league. (Arnie and Robin, who were and are good friends with Land, cast the only opposing votes. Arnie because he didn’t want to do the extra scheduling and stats, and Robin, on principle. Land did not hold it against us, inviting us to his wedding a few years later.)
A few weeks before the April draft, the other 7 teams were allowed to protect 30 players (then as now, rosters were 45 players). Since we (the established teams) were going to cut 10 of these people anyway, we basically screwed Land by giving him crap (or perhaps a slight upgrade from crap) expansion players to choose from. He was limited to 2 players per team. I recall that after he got the list he called me to ask if he was forced to actually take two players from every team. I said no.
He got 10 draft picks – last pick in every round, then we gave him the stack of leftovers, from which he chose 20 or so players to fill out his roster. We magnanimously gave him two weeks to do that.
1. Were any of the expansion pickups any good? Or even helpful? Well, in the ’92 Summer Newsletter, I posted the following analysis:
|
From |
Who he took |
Who he should have taken |
|
Jed |
Fisk, E. King |
Bruno (.273), Deer (21 hr), Incaviglia (.278) |
|
Arnie |
Samuel, Maldonado |
Honeycutt (2.88), Welch (2.99) |
|
Matt |
Carpenter, Orsulak |
Carpenter (2.28) , Bichette (.314) |
|
Eric |
Eisenreich, L. Johnson |
Eisenreich (.277) , Seitzer (.283) |
|
Robin |
B. Smith, O’Brien |
Black (2.90), Jacoby (.280) |
|
Harold |
Hibbard, Treadway |
D. Jones (2.25) |
|
Dave |
Ojeda |
Ojeda (3.01 ), B. Witt (3.79) |
|
Andrew |
Mulholland, R. McDowell |
R. McDowell (2.95) , Magadan (.300) |
While I did some nitpicking analyses here, the fact is he had crap to choose from, since 2/3 of the guys on the list were about to get cut anyway. How did these 15 castoffs do? Did any of those 15 expansionists last? In the first year (in which Land finished 8th , beating out Jed & Clint), Samuel batted .291, Eisenreich .245, Fisk .231, while Mulholland was 3-9 (4.03), McDowell 2-2 (4.26) and Ojeda 3-3 (6.91). Samuel and Eisenreich were regulars.
At the ’93 draft, Land cut 7 of these 15 players. In year 2, ‘93-94, Orsulak, Maldonado, Mulholland and Carpenter were all on the 25-man roster, Mulholland going 5-8 (4.28) for the last place team. By year 3, ‘94-95 (last place again), only Terry Mulholland remained. (I recall that when I called Land at work, I would leave word with the receptionist that "Terry Mulholland" had called). In ‘95-96, when Land shocked the league by making the playoffs, none of this group contributed.
2. His fist draft? Tapani, Pagnozzi, Stanton, Joyner, Navarro, Do. Henry, C. Davis, P. Munoz, Mercedes, and A. Rhodes. 4 years later when he made the playoffs, Munoz, Davis, Joyner, and Pagnozzi were all on the team. In the ’96 summer newsletter, Chili Davis was named the best 7 th round pick (tied with T&A’s Mercker). Nobody else won a best or worst draft pick award.
3. Finally, what about the stack of leftover sludge? He had 20 picks. During the 2 week period he had to decide, a couple of astute managers were also scouting this "pile" and offered some trades to Land in return for him picking up some guys they wanted. First, the choices:
|
11 Taubensee |
|
12. F. Castillo |
|
|
13. Ashby |
|
|
14. W. Alvarez |
|
|
15. M. Williams |
|
|
16. W. Ritchie |
|
|
17. Pall |
|
|
18. Gott |
|
|
19. M. Freeman |
|
|
20. Timlin |
Land immediately traded Stanton and A. Rhodes to Jed for Zeile. He also traded Thompson to Eric for a 7 th rounder in the following year’s draft. When Land made the playoffs 4 years later, Zeile, Hansen, O. Nixon and Taubensee all took part in the celebration. Nixon still holds the league’s all-time single season steal record (53 in ‘92-93)
Check out that last guy! Literally, the 45th man on his roster, not even drafted, the last guy in the league and he’s having an all-star year in ’05. He was an ill-advised cut of Tom’s in 2002, the last remaining player on the original Constantinople.
The ‘04-05 team
Land hasn’t participated in a few years now. How many were Land guys and how many Tom’s? Researching the 25 players on Tom’s championship roster, here are a few facts:
*RP note: He had the last pick in the draft and was choosing between Giambi and Mark Whiten. I counseled him to take the pre-steroid Giambi because he was so cute).
The others:
1999: Tom’s first draft – he and Land worked together. Abreau – 2nd round, Varitek – 6 th , C. Everett- 8th
2000: Land and Tom still working together. Hudson – 1st, K. Wells – 4th, Dotel – 7 th
2001: Land still active in Gming. It’s hard from the outside to know who was responsible for drafting whom. But at least until ’02, Land had a strong interest in participating as a GM. Herges – 7th round (cut in ’03 and redrafted in ’04).
2002: The "contraction draft". Perhaps the low point of the Land/Tom marriage as there was some brief discussion of Tom getting Clint’s old team and finding a new manager for Land. In the end, they reached an amiable understanding. A. Jones – 1st , Nevin – 2nd (both former BiG DiG players), Mora – 13 th round (cut in ’03 and redrafted in ’04).
2003: Tom may have been flying solo for this one. Borowski – 8th, C. Lee – 9th, J. Schmidt – 10 th
2004: Land definitely AWOL. Ensberg – 1 st, Mora – 2nd, J. Guillen – 3rd , Redman – 4th, Herges – 4th, Bay – 7th , Stairs – 9th, Wunsch – 10th, Durham – 11th , Capuano – 12th
In the NFL, the last player drafted is nicknamed "Mr. Irrelevant" and is feted to a week long party in California. Former Pats LB Marty Moore was drafted last and had a productive career for New England. So these guys can be good pickups, but there has to be some good scouting and some luck. We’ve even instituted our own tradition, shouting "Spooneybarger" to officially end the draft. Who are these guys? And who is the best Mr. Irrelevant?
|
Year |
Name |
Drafted by |
Result after being drafted |
|
1985 |
Rich Dotson |
Joel |
One season (0-1) |
|
1986 |
Dave LaPointe |
Yitz |
DNP |
|
1987 |
Don Sutton |
Joel |
DNP |
|
1988 |
Andres Thomas |
Eric |
DNP |
|
1989 |
Jody Davis |
Dave |
DNP (this was after a fine career with Yitz’s team) |
|
1990 |
Fred Manrique |
Dave & Clint |
DNP |
|
1991 |
Chuck Nagy |
Jed |
Three seasons (15-17) |
|
1992 |
Dave Hollins |
Andrew |
One season |
|
1993 |
J. T. Bruett |
Arnie (on behalf of Dave, as a result of a trade) |
DNP |
|
1994 |
Lonnie Smith |
Arnie |
One season (.250) |
|
1995 |
Danny Jackson |
Jed & Clint |
One season (3-5) |
|
1996 |
Jason Giambi |
Land |
A great steroid-enhanced career |
|
1997 |
Rob Deer |
Matt |
One season (.286) |
|
1998 |
Larry Sheets |
Matt |
? (no stats) |
|
1999 |
David Ortiz |
Arnie |
Not a bad player |
|
2000 |
Paul Abbott |
RAT |
One season (2-1) |
|
2001 |
Mark Grace |
Harold |
Two seasons |
|
2002 |
Jeromy Burnitz |
Harold |
DNP |
|
2003 |
Tim Spooneybarger |
RAT |
DNP |
|
2004 |
Doug Waechter |
Eric |
DNP |
|
2005 |
Damian Easley |
Tom |
There is actually one Hall of Famer on this list. The problem is, when Joel drafted Don Sutton with the last pick of the 1987 draft, the guy was 42, and Joel was about to end his affiliation with the SOMBILLA. To me, that’s the worst Mr. Irrelevant pick. At least everyone else was trying. A pretty negligible list, with a couple of notable exceptions (as I write this, Ortiz just singled in A-Rod in the All-Star game). Giambi is the best Mr. Irrelevant, but after performance enhancing drugs are factored in, you have to go with Ortiz. Chuck Nagy is an honorable mention.
Some of these guys did play in the league, although for most of those, their best Strat-O years were with other managers before they were redrafted as Mr. Irrelevant. For the record, this study was not my idea.
It’s been a long-time coming, but I finally did some serious data entry and have come up with the following list of SOMBILLA home run leaders, dating back from ‘83-84, the first year we kept stats for all the teams, through last year. A couple of years in there, not all the teams did their stats, but this is the best we can do.
Hopefully, I got everyone. If you think of someone who should be on the list, let me know -and I’ll look into it. Next year, we’ll do the wins leaders:
Here are the top 25:
Rank Name HR
|
1 |
Bonds |
264 |
|
2 |
Griffey |
193 |
|
3 |
McGwire |
162 |
|
4 |
Piazza |
159 |
|
5 |
Ramirez |
141 |
|
6 |
Sosa |
140 |
|
7 |
Thome |
128 |
|
8 |
Williams, M |
127 |
|
9 |
Bagwell |
124 |
|
10 |
McGriff |
121 |
|
11 |
Belle |
116 |
|
11 |
Martinez, E |
116 |
|
13 |
Davis, E |
113 |
|
13 |
Rodriguez, A |
113 |
|
15 |
Thomas, F |
111 |
|
16 |
Gonzalez, Ju. |
109 |
|
16 |
Walker, L |
109 |
|
18 |
Burks |
105 |
|
18 |
Sheffield |
105 |
|
20 |
Palmeiro |
101 |
|
21 |
Galarraga |
98 |
|
21 |
Mitchell, K. |
98 |
|
23 |
Strawberry |
94 |
|
24 |
Vaughn, M |
92 |
|
25 |
Klesko |
91 |
|
25 |
Ripken |
91 |
Here’s everybody else with more than 50, although I’m less confident I got everybody.
|
27 |
Canseco |
81 |
|
27 |
Clark, W |
81 |
|
27 |
Murray, E |
81 |
|
30 |
Jones, C. |
76 |
|
31 |
Henderson, R. |
75 |
|
31 |
Murphy, D |
75 |
|
33 |
Ventura |
74 |
|
34 |
Giambi, J |
72 |
|
34 |
Lankford |
72 |
|
36 |
Williams, B |
71 |
|
37 |
Baines |
70 |
|
37 |
Bonilla |
70 |
|
37 |
Guerrero, V |
70 |
|
40 |
Tettleton |
68 |
|
40 |
Whitaker |
68 |
|
42 |
Dawson |
67 |
|
43 |
Jones, A |
66 |
|
43 |
Schmidt |
66 |
|
43 |
Tartabull |
66 |
|
46 |
Edmonds |
65 |
|
46 |
Hrbek |
65 |
|
48 |
Giles, B |
64 |
|
48 |
Justice |
64 |
|
48 |
Rodriguez, I. |
64 |
|
48 |
Sandberg |
64 |
|
52 |
Alou |
63 |
|
52 |
Buhner |
63 |
|
54 |
Brett |
62 |
|
55 |
Parrish, L |
60 |
|
56 |
Green, S |
59 |
|
57 |
Davis, G |
58 |
|
58 |
Fisk |
57 |
|
59 |
Delgado |
56 |
|
60 |
Winfield |
55 |
|
61 |
Biggio |
54 |
|
61 |
Mattingly |
54 |
|
61 |
Olerud |
54 |
|
61 |
Stanley |
54 |
|
65 |
Bichette |
53 |
|
65 |
Evans, DW |
53 |
|
65 |
Guerrero, P |
53 |
|
65 |
Vaughn, G |
53 |
|
69 |
Alomar, R |
51 |
|
69 |
Carter, G |
51 |
|
71 |
Helton |
50 |
A recent e-mail chain that made its way around the
league leads to this next study. Are injuries randomly dispersed
throughout all the teams or does one team or a few teams receive an
inordinate amount of injuries to its players?
Ideally, we would examine a historical list of all players who have gone on the DL, say, over the past 10 years and add ‘em up. Or something like that. Unfortunately, I could find no such historical listing. So, I’ve come up with a few alternatives.
At the all-star break, 49 of the league’s 360 players were on the DL, or 14%. They were spread not so evenly among the league’s teams, ranging from a high of 9 players on the DL, (both RAT and Tom), to a low of 3 for Matt & Jed (only A. Boone, Beckett and Ohka). For the record, RAT’s DL was Williamson, J. Gonzalez, Mantei, Valverde, A. Ramirez, Griffey, Spooneybarger, R. Castro, and W. Miller. Tom’s DL was Mondesi, Mora, Stewart, Ellis, Hudson, Nelson, Borowski, Casey, and Nevin.
But that’s just a snapshot in time. It doesn’t prove anything and you can’t draw any conclusions from it. Indeed, the snapshot would’ve been different in May, and will be different again in September (except for people like Ohka, Arthur Rhodes or Ritchie Sexson out for the season).
Pitchers get sore arms. Players pull hamstrings. These are normal, almost expected. But occasionally, weird, inexplicable injuries occur to players. Is this a random occurrence by team or not? Well, some teams clearly are more susceptible to weird injuries. Coincidence? Here’s a collection of some of the strangest injuries over the years affecting SOMBILLA players by team:
Robin:
RAT
Arnie
Jeff/Dave/Joel
Yitz/Harold
Jed & Clint.
Eric
Matt:
Tom/Land
On a more somber note, a few SOMBILLA players have actually died while on active rosters:
For the only real ‘study’ here, I tried to look at limited players over the past 10 years per franchise. I made a point not to count mutants - guys with great cards drafted in spite of being limited. We’re looking at established roster people who are injured enough that they can’t get to 350 plate appearances and are hence limited. It’s not perfect - it won’t catch guys like Mo Vaughn who get injured for whole season.
Unfortunately, the historical stats aren’t really up to where they should be to make this accurate. Unofficially, Tom & Land and Jeff both had 14 such players over the 10 years to lead the pack, followed closely by North Dakota with 13. The Folders and Bay City chime in with 12, while Harold and Jed had 9 each. Future Wax, surprisingly while hit with many unusual injuries (see above) had only 7 players over this time limited due to injury (they had plenty of mutants, who do not count). Eric brings up the rear with only 7, but that’s probably more of a function of all those years without stats than anything else.
Robin’s team appears to have an inordinate number of injuries and deaths, but all teams appear to have been affected in one way or another. I was going to say that Matt appears least affected, but then I remembered Darryl Kile, whose demise rightly earned Matt a seat on the "couch of woe" on draft day.
In 1972, Steve Carlton of the Philadelphia Phillies, went 27-10, with a 1.97 ERA to win the Cy Young Award. His team, as you may know, finished dead last, at 59-97, making Carlton’s season all the more remarkable. This summer, thanks to a suggestion by Eric, the league asks, "who have been the Steve Carltons of the SOMBILLA?"
There have been some remarkably bad teams in the SOMBILLA. Here is a list of all the last place teams over the years:
Year Team
W L
Pct GB
1979 Sardukar
20 30 .400 13
1981-1982 North Dakota 14 36 .280 17
1982-1983 North Dakota 19 31 .380 15
1983-1984 Marakesh Express 23 27 .460
4.5
1984-1985 Shellshock III Nazgul19 31 .380 10
1985-1986 Manilla Folders 20 36 .357 15
1986-1987 Sardukar 23 33 .410
11
1987-1988 Sardukar 19 37 .339
20
1988-1989 Bay City 21 35 .375
14
1989-1990 Bay City 18 38 .321
26
1990-1991 Bay City 23 33 .411
13
1991-1992 Hatchbacks 21 35 .375
22
1992-1993 Adirondack 19 37 .339
15
1993-1994 Constantinople 21 35 .375 16
1994-1995 Constantinople 19 37 .339 17
1995-1996 Metrowest 18 38 .321
21
1996-1997 Metrowest 19 37 .339
22
1997-1998 Bay City 22 34 .393
12
1998-1999 Kakania 16 40
.286 24
1999-2000 Constantinople 23 33 .404 16
2000-2001 Manila Folders 10 43 .189 27.5
2001-2002 BiG DiG 18 38
.321 20
2002-2003 Manila Folders 18 38 .321 16
No doubt, there have been some pretty bad teams that did not finish in last place over the years. Indeed, on three occasions (85-86, 87-88 and 88-89) two teams finished at the bottom with identical records. But as always ties are broken based on head-to-head competition, and what better way to settle last place once and for all? I’d say this is a pretty fair representation of the worst SOMBILLA teams ever. The creme de la creme (or crap de la crap).
So, have there been any great performances from this motley collection of SOMBILLA teams? Well, we only started keeping real stats for the league beginning in 1984, but I can say with a fair amount of certainty there wasn’t a single good performance from either of the two ND teams that were spectacularly bad during the SOMBILLA’s infancy.
Fred Lynn of Eric’s ‘83-84 Marakesh Express was the first notable bad team high achiever, winning the league batting crown that year at .324 (that team also holds the record for being the best last-place team ever, finishing with a respectable .460 winning percentage). You have to shoot ahead 7 years to find another great performance – Robin’s Glenn Davis is still the only player to lead the league in homers for a last place team (19). Kenny Lofton was a stolen base leader for Jeff’s last place team in ‘96-97 (he had 19). The ‘99-00 Constantinople team had the only pitcher to lead the league in a major category from a last place team – he had 11 saves. The ill-fated BiG DiG team of ‘01-02 had Vlad Guerrero leading the league with a sparkling .754 slugging average. And finally, last season, Ichiro piled up 16 stolen bases to give the last-place Folders a league-leader. Some pretty lame performances in the long history of the league.
The following is my best shot at the SOMBILLA’s all-time best performance for a last place team all-star team (I tried to stick to regulars, and not pick some shmuck who hit .380 in 32 at bats):
Pos. Name Team Ave HR BI Comments
1B Frank Thomas 97-98 BC .317
17 42
2B Bret Boone 95-96 MW .335 5 27
SS Cal Ripken 90-91 BC .286 6 30
3B Chipper Jones96-97 MW .249 15 41
3B George Brett 86-87 SA .295 10 29 Sentimental backup
LF Kal Daniels 88-89 BC .311 8 27 Platoon
player, only 122 AB
CF Fred Lynn 84-84 ME .324 10 34 Batting
leader, gold glover, 50 games
RF V. Guerrero 01-02 BD .366 18 52 .754 SLG to lead
league
C Gary Carter 86-87 SA .240 15 30
DH Kevin Millar 02-03 MF .342 12 51
PH Jose Canseco 91-92 HB .265 18 39
PH Mo Vaughn 96-97 MW .288 17 37
PH Glenn Davis 90-91 BC .239 19 34
PH Julio Franco 91-92 HB .342 3 21
PH Tony Gwynn 87-88 SA .332 5 31 13 SB
W-L ERA SV
SP Jose DeLeon 92-93
AD 5-2 2.73
SP Len Barker 84-85 ME 6-4 3.57
SP Tom Browning 86-87 SA 7-7 3.36
SP A. Fernandez 97-98 BC 8-5 5.58
SP/RP S. Fernandez 90-91 BC 3-2 2.33 3
SP/RP Jim Beattie 84-85 ME 6-2 3.30 1
RP Niedenfuer 85-86 S3N3-2 2.19 2
RP Bruce Sutter 85-86 MF 2-0 2.20 2
RP Carman 86-87
SA 2-2 2.05 4
RP Tom Henke 88-89 BC 5-2 3.47 3
RP Jim Gott 94-95 CN 1-1 1.69 3
RP Uegeth Urbina 99-00 CN 1-4 1.51 11
Despite a plurality of the league against the concept of designing parks, we are still stuck with it. I was asked to do a study of the phenomenon of designing ballparks and whether this really leads to SOMBILLA extremism, whatever that means, and other heinous results.
First, a few facts. This misguided rule was voted in at the 2000 annual meeting. Thus, we’ve played 3 seasons under this regime.
Is there any correlation to success? Well despite the fact that only 8 of the league’s 26 teams (31%) over that period have used normal parks over the past 3 years, 2/3 (67%) of the league’s championships have been won by teams with normal parks. Of the 8 teams using normal parks, 4 made the playoffs (50%), while 8 of the 16 teams (also 50%) with designed ballparks also made the playoffs. Indeed, the only season in the last 10 years that North Dakota did not make the playoffs, was the one year that the team played in a designed park. One could argue that taken together, these two facts show that once a team reaches the playoffs, its success depends largely on whether or not it plays in a designed or a normal park.
What about home advantage? Well, the home record for the 8 teams using normal parks over the past 3 years is 114-110 (.509). The home record for the abnormal parks was 261-241 (.520). Of course, there are other more important variables involved, like strength of team, to take any of these results too seriously. (That is, you could put together a team of Babe Ruth, Ty Cobb, Ted Williams, etc. and compare them in an abnormal park against a team full of Lou Merlonis in a normal park – or vice versa - well, you get the idea).
The two main criticisms of designing ballparks are that allowing so, has, counterintuitively, led to a lack of creativity in designing parks and ballpark extremism. The two are actually interrelated.
As far as creativity goes, in fairness, it’s interesting to note that in ‘01-02, two of the teams using normal parks, Jeff & Robin, played in the same ballpark (Chicago AL). The other team using a normal park that year, Randy, played in Colorado, which was the most extreme hitter’s park available for both sides.
Nevertheless, the lack of creatively in designing parks jumps out and hits you in the face. In ‘00-01, Tom, Harold, and Matt all played in the same designed park, which also happened to be the most extreme park favoring righties allowable.
In ‘00-01, 6 of the 7 teams that designed their park used at least one dimension in the extreme (either a 1-19, BP HR or S, 1-2 HR, or the largest spread allowed between lefty and righty), including the three mentioned above. In’ 01-02, 5 of 6 teams played in an extreme ballpark (under that definition), and the other team, arguably, played in the extreme average park (HR 1-10 both sides). And last year, again 5 of the 6 teams played in an extreme park. Thus, it’s an indisputable fact that designing parks has led to ballpark extremism. (And, as a correlation, when 84% of teams that design their parks do so with an extreme park, the league suffers from a lack of creativity.)
One of the responses to this fact is, "so what? Why is that a bad thing?" That’s a hard question to answer objectively. One could probably point to skewed home/away stats if we had such data, but we don’t. Although there seems to be no significant home field advantage (indeed, 2 of the 3 best home teams last year played in normal parks), we’re left with more subjectivity than objectivity. (If anyone has suggestions for data to look at in an objective study of this issue, I’d be happy to listen).
So, subjectively, I ask in response to "so what?" whether it is a good thing that 2 of the 6 designed parks last year had HR 1-19 for righties, and 2 others used HR 1-19 for lefties? Or that 4 of the 7 teams designing parks in ‘00-01 used 1-19 for righty homers? Is that creative? Would they all end up in Colorado (which, ironically, is now the absolute extreme this year, 1-19 for everything) if they couldn’t design such parks, as has been suggested? Given that all of these teams had significantly reduced HR for the non- 1-19 side, I don’t think so.
In short, it is indisputable that designing parks has led to extremism, and as a direct result of the quest for extremism, a lack of ballpark creativity. As to whether that’s good or bad, you’ll have to judge for yourself.
Addendum number 1 - by Eric
Thanks Arn. Another really nerdly terrific job. If the summer
newsletters were to ever survive as the lone artifacts of humankind, I
believe it to be a given that an alien race would never be able to
decode our mysteries. Hell, it's tough enough for me, and I live at the
center of a
dark, human mystery.
Okay, let's talk about
Summer Study No. 4 - Designing Ballparks. It's classic Arnstudy, both
fair and biased, and filled with many ingenious parentheticals. The
data since our conversion to designer parks seems to bear out Arnie's
thesis that
we are dull and un-inventive and perhaps even frightened by our own
freedom
to choose. I, of course, am never dull, almost always inventive, but
predictably
terrified and distrustful of my own freedom. But that doesn't mean I
want
structure imposed from with-out. I just need to get laid (but that's
another
dark, all-too-human mystery).
I would embrace (if
embrace is the right word, and if a parenthetical is indeed the right
place to question word choice) (...and it probably is...) Arnie's
critique
if it included a similar study of the three years prior to the advent
of
designerism. But I fear the results would show that extremism and lack
of creativity exists within the smaller selection of Stratparks, and
that
being given the freedom to design merely allows us to
mirror our own past choices. And then be smug about it, even if our
team gets smoked at home. To wit: having scanned the available
Stratparks for this year, only one seems to fill, in part, the criteria
for my team as it exists now. I say "seems" because I am not an
off-season in-putter of data or cruncher of numbers. It's too hot. The
only thing I crunch is the ice in my rum and coke. And I say "in part",
because while I like the lefty/righty homer differential of that
Stratpark, I don't like the singles situation. (Which reminds me, I
need to join a dating service.) Admittedly, though, I have no greater
intuition or expertise today than other years
in selecting
numbers for a park. It's a crap shoot. So...
In New Hampshire,
motorcyclists are not required by law to wear a helmets. Seems pretty
stupid to me,
but I don't ride a motorcycle. The law essentially says that if you're
dumb enough to get on a hog without a helmet then you're smart enough
to
accept the consequences of your choice, even if you wipe out and wake
up
brain-dead.
I think Arnie has given us
good information to work with. He exposes our lack of creativity and
shows that we are apt to give in to our sporting hormones and go for
the cheap thrills of excess. He shows that we are more alike than
different, which, if he were an anthropologist, sort of makes him the
Louis Leakey of Strato.
But as Arnie says, the
problem is ultimately subjective. Would putting an end to designer
parks increase creativity and limit extremism? Subjectively, and
perhaps even objectively, I'd say it wouldn't.
Addendum number 2 - Arnie
Slicing through the introspective laments, musings, and assorted and
sundry silliness, Eric responded to this summer's study on designing
ballparks by agreeing with the conclusion that the league has not shown
creativity in designing ballparks.
To quote: "I would embrace (if embrace is the
right word, and if a parenthetical is indeed the right place to
question word choice) (...and it probably is...) Arnie's critique if it
included a similar study of the three years prior to the advent of
designerism. But I fear the results would show that extremism and lack
of creativity exists within the smaller selection of Stratparks, and
that being given the freedom to design merely allows us to mirror our
own past choices."
Tsuan and Jeff weighed in that they agreed with Eric
(although I'm not too confident that they understood exactly what they
were agreeing to). For example, Eric later noted that he did not
like the singles situation of a particular ballpark, and in doing so,
reminded himself that he has to join a dating service. Were they
agreeing with this observation as well.
In any event, I have gone back to the three
years prior to the league's adoption of designing ballpark
abominations,
er, dimensions. I was able to determine 7 of the 9 parks from
'97-98, 5 of 9 from '98-99 and 7 of 9 from '99-00. Here are the
results:
'97-98: 3 teams played in
Colorado (1-19 everything) that year - Matt, RAT, and Eric.
Harold played in the opposite - LA, which had HR 1-3 and S 1 for both
sides.
Robin played in the most extreme park against lefties - HR L 1-2, R 1-8
(although it favored lefties for singles 1-14/1-9). ND was extremely
average - 1-9 for everything. CN, then managed by Brian, showed
some creativity, LS 1-3, LHR 1-7, RS 1-9, RHR 1-12.
'98-99: Jeff and I both played in Cinci, the
park which most favored lefties (HR 1-16 for L, 1-6 for R).
Harold played in a park that favored righties (1-8/1-3 HR) and
(1-15/1-12 S). Matt played in the park that most favored righties
(HR 1-18/1-9), although this park, like Robin's the year before,
favored lefties for singles
(1-10/1-7). Robin's park favored lefties (1-15/1-9 HR), but was
even for S (1-11).
'99-00: Matt and RAT both chose Colorado, but
note that Colorado that year had L HR 1-16, and R HR 1-19.
Robin chose an average park (HR 1-10). Jeff and ND both chose
parks
that favored lefties, but differently (1-14/1-9 HR for Jeff, 1-11/1-3
HR for ND). Both Harold and Eric chose parks with singles -
1.
Harold's HR was 1-5, while Eric had 1-9 L and 1-12 R.
Observations: Extremeism cannot be
avoided. In any year, most teams will seek out an extreme
hitter's park, extreme pitcher's park or a park that favors one side
heavily. It is likely that 2 or more teams will choose the same
park (but no more likely than with designing ballparks). But,
when forced to choose among the 50 'real' parks, there does seem to be
more creativity. Sometimes,
an extreme park for HR is opposite for singles. This forces
extremists to either choose that 'mixed' park or choose a park that's
less extreme, with different creative numbers. Other times, with
the notable exception of Colorado, the parks that are extreme for
homers at one end, are not
extreme or are average for singles.
Conclusion: Extremeism cannot be
avoided. I do believe there has been a noticable (but not large)
decrease in
creativity due to designing parks.
Because I have all of the computer teams since 1989, I thought it would be fun to compare great SOMBILLA teams of the recent past. This study will be in three parts. First, I ran the past eight SOMBILLA champion teams in one league to see which team was the best, from the ‘94-95 White Visitation through the current reigning ‘01-02 Future Wax champions. I used each team’s actual home ballpark numbers (I knew saving all those old scoresheets would come in handy for something.) Here are the results (note the 168-game schedule)
W
L Pct GB
‘01-02 Future Wax 98 70 .583
--
‘98-99 North Dakota 90 78 .536 8
‘97-98 Future Wax 90 78 .536
8
‘95-96 North Dakota 89 79 .530 9
‘99-00 North Dakota 86 82 .512 12
‘00-01 New Orleans 82 86 .488 16
‘94-95 White Visitation 73 95 .435 25
‘96-97 Finn’s People 64 104 .381 34
Playoffs
‘01-02 Future Wax d. ‘95-96 North
Dakota 4 games to 3
‘98-99 North Dakota d. ‘97-98 Future Wax 4 games to 2
World Series
‘01-02 Future Wax d. ‘98-99 North Dakota 4 games to 0
Was last year’s Future Wax champion the greatest SOMBILLA team of all time? Now before we all jump on the ‘ridicule Eric’ bandwagon, let’s look at his champion teams more closely. That Finn’s People team was in fact a .500 team, finishing in 4th place at 28-28. Eric was one game ahead of two teams tied for 5th, 13 games behind Future Wax that year (41-15), before stunning FW and ND in the post-season. The computer only looks at these teams on paper. And on paper, that’s a .500 team. The White Visitation champions of 1995 also finished in 4 th place, and in fact, had to win a one-game playoff over Robin to earn the right to play more post season games. While I can program the computer with certain of Eric’s managerial tendencies ("Extreme Aggressive" relief usage for example), the computer cannot reproduce Eric’s great post-season managing abilities and inexplicable post-season karma. The computer blindly sees two 4th place teams (including a .500 team) and thinks they’d get pounded by these other teams. Would they?
|
Average |
Wins |
|
Garciaparra ‘01-02 FW .365 |
R. Johnson ‘95-96 ND 22-11 |
|
Ramirez ‘00-01 NO .349 |
Clemens ‘99-00 ND 21-7 |
|
Piazza ‘97-98 FW .339 |
P. Martinez ‘01-02 FW 20-4 |
|
Nilsson ‘97-98 FW .329 |
Saberhagen ‘95-96 ND 19-16 |
|
Bonds ‘97-98 FW .322 |
Clemens ‘95-96 ND 18-12 |
|
Home Runs |
ERA |
|
McGriff ‘95-96 ND 67 |
P. Martinez ‘01-02 FW 2.91 |
|
Griffey ‘97-98 FW 59 |
Clemens ‘99-00 ND 2.95 |
|
Bonds ‘97-98 FW 56 |
R. Johnson ‘95-96 ND 3.76 |
|
Ramirez ‘00-01 NO 54 |
Nomo ‘96-97 FP 4.01 |
|
Piazza ‘97-98 FW 50 |
Clemens ‘98-99 ND 4.35 |
|
RBIs |
Saves |
|
Ramirez ‘00-01 NO 158 |
Hoffman ‘99-00 ND 39 |
|
McGriff ‘95-96 ND 153 |
Wagner ‘00-01 NO 34 |
|
Bagwell ‘00-01 NO 146 |
Wetteland ‘95-96 ND 28 |
|
Griffey ‘97-98 FW 142 |
McMichaels ‘94-95 WV 27 |
|
Jiminez ‘01-02 FW 25 |
|
|
MVP |
Cy Young |
|
Bonds ‘97-98 FW 618 |
Clemens ‘99-00 ND 793 |
|
Ramirez ‘00-01 NO 603 |
P Martinez ‘01-02 FW 754 |
|
Griffey ‘97-98 FW 594 |
R Johnson ‘95-96 ND 750 |
|
Bagwell ‘00-01 NO 587 |
Wagner ‘00-01 NO 723 |
|
McGriff ‘95-96 ND 568 |
Clemens ‘95-96 ND 584 |
First team All-stars Second team All-stars
C Piazza
‘97-98 FW
Piazza ‘01-02 FW
1B Bagwell ‘00-01 NO
McGriff ‘95-96 ND
2B Kent ‘01-02 FW
Biggio ‘00-01 NO
3B Rolen ‘98-99 ND
Thome ‘97-98 FW
SS Garciaparra ‘01-02 FW
Larkin ‘99-00 ND
LF Bonds ‘97-98 FW
Bonds
‘01-02 FW
CF Griffey ‘97-98 FW
B Williams ‘98-99 ND
RF Ramirez ‘00-01 NO
Sheffield ‘97-98 FW
P Clemens ‘99-00 ND
Nomo
‘96-97 FP
P Martinez ‘01-02 FW
Clemens ‘98-99 ND
R Johnson ‘95-96 ND
R. Johnson ‘98-99 ND
Wagner ‘00-01 NO
Wetteland
‘95-96 ND
Clemens ‘95-96 ND
Rojas
‘97-98 FW
Hoffman ‘99-00 ND
S. Reed
‘99-00 ND
Run no. 2 For the 2nd run, I decided to let everyone play. I chose
each franchise’s best team including all the years since I’ve had
computer Strat-O (going back to the 1989 cards, or the ‘90-91 season).
Future Wax, North the White Visitation and New Orleans were all plucked
from the first run. (The highest finishing season in the first run was
chosen, except for New Orleans, which had just one representative).
Constantinople’s representative team was from last year, when Tom
finished at 38-18, finishing in 2 nd place on a tie-breaker.
Jeff’s team was the Metrowest team from the ‘98-99 season, which
finished in 3rd place at 33-23, losing to New Orleans in 7
games in the playoffs. Matt’s team was the ‘94-95 Folders that finished
in 2nd place at 32-24, beat Future Wax in 5 games, and then
lost to the White Visitation in the World Series in 7 games. Robin’s
representative was ‘92-93 Bay City, which finished in 1 st
place at 34-22, losing to Future Wax in 7 games in the playoffs. For
Jed & Clint, you have to go all the way back to their first season
together, the last time that franchise made the playoffs –
‘91-92 – when they finished in 2nd place at 31-25 (losing in
6 games to Ross’s Raiders in the playoffs. Thanks to some serious
research, I was able to use each team’s actual ballpark numbers from
their season.
W
L Pct GB
‘01-02 Future Wax 99 61 .619 --
‘01-02 Constantinople 88 72 .550 11
‘98-99 North Dakota 87 73 .544 12
‘94-95 White Visitation 86 74 .538 13
‘00-01 New Orleans 83 77 .519 16
‘98-99 Metrowest 81 79 .506 18
‘94-95 Manila Folders 74 86 .463 25
‘91-92 Arkansas 64 96 .400
35
‘92-93 Bay City 58 102 .363 41
Playoffs
‘98-99 North Dakota d. ‘01-02 Constantinople 4 games to 1
World Series
‘01-02 Future Wax d. ‘98-99 North Dakota 4 games to 0.
Was last year’s Future Wax champion the greatest SOMBILLA team of all time? Is there bias toward the more recent teams or are those teams just stronger? Well, given that both the White Visitation and New Orleans fared better in this league, than in the first run, I’d say that it’s just a question of the quality of the teams, not the year of the cards.
|
Average |
Wins |
|
Garciaparra ‘01-02 FW .350 |
Maddux ‘01-02 MW 21-9 |
|
E. Martinez ‘00-01 NO .338 |
Clemens ‘98-88 ND 18-14 |
|
Greer ‘98-99 MW .335 |
P. Martinez ‘01-02 FW 17-4 |
|
Ramirez ‘00-01 NO .333 |
L. Hernandez ‘01-02 FW 17-11 |
|
Molitor ‘94-95 MF .332 |
Hentgen ‘98-99 MW 17-10 |
|
Home Runs |
ERA |
|
Sheffield ‘01-02 FW 57 |
P. Martinez ‘01-02 FW 3.20 |
|
Ramirez ‘00-01 NO 55 |
Rijo ‘94-95 MF 3.59 |
|
M. Williams ‘94-95 MF 55 |
R. Johnson ‘98-99 ND 3.94 |
|
Bagwell ‘00-01 NO 52 |
Farr ‘91-92 AK 4.25 |
|
L. Walker ‘98-99 MW 50 |
Clemens ‘98-99 ND 4.29 |
|
RBIs |
Saves |
|
Ramirez ‘00-01 NO 169 |
G. White ‘01-02 CN 40 |
|
Sheffield ‘01-02 FW 155 |
McMichaels ‘94-95 WV 33 |
|
L. Walker ‘98-99 MW 152 |
Wagner ‘00-01 NO 32 |
|
Bagwell ‘00-01 NO 150 |
Wetteland ‘98-99 ND 28 |
|
M. Williams ‘94-95 MF 143 |
Myers ‘98-99 MW 23 |
|
MVP |
Cy Young |
|
Bagwell ‘00-01 NO 623 |
P Martinez ‘01-02 FW 664 |
|
Sheffield ‘01-02 FW 596 |
Wagner ‘00-01 NO 600 |
|
Ramirez ‘00-01 NO 583 |
Clemens ‘98-99 ND 516 |
|
L. Walker ‘98-99 MW 578 |
Park ‘01-02 CN 503 |
|
A. Rodriguez, ‘01-02 CN 571 |
R Johnson ‘98-99 ND 480 |
First team All-stars Second team All-stars
C Piazza
‘97-98 FW
Stanley ‘94-95 WV
1B Bagwell ‘00-01 NO
E Martinez ‘01-02 NO
2B Alfonzo ‘01-02 CN
Kent ‘01-02 FW
3B M Williams ‘94-95 MF
Fryman ‘01-02 FW
SS A Rodriguez ‘01-02 CN
Ripken ‘92-93 BC
LF Sheffield ‘01-02 FW
Belle ‘94-95 MF
CF Dykstra ‘94-95 WV
Griffey ‘01-02 FW
RF Ramirez ‘00-01 NO
L Walker ‘98-99 MW
P Clemens ‘99-00 ND
G White ‘01-02 CN
P Martinez ‘01-02 FW
Maddux ‘01-02 FW
R Johnson ‘95-96 ND
Rijo ‘94-95 MF
Wagner ‘00-01 NO
Wetteland ‘98-99 ND
Park ‘01-02 CN
Hentgen ‘98-99 MW
McMichael ‘94-95 WV
Hudson ‘01-02 CN
Run no. 3
For the last run, I decided to take each team’s best players from the last 5 years to form 9 "Superteams." Each team features the best players from the ‘97-98 season through the just completed ‘01-02 season (representing the 1996-2000 cards). No duplicate players were allowed, not just on one team, but in the entire league. I let the computer decide which team was able to use the best player. For example, Kevin Brown could have played for 3 franchises – Matt, Clint or Harold. The computer decided that the 1996 Kevin Brown (‘97-98 Manila Folders) was the best. A list of all the other players who could have played for 2 or 3 teams in this league, but did not:
Cirllio, ND 1996 card over BC 2000 and MF 1998 cards
Glavine, Gawd B 1998 card chosen over the NO 1997 and MW 1996 cards
Mussina, BiG DiG 1997 over MW 1999
Nen, 2000 NO over CN 1998
I Valdes, 1996 MW over CN 1997
M Vaughn, 1998 ND over MW 1996
M Williams, FW 1999 over MF 1997
Wendell, 1996 MW over GB 1998
Using each team’s ballpark from the ‘99-00 season, here are the final
standings:
W L Pct
GB
New Orleans 115 45 .719 -
Future Wax 95 65 .594 20
North Dakota 95 65 .594 20
Gawd B 88 72 .550
27
Constantinople 75 85 .469 40
BiG DiG 70 90 .438
45
Manila Folders 66 94 .413 49
Bay City 62 98 .388 53
Area 51 54 106 .338 61
Playoffs
Future Wax d. North Dakota 4 games
to 1
New Orleans d. Gawd B 4 games to 2
World Series
New Orleans d. Future Wax 4 games to 2
I think what this shows, unequivocally, is that Harold has had the most depth, by far, of any team in the league over the past 5 years. Or at least more of his players had great years between 1996 and 2000 than any other team. The funny thing is, only 4 of Harold’s 25-man roster were from his champion team of 2000-2001 (1999 cards). The breakdown:
1996: Grissom, Hundley, Percival, Rivera
1997: Al. Benes, Biggio, Erickson, D. Jones, Schilling, Spiers
1998: Alou, Harnisch, Leiter, C Wilson
1999: Bagwell, R Cedeno, Vizquel, Wagner
2000: Glaus, Hidalgo, Jenkins, E. Martinez, Nen, Posada, Ramirez
|
Average |
Wins |
|
Piazza FW .342 |
Schilling NO 25-7 |
|
E. Martinez NO .322 |
Clemens ND 22-9 |
|
Ramirez NO .310 |
|
|
Caminiti BD .308 |
|
|
Bonds FW .308 |
|
|
Home Runs |
ERA |
|
McGwire MF 77 |
Millwood GB 3.58 |
|
Bonds FW 67 |
Clemens ND 4.25 |
|
Bagwell NO 61 |
Fassero GB 4.32 |
|
Sosa BC 57 |
P Martinez FW 4.43 |
|
Glavine GB 4.52 |
|
|
RBIs |
Saves |
|
Bonds FW 168 |
Hoffman ND 42 |
|
McGwire MF 154 |
Foulke GB 37 |
|
Hidalgo NO 149 |
Wagner NO 36 |
|
Glaus NO 147 |
Williamson FW 31 |
|
Castilla FW 141 |
Gordon BC 23 |
|
MVP |
Cy Young |
|
Bonds FW 663 |
Schilling NO 770 |
|
McGwire MF 638 |
Foulke GB 667 |
|
Bagwell NO 613 |
Clemens ND 666 |
|
Burks CN 585 |
Wagner NO 657 |
|
A. Rodriguez CN 567 |
P Martinez FW 626 |
First team All-stars Second team All-stars
C Piazza FW
I Rodriguez BC
1B McGwire MF
Bagwell NO
2B Biggio NO
R Alomar ND
3B Glaus NO
Castilla FW
SS A Rodriguez CN
Larkin ND
LF Bonds FW
Burks CN
CF Hidalgo NO
Edmonds MF
RF Sosa BC
Sheffield FW
P Clemens ND
Hoffman ND
P Martinez FW
R Johnson ND
Foulke GB
Smoltz BD
Wagner NO
D Jones NO
Schilling NO
Williamson FW
Rivera NO
Millwood GB
Tom expressed an interest in having the historical record of all of the cut lists on record (which circulate as one big stack on draft day, and go back to 1989) and have them posted on the website. So this is really more of a historical data dump than a true study, although certain interesting facts can be gleaned. For example, who has been cut the most times? This is clearly an inexact science as some people literally put on their cut list – "Smith" or "Jones" or "Wilson, etc – and I refuse to go back and try and figure out who such person is (even if that would be theoretically possible.). As best I can tell no one has been cut four times. The following players have been cut thrice: Rick Aguilera, Stan Belinda, Mark Eichhorn, Joe Girardi, Lonnie Smith, Dick Schofield, Todd Stottlemyre, and Dave Valle. This also answers the question of who has been drafted the most times (except for any three-timers who are still in the league, like Jeromy Burnitz). But like death and taxes, inevitably, all players, even Cal Ripken himself, end up on the cut list [unless of course they are contracted out of existence]).
|
Cut list 3/30/02 |
||||||||
|
North Dakota |
New Orleans |
TTFKA Bay City |
Gawd B |
Manila Folders |
Future Wax |
Area 51 |
Constantinople |
|
|
Saberhagen |
Alan Benes |
Cal Ripken Jr |
Lansing |
Fasano |
Palmer |
Brocail |
Baldwin |
|
|
Fletcher |
Harnisch |
Sadler |
D. Cruz |
Beck |
Wohlers |
Swindell |
Rupe |
|
|
Rick White |
T. Jones |
Frye |
Payton |
Colbrunn |
Hocking |
Greer |
Thurman |
|
|
Bergeron |
Trachsel |
McElroy |
G. Vaughn |
Richard |
Johnstone |
Veras |
Timlin |
|
|
Hatteberg |
Wunsch |
E. Wilson |
Flaherty |
R. Ordonez |
Galarraga |
Huff |
Veres |
|
|
Lima |
Hairston |
Reames |
Nitkowski |
Bichette |
K. Rogers |
Randa |
G. White |
|
|
Grebeck |
S. Alomar |
Elarton |
Hampton |
Mahomes |
M. Williams |
Wendell |
Batista |
|
|
Hill |
Burkhart |
Stairs |
Fetters |
D'Amico |
Embree |
Wall |
DeShields |
|
|
Sheldon |
A. Boone |
Buford |
Cook |
Ledee |
K. Walker |
Eaton |
C. Guillen |
|
|
C. Smith |
Grace |
Dreifort |
JT Snow |
Oliveras |
Tavarez |
A. Gonzalez |
Stynes |
|
|
Shaw |
Speirs |
A. Brown |
Belle |
Mulholland |
Abbott |
Anderson |
||
|
Barrett |
D. Lewis |
A Fernandez |
Bernero |
Graffanino |
Piatt |
Vander Wal |
||
|
Rosado |
R. Rivera |
Aybar |
J. Wright |
Bell |
Rusch |
Clement |
||
|
Silva |
Mi. Williams |
Howry |
||||||
|
Truby |
||||||||
|
Cut list 4/1/01 |
||||||||
|
North Dakota |
New Orleans |
TTFKA Bay City |
Dewey Dells |
Manila Folders |
Future Wax |
Area 51 |
Jed & Clint |
Constantinople |
|
Nagy |
T. Fernandez |
M Maddux |
Ju. Guzman |
Carlyle |
Moyer |
Blake |
Halladay |
Dunwoody |
|
S. Reed |
Widger |
Q McCracken |
John Valentin |
C Castillo |
Simas |
McGlinchy |
R. Henderson |
Brosius |
|
Wetteland |
Mayne |
W Veras |
Ed. Perez |
M Jackson |
Delucci |
Canseco |
Gooden |
BJ Jones |
|
C. Hernandez |
FPS |
B Anderson |
Grimsley |
R Brogna |
Chouinard |
Hentgen |
Offerman |
R Martinez |
|
Lampkin |
Grissom |
F Cordova |
Curtis |
Ram Ortz |
Wakefield |
Wilson |
H. Rodriguez |
Alvarez |
|
A. Nunez |
Grace |
W Gonzalez |
Spradlin |
Weiss |
Castillo |
Morris |
Gwynn |
Huskey |
|
Sanchez |
Irabu |
O Cabrera |
Stottlemyre |
Knoblauch |
Munoz |
Stanley |
Jaha |
Karros |
|
Benard |
Pote |
T Martinez |
Aguilera |
Mabry |
Thompson |
J Guillen |
K. Garcia |
Trammel |
|
O'Neill |
Erickson |
K Escobar |
E. Davis |
Navarro |
Lloyd |
Sauerbeck |
Nilsson |
Hermanson |
|
Sefcik |
Acevedo |
H Baines |
S Andrews |
Rincon |
Buhner |
Seanez |
Neagle |
|
|
Cone |
Tapani |
|||||||
|
Cut list 4/2/00 |
||||||||
|
North Dakota |
New Orleans |
TTFKA Bay City |
Clavius |
Manila Folders |
Future Wax |
Metrowest |
Shithead |
Constantinople |
|
J Reed |
Olson |
B McRae |
Cather |
X Hernandez |
Taylor |
Greene |
Service |
Darensbourg |
|
Leyritz |
Girardi |
Osborne |
Jo Valentin |
Hoiles |
Ogea |
Tucker |
Jeffries |
C Perez |
|
Segui |
Mar Anderson |
Hayes |
Orosco |
Molitor |
Plesac |
Assenmacher |
B Smith |
Joyner |
|
Candiotti |
Davis |
Berry |
Portugal |
Nunnally |
Montgomery |
Cloude |
A Hinch |
C Davis |
|
Estes |
Bradford |
Pulsipher |
Bere |
Tabaka |
Gunderson |
M Clark |
M Caruso |
O Nixon |
|
Plunk |
Wilson |
Morandini |
Brantley |
D White |
Belinda |
Bergman |
A Gonzalez |
T Greene |
|
S Spencer |
Goodwin |
R Winn |
W Guerrero |
R Becker |
Bottalico |
R Myers |
B Higginson |
Radinsky |
|
Loiselle |
Lewis |
Mesa |
McMichael |
Relaford |
Ledesma |
Paul Wilson |
D Bell |
Osuna |
|
D Fletcher |
Corsi |
Gant |
TJ Mathews |
Lee |
Fontenot |
Moehler |
Guillen |
|
|
Wells |
J Carter |
Crabtree |
Stanton |
Rojas |
B Bohanan |
|||
|
Hamilton |
||||||||
|
Cut list 4/3/99 |
||||||||
|
North Dakota |
New Orleans |
Bay City |
Kakania |
Manila Folders |
Future Wax |
Metrowest |
Bunghole Quahogs |
CN |
|
Dickson |
Baerga |
Merced |
Eldred |
T Evans |
B Hunter |
Naehring |
Wilkins |
Hollandsworth |
|
Magnante |
T Ward |
Embree |
K Hill |
Lira |
D Nilsson |
Holtz |
Cordova |
Zeille |
|
Sojo |
Ochoa |
Tewksbury |
James |
M Wilkins |
Hershiser |
McDowell |
Grudzielanek |
L Johnson |
|
Conine |
Kev Mitchell |
Surhoff |
McDonald |
Wasdin |
Ayala |
Haynes |
Jaha |
Taubensee |
|
Gilkey |
FP Santangelo |
Drabek |
MacFarlane |
B Roberts |
Danny Patterson |
Steinbach |
Berroa |
O'Leary |
|
R Jefferson |
Orie |
Al Martin |
Fielder |
Mouton |
Mike Grace |
Blauser |
Hollins |
F Rodriguez |
|
Da Martinez |
Baldwin |
Vizcaino |
Sprague |
Stocker |
Bochtler |
Key |
Carrasco |
Valdes |
|
D'Amico |
Hanson |
Bonilla |
Stahoviak |
Sheets |
Holt |
Newfield |
Avery |
J Gonzalez |
|
McGriff |
Langston |
Jamey Wright |
Fassero |
Thompson |
K Ryan |
Clark |
Sanders |
Astacio |
|
D Jones |
Burkett |
Bautista |
Stephenson |
Holmes |
Florie |
|||
|
Spoljaric |
Worrell |
|||||||
|
Cut list 3/29/98 |
||||||||
|
North Dakota |
New Orleans |
Bay City |
Lagavulan 16 |
Manila Folders |
Future Wax |
Metrowest |
Bunghole Q |
Constantinople |
|
Belcher |
J Ruffin |
S Fernandez |
Bullinger |
Borbon |
Valle |
Cormier |
Hitchcock |
Acre |
|
Casian |
King |
Borland |
Sandberg |
Deer |
Cordero |
Slaught |
Hudek |
C Perez |
|
Fossas |
Howard |
Tarasco |
Pavlik |
Maddux |
Espinoza |
McLemore |
Slocumb |
Prieto |
|
Schourek |
C Garcia |
M Nieves |
T Worrell |
McCaskill |
Elster |
Wendell |
Wade |
Van Landingham |
|
Osik |
Bielecki |
B Butler |
F Castillo |
Sparks |
D. Martinez |
Ju Franco |
Watson |
Girardi |
|
Gil |
Smiley |
P Kelly |
J Walton |
Listach |
Wolcott |
Tettleton |
Leyritz |
Pagnozzi |
|
G Hill |
Petkovsek |
B Ruffin |
Lemke |
Karsay |
M Guthrie |
Everett |
Paquette |
Mieske |
|
R Cedeno |
Eisenreich |
R Pemberton |
Tartabull |
Stottlemyre |
Boggs |
Charlton |
Phillips |
Whiten |
|
Naehring |
Seitzer |
J Bluma |
Roberson |
Karcovice |
Eckersley |
Rogers |
Discarcina |
Foster |
|
T Goodwin |
B Brown |
Coppinger |
Bordick |
Sanders |
||||
|
Rapp |
D Young |
|||||||
|
Cut list 3/29/97 |
||||||||
|
North Dakota |
New Orleans |
Bay City |
Finn's People |
Manila Folders |
Future Wax |
Metrowest |
Bunghole Q |
Constantinople |
|
Cummings |
E Anthony |
Henke |
Russell |
DeLeon |
Whitaker |
Oliva |
Perry |
P Munoz |
|
Leiper |
Ontiveros |
Ry Thompson |
Leskanic |
B MacDonald |
Puckett |
Lewis |
Javier |
G Pena |
|
Whiteside |
Pena |
Eichhorn |
Hamelin |
Me Perez |
Pirkl |
Pendleton |
Veres |
Reboulet |
|
L Gomez |
Henry |
Eischen |
Dykstra |
Rijo |
B Henry |
Greenwell |
Eusebio |
Hansen |
|
Sierra |
A Cedeno |
P Wagner |
Parent |
Swift |
D Johns |
Aguilera |
Henneman |
Gates |
|
G Williams |
Gagne |
Grebeck |
Bones |
Mattingly |
Mercker |
Alfonzo |
Lewis |
Belinda |
|
Hayes |
Cangelosi |
E Williams |
BR Hunter |
Plantier |
Carreon |
Blauser |
Murray |
M Perez |
|
Daulton |
Gonzalez |
Hosey |
Sabo |
Abbott |
Reuter |
Williams |
Carr |
Van Poppel |
|
Raines |
J Bates |
Manto |
Gaetti |
Haney |
Risley |
Bere |
||
|
T Scott |
Jacome |
Andujar |
Meacham |
Blowers |
B Munoz |
|||
|
Cut list 3/30/96 |
||||||||
|
North Dakota |
New Orleans |
Bay City |
White Visitation |
Manila Folders |
Future Wax |
Metrowest |
Freon Smugglers |
CN |
|
Kreuter |
Freeman |
M Munoz |
Tom Greene |
Burnitz |
B Harvey |
A Young |
Arocha |
Whitmore |
|
Kruk |
Howe |
PA Martinez |
R. Gutierrez |
Gomez |
Hesketh |
Ro Kelly |
D Jackson |
Cooper |
|
Stankiewicz |
Cox |
J Felix |
Trammell |
J Hernandez |
C Howard |
Easley |
McElroy |
Neal |
|
Bass |
Fermin |
S Mack |
Aquino |
Nunez |
Manzanilla |
Leius |
Nied |
Brumfield |
|
Huff |
Lieber |
J Voight |
Dawson |
Redus |
Stanton |
Barberie |
Reynoso |
Dar Jackson |
|
Van Slyke |
Torres |
W Chamberlain |
K Mitchell |
Whiten |
Ward |
Wallach |
Manwaring |
E Perez |
|
Dunston |
Cooke |
Ro Thompson |
Hrbek |
Nokes |
Becker |
Heredia |
Bo Jackson |
JR Phillips |
|
Jean |
R Mejia |
Trlicek |
O Smith |
Lind |
Quantrill |
Tewksbury |
Scanlon |
|
|
F Jose |
J Frye |
Polonia |
T Fernandez |
Dreifort |
Kingery |
Mulholland |
||
|
Mills |
R Gonzales |
Stinnett |
Morris |
Eldred |
Hamilton |
Miramda |
||
|
MacFarlane |
Darling |
L Smith |
Bautista |
|||||
|
Billy Taylor |
||||||||
|
Cut list 4/1/95 |
||||||||
|
North Dakota |
New Orleans |
Bay City |
White Visitation |
Manila Folders |
Future Wax |
Mirkwood |
Haiti |
Constantinople |
|
Honeycutt |
Bottenfield |
Thigpen |
Winfield |
Kilgus |
Gallego |
Gutterman |
Charlton |
Hibbard |
|
Innis |
Trombley |
Rogers |
Pagliarulo |
Wertz |
E Davis |
Levis |
Wilson |
Williams |
|
Fleming |
Guthrie |
Jose Guzman |
Poole |
Lee |
Strawberry |
Arias |
Henneman |
McDowell |
|
P Clark |
D Stewart |
B Barnes |
Fletcher |
Rivera |
T Rhodes |
E Murray |
Farr |
Gott |
|
Lo Smith |
Shaw |
M Turner |
Snyder |
Boston |
Bedrosian |
LaValliere |
Carreon |
Deveroux |
|
May |
M Lewis |
Joe Oliver |
Bankhead |
Coleman |
Dibble |
Hulse |
P Smith |
Carpenter |
|
C Hernandez |
Lloyd |
Lilliquist |
Cuyler |
Incaviglia |
Amaral |
Belcher |
Howell |
Buechele |
|
J Abbott |
Lansing |
Greg A Harris |
Frohwirth |
Valle |
Offerman |
Darwin |
H Johnson |
Orsulak |
|
M Maddux |
Milt Thompon |
Nabholz |
Witt |
Anderson |
Monteleone |
|||
|
Militello |
Morgan |
Belinda |
R Jordan |
Milligan |
||||
|
Reuter |
Treadway |
|||||||
|
Bosio |
||||||||
|
Cut list 4/2/94 |
||||||||
|
North Dakota |
New Orleans |
Bay City |
Hollowmen |
Manila Folders |
Future Wax |
Hatchbacks |
Adirondack |
CN |
|
Brunansky |
Leach |
Greg W Harris |
Owen |
Elster |
Rasmussen |
Righetti |
Deer |
Mercedes |
|
Downs |
Harkey |
Jim Austin |
Seitzer |
Hurst |
Tackett |
T Burns |
Franco |
Ashby |
|
Welch |
Howe |
Gruber |
D Murphy |
Milaki |
Nokes |
Whitehurst |
Reynolds |
Stevens |
|
Calderon |
Eichhorn |
Greg Olson |
Sax |
Randolph |
Radinsky |
Neagle |
Reimer |
Blankenship |
|
M Gardner |
Morris |
Glenn Davis |
Fermin |
Wedge |
Willis |
K Miller |
Borders |
Sharperson |
|
G Bell |
Schofield |
Candelaria |
Pena |
Ryan |
Stottlemyre |
G Brett |
Mayne |
Maldonado |
|
McReynolds |
Pugh |
Chito Martinez |
Quintana |
Dave Hernandez |
Jefferson |
Bruett |
Nagy |
Henry |
|
R Rodriguez |
Olin |
Brantley |
Viola |
Harper |
Wedman |
Hickerson |
||
|
Oquendo |
Downing |
Pasqua |
Wakefield |
Cole |
Z Smith |
|||
|
Tomlin |
Cotto |
Melendez |
Morris |
Freeman |
||||
|
J Reed |
Olivares |
Magadan |
Gross |
Castillo |
||||
|
Cut list 4/3/93 |
||||||||
|
North Dakota |
Ross's Raiders |
Bay City |
Franz Josef Land |
Manila Folders |
Future Wax |
Hatchbacks |
Adirondack |
Constantinople |
|
Johnston |
Grey |
Bass |
Lefferts |
Ackerfelds |
Doran |
Holman |
Horn |
King |
|
Walton |
Spiers |
Stillwell |
Barry Jones |
Armstrong |
Barfield |
Kiecker |
Scioscia |
O'Brien |
|
P Guerrero |
Schooler |
B Black |
T Crews |
Berenguer |
Bailes |
R Sanford |
Browning |
Smith |
|
Gallego |
Valle |
Flanagan |
G Nelson |
Dressendorfer |
Cerone |
Meulens |
DeLeon |
Pall |
|
Osuna |
McGee |
Daniels |
T Burke |
Fraser |
Habyan |
Machado |
Delucia |
Ritchie |
|
M Moore |
Chameino |
Jacoby |
Hayes |
Reardon |
Scudder |
Decker |
Aquino |
Ojeda |
|
Stieb |
D Jackson |
Ruskin |
Lansford |
Sanderson |
Hanson |
Boddicker |
Incaviglia |
Rose |
|
Wallach |
Buechelle |
A Pena |
Gaetti |
T Wilson |
Gubicza |
Gibson |
J Clark |
Pecota |
|
Darling |
Wells |
Briley |
Yount |
Berryhill |
M Davis |
DeJesus |
Fisk |
|
|
Villanueva |
Landrum |
L Harris |
Eisenreich |
|||||
|
Belliard |
||||||||
|
Samuel |
||||||||
|
Cut list 4/4/92 |
||||||||
|
North Dakota |
Ross's Raiders |
Bay City |
Franz Josef Land |
Manila Folders |
Future Wax |
Hatchbacks |
Adirondack |
|
|
Crim |
McGafffigan |
Tudor |
Girardi |
Agosto |
J Browne |
Burns |
Brunansky |
|
|
Honeycutt |
Geren |
Parrish |
Tracy Jones |
D Parker |
Gleaton |
Dayley |
Darwin |
|
|
Da Smith |
Brooks |
B Ripken |
Dave Anderson |
Duncan |
Hartley |
Magrane |
Higuera |
|
|
Sw Smith |
Worthington |
Santovenia |
Marzano |
Heath |
Plesac |
Mansigle |
Bo Jackson |
|
|
Webster |
Yelding |
Kipper |
Bolton |
G Wilson |
Garrelts |
Lemon |
Lo Smith |
|
|
Whitson |
Javier |
C James |
Leary |
Leonard |
Leiter |
Mulliniks |
R Harris |
|
|
Schofield |
Kittle |
Fitzgerald |
Rob Murphy |
Farrell |
McCullers |
Moseby |
Scott |
|
|
A Davis |
G Young |
OC Boyd |
Deshaies |
Neidlinger |
LaCoss |
|||
|
Thon |
Gallaraga |
|||||||
|
Cut list 3/30/91 |
||||||||
|
North Dakota |
Ross's Raiders |
Bay City |
"Team name unkown (Eric)" |
Manila Folders |
Future Wax |
Hatchbacks |
South Dakota |
|
|
August |
Marshall |
J Nieves |
Uribe |
Dw Evans |
Ken Howell |
Stanley |
Worrell |
|
|
Cadaret |
Bautista |
L Medina |
Templeton |
Hawkins |
Pascual Perez |
J Davis |
M Williams |
|
|
Plunk |
Valenzuela |
Randolph |
Jeltz |
Cary |
Joyner |
Esasky |
Lynn |
|
|
S Fletcher |
Boone |
S. Davis |
Sutcliffe |
Herr |
Jack Howell |
Meyer |
M Wilson |
|
|
Whitt |
Liriano |
Jeff Robinson |
Holton |
Liebrandt |
O McDowell |
A Anderson |
Blyleven |
|
|
K Phelps |
Griffin |
Orosco |
Barrett |
McLemore |
Reuschel |
Bedrosian |
Ready |
|
|
McClendon |
Sheets |
Lilliquist |
Hernandez |
Wynne |
Jordan |
M Moore |
C Davis |
|
|
Lancaster |
Worthington |
SL Salazar |
C Washington |
Hudler |
McClure |
Hammaker |
Hough |
|
|
C Young |
Benzinger |
Komminsk |
A Thomas |
Oberkfell |
Morgan |
G Carter |
Heaton |
|
|
Pettis |
Dotson |
Show |
C Martinez |
|||||
|
Espinoza |
||||||||
|
Cut list 4/8/90 |
||||||||
|
North Dakota |
LH's |
Bay City |
Yoknapatawpha |
Manila Folders |
Future Wax |
Dave & Clint |
Plymouth |
|
|
P Perry |
Allenson |
B Fisher |
Dernier |
Durham |
Dempsey |
Campusano |
Jones |
|
|
Cox |
Guante |
R Horton |
Gossage |
Guidry |
B Stanley |
Meacham |
Guzman |
|
|
McMurtry |
Maldonado |
Rice |
Rhoden |
Musselman |
Rasmussen |
Sellers |
Mirabella |
|
|
D Robinson |
Terrell |
M Brantley |
Quinones |
Palmer |
K Gross |
Rick Leach |
Walk |
|
|
Shelby |
Wegman |
Carm Martinez |
Ashby |
L Parrish |
Gedman |
Flanagan |
Puhl |
|
|
Coles |
Youmans |
G Walker |
Kilgus |
Upshaw |
M Witt |
Dunne |
Aldrete |
|
|
LaPoint |
B Ripken |
D Schmidt |
Schiraldi |
Hudson |
Braggs |
J Clancy |
J Robinson |
|
|
Schofield |
F Williams |
Paredes |
Diaz |
E King |
R Robinson |
Ray |
||
|
Sveum |
Leiper |
Beniquez |
B Bell |
Minton |
Mohorcic |
Harris |
||
|
Cangelosi |
W Gardner |
B Hatcher |
M Schmidt |
Carman |
J Morris |
|||
|
Krukow |
||||||||
|
Cut list 3/31/89 |
||||||||
|
North Dakota |
Learned Hands |
Bay City |
Yoknapatawpha |
Manila Folders |
Future Wax |
Hatchbacks |
Madagascar |
|
|
E Nunez |
Eichhorn |
Dravecky |
Correa |
Quissenberry |
Soto |
Cruz |
Tekulve |
|
|
Tanana |
Ruffin |
McCaskill |
Garber |
Dixon |
Williamson |
Ward |
Tabler |
|
|
Rawley |
Virgil |
Owen |
Wyneger |
Shirley |
Presley |
Buckner |
G Wilson |
|
|
Niedenfuer |
Dw. Murphy |
Kingery |
A Hall |
Sanderson |
Aguayo |
Forsch |
Ontiveros |
|
|
Schroeder |
Pedrique |
M Davis |
DeCinces |
Gullickson |
J Davis |
Andujar |
Dipino |
|
|
F White |
Morrison |
C Brown |
Da Evans |
Harper |
Wilkinson |
Sutton |
Swift |
|
|
Brock |
Bernazard |
Blyleven |
McRae |
Aguilera |
Dawley |
Buice |
||
|
Teufel |
Parker |
Fielder |
Hulett |
Lopez |
Petry |
|||
|
Moreland |
G Mathews |
Clear |
Wilson |
Mitchell |
Power |
|||
|
Foley |
Roenicke |
Lo Smith |
||||||
|
Cooper |
||||||||
|
Madlock |
||||||||
|
Duncan |
||||||||
|
Burleson |
This summer, I decided to look at each team in the SOMBILLA and determine how its GM acquired its players. Players can wind up on your team in two ways - via the draft or by trade. But drafted players can be looked at in two ways as well - the rookies, or SOMBILLA first timers, who came up from your farm system - and the free agents, those guys who have been in the SOMBILLA before, but who were cut by someone. An older one year wonder who has never been in the league is not considered a free agent for purposes here. The reason is that you discovered him and no one else - hence he counts towards your farm system totals.
Here are the results:
| Team | Farm system (i.e. draft) | Trade | Free agency | Home grown percentage |
| New Orleans | 40 | 4 | 2 | 87.0% |
| North Dakota | 39 | 3 | 3 | 86.7% |
| Constantinople | 38 | 4 | 3 | 84% |
| Other 99 | 36 | 5 | 3 | 82% |
| Area 51 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 82% |
| Manila Folders | 37 | 4 | 4 | 82% |
| TTFKA Bay City | 36 | 3 | 6 | 80% |
| The Dewey Dells | 36 | 5 | 4 | 80% |
| Future Wax | 35 | 5 | 5 | 78% |
| TOTAL | 334 | 39 (10%) | 32 (8%) | 82% |
Surprisingly, there is not a lot of variation, although some observations can still be made. 82% of the league's players are still with the team that originally drafted them. In fact, a close look shows there is no secret to success, as last year's World Series participants, New Orleans and Future Wax are at opposite ends of the spectrum in terms of home-grown talent. This would seem to make sense - there are many paths to success, but drafting well and trading well in any combination, will get you there.
Years ago, long-since departed league member Durga lamented that the SOMBILLA hates to trade. Given that only 10% of the league's 405 players have been traded, I'd say that's still the case. No one team appears to be any more trade happy than any other.
As far as free agency goes, one of the arguments used by the league's vote (I want to say 'faction', but 7-2 was the vote) to increase the draft to 12 rounds was that, you'll need to cut more players in order to be able to draft the full 12 rounds. This will increase the pool of future potential recycled free agents. This year 16 of the 90 picks, or 18%, were actually recycled free agents, one more than last year. It will be interesting to see if this percentage goes up in future years.
RACIAL PROFILING IN THE SOMBILLA (7/01)
Always at the cutting edge of controversy, this summer, the SOMBILLA spotlight team, sponsored by the International Committee for Karma, Yada, yada, yada; the Politically Correct Oversight Order (ICKYPOO), revisits a familiar subject.
Team White Latino African-American Asian '01 White% 97 White%
Eric 30
5
9
1
67% 64%
RAT 29
9
6
1
64% 64%
Matt 27
11
5
2
60% 69%
Arnie 27
11
7
0
60% 60%
J&C 26
11
6
1
59% 67%
Harold 26
16
3
1
57% 60%
Jeff 24
14
7
0
53% 64%
Tom 24
11
9
1
53% 42%
Robin 22
12
10
1
49% 47%
W L AA A
TOTAL 2001 58% 25% 15% 2%
TOTAL 1997 60% 20% 20%
TOTAL 1994 57% 19% 24%
TOTAL 1991 66% 13% 22%
The numbers were compiled with Robin's assistance (who of course not only knows what all our players look like but also knows who has nice buns and who wears gold chains, etc). There were only about 10 players whom she was not familiar with, so we found pictures on the Internet for them.
As you can see, the league has made great progress in its integration efforts over the past four years, as only 3 of the 9 teams are whiter than they were four years ago. The league does have more Latino ballplayers than ever before - fully 1/4 of the league, although they appear to have replaced more African-Americans than white ballplayers. The black population in the league is at its lowest point ever. I am not certain of the causes of this, whether due to racism in real baseball, expansion, worse quality of African-American players in real baseball (I have read that basketball and football are now the sports of choice for many urban youths), or a less 'enlightened' league. And , we of course now have a new category, as the SOMBILLA features 8 Asian players.
Eric, who back in 1991 in the inaugural study owned a team that was 80% white, has regained his title as 'Red Sox of the SOMBILLA', with the whitest team in the league. Bucking the Latino trend, Eric employs a mere 5 players of Latino origin, and has banned all Salsa music in the clubhouse. 'Southern Man' Harold has only 3 African-Americans on his team, replacing them with a league-high 16 Hispanics.
Robin, always employing among the most minorities on her club, earns the most politically correct team honors, including a league-high 10 African-Americans. Matt, the league's most racist team 4 years ago, has made a few baby steps to see the light, as he employs one white, one black and one Latino catcher.
This is probably a reflection on MLB as a whole, but across the league, 73% of the pitchers are white (82% for Eric), but only 34% of the outfielders. Tom has the most politically correct infield - only 27% white, while Eric (who else) has the whitest infield at 64%.
One final interesting discovery was that New Orleans' Danny Graves is counted as Asian; his mother is Vietnamese and he was born in 'Nam.
This summer, I decided to analyze the SOMBILLA's final standings over the years. Not team-by-team, but as a league. Of course, as a whole, all teams taken together will finish at .500. But the number of teams that finish with winning percentages does not have to be the same as the number of teams with losing records. (For example, last season, only 3 teams finished over .500). If there were no extraneous influences, you would expect the league to experience a sort of bell-curve effect, with most of the teams bunched in the middle, around .500, with fewer good or bad teams (.600 or .400 winning percentage), and even fewer great or awful teams (.700 or .300). What are the SOMBILLA's trends and why?
You can divide the SOMBILLA into 3 eras. First, you have the 6-team, non-permanent league representing 5 seasons from 1979-1985. Then, you have the eight team permanent league, representing 7 seasons from 1985-1992. Finally, we have the current setup, a nine-team, permanent league that has been in effect from 1992-2000.
For this final era, however, we had an expansion team, Land's Constantinople. This was a true expansion team, with no stars amidst a league of 8 all-star teams. Constantinople finished 8th , 9 th and 9th in its first 3 years, before surprising the league by making the playoffs and finishing 4th in its 4 th year. Although many teams other than Land have had bad teams 3 years in a row, expansion is an obvious reason for these years, and I decided it could taint the study, the purpose of which was to search for other effects on final standings. Therefore, the third era in this study, excludes those 3 expansion years, and instead includes the past five seasons - 1995-2000.
In these graphs, winning percentage is
on the y-axis (bottom) and the number of SOMBILLA teams during the
graph era with those winning percentages is on the x-axis (left).
In the years 1979-1985, while the peak number of teams is around .500, more teams are actually clustered to the right of .500 then to the left. In fact, the second highest peak (5 teams) is for the winning percentage range of .560-599.
Back in those days, while a few managers came up with some really bad teams, it was generally easy to end up with a good competitive team, because each SOMBILLA team got to draft 4 major league teams and combine them into one all-star team. Talent was able to be pretty well dispersed in a league like this. Managing deficiencies and bad luck became more pronounced than talent. With this type of year to year league, even Joel could end up in first place (1983-1984) and T&A as they were then known, could easily come up with a stinker year (1984-1985).
As
the league entered the permanent years, the successful teams were able
to stay that way by being able to retain
their good players from year to year, In the new era, success was not
as easy as it was when we drafted team-by-team each season, With a
permanent
league, you had to keep 80% of your team from year to year. So scouting
and drafting became as important as trading. You couldn't be guaranteed
to have a competitive team just by being able to draft 4 teams and
combining
them like the old days.
While, as expected, many teams are clustered around the .500 mark, there's a solid community of teams that also finished between .440 and .480. Losing teams outnumber the winning ones. Here is where we can see the effect of the first 10 permanent league championships being split between T&A and Eric.
In
the current era, we see that the league has 'normalized' (although the
study must be flawed because I don't see
how we can call ourselves 'normal'). The league has reached maturity
and we have a sort of stability - most teams end up in the middle, with
a much smaller number of teams above .520 or below .480. This sort of
'predictive' balance manifests itself in a bell curve-like distribution.
This is interesting in light of the recent success of RAT, New Orleans and North Dakota and playoff droughts by other teams.
I think, however, in the new century, the SOMBILLA may be entering an unprecedented era of parity. The upcoming season, based on the 1999 cards, promises to be one of the most competitive on record. And a quick glance at this year's' All-Star count shows that parity (with the notable exception of one team) could certainly challenge this bell-curve.
While I do think that conclusions can be drawn, and
have attempted to do so above, I encourage others of you who have
actually experienced managing teams that make up the statistical data
in this study to think about other theories behind this data to draw
your own conclusions about what it all means. And stop looking at me
that way.
Which team is trying to buy a championship a la the Yankees? Who are the small market teams operating on a shoestring? Who are the big spenders and cheapskate owners? Should the SOMBILLA institute a salary cap?
I let the computer choose each team's 25-man roster. The computer's not perfect in that regard, making a few surprising selections from amongst each team's 45-man roster, but I figure it got at least 20 of the 25 people correct for each team. And given that it's almost mid-August, that's good enough for me and this study without spending another week nitpicking each selection. Using the salary database available on the USA Today website, here are the results:
Five highest paid:
A. Pettitte 16,000,000
V. Guerrero 15,500,000
Smoltz 14,000,000
Teixeira 12,500,000
Lowell 12,500,000
Five highest paid:
A. Rodriguez 28,000,000
B. Abreau 16,000,000
T. Hudson 15,500,000
A. Jones 14,726,910
C. Lee 12,500,000
Five highest paid:
D. Jeter 21,600,000
C. Beltran 18,622,809
M. Buehrle 14,000,000
R. Oswalt 13,000,000
F. Thomas 12,560,000
Five highest paid:
J. Santana 16,984,216
C. Zambrano 16,000,000
J. Thome 15,666,666
B. Bonds 15,533,970
A. Ramirez 15,000,000
Five highest paid:
I. Suzuki 17,102,149
T. Hunter 16,500,000
D. Lee 13,250,000
J. Beckett 10,166,666
J. Dye 9,500,000
M. Holliday 9,500,000
Five highest paid:
M. Rivera 15,000,000
A. Soriano 14,000,000
J. Posada 13,100,000
A. Dunn 13,000,000
J. Garland 12,000,000
Five highest paid:
M. Ordonez 15,768,174
A. Pujols 13,870,949
D. Ortiz 13,000,000
T. Glaus 12,500,000
J. Kent 9,000,000
Five highest paid:
AJ Burnett 13,200,000
P. Konerko 12,000,000
D. Lowe 10,000,000
A. Rowand 9,600,000
C. Utley 7,785,784
Who's trying to buy the championship? Who thinks that you can
forget about scouting, managing, strategy, class, ethics, common
decency, and the paying fans by throwing more money in the faces of the
baseball players? In other words, who are the Yankees of the SOMBILLA?
