Jeff the Man [8/19]

Bad Boys of the SOMBILLA [7/24]

Champions league [7/24]
Superlatives [7/24]


Salaries in the SOMBILLA [7/23]
The Waiver Draft: An analysis [7/23]
Who (does the computer think) are the best players for this upcoming Strat-O season [7/23]
Rediscovered Twits Notes [7/23]

 
Mr. Irrelevant [8/22]
First Picks Overall [8/22]
Ages in the SOMBILLA [8/22]


Ranking the greatest SOMBILLA trades of all-time [8/21]
The summer newsletters [8/21]
The last five years [8/21]

The greatest SOMBILLA Teams of All-time [8/20]
Ballparks [8/20]
The Cute Ratings [8/20]

Jeff's team's through the years [8/19]What if Jeff's team had Babbe Ruth? [8/19]
Drafting All-Stars [8/19]

A brief history of card burning [8/18]
North Dakota vs Future Wax - which team was better [8/18]
I'm a Pham! [8/18]

Rule change proposals
How the teams were built [8/17]
Who does the computer think are the best players this year? [8/17]
Salaries in the SOMBILLA [8/17]

Trade Regsister Update [/8/16]
SOMBILLA Hall of Fame [8/16]
All-time franchise rosters [8/16]
Door #1, door #2, or door #3 [8/16]

Injuries in the SOMBILLA [8/15]
The cute ratings [8/15]
July Madness [8/15]

Managers: Regular Season vs. Playoffs [8/14]
Ballpark study [8/14]
Tanking in the final weekend [8/14]
Multiple awards [8/14]

What if the SOMBILLA was a Rotisserie League [8/13]
Best players in the SOMBILLA [8/13]
Best of the Last Five Years [8/13]
Home/Away Advantage [8/13]

All-star study [8/12]
Best of the last 5 years [8/12]

Salaries in the SOMBILLA [8/11]
Cut player analyses [8/11]

First round pitchers [8/10]
Racial profiling in the SOMBILLA [8/10]
All-time trade register [8/10]

Comparing the all-time SOMBILLA teams [8/09]
Who's Your Daddy [8/09]

Great moments in SOMBILLA history [8/07]
How the Franchises were built [/8/08]
All-time franchise players [8/07]
Successful lefty starters [8/07]

The cute ratings [8/06]
Bad boys of the SOMBILLA [8/06]
Who have we burned? [8/06]

All-time wins leaders [7/05]
The Making of Constantinople [7/05]
Mr. Irrelevant [7/05]

All-Time HR Leaders - [7/04]

All-Time HR Leaders - updated [7/05]

Injuries in the SOMBILLA [7/04]

Great Players on Bad Teams [7/03]
Designing Ballparks [7/03]
Original 1985 Dispersal Draft, revisited [7/03]

Comparing the Great SOMBILLA teams [7/02]
The Cut Lists [7/02] ]


How the Teams Were Built [7/01]

Racial profiling in the SOMBILLA (7/01)

Standings study [7/00]

Salaries in the SOMBILLA [8/08]
Salaries in the SOMBILLA [7/00]

Championship analysis [7/99]

Is There Excessive Focus On Early Draft Picks? [7/99]
The Cute Ratings [7/99]
What if the SOMBILLA was a Rotisserie League? [7/99]

Home and away analysis (7/98)

Rating the cards (7/98)
All-time Alphabetical Baseball (as published in Strat Fan Baseball Quarterly - Spring 1998)
Racism in the SOMBILLA (7/97)

1993 Draft Analysis (7/97)

1994 Draft Analysis (7/98)
1995 Draft Analysis [7/99]
1996 Draft Analysis [7/00]
1997 Draft Analysis [7/01]
1998 Draft Analysis [7/02]
1999 Draft Analysis [7/03]
2000 Draft Analysis [7/04]
2001 Draft Analysis [7/05]
2002 Draft Analysis [8/06]
2003 Draft Analysis [8/07]
2004 Draft Analysis [8/08]
2005 Draft Analysis [8/09]
2006 Draft Analysis [8/10]
2007 Draft Analysis [8/11]
2008 Draft Analysis [8/12]
2009 Draft Analysis [8/13]
2010 Draft Analysis [8/14]
2011 Draft Analysis [8/15]
2012 Draft Analysis [8/16]
2013 Draft Analysis [8/17]
2014 Draft Analysis [8/18]
2015 Draft Analysys [8/19]
2016 Draft Analysis [8/20]
2017 Draft Analysis [8/21]
2018 Draft Analysis [8/22]
2019 Draft Analysis [7/23]
2020 Draft Analysis [7/24]

Ages in the SOMBILLA (7/97)

The advantages of managing while pregnant (11/7/94)
North Dakota vs. Future Wax - which team was better? (7/27/94)
First picks overall in SOMBILLA drafts (7/27/94)
All-time franchise leaders [revised 7/04]
Who is the best manager in the SOMBILLA? (7/27/93)
Is lucky rolling statistically possible? (1/1/92)
Beer consumption per person per Strat-O night - 11/3/91
Twits Notes 1/9/91
Late season charges 11/27/90
2nd half charges 7/98
How good was Eric's team? (August 1990)
Fastest starts in SOMBILLA history:
Series splits (11/3/88)
Ralph Houk Rating (11/19/84)

Jeff the man [8/19]

The stats are dry, the year by year summaries, a mostly numerical compendium of this game we play with dice.  But there’s so much more.  You spend hours next to a person twice a year for 25 years…it adds up.  Here are our collective thoughts and memories of playing Jeff, the man.

From Matt: I'll never forget a series at his house where just the two of us "sampled" his homemade zinfandel well into the evening.

I always scheduled my 2nd half series over his house.  Inevitably it’d be really wintry and cold.  I think Hopkinton gets even more snow than Holliston. The randomness of global warming days had yet to ever hit my travels to his house.  I’ll miss the repetition of going over there in midwinter.  It was something to count on.  Weird that it’s gone.

Without a doubt, the funniest moment in SOMBILLA draft history involved Jeff. It was at the 2015 draft, 7th round- Jeff announced that he was drafting erstwhile 22-year old prospect Oscar Tavares, who had died tragically in a car accident the previous October. There's a pause, then Tom says "You do realize he's dead, right?" Howls of laughter ensued and we let him make another pick.

From Harold: He had a fantastic sense of pop culture. I had a pitcher, Jarrod Washburn, who whenever he started Jeff said Here comes D.W. Washburn" - D.W. Washburn being the name of an obscure 1968 Monkees single. Of calling three straight strike outs in an inning (K-K-K) a Carver after Daniel Carver, frequent guest on the Howard Sterrn Show and Ku Klux Klan member.

From Jed: A generic memory is that typically I/we would predict Jeff to finish last and he would basically respond go f___ yourselves and proceed to beat the tar out of me when we played.

The last World Series I played in was against Jeff. I felt sure I would win. I had the better team Jeff shouldn’t have even made the playoffs. I took the first game, as I recall, and proceeded to lose the series 4 games to 2. Once again underestimating Jeff....

From Clint: My memories are more distant; however, I clearly remember his wry sense of humor and can still hear his distinct chuckle when laughing.

From Tom:  My first year in the league, Jeff and I decided to have a beer or two in the hot tub after our series.  I had a bit of a back spasm issue and was opining that we should just play our entire series in the hot tub next time.  Jeff laughed and made some joke about bubbles and wet cards.  I said “We could laminate them..”

I think we only did one more après series hot tub, but the lamination of my team(s) had its start in chlorine and beer fumes…

I could always count on one or two times in the season where we would end up outside just doing the family chat – parents in the Rochester Area, kids, wives, new job, job hunt – whatever was the latest thing - in the cold.  He would always tease me that I had to start a conversation after we left whoever’s warm comfortable table…

From Randy: Knowing someone through the SOMBILLA is odd. You see the others 3 times a year (two series, draft, occassional playoffs). You meet as opponents. But before you know it this has gone on for 20+ years (twice that for some founders). You get glimpses of a person's family life and maybe career or hobby, and their taste in beer. Never really reflected on this until now.

My memory of Jeff to share is the one time we met outside of the context of the SOMBILLA. Jeff and Amy attended a sketch comedy that Arnie and I were both in in Ashland two years ago this winter. They were dressed for a night on the town, had a bit to drink, and were having a great time. It opened my eyes as to how they were as a couple, and how entertaining they were (for others and each other). Grateful for this memory, and so sad there was not time to spend more of this sort of time together.

From Robin: I tried to look this up on the website (what? we have a website) but couldn't find the correct year and didn't want to spend too much time on this. Several years ago, Jeff couldn't be at the draft (possibly to attend one of Reese's diving competitions) and Tom created a "Draft-o-Matic," which we used to draft for Jeff. However, at some point the Draft-o-Matic failed (none of the players Jeff had designated were available or Jeff had an extra draft pick that wasn't accounted for or something) and we had to contact Jeff for his pick(s). I was chosen/volunteered to do this because perhaps Tom was still drafting/scouting and I was done?--not sure. I also can't even remember if I was talking to him on the phone or just texting back and forth. Anyway, it was a late-round pick, one that you would typically use for an unheralded rookie you had a good feeling about or a one-year-wonder to fill a need for your team, but Jeff said to draft Bartolo Colon (who was neither), and I responded something like "Are you sure you want to draft Bartolo Colon?," thinking that he was maybe confusing him for someone else, but Jeff did indeed want to draft the aged Colon.I don't recall what the league's response to his choice was.

     From Arnie: Not that I doubt your memory but I searched the file that has all draft analyses <=2013 for "Colon" and could not see anywhere where Jeff drafted him. I remembered that same draft where we drafted E. Santana for him with conflicting information and he was OK with it. Yet I could not find any draft where he drafted E. Santana <queue twilight zone theme>

Speaking of the twilight zone, this reminds me of the time many many years ago, when Jeff was at our house and one of his dice rolled off the table under the baseboard.  We searched for quite a while and could not find it.  For years afterward, he would comment about his missing die that had apparently travelled into another dimension.  We had the floors redone but no dice were found.  One summer day a couple of years ago, out of the blue, his die appeared.  We have no idea how it got there or what it had been doing all this time, but I presented it to him.  He was incredulous.

From Eric: My curious friendship with Jeff

I wish I could tell my classic Jeff story, except I don’t have one. At least none that’s come to mind since Arnie asked us to submit our tributes. I’ve rummaged around the junk in my head for two weeks now looking for something that jumps out and all I’ve found are scattered impressions. They’re not vague; they’re just here and there and, in the depths of our sadness, suddenly too few….

***

The Baker

Jeff came down to Plymouth for a series last year right before Hanukkah and he (the Catholic) and Sue (the Jew) spent in the neighborhood of ten minutes talking about the challenges and rewards of baking the perfect latkes. “It’s a cultural identity thing,” Sue said. “I’m reconnecting to my roots. But I follow the recipes, and they come out like shit.” Jeff spoke eloquently about cooking oils, oven temps, spuds, spices, and scoffed at frozen latkes, Sue’s suggestion as a last resort.

“Crap,” he said.

“You really know latkes, Jeff.”

 “I have lots of Jewish friends,” he said.

“Of which I’m one,” I said, shaking the dice in my hand.

***

The Perfect Host

Speaking of holidays, I believe I played at Jeff’s every December since he and Amy moved to Hopkinton. Christmas at the Donahue McMansion. It was like stepping into a snow globe. One night he answered the door and someone was playing holiday lounge music on a piano in a room somewhere off the foyer. Really good holiday lounge music.

 “Izzat one of the kids?”

“Nope.” He led me into a parlor. (A parlor?!) In the shadows was a baby grand piano, with no one at the piano seat, save maybe a Dickensian ghost. “It’s a player piano.”

“Holy shit, Jeff! That’s the coolest thing I’ve ever seen!”

 “It can play hundreds of tunes. We listen to it all the time.”

“Man, am I jealous.” And I was. I had just bought about a half-dozen jazz CDs to play on my new Bose wave radio, and was pretty much mainlining them round the clock. “So let me get this straight. You can play anyone on this? Like Bill Evans or Art Tatum?”

“I don’t see why not.”

“This is heaven. I feel like I’m at a bar.”

“Want a drink. Before I kick your ass?”

***

No lie: until last year, I needed to use my GPS every time I traveled to Jeff’s in Hopkinton. What is that, like a dozen years or so? It’s not that there were a lot of turns once you got off the highway; there are more turns driving to Arnie and Robin’s, and there’s nothing to compare with the North Shore Slog up to frickin’ Marblehead…

I think it was the lone, narrow, winding road, cut through the dark woods, and the too-wide SUVs barreling at me, and then the sub-development maze of giant brick homes and roads that snaked up a near-treeless hillside to Everett Circle, that just made it impossible for directions to stick.

“You still don’t know how to get here by memory?” Jeff would razz me.

“I can’t figure it out. How do you find your way home. I’m just grateful to get here. I need a beer.”

***

Let’s get serious…which is something I was kinda hoping to avoid. This tribute to Jeff has been difficult for me to write. Arnie’s deadline has been weighing on me, and I feel badly that I’ve held him up.

Anyway…

Sue and I have some friends visiting from North Carolina. They’re staying on the Cape, and Wednesday night we met up with them at another friend’s house. All these people are musicians, and the house we visited has a music studio in the basement, and the evening was spent listening to a couple of them jam. We’ve done this a number of times, and it’s cool to have such talented friends. But truth be told, there have been some nights where I’ve found this tedious, in part because they often play original songs that just don’t do it for me, crummy as I feel saying that. Plus, it’s loud and hard to talk.