Always at the cutting edge of controversy, this summer's SOMBILLA
spotlight team examines salaries around the league.
Like 4 years ago, I chose each team's 25-man roster, with the help of the SOMBILLA computer drafter. I'd say together we're about 90% accurate; that is, I probably averaged about 22 correct of the actual men who will make up each team's 25-man roster in the upcoming '00-01 season, good enough for this study. All 2000 salaries were taken from those published by the USAToday website.
1. Future Wax - $127,960,122
The Yankees of the SOMBILLA. Actually, they're probably more like the Orioles of the SOMBILLA, since the Yankees actually do win championships with all of their spending. Future Wax's average salary of $5,100, 000 is more than double the average salaries of the SOMBILLA's highest paid team 4 years ago (Eric). FW has the highest paid catching, infield and outfield in the SOMBILLA. Incredibly, despite the SOMBILLA being essentially a 9-team all-star league, Future Wax is the only team actually outspending the Yankees ($115M), which probably tells you more about the team with the largest payroll in the history of professional sports than it does about the SOMBILLA. Top 5 salaries (note that Griffey doesn't even make the list):
It's probably no coincidence that 2 of the most successful teams in the league are coughing up the most mullah. Team's catchers are paid an embarrassingly league-low average of only $604,000. Up from 5 th in the poll of 4 years ago as the players demanded to be paid "like Eric's team." Generous owner has ensured no holdouts by paying whatever it takes. 2nd highest paid pitching staff in the league. Salaries up from just $54 million 4 years ago. Top 5 salaries:
No one ever accused Robin of not being good to her players. Salaries are up from $58 million just 4 years ago, when she had the 4th highest payroll in the league. She probably would have the highest paid catchers if she had anyone else to pay besides Pudge. One or two big signings and she could easily be no. 2 (no one can catch the Yankees, er, I mean Future Wax).
Top 5 salaries:
4. Manila Folders - $ 91,913,789
After being the league's 3rd cheapest team 4 years ago, Matt has 'bought into' the concept of trying to win by paying well. Although he's trying to downplay his chances this year ("my team sucks"), he is still dipping into the vault to keep his stars fat, dumb and happy. I know Matt married into a little money, but I had no idea. Kevin Brown (see below) accounts for almost half of Matt's pitchers' salaries. This could affect morale in the bullpen. Top 5 salaries:
5. Metrowest - $84,797,889
Although Jeff believes his team has a "great shot" this year, his players, underpaid and underfed, may think otherwise. Actually, the team average salary of $3,392,000 is only $285,000 less than Matt's - chump change for these guys. Heck we all make that in gate receipts each Strat-O game. Although he's paying almost $25 million more in salaries as he did in '96, that still isn't enough to prevent him dropping from 2nd highest payroll (back when he shared the team with Dave) to 5th overall now that he no longer has Stats Inc.'s financial backing. Top 5 salaries:
6. Clavius - $ 83,860,363
It's no big secret why Eric's team has fallen from its championship highs of 4 seasons ago when he not so coincidentally had the league's highest payroll. He's had to trade some of his better players to finance his extravagant lifestyle and has paid for it on the field. He's hoping to field a better product this year, but seems unwilling to have to pay for it. Top 5 salaries:
8. Shithead - $ 76,934,570
Four years ago I wrote "They've been trying to analyze why their
team has the league's current longest playoff-less streak. Bad luck?
Bad drafting? Not enough home games against certain teams? Nah. These
guys are just cheap, plain and simple." It is just as valid today as
then. They're paying their pitching staff a shocking league-low of only
$19,800,000, almost half of it going to their highest paid player,
Smoltz. The rest of the staff will be eating canned dog food again this
year, averaging frighteningly low salaries of only $1,400,000. Top 5
salaries:
9. Constantinople - $ 65,079,999
Considering that the SOMBILLA is essentially an all-star
league of sorts, it's a disgrace that Tom & Land pay their players
less money than nine real major league teams (Yankees, Boston,
Baltimore,
Cleveland, Texas, Arizona, Atlanta, LA, Mets). Don't tell their players
that their puny average salary of $2,600,000 is still approximately
2500
times the average salary of Constantinople's citizens; they'll simply
say "oh yeah? Well, Future Wax's players make 5000 times as much." It
should be no surprise that they finished in 9th place last
year. Top 5 salaries:
The answer is four (and, not surprisingly, Eric is responsible for three of them):
Of course, this begets the obvious follow-up question, "What
is the breakdown of championships won by place?" The SOMBILLA has
completed 19 seasons. Of the 19, here is the breakdown:
1st place - 10 championships (53%)
2nd place - 3 championships (16%)
3rd place - 2 championships (10%)
4th place - 4 championships (21%)
The statistical conclusion I'd draw from this summary is that if you finish first, you have a 50-50 chance of winning the championship. The other 50% chance is split evenly among the other three playoff teams.
Eric's next question is "Has there ever been a champion with more than three lefties on his or her staff, in any combination of starting and relieving?".
Our statistical records go back to only Volume I of the SOMBILLA newsletter - '83-84. So, unless Tsuan can remember his first three championship teams, the research covers only the last 16 championship teams. Anyway, the answer is........Yes! The very first Future Wax championship team, in '86-87, had 4 lefties on its staff - Juan Agosto, Dave Righetti, Mark Davis, and Joe Hesketh - out of a total of 10 pitchers. Agosto, Righetti and Davis were all relievers, while Hesketh was the traditional lefty-to-be-yanked starter.
Of the other 15 championship teams, the majority (9) had 3 lefties on their staffs, including last year's North Dakota team. Five others had two lefties on their staffs, and 1, Yoknapatawpha in '88-89 had just one - Rob Murphy. That team had only 8 pitchers on its staff (Murphy, Burke, Hershiser, Eckersley, Reuschel, Sutcliffe, DeLeon and Clemens), which I believe makes it the only team in league history with only 8 pitchers.
To complete this championship study, Eric asks "Which players have won the most championships in the SOMBILLA. In other words, who is the Bill Russell of the SOMBILLA?"
I suspect he asks this question off of Roger Clemens's sterling World Series performance this year (3-0). Although final stats do not exist for the SOMBILLA's first three seasons, some partial stats do, enough to reconstruct some rosters, not enough to determine who the lefty pitchers were (see above) but enough for this question. Note that, if you lump in Tsuan's old Nazgul champions (including the Robin-Tsuan Bay City Nazgul champion of '82-83) with Tsuan's Future Wax teams, only 4 franchises have ever won the SOMBILLA Championship. These are Nazgul/Future Wax, Jed's Evil Bunnies and Shithead teams ('83-85), Eric's various teams in the 80's and 90's, and North Dakota.
Anyway, the answer is a three-way tie: Clemens, Daryl Strawberry and Orel Hershiser have all won 5 championships. All three won their championships with 2 different franchises. Also, all three players were drafted in the original 1985 permanent league draft, and all three are still active in MLB (although Clemens is the only one still in the SOMBILLA and Strawberry is only active on the streets of Tampa).
Strawberry won one championship with Jed's Evil Bunnies (the last pre-permanent league champion) in '84-85, and 4 with Future Wax ('86-87, '87-88 (remember the homer in the bottom of the 11th of game 7 off Eichorn?), '90-91, '91-92).
Hershiser won three with Eric (Marakesh Express '85-86, Yoknapatawpha '88-89, '89-90), and two with Future Wax ('93-94 and '97-98).
Clemens won three with Eric (Yoknapatawpha '88-89, '89-90, Franz Josef Land '92-93) and 2 with North Dakota ('95-96, '98-99).
Eight other players have won 4 SOMBILLA championships: Jesse Barfield, Tony Fernandez and Eric Davis (all with Future Wax), Dale Murphy (all with Eric), Dennis Eckersley, Cecil Fielder, and Rafael Palmeiro (Eric's teams and Future Wax), and Bill Doran (Jed's Evil Bunnies and Future Wax).
What? No Bonds? No Griffey? No Maddux? Nope. These guys have won
'only' 3 championships.
This summer, I decided to put the facts where my mouth is by researching the issue. I compiled a list of all players who played in the 1999 All-Star Game, as well as any player who received an MVP or Cy Young vote in the SOMBILLA over the last five years. Adding in these players included people like A. Belle, Bonds, and G. Maddux who didn’t make the All-Star Game, but have done well in the SOMBILLA. Also, since the point of drafting is not just to draft guys with good cards (or with the potential to produce good cards), but to also translate those good cards into good SOMBILLA performances, including these players ‘SOMBILLA-izes’ the study.
A total of 95 players met the criteria, arguably the best players in the SOMBILLA currently and over the past five years. Once this list was compiled, I then went through to determine what rounds these players were drafted in and compiled the totals. Two players on the list, Cal Ripken and Tony Gwynn, were actually drafted in the original 1985 permanent league (Cal third overall by Robin and Gwynn in the 5th round by Joel) and were excluded from the study, because I want to focus on the annual 10-round draft. Of the remaining 93 players, 5 were actually drafted twice – Jeremy Burnitz (3rd round by Matt in ’94 and 4th round by Jed & Clint in ’96), Al Leiter (6th round by T&A in ’89 and 1st round by Harold in ’96), Nagy (twice by Jed & Clint - 11th round in ’91 and 4th round in ’95 [after being cut in '94]); Offerman (3rd by T&A in ’91 and 4th by Land in ’97), and Mike Stanley (10th round by Dave in ’88 and 2nd round by Eric in ’94). I included both draftings in the study for a total of 98.
Here are the results:
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th7th8th9th10th11th
27 15 15 10 9
4 6 3 6
2 1
At a first glance, you might think that the results prove me wrong. Well, I must say the results are probably intuitive, but may not actually prove me wrong. In fact, just over a quarter of the best players get snagged in the first round. Here’s where you get the blue-chippers like Griffey, R. Alomar, Jeter, McGwire, Canseco, P. Martinez and Frank Thomas. But the flip side is that fully ¾ of the very best players in the league do not get taken in the first round!! I’d venture to guess that more than 25% of the league’s cumulative scouting time is spent on that first round, yet, as I noted in the e-mail, it’s the other rounds that contribute the most star players.
Rounds 2 & 3 are quite significant – in fact, more than half of the league’s best players are gone by the end of the 3rd round, which is probably not news to anyone. However, a lot of these guys get overlooked in the 1st round. Examples of these players are A. Belle, Barry Bonds (a .220 3rd rounder in ’87), Hoffman, G. Maddux (5.61 ERA 3rd rounder in ’88), Nen, Lima, Lankford, B. Williams, Piazza, Sosa (2nd rounder by Robin in ’90).
By round 4, the so-called blue-chippers are gone, but ½ of the players who will be the SOMBILLA’s best players remain. You can snag the like of Burnitz, I. Valdes, Lofton, S. Casey, Palmeiro, Thome, and SOMBILLA Cy-Young winner Drabek in rounds 4 & 5.
By round 7 when your opponents are filling up their roster with aging one-year wonders, people like Jay Bell, Juan Gonzalez, Barry Larkin, Larry Walker and Matt Williams are still out there. Aren’t these guys ‘blue-chippers’? Would a change to the draft lottery system help the less successful teams get players like this?
It doesn’t stop there: In the 8th round you can draft John Smoltz, Harold Baines, and John Jaha. And check out this litany of 9th round picks: Randy Johnson (81st player taken in the 1990 draft), Jeff Kent (77th overall in 1993), Mike Lieberthal (76th in 1998), Fred McGriff (69th overall in ’88 and alas, cut in '99), and Kevin Mitchell (67th in ’87).
And last but not least, Mariano Rivera, SOMBILLA Cy Young winner in 1997-1998, was taken 84th overall by Harold, in the 10th round with the 5th-to-last pick in the 1996 draft.
Sure we’d all like a crack at that first pick. But for every McGwire or Griffey, there’s a can’t miss Phil Plantier or Reuben Sierra (see the complete list of 1st picks overall in the archives). We were all salivating over JD Drew, but where is he now? Of course, he may still end up being a superstar, but there are no sure things. Remember, half of the league’s best players are still available after the 3rd round. Is there excessive focus on the first pick overall? The first round? Should you care about jockeying for draft lottery position? The facts are here. You be the judge.
Ten years ago, I introduced “The First Annual(?) SOMBILLA Cute Ratings." I guess it’s now the Decennial(?) SOMBILLA Cute Ratings. Last time, I considered myself “fairly generous” with my ratings, to arrive at a total of 26% cute players in the league, but I was much more generous this time around. I rated every player in the league (although a substantial number were judged by poor-quality pictures in the Stats book or online, and I cannot be held responsible for misjudging anyone [either way] on the basis of these pictures) (Ed note: Robin does not give herself enough credit for actually knowing what at least 80% of the league’s players look like.) I came up with 165 cute players out of 405, for a total of 40.7% cute. I guess, to be more accurate, this is really the Attractive or Cute Ratings, as a much smaller percentage than 40.7% are truly cute. (Ed note: must be some sort of female-speak.) I gave one extra point to teams with very cute players and deducted one point for extremely ugly players.
To no one’s surprise, once again I have the cutest team, with 25 cute players (16 in 1989), and this time Harold, with only 13, has the ugliest team. (Back in ’89, the Folders, ND, and Madagascar (Jed) tied for the least attractive team with 10 apiece.) Apparently, expansion has added a high proportion of cute players to the league. (Ed note: or perhaps as we age, ourstandards lessen a bit and we become less discerning. I’ll go sleep on the sofa now. )
1. The Team Formerly Known as Bay City (25) – This team still has a player cited for cuteness 10 years ago (Ripken) as well as the starting catcher on the All-Cute team (Pudge Rodriguez). I also have 2 of the 5 players rated as Best Looking Prospects a decade ago (Brady Anderson & Tom Gordon) and traded the 3rd, ages ago, to Jed & Clint (Chuck Finley). The other 2 (Ed Jurak & Jeff Kunkel) are no longer in MLB. Sammy and Brady narrowly miss the All-Cute Team. This team currently features only cute players on the DL (Gordon, Frye, Sadler, Osborne, Floyd & McCracken). Cutest player: Sammy Sosa (and B. Anderson)
2. Constantinople (22) – This team boasts All-Cute outfielder Ellis Burks (also praised 10 years ago, and whom I tried to trade for but ended up with the non-hunky Matt Stairs). Aside from NO, this is the only team with 2 cute catchers (Ausmus & Todd Greene). This franchise didn't exist a decade ago, so no other then & now comparisons can be made. Cutest player: Ellis Burks
3. Metrowest (20) – This team, as the Hatchbacks, also came in third in 1989. Their strength is in the outfield, where the departure of Mike Greenwell and addition of the likes of Preston Wilson, Jeff Hammonds & Dye helps. No members of All-Cute Team here, though. Cutest player: Eli Marrero
4. Bunghole (18+1) – This team gets extra credit for having the cutest player in the league (and in fact in all of MLB) – Toronto’s Alex Gonzalez, who beats out a crowded field (Jeter, A-Rod, Larkin, etc) for All-Cute shortstop. Interestingly, this franchise as Madagascar also boasted the cutest player in the league 10 years ago (Carlton Fisk). BQ has another All-Cute Team member in outfielder Mike Cameron, and has a potential cute successor to All-Cute catcher Pudge Rodriguez in AJ Hinch. Cutest player: Alex Gonzalez (also Cameron)
5. Future Wax (18) – This team made a good trade (cutewise, and unfortunately for me, otherwise) in giving up the unattractive Morandini for Bay City's Billy Taylor. Ray Durham ties with Homer Bush for All-Cute 2nd baseman. They retain 1989 cutie Barry Bonds, who joins Griffey, Juan Gonzalez & Giles for an attractive outfield. Also tops the league with 8 cute pitchers. Cutest player: Ray Durham
6. Clavius (17-1+1) The only team with both an extremely cute player (Steve Finley) & an extremely ugly one (Buhner). Ten years ago, the franchise, as Yoknapatawpha, was fourth cutest with 12. Overall, a cute outfield (Finley and JD Drew to name two), with only Baines & Curtis (along with the hideous Buhner) marring it, and a fairly cute pitching staff led by Lowe, Glavine & Stottlemyre. Cutest player: Steve Finley
7. Manila Folders (17-1) Probably the least attractive outfield corps in the league with only Yankees Ledee & Spencer & old-timer D. White attractive. Trading with ND for Cirillo was a good move, but getting Beck wasn’t, as he earns Matt a demerit. Homer Bush (tied for All-Cute 2nd baseman) along with Relaford & E. Chavez makes for an attractive young infield. Traded away All-Cute outfielder Burks but still moves up from a tie for least cute team in 1989 to seventh cutest. Cutest player: Homer Bush
8. North Dakota (16-1) Trading Beck saves Arnie from being the only team with two hideous players (although I gave serious thought to awarding a double demotion to Randy Johnson for being the ugliest player in the SOMBILLA). Only one of his six catchers (Hatteberg) is attractive. Starting pitchers (Lima, M. Morris, Cordova, Estes) and shortstops (Larkin and A. Nunez) are this team’s strengths. Glenallen Hill is the All-Cute DH and the team's cutest player.
9. New Orleans (13) The ugliest team in the SOMBILLA. A very unattractive infield, with the only cuties Biggio, A.Boone & Spiers. As Learned Hands, this team ranked fifth a decade ago. Does have two cute catchers (S. Alomar & Hundley) – matching only CN. “Fat Toad” Irabu does not help pitching staff, and Tom Goodwin wasn’t cute enough to make Bay City’s outfield. Must work on drafting strategy as, out of 10 draftees, only Boone is cute from ’99 draft. Cutest player: Richard Hidalgo
The All-Cute Team
1B - Darin Erstad, Metrowest
2B - Ray Durham, Future Wax and Homer Bush, Manila Folders
SS - Alex Gonzalez, Bunghole Quahogs
3B - Eric Chavez, Manila Folders
OF - Ellis Burks, Constantinople
OF - Mike Cameron, Bunghole Quahogs
OF - Steve Finley, Clavius
C - Pudge Rodriguez, Bay City
DH - Glenallen Hill, North Dakota
P - Chuck Finley, Bunghole Quahogs
Thanks to the free "Team Tracker" available on the USA Today Baseball page, I was able to compile team totals for SOMBILLA teams through July 18. Of course, there are caviats. I used all 45 rostered players for all teams. In the real Strat-O season, stats for prospects or others not on the 25-man roster would not count. Also, each team has a differing proportion of pitchers to hitters, so a team with more hitters on its 45-man roster might be able to hit more home runs than another team with more pitchers. And, true to real Rotisserie (but unlike the Strat-O we all know and love) fielding is irrelevant.
The way Rotisserie works is simple. I chose 10 categories of stats. Each team is ranked against each other in all categories, and then the rankings are totaled. A team finishing first in all categories would have a score of 10, the worst score would be 90.
The offensive stats were Batting Average, Home Runs, Slugging
Pct, On-Base percentage, and Runs. I refused to do stolen bases because
that would equate stolen bases to home runs, which is something a
junior-high school Rotisserie kid might do, but not us. I substituted
runs for stolen bases, figuring that runs also measure speed, but are
more important than stolen
bases.
The pitching stats used were ERA, Homers Allowed, WHIP (walks and hits to innings pitched - a typical Rotisserie stat that actually has relevance to the SOMBILLA), winning percentage by pitchers, and saves.
Anyway, I wouldn't put a lot of stock into this (how important to Strat-O is having a good W/L pct in real life?), but Jeff, you can if you want to.
Stats through 7/18
| Ave | HR | SLG | OBP | Runs | ERA | HRA | WHIP | Win% | Sv | Total | |
| 1. Metrowest | .279 (5) | 323 (1) | .472 (3) | .359 (3) | 1330 (1) | 4.23 (2) | 101 (1) | 1.39 (3) | .544 (3) | 30 (7) | 29 |
| 2. North Dakota | .291 (2) | 182 (8) | .472 (3) | .364 (2) | 763 (8) | 4.21 (1) | 207 (8) | 1.35 (2) | .557 (1) | 75 (3) | 38 |
| 3. Future Wax | .292 (1) | 223 (6) | .516 (1) | .373 (1) | 765 (7) | 4.69 (7) | 154 (4) | 1.473 (7) | .450 (8) | 73 (4) | 42 |
| 4. Constantinople | .285 (3) | 287 (3) | .473 (2) | .353 (5) | 1118 (3) | 5.38 (9) | 140 (3) | 1.474 (8) | .413 (9) | 90 (2) | 44 |
| 5. New Orleans | .279 (5) | 215 (7) | .454 (7) | .353 (5) | 966 (5) | 4.36 (3) | 160 (6) | 1.33 (1) | .525 (5) | 112 (1) | 45 |
| 6. Bay City | .285 (3) | 230 (4) | .454 (7) | .356 (4) | 1089 (4) | 4.65 (5) | 137 (2) | 1.48 (9) | .518 (7) | 38 (6) | 51 |
| 7. Clavius | .276 (7) | 224 (5) | .457 (5) | .342 (9) | 903 (6) | 4.41 (4) | 155 (5) | 1.41 (4) | .553 (2) | 27 (8) | 55 |
| 8. Bunghole Quahogs | .276 (7) | 289 (2) | .456 (6) | .347 (8) | 1158 (2) | 4.75 (8) | 215 (9) | 1.42 (5) | .530 (4) | 26 (9) | 60 |
| 9. Manila Folders | .270 (9) | 173 (9) | .439 (9) | .349 (7) | 701 (9) | 4.69 (6) | 169 (7) | 1.42 (6) | .519 (6) | 55 (5) | 73 |
So, instead, I'll do a less exciting (and less controversial) study to answer which are the best home teams. We have been compiling home and away records over the last 4 seasons. Here are team won-lost records at home over that time:
Future Wax 76-34 .691
North Dakota 67-45 .598
New Orleans 61-51 .545
Bay City 58-54 .518
Manila Folders 55-57 .491
Lagavulan 16 55-59 .482
Bunghole Quahogs53-59 .473
Constantinople 50-62 .446
Metrowest 48-64 .428
Eric and Future Wax have played a different number of home games due to their screwup two years ago when they forgot to look at the schedule and played in the wrong park. The numbers don't lie - Future Wax is the toughest team to play at home - the Montreal Forum of the SOMBILLA. You know you'll never get a call in the last period, er inning, when you're in the Waxdome. But of course, a lot of this has to do with team strength. Future Wax also has the best overall record over that time. Which teams are most suited toward playing in their own parks? Again, using data from the last four years, here is the difference, per team, in the number of home wins over away wins:
Metrowest +10
Future Wax +9
Bay City
+9
New Orleans +6
Manila Folders +3
Lagavulan 16 +2
Constantinople +1
Bunghole Quahogs -1
North Dakota -2
A couple of surprises here. Despite having the worst overall home record over the last 4 years, Metrowest has actually been more geared toward playing in its own park then any other team. (Or they're so horrible on the road that they've distorted the study). Future Wax's +9 is made up almost entirely of Andrew's bizarre '94-95 record, when he went 22-6 at home (a league record), but a league worst 9-19 on the road, good for a +13. Two teams, North Dakota and the Bunghole Quahogs actually do better on the road - chameleon teams that can adapt well to their opponent's parks (or they just choose the wrong home park). I'm not really sure what this study really shows, but like I said, it wasn't my first choice.
(H + W + HBP - CS - GIDP) * (TB + .26 (TBB + IBB + HBP) +
.52(SH +SF +SB))
(AB +TBB +HBP +SH +SF)
But of course, this formula is for real baseball statistics. You need to make adjustments to it for translating into Strat-O cards. For example, not all GbA results on a batter's card will result in a double play. I determined, based on reasearch from Pete Palmer's, The Hidden Game, that a batter has an 18% chance to be up with a runner on 1st and less than two outs (a potential double-play situation). So, you need to multiply the batter's (or pitcher's) GbA numbers by .18 to make the formula accurate.
So what's the difference between OTS and OPS? A guy with 40 OB chances and 40 SLG chances will have the same OPS as a guy with 30 OB chances and 50 SLG chances (80) but the first guy will have a higher OTS than the second guy. OTS rewards hitters for having good on-base AND good slugging. Being really good in one will not compensate for being deficient in the other as it will using OPS or linear weights.
To get away from unwieldy numbers when calculating the OTS of my players, I simply divide the OTS by 25. For example, a player with 50 OB and 50 SLG has an OTS of 100 by my system (50 x 50)/25, the same as OPS. A player with 60 OB, but only 40 SLG has an OTS of only 96. Because OTS is geometric, differences between players' cards are far greater than they are under OPS.
Additionally, you can determine a player's clutch OTS, by adding (or subtracting) the player's clutch chances from both the on-base and slugging chances. To further gain an edge over my opponents, I long ago (back in the days when Lotus 1-2-3 ruled the earth), set up a spreadsheet whereby I type in a ball-park's dimensions, hit the macro key, and get a print-out of all of my batters' OTS's (in the clutch and not in the clutch) against each of my opponent's pitcher's OTS's in that particular park. (Of course, I also get a printout of all of my pitchers OTS's and his hitters OTS's in that park as well.).
Enough of this pseudo-intellectual mathematical drivel. Get on with it, you whiny, turd-filled geek. Anyway, according to my calculations, for whatever that's worth, here are some lists for the upcoming SOMBILLA season ('97 cards). (All ratings reflect average ballparks):
BEST HITTERS vs. RIGHTIES:
1. L. Walker, MW 230
2. McGwire, MF 212
3. PIazza, FW 206
4. Bagwell, NO 184
5. Thome, FW 176
BEST HITTERS vs. LEFTIES
1. Thomas, BC 252
2. Larkin, ND 215
3. Piazza, FW 202
4. Sheffield, FW 190
5. M. Vaughn, MW 183
THEY 'R' THE BEST
Editor's Note: What type of draft league is it where, in the league's first year, Mickey Mantle and Willie Mays would be on one team, but Jamie Quirk would be the first round draft pick on another? Where Pete Rose and Brooks Robinson would be bench-jockeys on one team, but Del Unser and Jose Uribe would be 1-2 in at-bats on another? Where the pitching was strong enough throughout a 25-team league to hold Ted Williams to a .301 average, and deep enough so that Sandy Koufax, Carl Hubbell and Greg Maddux would be reduced to closers, but where Tom Zachry would be the No. 1 starter and go 9-28, 4.97 (along with fellow 20-game losers Geoff Zahn and Pat Zachry) on another? Don't have it yet? One more big clue: The team that won the most games had Tris Speaker, Al Simmons, Willie Stargell, Mike Schmidt, Ryne Sandberg and Ver Stephens in its lineup. Still stumped? Read on.
What if you went through the Baseball Encyclopedia, made up an all-time all-star team for every letter in the alphabet, and played them in a league? Which letter would be the best? That's exactly what I wanted to find out in my All-time All-Star Alphabetical League.
And, after finishing with a 110-52 regular season record, the 'R' team, Round Pond (named after a small village in Mid-Coast Maine), led by MVP Babe Ruth and Cy Young winner Nolan Ryan, went on to defeat arch-rival Slope (a town in the North Dakota badlands) 4 games to 1 in the All-time Alphabetical World Series.
Round Pond had excellent pitching. Ryan (21-9, 2.21) tossed a 3-hit shutout in game 1 of the Series, and had both a 1-hit shutout and a 5-hitter against Minot (and its Mantle, Mays, Musial outfield) in the semi-finals. Besides Ryan, Round Pond had a staff of Robin Roberts (18-6, 3.09), Jerry Reuss (14-7, 3.49), Red Ruffing (17-10), JR Richard, Jeff Reardon, Ed Reulbach, Eppa Rixey, Rick Rhoden, and Rick Reushel. In addition to Ruth (.336, 63 homers, 158 rbi's), Frank Robinson (.336, 31, 136), Jackie Robinson (who pulled off a delayed steal of home with Pete Reiser in game 4 of the World Series), Brooks Robinson, Cal Ripken, Pete Rose, Ed Roush, and 19th-century star John Reilly anchored a great lineup.
Like most teams, Slope also had a great lineup, (Stargell, Schmidt, Sandberg, Speaker, Simmons) but what separated the best teams from average teams in this league were their pitching staffs. Slope's starters of Spahn (22-8, 2.78), Seaver (15-4, 2.89), and Sutton (20-7, 3.16) shut down Waldoboro (H. Wagner, T. Williams, the Waners) in the semi-finals and made them the series favorites in my eyes. But it was Round Pond's Robin Roberts who garnered World Series MVP honors, winning 2 of the 5 games, and sporting a 1.50 ERA.
Creating the teams
Using the Career Normalized version of the Strat-O-Matic Career Historical Baseball disks, I let the computer draft each of the teams, followed by my own eyeballing of the actual Hall of Fame list to ensure no injustices. I liked the fact that the Career Disks can be used to play stars from different eras with the additional Normalization (so that hitters from the 20's and pitchers from the 60's are not so distortingly dominant). Still, the drafter had a few unexpected glitches. It never drafted a pitcher 1st or 2nd and usually not until 5th or 7th player chosen. For example, for Jerimoth Hill (named after the highest point in Rhode Island), the obvious first choice would be Walter Johnson, but the computer drafter chose Reggie Jackson first. OK, so Jackson's not a bad first choice. Agreed. But the computer then chose Hughie Jennings, Joe Judge, and the immortal Charlie Jones before deciding on Walter J.
The single biggest computer drafting glitch occurred for Minot. I figured that the computer would decide on either Mantle or Mays first, and sure enough it went with Mantle. But, not only didn't the computer choose Mays 2nd, it didn't choose Mays for the 25-man roster at all! I understand the computer goes by positions, and so it felt it more important to stock up on other positions like shortstops and catchers, instead of another centerfielder, but not even Mays for a bench player? I mean Dale Murphy was a fine player, but Dale instead of Mays? Marty McManus? Minnie Minoso? (All of whom the computer grabbed instead of Mays.) After I rescued Mays from the forgotten masses, he didn't disappoint, batting .326, with 20 homers and 81 rbi's.
There were enough players for every letter except X. (There has never been a major-leaguer whose name begins with X). So, I decided to go with a 25-team league. Most of the teams were named after cities and towns in Maine and North Dakota. Here is each team's 1st draft pick, and first pitcher, as chosen by the Strat-O computer:
Hank Aaron Pete Alexander
Dan Brouthers Bert Blyleven
Ty Cobb Steve
Carlton
Bill Dickey Wild Bill Donovan
Buck Ewing Dock Ellis
Jimmy Foxx Bob Feller
Lou Gehrig Lefty Grove
Rogers Hornsby Carl Hubbell
Monte Irvin Jason Isringhausen (thru
95)
Reggie Jackson Walter Johnson
Chuck Klein Tim Keefe
Nap Lajoie Ted Lyons
Mickey Mantle Christy Mathewson
Bill Nicholson Hal Newhauser
Mel Ott
Claude Osteen
Vada Pinson Jim Palmer
Jamie Quirk Jack Quinn
Babe Ruth Nolan Ryan
Tris Speaker Tom Seaver
Sam Thompson Frank Tanana
Del Unser George Uhle
Arky Vaughan Dazzy Vance
Ted Williams Early Wynn
Carl Yastrzemski Cy Young
Chief Zimmer Tom Zachary
I do like the new CD-ROM scheduler better than the old DOS version, which had trouble creating a schedule for a league with a lot of teams. This scheduler simply asks what percentage of games each team should play in its own division (I chose 40%), and then does the rest, with none of the myriad error messages I always got with the DOS scheduler.
Preseason Prognostication
Eyeballing the teams before the season, I declared Minot and Waldoboro the pre-season favorites, overlooking the 2 best teams, Round Pond and Slope. At the other extreme, you know that a team that considers Jamie Quirk to be its best player is going to have some trouble. Poor Qatar batted a league low .205 as a team with a league low 30 homers, and had a 5.44 ERA. Only Idaho (5.69) had a worse ERA. Speaking of Idaho, they were the only team with very limited "stars" whom I allowed in the league. Most letters had plenty of great, or at least solid, players to choose from. But for the I, Q, U and Z teams, there was very little to choose from. As a result, Ed Irvin (career 2 for 3, with 2 triples) and Orlando Isales (2 for 5, 1 triple) made the Idaho team. By the time I noticed these guys with a study-ruining distorted amount of triples, it was too late. I couldn't release them in the middle of the league, because that would give an unfair advantage to teams that had yet to play Idaho. I didn't want to start all over because - well - I don't have a lot of spare time in my life (The two weeks it took me to do the league and write this is all I can afford). While I'm embarrassed about Irvin's 108 triples, and Isales's 90 triples, I do not think it ruined the overall results of the study. The cream still rose to the top. If anything, they elevated Idaho to 3rd worst team from the worst team. I used average ballparks (HR 1-9, Singles 1-8) for all teams.
I wasn't sure whether any division was better than any other, so before the season, I decided that the 4 division winners would be seeded 1-4, with the next four best records being seeded 5-8 instead of just going by overall record. I wanted to reward teams that may have won a particularly tough division, but because of the tough schedule, not had a great record. (But this method would screw a team like Round Pond which won 110 games, but because it couldn't beat out Slope, received only the no. 5 seed). As it turned out, Bismarck (featuring father and son Bonds, Berra, Brock, Boudreau, Browning, Brouthers, V. Blue, Bunning) won a tough A-G division, with 6 of the 7 teams finishing over .500. Thus, Bismarck was seeded 4th, and was matched up against Round Pond in the 1st round. Ironically, that was the best series in the entire post-season, the only one to go 7 games.
Bismarck 95-67 .586
--
Minot 104-58 .642
--
Copenhagen 93-67 .574
2
Kamploops 89-73 .549 15
Damariscotta 88-74 .543
7
Lewiston 84-78 .519 20
Antarctica 87-75 .537
8
Helsinki 84-78 .519 20
Greenland 86-76 .531
9 Jerimoth Hill
74-88
.457 30
Frobisher Bay 85-77 .525
10
Idaho 52-110 .321
52
Edinborough 77-85 .475 18
Slope 111-51
.685 --
Tunk Lake 96-66 .593 --
Round Pond 110-52 .679
1
Waldoboro 94-68 .580 2
Oshkosh 83-79 .512
28
Vancouver 82-80 .506 14
Norway 73-89 .451
38
Yellowknife 81-81 .500 15
Parshall 72-90 .444
39
Uxbridge 61-101 .377 35
Qatar 23-139 .142
88
Zap 41-121
.253 55
Playoff results
1st round:
Slope d. Kamloops 4 games to 0
Minot d. Copenhagen 4 games to 2
Waldoboro d. Tunk Lake 4 games to 0
Round Pond d. Bismarck 4 games to 3 (Bismarck won game 1
3-2 in 19 innings. Round Pond won the series after being down 3 games
to 1)
2nd round:
Slope d. Waldoboro 4 games to 2
Round Pond d. Minot 4 games to 2
World Series:
Round Pond d. Slope 4 games to 1
Always at the cutting edge of controversy, this summer, the SOMBILLA spotlight team, in conjunction with the Commissioner's Office on Politically Correct Opportunities to Play (COPCOP), revisits a subject studied in the '91 and '94 summer newsletters.
Team White Black Hispanic Other '91
White %
'94 White% '97 White%
Matt 31
7
7
60%
51%
69%
Jed & Clint 30 9
6
69
67
67
Jeff 29
11
5
71
62
64
RAT 29
6
10
62
58
64
Eric 29
10 5 1
(Japanese)80
56
64
Harold 27 7
11
58
56
60
Arnie 27 10
8
60
53
60
Robin 21 11
13
64
53
47
Land & Brian 19 10 15 1
(Korean)
--
56
42
TOTAL 1997 60% 20%
20%
60
TOTAL 1994 57% 24%
19%
57
TOTAL 1991 66% 22%
13%
66
The numbers were compiled with Robin's assistance (who of course is not only the only one in the league who actually knows what all our players look like, but also who has nice buns and who wears gold chains), we present an analysis of everyone's 45-man roster. There were about 5 players who she was not familiar with, so we guessed. But, she notes "even if we guessed wrong on these, it shouldn't change any team's profile too much."
As you can see, the league appears to have regressed in its integration efforts over the past three years, as 6 of the 9 teams are whiter than they were three years ago. Although the league does have more Hispanics than ever, and of course, has found it necessary to add a 4th racial category, "other", we now have fewer African-Americans in the league than ever. I am not certain of the causes of this, whether due to racism in real baseball, expansion, worse quality of black players, or a less 'enlightened' league.
Matt, who was the most politically correct team 3 years ago, has become 'No More Mr. Nice Guy' and has completely reversed his image to become the 'Red Sox of the SOMBILLA' in just 3 short years. Meanwhile, Jeff's attitude is separate but equal - his entire pitching staff is white, while 9 of his 11 outfielders are black or Hispanic.
Land & Brian are to be commended for having the most politically correct team ever studied, including a bi-lingual clubhouse sign policy for its 15 Hispanics. Unlike Jeff, only 8 of their 20 pitchers are white.
Jed & Clint, the league's most racist team 3 years ago, have stuck to their sinful ways, and clearly have not seen the light. 12 of their 15 infielders are white. At the other end, Future Wax and North Dakota are the only teams with more minority infielders than white ones.
I'll leave it to others to interpret this, but as a whole, 70% of the league's outfielders are minorities (66 of 90). Matt, of course bucks the trend (50% white outfielders), while Land & Brian and Jeff have an 82% minority outfield (9 of 11).
Original 1985 dispersal draft, revisited.
The SOMBILLA held the one and only 35-round permanent league dispersal draft in 1985. Way, way back in the summer of 1990, we critiqued that draft and made some conclusions. But in 1990 many of these players were still active and some had a lot more years left. With the benefit of 18 years of middle age, it’s time to take a look back again.
The original 1990 review will be reprinted here, updated wherever I see fit.
(August 1990)
I got this idea from the Boston Globe last summer when they analyzed recent NBA drafts. It has now been over 4 ½ years since eight of us got together at Jed’s to form a permanent league. The original 35-man draft was held on November 17, 1985. Remember that we were drafting based on the ’84 cards we had in front of us and ALSO the ’85 stats that were final, before the ’85 cards had come out. In analyzing the best and worst picks of each round, I’ve decided to exclude "one-year wonders." When drafting a one-year wonder, you are drafting for one purpose only, fully expecting to cut the player after the season. Thus, it’s not really fair to include such draft picks in the analyses. Examples of one-year wonders are Denny Walling for T&A a few years ago. (Note how T&A easily morphed into RAT when Randy joined) , ormore recently Lo. Smith for Jed this year. There are tons more but you know what I mean.
SOMBILLA records through the ‘89-90 season are shown (sorry folks I just ain’t going back to add up the final career SOMBILLA stats for someone like Cal Ripken, or anyone else for that matter. It’s like, summer, you know?)
Round 1
As in 1990, this is an eight-way tie. As I stated back then "oh sure, we could all sit here and nit-pick about whose career has been better, but I think that these eight have all stood the test of time." Listed in order:
Round 2
Best picks – 10. Valenzuela, Yitz (25-21, 3.80, 308k’s in 414 inns); 11. Trammell, Jed (.256, 30 125); 12. Stieb, Arnie (20-61, 3.35); 13. Da. Murphy, Eric (.258, 50, 155); 14. Tudor, Robin (13-20, 5.09); 15. Brett. Joel (.266, 40, 153)
Worst pick – 9. Gary Redus (.228, 6, 39). Enough has been written already. (That was what we said in 1990. But to verify that this was the worst pick of all-time, simply review the list of players from this draft taken after him, starting with the Best picks of the 2 nd round above. Then compare to the list of players taken after Adrian Beltre in 1999.)
Also picked – 16. Gedman, T&A. Who knew he’d fade away into nothingness?
Round 3
Best picks 18. Lance Parrish, Robin (.212, 39, 96); 19. T. Pena, Eric (.272, 15, 83); 20. T. Fernandez, T&A (also picked in the ’99 draft above for you trivia buffs), 22. Winfield, Yitz (.284, 30, 107); 24. Raines, Arnie (.260, 14, 67, 73 sb)
Also picked: 17. G. Carter, Joel; 21. W. Hernandez, Jed; 23. Quissenberry, Matt
Round 4
Best picks: 25. Saberhagen, Arnie; 26. Whitaker, Matt; 28. Scioscia, Jed; 30. Yount, Eric (.257, 25, 99)
Worst pick: 29. Soto, T&A
Also picked: 27. D. Garcia, Yitz; 31. Herr, Robin; 32. Andujar, Joel
Round 5
Best picks: 33. Orosco, Robin; 36. Gwynn, Joel (.291, 8, 107); 39. Ju. Franco, Arnie
Also picked: 34. Blyleven, Eric; 35. Moseby, T&A; 37. McGee, Yitz; 38. Leibrandt, Matt; 40. J. Morris; Jed (a.k.a, kick me)
Orosco is one of only 3 players from this draft still in ML. (R. Henderson and Clemens are the others.
Round 6
Best picks: 45. Murray, Joel (.242, 30, 102); 48. Butler, Robin (.253, 7, 82, 54 sb)
Worst picks: 42. Niedenfuer, Arnie (incredible that this obscure reliever is mentioned twice in one newsletter); 43. W. Wilson, Matt; 47. Gossage, Eric
Also picked: 41. M Witt, Jed; 44. Darling, Yitz; 46. Righetti, T&A
Round 7
Best pick: 50. Baines, T&A; 54. P. Guerrero, Arnie (.298, 34, 130); 55. J. Howell, Jed
Worst pick: 52. Seaver, Robin
Also picked: 49. Sutcliffe, Eric; 51. Boddicker, Joel; 53. B. Bell, Matt; 58. Reardon, Yitz
Round 8
Best picks: 59. Welch, Arnie; 60. Dw. Evans, Matt (.245, 48, 160); 63. Schmidt, T&A (.236, 44, 127); 64, K. Hernandez, Eric (.281, 21, 106)
Worst pick: 57. Waddell, Yitz (the first player picked who never played in the league)
Also picked: 58. Barfield, Jed; 61. Bryn Smith, Robin; 62. Lemon, Joel
Round 9
Best pick: 65. Strawberry, T&A ended up playing over 10 years in the league.
Worst pick: 72. Easler, Eric
Also picked: 66. Bedrosian, Joel; 67. Rice, Robin; 68. Guidry, Matt; 69. A. Davis, Arnie; 70. G. Bell, Jed; 71. Brooks, Yitz
Round 10
Best pick: 75. Hrbek, Jed (.249, 38, 115)
Worst pick: 77. Rozema, Matt
Also picked: 73. C. Washington, Eric; 74. J. Leonard, Yitz; 76. Caudill, Arnie; 78. Youngblood, Robin; 79. J. Cruz, Joel; 80. K. Howell, T&A.
Round 11
Best picks: 85. Hough, Jed; 86. Lansford, Yitz
Worst pick: 87. Scurry, Eric
Other picks: 81. Meacham, Joel; 82. Jacoby, Robin; 83. Heath, Matt; 84. Doran, T&A; 88. F. White, Arnie
Round 12
Best picks: 90. DeLeon, Eric; 96. Show, Joel
Worst pick: 93. D. James, T&A
Also picked: 89. Key, Arnie; 91. J. Davis; Yitz; 92. Armas, Jed; 94. Leal, Matt; 95. Dravecky, Robin (until his arm fell off – and I don’t mean because he used up all his innings)
Round 13
Best pick: J. Clark, Jed (.246, 35, 107)
Worst picks: 99. M. Young, T&A; Lahti, Yitz
Also picked: 97. G. Walker, Robin, 98. Upshaw, Matt; 100. Pendleton, Joel; M. Barrett, Eric; Wallach, Arnie
Round 14
Best picks: Dave Smith, Arnie; Gaetti, Eric; Fisk, Matt
Worst picks: Flanagan, Joel; S. Davis, T&A
Also picked: Ray, Jed; Lavelle, Yitz; D. Moore, Robin (R.I.P.)
Round 15
Best picks: K. Gibson, Joel; Viola, Jed; Langston, Yitz
Worst pick: Sundberg, Arnie. A lot of the worst players picked in the first part of the draft were veterans whose best years were behind them.
Also picked: Shirley, Matt; Marshall, T&A; Candelaria, Robin; Lefferts, Eric
Round 16
Bets picks: 121. N. Ryan, Yitz; 124. Clemens, Eric. Ironic that these two Texans were taken in the same round. Eric’s choice of Clemens with the 124th pick in this draft could quite possibly be the greatest SOMBILLA draft pick of all time. But as I put it, back then, who knew? Clemens had a lot of potential, but ended 1985 on the DL.
Worst pick: Tunnell, Matt; Lacy,Joel.
Also picked; Petry, Jed; Filson, Arnie; Oil Can, Robin; M. Moore, T&A.
Round 17
Best pick: Kirby Puckett, Robin. 136th overall. (.275, 26, 100)
Worst picks: McRae, Matt; Dwaley, Joel
Also picked: Denny, Eric; Horner, Arnie; Ch. Davis, Jed; Parker, Yitz; Bradley, T&A
Round 18
Best pick: V. Hayes, Eric
Worst picks: C. Bando, Joel; Power, Jed
Also picked: McReynolds, T&A; Slaught, Robin; Cox, Arnie; Gullickson, Matt; Dw. Murphy, Yitz
Round 19
Best pick: John Franco, Jed
Worst picks: Ojeda, Yitz; Lea, Joel
Also picked; Beniquez, Eric; Schofield, Arnie; Black, Robin; Tippy Martinez, Matt; Samuel, T&A
Round 20
Best picks: J. Carter, Robin; Lee Smith, Arnie; Van Slyke, Yitz
Worst pick: Reggie Jackson, Matt
Also picked: Mullinicks, Joel; Presley, T&A; DiPino, Jed
Round 21
Best pick: M. Scott, Jed. (26-12, 4.43, 313 K’s in 319 inns). Pitched a no-no against Joel in 1988.
Worst picks: Nichols, Arnie; K. Gross, T&A
Also picked: Honeycutt, Yitz; Schroeder, Eric; Cooper, Joel; Gladden, Robin; Orsulak, Matt (best name in this round)
Round 22
Best picks: Gubicza, T&A (noted that his W-L records were 2-8, 2-7, 9-0, 1-2); F. Lynn, Jed (.262, 39, 93)
Worst picks: Buckner, Joel. He wasn’t yet infamous.
Also picked: Perconte, Matt; A. Pena, Robin; Rawley, Arnie; DeCinces, Eric; Koosman, Yitz
Round 23
Best pick: P. O’Brien, Robin (.247, 24, 81)
Worst picks: J. Gutierrez, Arnie; G. Frazier, Joel. As noted in 1990, "I think the study is more interesting (and funnier) in the later rounds."
Also picked: Tabler, Jed; Virgil, Yitz; Da. Evans, Eric; D. Robinson, T&A; Sutter, Matt
Round 24
Best picks: L. Durham, Matt; D. Schmidt, Robin; Agosto, T&A
Worst picks: Garvey, Yitz; J. Tibbs, Arnie
Also picked: Wohlford, Joel; Rhoden, Eric, Puhl, Jed
Round 25
Best pick: K. Phelps, Arnie (.231, 34, 82)
Worst picks: G. Hoffman, Matt; Lollar, Joel
Also picked: Oester, Jed; Wiggins, Yitz; Dernier, Eric; Schatzader, T&A; A. Griffin, Robin
Round 26
Best picks: R. Dempsey, Jed; Brunansky, T&A
Worst picks: Hoyt, Robin; Foster, Joel
Also picked: Tanana, T&A; Wockenfuss, Eric; O. Concepcion, Yitz; Mason, Arnie; G. Wilson, Matt
Round 27
Best picks: Dawson, Arnie; Randolph, Robin
Worst pick: Santana, Eric
Also picked: T. Landrum, Yitz; Oberkfell, Matt; Hubbard, Jed; Holland, Joel
Round 28
Best pick: Reuschel, Eric
Worst pick: Ga. Maddox, Matt
Also picked: Lo. Smith, Joel; Corcoran, T&A; Mi. Davis, Robin; Backman, Jed; Teufel, Arnie; Cedeno, Yitz
Round 29
Best picks: Pagliarulo, Eric; Templeton, T&A
Worst pick: R.L. Jackson, Arnie
Also picked: Shelby, Jed; Burns, Yitz; Lezcano; Matt; Stanley, Joel; Owen, Robin
Round 30
Best pick: E. Davis, T&A. This was the back breaker for the rest of the SOMBILLA.
Also picked: Rucker, Eric; Baylor, Robin; Lopez, Joel; R. Ramirez, Arnie; Campbell, Matt; Bonnell, Yitz; Francona, Jed
Unfortunately, I’ve lost the page of my copy of the 1990 summer newsletter, which evaluated the rest of the draft. It’s much
harder to look back 15 years than it is to look back just 5 years, so I can’t really make good retroactive awards here, unless its obvious.
Round 31
Brenly, Arnie; Lopes, Jed; Pettis, Yitz; Cey, Matt; Matthews, T&A; Dilone, Joel; Smithson, Robin; Sax, Eric.
Round 32
Steve "If there’d been a urinal on the mound I would have used it" Crawford, Eric; Martinez, Robin; Madlock, Joel; Gantner, T&A; Vukovich, Matt; Terrell, Yitz; Hawkins, Jed; Nipper, Arnie
Round 33
Collins, Joel; Butcher, Robin; Bailey, T&A; Hill, Jed; Balboni, Eric; N. Allen, Arnie; Sisk, Yitz; Yeager, Matt
Round 34
Best picks: Hurst, Matt, T. Phillips, Jed
Also picked: Fingers, Yitz; Ward, Joel; Brock, Arnie; Rayford, T&A; Wynegar, Eric; Carew, Robin
Round 35
Best pick: Eckersley, Eric
Also picked: Willard, Arnie; Horton, Robin; Rose, Matt; Ma. Davis, T&A; Kittle, Yitz; Lynch, Jed; Dotson, Joel
Best draft, 1985: After this draft, Eric and Andrew went on to share the next 10 SOMBILLA championships, winning 5 each. Clemens, Eckersley, Strawberry and E. Davis were part of the reason for those 10 championships.
Worst draft 1985: I’ll give you one guess. He’s no longer in the league (and it isn’t Yitz).
Trivia: In the middle of the draft T&A proposed that we make it 40 rounds, instead of 35. It’s a good thing we didn’t.
In what is now an annual event, this summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the April 3, 1993 draft. As always, the first 2 rounds (18 picks) will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. After that, all picks are lumped together by round. The player's SOMBILLA stats are shown.
We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '93 draft (the 92, 93, 94, and 95 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, 1996, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 1997, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft has the potential to have played in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '92-93, Dave ended up with the 1st and 3rd picks in the draft, after a trade with North Dakota, in which the teams exchanged 1st round picks and ND acquired little Leo Gomez as well.
Round 1
1. Schilling, Dave (After '97, will be 5 of 6 seasons (12-10, 2.55))
2. Tewksbury, Jed & Clint (A one-year wonder at 8-6, 4.55)
3. Eldred, Dave (A one-year wonder for Dave at 3-0, 2.43, Eric snagged
him in the 7th round at this year's draft)
4. X. Hernandez, Matt (2 seasons, 1-1, 2.35, 5 sv)
5. Cordero, T&A (3 seasons at .253, 10 homers, 27 rbis. The real
question is, does Beth know that this wife-beater is still a proud
member of her husband's team?)
6. M. Alou, Harold (Has played all 4 seasons, plus has great
cards for 96 & 97, at .280, 23, 69)
7. B. Anderson, Robin (Like Alou, six seasons. .262, 17, 65)
8. Beck, Arni (In the exchange of draft picks with Dave, 2 seasons,
plus '97 (2-0, 2.57, 21 saves)
9. Rojas, Eric (3 seasons, plus '96, 1-7, 3.93, 10 sv)
Best pick(s): Tie. Alou and Anderson, with a very close honorable mention of Schilling. The difference is that Moises and Brady are the only players from this draft to be in the SOMBILLA all 6 seasons. Schilling had one bad year in there.
Worst pick: Tewksbury, J&C. He was not projected as a one-year wonder at the time. Ironically, my trade with Dave was contingent on whether Tewksbury was available with the 3rd pick. If he had been, I would have drafted him instead of switching picks with Dave and dropping down to 8th.
Round 2
10. Ke. Gross, J&C (1 season 2-6, 5.54)
11. Piazza, J&C (3 seasons, plus 96 & 97, .288, 35, 115).
12. R. Hernandez, Matt ( 3 seasons, + 96 & 97, 4-6, 3.20, 19 sv)
13. Listach, Matt (1 season , 2 for 4)
14. W. Greene, Dave (has not yet played)
15. Astacio, Land (2 seasons +96, 5-6, 3.78)
16. Lilliquist, Robin (1 season, 2-0, 0.00, 3 sv) (this is the 2nd time
she drafted him)
17. G. Pena, Land (4 seasons, .271, 9, 49)
18. Meacham, Eric (2 seasons, 3-1, 4.73, 1 sv)
Best pick: Piazza, Jed & Clint. Of course, we're evaluating draft picks in this study, not trades. Worst pick: W. Greene, Dave. This guy has to be the worst pick in the 1993 draft, as he was the first player chosen who has never played in the league. Amazingly, he is still on Metrowest's roster! Showing a lot of patience.
Round 3
Best pick: Deion Sanders, Land (4 of 6 seasons) Worst pick: Sam Millitello, Robin. Who?
Also picked: Wilkins, J&C (3), Gilkey, Arni (3), Boston, Matt (2), Wakefield, T&A (2) (the first of two times they've drafted him), Guthrie (2) - redrafted by T&A this year, Holmes, Dave (2), Owen, Eric (1)
Round 4
Best pick: Tie. Eric Karros, Land and Mike Bordick, Arni (3 of 6 seasons each) Worst pick: Luis Rivera, Matt. Never played in the league.
Also picked: Manwaring , J&C (2), Nilsson, T&A (2), R.Gonzalez, Robin (2), Bret Boone, Dave (1), Fetters, Eric (1); Trombley, Harold (never played for Harold, but Eric just drafted him this year).
Round 5
Best pick: Conine, Arni (3 of 6 seasons) Worst picks: Arias, Dave & Nied, J&C. The only players from this round who never played in the league.
Also picked: B. Jordan, J&C (2), Cooper, Matt (2), Hickerson, Land (1), Leach, Harold (1), Schofield, Harold (1), Austin, Robin (1)
Round 6
Best pick: Tim Salmon, T&A. An outstanding 6th round pick, Salmon blows away all the other picks in this round. Coming up on his 5th usable year of 6 seasons, he was the 50th pick overall. Worst picks: P. Smith, J&C, C. Hernandez, Arni, Pugh, Harold. Never played in the league.
Also picked: B. MacDonald, Matt (2); Wickman, Dave (2), Blankenship, Land (1), Ryan Thompson, Robin (1), Curtis, Eric (1)
7th round
Best picks: Mi. Perez, J&C and Wohlers, T&A - 3 years out of 6. Worst pick: Jessie Levis, Dave. The only player from this round to never play in the league.
Also picked: Neel, Land (2), C. Garcia, Harold (2), Monteleone, Land (1), R. Rodriguez, Arni (1), Willis, T&A (1), Osborne, Robin (1)
8th round
Best picks: John Jaha, J&C and Jefferson, T&A (3 years each, although T&A cut him the next year, Jefferson's back in the league). Worst picks: Hulse, Dave and Wedge, Matt. Never played.
Also picked: Mills, Harold (2), Scanlan, Land (1), Fleming, Arni (1), Kev. Rogers, Robin (1), Clayton, Eric (1)
9th, 10th, & 11 rounds
Best pick: Eric's John Valentin. Who says Eric can't draft prospects? Valentin's going on 4 out of 6 seasons. Worst pick: Bottenfield, Harold. Never saw the "Big Strat-O Table".
Also picked: Girardi, Land (3), Kent, T&A (3), Vizcaino, Robin (3), Cormier, Dave (2), Hayes, Arni (2), Tackett, T&A (1), Brunansky, Arni (1), Sharperson, Land (1), Rasmussen, T&A (1), R. Jordan, J&C (1), Bruett (0 - but cutting Dave a break, he was the only 11th round pick).
Best drafters, 1993: T&A. Despite drafting men who beat up women, they also drafted Wakefield, Nilsson, Salmon, Wohlers, R. Jefferson, Tackett, Kent, Rasmussen. Interestingly, they had only 3 picks in the first 5 rounds (no 2nd or 5th round picks)
Worst drafter, 1993: Dave (Schilling, Eldred, W. Greene, Holmes, Boone, Arias, Wickman, Levis, Hulse, Cormier, Bruett). Half of Dave's draft picks never played in the league, compared to all 10 T&A picks. No wonder Dave resigned.
For our annual draft review, this summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the April 2, 1994, draft. As always, the first 2 rounds (18 picks) will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. After that, all picks are lumped together by round. The player's SOMBILLA stats are shown.
We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '94 draft (the 93, 94, 95, and 96 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, 1997, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 1998, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '93-94, Harold acquired the first pick in the entire draft from Eric, the season champion.
Round 1
1. Ramirez, Harold. (1998 season will mark 4 out of a possible 6
seasons in the league). .299, 17 homers, 75 rbis
2. Sele, Robin (If he ends up usable this year, Robin will have 3 years
from him). 7-10, 6.33
3. Bere, Land (2 seasons) 9-11, 6.50
4. Hammonds (A huge disappointment so far, he has had only a
cup of coffee for Dave & Jeff [1 for 7]. Still on Jeff's roster.)
5. P. Martinez, T&A (5 of 6 seasons. For some reason, he
didn't pitch for them in '96-97). 19-10, 6.33
6. Karsay, Matt (Never played in the SOMBILLA).
7. R. White, Harold (4 of 6 seasons) .321, 2 homers, 8 rbis
8. McMichael, Eric (4 of 6 seasons) 4-1, 7.31, 11 saves
9. Galarraga, T&A (5 of 6 seasons) .294, 34 homers, 111 rbi's
Best pick - Pedro Martinez, T&A(by a hair over Galarraga. The
biggest difference is that Pedro's 9 years younger).
Worst pick - Karsay, Matt. This guy is the earliest pick in league
history to never make the league. In other words, he is the worst draft
pick in SOMBILLA history.
Round 2
10. Mondesi, Land (5 of 6 seasons) .288, 18, 72
11. Tarasco, Robin (never played in the SOMBILLA)
12. Stanley, Eric (5 of 6 seasons) .316, 51, 131
13. Leyritz, J&C (2 seasons) .272, 22, 68
14. Quantrill, Dave (1 season) 4-0, 2.02, 2 sv
15. Stocker, Matt (2 seasons) .183, 0, 9
16. Salomon Torres, Harold (never played in the SOMBILLA)
17. Kreuter, Arnie (1 season) .297, 3, 22
18. S. Berry, Robin (4 seasons) .279, 24, 94
Best picks - Raul Mondesi, Land; Mike Stanley, Eric
Worst pick - Tarasco, Robin (chosen over Torres because he was picked
11th overall).
Round 3
Best pick - Trevor Hoffman, Arnie (5 of 6 seasons)
Worst picks - Carr, Jed & Clint; Burnitz, Matt (neither played in
the SOMBILLA)
Also picked - Bedrosian, Eric (1 season); Turner, Robin (1);
Gates, Land (2); Darwin, Dave (1); Hansen, Harold (3); Portugal, Eric
(2)
Round 4
Best pick - Jesse Orosco, Eric (Having another fine year in '98, this
veteran will have quietly played in 5 of the 6 seasons). He gets the
nod over Easley, because Easley has played only 3 seasons, and who's to
say Orosco won't outlast him?
Worst picks - Nieves, Robin; Wertz, Matt; Gil, Arnie (never played in
the league)
Also picked - Van Poppel, Land (1); Arocha, J&C (1); Easley, Dave
(3); Ruffin, Harold (2); Reuter, T&A (2)
Round 5
Best pick - Pat Hentgen, Dave (4 of 6 seasons)
Worst pick - none. Although a few players drafted in this round played
only 1 season in the league, that's expected from this round, where you
can always pick up a one-year wonder to fill a hole. No one should
be penalized for that.
Also picked - Eisenreich, Eric (2); J. Tavarez, T&A (1);
A. Martin, Land (2); Blowers, J&C (1); Cooke, Harold (1); Lansing,
Harold (1); B. Jones, Arnie (2); K. Ryan, T&A (2)
Round 6
Best pick - Derek Bell, Jed & Clint (4 of 6 seasons). An
excellent 6th round pick
Worst picks - R. Gutierrez, Eric; E. Perez, Land; J. Hernandez, Matt
(never played)
Also picked - P. Martinez, Robin (the 'other' Pedro Martinez
- 2); Newfield, Dave (1); Lloyd, Harold (1); Honeycutt, Arnie (1);
Amaral, T&A (1)
Round 7
Best pick - None. On the same theory as the 5th round, that one-year
wonders fill a role - they can't be considered 'great' (or lousy) draft
picks
Worst picks - Roberson, Eric; Mejia, Robin; Stahoviak, Dave;
Reynoso, J&C; Kilgus, Matt - none ever played
Also picked - (see what I mean about no best pick) J. Bautista, Matt
(1); T. Rhodes, T&A (1); P. Clark, Arnie (1); Hitchcock, J&C
(1)
Round 8
Best pick - Eric Plunk, Arnie (4 of 6 seasons). This was also the 2nd
time North Dakota drafted Plunk, having used him for a couple of years
and cutting him.
Worst picks - Whitmore, Land; A. Watson, J&C; Incaviglia, Matt; D.
Jean, Harold; Miranda, T&A. None of these guys ever played after
being drafted in this round, although Inky had a career with Jed way
back when.
Also picked - Voight, Robin (1); Gallego, T&A (1)
Rounds 9&10
Best pick - Jim Edmonds, Matt (4 of 6 seasons). It seems there's one of
these guys in every draft.
Worst picks - S. Fletcher, Eric; P. Wagner, Robin; B. Munoz,
Land; D. May, Arnie; Bo Jackson, J&C; Valle, Matt; D. Bautista,
Matt (none ever played)
Also picked - T. Wilson, J&C (1); Shaw, Harold (1); Ayala, T&A
(1); Buechelle, Land (1); Trlicek, Eric (1); Bass, Arnie (1); Lo.
Smith, Arnie (1)
Best draft, 1994: T&A (P. Martinez, Galarraga, Reuter, K. Ryan, Amaral, T. Rhodes, Gallego, Miranda, Ayala). Not a great draft, but it was not really a stellar draft for the entire league. A couple of true stars, and except for Miranda, all of these guys found their way onto Future Wax's roster at some point.
Worst draft, 1994: Matt (Karsay, Stocker, Burnitz, Wertz, J. Hernandez, Kilgus, Incaviglia, Edmonds, Valle, D. Bautista). Edmonds notwithstanding, 8 of Matt's 10 picks never played in the SOMBILLA. I'm not even sure who "Wertz" is.
We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '95 draft (using the 94, 95, 96, and 97 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 1998 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 1999, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '94-95, Land finished dead last by 4 games, earning the uncontested right to draft first in each round. In addition, through trades, he ended up with 6 of the top 32 picks. How'd he do (how'd we all do?)?
Round 1
1. A. Rodriguez, Land (1999 season will mark 4 of a possible 6
seasons in the league) .269, 6 homers, 31 rbi's
2. Trachsel, Harold (2 seasons) 7-7, 4.68
3. Klesko, Arnie (Although he hasn't turned into the monster HR guy
I hoped for, 1999 will make it 6 out of 6 for him) .259, 35 hr, 97 rbi
4. Delgado, Dave (his appearance in this winter's SOMBILLA (98
card) will be his first and only season)
5. Floyd, Robin (possibly 2 seasons) .306, 3, 10
6. J. Hamilton, Tsuan (3 seasons) 20-11, 5.33 (As I recall, Andrew
couldn't make it to the draft, and so Tsuan made all the picks for
Future Wax)
7. (The retired) Bob Hamelin, Eric (1 season) .177, 10, 27
8. Ashby, Matt (another good year in '99 gives him 5 of 6) -
incomplete stats
9. Bones, Eric (1 season) 4-6, 5.38 (at least he isn't retired)
Best pick: A-Rod, Land although a close second to Matt's
Andy Ashby who has turned into a great pitcher.
Worst pick: Despite the 10 SOMBILLA homers, you gotta go
with a 7th pick overall who retires 4 years after being drafted.
Round 2
10. Van Landingham, Land (1 season) 4-3, 2.68
11. K. Rogers, Dave (2 seasons) 4-13, 7.47 - picked up by Future
Wax in the 5th round in this year's draft
12. A. Gonzalez, J&C (Tor.) (looks like they have the wrong
Alex Gonzalez [but not if you draft by looks - Robin])
13. Ontiveros, Harold (1 season) 6-2, 3.81
14. S. Green, Robin (a SOMBILLA rookie with last year's 97 cards,
'99 will make 3 good seasons in a row) .285, 1, 10
15. J. Lopez, J&C (5 out of 6) .230, 19, 69
16. S. Reynolds, Arnie (a good '99 should make 3 out of 6) 10-10,
5.39
17. Brogna, Matt (2 seasons) .329, 18, 48
18. T. Jones, Harold (3 seasons) 7-6, 5.87, 2 sv
Best pick - J. Lopez, although Green is coming on strong.
It'll be interesting to compare them in 3 years.
Worst pick - A. Gonzalez, J&C. The first player from
this draft to never play in the SOMBILLA. Arguably the worst pick in
the ’95 draft, which makes him the first player to be the best in
one study (Robin’s Cute Ratings in Study #3) and the worst in another
in the same year.
Round 3
Best pick - Rob Nen, Land (an impressive 6 for 6)
7-4, 2.96, 19 sv
Worst pick - Jose Oliva, Dave - the second player
from this draft to never make anyone's roster. (Honorable mention to
Red Sox and former Red Sox Pat Rapp, Bullinger, and Manzanillo)
Also picked - Howe, Harold (1 season), P. Gomez, Matt (1
season), Mesa, Robin (3 seasons), Manzanillo, Tsuan (1 season), Foster,
Land (1 season), Rapp, Matt (1 season), Bullinger, Eric (1 season)
Round 4
Best pick - Ismael Valdes (should be 6 for 6) 20-18, 4.70, 3
sv
Worst picks - none. Six of the nine players drafted in this
round played only 1 season in the league. That's tolerable from this
round, where you can pick up a one-year wonder to fill a hole. No one
should be penalized for that. (Technically, Albie Lopez doesn't fit
that mold, since his one year came 3 years after being drafted, saving
him from being the obvious worst pick in this round.)
Also picked - Nagy, J&C (3 seasons), Brantley, Eric (3 seasons)
Heredia, Dave; Freeman, Harold; Y. Perez, Land; Henry, Tsuan; A. Lopez,
Arnie; Nokes, Matt (1 season each)
Note: One of the funnier memories from the ’95 draft came from this exchange:
Arnie – “I draft Albie Lopez”
Eric – (paging through his draft sheets) “And he is...?”
Arnie – “A fat Mexican”
Round 5
Best pick - Vinny Castilla, Tsuan (5 of 6 seasons) .313, 25,
84
Worst picks - Everett, Dave and Darling, Matt. What were
they thinking? Neither one ever played in the league (after being
drafted in '95 that is. Darling did have a short career for the old
Learned Hands).
Also picked - Carrasco, J&C (1 season); R. Greer, Harold (3
seasons); Cirillo, Arnie (4 seasons); Borland, Robin (3 seasons);
S. Reed, Arnie (3 seasons); Aquino, Eric (1 season)
Round 6
Best pick - Mark Clark, Dave (by default). (2 seasons)
Worst picks - Hesketh (Tsuan), and Mabry (Matt) -
never played
Also picked - DeLeon, Matt (1 season); Hudek (J&C); Leiber (1
season, although he's having an interesting '99); Eichhorn, Robin
(1 season), Leiper, Arnie (1 season, but did strike out Barry Bonds to
end the SOMBILLA World Series that year); Lemke, Eric (1 season)
Round 7
Best pick - Bill Risley, J&C (the only player
from this round to play more than 1 season)
Worst pick - Stinnett, Matt (never played)
Also picked - M. Munoz, Robin; T. Scott, Harold; Mieske,
Land; Becker, Tsuan; Wallach, Dave; Fermin, Eric; Dreifort, Dave (1
season each)
Round 8
Best pick - None - nobody played more than 1 season
Worst picks - Leius, Dave; Mouton, Matt - never played in
the league
Also picked - Acre, Land; Eusebio, J&C; Cox, Harold;
Frye, Robin; Pirkl, Tsuan; Huff, Arnie; B. Taylor, Eric (1 season each)
Rounds 9, 10, & 11
Best pick - Kevin Seitzer, Harold (a former cut of North
Dakota, he played 3 seasons with Harold)
Worst picks - JR Phillips, Land; BL Hunter, Tsuan; C.
Howard, Tsuan; Jacome, Robin; D. Jackson, J&C (never played)
Also picked - E. Williams, Robin (1 season); Kingery, J&C (1
season), D. Fletcher, Arnie (2 seasons); Stankiewicz, Arnie (1 season);
S. Javier, J&C (2 seasons); Ogea, T&A; Schourek, Arnie;
Brumfield, Land (1 season each)
Best draft, 1995: Land! (A-Rod, Van Landingham, Nen, Foster, I. Valdes, Y. Perez, Mieske, Acre, JR Phillips, Brumfield.) Not a tremendous draft by any means, but it was not really a stellar draft for the entire league. He did manage to snag three great players, more than anyone else was able to do)
Worst draft, 1995: Matt (also the 1994 worst drafter) (Ashby, Brogna, P. Gomez, Rapp, Nokes, Darling, DeLeon, Mabry, Stinnett, Mouton). As usual, Matt's scouting ended after the 2nd round.
For our annual draft review, this summer we will do our 4-year
draft retrospective analysis of the 1996 draft. As always, the first 2
rounds (18 picks) will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny.
For these two rounds, SOMBILLA stats are available for those players
who
haven't played for Eric or Matt the past 2 years. After that, all picks
are lumped together by round.
We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '96 draft (using the 95, 96, 97, and 98 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 1999 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2000, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. The number of seasons that the player has played (or is projected to play) in the SOMBILLA is shown, regardless of whose SOMBILLA team they actually ended up playing with.
In '95-96, Matt finished in 8th place, 2 games ahead of Dave & Jeff and won the rolloff for the right to draft first overall. This was the last draft in Medford. How'd we do?
Round 1
Best picks: Tie. Chipper and Derek. Even though Chipper's played in all 6 and Jeter hasn't (not usable in his rookie year), these are two of the best players in the game.
Worst pick: A few years ago, I declared Matt's 1st round pick of Steve Karsay (6th overall in the '94 draft) to be the worst pick in SOMBILLA history because he was the highest draft pick to ever not play in the league. Well, Karsay finally had a good year in '99, causing him to get redrafted by Robin this year (He also may be usable for 2000). On the other hand, Jason Isringhausen was drafted 2 spots higher than Karsay, and has still never played in the league. The pressure is on to see if he can finish strong in 2000 to be usable and avoid the distinction of being the worst pick in league history. (And Isringhausen is the only reason I'm not writing about Johnny Damon here).
Round 2
10. Pettitte, D&J. 5 of 6 seasons (although he kind of stunk
in '99, Jeff may be forced to use him anyway, which would make him a
probable 6 for 6) (15-19, 5.53)
11. F. Castillo, Eric. 1 season (4-4, 6.09)
12. Nelson, Matt. 3 seasons
13. Jose Valentin, Robin 2 seasons
14. M. Cordova, Jed & Clint (J&C). Never actually made
their 25-man roster, although he had a cup of coffee for injuries.
15. Ausmus, Land. 4 seasons. (.267, 10, 52)
16. Q. Veras, D&J. 5 seasons, although never a starter for
Jeff - strictly a bench-warmer (.215, 4, 15)
17. Bottalico, RAT 2 seasons (6-3, 3.19, 14 sv)
18. J. Schmidt, J&C 2 seasons (6-7, 5.46)
Worst pick - M. Cordova J&C. At least Eric used Castillo for a full season.
Round 3
Best pick - D. Wilson, D&J. A pretty weak round 3 if you ask me.
Worst pick - D. Veras, J&C. The first player (other than possibly Isringhausen) from this draft who never played in the SOMBILLA.
Also picked - M. Maddux, Matt (2 seasons); Charlton, D&J (2); Leskanic, Eric (1); Pulsipher, Robin (0, but drafted after Veres); Belinda, Land (1); Ochoa, Harold (1); Suppan, J&C (1)
Round 4
Best pick - Alfonzo, D&J. Of course, Jeff cut Alfonzo a year later (his first move as sole GM of the franchise after Dave resigned), and Land picked him up 3rd overall at the '98 draft.
Worst pick - None. Five of the nine players drafted in this round played only 1 season in the league. That's tolerable from this round, where you can pick up a one-year wonder to fill a hole. No one should be penalized for that. (Technically, Roger Cedeno doesn't fit that mold, since his one year came 3 years after being drafted, saving him from being the obvious worst pick in this round.)
Also picked - Pavlik, Eric (1); Fossas, Arnie (1); Corsi, Robin (3); Slocumb, J&C (2); Worrell, Eric (1); D. Henry, Harold (1); Plesac, RAT (3); Cedeno, Arnie (1)
Round 5
Best pick - R. Durham, RAT. A decent 2000 gives him 3 seasons in the league.
Worst picks - Tucker, D&J; F. Rodriguez, Land. The 3 rd & 4th players picked who never played in the league.
Also picked - Lira, Matt (1); W. Williams, D&J (1); Ruffin, Robin (2); Petkovsek, Harold (1); Haney, RAT (1); E. Young, Arnie (2)
Round 6
Best pick - John Franco, J&C. Of course, they had to draft him only because they'd cut him 2 years earlier after a distinguished career with Jed. It was an excellent redraft, though, as a fine '00 season will give him 5 of 6 seasons.
Worst pick - R. Davis, Harold. The only player from this round who never made it to the SOMBILLA
Also picked - JT Snow, D&J (2); Walton, Eric (1); Colbrunn, Matt (1-3 seasons, I really don’t know); Acevedo, Robin (1); Cummings, Arnie (1); Florie, J&C (2); Whiteside, Arnie (1)
Round 7
Best pick - Higginson, J&C (2 seasons)
Worst pick - K. Abbott, Matt; Johns, RAT. Never played
Also picked - M. Lewis, D&J; Manto, Eric; Hosey, Robin; C. Perez, Land; Cangelosi, Harold; G. Williams, Arnie (1 season each)
Round 8
Best pick - A. Benitez, Harold (although Harold traded him to D&J after the draft)
Worst pick - H. Perry, J&C. Never played
Also picked - Crabtree, Eric; Borbon, Matt; T. Goodwin, Robin; A. Osuna, Land - 2 seasons each (not bad for the 8th round); Reuter, RAT; Henneman, J&C (1 season each)
Round 9
Best pick - Denny Neagle, Land. An outstanding 9th round pick, Neagle will have played 5 of 6 seasons after 2000,
Worst pick - Hollandsworth, Harold. The only player from this round not to play in the league.
Also picked - Sparks, Matt; Parent, Eric; E. Murray, J&C; Eischen, Robin; (1 season each); Morandini, RAT (2)
Rounds 10 & 11
Best pick - Mariano Rivera, Harold. An incomprehensible 10 th round pick, the 83rd pick overall. Rivera is 5 for 6.
Worst picks - L. Andujar, Matt; Wolcott, RAT
Also picked - Lansing, Eric (4); Bates, Robin; Huskey, Land;
Carreon, RAT; Gaetti, Matt; Reboulet, Land; A. Pena, Harold (1 season
each)
Best draft, 1996: Dave & Jeff! (C. Jones, Pettitte, Q. Veras, Charlton, D. Wilson, Alfonzo, W. Williams, Tucker, JT Snow, M. Lewis)
Worst draft, 1996: Matt (also the 1994 and 1995 worst
drafter) (C. Johnson, J, Nelson, M. Maddux, Lira, Colbrunn, K. Abbott,
Borbon, Sparks, L. Andujar, Gaetti). Enough said.
This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 1997 draft. As always, the first 2 rounds (18 picks) will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. For these two rounds, SOMBILLA stats are available for all players except for partial stats for some who played for Eric or Matt during the past 3 years. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.
We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '97 draft (using the 96, 97, 98 and 99 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 2000 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2001, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '96-97, Dave & Jeff finished in last place, earning the right to draft first overall. Dave resigned from the league at the end of the season, giving Jeff the entire ownership of the team. This was the first draft ever held in Holliston. How'd we do?
Round 1
1. Renteria, Jeff (.268, 6 homers, 53 rbis).
Has played in four full seasons, although does not appear to be usable
in either 2000 or 2001.
2. Radke, Matt (partial stats 7-4, 8.52). 2
seasons, plus having a good 2001.
3. A. Jones, Jed & Clint (.271, 32, 78). A
productive 3 seasons, with a good card in 2000.
4. T. Walker, Jeff (.252, 3, 15). Jeff's 2 nd
pick in the top 4 has played just one season so
far, but has a good card in 2000 and is having a good 2001.
5. C. Park, Land & Brian (6-8, 4.60) 2
seasons, plus 2000 and 2001.
6. L. Castillo, Robin (.229, 0, 16). 2
seasons, plus 2000 and 2001.
7. Garciaparra (.350 [234 for 668], 35, 142). 5
teams had a crack at this guy (one person had two cracks) and snubbed
their noses. 3 seasons, plus 2000 and (I assume a limited) 2001.
8. Rolen, Arnie (.241, 19, 80). 3 seasons, plus
2000 and 2001
9. A. Leiter, Harold (13-9, 5.66) 3 seasons, plus
2000 and 2001
Best pick: Right now, I gotta go with Nomar. Those would be great stats in MLB, let alone an all-star league like the SOMBILLA. But in ten years, it'll be interesting to compare Andrew Jones's career with Nomar's; Jones is still only 24, 3 years younger than Nomar.
Worst pick: No one really. T. Walker and Castillo both got off to very slow starts in their careers. Walker especially looked like a bust. But he's turned his career around nicely.
Round 2
10. Erstad, Jeff (.292, 1, 11) 3 seasons, plus 2000.
11. Brosius, L&B (.263, 3, 21) 1 season plus 2000.
12. B. Wagner, Harold (9-3, 3.91, 4 sv) 3 seasons, plus
having a good 2001
13. S. Sanders, J&C (8-4, 2.59). One season.
14. TJ Mathews, Matt (2-0, 10.48, 4 sv) One season
15. R. Pemberton, Robin (6 for 16, 3 rbis)
16. Kendall, RAT (.318, 6, 33). 3 seasons, plus 2000
17. Belcher, Arnie (4-6, 7.55) One season
18. M. James, Eric (0-1, 5.29, 2 sv) One season.
Best pick - Tie. Wagner, Harold and Kendall, RAT. Let's see. 5 teams drafted one year wonders in this round. 2 of the four who didn't played in the World Series last year.
Worst pick - Rudy Pemberton, Robin. Mutant supreme, but the 15th overall pick for 16 at bats?
Round 3
Best pick - Giles, RAT. All 6 seasons, one of only two players from this draft with that claim. I see a trend here. They find these guys who then get to play in the World Series for Randy.
Worst pick - Bluma, Robin. The earliest player drafted who never played in the SOMBILLA.
Also picked - Dye, Jeff (1 season + 2000); R. Ordonez, Matt (2 seasons); T. Worrell, J&C (1 season); Rosado, Arnie (3 seasons); T. Adams, L&B (2 seasons, plus 2000); R. Jefferson, Arnie (1 season); Cook, Eric (3 seasons).
Round 4
Best pick - Shuey, Arnie. Not usable at all for 3 calendar years (2 seasons) after being drafted but played last SOMBILLA season, had a fine 2000 and is looking good again in 2001.
Worst pick - Bielecki, Harold. Never played in the SOMBILLA. Chosen just ahead of Prieto
Also picked - Prieto, L&B (never played); Al. Benes, Harold (2 seasons); Grudzelanik, J&C (2 seasons); Offerman, L&B (2 seasons); Trombley, Eric (2 seasons); Guthrie, RAT (1 season); E. Davis, Eric (1 season)
Round 5
Best pick - T. Clark, J&C (4 seasons, plus a fine 2001). An outstanding 5th round pick.
Worst pick - Bochtler, RAT. The only player from this round to not appear in the SOMBILLA.
Also picked - Wendell, Jeff (2 seasons plus 2000); Shaw, Matt (3 seasons plus 2001); MacFarlane, Eric (1 season); Radinsky, L&B (2 seasons); B. Taylor, Robin (3 seasons); D'Amico, Arnie (cut after 2 season ending surgeries, was drafted 4th overall by Matt this year); Sprague, Eric (1 season)
Round 6
Best pick - McElroy, Robin. After being cut by J&C, Robin picked him up and got 3 seasons out of him.
Worst picks - Coppinger, RAT; Dickson, Arnie. We gambled and lost.
Also picked - Baldwin, Harold (1 season); Batista, L&B (1 season); R. Rivera, Harold (1 season); Burba, J&C (2 seasons); Becker, Matt (1); Flaherty, Eric (1)
Round 7
Best pick - D. Graves, Harold (3 seasons)
Worst picks- 'Way Back' Wasdin, Matt; D. Young, L&B; Eldred, Eric; Wade, J&C. Never made the big-time.
Also picked - Holtz, Jeff (1); J. Wright, Robin (cut and redrafted 5th overall this year); Mi. Grace, RAT (1); Estes, Arnie (2)
Round 8
Best pick - FPS, Harold (although Harold cut him and redrafted him last year). 3 seasons
Worst picks - McCracken, Robin; Stahoviak, Eric. Never played.
Also picked - McLemore, Jeff (1); Whiten, L&B (1); Berroa, J&C (1); Stottlemyre, Matt (1); Elster, RAT (1); Casian, Arnie (1)
Round 9
Best picks - Tie. Urbina, Harold (all 6 seasons) and M. Sweeney, Robin (5 seasons). Two outstanding 9th round picks.
Worst picks - B. Brown, Matt; Paquette, J&C; Howard, Harold. Quite a contrast to Urbina and Sweeney.
Also picked - P. Wilson, Jeff (1); Espinoza, RAT (1); Osik, Arnie (1); Stairs, Eric (4 seasons and in most years, would be the best 9 th round pick)
Rounds 10 & 11
Best picks - N. Perez, Harold (3 seasons); B. Mueller, Robin (4 seasons). Perez is 4 years younger.
Worst pick - None
Also picked - H. Rodriguez, J&C (2); S. Andrews, Matt (1); Valle, RAT (1); Deer, Matt (1)
Best draft, 1997: Harold (A. Leiter, B. Wagner, Bielecki, Al. Benes, Baldwin, R. Rivera, Graves, FPS, D. Howard, N. Perez). 4 years later, he won the World Series.
Worst draft, 1997 tie: Matt (for the 4th
consecutive year) (Radke, TJ Mathews, R. Ordonez, Shaw, Becker, Wasdin,
Stottlemyre, B. Brown, S. Andrews, Deer) and Eric (M. James, Cook,
Trombley, E. Davis, MacFarlane, Sprague, Flaherty, Eldred, Stahoviak;
Stairs). Coming off a SOMBILLA championship, this draft began Eric's
downward spiral into the SOMBILLA's netherworld.
This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 1998 draft. As always, the first 2 rounds (18 picks) will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. For these two rounds, SOMBILLA stats are available for all players except for partial stats for some who played for Clint, Eric or Matt during the past 4 years. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.
We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '98 draft (using the 97, 98, 99 and 00 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 2001 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2002, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '97-98, we had a historic 4-way rolloff for the 1st pick – between Clint, Robin, Jeff & Brian. How'd we do?
The player’s SOMBILLA stats (where available) are shown.
Round 1
Best pick: Well, I gotta go with God Vlad, but Alfonzo, who was cut by Jeff a year earlier, is a very close 2nd . No one else in this round (Morris is probably 3rd) is even close to these two so far.
Worst pick: A few years ago, I declared Matt's 1st round pick of Steve Karsay (6th overall in the '94 draft) to be the worst pick in SOMBILLA history because he was the highest draft pick to ever not play in the league. Well, Karsay finally had a good year in '99, causing him to get redrafted by Robin. Then, two years ago, I declared Jason Isringhausen to be the new worst pick ever because he was 4th overall in the ’96 draft, and had still never played in the league. Well, Izzy had a fine 2001 and will be on my staff this year. Now Jaret Wright, on the other hand, is out of the SOMBILLA having been cut by Eric this year for having no card. It is pretty safe to say that Mr. W. will not be a late bloomer like Karsay and Izzy. Therefore, I think once and for all, we can now declare "Jaret Wright was the worst SOMBILLA draft pick of all time".
Round 2
Best pick – Tejada, Land & Brian in a very close choice over both Millwood and Hermanson. I give Tejada the nod because he’s now in the midst of his 3rd straight solid year, so his stock is still rising. Hermanson and Millwood are not usable in either 2001 or 2002.
Worst pick – Tough call. Loiselle was a pretty bad pick, but he did play for me. Similar to Nunnally. But I tend to doubt that Kotsay ever played for Eric and since he has no way to prove otherwise, we’ll go with Kotsay.
Round 3
Best pick – Todd Helton, Jed & Clint. (.306, 30, 74) 5 of the 6 seasons; he wasn’t usable when first drafted. Great 3 rd round pick, guys. I’m sure it was all Clint’s idea.
Worst pick – Abraham Nunez, Arnie. Although he actually did get called up for an injury replacement (1 for 4), there’s no sugarcoating this waste of a 3rd rounder.
Also picked – Dreifort, Robin (4 seasons); S. Stewart, L&B (3 seasons, plus 2001 and 2002); Tomko, Jeff (1 season); Encarnacion, Eric (1 season assumed); Magnante, Arnie (1 season); F. Cordova, Arnie (2 seasons); J. Thompson, RAT (1 season)
Round 4
Best pick – Tatis, Jeff (.246, 14, 48) 3 seasons, plus 2002. Pronounced "Tattice" and "Tate-iss" by league members when drafted by Jeff, he appears to have the last laugh.
Worst pick – As best I can tell, Carlos Guillen (Land and Brian) has never actually played in the SOMBILLA.
Also picked – M. Ordonez, J&C (only 1 season. Shocking isn’t it?); Escobar, Robin (1 season plus 2001), D. Cruz, Eric (at least 2 seasons, but who really knows?); Stanton, Matt (at least one season, but there’s no paper trail); Fullmer, Arnie (only 1 season, but one memorable World Series homer); Burnitz, J&C (1 season); G. Stephenson, RAT (1 season). Note that half of these guys were redrafted this year.
Round 5
Best picks – Jeff Reed, Arnie; Blauser, Jeff; Sojo, Arnie; T. Ward, Harold; D. Patterson, RAT, W. Guerrero, Eric. One year wonders, all.
Worst picks – Everyone else: K. Garcia, Jed & Clint, Jeremy Gonzalez, L&B; Spoljaric, Matt. They gambled and lost.
Round 6
Best picks – Alan Embree, Robin (1-0, 2sv, 5.55) 2 seasons, plus 2002; Rincon, FW (1-2, 2sv, 9.00) 2 seasons, plus 2001.
Worst picks – Carpenter, Harold; Graffanino, Matt; Orie, Harold. Never made it to the big table.
Also picked – Cather, Eric (1); Easley, J&C (1); Sullivan, Eric (2 seasons, I think); Carlos Hernandez, Arnie (2 rings)
Round 7
Best picks - Glanville, Robin (.327, 3, 23, 9sb); J. Powell, J&C (2-2, 4.81, 4 sv); Segui, Arnie (.308, 17, 62); D. Lewis, Harold (.200, 0, 6). We all got 2 seasons each out of these guys.
Worst picks- Fat Toad Irabu, Harold, and Tom Evans, Matt. Never made the big-time.
Also picked - Naehring, Arnie; Gunderson, RAT 1 season each.
Round 8
Best pick - Bartolo Colon, Harold. (15-10, 6.43) 3 seasons, plus 2002. An outstanding 8th round pick.
Worst picks - M. Valdez, Land & Brian. Never played.
Also picked - E. Marrero (2 seasons); Loaiza, J&C (3 seasons); Tewksbury, Robin (1); Stottlemyre, Eric (1 or 2; no one will ever know); Wilkins, Matt (1); Ledesma, RAT (2). A pretty good 8 th round for the league, actually.
Round 9
Best picks - Tie. Lieberthal, Eric (4 seasons, and maybe 2002); Posada, Harold (2 seasons, plus 2001 and 2002). You too can draft all-star catchers in the 9th round.
Worst picks - Dunwoody, L&B; Cloude, Jeff; Belinda, RAT. Quite a contrast to Lieberthal and Posada.
Also picked - Frye, Robin (2); Helling, J&C (3); Lowe, Eric (2, plus 2002 - coming on strong)
Rounds 10 & 11
Best picks - Mendoza, Harold; F. Vina, L&B, traded to Matt (both 2 seasons plus 2001 and 2002)
Worst pick - O'Leary, L&B; Aybar, Robin; Thomson, Matt; Holt, RAT; Haynes, Jeff; Sheets, Matt
Also picked - P. Reese, Jeff (3)
Trades
Best draft, 1998: A tie between Jed & Harold. Jed had an excellent early draft (V. Guerrero, Cameron, Helton, M. Ordonez, Burnitz, K. Garcia, Easley, J. Powell, Loaiza, Helling), while Harold came on strong at the end (Speirs, Hidalgo, T. Ward, Carpenter, Orie, D. Lewis, Irabu, Colon, Posada, Mendoza).
Worst draft, 1998: Matt (for the 5th consecutive year) (R. Reed, Nunnally, Stanton, Spoljaric, Graffanino, Evans, M. Wilkins, Thomson, Sheets). It's not that difficult to figure out how Matt ended up 10-43 last year.This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 1999 draft. As usual, the first 2 rounds will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. For these two rounds, SOMBILLA stats are available for all players except for partial stats for some who played for Eric or Matt during the past 4 years. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.
We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '99 draft (using the 98, 99, 00 and 02 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 2002 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2003, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '98-99, Clint and Eric had a roll-off for the 1st pick – with Eric winning. How'd we do?
The player’s SOMBILLA stats (where available) are shown.
Round 1
Best pick: At this juncture, I’d say Chavez was the best pick. He’s had a good year every year except his draft year, when he was a September callup. Wood is a close 2nd and Drew and Beltran are coming on strong as well.
Worst pick: Last year, I declared that Jaret Wright, drafted 5th overall in the ’98 draft was the worst SOMBILLA draft pick of all time, since he was the highest drafted player (to date) having never appeared in the league. Cameo appearances as an injury call-up aside (when simply being the only position player available on your roster can be the reason), Beltre is now the highest drafted player never to appear in the league. Being a position player makes it all the more outrageous, since, as we all know, pitchers are a lot less predictable. Thus, I declare Adrian Beltre to be the new worst draft pick of all-time.*
Round 2
Best pick – Abreau, L&T. Arguably the best pick of the entire 1999 draft; they made a nice comeback from Beltre.
Worst pick – A. Gonzalez, Jeff. The Florida A. Gonzalez, the only player from this round who never played in the league. Although in fairness to Jeff, it was a pretty shitty round for most of the league, and he’s having a good 2003.
Round 3
Best pick – Shane Spencer, Matt. 3 of the 6 seasons, although one could argue that the only reason this guy got to play in the league was because Matt’s teams were so crappy, he didn’t have anyone better. The other conclusion is that, with a couple of notable exceptions, the 1999 draft was a terrible draft. We should have all stayed home.
Worst picks – Vazquez, Eric; Moeller, J&C; Caruso, J&C; C. Guillen, Jeff; Matt Anderson, Harold. See what I mean?
Also picked – Daal, Robin; Mi. Williams, RAT; Lima, Arnie
Round 4
Best pick – Steve Kline, Jeff. This obscure lefty reliever has been in Jeff’s bullpen for 4 straight seasons, and has a World Series ring. In a few years it’s possible A. Ramirez will be considered the best pick from this round.
Worst picks – C. Castillo, Matt, Stan Spencer, Arnie. Who?
Also picked – Brocail, Jeff; Konerko, Eric; Christiansen, Robin, Rocker, L&T; A. Ramirez, RAT; T. Fernandez, Harold
Round 5
Best picks – Loretta, Eric and Sexson, Jeff. Five seasons for both and still going strong.
Worst pick – Bobby Smith, J&C. Never draft retired hockey players.
Also picked – Mulholland, Matt; Casey, L&T; Cabrera, Robin; K. Rogers, RAT; Service, J&C; Hatteberg, Arnie
Round 6
Best pick – Varitek, L&C. Not Hatteberg.
Worst pick – E. Wilson, Robin. Surprisingly, only one player from this round never played in the league. Definitely a better round for the league than the 3rd round.
Also picked – Howry, L&T; Winn, Robin; Fasano, Matt; Wall, Jeff; Mecir, RAT; C. Wilson, Harold; Hill, Arnie
Round 7
Best picks – Wendell, Eric and P. Byrd, Matt. 3 seasons each.
Worst pick – None. Every other player from this round was a one-year wonder (Sefcik had a surprise bonus year as well).
Also picked – Bohanon, J&C; Darrensbourg, L&T; Hayes, Robin; Nitkowski, Eric; Lloyd, RAT; T. Goodwin, Harold; Sefcik, Arnie
Round 8
Best picks – C. Everett, L&T; D. Lee, RAT; H. Bush, Matt. 2 seasons each.
Worst picks – Bere, Eric; Tabaka, Matt; Marlon Anderson, Harold. Never played.
Also picked – Yan, J&C; M. Maddux, Robin; Bergman, Jeff.
Trivia: I believe this is the first round in history to have 3 picks in each category.
Round 9
Best picks – Ponson, J&C; Simas, RAT; Leyritz; Arnie; A. Boone, Harold. 1-year wonders. If you can’t find a 1-year wonder in the 9th round, you’re just prospecting.
Worst picks – Relaford, Matt; Baldwin, L&T; Sadler, Robin; Fontenot, Jeff (everyone else)
Rounds 10 -12
Best picks – Bordick, J&C; D. Ortiz, Arnie. Due to a technicality (J&C were out of draft picks), Harold agreed to draft Bordick for Bunghole (in exchange for a 9th round pick in ’00, which became Chris Widger). David Ortiz was a 12th round pick who was actually the last player chosen in the entire ’99 draft. Having a fine 2003 will give him 3 seasons, same as Bordick.
Worst pick – Girardi, Harold. Incredibly, the only player from these rounds not to make it.
Also picked – E. Perez, Eric; Paul Wilson, Jeff; Lightenberg, RAT; Benard, Arnie; D. Wells, Arnie; C. Bradford, Harold.
Trades
Only two ‘major’ trades were consummated on or around
draft day (there were several minor trades) 1999:
Best draft, 1999: RAT. Solid, but not spectacular. Other teams seemed to gamble more (and lose), while as usual, these guys got what they needed. (Wood, Mantei, Mi. Williams, A. Ramirez, K. Rogers, Mecir, Lloyd, D. Lee, Simas, Lightenberg)
Worst draft, 1999: Harold (breaking Matt’s 5-year string) (Glaus, Matt Anderson, T. Fernandez, C. Wilson, T. Goodwin, Marlon Anderson, A. Boone, Girardi, Bradford). In fairness, he had no 1 st or 5 th round picks, and he basically forfeited his 10t h round pick (the Bordick thing). He also managed to win the World Series 3 years later, anyway.
This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2000 draft. As usual, the first 2 rounds will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.
We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '00 draft (using the 99, 00, 01 and 02 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 2003 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2004, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '99-00, Clint, Eric, Robin, Harold and Tom (all the non-playoff teams) were involved in an unprecedented 5-way rolloff for 1st pick – with Harold winning. How'd we do?
The player’s SOMBILLA stats are shown.
Round 1
Best pick: Tim Hudson, with Keith Foulke an honorable mention. They’re both pretty awesome and it would be a tie, except that I give more weight to Hudson’s being a starter - he pitches 3x more innings than Foulke, making him a more valuable Strat-O pick in my opinion.
Worst pick: Well, an excellent case could be made for Todd Ritchie (or perhaps Ramon Ortiz?), but I’m going with Ruben Mateo for two reasons. One, Ritchie was actually a regular in my rotation one year. Mateo only played for Harold as an injury callup. And the second reason is that Mateo was the second pick overall, Ritchie was 9th .
Round 2
Best pick – Matt Clement, Tom & Land (just rating the draft pick, not the decision to cut him). When all is said and done, V. Wells may well be the best player from this bunch as he is still only 25 and just coming into his own.
Worst picks – Tie between Rupe and D. Nilsson, 1 year wonders both.
Round 3
Best picks – Petrick and Jenkins, Harold; Koch, Robin 3 seasons all
Worst picks – Bergeron, Arnie. The first pick from this draft who never appeared in the league.
Also picked – Villone, J&C; Hermanson, RAT? (my notes say Tom drafted him, but I think that’s a mistake. He played for RAT that year); Milton, J&C; Seanez, Harold; Febles, RAT
Round 4
Best pick – Phil Nevin , Jed & Clint. He played two years for the ill fated BiG DiG and was picked up in the contraction draft by Tom. He will play in all 6 seasons.
Worst picks – B. Davis, Jeff; Person, Matt. Never played. Some early prospecting turned sour.
Also picked – Durazo, Robin; Garces, Eric; Kapler, Jeff; B. Davis, Jeff; Embree, RAT; R. Hernandez, Arnie; K. Wells, T&L. Note that Garces and Kapler were consecutive picks. A prize to whoever comes up with the best joke about contrasting physiques.
Round 5
Best pick – Mike Remlinger, Arnie. 2004 will represent the first time he’s not usable since being drafted.
Worst pick – Branyan, Jeff; B. Carlyle, Matt. The only guys from this round who never played. Who is B. Carlyle?
Also picked – Shumpert, J&C; Ochoa, Eric; Belliard, T&L;; R. Cedeno, Harold; Johnstone, RAT; M. Barrett, Arnie
Round 6
Best pick – Luis Gonzalez, Arnie. The next year he hit 56 homers. 5 seasons overall.
Worst pick – W. Morris, Jeff. Consecutive DNPs for Jeff.
Also picked – Karsay, Robin; Mays, T&L; Mayne, Harold; Jaha, J&C; Quinn, Matt; T. Nixon, Eric; Cormier, RAT. A pretty good round overall, actually.
Round 7
Best pick – Octavio Dotel, Tom & Land. 3 seasons in the league - now Oakland’s shitty closer.
Worst pick – W. Veras, Robin. Hard to believe, but he’s the only 7th rounder to not play in the SOMBILLA
Also picked – Surhoff, J&C; McGlinchy, Jeff; Singleton, Eric; Daubach, Matt; FP Santangelo, Harold; wife-beater Chouinard, RAT; Grebeck, Arnie
Round 8
Best pick – Eric Gagne, Arnie. 5 seasons. Passing Bartolo Colon as the best 8th round pick of all time.
Worst pick – D. Ward, Tom. Hard to believe, but he’s the only 8th rounder to not play in the SOMBILLA
Also picked – Velarde, Robin; Grimsley, Eric; Sauerbeck, Jeff; B. Wells, J&C; Olivares, Matt; Pote, Harold; Moyer, RAT
Round 9
Best pick – The much-maligned Byung-Hyun Kim. He’s still just 25 and has played 4 seasons for Robin. Actually top to bottom, this draft could be the best SOMBILLA draft ever.
Worst pick – Blake, Jeff. Hard to believe, but he’s the only 9th rounder to not play in the SOMBILLA
Also picked - Widger, Harold; Aguilera, Eric; B. Trammell, Tom; Mahomes, RAT; Delucci, RAT; Lampkin, Arnie
Rounds 10 -11
Best pick – C. Guzman. Eric. Nice 10th-round 3-season grab here.
Worst pick –M. Munoz, RAT. Hard to believe, but he’s the only 10th rounder+ to not play in the SOMBILLA
Also picked – W. Gonzalez, Robin; Thurman, Tom; Lieber, Arnie; E. Diaz, Robin; P. Abbott, RAT
Trades
Three trades were consummated on draft day 2000:
Best draft, 2000: North Dakota. Excellent draft after a particularly slow start. But as noted earlier, a very good draft for the league as a whole. (Ritchie, Bergeron, Ramon Hernandez, Remlinger, M. Barrett, L. Gonzalez, Grebeck, Gagne, Lampkin, Lieber)
Worst draft, 2000: Jeff (for what it’s worth, 3 years later, a couple of these guys played on his championship team) (F. Garcia, Kapler, B. Davis, Branyan, W. Morris, McGlinchy, Sauerbeck, Blake). Eerily, Harold had the worst draft of ’99 and also managed to win the World Series 3 years later. The key to success??!
This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2001 draft. As usual, the first 2 rounds will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.
We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '01 draft (using the 00, 01, 02 and 03 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 2004 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2005, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '00-01, Matt finished in last place convincingly and had the first pick. How'd we do?
The player’s SOMBILLA stats are shown.
Round 1
Best pick: Not even close. Jose Vidro, Jeff (Jeff actually acquired this pick from Eric in the L. Walker trade)
Worst pick: What a shitty first round! 4 players who were one year wonders. Since D’Amico was the first of the lot, 4 th overall, he gets the nod (although I do recall he had a good card).
Round 2
Best picks– Rollins, Arnie; Lowell, Jed & Clint; B. Molina, Jeff– tough call to name just one.
Worst picks – Frank Castillo, Matt. The worst draft pick of 2001.
Round 3
Best pick – Lance Berkman, Arnie (regardless of your opinion of the trade to RAT) 5 seasons (all 6 if he becomes usable for 2005).
Worst picks – Patterson, Jeff; Blanco, Matt; Hawkins, J&C; Leskanic, Robin; K. Walker, RAT; Burkhart, Harold. One year wonders all.
Also picked – Wolf, Tom (3); W. Williams, Arnie (2)
Round 4
Best picks– Eaton, Jeff (1 for Jeff and 1 redrafted by Arnie); Armas, Eric (2); Higginson, Matt (2)
Worst picks – Okha, Matt. Never played.
Also picked – R. White, Arnie; C. Lee, J&C; Alfonseca, J&C; Penny, RAT; Soriano, Harold. One season each
Round 5
Best pick – Placido Polanco, Matt. All 6 seasons! (Some of those no doubt legit good cards. Others perhaps because he drafts guys like Frank Castillo and Okha, so somebody has to play).
Worst pick – Piatt, RAT. Early prospecting gone sour. Did go 2 for 3 in an injury callup.
Also picked – Randa, Jeff (2, including 1 for Robin); M. Suzuki, J&C (1); Rekar, J&C (1); A. Brown, Robin (1); Strickland, Tom (1); D. Fletcher, Arnie (1); Lugo, J&C (1)
Round 6
Best pick – Derek Lee, RAT. 1 season for RAT, then he was traded to Matt & Jed at the 2003 draft along with Brian Giles, Jason Kendall, & a 1st round pick (became Eric Hinske) for Edmonds (SOMBILLA MVP this past season) and Eric Chavez. 3 seasons overall.
Worst pick – Huff, Jeff. DNP
Also picked – Speier, Matt (1); F. Rodriguez, Robin (3, but no triple crown like D. Lee); Fordyce, J&C (1); Hollandsworth, Eric (1); Stynes, Tom (1); Chen, Matt (2, just redrafted); Hairston, Harold (1)
Round 7
Best pick – Jay Payton, Eric. 3 seasons in the league. Eric drafted him knowing he’d be on the Red Sox 4 years later (however briefly).
Worst pick – Lombard, Jeff; Kohlmeyer, J&C. Who?
Also picked – Richard, Matt (1); Herges, Tom (2); Sparks, Robin (2); L. Rivas, Arnie (1); Truby, RAT (1)
Round 8
Best pick – Corey Koskie, Eric. 4 seasons.
Worst pick – R. Bell, Matt. Hard to believe, but he’s the only 8th rounder to not play in the SOMBILLA
Also picked – McLemore, Jeff (2); D. Buford, Robin (1); Pierre, Eric (1); R. Ortiz (Ana), Tom (1); Tollberg, Arnie (1); Wells, RAT (1); Barcelo, Harold (1)
Round 9
Best pick – Mark Buehrle, Robin. 4 seasons and still going strong.
Worst picks – Zuletta, Jeff; Rusch, RAT; Kinney, Harold – never played in the SOMBILLA
Also picked – Garland, Harold (believe it or not, but 05 will be his debut); Reames, Robin (1); Veres, Tom (1)
Rounds 10 -12
Best pick – AJ Burnett,. Eric. A 12 th round pick, the 89th player chosen, has played 4 seasons.
Worst picks – Bernero, Eric; J. Silva, Arnie – never played
Also picked – A. Gonzalez, Robin (1) (aka ‘the cute one’); C. Guillen, Tom (2); Estellela, Arnie (1); Hocking, RAT (1); D. Lewis, Harold (1); Matheney, Eric (2); Vander Wal, Tom (1); Sheldon, Arnie(1); Grace, Harold (1)
Trades
Three trades were consummated on draft day 2001
Best draft, 2001: Eric!. All the more impressive is that he didn’t have a 1st , 3rd or 5 th rounder and his 2nd round pick was P. Wilson. Three years later he won the championship. (P. Wilson, Armas Jr., Hollandsworth, Payton, Koskie, Pierre, Bernero, Matheney, Burnett)
Worst draft, 2001: Matt, despite 3 first round picks. (Furcal, D’Amico, Zito, F. Castillo, Okha, Higginson, Polanco, Speier, Chen, C. Richard, R. Bell).
This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2002 draft. As usual, the first 2 rounds will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.
We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '02 draft (using the 01, 02, 03 and 04 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 2005 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2006, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons.
This was the draft after the Bunghole Quahogs dissolved. After much discussion, it was decided to lump all of the Bunghole dispersal players in with the rookies and free agents to create one big super draft. Robin and Jeff rolled off for the first pick with Jeff winning. Eric and Arnie rolled for the 3rd pick, with Arnie winning. How'd we do?
The player’s SOMBILLA stats are shown.
Round 1
Best pick: A star among stars, I have to go with Pujols here (despite the outcries of ‘fix’). Guerrero, Oswalt, A. Jones and Helton are all great players, but when all is said and done, I think Pujols will be considered the best.
Worst pick: In a round filled with future Hall of Famers and then current all-stars, Matt & Jed chose a one year wonder.
Round 2
Best pick– Nice comeback by Jed & Matt to snag Ichiro here
Worst picks – Joel Piniero, Robin and John Burkett, Eric
Round 3
Best pick – John Smoltz, Matt & Jed (a contracted Bungholian, he will have played at least 5 of the 6 potential seasons. We have no stats from this franchise for last year).
Worst picks – Zimmerman, Jeff and Baez, Tom & Land. Both are one-year wonders, although it took Baez a few years to earn his one-year wonder status
Also picked – J. Uribe, Robin (2); Escobar, Arnie (2); Farnsworth, Eric (3), N. Johnson, Harold (2 – ’05 and ’06)
Round 4
Best pick – Guardado, Eric (5 seasons!)
Worst pick – J. Ortiz, Tom & Land. Drafting a Colorado pitcher, what did they expect? The first player from this draft who never played in the SOMBILLA.
Also picked – Catalanotto, Robin (3); Fox, Jeff (1); T. Phelps, Arnie (1); O. Cabrera, Arnie (3); F. Lopez, Harold (1); M. Giles, RAT (3)
Round 5
Best picks – Mike Lowell, Jeff and Craig Wilson, RAT – A Red Sox and a Yankee. 4 of 6 seasons for both.
Worst pick – Carlos Pena, Arnie. Alas. Other than a brief injury callup, a total bust.
Also picked – Fossum, Robin (1); D. Miller, Eric (1); T. Hall, Tom & Land (1); Rincon, RAT (2). Izturis, drafted by Harold is not listed with Pena as a worst pick even though he has never played in the SOMBILLA because he is still on Harold’s team as a prospect.
Round 6
Best pick – Roy Halladay, Robin. All 6 seasons. An outstanding 6th round pick, 2 years after I chided Jed & Clint for taking him in the first round and one year after Jed & Clint cut him.
Worst pick – A. Berroa, RAT. Has never played in the SOMBILLA (though he is still on their roster 4 years later).
Also picked – Lidle, Jeff (1); Manzanillo, Eric (1); B. Groom, Arnie (2); K. Millar, M&J (3); Sheets, T&L (2); Riedling, RAT (1)
Round 7
Best pick – CC Sabathia, T&L, assuming he is usable in ’06, which would give him 3 seasons
Worst pick – Lawton, Eric DNP
Also picked – Stanton, Jeff (1); J. Cruz, Robin (1); W. Gonzalez, Arnie (2); Mesa, M&J (2); Kreuter, Harold (1); Weathers, RAT (1)
Round 8
Best pick – David Eckstein, Jeff 2 seasons – one with Arnie, one with Eric and none for Jeff who cut him, not realizing that he was the best 8th round pick.
Worst pick – Duckworth, Robin and Reitsma, Eric. The only 8th rounders to not play in the SOMBILLA
Also picked – LeCroy, Arnie (1); V. Nunez, M&J (1); Conine, T&L (1); Charlton, RAT (1)
Round 9
Best pick – Brian Lawrence, Harold. 3 seasons.
Worst picks – Crede, Jeff. Hard to believe he’s the only player from the 9th round to have never played in the SOMBILLA
Also picked – Redmond, Robin (1); Cairo, Arnie (1); Grimsley, M&J (2); J. Lopez, M&J (1); Fassero, T&L (1); Mirabelli, RAT (2)
Round 10
Best pick – Craig Counsell, Harold and Luis Matos, Jeff. 2 seasons each
Worst pick – Shea Hillenbrand, Eric. Hard to believe he’s the only player from the 10th round to have never played in the SOMBILLA
Also picked – O. Perez, Robin; D. Bautista, Arnie; D. Williams, M&J; Lincoln, T&L; R. Sanchez, RAT – 1 season each
Round 11
Best pick – AJ Pierzynski, Eric (4 seasons). An outstanding pickup in the 11th round.
Worst pick – Dempster, T&L. Yup, you guessed it. Hard to believe he’s the only player from the 11th round to have never played in the SOMBILLA
Also picked – Shinjo, Robin; V. Padilla, Arnie; D. Young; Javier, Harold; Colome, RAT - 1 season each
Rounds 12-15
(Because of contraction, the draft was 14 rounds. Two teams chose in the 15th round as a result of trades).
Best picks: Tim Wakefield, Robin and Melvin Mora, T&L. 3 seasons each. Great picks!
Worst picks: Mienkiewicz, Eric; Redding, T&L; Jiminez, Harold; R. Ordonez, Eric; B. Smith, RAT; Cordova, Eric; Alfonseca, M&J; Burnitz, Harold.
Also picked: Ma. Grace, Robin (1); Zaun, Arnie (1); Matthews, M&J (1); T. Perez, RAT (1); McGriff, Arnie (2); J. Hernandez, M&J (1); Hairston, Harold (1); Fick, M&J; Lilly, Harold (2)
Trades
There were no trades consummated on draft day 2002!
You are all a bunch of woosies.
Best draft, 2002: Jeff! (Although it was a remarkably even draft):
(Guerrero, LoDuca, Zimmerman, Fox, Lowell, Lidle, Stanton, Eckstein, Crede, Matos)
Worst draft, 2002: Eric (Helton, Burkett, Farnsworth, Guardado, D. Miller, Manzanillo, Lawton, Reitsma, Hillenbrand, Pierzynski, Mienkiewicz, R. Ordonez, Cordova). Impressively drafting 3 players with "z’s" in their names.
This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2003 draft. As usual, the first 2 rounds will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.
We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '03 draft (using the 02, 03, 04 and 05 cards), and we will begin playing another season, the 2006 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2007, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons.
Robin and Matt rolled off for the first pick with Robin winning. How'd we do?
The player’s SOMBILLA stats are shown for rounds of picks. But note that Eric has only completed 2 ½ of the 4 years worth of stats , and Jeff 3.
Round 1
Best pick: Tough call. I’m going with a 3-way tie among Prior, Beckett and Hafner. These are the only 3 players still in the SOMBILLA. (Although Prior’s future is iffy at best).
Worst pick: In what easily could be the worst first round of a SOMBILLA draft ever, Jeff Borchard (I had to look up his ironic first name) takes the cake. Indeed, I believe he is the only first-round pick in the history of the league to never have played in the SOMBILLA - and he was cut in 2005. I hereby nominate this as the worst draft pick in SOMBILLA history. Gary Redus rejoices!
Round 2
Best pick– Nice comeback by Jeff to snag K-Rod here. Note that the card Jeff drafted was the extremely limited (6 innings) F Rod card and that was the only season he hasn’t been usable.
Worst pick – Omar Infante, Arnie. Note that Matt & Jed had 4 picks in the first 13, which they used to draft Beckett, Hinske, Julio, and Huff. Three years and multiple loss records later, Matt quit the league.
Round 3
Best pick – Chad Bradford, Arnie (3 seasons, counting ’06 and ’07 in Robin’s pen). This says a lot more about this round than it does about ‘ol Chad.
Worst picks – Everyone else was a one-year wonder! Hammond, Robin; R. Lopez, M&J; J. Jones, Eric; O. Hernandez, Harold; L. Vizcaino, T&L; Bellhorn, RAT; Acevedo, Jeff
Round 4
Best pick – Mark Ellis, Tom (2 seasons, MVP of the World Series and still on Tom’s team)
Worst pick – Sean Burroughs, RAT. The only player from this round who never played in the SOMBILLA.
Also picked – A. Kennedy, M&J; Randa, Robin; Holmes, Eric; LaRue, Harold; Dessens, Arnie; S. Reed, Jeff. One-year wonders, all.
Round 5
Best pick - Carl Crawford, Arnie. 4 seasons (counting ’07) so far.
Worst pick – Damian Moss, RAT. Who?
Also picked – G. Anderson, Robin (2); Lackey, M&J (2- in ’06 and ’07); Donnelly, Eric (2); M. Batista, Eric (2); Pollitte, T&L (2); D. Marte, Jeff (3).
Round 6
Best pick – Jake Peavy, Arnie. 4 seasons (counting ’07) so far.
Worst pick – B. Myers, Jeff. Went from highly touted prospect to having his card burned. While it is true that, Tom’s H. Choi was drafted in the round and also never played in the SOMBILLA, he never beat up his wife on a public street (as far as we know).
Also picked – Wilkerson, M&J (2); Mota, Robin (3) (then served a 5-game steroid suspension); Matt Williams, Eric (1); Kielty, Harold (1) - yes that Kielty; Spiezio, RAT (1);
Round 7
Best pick – Carlos Zambrano, RAT 5 seasons (counting ’07) so far
Worst picks – S. Stewart; M&J; Hendrickson, T&L; K. Garcia (arrested for assaulting Fenway security guard). One-year wonders all.
Also picked – O. Hudson, Robin (4, counting ’07); G. Matthews, Eric (1 so far, but still in the league); Embree, Eric (3); Bard, Arnie (2, counting ‘07)
Round 8
Best pick – Mike Cuddyer, Robin (2 seasons, counting ’07). Not exactly Zambrano, here.
Worst pick – C. Woodward, M&J; Womack, Eric; E. Chavez, Harold (the wrong E. Chavez) Never played in the SOMBILLA
Also picked – Borowski, T&L; R. Vazquez, Arnie; Guthrie, RAT; Durocher, Jeff. One season each
Round 9
Best pick – Johan Santana, RAT. All 6 seasons, making him arguably the best player from this draft. The sad part is that everyone knew who he was – he had a good card – but we all passed because he was a lefty.
Worst pick – Mi. Williams, M&J. The only player from this surprisingly very good round to not play in the SOMBILLA
Also picked – Pratt, Robin (1); Payton, Eric (2); Washburn, Harold (2); C. Lee (2 so far, including ’07); Wigginton, Arnie (1); Sauerbeck, Jeff (1)
As a league, we did better in this round than we did in rounds 3 and 4!
Rounds 10-12
Best picks – Jason Schmidt and JC Romero, Tom. 3 seasons each, including ’07 for Romero and both are still on Tom’s team.
Worst picks– DeJean, M&J; Castro, RAT; Runelvys Hernandez, Robin; Lohse, Harold; C. Lewis, Arnie; Schneider, RAT; Spooneybarger, RAT. None of these guys played in the SOMBILLA, though the Spooneybarger tradition survives.
Also picked – B. Larsen, Robin (1); J. Vizcaino, Eric (1); Byrd, Harold (1); Winn, Arnie (2); Lane, Jeff (1); J. Kennedy, RAT (1); Kinkade, Harold (1); M. Barrett, T&L (2); Ginter, Arnie (1)
Trades
Best draft, 2003: North Dakota!
(Hafner, Infante, Bradford, Dessens, Crawford, Peavy, Bard, R. Vazquez, Wigginton, R. Winn, C. Lewis, Ginter)
Worst draft, 2003: Matt & Jed (Beckett,
Hinske, Julio, Huff, R. Lopez, A. Kennedy, Lackey, Wilkerson, Stewart,
Woodward, Mi. Williams, DeJean)
This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2004 draft. As usual, the first 2 rounds will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.
We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '04 draft (using the 03, 04, 05 and 06 cards), and we will begin playing another season, the 2007 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2008, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons.
For the 2004 draft analysis below, the player’s SOMBILLA stats are shown for the first 2 rounds of picks. But note that Eric has only completed a total of 1 complete and 2 partial years worth of stats for these 4 seasons, and it's completely unknown who played for his team in '06-07, so his players may be more maligned than they deserve. Also Jed's and Harold stats for 2 seasons are only half complete, and Jeff's stats are only ¼ complete for '06-07.
Round 1
Best pick: M. Cabrera in a close call over Reyes. Based on the fact that he's played in all SOMBILLA seasons.
Worst pick: Loaiza, Harold (although Harold did smartly unload him to ND for a 1st-rounder).
Round 2
9. V. Martinez, Robin. 4 seasons including '07 and '08. (.260, 6, 32)
10. Bradley, M&J. 3 seasons (.315, 2, 9)
11. M. Young, Jeff. 5 seasons (.254, 3, 30)
12. Contreras, Harold. 2 seasons (12-6, 4.65)
13. Harden, RAT. 1 season (5-2, 4.59)
14. Mora, Tom. 3 seasons (.340, 21, 58)
15. Podsednick, Arnie. 1 season (.279, 4, 20)
16. K. Greene, Jeff. 2 seasons (.145, 1, 5)
Best pick – Michael Young, Jeff. Noses out V. Martinez (also a better fielder).
Worst pick – Tie, Harden, RAT and the Pod, Arnie. Although Harden's the better major leaguer, their SOMBILLA impact is the same (not counting Randy’s famous "Harden-gate" last year).
Round 3
Best picks – Tie – Brad Lidge, Harold and Scot Shields, Arnie 5 out of 6 seasons for both.
Worst pick – Kurt Ainsworth, Eric. The only player drafted in this round who never played in the league. Unless he played during the year Eric didn't do any stats.
Also picked: - Cormier, Robin (1); Quantrill (1), M&J; Valverde, RAT (4); J. Guillen, Tom (3 or 4); Riske, Jeff (1)
Round 4
Best pick – Hideki Matsui, Jeff. 4 seasons.
Worst pick - Matt Kata, Eric. Who?
Also picked: - Villarreal, Robin; Alvarez, M&J; Gerut, Harold; J. Phillips, RAT; Redman, Tom; Kershner, Arnie. 1 year wonders, all.
Round 5
Best picks – Rocco Baldelli, Eric. and Dontrelle Willis, Harold
Worst pick – Jerome Williams, Jeff. Who?
Also picked – Cintron, Robin; D. May, M&J; Schoeneweis, RAT; Herges, Tom; Ponson, Arnie
Round 6
Best pick – Jeremy Bonderman, Eric. Only 2 known seasons. But I'm giving Eric the benefit of the doubt, given that otherwise Wily Mo is tied with Bonderman.
Worst picks – A. Lopez, Robin (although he did help Tom win a World Series after being traded); Hasegawa, M&J; Franklin, Jeff; Tavarez, Harold; M. Ryan, RAT; Hammock, Tom. All one year wonders.
Also picked – Wily Mo Pena, Arnie. 3 seasons.
Round 7
Best pick – Jason Bay, Tom. 5 out of 6 seasons so far
Worst picks – Matos, Robin; Heredia, RAT; Bordick, Eric. One season each.
Also picked – Seo, M&J (2); King, Harold (2); BJ Ryan, Jeff (4); J. Rivera, Arnie (4)
The league did better in this round than it did in round 4.
Round 8
Best picks – Mahay, Robin and Timlin, Eric (2 seasons each).
Worst picks – D. Young, M&J; J. Gonzalez, RAT. Never played in the league. I remember watching the late Jeremy Gonzalez get his ass kicked in spring training the next year.
Also picked – Olivo, Jeff; Baerga, Harold; Moyer, Eric; Eaton, Arnie. One season each
Round 9
Best pick – Joe Nathan, RAT. All 6 seasons and last season's SOMBILLA Cy Young winner. Was this Tsuan's or Andrew's?
Worst pick –Affeldt, Jeff. No play SOMBILLA.
Also picked – A. Boone, M&J (1); Morneau, Harold (3); Stairs, Tom (1); Michaels, Arnie (2); Meche, Eric (1); Estrada, Robin (1).
Rounds 10-12
Best picks – Chase Utley, Eric and Dan Haren, Arnie. 3 seasons each and both 2008 all-stars.
Worst picks– Balfour, Robin; Nix, M&J; Pavano, M&J; C. Miller, Harold; Hampton, Eric.
Also picked – A. Everett, Harold (3); Ford, RAT (2); Wunsch, Tom (1); Ross, Arnie (2); DaVanon, RAT (1); Durham, Tom (3); J. Wilson, M&J (1); Bigbie, Harold (1) ; Helms, RAT (1); Capuano, Tom (2).
Trades
There was one blockbuster trade during draft week 2004. Lance Berkman, North Dakota was traded to Future Wax for Gary Sheffield and Jeff Kent. To completely evaluate that, though, note that 2 years later, North Dakota unloaded Sheffield and Jason Michaels and 2 draft picks (became Wang and C. Duncan) to Harold for Contreras and Glaus.
So, counting just SOMBILLA stats since the trade, we have Berkman:
.289 (233 for 807), 49 homers, 161 rbis
vs.
2 years of Sheffield, Glaus and Contreras and 4 years of Kent:
.256 (305 for 1193), 63 homers, 182 rbi's plus 12-6, 4.65 ERA.
True, the Sheffield trade to New Orleans involved additional players, so a more accurate analysis would discount the ND stats listed above somehow to account for the trading of Michaels and 2 draft picks. Nonetheless after 4 SOMBILLA seasons, the trade appears to be fairly even. However, looking forward to the '07 and '08 cards, RAT appears to win this trade.
Best draft, 2004: Eric!
(R. Soriano, Ainsworth, Kata, Baldelli, Bonderman, Bordick, Moyer, Timlin, Meche, Utley, Hampton). It was a pretty weak draft.
Worst draft, 2004: RAT (J. Reyes, Harden, Valverde, J. Phillips, Schoenewies, M. Ryan, Heredia, J. Gonzalez, Nathan, Ford, DaVanon, Helms).
By Tom, guest columnist. (Edited by Arnie and Robin)
CHALLENGE – One of the things about which I was thinking before Arnie asked me to write the Draft Analysis was to ask my fellow managers to participate in an experiment for next year.
Anyway. . . .
It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2005 draft. The first two rounds will as always be listed in detail with actual SOMBILLA seasons (where possible) and a look at 2009 usability and some glance to the future. I may be a bit more wordy than Arnie has been in past years and he may of course edit all that out …
As I am writing this it is only a month into the season, so unless I come back and update this there will be very little about the 2009 season in this analysis. We have 4 SOMBILLA seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:
As a result, some of these teams’ players may lose out in counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned that they deserve.
Round 1: (stats shown are Average/Onbase/slugging/OPS)
| |
Team |
Player |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
Stats |
|
1 |
Harold |
David Wright |
X |
X |
X |
X |
.313 / .388 / .515 / .903 (681 PA), 40 HR, 124 RBI, 8 SB |
|
2 |
Robin |
BJ Upton |
|
|
|
X |
.275 / .351 / .335 / .686 (191 PA), 4 HR, 14 RBI, 3 SB |
|
3 |
M&J |
Joe Mauer |
? |
X |
X |
X |
.279 / .354 / .396 / 0.75 (429 PA), 11 HR, 60 RBI, 5 SB |
|
4 |
Eric |
Jake Westbrook |
X |
? |
|
|
3-1, 5.36 ERA, 37 K |
|
5 |
Harold |
Oliver Perez |
X |
|
|
|
2-2, 3.69 ERA, 54 K |
|
6 |
Jeff |
Grady Sizemore |
|
X |
X |
X |
.255 / .354 / .383 / .737 (407 PA), 11 HR, 26 RBI, 13 SB |
|
7 |
RAT |
Zack Greinke |
|
|
|
X |
|
|
8 |
TSK |
Bobby Crosby |
|
|
|
|
|
Best Pick: This is a remarkable echo of the 2004 draft with a #1 pick overall who was a 3B middle of the order stalwart (M. Cabrera) versus a 5 tool lead off hitter (Reyes). This is a closer battle, though. While Wright has it all over Sizemore in the statistics to date, Sizemore in one publication is the #1 player at his position for next SOMBILLA year and the #1 CF for the future and the 12th best player in the 2008 set. (Wright is the 26th best player). Wright has the slightest edge in what may be a tie in the long run.
Worst Pick: Bobby Crosby. At one point, Peter Gammons selected him as his preseason MVP candidate but the injury bug bit him and bit him and he was eventually cut without ever playing a single game in the SOMBILLA. He joins Jeff Borchard as the worst 1st round pick ever and, like Borchard, was the first pick after the first World Series victory for two different franchises. Could this be a WS hangover? (Gary Redus is smiling somewhere.)
Other: This was a solid first round. The two position players not mentioned in Best/Worst are solid plus future contributors. Mauer is arguably the best catcher going forward and probably has not missed a SOMBILLA season and provides remarkable offense and defense at a hard to get and important position. BJ Upton is a late bloomer (or because he made the majors so young and searched for a position maybe he should have some other description) who was a #1 overall pick from HS and is now being rated as the 3rd best CF going into the future. Both of these players could enter the argument for SOMBILLA HOF when all is said and done. Three starting pitchers were taken and the first two had short-term value with one already being cut. Greinke of the anxiety disorder has a rating of the 19th best starter for the future and is 10-5 with a 2.08 ERA as of this writing.
Round 2:
| |
Team |
Player |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
Stats |
|
9 |
Harold |
Bronson Arroyo |
X |
|
X |
|
4-4, 5.60 ERA, 54 K |
|
10 |
Eric |
Juan Rincon |
X |
|
X |
|
2-2, 11 SV, 3.82 ERA, 35 K |
|
11 |
M&J |
Brian Roberts |
|
X |
|
X |
.221 / .302 / .328 / .63 (232 PA), 3 HR, 22 RBI, 8 SB |
|
12 |
Robin |
Jaret Wright |
X |
|
|
|
5-2, 7.31 ERA, 43 K |
|
13 |
Arnie |
Mike Gonzalez |
X |
X |
X |
|
4-3, 5 SV, 2.28 ERA, 73 K |
|
14 |
Jeff |
Dallas McPherson |
|
|
|
|
|
|
15 |
RAT |
Scott Kazmir |
|
|
X |
X |
4-2, 4.75 ERA, 52 K |
|
16 |
TSK |
Brad Radke |
X |
|
|
|
4-5, 4.67 ERA, 52 K |
Best Pick: Brian Roberts. His statistics so far have not been flashy and would have been hurt by the lack of stats reported in the 2004 card set, but this was one of the worse second rounds I have ever thought about. He is rated as one of the top 3 second basemen in the 2008 card set though, 19th best card in the set and 4th best 2B going forward. The specter of steroids float around his name (which Jed is no doubt happy to hear), but with speed as one of his best features it is less worrisome than it otherwise would be (and he is cute – RP).
Worst Pick: Dallas McPherson was drafted and never used and has now been cut. Jeff likes 1st round three baggers and this power prospect just could not hit enough to hold onto a job.
Other: Eight players were drafted, only 3 are still on teams, 1 never played, 2 were one year players and 1 of those was a good stop gap for a playoff contender. This second round was drafted for the short term; the best of which was Juan Rincon who closed for Eric.
Round 3:
| |
Team |
Player |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
Stats |
|
17 |
Harold |
Chris Carpenter |
X |
X |
X |
|
12-7, 0 SV, 5.74 ERA, 174 K (197.4 IPS) |
|
18 |
Robin |
Bobby Maditsch |
X |
|
|
|
1-0, 1 SV, 2.50 ERA, 17 K (28.7 IPS) |
|
19 |
M&J |
Danny Kolb |
|
|
|
|
|
|
20 |
Eric |
Shinjo Takatsu |
X |
|
|
|
1-4, 2 SV, 5.93 ERA, 14 K (19.7 IPS) |
|
21 |
Arnie |
Juan Uribe |
X |
X |
|
|
.290 / .316 / .551 / .867 (136 PA), 7 HR, 19 RBI, 0 SB |
|
22 |
Jeff |
Gavin Floyd |
|
|
|
|
|
|
23 |
RAT |
Jeremy Reed |
|
|
|
|
|
|
24 |
TSK |
Carlos Guillen |
X |
|
X |
X |
.347 / .404 / .519 / .923 (416 PA), 16 HR, 61 RBI, 21 SB |
Best Pick: If Chris Carpenter was healthy now or had been more healthy in his career he would be the best pick of the round. But I give the nod to Carlos Guillen, who is on his last legs, but has provided a .923 OPS for 3 seasons and started at SS for a contending team.
Worst Pick: Jeremy Reed but only because I assume that Danny Kolb played in the non-reporting year of card set 2004.
Round 4:
| |
Team |
Player |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
Stats |
|
25 |
Eric |
Aaron Rowand |
X |
|
|
X |
.287 / .334 / .462 / .796 (392 PA), 14 HR, 39 RBI, 4 SB |
|
26 |
Eric |
Daniel Cabrera |
|
|
|
|
|
|
27 |
M&J |
Ryan Drese |
|
|
|
|
|
|
28 |
Robin |
Dustan Mohr |
X |
|
|
|
.273 / .400 / .375 / .775 (120 PA), 3 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB |
|
29 |
Arnie |
Yhency Brazoban |
|
|
|
|
|
|
30 |
Jeff |
Nick Swisher |
X |
|
X |
X |
.292 / .363 / .513 / .876 (80 PA), 5 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB |
|
31 |
Harold |
Ryan Freel |
X |
X |
X |
|
.301 / .420 / .337 / .757 (300 PA), 3 HR, 25 RBI, 29 SB |
|
32 |
TSK |
Sean Casey |
X |
X |
|
|
.308 / .357 / .369 / .726 (84 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB |
Best Pick: Aaron Rowand edges out Ryan Freel since he is still on his team and provides CF1 defense.
Worst Pick: Cabrera, Drese and Brazoban never played and have since been cut.
Round 5:
| |
Team |
Player |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
Stats |
|
33 |
Robin |
Mike Adams |
|
|
|
|
|
|
34 |
Robin |
Brad Hawpe |
|
|
X |
X |
.255 / .349 / .434 / .783 (355 PA), 15 HR, 54 RBI, 0 SB |
|
35 |
M&J |
Eric Byrnes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
36 |
Harold |
David DeJesus |
X |
X |
|
X |
.242 / .305 / .335 / .640 (486 PA), 10 HR, 58 RBI, 9 SB |
|
37 |
Arnie |
Dave Bush |
|
|
X |
|
3-4, 0 SV, 7.46 ERA, 62 K (76 IPS) |
|
38 |
Harold |
Eli Marrero |
X |
|
|
|
.300 / .386 / .421 / .807 (57 PA), 1 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB |
|
39 |
RAT |
Ryan Madson |
X |
|
|
|
3-1, 1 SV, 2.45 ERA, 14 K (25.7 IPS) |
|
40 |
Robin |
Gabe Gross |
|
|
|
|
|
Best Pick: This was a close battle, but Hawpe gets the nod based on slightly better stats and a better future.
Worst Pick: Gross, Adams and Byrnes never played and have since been cut.
Round 6:
| |
Team |
Player |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
Stats |
|
41 |
Harold |
Chad Cordero |
X |
X |
X |
|
3-2, 1 SV, 1.94 ERA, 43 K (41.7 IPS) |
|
42 |
Eric |
Yadier Molina |
|
|
|
X |
.202 / .287 / .191 / .478 (94 PA), 0 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB |
|
43 |
M&J |
Armando Almanzar |
|
|
|
|
|
|
44 |
Robin |
Jorge Cantu |
X |
X |
|
|
.264 / .297 / .452 / .749 (155 PA), 5 HR, 24 RBI, 0 SB |
|
45 |
Arnie |
Jose Lopez |
|
|
|
|
|
|
46 |
Jeff |
Kiko Calero |
X |
|
|
|
1-1, 0 SV, 2.07 ERA, 6 K (13 IPS) |
|
47 |
RAT |
Glendon Rusch |
X |
|
|
|
3-1, 1 SV, 2.13 ERA, 18 K (25.3 IPS) |
|
48 |
TSK |
J.T. Snow |
X |
|
|
|
.333 / .401 / .467 / .868 (137 PA), 4 HR, 21 RBI, 0 SB |
Best Pick: Chad Cordero has been a solid reliever (some question on his ERA comes from the partial years reported by Harold) and even though he has been cut he still beats out Yadier Molina who may be an exceptional defensive catcher but that is just not enough.
Worst Pick: Alamanzar and Lopez who never played and have both been cut.
Other: JT Snow started one year for a World Series team as a 1B-1 and might have been the best of a mediocre round despite one year wonder status if Cordero had not been serviceable to good for 3 years.
Round 7:
| |
Team |
Player |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
Stats |
|
49 |
Harold |
Robb Quinlan |
X |
|
|
|
.263 / .317 / .390 / .707 (41 PA), 1 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB |
|
50 |
Robin |
Ricky Bottalico |
X |
|
|
|
2-1, 0 SV, 2.27 ERA, 27 K (23.7 IPS) |
|
51 |
M&J |
Lyle Overbay |
|
|
X |
|
.238 / .304 / .261 / .565 (23 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB |
|
52 |
Eric |
Brandon Inge |
X |
|
|
|
.359 / .457 / .522 / .979 (46 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB |
|
53 |
Harold |
John Buck |
|
|
|
|
|
|
54 |
Jeff |
Frank Francisco |
X |
|
|
|
0-2, 1 SV, 2.28 ERA, 22 K (19.7 IPS) |
|
55 |
RAT |
J. D. Closser |
|
|
|
|
|
|
56 |
TSK |
Salomon Torres |
X |
X |
|
|
2-1, 5 SV, 3.91 ERA, 30 K (62 IPS) |
Best Pick: Salomon Torres gets the nod based on more playing time and more years played while putting up solid stats and closing for a team and winning 2 rings.
Worst Pick: Buck and Closser for never playing and being cut.
Other: Everyone in this round has been cut subsequently.
Round 8:
| |
Team |
Player |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
Stats |
|
57 |
Harold |
Alexis Rios |
X |
|
|
X |
.317 / .368 / .412 / .78 (68 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB |
|
58 |
Eric |
Zach Day |
X |
|
|
|
2-2, 0 SV, 4.31 ERA, 19 K (41.7 IPS) |
|
59 |
M&J |
Jason LaRue |
|
X |
|
|
.190 / .333 / .176 / .509 (51 PA), 0 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB |
|
60 |
Robin |
Guillermo Quiroz |
|
|
|
|
|
|
61 |
Arnie |
Moises Alou |
X |
X |
X |
X |
.298 / .363 / .466 / .829 (830 PA), 41 HR, 119 RBI, 6 SB |
|
62 |
Jeff |
Kevin Mench |
X |
X |
X |
|
.210 / .247 / .371 / .618 (170 PA), 4 HR, 21 RBI, 0 SB |
|
63 |
RAT |
Scott Linebrink |
X |
X |
|
|
2-2, 2 SV, 4.57 ERA, 59 K (59 IPS) |
|
64 |
TSK |
Braden Looper |
X |
|
|
|
3-2, 0 SV, 2.88 ERA, 18 K (25 IPS) |
Best Pick: Moises Alou has just played and played and played at a high level. Rios has the best future and is the only player to have not been cut. Rios could be the better pick 5 years from now, but I do not have a crystal ball.
Worst Pick: Quiroz for having never played. (He was actually traded to Jeff for fellow 8th rounder, Big Head Mench – RP)
Round 9:
| |
Team |
Player |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
Stats |
|
65 |
Harold |
Kazuo Matsui |
|
|
|
|
|
|
66 |
Robin |
Clint Barmes |
X |
X |
|
|
.200 / .200 / .400 / .600 (10 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB |
|
67 |
M&J |
Bruce Chen |
|
X |
|
|
1-2, 1 SV, 4.54 ERA, 21 K (29.7 IPS) |
|
68 |
Eric |
Akinori Otsuka |
X |
|
X |
|
3-2, 4 SV, 4.69 ERA, 26 K (32.6 IPS) |
|
69 |
Arnie |
Chris Young |
|
X |
|
X |
5-6, 0 SV, 6.40 ERA, 75 K (85.7 IPS) |
|
70 |
Jeff |
Tom Glavine |
X |
|
|
|
3-7, 0 SV, 6.87 ERA, 55 K (93 IPS) |
|
71 |
RAT |
Jose Hernandez |
X |
|
|
|
315 / .362 / .534 / .896 (58 PA), 4 HR, 13 RBI, 0 SB |
|
72 |
TSK |
Jason Kubel |
|
|
|
|
|
Best Pick: Chris Young based on having a future. This tall right hander has never seen a runner that he wants to throw over to keep on the bag, but he is murder on right handed batters.
Worst Pick: Matsui was drafted but later forfeited as it turned out that Harold was not eligible to pick him.
Other: Jason Kubel was a late round gamble on an injured player who can hit. He is still on a roster, but has been nothing but a tease. It is May and he is batting over 300 and has 5 homers in the middle of the Twins lineup but who knows if he will have a card that can play in a league like this.
Round 10-13:
| |
Team |
Player |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
Stats |
|
73 |
Eric |
Darin Erstad |
X |
|
|
|
.400 / .500 / .417 / .917 (12 PA), 0 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB |
|
74 |
M&J |
Coco Crisp |
|
X |
|
|
.270 / .315 / .369 / .684 (130 PA), 1 HR, 20 RBI, 7 SB |
|
75 |
Robin |
Luis Ayala |
|
|
|
|
|
|
76 |
Arnie |
Ruben Gotay |
|
|
|
|
|
|
77 |
RAT |
Al Leiter |
X |
|
|
|
5-1, 0 SV, 4.50 ERA, 45 K (54 IPS) |
|
78 |
TSK |
Doug Mirabelli |
X |
|
|
|
.113 / .217 / .217 / .434 (60 PA), 2 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB |
|
81 |
M&J |
Chone Figgins |
|
X |
|
X |
.316 / .356 / .392 / .748 (393 PA), 4 HR, 36 RBI, 28 SB |
|
82 |
Eric |
David Eckstein |
|
|
|
|
|
|
83 |
Arnie |
Doug Davis |
X |
X |
|
|
8-10, 0 SV, 5.43 ERA, 130 K (142.3 IPS) |
|
84 |
RAT |
Royce Clayton |
X |
|
|
|
.200 / .235 / .309 / .544 (136 PA), 2 HR, 12 RBI, 1 SB |
|
85 |
TSK |
Ryan Howard |
X |
X |
X |
X |
.308 / .391 / .596 / .987 (557 PA), 49 HR, 135 RBI, 0 SB |
|
89 |
M&J |
Noah Lowry |
|
|
|
|
|
|
90 |
Arnie |
Luke Hudson |
|
|
|
|
|
|
91 |
RAT |
Jose Castillo |
|
|
|
|
|
|
92 |
TSK |
Brian Meadows |
X |
|
|
|
0-0, 0 SV, 6.07 ERA, 10 K (16.3 IPS) |
|
93 |
Arnie |
Ryan Church |
|
|
|
|
|
|
94 |
RAT |
Jamie Burke |
X |
|
|
|
.289 / .319 / .298 / .617 (47 PA), 0 HR, 22 RBI, 0 SB |
|
96 |
TSK |
Damian Easley |
X |
X |
|
|
.298 / .341 / .545 / .886 (132 PA), 7 HR, 19 RBI, 0 SB |
Best Pick: Only two of these players are still on teams and I have to give the nod to Ryan Howard who has played every year and is likely to play for a little while longer.
Worst Pick: Take a choice of any number of players who never played.
Other: Damian Easley deserves some kind of honorable mention for being the last pick of the draft and supplying .886 OPS for two years on a World Series winning team.
2004 Card Set Results:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
.302 / .377 / .616 / .993 (297 PA), 26 HR, 62 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Eric |
.321 / .364 / .500 / .864 (250 PA), 9 HR, 30 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Harold |
.292 / .367 / .411 / .778 (428 PA), 10 HR, 51 RBI, 26 SB |
|
Jeff |
.200 / .241 / .443 / .684 (79 PA), 4 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB |
|
RAT |
.245 / .282 / .361 / .643 (241 PA), 6 HR, 47 RBI, 1 SB |
|
Robin |
.282 / .381 / .403 / .784 (181 PA), 3 HR, 22 RBI, 0 SB |
|
TSK |
.308 / .370 / .495 / .865 (467 PA), 22 HR, 73 RBI, 3 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
6-4, 1 SV, 4.95 ERA, 69 K (80 IPS) |
|
Eric |
9-10, 14 SV, 4.89 ERA, 120 K (195 IPS) |
|
Harold |
6-5, 1 SV, 4.23 ERA, 117 K (129.7 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
4-10, 1 SV, 5.65 ERA, 83 K (125.7 IPS) |
|
RAT |
13-5, 3 SV, 3.73 ERA, 104 K (137.3 IPS) |
|
Robin |
8-3, 1 SV, 4.95 ERA, 87 K (109.1 IPS) |
|
TSK |
9-8, 3 SV, 4.23 ERA, 97 K (155 IPS) |
Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics for the four completed seasons:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
.297 / .356 / .478 / .834 (966 PA), 48 HR, 138 RBI, 6 SB |
|
Eric |
.281 / .340 / .419 / .759 (544 PA), 16 HR, 59 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Harold |
.288 / .366 / .418 / .784 (1633 PA), 55 HR, 229 RBI, 46 SB |
|
Jeff |
.247 / .327 / .396 / .723 (657 PA), 20 HR, 59 RBI, 13 SB |
|
M&J |
.276 / .339 / .368 / .707 (1258 PA), 19 HR, 143 RBI, 48 SB |
|
RAT |
.245 / .282 / .361 / .643 (241 PA), 6 HR, 47 RBI, 1 SB |
|
Robin |
.263 / .345 / .406 / .751 (831 PA), 27 HR, 106 RBI, 3 SB |
|
TSK |
.313 / .382 / .525 / .907 (1386 PA), 79 HR, 242 RBI, 21 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
20-23, 5 SV, 5.54 ERA, 340 K (367.1 IPS) |
|
Eric |
11-11, 17 SV, 4.86 ERA, 131 K (211 IPS) |
|
Harold |
21-15, 1 SV, 5.04 ERA, 325 K (358.4 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
4-10, 1 SV, 5.65 ERA, 83 K (125.7 IPS) |
|
M&J |
1-2, 1 SV, 4.54 ERA, 21 K (29.7 IPS) |
|
RAT |
17-7, 4 SV, 4.06 ERA, 196 K (219 IPS) |
|
Robin |
8-3, 1 SV, 4.95 ERA, 87 K (109.1 IPS) |
|
TSK |
9-8, 5 SV, 4.31 ERA, 110 K (192 IPS) |
Best Draft: Harold – D. Wright, O. Perez, Arroyo, Carpenter, Freel, DeJesus, Marrero, Cordero, Quinlan, Buck, Rios and Matsui (sort of). He still has 6 of these players (even though I would argue that Oliver Perez will not play this year and is likely to be cut) and most of them have the potential to be starters in any of the years to come.
Worst Draft: This is close. Arnie only has one player still on his roster, but the players who are gone now produced the second best statistics over the last four years. Thus, Eric gets the nod for the worst draft with Westbrook, Rincon, Takatsu, Rowand, Cabrera, Molina, Inge, Day, Otsuka, Erstad and Eckstein. He still has Rowand and Molina but every other team has at least one hold over that are the equal or better of either of these.
Other: Surprisingly, RAT almost had the worst draft. The only factor that keeps them out of the spot is that Greinke on medication has the potential to be a solid starter. Only 3 of the draftees played after that first year and they did not draft a single offensive player to talk about, of course when you have their offense maybe you do not need to draft offense every year.
Players Missed? It is hard to list a Rockies LHP as missed, but Brian Fuentes shows up 18th from Lamanna and was eventually drafted the following year. Casey Kotchman (25) and Chad Tracy (31) were also drafted in a future draft. The two best players not drafted were Adrian Gonzalez and Kevin Youkilis. Both were late bloomers and listed by Lamanna in the 40’s but not drafted that year or the next, and now are starters for teams in the SOMBILLA.
by Tom (edited by Arnie & Robin)
CHALLENGE (Renewed) – One of the things that I was thinking about before Arnie asked me to write the Draft Analysis was to ask my fellow managers to participate in an experiment for next year.
It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2006 draft. Actual SOMBILLA season stats (where possible) will be provided, along with a look at 2009 usability and some glance to the future.
As I am writing this it is late July and I am in San Diego and really distracted so any 2010 analysis will be limited. We have 4 SOMBILLA seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:
As a result, some of these teams players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned that they deserve. (Ed note – serves them right).
Round 1: (Years are MLB years; ? means No Data; X* = Partial Stats; T = Top Tier; U = Usable; F+ = Future Top Performer; FU = Future Usable; F- = Future Unusable, I=Injured)
| |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Stats |
|
1. Jed - Felix Hernandez |
X |
|
|
|
T/F+ |
1-4, 0 SV, 6.530 ERA, 31 K (31.7 IPS) |
|
2. Jeff – John Patterson |
X* |
|
CUT |
|
|
0-2, 0 SV, 4.355 ERA, 34 K (31 IPS) |
|
3. Harold - Jeremy Hermida |
X |
|
X |
|
|
0.286 / 0.286 / 0.857 / 1.143 (14 PA), 2 HR, 8 RBI, 0 SB |
|
4. Arnie – Jeff Francoeur |
X |
|
|
CUT |
|
0.283 / 0.338 / 0.477 / 0.815 (65 PA), 3 HR, 8 RBI, 1 SB |
|
5. Robin – Huston Street |
X |
X |
X |
CUT |
U |
4-6, 6 SV, 4.442 ERA, 79 K (77 IPS) |
|
6. Eric - Ryan Zimmerman |
? |
X* |
X* |
X |
T/F+ |
0.265 / 0.312 / 0.431 / 0.743 (311 PA), 11 HR, 50 RBI, 2 SB |
|
7. RAT – Jhonny Peralta |
X |
|
|
? |
CUT |
0.320 / 0.393 / 0.536 / 0.929 (112 PA), 7 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB |
|
8. Tom – Matt Cain |
X |
X |
X |
|
T/F+ |
9-10, 0 SV, 5.957 ERA, 150 K (193.4 IPS) |
Best Pick: This was a three horse race with a bit of a photo finish, but I give the nod to Matt Cain. King Felix is likely to pull away in the future barring an injury, but until this coming year has not lived up to his potential. Cain has been a workhorse and mainstay on a team that does not have a history of selecting quality pitching (ed note – the 4 recent championships notwithstanding of course) . Ryan Zimmerman has been consistent but not spectacular at a power position. However, he looks to contribute for years to come.
Worst Pick: Jeremy Hermida, just cut loose by the Red Sox, edges out Francoeur. He has never been able to do more than spot mutant pinch hitting duty. His potential has tantalized Harold just enough that he has not cut him, but the bottom line is that he may never start for Harold and who knows who Harold might have kept instead of him. Francouer has been good enough to start against lefties and may have made other teams in some of the years that he did not play for Arnie.
Other: I did not choose John Patterson as the worstpick in the round, but he is the classic conundrum. A potential one year wonder as a middle of the road pitcher had a career year and the question you have to ask yourself is "Am I good enough that he gets me into the playoffs?" It is hard not to be optimistic in the first round… I picked Pineiro this year and he becomes my best pitcher, but I turned my back on Elvis Andrus and Neftali Perez to make that pick. (ed note – see Study Number 1!)
Round 2:
|
Draft |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Stats |
|
1. Jed - Justin Duchscherer |
X |
X |
|
X |
-/FI |
5-5, 9 SV, 4.747 ERA, 74 K (91 IPS) |
|
2. Jeff - Rickie Weeks |
|
X |
|
|
FI |
0.333 / 0.429 / 0.286 / 0.715 (7 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 1 SB |
|
3. Harold - Jonny Gomes |
X |
|
CUT |
|
|
0.294 / 0.400 / 0.459 / 0.859 (220 PA), 11 HR, 33 RBI, 5 SB |
|
4. Arnie - Aaron Heilman |
X |
X |
X |
|
CUT |
6-3, 4 SV, 4.418 ERA, 100 K (110 IPS) |
|
5. Robin - Conor Jackson |
|
|
X |
X |
-/F- |
0.177 / 0.273 / 0.336 / 0.609 (128 PA), 6 HR, 17 RBI, 0 SB |
|
6. Eric - Derek Turnbow |
? |
|
X |
CUT |
|
0-1, 2 SV, 4.500 ERA, 29 K (20 IPS) |
|
7. RAT – Brian McCann |
|
X |
|
X? |
T/F+ |
0.293 / 0.369 / 0.448 / 0.817 (444 PA), 19 HR, 66 RBI, 2 SB |
|
8. Tom – Jesse Crain |
X |
X |
|
CUT |
|
2-5, 1 SV, 4.758 ERA, 16 K (45.4 IPS) |
Best Pick: I have to go with Brian McCann, he is the #2 catcher looking into the future and is a left handed hitting power bat that is almost good enough to carry him as a DH. He has the best card this year of the 2nd rounders and will be a top flight contributor on a good club going forward. I have to give a nod to Heilman, who has contributed the most to his team over the 3 years that he played. He is exactly what Arnie hoped for as a solid reliever that gave 3 years of 7th and 8th inning work.
Worst Pick: To be controversial, I am going with one of the players who is still on a roster—Conor Jackson. This tantalizing talent has done very little more than hold a roster spot (and contract Valley Fever) for Robin and she had much higher hopes than that.*
Other: Duchschererererer has been a tease, but his injury history makes him one of those might-have-been picks. With that said he has contributed more than any other pick this round outside of Heilman and McCann.
Round 3:
|
Draft |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Stats |
|
1. Jed - Matt Holliday |
X |
X |
X |
X |
T/F+ |
0.273 / 0.326 / 0.413 / 0.739 (635 PA), 21 HR, 88 RBI, 9 SB |
|
2. Jeff - Al Reyes |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
2-0, 5 SV, 4.500 ERA, 14 K (14 IPS) |
|
3. Harold - Andy Marte |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
4. Arnie - Matt Murton |
X |
X |
CUT |
|
|
0.143 / 0.182 / 0.182 / 0.364 (22 PA), 0 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB |
|
5. Robin - Neal Cotts |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
2-0, 1 SV, 2.520 ERA, 24 K (25 IPS) |
|
6. Eric - Joe Blanton |
? |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
|
7. RAT – Zach Duke |
X |
|
CUT |
|
|
2-2, 0 SV, 5.447 ERA, 19 K (34.7 IPS) |
|
8. Tom – Scott Eyre |
X |
|
CUT |
|
|
1-0, 6 SV, 2.077 ERA, 21 K (26 IPS) |
Best Pick: Matt Holliday wins this round going away as he has played every year and is rated #1 in LF this year and into the future. One interesting note is that his SOMBILLA OPS is not what one would expect; is this the result of Jed’s parks or what?