After an interminable amount of time fussing with the speakers and woofers, control panels and syncing pre-recorded tracks, they played a rather long, loud set. About a minute or so into the third or fourth song I began to get that familiar itch that now would be a good time to wrap things up. But my friends apparently don’t get to play in front of an audience that often—even an audience of five—and the songs just kept coming. And I kept getting antsier.

And then something curious happened. For lack of a better description, the room got deeper, the sound got richer, the moment slowed, and the antsy-ness faded into a kind of bliss, a feeling of wellbeing and gratitude. And in this moment of wellbeing and gratitude I thought of Jeff. And the thought was obvious, something we always say to each other after a terrific loss: value the moment, treasure what’s in front of you, because you never know when it’ll be gone…

I love my friends. All my friends. But we don’t usually say stuff like this because we’re buttoned up in an I-don’t-feel-comfortable-saying-this sort of way. But there you have it. On the way home I brought this up and it seems Sue had the same feelings—a deep connection to the moment and the people in it, and a profound appreciation for it. I called it the Jeff Effect. And now I always will.

Lastly, below is a link to a video, to commemorate Jeff’s love of latkes…

https://www.youtube.com/watch?reload=9&v=z2GOrdxCm6Q



Bad Boys of the SOMBILLA (Updated) [7/24]

This article was originally published in 2006!  During my series down at Eric’s house last season, Eric asked for advice about how to handle Wander Franco, whose career is now in doubt due to some heinous deeds with an underage girl. I responded that there was no official league policy on this; it is up to each manager’s conscience.

I brought up Jeff’s treatment of Brett Myers.  Myers was a Philly pitcher in Boston to pitch against the Red Sox, when he assaulted his wife on Newbury St., in front of witnesses (I believe he grabbed her hair and dragged her) and was arrested.  Jeff not only refused to use Myers (who was usable), but kept him on his roster for 2 seasons as a usable starter without using him, just so that nobody else in the league could use him.

More common is for SOMBILLA managers to look the other way, as though these are just pieces of cardboard paper with “strikeout” and “HOMERUN” printed on them.  Look no further than a few months ago, when Harold cut (and we burned) Aroldis Chapman, who has an excellent card.  At the waiver draft Sam, Randy, Jed, and I passed on Chapman.  In fact, I drafted a morally superior but inferior carded lefty reliever, Brooks Raley, just before Tom, who then drafted Chapman.

Does Tom’s wife know (or care) that her husband just picked up a domestic abuser on his Strat-O team? I know my spouse cares.  I don’t have a separate study for this, but Robin is notorious for pounding domestic abuser pitchers. I expect a Chapman pounding next year if she gets the chance.

Eric’s question was the impetus, but Chapman’s treatment makes it clear that it is time for an update.

Which league’s franchise doesn’t give a shit about societal mores? Who flaunts boorish, illegal behavior in the rest of the league’s face? Which team is the most moral, intolerant of criminal activity on its roster? This summer, the SOMBILLA spotlight team studies the bad boys of the SOMBILLA - detailing a team by team summary of arrest records and other bad behavior, including PEDs.  Known PED users are listed, with the understanding that we can never know all of them.

Somewhat surprisingly, Jed (and Matt) head the shame roll. They clearly have an eye for stockpiling thugs, hoodlums and criminals. The question is, do their wives know about this predilection?

At the other extreme, Constantinople has a very scant bad boy record, but perhaps he has seen the light by snagging Chapman.   Tom & Land win the goody two shoes award.

Jed/Matt (18)

(For the record, most of these guys were on Matt’s team rather than Jed’s)

    * Marcell Ozuna – domestic violence
    * Mark McGuire – PEDs
    * Mike Cameron – suspended 25 games for amphetamines
    * Wally Backman - arrested for drunk driving. Indicted for assault on his wife and her friend
    * Derek Bell – possession of cocaine
    * Albert Belle - tracked his ex-girlfriend with a GPS device and repeatedly threatened her
    * Milton Bradley - disorderly conduct, spousal abuse, domestic battery
    * Ken Caminiti – drugs
    * Vince Coleman - Threw an M-80 into a crowd of people in the Dodger Stadium parking lot. A young girl was hurt and Vince had to serve 200 hours of community service.
    * Chili Davis - Charged with disorderly conduct following California's win over the Brewers in Milwaukee in 1995. Davis allegedly slapped a fan who was taunting him. Chili also had a hit in the game.
    * Rafael Furcal – DUI
    * Todd Hollandsworth – DUI
    * Julio Lugo - domestic violence
    * Kirby Puckett - arrested for accosting and assaulting a woman in the restroom of a downtown Minneapolis restaurant.
    * Harold Reynolds - fired from ESPN allegedly because of sexual misconduct
    * Dmitri Young - domestic violence
    * Jeff Nelson - beat up a groundskeeper in Red Sox bullpen
    * Karim Garcia – “ “

Future Wax (16)

    * Manny Machado – asshole, dirty ballplayer, ended Pedroia’s career
    * Nelson Cruz – suspended for 50 games for PEDs (before being traded to North Dakota)
    * Josh Hamilton – charged with injury to a child after his 14-year old daughter said he struck her (after being traded from North Dakota).  Also banned from baseball for his abuse of alcohol and cocaine.
    * Max Scherzer – suspended for using illegal sticky stuff
    * Barry Bonds - domestic violence & tax evasion, among other things, like suddenly having a giant head for some reason.
    * Ramon Castro - accused of raping a woman in his hotel room.
    * Bobby Chouinard - pleaded guilty to aggravated assault for abusing his wife, served a year in jail. Chouinard was arrested after he hit his wife, Erica, and held a loaded gun to her head while she begged for her life, police said.
    * Wil Cordero - hit his wife with a landline phone in a celebrated case while a member of the Red Sox.
    * Eric Davis - Drove the "getaway car" when Vince Coleman chucked that M-80 into the Dodger Stadium parking lot out his window. See Coleman under Jed and Matt’s team above...
    * Dwight Gooden - Missed the first two months of the 1987 season when he checked himself into a drug rehab center. Suspended for 60 days in 1994 for testing positive for cocaine. Suspended for the entire 1995 season after testing positive for coke again, while on suspension from the first charge. Arrested in Feb 2002 for drunk driving. Not only drunk but was on a suspended license and had open booze the car. Arrested again in January 2003 for driving with a suspended license. At least he wasn't drunk. Arrested in March 2005 for punching his ex-wife in the face. No word if he was drunk.  Still an alcoholic drug abuser as of 2020.
    * Darryl Strawberry

§  April 7, 1989 -- Named in a lawsuit in Clayton, Mo., charging that he fathered a son with Lisa Clayton.

§  Jan. 26, 1990 -- Arrested for alleged assault with a deadly weapon during an argument with his wife. He is alleged to have hit her in the face with an open hand and also to have threatened her with a .25-caliber semiautomatic handgun.

§  Sept. 4, 1993 -- Arrested for allegedly striking Charisse Simons, the 26-year-old woman he lived with.

§  March 3, 1994 -- Investigated by the IRS and U.S. Attorney's Office for allegedly failing to file tax returns for in excess of $300,000 of income derived from autograph and memorabilia shows.

§  April 4, 1994 -- Dodgers announce Strawberry has a substance abuse problem and place him on the disabled list.

§  Dec. 8, 1994 -- He and his agent Eric Goldschmidt were indicted on federal tax evasion charges alleging that Strawberry failed to report more than $500,000 in income earned from 1986 through 1990.

§  Feb. 6, 1995 -- Major league baseball suspends Strawberry for 60 days after he tested positive for cocaine. The Giants, citing a clause in his contract, terminate the deal and release him.

§  Dec. 11, 1995 -- Strawberry is charged in California with failing to make child support payments and faces one count of willful failure to provide child support, two counts of violating a court order to provide child support and another order to provide spousal support.

§  Aug. 20, 1998 -- Sued by attorney Robert Shapiro for $100,000 plus interest in fees for a contract settlement Shapiro negotiated with the Dodgers in 1994.

§  April 14, 1999 -- Charged with possession of cocaine and soliciting a prostitute. According to police, Strawberry allegedly solicited an undercover officer for sex for $50. Upon being searched, 0.3 grams of powder cocaine was found inside of his wallet. He was released on $6,000 bond.

§  Feb. 22, 2000 -- A Florida Department of Corrections report says Strawberry tested positive for cocaine on Jan. 19.

§  March 2002 -- Kicked out of drug treatment center for trading some of his memorabilia for cigarettes and having sex with a female resident. Of course Darryl was married at the time...

    * Kenny Rogers - beat up a photographer
    * Felipe Vazquez - 10 counts of sexual abuse of children
    * Addison Russell – spousal abuse
    * Ryan Braun – steroids
    * Jose Reyes – domestic abuse

Harold (13)

    * Trevor Bauer – domestic violence; choking women during sex
    * Bartolo Colon – suspended 50 games for testosterone
    * Y. Grandal – “ “
    * Dee Gordon – suspended 105 games for PEDs
    * Scott Erickson - domestic violence
    * Steve Howe - cocaine. About 26 times.
    * Kevin Mitchell - Sued by a former girlfriend in 1989, who claimed that Mitchell beat her and threatened her with a gun. Charges were dropped after Mitchell agreed to enter a domestic violence program. Was arrested for felony battery after hitting his own father during a dispute. It gets better. The dispute took place because Mitchell was trying to evict his own father from a house he was renting him. Apparently daddy was a bit behind on the payments.
    * Manny Ramirez - drunk driving, multiple PED suspensions
    * Jeff Reardon - robbed a jewelry store in his hometown
    * Ruben Rivera--stealing various articles out of the Yankee clubhouse with intent to sell
    * Dave Stewart - after police observed him soliciting a prostitute in downtown L.A., Stewart was arrested a few minutes later in a nearby alley. Also arrested was the hooker, "Lucille." It just so happened, however, that Lucille was actually Elson Tyler, a 27-year-old 6-foot-3 unemployed laborer. ''Mr. Stewart said he was unaware that Tyler was a male until after the arrest,'' Police Comdr. William Booth said. ''That was his statement and we have reason to believe him.'' Vice officers refused to give details of the incident but a police source said the transvestite was performing oral on Stewart.
    * Matt Bush - Two counts of DUI with property damage.
    * Mark Grace - Endangerment, DUI after he retired

North Dakota (13)

    * Roberto Osuna – domestic abuse
    * Starlin Castro – domestic violence
    * Mike Clevinger – domestic violence
    * Roberto Alomar – spat on an umpire
    * Pedro Guerrero - Suspended from the Mexican League in 1999 - details are sketchy. Was parading around with OJ Simpson's post-Nicole girlfriend Christine Prodey, apparently on coke binges and having sex. OJ didn't take too kindly to this and called 911 on them. Cops showed up and Prodey was arrested. Arrested in September of 1999 for trying to buy 33 pounds of cocaine from an undercover agent. Was acquitted of drug conspiracy charges in June of 2002 after his attorney argued his low IQ prevented him from understanding that he agreed to a drug deal.
    * Esteban Loaiza – DUI, possession of cocaine with intent to distribute
    * Roger Clemens - adulterer and steroid user.
    * Al Martin –Charged with exchanging punches with a woman who claims she married him in a 1998 Las Vegas wedding. The argument started when she accused Martin of still being married to someone else and he was accused of bigamy.
    * Luis Polonia was arrested for having sex with a minor.
    * Sidney Ponson - beating up a judge; DUI
    * Tim Raines - Admitted to being a cocaine user and used to get high during games. Raines told reporters that he would keep a vial of coke in his pocket and would slide headfirst while stealing to make sure the vial wouldn't break.
    * Tim Teufel - Arrested with fellow Mets Bob Ojeda, Rick Aguilera and Ron Darling after a brawl at a Houston bar. The four apparently were out celebrating the birth of Tim's child when they felt compelled to start a fight with some off-duty police officers working as security guards.
    * Mel Hall – after he retired got 45 years in prison for 3 counts of aggravated sexual assault of a child and 2 counts of indecency with a child

Eric (12)

    * Wander Franco – Charged with sexual assault of a 14-year old.  Paid the girl’s mother off so he could do it.
    * Sam Dyson – sexual assault and battery
    * Edwin Diaz – suspended for using illegal sticky substances
    * Roger Clemens - Was arrested with brother Gary in 1991 for assaulting a police officer following a disturbance at a Houston nightclub.
    * Tim Crews, who died with Bay City’s Steve Olin in the motorboat incident, was piloting drunk.
    * Lenny Dykstra - After downing a few cold ones at John Kruk's bachelor party, Dykstra drove his car into a tree and really fucked up his passenger, Darren Daulton. Dykstra came out relatively unhurt, although he added a DUI to his record. Was rumored to have built-up a $100,000 gambling debt. Was charged on accusations of sexual battery with a 17-year-old girl. Apparently he touched her inappropriately, though she was clothed. On the plus side, he does play Strat-O.  (Subsequently went to jail three times for different crimes - grand theft auto, assault with a deadly weapon, and bankruptcy fraud.)
    * Keith Hernandez - Admitted that he went crazy on coke during the 1980 season, despite batting .321. Also admitted that he used to play high and would wake up shaking. Suspended for one year in 1986 for... guess what? Drugs.
    * Ray Knight - Was charged with Hunting from public road, Hunting from a motor vehicle, Hunting without permission and Hunting deer at night on January 26, 2001. Apparently Ray and a buddy were returning from a hunting trip and he spotted a deer on the road. Knight claimed he merely wanted to look at the deer and his charges were reduced to Criminal Trespass and "Blinding wildlife with lights."
    * Pete Rose - taxes, gambling on baseball
    * Doug DeCinces - 14 counts related to insider trading (after he retired)
    * Rafael Palmeiro – banned for steroid use
    * Nyjer Morgan – all-around jerk, burned in 2011