Worst Pick: You have to go with one of the guys who has never played… Andy Marte edges out Blanton (because he might have played in 2005 and just has had the better real career).
Other: Almost everyone else was short term reliever type pick excluding Matt Murton who has a career that has never made sense to me. He is a quad A type guy who takes a walk a who big league manager cannot seem to give a chance to. Only one player in this round is still owned.
Round 4:
|
Draft |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Stats |
|
1. Jed - Chad Tracy |
X |
|
CUT |
|
|
0.290 / 0.330 / 0.434 / 0.764 (106 PA), 4 HR, 16 RBI, 1 SB |
|
2. Jeff - Aaron Fultz |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
0-0, 1 SV, 4.369 ERA, 9 K (10.3 IPS) |
|
3. Harold - Hector Carrasco |
X |
X |
|
CUT |
|
1-4, 0 SV, 5.023 ERA, 30 K (43 IPS) |
|
4. Robin – Robinson Tejada |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
5. Jeff - Cliff Politte |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
0-1, 0 SV, 3.000 ERA, 5 K (9 IPS) |
|
6. Eric - Prince Fielder |
? |
|
X |
X |
T/F+ |
0.275 / 0.356 / 0.516 / 0.872 (225 PA), 15 HR, 39 RBI, 0 SB |
|
7. RAT – Javier Valentin |
X |
CUT |
|
? |
|
0.202 / 0.286 / 0.457 / 0.743 (105 PA), 8 HR, 18 RBI, 0 SB |
|
8. Tom - Jonathan Papelbon |
|
X |
X |
X |
U+/F+ |
8-6, 24 SV, 3.377 ERA, 93 K (69.3 IPS) |
Best Pick: This round is a bit of a toss up. I will avoid bias calls (especially after my first round choice) and go with Prince Fielder. The only questions his future has are "Will he eat himself out of baseball?" and "Where will he play next?" Second choice is Papelbon who has been a stalwart closer on a winning team. He is a bit flamboyant and who knows where he will be pitching 3 years hence…
Worst Pick: Tejeda just never cracked Robin’s roster and has now moved on to a new team (Harold) after a major league resurgence with a bad team in KC.
Round 5:
|
Draft |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Stats |
|
1. Jed – Bob Howry |
X |
X |
X |
CUT |
|
8-3, 6 SV, 3.151 ERA, 57 K (71.4 IPS) |
|
2. Jeff - Justin Huber |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
3. Robin - Brandon McCarthy |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
4. Arnie - Edwin Encarnacion |
|
|
|
|
-/? |
|
|
5. Robin - Curtis Granderson |
X |
|
X |
X |
U/FU |
0.249 / 0.326 / 0.416 / 0.742 (353 PA), 18 HR, 52 RBI, 9 SB |
|
6. Eric - Rafael Betancourt |
? |
X |
X |
|
-/? |
2-0, 4 SV, 2.544 ERA, 24 K (28.3 IPS) |
|
7. RAT – Tony Clark |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
0.256 / 0.326 / 0.448 / 0.774 (181 PA), 10 HR, 23 RBI, 0 SB |
|
8. Tom – Ervin Santana |
|
X |
|
X |
-/? |
5-7, 0 SV, 5.224 ERA, 149 K (174 IPS) |
Best Pick: .Curtis Granderson has worse stats than one might expect, but he has played and has a nice future in NY if he can stay healthy. Howry was solid in relief and Ervin Santana has been an enigma that has played important games for CN.
Worst Pick: Justin Huber wins this round as a player that showed some potential in the majors but could not garner many AB’s in MLB and no SOMBILLA AB’s at all. Brandon McCarthy had the better major league stats so he avoids this honor.
Other: Encarnacion has no SOMBILLA playing time, but Arnie still owns him. Is Arnie just optimistic or does Encarnacion have incriminating pictures of Arnie …(ed note, I was going to cut him but I fell for the classic ‘hot spring training syndrome’)
Round 6:
|
Draft |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Stats |
|
1. Jed - Randy Winn |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
0.371 / 0.411 / 0.642 / 1.053 (95 PA), 6 HR, 22 RBI, 1 SB |
|
2. Jeff - Ryan Doumit |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
|
3. Harold - Robinson Cano |
|
X |
|
X |
U |
0.365 / 0.390 / 0.584 / 0.974 (77 PA), 3 HR, 15 RBI, 0 SB |
|
4. Arnie - Chris Duffy |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
0.260 / 0.315 / 0.296 / 0.611 (54 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB |
|
5. Robin - Casey Kotchman |
X |
|
X |
X |
|
0.284 / 0.331 / 0.416 / 0.747 (332 PA), 9 HR, 34 RBI, 0 SB |
|
6. Eric - Fernando Cabrera |
? |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
7. RAT – Mike Jacobs |
|
|
CUT |
? |
|
0.250 / 0.341 / 0.463 / 0.804 (41 PA), 2 HR, 6 RBI, 0 SB |
|
8. Tom – Todd Jones |
X |
X |
CUT |
|
|
2-3, 9 SV, 3.433 ERA, 34 K (36.7 IPS) |
Best Pick: You have to go with Cano even though he has had limited PA so far, because he is rising star who will be amongst the best second baggers for years to come.
Worst Pick: Fernando Cabrera was the only player to not have any SOMBILLA ABs and will never have any Sombilla AB’s. He was big and had a big arm, but his head was not into Baseball. At least Doumit was later drafted and played.
Other: Randy Winn and Todd Jones did their jobs, but were never picked as future stars. Jones was given a chance to make his swan song count for a couple of championship runs.
Round 7:
|
Draft |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Stats |
|
1. Jed - Brian Fuentes |
X |
X |
X |
X |
CUT* |
8-3, 4 SV, 4.291 ERA, 80 K (77.6 IPS) |
|
2. Jeff - Dan Wheeler |
X |
X |
CUT |
|
|
2-1, 0 SV, 5.261 ERA, 37 K (47.9 IPS) |
|
3. Harold - Juan Padilla |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
0-0, 0 SV, 1.084 ERA, 2 K (8.3 IPS) |
|
4. Arnie - Scott Baker |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
1-0, 2 SV, 2.660 ERA, 12 K (20.3 IPS) |
|
5. Robin - Clay Hensley |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
6. Eric - Jay Witasick |
? |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
|
7. RAT – Geoff Jenkins |
X |
CUT |
|
? |
|
0.317 / 0.361 / 0.497 / 0.858 (155 PA), 6 HR, 16 RBI, 0 SB |
|
8. Tom – Joaquin Benoit |
X |
X |
X |
CUT |
|
11-1, 2 SV, 3.596 ERA, 84 K (82.6 IPS) |
Best Pick: A round of short term players, the best of which was Benoit as he did as much as Brian Fuentes but he did it in 3 years instead of 4.
Worst Pick: Clay Hensley as he never made any Sombilla rosters.
Other: Scott Baker came back into the league and has a future, but what ?
Round 8:
|
Draft |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Stats |
|
1. Jed – Aaron Harang |
|
X |
X |
|
CUT |
4-6, 0 SV, 5.337 ERA, 99 K (111.3 IPS) |
|
2. Jeff - Mark Grudzielanek |
X |
X |
|
X |
|
0.271 / 0.312 / 0.372 / 0.684 (266 PA), 2 HR, 30 RBI, 1 SB |
|
3. Harold - Dustin McGowan |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
|
4. Arnie - Ramon Castro |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
0.067 / 0.160 / 0.080 / 0.24 (50 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB |
|
5. Robin - Jason Vargas |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
1-0, 4 SV, 6.750 ERA, 31 K (24 IPS) |
|
6. Eric - Damian Miller |
? |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
|
7. RAT – Dan Johnson |
|
|
|
CUT |
|
|
|
8. Tom – Chris Shelton |
X |
|
CUT |
|
|
0.347 / 0.365 / 0.606 / 0.971 (104 PA), 6 HR, 20 RBI, 0 SB |
Best Pick: Aaron Harang did what you want out of an 8th round starter. He gave Jed innings and a couple of good seasons but his star has diminished in Cincy.
Worst Pick: Dan Johnson was the best heralded minor leaguer of the round and never played in the SOMBILLA.
Other: Chris Shelton was just what CN needed as powerful mutant plus (more ABs than most mutants). He even tantalized a little more showing well for a month here and there with a bunch of major league teams that never figured him out either. McGowan was later drafted by and started for Robin.
Round 9:
|
Draft |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Stats |
|
1. Jed – Willie Taveras |
|
|
|
CUT |
|
|
|
2. Harold - Craig Counsell |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
0.407 / 0.484 / 0.548 / 1.032 (31 PA), 0 HR, 3 RBI, 1 SB |
|
3. Harold - Chien-Mig Wang |
|
X |
X |
|
|
8-4, 0 SV, 6.253 ERA, 58 K (113.7 IPS) |
|
4. Robin - Ryan Langerhans |
X |
|
CUT |
|
|
0.250 / 0.400 / 0.300 / 0.7 (10 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB |
|
5. Eric - Dioner Navarro |
|
|
|
|
CUT |
|
|
6. RAT – Andy Sisco |
X |
|
CUT |
|
|
1-0, 0 SV, 13.469 ERA, 15 K (14.7 IPS) |
|
7. Tom – Aaron Small |
X |
CUT |
|
? |
|
0-2, 0 SV, 7.313 ERA, 17 K (32 IPS) |
Rounds 10-14:
| |
Team |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Stats |
|
10 |
1. Jed – J.J. Hardy |
|
|
X |
X |
|
0.219 / 0.265 / 0.412 / 0.677 (34 PA), 1 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB |
|
10 |
2. Harold - Ryan Church |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
|
10 |
3. Arnie - Ron Belliard |
X |
X |
CUT |
|
|
0.385 / 0.385 / 0.385 / 0.77 (13 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB |
|
10 |
4. Robin - Gerald Laird |
|
X |
|
X |
CUT |
0.227 / 0.287 / 0.295 / 0.582 (129 PA), 2 HR, 8 RBI, 1 SB |
|
10 |
5. Eric - Juan Encarnacion |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
10 |
6. RAT – Wilson Betemit |
X |
|
|
CUT |
|
0.250 / 0.283 / 0.272 / 0.555 (92 PA), 1 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB |
|
10 |
7. Tom – Kameron Loe |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
2-5, 0 SV, 6.815 ERA, 21 K (38.3 IPS) |
|
11 |
1. Jed – Garrett Atkins |
|
X |
|
|
CUT |
0.333 / 0.402 / 0.386 / 0.788 (127 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB |
|
11 |
2. Harold - Glenn Williams |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
0.429 / 0.529 / 0.353 / 0.882 (17 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 1 SB |
|
11 |
3. Arnie - Luis A. Gonzalez |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
0.267 / 0.327 / 0.388 / 0.715 (49 PA), 1 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB |
|
11 |
4. Robin - Paul Maholm |
X |
|
|
X |
|
4-9, 0 SV, 6.442 ERA, 57 K (95 IPS) |
|
11 |
5. Eric - Chris Snyder |
|
X |
|
X |
CUT |
0.167 / 0.286 / 0.250 / 0.536 (28 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB |
|
11 |
6. RAT – Brian Anderson |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
|
11 |
7. Tom – Shawn Chacon |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
3-1, 0 SV, 2.250 ERA, 14 K (40 IPS) |
|
12 |
1. Jed – Chris Ray |
|
X |
CUT |
|
|
1-0, 1 SV, 2.250 ERA, 11 K (12 IPS) |
|
12 |
2. Harold - Seth McClung |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
|
12 |
3. Arnie - Carlos Silva |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
|
12 |
4. RAT – Rod Barajas |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
0.303 / 0.361 / 0.407 / 0.768 (108 PA), 3 HR, 15 RBI, 0 SB |
|
12 |
5. Tom – Matt Wise |
X |
|
CUT |
|
|
2-0, 0 SV, 0.415 ERA, 18 K (21.7 IPS) |
|
13 |
1. Arnie - Ian Snell |
|
|
|
|
CUT |
|
|
14 |
2. Arnie - Russell Branyan (immediately traded to Tom for a 6th round pick next year) |
X |
CUT |
|
|
|
0.349 / 0.440 / 0.580 / 1.02 (50 PA), 4 HR, 6 RBI, 0 SB |
Arnie jumps in here:
Best Pick (9-14): Chien-Mig Wang due to his outstanding one card and resulting SOMBILLA season for Harold. Although strong consideration goes to Barajas of RAT and Jed’s Atkins, both of who had nice one year contributions. Nobody else here produced close to that kind of value.
Worst Pick: This is an impossible question.
Other: JJ Hardy and Paul Maholm are the only two players listed who are still in the league. Although don’t ask me why.
2005 Card Set Draft Results:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
0.216 / 0.278 / 0.307 / 0.585 (241 PA), 5 HR, 14 RBI, 1 SB |
|
Eric |
|
|
Harold |
0.314 / 0.412 / 0.480 / 0.892 (279 PA), 13 HR, 45 RBI, 7 SB |
|
Jeff |
0.304 / 0.328 / 0.414 / 0.742 (58 PA), 0 HR, 8 RBI, 1 SB |
|
RAT |
0.275 / 0.338 / 0.446 / 0.784 (794 PA), 37 HR, 94 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Robin |
0.299 / 0.356 / 0.493 / 0.849 (73 PA), 4 HR, 8 RBI, 0 SB |
|
TSK |
0.347 / 0.390 / 0.597 / 0.987 (154 PA), 10 HR, 26 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Jed |
0.318 / 0.367 / 0.509 / 0.876 (275 PA), 13 HR, 54 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
3-1, 5 SV, 2.926 ERA, 61 K (64.6 IPS) |
|
Eric |
|
|
Harold |
1-2, 0 SV, 3.176 ERA, 20 K (34 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
2-3, 6 SV, 4.324 ERA, 67 K (66.6 IPS) |
|
Jed |
9-8, 16 SV, 4.190 ERA, 113 K (111.7 IPS) |
|
Robin |
6-3, 10 SV, 4.133 ERA, 89 K (98 IPS) |
|
TSK |
16-15, 16 SV, 3.810 ERA, 179 K (274 IPS) |
|
RAT |
3-2, 0 SV, 7.834 ERA, 34 K (49.4 IPS) |
Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
0.226 / 0.285 / 0.312 / 0.597 (253 PA), 5 HR, 16 RBI, 1 SB |
|
Eric |
0.264 / 0.328 / 0.456 / 0.784 (564 PA), 27 HR, 92 RBI, 2 SB |
|
Harold |
0.326 / 0.407 / 0.504 / 0.911 (359 PA), 16 HR, 61 RBI, 7 SB |
|
JEFF |
0.272 / 0.315 / 0.370 / 0.685 (273 PA), 2 HR, 32 RBI, 2 SB |
|
Jed |
0.290 / 0.342 / 0.433 / 0.775 (997 PA), 34 HR, 140 RBI, 12 SB |
|
Robin |
0.249 / 0.316 / 0.388 / 0.704 (952 PA), 35 HR, 112 RBI, 10 SB |
|
TSK |
0.347 / 0.390 / 0.597 / 0.987 (154 PA), 10 HR, 26 RBI, 0 SB |
|
RAT |
0.282 / 0.349 / 0.447 / 0.796 (1238 PA), 56 HR, 160 RBI, 2 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
7-3, 6 SV, 4.144 ERA, 112 K (130.3 IPS) |
|
Eric |
2-1, 6 SV, 3.354 ERA, 53 K (48.3 IPS) |
|
Harold |
9-8, 0 SV, 5.673 ERA, 90 K (165 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
4-4, 6 SV, 4.652 ERA, 99 K (112.2 IPS) |
|
Jed |
27-21, 20 SV, 4.603 ERA, 352 K (395 IPS) |
|
Robin |
11-15, 11 SV, 5.335 ERA, 191 K (221 IPS) |
|
TSK |
45-40, 42 SV, 4.717 ERA, 617 K (759.4 IPS) |
|
RAT |
3-2, 0 SV, 7.834 ERA, 34 K (49.4 IPS) |
Best Draft: Jed, who drafted (F. Hernandez, Duchscherer, Holliday, Tracy, Howry, Winn, Fuentes, Harang, Taveras, Hardy, Atkins, Ray) and still has 4 of them included his big one two punch of King Felix and Matt Holliday. He drafted first and set the tone for the whole draft. His draft choices made the most balanced impact, being in the top three for both pitching and offense for the last 4 years.
Worst Draft: I have to go with Arnie who drafted Francoeur, Heilman, Murton, Encarnacion, Duffy, Baker, Castro, Belliard, L Gonzalez, Silva, Snell and only has Edwin Encarnacion to show for it who has never played in the SOMBILLA.
In what has now become a summer tradition, Tom Kinney presents his third annual 4-year retrospective draft analysis. (edited by Arnie & Robin)
……
It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2007 draft. The first two rounds will as always be listed in detail with actual SOMBILLA Seasons (where possible) and a look at 2010 usability and some glance to the future. I may be a tad more wordy than Arnie has been in past years and he may of course edit all that out …
We have 4 SOMBILLA Seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:
Eric reported for 2008 (48 games), 2007 (20 games), 2006 (0 games) and 2005 (48 games).
Jeff reported for 2008 (52 games) and 2006 (16 games)
Jed reported for 2007 (28 games) and 2005 (0 games).
As a result, some of these teams’ players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned than they deserve.
Round 1: (Years are MLB years not SOMBILLA years -- T = Top Tier, U = Usable, F+ = Future Top Performer, FU = Future Usable)
|
Draft |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
Stats |
|
1. Jeff - Delmon Young |
|
|
|
|
FU |
0.271 / 0.292 / 0.412 / 0.704 (216 PA), 7 HR, 28 RBI, 3 SB |
|
2. Eric - Justin Verlander |
|
|
|
|
T/F+ |
12-6, 0 SV, 4.952 ERA, 202 K (196.3 IPS) |
|
3. Robin - Anibal Sanchez |
|
|
|
|
FU |
3-5, 0 SV, 4.400 ERA, 27 K (45 IPS) |
|
4. Arnie – Hanley Ramirez |
|
|
|
|
T/F+ |
0.276 / 0.342 / 0.443 / 0.785 (479 PA), 20 HR, 55 RBI, 14 SB |
|
5. Harold – Nick Markakis |
|
|
|
|
U/FU |
0.313 / 0.394 / 0.441 / 0.835 (472 PA), 11 HR, 48 RBI, 8 SB |
|
6. Jed - Jermaine Dye |
|
CUT |
|
|
DONE |
0.286 / 0.342 / 0.632 / 0.974 (114 PA), 13 HR, 27 RBI, 0 SB |
|
7. RAT – Stephen Drew |
|
|
|
|
? |
0.167 / 0.167 / 0.167 / 0.334 (6 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB |
|
8. Tom – Russell Martin |
|
|
|
|
U/FU |
0.251 / 0.326 / 0.328 / 0.654 (518 PA), 9 HR, 42 RBI, 11 SB |
Worst Pick: I never would have thought this on draft day, but Stephen Drew turns out to be the first round loser. He has never gained a foothold in the SOMBILLA and he blew out his ankle this year. He has never lived up to his hype and maybe he will come back and be an adequate shortstop but it does not look like he will be that powerful left-handed batting SS whom many drooled over.
Other: Jermaine Dye turned out to be a one-year wonder who flamed out of the league faster than was expected. Delmon Young as a first overall pick just escaped goat status by putting together a good year this year that leads hope to future usability. I do not think he will ever live up to the pre-trade hype.
Round 2:
|
Draft |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
Stats |
|
1. Eric - Jered Weaver |
|
|
|
|
T/F+ |
7-2, 0 SV, 3.678 ERA, 68 K (78.3 IPS) |
|
2. Jeff - Chris Iannetta |
|
|
|
|
FU |
0.274 / 0.384 / 0.488 / 0.872 (86 PA), 5 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB |
|
3. Arnie - Josh Johnson |
|
|
|
|
T/F? |
6-8, 0 SV, 4.579 ERA, 128 K (153.3 IPS) |
|
4. Robin - Freddie Sanchez |
|
|
|
|
? |
0.228 / 0.266 / 0.281 / 0.547 (263 PA), 2 HR, 24 RBI, 1 SB |
|
5. Harold - Francisco Liriano |
|
|
|
|
? |
1-1, 0 SV, 4.197 ERA, 19 K (19.3 IPS) |
|
6. Jed - Joel Zumaya |
|
CUT |
|
|
INJ |
1-2, 2 SV, 4.252 ERA, 14 K (12.7 IPS) |
|
7. RAT – J.J. Putz |
|
|
CUT |
|
FU |
2-1, 2 SV, 2.477 ERA, 49 K (32.7 IPS) |
|
8. Tom – Ian Kinsler |
|
|
|
|
T/F+ |
0.256 / 0.335 / 0.436 / 0.771 (337 PA), 17 HR, 49 RBI, 14 SB |
Best Pick: I have to declare a tie between Jered Weaver and Ian Kinsler. Both are at the top of their positions and both look to have premium futures. Kinsler is in the same SOMBILLA ballpark as Hanley and has solidified his defense moving forward. Weaver has a bright future that makes up for his one SOMBILLA season. If Weaver had been picked at the end of the round and Kinsler at the top I might have given Weaver solo honors.
Worst Pick: Another tie between a 2nd bagger and a pitcher. Freddie Sanchez has never lived up to his 2nd round status (and of course, being on BC, is injury-prone). Joel Zumaya had the big arm, but his delivery just could not be repeated consistently without blowing out his arm.
Other: Josh Johnson has big-time stuff and could be a perennial Cy Young candidate if he could just stay healthy. Francisco Liriano has never lived up to his billing as the next Johan Santana. He has been inconsistent when healthy and his health is always a question.
Round 3:
|
Draft |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
Stats |
|
1. Jeff - Jonathan Broxton |
|
|
|
|
U/FU? |
7-9, 3 SV, 4.728 ERA, 128 K (106.6 IPS) |
|
2. Eric - Adrian Gonzalez |
|
|
|
|
T/F+ |
0.304 / 0.387 / 0.530 / 0.917 (656 PA), 45 HR, 106 RBI, 0 SB |
|
3. Robin – Takashi Saito |
|
|
|
|
? |
7-3, 15 SV, 3.060 ERA, 73 K (64.7 IPS) |
|
4. Arnie - Chris Young |
|
|
|
|
? |
0.500 / 0.500 / 0.500 / 1 (2 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB |
|
5. Harold - Cla Meredith |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
1-1, 1 SV, 2.571 ERA, 6 K (7 IPS) |
|
6. Jed - Bill Hall |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0.340 / 0.392 / 0.451 / 0.843 (51 PA), 0 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB |
|
7. RAT – Carlos Quentin |
|
|
|
|
FU |
0.276 / 0.323 / 0.544 / 0.867 (248 PA), 17 HR, 54 RBI, 1 SB |
|
8. Tom – Dennis Reyes |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
1-1, 3 SV, 7.627 ERA, 19 K (17.7 IPS) |
Best Pick: A Gone is probably the only hitter that moving to San Diego was just the best thing that ever happened to him. He is now the heart of the Boston Red Sox order and a gold glove first basemen. He has been huge in real life and the SOMBILLA.
Worst Pick: I have to go with Cla Meredith who was used for 7 innings but took up a roster spot for 3 years. He edges out the toolsy Young, who still has Arnie enthralled with that hope for next year.
Other: Broxton has been a consistent power pitcher. His splits have sometimes limited his overall value, but sometimes having an extreme split can be exactly what is needed. He has fallen off and may never return to form. The fear we have with any reliever is that he is good for a handful of years and then nothing. Saito was surprisingly useful over this time period as well.
Round 4:
|
Draft |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
Stats |
|
1. Eric - Scott Proctor |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
0-1, 0 SV, 3.942 ERA, 18 K (13.7 IPS) |
|
2. Jeff - Fabio Castro |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
2-0, 0 SV, 0.769 ERA, 4 K (11.7 IPS) |
|
3. Harold - Chris Duncan |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
0.340 / 0.353 / 0.784 / 1.137 (51 PA), 6 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB |
|
4. Robin - Reed Johnson |
|
|
|
CUT |
|
0.253 / 0.312 / 0.344 / 0.656 (369 PA), 5 HR, 30 RBI, 2 SB |
|
5. Harold - Gary Matthews Jr. |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
0.342 / 0.410 / 0.448 / 0.858 (134 PA), 3 HR, 22 RBI, 3 SB |
|
6. Arnie - Luke Scott |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
0.344 / 0.406 / 0.547 / 0.953 (106 PA), 5 HR, 25 RBI, 2 SB |
|
7. RAT – Dan Uggla |
|
|
|
|
|
0.277 / 0.336 / 0.521 / 0.857 (307 PA), 21 HR, 54 RBI, 3 SB |
|
8. Tom - Mark Teahan |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
0.325 / 0.373 / 0.516 / 0.889 (126 PA), 8 HR, 23 RBI, 5 SB |
Best Pick: This round belongs to Dan Uggla as a second basemen with power. Too bad that he does not play a little better defense or produce a better OBP. He is having a rough year this year after being shipped to a new real life team. He has contributed two seasons and will be useful in this upcoming SOMBILLA year.
Worst Pick: In a round filled with short term players who played well in the SOMBILLA and Uggla, it comes down to Scott Proctor and Reed Johnson. Reed played a lot of seasons mostly defensively for Robin and had more value than his Slugging + OBP. (Robin adds “and because I just cut him, is batting over .300 [see summer study #2]) The much overused in real life Scott Proctor gets the nod because he just did not play enough or contribute enough to not get the worst pick nod.
Round 5:
|
Draft |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
Stats |
|
1. Jeff - Andre Ethier |
|
|
|
|
|
0.274 / 0.342 / 0.399 / 0.741 (193 PA), 6 HR, 24 RBI, 4 SB |
|
2. Eric - Troy Tulowitzki |
|
|
|
|
|
0.260 / 0.328 / 0.473 / 0.801 (482 PA), 25 HR, 74 RBI, 2 SB |
|
3. Robin - Will Ohman |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0-1, 0 SV, 5.255 ERA, 10 K (13.7 IPS) |
|
4. Arnie - Matt Thornton |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0-2, 1 SV, 3.273 ERA, 19 K (22 IPS) |
|
5. Harold - Brandon League |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0-1, 0 SV, 14.400 ERA, 4 K (5 IPS) |
|
6. Jed - Jeff Francis |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
0-3, 0 SV, 7.394 ERA, 17 K (35.3 IPS) |
|
7. RAT – Cole Hammels |
|
|
|
|
|
12-10, 0 SV, 4.749 ERA, 147 K (149.7 IPS) |
|
8. Tom – Eric Bedard |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
3-4, 0 SV, 6.043 ERA, 76 K (70 IPS) |
Best Pick: Troy Tulowitzki gets the nod as the defensive wiz (1 SS) with power that if he can stay healthy will be one of the best SS in the set into the future. One thing to realize is that it does not hurt his SOMBILLA value as long as he has 350+ PA’s and may even have better cards for his lesser PA’s.
Worst Pick: Brandon League, who in real life has taken over as the Seattle closer this year, was a one-year wonder with only 5 IPs and not very good ones at that.
Other: Andre Ethier was traded for a high pick this year and has had more real life success than SOMBILLA success. He is someone who I always think will have better Strat success than he has had in the SOMBILLA. Cole Hammels has had his moments in Strat and real life (who can forget that dominant post season where he led the Phillies …) but he could just not compete with Tulo.
Round 6:
|
Draft |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
Stats |
|
1. Eric - Scott Downs |
|
|
|
|
|
1-3, 5 SV, 4.295 ERA, 34 K (46.1 IPS) |
|
2. Jeff - Adam LaRoche |
|
|
|
CUT |
|
|
|
3. Arnie - Howie Kendrick |
|
|
|
CUT |
|
|
|
4. Robin - Jason Jennings |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
3-5, 0 SV, 4.867 ERA, 70 K (94.3 IPS) |
|
5. RAT - Pedro Feliciano |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
2-0, 0 SV, 3.632 ERA, 20 K (22.3 IPS) |
|
6. Jed - Dave Ross |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0.192 / 0.300 / 0.462 / 0.762 (30 PA), 2 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB |
|
7. RAT – Josh Barfield |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
|
8. Arnie - Kenji Johjima |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
0.286 / 0.309 / 0.390 / 0.699 (249 PA), 6 HR, 29 RBI, 0 SB |
Best Pick: In the most mediocre round so far, we have to go with Scott Downs. He has had longevity going for him and has had some valuable years in real baseball. He has been a middling but useful end of the bullpen player in the SOMBILLA.
Worst Pick: I am going to go with Howie Kendrick and Adam LaRoche as two long-term teases who stayed with their teams but could never crack the lineups. Kendrick is finally having a good year this year in real life, but too little too late.
Other: David Ross is the favorite one-year back up catcher that I believe has resurfaced several times since this draft. I do not remember much of Josh Barfield – son of a major leaguer who played second but has not played it well enough to get into the SOMBILLA.
Round 7:
|
Draft |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
Stats |
|
1. Jeff - Matt Garza |
|
|
|
|
|
8-6, 0 SV, 5.534 ERA, 147 K (174 IPS) |
|
2. Eric - Duaner Sanchez |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
0-1, 2 SV, 4.737 ERA, 3 K (5.7 IPS) |
|
3. Robin - Hong-Chih Kuo |
|
|
|
|
|
1-1, 2 SV, 3.064 ERA, 44 K (47 IPS) |
|
4. Arnie - Adam Wainwright |
|
|
|
|
|
5-5, 0 SV, 4.862 ERA, 84 K (90.7 IPS) |
|
5. Harold - Julio Lugo |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0.262 / 0.318 / 0.318 / 0.636 (66 PA), 1 HR, 6 RBI, 2 SB |
|
6. Jed - Carlos Villanueva |
|
|
|
CUT |
|
0-1, 0 SV, 5.172 ERA, 4 K (8.7 IPS) |
|
7. RAT – Esteban German |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0.341 / 0.426 / 0.468 / 0.894 (94 PA), 2 HR, 14 RBI, 3 SB |
|
8. Tom – Anthony Reyes |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
|
Best Pick: This is a fight between Matt Garza and Adam Wainwright. I have to tip my hat to Matt Garza. Before spring training I would have gone with Wainwright because he looked like he was going to break out as a perennial Cy Young candidate, #1 pitcher, etc. but then major surgery and you always have to put a question mark next to his name until you see him return to form. Matt Garza came into the spring traded and with the pundits questioning if he was over-rated. He went to hitter-friendly Chicago, but his strikeout rate is up and he looks to continue his SOMBILLA usability for years to come.
Worst Pick: Anthony Reyes is a player who looked like he might just turn out a year as a good pitcher but something always happened. He got his shots but just could not put it together.
Round 8:
|
Draft |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
Stats |
|
1. Eric - A.J. Pierzynski |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. Jeff - Adam Lind |
|
|
|
|
|
0.259 / 0.282 / 0.479 / 0.761 (163 PA), 8 HR, 25 RBI, 1 SB |
|
3. Arnie - Kevin Kouzmanoff |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
|
4. Robin - Chad Bradford |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
2-2, 0 SV, 5.546 ERA, 19 K (35.7 IPS) |
|
5. Harold - Gabe Gross |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. Jed - Wes Helms |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0.378 / 0.429 / 0.673 / 1.102 (49 PA), 2 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB |
|
7. RAT – Matt Kemp |
|
|
|
|
|
0.667 / 0.714 / 0.714 / 1.428 (7 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 1 SB |
|
8. Tom – Casey Blake |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0.303 / 0.378 / 0.554 / 0.932 (74 PA), 5 HR, 12 RBI, 3 SB |
Worst Pick: Gabe Gross and Kouzmanoff have never played for their SOMBILLA teams and you have to just toss a coin and choose which one is the worst pick. (Pierzynski did play but for some reason the database refuses to show his partial year .222 average …)
Other: Adam Lind who has resurrected his career asks for the tape on Kemp. “Has he even had enough PA’s to qualify for a Best Pick?!?”
Round 9-13:
|
Draft |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
Stats |
|
1. Jeff - Pat Neshek |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
1-5, 5 SV, 3.971 ERA, 27 K (34 IPS) |
|
2. Eric - Ramon Ramirez |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
1-2, 2 SV, 5.928 ERA, 34 K (33.4 IPS) |
|
3. Robin - Lastings Milledge |
|
|
|
|
|
0.320 / 0.393 / 0.536 / 0.929 (28 PA), 1 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB |
|
4. Arnie - Jose Valentin |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0.255 / 0.306 / 0.486 / 0.792 (173 PA), 10 HR, 24 RBI, 2 SB |
|
5. Harold - Jeff Baker |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0.200 / 0.333 / 0.500 / 0.833 (6 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB |
|
6. Jed – Josh Willingham |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
0.400 / 0.400 / 0.900 / 1.3 (30 PA), 4 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB |
|
7. RAT – Marcus Thames |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
0.265 / 0.307 / 0.604 / 0.911 (192 PA), 19 HR, 46 RBI, 0 SB |
|
8. Tom - Chad Billingsley |
|
|
|
|
|
5-8, 4 SV, 3.778 ERA, 129 K (145.3 IPS) |
|
1. Eric - Alex Escobar |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0.556 / 0.556 / 1.222 / 1.778 (9 PA), 2 HR, 8 RBI, 0 SB |
|
2. Arnie - Rich Hill |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
4-1, 0 SV, 4.056 ERA, 59 K (71 IPS) |
|
3. Robin - Jeremy Sowers |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
2-2, 0 SV, 6.636 ERA, 6 K (21.7 IPS) |
|
4. Harold - Chris Capuano |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0-4, 0 SV, 9.223 ERA, 25 K (28.3 IPS) |
|
5. Jed - Jamey Carroll |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0.295 / 0.392 / 0.353 / 0.745 (102 PA), 0 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB |
|
6. RAT – Fernando Rodney |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
1-0, 0 SV, 4.200 ERA, 33 K (30 IPS) |
|
7. Tom – Bobby Jenks |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
7-4, 6 SV, 6.501 ERA, 72 K (70.6 IPS) |
|
1. Eric - Adam Jones |
|
|
|
|
|
0.238 / 0.311 / 0.379 / 0.69 (190 PA), 6 HR, 24 RBI, 4 SB |
|
2. Robin - Yuniesky Betancourt |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
0.000 / 0.000 / 0.000 / 0 (4 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB |
|
3. Arnie - James Shields |
|
|
|
|
|
11-12, 0 SV, 5.767 ERA, 127 K (146.7 IPS) |
|
4. Harold - Mike Napoli |
|
|
|
|
|
0.212 / 0.325 / 0.317 / 0.642 (243 PA), 9 HR, 38 RBI, 0 SB |
|
5. Jed - Boof Bonser |
|
CUT |
|
|
|
|
|
6. RAT – Rich Aurilia |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0.328 / 0.394 / 0.549 / 0.943 (71 PA), 4 HR, 13 RBI, 0 SB |
|
7. Tom – Ray Durham |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
0.241 / 0.288 / 0.456 / 0.744 (226 PA), 11 HR, 29 RBI, 1 SB |
|
1. Eric - Scott Olson |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
1-1, 0 SV, 8.282 ERA, 13 K (16.3 IPS) |
|
2. Harold - Jeff Karstens |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. Jed - Kevin Youkilis |
|
|
|
|
|
0.289 / 0.394 / 0.477 / 0.871 (629 PA), 36 HR, 106 RBI, 2 SB |
|
4. Tom - Bob Wickman |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
1-2, 0 SV, 7.219 ERA, 12 K (18.7 IPS) |
|
1. Jed - John Maine |
|
|
CUT |
|
|
3-2, 0 SV, 5.394 ERA, 30 K (31.7 IPS) |
|
2. Tom - Chris Sampson |
CUT |
|
|
|
|
2-0, 1 SV, 1.286 ERA, 9 K (14 IPS) |
Chad “Buzzsaw” Billingsley started well and is once again usable but his real life team has used him in mysterious ways allowing for his SOMBILLA owner to use him as a starter and reliever while being starred in the same year. The fantasy mavens have been disappointed and question his future (mostly because they had rated him as a potential #1 starter), but he has been a solid SOMBILLA contributor especially considering his round.
Kevin “Greek God of Walks” Youkilis has become a solid regular. His power was a question but he has grown into his stroke and worked hard at his defense to become a gold glove first baseman. He has made himself an above-average corner man and a starter for the declining Manatees.
Worst Pick: You really cannot make a bad pick in these rounds.
Other: A number of hitters were drafted in these rounds and have now found new teams via trade and waivers (re-drafts), as Adam Jones was traded to Harold and little Jamie Carroll was re-drafted this year. If you are Jed drafting in these rounds a hitter, then the Manatees will want him soon…. Willingham was drafted by the Manatees after he was cut and Youkilis was a trade target.
2006 Card Set Results:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
0.300 / 0.349 / 0.504 / 0.853 (490 PA), 23 HR, 79 RBI, 6 SB |
|
Eric |
0.365 / 0.407 / 0.604 / 1.011 (91 PA), 6 HR, 17 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Harold |
0.332 / 0.382 / 0.498 / 0.88 (325 PA), 12 HR, 47 RBI, 5 SB |
|
Jeff |
0.296 / 0.343 / 0.475 / 0.818 (265 PA), 11 HR, 40 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Jed |
0.312 / 0.376 / 0.541 / 0.917 (375 PA), 21 HR, 64 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Robin |
0.234 / 0.284 / 0.314 / 0.598 (443 PA), 6 HR, 42 RBI, 2 SB |
|
TSK |
0.271 / 0.322 / 0.464 / 0.786 (575 PA), 28 HR, 76 RBI, 13 SB |
|
WAX |
0.289 / 0.339 / 0.535 / 0.874 (540 PA), 34 HR, 103 RBI, 5 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
1-5, 1 SV, 4.39 ERA, 66 K (84 IPS) |
|
Eric |
1-6, 2 SV, 6.40 ERA, 59 K (64.7 IPS) |
|
Harold |
2-7, 1 SV, 7.25 ERA, 54 K (59.6 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
3-4, 2 SV, 5.62 ERA, 56 K (40 IPS) |
|
Jed |
1-6, 2 SV, 6.35 ERA, 35 K (56.7 IPS) |
|
Robin |
13-16, 6 SV, 4.94 ERA, 173 K (235.1 IPS) |
|
TSK |
9-4, 5 SV, 6.29 ERA, 89 K (83 IPS) |
|
WAX |
10-5, 2 SV, 4.11 ERA, 163 K (140 IPS) |
Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
0.282 / 0.335 / 0.448 / 0.783 (1009 PA), 41 HR, 134 RBI, 18 SB |
|
Eric |
0.281 / 0.356 / 0.493 / 0.849 (1337 PA), 78 HR, 212 RBI, 6 SB |
|
Harold |
0.290 / 0.371 / 0.421 / 0.792 (972 PA), 30 HR, 126 RBI, 13 SB |
|
Jeff |
0.269 / 0.316 / 0.435 / 0.751 (658 PA), 26 HR, 89 RBI, 8 SB |
|
Jed |
0.298 / 0.387 / 0.500 / 0.887 (1005 PA), 57 HR, 170 RBI, 2 SB |
|
Robin |
0.244 / 0.295 / 0.325 / 0.62 (664 PA), 8 HR, 57 RBI, 3 SB |
|
TSK |
0.261 / 0.329 / 0.411 / 0.74 (1281 PA), 50 HR, 155 RBI, 34 SB |
|
WAX |
0.286 / 0.342 / 0.541 / 0.883 (925 PA), 63 HR, 183 RBI, 8 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
26-28, 1 SV, 4.86 ERA, 417 K (483.7 IPS) |
|
Eric |
22-16, 9 SV, 4.80 ERA, 372 K (389.8 IPS) |
|
Harold |
2-7, 1 SV, 7.25 ERA, 54 K (59.6 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
16-20, 8 SV, 5.09 ERA, 302 K (314.6 IPS) |
|
Jed |
4-8, 2 SV, 6.01 ERA, 65 K (88.4 IPS) |
|
Robin |
18-19, 17 SV, 4.39 ERA, 249 K (322.1 IPS) |
|
TSK |
19-19, 14 SV, 5.11 ERA, 317 K (336.3 IPS) |
|
WAX |
17-11, 2 SV, 4.26 ERA, 249 K (234.7 IPS) |
Facts about the Draft: Jeff voted this draft as a bad draft since he only choose to draft 9 players, or he voted that he liked his team more than the draft. Robin only drafted 11 and everyone else drafted 12. Jeff was also most satisfied with the draft a year later when he only cut one player he had drafted in this draft (he had trade at least on Pat Neshek). It was a solid draft for contributing in the first year, and 34 of the players drafted were still owned (5 years later) at the time of this analysis versus the previous year’s draft, which had 20 players still owned 5 years later. The top prospecting rounds were particularly good, yielding 18 keepers (almost what was kept from the whole draft a year before) versus 8 keepers from the previous year’s draft.
Best Draft: This is the draft that put Eric on the slow path to dominance (he finished at the bottom of the pack the year after to snag Lincecum and almost nothing else for the future) that he is enjoying the last two years in the SOMBILLA. He drafted Justin Verlander, Jered Weaver, Adrian Gonzalez, Scott Proctor, Troy Tulowitzki, Scott Downs, Duaner Sanchez, A.J. Pierzynski, Ramon Ramirez, Alex Escobar, Adam Jones and Scott Olson. Someone still owns six of these players and the other five are carrying Eric to glory now.
Worst Draft: This was a hard choice, but Jed gets the nod. He went from best draft to worst draft in consecutive years. The only long-term keeper he snagged was Youk, and he traded him (and Hunter) for Beltre and Pena (and a pick who might have become Cory Wade in the 4th). He drafted Jermaine Dye, Joel Zumaya, Bill Hall, Jeff Francis, Dave Ross, Carlos Villanueva, Wes Helms, Josh Willingham, Jamey Carroll, Boof Bonser, Kevin Youkilis and John Maine.
In what has now become a summer tradition, Tom Kinney presents his third annual 4-year retrospective draft analysis. (edited by Arnie & Robin):
It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2007 Cards (2008 draft). As I am writing this it is late July (bleeding into early August) and I have had a very busy summer. We have 4 SOMBILLA seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:
As a result, some of these teams’ players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned than they deserve.
Round 1:
|
1 Harold - Fausto Carmona |
8-5, 0 SV, 3.81 ERA, 61 K (104 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
2. Eric - Tim Lincecum |
22-15, 0 SV, 4.38 ERA, 397 K (359.3 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
3. Arnie - Josh Hamilton |
.331 / .390 / .548 / .938 (546 PA), 30 HR, 85 RBI, 9 SB |
Traded and Still Owned |
|
4. Arnie - Magglio Ordonez |
.280 / .340 / .420 / .76 (615 PA), 18 HR, 89 RBI, 2 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
5. Jeff - Alex Gordon |
.417 / .462 / .538 / 1 (13 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
6. Tom - Carlos Pena |
.216 / .346 / .425 / .771 (581 PA), 40 HR, 96 RBI, 3 SB |
Traded and Still Owned |
|
7. Robin - Yovani Gallardo |
5-7, 0 SV, 4.773 ERA, 107 K (103.7 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
8. RAT - Ryan Braun |
.288 / .316 / .586 / .902 (152 PA), 12 HR, 36 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: This was an exceptional first round. My prior version of this analysis went, "I am going to give the nod to Josh Hamilton by a hair as he has had several years of MVP play. In the SOMBILLA, an injury plagued year does not matter as long as the player gets 35 PA that are exceptional. One manager once opined that a player who is great for 350+ and then just does not have those ‘come back to earth’ months because he gets injured makes that player more valuable than the iron man who grinds out a full season for his MLB team. Tim Lincecum is a close second, but he lost out as he has looked particularly bad this (2012) season and some pundits think he might be looking at the end of his career. But he does have one more exceptional card for Eric to dominate the league with."
However, Instead of giving the nod to a pick, I am going to give the nod to Future Wax as they drafted the unbalanced rookie card of Ryan Braun, who became a more balanced threat and NL MVP. They have the best chemistry in the SOMBILLA. They also traded for oft injured Josh Hamilton (for 2009 3rd round pick Nelson Cruz) and won big as he is having another MVP season (Ed note, he was at least until recently).
Worst Pick: Alex Gordon was heading toward the worst pick, but he got out of the infield and out of his own head and put together a good season in 2011, which Jeff will get to use in the upcoming SOMBILLA season. The jury is still out as to what his final level of play will be. Fausto Carmona turned out to be older than MLB thought and really named Roberto Hernandez. He turned out to be a malcontent in the clubhouse and while we cannot fault Harold, Carmona/Hernandez has to be considered the worst pick of this exceptional first round.
Other: .Carlos Pena was a retread power pick that the Manatees turned (with Beltre) into Youk and Torii Hunter when he was slumping part-way through the season. Both sides made out in the deal in the long run and somehow the .500 Manatees got hot in the playoffs with good matchups and walked away with the Series that year.
Round 2:
|
1. Jed - Joakim Soria |
12-6, 26 SV, 2.264 ERA, 105 K (99.3 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
2. Arnie - Heath Bell |
5-2, 0 SV, 3.046 ERA, 90 K (85.7 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
3. Eric - Peter Moylan |
4-1, 1 SV, 4.39 ERA, 24 K (28.7 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
4. H -- Joba Chamberlain |
0-1, 17 SV, 3.426 ERA, 45 K (39.4 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
5. Jeff - Brandon Phillips |
.200 / .251 / .280 / .531 (781 PA), 14 HR, 66 RBI, 31 SB |
Still Owned |
|
6. Tom - Hunter Pence |
.290 / .315 / .541 / .856 (111 PA), 4 HR, 15 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
7. Robin - Carlos Marmol |
6-5, 8 SV, 2.528 ERA, 120 K (99.7 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
8. RAT - Justin Upton |
|
Still Owned |
Best Pick: The typical scramble for the best relief arms available. Soria has just had the best years and even though he was cut this year after Tommy John surgery, I still have to give him the nod. Heath Bell could have taken it but he just imploded this year for Miami and seems to have turned out to be a product of Petco.
Worst Pick: Peter Moylan had one low IP year before Tommy John surgery ended his career with Eric’s team. He was a one-sided reliever who had potential but just could not put together a healthy year since. Justin Upton is a 1 who can hit for power and run, but has yet to put together a season worthy of a second round pick in the SOMBILLA. He is having a rough 2012, but one day he might put together a career as he is still very young. [Ed note: That’s what I keep hoping about his (older) brother too!]
Other: Joba Chamberlain looked to be a great pick here, but injuries and the mysteries of the Yankees conspired to make him only a postscript. Pence finally had a good year and will be the best Manatee hitter in a year that looks pretty grim.
Round 3:
|
1. Harold – Orlando Cabrera |
.272 / .307 / .400 / .707 (205 PA), 5 HR, 21 RBI, 3 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
2. Eric - Hideki Okajima |
1-0, 0 SV, 3.512 ERA, 37 K (41 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
3. Arnie - Rafael Perez |
1-1, 2 SV, 2.942 ERA, 55 K (52 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
4. Jed - Manny Corpas |
1-1, 1 SV, 1.688 ERA, 19 K (32 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
5. Jeff - George Sherrill |
1-1, 0 SV, 3.853 ERA, 27 K (32.7 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
6. Tom - Yunel Escobar |
.279 / .343 / .365 / .708 (747 PA), 16 HR, 84 RBI, 5 SB |
Still Owned |
|
7. Arnie - Jacoby Ellsbury |
.291 / .317 / .317 / .634 (82 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 4 SB |
Still Owned |
|
8. RAT - Phil Hughes |
1-3, 0 SV, 4.673 ERA, 39 K (52 IPS) |
Traded Still Owned |
Best Pick: This was a tough call, but I will bow to the potential of Jacoby Ellsbury. He had a dominant real life season last year, hitting for power, running, and playing Gold Glove caliber defense. Arnie has not gotten the advantage of that card yet, but I have in my other league and it is. The only question I have with Jacoby is his ability to have at least 350 PA’s. A close second is Yunel Escobar who has supplied a solid performance as a 2 SS who has not missed many PA’s and will once again be the starting SS for the Manatees.
Worst Pick: No one was terrible, but I guess I have to pick someone. I will go with Cabrera as a short-termer who probably could have been drafted later in the draft.
Round 4:
|
1. Jed - Daisuke Matsuzaka |
|
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
2. Arnie - Mark Reynolds |
.278 / .345 / .513 / .858 (409 PA), 22 HR, 68 RBI, 6 SB |
Still Owned |
|
3. Eric - Corey Hart |
|
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
4. Harold - Matt Capps |
3-3, 0 SV, 3.176 ERA, 30 K (51 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
5. Jeff - Damaso Marte |
0-3, 0 SV, 7.692 ERA, 13 K (11.7 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
6. Tom - Kelly Johnson |
.238 / .344 / .411 / .755 (151 PA), 7 HR, 23 RBI, 2 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
7. Robin - C.J. Wilson |
1-2, 0 SV, 5.294 ERA, 16 K (18.7 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
8. RAT - Jarrod Saltalamacchia |
|
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick: This was a strange round as few of these players have not been cut and three of them were claimed by other teams as part of our new waiver draft. CJ Wilson was cut immediately and then drafted another year by Jed who then traded him back to his original owner, Robin, after he had a big real life year (and she realized how cute he was). Mark Reynolds has to be the best pick as the only player still owned and for whatever reason has better SOMBILLA stats than real life stats.
Worst Pick: Dice-K edges out super catcher prospect Salty who never really got a chance to play for Wax even though he now has gotten a chance for the home town Red Sox. Dice-K never lived up to his hype and was just a disappointment. Corey Hart and his sunglasses was not a bad pick, he just could not crack the dominant lineup of the team whose name is ever in flux.
Other: Kelly Johnson is one of those intriguing left handed power bats at 2B but never seemed to hit up to his cards or his potential before the Manatees booted him and Jed picked him up from the scrap heap.
Round 5:
|
1. Harold - Joe Beimel |
0-0, 0 SV, 1.084 ERA, 2 K (8.3 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
2. Eric - Geovany Soto |
.269 / .361 / .445 / .806 (391 PA), 22 HR, 52 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
3. Arnie - Dustin Pedroia |
.266 / .323 / .361 / .684 (844 PA), 15 HR, 92 RBI, 11 SB |
Still Owned |
|
4. Jed - Russ Springer |
4-2, 1 SV, 2.854 ERA, 31 K (41 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
5. Jeff - Cameron Maybin |
|
Still Owned |
|
6. Tom - Cody Ross |
.253 / .300 / .438 / .738 (80 PA), 3 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Robin - Asdrubal Cabrera |
.240 / .269 / .269 / .538 (26 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
8. RAT - Aaron Hill |
|
Still Owned |
Best Pick: After a strange round, we end up with a stellar round. The best pick goes to the scrappy Red Sox 2nd bagger who has provided Gold Glove defense and both production and PA’s up the middle for North Dakota.
Worst Pick: I am going to go with Joe Beimel who was a one out pitcher who just did not have enough IPs to allow him out of the last position in this round. Aaron Hill really did have PA’s and was a 1 at least one of the years for Wax. Maybin was and is still very young and just starting to have the kind of real-life success that might translate into a SOMBILLA season or two.
Other: Geovanny Soto was essential and clutch for several Eric teams and probably could have grabbed best in the round honors if not for Pedroia’s solid performances. Asdrubal Cabrera has now put together 1 and a half good years that Robin will put to good use in the near future.
Round 6:
|
1. Jed - Jack Cust |
.158 / .335 / .280 / .615 (200 PA), 9 HR, 17 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
2. Arnie - Bobby Seay |
0-1, 1 SV, 5.035 ERA, 14 K (14.3 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
3. Eric - Manny Delcarmen |
1-2, 2 SV, 5.55 ERA, 31 K (32.7 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
4. Jed - Shane Victorino |
.240 / .316 / .299 / .615 (421 PA), 8 HR, 34 RBI, 24 SB |
Still Owned |
|
5. Jed - Rick Ankiel |
.283 / .315 / .604 / .919 (111 PA), 11 HR, 18 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
6. Tom -Homer Bailey |
1-0, 0 SV, 4.252 ERA, 14 K (12.7 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
7. Robin - Edinson Volquez |
5-7, 0 SV, 7.448 ERA, 85 K (87 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
8. RAT - Travis Buck |
|
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick: Jed had three picks this round so he should have the best pick and did with Victorino, who is looking forward to his walk year this year where he will make good coin in real life. He is a switch-hitting CF who has earned the 1 rating. Rick Ankiel has put up better numbers, but he was not and will not be the better player when all is said and done.
Worst Pick: I have to give the nod to Travis Buck because Randy never reported his stats.
Other: Volquez looked to be the steal of the draft, but Tommy John and inconsistency leaves him as a question that is yet to be answered. For some reason the Manatees keep hoping that Homer Bailey will put it together but the numbers are against him lasting much longer on the roster.
Round 7:
|
1. Harold - Ted Lilly |
14-6, 0 SV, 4.585 ERA, 14 K (159 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
2. Eric - Chris Schroder |
0-0, 1 SV, 3.186 ERA, 10 K (11.3 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
3. Arnie - Daric Barton |
.290 / .345 / .509 / .854 (116 PA), 6 HR, 23 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
4. Jed - Kelly Shoppach |
.200 / .294 / .330 / .624 (466 PA), 15 HR, 38 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
5. Jeff - Gil Mesche |
|
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
6. Tom - James Loney |
.270 / .338 / .496 / .834 (139 PA), 9 HR, 23 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
7. Robin - Eric O'Flaherty |
2-4, 1 SV, 3.506 ERA, 24 K (33.3 IPS) |
Still Owned (cut and redrafted) |
|
8. RAT - Ryan Ludwick |
.349 / .388 / .659 / 10.47 (232 PA), 15 HR, 41 RBI, 1 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick: Late round flyers and fillers, but I have to give the best pick to RAT for Ryan Ludwick, who put together one great season a year after this draft. Shoppach had the most seasons, but his overall level of play was outshown by the MVP-level season that Ludwick put up. Lilly gave two seasons as an aging veteran back-end starter, including an 8-1 season the year of this draft.
Worst Pick: .You have to go with Meche who never threw a pitch in anger in the SOMBILLA. He showed potential but then just washed quickly out of professional baseball.
Round 8:
|
1. Jed - Tony Pena |
1-0, 2 SV, 1.093 ERA, 19 K (24.7 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
2. Arnie - Jeremy Accardo |
1-2, 0 SV, 3.863 ERA, 24 K (23.3 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
3. Eric - Raul Ibanez |
.220 / .278 / .306 / .584 (108 PA), 2 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
4. Harold - Franklin Gutierrez |
.171 / .247 / .195 / .442 (77 PA), 1 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
5. Jeff - Troy Percival |
0-2, 3 SV, 3.750 ERA, 12 K (12 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
6. Tom - Billy Butler |
.337 / .400 / .443 / .843 (210 PA), 4 HR, 25 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
7. Robin - Dustin McGowan |
2-4, 0 SV, 7.109 ERA, 57 K (63.3 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
8. RAT - Ubaldo Jimenez |
6-7, 0 SV, 5.936 ERA, 92 K (94 IPS) |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: .Two of these players were AL All Stars this year and neither can play defense. Billy Butler takes "best pick" honors this round as the only player still owned and will probably even play in the upcoming season for the Manatees. Raul Ibanez has never put up a good SOMBILLA season, being used primarily as a lefty bench bat who never seemed to hit enough for Eric to use consistently.
Worst Pick: The only player to be cut immediately was D-Mac after a disappointing rookie SOMBILLA season. Toronto gave him a long-term contract this year and he then immediately got injured which was pretty much his usual status throughout his career – thus making him a typical Bay City pitcher.
Other: Ubaldo had that one good card, but he has not been able to put together another season beyond that one even though he has escaped Coors Field.
Round 9-13:
|
1. Harold - Brian Wolfe |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
2. Eric - Jason Werth |
.244 / .337 / .345 / .682 (510 PA), 15 HR, 52 RBI, 7 SB |
Still Owned |
|
3. Arnie - J.R. Towles |
.250 / .400 / .533 / .933 (15 PA), 1 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
4. Jed - Kurt Suzuki |
.500 / .667 / .333 / 1 (3 PA), 0 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
5. Jeff -Omar Vizquel |
.500 / .700 / .600 / 1.3 (10 PA), 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
6. Tom - Kevin Correia |
0-0, 0 SV, 5.152 ERA, 20 K (29.7 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Robin - Jair Jurrjens |
2-9, 0 SV, 5.490 ERA, 64 K (100 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
8. RAT - Jeremy Guthrie |
10-1, 0 SV, 2.749 ERA, 43 K (75.3 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
| |
|
|
|
1. Jed - Joey Votto |
.326 / .402 / .545 / .947 (418 PA), 26 HR, 75 RBI, 5 SB |
Still Owned |
|
2. Arnie - Ryan Spillborghs |
.287 / .385 / .346 / .731 (182 PA), 2 HR, 26 RBI, 1 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
3. Eric - Jack Hannahan |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
4. Harold - Felix Pie |
|
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
5. Jeff -Eric Byrnes |
.188 / .250 / .356 / .606 (104 PA), 3 HR, 10 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
6. Tom - Reggie Willits |
.280 / .427 / .262 / .689 (103 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 8 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Robin - Miguel Montero |
.195 / .244 / .329 / .573 (82 PA), 3 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
8. RAT - Shawn Hill |
|
Cut After One Year |
| |
|
|
|
1. Harold - Josh Phelps |
.357 / .471 / .588 / 1.059 (34 PA), 2 HR, 13 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
2. Eric - Jeff Keppinger |
.185 / .254 / .239 / .493 (71 PA), 1 HR, 6 RBI,0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
3. Jed - Melky Cabrera |
.233 / .304 / .428 / .732 (411 PA), 22 HR, 63 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut After One Year? |
|
4. Jeff - Steve Pearce |
.158 / .200 / .150 / .350 (20 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
5. Tom - Ryan Church |
.252 / .344 / .352 / .696 (122 PA), 2 HR, 8 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
6. RAT - Akinori Iwamura |
.214 / .353 / .206 / .559 (34 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 1 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
| |
|
|
|
1. Eric - Brian Bannister |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
2. Harold - John McDonald |
.250 / .250 / .250/ .5 (8 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
3. Tom - Norris Hopper |
.360 / .385 / .423 / .808 (26 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
4. RAT - Garrett Anderson |
|
Cut After One Year |
| |
|
|
|
1. Harold - Lee Gardner |
2-3, 0 SV, 4.439 ERA, 13 K (22.3 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: .This was easy as the best hitter in MLB (and last year’s unanimous SOMBILLA MVP) was picked up in the tenth round by Jed in Joey Votto. I wish I could say that I was not looking to draft a 1B hitter type, but I drafted two in earlier rounds and just missed on the truly awesome Votto.
Worst Pick: You really cannot make a bad pick in these rounds.
Other: Jason Werth has a large number of mediocre SOMBILLA at bats, but he has a long term contract and has flashed solid real-life play so he shows potential for the future. Montero is a solid left-handed catcher who has a future in the SOMBILLA for Bay City. Melky Cabrera was on the next year’s cut list but played that year for Jed so there must have been a correction done later. Of course, Jed eventually did cut him in time for him to get redrafted by Eric, have a good season and then become a starting All Star for the NL this year (MVP of the All Star Game). Jurrjens looked like he was on the way to being a quality starter, but after a tough start to 2012 MLB is questioning his future.
2007 Card Set Results:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
.310 / .366 / .473 / .839 (947 PA), 32 HR, 153 RBI, 5 SB |
|
Eric |
.226 / .294 / .310 / .604 (252 PA), 5 HR, 20 RBI, 1 SB |
|
Harold |
.282 / .331 / .418 / .749 (251 PA), 7 HR, 36 RBI, 3 SB |
|
Jeff |
.196 / .244 / .332 / .576 (352 PA), 12 HR, 38 RBI, 13 SB |
|
Jed |
.237 / .332 / .395 / .727 (689 PA), 33 HR, 86 RBI, 12 SB |
|
Robin |
|
|
TSK |
.264 / .351 / .423 / .774 (1160 PA), 45 HR, 142 RBI, 12 SB |
|
Wax |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
4-3, 2 SV, 3.673 ERA, 111 K (98 IPS) |
|
Eric |
6-7, 2 SV, 4.296 ERA, 105 K (125.7 IPS) |
|
Harold |
19-10, 17 SV, 3.94 ERA, 174 K (262.7 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
0-5, 3 SV, 4.058 ERA, 37 K (37.7 IPS) |
|
Jed |
8-6, 13 SV, 1.91 ERA, 87 K (113.1 IPS) |
|
Robin |
11-10, 5 SV, 4.794 ERA, 163 K (172.7 IPS) |
|
TSK |
0-0, SV, 5.152 ERA, 20 K (29.7 IPS) |
|
Wax |
Wax just did not report this season after his World Series hangover, but it was strange that Robin had no offensive contributors in the first year. She was too busy drafting a pitching staff? Harold had the best pitching first year with the Manatees and North Dakota drafting offensive contributions.
Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
.286 / .348 / .437 / .785 (2809 PA), 94 HR, 390 RBI, 33 SB |
|
Eric |
.246 / .334 / .370 / .704 (18 PA), 40 HR, 117 RBI, 7 SB |
|
Harold |
.256 / .309 / .367 / .676 (324 PA), 8 HR, 37 RBI, 3 SB |
|
Jeff |
.203 / .258 / .293 / .551 (928 PA), 18 HR, 82 RBI, 34 SB |
|
Jed |
.243 / .329 / .398 / .727 (2030 PA), 91 HR, 248 RBI, 31 SB |
|
Robin |
.206 / .250 / .315 / .565 (108 PA), 3 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB |
|
TSK |
.265 / .350 / .405 / .755 (2270 PA), 85 HR, 289 RBI, 18 SB |
|
Wax |
.316 / .359 / .596 / .955 (418 PA), 27 HR, 82 RBI, 3 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
7-6, 3 SV, 3.286 ERA, 183 K (175.3 IPS) |
|
Eric |
28-18, 4 SV, 4.30 ERA, 499 K (473 IPS) |
|
Harold |
27-18, 17 SV, 3.984 ERA, 255 K (384 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
1-6, 3 SV, 4.628 ERA, 52 K (56.4 IPS) |
|
Jed |
18-9, 30 SV, 2.146 ERA, 174 K (197 IPS) |
|
Robin |
23-38, 9 SV, 5.16 ERA, 473 K (505.67 IPS) |
|
TSK |
1-0, 0 SV, 4.882 ERA, 34 K (42.4 IPS) |
|
Wax |
17-11, 0 SV, 4.555 ERA, 174 K (221.3 IPS) |
Facts about the Draft: Robin seemed to decide that this draft was a bad draft since she choose to draft only 9 players, (or else she decided that she liked her team more than the draft). Jeff drafted only 1 and everyone else drafted 12. It was a solid draft for contributing in the first year and 32 of the players drafted were still owned (5 years later) at the time of this analysis. A surprisingly small number of the players drafted were cut in the first year at 18 versus 25 and 28 respectively after the two previous drafts; 16 players from the first 3 rounds are still owned, and strangely 5 of the 5th round picks are still around.
Best Draft: This was a draft that had good players drafted by everyone. However, Arnie traded up and worked hard and put together the best draft. He drafted for that year and the future at once. North Dakota picked up big contributors Magglio Ordonez, Josh Hamilton, Heath Bell, Rafael Perez, Jacoby Ellsbury, Mark Reynolds, and Dustin Pedroia. His draft dropped off late with Bobby Seay, Barton, Accardo, Towles and Spillborghs.
Worst Draft: Harold had a tough draft. He picked up so-called Fausto Carmona #1 and just could not recover. His draft for the long term relied on Carmona and Joba to be his standard bearers as the rest of the draft was all about the short term. His complete draft was Fausto Carmona, Joba Chamberlain, Orlando Cabrera, Matt Capps, Joe Beimel, Ted Lilly, Franklin Gutierrez, Brian Wolfe, Felix Pie, Josh Phelps, John McDonald, and Lee Gardner.
In what has now become a summer tradition, Tom Kinney presents his fourth annual 4-year retrospective draft analysis (edited by Arnie & Robin):
It is time for the 4-year draft
retrospective analysis of the 2009 (Cards 2008) draft. As I am writing this it
is late July and as usual a very busy summer. We have 4 SOMBILLA Seasons, but
note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:
As a result, some of these teams’ players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned than they deserve. (Arnie note: maligning those who don’t do their stats does have a long tradition in the SOMBILLA.)
Round 1:
|
1 Jeff - Evan Longoria |
.246 / .323 / .401 / .724 (811 PA), 33 HR, 112 RBI, 12 SB |
Still Owned |
|
2 RAT - Jay Bruce |
.228 / .296 / .302 / .598 (159 PA), 3 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
3. Eric - Ryan Dempster |
8-11, 0 SV, 5.90 ERA, 129 K (157 IP) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
4. Robin - Travis Snider |
.429 / .467 / .533 / 1 (15 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
5. Arnie - Cliff Lee |
8-6, 0 SV, 3.92 ERA, 102 K (144.2 IP) |
Still Owned |
|
6. Jed - Ricky Nolasco |
7-6, 0 SV, 5.65 ERA, 148 K (135.1 IP) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
7. Harold - Hiroki Kuroda |
10-17, 0 SV, 6.24 ERA, 146 K (219.1 IP) |
Still Owned |
|
8. Tom - Nate McLouth |
.256 / .341 / .379 / .72 (132 PA), 4 HR, 26 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick: Both Evan Longoria and Hiroki Kuroda did play in the SOMBILLA all four years, but Evan Longoria has to be the choice. He is a perennial 1 at third and the #2 Lamanna choice at his position for the near future, and the 4th best in the current set. It is surprising that his slash lines were not better given his performance in MLB, but I think anyone would take him #1 overall if there was a re-draft now.
Worst Pick: This is a battle between McLouth and Snider. Snider has almost no PA in the SOMBILLA, but he is still owned by Robin and struggling to fit into a real MLB lineup now with the Pirates. McLouth is on his 3rd MLB team but seems to have made himself useful for the surprising Orioles. Snider just edges him out as the worst pick.
Round 2:
|
1. Jeff - Taylor Teagarden |
.257 / .350 / .625 / .975 (40 PA), 4 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
2. Robin - Chris Davis |
.256 / .267 / .481 / .748 (131 PA), 6 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
3. Eric - Jose Arredondo |
2-1, 3 SV, 2.45 ERA, 19 K (22 IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
4. RAT - Max Scherzer |
2-0, 0 SV, 1.56 ERA, 22 K (17.1 IP) |
Still Owned |
|
5. Arnie - Grant Balfour |
1-4, 9 SV, 2.87 ERA, 42 K (37.2 IP) |
Traded |
|
6. Jed - Shin-Soo Choo |
.255 / .362 / .350 / .712 (500 PA), 14 HR, 52 RBI, 11 SB |
Still Owned |
|
7. Jeff - Joey Devine |
3-1, 3 SV, 3.37 ERA, 14 K (18.2 IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
8. Tom - Matt Thornton |
4-7, 6 SV, 5.74 ERA, 68 K (64.1 IP) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick: Upon first glance, Chris Davis wins this honor based almost entirely on a monster (historic) first half to the current MLB season. He has had one of best power strokes amongst young players, but his approach has led to a low contact rate. I have heard multiple stories crediting the Baltimore hitting coach, change of scenery and a player turning 27 and “getting it”. However, since the All Star Break (when I started this) he has struck out 20 times (more than any other player). (Robin note: I blame Cano for picking him in the HR Derby). But he could go 0 for second half and still have a good year. Shin-Soo Choo earns a tie as both a consistent performer and for his 2013 MLB season. Choo has put together a dominant performance against right handed pitching (.341/.470/.600) and has stayed in CF for a contending team.
Worst Pick: This round is traditionally one for teams with aspirations to draft the best available relievers. Two of these were cut immediately, and so I decided to select Jeff’s entire round as the worst since he had one of those ‘one year only’ relievers, but he also took a catcher that had one limited card but never lived up to being his catcher of the future. Take your pick on which of these two players is the worst pick in this round.
Other: Max Scherzer has not been bad, but has never put together a great year until this year. He always seemed to have the stuff, but he could not put together that year. Right now, he looks to be top 10 and if this is a sign of things to come he could end up as the best pick of this round if Chris Davis proves to be a one-year wonder. (Robin note: He hit 33 HR and batted .290 in 2012. So he may make my team this year – not a one year wonder).
Round 3:
|
1. Jeff - Brad Ziegler |
1-2, 1 SV, 4.56 ERA, 8 K (17.7 IP) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
2. RAT - Chris Volstad |
-, SV, ERA, K ( IP) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
3. RAT - Nelson Cruz |
.294 / .355 / .530 / .885 (515 PA), 33 HR, 101 RBI, 22 SB |
Traded for Hamilton |
|
4. Robin - Pablo Sandoval |
.289 / .332 / .521 / .853 (413 PA), 22 HR, 62 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
5. Arnie - Chad Qualls |
1-2, 0 SV, 7.55 ERA, 32 K (31 IP) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
6. Tom - Xavier Nady |
.308 / .360 / .471 / .831 (172 PA), 7 HR, 36 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Harold - Jesse Litsch |
2-4, 0 SV, 6.37 ERA, 18 K (53.7 IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
8. Jeff - Jon Lester |
12-15, 0 SV, 4.34 ERA, 215 K (280 IP) |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: Nelson Cruz has been a solid contributor mostly for Arnie, who traded first round pick Josh Hamilton for Cruz a year into his service. Josh Hamilton had been the best pick of the first round in last year’s draft analysis. I have to tip my cap to Wax for choosing the best contributor in the round and then converted him for a quality former first round pick a year after drafting him. He is now part of the biogenesis scandal and Hamilton’s future is a ???... (but that is for a future analyses if I ever do a 10-year lookback.)
Worst Pick: Chris Volstad was taken as a starter of the future for Wax and he never developed and was cut unused and unwanted. This gives Future Wax the best and worst pick in the same round, which is a strange sort of accomplishment. Imagine if they had had only one pick and had taken Volstad…
Other: Jon Lester has become a staff anchor for the Red Sox and despite being left handed will continue to be a contributor to whatever Jeff is calling his team. Kung Fu Panda deserves a mention for both a great nickname, two MLB World Series rings and a round of applause for an athlete that looks like me (round) that can really pick the ball and also is a real contributor with the stick.
Round 4:
|
1. Jeff - Mike Mussina |
5-6, 0 SV, 5.22 ERA, 47 K (86.3 IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
2. Robin - Craig Breslow |
0-1, 1 SV, 7.91 ERA, 19 K (3.7 IP) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
3. Eric - Jim Johnson |
2-0, 6 SV, .6.67 ERA, 14 K (27 IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
4. RAT - J.P. Howell |
0-1, 1 SV, 8.61 ERA, 33 K (3.3 IP) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
5. Arnie - John Danks |
2-5, 0 SV, 5.57 ERA, 67 K (74.3 IP) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
6. Jed - Cory Wade |
3-0, 3 SV, 3.11 ERA, 17 K (26 IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Harold – Scott Baker |
3-6, 0 SV, 4.44 ERA, 31 K (54.7 IP) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
8. Tom - Taylor Buchholz |
2-2, 2 SV, 2.49 ERA, 26 K (25.3 IP) |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: This round featured 6 relievers and two starters, all of who were cut. Jim Johnson not only performed for Eric but has become a very dependable real-world closer for a surprisingly competitive Orioles. He is now back in the SOMBILLA (redrafted by Arnie last year) and is the only one of the round to still have value if we were drafting today.
Worst Pick: It is hard to choose a worst pick in a round like this one, but I give it a tie to the two lefty specialists who just got hammered in the SOMBILLA – Craig Breslow and JP Howell.
Other: Jeff redrafted Mike Mussina as he put together an inning-eating year, one year after being cut by Jeff. He knew it was one year (Arnie: we think) but Jeff needed the innings which is a common lament…
Round 5:
|
1. Jeff - Jesse Carlson |
2-1, 3 SV, 3.23 ERA, 16 K (16.7 IP) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
2. RAT - Armando Galarraga |
0-1, 1 SV, 5.11 ERA, 22 K (37 IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
3. Eric - Aubrey Huff |
.223 / .241 / .421 / .662 (133 PA), 6 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
4. Robin - Mike Fontenot |
.297 / .383 / .391 / .774 (115 PA), 2 HR, 12 RBI, 2 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
5. Arnie - Ryan Doumit |
.187 / .218 / .282 / .5 (78 PA), 0 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
6. Jed - Geoff Geary |
0-2, 2 SV, 2.57 ERA, 11 K (21 IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Harold - Elijah Dukes |
.319 / .466 / .420 / .886 (88 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 4 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
8. Tom - Mike Aviles |
.369 / .414 / .571 / .985 (70 PA), 1 HR, 9 RBI, 3 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick: Mike Aviles gets the nod as the lefty killer that put up the best splits, edging out the other part timers picked up in this round.
Worst Pick: Elijah Dukes’s temperament won him this dishonor. Enough said about Mr. Dukes.
Round 6:
|
1. Jeff - Clay Buchholz |
6-4, 0 SV, 4.632 ERA, 52 K (68 IP) |
Still Owned |
|
2. Robin - Kevin Gregg |
0-0, 1 SV, 3.934 ERA, 10 K (18.3 IP) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
3. Eric - Alexei Ramirez |
.287 / .304 / .404 / .708 (171 PA), 5 HR, 20 RBI, 3 SB |
Traded |
|
4. RAT - Frank Francisco |
0-0, 1 SV, 1.895 ERA, 19 K (19 IP) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
5. Arnie - Johnny Cueto |
6-2, 0 SV, 2.301 ERA, 36 K (58.6666666666667 IP) |
Still Owned |
|
6. Jed - Ryan Theriot |
.283 / .358 / .296 / .654 (162 PA), 0 HR, 12 RBI, 5 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Harold - Gavin Floyd |
14-12, 0 SV, 4.226 ERA, 147 K (208.7 IP) |
Still Owned |
|
8. Tom - Denard Span |
.326 / .430 / .412 / .842 (279 PA), 5 HR, 28 RBI, 7 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick: If I had analyzed this round before this season, Cueto would be my choice hands down. But Clay Buchholz has once again shown that he can be a front-line starter. Now the real question is when will either of these two flashy starters put together several years of health and effectiveness. Best bets of the round though.
Worst Pick: Ryan Theriot is the one-year wonder that really never had any power. He had one serviceable season and even then the Cardinals were quick to kick him to the curb, and he never caught on or hit again for any period of time.
Other: Span was my leadoff guy that was going to play center with Andruw Jones retiring, (although Jones did play well for other SOMBILLA teams after this) . He (Span) was serviceable but eventually he was pushed off the worst team in the league. He also proved a disappointment in Washington this year and may never live up to the hopes and expectations of his 2008 call up.
Round 7:
|
1. Jeff - Darren Oliver |
1-6, 5 SV, 3.29 ERA, 48 K (65.6666666666666 IP) |
Still Owned |
|
2. RAT - Clayton Kershaw |
12-7, 0 SV, 3.23 ERA, 181 K (189.333333333333 IP) |
Still Owned |
|
3. Eric - Chris Dickerson |
.293 / .370 / .522 / .892 (46 PA), 2 HR, 12 RBI, 4 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
4. Robin - Max Ramirez |
.250 / .250 / .375 / .625 (8 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
5. Arnie - Daniel Murphy |
.241 / .359 / .297 / .656 (64 PA), 0 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
6. Tom - Jeff Samardzjia |
-, SV, ERA, K ( IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Harold - Steven Shell |
0-0, 0 SV, 5.41 ERA, 3 K (13.3 IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
8. Tom - John Baker |
.405 / .500 / .568 / 1.068 (44 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick: Clayton Kershaw just blows everyone away. He is arguably top 5 and maybe the pitcher any MLB GM would start a staff with if they could have anyone now. He is a player that not only lived up to expectations, but increased his control and presence in the majors. Of course, if he was right handed, he would be even more valuable.
Worst Pick: Jeff Samardzjia was cut when he was sent to the bullpen in MLB and did not look good there. Once Epstein took over, his career turned around and before I could get him back Harold drafted him in the last draft. Under Harold’s golden touch with pitchers, it would not surprise me if he was not a perennial top 30 pitcher and usable in a SOMBILLA rotation.
Round 8:
|
1. Harold - Jerry Blevins |
0-0, 0 SV, 2.90 ERA, 3 K (9.3 IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
2. Robin – Marlon Byrd |
.237 / .283 / .324 / .607 (346 PA), 2 HR, 26 RBI, 7 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
3. Eric - Justin Masterson |
1-3, 0 SV, 2.74 ERA, 29 K (42.6666666666667 IP) |
Still Owned |
|
4. RAT - Ronnie Belliard |
.267 / .353 / .412 / .765 (51 PA), 2 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
5. Arnie - Jerry Hairston |
.257 / .325 / .333 / .658 (120 PA), 0 HR, 10 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
6. Jed - Kevin Slowey |
-, SV, ERA, K ( IP) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
7. Harold - Dan Wheeler |
0-1, 0 SV, 6.34 ERA, 11 K (21.3 IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
8. Tom – Brandon Morrow |
-, SV, ERA, K ( IP) |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: Justin Masterson by the virtue of being kept. He developed a better slider to left handed pitchers this year and has always been dominant against right handed hitters. Some thought he had already had his career year in the SOMBILLA (2011 cards) and he got used as a part time starter. Now it looks like he will be a true #1 if he can keep up his current performance through the end of the 2013.
Worst Pick: Brandon Morrow had the tools and the K ability, but his owner could not wait and cut him in the waiver fiasco event that happens after the draft and then could not get him back. He has been inconsistent in real life and may never pitch for a contender in the SOMBILLA. Back-to-back bad starter picks to CN.
Round 9-14:
|
1. Jeff - Carlos Gonzalez |
.252 / .286 / .380 / .666 (503 PA), 14 HR, 69 RBI, 18 SB |
Still Owned |
|
2. RAT - Will Ohman |
1-0, 0 SV, 2.40 ERA, 8 K (15 IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
3. Eric - Kosuke Fukudome |
/ / / 0 ( PA), HR, RBI, SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
4. Robin - Jed Lowrie |
/ / / 0 ( PA), HR, RBI, SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
5. Arnie - Mike Adams |
6-4, 21 SV, 2.55 ERA, 106 K (95.3666666666667 IP) |
Still Owned |
|
6. Jed - Nick Blackburn |
-, SV, ERA, K ( IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Harold - David Ross |
.191 / .292 / .348 / .64 (161 PA), 6 HR, 18 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
8. Tom - Brian Bruney |
0-0, 2 SV, 3.21 ERA, 18 K (14 IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
1. Robin - Joe Crede |
.176 / .279 / .309 / .588 (136 PA), 3 HR, 8 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
2. Eric - Brian Giles |
.312 / .385 / .429 / .814 (226 PA), 6 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
3. RAT - Martin Prado |
.261 / .293 / .353 / .646 (249 PA), 4 HR, 24 RBI, 1 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
4. Arnie - Gabe Kapler |
.265 / .317 / .341 / .658 (126 PA), 1 HR, 10 RBI, 2 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
5. Jed - Chris Sampson |
4-1, 1 SV, 2.82 ERA, 17 K (38.3 IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
6. Harold - Jason Kendall |
.220 / .264 / .321 / .585 (53 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
7. Tom - Arthur Rhodes |
2-0, 1 SV, 4.62 ERA, 20 K (15.6 IP) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
1. RAT - Ryan Shealy |
.316 / .316 / .579 / .895 (19 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
2. Eric - Andy Sonnanstine |
-, SV, ERA, K ( IP) |
Cut After One Year |
|
3. Arnie - Chase Headley |
.276 / .346 / .376 / .722 (205 PA), 5 HR, 24 RBI, 6 SB |
Traded |
|
4. Jed - Emmanuel Burriss |
/ / / 0 ( PA), HR, RBI, SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
5. Harold - Jason Bartlett |
.286 / .329 / .384 / .713 (438 PA), 7 HR, 46 RBI, 16 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
6. Tom - Ramon Santiago |
.313 / .459 / .262 / .721 (61 PA), 0 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
1. Arnie - Sergio Romo |
9-1, 8 SV, 4.27 ERA, 59 K (59 IP) |
Still Owned |
|
2. Jed - Brett Gardner |
.241 / .336 / .313 / .649 (214 PA), 3 HR, 12 RBI, 18 SB |
Still Owned |
|
3. Harold - Ian Stewart |
/ / / 0 ( PA), HR, RBI, SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
1. Jed - Mark DeRosa |
.285 / .358 / .438 / .796 (137 PA), 5 HR, 15 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
1. Jed - Carlos Gomez |
/ / / 0 ( PA), HR, RBI, SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick: CarGo has been the best of what is one of the best late rounds I have ever seen. Mike Adams, while never a closer in MLB, has been one of the dominant relievers in various sets over the years. Chase Headley was picked up and traded to Robin for Carlos Beltran, who was a piece towards last year’s championship. Chase Headley is also staking a claim to being a top 5 3B for the foreseeable future. Sergio Romo is again a quality late round reliever picked up by Arnie. So it looks like the late rounds of this draft were mostly a North Dakota show of dominance into the deep dive of future prospects.
Worst Pick: Can you really be a bad pick this late. The players who never played? Or the ones that get cut right away without playing?
Other: Jed picked Carlos Gomez to end this draft and then never played him. At our last draft, Jed redrafted him in the 10th round. Will he play for him this time? He is better, he has a positive WAR (Wins Above Replacement) because of his defense, power and speed.
2008 Card Set Results:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
ARNIE |
.233 / .294 / .314 / .608 (344 PA), 1 HR, 33 RBI, 4 SB |
|
ERIC |
.279 / .336 / .437 / .773 (405 PA), 14 HR, 40 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Harold |
.282 / .355 / .352 / .707 (344 PA), 3 HR, 23 RBI, 12 SB |
|
JEFF |
.300 / .370 / .517 / .887 (211 PA), 11 HR, 43 RBI, 3 SB |
|
Jed |
.297 / .374 / .369 / .743 (390 PA), 7 HR, 40 RBI, 6 SB |
|
Robin |
.263 / .319 / .391 / .71 (653 PA), 13 HR, 57 RBI, 6 SB |
|
TSK |
.321 / .403 / .445 / .848 (596 PA), 15 HR, 92 RBI, 7 SB |
|
WAX |
.333 / .385 / .484 / .869 (192 PA), 4 HR, 33 RBI, 2 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
ARNIE |
14-19, 10 SV, 5.05 ERA, 236 K (267.6 IP) |
|
ERIC |
12-7, 9 SV, 3.12 ERA, 107 K (141.3 IP) |
|
Harold |
14-20, 0 SV, 4.80 ERA, 123 K (279.3 IP) |
|
JEFF |
18-17, 7 SV, 4.07 ERA, 156 K (26.7 IP) |
|
Jed |
11-6, 6 SV, 3.93 ERA, 117 K (16.3 IP) |
|
Robin |
0-0, 2 SV, 3.76 ERA, 17 K (26.3 IP) |
|
TSK |
5-3, 6 SV, 3.43 ERA, 73 K (7.9 IP) |
|
WAX |
3-2, 3 SV, 4.63 ERA, 104 K (118.6 IP) |
Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
ARNIE |
.254 / .320 / .339 / .659 (593 PA), 6 HR, 60 RBI, 10 SB |
|
ERIC |
.281 / .326 / .427 / .753 (576 PA), 19 HR, 60 RBI, 7 SB |
|
Harold |
.265 / .332 / .376 / .708 (740 PA), 15 HR, 74 RBI, 20 SB |
|
JEFF |
.249 / .310 / .400 / .71 (1354 PA), 51 HR, 191 RBI, 30 SB |
|
Jed |
.260 / .355 / .346 / .701 (1013 PA), 22 HR, 91 RBI, 34 SB |
|
Robin |
.259 / .310 / .419 / .729 (1164 PA), 35 HR, 121 RBI, 9 SB |
|
TSK |
.317 / .404 / .431 / .835 (758 PA), 18 HR, 106 RBI, 11 SB |
|
WAX |
.274 / .329 / .444 / .773 (993 PA), 43 HR, 143 RBI, 23 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
ARNIE |
33-24, 38 SV, 3.90 ERA, 444 K (50.6 IP) |
|
ERIC |
13-15, 9 SV, 4.49 ERA, 191 K (248.6 IP) |
|
Harold |
29-40, 0 SV, 5.29 ERA, 359 K (58.3 IP) |
|
JEFF |
30-35, 12 SV, 4.33 ERA, 400 K (553 IP) |
|
Jed |
14-9, 6 SV, 4.57 ERA, 193 K (22.6 IP) |
|
Robin |
0-1, 2 SV, 6.43 ERA, 29 K (49 IP) |
|
TSK |
8-9, 11 SV, 4.60 ERA, 132 K (119 IP) |
|
WAX |
15-9, 3 SV, 3.77 ERA, 285 K (308 IP) |
Facts about the Draft: This was the last year before the new waiver wire process. Three teams decided to pick only 10 players – Eric, Robin and Jeff. 21 of the 90 players drafted have been continuously owned since the draft. Eric apparently disliked this draft because he drafted only 10 and still owns only 1 of them (plus Balfour who he traded for). Jeff drafted only 10, but he has kept more than anyone else at 5 (Arnie sort of kept 7 in that he now has Cruz and he traded away Headley and Balfour, who are both still owned in the league). 34 players were cut after the first year. Next year, I will do a summer study on these kind of numbers over the drafts that I analyzed and get some indication of what is an average year and what is an outlier…
Best Draft: This was closer than one would think in that a number of good players were spread out amongst various teams – Wax (Kershaw, Cruz, Scherzer, Bruce), Robin (Davis, Sandoval, Headley sort of), and Arnie (Lee, Balfour, Cueto, Adams, Headley, Romo) But I had to hand the Best Draft crown to Jeff, who picked first overall and picked Longoria, Teagarden, Devine, Ziegler, Lester, Mussina, Carlson, Buchholz, Oliver and CarGo… Jeff had a well balanced draft picking up 2 exceptional hitters, 2 solid front line starting pitchers and a mess of useful relievers.
Worst Draft: CN Manatees do not still own any of the players drafted. He squandered his draft on short term gains picking up: McLouth, Thornton, Nady, T. Buchholz, Aviles, Span, Samardzjia, Baker, Morrow, Bruney, Rhodes and Santiago.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2010 (2009 cards) draft. As I am writing this it is early August and as usual a very busy summer, probably the busiest in my memory. Anyway, we have played 4 SOMBILLA seasons with the players from this draft; however, note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:
As a result, some of these teams’players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned than they deserve.
Round 1:
|
1. Arnie -- Matt Wieters (C) |
0.319 / 0.349 / 0.486 / 0.835 (249 PA), 10 HR, 40 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
2. Robin -- Tommy Hanson (SP) |
6-9, 0 SV, 4.63 ERA, 115 K (128.3 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
3. Harold -- Ben Zobrist (2B) |
0.255 / 0.338 / 0.405 / 0.743 (619 PA), 24 HR, 71 RBI, 13 SB |
Still Owned |
|
4. Tom -- Joel Pineiro (SP) |
5-5, 0 SV, 5.81 ERA, 43 K (102.3 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
5. Jeff -- Elvis Andrus (SS) |
0.238 / 0.301 / 0.295 / 0.596 (770 PA), 8 HR, 64 RBI, 38 SB |
Still Owned |
|
6. Jed -- Andrew Bailey (RP) |
4-5, 13 SV, 3.78 ERA, 57 K (52.3 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
7. Randy -- Andrew McCutchen (CF) |
0.217 / 0.284 / 0.348 / 0.632 (500 PA), 16 HR, 53 RBI, 11 SB |
Still Owned |
|
8. Eric -- Mike Wuertz (RP) |
4-4, 8 SV, 2.18 ERA, 44 K (33 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick: Before reviewing the accumulated SOMBILLA stats, I thought McCutchen would be the runaway no doubt best pick. But Zobrist edges him out in stats so far, and has positional flexibility as well. But McCutchen is a CF-1 and a likely NL MVP candidate in real life for years to come. He is also younger. So Andrew McCutchen takes this round.
Worst Pick: I have
said on more than one occasion that it is almost always a mistake to take a
pitcher that is pitching over his head just because that is your biggest need. Well, I did just that, thinking that I had
just missed the playoffs and could come back. Bad pick by me; Pineiro (former
Round 2:
|
9. Robin -- Alcides Escobar (SS) |
0.206 / 0.216 / 0.284 / 0.5 (162 PA), 1 HR, 11 RBI, 3 SB |
Still Owned |
|
10. Arnie -- David Aardsma (RP) |
3-4, 4 SV, 6.40 ERA, 48 K (44.97 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
11. Harold -- Jason Frasor (RP) |
2-1, 1 SV, 3.68 ERA, 22 K (22 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
12. Tom -- Kendry Morales (1B) |
0.321 / 0.366 / 0.656 / 1.022 (224 PA), 21 HR, 52 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
13. Jeff -- Neftali Feliz (RP) |
5-3, 9 SV, 2.54 ERA, 38 K (49.66 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
14. Jed -- Marco Scutaro (SS) |
0.241 / 0.336 / 0.265 / 0.601 (223 PA), 1 HR, 13 RBI, 4 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
15. Randy -- Garrett Jones (OF) |
No stats reported for his
one season… |
Cut After One Year |
|
16. Eric -- Nyjer Morgan (CF) |
0.318 / 0.362 / 0.387 / 0.749 (282 PA), 2 HR, 22 RBI, 18 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick: If Neftali Perez had been more healthy or consistent as he went from starter to closer, then he would have had a chance. However, the Cuban defector K. Morales takes the round with an OPS over 1. The broken leg celebration may be all we remember five years from now, but he looked to be a switch hitting 1B with power that was supposed to replace Howard.
Worst Pick: This round is traditionally one for teams with aspirations to draft the best available relievers. I am going to go with the one year wonder Garrett Jones who had no reported stats as his team tanked his one SOMBILLA season. Was it because they squandered a 2nd round pick on Jones? Maybe they were just enjoying the McCutcheon pick too much.
Other: Defensive whiz Escobar may yet prove to be the most valuable if Morales is cut after a disappointing 2014 campaign.
Round 3:
|
17. Arnie -- Mike Gonzalez (RP) |
4-0, 1 SV, 3.37 ERA, 32 K (32 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
18. Robin -- Kiko Calero (RP) |
3-1, 2 SV, 3.15 ERA, 22 K (20 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
19. Harold -- J.A. Happ (S/R) |
4-4, 0 SV, 4.29 ERA, 39 K (65 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
20. Tom -- Luke Gregerson (RP) |
3-5, 7 SV, 2.79 ERA, 54 K (51.63 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
21. Jeff -- Ronald Belisario (RP) |
3-1, 1 SV, 3.46 ERA, 19 K (26 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
22. Jed -- Scott Feldman (SP) |
1-1, 0 SV, 4.43 ERA, 33 K (46.7 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
23. Randy -- Kyle Blanks (LF) |
0.154 / 0.353 / 0.353 / 0.706 (17 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
24. Eric -- Ryan Franklin (RP) |
3-2, 1 SV, 2.85 ERA, 16 K (25.3 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick: Back to back good picks for CN as they picked up Luke Gregerson on the heels of Morales. This round was all about bullpen and/or spot starters, and Gregerson was just better than the others over the last five years and is the only player still owned. He will be in the middle of the CN bullpen despite never taking over the closer role for a major league club.
Worst Pick: Wax also goes back to back, picking their third outfielder of the draft. This one only got 17 PA after the lost season and he is history. Headline puns abound as Future Wax comes up shooting Blanks.
Round 4:
|
25. Robin -- Darren O'Day (RP) |
4-1, 3 SV, 3.41 ERA, 30 K (37 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
26. Harold -- Alfredo Acevedes (RP) |
0-1, 1 SV, 3.41 ERA, 28 K (34.3 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
27. Arnie -- Dexter Fowler (OF) |
0.321 / 0.413 / 0.426 / 0.839 (317 PA), 7 HR, 28 RBI, 9 SB |
Still Owned |
|
28. Tom -- Colby Rasmus (OF) |
0.220 / 0.233 / 0.317 / 0.55 (60 PA), 1 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
29. Jeff -- Rick Porcello (SP) |
Potential that may just be coming to fruition now… |
Still Owned |
|
30. Jed -- Rajai Davis (OF) |
0.278 / 0.330 / 0.335 / 0.665 (209 PA), 1 HR, 24 RBI, 14 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
31. Randy -- Erick Aybar (SS) |
0.333 / 0.378 / 0.444 / 0.822 (45 PA), 0 HR, 8 RBI, 2 SB |
Still Owned |
|
32. Eric -- Bob Howry (RP) |
2-0, 0 SV, 3.42 ERA, 12 K (23.7 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: Dexter Fowler has played in our league better than you thought he would looking at his raw cards. I believe that his slash stats benefited from his manager wisely using him in good situations and platoons (real life .270/.360/.788). He put up good numbers and good defense in the SOMBILLA. I was ready to pick him in this round, but Arnie scooped him up and I had to go with my second choice of Rasmus. He was in the heart of things as Arnie became a juggernaut over the last couple of seasons.
Worst Pick: Rick
Porcello just edges out Colby Rasmus as the worst pick. He just has not been good enough to crack a SOMBILLA
pitching staff. He shows some signs of
becoming a solid 3 or 4 in
Round 5:
|
33. Arnie -- Mat Latos (SP) |
4-4, 0 SV, 4.26 ERA, 61 K (67.67 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
34. Robin -- Randy Wells (SP) |
1-6, 0 SV, 7.02 ERA, 25 K (48.7 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
35. Jed -- Sean White (RP) |
5-2, 2 SV, 3.81 ERA, 9 K (26 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
36. Tom -- Casey McGehee (3B) |
0.233 / 0.308 / 0.368 / 0.676 (133 PA), 5 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
37. Jeff -- Gordon Beckham (3B) |
0.000 / 0.500 / 0.000 / 0.5 (2 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
38. Jed -- Jeremy Affeldt (RP) |
5-6, 2 SV, 1.82 ERA, 35 K (59.3 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
39. Randy -- Sean Burnett (RP) |
2-1, 2 SV, 2.28 ERA, 14 K (23.67 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
40. Eric -- Maicer Izturis (2B) |
|
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick: Affeldt gets the nod because he has exceeded his expectations and provided great bullpen value. Latos is one of my personal cheeseballs and may turn out to be the best of the round. Too bad that he (Latos) has not been able to blossom into that #1 or #2 starter that his owners (Arnie and I) expected. (I picked him in the teens in my 26-team league and I have been happy with that and still look forward to his leadership to come).
Worst Pick: Gordon
Beckham was expected to be a starter at 2B, and Jeff still is holding on to him
hoping for that breakout year. His defense has improved to Gold Glove levels
but he is so inconsistent with the bat in the majors it is hard to get a read
on whether he is in or out of favor in
Round 6:
|
41. Robin -- Brian Matusz (SP) |
|
Still Owned |
|
42. Arnie -- Nick Masset (RP) |
3-2, 0 SV, 5.13 ERA, 22 K (26.3 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
43. Harold -- Fu-Te Ni (RP) |
2-0, 0 SV, 4.09 ERA, 12 K (11 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
44. Tom -- Josh Willingham (OF) |
0.236 / 0.346 / 0.344 / 0.69 (500 PA), 17 HR, 55 RBI, 3 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
45. Jeff -- Daniel Bard (RP) |
5-4, 5 SV, 3.53 ERA, 59 K (66.37 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
46. Jed -- David Price (SP) |
13-9, 0 SV, 4.51 ERA, 218 K (229.67 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
47. Randy -- Claudio Vargas (RP) |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
48. Eric -- Juan Rivera (OF) |
0.308 / 0.386 / 0.500 / 0.886 (44 PA), 2 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: One of those left handed starters taken late that is a #1 in the majors and pretty good in the SOMBILLA is David Price. Jed was probably thinking, Price is still on the board well let’s swing for the fences. He is still probably happy over this one.
Worst Pick: Robin
probably saw Matusz as the big left handed starter that Price turned out to be
and he was hyped in
Round 7:
|
49. Arnie -- Alberto Callaspo (2B) |
0.333 / 0.375 / 0.458 / 0.833 (48 PA), 0 HR, 6 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
50. Robin -- Andres Torres (OF) |
0.233 / 0.286 / 0.420 / 0.706 (231 PA), 7 HR, 22 RBI, 8 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
51. Harold -- Matt Diaz (RF) |
0.317 / 0.429 / 0.551 / 0.98 (49 PA), 3 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
52. Tom -- Brian Sanches (RP) |
2-2, 2 SV, 5.13 ERA, 21 K (26.33 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
53. Jeff -- Kevin Millwood (SP) |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
54. Jed -- Oscar Salazar (LF) |
0.289 / 0.333 / 0.354 / 0.687 (48 PA), 1 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
55. Randy -- Seth Smith (OF) |
|
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
56. Eric -- Brian Wilson (RP) |
3-2, 1 SV, 4.50 ERA, 53 K (54.03 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick: This was not a round to get excited about. One-year wonders and relievers dominate. Andres Torres got the most play but did not really set the league afire. Take your pick amongst those that played.
Worst Pick: Kevin Millwood wins mostly because he never played. And I am sure that Seth Smith did something in that lost Wax season and was probably SD’s best hitter this year.
Round 8:
|
57. Robin -- Kyle McClellan (RP) |
1-0, 0 SV, 1.80 ERA, 8 K (25 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
58. Harold -- |
2-2, 1 SV, 2.37 ERA, 54 K (49.3 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
59. Arnie -- Angel Pagan (OF) |
0.341 / 0.390 / 0.474 / 0.864 (251 PA), 6 HR, 34 RBI, 16 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
60. Tom -- Brad Bergesen (SP) |
1-5, 0 SV, 6.57 ERA, 21 K (50.7 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
61. Jeff -- Alex Avila (C) |
0.275 / 0.366 / 0.433 / 0.799 (254 PA), 11 HR, 34 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
62. Jed -- Casey Blake (3B) |
0.309 / 0.457 / 0.400 / 0.857 (70 PA), 3 HR, 12 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
63. Harold -- Robinson Tejeda (SP) |
1-1, 0 SV, 2.70 ERA, 26 K (23.3 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
64. Eric -- Ryan Sweeney (RF) |
0.170 / 0.235 / 0.216 / 0.451 (51 PA), 0 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick:
Worst Pick: Bergesen had a #1 starter card according to Lamana but he was not a normal #1 starter. He had to be used the right way and CN failed badly.
Round 9-14:
|
65. Arnie -- Scott Hairston (OF) |
0.210 / 0.264 / 0.391 / 0.655 (87 PA), 4 HR, 13 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
66. Robin -- Michael Brantley (OF) |
|
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
67. Harold -- Josh Outman (RP) |
1-1, 1 SV, 4.44 ERA, 23 K (24.3 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
68. Tom -- Brandon Lyon (RP) |
1-1, 0 SV, 4.44 ERA, 33 K (46.63 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
69. Jeff -- Geraldo Parra (OF) |
0.289 / 0.326 / 0.377 / 0.703 (215 PA), 4 HR, 26 RBI, 6 SB |
Still Owned |
|
70. Jed -- Jeff Francoeur (OF) |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
71. Randy -- Carlos Ruiz (C) |
0.242 / 0.303 / 0.303 / 0.606 (518 PA), 6 HR, 50 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
72. Eric -- Joe Thatcher (RP) |
3-0, 1 SV, 2.49 ERA, 25 K (25.33 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
73. Robin -- Nolan Reimold (OF) |
0.279 / 0.340 / 0.553 / 0.893 (47 PA), 4 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
74. Arnie -- Chris Tillman (SP) |
|
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
75. Harold -- Ian Desmond (SS) |
0.190 / 0.234 / 0.248 / 0.482 (145 PA), 1 HR, 16 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
|
76. Tom -- Miguel Olivo (C) |
0.297 / 0.329 / 0.630 / 0.959 (173 PA), 17 HR, 36 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
77. Jeff -- Chris Coghlan (OF) |
0.278 / 0.326 / 0.403 / 0.729 (181 PA), 4 HR, 23 RBI, 1 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
78. Jed -- CJ Wilson (RP) |
11-23, 0 SV, 6.35 ERA, 206 K (267.67 IPS) |
Still Owned (by Robin) |
|
79. Randy -- Brett Anderson (SP) |
|
Still Owned |
|
80. Eric -- Michael Bourn (OF) |
0.198 / 0.252 / 0.241 / 0.493 (357 PA), 1 HR, 18 RBI, 13 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
81. Arnie -- Fernando Martinez (OF) |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
82. Robin -- Wade Davis (SP) |
|
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
83. Harold -- Ryan Roberts (2B) |
0.000 / 0.000 / 0.000 / 0 (2 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
84. Tom -- Ryan Raburn (LF) |
0.174 / 0.240 / 0.200 / 0.44 (25 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
85. Jeff -- Wandy Rodriguez (SP) |
7-8, 0 SV, 5.72 ERA, 103 K (140 IPS) |
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
86. Jed -- Angel Guzman (RP) |
1-0, 2 SV, 3.00 ERA, 23 K (24 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
87. Randy -- Jeff Neimann (SP) |
|
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
88. Eric -- Kevin Kouzmanoff (3B) |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
89. Robin -- Lou Marson (C) |
|
Kept for more than 1 year |
|
90. Harold -- Francisco Cervelli (C) |
0.083 / 0.353 / 0.059 / 0.412 (34 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB |
Kept for more than 1 year |
Best Pick: There are a number of these players that are still owned, but Michael Brantley, stupidly cut by Robin last year, may have put together the best season (for no SOMBILLA manager yet) this summer. Olivo was a solid source of power for CN as catcher and Ruiz has been good and may still have a future for the WAX boys. Desmond is a 1 SS who has not yet gotten his offense on in the SOMBILLA. CJ Wilson is the cutest of these players and Robin still hopes that he will return to the form that got him a huge major league deal.
Worst Pick: Can you really be a bad pick this late. The players who never played? Or the ones that get cut right away without playing?
Other: Franceour was drafted and cut in the waiver draft and I could not figure when Marson was cut but he is not around now.
2009 Card Set Results:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
0.324 / 0.373 / 0.452 / 0.825 (518 PA), 9 HR, 64 RBI, 17 SB |
|
Eric |
0.337 / 0.396 / 0.439 / 0.835 (212 PA), 4 HR, 20 RBI, 11 SB |
|
Harold |
0.283 / 0.382 / 0.428 / 0.81 (283 PA), 12 HR, 43 RBI, 6 SB |
|
Jed |
0.267 / 0.347 / 0.319 / 0.666 (496 PA), 6 HR, 50 RBI, 15 SB |
|
Jeff |
0.272 / 0.320 / 0.390 / 0.71 (444 PA), 12 HR, 66 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Robin |
0.239 / 0.323 / 0.414 / 0.737 (99 PA), 4 HR, 10 RBI, 1 SB |
|
Tom |
0.282 / 0.330 / 0.550 / 0.88 (518 PA), 39 HR, 98 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Wax |
|
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
9-6, 4 SV, 4.63 ERA, 82 K (83.6 IPS) |
|
Eric |
12-6, 9 SV, 3.47 ERA, 109 K (116.7 IPS) |
|
Harold |
11-10, 3 SV, 3.83 ERA, 179 K (204.2 IPS) |
|
Jed |
12-8, 16 SV, 3.83 ERA, 141 K (169 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
5-3, 9 SV, 3.02 ERA, 49 K (50.7 IPS) |
|
Robin |
7-13, 5 SV, 4.85 ERA, 122 K (161.3 IPS) |
|
Tom |
11-13, 4 SV, 5.42 ERA, 133 K (227.6 IPS) |
|
Wax |
|
Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
0.316 / 0.375 / 0.453 / 0.828 (952 PA), 27 HR, 121 RBI, 26 SB |
|
Eric |
0.249 / 0.301 / 0.311 / 0.612 (734 PA), 5 HR, 47 RBI, 31 SB |
|
Harold |
0.240 / 0.325 / 0.372 / 0.697 (849 PA), 28 HR, 96 RBI, 15 SB |
|
Jed |
0.268 / 0.349 / 0.316 / 0.665 (550 PA), 6 HR, 54 RBI, 19 SB |
|
Jeff |
0.257 / 0.320 / 0.345 / 0.665 (1422 PA), 27 HR, 147 RBI, 45 SB |
|
Randy |
0.233 / 0.298 / 0.331 / 0.629 (1080 PA), 23 HR, 114 RBI, 13 SB |
|
Robin |
0.227 / 0.266 / 0.384 / 0.65 (440 PA), 12 HR, 42 RBI, 11 SB |
|
Tom |
0.261 / 0.335 / 0.449 / 0.784 (1115 PA), 61 HR, 163 RBI, 3 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
16-10, 7 SV, 4.76 ERA, 183 K (194.6 IPS) |
|
Eric |
15-8, 11 SV, 3.29 ERA, 150 K (161.37 IPS) |
|
Harold |
12-10, 4 SV, 3.53 ERA, 204 K (229.2 IPS) |
|
Jed |
40-46, 19 SV, 4.85 ERA, 581 K (705.67 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
21-16, 16 SV, 4.32 ERA, 225 K (291.7 IPS) |
|
Randy |
5-4, 2 SV, 4.76 ERA, 52 K (109.67 IPS) |
|
Robin |
15-17, 5 SV, 4.52 ERA, 200 K (258.97 IPS) |
|
Tom |
20-26, 9 SV, 5.13 ERA, 278 K (425.93 IPS) |
Facts about the Draft: This was the first year of the new waiver wire process and everyone drafted their full 12 players. (Future Wax traded Matt LaPorta to CN which got FW a better pick the next year and just demonstrated how stupid CN can be) Eric apparently hated this draft because he has kept no players from it on his current roster, although he did win the World Series that year so maybe he just did not need anybody for long. The short-and long-term statistical winners in the hitting categories go to Tom and Arnie, but Jed picked up the best pitching stats so far.
Best Draft: If the draft was to be awarded on one player then Wax would get it for Andrew McCutcheon. However, Arnie gets the nod for a solid if unspectacular draft. He still owns Wieters (Tommy John this year so who knows), Fowler and Latos. and his one-year and five-year stats are just ahead of the field. Overall, Arnie drafted Matt Wieters, David Aardsma, Mike Gonzalez, Dexter Fowler, Mat Latos, Nick Masset, Alberto Callaspo, Angel Pagan, Scott Hairston, Chris Tillman, Fernando Martinez and Chris Perez
Worst Draft: World Series hangover for Eric who just did not keep anyone he drafted and the players picked did not excel for him in the short term either... (Eric’s team was just too good in the short term.) He drafted: Mike Wuertz, the fiery Nyjer Morgan, Ryan Franklin, Bob Howry, Maicer Izturis, Juan Rivera, Brian Wilson, Ryan Sweeney, Joe Thatcher, Michael Bourn, Kevin Kouzmanoff and Brad Ausmus.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
By Tom
Kinney, edited by A&R
It is time for the 4-year draft
retrospective analysis of the 2011 (Cards 2010) draft. As I am writing this it
is mid-July and as usual a very busy summer…We have 4 SOMBILLA Seasons, but
note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:
As a result, some of these
teams players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs,
SBs) and be more maligned that they deserve.
Round 1:
|
1. Robin - Buster Posey |
0.271 / 0.322 / 0.379 / 0.701 (612 PA), 13 HR, 57 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
2. Jeff - Jason Heyward |
0.231 / 0.311 / 0.339 / 0.65 (440 PA), 12 HR, 41 RBI, 3 SB |
Traded Still Owned |
|
3. Randy - Mike Stanton |
0.241 / 0.323 / 0.457 / 0.78 (669 PA), 40 HR, 104 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
|
4. Tom - Carlos Santana |
0.242 / 0.345 / 0.389 / 0.734 (229 PA), 8 HR, 23 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
5. Arnie - Starlin Castro |
0.000 / 0.273 / 0.000 / 0.273 (11 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 2 SB |
Still Owned |
|
6. Jed - Jose Bautista |
0.207 / 0.333 / 0.393 / 0.726 (832 PA), 53 HR, 130 RBI, 4 SB |
Still Owned |
|
7. Eric - Jhoulys Chacin |
3-3, 0 SV, 3.000 ERA, 42 K (39 IPS) |
Cut in the last Draft |
|
8. Harold - Stephen Strasburg |
7-8, 0 SV, 3.986 ERA, 123 K (119.2 IPS) |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: The once and future Giancarlo has been the best real life baseball player and all the players have worse stats in the SOMBILLA than one would expect. He is the best RF for the future and in the current set. Stanton is a human highlight machine hitting breathtaking homeruns to all fields. Busty Posey comes close, as he is listed as the best C for the future and in the current set. Posey’s bat is good enough that SF hopes that playing him at first will lengthen his career and effectiveness. Either could have been the pick here.
Worst Picks: This was also a two horse race. Starlin Castro has never lived up to his early billing and may never be a starting SS in the SOMBILLA. The Cubs are interested in trading him or letting him start a career elsewhere and if he ends up at 3B, I will predict a cut without him getting more SOMBILLA at bats. Chacin was picked to fill a need for a partial year. Eric was overly optimistic, but Chacin’s health and Coors has conspired to limit him to that first card. Castro has a chance, but I am going to give him the nod.
Other: Jed and Harold both took chances in the late part of this round. The revamped Bautista swing amongst rumors of substances made Bautista risky, but he has out-performed the round in HR and RBIs but fell short in future value and on base/OPS values. Strasburg is showing some signs of weakness this year, but he has been very good if not the #1 pitcher that he could still become.
Round 2:
|
9. Robin - Domonic Brown |
0.205 / 0.241 / 0.329 / 0.57 (158 PA), 5 HR, 19 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut 2015 waiver process |
|
10. Randy - Daniel Hudson |
1-3, 0 SV, 6.149 ERA, 23 K (33.2 IPS) |
Cut 2014 waiver process |
|
11. Jeff - Jeremy Hellickson |
7-7, 0 SV, 3.759 ERA, 89 K (143.2 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
12. Tom - Pedro Alvarez |
0.231 / 0.268 / 0.500 / 0.768 (164 PA), 14 HR, 33 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
13. Robin - Logan Morrison |
0.314 / 0.372 / 0.468 / 0.84 (94 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2013 waiver process |
|
14. Jed - Brett Myers |
5-6, 0 SV, 5.294 ERA, 61 K (102 IPS) |
Cut 2013 waiver process |
|
15. Eric - Drew Stubbs |
0.320 / 0.404 / 0.474 / 0.878 (57 PA), 2 HR, 4 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut 2014 waiver process |
|
16. Harold - Joaquin Benoit |
2-1, 0 SV, 2.950 ERA, 32 K (39.2 IPS) |
Traded Still Owned |
Best Pick: Benoit was a re-drafted pitcher (he had 3 good years (2005-2007) for CN as the best pick of that draft’s 7th round) and may have even have had a career earlier than that… He has had 2 seasons for Arnie (traded to him as part of the Ellsbury trade last year) and is the best relief card in the current set so he will get at least one more year for ND. Alvarez was a power hitter that the Red Sox could not sign and CN hoped would have more value. He still has that power potential so he might surprise when we look back after 10 years…
Worst Pick: 5 out of 8 picks in this round have been let go. In a second round like this one, you have to go with the player that one of us had the most hope for – Dom Brown. He has been a disappointment in Philadelphia as well. The power shows up in short bursts but he never managed to hit or play enough defense to consistently crack the Phillies’ lineup let alone an All Star league like the SOMBILLA.
Other:. Daniel Hudson of the multiple surgeries was cut by Wax in the 2013 waiver process and then claimed back by Wax before I could take him and then they cut him in the next year.
Round 3:
|
17. Jeff - Shaun Marcum |
8-10, 0 SV, 5.004 ERA, 92 K (154.2 IPS) |
Cut in the 2014 waiver process |
|
18. Jeff - Brandon Morrow |
2-2, 0 SV, 3.857 ERA, 37 K (51.1 IPS) |
Cut in the 2015 waiver process |
|
19. Randy - Jonny Venters |
5-0, 6 SV, 3.121 ERA, 70 K (57.2 IPS) |
Cut in the 2014 waiver process |
|
20. Tom - Tim Stauffer |
1-4, 4 SV, 4.408 ERA, 20 K (32.2 IPS) |
Cut After One Year, claimed by Jed and cut the next year |
|
21. Arnie - Sean Marshall |
2-3, 2 SV, 5.484 ERA, 65 K (64 IPS) |
Cut in the 2014 waiver process |
|
22. Jed - Colby Lewis |
5-4, 0 SV, 5.088 ERA, 82 K (86.2 IPS) |
Cut in the 2014 waiver process |
|
23. Eric - Gio Gonzalez |
8-12, 0 SV, 4.423 ERA, 186 K (195.1 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
24. Jed - Evan Meek |
2-5, 0 SV, 5.455 ERA, 33 K (33 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: You can look at this round in 2 ways: the only player still owned is Gio, who is below .500 but has eaten up a bunch of innings for Eric. On the other hand, Johnny Venters has had the most success over his limited career. Venters has had two Tommy John surgeries and probably will never throw another pitch in anger. The third round over the drafts from 2006->2011 has seen 1, 5, 3, 2, 1 and 1 player (Gio) still owned five years later so maybe it is a round for short term results. So I will give the slight nod to Venters.
Worst Pick: No one was terrible in this round of short term pitching needs. Evan Meek was cut after one year and not claimed, but Brandon Morrow pitched one season and then clogged a roster spot for four years. I will give the nod to Evan though because he really did not do that much and Morrow at least had the flashy fastball that he couldn’t get over the plate.
Other: Of particular interest to North Dakota – Colby Lewis and ND GM Arnie share a hip surgeon. So far, Arnie has had the better post-surgery athletic results - Robin
Round 4:
|
25. Robin - Eric O'Flaherty |
2-4, 8 SV, 1.765 ERA, 33 K (51 IPS) |
Cut in 2014 |
|
26. Randy - John Axford |
3-5, 13 SV, 4.408 ERA, 56 K (49 IPS) |
Cut in 2015 |
|
27. Tom - Jed Lowrie |
0.229 / 0.302 / 0.396 / 0.698 (53 PA), 2 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
28. Jeff - Hisanori Takahashi |
0-1, 1 SV, 9.000 ERA, 20 K (22 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
29. Arnie - Clay Hensley |
2-1, 5 SV, 2.455 ERA, 25 K (29.1 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
30. Jed - Aubrey Huff |
0.189 / 0.268 / 0.317 / 0.585 (205 PA), 7 HR, 21 RBI, 1 SB |
Traded to Robin who cut After One Year |
|
31. Eric - Neil Walker |
0.250 / 0.262 / 0.349 / 0.611 (195 PA), 4 HR, 18 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
|
32. Harold - Austin Jackson |
0.238 / 0.321 / 0.343 / 0.664 (274 PA), 6 HR, 28 RBI, 6 SB |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: Neil Walker has not had great numbers for Eric, but he is a solid defensive player who looks to have a future. In MLB, he bats 2nd or 4th and provides power from the 2nd base position. He is projected to be a top 7 player which makes him a starter and he is currently a BP 8 vs. RHPs. The only real competition here were 3 solid short term relief pitchers who did not do enough to overcome the potential of Walker.
Worst Pick: Aubrey Huff looked to be exciting as he was drafted and then traded to Robin during the season. But he never hit as well as he did in real life and can only be seen as a disappointment. Maybe he is really cute and that makes all the difference (see Study 3). (Ed note: He’s cute but not ‘really cute’. Also, I cut O’Flaherty before 2014 and redrafted him before cutting him again – Robin).
Round 5:
|
33. Robin - Danny Valencia |
0.444 / 0.500 / 0.500 / 1 (70 PA), 0 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
34. Jeff - Omar Infante |
0.304 / 0.330 / 0.346 / 0.676 (191 PA), 1 HR, 22 RBI, 6 SB |
Cut After One Year, to be claimed by Jed & traded to Robin |
|
35. Randy - Ike Davis |
0.253 / 0.335 / 0.455 / 0.79 (200 PA), 10 HR, 33 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2014 |
|
36. Tom - Jaime Garcia |
3-2, 0 SV, 3.547 ERA, 37 K (45.2 IPS) |
Cut in 2013 |
|
37. Arnie - Matt Joyce |
0.234 / 0.309 / 0.392 / 0.701 (204 PA), 7 HR, 16 RBI, 2 SB |
Still Owned after being cut claimed by Jed , cut again and claimed by Tom |
|
38. Jed - Ryan Hanigan |
0.191 / 0.354 / 0.268 / 0.622 (164 PA), 4 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2015 |
|
39. Eric - Brent Morel |
No Stats |
Cut in 2013 |
|
40. Harold - Joel Peralta |
0-1, 3 SV, 2.647 ERA, 19 K (17 IPS) |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: Not a great round, I have to choose between Ike Davis who was a backup 1B who never really did much but scare Loogies (‘Lefty One Out Guy’) or Jaime Garcia who looked to be a talented LH starter who blew out his arm when CN signed him. (Same thing happened to Matt Moore, is there a pattern here.? I am going to go with Jaimie Garcia by the narrowest of margins.
Worst Pick: Brent Morel who never played and never looked all that good at any level.
Other:..Three of these players are still owned but they did not really enter into the conversation for best player. Joel Peralta has 17 good innings but he is still owned and nearing 40 years old. Joyce has been a professional left handed hitter, but he has been cut twice once by Arnie and once by Jed. I regret picking him up instead of keeping Moustakas. (Infante does not appear to be usable with 2014 or 2015 card – Robin).
Round 6:
|
41. Robin - Alex Gonzalez |
0.283 / 0.353 / 0.474 / 0.827 (133 PA), 6 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2013 waiver process |
|
42. Randy - Ryan Madson |
1-1, 3 SV, 3.408 ERA, 34 K (34.1 IPS) |
Cut After One Year and claimed by Robin and cut after one year |
|
43. Jeff - Reid Brignac |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
44. Tom - John Buck |
0.267 / 0.302 / 0.415 / 0.717 (106 PA), 3 HR, 16 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
45. Arnie - Josh Thole |
0.304 / 0.418 / 0.327 / 0.745 (55 PA), 1 HR, 8 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut in 2013 waiver process |
|
46. Jed - Javier Lopez |
1-2, 1 SV, 4.091 ERA, 14 K (22 IPS) |
Cut in 2013 waiver process |
|
47. Robin - Will Rhymes |
0.000 / 0.000 / 0.000 / 0 (5 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year (but turned out to be super cute – R) |
|
48. Harold - John Jaso |
0.098 / 0.281 / 0.078 / 0.359 (64 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: This round was a real washout, but we will give it to Madson who looked to be coming into his own as teams lined up to make him a closer but a couple of surgeries ended his SOMBILLA career. He is having a resurgent year in MLB now and we wish him well in his post SOMBILLA career.
Worst Pick: Reid Brignac and Will Rhymes did not contribute anything to their teams and share the worst pick honors.
Round 7:
|
49. Robin - Kija Ka'aihue |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
50. Jeff - Yorvit Torrealba |
0.250 / 0.294 / 0.300 / 0.594 (170 PA), 2 HR, 15 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
51. Randy - Madison Bumgarner |
4-7, 0 SV, 4.893 ERA, 105 K (103 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
52. Randy - Mark Ellis |
0.227 / 0.261 / 0.296 / 0.557 (115 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 5 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
53. Arnie - Ian Kennedy |
7-5, 0 SV, 3.843 ERA, 71 K (89 IPS) |
Cut in 2014 |
|
54. Jed - Daric Barton |
0.267 / 0.329 / 0.415 / 0.744 (82 PA), 3 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
55. Eric - Chris Carter (Oak) |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
56. Harold - Jamey Carroll |
0.287 / 0.340 / 0.338 / 0.678 (385 PA), 2 HR, 29 RBI, 6 SB |
Cut in ??? (played 3 seasons) |
Best Pick: Madison Bumgarner has not shown it in the SOMBILLA but he has shown the most talent in MLB. He projects in the top 15 starters going forward so that makes him a potential #1 starter going forward.
Worst Pick: Kija and Chris Carter can split this as flyers whom both teams cut after one season.
Round 8:
|
57. Robin - Alexi Ogando |
8-5, 0 SV, 2.926 ERA, 71 K (107.2 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
58. Randy - Drew Storen |
|
Still Owned |
|
59. Tom - Mitch Moreland |
0.385 / 0.429 / 0.571 / 1 (14 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2012 |
|
60. Jeff - Jose Tabata |
0.238 / 0.291 / 0.295 / 0.586 (244 PA), 3 HR, 18 RBI, 12 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
61. Arnie - Edwin Jackson |
|
Cut After One Year, claimed by Jed and Cut one year later |
|
62. Jed - Brendan Ryan |
0.250 / 0.250 / 0.250 / 0.5 (4 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
63. Eric - Peter Bourjos |
|
Cut in 2015 |
|
64. Harold - Jonathan Sanchez |
3-1, 0 SV, 2.042 ERA, 41 K (39.2 IPS) |
Cut in 2013 |
Best Pick: Alexi Ogando is still owned (optimism as he was released and claimed by Boston before this season) and was the most effective player amongst the players taken this round. He has been very effective as a reliever who dominated righties.
Worst Pick: Drew Storen would take this as being still owned with no rewards for the team picking him, but he is the #35 reliever this year so he should do something. I am going to go with Edwin Jackson because he is the most talented player of this group to do nothing at all either in SOMBILLA or as he has bounced around MLB.
Round 9-14:
|
65. Robin - Danny Espinosa |
0.200 / 0.277 / 0.271 / 0.548 (155 PA), 3 HR, 11 RBI, 2 SB |
Still Owned |
|
66. Jeff - Jake Arrieta |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
67. Randy - Luke Scott |
0.213 / 0.306 / 0.306 / 0.612 (144 PA), 4 HR, 18 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
68. Tom - Ernesto Frieri |
0-1, 0 SV, 8.000 ERA, 12 K (9 IPS) |
Cut in 2014 |
|
69. Arnie - Adam Rosales |
0.235 / 0.278 / 0.389 / 0.667 (54 PA), 3 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
70. Jed - Bill Hall |
0.281 / 0.373 / 0.441 / 0.814 (102 PA), 5 HR, 12 RBI, 5 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
71. Eric - Tyler Colvin |
0.318 / 0.353 / 0.500 / 0.853 (136 PA), 5 HR, 20 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut in 2014 |
|
72. Harold - J.J. Putz |
2-3, 0 SV, 2.430 ERA, 33 K (33.1 IPS) |
Cut in ??? |
|
73. Robin - Ryan Kalish |
|
Cut before his first season |
|
74. Randy - Sean Rodriguez |
0.265 / 0.351 / 0.333 / 0.684 (111 PA), 1 HR, 9 RBI, 7 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
75. Jeff - Justin Smoak |
|
Cut After 1 year, claimed by Tom and cut in 2013 |
|
76. Tom - Santiago Casilla |
4-3, 1 SV, 3.103 ERA, 28 K (29 IPS) |
Cut in 2013 |
|
77. Arnie - Ramon Hernandez |
0.243 / 0.304 / 0.352 / 0.656 (125 PA), 3 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
78. Jed - Matt Belisle |
0-2, 1 SV, 3.106 ERA, 35 K (37.2 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
79. Eric - Matt Guerrier |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
80. Harold - Chris Denorfia |
0.290 / 0.357 / 0.421 / 0.778 (171 PA), 5 HR, 30 RBI, 7 SB |
Cut in 2013, claimed by Arnie and cut in 2015 |
|
81. Robin - Chris Heisey |
0.308 / 0.364 / 0.465 / 0.829 (187 PA), 7 HR, 29 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
82. Jeff - Juan Castro |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
83. Randy - David Freese |
0.282 / 0.333 / 0.349 / 0.682 (126 PA), 2 HR, 8 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2014 |
|
84. Tom - Wilson Betemit |
0.273 / 0.318 / 0.415 / 0.733 (176 PA), 2 HR, 19 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut After One YearCut in 2013 |
|
85. Arnie - Wilson Ramos |
0.345 / 0.386 / 0.472 / 0.858 (127 PA), 3 HR, 19 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
86. Jed - Cliff Pennington |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
87. Eric - J.P. Arencibia |
|
Traded to Jed during the draft then cut in 2014 |
|
88. Harold - Zach Braddock |
0-1, 0 SV, 5.786 ERA, 4 K (4.2 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
89. Tom - Coco Crisp |
0.190 / 0.301 / 0.219 / 0.52 (73 PA), 1 HR, 6 RBI, 9 SB |
Traded to Eric who Cut in 2013 |
|
90. Arnie - Jake Fox |
0.409 / 0.435 / 0.783 / 1.218 (23 PA), 2 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
91. Eric - Kyle Farnsworth |
3-3, 1 SV, 2.374 ERA, 14 K (30.1 IPS) |
Traded to TSK who Cut in 2013 |
|
92. Harold - Ivan Nova |
4-5, 1 SV, 4.113 ERA, 55 K (100.2 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
93. Tom - R.A. Dickey |
11-9, 0 SV, 5.018 ERA, 152 K (188.1 IPS) |
Cut in 2015 |
|
94. Arnie - Travis Wood |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
95. Eric - Dayan Viciedo |
|
Cut in 2015 |
|
96. Harold - Andruw Jones |
0.177 / 0.282 / 0.324 / 0.606 (71 PA), 4 HR, 8 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut before 1st season to be claimed by Jed who then cut him after 1 year |
Best Pick: Wilson Ramos has been oft injured and kidnapped once but he has been an adequate C taken late by ND. Tyler Colvin has a surprisingly good OPS in his SOMBILLA time. Casilla, Farnsworth and Putz were all good relievers for their teams.
Worst Pick: Kalish wins this one as he was picked and cut immediately in the waiver draft before he even got on the bus for Bay City. (But just wanting to get on the bus was enough time for him to catch the BC injury bug – Robin). Lots of players never played, but none so storied as JPArencibia who was drafted by Eric and then traded to Jed when he tried to draft him off of Eric’s roster the following year.
Other:. Jake Arrieta (redrafted in the 3rd round tnever did anything in this trip to the SOMBILLA majors, but he is looking pretty good in MLB and has a good card for this year for CN. He is probably the best player of these rounds to get a second bite of the apple. He just can’t hold a baserunner on to save his life.
2010 Card Set Results:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
0.268 / 0.345 / 0.389 / 0.734 (380 PA), 12 HR, 39 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Eric |
0.274 / 0.284 / 0.297 / 0.581 (74 PA), 0 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Harold |
0.233 / 0.313 / 0.299 / 0.612 (364 PA), 6 HR, 39 RBI, 9 SB |
|
Jed |
0.261 / 0.316 / 0.309 / 0.625 (725 PA), 7 HR, 70 RBI, 20 SB |
|
Jeff |
0.228 / 0.332 / 0.401 / 0.733 (684 PA), 36 HR, 102 RBI, 7 SB |
|
Robin |
0.302 / 0.358 / 0.430 / 0.788 (586 PA), 11 HR, 55 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Tom |
0.252 / 0.332 / 0.368 / 0.7 (413 PA), 10 HR, 57 RBI, 9 SB |
|
Wax |
0.247 / 0.305 / 0.365 / 0.67 (534 PA), 15 HR, 58 RBI, 12 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
3-3, 6 SV, 3.21 ERA, 54 K (56 IPS) |
|
Eric |
7-7, 1 SV, 3.559 ERA, 100 K (116.2 IPS) |
|
Harold |
4-3, 2 SV, 2.25 ERA, 79 K (80 IPS) |
|
Jed |
4-6, 1 SV, 4.88 ERA, 69 K (101.1 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
13-19, 2 SV, 4.80 ERA, 225 K (281.1 IPS) |
|
Robin |
3-2, 0 SV, 1.82 ERA, 19 K (29.2 IPS) |
|
Tom |
8-14, 5 SV, 4.82 ERA, 119 K (166 IPS) |
|
Wax |
4-7, 11 SV, 4.59 ERA, 101 K (100 IPS) |
Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
0.270 / 0.336 / 0.402 / 0.738 (599 PA), 19 HR, 68 RBI, 6 SB |
|
Eric |
0.283 / 0.314 / 0.420 / 0.734 (388 PA), 11 HR, 42 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Harold |
0.255 / 0.330 / 0.336 / 0.666 (965 PA), 17 HR, 100 RBI, 21 SB |
|
Jed |
0.250 / 0.307 / 0.323 / 0.63 (1045 PA), 18 HR, 96 RBI, 23 SB |
|
Jeff |
0.212 / 0.328 / 0.371 / 0.699 (1389 PA), 72 HR, 186 RBI, 10 SB |
|
Robin |
0.272 / 0.327 / 0.393 / 0.72 (1414 PA), 34 HR, 137 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Tom |
0.247 / 0.313 / 0.409 / 0.722 (815 PA), 31 HR, 112 RBI, 10 SB |
|
Wax |
0.244 / 0.321 / 0.407 / 0.728 (1365 PA), 59 HR, 181 RBI, 13 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
11-9, 7 SV, 4.20 ERA, 161 K (182.1 IPS) |
|
Eric |
14-18, 1 SV, 3.98 ERA, 242 K (264.2 IPS) |
|
Harold |
18-20, 4 SV, 3.50 ERA, 307 K (354.2 IPS) |
|
Jed |
17-20, 1 SV, 4.60 ERA, 238 K (371.2 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
13-19, 2 SV, 4.86 ERA, 225 K (281.1 IPS) |
|
Robin |
10-9, 8 SV, 2.55 ERA, 104 K (158.2 IPS) |
|
Tom |
19-19, 5 SV, 4.64 ERA, 249 K (304.2 IPS) |
|
Wax |
14-16, 22 SV, 4.41 ERA, 288 K (277.2 IPS) |
Facts about the Draft: This draft is one of the weakest of the 6 drafts that I have looked at with only 21 players still owned and some of those questionable like Matt Joyce. Since the 2006 draft, the number of players owned after 5 years are 20, 34, 31, 23, 24. This was back to back mediocre or worse drafts for CN setting up their run of early picks in the next two drafts, but that is another analysis.
Best Draft: Wax! They would have had and even better draft if arm surgeries did not disrail four of their pitching picks..The draft was: Stanton,G, Hudson,D, Venters,J*, Axford,J, Davis,I*, Madson,R, Bumgarner,M*, Ellis,M, Storen,D, Scott,L*, Rodriquez,S, and Freese,D. Stanton stands with Posey as the two best players in the draft. His late round hitters added flexibility and some statistics. Hudson, Venters, Axford and Madson could have been even better without injury. Garcia and Bumgarner were the two young lefties and he chose the right one.
Worst Draft: .North Dakota. Arnie drafted: Castro,S, Marshall,S*, Hensley,C, Joyce,M*, Thole,J*, Kennedy,I, Jackson,E, Rosales,A, Hernandez,R, Ramos,W, Fox, Wood,T*. A draft in which he picked up four catchers and one of them worked out but that would not make up for the disappointment that is Starlin Castro. The patented Arnie system for SP selection that has dominated more recent drafts failed him in this one as Kennedy, Jackson and Wood did not pan out for him over the long haul. The rest was minor relief help that was adequate but not a big enough win to distance himself from the league’s basement in this draft analyses. (I will point out that Ian Kennedy (7-5, 3.84) helped me win a SOMBILLA Championship in 2012-2013, Nevertheless, I humbly accept this ‘worst draft of 2011’ designation. – AP)
It is time for the 4-year draft
retrospective analysis of the 2012 (Cards 2011) draft. We’ve played 4 SOMBILLA seasons with these
players, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:
As a result, some of these teams’ players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned that they deserve.
I often include something about the current baseball season, but I have seen almost no games this year. The only thing I know is that Bryce Harper is sucking and that last year was an aberration according to statcast.
Round 1:
|
1. Jeff - Brett Lawrie |
0.199 / 0.240 / 0.296 / 0.536 (196 PA), 6 HR, 24 RBI, 1 SB |
Traded, still in the league |
|
2. Tom - Mike Trout |
0.287 / 0.382 / 0.500 / 0.882 (720 PA), 45 HR, 115 RBI, 23 SB |
Still Owned |
|
3. Jed - Doug Fister |
10-14, 0 SV, 4.506 ERA, 161 K (237.6 IPS) |
Waived 2016 |
|
4. Randy - Michael Pineda |
8-6, 0 SV, 4.655 ERA, 72 K (96.6 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
5. Harold - Eric Hosmer |
0.279 / 0.313 / 0.412 / 0.725 (313 PA), 11 HR, 42 RBI, 6 SB |
Still Owned |
|
6. Arnie - Craig Kimbrel |
5-5, 33 SV, 2.825 ERA, 162 K (108.3 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
7. Robin - Kenley Jansen |
2-4, 17 SV, 2.853 ERA, 102 K (88.3 IPS) |
Traded, still in the league |
|
8. Eric - Jesus Montero |
0.176 / 0.222 / 0.278 / 0.5 (18 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB |
Waived 2014 |
Best Pick: Mike Trout had a bad showing the year of this
draft which allowed him to drop to the 2nd pick, but from that point
on he has been the most valuable player according to wins over replacement in
Major League Baseball. He has one MVP
trophy from the SOMBILLA. He is still
rated as the #1 CF for this year and the future. Over the years, he has gone from a speedy
leadoff hitter with some pop to a feared power hitter who is too valuable to be
allowed to steal or too bulked up depending on who you believe. One year he cannot hit the high fastball, and
the next he is amongst the leaders versus the high fastball.
Worst Picks: This is a two horse race. Brett Lawrie, who did not live up to his pick and was picked before Trout, and Montero, who never played but went last in the round. Montero just edges out Lawrie because Lawrie had a career in the majors and Montero never could make it up to stay. Also one manager (Jed) still holds out hope that Lawrie can be a player, and Jed knows his waived second basemen…
Other:..I
was in a 26 team league this year and the holder of the top pick came to me for
advice. He was offered Pujols for the #1
pick. He really needed a first baseman
and was tempted. I offered him Konerko
and #10 but could not convince him. I then
said that he should keep the pick and take Trout because if Baseball
Round 2:
|
1. Randy - Dustin Ackley |
0.301 / 0.380 / 0.353 / 0.733 (150 PA), 1 HR, 21 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2015 |
|
2. Jed - Desmond Jennings |
0.250 / 0.377 / 0.338 / 0.715 (77 PA), 3 HR, 10 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut in 2015 |
|
3. Tom - Jordan Walden |
-, SV, ERA,
K ( IPS) |
Cut in 2014 |
|
4. Jeff - Aroldis Chapman |
5-5, 10 SV, 2.353 ERA, 94 K (72.6 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
5. Harold - Chris Sale |
17-8, 0 SV, 3.590 ERA, 239 K (230.6 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
6. Arnie - Michael Morse |
0.270 / 0.306 / 0.456 / 0.762 (206 PA), 9 HR, 27 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2014 |
|
7. Robin - Jemile Weeks |
0.250 / 0.297 / 0.349 / 0.646 (175 PA), 4 HR, 24 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
8. Eric - Michael Young |
0.280 / 0.310 / 0.384 / 0.694 (242 PA), 4 HR, 19 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
Best Pick: Chris Sale is yet another example of #1 pitcher that went after the 1st round because he was left handed. He has been a dominant real life pitcher and carried Harold into the playoffs. He has a strange delivery/motion that many writers speculated would lead to many injuries and a perhaps a shortened career. He has been able to overcome these fears to be a feared pitcher, especially by throwback unforms. This year in major league baseball he has changed his approach to lower his strikeouts per 9, piss off his real-life GM, but increase his efficiency and contact rates. What this change will bring is a future chapter.
Worst Pick: Jordon Walden was picked as the big dominant right handed reliever that would take his place just beneath Jansen and Kimbrel. Tommy John surgery and multiple teams later, he just never lived up to his promise.
Other:. The hitters in this round never lived up to the hopes of their owners. This was a very disappointing round for most of the league.
Round 3:
|
1. Jeff - Antonio Bastardo |
3-0, 0 SV, 1.350 ERA, 19 K (13.3 IPS) |
Cut in 2013 |
|
2. Tom - Greg Holland |
4-7, 22 SV, 3.068 ERA, 82 K (58.6 IPS) |
Cut in 2016 |
|
3. Jed - Howie Kendrick |
0.238 / 0.281 / 0.312 / 0.593 (509 PA), 5 HR, 45 RBI, 3 SB |
Traded, still in the league |
|
4. Randy - Steve Cishek |
2-3, 6 SV, 4.139 ERA, 40 K (45.6 IPS) |
Cut in 2016 |
|
5. Harold - Dee Gordon |
0.269 / 0.310 / 0.359 / 0.669 (142 PA), 1 HR, 9 RBI, 13 SB |
Still Owned |
|
6. Arnie - Paul Goldschmidt |
0.227 / 0.310 / 0.386 / 0.696 (539 PA), 21 HR, 55 RBI, 7 SB |
Still Owned |
|
7. Robin - Glen Perkins |
2-1, 0 SV, 3.541 ERA, 60 K (61 IPS) |
Cut in 2016 |
|
8. Eric - Jason Motte |
3-0, 2 SV, 3.298 ERA, 47 K (43.6 IPS) |
Cut in 2013 |
Best Pick: Paul
Goldschmidt should be a no brainer except that his SOMBILLA numbers are not all
that impressive. In real life, he is an
MVP threat every season but has not done it for
Worst Pick: There were no bad picks in this round. If forced to pick one, Howie Kendrick did not perform up to a 3rd round pick’s pedigree. Dee Gordon despite his drug suspension has developed into a good defensive infielder with top of the league speed and at least has one year hitting for average. Watch him; he could be a surprise performer from this round.
Round 4:
|
1. Randy - Yonder Alonso |
/ / /
0 ( PA), HR, RBI,
SB |
Cut in 2015 |
|
2. Jed - Joel Hanrahan |
2-0, 2 SV, 2.512 ERA, 27 K (28.6 IPS) |
Cut in 2014 |
|
3. Tom - Devin Mesoraco |
/ / /
0 ( PA), HR, RBI,
SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
4. Jeff - Tyler Clippard |
0-0, 2 SV, 2.512 ERA, 31 K (28.6 IPS) |
Cut in 2013 |
|
5. Jeff - Brandon Belt |
0.265 / 0.345 / 0.373 / 0.718 (220 PA), 4 HR, 26 RBI, 3 SB |
Still Owned |
|
6. Arnie - Allen Craig |
0.301 / 0.353 / 0.489 / 0.842 (380 PA), 17 HR, 49 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut in 2016 |
|
7. Robin - Brandon League |
1-0, 0 SV, 3.429 ERA, 9 K (21 IPS) |
Cut in 2014 |
|
8. Eric - Melky Cabrera |
0.275 / 0.311 / 0.348 / 0.659 (454 PA), 4 HR, 45 RBI, 2 SB |
Traded, still in the league |
Best Pick: Allen Craig edges out Brandon Belt and a handful of middle relievers. Belt might still pull out a late SOMBILLA career but Allen Craig had 3 seasons of solid performance for Arnie lifting him above his fellows.
Worst Pick: Yonder Alonso looked to be part of this year’s group of very talented 1B of Hosmer, Goldie, Belt, Freeman and Rizzo. He never was good enough to play in the SOMBILLA and Wax gave up on him in 2015. Devin Mesoraco also never played but it was due to his penchant for injury not to a lack of talent.
Round 5:
|
1. Jeff - Freddie Freeman |
0.253 / 0.318 / 0.377 / 0.695 (610 PA), 17 HR, 59 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
2. Tom - Mike Moustakas |
0.174 / 0.208 / 0.208 / 0.416 (24 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB |
Waived 2015 but claimed and still owned |
|
3. Jed - Emilio Bonifacio |
0.286 / 0.348 / 0.337 / 0.685 (92 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 5 SB |
Cut in 2015 |
|
4. Randy - |
4-1, 0 SV, 1.620 ERA, 22 K (33.3 IPS) |
Cut in 2014 |
|
5. Harold - Lucas Duda |
0.320 / 0.386 / 0.446 / 0.832 (83 PA), 2 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
6.Arnie - Derek Holland |
|
Waived 2015 but redrafted |
|
7. Robin - John Mayberry |
0.268 / 0.333 / 0.472 / 0.805 (123 PA), 7 HR, 18 RBI, 3 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
8. Eric - Alfredo Aceves |
4-0, 0 SV, 1.262 ERA, 21 K (35.6 IPS) |
Cut in 2014 |
Best Pick: Jeff takes his second first baseman and hits on him. He is a professional hitter and a real world leader.
Worst Pick: Derek
Holland never played and was cut in 2014 by Arnie. Arnie always said “I picked the wrong
(Ed note: Jeff redrafted Derek Holland in 2015 and he
made 14 appearances in the bullpen for Jeff’s champion team. But I did pick the wrong
Other:..Moustakas was cut, claimed, then traded. He never made it for CN and still would not pass later hot corner choices made by the Manatees.
Round 6:
|
1. Randy - Josh Collmenter |
1-3, 3 SV, 3.222 ERA, 35 K (58.67 IPS) |
Cut in 2013 |
|
2. Eric - Cory Luebke |
0-0, 0 SV, 0.000 ERA, 0 K (0.33 IPS) |
Cut in 2014 |
|
3. Tom - Jason Kipnis |
0.288 / 0.362 / 0.366 / 0.728 (423 PA), 8 HR, 46 RBI, 12 SB |
Still Owned |
|
4. Jeff - Ricky Romero |
|
Cut in 2013 |
|
5. Harold - J.D. Martinez |
0.377 / 0.400 / 0.655 / 1.055 (55 PA), 4 HR, 13 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut in 2013, redrafted by Jeff |
|
6. Arnie - Vance Worley |
|
Cut in 2013 |
|
7. Robin - |
0.321 / 0.353 / 0.518 / 0.871 (255 PA), 12 HR, 48 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
8. Eric - Nate Schierholtz |
|
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: This was also a two horse race between Kipnis and Perez. Both players are projected in the top 5 of their respective positions. Salvador Perez has caught a lot of games for KC and what this will mean for the future is yet to be seen. Kipnis has lost speed for power and there is some question as to his defense going forward. I will give the slight nod to Salvador Perez. (Ed note: Who I drafted pre-injured).
Worst Pick: Take your pick amongst the players who never played in the SOMBILLA. J.D. changed his swing, and his team and his future looks bright, but unfortunately Harold cut him before the positive part of those changes took place. Jeff drafted him in the 2nd round in 2015.
Round 7:
|
1. Jeff - Randall Delgado |
|
Cut in 2014 |
|
2. Tom - |
|
Cut in 2013 |
|
3. Jed - Sergio Santos |
5-2, 5 SV, 5.586 ERA, 39 K (29 IPS) |
Cut in 2015 |
|
4. Randy - Javy Guerra |
|
Cut in 2013 |
|
5. Harold - David Robertson |
1-4, 0 SV, 5.604 ERA, 74 K (53 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
6. Arnie - Jose Altuve |
0.500 / 0.545 / 0.909 / 1.454 (11 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2014 to be claimed by Jed |
|
7. Jed - Fernando Salas |
4-2, 6 SV, 3.908 ERA, 22 K (25.3 IPS) |
Cut in 2014 |
|
8. Eric - Joe Smith |
7-6, 21 SV, 2.504 ERA, 61 K (82.67 IPS) |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: Altuve would be the best pick, except that he was cut. He looks to be an MVP candidate in 2016 MLB and continues to look like one of the top 2B moving forward. So having disqualified Altuve, Joe Smith steps up as a closer that has lived up or over performed his major league statistics, as stat heads would have predicted.
Worst Pick: Choose the cut player who never played in the SOMBILLA.
Round 8:
|
1. Randy - Bill Bray |
0-0, 0 SV, 4.610 ERA, 8 K (13.6 IPS) |
Cut in 2013 |
|
2. Jed - Alejandro De Aza |
0.283 / 0.368 / 0.426 / 0.794 (68 PA), 1 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
3. Tom - Wilin |
0.248 / 0.303 / 0.516 / 0.819 (122 PA), 10 HR, 24 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2016 |
|
4. Jeff - Zack Cozart |
0.216 / 0.237 / 0.289 / 0.526 (38 PA), 1 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
5. Harold - Cristhian Martinez |
1-0, 0 SV, 3.750 ERA, 18 K (24 IPS) |
Cut in 2014 |
|
6. Arnie - Matt Downs |
|
Cut in 2013 |
|
7. Robin - Casey Janssen |
3-1, 2 SV, 4.386 ERA, 53 K (65.6 IPS) |
Cut in 2015 |
|
8. Eric - Ruben Tejada |
0.233 / 0.286 / 0.261 / 0.547 (161 PA), 0 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in the waiver |
Best Pick: Wilin
Worst Pick: Matt Downs is the only player to not have played in the SOMBILLA.
(Ed note: He may still be the worst pick in this round,
but
Round 9-13:
|
1. Jeff - Lonnie Chisenhall |
|
Cut in 2014 |
|
2. Tom - Ryan Vogelsong |
0-7, 2 SV, 3.467 ERA, 45 K (85.6 IPS) |
Cut in 2014 |
|
3. Jed - Michael Cuddyer |
0.271 / 0.322 / 0.427 / 0.749 (286 PA), 12 HR, 47 RBI, 6 SB |
Cut in 2016 |
|
4. Randy - Phillip Humber |
3-1, 0 SV, 6.511 ERA, 25 K (47 IPS) |
Cut in 2013 |
|
5. Harold - Guillermo Moscoso |
1-1, 1 SV, 6.490 ERA, 18 K (34.6 IPS) |
Cut in 2013 |
|
6. Arnie - Mark Melancon |
2-2, 1 SV, 3.103 ERA, 21 K (29 IPS) |
Cut in 2013 |
|
7.Robin - Brent Lillibridge |
0.291 / 0.391 / 0.438 / 0.829 (64 PA), 4 HR, 9 RBI, 3 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
8.Eric - Jose Molina |
|
Cut in 2013 |
|
1. Randy - Brandon McCarthy |
7-2, 0 SV, 4.114 ERA, 47 K (70 IPS) |
Cut in 2014 |
|
2. Jed - Nick Hundley |
0.245 / 0.302 / 0.349 / 0.651 (106 PA), 4 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
3. Tom - Vinnie Pestano |
0-2, 1 SV, 5.192 ERA, 18 K (17.3 IPS) |
Cut in 2014 |
|
4. Jeff - Tyler Chatwood |
|
Cut in 2013 |
|
5. Harold - Ben Revere |
0.277 / 0.302 / 0.337 / 0.639 (86 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 4 SB |
Cut in 2015 |
|
6. Arnie - Bud Norris |
|
Cut in 2014 |
|
7. Robin - Ryan Lavarnway |
0.500 / 0.500 / 2.000 / 2.5 (2 PA), 1 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2014 |
|
8. Eric - Ramon Ramirez |
-, SV, ERA,
K ( IPS) |
Cut in 2013 |
|
1. Jeff - Chris Parmalee |
0.333 / 0.400 / 0.600 / 1 (30 PA), 1 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
2. Tom - Troy Patton |
1-0, 3 SV, 2.250 ERA, 20 K (20 IPS) |
Cut in 2014 |
|
3. Jed - Edward Mujica |
9-2, 1 SV, 2.211 ERA, 56 K (77.3 IPS) |
Cut in 2015 |
|
4. Randy - Alez Presley |
|
Cut in 2013 |
|
5. Harold - Alex Liddi |
|
Cut in 2014 |
|
6. Arnie - Nick Punto |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Robin - Tom Milone |
|
Cut in 2014 |
|
8. Eric - Casey Kotchman |
|
Cut in 2013 |
|
1. Randy - Kyle Seager |
0.235 / 0.303 / 0.359 / 0.662 (429 PA), 11 HR, 40 RBI, 2 SB |
Still Owned |
|
2. Jed - Mike Leake |
2-1, 1 SV, 3.981 ERA, 36 K (52 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
3. Tom - Anthony Rizzo |
0.279/0.339/0.411 / 0.75 (372 PA), 14 HR, 44 RBI, 2 SB |
Still Owned |
|
4. Harold - Kameron Loe |
0-1, 0 SV, 5.400 ERA, 11 K (10 IPS) |
Cut in 2013 |
|
5. Arnie - Louis Coleman |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
6. Robin - Kyle Drabek |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
1. Harold - Eduardo Nunez |
0.091 / 0.231 / 0.077 / 0.308 (13 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut in 2013 |
|
2. Robin - Josh Reddick |
0.208 / 0.271 / 0.364 / 0.635 (398 PA), 15 HR, 35 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: Three position players stand out – Kyle Seager, Anthony Rizzo and Josh Reddick. Seager was slow to develop but has become a solid if under-rated manner of the hot corner. Rizzo was a strange a pick; I had him rated as part of the top 4 (Hosmer, Goldie, Belt and Rizzo). I thought Hosmer would go in the first round and I wanted Rizzo but always had another priority and once the others went, I asked myself how late can I wait. Reddick has been a better major league player than SOMBILLA player, but he has potential well beyond the last pick of the draft (Ed note: and he’s cute).
2010 Card Set Results:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
0.284 / 0.325 / 0.469 / 0.794 (292 PA), 14 HR, 37 RBI, 1 SB |
|
Eric |
0.239 / 0.268 / 0.324 / 0.592 (448 PA), 5 HR, 37 RBI, 3 SB |
|
Harold |
0.289 / 0.325 / 0.435 / 0.76 (379 PA), 13 HR, 48 RBI, 12 SB |
|
Jed |
0.276 / 0.321 / 0.389 / 0.71 (262 PA), 6 HR, 31 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Jeff |
0.248 / 0.316 / 0.335 / 0.651 (576 PA), 13 HR, 53 RBI, 11 SB |
|
Robin |
0.277 / 0.340 / 0.428 / 0.768 (418 PA), 18 HR, 64 RBI, 7 SB |
|
Tom |
0.290 / 0.333 / 0.424 / 0.757 (33 PA), 1 HR, 5 RBI, 1 SB |
|
Wax |
0.276 / 0.360 / 0.324 / 0.684 (139 PA), 1 HR, 17 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
3-3, 3 SV, 3.836 ERA, 76 K (61 IPS) |
|
Eric |
5-3, 5 SV, 2.805 ERA, 50 K (77 IPS) |
|
Harold |
3-5, 1 SV, 5.078 ERA, 96 K (106.3 IPS) |
|
Jed |
7-2, 6 SV, 2.778 ERA, 86 K (81 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
16-7, 9 SV, 3.908 ERA, 177 K (225.6 IPS) |
|
Robin |
2-1, 2 SV, 2.815 ERA, 49 K (70.3 IPS) |
|
Tom |
1-5, 11 SV, 2.753 ERA, 72 K (85 IPS) |
|
Wax |
17-12, 5 SV, 4.371 ERA, 193 K (278 IPS) |
Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
0.263 / 0.326 / 0.438 / 0.764 (1136 PA), 47 HR, 136 RBI, 9 SB |
|
Eric |
0.267 / 0.304 / 0.341 / 0.645 (875 PA), 8 HR, 75 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Harold |
0.286 / 0.325 / 0.409 / 0.734 (692 PA), 18 HR, 81 RBI, 25 SB |
|
Jed |
0.246 / 0.309 / 0.365 / 0.674 (1094 PA), 29 HR, 125 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Jeff |
0.254 / 0.310 / 0.355 / 0.665 (1138 PA), 26 HR, 124 RBI, 17 SB |
|
Robin |
0.257 / 0.312 / 0.421 / 0.733 (1017 PA), 43 HR, 136 RBI, 8 SB |
|
Tom |
0.280 / 0.359 / 0.443 / 0.802 (1661 PA), 77 HR, 230 RBI, 37 SB |
|
Wax |
0.252 / 0.323 / 0.358 / 0.681 (579 PA), 12 HR, 61 RBI, 2 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
7-7, 34 SV, 2.883 ERA, 183 K (137.3 IPS) |
|
Eric |
14-6, 23 SV, 2.439 ERA, 129 K (162.3 IPS) |
|
Harold |
20-14, 1 SV, 4.240 ERA, 360 K (352.3 IPS) |
|
Jed |
17-7, 13 SV, 2.250 ERA, 200 K (192 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
23-19, 14 SV, 4.323 ERA, 285 K (372.6 IPS) |
|
Robin |
8-6, 19 SV, 3.508 ERA, 224 K (236 IPS) |
|
Tom |
5-16, 28 SV, 3.369 ERA, 165 K (181.6 IPS) |
|
Wax |
25-16, 9 SV, 4.216 ERA, 249 K (365 IPS) |
Best Draft: CN Manatees edge out the field with Trout,M, Walden,J, Holland,G, Mesoraco,D, Moustakas,M*, Kipnis,J*, Alvarez,H, Rosario,W, Vogelsong,R, Pestano,V, Patton,T* and Rizzo,A*. They got the best player in the draft, a closer, starting 2B and 1B and pitchers to pull them through the 2012 and 2013 seasons.