Bay City (12)

    * New draft pick Abner Uribe was suspended (then sent to the minors and injured)
    * Stephen Wright – domestic abuse and PEDs
    * Starling Marte – PEDs
    * Ramon Laureano - PEDs
    * Oil Can Boyd - threatening a female business partner. unpaid speeding ticket. Also overdue x-rated videos, stalking
    * Wes Gardner - some type of wife abuse
    * Jose Mesa – fondling
    * The late Yordano Ventura suspended for head-hunting and on field gooniness.
    * Sammy Sosa - hit wife with rum bottle, also did steroids
    * BJ Upton – DUI
    * Miguel Cabrera – DUI, threatening police
    * Odubel Herrera – beat up his girlfriend

Sam/Jeff/Dave/Joel*  (10)

·        Ervin Santana – PEDs

·        Miguel Tejada – suspended 105 games for PEDs

·        Robinson Cano – suspended for 2017 season for PEDs

    * Jose Canseco - Arrested in March of 1984, but nobody knows why. Charged with aggravated assault in 1992 for purposely ramming into his first wife's car. Arrested in 1997 for beating his second wife. Admitted to taking steroids during his career and estimated that 50% of all ballplayers used roids. Arrested with bro Ozzie in 11/2001 for getting into a fight with some dudes at a nightclub. Guess which side needed 20 stitches and had a broken nose? Jose claimed he was a "victim". Promptly blew off the court date for above charges. Got two years of house arrest for blowing off above charges in April 2003.
    * Darren Daulton - Arrested for DUI in Pinellas County, Florida in 1988. His license was also suspended in the late '90s due to unpaid speeding tickets; he received at least five during that time period, including one for traveling over 100 miles-per-hour in a 65 zone. While under this suspension, he was involved in an accident causing $20,000 damage to his BMW. He was charged with DUI, driving with a suspended license, and failing to appear in court. Daulton claimed the accident was a result of getting run off the road in lieu of a business deal with ties to the FBI and the White House. Exactly two years later, he was arrested again for driving with a suspended license and DUI, after again refusing to be tested for alcohol. Daulton was also arrested on domestic violence charges, accused of abusing his second wife, Nicole, who subsequently filed for divorce. In 2004, he spent two months in jail in contempt of court after refusing to abide by the terms of a legal agreement related to the divorce.
    * Steve Garvey --beating Cindy up (and running for office as a Republican)
    * Brett Myers - beat up his wife on Boylston Street in front of shocked pedestrians.
    * Denny Neagle - soliciting a prostitute.
    * Mike Stanton - beat up a groundskeeper in Red Sox bullpen

·        Willie Wilson pleaded guilty to attempting to buy cocaine and was sentenced to 3 months prison.

*This franchise dates all the way back to founding league member, Joel, whose team was taken over by Dave, then Jeff, now Sam.

Constantinople (9)

    * Aroldis Chapman – just drafted by Tom despite choking his girlfriend (he was also burned in 2016 for spousal abuse).
    * Fernando Tatis – suspended 8 games for PEDs
    * Raul Mondesi – (former) mayor of a town in the Dominican, he was just sentenced to 6+ years in prison for embezzlement

·        John Rocker – Never arrested, but we have to mention him. He told SI "Imagine having to take the train to the ballpark, looking like you're riding through Beirut next to some kid with purple hair, next to some queer with AIDS, right next to some dude who just got out of jail for the fourth time, right next to some 20-year-old mom with four kids. It's depressing." During a subsequent interview, he spat on a Georgia toll machine and mocked Asian women. Additionally, he referred to then-teammate Randall Simon as being a "fat monkey."

    * Otis Nixon - He struggled with a cocaine problem since the 1980's. He first tried it as a college freshman and got hooked. He was first arrested in 1987 while playing at the AAA level Buffalo Bisons for possession and spent 28 days in rehab. Near the end of the 1991 season, he tested positive for cocaine and was suspended by Major League Baseball. He missed the World Series because of it. He cleaned up after the suspension and did not have any brushes with the law until 2004, when he was charged with threatening his bodyguard with a knife and in a separate incident, misdemeanor sexual assault. Authorities could not understand why Nixon would have a bodyguard.
    * Uegeth Urbina – attempted murder
    * Julio Urias – domestic violence
    * A-Rod – steroids and general assholery.  The league tried to burn A-Rod in 2008. However, Tom refused to allow his extra (non-laminated league-issued) A-Rod to be burned and after much hand wringing, we moved on without a card burning for the only time in draft history. He was successfully burned in 2009 though, and 5 other times! The most burned player in SOMBILLA history.
    * Bobby Jenks – DUI, hit and run

Champions League* [7/24]

The SOMBILLA has had five different champions over the past 5 seasons – Robin, Tom, Arnie, Sam, and Randy.  So, I threw them all into one Recent Champions League.  But then I decided it’d be more fun to let others play.  Just a scant 8 years ago, Jeff won the SOMBILLA Championship, so I added his ’15-16 team to the mix from beyond the grave.

Shockingly, Eric with 9 SOMBILLA Championships (second only to RAT’s 12) now has a 12-year drought.  He last won the league with The Cheddarmen in 2011-2012.  Harold’s last championship was the year before that in ’10-11.  So I threw them into the Champions League.

* That leaves poor Jed.  His last championship was with Shithead in 1984-1985.  Even if wanted to purchase the 1983 card set ($30!), I would have to travel back to Holliston and try to find the stats in the attic to recreate his team.  Probably doable but way too much effort.  But it seemed unfair to not let Jed play, so I went back to the ’19-20 season when Oceanus lost the World Series to Randy in 6 games, and let Jed use that team. Hence the asterisk.

So, here’s the lineup:

2023-2024 Bay City

2022-2023 Constantinople

2021-2022 North Dakota

2020-2021 Neverwinter

2019-2020 Future Wax

2019-2020 Oceanus

2015-2016 “What Eric Said?”

2011-2012 The Cheddarmen

2010-2011 New Orleans

The oldest three teams played in leagues that used a 25-man roster, but I gave each team a 26-man roster based on the final stats of the 26 most used players. Actual ballparks played in of course (another reason to not include the 85 Shithead team – we didn’t even use ballparks back then! ).  I also used the pre-2020 rules (no ghost runner or three batter reliever rule, since the majority of these teams didn’t use them.

I set up a 160 game schedule. Here are the standings through April 30:

LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 2024 Champions League

 

                            WON LOST  PCT   GB  MAGIC#

19-20 Oceanus OCE             18  10  .643 ----   133 

11-12 The Cheddarmen CHE      15  10  .600  1.5       

10-11 New Orleans NEW         13  12  .520  3.5       

20-21 Neverwinter NEV         13  12  .520  3.5       

21-22 North Dakota NDK        14  13  .519  3.5       

22-23 Bay City BAY            12  13  .480  4.5       

15-16 "WhatEricSaid?" WES     13  16  .448  5.5       

19-20 Future Wax FUT           7  12  .368  6.5       

21-22 Constantinople CON       9  16  .360  7.5       

 Oceanus!  The only non-championship team is off to a hot start.  Can they keep it up?  And keep in mind that that CN team from two years ago finished 4th at 28-28 in the regular season. 

Here are the standings as of May 31:

LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 2024 Champions League

 

                            WON LOST  PCT   GB  MAGIC#

21-22 North Dakota NDK        33  22  .600 ----   107 

19-20 Oceanus OCE             31  24  .564  2.0       

11-12 The Cheddarmen CHE      26  21  .553  3.0       

20-21 Neverwinter NEV         30  26  .536  3.5       

10-11 New Orleans NEW         24  26  .480  6.5       

19-20 Future Wax FUT          23  27  .460  7.5       

15-16 "WhatEricSaid?" WES     26  31  .456  8.0       

22-23 Bay City BAY            24  29  .453  8.0       

21-22 Constantinople CON      21  32  .396 11.0       

Now that’s more like it!  Note that teams have played close to the SOMBILLA 56 game schedule. I’m sure Tom is reveling in his team’s basement dwelling. Current leaders:

LEAGUE LEADERS FOR 2024 Champions League through May 31.                    

 LEAGUE LEADERS FOR 2024 Champions League                            

 ----BATTING AVERAGE----    --------HOMERUNS-------   -----RUNS BATTED IN----   --------- 

 A.Benintendi  BAY  .347  R.Devers      CON    16   R.Acuna       NEV    36       

 J.Baez        FUT  .303  M.Machado     FUT    13   J.Bell        NEV    36  

 A.Jones       NEW  .297  A.Dunn        NEW    13   A.Bregman     NEV    36  

                  

Not much change through June 30, although Jeff has pulled into 3rd place:

LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 2024 Champions League

                            WON LOST  PCT   GB  MAGIC#

2122 North Dakota NDK        47  30  .610 ----    78 

1920 Oceanus OCE             45  36  .556  4.0       

1516 "WhatEricSaid?" WES     40  40  .500  8.5       

1011 New Orleans NEW         38  39  .494  9.0       

2021 Neverwinter NEV         42  44  .488  9.5       

1112 The Cheddarmen CHE      37  39  .487  9.5       

1920 Future Wax FUT          36  40  .474 10.5       

2223 Bay City BAY            36  44  .450 12.5       

2122 Constantinople CON      37  46  .446 13.0       

 

----------WINS---------   ----------ERA----------  

 M.Clevinger   OCE    11   S. Bieber   NDK  2.41

 J.Degrom      NDK     9   S. Ohtani   CON  2.48

 C.Carpenter   NEW     9   Z. Gallen   BAY  2.59

 T.Lincecum    CHE     9   W. Buehler  OCE  2.67

 

Through July 31, New Orleans (18-9 during July) and Constantinople (18-7 during July) charge to the front:

LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 2024 Champions League

 

                            WON LOST  PCT   GB  MAGIC#

1920 Oceanus OCE             63  46  .578 ----    52 

2122 North Dakota NDK        58  46  .558  2.5       

1011 New Orleans NEW         56  48  .538  4.5       

2122 Constantinople CON      55  53  .509  7.5       

1516 "WhatEricSaid?" WES     52  55  .486 10.0       

1112 The Cheddarmen CHE      51  56  .477 11.0       

1920 Future Wax FUT          50  57  .467 12.0       

2021 Neverwinter NEV         50  61  .450 14.0       

2223 Bay City BAY            47  60  .439 15.0       

AWARDS VOTING FOR 2024 Champions League through July 31                       

MVP AWARD                               CY YOUNG AWARD

A.Bregman(NEV) 377                      S.Doolittle(OCE) 112

T.Tulowitzki(CHE) 366                   S.Bieber(NDK) 99

J.Ramirez(OCE) 213                      M.Scherzer(FUT) 49

T.Story(OCE) 139                        K.Giles(WES) 19

R.Devers(CON) 102                       F.Ni*(NEW) 9

* That’s Harold’s 2009 mutant Fu-Te Ni in the Cy Young voting.

Standings at the end of August:

LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 2024 Champions League

                            WON LOST  PCT   GB  MAGIC#

1920 Oceanus OCE             79  55  .590 ----    22 

2122 North Dakota NDK        75  60  .556  4.5       

1011 New Orleans NEW         74  61  .548  5.5       

2122 Constantinople CON      66  69  .489 13.5       

1516 "WhatEricSaid?" WES     65  69  .485 14.0       

1112 The Cheddarmen CHE      66  71  .482 14.5       

1920 Future Wax FUT          63  72  .467 16.5       

2021 Neverwinter NEV         61  71  .462 17.0       

2223 Bay City BAY            57  78  .422 22.5       

Only 3 ½ games separating 5 teams for the final playoff berth.