Worst Draft: Eric with whatever his team’s name came out last after winning the World Series with a draft of Montero,J, Young,M, Motte,J, Cabrera,M+, Aceves,A, Luebke,C*, Schierholtz,N*, Smith,J, Tejada,R, Molina,J, Ramirez,R and Kotchman,C*. He flipped Melky Cabrera for a draft pick but came out of this draft with only Joe Smith as a talented reliever long term. All the other players were either short term or future picks who did not pan out.
It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2013 (Cards 2012) draft.
We have 4 SOMBILLA Seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:
As a result, some of these teams players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned that they deserve.
Round 1:
|
1. Tom - Bryce Harper |
0.279 / 0.356 / 0.469 / 0.825 (590 PA), 33 HR, 93 RBI, 6 SB |
Still Owned |
|
2. Harold - Yoenis Cespedes |
0.255 / 0.288 / 0.412 / 0.700 (483 PA), 16 HR, 58 RBI, 4 SB |
Still Owned |
|
3. Robin - Yu Darvish |
9-15, 0 SV, 5.04 ERA, 293 K (234 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
4. Jeff - Kyle Lohse |
12-15, 0 SV, 4.30 ERA, 132 K (257.67 IPS) |
Waived |
|
5. Jed - Kris Medlen |
6-6, 8 SV, 4.63 ERA, 122 K (149.667 IPS) |
Traded Waived |
|
6. RAT - Manny Machado |
0.247 / 0.335 / 0.369 / 0.704 (179 PA), 7 HR, 21 RBI, 4 SB |
Still Owned |
|
7. Eric - Andrelton Simmons |
0.209 / 0.247 / 0.271 / 0.518 (166 PA), 1 HR, 6 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
|
8. Harold - Matt Harvey |
13-10, 0 SV, 4.51 ERA, 157 K (159.67 IPS) |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: Bryce Harper has been one of the most hyped, young players and as such a no brainer number 1 overall pick. He has a MLB NL MVP and even in his off years he is still a top 5 player at his position. After a strong comeback year, he is still the best pick in the round.
Worst Picks: This is a tough call, but I am going to put Andrelton Simmons as the choice. He is putting up an excellent year and might make himself usable. He is one of the best glove men to play at the premier position but with the crop of new shortstops that can hit he may never start consistently in the SOMBILLA. He was a player that I wanted to pick up in the second round.
Other:..Manny Machado was my second choice of the round and he has been a better major league player than SOMBILLA player. If he becomes a shortstop with a good enough rating he could push his way into contention. Either way he is good enough to put together an MVP season and after a monster second half he looks to be on his way to becoming a consistent Strat player.
Round 2:
|
1. Harold -Yasmani Grandal |
0.234 / 0.311 / 0.361 / 0.672 (357 PA), 16 HR, 46 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
|
2. Robin - A.J. Griffin |
2-2, 0 SV, 2.91 ERA, 22 K (34 IPS) |
Waived |
|
3. Tom - Fernando Rodney |
3-2, 9 SV, 2.43 ERA, 31 K (29.67 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
4. Jeff - Ryan Cook |
5-0, 4 SV, 3.00 ERA, 83 K (63 IPS) |
Waived |
|
5. Jed - Justin Ruggiano |
0.169 / 0.256 / 0.314 / 0.57 (86 PA), 3 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
6. RAT - Brandon Moss |
0.263 / 0.338 / 0.500 / 0.838 (390 PA), 27 HR, 86 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
7. Eric - Jarrod Parker |
3-4, 0 SV, 3.97 ERA, 54 K (68 IPS) |
Waived |
|
8. Arnie - Will Middlebrooks |
Waived, Claimed, … |
Best Pick: Brandon Moss just pulls ahead of Grandal and Rodney. Moss has been one of those players that has been dangerous in a fearsome Wax lineup. Moss’s value has declined and may not be long for the SOMBILLA and Grandal could become the better pick by then end of his career. Rodney was the best reliever in the set and helped propel CN to the World Series.
Worst Pick: Tommy John surgery has ended the career of the two prospect starters in this round but Will Middlebrooks takes the prize as the worst player of the round. Arnie cut him immediately and he had some hope for Jeff but never made it into a game.
Round 3:
|
1. Tom - Matt Moore |
0-0, 0 SV, 6.23 ERA, 6 K (4.33 IPS) |
Waived |
|
2. Harold - Jeff Samardzija |
8-9, 0 SV, 3.40 ERA, 113 K (153.33 IPS) |
Traded Still Owned |
|
3. Jeff - Jean Segura |
0.248 / 0.295 / 0.336 / 0.631 (220 PA), 3 HR, 21 RBI, 16 SB |
Traded Still Owned |
|
4. Robin - Marco Scutero |
0.217 / 0.263 / 0.283 / 0.546 (152 PA), 2 HR, 11 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
5. Jed - Jon Jay |
0.276 / 0.309 / 0.366 / 0.675 (194 PA), 2 HR, 17 RBI, 7 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
6. RAT - Jake McGee |
2-3, 5 SV, 2.18 ERA, 65 K (57.67 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
7. Eric - Jonathon Lucroy |
0.255 / 0.297 / 0.390 / 0.687 (333 PA), 7 HR, 36 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
8. Arnie - Jim Johnson |
0-0, 0 SV, 1.12 ERA, 10 K (24 IPS) |
Traded Waived |
Best Pick: Jonathon Lucroy pulls ahead on the basis of having a top 4 Catchers card for the coming season. He has been a better major league player than Strat player and he looked mediocre this year in real life so it is yet to be seen if he can put it together a future group of cards after this one.
Worst Pick: Matt Moore is one of these touted left handers that was downgraded out of the first two rounds, but never lived up to his hype. Had several no hit bids and looked dominant at times but could not remain healthy or consistent.
Other: Jeff Samardzija has had a surprisingly good under the radar career in the SOMBILLA for Harold who has moved him on to Jeff. Jake McGee is the classic best left handed reliever available pick and has had a solid career and continues to pitch adequately even in Colorado.
Round 4:
|
1. Harold - Scott Atchison |
1-0, 3 SV, 1.12 ERA, 10 K (16 IPS) |
Traded Cut After One Year |
|
2. Jeff - George Kontos |
1-2, 0 SV, 7.36 ERA, 22 K (18.333 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
3. Tom - John Jaso |
0.312 / 0.417 / 0.442 / 0.859 (163 PA), 8 HR, 23 RBI, 0 SB |
Waived |
|
4. Robin - Ronald Belisario |
4-0, 2 SV, 1.37 ERA, 27 K (26.333 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
5. Jed - Darwin Barney |
0.291 / 0.325 / 0.366 / 0.691 (123 PA), 1 HR, 11 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
6. RAT - Wilton Lopez |
1-3, 4 SV, 3.16 ERA, 17 K (25.67 IPS) |
Waived |
|
7. Eric - Chris Tillman |
2-6, 0 SV, 4.59 ERA, 46 K (86.33 IPS) |
Traded Waived Still Owned |
|
8. Arnie - David Murphy |
0.177 / 0.295 / 0.235 / 0.53 (132 PA), 2 HR, 4 RBI, 2 SB |
Traded Waived |
Best Pick: This round was all about short term needs, except maybe Chris Tilman who has settled into the occasional 4th SOMBILLA starter. John Jaso gets the nod as he got CN to the World Series and was the lead off hitter in many of the games and had a 400+ OBP and 859 Slugging plus OBP.
Worst Pick: George Kontos and David Murphy tie for two short term players that never contributed much to their teams.
Round 5:
|
1. Tom - Everth Cabrera |
0.253 / 0.309 / 0.320 / 0.629 (175 PA), 2 HR, 12 RBI, 12 SB |
Waived |
|
2. Harold - Koji Uehara |
1-2, 15 SV, 2.37 ERA, 33 K (38 IPS) |
Waived |
|
3. Robin - Jason Hammel |
3-2, 0 SV, 4.41 ERA, 44 K (49 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
4. Jeff - Casey Fien |
1-1, 3 SV, 1.23 ERA, 12 K (14.67 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
5. Jed - Junichi Tazawa |
2-1, 7 SV, 1.33 ERA, 18 K (20.33 IPS) |
Waived |
|
6. RAT - David Hernandez |
0-1, 3 SV, 1.87 ERA, 24 K (24 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Eric - Matt Dominguez |
Waived |
|
|
8. Arnie - Mitchell Boggs |
3-0, 0 SV, 1.86 ERA, 17 K (29 IPS) |
Traded Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: None of these players survived being cut at some point, but Koji Uehara gets the nod as he had the most leveraged innings and was just redrafted by Harold the relief pitcher expert.
Worst Pick: Matt Dominguez gets the worse pick of the round as he never got close to making a SOMBILLA team.
Round 6:
|
1. Harold - Wade Miley |
3-1, 0 SV, 4.36 ERA, 34 K (33 IPS) |
Traded Cut After One Year |
|
2. Robin - Starling Marte |
0.261 / 0.302 / 0.347 / 0.649 (504 PA), 5 HR, 43 RBI, 19 SB |
Still Owned |
|
3. Tom - Adam LaRoche |
0.242 / 0.324 / 0.486 / 0.81 (148 PA), 11 HR, 30 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
4. Jeff - Jared Burton |
1-0, 3 SV, 5.68 ERA, 16 K (19 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
5. Jed - Chris Carter |
0.218 / 0.307 / 0.429 / 0.736 (254 PA), 15 HR, 48 RBI, 0 SB |
Waived |
|
6. RAT - Bobby Parnell |
5-2, 6 SV, 4.15 ERA, 35 K (47.66 IPS) |
Waived |
|
7. Eric - Tom Wilhelmsen |
3-4, 4 SV, 2.89 ERA, 73 K (71.67 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
8. Arnie - Raul Valdes |
1-0, 0 SV, 1.42 ERA, 12 K (12.67 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: Starling Marte gets the nod even with his recent drug suspension. He is a 1 in any outfield position and has the future potential to become a top outfield hitter. He edges out Wilhelmsen who has been a consistent reliever throughout even if he cannot keep the closer job in real life. LaRoche was a one year mutant who did his job for a contender but not worth more of a nod.
Worst Pick: Chris Carter will get the nod because he just did not make it over replacement value at his best position -- hitter. Everyone else was at least replacement for what they were drafted for.
Round 7:
|
1. Tom - Stephen Drew |
0.284 / 0.364 / 0.417 / 0.781 (242 PA), 8 HR, 20 RBI, 4 SB |
Waived |
|
2. Harold - Luis Avilan |
0-3, 1 SV, 2.38 ERA, 7 K (11.33 IPS) |
Waived |
|
3. Jeff - Aaron Harang |
4-6, 0 SV, 5.30 ERA, 46 K (74. 7 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
4. Robin - Josh Rutledge |
Cut After One Year |
|
|
5. Jed - Joe Nathan |
1-5, 10 SV, 3.86 ERA, 44 K (46.67 IPS) |
Waived |
|
6. RAT - Darren O'Day |
3-3, 5 SV, 2.77 ERA, 68 K (68.33 IPS) |
Waived |
|
7. Eric - Andy Dirks |
0.281 / 0.312 / 0.348 / 0.66 (141 PA), 0 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB |
Waived |
|
8. Arnie - Marco Estrada |
3-3, 0 SV, 4.30 ERA, 75 K (90 IPS) |
Waived |
Best Pick: Darren O’Day has been a consistent right handed hitter killer for more than one team. Longevity and quality gives him the nod.
Worst Pick: Josh Rutledge was the next power hitting middle infielder for the Rockies but he never really caught on and they traded him and then Robin cut him.
Round 8:
|
1. Harold - Wade Davis |
1-2, 0 SV, 2.78 ERA, 24 K (22.67 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
2. Jeff - Juan Castro |
0.294 / 0.321 / 0.509 / 0.83 (212 PA), 8 HR, 28 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
3. Tom - Kelvin Herrera |
3-1, 2 SV, 6.39 ERA, 19 K (25.33 IPS) |
Stupid Cut Claimed Still Own |
|
4. Robin - Adam Eaton |
0.258 / 0.312 / 0.346 / 0.658 (263 PA), 3 HR, 17 RBI, 3 SB |
Still Owned |
|
5. Jed - Todd Frazier |
0.247 / 0.302 / 0.406 / 0.708 (192 PA), 8 HR, 22 RBI, 4 SB |
Still Owned |
|
6. RAT - Rob Brantly |
0.226 / 0.351 / 0.243 / 0.594 (37 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Eric - Jonny Gomes |
Waived |
|
|
8. - Arnie - Matt Carpenter |
0.225 / 0.308 / 0.328 / 0.636 (574 PA), 10 HR, 56 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: This round has a surprisingly large number of players that are still in the SOMBILLA. Juan Castro has the best statistics in a limited number of ABs, but Matt Carpenter has held a spot on one of the best teams over the last 4 years and is developing power in the majors and has a bright future as a cornerstone to the Cardinals. Herrera got the closer job and looks to have a future better than the idiot who cut him …
Worst Pick: Most regretted cut was Wade Davis, who remade himself as a quality reliever. Johnny Gomes was the worse pick since he was waived and had no reported stats.
Round 9:
|
1. Tom - Sean Doolittle |
5-1, 3 SV, 2.78 ERA, 49 K (45.333 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
2. Harold - A.J. Ellis |
0.262 / 0.328 / 0.344 / 0.672 (180 PA), 4 HR, 15 RBI, 0 SB |
Waived |
|
3. Robin - Erasmo Ramirez |
Waived |
|
|
4. Jeff - Casey Kelly |
Cut immediately |
|
|
5. Eirc* - Franklin Morales |
Cut immediately |
|
|
6. RAT - Mark Trumbo |
0.231 / 0.286 / 0.310 / 0.596 (42 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB |
Waived |
|
7. Eric - Avisail Garcia |
0.250 / 0.354 / 0.446 / 0.8 (65 PA), 4 HR, 8 RBI, 1 SB |
Waived |
|
8. Arnie - Addison Reed |
0-3, 0 SV, 5.90 ERA, 25 K (29 IPS) |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: Sean Dolittle has been a closer and a lefty specialist that gets right handers out as well. He is a Jake Magee but several rounds later. Only downside has been his lack of consistent health.
Worst Pick: Four players were cut before or during the waiver draft a week after being drafted. Casey Kelly and Franklin Morales included in these four makes them the worst picks of the round.
Round 10-13:
|
1. Harold - Charlie Furbush |
0-2, 1 SV, 6.11 ERA, 18 K (17.6666666666667 IPS) |
Traded Waived |
|
2. Robin - Norichika Aoki |
0.284 / 0.336 / 0.404 / 0.74 (307 PA), 8 HR, 28 RBI, 8 SB |
Waived |
|
3. Tom - Anthony Gose |
/ / / 0 ( PA), HR, RBI, SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
4. Jeff - A.J. Pierzynski |
0.201 / 0.247 / 0.342 / 0.589 (158 PA), 6 HR, 13 RBI, 0 SB |
Waived |
|
5. Jed - Carlos Gomez |
0.247 / 0.300 / 0.377 / 0.677 (414 PA), 12 HR, 38 RBI, 20 SB |
Cut After One YearWaivedStill Owned |
|
6. RAT - Octavio Dotel |
0-0, 0 SV, 0.000 ERA, 0 K (0.333333333333333 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Eric - Cody Ross |
0.154 / 0.241 / 0.241 / 0.482 (58 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB |
Waived |
|
8. Arnie - Pete Kozma |
0.259 / 0.333 / 0.500 / 0.833 (30 PA), 1 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
1. Tom - Aaron Crow |
2-1, 0 SV, 6.29 ERA, 24 K (24.3333333333333 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
2. Harold - David Phelps |
0-1, 0 SV, 4.82 ERA, 10 K (9.33333333333333 IPS) |
Waived |
|
3. Jeff - Brett Jackson |
/ / / 0 ( PA), HR, RBI, SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
4. Robin - Alex Cobb |
8-12, 0 SV, 5.77 ERA, 121 K (128 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
5. Jed - Lance Lynn |
5-6, 0 SV, 4.51 ERA, 90 K (101.67 IPS) |
Waived |
|
6. RAT - Pedro Ciriaco |
/ / / 0 ( PA), HR, RBI, SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Eric - DJ LeMahieu |
0.240 / 0.327 / 0.257 / 0.584 (113 PA), 0 HR, 9 RBI, 4 SB |
Still Owned |
|
8. Arnie - Andrew Cashner |
4-8, 0 SV, 5.96 ERA, 84 K (99.67 IPS) |
Waived |
|
1. Jeff - Tanner Scheppers |
4-1, 6 SV, 2.14 ERA, 19 K (21 IPS) |
Waived |
|
2. Tom - Dan Straily |
Cut at Waiver Draft |
|
|
3. Robin - Jose Iglesias |
0.289 / 0.350 / 0.336 / 0.686 (220 PA), 0 HR, 16 RBI, 3 SB |
Still Owned |
|
4. Jed - Brandon Crawford |
0.202 / 0.260 / 0.316 / 0.576 (288 PA), 8 HR, 22 RBI, 4 SB |
Still Owned |
|
5. RAT - Freddy Galvis |
Cut at Waiver Draft |
|
|
6. Eric - Miguel Gonzalez |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
7. Arnie - Patrick Corbin |
|
Still Owned |
|
1. Arnie - Felix Doubront |
|
Best Pick: Two players stand out – DJ LaMehieu who surprised us all maybe most of all Eric to become a solid contributor in the middle of the Rockies’ infield. Alex Cobb is a solid starter that looks to have a future still after being picked amongst players long since waived.
2012 Card Set Results:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
0.213 / 0.319 / 0.319 / 0.638 (276 PA), 5 HR, 27 RBI, 2 SB |
|
Eric |
0.258 / 0.302 / 0.361 / 0.663 (288 PA), 4 HR, 34 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Harold |
0.276 / 0.340 / 0.391 / 0.731 (353 PA), 12 HR, 38 RBI, 1 SB |
|
Jed |
0.203 / 0.248 / 0.344 / 0.592 (157 PA), 6 HR, 13 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Jeff |
0.242 / 0.294 / 0.336 / 0.63 (541 PA), 9 HR, 55 RBI, 9 SB |
|
Robin |
0.251 / 0.306 / 0.360 / 0.666 (386 PA), 8 HR, 36 RBI, 9 SB |
|
Tom |
0.279 / 0.354 / 0.444 / 0.798 (619 PA), 31 HR, 90 RBI, 11 SB |
|
Wax |
0.260 / 0.348 / 0.438 / 0.786 (201 PA), 11 HR, 37 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
6-1, 0 SV, 3.01 ERA, 77 K (107.67 IPS) |
|
Eric |
4-6, 3 SV, 3.75 ERA, 93 K (100.67 IPS) |
|
Harold |
8-15, 10 SV, 4.01 ERA, 170 K (197.33 IPS) |
|
Jed |
17-14, 9 SV, 3.83 ERA, 177 K (256.333 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
3-6, 15 SV, 2.73 ERA, 81 K (99 IPS) |
|
Robin |
14-8, 2 SV, 4.09 ERA, 166 K (178.333 IPS) |
|
Tom |
5-3, 9 SV, 4.17 ERA, 55 K (54 IPS) |
|
Wax |
4-6, 14 SV, 2.68 ERA, 96 K (117.33 IPS) |
Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
0.218 / 0.307 / 0.318 / 0.625 (736 PA), 13 HR, 70 RBI, 3 SB |
|
Eric |
0.242 / 0.295 / 0.338 / 0.633 (876 PA), 14 HR, 79 RBI, 6 SB |
|
Harold |
0.249 / 0.303 / 0.382 / 0.685 (1020 PA), 36 HR, 119 RBI, 5 SB |
|
Jed |
0.252 / 0.292 / 0.400 / 0.692 (590 PA), 17 HR, 62 RBI, 16 SB |
|
Jeff |
0.237 / 0.295 / 0.372 / 0.667 (1551 PA), 49 HR, 167 RBI, 36 SB |
|
Robin |
0.265 / 0.314 / 0.351 / 0.665 (1446 PA), 18 HR, 115 RBI, 34 SB |
|
Tom |
0.276 / 0.355 / 0.439 / 0.794 (1318 PA), 62 HR, 178 RBI, 22 SB |
|
Wax |
0.254 / 0.335 / 0.437 / 0.772 (648 PA), 35 HR, 116 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
11-14, 0 SV, 4.40 ERA, 223 K (284.333 IPS) |
|
Eric |
8-14, 4 SV, 3.86 ERA, 173 K (226 IPS) |
|
Harold |
27-30, 20 SV, 3.77 ERA, 406 K (461 IPS) |
|
Jed |
28-25, 16 SV, 4.27 ERA, 330 K (468.333 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
14-18, 25 SV, 4.27 ERA, 274 K (318.333 IPS) |
|
Robin |
26-31, 2 SV, 4.81 ERA, 507 K (471.333 IPS) |
|
Tom |
13-5, 14 SV, 4.19 ERA, 129 K (129 IPS) |
|
Wax |
11-12, 23 SV, 2.86 ERA, 209 K (223.667 IPS) |
Best Draft (Short Term): This goes to the Manatees who drafted an offense to get them into the World Series while picking up the best player of the draft. Also the best offense over the 4 years so far is the Manatees with Harold, Jed and Robin having the best results for the pitching they picked up.
Best Draft (Overall): If you think Matt Harvey is going to be great, then Harold wins. If you think having the most players still on your roster headed by Darvish, Marte and Cobb then you pick Robin. But after much thought I pick Robin to hold the trophy by having the most possible lottery tickets going forward. Robin drafted: Yu Darvish, A.J. Griffin, Marco Scutero. Ronald Belisario, Jason Hammel, Starling Marte, Josh Rutledge, Adam Eaton, Erasmo Ramirez, Norichika Aoki, Alex Cobb, and finally Jose Iglesias.
Worst Draft: Jeff had a tough draft with only Juan Castro still on his team from this draft class. He drafted for short term pitching problems and got Samardzija in a trade later but just not enough in the short or long term of this draft for them. Jeff drafted: Kyle Lohse, Ryan Cook, Jean Segura, George Kontos, Casey Fien, Jared Burton, Aaron Harang, Juan Castro, Casey Kelly, A.J. Pierzynski, Brett Jackson and Tanner Scheppers
Draft Analysis – 2014, by Tom Kinney (edited by Arnie & Robin) [8/18]
It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2014 (Cards 2013) draft.
We have 4 SOMBILLA seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:
As a result, some of these teams players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, and SBs) and be more maligned that they deserve.
Round 1:
|
1. Harold – Fernandez, Jose |
10-4, 0 SV, 2.914 ERA, 172 K (139 IPS) |
Cut 2018 waivers/dead |
|
2. Jeff – Puig, Yasiel |
.310 / .358 / .430 / .788 (523 PA), 13 HR, 67 RBI, 14 SB |
Still Owned |
|
3. Jed – Bogaerts, Xander |
.343 / .383 / .435 / .818 (115 PA), 1 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB |
Traded Still Owned |
|
4. Robin – Myers, Wil |
.275 / .351 / .436 / .787 (296 PA), 12 HR, 37 RBI, 4 SB |
Still Owned |
|
5. RAT – Profar, Jurickson |
|
Still Owned |
|
6. Tom – Miller, Shelby |
3-4, 0 SV, 4.48 ERA, 65 K (7.33 IPS) |
Cut 2018 waivers |
|
7. Tom – Donaldson, Josh |
.290 / .376 / .449 / .825 (737 PA), 34 HR, 97 RBI, 3 SB |
Still Owned |
|
8. Arnie – Yelich, Christian |
.305 / .375 / .461 / .836 (317 PA), 13 HR, 38 RBI, 9 SB |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: This was a great first round for hitting, and if we were to revisit it in 5 more years Bogaerts or Yelich might end up being the best picks. But 5 years in, I have to go with Josh Donaldson who won a SOMBILLA MVP and has been a contender for MVP in that other MLB universe. His numbers in the first four years give him the edge and he is one of the top 3rd basemen in the current card set and he is alive.
Worst Picks: The most disappointing pick in this round was most definitely Jurickson Profar, who is the very definition of a first round tease. He was a Baseball America top prospect, played everywhere and did everything. Health was his initial downfall and he just never developed into a major league star.
Other:..This draft has a number of pitchers who have passed on. If not for a boating accident fueled by narcotics, the best pick laurels would have graced this young hurler’s head. Alas, it seems that water and SOMBILLA pitchers do not mix.
Round 2:
|
1. Harold – Gray, Sonny |
10-17, 0 SV, 4.33 ERA, 172 K (218.3 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
2. Robin – Cole, Gerrit |
8-10, 0 SV, 4.00 ERA, 119 K (153 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
3. Jed – Wacha, Michael |
1-2, 0 SV, 2.38 ERA, 33 K (34 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
4. Jeff – Iwakuma, Hisashi |
13-8, 0 SV, 3.93 ERA, 132 K (16.3 IPS) |
Cut 2018 waiver |
|
5. RAT – Rosenthal, Trevor |
0-2, 2 SV, 7.45 ERA, 24 K (19.3 IPS) |
Cut 2017 waiver |
|
6. Eric – Calhoun, Kole |
.212 / .244 / .355 / .599 (197 PA), 6 HR, 17 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
|
7. Tom – Adams, Matt |
.260 / .310 / .433 / .743 (277 PA), 9 HR, 28 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut 2018 waiver |
|
8. Arnie – Gomes, Yan |
.256 / .290 / .422 / .712 (303 PA), 12 HR, 28 RBI, 0 SB |
Traded Still Owned |
Best Pick: This is a difficult round to choose from; none of these players have developed into the stars that each of the managers hoped. Iwakuma the older pitcher had a better record but has no future potential. Cole the second in the round might have looked better if we had two more years of stats as he is a solid regular in MLB. But the choice comes down to Sonny Gray and Gerrit Cole, both of whom have changed their MLB clubs. Gerrit gets the nod in that he has looked better over the last two years.
Worst Pick: Trevor Rosenthal went to the pen in MLB to save his team and it was widely seen as the first stop to becoming a dominant starter. Both STL pitchers in this round have had injuries and production issues and the talented Wax team moved on from Rosenthal, who never produced even in limited play.
Other: Back in 2014, in the first two rounds, I was deciding between taking two of these three: Shelby Miller, Gerrit Cole and Sonny Gray, or taking one of the three and Donaldson. It was clear that the two not taken were the next two starters and they were taken immediately. If Donaldson (a converted catcher and maybe Moneyball player) had not panned out, then this draft would have been a real might of/could of/should of for CN. (Note from Robin – I would have drafted the cuter Gray if he was there, and took Cole as the next best.)
Round 3:
|
1. Arnie – Nava, Daniel |
.241 / .309 / .318 / .627 (223 PA), 3 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2016 waivers |
|
2. Jeff – Torres, Alex |
1-0, 0 SV, 1.64 ERA, 22 K (22 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
3. Jed – Hamilton, Billy |
.274 / .366 / .275 / .641 (142 PA), 0 HR, 10 RBI, 25 SB |
Cut 2018 waivers |
|
4. Robin – Roark, Tanner |
8-8, 2 SV, 4.02 ERA, 71 K (105.3 IPS) |
Cut 2016 waivers, redrafted by Eric in 2017 |
|
5. RAT – Teheran, Julio |
7-12, 0 SV, 5.75 ERA, 131 K (141 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
6. Eric – Arcia, Oswaldo |
|
Cut 2016 waivers |
|
7. Tom – Melancon, Mark |
7-8, 11 SV, 4.626 ERA, 68 K (103.3 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
8. Arnie – Thielbar, Caleb |
2-1, 0 SV, 1.08 ERA, 12 K (16.67 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: A round of temporary contributors – Billy Hamilton played good D and had a better on base then I expected but no extra base hits at all??? Tanner Roark contributed but the retread Mark Melancon was used in high leverage situations and came through more often then not.
Worst Pick: Oswaldo Arcia left no indication that he ever played before he was cut.
Round 4:
|
1. Harold – Gregorius, Didi |
.227 / .275 / .311 / .586 (418 PA), 7 HR, 30 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
2. Robin – Siegrist, Kevin |
1-0, 1 SV, 1.12 ERA, 13 K (16 IPS) |
Cut claimed Cut 2018 |
|
3. Jed – Gyorko, Jedd |
.216 / .281 / .406 / .687 (192 PA), 11 HR, 22 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2016 waivers |
|
4. Jeff – Carpenter, David |
1-1, 0 SV, 5.24 ERA, 21 K (22.3 IPS) |
Cut 2018 waivers |
|
5. RAT – Cingrani, Tony |
2-2, 0 SV, 5.50 ERA, 46 K (37.67 IPS) |
Cut 2018 waivers |
|
6. Eric – Arenado, Nolan |
.233 / .280 / .378 / .658 (325 PA), 8 HR, 30 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
|
7. Tom – Smyly, Drew |
2-0, 2 SV, 2.48 ERA, 29 K (29 IPS) |
Cut 2017 waivers |
|
8. Arnie – Salazar, Danny |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: This comes close only because of Eric not reporting his stats. If Didi had done a little more with the bat, he would be the choice. Nolan Arenado has been a perennial “1” and MLB MVP candidate and looking forward he gets the nod.
Worst Pick: I am a big Danny Salazar fan and I always think the next year will be his year. But he has yet to have one and he might never come through and as such has to be the worst pick. He is still a lottery ticket but the solid relievers that everyone needs performed as expected or better.
Round 5:
|
1. Eric – Ozuna, Marcell |
.270 / .324 / .468 / .792 (188 PA), 9 HR, 21 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
2. Jeff – Thornburg,Tyler |
1-1, 2 SV, 3.37 ERA, 16 K (26.67 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
3. Jed – Walker, Taijuan |
1-0, 0 SV, 3.00 ERA, 4 K (6 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
4. Robin – Castellanos, Nick |
.263 / .323 / .414 / .737 (232 PA), 9 HR, 22 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
5. Harold – Howell, J.P. |
3-2, 0 SV, 4.03 ERA, 24 K (22.33 IPS) |
Cut 2018 waivers |
|
6. Eric – Miller, Brad |
.214 / .421 / .237 / .658 (38 PA), 1 HR, 5 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut 2016 waivers |
|
7. Harold – Wheeler, Zach |
Still Owned |
|
|
8. Arnie – Davis, Khris |
.247 / .341 / .443 / .784 (88 PA), 5 HR, 9 RBI, 3 SB |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: This was an uninspiring round with the tease of Taijuan versus potential hitters Ozuna and Castellanos. Marcell has made it out of Miami after a career year, but the nod goes to Nick as he continues to be a solid contributor (and an atrocious fielder).
Worst Pick: Zach Wheeler (see Danny Salazar) except that he has been so injured that he is no longer really much of a lottery ticket. He might start someday but a dominant season would be a surprise for the ages.
Round 6:
|
1. Jed – Archer, Chris |
3-4, 0 SV, 5.18 ERA, 85 K (74.67 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
2. Robin – Ventura, Yordano |
1-4, 0 SV, 6.42 ERA, 39 K (47.67 IPS) |
Cut 2017 waivers/dead |
|
3. Jed – Rendon, Anthony |
.246 / .352 / .366 / .718 (227 PA), 7 HR, 17 RBI, 6 SB |
Still Owned |
|
4. Jeff – Colon, Bartolo |
1-7, 0 SV, 5.58 ERA, 27 K (71 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
5. RAT – Gennett, Scooter |
.366 / .388 / .541 / .929 (85 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2016 waivers, redrafted by Tom 2018. |
|
6. Eric – Medica, Tommy |
|
Cut at some point |
|
7. Tom – Gausman,Kevin |
Still Owned |
|
|
8. Arnie – Asche,Cody |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: This round started with two potential star pitchers, one of whom died and one was traded to Arnie for the best pitcher in this draft (Kluber). Anthony Rendon is a talented, oft-injured players who has strung together a solid 2 and half years that gets him the nod in this round.
Worst Pick: If you look at the last two rounds, you might call this round for Gausman. Why is he not the worst? He could have been, but we have to go with Tommy Medica who has not played in MLB since 2014.
Round 7:
|
1. Eric – Kintzler, Brandon |
Cut After One Year |
|
|
2. Harold – Sanchez, Gaby |
.412 / .524 / .429 / .953 (63 PA), 0 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
3. Arnie – Crisp, Coco |
.246 / .320 / .345 / .665 (194 PA), 4 HR, 13 RBI, 5 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
4. Robin – Vincent, Nick |
2-1, 1 SV, 1.568 ERA, 14 K (17.3 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
5. RAT – Cotts, Neal |
2-0, 2 SV, 3.15 ERA, 22 K (20 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
6. Eric – Wong, Kolten |
|
Still Owned |
|
7. Tom – Martinez, Carlos |
12-3, 1 SV, 3.189 ERA, 138 K (144 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
8. Arnie – Hochevar, Luke |
1-0, 5 SV, .621 ERA, 35 K (29 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: Carlos Martinez has won a SOMBILLA Cy Young and even though he is having a tough 2018 he is a MLB #1 pitcher. He was the second best pitcher selected in this draft.
Worst Pick: Six of these picks were picked primarily as one year filler and performed well enough or very well. (A bit of an assumption in that Eric did not report stats this year.) The worst pick goes to Wong as a player that has had enough potential to keep, but like Profar never seems to perform well enough to actually play in the SOMBILLA. He still holds a roster spot despite that.
Round 8:
|
1. Harold – Navarro, Dioner |
.324 / .342 / .493 / .835 (73 PA), 4 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
2. Robin – Owings, Chris |
.294 / .308 / .519 / .827 (52 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
|
3. Jed – Gattis, Evan |
.211 / .269 / .416 / .685 (353 PA), 22 HR, 56 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
4. Jeff – Franklin, Nick |
|
Cut 2016 waivers |
|
5. RAT – Ross, Tyson |
2-9, 0 SV, 4.70 ERA, 98 K (103.33 IPS) |
Cut 2016 waivers, redrafted by Arnie, cut 2018 |
|
6. Eric – Norris, Derek |
.157 / .173 / .231 / .404 (52 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2018 waivers |
|
7. Tom – Hoover, J.J. |
0-0, 1 SV, 1.73 ERA, 16 K (26 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
8. Arnie – Skaggs, Tyler |
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: Evan Gattis has been a consistent power threat if not a consistent hitter of the baseball edging out Chris Owings as the best of the round.
Worst Pick: Tough choice but Nick Franklin as a non-contributor that held roster space the longest is the worst of the round by a hair.
Round 9:
|
1. Harold – Bradley Jr., Jackie |
.221 / .298 / .377 / .675 (382 PA), 11 HR, 47 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
|
2. Jeff – Zunino, Mike |
|
Cut 2016 waivers |
|
3. Jed – Martin, Leonys |
|
Cut 2016 waivers |
|
4. Robin – Marisnick, Jake |
|
Cut After One Week, but redrafted at least once |
|
5. RAT – Mercer, Jordy |
.255 / .293 / .483 / .776 (58 PA), 3 HR, 8 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
6. Eric – Pollock, A.J. |
.260 / .307 / .413 / .72 (218 PA), 5 HR, 21 RBI, 4 SB |
Still Owned |
|
7. Tom – Raburn, Ryan |
.221 / .283 / .513 / .796 (113 PA), 10 HR, 22 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
8. Arnie – Davis, Rajai |
.194 / .217 / .348 / .565 (69 PA), 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2 SB |
Traded; Cut* |
Best Pick: This is a battle between Jackie Bradley Jr. and AJ Pollack, who have been good if inconsistent performers. AJ Pollock looks to be the better performer going forward if he can maintain slightly better health in the future, so let’s give him the nod.
Worst Pick: Jake Marisnick gets the worst pick because he was cut within a week of being drafted.
*Other: Rajai Davis was traded by Arnie to Robin after season. He had a great card versus lefties that year but his stats do not reflect the quality of the cards.
Round 10-13:
|
1. Harold – d'Arnaud, Travis |
.196 / .295 / .352 / .647 (105 PA), 3 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2017 waivers |
|
2. Robin – Odorizzi, Jake |
0-1, 0 SV, 4.50 ERA, 13 K (14 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
3. Jed – Allen, Cody |
7-5, 0 SV, 2.589 ERA, 121 K (97.3 IPS) |
Still Owned (by Robin) |
|
4. Jeff – Garcia, Leury |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
5. RAT – Villar, Jonathan |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
6. Eric – Alvarez, Henderson |
Cut 2016 waivers |
|
|
7. Tom – Johnson, Chris |
.357 / .392 / .581 / .973 (74 PA), 5 HR, 21 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
8. Arnie – Kluber, Corey |
16-18, 0 SV, 3.96 ERA, 264 K (274.67 IPS) |
Traded Still Owned |
|
1. Harold – Soriano, Alfonso |
.206 / .289 / .342 / .631 (38 PA), 2 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
2. Jeff – Ryu, Hyun-Jin |
3-5, 0 SV, 7.64 ERA, 60 K (68.34 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
3. Jed – Kelly, Joe |
3-3, 0 SV, 4.73 ERA, 21 K (45.67 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
4. Robin – Murphy, Donnie |
.317 / .359 / .641 / 1 (64 PA), 5 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
5. RAT – Dozier, Brian |
.205 / .292 / .362 / .654 (489 PA), 21 HR, 63 RBI, 13 SB |
Still Owned |
|
6. Eric – Span, Denard |
.293 / .328 / .421 / .749 (183 PA), 0 HR, 7 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut 2017 waivers |
|
7. Tom – Farquhar, Danny |
0-3, 4 SV, 3.18 ERA, 30 K (22.67 IPS) |
Cut 2018 waivers |
|
1. Harold – Gentry, Craig |
.259 / .394 / .273 / .667 (33 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 4 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
2. Robin – Satin, Josh |
.351 / .385 / .513 / .898 (39 PA), 0 HR, 6 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
3. Jed – Eovaldi, Nathan |
Cut 2016 waivers |
|
|
4. Jeff – Santana, Ervin |
Cut After One Year |
|
|
5. RAT – Castillo, Welington |
.218 / .291 / .221 / .512 (86 PA), 0 HR, 7 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
6. Tom – Wilson, Justin |
3-1, 0 SV, 4.63 ERA, 27 K (23.3 IPS) |
Cut After One Year |
|
1. Harold – Rodriguez, Paco |
|
Cut After One Year |
|
2. Tom* - Quentin, Carlos |
.291 / .366 / .610 / .976 (123 PA), 13 HR, 29 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut After One Year |
|
3. RAT – Loney, James |
|
Cut After One Year |
Best Pick: Corey Kluber was the best pitcher taken in this draft if you look at MLB results. His SOMBILLA record is a losing record but he continues to look to have a great future as he continues to be amongst the best pitchers in baseball. Carlos Quentin had a great single season and almost was not even picked in this draft (had to trade to get him as my 13th pick). I loved this draft in that not only did I select 13 players but I drafted two 12 round picks in future years to be part of my current roster
Waiver Wire: This was an odd one as two players were cut who were drafted this year and never even settled in to their new draft homes – Jeff Marisnick (Round 9 by Robin) and James Loney (Round 13 by Future Wax).
2012 Card Set Results:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
.267 / .333 / .357 / .69 (705 PA), 12 HR, 47 RBI, 13 SB |
|
Eric |
|
|
Harold |
.288 / .357 / .374 / .731 (353 PA), 9 HR, 43 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Jed |
.323 / .378 / .427 / .805 (246 PA), 6 HR, 35 RBI, 8 SB |
|
Jeff |
.223 / .282 / .420 / .702 (383 PA), 23 HR, 53 RBI, 3 SB |
|
Robin |
.290 / .330 / .494 / .824 (267 PA), 10 HR, 32 RBI, 2 SB |
|
Tom |
.286 / .360 / .499 / .859 (581 PA), 39 HR, 107 RBI, 2 SB |
|
Wax |
.252 / .303 / .362 / .665 (307 PA), 6 HR, 30 RBI, 3 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
3-1, 5 SV, 0.788 ERA, 47 K (45.7 IPS) |
|
Eric |
|
|
Harold |
7-7, 0 SV, 2.76 ERA, 115 K (107.7 IPS) |
|
Jed |
11-17, 2 SV, 5.17 ERA, 192 K (268 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
5-8, 0 SV, 3.63 ERA, 77 K (101.7 IPS) |
|
Robin |
12-7, 4 SV, 2.85 ERA, 80 K (104 IPS) |
|
Tom |
12-11, 7 SV, 3.98 ERA, 191 K (199 IPS) |
|
Wax |
5-5, 4 SV, 4.72 ERA, 115 K (106.7 IPS) |
Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
0.260 / 0.321 / 0.398 / 0.719 (1194 PA), 38 HR, 99 RBI, 19 SB |
|
Eric |
0.245 / 0.293 / 0.391 / 0.684 (1201 PA), 29 HR, 102 RBI, 9 SB |
|
Harold |
0.238 / 0.308 / 0.356 / 0.664 (1112 PA), 27 HR, 118 RBI, 5 SB |
|
Jed |
0.310 / 0.358 / 0.430 / 0.788 (523 PA), 13 HR, 67 RBI, 14 SB |
|
Jeff |
0.243 / 0.316 / 0.386 / 0.702 (1029 PA), 41 HR, 115 RBI, 31 SB |
|
Robin |
0.281 / 0.341 / 0.458 / 0.799 (683 PA), 28 HR, 83 RBI, 5 SB |
|
Tom |
0.282 / 0.354 / 0.474 / 0.828 (1324 PA), 71 HR, 197 RBI, 5 SB |
|
Wax |
0.231 / 0.304 / 0.376 / 0.68 (718 PA), 26 HR, 87 RBI, 15 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
19-19, 5 SV, 3.52 ERA, 311 K (320.3 IPS) |
|
Eric |
|
|
Harold |
23-23, 0 SV, 3.79 ERA, 368 K (379.7 IPS) |
|
Jed |
20-22, 2 SV, 4.83 ERA, 278 K (370.7 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
15-14, 0 SV, 3.70 ERA, 264 K (257.7 IPS) |
|
Robin |
20-24, 4 SV, 4.10 ERA, 269 K (353.3 IPS) |
|
Tom |
27-19, 19 SV, 3.70 ERA, 373 K (418.7 IPS) |
|
Wax |
13-25, 4 SV, 5.32 ERA, 321 K (321.3 IPS) |
Draft Summary:
|
Round |
Best |
Team |
Worst |
Team |
|
1 |
Donaldson |
CN |
Profar |
Wax |
|
2 |
Gerrit Cole |
Robin |
Rosenthal |
Wax |
|
3 |
Melancon |
CN |
Arcia |
Eric |
|
4 |
Arenado |
Eric |
Salazar |
Arnie |
|
5 |
Castellanos |
Robin |
Wheeler |
Harold |
|
6 |
Rendon |
Jed |
Medica |
Eric |
|
7 |
C-Mart |
CN |
Kolten Wong |
Eric |
|
8 |
Gattis |
Jed |
Nick Franklin |
Jeff |
|
9 |
Pollack |
Eric |
Marisnick |
Robin |
|
10+ |
Kluber |
Arnie |
||
|
10+ |
Quentin |
CN |
Best Draft: Surprisingly, I have to say that CN had the best draft. Jed has the most players still owned in the league by far with 8 (3 teams have 5, 2 teams have 4, one has 3 and one has 1) but strangely he only has 4 that he picked and Kluber from Arnie. CN, though, has the best one year and 4 year statistics in the league from this draft for both hitters and pitchers, showing that it was a balanced draft. CN drafted -- Miller,S, Donaldson,J, Adams,M, Melancon,M, Smyly,D, Gausman,K, Martinez,C, Hoover,J, Raburn,R, Johnson,C, Farquhar,D, Wilson,J and Quentin,C.
Worst Draft: This was a fight between Jeff, who has only 1 player left from this draft; Wax who had 2 of the first 3 rounds’ worst picks; and Eric, who has no pitching to show for the draft. Jeff has some pretty good stats over the 4 years surveyed, which lessens the negative of having only their first round player (Puig) still in the league. Future Wax gets the worst draft prize because of the early round showing. Wax drafted -- Profar,J, Rosenthal,T, Teheran,J, Cingrani,T, Gennett,S, Cotts,N, Ross,T, Mercer,J, Villar,J, Dozier,B, Castillo,W
And Loney,J* (cut shortly).
Draft Analysis – 2016 by Tom Kinney (8/24/2020)
(edited by Arnie & Robin)
It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2016 (Cards 2015) draft.
We have 4 SOMBILLA Seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:
As a result, some of these teams’ players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, and SBs) and be more maligned than they deserve. Maybe we should compile Eric’s stats from his opponents’ scoresheets. (Or maybe maligning Eric’s players is fitting punishment for his stat neglect – Arnie)
In 2016, Jeff was coming off of his last World Series victory and CN was about to embark on its last World Series victory (both of these were against Jed).
Interestingly, everyone has kept exactly 3 or 4 of the 2016 draft class going into our COVID battle this upcoming season. There are also a number of players who have been re-drafted after being cut, including Canha (Jed 1st rounder 2020), Pham (Harold 1st rounder 2018), Ketel Marte, etc. To see this in context, here are the totals of players still owned four years after being drafted (i.e., the time period for our annual draft analysis) over the last 11 years of drafts:
|
Draft Class |
Kept till Analysis Year |
|
2006c2005 |
20 |
|
2007c2006 |
34 |
|
2008c2007 |
31 |
|
2009c2008 |
23 |
|
2010c2009 |
24 |
|
2011c2010 |
21 |
|
2012c2011 |
25 |
|
2013c2012 |
30 |
|
2014c2013 |
35 |
|
2015c2014 |
35 |
|
2016c2015 |
27 |
The 2016 waiver wire brought Alcides Escobar to CN. Two trades for Cain and Gordon on top of that may have just given them enough defense to win the campaign following this draft (2016 [2015 cards]). The waiver wire also bought Jason Werth as a lefty killer that CN needed. But CN sacrificed Carlos Santana and his guitar, but cutting him –he was picked up by the Wax—enabled RAT to make the last couple of Series.
The players from this class who are still in the league with the team that drafted them:
|
Round |
Drafted |
Draft List |
STATS |
|
1 |
2 |
Arnie -- Lindor, Francisco |
.236 / .303 / .344 / .647 (831 PA), 22 HR, 90 RBI, 15 SB |
|
2 |
13 |
Arnie -- Osuna, Roberto |
4-4, 7 SV, 2.84 ERA, 98 K (85.67 IPS) |
|
6 |
44 |
Arnie -- Gallo, Joey |
.172 / .289 / .341 / .63 (135 PA), 7 HR, 17 RBI, 0 SB |
|
9 |
66 |
Arnie -- Kela, Keone |
2-0, 1 SV, 3.44 ERA, 33 K (34 IPS) |
|
1 |
5 |
Eric -- Syndergaard, Noah |
6-1, 0 SV, 2.19 ERA, 35 K (41 IPS) |
|
3 |
21 |
Eric -- Severino, Luis |
4-2, 0 SV, 2.47 ERA, 51 K (40 IPS) |
|
8 |
61 |
Eric -- Dyson, Sam |
1-1, 1 SV, 4.85 ERA, 10 K (13 IPS) |
|
1 |
3 |
Harold -- Bryant, Kris |
.229 / .339 / .357 / .696 (841 PA), 33 HR, 99 RBI, 3 SB |
|
2 |
9 |
Harold -- Familia, Jeurys |
3-4, 4 SV, 4.67 ERA, 41 K (54 IPS) |
|
4 |
32 |
Harold -- Realmuto, J.T. |
.277 / .313 / .452 / .765 (595 PA), 24 HR, 68 RBI, 7 SB |
|
7 |
50 |
Harold -- Hicks, Aaron |
.199 / .308 / .351 / .659 (302 PA), 15 HR, 36 RBI, 4 SB |
|
1 |
8 |
Jeff -- Schwarber, Kyle |
.154 / .336 / .284 / .62 (116 PA), 6 HR, 12 RBI, 2 SB |
|
3 |
20 |
Jeff -- Conforto, Michael |
.222 / .316 / .368 / .684 (272 PA), 11 HR, 25 RBI, 0 SB |
|
5 |
40 |
Jeff -- Iglesias, Raisel |
4-8, 7 SV, 2.61 ERA, 121 K (117 IPS) |
|
2 |
15 |
Jed -- Buxton, Byron |
No Stats |
|
4 |
31 |
Jed -- Inciarte, Ender |
.257 / .284 / .350 / .634 (468 PA), 8 HR, 43 RBI, 19 SB |
|
7 |
55 |
Jed -- Nola, Aaron |
5-6, 0 SV, 3.07 ERA, 195 K (175.67 IPS) |
|
1 |
1 |
Robin -- Correa, Carlos |
.247 / .317 / .389 / .706 (653 PA), 26 HR, 76 RBI, 3 SB |
|
2 |
10 |
Robin -- McCullers, Lance |
6-12, 0 SV, 5.32 ERA, 134 K (13.33 IPS) |
|
12 |
89 |
Robin -- Davies, Zach |
0-1, 0 SV, 6.35 ERA, 12 K (11.33 IPS) |
|
1 |
4 |
Tom -- Seager, Corey |
.280 / .351 / .392 / .743 (502 PA), 15 HR, 57 RBI, 1 SB |
|
2 |
11 |
Tom -- Sano, Miguel |
.257 / .333 / .526 / .859 (156 PA), 13 HR, 30 RBI, 0 SB |
|
5 |
36 |
Tom -- Harris, Will |
2-2, 3 SV, 3.83 ERA, 85 K (82.33 IPS) |
|
6 |
43 |
Tom -- Rodon, Carlos |
No Stats |
|
1 |
6 |
Future Wax -- Russell, Addison |
.237 / .302 / .335 / .637 (388 PA), 9 HR, 34 RBI, 6 SB |
|
2 |
14 |
Future Wax -- Schoop, Jonathan |
.216 / .247 / .299 / .546 (77 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB |
|
5 |
38 |
Future Wax -- Turner, Trea |
.236 / .278 / .391 / .669 (371 PA), 15 HR, 38 RBI, 18 SB |
Let’s start the round by round analysis:
Round 1:
|
1. Robin -- Correa, Carlos |
.247 / .317 / .389 / .706 (653 PA), 26 HR, 76 RBI, 3 SB |
Still Owned |
|
2. Arnie -- Lindor, Francisco |
.236 / .303 / .344 / .647 (831 PA), 22 HR, 90 RBI, 15 SB |
Still Owned |
|
3. Harold -- Bryant, Kris |
.229 / .339 / .357 / .696 (841 PA), 33 HR, 99 RBI, 3 SB |
Still Owned |
|
4. Tom -- Seager, Corey |
.280 / .351 / .392 / .743 (502 PA), 15 HR, 57 RBI, 1 SB |
Still Owned |
|
5. Eric -- Syndergaard, Noah |
6-1, 0 SV, 2.19 ERA, 35 K (41 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
6. Future Wax -- Russell, Addison |
.237 / .302 / .335 / .637 (388 PA), 9 HR, 34 RBI, 6 SB |
Still Owned |
|
7. Jed -- Keuchel, Dallas |
8-6, 0 SV, 2.64 ERA, 106 K (140 IPS) |
Cut 2019 |
|
8. Jeff -- Schwarber, Kyle |
.154 / .336 / .284 / .62 (116 PA), 6 HR, 12 RBI, 2 SB |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: This was a great first round of value in the year of the short stop as 4 go in the first round. Syndegaard loses out somewhat since his team does not report his statistics and Corey Seager’s Tommy John surgery cost him in the early running. So the battle goes down to Lindor versus Correa and you could go either way but Lindor wins on health and a better SS glove. (Arnie: A year after this draft after Lindor had had a much better 2016 than Correa, I offered Robin to trade Lindor straight up for Correa, but she said no). (Robin: Again, why is domestic abuser Addison Russell still in the league?)
Worst Picks: All the players were worth picking when they were picked, but I have to go with Schwarber, who has just never lived up to first round value in MLB or the SOMBILLA.
Round 2:
|
9. Harold -- Familia, Jeurys |
3-4, 4 SV, 4.67 ERA, 41 K (54 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
10. Robin -- McCullers, Lance |
6-12, 0 SV, 5.327 ERA, 134 K (13.33 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
11. Tom -- Sano, Miguel |
.257 / .333 / .526 / .859 (156 PA), 13 HR, 30 RBI |
Still Owned |
|
12. Harold -- Lackey, John |
4-9, 0 SV, 6.04 ERA, 124 K (149 IPS) |
Cut 2018 waiver process |
|
13. Arnie -- Osuna, Roberto |
4-4, 7 SV, 2.84 ERA, 98 K (85.67 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
14. Future Wax -- Schoop, Jonathan |
.216 / .247 / .299 / .546 (77 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI |
Still Owned |
|
15. Jed -- Buxton, Byron |
No Statistics |
Still Owned |
|
16. Harold -- Ziegler, Brad |
2-2, 4 SV, 3.20 ERA, 13 K (25.33 IPS) |
Cut 2018 waiver process |
Best Pick: You have one talented starter who has had some success in the SOMBILLA who could look better 5 years from now, and 3 relievers who did close for their teams trying to get the nod, but Miguel Sano (despite his Tommy John surgery) has produced in the SOMBILLA and looks to have a starting DH card for the coming season. Sano and Gallo had some great home run derbies in the minors and both look like they could be premier power hitters in the majors. Sano’s big arm that gave him a chance to stick at 3B and be a medium level defense looks to be decreased by Tommy John so he will probably end up a DH or 1B player who still looks to hold the best pick for this round.
Worst Pick: Byron Buxton is still on Jed’s team but still has not gotten into a game. So you have to nominate him as the worst pick as a 2nd rounder; he should have played by now. Is this the Moneyball player who would be described as young and talented but never good enough to make an impact in the majors?
Round 3:
|
17. Robin -- Watson, Tony |
1-1, 0 SV, 0.83 ERA, 14 K (21.67 IPS) |
Cut 2020 waiver process |
|
18. Arnie -- Vogt, Stephen |
.253 / .317 / .415 / .732 (164 PA), 9 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2017 waiver process |
|
19. Harold -- Cecil, Brett |
1-1, 0 SV, 2.51 ERA, 18 K (14.33 IPS) |
Cut 2017 waiver process |
|
2. Jeff -- Conforto, Michael |
.222 / .316 / .368 / .684 (272 PA), 11 HR, 25 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
21. Eric -- Severino, Luis |
4-2, 0 SV, 2.47 ERA, 51 K (40 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
22. Future Wax -- Smith, Carson |
2-2, 2 SV, 2.894 ERA, 45 K (28 IPS) |
Cut 2019 waiver process |
|
23. Jed -- Cervelli, Francisco |
.275 / .383 / .308 / .691 (201 PA), 2 HR, 16 RBI |
Cut 2018 waiver process |
|
24. Arnie -- Chafin, Andrew |
0-1, 0 SV, 3.00 ERA, 24 K (27 IPS) |
Cut 2017 waiver process |
Best Pick: Even though we do not know all the statistics for Luis Severino, we do know he is both still owned and one of the best pitchers in MLB. He is coming off of injury and now faces a COVID season of uncertainty, but he is still the brightest point of light in this round.
Worst Pick: Two catchers were taken with some hope to become their teams’ starters. Both were cut pretty soon as disappointments, and they are the worst picks over short term relievers who are the usual expected round three fodder.
Other: Conforto is the other keeper that came out of this round and when healthy has looked good in MLB, but has not had as much SOMBILLA success as one might expect, but I am sure that Sam has some hope for him.
Round 4:
|
25. Harold -- Rodriguez, Francisco |
1-1, 1 SV, 5.64 ERA, 25 K (22.33 IPS) |
Cut 2018 |
|
26. Arnie -- Grichuk, Randal |
.225 / .301 / .376 / .677 (133 PA), 3 HR, 13 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut 2018 |
|
27. Robin -- Piscotty, Stephen |
.242 / .304 / .398 / .702 (171 PA), 6 HR, 18 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut 2018/Redrafted |
|
28. Tom -- Garcia, Jaime |
2-5, 0 SV, 3.15 ERA, 34 K (54.33 IPS) |
Cut 2017 |
|
29. Eric -- Matz, Steven |
No Statistics |
Cut 2020 |
|
3. Future Wax -- Gutierrez, Franklin |
.214 / .286 / .403 / .689 (77 PA), 4 HR, 15 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2017 |
|
31. Jed -- Inciarte, Ender |
.257 / .284 / .350 / .634 (468 PA), 8 HR, 43 RBI, 19 SB |
Still Owned |
|
32. Harold -- Realmuto, J.T. |
.277 / .313 / .452 / .765 (595 PA), 24 HR, 68 RBI, 7 SB |
Traded Still Owned |
Best Pick: JT Realmuto was the catcher of the draft. Harold later traded him for JD Martinez and ??? He is a solid 1 on defense and is well above average as a hitter especially as a catcher.
Worst Pick: You have to go with the player with no statistics just beating out the short-term Franklin Gutierrez who had few PAs for Wax.
Round 5:
|
33. Arnie -- Eickhoff, Jerad |
No Statistics |
Cut 2018 |
|
34. Arnie -- Marte, Ketel |
.389 / .389 / .611 / 1 (18 PA), 0 HR, 3 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut 2017 |
|
35. Jed -- Duffy, Matt |
.222 / .250 / .268 / .518 (168 PA), 0 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2018 Traded |
|
36. Tom -- Harris, Will |
2-2, 3 SV, 3.83ERA, 85 K (82.33 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
37. Eric -- Parra, Gerardo |
.248 / .267 / .398 / .665 (161 PA), 6 HR, 22 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2020 |
|
38. Future Wax -- Turner, T |
.236 / .278 / .391 / .669 (371 PA), 15 HR, 38 RBI, 18 SB |
Still Owned |
|
39. Jed -- Teixeira, Mark |
.241 / .341 / .407 / .748 (182 PA), 7 HR, 21 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut 2017 |
|
4. Jeff -- Iglesias, Raisel |
4-8, 7 SV, 2.61 ERA, 121 K (117 IPS) |
Still Owned |
Best Pick: This round has three keepers all of whom have been very good for their teams. Iglesias and Harris have been mainstays in relief for CN and Jeff. But Trea Turner in a draft full of shortstop talent proves to be just one step below the first-rounders but a great value in the 5th round.
Worst Pick: So Arnie came into this round with the first two picks and he is usually the master of finding the best starting pitcher in a draft. But this year Eickhoff let him down, but he then picked Marte, who turned out be a pretty good player after he cut him too soon.
Round 6:
|
41. Arnie -- Shaw, Travis |
.263 / .284 / .627 / .911 (102 PA), 11 HR, 16 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2017/Redrafted/Cut again |
|
42. Robin -- Gibson, Kyle |
4-4, 0 SV, 4.21 ERA, 53 K (68.33 IPS) |
Cut 2017/Redrafted/Cut again |
|
43. Tom -- Rodon, Carlos |
No Statistics |
Still Owned |
|
44. Arnie -- Gallo, Joey |
.172 / .289 / .341 / .63 (135 PA), 7 HR, 17 RBI, 0 SB |
Still Owned |
|
45. Eric -- Blazek, Michael |
1-2, 2 SV, 4.22 ERA, 8 K (1.67 IPS) |
Cut 2017 |
|
46. Future Wax -- Morales, Kendrys |
.212 / .289 / .336 / .625 (277 PA), 9 HR, 35 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut 2017 claimed and cut later |
|
47. Harold -- Blanco, Andres |
.262 / .338 / .382 / .72 (68 PA), 2 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2017 |
|
48. Harold -- Lopez, Javier |
1-0, 0 SV, 1.26 ERA, 12 K (14.33 IPS) |
Cut 2017 |
Best Pick: Another double round for Arnie and this time he picked up Shaw, who he cut after he contributed to his team, and he maintains the power prospect Joey Gallo who has looked great versus CN but not as good against the rest of the league.
Worst Pick: We have to put up the big lefty starter Rodon who had Tommy John and never pitched for CN and may never pitch more than a couple of starts for CN, yet took up a roster slot year after year.
Round 7:
|
49. Harold -- Parker, Jarrett |
.471 / .571 / .762 / 1.333 (21 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut 2017 |
|
5. Harold -- Hicks, Aaron |
.199 / .308 / .351 / .659 (302 PA), 15 HR, 36 RBI, 4 SB |
Still Owned |
|
51. Harold -- Canha, Mark |
No Statistics |
??? |
|
52. Jeff -- Ross, Joe |
1-6, 0 SV, 5.26 ERA, 23 K (25.67 IPS) |
Cut 2018 |
|
53. Eric -- Lagares, Juan |
No Statistics |
Cut 2017 |
|
54. Future Wax -- Madson, Ryan |
0-0, 2 SV, 2.28 ERA, 26 K (23.67 IPS) |
Cut 2017 |
|
55. Jed -- Nola, Aaron |
5-6, 0 SV, 3.07 ERA, 195 K (175.67 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
56. Jeff -- McCann, James |
.202 / .257 / .307 / .564 (303 PA), 7 HR, 31 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2019 |
Best Pick: After the break, Jed took one of the best starters in this draft – Aaron Nola. His name sounds like he should have been chosen by Harold, given the pun potential. He is both a solid MLB ace and looks to continue to contribute going forward.
Worst Pick: I am not sure how or when Canha was dropped by Harold, but he was and became a 1st rounder this year for Jed. But the change of fortune and lack of statistics makes him the saddest pick of the round.
Round 8:
|
57. Jeff -- Burns, Billy |
No Statistics |
Cut 2017 |
|
58. Jeff -- Haren, Dan |
5-4, 0 SV, 4.83 ERA, 56 K (72.67 IPS) |
Cut 2017 |
|
59. Robin -- Travis, Devon |
.280 / .311 / .403 / .714 (273 PA), 5 HR, 26 RBI, 4 SB |
Cut 2019 |
|
6. Tom -- Forsythe, Logan |
.169 / .229 / .396 / .625 (96 PA), 7 HR, 17 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2019 |
|
61. Eric -- Dyson, Sam |
1-1, 1 SV, 4.85 ERA, 10 K (13 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
62. Future Wax -- Alvarez, Jose |
2-3, 0 SV, 6.75 ERA, 11 K (13.33 IPS) |
Cut 2017 |
|
63. Jed -- Gregerson, Luke |
2-1, 4 SV, 0.92 ERA, 53 K (49 IPS) |
Cut 2019 |
|
64. Arnie -- Hernandez, Enrique |
.273 / .289 / .400 / .689 (45 PA), 0 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2018/Redrafted/Cut/Claimed in waiver draft |
Best Pick: Always a hard round to pick someone. We could go with Dyson, but who knows what he has contributed despite still holding a roster slot. But let’s give the nod to Luke Gregerson who was a very effective late inning reliever for Jed.
Worst Pick: Billy Burns never played a game in the SOMBILLA and was cut early.
Round 9:
|
65. Robin -- Givens, Mychal |
6-4, 1 SV, 4.35 ERA, 62 K (68.33 IPS) |
Cut 2020 |
|
66. Arnie -- Kela, Keone |
2-0, 1 SV, 3.44 ERA, 33 K (34 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
67. Tom -- Capps, Carter |
1-0, 5 SV, 3.00 ERA, 22 K (12 IPS) |
Cut 2018 |
|
68. Eric -- Hendriks, Liam |
0-1, 0 SV, 3.09 ERA, 41 K (32 IPS) |
Cut 2018/Claimed on Waivers |
|
69. Future Wax -- Goins, Ryan |
.207 / .277 / .264 / .541 (148 PA), 2 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2017 |
|
70. Jed -- Mahtook, Mikie |
.289 / .333 / .979 / 1.312 (48 PA), 11 HR, 24 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2017 |
|
71. Jeff -- DeShields Jr., Delino |
.224 / .384 / .274 / .658 (73 PA), 0 HR, 3 RBI, 3 SB |
Cut 2017 |
|
|
|
|
Best Pick: A boring pick, but we have to go with the not very nice person but a player still owned by Arnie – Keone Kela. He was on my list as a late inning future reliever – unusable for 2016 - and Arnie grabbed him one pick before I was ready to pick him. Honorable mention to Mahtook, who did his job as a lefty killer mutant for Jed.
Worst Pick: Everyone was used by their teams, but I guess we have to go with Goins and DeShields who just could not stick with their SOMBILLA teams.
Round 10-13:
|
73. Robin -- Santana, Domingo |
.258 / .330 / .437 / .767 (327 PA), 16 HR, 38 RBI, 2 SB |
Cut 2020 |
|
74. Tom -- Kelley, Shawn |
3-0, 4 SV, 3.37 ERA, 26 K (21.33 IPS) |
Cut 2018 |
|
75. Arnie -- Pham, Tommy |
.362 / .486 / .556 / 1.042 (72 PA), 4 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2017/Redrafted |
|
76. Eric -- Perez, Carlos |
No Statistics |
Cut 2017 |
|
77. Future Wax -- Rupp, Cameron |
.193 / .233 / .283 / .516 (60 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2018 |
|
78. Jed -- Vizcaino, Arodys |
3-0, 1 SV, 1.32 ERA, 14 K (13.67 IPS) |
Cut 2017 |
|
79. Jeff -- Volquez, Edinson |
0-7, 0 SV, 6.67 ERA, 56 K (82.33 IPS) |
Cut 2017 |
|
81. Robin -- Herrera, Odubel |
.264 / .307 / .386 / .693 (342 PA), 7 HR, 29 RBI, 6 SB |
Cut 2020 |
|
82. Tom -- Swihart, Blake |
No Statistics |
Cut 2017 |
|
83. Eric -- Hinojosa, Dalier |
No Statistics |
Cut 2016 |
|
84. Future Wax -- Ramirez, Erasmo |
4-0, 0 SV, 3.60 ERA, 25 K (35 IPS) |
Cut 2017 |
|
85. Jed -- Hechavarria, Adeiny |
No Statistics |
Cut 2017 |
|
86. Jeff -- Altherr, Aaron |
.161 / .316 / .316 / .632 (38 PA), 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut 2017 |
|
89. Robin -- Davies, Zach |
0-1, 0 SV, 6.35 ERA, 12 K (11.33 IPS) |
Still Owned |
|
9. Tom -- Liriano, Francisco |
4-3, 0 SV, 5.14 ERA, 64 K (61.33 IPS) |
Cut 2017 |
|
91. Eric -- Bastardo, Antonio |
0-0, 1 SV, 2.19 ERA, 14 K (12.33 IPS) |
Cut 2017 |
|
92. Future Wax -- Ethier, Andre |
.313 / .362 / .482 / .844 (141 PA), 6 HR, 19 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2017 |
|
93. Jed -- Uehara, Koji |
1-0, 0 SV, 9.00 ERA, 4 K (4 IPS) |
Cut 2017 |
|
94. Jeff -- Burnett, A.J. |
No Statistics |
Cut 2016 |
|
97. Robin -- Thompson, Trayce |
.212 / .268 / .375 / .643 (56 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB |
Cut 2017 |
|
98. Tom -- Raburn, Ryan |
.310 / .474 / .500 / .974 (38 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB |
Cut 2017 |
|
99. Eric -- Duffey, Tyler |
No Statistics |
Cut 2017 |
|
10. Jeff -- Venditte, Pat |
No Statistics |
Cut 2017 |
|
101. Robin -- Anderson, Cody |
No Statistics |
Cut 2017 |
Best Pick/Worst Pick: These rounds were very lackluster, usually you get a player who surprises but not in this draft. Two potential catchers were drafted and fizzled. Tommy Pham would have been a strong pick but Arnie gave up on him. (He was cut a year later and he became the third pick overall two years later for Harold.) Domingo Santana has been a solid low level contributor, so if you had to make a pick…. Zach Davies is still on Robin’s roster but has yet to show much in the SOMBILLA. So bottom line here really is that the late rounds were forgettable.
Other: CN picked Raburn for the 3rd time; he was doing the every other year where he is useful as a late round lefty killer but then had a year when he was not worth keeping.
2015 Card Set Results:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Eric |
.275 / .306 / .361 / .667 (72 PA), 1 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Arnie |
.273 / .334 / .451 / .785 (731 PA), 33 HR, 84 RBI, 10 SB |
|
Jed |
.262 / .325 / .428 / .753 (600 PA), 24 HR, 83 RBI, 7 SB |
|
Harold |
.245 / .339 / .339 / .678 (322 PA), 8 HR, 33 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Tom |
.237 / .325 / .451 / .776 (286 PA), 17 HR, 46 RBI, 1 SB |
|
Wax |
.227 / .287 / .345 / .632 (883 PA), 24 HR, 84 RBI, 6 SB |
|
Robin |
.208 / .265 / .341 / .606 (498 PA), 15 HR, 46 RBI, 4 SB |
|
Jeff |
.193 / .288 / .286 / .574 (489 PA), 10 HR, 33 RBI, 6 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Jed |
9-7, 4 SV, 2.01 ERA, 118 K (143.67 IPS) |
|
Eric |
7-4, 4 SV, 2.73 ERA, 72 K (76 IPS) |
|
Wax |
8-5, 4 SV, 3.51 ERA, 107 K (100 IPS) |
|
Robin |
9-7, 0 SV, 3.90 ERA, 121 K (136 IPS) |
|
Tom |
11-8, 12 SV, 4.18 ERA, 176 K (185 IPS) |
|
Harold |
7-12, 8 SV, 4.37 ERA, 168 K (193.67 IPS) |
|
Arnie |
3-3, 1 SV, 4.53 ERA, 50 K (53.67 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
6-18, 0 SV, 5.38 ERA, 177 K (215.67 IPS) |
Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Tom |
.263 / .338 / .424 / .762 (792 PA), 36 HR, 107 RBI, 1 SB |
|
Robin |
.256 / .314 / .400 / .714 (1822 PA), 62 HR, 196 RBI, 17 SB |
|
Jed |
.253 / .309 / .367 / .676 (1067 PA), 28 HR, 115 RBI, 21 SB |
|
Eric |
.248 / .267 / .398 / .665 (161 PA), 6 HR, 22 RBI, 0 SB |
|
Harold |
.245 / .328 / .392 / .72 (1827 PA), 76 HR, 222 RBI, 15 SB |
|
Arnie |
.242 / .311 / .389 / .7 (1500 PA), 56 HR, 172 RBI, 18 SB |
|
Wax |
.233 / .290 / .355 / .645 (1539 PA), 46 HR, 156 RBI, 25 SB |
|
Jeff |
.203 / .303 / .322 / .625 (802 PA), 25 HR, 72 RBI, 6 SB |
|
Team |
Stats |
|
Arnie |
6-5, 8 SV, 3.01 ERA, 155 K (146.67 IPS) |
|
Eric |
12-7, 4 SV, 2.84 ERA, 159 K (149 IPS) |
|
Harold |
12-17, 9 SV, 5.06 ERA, 233 K (279.33 IPS) |
|
Jeff |
10-25, 7 SV, 4.50 ERA, 256 K (297.67 IPS) |
|
Jed |
19-13, 5 SV, 2.64 ERA, 372 K (382.33 IPS) |
|
Robin |
17-22, 1 SV, 4.56 ERA, 275 K (300 IPS) |
|
Tom |
13-10, 13 SV, 3.97 ERA, 242 K (244.67 IPS) |
|
Wax |
8-5, 4 SV, 3.51 ERA, 107 K (100 IPS) |
Draft Summary:
|
Round |
Best |
Team |
Worst |
Team |
|
1 |
Lindor |
Arnie |
Schwarber |
Jeff |
|
2 |
Sano |
CN |
Buxton |
Jed |
|
3 |
Severino |
Eric |
Vogt/Cervelli |
Arnie/Jed |
|
4 |
Realmuto |
Harold |
Matz |
Eric |
|
5 |
Turner |
Wax |
Eickhoff/Marte |
Arnie |
|
6 |
Shaw/Gallo |
Arnie |
Rodon |
CN |
|
7 |
Nola |
Jed |
Canha |
Harold |
|
8 |
Gregerson |
Jed |
Burns |
Jeff |
|
9 |
Kela |
Arnie |
Goins/Deshields |
Wax/Jeff |
Best Draft: Arnie would have had the best draft going away if he had kept Ketel Mate and Tommy Pham after grabbing Lindor as the best player in the draft. Jed, who picked late in every round, came away winning two rounds and is worth an honorable mention. Darkhorse – If Seager, Sano, Rodon and Harris have a future then maybe 5 years from now CN and their Tommy Johns will be the winner of the draft. But the bottom line is that Arnie won two rounds with 3 players and if you ignore his cuts would be the obvious winner so he gets to be the best draft.
Worst Draft: It is hard to tell in this very even draft who had the worst one. It is tempting to go to the black box of Eric’s stats, but he did get two aces whom he still owns in Syndergaard and Severino. This could prove to make his draft look better in 5 years. Robin never won a round but picked up Correa, who is a premier player bit by the injury bug in the analysis period. Reluctantly, I have to go with Robin.
For the first time since 2005, someone other than Tom is doing the annual
4-year draft lookback column. That’s
right, Tom’s been doing this for the past 15 years! He of course wanted to do it again, but as he
put it in an email “My current rate of travel and work makes me think I will
not have it done till Labor Day”.
A couple of retired SOMBILLA managers (managers who are retired but not
retired from managing) do not have these work issues. And so, we proudly present this year’s 4-year
retrospective 2017 draft analysis by
Jed Corman, guest columnist.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In terms of rounds won...I (Jed) apparently had the best draft with Harold
a close 2nd. In terms of players still
in the SOMBILLA, Tom seems to have had the best draft (see below).
As for the worst draft, it looks like Eric did just a tad worse than Robin.
All that being said...Oceanus, New Orleans and Constantinople all finished
out of the playoffs during the 2017-2018 season. So there wasn't an
immediate impact due to having what with hindsight seems like the best drafts.
Not feeling like anyone really crushed this draft. Harold's selection of Judge in the 6th
round was the single best pick of the draft by far.
|
Manager |
Drafted
Players Still in SOMBILLA* |
|
Tom |
7 |
|
Jed |
6 |
|
Harold |
6 |
|
Jeff |
5 |
|
Arnie |
5 |
|
Randy/Future
Wax |
3 |
|
Eric |
1 |
|
Robin |
1 |
This means that of 96 players selected, only 34 remain in the
SOMBILLA. Pretty tough league to stick
around in!
*Not necessarily with the team that originally drafted them.
Round 1
|
Pick |
Player |
Team |
Position |
Drafted By |
|
1 |
Benintendi,
Andrew |
BOS |
LF,OF |
Robin |
|
2 |
Sanchez, Gary |
NYY |
C |
Harold |
|
3 |
Bregman, Alex |
HOU |
3B |
Jeff |
|
4 |
Contreras, Willson |
CHC |
C,LF,OF |
Arnie |
|
5 |
Oh, Seung Hwan |
STL |
RP |
Eric |
|
6 |
Murphy, Daniel |
WAS |
1B,2B |
Future Wax |
|
7 |
Story, Trevor |
COL |
SS |
Jed |
|
8 |
Swanson,
Dansby |
ATL |
SS |
Tom |
At a high level, there are no serious head scratchers here. One can see why each of these players was
drafted. They all have contributed in
the SOMBILLA to a greater or lesser degree.
None of these picks was completely wasted. 6 are still in the SOMBILLA.
A close call as to who has emerged as the best of this bunch but I'm going
to give the nod to Story over Bregman. I
think in real baseball, Bregman has played better. But Story thus far has had more SOMBILLA
impact. It doesn't seem like Bregman has
had a good regular season in the SOMBILLA and Story just hit .326 in
2020-2021.
At the time, it was unclear who would become the better shortstop between
Story and Swanson. However, Dansby, in spite of his cuteness, has disappointed. He did seem to be making progress in 2019 and
2020. As 2021 has been such a weird
season, with many stars having their worst years, it's still possible Swanson
could turn in some usable seasons.
Therefore, I won't rate him the worst pick.
Sanchez has had kind of a similar trajectory although he has been more
useful than Swanson so far.
I think I have to award worst pick to Eric for
Oh. Not that it was a bad pick. Oh was the best
reliever available. Eric changed his team name to Stone Buddha in honor of Oh and then went 23-33
on the season. Oh had 4 saves (Jansen,
the league leader, had 13). Oh had one more usable season (I assume he made Eric's team
– no stats for Eric during the 2019-2020 season) and now he is out of the
SOMBILLA.
I suppose based on my reasoning in the last paragraph you could argue
Daniel Murphy was as “bad” a pick as Oh.
Always a decent hitter / subpar fielder who'd had a cup of coffee
previously in the SOMBILLA, Murphy exploded for a couple of years when he
adjusted his launch angle. Which is code
for taking steroids. Whatever he did, he
had a magical 2016 and a fabulous 2017.
Future Wax did win the World Series in 2017-2018 with Murphy hitting
.312 and receiving some MVP votes.
Future Wax lost in the WS the following year with Murphy hitting
.304. So, I'd say Murphy made much more
of an impact than Oh.
Benintendi hasn't justified being selected #1 overall. However, he did hit .285 in one SOMBILLA year
(the 2018-2019 season) and he's still on Bay City's roster. He just turned 27 and he's having a
relatively good year so there's still hope.
Hence, he's not the worst pick. [Robin: and is the second cutest]
Finally, Contreras has alternated very good seasons with very not so good
seasons. He hit .291 in limited playing
time during the 2017-2018 SOMBILLA season.
And he has received significant playing time in 2 seasons since,
although he hasn't hit particularly great.
Still, he's only 29 and has a career OPS of .807 as I write this so he remains a keeper at this point.
Round 2
|
Pick |
Player |
Team |
Position |
Drafted By |
|
9 |
Fulmer,
Michael |
DET |
SP |
Arnie |
|
10 |
Reyes, Alex |
STL |
P |
Jeff |
|
11 |
Dahl, David |
COL |
LF,OF |
Harold |
|
12 |
Mazara, Nomar |
TEX |
LF,RF,OF |
Robin |
|
13 |
Diaz, Edwin |
SEA |
RP |
Eric |
|
14 |
Leon, Sandy |
BOS |
C |
Future Wax |
|
15 |
Hill, Rich |
LAD |
SP |
Arnie |
|
16 |
Taillon,
Jameson |
PIT |
SP |
Tom |
Taking them in order, Michael Fulmer is still playing MLB, but he's no
longer in the SOMBILLA. Fulmer did pitch
well for Arnie during the 2017-2018 season, compiling a 3.53 ERA and going
4-4. Arnie made it to the World Series
that year. Fulmer took a no-hitter into
the 8th inning in game 5 and notched a victory. The following season Fulmer has a 4.83 ERA in
the SOMBILLA but he does go 7-3 and Arnie considers
him his best starter (Arnie does win the WS too). Fulmer doesn't play the next two seasons and,
again, is no longer on Arnie's roster. But he was a contributor and shockingly, thus
far, I'd have to say he was the best pick of the 2nd round. If we re-evaluate in a few years...there's a
good chance he will be superseded because other players are still on rosters.
Reyes was another young phenom (he's only 26 now) who had a promising start
to his career but has been derailed because of injuries. He is still on the Neverwinter roster and is
having a fine 2021 MLB season, so maybe Jeff and Sam's patience is going to pay
off. In his one usable season thus far,
which was the 2017-2018 season, Reyes came in 3rd in the Rolaids
rankings and had a 1.98 ERA.
Dahl hit .315 in a limited MLB 2016 season.
Given that he's only 27 now...you can see why he was drafted. In the SOMBILLA, he hit .293 in 93 AB, so pretty solid. He's
had a couple more usable years but hasn't seemed to have had much further
impact in the SOMBILLA (some stats are missing so I'm not 100% sure). He is still in the SOMBILLA, now on
Neverwinter. All things considered, not
the best pick, not the worst pick.
(Arnie notes that shortly after the draft, Jeff traded a 2nd
round pick to Harold for Dahl. I thought
this was both odd and hilarious).
Mazara is no longer in the SOMBILLA.
He is only 26 now and had 3 MLB seasons where he hit 20 homers (and a 4th
where he hit 19). So, again, one can see
why he was drafted. But he hasn't taken
the next step and his low OBP has meant he's never made a SOMBILLA appearance. Given all of that, I have to say he's the
worst pick of the 2nd round. (Robin: He was also just cut by the
Tigers, so MLB [and Robin] agree with you.)
Second round in a row where Eric picks a reliever. Diaz is still on his roster, which is saying
something for a reliever. Due to a lack
of SOMBILLA stats...I don't know what his impact has been. Since he has an MLB career WHIP of 1.12 and
is still only 27, I'd say Diaz has turned out to be a solid pick.
Sandy Leon is no longer in the SOMBILLA and career-wise has been a pretty terrible hitter.
However, for some reason, he hit .310 during the 2016 MLB season in 252
AB. At that time
he was around 27 years old so I suppose there was some hope he'd provide some
additional usability. He was excellent defensively, if I recall correctly. Anyway, Leon only hit .214 in the SOMBILLA so he was a disappointment. If it weren't for Mazara...Leon would be the
worst pick.
Rich Hill is now 41 years old and still going strong (and still on Arnie's
roster). He's never been a workhorse
starred starter but he's had some usable seasons. Notably, he was 5-1 with a 2.74 ERA for Arnie
in 2017-2018 (and received some Cy Young votes). He hasn't pitched much since then though. I feel like, statistically, in real baseball,
he's been the best choice of the 2nd round. But other than that
one season...he hasn't had much impact in the SOMBILLA. One way or another, though, Arnie has ruled
the 2nd round.
Jameson Taillon has made a slight contribution thus far. He pitched 7 innings total in his SOMBILLA
rookie season (with a 2.57 ERA!). He
went 1-3 with a 4.33 ERA two years later.
And he pitched 15 innings last SOMBILLA season. He's only 29 so there's still a chance for
him to prove his worth.
So, if you're keeping count, 5 of these guys remain in the SOMBILLA.
Round 3
|
Pick |
Player |
Team |
Position |
Drafted By |
|
17 |
Flores, Wilmer |
NYM |
1B,3B |
Jeff |
|
18 |
Devenski,
Chris |
HOU |
RP |
Robin |
|
19 |
Gray, Jon |
COL |
SP |
Harold |
|
20 |
Jones, Nate |
CWS |
RP |
Arnie |
|
21 |
Roark, Tanner |
WAS |
SP |
Eric |
|
22 |
Buchter, Ryan |
SD |
RP |
Jeff |
|
23 |
Ramirez, Jose |
PHI |
3B |
Jed |
|
24 |
Urias, Julio |
LAD |
SP |
Tom |
Flores, always a tempting lefty killer, and terrible defender, was finally
drafted. And he hit .381 (and slugged
.794) in 63 AB for Jeff. So Flores did what was expected of him and arguably
more. But...was a 3rd round
pick too high a price for a limited lefty killer? Flores did hit .300 in 40AB the next
season. But that was that.
Chris Devenski is no longer in the SOMBILLA. In his MLB career he has a 1.08 WHIP! But...I assume he's been injured a lot as he
only has a total of 316 innings over 6 seasons (and was on Bay City). He had two good years – 2016 and 2017. In the SOMBILLA, he went 5-0 with a 3.60 ERA
in 2017-2018 and then 0-2 but with a 3.34 ERA in 2018-2019. All in all, nothing to be ashamed of. [Robin:
Randy wanted him for the last name similarity, but he was eventually taken in
the waiver draft by Tom].
It seems to me Jon Gray is another guy who has hovered for a while at the
edge of draftability. 2016 was his first
full big league year, and he had 185 K in 168 IP. One can see why the pitching-crazed Ellis
were interested, as Gray was not even 26 yet at the time. He subsequently turned in a couple of usable
years. He had a 3.88 ERA in 55.2 IP for
Harold in 2017-2018. But last year he
went 1-9 with a 6.27 ERA and now he's out of the SOMBILLA. I don't think he was a bad choice but I have
to call somebody a bad choice so I'll make it Gray.
Nate Jones had only one usable card – his 2016 card. If I still had the Lamanna guide (pause to
imagine Arnie groaning) I could judge where Jones ranked amongst reliever cards but I'll assume it was pretty high. He barely made the Rolaids list of relievers but he had an outstanding ERA (1.93) and WHIP
(.84). Remember, Arnie made the WS so Jones was a worthy pickup, even if he didn't pan out
after that.
Ah, good old Tanner Roark. I always
thought he was a classic example of a guy whose counting stats belied his
mediocrity. But overall
in his career he's done pretty damn well.
A 76-68 record with a 1.26 WHIP.
He was about 30 when he was drafted, for the 2nd time, by
Eric. Robin drafted him in 2015. He had two very good MLB seasons and at least
one good SOMBILLA season (no stats for 2017-2018).
Ryan Buchter has had a pretty solid MLB career
(3.07 ERA, 1.21 WHIP). He had a 2.63 ERA
and 5 saves in his SOMBILLA debut and was 5th in the Rolaids
rankings. He had a 2.18 ERA and a save
the following year. No stats after that,
and he's out of the SOMBILLA. but if you can get two years out of a reliever,
you have to say it was at least a decent pick.
Used to call him The Butcher.
Pretty obviously, Jose Ramirez was the best pick of this round. He has a career OPS of .850. In the SOMBILLA...he's only had one good
season (where he slugged above .500).
But I don't think there's an argument about who the best player on this
list is. I guess it's possible Urias
(see below) outdoes Ramirez over time.
Urias is still only 24, which means he was 13 when he was drafted. He is still on Tom's roster. He is having an excellent 2021 season, which
prevents me from deeming him the worst pick in the round. Tom has only used him in one SOMBILLA season
but, again, looks like he'll be in the rotation maybe this year and next.
Overall, only 2 of these picks belong to current SOMBILLA rosters.
Round 4
|
Pick |
Player |
Team |
Position |
Drafted By |
|
25 |
Thornburg,
Tyler |
BOS |
RP |
Jeff |
|
26 |
Montgomery,
Mike |
CHC |
SP |
Robin |
|
27 |
Diaz, Aledmys |
STL |
SS |
Harold |
|
28 |
Tomas, Yasmany |
ARI |
LF,RF,OF |
Arnie |
|
29 |
Trumbo, Mark |
BAL |
RF,OF,DH |
Eric |
|
30 |
Dull, Ryan |
OAK |
RP |
Future Wax |
|
31 |
Lamb, Jake |
ARI |
3B |
Arnie |
|
32 |
Otero, Dan |
CLE |
RP |
Tom |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Wow, do any of these names jump off the page to you? None are still in the SOMBILLA.
Thornburg has had two usable years in his MLB
career, including his career year of 2016.
He had a solid year for Jeff during the 2017-2018 campaign – compiling a
2.92 ERA in 24.2 IP.
Mike Montgomery was an undistinguished lefty who
also had a career MLB year in 2016 in limited innings. Montgomery managed to avoid getting pounded
like most lefties in the SOMBILLA, pitching 42 innings for Robin with a 2.57
ERA. A damn good
limited season.
Aledmys Diaz?
A shortstop who hit .300 with 17 HR in 404 AB in 2016, when he was
around 26 years old. Sounds pretty
good. Unfortunately, he was unable to
build on that foundation, instead producing only a couple of marginal (by
SOMBILLA standards) seasons since. He
slugged .529 for Harold during the 2017-2018 campaign in 140 AB, a decent
contribution. Appears he's another
one-year wonder.
Yasmany Tomas has dealt with injuries and so we
never got to see if his 6'2” 260 lb frame would translate into a perennial
30-40 HR guy. He hit 31 HR in 2016. He was a massive lefty killer. He hit .305 and slugged over .500 for Arnie
during the 2017-2018 SOMBILLA season. Only
59 AB though.
Holy crap – did you know
Mark Trumbo hit 47 HR in 2016? He had
hit over 30 HR a couple of times but always with a low average. He had a cup of coffee in the SOMBILLA with
Future Wax back in the 2013-2014 season.
Due to missing statistics, I don't know how Trumbo performed for Eric
during the 2017-2018 SOMBILLA campaign.
He certainly had a shot at leading the league in HR. I'll bet he hit at least in the double
digits.
Ryan Dull was obviously the most boring pick of the
round. Dull had one usable season and
this was it. Dull pitched 30 IP for
Future Wax during 2017-2018. He had a
5.10 ERA but a surprisingly good WHIP of 1.05.
Again, Future Wax did win the WS and it seems
Dull performed well when it counted.
In 2016 Jake Lamb hit 29 HR, up from 6 the previous
season. This put him on the SOMBILLA's
radar and a 4th round pick for a 25-26 year old
budding power-hitting infielder seems like a reasonable price to pay. Lamb hit 30 HR in 2017 and then fell off a
cliff. I'm assuming injuries without
looking it up. He never hit for
average. For Arnie, in 2017-2018 Lamb
hit .000 in 11 AB. In 2018-2019, Lamb
didn't play at all! I guess Lamb is the
worst pick of this round.
Finally, we have Dan Otero. Dan Otero had 4 good MLB seasons, with 2016
representing his acme (a .91 WHIP). He
was drafted in the 9th round in 2015 by Tom. During the 2015-2016 season, Otero pitched
very well – 30 IP with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of under 1. But Tom cut him only to redraft him in 2017. Otero served his purpose again for Tom in
2017-2018 with a 2.78 ERA and 8 saves.
Otero came in 4th in the Rolaids rankings. Given the slim pickings, I'm choosing Otero
as the best pick of the round.
Round 5
|
Pick |
Player |
Team |
Position |
Drafted By |
|
33 |
Peraza, Jose |
CIN |
SS,OF |
Jeff |
|
34 |
Guerra, Junior |
MIL |
SP |
Robin |
|
35 |
Bush, Matt |
TEX |
RP |
Harold |
|
36 |
Cotton, Jharel |
OAK |
SP |
Arnie |
|
37 |
Arcia, Orlando |
MIL |
SS |
Robin |
|
38 |
Lugo, Seth |
NYM |
SP |
Future Wax |
|
39 |
Brach, Brad |
BAL |
RP |
Jeff |
|
40 |
Bowman, Matt |
STL |
RP |
Tom |
Only Seth Lugo remains on a SOMBILLA roster today. But is he the best of this bunch? Let's see.
Peraza has had a couple of good MLB seasons thus
far (he is still only 27 years old). He
hit .324 in limited play in 2016 and then .288 in a full season in 2018. He has gotten some playing time in the
SOMBILLA. He hit .313 and stole 7 bases
for Jeff in only 93 AB in 2017-2018.
Matt Bush was a one-year wonder. He had a 7.03 ERA for Harold. Did pick up a save!
Jharel Cotton???
My gut feeling is that he was the worst pick of the round without even
looking anything up about him. Ok, fine,
I'll look him up. He did pitch 12
innings for Arnie and had a 4.50 ERA.
All right, he's arguably the worst, but see Orlando Arcia (next)....
Orlando Arcia is still only 26 years old and so was
drafted in the hopes he'd blossom. And
in 2017, he hit a career high .277 with 15 HR and 14 SB. But he's been pretty
miserable since. He hit .143 in 7
AB for Robin in 2017-2018. He then hit
.400 in 5 AB in 2018-2019. So....250 BA
for his SOMBILLA career. I'm tabbing him
as the worst pick in the round. (Although, Robin
notes, he is cute and was a 1 ss before being cut by Milwaukee and has
re-emerged as an OF for Atlanta).
Seth Lugo has never pitched more than 101 innings
in an MLB season. But,
he's had some good stats and he's offered versatility as a
starter/reliever. In his SOMBILLA career
so far he's logged 97.2 IP and compiled a 4.05
ERA. Yeah, he is the best of this bunch.
Brad Brach also had a career year in 2016 with a
1.04 WHIP (career 1.32 WHIP). He racked
up a few Rolaids points for Jeff. Had a
3.74 ERA in 21.2 IP during the 2017-2018 SOMBILLA season. He also pitched 9 innings with a 9.00 ERA the
following season.
Matt Bowman's 2016 stats were his best but they don't look that great. Maybe somehow they
translated to a great card? He turned in
a meh season for Tom – 18 IP and a 4.00 ERA.
Round 6
|
Pick |
Player |
Team |
Position |
Drafted By |
|
41 |
Maeda, Kenta |
LAD |
SP |
Jeff |
|
42 |
Gsellman,
Robert |
NYM |
SP |
Robin |
|
43 |
Hand, Brad |
SD |
RP |
Harold |
|
44 |
Judge, Aaron |
NYY |
RF,OF |
Harold |
|
45 |
Villar,
Jonathan |
MIL |
3B,SS |
Arnie |
|
46 |
Kepler, Max |
MIN |
RF,OF |
Future Wax |
|
47 |
Pearce, Steve |
TOR |
1B |
Jed |
|
48 |
Castillo, Welington |
BAL |
C |
Tom |
Ok, last round where I'll put in as much
detail. Obviously, the name that stands
out here is Aaron Judge and without even doing any research we can declare
Harold the winner of this round. Why,
this might be enough to declare Harold the winner of the whole draft. But I'll dutifully go through the other
rounds and see how it all tallies up.
4 of these players remain on SOMBILLA rosters.
Kenta Maeda has had a fine MLB career with an
overall WHIP of 1.14. According to
Lamanna, Maeda has the 5th best starter's card for our upcoming
2021-2022 season. If it weren't for
Judge, Maeda would be the best choice in this round. He hasn't performed well in the SOMBILLA yet
though.
Gsellman had a 2.42 in 44 IP during the 2016
season. He was only 23 years old. So a 6th
round flyer wasn't too much of a reach.
He just didn't pan out. He
pitched 18 innings for Robin in 2017-2018, with a 1.00 ERA! Because of this performance, Gsellman is not
the worst pick in this round.
Brad (Mr.) Hand has been pretty
damn good for the last 6 seasons.
Harold has gotten 4 (and soon to be 5) seasons in a row from this
reliever, so this turned out to be an outstanding selection. Hand has performed only so-so in the SOMBILLA
– a total of 59.2 IP with a 4.37 ERA.
How did we all miss Aaron Judge? Why wasn't he a first round pick? [Robin: I think because of his size there
were questions about his defense and concerns he would be a Dave Kingman type].
He was a first round pick in real baseball.
Speaking for myself, I'm not sure he was really even
on my radar. [Arnie: Yeah, his
projections were not good]. Maybe it was because he hit .179 in 2016. He then had a transcendent 2017 and overall
has an OPS of .940 for his career.
Jonathan Villar is a fantasy darling that has
flirted with draftability over the years.
Seems like he's been around forever but he's only 30. 2016 was his career year. Villar hit .188 in 64 AB for Arnie. Which makes him the worst pick of the round.
Max Kepler looked promising as a 23-year-old in
2016 and did hit 36 HR in 2019. He's had
his SOMBILLA moments. After being traded
to Oceanus, he hit 12 HR during the 2020-2021 SOMBILLA season.
Steve Pearce has shown flashes of usability. His best season was 2014 when he had an OPS
of .930. He was drafted in 2015 in round
4 by Arnie. After hitting only .237 with
3 HR during the 2015-2016 SOMBILLA season, Arnie cut him. Redrafted in 2017, as a lefty killer I
believe, Pearce hit .318 and slugged .568 in 44 AB during the 2017-2018 season.
Welington Castillo hit pretty well
(for a catcher) in 2016 and 2017 but that was that. In the SOMBILLA, he got a fair amount of
playing time in 2017-2018 and 2018-2019, hitting .239 one year and .252 the
next.
Round 7
|
Pick |
Player |
Team |
Position |
Drafted By |
|
49 |
Broxton, Keon |
MIL |
CF,OF |
Jeff |
|
50 |
Rodriguez,
Sean |
ATL |
1B,2B,SS,OF |
Robin |
|
51 |
Joseph, Tommy |
PHI |
1B |
Jed |
|
52 |
Mondesi, Raul |
KC |
2B |
Arnie |
|
53 |
Healy, Ryon |
OAK |
3B |
Eric |
|
54 |
Law, Derek |
SF |
RP |
Future Wax |
|
55 |
Diekman, Jake |
TEX |
RP |
Harold |
|
56 |
Glasnow, Tyler |
PIT |
SP |
Harold |
Only 2 of these guys remain rostered (Mondesi and
Glasnow).
Keon Broxton had his career year in 2016 when he
hit .242. I'll presume there was some
hope he'd turn into something. He
didn't. Doesn't look like he ever played
in the SOMBILLA. Hence, he's the worst
pick of the round.
Sean Rodriguez: see Broxton, Keon. Although Rodriguez did get 66 AB for Robin in
2017-2018, batting .197. Being drafted
by Bay City led to a horrible car accident in 2017 and he's never been the
same.
Who the fuck is Tommy
Joseph? Well he
did get some playing time during the 2017-2018 season, hitting .250 with 1
HR.... I seem to remember he was
supposed to be a classic, lumbering power hitter.
Raul Mondesi, otherwise known as Adalberto Mondesi,
is only 25 now and was a pure prospect during this draft. He has flirted with usability (and is hitting
.361 in limited AB in 2021!). He has
gotten some SOMBILLA playing time, hitting .266 in 79AB during the 2019-2020
campaign.
Ryon Healy has gone steadily downhill since his
fine (albeit limited) 2016 season. No
stats available but he did hit at least 1 HR for Eric.
Derek Law had a 2.13 ERA and a .96 WHIP in 2016 but
has never come close to usability since then.
He racked up 9 Rolaids points for Future Wax in the 2017-2018 season and
had a 4.32 ERA with 3 saves.
Jake Diekman had a 6.08 ERA in 13 IP for Harold
during the 2017-2018 campaign.
Tyler Glasnow had a fabulous limited 2019 season
and is doing just as well in 2021. [Robin: or was before his alleged
sticky-stuff related injury]. He had a terrible year for Harold during
2020-2021, with a 7.48 ERA in 21.2 IP.
He had a great card though (except for a +9 hold). I think at this point Glasnow is looking like
the best pick of the round.
Round 8
|
Pick |
Player |
Team |
Position |
Drafted By |
|
57 |
Ryan, Kyle |
DET |
RP |
Future Wax |
|
58 |
Wright, Steven |
BOS |
SP |
Robin |
|
59 |
Hernandez,
Cesar |
PHI |
2B |
Harold |
|
60 |
Strahm, Matt |
KC |
RP |
Arnie |
|
61 |
Blanton, Joe |
WAS |
RP |
Eric |
|
62 |
Schugel, A.J. |
PIT |
RP |
Future Wax |
|
63 |
Naquin, Tyler |
CLE |
CF,OF |
Jed |
|
64 |
Manaea, Sean |
OAK |
SP |
Tom |
Only 2 remain in the SOMBILLA – Hernandez (a
re-draft in 2021) and Manaea.
Kyle Ryan was a one and done in the SOMBILLA. He had a 5.82 ERA in 17 IP. Of this bunch, I guess he's the worst.
The deadpan Steven Wright had a breakout 2016 but
not much thereafter. He went 4-4 for
Robin in 2017-2018, with a 4.29 ERA. [Robin:
then in real-life got injured on the basepaths and prevented his wife from
calling 911, then got caught for steroid use – Bay City prefers to hold up Tim
Wakefield as our knuckleball role model.
Cesar Hernandez has turned in 3 usable
seasons. So far, in the SOMBILLA, he has
hit .280 in 211 AB. He's tied with
Manaea as the best choice.
Matt Strahm had a 1.23 ERA in a limited 2016
season. He pitches well in even
years. In 2017-2018 he pitched 8.1
scoreless innings for Arnie. He also
made Arnie's roster in 2019-2020.
Joe Blanton was a terrible starter who found his
niche as a reliever. One and done in the
SOMBILLA. No stats.
AJ Schugel had a 1.04 WHIP in 2016. He pitched 10.1 scoreless innings for Future
Wax in 2017-2018. And that has been his
SOMBILLA career thus far.
Tyler Naquin had an .886 OPS in 2016 and he was
only 25 years old back then. But that
was his peak. He did hit .339 in 109 AB
for Oceanus in 2017-2018, a bright spot during a dismal season.
Sean Manaea has a career 1.20 WHIP. But he is a lefty. But in 65 SOMBILLA career innings, he has a
3.74 ERA. He's tied with Hernandez as the
best choice.
Round 9
|
Pick |
Player |
Team |
Position |
Drafted By |
|
65 |
Anderson, Tim |
CWS |
SS |
Jeff |
|
66 |
Toles, Andrew |
LAD |
OF |
Future Wax |
|
67 |
Edwards Jr.,
Carl |
CHC |
RP |
Harold |
|
68 |
Dickerson,
Alex |
SD |
LF,OF |
Arnie |
|
69 |
Vargas, Kennys |
MIN |
1B |
Eric |
|
70 |
Schimpf, Ryan |
SD |
2B |
Future Wax |
|
71 |
Upton Jr.,
Melvin |
TOR |
LF,CF,OF |
Robin |
|
72 |
Santana, Ervin |
MIN |
SP |
Tom |
Tim Anderson and Alex Dickerson (a re-draft in
2021) are the sole remaining SOMBILLA-rostered players out of this round.
Anderson sure can hit and seems to be steadily
climbing the shortstop rankings. I'd say
he's proven thus far to be the pick of the round.
I'm assuming Andrew Toles has an injury
history. He's only 29 but hasn't played
since 2018. He hit .314 in 105 AB in
2016, so there was some promise. He hit
.053 in his one SOMBILLA season.
Edwards had a .81 WHIP in 2016 and played 2 seasons
in the SOMBILLA. He fared poorly
compiling a 6.35 ERA in 17 total innings.
Alex Dickerson didn't play for Arnie but was
re-drafted in 2021 by...Arnie!
Kennys Vargas may never have played for Eric. With no stats, I can't be sure. I'm going to say he's tied for the worst pick
in this round.
Ryan Schimpf hit 20 HR in 276 AB in 2016. His last MLB season was 2018. He never played in the SOMBILLA. Tied for the worst pick in this round.
Melvin (aka BJ) Upton was originally drafted in
2005 (by Robin). But assessing his
re-draft in 2017...well, at that point he was a one-year wonder. He hit .220 in the SOMBILLA in 2017-2018 in
41 AB.
Ervin Santana was another re-draft. For some reason, he turned in two stellar
seasons in 2016 and 2017. This
translated to a 6.16 ERA for Tom in 159.1 IP.
Round 10
|
Pick |
Player |
Team |
Position |
Drafted By |
|
73 |
Bell, Josh |
PIT |
1B |
Jeff |
|
74 |
Solis, Sammy |
WAS |
RP |
Robin |
|
75 |
Happ, J.A. |
TOR |
SP |
Harold |
|
76 |
Duke, Zach |
STL |
P |
Eric |
|
77 |
Renfroe,
Hunter |
SD |
OF* |
Future Wax |
|
78 |
Musgrove, Joe |
HOU |
SP |
Jed |
|
79 |
Neris, Hector |
PHI |
RP |
Tom |
Wow, 4 of these guys are still in the SOMBILLA:
Bell, Renfroe, Musgrove and Neris.
In 2019, Josh Bell hit 37 HR. He has struggled since. But he's still only 28. In the 2020-2021 SOMBILLA season Bell hit
.303 with 14 HR and a .665 slugging percentage.
Uh, I guess he's the best pick of this round. Although maybe Musgrove will turn out better?
Sammy Solis had a career year in 2016. He pitched 16 innings for Robin in 2017-2018,
with a 4.50 ERA.
JA Happ was 20-4 in 2016. His best season by far. He went 1-7 for Harold in 2017-2018, with a 8.32 ERA.
Ouch. Maybe it was bad luck more
than anything, but he's the worst pick in this round.
Zach Duke has had a pretty crappy career overall
but when he switched from starter to reliever he had a
usable season or two. No stats so not
sure how he performed in the SOMBILLA.
Hunter Renfroe hit .371 in 35 AB in 2016. He only got 11 AB during the 2017-2018
SOMBILLA campaign but he hit .455.
Hasn't played in the SOMBILLA since but is still clinging to a roster
spot.
Joe Musgrove has turned in multiple almost usable
cards thus far in his career. He has
made a few starts in the SOMBILLA. He's
having his best season in 2021.
Hector Neris has had two good seasons – 2016 and
2019. Maybe Tom is holding onto him
until 2022 when Neris is due for another good season. Neris sure pitched great for Tom in 2017-2018
(33.1 IP 2.16 ERA). Not so great in
2020-2021 though.
Round 11
|
Pick |
Player |
Team |
Position |
Drafted By |
|
80 |
Cuthbert, Cheslor |
KC |
3B |
Jeff |
|
81 |
Norris, Daniel |
DET |
SP |
Robin |
|
82 |
Bedrosian, Cam |
LAA |
RP |
Arnie |
|
83 |
Velasquez,
Vince |
PHI |
SP |
Eric |
|
84 |
Smith, Mallex |
TB |
LF,CF,OF |
Future Wax |
|
85 |
Colome, Alex |
TB |
RP |
Jed |
|
86 |
Belisle, Matt |
MIN |
RP |
Tom |
Only 2 of these players remain rostered in the
SOMBILLA – Bedrosian (now on Oceanus) and Colome.
Cheslor Cuthbert looked fairly
promising back in the day. But
his .731 OPS in 2016 was his high point.
He never played in the SOMBILLA.
¼ worst pick.
Doesn't look like Daniel Norris ever played in the
SOMBILLA either. ¼ worst pick.
Bedrosian did well for Arnie (2.40 ERA) but not so
well for me (7.88 ERA). He is
(marginally) usable again for the upcoming season.
Vince Velasquez has never played in the SOMBILLA. ¼
worst pick.
Mallex Smith has never played in the SOMBILLA. ¼
worst pick.
Alex Colome had a 1.54 ERA and 8 saves during the
2017-2018 SOMBILLA season (good for #2 in the Rolaids rankings). He didn't fare so well in 2018-2019 but was
excellent again in 2019-2020 and solid in 2020-2021. He is the best pick in this round.
Matt Belisle had a 1.86 ERA in 9.2 IP for Tom in
2017-2018.
Rounds 12-16
|
Pick |
Player |
Team |
Position |
Drafted By |
|
87 |
Pillar, Kevin |
TOR |
CF,OF |
Eric |
|
88 |
Torres, Carlos |
MIL |
RP |
Jed |
|
89 |
Perez, Roberto |
CLE |
C |
Tom |
|
90 |
Ramos, Edubray |
PHI |
RP |
Eric |
|
91 |
Flynn, Brian |
KC |
RP |
Jed |
|
92 |
Pomeranz, Drew |
BOS |
SP |
Tom |
|
93 |
Jankowski,
Travis |
SD |
CF,RF,OF |
Eric |
|
94 |
Maurer,
Brandon |
SD |
RP |
Jed |
|
95 |
Baez, Pedro |
LAD |
RP |
Jed |
|
96 |
Margot, Manuel |
SD |
OF* |
Jed |
Remaining in the SOMBILLA: Pillar, Perez, Pomeranz,
Baez and Margot. Some were redrafted
though.
Pillar has never been a good hitter
but his defense has earned him a SOMBILLA roster spot. Yet he did hit .333 for Eric during the
2018-2019 SOMBILLA campaign (36 AB). And
.316 in 57 AB in 2020-2021. Really, he
has exceeded expectations. In fact, he's
the best pick of these rounds.
Carlos Torres had one good year. He did not fare well during the 2017-2018
SOMBILLA season – 5.06 ERA in 32 IP.
Roberto Perez is a terrible hitter who hit 24 HR in
2019. This (and his defense) is likely
why he still has a SOMBILLA roster spot.
He did hit 11 HR for Tom during the 2020-2021 campaign.
No stats for Edubray Ramos in the SOMBILLA. Looks like maybe he was traded to Future Wax
during the 2019-2020 campaign? If it's the same E. Ramos...he pitched 5
scoreless innings for Randy....
Bryan Flynn was another one-and-done reliever. He had a 6.43 ERA for Oceanus in 2017-2018.
Drew Pomeranz has spent time in and out of the
SOMBILLA. He was not very effective as a
starter but was reborn as a reliever. He
had a 4.62 ERA during the 2017-2018 season.
Redrafted by Arnie in 2021.
Travis Jankowski has pretty much sucked, although
he is hitting .333 in 2021! I don't
think he's ever played a SOMBILLA game.
I'm going to say he's the worst pick of these rounds.
Brandon Maurer had a 3.33 ERA during the 2017-2018
season.
Pedro Baez has been in and out of the
SOMBILLA. He had a 2.76 ERA in 2017-2018. He had a 5.27 ERA for Eric during the
2020-2021 season.
Manuel Margot never played for Oceanus. He was picked up during a waiver draft by Arnie and hit .239 in limited action during the 2020-2021 campaign.
By Jed Corman, guest columnist
Introduction
It's that time of year to reflect upon the past. To ask such questions as
“what the fuck was I thinking?” To
wonder what might have been if you hadn't followed Lamanna's advice. And if
you're Future Wax, to rue not going with G8 instead of H5.
To refresh memories, North Dakota won the 2018/19 World Series. Future Wax
was the runner up. These were clearly the two best teams. Did they go for it in
the 2018 draft or was their success more due to their past team-building
efforts? Who positioned themselves the
best for the next 4 years? Read on to
find out.
Executive Summary
In terms of tallying a score based on who won or lost each round, Robin and
Tom had the best draft. Arnie had the worst draft. Both Arnie and Randy were
net negative.
So clearly just judging on a round-by-round basis is of limited usefulness.
For example from 2018/19 through 2021/22 Arnie and Randy had the second and
third most regular season wins and between them won 3 out of the 4 World Series.
And during 2018/19, based on a quick assessment, both Arnie and Randy got some
fine performances out of their 2018 draftees (see: Marwin Gonzalez).
96 players were drafted. 30 are still rostered (21 of whom were selected in
the first 5 rounds). Some of whom were cut and redrafted. It's a tough league.
Round 1
|
1 |
Bellinger, Cody |
LAD |
1B,OF |
Eric |
|
2 |
Olson, Matt |
OAK |
1B |
Jed |
|
3 |
Pham, Tommy |
STL |
OF |
Harold |
|
4 |
Devers, Rafael |
BOS |
3B |
Tom |
|
5 |
Albies, Ozzie |
ATL |
2B |
Robin |
|
6 |
Moncada, Yoan |
CWS |
2B |
Jeff |
|
7 |
Hoskins, Rhys |
PHI |
1B,OF |
Arnie |
|
8 |
Robles, Victor |
WAS |
OF |
Future Wax |
Well, we can certainly say that Future Wax wasn't going for it with this
pick. Robles jumps out as the worst pick of the first round. In the Washington,
DC, area we are painfully aware that he has not panned out. And he was just cut
in the most recent Waiver Draft.
Bellinger was the clear-cut choice for the #1 pick and I remember being
pissed that Eric won the thing-off. However, Bellinger, after his excellent
performances in 2017 and 2018 and a transcendent 2019, has been pretty awful. He
is only turning 27 this year, though, so there's still time to reverse course. In
the SOMBILLA, in the half year's worth of statistics I could find, Bellinger
was awesome: OBP of .440 and SLG of .848.
There are 3 players who could be considered the best choice of round 1:
Olson (who was a mutant that year), Devers and Albies. Something of a toss up
to choose between them but Devers and Albies are younger and since Albies is a
superb defender at 2B (and cute – Robin). I'm going to give him the nod as the
best selection. Devers is having an awesome 2022 though..
Pham gave Harold some good years (after being cut by Arnie the year before).
He was on the SOMBILLA leader board in several categories in 2018/19. Hoskins,
in spite of a .200 BA, had an OPS of .972 in 50 AB. And an OPS of .830 as a
regular in 2019/20. Hoskins only got 15 AB in 2020/21 and hit only .133. He
will presumably get some usage during the 2022/23 season. Not a world beater
but far from a bust. Moncada has had only one good season (2019) but that's
more than Victor Robles can say.
Scoring: Robin 1. Randy -1.
Round 2
|
9 |
Castillo, Luis |
CIN |
SP |
Tom |
|
10 |
Anderson, Chase |
MIL |
SP |
Harold |
|
11 |
Zunino, Mike |
SEA |
C |
Jed |
|
12 |
Green, Chad |
NYY |
SP |
Eric |
|
13 |
Godley, Zack |
ARI |
SP |
Robin |
|
14 |
Madson, Ryan |
WAS |
RP |
Harold |
|
15 |
Ray, Robbie |
ARI |
SP |
Arnie |
|
16 |
Rivero, Felipe |
PIT |
RP |
Future Wax |
I'm going to give a half vote to Luis Castillo, who has quietly, overall,
had better stats than Ray. Castillo did not do so well in limited appearances
in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19 – a 6.57 ERA (but a 3-1 record!). He did so-so this
past season (4-4, 4.16 ERA). Bottom line is, he's been a contributor and he's
still rostered.
Worst pick? A few contenders. Godley
has had one usable season – 2017. He went 2-5 for Bay City during 2018/19, with
a 4.02 ERA in 65 IP. I would say he's the worst pick of the second round. Zunino
(another in a long line of failed attempts to find my Catcher of the
Future) has been awful but he was just
re-drafted this year, so he's produced 2 usable seasons. Although.that
shouldn't count toward evaluating this pick. However, he also had an OPS of
.959 in 122 AB for Oceanus in 2018/19. Chase Anderson seems to have steadily
gotten worse over time. You could certainly argue he's just as bad as Godley
but his overall career has been better. But factoring in their SOMBILLA careers.I'll
make it a tie between Godley and Anderson.
4 of these picks are still rostered.
Scoring: Robin -1/2, Harold -1/2, Tom ½, Arnie ½.
|
17 |
Garcia, Avisail |
CWS |
OF |
Jed |
|
18 |
Happ, Ian |
CHC |
2B,OF |
Eric |
|
19 |
Claudio, Alex |
TEX |
RP |
Harold |
|
20 |
Bradley, Archie |
ARI |
RP |
Tom |
|
21 |
Minor, Mike |
TEX |
RP |
Robin |
|
22 |
Albers, Matt |
MIL |
P |
Harold |
|
23 |
Gonzalez, Marwin |
HOU |
1B,2B,SS,OF |
Arnie |
|
24 |
Hader, Josh |
MIL |
RP |
Eric |
Of the rest, only Avisail Garcia is still rostered (he was re-drafted in
2021). So we'll say he's not the worst choice of the round. He has a career OPS
of .749. A marginal SOMBILLA player.
Is there a clear worst choice? In
terms of their 2018/19 SOMBILLA performances, Matt “Fat” Albers did pretty well
(2.28 ERA), Claudio was solid (3.18 ERA), Bradley was excellent (2nd
in Rolaids), Minor was decent (a 4.06 ERA but 5 saves) and Gonzalez was
excellent (.316 average). These guys were all drafted to contribute immediately
and they did. None of these guys are still rostered (Bradley was dropped in
this year's Waiver Draft). As hard as it's going to be to do the math, I'll say
it's a 4-way tie for worst pick. Since two of these picks were Harold's, he
loses the round. But.again.these guys did what they were asked to do.
3 of these players are still on SOMBILLA rosters.
Scoring: Eric 1, Arnie -1/4, Robin -1/4, Harold -1/4, Harold -1/4
Round 4
|
25 |
Rosario, Eddie |
MIN |
OF |
Jed |
|
26 |
Berrios, Jose |
MIN |
SP |
Eric |
|
27 |
Taylor, Chris |
LAD |
2B,OF |
Harold |
|
28 |
Bour, Justin |
MIA |
1B |
Tom |
|
29 |
Winker, Jesse |
CIN |
OF |
Robin |
|
30 |
Giolito, Lucas |
CWS |
SP |
Jeff |
|
31 |
Parker, Blake |
LAA |
RP |
Arnie |
|
32 |
Barnes, Austin |
LAD |
C,2B |
Future Wax |
The two names that stand out to me on this list are Giolito and Berrios. These
guys are basically the same age (turning 28 in 2022) and have comparable career
statistics. I'll give a slight nod to Giolito as the best choice of the round
as he has turned in 3 seasons with a WHIP of 1.10 or less.
Justin Bour had a solid season for Constantinople in 2018/2019. Granted,
their fences were as usual only 200 feet to all fields and the playing surface
was laminated to speed up balls hit on the ground. But Bour did hit .299 with
an OPS of .798 in 117 AB. Bour never hit higher than .227 again in real
baseball.
And then we have Blake Parker and Austin Barnes. Parker went 4-3 with a
3.21 ERA during the 2018/19 SOMBILLA campaign. Barnes hit .229 in limited play
(83 AB). 2017 was an outlier for Parker. He had a WHIP of .83 that year, but
never had a WHIP of lower than 1.22 after that. Barnes has similarly sucked
since 2017. I'm going to choose Barnes by a hair as the worst pick in this
round.
5 players still rostered.
Scoring: Jeff 1, Randy -1.
Round 5
|
33 |
Neshek, Pat |
PHI |
RP |
Jed |
|
34 |
Nicasio, Juan |
SEA |
RP |
Eric |
|
35 |
DeJong, Paul |
STL |
2B,SS |
Jeff |
|
36 |
Haniger, Mitch |
SEA |
OF |
Tom |
|
37 |
Alonso, Yonder |
CLE |
1B |
Robin |
|
38 |
Mancini, Trey |
BAL |
1B,OF |
Jeff |
|
39 |
Cashner, Andrew |
BAL |
SP |
Arnie |
|
40 |
Swarzak, Anthony |
NYM |
RP |
Future Wax |
Wow, a lot of meh here!
Going in order, Neshek I'm sure had been in the league before as he had a
few usable seasons. 2017 was probably his second best year. In the SOMBILLA, in
2018/19, Neshek led Oceanus in saves with 7. He was solid.
Juan Effin' Nicasio? In the half
season of SOMBILLA stats I have for him, he had a 10.95 ERA. He never had a
usable card again. I think we have a candidate for worst pick but hang on..
Paul DeJong is still rostered! 2017
was his career year but he did hit 30 homers in 2019. His batting average has
fallen off a cliff though. He did not do well in very limited play in the SOMBILLA
– a .190 BA in 21 AB.
Yonder Alonso. Where is he now? Over
yonder. To be fair, he contributed during the 2018/19 SOMBILLA season – he had
a .797 OPS in 165 AB. But unless he changed his name to Pete, he is no longer
rostered. 2017 was his only usable year. But thanks to Nicasio, he wasn't the
worst choice in this round.
Trey Mancini remains rostered. He has hit over 20 homers 4 seasons in a
row, including 35 in 2019. I'd say he's the second best pick of the round. Unfortunately,
he does play for the Orioles.
Andrew Cashner looked like a good bet at the time, coming off a season
where he had a 3.40 ERA in 166 IP. He went 5-4 for Arnie in 2018/19, with a 4.30
ERA. He was a decent contributor.
Finally, Swarzak! He was great in
2017 but had a 6.44 ERA for Tom during the 2018/19 SOMBILLA season. Adjusting
for the ballpark, that's like a 2.50 ERA elsewhere. Alas, Swarzak never
replicated 2017 and at the time I'm writing this doesn't seem to be on an MLB
roster.
Scoring: Tom 1, Eric -1.
Round 6
|
41 |
Avila, Alex |
ARI |
C |
Jed |
|
42 |
Martinez, Jose |
STL |
1B,OF |
Eric |
|
43 |
Smoak, Justin |
TOR |
1B |
Harold |
|
44 |
Kahnle, Tommy |
NYY |
RP |
Tom |
|
45 |
Cishek, Steve |
CHC |
RP |
Robin |
|
46 |
Morrow, Brandon |
CHC |
RP |
Harold |
|
47 |
Alfaro, Jorge |
PHI |
C |
Arnie |
|
48 |
Rosenthal, Trevor |
FA |
P |
Future Wax |
Once again, nobody really jumps off the page here.
Going in order, Avila if I recall correctly was something of a mutant that
year. Certainly, 2017 was an outlier for him, although 2011 was a career year. Anyway,
Avila did turn out some usable cards because he was a left-handed hitter with
good on base and a touch of power. And not bad defensively. In the 2018/19
SOMBILLA season, he had an OPS of .814 in 92 AB. Not the worst pick in the
round. Not the best. Like every round in this draft for me thus far..
Jose Martinez had a career .803 OPS so pretty decent. 2017 was, you guessed
it, his best year. However, it was limited (272 AB). He did hit over .300 in
2018 but declined rapidly after that. He seems to be out of the MLB even though
he's only 33 years old. I know he had a torn meniscus at one point, not sure if
that torpedoed him. In the 2018/19
SOMBILLA season, he did absurdly well in limited appearances: an OPS of
1.656 in 45 AB (with 8 HR). He must've been a mutant – yes, he was a
lefty-killer! It doesn't look like
Martinez played again in the SOMBILLA.
Smoak had 38 homers in 2017. He never had more than 25 in any other season.
2017 was his career year by a long shot. He must have been somewhat injury
prone as he only had more than 500 AB in 2 seasons. Anyhoo, in the SOMBILLA
2018/19 season, Smoak didn't play much (61 AB) but had an OPS of .910. Smoak
did horribly in the SOMBILLA in the 2019/20 season, hitting under .100 in 32 AB.
But he was on the roster for two seasons. Not the worst pick.
Kahnle also had his best season in 2017. In the SOMBILLA, he provided Tom
with 15 IP and an ERA of 1.80. He got cut but was redrafted in 2020. So he got
two years of SOMBILLA experience, but in re this selection, he was one and done.
But his good SOMBILLA performance saves him from being the worst pick of the
round.
Cishek I'm sure had been in the league previously as he had at least one
usable card from 2011 to 2016. In the
SOMBILLA, in 2018/19, Cishek had 4 saves for Robin and an ERA of 2.60 in 17 1/3
innings. Pretty good. Also, had a 2.73 ERA and 2 saves in 26 1/3 IP in 2019/20.
Can't call him the worst pick.
Brandon Morrow. He sounds promising for worst pick, doesn't he? He was a starter earlier in his career and
then switched to the pen after his ERA went into the 5s (something went wrong).
This was a redraft (2013 and he was cut after 1 year). Well, as it turns out,
he had a few years as a reliever where his ERA was 2.something or even
1.something. But very limited innings. In the SOMBILLA, in 2018/19, Morrow
pitched 17 innings and had an ERA of 3.71 but with 3 saves and a good WHIP. Doesn't
look like Morrow pitched again in the SOMBILLA.
Alfaro seemed like a promising catcher. And he's only just turning 29 in
2022 so I don't want to write off his career yet. But he went in the wrong
direction year after year. In 2017, albeit in only 107 AB, he hit .318 with an
OPS of .874. But the next year, he hit .262 with an OPS of .731. Etc. During
the 2018/19 SOMBILLA season, Alfaro performed miserably in his 42 AB. His OPS
was .565. I acquired Alfaro from Arnie and I know he got some limited playing
time. So maybe not the worst pick but maybe?
Circling back I'm going to say Alfaro was the worst pick. He hung onto a
SOMBILLA roster for quite a while but really if anything had a negative impact.
The oft-injured Rosenthal has had flashes of brilliance. I re-drafted him
in 2021 and in 2018 he was also a redraft (originally drafted in 2014). Overall,
then, Rosenthal has been useful. But just focusing on this 2018 selection.he
performed very well in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19, with 8 saves and a 2.70 ERA. He
didn't play in the SOMBILLA in 2019/20 so for this iteration of Rosenthal he
went one and done. I'm going to say Rosenthal was the best pick because he
played a key role in getting Randy to the World Series and won the Rolaids
relief award for 2018/19.
None of these guys is still on a SOMBILLA roster.
|
|
Petit, Yusmeiro |
OAK |
RP |
Jed |
|
50 |
Taylor, Michael |
WAS |
OF |
Eric |
|
51 |
Williams, Trevor |
PIT |
SP |
Harold |
|
52 |
Knebel, Corey |
MIL |
RP |
Tom |
|
53 |
Pirela, Jose |
SD |
OF |
Robin |
|
54 |
Peacock, Brad |
HOU |
RP |
Jeff |
|
55 |
Jackson, Austin |
SF |
OF |
Arnie |
|
56 |
Chapman, Matt |
OAK |
3B |
Future Wax |
If you've made it this far, I'm impressed. I'll get briefer with the
comments from here on out. For those keeping score at home, so far, Tom is having
the best draft (he is + 1.5) and Randy and Harold are tied for last (at -1).
Petit was rostered up until the 2022 Waiver Draft. He's had a career WHIP
of 1.15 and has been particularly good over the last 5 years. He had a 3.65 ERA
and a save in 2018/19. He had a 3.18 ERA in 2019/20. And he had a 2.12 ERA in
2020/21. By gosh, he might be the best pick of the round..
Taylor is another Nationals prospect who never panned out. 2017 was of
course his career year. He was effectively one and done in the SOMBILLA. In his
2018/19 cup of coffee, he had an OPS of .892 in 37 AB.
Pirela? Who? Let me guess: he had his career year in 2017
and hasn't been heard from since. Bingo. He was kind of marginal in the
SOMBILLA in 2018/19 – an OPS of .799 in 62 AB. Tied with Knebel for worst pick
so far.
Peacock strutted his stuff for one year in the SOMBILLA to the tune of a
2-4 record with a 4.91 ERA. Tied with Knebel and Pirela for worst.
Jackson had an OPS of 1.084 in 42 AB in the SOMBILLA 2018/19 season. But
that was that.
Chapman, without looking anything up, feels like the best pick of the round.
He's the only guy still rostered. He has hit over 20 HR 3 times, including 36
in 2019. He's a stellar defender. However, he didn't play in the SOMBILLA in
2018/19. He hit .235 in 2019/20 with 8 HR and .183 in 2020/21 with 13 HR. Ok,
I'll make it a tie for best pick between Chapman and Petit.
Again, only 1 guy from this round still rostered.
Round 8
|
57 |
Lyons, Tyler |
STL |
RP |
Jed |
|
58 |
Greene, Shane |
DET |
RP |
Eric |
|
59 |
Hedges, Austin |
SD |
C |
Harold |
|
60 |
Gennett, Scooter |
CIN |
2B |
Tom |
|
61 |
Nelson, Jimmy |
MIL |
SP |
Robin |
|
62 |
Freeman, Sam |
ATL |
RP |
Jeff |
|
63 |
Faria, Jake |
TB |
SP |
Arnie |
|
64 |
O'Day, Darren |
BAL |
RP |
Jed |
I'd be lyin' if I said I remembered Lyons. I'm sure
he was one and done in the SOMBILLA. Ah, he was a lefty who had the best ERA
for me (2.55) in 2018/19. 2 saves to boot. He can't be the worst pick of the
round..
Shane (not Chad) Greene was part of Eric's effort
to get a monopoly on all green players. And he's still on the team currently
named the Vita-Rays! Without complete
SOMBILLA stats it's hard to say but his multi-year tenure makes him a candidate
for the best choice of the round. He's had 3 usable cards..
Harold tried Hedging his bets but it didn't work
out. Hedges is a career .194 hitter but as a catcher with double-digit HR power
it seemed worth taking a flyer on him. He did get 3 AB in the SOMBILLA in
2019/20 (and hit .333). Something he can tell his grandchildren someday. Worst
pick thus far.
Gennett had a couple of excellent seasons and got
some decent usage in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19 and 2019/20. I'll say he's tied
with Greene.
Nelson had a 5.05 ERA in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19
but soaked up 73 IP with a 5-3 record. Missed some time due to injury (but
thankfully avoided death) and was redrafted in Round 12 in 2022 (by Arnie,
whose main goal was to re-draft former yet still living Bay City players). Not
the worst.
Freeman pitched 8 IP in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19
with a 7.88 ERA. One and done. Arguably as bad as Hedges.
Faria didn't play in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19. I
guess he was a prospect who had a promising 2017 but went downhill from there. Faria
takes over last place in the race for worst pick!
Darren (“why can't I get players like that?”) O'Day
enjoyed previous and future success in the SOMBILLA. In 2018/19, he had a 4.35
and 2 saves. Kind of meh but not the worst pick. Cut in the 2022 Waiver Draft.
3 of these guys are still rostered (Nelson via
re-draft).
Scoring: Arnie -1, Tom ½, Eric ½
Round 9
|
65 |
Leone, Dominic |
STL |
RP |
Jed |
|
66 |
Mauer, Joe |
MIN |
1B |
Eric |
|
67 |
Maddox, Austin |
BOS |
P |
Harold |
|
68 |
Duvall, Adam |
CIN |
OF |
Tom |
|
69 |
Hernandez, Teoscar |
TOR |
OF |
Robin |
|
70 |
Rodney, Fernando |
MIN |
RP |
Jeff |
|
71 |
Gyorko, Jedd |
STL |
3B |
Arnie |
|
72 |
Suarez, Eugenio |
CIN |
3B |
Future Wax |
A clear winner for best choice in this round:
Teoscar Hernandez. I don't think he was on my radar but he did have a .907 OPS
in 88 AB in real baseball in 2017. Kudos to Robin for sticking with him through
a couple of unusable seasons. He blossomed in 2020 and 2021 (32 HR). One of
only two guys from this round who has survived in the SOMBILLA (and the only
one with continuous SOMBILLA service).
Leone was one and done (but re-drafted in 2022). He
had a 4.71 ERA (and a save) in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19. Tied for worst pick.
Potential Hall of Famer Joe Mauer was of course a
redraft in 2018 after several unusable seasons. He hit .286 in 82 AB in 2018/19
for his swan song in the SOMBILLA.
Austin (“unfortunately not Greg and it's spelled
differently”) Maddox only pitched for one year in MLB. He did have a .52 ERA in
17 IP. Presumably he was seen as a prospect. If he'd been drafted by Robin I'd
assume he'd died. He did pitch 7 IP in
the SOMBILLA with a 1-0 record and a 2.57 ERA. Tied for worst pick.
Duvall is one of those guys perpetually on the cusp
of making the SOMBILLA. A power hitter and decent fielder with a painful BA. He
hit 33 HR in 2016 (undrafted), 31 in 2017 (drafted) and 38 in 2021 (undrafted!
- the most HR ever for an undrafted player?). He hit .214 in the SOMBILLA
2018/19 campaign with 4 HR in 56 AB. Marginal. Tied for worst pick.
Rodney sure played for a lot of teams (in real
baseball)! 2017 was of course his best
year (he had 39 saves). In the 2018/19 SOMBILLA campaign, he had a 4.85 ERA and
1 save. Tied for worst pick.
Gyorko, a former Asshole, was once a promising
power-hitting second baseman. He played well for North Dakota in 2018/19 –
hitting .275 with an OPS of .817 in 109 AB. Solid.
Suarez hung in there in the SOMBILLA until the 2022
Waiver Draft. He hit .199 in 181 AB (ouch!) for Future Wax during the 2018/19
campaign. He also hit .222 in 2019/20. But in 2020/21 he hit .313 with 12 HR. Overall,
a solid pick.
2 players are currently rostered (one a re-draft).
Scoring: Robin 1, Jed, Tom, Jeff, Harold: - 1/4
Round 10
|
|
Marisnick, Jake |
HOU |
OF |
Jed |
|
74 |
Nunez, Eduardo |
BOS |
2B,3B,OF |
Eric |
|
75 |
Frazier, Clint |
NYY |
OF |
Harold |
|
76 |
Kintzler, Brandon |
WAS |
RP |
Tom |
|
77 |
Camargo, Johan |
ATL |
3B,SS |
Robin |
|
78 |
Chisenhall, Lonnie |
CLE |
OF |
Jeff |
|
79 |
Weaver, Luke |
STL |
SP |
Arnie |
|
80 |
Hunter, Tommy |
PHI |
RP |
Future Wax |
Marisnick was a mutant, if I remember correctly. Also,
good defensively? He had an .831 OPS in
64 AB during the 2018/19 SOMBILLA campaign. One and done.
Nunez did well in the half season of stats we have
for him in 2018/19: OPS of .931 in 40 AB. He was originally drafted in 2012 and
cut in 2013. He was drafted again in 2014.
Frazier was drafted by Harold solely on the basis
that a) he played for the Yankees and b) with a name like Clint Frazier, he
ought to be good. He ultimately got to play in the SOMBILLA in 2021/22 and had
a .868 OPS in 123 AB. He got cut in the 2022 Waiver Draft. But I'll still say
he's the best player picked because he had the most impact in the SOMBILLA.
Kintzler had a win and a couple of saves and a 3.94
ERA for Tom in 2018/19. Seems like that was his SOMBILLA career.
[The cute] Camargo had a 1.002 OPS in 19 AB for
Robin in 2018/19. He went on to hit .203 in 182 AB in 2019/20. So he got some
SOMBILLA playing time but it wasn't productive overall. He seems to have fallen
off a cliff after 2018 (which may have happened literally since he was playing
for Bay City).
Chisenhall hit .194 in 67 AB in the SOMBILLA during
2018/19. Must've gotten injured – out of baseball after a limited 2018. Tie for
worst pick.
Weaver pitched 8 2/3 IP with a 7.27 ERA for Arnie
in 2018/19. I think that was it for him. Tie for worst pick.
Hunter had an 11.37 ERA in 6 2/3 IP in 2018/19. I
feel like he was a re-draft in 2018 and I feel like it was Robin who drafted
him. But in a quick glance through previous drafts I didn't find him. Tie for
worst pick. (Robin: I don’t recall drafting him and if I did, it certainly
wasn’t for his looks.)
No player remains rostered.
Scoring: Harold: 1, Jeff, Arnie, Randy: -1/3
Round 11
|
|
Bundy, Dylan |
BAL |
SP |
Jed |
|
82 |
Newcomb, Sean |
ATL |
SP |
Eric |
|
83 |
Morrison, Logan |
MIN |
1B |
Tom |
|
84 |
Lamet, Dinelson |
SD |
SP |
Robin |
|
85 |
Leake, Mike |
SEA |
SP |
Jeff |
|
86 |
Chirinos, Robinson |
TEX |
C |
Arnie |
|
87 |
Delmonico, Nicky |
CWS |
OF |
Future Wax |
Out of this group, only Lamet is still clinging to life
in the SOMBILLA. By virtue of that he's the front runner for best pick of the
round. He really hasn't pitched much in his career. In the SOMBILLA in 2018/19,
he got in 15 IP with a 6.60 ERA. Has that been it for him thus far? [Ed note,
actually he was 6-4 for FW last year with a 4.40 ERA in 88 IP and appeared
frequently in the World Series. He’s the
pitching equivalent of Brantley). Hmmm,
let's see if anyone's SOMBILLA performance elevates them above Lamet.. Nope,
I'll give it to Lamet.
Dylan Bundy had one very usable year where he was
in the top tier of SOMBILLA starters. His performance though (in 2021/22) was
not great: 2-4 with a 5.40 ERA in 58 1/3 IP. Cut during the 2022 Waiver Draft.
Sean (“not Don and it's spelled differently
anyway”) Newcomb was a prospect that never played in the SOMBILLA as far as I
can tell. Thus, worst pick of the round.
Morrison had an .877 OPS in 90 AB for Tom in
2018/19. I believe that was it for him. (Robin had him before this)
Former Asshole Leake (an excellent fielding
pitcher, if I recall) did well in 2018/19: a 3.04 ERA in 74 IP. But nothing
after that.
Robinson Chirinos spent a few years on a few
different franchises in the SOMBILLA. He had an OPS of 1.273 in 35 AB (6 HR)
for Arnie in 2018/19. I'm assuming he was a lefty-killer that year.
Delmonico sounds delicious but had a brief SOMBILLA
career. He did have an OPS of .863 in 33 AB for Future Wax in 2018/19. He did
hit a couple of homers against me as Future Wax beat me in the first round of
the playoffs. Never heard from again.
No player remains rostered.
Scoring: Robin 1, Eric -1.
Round 12
|
88 |
Souza, Steven |
ARI |
OF |
Tom |
|
89 |
Barnhart, Tucker |
CIN |
C |
Robin |
|
90 |
Hays, Austin |
BAL |
OF |
Jeff |
|
91 |
Alvarado, Jose |
TB |
RP |
Arnie |
|
92 |
Suzuki, Kurt |
ATL |
C |
Future Wax |
|
93 |
Rosario, Amed |
NYM |
SS |
Jeff |
|
94 |
Goody, Nick |
CLE |
RP |
Future Wax |
Round 14
|
95 |
Crawford, J.P. |
PHI |
3B |
Jeff |
|
96 |
Freese, David |
PIT |
3B |
Future Wax |
Souza had an OPS of .796 in 58 AB during 2018/19.
Barnhart, a fine defensive catcher, does not appear
to have ever gotten a PA in the SOMBILLA?
Tied for worst pick.
Hays, redrafted in 2022, also may never have gotten
a PA in the SOMBILLA. Tied for worst pick.
Alvarado appeared in the 2019/20 SOMBILLA campaign.
He notched 2 saves and compiled a 3.12 ERA in 26 IP.
Suzuki totally had a career year in 2017 and hit
.290 for Future Wax in 2018/19. He got a little playing time in 2019/20 as
well.
Rosario doesn't appear to have had a PA in the
SOMBILLA. Since he's still rostered, though, I'll elevate him above being the
worst pick.
Goody hasn't worked out so good. He had a 6.53 ERA
during the 2018/19 season with 1 save in 20 2/3 IP.
JP (not Brandon, even though he's also a SS)
Crawford is an excellent defensive SS who has gotten some playing time for New
Orleans in the SOMBILLA. He hit .210 in 195 AB in 2021/22. I'll say he's the
best pick because he has played the most and is still rostered. But there were
no great picks in this round.
Freese was originally drafted by Future Wax in 2011
and cut in 2014. In 2017 I think he was a lefty-killer? Certainly he was much better vs. L. Anyway,
in 2018/19, he hit .296 for Randy in 54 AB.
Again, 3 players still rostered.
Scoring: Jeff 1, Jeff -1/2, Robin -1/2
The 2019 SOMBILLA Draft: A Retrospective
By Jed Corman. (Ed note, after reading this, I conclude that Jed has a lot of time on his hands).
I remember the 2019 SOMBILLA draft like it was yesterday. Which means, I don't remember it at all. My memory is pretty bad.
I'm sure we all had our reasons for making the choices that we did. And it's easy to judge with 20-20 hindsight. But if nothing else, these retrospectives remind us of how difficult it is to find players who consistently produce usable cards. Only 38 from this draft are still rostered (some of whom are re-drafts or cut list pickups).
Executive Summary
In terms of awarding points, the winner of the 2019 draft is Arnie (with Jed in second). And Jeff received the least amount of points (with Randy 2nd to last).
Expanding the context, Future Wax won the 2019/2020 season World Series. In the 4 seasons completed since the 2019 draft, North Dakota has the most overall wins (128 – an average of 32 per year!), has made the playoffs every year and won a World Series title. Oceanus has 123 wins and 2 World Series appearances (yes, Yankees fans, I know those don't count).
The 2019 Draft
|
Round 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Shohei Ohtani |
P, DH |
Tom |
|
|
2 |
Ronald Acuna Jr. |
OF* |
Jeff |
|
|
3 |
Juan Soto |
LF |
Eric |
|
|
4 |
Gleyber Torres |
2B |
Harold |
|
|
5 |
Walker Buehler |
SP |
Jed |
|
|
6 |
Blake Snell |
SP |
Robin |
|
|
7 |
Luke Voit |
1B, DH |
RAT |
|
|
8 |
Kyle Tucker |
LF, RF |
Arnie |
|
It was mildly surprising (to me, at least) that Tom took Ohtani first. I would have taken Acuna (because that's who Lamanna said to take, of course). Not sure about the rest of the league. Clearly the first 3 players are excellent, and we can't really say yet who the best choice of the round was. At the time I am writing this, Ohtani, Acuna and Soto all have an outstanding career OPS, but Soto's is the highest. However, Ohtani has pitched excellently too. I'm going to award 1/3 points to Tom, Jeff and Eric. Both at the time and in retrospect, these are the top 3 choices in the draft in some order.
Meanwhile, Tucker has been quietly damned good (career OPS of .832). Buehler has produced some terrific cards but won't be back in the SOMBILLA until 2024 or maybe even 2025. Snell had one transcendent year but has been kind of meh since. The same goes for Gleyber Torres.
Which leaves Luke Voit. He does have a career OPS of .807 (at the time I am writing this). But he's only had two unlimited cards. He was a mutant a couple of times. In this group, you have to consider him the worst choice of the round. Even though he hasn't been a bust. He is the only one of this group no longer rostered.
|
Round 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
9 |
Blake Treinen |
RP |
Harold |
|
|
10 |
Jack Flaherty |
SP |
Eric |
|
|
11 |
Miles Mikolas |
SP |
Jeff |
|
|
12 |
Seranthony Dominguez |
RP |
Tom |
|
|
13 |
Mike Clevenger |
SP |
Jed |
|
|
14 |
Will Smith |
RP |
Robin |
|
|
15 |
Mike Foltynewicz |
SP |
RAT |
|
|
16 |
Adam Ottavino |
RP |
Arnie |
|
Impressive how the talent level falls so quickly. Not surprising that Harold took the best available reliever in Treinen. Treinen had a .78 ERA and a .83 WHIP in 2018 for Oakland. This after multiple unusable seasons with our Washington Nationals. He also produced a fine season in 2021. Treinen set the league record for saves during the 2019/2020 season (since eclipsed by Giovanny Gallegos).
Jack Flaherty (still only 27) has fine overall career statistics but presumably due to injuries (always reasonable to assume for a pitcher) he hasn't pitched more than 78 IP over the last 4 seasons. He was chosen here as a potential ace after a very good 2018 and produced his best season in 2019. His statistics in the SOMBILLA were recorded only for the pandemic computer only ’20-21 season (6-4, 6.07) . He appears once in the 2019/2020 TWITS Notes (as a “tough luck loser”). He appears 6 times in the 2020/2021 TWITS Notes (3 negative and 3 positive mentions).
Miles Mikolas was selected because of his career year in 2018. A starred starter and presumably the best or one of the best available starting pitcher cards. He also turned in a fine 2022 season. In the SOMBILLA, his stats for the 2019/2020 season were not recorded, but Mikolas receives 4 TWITS Notes mentions suggesting he pitched well. I guess his 2022 card wasn't usable in spite of his good stats.
Dominguez (still only 28) was considered a closer of the future. And he had a fine 2018 season (a .93 WHIP e.g.). He pitched 12.1 IP for Tom, with an ERA of 5.11. He did pick up a save. Cut in 2020 or 2021, he produced a usable 2022 season and was re-drafted by Sam in the 6th round of the 2023 draft.
Mike Clevinger followed up a promising 2017 season with his best overall year in 2018. He was a starred starter with a 1.16 WHIP. His stats were better in 2019, except he only pitched 126 IP. He was a mutant for Arnie in ’20-21 (see below) but he's been unusable/injured since (though he seems healthy now). Clevinger had a solid 2019/2020 season for Oceanus, with a 3.59 ERA in 92 IP. He was traded to North Dakota on April 14th, 2020:
“Attempting to acquire as many players ending in "inger" as they can, North Dakota announces the acquisition of Mike Clevinger from Oceanus. In exchange, North Dakota sends Nelson Cruz, German Marquez, a 4th round draft pick, an 8th round pick (the one previously acquired from Oceanus), 2 bags of baseballs, three dozen bats, and a batting cage to Oceanus.” Note: I still have the equipment!
Without doing any research, I'd say Oceanus got the better of that trade. Clevinger had a meh 2020/2021 season for North Dakota, going 3-2 with a 4.37 ERA in 47 1/3 IP. Unusable and accused of domestic violence, Arnie cut (and burned) Clevinger this past April.
Will Smith (the lefty reliever, not the catcher) had a fine 2018 season and followed up with a fine 2019 season. And he was picked up in the 2023 Waiver Draft. So he's had staying power in the SOMBILLA. But a 2nd round pick for a lefty reliever? Well, he did top 30 saves twice in his career. He pitched well for Robin in 2019/2020, with a 1.29 ERA in 21 IP. He followed that up with a 10.32 ERA in 11 1/3 IP in 2020/2021. He pitched 1 2/3 IP in the 2022/2023 season. (Other Ed note: due to many ballparks vs. righties – he pitched only in CN.)
Mike Foltynewicz came out of nowhere to post a truly outstanding 2018. He was a starred starter with a 1.08 WHIP. He never did nearly as well before or after. He delivered for Future Wax – he had a 2.92 ERA in 76 IP. All mentions I find in TWITS Notes are about Folty pitching well. And remember, Future Wax did win the World Series in 2020....
Adam Ottavino is shockingly still in MLB! And pitching ok this year so far. He's had a few decent years. (Ed note: Arnie traded him to Robin, and he was 4-0, 2.93 for her in ’20-21.) Ottavino had 6 saves (according to TWITS Notes, though the final stats say he had 5...) for Arnie and a 4.99 ERA. He pitched 30.2 IP, so Arnie did use him a lot.
OK, a lot of guys here don't have fabulous track records. I'm going to say Dominguez was the worst (though maybe he'll redeem himself in his second tour of the SOMBILLA) and I'll split the best selection between Clevinger and Treinen (in acknowledgement of his setting a record). (Ed note: Jed didn’t realize Ottavino pitched for Robin after I traded him to her so perhaps he would also get a tie as having played the most in the SOMBILLA).
4 of these guys are still rostered but one was a re-draft (Dominguez) and one reclaimed in the Waiver Draft (Smith – because Tom needed a monopoly on all Will Smiths).
|
Round 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
17 |
Brandon Nimmo |
OF |
Jed |
|
|
18 |
Kirby Yates |
RP |
Tom |
|
|
19 |
Max Muncy |
1B, 2B, 3B, LF |
Eric |
|
|
20 |
Charlie Morton |
SP |
Jeff |
|
|
21 |
Whit Merrifield |
2B, OF |
Jed |
|
|
22 |
Dereck Rodriguez |
SP, RP |
Robin |
|
|
23 |
Jose Leclerc |
RP |
RAT |
|
|
24 |
German Marquez |
SP |
Arnie |
|
Nimmo has proven a valuable Strat-O player due to his high
OBP. His defense has improved to at least average (relative to the rest of the
league). Just traded from Oceanus to whatever Eric's team will be called.
Kirby Yates, eh? I smell a one-year wonder. By the way, his nickname is “Chubbs Senior!” OK, I was wrong, he was a two-year wonder. And those two years were truly outstanding. In the 2019/2020 SOMBILLA season Yates pitched 13 1/3 IP and had an ERA of 3.38. Oh, just noticed this was for only half a season. Anyway, he went 5-3 with a 4.88 ERA for Tom in 2020/2021 as well (which is impressive given that the Manatees were probably playing in a park where the fences were 150 from home plate).
Muncy has stuck around and has a career OPS of .830 at the time I am writing this.
Morton too has held onto a SOMBILLA roster spot. I suspect he was a re-draft but maybe not as he had a high WHIP in his career up until 2017 (why wasn't he drafted in 2018?). His golden years were 2018, 2019 and 2021. He has been worth his salt. Sorry, had to say it.
Whit Merrifield, late bloomer and fantasy darling, offered a nice combination of positional flexibility, speed and overall usefulness. His career OPS of .755 isn't all that exciting. But he has a career BA of .285. And he hit over .300 in 2018 (with 45 SB!) and in 2019. He was traded in 2020 to Future Wax (along with Adam “why can't I get players like that?” Eaton) for Max Kepler (fittingly, also cut in 2023).
Dereck Rodgriquez had an undistinguished career with one shining year – 2018, of course. He had a 1.13 WHIP in 118 IP. He had a 7.53 ERA for Robin in 2019/2020. (Other Ed note: Legacy draft - he’s Pudge’s som.)
Jose Leclerc had a superb 2018 (.83 WHIP). He was cut at some point and since then had a semi-usable 2022 but wasn't re-drafted. Still only 29, I wouldn't be surprised if he re-appears in the SOMBILLA. He led Future Wax in saves with 9 during the 2019/2020 season.
Marquez was drafted by Arnie? I always think of him as an Asshole. Oh, right, see above-mentioned trade of Clevinger. Due to pitching in Colorado, Marquez's bad stats translated to good cards. 2018 was his best season. 230 Ks in 196 IP and a WHIP of 1.20 (again, in Colorado). Cut in the 2023 waiver draft. I don't think he ever pitched particularly well in the SOMBILLA, but he did pitch. Still only 28!
Pretty clearly Rodriguez was the worst choice of the round. I'd say Nimmo was the best choice.
3 of these guys are still rostered.
|
Round 4 |
|
|
|
|
|
25 |
Jace Fry |
RP |
Jeff |
|
|
26 |
Francisco Mejia |
C |
Tom |
|
|
27 |
Taylor Rogers |
RP |
Harold |
|
|
28 |
Collin McHugh |
RP |
Eric |
|
|
29 |
Jesus Aguilar |
1B |
Jed |
|
|
30 |
Jeff McNeil |
2B, 3B |
Robin |
|
|
31 |
Francisco Cervelli |
C |
RAT |
|
|
32 |
Kike Hernandez |
UT |
Arnie |
|
Jace Effin' Fry? Can I just declare him the worst of the round without even looking him up? Ok, fine, I'll do my due diligence. His nickname is Frenchy – pretty awesome. His 2018 stats don't jump off the page, but I'll presume he was a usable lefty reliever. Yes, he was very tough on lefties. No SOMBILLA stats available.
Mejia was lauded as a future all-star catcher. Still only 27. So far he's only produced 2 possibly usable limited cards. Was he ever used? Yes! He went 3 for 8 in the 2022/2023 season. And then was cut.
Mr. Rogers is a lefty reliever with better than average (in MLB) stats. 2018 and 2019 were his golden years. He had a 1.21 ERA for Harold during the 2019/2020 campaign in 22 1/3 IP. And a 2.96 ERA in 27 1/3 IP the following SOMBILLA season. Nice.
McHugh has produced 3 or 4 usable cards and was a re-draft in 2019. 2018 was his best year statistically. He got traded by Eric to Future Wax (Eric jettisoned half his relief staff in what was clearly an effort to tank), which was a key move for Randy given that he did win the WS in 2020. He pitched well for Future Wax.
Aguilar was the prototypical overweight power-hitting first baseman. He hit 35 HR in 2018. He never came close to reproducing that magical year. He did have an OPS of .860 in 121 AB in the 2019/2020 season. He may have had some subsequent usage but I'm not seeing it.
McNeil has averaged over .300 in his career, with an OPS of over .820. This includes leading MLB with a .326 BA in 2022. From 2018 through 2020 McNeil produced some excellent numbers. He had a down year in 2021 (injuries I presume or anxiety about being on Bay City) but avoided getting cut and bounced back big time.
Cervelli (which means “brains” in Italian) produced some highly usable cards. While his overall stats are kind of pedestrian, in 2018 he had an OPS of .809 and I seem to remember he was one of the best catchers in the set (he was also strong defensively). Wasn't he an Asshole at one point? Yes, I drafted him in 2016 (in the 3rd round no less). THAT was the year he had one of the best catching cards for sure. And Harold had Cervelli before that. Anyway, he did well for Future Wax in 2019/2020, posting an OPS of .820 in 131 AB.
Hernandez I feel has bounced around the SOMBILLA. He got a lot of usage for Arnie during the 2019/2020 season but hit just .163. His two best years were 2015 and 2018, where he had an OPS of over .800. Always tantalizing because of his exceptional positional flexibility (and cuteness).
OK, so Fry WAS the worst choice of the round and McNeil the best.
3 of these guys are still rostered.
|
Round 5 |
|
|
|
|
|
33 |
Jeremy Jeffress |
RP |
Jeff |
|
|
34 |
Richard Rodriguez |
RP |
Tom |
|
|
35 |
Elias Diaz |
C |
Eric |
|
|
36 |
Kyle Freeland |
SP |
Harold |
|
|
37 |
Miguel Andujar |
3B |
Jed |
|
|
38 |
Brad Keller |
SP, RP |
Robin |
|
|
39 |
Ryan O'Hearn |
1B |
Jeff |
|
|
40 |
Jorge Soler |
RF |
Arnie |
|
Of this group, Andujar had the most promise, finishing 2nd in the Rookie of the Year voting behind Ohtani. Andujar had 27 HR and 47 doubles. And then he got injured and never produced a usable card again. And I guess he wasn't usable enough in 2019/2020 because I don't see any SOMBILLA stats for him.