ALL-STAR SELECTIONS BY POSITION through August 31

C  J.Realmuto(NEV) 1,508,632            Y.Gomes(FUT) 1,429,130

1B P.Konerko(CHE) 2,828,805             A.Dunn(NEW) 2,290,945

2B J.Baez(FUT) 2,993,961                B.Zobrist(NEW) 2,294,825

3B J.Ramirez(OCE) 2,618,228             E.Suarez(BAY) 2,609,630

SS T.Tulowitzki(CHE) 4,199,471          A.Bregman(NEV) 3,941,466

LF S.Ohtani(CON) 2,273,859              C.Crawford(CHE) 2,195,045

CF R.Acuna(NEV) 2,668,890               T.Grisham(NDK) 1,992,453

RF B.Harper(CON) 3,153,191              J.Werth(CHE) 2,024,181

Pi S.Doolittle(OCE) 4,031,492           S.Bieber(NDK) 3,486,695

   K.Giles(WES) 3,187,528               F.Ni(NEW) 2,539,522

   A.Nola(OCE) 2,444,339                M.Scherzer(FUT) 2,147,078

   A.Manoah(CON) 1,905,326              W.Buehler(OCE) 1,901,106

   T.Lincecum(CHE) 1,874,515            G.Gallegos(NEV) 1,857,843

   L.Lynn(NDK) 1,654,532                M.Clevinger(OCE) 1,635,227

FINAL LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 2024 Champions League

                            WON LOST  PCT   GB  MAGIC#

1920 Oceanus OCE             89  71  .556 ----     1 

2122 North Dakota NDK        89  71  .556 ----       

1011 New Orleans NEW         86  74  .538  3.0       

1516 "WhatEricSaid?" WES     81  79  .506  8.0       

1112 The Cheddarmen CHE      80  80  .500  9.0       

2021 Neverwinter NEV         79  81  .494 10.0       

1920 Future Wax FUT          73  87  .456 16.0       

2122 Constantinople CON      73  87  .456 16.0       

2223 Bay City BAY            70  90  .438 19.0  

Pretty close final standings.  Oceanus takes first place by virtue of an 11-9 head to head advantage over North Dakota.  Jeff beats out Eric by 1 game and Sam by two games for the final playoff berth.  Sam’s Bregman wins MVP and Bieber wins the Cy Young

 AWARDS VOTING FOR 2024 Champions League                       

MVP AWARD                               CY YOUNG AWARD

A.Bregman(NEV) 384                      S.Bieber(NDK) 121

T.Tulowitzki(CHE) 366                   S.Doolittle(OCE) 91

S.Bieber(NDK) 213                       A.Nola(OCE) 49

T.Story(OCE) 138                        K.Giles(WES) 19

J.Ramirez(OCE) 97                       F.Ni(NEW) 8

ALL-STAR SELECTIONS BY POSITION

C  J.Realmuto(NEV) 1,810,491            Y.Gomes(FUT) 1,635,135

1B P.Konerko(CHE) 2,931,530             J.Bell(NEV) 2,708,852

2B J.Baez(FUT) 3,419,584                B.Zobrist(NEW) 2,322,666

3B E.Suarez(BAY) 3,005,760              J.Ramirez(OCE) 2,871,495

SS A.Bregman(NEV) 4,989,471             T.Tulowitzki(CHE) 4,287,771

LF C.Crawford(CHE) 2,440,222            S.Ohtani(CON) 2,212,426

CF R.Acuna(NEV) 3,185,328               A.Jones(WES) 2,316,288

RF B.Harper(CON) 3,340,445              J.Werth(CHE) 2,309,734

Pi S.Bieber(NDK) 4,789,892              K.Giles(WES) 4,151,239

   S.Doolittle(OCE) 4,081,147           A.Nola(OCE) 3,284,038

   F.Ni(NEW) 2,914,700                  G.Gallegos(NEV) 2,781,002

   M.Scherzer(FUT) 2,236,026            T.Lincecum(CHE) 1,960,962

   L.Lynn(NDK) 1,883,824                J.Degrom(NDK) 1,848,345

   W.Buehler(OCE) 1,791,639             A.Manoah(CON) 1,730,018

LEAGUE LEADERS FOR 2024 Champions League                             

 ----BATTING AVERAGE----   --------HOMERUNS-------   -----RUNS BATTED IN----

 I.Suzuki      NEW  .301   R.Devers      CON    39   J.Baez        FUT    97

 L.Guillorme   NDK  .284   E.Suarez      BAY    36   J.Bell        NEV    96

 A.Bohm        NDK  .269   A.Bregman     NEV    34   P.Konerko     CHE    96

 J.McNeil      BAY  .267   S.Ohtani      CON    33   A.Bregman     NEV    95

 C.Figgins     NEW  .266   A.Dunn        NEW    33   M.Machado     FUT    89

 A.Dickerson   NDK  .264   B.Harper      CON    32   A.Dunn        NEW    89

 J.Martinez    WES  .263   F.Tatis Jr    CON    32   S.Ohtani      CON    84

 R.Cano        NEW  .263   J.Votto       CON    32   R.Acuna       NEV    82

 A.Bregman     NEV  .262   J.Bell        NEV    32   R.Cano        NEW    82

 J.Altuve      OCE  .261   T.Tulowitzki  CHE    32   B.Harper      CON    80

 J.Baez        FUT  .259   R.Acuna       NEV    31   T.Mancini     NEV    80  

 C. Crawford   CHE  .257   E.Suarez      FUT    31   B.Zobrist     NEW    80  

                                                 (obviously plays better for me – Robin)

----------WINS---------   ----------ERA----------   ---------SAVES---------  

 S.Bieber      NDK    19  S.Bieber      NDK  2.28   S.Doolittle   OCE    55  

 L.Lynn        NDK    18  W.Buehler     OCE  2.49   F.Ni          NEW    41  

 A.Nola        OCE    18  A.Nola        OCE  2.81   K.Giles       WES    36   

 G.Gonzalez    CHE    16  C.Carpenter   NEW  3.08   J.Leclerc     FUT    33  

 M.Scherzer    FUT    15  J.Happ        NEW  3.09   J.Thatcher    CHE    33  

 C.Kluber      OCE    15  T.Lincecum    CHE  3.19   G.Gallegos    NEV    32  

 M.Clevinger   OCE    15  T.Lilly       NEW  3.20   K.Graveman    CON    29  

 T.Lincecum    CHE    15  C.Rodon       CON  3.22   R.Marinaccio  BAY    27  

                          M.Scherzer    FUT  3.27   D.Pomeranz    NDK    25   

                          M.Clevinger   OCE  3.39   L.Hendriks    NDK    11                            

                          Z.Gallen      BAY  3.44   D.Bard        BAY     8                            

                          J.Lester      WES  3.50

 

 

Playoffs! 

Jed vs. Jeff

Arnie vs. Harold

 

Oceanus 1 “What Eric Said?” 0

Oceanus 6 “What Eric Said?” 1

Oceanus 4 “What Eric Said?” 2

“What Eric Said?” 1 Oceanus 0

Oceanus 3 “What Eric Said?” 0

 

Oceanus wins series 4 games to 1

MVP – Corey Kluber 2-0, 1.29 ERA

 

New Orleans 5 North Dakota 2

North Dakota 8 New Orleans 3

North Dakota 8 New Orleans 6

North Dakota 1 New Orleans 0

North Dakota 6 New Orleans 1

 

North Dakota wins series 4 games to 1

MVP - Francisco Lindor .409, 1HR, 4 RBI

 

World Series: Oceanus vs. North Dakota.  North Dakota attempts to defend the honor of the Champions against a pretender.

 

Oceanus 5 North Dakota 3

Oceanus 3 North Dakota 2

North Dakota 4 Oceanus 3

Oceanus 12 North Dakota 1

North Dakota 9 Oceanus 1

Oceanus 2 North Dakota 1

Oceanus wins series 4 games to 2

MVP – Kluber 2-0, 2.63

A profound embarrassment for the 8 champions.  I’d also argue that Jed should be embarrassed that this great team could not even win the World Series back in 2019.  Next time, we’ll use the 1983 cards for Jed.
 

Superlatives [7/24]

 

Least likely to make a midseason trade – Bay City

Most likely to change team name midseason or offseason – Koop Island Blues

Most likely to use Lamana in drafting and to structure trades – Oceanus

Most likely to lampoon teams for using Lamana – North Dakota

Most likely to have multiple layers of reasons for having to reschedule – Constantinople

Least likely to see your email within 24 hours (and most likely to respond to it several months later) – Future Wax

Most likely to draft a Yankee – New Orleans

Most difficult for creating a superlative – Neverwinter


Salaries in the SOMBILLA [7/23]

 

It’s been a while since we looked into each owner’s payroll.  Who are the SOMBILLA’s big market teams, for whom money is no object? Who is trying to buy the Championship?  In other words, who are the Mets of the SOMBILLA (I wanted to say Yankees, but the Mets, with a ridiculous $344.1 million payroll, $64.8 million over the 2nd place Yankees, have surpassed them for highest payroll now.)  Given the performance of the Mets so far, you do not want to be the Mets of the SOMBILLA.

 Conversely, who are the league’s small market cheapskate owners, operating on a shoestring budget? (The A’s of the SOMBILLA, with a minuscule $60.8 million payroll). You probably don’t want to be the A’s of the SOMBILLA either.

For this study, I let the computer choose each person’s 26-man roster as that was the most expedient. The computer always makes a few questionable choices, but it was good enough for this.  I used the 2023 MLB data that is readily available on a few websites. 

So, who is the SOMBILLA’s big market, Mets/Yankees trying to purchase the championship? I’ll give you one guess:

1.       Future Wax – Payroll $295,302,000. Interestingly, even in an all-star league, Future Wax’s payroll is almost $50 million less than the Mets payroll. This says more about the Mets than Future Wax. They did win the championship 3 years ago, but they still refuse to cut payroll in hopes of a return to the glory days. Highest paid players:

 Max Scherzer                         $43,333,333

Giancarlo Stanton                   $32,000,000

Trea Turner                            $27,273,000

Marcus Stroman                     $25,000,000

George Springer                      $22,500,000

Number of minimum salaried players:  4

2.       North Dakota – Payroll $279,764,000. Future Wax wannabes?  Horrors! Like Future Wax though, they did recently win the championship (2022), so money talks.

 Paul Goldschmidt                   $46,000,000

Francisco Lindor                     $34,100,000

Jake deGrom                          $30,000,000

Mookie Betts                          $25,000,000

Chris Bassitt                           $19,000,000

Number of minimum salaried players:  5

3.    Bay City – Payroll $261,982,000. Lost the World Series in extra innings of game 7. Could a few more $$ have been the difference? Will she buy some free agents to put her over the top?

       Gerrit Cole                             $36,000,000

       Carlos Correa                         $33,333,333

       Yu Darvish                             $25,000,000

       Starling Marte                                      $20,750,000

       Sal Perez                                $20,000,000

 Number of minimum salaried players:  5

 4.      Neverwinter – Payroll $261,974,000. In a virtual tie with Bay City for 3rd place. Although not in contention last year, he’s only two years removed from winning the championship. I’m seeing a pattern here. Sam is not afraid to spend, but note that his highest paid players were all signed by Jeff:

 Alex Bregman                        $30,500,000

Freddie Freeman                     $27,000,000

J. T. Realmuto                         $23,875,000

       Mike Mikolas                         $20,416,000

       Charlie Morton                       $20,000,000       

       

        Number of minimum salaried players:  4

 5.      ConstantinoplePayroll $252,091,000. Last year’s champion rounds out the top 5, easily correlating to the most recently successful franchises in the league. Coincidence? I think not. 59% of this team’s salary is tied up in these 5 players:

Mike Trout                             $37,116,000

Dansby Swanson                    $32,285,000

Shohei Ohtani                         $30,000,000

Bryce Harper                          $27,538,000

Carlos Rodon                         $22,833,000

Number of minimum salaried players:  9

6.      New Orleans – Payroll $233,449,000. Note the huge drop-off in payroll from the top 5 to the bottom 3.  Also note the huge drop-off in recent SOMBILLA success. This franchise hasn’t made the playoffs in three years and is now 12 years removed from his last championship. Money talks in this league.

 
Aaron Judge                           $40,000,000

Marcus Semien                       $26,000,000

Zach Wheeler                         $24,500,000

Matt Olson                             $21,000,000

Kenley Jansen                        $16,000,000

Number of minimum salaried players:  6

7.      Dead Nettles – Payroll $231,389,000. Now 11 years removed from his last championship, this team has fallen on some hard times, cutting corners everywhere and it shows. Spends more on his dogs than his team.

Justin Verlander                      $43,333,333

Nolan Aronado                       $35,000,000

Xander Bogaerts                     $25,455,000

Edwin Diaz                            $19,650,000

Joc Pederson                          $19,650,000

Number of minimum salaried players:  7

8.      Oceanus – Payroll $201,809,600. The Oakland Athletics of the SOMBILLA. This cheap bastard’s payroll is a distant last, actually lower than 7 MLB teams. The long-suffering fans of this moribund franchise deserve better. The owner won’t even spring for a new laptop. An embarrassment.

 Jose Altuve                             $29,000,000

Joe Musgrove                         $20,000,000

Julio Rodriguez                      $17,442,000

Aaron Nola                            $16,000,000

Byron Buxton                         $15,286,000

Number of minimum salaried players:  7


The Waiver Draft: An Analysis [7/23]

By Jed Corman, guest columnist

Ah, the Waiver Draft!  The culmination of a week's worth of coming down from the Actual Draft's high. You agonize over making those last few cuts.  You sift through others' trash hoping to find treasure. Then as the MLB season unfolds you watch as players you cut enjoy career seasons and ultimately get re-drafted by someone else. Or worse yet, by you.

Just to refresh your memory, the Waiver Draft was Tom's brainchild back in 2009. Some league members have traditionally eschewed the Waiver Draft while others have embraced it. The question is, how has it affected Eric?  Well, that's one question.  (Spoiler alert: not a lot).

This study will answer a number of burning questions you have about the Waiver Draft. Of course, the burning part might just be something you ate.

Note that the historical record for the Waiver Draft is sadly incomplete. We seem to be missing a few years. Thus, this study has an asterisk next to it.

Who has picked up the most players in the Waiver Draft?

I'll bet you're thinking, well, obviously, it's Jed who's chosen the most players in the Waiver Draft.  However, you might be surprised. But you won't be. I have indeed chosen the most players, although more recently Harold has become the most active Waiver Draft participant. Here are the tallies:

Jed: 31

Harold: 21

Tom: 19

Arnie: 11

Randy: 6

Robin: 3

Jeff/Sam: 3

Eric: 2

Notably, Eric has not picked up a player in the Waiver Draft since the very first one back in 2010. Which went 9 rounds, by the way – the longest Waiver Draft in history. It was noted that by round 8 Jeff was shouting “Spooneybarger” (via email, see below) in a desperate attempt to bring the proceedings to a close.

What is the Most Number of Players Chosen during a Specific Waiver Draft?

The most players picked up in any individual Waiver Draft was 8 by yours truly in 2010.  I suspect that's a record unlikely to be broken. Though judging by the way things are going for my team this year, who knows.

Who are the Greatest Waiver Draft Pickups of All Time?