Soler was kind of meh in 2018 but he was a 26-year-old who'd produced an OBP of .820 in half a season. So a good guy to take a risk on in the 5th round (and a bad guy for Robin to cut). And he then hit 48 homers in 2019! He's always been a lefty killer and he hit .297 last year in 74 at bats for ND. At the time I am writing this, Soler is second in homers in MLB (and an all-star).
The other guys? Jeffress had a couple of excellent years. Rodriguez as well. Diaz had his best year in 2018 and presumably got some usage in the SOMBILLA (no stats though). In spite of being a lefty, Freeland did well for Harold in 2019/2020 – he had a 3.02 ERA in 62 2/3 IP. Keller got a lot of use for Robin (5.18 ERA in 167 IP). O'Hearn was a mutant in 2018. He has done nothing since (though he is having a better than career average 2023 so far...).
So, I'm going to say Andujar turned out to be the worst choice given that he didn't contribute in any way in the SOMBILLA. And I'll say Soler was the best choice since he produced the most impactful season. (Ed note: He was a redraft. Robin originally drafted him 4th overall in 2015, then cut him the year before this 2019 draft. Robin adds “just consider him the right-handed Michael Brantley – also cut 1 year prior to greatness.)
Only Soler is still rostered.
|
Round 6 |
|
|
|
|
|
41 |
Tyler Flowers |
C |
Jeff |
|
|
42 |
Harrison Bader |
OF |
Tom |
|
|
43 |
Jared Hughes |
RP |
Harold |
|
|
44 |
Ryan Pressly |
RP |
Eric |
|
|
45 |
Reyes Moronta |
RP |
Arnie |
|
|
46 |
Jorge Polanco |
SS |
Robin |
|
|
47 |
Diego Castillo |
RP |
RAT |
|
|
48 |
Shane Bieber |
SP |
Arnie |
|
Gotta give Arnie kudos for drafting Bieber, a top-notch starter, in the 6th round. This after a not particularly impressive 2018 where Bieber had a WHIP of 1.33. But Bieber was only 23 and had a phenomenal 2019, followed by a truly spectacular limited 2020. He must've been injured during 2021 but his stats weren't that bad, and he pitched 200 IP in 2022. Bieber is clearly the best choice of this round.
“Elvis” Pressly gets an honorable mention (he did have 15 saves for last-place Oceanus during the 2022/23 campaign).
Bader remains on Tom's roster today in spite of underwhelming career statistics. He is still only 28, plays good defense (was cute as a Cardinal but not a Yankee) and has experienced some SOMBILLA usage.
Hughes is one goofy looking mofo (nickname: “Ostrich”). He had a fine 2014 season but doesn't appear to have been drafted then. His career stats are better than average. 2018 was his best season, of course. He performed well for Harold in 2019/2020, with a 1.69 ERA in 21 1/3 IP.
Moronta had one usable year in his brief MLB career. And that year was 2018. He did very well for Arnie, though – 3 wins (no losses) and 4 saves with a 2.33 ERA in 27 IP.
Polanco I feel has bounced in and out of the SOMBILLA. He's currently on North Dakota. He was good in 2018, better in 2019 and had his career year in 2021 (33 homers!). He hit .190 for Robin in 2019/2020. He fared better playing for North Dakota in the 2022/2023 season (.260...but only 3 homers).
Can I be reading this correctly? Castillo pitched 21 IP for Future Wax in the 2019/2020 season and had an ERA of 0.00? And 7 saves. Wow. He had his lowest WHIP in 2018 but produced some additional usable seasons. Still just 29 years old but currently unrostered.
Oh, I forgot about Tyler Flowers. His best season was 2017 but he wasn't drafted then. Not sure why he was picked after his pretty meh half season in 2018. Maybe he was strong defensively? No stats for him for the 2019/2020 season. But I'll still call him the worst choice of the round.
4 guys still rostered.
|
Round 7 |
|
|
|
|
|
49 |
Josh Fields |
RP |
Jeff |
|
|
50 |
Kyle Crick |
RP |
Tom |
|
|
51 |
Scott Schebler |
OF |
Eric |
|
|
52 |
Oliver Perez |
RP |
Harold |
|
|
53 |
Corbin Burnes |
RP |
Jed |
|
|
54 |
Scott Oberg |
RP |
Robin |
|
|
55 |
Freddy Peralta |
RP |
RAT |
|
|
56 |
Danny Jansen |
C |
Arnie |
|
The name that jumps off the screen is Corbin Burnes, who has become an elite starting pitcher. Kudos to me for choosing him. However, I traded him to Robin before he decided to become an ace. I got Pedro Strop in the deal in exchange for Burnes, Robinson Chirinos and a 6th round draft choice. Overpay much? Strop did pitch well in 2019/2020....
For Josh Fields, 2018 was the best and last year of his career. Though 2017 was a fine year, for some reason he wasn't drafted. No stats on how he performed in the SOMBILLA (but he only pitched 41 IP in real baseball and Jeff didn't make the postseason in 2019/2020 so Fields couldn't have been an MVP contender).
Crick makes me want to rub my neck for some reason. 2018 was his only usable season. He pitched 8 1/3 scoreless innings for Tom in 2019/2020!
Schebler sounds like a Yiddish insult. He hit 30 homers in 2017 and wasn't drafted! He didn't perform as well in 2018. No stats recorded for him for the 2019/2020 season. He hit better against lefties but wasn't a true lefty killer. I'm thinking he didn't set the league on fire.
Oliver Perez was in and out of the SOMBILLA. His career statistics were not impressive, but he produced some real gems. He was a starter during the 2000s and had a fabulous 2004 season and I believe was chosen in the first round in the 2005 draft. In 2018 he had a miniscule 1.39 ERA (and .74 WHIP) in 39 IP. He pitched 11 1/3 IP for Harold during the 2019/2020 campaign with a 1.59 ERA.
Scott Oberg was Robin's effort to find a player like Darren O'Day. Oberg, O'Day, what's the difference? Obie (imaginative nickname!) had two good years in 2018 and 2019 and then was out of MLB. He gave Robin 24 IP worth of meh (4.50 ERA, 1 win, 3 losses, 2 saves) during the 2019/2020 season. He pitched 8 1/3 IP in 2020/2021 with a 5.40 ERA for Robin, then was traded to Arnie for Ottavino (continuing the “O” theme) and had a 3.00 ERA for North Dakota in 10 games. He developed a rare bloodor heart ailment due to his tenure with BC.
Freddy (don't call me Wily or Wandy or David) Peralta is still only 26 years old! And he's still rostered. He was drafted mainly as a prospect though he was usable in 2019/2020 and pitched 12 ok innings for Future Wax. 2021 was far and away his best year so far (though it didn't translate to SOMBILLA success). Honorable mention.
Danny Jansen is still only 28 years old. Why do I feel he was on Future Wax? Anyway, this was a stab on Arnie's part at drafting the elusive “catcher of the future.” Well, it's elusive to me at any rate. Jansen only had 81 AB in 2018 and got only 8 AB in the SOMBILLA (hitting .125). But he was re-drafted by Harold in 2023.
I'm going to award -1/4 for Fields, Jansen, Oberg and Schebler.
3 guys still rostered.
|
Round 8 |
|
|
|
|
|
57 |
John Gant |
SP, RP |
Jeff |
|
|
58 |
Caleb Ferguson |
RP |
RAT |
|
|
59 |
Jesse Chavez |
RP |
Harold |
|
|
60 |
Joey Wendle |
2B, SS, 3B, LF |
Eric |
|
|
61 |
David Hernandez |
RP |
Jed |
|
|
62 |
Ramon Laureano |
CF |
Robin |
|
|
63 |
Daniel Robertson |
2B, SS, 3B, LF |
RAT |
|
|
64 |
Kyle Gibson |
SP |
Arnie |
|
As Ayn Rand asked in Atlas Shrugged, who is John Gant? The answer is a pretty mediocre pitcher. His 2018 season wasn't particularly usable by SOMBILLA standards (e.g., a 1.30 WHIP) but he was a starter/reliever with 114 IP. He had a slightly better 2019 and an even better (limited) 2020. So maybe he got some additional usage in the SOMBILLA (stats not recorded).
Caleb Ferguson is still only 26 years old. And still pitching (though not rostered). And he has better than average career stats. He provided Randy with 8 1/3 IP of ok relief during the 2019/2020 campaign (judiciously spreading out 10 walks).
Jesse Chavez sure had an undistinguished career prior to 2018. But then he produced a 2.55 ERA / 1.06 WHIP season. BUT...39 IP were after a trade to the Cubs where he had a 1.15 ERA and a .79 WHIP. He pitched very well for Harold during 2019/2020 – a 2.25 ERA in 16 IP. He had one more usable year, but I don't think he was re-drafted.
Wendle remains in the league, now on Neverwinter. 2018 was his best season and even then his OPS didn't crack .800. Certainly not a SOMBILLA difference maker.
I think David Hernandez was a one-year wonder. No, actually a two-year wonder. He was picked in the 5th round of the 2013 draft by Future Wax. He had a fine SOMBILLA season during 2019/2020, with 7 saves and a 1.35 ERA in 26 2/3 IP.
Ramon Laureano (still only 28) showed promise in 2018 and truly blossomed in 2019 (24 homers and a .861 OPS). And then...he started to suck and kept on sucking. Injuries? Well, of course, he played for Bay City. Then he tried to compensate for his injuries by doing PEDs and was suspended for 80 games. He was quite good defensively (strong arm [-4]). In all, he provided about one and a half useful SOMBILLA seasons.
Daniel Robertson had a career average of .227 and a career OPS of .683. He did have a promising 2018 where he hit .262 with an OPS of .797. In the SOMBILLA he hit .174 for Randy in 69 AB.
Kyle Gibson has been drafted, cut, drafted and cut again in his SOMBILLA career. In 2018 he was a starred starter with unimpressive statistics. Arnie did use him to the tune of 64 1/3 IP and a 2-8 record with a 4.90 ERA. He did much better for Tom in 2022/2023.
I'd like to give Wendle credit for longevity, but I don't think he's been a contributor. So, I'll say Laureano was the best choice. And Robertson was the worst choice.
Only Wendle remains rostered.
|
Round 9 |
|
|
|
|
|
65 |
Jose Peraza |
SS |
Jeff |
|
|
66 |
Touki Toussaint |
SP |
Tom |
|
|
67 |
Mike Soroka |
SP |
Eric |
|
|
68 |
Ryan Brasier |
RP |
Harold |
|
|
69 |
Alex Verdugo |
OF |
Jed |
|
|
70 |
Travis Shaw |
3B |
Robin |
|
|
71 |
Nathan Eovaldi |
SP |
RAT |
|
|
72 |
Tyler White |
1B |
Arnie |
|
At first glance Alex Verdugo jumps off the page as the best choice. But his career trajectory has been downward. Still, he's produced some usable SOMBILLA seasons. He hit a solid .270 during the 2022/2023 campaign, for example.
Jose Peraza is still young (28) but seems to be out of MLB. Mediocre career stats. Naturally, 2018 was his career year and for a 9th round pick at the time this seemed quite reasonable. He'd hit .288 with 31 doubles, 14 homers and 23 stolen bases. I'm assuming he got injured the following season and never achieved his potential.
Touki Toussaint makes the all-time all-name team. He's still only 26! Drafted as a prospect. Never really produced a usable season. Though Tom DID use him in 2019/2020 (and Toussaint had a 6.75 ERA in 12 IP).
Mike Soroka makes me think of My Sharona. Now that'll be running through your head for a few hours. Anyway, he clings like grim death to the team formerly known as Dead Nettles' roster. He is still only 25. He had a very nice 2019 season and was 6-7 for Eric in ’20-21. But he did not pitch in MLB in ’21 or ‘22. I heard a rumor that Bay City has made a trade offer for him. (No truth to this rumor – he is still alive).
Ryan Brasier (he must have taken some shit for that name growing up) had an absurd 2018 – a .77 WHIP in 33 2/3 IP. He hasn't been usable since. He compiled a 1.93 ERA during the 2019/2020 campaign in 14 IP for Harold.
Travis Shaw hit over 30 homers in both 2017 (undrafted though) and 2018. Why wasn't he drafted in 2018? Well, for sure, he totally sucked after 2018. In the SOMBILLA he hit .168 but led Bay City with 11 homers.
Nathan Eovaldi has had some traction in the SOMBILLA. He had an ok 2018 season but pitched great for Future Wax (5-0 with a 1.74 ERA in 46 2/3 IP) during the 2019/2020 season. He's having a terrific 2023 at the time I'm writing this.
Tyler White? Well, he did have an OPS of .887 in 210 AB in 2018. And he was a lefty killer. He performed well in the SOMBILLA in 2019/2020 – an OPS of .940 in 56 AB.
I'll say Toussaint was the worst choice and Verdugo is the best choice of this round.
3 still rostered.
|
Round 10 |
|
|
|
|
|
73 |
Clay Buchholz |
SP |
Jeff |
|
|
74 |
Eduardo Escobar |
3B, SS |
Tom |
|
|
75 |
Jonathan Holder |
RP |
Harold |
|
|
76 |
Tyler O'Neill |
OF |
Eric |
|
|
77 |
Craig Stammen |
RP |
Jed |
|
|
78 |
Franmil Reyes |
RF |
Robin |
|
|
79 |
Albert Almora Jr |
CF, LF |
RAT |
|
|
80 |
Brandon Lowe |
2B, LF, RF |
Arnie |
|
Buchholz had several fine seasons and certainly was in and out of the SOMBILLA prior to the 2019 draft. 2018 was an excellent but limited season for Buchholz (only 98 1/3 IP). We don't have stats on how Buchholz did for Jeff in the SOMBILLA in 2019/2020. He had a terrible 2019, his last in MLB.
Escobar has maintained a roster spot on Constantinople. So he must be doing something right. 2018 and 2019 have been his best seasons (with OPS of over .800 each year). He hasn't lit up the SOMBILLA but, again, he has had staying power.
Holder is a fine name for a reliever. I assume Harold drafted him because he was on the Yankees. 2018 was his only usable year. In the SOMBILLA he compiled a 5.48 ERA in 21 1/3 IP.
Tyler O'Neill might be the buffest major leaguer. He is still only 27 years old. So Eric picked him based on power potential (O'Neill slugged .500 in 130 AB in 2018). Then Eric stuck with him through down years in 2019 and 2020. And O'Neill exploded in 2021 with 34 homers and a .912 OPS. And he was a 1 in RF, if I recall. He regressed in 2022 and thus far in 2023. But his 2021 season in itself justified a 10th round pick.
Good old Craig Stammen. He produced a string of almost usable years from 2012 through 2017. But I don't think he was ever previously drafted. Certainly, 2018 was his career year. He had a 4.91 ERA in 22 IP in the SOMBILLA.
Franmil Reyes remains rostered in the SOMBILLA. He is still only 27. And he is still huge (listed at 265 lbs which means he may weigh 300 lbs). He has hit 30 or more homers twice in his MLB career. He hit .215 for Robin during the 2019/2020 campaign. And .267 (in 30 AB) during 2022/2023.
Almora had his best season in 2017 but wasn't drafted. After a decent 2018, maybe Future Wax figured the youngster was legit. He was not. He hung around MLB for 4 totally unproductive seasons. He hit .206 for Randy during 2019/2020 (albeit with a .470 OPS).
Brandon Lowe in the 10th round! The steal of the draft? He's still only 28 and has a career OPS of .837. In 2018 he only hit .233 in 130 AB. But Arnie must've seen something in him. (Ed note: MPSTM). The OPS went up to .850 in 2019 and then .916 in the limited 2020 season. Lowe hit 39 homers in 2021. He must've been injured in 2022. But he seems back on track in 2023.
Lowe is the best choice of the round. Some other solid picks though (Reyes, O'Neill, Escobar). Almora was the worst choice.
4 are still rostered.
|
Round 11 |
|
|
|
|
|
81 |
Joshua James |
RP, SP |
Jeff |
|
|
82 |
Jose Castillo |
RP |
Tom |
|
|
83 |
Trevor Richards |
SP |
Eric |
|
|
84 |
Austin Meadows |
OF |
Harold |
|
|
85 |
Victor Arano |
RP |
Jed |
|
|
86 |
Ryan McMahon |
IF |
Robin |
|
|
87 |
Jordon Hicks |
RF |
RAT |
|
|
88 |
Matt Barnes |
RP |
Arnie |
|
Josh James had a brief MLB career. 2018 was his only usable year (and only 23 IP at that). No SOMBILLA stats recorded.
Jose Castillo is only 27 but seems to be out of MLB. He must've gotten injured after 2018. He had a nice limited year. He pitched 5 1/3 IP and allowed 0 earned runs in the SOMBILLA. Meaning that together, Diego and Jose Castillo pitched 26 1/3 scoreless innings. Got to be a record number of scoreless innings for two guys with the same last name in the same season.
Trevor Richards must've been chosen as a starting pitcher prospect. He did have more K's than IP in 2018. But his only usable year was a limited 2021. And it's unclear if he was rostered for the 2022/2023 SOMBILLA season.
Meadows is still only 27. He produced one transcendent year – 2019, where he had 33 homers and a .912 OPS. He went hitless in 5 AB during the 2019/2020 SOMBILLA season for Harold. Had a pretty disappointing 2020/2021 SOMBILLA campaign, hitting .247 with only 8 homers. I suspect Harold was playing in a possibly extreme pitchers' park (he had the worst team batting average that year...).
Victor Arano was a one and done. He did what he was chosen to do, though: a 1.35 ERA in 20 IP with 2 saves.
Ryan McMahon has hit 20 or more homers 3 times in his career. He does play in Colorado though. He's never had an OPS greater than .780. But he's kept a roster spot since being drafted, and he’s a 1 at 3B.
Jordan Hicks (who is a pitcher and not a RF) I'm assuming has dealt with injuries throughout his career (but he's still only 26). Not sure he's ever gotten any SOMBILLA usage. Yet he's still rostered. Oh, wait, he did pitch 1 IP in 2019/2020.
Matt Barnes was never that good. 2021 was his best year. Arnie didn't use Barnes in 2019/2020 but got 7 2/3 solid innings out of him during 2022/2023. And then cut him.
I'm going to say James was the worst choice of the round and Meadows the best.
3 are still rostered.
|
Round 12 |
|
|
|
|
|
89 |
Taylor Cole |
RP |
Tom |
|
|
90 |
Martin Maldonado |
C |
Harold |
|
|
91 |
Ketel Marte |
2B, SS |
Eric |
|
|
92 |
Williams Astudillo |
C, 2B |
Jed |
|
|
93 |
Stephen Piscotty |
RF |
Robin |
|
|
94 |
Willy Adames |
SS, 2B |
RAT |
|
|
Round 14 |
|
|
|
|
|
95 |
J.A. Happ |
SP |
Tom |
|
|
96 |
Nick Martini |
LF, CF |
Harold |
|
Did we skip round 13 out of superstition?
Willy Adames and Ketel Marte are the two best choices in these rounds. Adames has a .763 career OPS and is a stellar defender at shortstop. Marte has a .791 career OPS but isn't much of a defender. So I'll give the nod to Adames. Helluva pickup in round 12.
Marte was cut by Eric in 2023 but picked up by Oceanus (hoping that his pattern of doing well every OTHER year continues).
Cole had an excellent limited 2018 and that was that. He pitched 2 1/3 scoreless IP for Tom during the 2019/2020 SOMBILLA season.
Martin Maldonado was a defense first catcher (well, still is as he's still in MLB). His highest OPS was .728 in 2020. He hit .233 for Harold in 2019/2020 in 30 AB. Presumably he was brought in for defense in the later innings.
Astudillo was supposed to be a hitting machine and he was a mutant in 2018 (with a .355 BA in 93 AB). He did not turn into “the catcher of the future.” He hit .243 in 37 AB during the 2019/2020 campaign. Looks like he's out of MLB.
Piscotty hit 27 homers in 2018. And yet lasted until the final round? He was originally drafted in 2016. After 2018 he totally sucked. Robin used him full time and he hit .240 for her in 179 AB with 24 RBI (leading the team).
J.A. Happ is a lefty starter with slightly better than average career numbers. And yet...he had 4 years where he compiled a 58-28 record mainly for Toronto. 2015 was his best statistical year but he was limited (63 1/3 IP). During the 2019/2020 SOMBILLA season, Happ pitched 23 2/3 IP and had a stellar 1.90 ERA.
Nick Martini was the bartender in It's A Wonderful Life. He served hard drinks for men who want to get drunk fast. He did have an OPS of .811 in 152 AB in 2018. Doesn't look like he ever got a cup of coffee in the SOMBILLA. So, I guess that makes him the worst choice of the round.
2 are still rostered.
By Jed Corman, guest columnist
Executive Summary
•
COVID!
•
Best Overall: Robin and Harold
•
Worst Overall: Arnie
•
# Players Still Rostered on the Team that Drafted
Them*: 25
•
New Record for most players related to former
players ever drafted**
*Only 25 players are still with their original team. However, due to re-drafts, 31 are currently
in the SOMBILLA.
**Not verified.
Then Tom reported that he was feeling sick and he may well have had
COVID. And he was under tremendous
pressure at work due to all the employees needing to be set up to work from
home. He requested a later draft date
and the league quickly assented. We were
coming to realize that this draft would have to be conducted through a video
chat anyway and since MLB itself wouldn't start until July a delay really
didn't matter.
And so the draft took place on April 18th, 2020. Via Zoom.
Note that the Waiver Draft took place on July 26th.
And one final thing: the 2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign was played
exclusively via computer and so is the only season where we truly have complete
stats for all teams. Kind of cool even
though Eric hated it.
Round 1
2.
Fernando
Tatis Jr. – Tom. He's only 25! In his first 3 seasons his OPS was never
lower than .937. But his past 2 seasons
he's fallen off significantly and he was suspended. His ceiling is higher than Alvarez because
Tatis is a 5 tool player (and a SS).
Will he ever get back to his earlier level?
3.
Vladimir
Guerrero Jr. – Robin. The slugging first
baseman is also still just 25! He's had
a fine career. A worthy first round
choice.
4.
Bo
Bichette – Sam. Continuing the trend of
selecting sons of former players, the new guy makes his first pick. And Bichette too has had a good career and
has justified his being taken in round 1.
Not the slickest fielding SS though.
5.
Pete
Alonso – Arnie. The beefy first
baseman hit 53 homers in 2019. And he's
hit 40 or more 2 other times. Again,
can't argue against this pick.
6.
Eloy
Jimenez – Harold. The not rangy
outfielder is still youngish (27) but it may be that his first season (2019)
was his career year. He hit 31
homers. The next year his OPS was
higher. He didn't produce an unlimited
card again until 2023, which was a meh year.
Certainly can't declare him a bust though.
7.
Mark
Canha – Jed. 2019 was far and away a
career season for the (mainly) outfielder.
He had an OPS of .913. He hit 26
homers (in 410 AB). I think Lamanna
(pause for scoff from Arnie – I wonder if I could insert a sound effect
somehow?) pegged him as having one of the best cards in the set. Canha would be the worst choice of the round
but a) he's turned in multiple usable cards due to his penchant for walking and
b) see Randy's choice.
8.
Chris
Paddack – Randy. The still just
28-year-old Paddack had his career season in 2019. He had a .98 WHIP. More strikeouts than innings pitched. Randy couldn't be blamed for thinking he
might've found an ace. But he's never
come close to reproducing that season and seems to be getting worse over time. Only player selected in this round not still
on a roster.
Best: Eric, Tom.
Worst: Randy
Rostered: 7
Round 2
9.
Giovanny
Gallegos – Sam. 2019 was the reliever's
best season and I seem to remember he had one of the best, if not the best,
reliever cards in the set. He has turned
in a couple of additional usable cards.
10.
Jesus
Luzardo – Robin. The lefthander is
still just 26 years old. Robin had to
stay patient but was rewarded with a fine (if limited) 2022 season and another
excellent 2023 season. The future looks
bright. But he is a pitcher. On Bay
City. And currently on the 60-day IL.
11.
Cavan
Biggio – Tom. Yet another son of a
major leaguer. Unfortunately, Biggio the
younger has had probably only one limited usable card. The second baseman has good patience but not
much else.
12.
Brandon
Workman – Eric. In 2019, Workman went
10-1 with a 1.88 ERA. Ironically, he was
1-10 in 2014. Anyhoo, 2019 was Workman's
only good year. But it was quite a good
year.
13.
Gavin
Lux
– Arnie. Still just 26, the
highly-touted second baseman has never had a good season, yet he's still
playing. On the Dodgers no less.
14.
Hyun-jin
Ryu
– Harold. Interestingly, Ryu had a
fabulous 2018 season but wasn't drafted then. Maybe because he only pitched 82
innings? Anyway, of course 2019 was a
career year for the hefty lefty. Harold
did get some use out of Ryu in at least one subsequent season.
15.
Mitch
Garver – Jed. In 2019 the slugging
catcher hit 31 homers in 311 at bats.
His OPS was .995. I was in
win-now mode. And I did finish first in
the regular season. Garver has turned in
some additional usable cards though not looking good for the 2025/26 SOMBILLA
season....
16.
Brandon
Woodruff – Randy. I guess Future Wax
needed pitching. Wow, Woodruff has been
really good. His career WHIP is 1.05. Sad to say, he is out for the 2024 season.
Best: Randy
Worst: Arnie
Rostered: 4
Round 3
17.
Yuli
Gurriel – Robin. Gurriel hit 31 homers
in 2019 and was a 1e5 at first base. He
never hit more than 15 homers in a season after that. His 2021 season was excellent though. 2 very usable cards.
18.
Marcus
Semien – Harold. His career numbers
aren't that impressive but he has produced 3 outstanding cards. 2019, of course. But also 2021 (45 homers!) and 2023. Hmmm, I'm seeing a pattern. He's also been an excellent fielder (2B and
SS) and a bit of a threat on the basepaths.
19.
Pedro
Baez
– Eric. This was the righty reliever's
second cup of coffee in the SOMBILLA. I
drafted him previously. He pitched a
total of 360 MLB innings with a 1.11 WHIP.
His 2020 season was usable so Eric got 2 years out of him.
20.
John
Means – Sam. Means has excellent SOMBILLA
career statistics! However, presumably
due to injuries, the lefthander has only pitched more than 43 innings
twice. But both times his card was
usable. And he's still rostered and only
31 and doing well in 2024....
21.
Lance
Lynn
– Arnie. The former Asshole Lynn
rebounded from a crappy 2018 to start a string of 4 usable cards in a row with
an excellent 2019 campaign. A starred
starter who struck out 243 batters in 208 innings. I remember he was particularly tough on
righties.
22.
Hansel
Robles – Harold. 2019 was Robles'
career year. It was a fine year for the
reliever – 72 innings with a 1.02 WHIP.
One and done though.
23.
Will
Smith – Tom. Wow, the highly-touted
catcher was not taken until late in the 3rd round? He did only have 170 AB but he was very
usable (.908 OPS).
24.
Aaron
Bummer – Eric. Totally the best name
in the round and probably in the whole draft. And the righty reliever's 2019
was his best. His 2020 was excellent too
but he only pitched 9 innings. Which isn't a lot even during a 60-game season.
Best: Tom
Worst: Harold, Eric
Rostered: 3
25.
Frankie
Montas – Robin. In 2019 Montas went
9-2 with a 2.63 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in 16 starts. I imagine Robin hoped that this was a sign of
an impending breakout for the 26-year-old (at the time). He did produce a fine 2021 season so Robin
has so far gotten 2 good cards out of him.
26.
Dustin
May
– Tom. The tall, skinny,
still-only-26-years-old righthander has a career ERA of 3.10 and a 1.05
WHIP. Outstanding! Except...he's never pitched more than 56
innings in a season and he's out for the 2024 season. The 56 innings did come during the shortened
2020 campaign so Tom did get some usage out of May.
27.
Carson
Kelly – Eric. 2019 was Kelly's career
year. The defensive whiz had an OPS of
.826. His 2021 card may also have been usable (he did crush lefties that year).
28.
Mike
Yastrzemski – Sam. Another relative of a
former player! An older rookie in 2019,
Yastrzemski had a fine season (.852 OPS) followed by a career year in the
limited 2020 season (.968 OPS). An
excellent (out)fielder (and cute – Robin) to boot. But...his OPS hasn't been above .775 since.
29.
Ryan
Yarbrough – Jed. The lefty
starter/reliever has a career WHIP of 1.19 at the time I am writing this. Not bad.
In 2019 he had a WHIP of 1.00 in 141.2 innings pitched. I got some use out of his 2020 card as
well. If he keeps up his excellent 2024
I can see him getting re-drafted.
30.
Tyler
Duffey – Harold. The Doof (his real
nickname!) has had a largely undistinguished career as a starter turned
reliever. However, his 2019 season was
excellent (a 1.01 WHIP) and 2020 was even better. So two usable cards.
31.
Anibal
Sanchez – Jed. The mediocre starter had
at least a couple of tours of duty in the SOMBILLA. He was drafted #3 overall by Robin in 2007
after a very promising 2006 season (when he was 22 years old or so). After some off years, he started doing better
and finally, in 2020, I selected him after what statistically appears to have
been a pretty meh 2019 season. He was
better in 2018 but apparently not drafted in 2019 (?). Anyhoo, one and done for me.
32.
Robert
Stephenson – Randy. Stephenson has had one
very good season – 2019. The righty
reliever had a 1.04 WHIP and 81 Ks in 64.2 IP.
His 2023 was actually even better but he was not drafted.
Best: Sam
Worst: Harold (based on The Doof's performance in the SOMBILLA – 8.61
ERA)
Rostered: 3
Round 5
33.
Zac
Gallen – Robin. Gallen has had a good
career so far and is still only 28 years old.
Career WHIP of 1.11 at the time I am writing this. I'd say every season of his has been usable
except 2021, which wasn't far off usable.
34.
Ross
Stripling – Tom. His 2019 card had 90
innings of starter/relief with a WHIP of 1.15 (not incredible but ok). It was one and done for Stripling in
Constantinople. Stripling would get
re-drafted by Arnie in 2023. And
famously dangled as trade bait before the 2023/24 SOMBILLA season started.
35.
Jordan
Luplow – Eric. 2019 was far and away
the outfielder's best season. He was a
premier lefty killer (a 1.181 OPS vs. L).
One and done.
36.
Tyler
Clippard – Sam. The bespectacled righty
reliever had a fine career WHIP of 1.11 and produced two truly outstanding
cards in 2019 and 2020.
37.
Colin
Poche – Arnie. At the time I'm
writing this the lefty reliever has a career WHIP of 1.11 as well.... His two best seasons thus far have been 2019
and 2023 (redrafted by Eric). One and
done for Arnie. I wonder if a batter
gets a hit off of him, can he say he screwed the Poche?
38.
Sandy
Alcantara – Harold. Still only 28 years
old, Alcantara's 2019 card was borderline usable (he had a 7.04 ERA in the
SOMBILLA in 2020/21). He kept getting
better though and in 2022 produced the 3rd best starred starter
card. Like pretty much every pitcher in
MLB, he's out for the 2024 season.
39.
Brett
Gardner – Jed. Brett Gardner offered
defense, on-base, speed and a touch of power.
A lefty batter who was much better vs. righties. Certainly this was a re-draft (I drafted him
in 2009) and maybe a re-re-draft. In
2019 Gardner hit a career high 28 homers.
With a career high OPS of .828.
His last SOMBILLA season though.
40.
Brian
Reynolds – Randy. At the time I write
the switch-hitting Reynolds has a career OPS of .821! Who knew?
2019 was an outstanding debut – he made the all-rookie team. He had a bad sophomore slump but rebounded
with his best season in 2021. 2022 and
2023 not as good but still usable. A fine
pick.
Best: Robin
Worst: Tom (worst performance of the one and dones)
Rostered: 4
Round 6
41.
Gio
Urshela – Robin. 2019 was a career year
for the third baseman but 2020 was excellent as well. And in 2022 he was marginally usable.
42.
Marcus
Walden – Tom. Waldo (actual nickname)
produced the one usable card of his career in 2019. He was a reversed righty with 78
innings. He had an 8.71 ERA during the
2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign.
43.
Anthony
Bass
– Eric. 4th reliever chosen
thus far by Eric. Bass has turned in 3
usable cards with his performances in 2019, 2020 and 2022 (he was re-drafted by
Sam in 2023). Pretty good for a 6th
round choice.
44.
Mike
Minor – Sam. The new guy eschews the
league's distaste for lefty starters and snags the journeyman hurler, who had
his second best season in 2019 (and was never usable again). Minor led
Neverwinter in innings pitched but went 2-9 with a 7.06 ERA.
45.
Tommy
Edman – Arnie. The utility man
debuted in 2019 with an impressive .850 OPS.
He played solid defense and could steal a base. Of course he never came close to that level
again. Edman did bat .382 (and a
sizzling .432 vs. righties) in 76 at bats for North Dakota in 2020/21.
46.
Asdrubal
Cabrera – Jed. On our website this
draft choice was attributed to Harold but it was in fact mine. The former Bay City-ite was picked up by the
Nationals later in 2019 and went nuts as Washington enjoyed a dream
season. Cabrera had an OPS of .969 in
124 at bats. One and done.
47.
Michael
Lorenzen – Robin. The outfielder turned
reliever turned starter had a career year in 2019. Lorenzen acquitted himself well in the
SOMBILLA with a 3-1 record, a 3.16 ERA and 45 k's in 31 ip. Redrafted by Arnie this year with a good
limited card and he is having a good 2024....
48.
Emilio
Pagan – Randy. Naturally, the righty
reliever had his best season in 2019, with a .83 WHIP. But he also turned in a stellar 2023
(re-drafted by Sam in the 4th round). Pagan wasn't used by Future Wax in
2020/21? Randy must've had one hell of a
relief staff....
Best: Robin
Worst: Randy
Rostered: 4
Please take a 5 minute break before continuing to read.
Round 7
49.
Trevor
Gott
– Robin. The marginal righty reliever
did have a 1.10 WHIP in 2019 (and a 1.03 WHIP in 2022). I assume Robin cut him and he was not
redrafted. But Gott did his job – a 2.82
ERA for Bay City in 2020/21.
50.
Keston
Hiura – Arnie. How I remember this
moment. In 2019 the lefty batting Hiura
had a .938 OPS in 314 at bats (1.021 vs. righties). He was 23 years old and on the all-rookie
team. I had assumed he'd be drafted in
the 2nd round, which meant I wouldn't have a shot at him, and I put
him out of my mind. I remember my shock
that he was still available and I was pissed at Arnie. [I credit the newly
initiated 5-minute break after the 6th round (which I voted against)
for determining he was still there – AP]. But when all is said and done, 2019
was far and away Hiura's career year. I
did grab him later in a waiver draft and he was barely usable and now he's out
of MLB and the SOMBILLA.
51.
Nick
Ahmed – Eric. This long ago Bay
City-ite was a SS 1e14. He had a career
year hitting (.753 OPS). He was
excellent vs. lefties. He got only 8 at
bats for Eric and only appeared in 11 games overall but he did hit .375 during
the 2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign. Eric did
get another season out of him.
52.
Hanser
Alberto – Sam. 2019 was totally a
career year for Alberto (whose nickname should have been V05, I mean
c'mon). He hit .305 and was a bit of a
lefty killer. Offered some positional
flexibility. One and done for the
Alpacas as far as I can tell, although Arnie picked him up in the next year’s
waiver draft.
53.
Brian
Anderson – Arnie. Was a 2 at 3B and a 3
(with a -3 arm!) in RF. A meh hitter for
his career, he was at his peak circa 2018-2020.
Arnie got 2 years out of him. He
did not fare well in the SOMBILLA (e.g. hitting .230 during the 2020/21
campaign).
54.
Brandon
Kintzler – Harold. The reliever had a
very average career. For example, a
career record of 24-24. Previously
drafted (by Eric) in 2014. And before
that Kintzler had a stint on Constantinople.
He had a 1.02 WHIP in 2019 (his career best). He was also reversed. He went 0-3 with a 4.35 ERA during the
2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign. One and done
for the Ellis.
55.
Cam
Bedrosian – Jed. Son of Cy Young award
winner Steve Bedrosian! Originally
drafted by Arnie in 2017. Bedrosian
produced usable cards with his 2019 and 2020 efforts. He had a 7.88 ERA during the 2020/21 SOMBILLA
campaign and a 7.04 during 2021/22.
56.
Dinelson
Lamet – Randy. El Flaco (“The Skinny”
in English) didn't look all that flaco (but did look cute – Robin). The righthanded starter has been in the
majors since 2017 and is still only 31 so I assume his low career total of 367
innings (at the time of this writing) is due to multiple injuries*. The only usable card Lamet has produced was
during the COVID-shortened 2020 season.
He pitched 88 innings for Future Wax in the SOMBILLA in 2021/22 with 108
Ks and an ERA of 4.40.
* (no doubt stemming from his early tenure
with Bay City)
Best: Nobody*
Worst: Everybody*
Rostered: 0
If you're a positive person feel free to switch Best to Everybody and
Worst to Nobody.
Round 8
57.
Jason
Castro – Robin. The catcher's career
year was 2013 but it doesn't seem he was drafted in 2014. Anyway, the lefthanded hitting Castro had a
.854 OPS vs. righties and he was a 2(-1)e1 behind the plate (237 AB). Robin maximized his usage but he hit only
.228 in the SOMBILLA.
58.
Roberto
Perez – Tom. The superb defensive
catcher – a 1(-4)e1 – had a career year in 2019 with a .773 OPS (.656 was his
career average). He was excellent
against lefties. Tom got a lot of use
out of him in the SOMBILLA – Perez had 11 homers in 152 AB in 2020/21. And Perez played a little (and, offensively,
very badly) during the 2021/22 campaign.
59.
Omar
Narvaez – Eric. 3rd catcher
taken in a row. Narvaez was lefthanded
and a good hitter who was a liability behind the plate with his +2 arm. In the SOMBILLA he performed almost exactly
the same as Perez – Narvaez had 12 homers in 153 at bats. 2019 was his career year.
60.
Adam
Kolarek – Sam. The lefty reliever had a
solid 2019 followed by his best season in 2020. He was extremely tough on
lefthanded batters but pretty awful against righties (in 2019). He performed adequately in the SOMBILLA in
2020/21 (4.05 ERA in 13 innings). He had
a 1.93 ERA in 2021/22.
61.
Joakim
Soria – Arnie. The former Asshole
reliever produced several usable cards during his career. In 2019 he had a WHIP of 1.03. He had a 4.15 ERA in the 2020/21 SOMBILLA
campaign. And a 4.35 ERA during the
2021/22 season.
62.
Tony
Gonsolin – Harold. The Dodger starter
has a career WHIP of 1.05. He's been
usable almost every season (though alas he like so many others is out for
2024). In 2022 he went 16-1 with a WHIP
of .87.
63.
Daniel
Hudson – Jed. I believe there were two
D Hudsons but I'm 99% sure I drafted the relief pitcher who played for Toronto
and Washington in 2019. Not Dakota
Hudson, who pitched for St. Louis.
Hudson compiled a 2.42 ERA during the 2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign (in 26
innings). Originally drafted in the
second round of the 2011 draft by Randy.
64.
Brendan
McKay – Randy. In real life, the
lefty starter was taken with the 4th pick overall by Tampa Bay in
2017. He only pitched (in the majors) in
2019. Never actually got to see any
SOMBILLA action.
Best: Harold
Worst: Randy
Rostered: 1
Round 9
65.
Nick
Anderson – Robin. The righty reliever
has never had a season with a WHIP over 1.10 But he has rarely pitched enough
innings to be usable. Robin did get 2
excellent cards out of him. Anderson was
terrific during the 2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign – a 2.30 ERA with 46 Ks in 27.1
IP. In 2021/22 he had a 2.51 ERA.
66.
Trevor
May
– Harold. The big righty reliever had
his overall best season in 2019. A 1.07
WHIP. More K's than IP. But he didn't fare so well in the SOMBILLA –
a 5.61 ERA during the 2020/21 campaign.
He was a one and done.
67.
Luis
Arraez – Eric. Arraez debuted in 2019
hitting .334. He's never hit below
.294. He can barely field, he can't run,
he has minimal power. But boy can he hit
for average.
68.
Mike
Tauchman – Sam. A pretty average to
maybe below average major leaguer, Tauchman of course had a career year in 2019
(.865 OPS). The lefthanded hitting
outfielder was better against lefthanded pitching. He hit .159 in the SOMBILLA in 44 AB.
69.
Griffin
Canning – Arnie. The lanky (still just
28-years-old) righthander made his debut in 2019 with some promise (a 1.22
WHIP, more Ks than IP). I don't think he
ever appeared in a SOMBILLA game.
70.
Christian
Walker – Harold. The first baseman had
been around for a while but never got more than 49 at bats until his breakout
2019. He would later in his career earn
a 1 defensive rating but was a 3e14 in 2019.
Walker did ok for Harold during the 2020/21 SOMBILLA season – hitting
.252 with 9 homers. While he was
redrafted in 2023 by Randy (11th round), Walker was one and done for
Harold.
71.
J.B.
Wendelken – Jed. A limited righty
reliever with a .92 WHIP in 2019.
Wendelken had 15 saves (in just 13.1 IP) and a 1.35 ERA for Oceanus
during 2020/21. And by gosh he was
usable the next year as well – he compiled a 2.63 ERA in 24 IP in 2021/22.
72.
Luis
Urias – Randy. I'd say this was a
pure prospect play by Randy. Urias was
23 and unusable. The infielder did have
a breakout in 2021 with 23 homers. Did
Randy hold onto him that long?
Nope. And he wasn't redrafted.
Best: Eric
Worst: Randy
Rostered: 2
Round 10
73.
Tyler
Skaggs – Robin. In a bold move to avoid
injuries and curses, Robin drafted the already deceased lefthander. At least his last season was his best
statistically. Skaggs had a 2.19 ERA for
Robin in 4 starts during the 2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign.
74.
Jose
Urquidy – Tom. The forever promising
righthander has pretty decent career stats (he is, you guessed it, out for
2024). A 1.14 WHIP, for example. Urquidy has made some SOMBILLA
appearances. I know I had him at one
point (waiver draft?). But in
Constantinople, Urquidy compiled a 10.34 ERA in 15.2 IP in 2020/21.
75.
Kevin
Pillar – Eric. A gold glove caliber
yet light-hitting (having a great 2024 at the time I'm writing this though)
outfielder. This was a redraft by Eric,
who drafted Pillar in 2017. 2020 season
was his best ever, so Eric enjoyed two usable cards this time around. Oh – Pillar hit .316 in 57 AB for Eric (Haiku
Aggression) in 2020/21.
76.
Tommy
Kahnle – Sam. Drafted by Tom in 2018,
the righty reliever has pitched better than average statistically in his career
but only twice achieved 60 or more IP.
2019 was one of those seasons.
Kahnle had a 1.06 WHIP and 88 K in 61.1 IP. In the SOMBILLA, Kahnle produced a 4.15 ERA
in 21.2 IP.
77.
Nico
Goodrum – Arnie. Presumably he was
drafted for his utility – he had 7 positions listed on his card. In 2019 Goodrum was something of a lefty
killer too. One and done. Lifetime SOMBILLA batting average: .189.
78.
Brandon
Brennan – Harold. Brennan pitched 57
innings in his entire career. 47.1 of
which were in 2019. Maybe his card
belied his statistics? He was tough on
righties (but horrible against lefties).
4.86 lifetime SOMBILLA ERA.
79.
Jarlin
Garcia – Jed. The imposing lefty
reliever had a decent brief MLB career.
Garcia provided 3 years worth of cards.
80.
Sean
Murphy – Randy. Randy took a flier on
the young catcher who only had 53 AB in 2019. Obviously Murphy has more than
justified the investment, being considered one of the best catchers in MLB.
Best: Randy
Worst: Tom, Arnie
Rostered: 1
Round 11
81.
Brock
Holt
– Robin. The utility man had a few
usable seasons but never an OPS > .773.
I'm somewhat surprised he wasn't drafted in 2015 after hitting .281 for
the Red Sox. And being really cute. 2019 was his highest batting average (.297)
and the lefty batter did better against righties. Holt hit .256 in the SOMBILLA in 82 AB. One and done.
82.
Josh
Taylor – Tom. The big lefty reliever (who
does a plie before every pitch) had his only usable season in 2019. Tough on lefthanded hitters. He compiled a 4.40 ERA in 14 IP for the
Manatees. Second best ERA on the staff
(keep in mind Tom's typical ballpark dimensions). One and done.
83.
Darwinzon
Hernandez – Eric. The big lefty reliever
was 23 at the time of the draft and playing for the Red Sox so presumably a
homer/prospecting pick. He did have 57
Ks in 30.1 IP. I don't think he ever
got to the mound in a SOMBILLA contest.
He had a serious control issue.
84.
Ty
Buttrey – Sam. The big righty reliever
had his one usable season in 2019. Maybe
his card was better than his stats (slightly reversed, 1.27 WHIP) but I'd say
he was an innings-soaker-upper at best in the SOMBILLA. He had an almost respectable 4.24 ERA in 17
IP for Neverwinter.
85.
Brent
Suter – Arnie. The
Harvard-educated lanky lefthander has
had a decent if injury-riddled career thus far (he's still in the
majors...). In 2019 he had a .49 ERA (in
18 IP). He gave North Dakota 7 IP in
2020/21 with a 2.45 ERA. His stats
suggest Arnie should have gotten another year or two out of him but I guess his
cards weren't good enough.
86.
Austin
Riley – Harold. The slugging third
baseman didn't have an auspicious 2019 (hence his being available in round
11). Nor did he fare well in 2020. But the Ellis were patient with his
development and in 2021 he arrived, hitting .303 with 33 HR. He then hit 38 HR in 2022 and 37 HR in
2023. Arguably the best choice in the
whole draft, considering the round.
87.
John
Brebbia – Jed. The hirsute righty
reliever has compiled solid stats in his career. He had some better years than 2019 but he was
tough on righties and struck out more than his IP. Treated roughly in the SOMBILLA to the tune
of a 7.90 ERA in 27.1 IP. One and done
(he missed the 2020 MLB season).
88.
Austin
Nola
– Randy. Aaron's brother seems to be out
of the majors at least after a fairly brief career. The catcher (who also played 1B, 2B, 3B and
RF) had two good years in a row in 2019 and 2020. Just started tailing off after that
though. Nola hit .259 in 2020/21 and
then .268 in 2021/22 in the SOMBILLA (68 total AB).
Best: Harold
Worst: Eric
Rostered: 1
89.
Dakota
Hudson – Tom. See Daniel Hudson
above. Dakota Hudson was and still is
NOT Daniel Hudson. The lanky righty sure
looked promising in 2020, coming off a 2019 season where he went 16-7 with a
3.35 ERA. But...with a WHIP of
1.35. In the SOMBILLA in 2020/21 he got
hit hard resulting in a 7.51 ERA (but a 4-4 record). Seems to have been a one and done.
90.
CJ
Cron
– Sam. Another son of a former major
leaguer (who knew)? “Crony” hit 187 HR
in his career and often flirted with usability.
The beefy first baseman's 2018 season (30 HR) was actually better than
his 2019 (25 HR). Neverwinter got some
limited use from Cron for 3 years.
91.
Joe
Jimenez – Arnie. The rotund righty
reliever has pitched quite well the last 3 years but has not been called up to
the SOMBILLA. In 2019 he was a
prospecting pick for Arnie, who saw 82 Ks in 59.2 IP as promising. But Arnie couldn't keep a reliever on his
roster for 3 seasons without any contributions.
If Jimenez keeps up his fine 2024 season, he might get re-drafted.
92.
Kevin
Newman – Jed. The at-the-time
26-year-old shortstop/utility man was pegged as one of those possible breakout
candidates, I seem to recall. He hit .308
in 2019! But he went in the opposite
direction. Newman never played in the
SOMBILLA (I had Trevor Story pre-Boston at the time).
93.
Zach
Plesac – Randy. Crikey, a nephew of
Dan Plesac! “Sac” (!) produced 3
potentially usable cards but was only in the SOMBILLA during the 2021/22
campaign (where he fared well – a 3.34 ERA).
In 2022 he broke his hand punching the pitcher's mound.
94.
Jordan
Yamamoto – Tom. A prospecting pick
(still 23 at the time of the draft), the undersized righty starter was also
marginally usable. And use him the
Manatees did – Yamamoto went 3-2 with a 6.55 ERA in the SOMBILLA. Out of MLB after 2021.
95.
Nick
Senzel – Tom. Still only 28 years old
the perennial “5-tool” prospect has tantalized SOMBILLA GMs with his potential
since his debut in 2019. The 3B (and
sometimes OF) has been derailed by injuries.
He was picked up at some point by Oceanus and then redrafted in 2024 by
Eric. The Eric karma effect has led to
Senzel having arguably his best season ever thus far.
96.
Stefan
Crichton – Tom. Fittingly, the
Spooneybarger pick is a righty reliever.
Crichton had a 1.02 WHIP in 2019 and was reversed. Tom benefited from two usable seasons, darned
good for a final pick of a draft.
Best: Tom, Sam
Worst: Jed, Tom, Arnie
Rostered: 1
Epilogue
I decided to award the “Best Draft” to the team(s) that had the most
players still rostered from this draft.
If any of these players had been traded, I would have tried to factor
that in. But that wasn't an issue. Any players from this draft who were cut and
later redrafted were not considered.
Both Robin (Guerrero, Luzardo, Montas, Gallen and Urshela) and Harold
(Jimenez, Semien, Alcantara, Gonsolin and Riley) still have 5 players on their
rosters from this draft. The rest of the
league averaged 2.5 players still rostered.
By the same token, Arnie has only 1 player remaining on his team from
the 2020 draft – his first round choice, Pete Alonso. So he had the “Worst Draft.”
Having now done several draft retrospectives I would posit that if you
have 3 players (or more) remaining on your team from a draft 4 years ago, you
acquitted yourself respectably in that draft.
AGES IN THE SOMBILLA (7/97)
Who's rebuilding by stocking up their roster with young prospects?
Who's going for broke with aging veterans? This summer, we look at the
ages of all the teams to contrast and compare. Using players' ages as
of July 1, the following table summarizes my findings:
Team Pitchers Catchers Infielders Outfielders Under 25 30 and over
Average
CN 26.9
30.5
27.7
29.6
10
12 28.0
MW 30.1
32.4
27.4
27.2
6
19 28.8
BC 29.4
26.7
27.6
29.8
7
15 28.9
ND 29.3
30.0
28.3
28.9
9
22 29.1
FW 29.7
28.5
29.5
27.7
4
16 29.2
BQ 28.6
28.0
30.1
29.7
4
21 29.3
MF 29.5
30.0
29.2
29.3
3
21 29.4
NO 29.4
29.5
29.9
29.4
4
23 29.5
FP 31.4
32.0
30.7
31.9
0
29 31.4
As you can see, Constantinople has the youngest team, which would be expected from an "expansion" team. Indeed, Land & Brian's pitching staff is almost 2 years younger than the next youngest pitching staff, the Bunghole Quahogs. Constantinople has the fewest veterans, with only 12 players 30 and over. Bay City has the youngest catchers, while Metrowest boasts both the youngest infield and outfield.
At the other extreme, the league's geezers, Finn's People, has a team that is almost two years older than the next oldest team, New Orleans. Eric owns the oldest pitchers, infielders, and outfielders. With almost 2/3 of the defending champions 30 years old and over, you have to wonder about the future of a team with only one all-star (see 'How is Your Team Doing?', later in this newsletter). Not only does he not have any players under 25, he has no players under age 27 and only two players (Tim Crabtree and Scott Stahoviak) who are 27.
Of course, it's easy to jump on the 'ridicule Eric' bandwagon. But, given that he's won 6 championships in 12 years, it's important to examine the meaning behind the numbers a little more closely. What's the most important thing about being a GM in Strat-O? The answer's easy - collecting players with great Strat-O cards. Some of us draft young phenoms, in the hopes that in the future, the young player will produce great Strat-O cards. But there's also a big risk to taking young players with lousy cards (see Annual 4- Year Draft Retrospective). Another way to collect guys with great Strat-O cards is to draft guys with great Strat-O cards. Of course, you can draft only 10 guys with great Strat-O cards (in theory) in any given year, but much of the other 60% of a team's 25-man roster can be made up of players with great cards acquired in trades for future draft picks. So, when interpreting the results of this study, keep in mind that there are many ways to collect players with great Strat-O cards.
Some other facts from this study: Future Wax owns the league's oldest players, Dennis Eckersley and Dennis Martinez, both 42. Other 40-year olds in the league are Bay City's Brett Butler, Finn's People's Jesse Orosco, Manila Folders' Paul Molitor, New Orleans' Doug Jones. The league's youngest player is 20-year old Andruw Jones, of the Bunghole Quahogs.
Robin appears to have found the answer to guaranteed wins: pregnancy. When pregnant with Rachel in '92-93, she finished first with her best record ever - 34-22. Now, pregnant with child no. 2, she's riding high, in first place again, at 20-8. This means her career records look like this:
When pregnant 58-30
.659
When not pregnant 262-311 .457
We'll see what happens in January. (Post-script - she plummeted out of the playoff picture).
First picks overall in SOMBILLA drafts (updated) (7/94)
Someone, Matt, I think it was, asked who the worst first pick overall was. Since I did not know the answer, he suggested it be a topic for the summer newsletter. And so, here is the list of all No. 1 picks since the permanent league began in 1985:
1985: Dwight Gooden, T&A
1986: Vince Coleman, Matt
1987: Ruben Sierra, Arni
1988: Mark McGwire, Matt
1989: Greg Jeffries, T&A
1990: Ken Griffey, Jr. T&A
1991: Frank Thomas, Robin
1992: Phil Plantier, Matt
1993: Curt Schilling, Dave
1994: Manny Ramirez, Harold
1995: Alex Rodriguez, Land
1996: Charles Johnson, Matt
1997: Edgar Renteria, Jeff
1998: Ben Grieve, Robin
1999: JD Drew, Eric
2000: Kris Benson, Harold
Sorry, Matt, but although a good case could be made for Colemen or even Sierra, I think it's Plantier.
Which team was really better, North Dakota or Future Wax? What about before the big ransom trades? Who did the trades help more? And (again) which team was really better, North Dakota or Future Wax? To try to answer those questions, I played North Dakota against Future Wax on the trusty Strat-O computer for 1000 games, both before and after the big ransom trades.
Why do a study like this? Am I insane? (Of course, but sanity is not relevant.). I had nothing to gain and everything to lose. If it turned out North Dakota was better, then I was a lousy manager and should have won the World Series. If it turned out Future Wax was better, then that means that Future Wax really was better, a horrible thought.
On February 3, 1994, the date of the SOMBILLA TRADING AND LOAN SCANDAL , North Dakota was in second place at 25-13. Future Wax was tied for 5th with Adirondack at 16-19. In 1,000 games aginst each other, using these pre-trade rosters, the teams look like this:
Future Wax 527-473 .527
North Dakota 473-527 .473
AB R
H 2B 3B HR
RBI SB CS BB E
North Dakota 34,866 4935 9296 1759
281 959 4634 932 461 3721 597
Future Wax 34,881 5205 9053
1622 128 1800 5012 195 94 3383 777
.Ave OBP Slg
North Dakota .267 .337 .416
Future Wax .260
.325 .468
IP
H ER
HR SO ERA
North Dakota 8963.3 9053
4877 1800 6823 4.90
Future Wax 8998
9296 4435 959
6145 4.44
As you can clearly see, North Dakota was obviously the better team. Just look at, um, oh,. . . . triples! In this all important category, I crushed him. And, um, stolen bases . . . Alright, alright. So this isn't rotisserie-ball where stolen bases are equal to homers. Clearly, Future Wax's power was the difference between the teams. Interstingly, the home-road difference wasn't as great as expected. In the Waxdome , (homers 1-18), it was FW 268-232. In Gackle Park (homers 1-8), it was Futuwe Wax 259-241.
What about the ransom trades? With our new trading deadline, teams in the hunt must ransom their futures to go for it. Teams that don't (Manila Folders and New Orleans) fall by the wayside. North Dakota got Clemens, arguably the single best starting pitcher in the league with the '92 cards, replacing Abbott in the rotation. Future Wax traded for 4 picthers, getting D. Martinez from Robin, and Eckersley, Meacham, and Hershsier from Eric. These 4 pitchers replaced Bosio, Gooden, Melendez, and Stanton. Playing 1,000 games against each other, using actual final World Series rosters, looked like this:
Future Wax 525-475 .525
North Dakota 475-525 .475
AB R
H 2B 3B HR
RBI SB CS BB E
North Dakota 34,495 4566 8935 1618
260 934 4286 870 487 3633 656
Future Wax 34,580 4864 8721
1620 117 1704 4672 228 75 3166 795
.Ave OBP Slg
North Dakota .259 .330 .402
Future Wax .253
.315 .454
IP
H ER
HR SO ERA
North Dakota 8965.3 8721
4454 1704 6963 4.47
Future Wax 8993
8935 4077 934
6215 4.08
While, obviously, both teams were better and had improved pitching, the fact is, the trades made no difference in ter,ms of how these two fared against each other. In other words, paying the ransoms enabled both terms to improve by the same amount, and ensured their World Series participation without changing the difference between the two teams. I guess the moral is, you not only have to pay a ransom, you actually have to out-ransom the other guy, not just keep up.
After the trade, the home-road differential increased, with FW going 273-227 in the Dome, but only 252-248 at Gackle Park. While I could play him even in a hitter-neutral park, especially with Clemens, North Dakota just could not match up in a homer park.
In the final analyses, my team probably matched up worse against Future Wax than against every other team. True, they probably were better than every other team, but more to the point, their park at HR 1-18, made it difficult for my team, an average SOMBILLA homerun team.
Some interesting tid-bits. Playing in 1,814 out of 2,000 possible games against the Future Wax pitching staff, Fred McGriff batted .277, with 469 home runs and 1279 rbi's. Lankford, in 1,851 games, was .298, with 343 homers and 1346 rbi's. Don Slaught batted .356 against Future Wax pitching (1,186 for 3,335) in 1,221 games. Clemens, starting 242 games in the last 1000, went 97-87 with a 3.81 ERA against Future Wax, holding them to a .230 average. In 764 games in relief, Rod Beck was 82-97 with a 3.39 ERA and 404 saves.
Although North Dakota was 3rd in the SOMBILLA with a respectable 3.67 ERA, Future Wax made mince-meat of its pitching staff. Bonds batted .288 in 1,912 games with 568 homers, 1,280 rbis and 1,392 walks, and a .629 slugging average. Griffey hit 'only' 375 homers in 1,749 games, batting .289. Gonzalez pounded North Dakota for 573 homers in 1,867 games, batting .242 with 1,358 rbi's. Sheffield batted .311 with 443 homers and 1,220 rbi's. D. Martinez started 233 games over the last 1,000 games, going 93-75 with a 4.04 ERA
In one sense, this study made me feel better. I lost the World Series, despite finishing in first place, to a team that was just better. In another sense, it pisses me off that the odious Future Wax had a better team! This year, maybe I'll play ND vs. FW 1,000 games before the season, so I can design a team to beat them . . .
|
Team |
Ave |
HR |
RBI |
|
Robin |
Bonilla, 96-97 .357 |
F. Thomas, 95-96 21 T. Martinez 98-99 Sosa 99-00 |
Sosa 99-00 49 |
|
Arnie |
R. Alomar, 00-01 .411 |
L. Gonzalez, 02-03 26 |
L. Gonzalez, 02-03 53 |
|
Jed/Clint |
Guerrero, 01-02 .366 |
J. Clark, 88-89 19 H. Rodriguez 99-00 |
J. Clark, 88-89 56 |
|
Future Wax |
Garciaparra, 01-02 .388 |
Bonds, 02-03 32 |
Piazza, 98-99 74 |
|
Jeff/Dave/Joel
|
L. Walker 99-00 .350 |
Canseco, 91-92 18 L. Walker, 98-99 L. Walker, 99-00 |
L. Walker, 98-99 62 |
|
Eric |
Baines, 96-97 .377 |
Da. Murphy, 88-89 23 |
Stanley, 94-95 57 |
|
Matt/Jed |
Belle, 96-97 .360 |
Belle, 97-98 26 |
McGwire, 88-89 70 Belle, 96-97 70 |
|
Harold/Yitz |
Vizquel, 00-01 .397 |
Ramirez, 00-01 28 |
Ramirez, 00-01 80 |
|
Tom/Land/Brian |
Alfonzo, 01-02 .384 |
Burks 00-01 23 |
A. Rodriguez 01-02 62 |
|
Wins |
ERA |
Saves |
|
|
Robin |
Drabek, 91-92 10-4 |
Drabek, 91-92 1.76 |
Henke, 87-88 9 |
|
Arnie |
Clemens 99-00 12-2 |
Hammaker, 84-85 2.12 |
Beck, 94-95 19 |
|
Jed/Clint |
Scott, 88-89 9-3 Smoltz, 90-91 |
Denny, 84-85 1.52 |
J. Howell, 89-90 9 |
|
Future Wax |
P. Martinez, 98-99 11-2 |
Maddux, 95-96 1.74 |
R. McDowell, 87-88 12 |
|
Jeff/Dave/Joel |
Belcher, 92-93 10-3 |
Robinson, 88-89 2.37 |
Ward, 92-93 10 Durocher, 03-04 |
|
Eric |
Burnett, 03-04 12-1 |
Clemens, 90-91 2.07 |
Burke, 88-89 14 Frowirth, 92-93 14 |
|
Matt |
Ashby, 96-97 8-1 |
Ryan, 88-89 2.38 |
R. Hernandez, 93-94 10 |
|
Harold/Yitz |
Langston, 93-94 9-3 |
Smiley, 90-91 2.21 |
Myers, 89-90 16 |
|
Tom/Land/Brian |
Park, 01-02 10-3 |
R. Martinez, 94-95 3.46 |
D. Henry, 94-95 11 Urbina 99-00 |
Who is the best manager in the SOMBILLA? (7/27/93)
Many summers, I publish the prior year's Bill James Pythagorean Analyses. As you know, this is a formula that has been proven to predict winning percentage based on runs for and runs against, using the following formula:
Runs1.83
((Runs1.83)+(Runs allowed1.83))
Again, variances from the predicted percentage are due to only two factors: luck (both good and bad) and managing (both good and bad). A team with an actual winning percentage higher than predicted has had either good managing, good luck, or both. The following are the good managing/good luck numbers for '93:
Actual Projected
wins wins
Pyth
Eric
31
25 6
Robin
34
30 4
Dave
33
32 1
Harold
32
32 0
Land
22
22 0
Jed & Clint
19
20 -1
Matt
26
27 -1
Andrew
30
32 -2
Arnie
25
28 -3
Big whoop. It doesn't really tell us who the best manager is, only who had the best combination of good managing and luck last year. Never afraid to ask the hard question, the SOMBILLA spotlight team asks "Who is the best manager?" The Pythagorean formula is a better gauge than pure won-lost record to answer this question because putting together a winning team is general managing, not managing. Winning with what you have is managing.
As I proved mathematically last year, in the long run, all luck cancels out. Sure, any individual game may have lots of luck, but over the course of a season, that luck is neutralized somewhat. Over many seasons, it will all even out. (For anyone who doesn't remember my mathematical proof, click here .) If luck cancels out in the long run, the only factor left in a multi-year Pythagorean study would be the change in team won-lost percentage that was due to managing!
I ran each manager's Pythagorean formula for the past five years and summed them up. The results are below. For Clint, who has now managed two consecutive last place teams with different managers (Jed and Dave), I simply combined the Pythagorean formulas of those two teams. For Jed&Dave, I treated their totals as though they managed each of those teams alone. Obviously, it would be more accurate to use the actual runs for and runs against for Jed& Clint's team and Dave & Clint's team, but hey, you do it.
The results are striking:
1988-1993
Actual Projected
wins wins
Pyth
Eric
170
153 17
Robin
123
119 4
Dave
127
126 1
Land
22
22 0
Harold
143
144 -1
Clint
40
41 -1
Matt
129
131 -2
Andrew
160
163 -3
Arnie
128
132 -4
Jed
144
150 -6
Whatever conclusions one can draw (people seem to be pretty well bunched), no one can dispute that over the past five years, Eric has unquestionably been the best manager in the SOMBILLA (again, distinguish general managing). The difference between Eric and no. 2, Robin, is greater than the difference between Robin and everyone else. That, my friends, is significant. In fact, Eric has led the league or tied for the league lead in Pythagorean wins above projected wins 4 of the last 5 years. One year and maybe he had great luck. But five years? (Eric, you can pay me in installments if you want).
I would like to address what I believe is an excessive focus by some managers on whether they are rolling on their card or their opponent's card. By concentrating so closely on this type of breakdown, these managers are guilty of making two false assumptions.
The first false assumption is what I call the Ruth/Johnson syndrome. Basically, it assumes that all batters are Babe Ruth and all pitchers are Walter Johnson. The 1927 Babe Ruth card, basic version has 15.6 homer chances, 39 walk chances and 32 hit chances. The 1914 Walter Johnson card has 3 walk chances and nothing else. If Ruth faces Johnson the result will clearly depend on whose card you roll. There are no Ruths or Johnsons in the SOMBILLA. Even Eckersley and Dibble have hits on their cards.
Assume K. Maas (one of the best vs. RHP) is batting against E. Hanson, a fine reversed starter. Even in this matchup, Maas is better off rolling in Hanson's 5 column than in hos own 1 column. Thus, instantly declaring 'shit' after seeing that the roll is on the pitcher's card, but before actually reading the result, makes no sense (of course, after you read 'strikeout', saying 'shit' is perfectly appropriate). These are two excellent players. What about an average matchup? The results are even more striking. Take H. Johnson against Gooden. There are 2 columns on Gooden's card for hitting that are better than 2 columns on Johnson's card!
Finally, keep in mind that even a 'naked' column on a pitcher's card will still contain X chances. Each pitcher has 30 X-chances (out of 108 chances = 28%). Assuming that the league averages 2's and 3's on defense adds another 6 hit chances to each pitcher on average, to say nothing about reaching by error.
The second false assumption is that even assuming all batters are Ruth and all pitchers are Johnson, it is statistically possible to consistently roll on your own or your opponent's card. As I will demonstrate, this is a fallacy.
Assuming a league average of .250 means 9 hits per team per game (9 for 36). Add another average of 7 walks per game and each manager rolls about 43 times a game. The average times rolled on your and your opponent's card is thus 21.5 times each per game. Using basic statistical concepts, the formula for variance is 21.5 x .5 x .5 or 5.38. The standard deviation is then 2.32 (square root of 5.38). Using standard statistical tables, it can be concluded that there is a 99% chance that a person will roll within 2.58 standard deviations per game, or between 16 and 27 times on your card (6 more or less than expected per game, less than 1 per inning). In other words, in only 1 out of every 100 games you play (once every 2 years) can you expect to roll on your card (or your pitcher's card) 7 times more than expected over an entire game.
Carried even further, you should expect to roll 2408 times per season (43 x 56). There is a 99% chance that over the course of the season you will roll on your card between 1,141 and 1,267 times (only 63 more or less than expected - 1,204), or just about once per game! (For the hard core, I will gladly show you the calculations.) This supports the basic statistical "law of large numbers." Flipping a coin 10 times, (or having 10 at bats), you might very well have 8 heads (or rolls on the pitcher's card). But flip a coin 2,408 times, and with 99% certainty, you'll be within 63 of 1,204 heads.
Enough of this impersonal proof. So what do you do when no matter what you roll, it seems like you're rolling all on the pitcher's card, or just missing on your cards? Well, ask yourself why we play Strat-O-Matic? there are many reasons, but one reason is because we believe that it is realistic. Of course, the fact that we use 8 all-star teams instead of 26 teams skews the stats (as well as not playing 162 games), but we all, deep down, believe that Strat-O knows what it is doing. So when Clemens mows you down with a 2-hitter, why not attribute it to the fact that Clemens is pitching a great game instead of you rolling poorly? When your opponent crunches 6 homers off you, why not attribute it to what might happen in real life if McGriff, Bonds, Fielder, Strawberry et al were actually on the same team, rather than 'he keeps rolling on his card,' since we now know it all balances out? Just a thought.
1979: 1.6
1985-1986: 2.7 1990-1991: 1.6
1981-1982: 2.2 1986-1987: 3.1
1991-1992: 1.3
1982-1983: 2.4 1987-1988: 2.9
1983-1984: 2.5 1988-1989: 2.4
1984-1985: 2.6 1989-1990: 2.0
Are we getting old, wimpy, health-conscious, or all of the above?
Are the new charts producing fewer errors? Dave thinks so. Through 32 games, this year's teams are averaging .77 errors per game. Last year, teams averaged .66 errors per game, and in '88-89, teams also averaged .66 errors per game. Assuming that overall fielding talent has remained constant (a shaky premise, I admit), the charts are producing more errors, not fewer! Of course the overall fielding talent could in fact be much, much, worse, so that the increase in errors per team is actually less than it should be, so that the charts really are producing fewer errors, but I'm not going to get involved with that one.
Jed's bad start has prompted speculation about his propensity to make late-season charges. The following are records for the past four years:
1st half 2nd half Difference
-------- -------- ----------
Harold - Yitz 46-66
61-51 +15
Dave-Joel
42-70
49-63 +7
Jed
63-49
67-45 +4
Eric
62-50
66-46 +4
Robin
47-65
48-64 +1
Andrew
62-50
62-50 0
Matt
55-57
49-63 -6
Arni
61-51
46-66 -15
It looks like Harold is the 2nd half team, not Jed. In fact, 12 of the 15 game 2nd half gain for Harold-Yitz has come in the past two years, with Harold at the helm. At the reverse end...well, we won't talk about that.
Here are the teams' first and second half records over the last four seasons. On the theory that it's better to finish strong, the teams are sorted from the largest second half differential over first half to the smallest:
1st Half 2nd
Half Differential
(percentage points)
Bunghole Quahogs 48-59 .449 59-58
.504
+55
Metrowest 39-70
.358 47-68
.409
+51
North Dakota 69-44
.611 71-40
.640
+29
Constantinople 43-58 .426
56-67
.455
+29
Lagavulan 16 48-57
.457 60-60
.500
+23
Future Wax 70-39
.642 73-40
.646
+4
New Orleans 54-50
.519 62-58
.517
-2
Manila Folders 52-50 .510
55-67
.451
-59
Bay City
60-57 .513 47-61
.435
-78
The biggest second half turnarounds? Clint and Jeff. The biggest second-half flops? Matt and Robin.
In light of Eric's phenomenal record (44-12) last year, I decided to determine just how good his team really was by developing a computer model on Lotus to simulate our league and replay the 'season' 200 times to see how often Eric (or anyone else for that matter) won the World Series. First, a little background.
Each team was assigned a winning percentage for the model. The percentage was determined as 1/2 actual winning percentage + 1/2 Bill James pythagorean method. As you all know, James' method is the most accurate predictor of team winning percentage known to man. What do you mean, you never read past the player comments? The formula is (Runs2/((Runs 2 )+(Runs allowed2)). James notes that the exponent 1.83 is actually more accurate than 2, so I used that as the exponent. In case you're wondering, the pythagorean predictions are:
RF RA Pth W L
Yoknapatawpha 254 163 .692
39 17
Plymouth Satell 290 224 .616 34 22
LH's
215 209 .513 29 27
North Dakota 284 263 .535
30 26
Hatchbacks 276 272
.507 28 28
Manilla Folders 221 296 .369 21 35
Future Wax 261 283
.463 26 30
Bay City 248
339 .361 20 36
As you all know from reading Bill James (come on this is basic sabremetrics), differences in projected wins and losses and actual wins and losses are due to luck and managing. Thus, Eric won 5 more games than projected due to good managing/good luck, or 9% of his games! At the other end, T&A finished 6 games below projected due to back luck/bad managing (hey it could be all bad luck, you know?).
Anyway, once I had each team's estimated winning percentage for the model, I determined the odds of each team winning vs. everybody eles. For Eric vs. Matt, where E represents Eric's pct. and M is Matt's pct, the formula is, (E x (1-M))/(E x (1-M)) + (M x 1-E)). Since Eric's study winning pct was .739 and Matt's was .372, the chances of Eric beating Matt in one game were .827. Using Lotus's random number generator, I was able to 'play' each team against each other 8 times as in our real season, and then do the post-season. Each Lotus 'season' took about 30 seconds to run. I was planning on running 200 seasons, but ended up at 203 due to 3 practice runs I forgot about and were included in the totals. In any case, the results are below:
W L Pct 1st
2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th WS
Yoknapatawpha 8662 2706 .762
185 15 3 0
0 0 0 0 148
P Satellites 7242 4126 .637
15 138 36 8
5 0 1
0 34
LH's
6056 5312 .533 1
27 68 60 34
11 2 0 7
North Dakota 6007 5361
.528 2 16 73
67 33 9
3 0 11
Hatchbacks 5280 6088
.464 0 6 17
48 72 37 18
5 1
M Folders 4116 7252
.362 0 1
0 6 20 46
74 56 1
Future Wax 4448 6920
.391 0 0
6 12 32 68
56 29 1
Bay City 3661 7707
.322 0 0
0 2 7 32
49 113 0
Note that Eric finished first 'only' 185 times or 91.1% (North Dakota actually finished first twice!) Eric also won the World Series only 72.9% of the time. This makes sense, since in a short series anything can happen. Actually Bill James has showed that in real life, with a random distribution of winning percentages, the best team wins the World Series only 25% of the time (see 1989 Baseball Abstract). Given Eric's phenomenal winning percentage, I'm still not surprised that he 'only' wins the World Series 72.9% of the time. After all, in real life he had to go extra innings in 7 games. Other notes - Bay City made the playoffs only twice in 203 seasons and was the only team to not win a World Series. Bay City also had the worst individual record for one particular 'season' in the study, coming in at a horrendous 9-47 one year (.161). Most games out for one season was also Bay City at 35 (YK was 48-8, while BC was 13-43). On the left below are the standings from the season with the best team record (YK at 49-7), and on the right are the standings from a season that I thought was interesting:
W L GB
Pct
W L GB Pct
Yokanapatawpha 49 7
- .875 Yoknapatawpha 46
10 - .821
North Dakota 31 25
18 .554 P. Satellites 42 14
4 .750
P. Satellites 30 26
19 .536 North Dakota 25 31
21 .446
LH's
29 27 20 .518 Future
Wax 24 32 22 .429
Hatchbacks 28
28 21 .500 M.
Folders 23 33 23 .411
Future Wax 22
34 27 .393
Hatchbacks 22 34 24 .393
Manilla Folders 19 37 30
.339
LH's
22 34 24 .393
Bay City
16 40 33 .286 Bay
City 20 36 26 .357
This study first ran in the 11/14/89 newsletter but has been updated.
Season
Team
Start Finish
1981-1982 Sardukar
11-0 30-20 2nd place - lost in playoffs
1989-1990 North Dakota
10-0 29-27 4th place - lost in playoffs
1979 North
Dakota 8-0 21-29 5th place
1997-1998 Manila Folders 12-1 29-27
4th place - lost in playoffs
1992-1993 New Orleans
12-2 32-24 3rd place - lost in playoffs
1988-1989 Yoknapatawpha 10-2
31-25 1st place - won World Series
1989-1990 Manilla Folders 10-2 33-23
3rd place - lost in World Series
1991-1992 Future Wax
10-2 43-13 1st place - won World Series
1996-1997 Future Wax
9-2 41-15 1st place - lost in playoffs
There has never been a week where all 4 series were splits 2 games to 2. This is not surprising when you consider that the odds of that happening are less than 2%. Suspicious? The odds of 1 series being split (assuming a 50-50 chance of each team winning a game, of course, which isn't always correct) are 6/16, or 3/8. Also, the odds of a sweep are 2/16, and odds for a 3-1 series are 8/16. ( I use 16 as denominator because there are 16 permutations possible per series - - 24=16.) If chances for any series being split are 3/8, then four splits are (3/8)4 =.0198.
The Ralph Houk Rating measures a team's inability to use its bench. The higher the rating, the more the manager relies on one set lineup. The calculation is simple: it is the percentage of a team's at bats which were made by the nine players with the most at bats on the team. For the SOMBILLA's '83-84 season, here are the Ralph Houk Ratings:
Sardukar 96.8
Bay City
90.7
North Dakota 90.0
Marakesh Express 89.5
Shellshock II 82.5
Shithead
81.0