I'm thinking my selection of Jose Altuve – cut by North Dakota in 2014 – probably represents the best Waiver Draft pickup of all time.  In 2013 Altuve hit .283 but had an OPS of .679 and was a 3e10 in the field. So Arnie couldn't be blamed for thinking that the diminutive second baseman wasn't going to amount to much. (But MPSTM can be blamed). In 2014, Altuve hit .341 with an OPS of .830. Including 2014, Altuve went on to produce 8 seasons with an OPS of > .800.  4 of which were > .900. And he may still have something left in the tank given he's only 33.  And knowing what pitch is coming will certainly help.

Arnie's selection of Liam Hendriks in 2018 has paid significant dividends. Of course, Hendriks didn't have a great 2017 card (hence his getting cut) but interestingly Hendriks didn't do well in 2018 either yet Arnie kept the faith.  And then in 2019, Hendriks started a run of 4 excellent seasons (with WHIPs of .96, .67, .73 and 1.04).  During the 2021/22 SOMBILLA season, Hendriks led the league in saves with 15. Have to think Hendriks is the #2 all-time Waiver Wire pickup.

And then there was Joey Votto. After holding onto Votto for 3 pretty much unusable seasons, I figured he was washed up at age 91 in 2021. Tom then claimed him. And then he produced a vintage year with an OPS of .938 (above his career average).  He was the #7 card in the set according to Lamanna. During the 2022/23 SOMBILLA campaign – where Tom won the World Series – Votto had an OPS of .899.

Corey Hart – another pickup by Tom – had three outstanding seasons from 2010-2012 after Eric cut him. He hit 87 homers over that span and his OPS was never lower than .841.  Might be worthy of #3 as an all-time Waiver Draft pickup! He had 19 homers for Constantinople over two SOMBILLA seasons.

The Waiver Draft has in a number of instances provided some immediate if not long-term value. Some recent examples include

·        Arnie's drafting of Chad Green (cut by Eric) in 2022. Green was (according to Arnie's go-to source, John Lamanna  one of the top relievers.  [Ed note: It’s laughable that Lamanna liked him so much considering he had 5 ballparks against both sides and he was only drafted for future potential (MPSTM) and to replace the worst previous worst reliever in my bullpen, R. Rodriguez.  He played in fewer than half my series, strictly to absorb innings. Eric had no use for him either. But Lamanna says he was one of the best. Sad!). Unfortunately for Arnie, Green got injured while associating with some Bay City players or he (Green, not Arnie) might've provided more than one usable year. (Ed note again: he’s supposedly coming back in August. But again, he was barely usable last year and drafted for the future).

 
·        Isaiah Kiner-Falefa (cut by Sam) in 2022 gave me a serviceable stop-gap measure at short. 

 
·        Also: Harold's acquisition of Eddie Rosario (cut by Jed) in 2022 gave him a pinch hitter who, albeit in only 26 AB, had an OPS of 1.092 in the SOMBILLA this past season. 

I don't feel like looking up stats for all the players but here are a few additional examples of waiver draft value, in no particular order:

     Adam Warren, picked up by Harold in 2017, probably because Warren got traded to the Yankees in real baseball, produced his career season that year (a .87 WHIP). He provided Harold with 21 IP and a 1.71 ERA during the 2018/19 SOMBILLA campaign.

    Patrick Corbin, picked up by Arnie in 2017, went on to have his two best seasons in 2018 and 2019.  He went 8-2 for Arnie during the 2019/20 SOMBILLA season, with a 3.08 ERA.  Although 0-2, with a 9.00 ERA in 2020/21. Still, 2 usable seasons for a waiver pickup.  Corbin may qualify as the 5th or 6th best waiver draftee of all time (see Darren O'Day below).

     Randy picking up Hyun-jin Ryu in 2015 would've been brilliant if he'd kept Ryu on his roster until 2018 (and 2019).  However, at some point Ryu got cut and Harold used a 2nd-round draft pick to obtain him in 2020.

    Harold's selection of Mike Moustakas in 2015 was a darned good one. The Moose had a down year in 2014, leading to his getting cut.  But in 2015 he had an OPS of .818 and overall produced 3 more years of > .800 OPS.  In 2016, Harold traded Moustakas to Robin for Kenley Jansen (!). Later in 2016, Robin traded Moustakas to Jed for Matt Duffy, a 9th round draft pick (who turned into BJ Upton?) and a player to be named later (Cody Allen).  Moustakas provided some value, maybe as much or more than Corbin.  And Harold parlaying him into Jansen – that was a coup only made possible by the Waiver Draft!  Arguably Moustakas generated the most activity of any waiver draftee.

     Harold's picking up of Sabathia in 2014 (again, probably because he was a Yankee) might have worked out well for him. But from 2013-2015, Sabathia was unusable, leading to his getting cut again. Starting in 2016, however, he produced three years in a row of sub 4.00 ERA seasons. However, I guess if Sabathia had been that good he would've gotten re-drafted.  I don't see that he was in the league at all during those years....

    And how could I not mention Darren “Luck O' the Irish” O'Day? You might ask “Why can't I get players like that?”  Well, a good start would be not cutting him.... He was actually cut twice!  Originally drafted by Robin in 2010, she eventually cut him. And RAT drafted him in 2013, cutting him a year later.  I picked O'Day in the final round of the 2014 Waiver Draft.  I don't really understand why he was cut because he had a 2.18 ERA with a 1.00 WHIP in MLB 2013.  During the 2014/15 SOMBILLA campaign he pitched 22 1/3 innings for me with a 2.01 ERA. And O'Day would go on to have fine seasons in 2014 and 2015 (and later, in 2017-2020 – but he had been cut and re-drafted).  O'Day arguably is the 4th or 5th best Waiver Draft pickup of all time.

    Reliever Tyler Clippard – grabbed by Harold (of course) in the 2013 Waiver Draft after a somewhat down season and traded to North Dakota in 2015 – provided multiple usable cards. He's up there with O'Day and maybe ahead of Corbin and Moustakas as a waiver draftee..

 Has Any Player been Drafted More Than Once in the Waiver Draft?

 Yes! Tommy “I am the” Edman was waiver drafted by Harold in 2021 (after being cut by Arnie).  Interestingly, to obtain Edman, Harold cut Christian Walker, who was re-drafted in 2023 by Randy.  Edman was cut by Harold in 2023 and picked up by Jed this year.

What was the Best Waiver Draft Trade? (i.e, trades after the regular draft but before the waiver draft)

There have been 3 (pre-) Waiver Draft Trades:

1.      In 2012, Tom traded Coco Crisp to Eric for Chipper Jones.

2.      Also in 2012, Tom traded Kelly Johnson to Jed for Rafael Furcal.

3.      In 2021, Eric traded Pressly to Jed for Eovaldi.

 One would think that getting a future Hall of Famer for a box of cereal would be the steal of the century.  However, Crisp would go on to produce at least 2 above career average seasons in 2012 and 2013. He was a base stealer and I believe a good defender in CF.  Meanwhile, Chipper Jones would play only one more season with stats far below his career averages, though he probably was usable.  So really, the trade was something of a wash and maybe actually to Eric's advantage.

Without checking, I'd say Kelly Johnson got cut in 2013 and never made it back to the SOMBILLA.  He was usable in a limited way with his 2011 card but checking the stats he didn't play.  Furcal had a fine career (despite lying about his age) but only played one more full season (2012). He didn't play for Tom.  So this trade was the definition of a wash.

And as previously touched on, Pressly for Eovaldi is still TBD. Pressly has been arguably more productive in the SOMBILLA thus far, with his 15 saves in 2022.  But Eovaldi has gotten some usage, and at the time I am writing this is having a fine 2023 season and made the All-Star team!  Too bad Eric cut him this year. 

I'd conclude that the Pressly for Eovaldi trade has been the most impactful Waiver Draft trade.

Who Performed Better: Waiver Draft Pickups or their Cut Counterparts?

 Hoo boy, this would take more hours than I want to put into it. But it's a great question, isn't it?  So, I decided to focus just on the original 9-round Waiver Draft.  I don't know if that's sufficient to draw statistically significant conclusions from. But here's what I found (I removed all the passes). (Ed note:  Because it was so new and we weren’t sure about the best way to implement it, this first waiver draft was actually held via e-mail. Each manager had 24 hours to make their pick. The entire draft lasted over a month.  Remember that? I remember making one pick from a Delaware hotel room. – Arnie)

Waiver Draft 2010

 1st round

3. Harold - claims Edgar Renteria from A51, and cuts Orlando Cabrera. Renteria played two more years and one was possibly usable.  Orlando Cabrera played two more years and one was possibly usable. Extremely marginal advantage in the pickup.

4. Tom - claims Milton Bradley from Jed, cuts Mark Ellis. Bradley played two more unusable years.  Ellis played 4 more years and hit .291 in 2010.  Should've kept.

6. Jed - claims FW's Jeremy Guthrie and cuts Chris Sampson.  Guthrie had a good 2010 (starred starter with a 1.16 WHIP).  Nothing after that.  Sampson never played again.  Advantage: pickup.

7. RAT - reclaims F. Cordero and cuts Saltalamacchia. 

Francisco (“don't call me Franchy”) Cordero had 40 saves in 2010 and yet was likely unusable due to a 1.43 WHIP.  But...Cordero had a 1.02 WHIP in 2011.  But...he doesn't seem to have been used during the 2012/13 SOMBILLA season.  Jarrod (“Salty”) Saltalamacchia played for quite a while after 2009, with 25 homers in 2012 and a .804 OPS in 2013.  So this was either a wash or maybe even they shoulda kept Salty.

2nd round

2. Arnie - claims C. Delgado from A51 and cuts Luke Scott. Delgado never played in MLB after 2009.  But...Arnie did get some use out of his limited 2009 card.  Luke Scott had 25 homers and a .828 OPS in 2009 and then 27 homers and a .902 OPS in 2010.  Why was he cut?  Well, fact is, Scott never got re-drafted so I guess he wasn't usable enough.  Advantage pickup!

3. Harold - claims Jarrod Saltalamacchia and cuts newly drafted Ryan Roberts. Harold re-cut Saltalamacchia so never enjoyed his good seasons.  I don't think Roberts was ever usable, so this was a complete wash.

4. Tom - claims Tim Wakefield from BC and waives Taylor Bucholz.  Wakefield played 2 more unusable years.  Buchholz was never usable.  Wash.

6. Jed - reclaims Manny Corpas and cuts Rick Ankiel*. Corpas went on to suck.  Ankiel went on to suck.  Wash.

8. Eric - claim Chris Snyder and cuts Dioner Navarro. Snyder might've been marginally usable in a limited way in 2011.  Or not.  Navarro's career year was 2013 and he was limited but good.  Should've kept but nobody would've kept him that long.  I'll say it was a wash.

* At that time, an outfielder.  Originally drafted by Robin as a pitcher but presumably cut due to Daniel Bard syndrome.

 3rd round

4. Tom - claims Theriot and cuts X. Nady,  Theriot was godawful.  Nady was godawful.  Wash.

6. Jed - claims Capps and cuts JJ Hardy.  Capps certainly didn't do much and likely didn't get any SOMBILLA usage.  (Ed note: I remember he got off to a hot start in MLB (remember we were drafting in May and into June), and Harold commented on Jed’s drafting of the hot player). Hardy was around for a while and produced some decent years after getting cut. (Hardy hit 30 homers in 2011.  Should've kept Hardy, but I made up for this in the next round. 

4th round

2. Arnie - claims Jerry Blevins, cuts Scot (only one 't') Shields.  Blevins produced a couple of usable seasons in 2012 and 2013.  Did Arnie keep him that long?  Nope – he was re-cut and later drafted by Harold (Blevins was a reliever, of course).  Shields pitched in 2010 but he shouldn't have.  This was a wash even though Blevins was the better player (because Arnie didn't get any benefit from this pickup).

4. Tom - reclaims Smoltz, cuts Wakefield. Smoltz never pitched after 2009.  Wakefield, as mentioned, sucked.  Wash.

6. Jed - reclaims JJ Hardy, cuts Tony Pena. Hardy as mentioned had at least one excellent season upcoming.  I believe this was Tony Pena the pitcher, who sucked.  Good pickup. (Ed note: In January 2012, Oceanus traded Hardy to North Dakota along with a 7th round pick [became Coco Crisp] for Jimmy Rollins and David Murphy.  The trade was ostensibly to help Oceanus immediately, ND just needed a SS placeholder for the rest of the presumably lost season.  But Hardy helped North Dakota win the championship [and Matt Joyce, called up by ND from the taxi squad to replace Murphy on the 25-man roster, became the World Series MVP]).

8. Eric - reclaims Rowand, cuts Dickerson. Aaron Rowand was awful.  Chris (“the dick”) Dickerson was worthless.  Wash.

5th round

2. Arnie - cuts Albert Pujols and immediately redrafts him  Huh?  Well, I guess we can say this was a wash.  But I don't think this is allowed.  Must've been a joke.  (Ed note: Yes, Pujols was still very good. Easier to pull this joke off via e-mail).

4. Tom - cuts Bradley, claims Tejada. Mentioned Bradley was useless.  Doesn't look like Miguel Tejada got any SOMBILLA playing time.  Wash.

6. Jed - cuts Dice K, claims A. Soriano. Dice K amounted to nothing.  But Soriano was something.  His stats make it seem like he should've been usable, but I don't find him in the historical SOMBILLA record.  Eventually Harold got a hold of him, and he played for him.  But since I didn't get any benefit, this was a wash.

6th round

2. Arnie - claims Dice-K, cuts Chris Young (pitcher).  As mentioned Dice K never lived up to the hype.  Chris Young had one usable limited year in 2015 but it doesn't look like he was in the SOMBILLA during the 2016/17 campaign.  So...another wash.

4. Tom - claims Aviles - waives Jenks. Mike Aviles had his best year in 2010.  But didn't get used!  Bobby Jenks was never usable.  Wash.

6. Jed - cut Jeff Francouer and claimed James Loney. James (“Only the”) Loney never played in the SOMBILLA after getting picked up.  Francouer had his career year in 2011 and would have been worth keeping for that.  And yet...he didn't play in the SOMBILLA in 2012/13 so this turned out to be a wash.

7th round

2.  Arnie - reclaims Chris Young, cuts J. Blevins. Shoulda kept Blevins.

4. Tom - claims C. Hart - waives Tejada. As mentioned above, Corey Hart was one of the best Waiver Draft pickups of all time.  Tejada was useless at this point in his career.

6. Jed - cuts Fuentes, reclaims Sampson. As mentioned above, Sampson provided no value.  But neither did Fuentes.  Wash.

8th round

2.  Arnie - claims Beimel, cuts R. Ramirez. Beimel went on to suck.  Ramon Ramirez had a usable 2011.  But he didn't play in the SOMBILLA.  Wash.

5.  Tom - claims Max Ramirez - waives E. Santana. Max Ramirez never had more than a cup of MLB coffee.  Santana definitely had some usable years.  Should have kept.  But...I don't see Santana appearing in the SOMBILLA stats over the next several years, so I guess even this was a wash.

9th round

5.  Tom - reclaims E. Santana, waives Morrow.  Tom makes up for the mistake of cutting Santana.  But...again...he didn't use Santana.  Morrow did have a usable 2012 and was picked up by Jeff and pitched ok for him in the SOMBILLA.  Mostly a wash because it is unlikely anyone would have kept Morrow around long enough to enjoy his one good year.

6. Jed - cut Sampson, claims Ohman. Again, Sampson was useless, so cutting him was a good move.  Ohman always sucked, not sure why he was ever drafted.  Wash.

So it looks like the most likely Waiver Draft transaction outcome is a wash.  Mainly because both the player you cut and the player you pick up are likely to suck.

Subjective Assessment of the Impact of the Waiver Draft

Based on the fact that there have been few players selected in the waiver drafts who've gone on to illustrious careers and produced multiple usable years, the impact of the Waiver Draft has been pretty minor.  The golden nuggets are rare indeed (Altuve, Hendriks, Votto, Hart, maybe O'Day, maybe Clippard).  The most probable outcome of a Waiver Draft transaction is that it will be a wash.  I still say it was an awesome idea on Tom's part and I think represents a nice light dessert after the main course of the Actual Draft.


Who (does the computer think) are the best players for this upcoming Strat-O season? [7/23]

I took all the major leaguers with 2022 cards and let the computer draft a 26-man roster. Who are the best 26 players in the league, at least according to the computer? Below is the roster, along with the round that the computer drafted the player in. Do you agree?  And more important, if you are Jed, does Lamanna agree? The first pick overall?  New Orleans’ Aaron Judge.

Hard to argue too much with this All-SOMBILLA first team, except for the fact that the third drafted pitcher, JP Feyereisen is not even in the league this year (although he was an available serious righty reliever mutant).  Still, it may not be exactly the team that you (or Lamanna) would draft, but it would kick some serious butt in the SOMBILLA.

                             

Player

Computer Draft Position

SOMBILLA Team

Aaron Judge

1

New Orleans

Paul Goldschmidt

2

North Dakota

Yordan Alvarez

3

Dead Nettles

Austin Riley

4

New Orleans

Mookie Betts

5

North Dakota

Jose Altuve

7

Oceanus

Willy Adames

11

Future Wax

J.T. Realmuto

13

Neverwinter

Kyle Schwarber

18

Neverwinter

Mike Trout

20

Constantinople

Sal Perez

21

Bay City

Shohei Ohtani*

24

Constantinople

Brendan Donovan

26

Constantinople

Daulton Varsho

27

Oceanus

 

 

 

Justin Verlander

6

Dead Nettles

Emmanuel Clase

8

New Orleans

J.P. Feyereisen

9

-----------

Zac Gallen

10

Bay City

Ryan Helsley

12

Neverwinter

Evan Phillips

14

Constantinople

Sandy Alcantara

15

New Orleans

Edwin Diaz

16

Dead Nettles

Devin Williams

17

Constantinople

Tony Gonsolin

19

New Orleans

Spencer Strider

22

Future Wax

Shohei Ohtani*

23

Constantinople

Jason Adam

25

New Orleans

* Interestingly, although the computer drafted pitcher Ohtani and hitter Ohtani consecutively, it knew that he was one guy because it actually drafted 27 rounds of players, even though I told it to draft 26.

I then had the computer draft a 2nd team – the all SOMBILLA 2nd team.  Or the Washington Generals of the SOMBILLA.As with the first team, the computer found a guy – Dylan Moore – who is not in the league (marginally usable against lefties but plays all OF and IF positions).  A few eyebrow raising choices.  This team would be a likely SOMBILLA playoff team, but not a shoo-in for the championship.

 

Player

Computer Draft Position

SOMBILLA Team

Freddie Freeman

1

Neverwinter

Manny Machado

2

Future Wax

Michael Harris

3

New Orleans

Kyle Tucker

4

North Dakota

Dansby Swanson

5

Constantinople

Marcus Semien

7

New Orleans

Willson Contreras

10

North Dakota

Joc Pederson

12

Dead Nettles

Julio Rodriguez

18

Oceanus

Trayce Thompson

20

Bay City

Adley Rutschman

21

Dead Nettles

Dylan Moore

22

-----------

Nolan Aranado

26

Dead Nettles

 

 

 

Alek Manoah

6

Constantinople

Daniel Bard

8

Bay City

Corbin Burnes

9

Bay City

Alexis Diaz

11

Constantinople

John Schreiber

13

Constantinople

Clayton Kershaw

14

Future Wax

Erik Swanson

15

Future Wax

Nestor Cortes

16

New Orleans

Jordan Romano

17

North Dakota

Tyler Anderson

19

Neverwinter

Max Fried

23

Neverwinter

Feliz Bautista

24

Neverwinter

Carlos Rodon

25

Constantinople

Combining these two teams, here are the totals of players in the computer’s top 50:

Constantinople – 10

New Orleans - 9

Neverwinter– 7

Dead Nettles – 6

North Dakota – 5

Future Wax – 5

Bay City – 5

Oceanus – 3


Rediscovered Twits Notes [7/23]

Sometime around 2000, I spent a long while typing up all the old standings and articles from the SOMBILLA’s pre-Internet days to upload to the league’s new website.  You can find many famous articles, such as “Eric Lost the Scoresheets,” “The SOMBILLA Trading and Loan Scandal,” “Tsuan Guruism,” and “How League Members React to Receiving Shit” in the Archives.

But some poignant and interesting Twits Notes tidbits were never included.  Mostly because it would’ve been too time-consuming to go through the voluminous piles of newsletters accumulated in our Holliston attic to find everything.  Well, as promised two summers ago, when I published, “The Summer Newsletter” as a study: “This is Part 1 of going through old newsletters in the attic.  Next summer, I'll dig up old newsletter headlines (such as “Who is this Dan Pasqua,” “Another bad start for Jed,” “Tsuan pays up!”) and good lost Twits Notes not already posted to the website.” 

 OK, I’m one year late.  But here you go, these Twits Notes will now be memorialized forever.  Interestingly, I found tons of good stuff, but to my pleasant surprise, a lot of it is already on the website!  Check out the Archives some day when you are bored.  Anyway, we start off with something, not Twits Notes at all, but the first published Draft Day Agenda – the first 10-round draft after the creation of the permanent league:

 

A piece of paper with writing on it

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Long lost Twits Notes and Newsletter Headlines:

12/31/86   What’s wrong with the Folders? (I.e., why aren’t they losing?).  The shocking Manila Folders continue their rampage, with every week bringing dozens of new franchise records. The consensus around the league among those who have actually faced Matt is that he has been incredibly lucky.  Though much of Strat-O is luck and karma, can a truly bad team go on a 56-game luck streak?  Will Vince Coleman and Ozzie Smith continue to be 1-2 in batting at .367 and .345? Will Dwight Evans finish in the home run leaders? Will Leibrandt and Guidry continue to baffle lefty killers?  Will Bill Campbell and the Quiz continue to not to choke?  We say no.  Perhaps 1000-1 was a bit harsh, and they might not even finish last.  But playoffs????!!!!

Injuries are up over 250% over last year.  The dice are not any more dangerous, nor are the cards flimsier or the players in worse condition.  Rather, the increase is due solely to Tsuan’s new injury rule.  Every team has felt the impact, and the players are dropping like flies.  In one game, both Matt’s 2nd basemen were injured (not bad luck, because he still won), and other horrible stories abound.  Though confusion reigns about maximum injury length (it’s all in the rules shown in Vol 1, which should be posted in your bathroom, by now), stupidity abounds where managers have forgotten to call up replacements. The moral is to be prepared for injuries, keep track of who has been injured, and yell at Tsuan when your best player gets hurt, causing you to miss the playoffs.

12/21/86: Play of the week: Ken Oberkfell of the Manila Folders lined into a triple play and was injured for 4 games.

1/24/88: Joel Jacobs, one of the SOMBILLA’s founding fathers, has decided to resign from the league. Seven-year member, stalwart, pillar of stability Jacobs, claims he is doing this out of fairness to the league.  Now if this rock solid (admittedly losing) franchise owner decided he was bored, hated Strat-O, didn’t have the time, hated other league members, or would rather crawl over hot coals on his stomach than play in the SOMBILLA, we (the league) could buy his argument. But nooooooooo! Joel claims that his lack of energy input into operating his team is unfair to the league, and therefore he will withdraw. Let’s address this issue.

Does Joel really think he is doing us a disservice by being in the league? Do we abhor his presence?  What does Joel add to the league? We play Strat-O because we enjoy each other’s presence, the laughs over strange plays, friendship, getting off on the stats, etc.  Joel does not detract from any of this. In fact, Robin says she likes playing Joel more than anyone else, not for obvious reasons (actually she claims she does poorly against him) but because he’s the most easy-going opponent.  Does Joel really want eight gung-ho dynasty types? Do we really want 8 Tsuan & Andy’s? One Tsuan & Andy is enough.  They add something to the league, just as Eric or Matt or Joel add something to the league.  Now, I admit nobody likes losing.  But there’s nothing about Sardukar that 1 hour of draft preparation couldn’t take care of.  I’m not asking you to change your managing or become a newly diligent owner.  We know that’s not feasible. I do think if you study the draft preparation list for 1 hour, and take the draft seriously, you can help your team immensely at little cost or effort to you.  Therefore, instead of taking the easy, gutless, sleazy, spineless step of quitting the league, I ask that you prepare for the draft for 1 hour. That’s all you have to do – managing is easier, and your team wins more when you draft better.

Therefore, for reasons specified above, the league refuses to accept Joel’s resignation.

(By the way, if Joel goes 4-12, he will break the all-time record for worst winning percentage.)

1/30/88: Joel promises to consider reconsidering withdrawal.

2/15/88: Joel still thinking

2/28/88: Will Joel desert his friends?  Joel Jacobs, stalwart, pillar of stability, lovable, admirable, role-model, The Great One, will be making an announcement regarding his future friendship with all of us.  Please, Joel, don’t leave!!!!

(Ed note: as noted on the website, Joel decides to move on with his life).

11/20/88: Future Wax hits a farcical 20 homers – Commissioner outraged!  Is this ‘twisted’ team ‘ruining the league’? (or are we all jealous?)

2/15/89: Down to the wire: slim North Dakota hopes rest upon wife

1/7/90: ‘Mellor Magic’ – surprising LH’s take hold of 4th place, can they really do it?

1/28/90: Frustration setting in: Tsuan refuses to play North Dakota, refuses to return phone calls to league or co-manager.  Commissioner outraged: “We will take action”

From the pre-season newsletter 10/28/90:

A close-up of a paper

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11/27/90: Commissioner takes Boston job.  League to remain Boston-based for at least two years.

(Ed note: after graduating law school in 1990, I was certain I’d get a Maine lawyer job, and Robin and I were ready to move.  It was not to be).

1/9/91: Who is this Dan Pasqua? That Dan Pasqua of Future Wax leading the league with 33 rbis and third with 11 homers has done it in only 66 at bats. He is also hitting .379.  His stats projected to 594 at bats are 99 homers and 297 rbis

1/23/91: Mellor Magic again!  Harold wins 13 of 16, guns for 2nd

2/16/91: SOMBILLA to invade Worcester County. Residents flee!

12/3/91: Eric has changed his team’s name again, adding an ‘e’ to Fredonia, one month after dropping the ‘e’ and one year after Matt dropped an “l” from Manilla.

12/10/91 The league would like to publicly apologize for falsely accusing Clint of leaving Sam Horn in against a lefty, causing him embarrassment among his peers, and a scolding from Jed. While no court case has yet decided whether it is libelous to falsely accuse someone of ‘Horn-leaving’, the league is voluntarily making a contribution to the Joel Jacobs School for Strat-O Managing Strategy in Clint’s name.

10/25/92 (pre-season issue): Arnie (revised from Arni, as in Andy to Andrew)…Good news and bad news on the stadium front: While the team has been able to lease a parking lot in Moose Jaw, Saskatchewan, for the first 18 games, work on the state of the art (400 capacity) stadium in Gackle has neem stopped by a group of picketers calling themselves “Gacklonians for an end to mediocrity”)

11/22/92 – In the wake of Jed’s winning 3 of 4 from the Hatchbacks, Dave has filed an official protest because he “didn’t get to play against Clint”.  The League is investigating…Moose Jaw’s 17-game lease for the parking lot has expired and the owner of the lot has decided not to renew the lease.  Desperate for a field, the team has accepted an offer to promote marijuana paraphernalia in Holland and will be known as ‘Amsterdam’ indefinitely.

12/6/92 – Andrew has arbitrarily changed his team’s name to Bismarck.  While it cannot be proven, there is suspicion that this change was made solely to confuse league members into thinking that the North Dakota franchise (currently operating as Amsterdam while its stadium is under construction) is floundering, rather than ‘Future Wax’.  Given that the change was made in the middle of the North Dakota/Moose Jaw/Amsterdam’s sweep of Future Wax, the vindictive name change theory is quite probable.

12/31/92 – North Dakota/Moose Jaw/Amsterdam is mobilizing its army to surround the Bismarck franchise and forcibly remove them from the state.

1/10/93 Name change – Bismarck has resumed playing as Future Wax; Nomadic North Dakota after a league record 13 years in one place, has been unceremoniously booted out of Amsterdam in a drug scandal and was forced to find its 3rd home this season on short notice.  The only available field was in Greenland, hence the new name.

Mr. Irrelevant (8/22)

 

This study was suggested by someone (I think Eric) at the draft. A look at the last pick in every draft. Without even examining the list, I can think of one player who stands tall above the others. Do you know who it is? Here is the list:

 

Year

Player & Manager

Comments

1985

Rich Dotson, Joel

The original 35-round draft. Dotson was actually usable and played one season for Joel. Also chosen in round 35?  Dennis Eckersley by Eric

1986

Dave Lapoint, Yitz

Never played in the SOMBILLA

1987

Don Sutton, Joel

The future hall-of-famer was 42 when Joel drafted him. Enough said.

1988

Andres Thomas, Eric

Never played in the SOMBILLA

1989

Jody Davis, Dave

Was at the end of his career, never usable after this. (He did have a fine career with Yitz’s team.)

1990

Fred Manrique, Dave & Clint

Never played in the SOMBILLA

1991

Chuck Nagy, Jed

Nice pick, played 3 seasons for Jed, going 15-17

1992

Dave Hollins, T&A

Young 3B who played 12 years in the majors, but only 1 for T&A.

1993

JT Bruett, Dave

Never played in the SOMBILLA

1994

Lonnie Smith, Arnie

Played one season for North Dakota at the end of his career

1995

Danny Jackson, Jed & Clint

Played one season after being drafted at the end of his career.

1996

Jason Giambi, Land

The real deal! Chosen in the 12th round, Giambi was a 5-time all-star, an MVP and played 20 years in the majors. He had a long and distinguished (steroid-infused) career for Land and is the 2nd best Mr. Irrelevant. I also found this in the archives from Robin “*RP note: Land had the last pick in the draft and was choosing between Giambi and Mark Whiten. I counseled him to take the pre-steroid Giambi because he was so cute.)

 

Also of note is that Harold chose Mariano Rivera in the 10th round.

1997

Rob Deer, Matt

Played one season for Matt. Would have been a great last pick 12 years earlier.

1998

Someone named Andy Sheets, Matt

Never played in the SOMBILLA

1999

David Ortiz, Arnie

Who?

2000

Paul Abbott, RAT

Played one season for RAT

2001

Mark Grace, Harold

Well after his prime, Harold got 2 more years out of him.

2002

Jeremy Burnitz, Harold

Well after his prime, never played in the SOMBILLA after this.

2003

Tim Spooneybarger, RAT

Although he never played in the SOMBILLA, his legend continues.

2004

Doug Waechter, Tom

Never played in the SOMBILLA

2005

Damian Easley, Tom

“Damian Easley deserves some kind of honorable mention for being the last pick of the draft and supplying .886 OPS for two years on a World Series winning team.” - Tom

2006

Russell Branyon, Arnie

He was immediately traded to Tom for a 6th round pick in ’07.

2007

Chris Sampson, Tom

One-year wonder RP, cut after one year

2008

Lee Gardner, Harold

One-year wonder RP, cut after one year

2009

Carlos Gomez, Jed

“CarGo has been the best of what is one of the best late rounds I have ever seen.” - Tom

2010

Francisco Cervelli, Harold

Catcher, played one season at least

2011

Andrew Jones, Harold

Note this was well after his prime. He played one season from this.

2012

Josh Reddick, Robin

“Reddick has been a better major league player than SOMBILLA player, but he has potential well beyond the last pick of the draft (Ed note: and he’s cute).” - Tom

2013

Felix Doubront, Arnie

Hung on to for several years but never played in the SOMBILLA

2014

James Loney, RAT

Never played, cut after one year

2015

Joakim Soria, Tom

Originally drafted by Jed in 2008, for whom he had a fine career.  Played one season for Tom. Redrafted by Arnie in 2020 and pitched in last year’s SOMBILLA WS.

2016

Cody Anderson, Robin

Cut after one season

2017

Manual Margot, Jed

Never played for Oceanus. He was picked up during a waiver draft by Arnie and hit .239 in limited action during the 2020-2021 campaign. Still owned.

2018

David Freese, Randy

“Freese was originally drafted by Future Wax in 2011 and cut in 2014. In 2017 I think he was a lefty-killer?  Certainly he was much better vs. L. Anyway, in 2018/19, he hit .296 for Randy 54 AB.” - Jed

2019

Nick Martini, Harold

Friends with Boston Bruins announcer Bob Beers. Never played in the SOMBILLA

2020

Stephan Crichton, Tom

 

2021

Dylan Moore, Sam

 

2022

Josiah Gray, Randy

 

 Yes, I definitely got lucky with Hall of Famer David Ortiz. I do remember that with that last pick I wanted to take a flyer on a slugger and that Big Papi had the highest projected OPS and slugging percentage of any player still available. It wasn’t a particularly eye-popping projection; a player with such a projection would have been long gone. In researching this study, I was surprised to find out that the Minnesota 2000 David Ortiz card made my team in ’01-02, batting .182 in 55 AB with 1 HR and 2 RBI. (Real David Ortiz batted .282 for the Twins that year with 10 HR.) I also remember that I was planning on cutting Ortiz at the 2003 draft (need that roster spot!) until the Red Sox signed him on January 22, 2003. So I figured I’d give him another chance since he was now a Red Sox. The rest is history.

Behind Big Papi, I think Land’s Jason Giambi is a distant second as best last pick ever. Jed’s Carlos Gomez is 3rd. He was an all-star twice, won a gold glove and played for Jed through the 2014 carded season (’15-16) – six years. He also played for CN after Jed finally cut him.

In fourth place, a tie between Robin’s Josh Reddick, who played 13 years in the majors and Jed’s Chuck Nagy.

Worst pick: From the first Mr. Irrelevant study, back in 2005: When Joel drafted Don Sutton with the last pick of the 1987 draft, the guy was 42, and Joel was about to end his affiliation with the SOMBILLA. To me, that’s the worst Mr. Irrelevant pick. Although there were plenty of swings and misses on this list, at least everyone else was trying.

What about the first overall picks?  Aren’t they more important? (8/22)

It seems to me that if we’re going to focus on the last pick of the draft, shouldn’t we also look at the first pick in the draft, which is clearly more important?  Although many of these players had great careers and ended up in the hall of fame, more would be perceived as busts.

Year

Player & Manager

Comments

1985

Dwight Gooden, T&A

He was 20 years old and had just gone 24-4 with a 1.53 ERA. Pretty sure he was the consensus first pick. 4-time all-star, had several great seasons, but ultimately derailed by injuries at age 27 and was never great again.

1986

Vince Coleman, Matt

Rookie of the year and a 2-time all-star

1987

Ruben Sierra, Arnie

Despite being a 4-time all-star with a 20-year career, he was always considered a disappointment. Joel drafted Jose Canseco 2nd overall, who’d be in the HOF but for steroids.

1988

Mark McGwire, Matt

HOF but for roids

1989

Greg Jefferies, T&A

2-time all-star. Other first rounders were Cone (Robin) R. Alomar (Arnie) HOF, Sheffield (T&A)

1990

Ken Griffey Jr., T&A

HOF

1991

Frank Thomas, Robin

HOF

1992

Phil Plantier, Matt

LOL. He passed on HOF Pudge Rodriguez (Robin picked him 3rd), Mike Mussina (5th overall by Arnie), HOF Jeff Bagwell (7th overall by Durga & Harold)

1993

Curt Schilling, Dave

Borderline HOF based on career, but an asshole Trumper.

1994

Manny Ramirez, Harold

HOF but for roids. Pedro was chosen 5th overall by T&A.

1995

Alex Rodriguez, Land

HOF but for roids

1996

Charles Johnson, Matt

2-time all-star, 4-time gold glover.  HOFs Chipper Jones (2nd by Dave & Jeff) and Derek Jeter (6th by Robin) were also first-rounders that year.

1997

Edgar Renteria, Jeff

5-time all-star, 2-time gold glover.

1998

Ben Grieve, Robin

Rookie of the year, but never became a star, despite several solid seasons. Vlad Guerrero (see 2002 below) was chosen 2nd by Jed & Clint. (From Robin: Hopefully I made up for this pick by drafting Vlad Jr. when I had the chance to.)

1999

JD Drew, Eric

Much-maligned Sox player made one all-star team, but had a 14-year career with a .384 career OBP and career .489 slugging pct.

2000

Kris Benson, Harold

A disappointment. Never became a star. Finished MLB career 70-75, 4.42

2001

Rafael Furcal, Matt

Won Rookie of the Year and was a 3-time all-star. Never panned out to be a superstar as projected; it turns out he was older than everyone thought.

2002

Vlad Guerrero, Jeff

HOF. This was the year of the expanded draft due to the league contraction of Jed & Clint’s BiG DiG franchise. Their best player, Vlad, became a free agent and Jeff pounced.

2003

Mark Prior, Robin

Had a spectacular card when he was drafted, but injuries derailed his career and he retired at age 25, and he is still alive!

2004

Miguel Cabrera, Robin

Should be HOF. Makes up for Prior.

2005

David Wright, Harold

A 7-time all-star and 2-time gold glover.

2006

Felix Hernandez, Jed

A truly great pitcher, until he wasn’t.

2007

Delmon Young, Jeff

 Delmon Young as a first overall pick just escaped worst pick status by putting together a good year this year that leads hope to future usability. I do not think he will ever live up to the pre-trade hype.” – Tom. Verlander was chosen with the very next pick by Eric.

2008

Fausto Carmona, Harold

Fausto Carmona turned out to be older than MLB thought and really named Roberto Hernandez. He turned out to be a malcontent in the clubhouse and while we cannot fault Harold, Carmona/Hernandez has to be considered the worst pick of this exceptional first round.”  - Tom  (First rounders that year – Lincecom, Eric; J. Hamilton & M. Ordonez, Arnie;  A. Gordon, Jeff; Gallardo, Robin; Braun, RAT)

2009

Evan Longoria, Jeff

“Both Evan Longoria and Hiroki Kuroda did play in the SOMBILLA all four years, but Evan Longoria has to be the choice [for best first round pick that year]. He is a perennial 1 at third and the #2 Lamanna choice at his position for the near future, and the 4th best in the current set. It is surprising that his slash lines were not better given his performance in MLB, but I think anyone would take him #1 overall if there was a re-draft now.”  - Tom

2010

Matt Wieters, Arnie

A 4-time all-star and 2-time gold glover.

2011

Buster Posey, Robin

“Posey comes close [to Stanton], as he is listed as the best C for the future and in the current set. Posey’s bat is good enough that SF hopes that playing him at first will lengthen his career and effectiveness.” - Tom

2012

Brett Lawrie, Jeff

Almost the worst pick of the first round and was drafted before Trout who went 2nd.

2013

Bryce Harper, Tom

“Bryce Harper has been one of the most hyped, young players and as such a no brainer number 1 overall pick. He has a MLB NL MVP and even in his off years he is still a top 5 player at his position. After a strong comeback year, he is still the best pick in the round.” - Tom

2014

Jose Fernandez, Harold

“This draft has a number of pitchers who have passed on. If not for a boating accident fueled by narcotics, the best pick laurels would have graced this young hurler’s head. Alas, it seems that water and SOMBILLA pitchers do not mix.”  - Tom. Tom picked Josh Donaldson 7th.

2015

Jose Abreau, Jed

Passed up Mookie Betts (3rd overall by Arnie) to draft this 26-year old with a great card. Had very good stats for Jed. Still playing and has 238 career homers.

2016

Carlos Correa, Robin

(Arnie chose Lindor #2). “So the battle [for best first round pick] goes down to Lindor versus Correa and you could go either way but Lindor wins on health and a better SS glove.” – Tom  (Arnie:  A year after this draft after Lindor had had a much better 2016 than Correa, I offered Robin to trade Lindor straight up for Correa, but she said no.)

2017

Andrew Benintendi, Robin

“Benintendi hasn't justified being selected #1 overall. However, he did hit .285 in one SOMBILLA year (the 2018-2019 season) and he's still on Bay City's roster. He just turned 27 and he's having a relatively good year so there's still hope. Hence, he's not the worst pick [in this round].” – Jed [Robin: and is the second cutest]”.  Was an all-star this year but is not vaccinated.

2018

Cody Bellinger, Eric

See Summer Study #3 – 2018 draft analysis below.

2019

Shohei Ohtani, Tom

I remember Tom was shocked to win the roll off with only a 27% chance to do so, and so pessimistic that he had not prepared for this. He paced back and forth for a bit (losing his chair to Gus the cat) before choosing Ohtani.

2020

Yordan Alvarez, Eric

 

2021

Luis Robert, Harold

 

2022

Franco Wander, Eric

 

All-star team of first picks overall:

C – Buster Posey

1B – Miguel Cabrera

2B – Greg Jeffries

SS – A-Rod

3B – Evan Longoria

OF -  Ken Griffey Jr.

OF – Manny Ramirez

OF – Bryce Harper

DH – Frank Thomas

P – Dwight Gooden (with Schilling #2?  Maybe don’t choose pitchers first overall?) Too soon for Ohtani

Worst first pick overall?  Phil Plantier. He was a mutant who batted .331 with 11 homers in 175 AB. Although he played 8 years in the majors, he was never usable again, finishing with a lifetime batting average of .243. Remember the toilet seat crouch?  Brett Lawrie comes close to Plantier.



 Ages in the SOMBILLA [8/22]

Who has the oldest team in the league? Who has the youngest team?  Does it matter? It stands to reason that the youngest teams should improve in the near future while the oldest teams will have to retool. Is that true? Since this is the first time I’ve done a study like this, we have no historical data to analyze. And no, Eric, I’m not going to research that. We’ll have to relook at this list in a few years.

I got the idea after realizing that in my draft this year, I drafted a lot of old guys (under the philosophy that I’d rather draft someone who’s good instead of someone who is young.)

Looking at each team’s 45-man roster, here are the results (ages as of 7/1/22):

 

Team

Average Age

Players 35 and over

Players 24 and under

Vita-Rays

28.1

4 (Brantley, Molina, Verlander, Wainright)

8 (Anderson, Crochet, Franco, Graterol, Rodgers, Soroka, Soto, Vaughn)

Oceanus

28.2

2 (Abreau, Kluber)

5 (Chisolm, Doval, Huff, Marsh, Sanchez)

Bay City

28.6

2 (Darvish, Gurriel)

4 (Baddoo, Carlson, Guerrero, Luzardo

Future Wax

28.8

5 (Blackmon, Castro, Greinke, McHugh, Scherzer)

4 (Giminez, Gray, Kelenic, Ruiz)

Constantinople

29.1

5 (Carrasco, Donaldson, Luetge, Ruf, Votto)

7 (Adell, Manoah, May, McKenzie, Patino, Sanchez, Tatis

Neverwinter

29.5

5 (Bleier, Cain, Clippard, Morton, Watson)

3 (Acuna, Bichette, Kirilloff)

New Orleans

29.7

2 (McGee, Posey)

2 (Clase, Robert)

North Dakota

30.2

3 (Crawford, Hill, Lynn)

1 (Lux)

 

 

 

 

League Ave

29.0

 

 

Eric has the youngest team in the league, although Jed is close. Eric has 8 players 24 and younger, most in the league. Meanwhile, as I predicted, North Dakota has the oldest team, with only 1 player 24 and under sadly.

Does this mean that Eric will be a powerhouse in a few years? Will North Dakota be rebuilding in a few years but is going for it now?   We’ll see.

But what about teams for the upcoming year? That is, ignoring unusable prospects and other players on your taxi squad, who has the oldest and youngest players?

Using the computer’s choices for each team’s 26-man roster here are the results for each franchise’s upcoming Strat-O Team:

Team

Average Age

Players 34 and over

Players 25 and under

Oceanus

28.3

2 (Abreau, Pollock)

4 (Doval, L Garcia, Varsho, Webb)

Vita-Rays

28.7

2 (Molina, Wainright)

5 (Alvarez, Anderson, Rodgers, Rogers Soto)

Bay City

28.9

3 (Darvish, Kelly, Tepera)

4 (Albies, Baddoo, Guerrero, Stephenson)

Future Wax

29.4

4 (Belt, Kershaw, McHugh, Scherzer)

1 (Mountcastle)

Constantinople

29.4

5 (Gibson, Luetge, Martinez, Ruf, Votto)

4 (Devers, Manoah, Tatis, Urias

Neverwinter

29.6

2 (Cain, Morton)

3 (Acuna, Bichette, India)

New Orleans

30.3

6 (Cruz, Jansen, McGee, Posey, Treinan, Turner)

4 (Clase, McClanahan, Riley, Robert)

North Dakota

30.4

5 (Crawford, deGrom, Goldschmidt, Kimbrel, Lynn)

2 (Grisham, Tucker)

 

 

 

 

League Ave

29.4

 

 

Of course, the computer is not 100% accurate in choosing everyone’s 26-man roster, but it’s good enough for a study like this. The league average is a little older, which makes sense. These are established good players not just hopeful prospects. But the overall order is close to the first one. North Dakota is still the oldest team, Jed and Eric still have the two youngest teams. Harold has the most extreme aged team with 10 of his 26 players old or young, rather than mid-career.

Does any of this matter? We’ll check back in a few years and see.

Ranking the Greatest SOMBILLA Trades of All-time [8/21]

This study piggybacks on two summer studies previously done. Back in 2010, I compiled a list of all SOMBILLA trades in league history.  If you are reading this on your computer you can see it here:

http://SOMBILLA.x10.mx/studies.htm#attr

Then, I updated this list in 2016: http://sombilla.x10.mx/studies.htm#tradeu

So, for this new study, I’m going back through these lists, adding in trades post-2016, and helped by any comments and observations from the first studies, I subjectively went through and have ranked the top 20. 

Of course, for every great trade there is someone on the other side of the ledger who made a shitty trade.  So, this is also a ranking of the shittiest trades in league history.  Two sides of the same coin.

These are totally subjective, of course; we could always put this to a vote.  But here’s my take.  These will be done countdown style:

20.  11/16/15: Oceanus and the Smoking Loons have agreed to terms on a trade that will send Troy

Tulowitzki to Oceanus in exchange for Xander Bogaerts.  Tulo faded quickly and was essentially out of baseball in two years.  Xander is now one of the best [Robin: and cutest] SS in baseball.

19. 1/15/13: Cheddarmen traded their 1st round pick (April 2014 Draft -- 2013 Cards, became Shelby Miller) for CN's closer (Papelbon) and starting right fielder (Pence) - a steal for Eric, and helped get him into the World Series and several playoff appearances.

18. 3/26/99: About a week before the draft, Jed & Clint acquired Jose Offerman and a 3rd round pick (became Mike Caruso) from Constantinople for a 2nd round pick (became Bobby Abreau) and a 6th round pick (became Howry). Abreau played for 15 more years. Snicker.

17.   11/85: Joel receives Lloyd Moseby from FW for Chris Bando (a steal, per Twits Notes).  Moseby had 6 more productive years.  Who was Chris Bando? [Robin: Sal’s lesser known sibling?]

16. June 1979: Arnie trades Gossage and Carew to Jed for someone named Jerry Martin and 3 other nobodies.  The trade helped Jed make it to the first SOMBILLA World Series.  It’d rank higher except that it was before the permanent league.

15.  Feb 1994: BC trades Dennis Martinez and a 6th round pick (Amaral) to FW for a 2nd round pick (Sean Berry). Martinez won two games for Randy in the SOMBILLA World Series against ND, and this trade precipitated marital strife for two years.

14. Draft Day 2001: Kevin Brown to Harold from Jed & Clint for a 1st, 5th & 7th in both the 2001 and 2002 drafts. This was a huge trade at the time. But the 2001 picks became Dempster & Lugo (they could not use the 7th round pick, having exhausted their 10 picks beforehand). And because Jed & Clint’s team, BiG DiG was contracted out of existence, they never got to use their 2002 picks either (Harold did forfeit his 2nd , 6th and 8th round picks in the 2002 contraction draft).   Meanwhile, Kevin Brown gave Harold three great years as one of the best starters in the league.

13. 4/14/20: Attempting to acquire as many players ending in "inger" as they can, North Dakota announces the acquisition of Mike Clevinger from Oceanus.  In exchange, North Dakota sends Nelson Cruz, German Marquez, a 4th round draft pick, an 8th round pick (the one previously acquired from Oceanus), 2 bags of baseballs, three dozen bats, and a batting cage to Oceanus.

Nelson Cruz continues to be one of the best hitters in baseball, Marquez is an all-star and Clevinger has Tommy John surgery.

12.  1/26/16: "What Eric Said"? (now "What Eric Said?") acquired Justin Turner and an 8th round pick (became Dan Haren) from North Dakota in exchange for a 3rd rounder (became Andrew Chafin).  Turner helped WES win the World Series that year and gave Jeff several great seasons.  And he was an all-star this year.

11. 3/6/16: “In its third, yes, third! trade of the season, Bay City acquires Moustakas from New Orleans for Kenley Jansen (thus purging its bullpen of all Jansens/Janssens, as Casey was cut last year), enabling the Moose to rejoin many of his real-life Royals teammates on the BC roster.” 

 Jansen is one of the best relievers in the game.  Robin should have stopped at two trades.

 10. 1/26/16: North Dakota trades Corey Kluber to Oceanus for Archer and a 6th round pick (became Travis Shaw) (the worse of Jed's two potential picks). Kluber gave Jed 4 great years. [Robin: But Archer spent time as the Cutest Man in the SOMBILLA]

 9.  1989: Rickey Henderson, ND to Jed for G. Bell, Seitzer, and Shelby.   Henderson was a stalwart for Jed for over 10 years.  Two of the three traded for him were one-year wonders.

8. Draft Day 2003: There was a blockbuster trade on draft day. Matt and Jed traded Jim Edmonds and E. Chavez to RAT for B. Giles, Kendall, D. Lee and a first round pick (which was used to draft Eric Hinske). Edmonds then won back to back SOMBILLA MVP Awards and one championship for RAT.

7.  1/24/10: ND sends Josh Hamilton to FW for Nelson Cruz, ND.  After FW won the trade early (with Hamilton having an MVP-type season), 11 years later, Cruz is still one of the best hitters in baseball, while Hamilton flamed out quickly, but see #13 above.

6.  1994: Dwight Gooden, Greg Jeffries and A. Watson to Jed & Clint from T&A for Piazza and Pedro Martinez. At first I thought it was THE Pedro Martinez and ranked this trade #1.  In fact it was a different Pedro Martinez (a usable but obscure lefty reliever for San Diego.  In the 1994 draft both Pedro Martinezes were available. I remember when Andrew drafted THE Pedro Martinez in the first round, and I asked him which Pedro he was drafting and he scoffed at me).

Anyway, while Jeffries gave Jed several good years, Mike Piazza was 25, won 2 SOMBILLA MVPs and gave Future Wax 10+ great cards and is in the Hall of Fame.  Along with THE Pedro he helped Future Wax to not only win 2 SOMBILLA championships, but set the SOMBILLA record for consecutive playoff appearances (15 – from 1993-2008).

5.  11/86: Robin trades Kirby Puckett to Jed straight up for Andy Hawkins! At the time of the trade, Puckett had 4 career MLB homers.  He ended with 207 MLB homers 10 years later and is in the Hall of Fame. [Robin: But did face charges of “fondling” and suffered an early death].

4.   Draft Day, 1979:  Tsuan acquires Reggie Jackson from Arnie for two ballpoint pens.  Reggie helped Tsuan win the first SOMBILLA Championship.  The only reason this doesn't rank higher is that it was before the permanent league and thus just for one season.

3. Summer 1994: Key, L. Smith, Bordick and a 4th round pick from Arnie to Dave for Larkin and B. Williams.  With 1’s up the middle (Alomar, Larkin, B. Williams), this trade helped North Dakota to 3 SOMBILLA Championships.  And Larkin is in the Hall of Fame.

2.  2/5/1994: Clemens, Eric to Arnie for two first round picks (became McMurtry and Hamelin).  This trade, along with the trade above with Dave, helped set up North Dakota for 3 championships in 5 years.

1.  1988: Durga trades Barry Bonds and a 6th round pick (became Leiter) to FW for a 2nd round pick (became Ron Gant) and Kevin McReynolds, altering the course of the SOMBILLA for the next 20 years. Bonds won 4 SOMBILLA MVPs, helping Randy, Andrew, and Tsuan win 5 SOMBILLA championships.

 


 
The Summer Newsletters [8/21]

 

This is Part 1 of going through old newsletters in the attic.  Next summer, I'll dig up old newsletter headlines (such as “Who is this Dan Pasqua,” “Another bad start for Jed,” “Tsuan pays up!”) and good lost Twits Notes not already posted to the website.

For this summer, it's all about the Summer Newsletter. This study is a little personal.  Not really much of a study, more of a documentation of personal milestones.  For most years, as a heading for the Annual Meeting Minutes I used “Thoughts While …..” and completed the phrase with something going on in my life that summer.  I actually stole this from Peter Gammons.  Some of you may recall he did the same thing for parts of his Sunday Baseball column in the Boston Globe, although his were typically baseball related.

Anyway, I did conduct some research.  The very first summer newsletter was handwritten in September 16, 1985 – Volume II, No. 16.  It was a wrap-up of the prior season (“Bay City cleans up awards, but Evil Bunnies sweep the series”).  That was actually a typo as he had renamed his team “Shithead” and that's what shows on the league trophy. (That was his last championship, 36 years and counting.)  This newsletter also had an article “The SOMBILLA at six.  First of a two part series.  Includes poll.”  (Results of the poll were that we would expand and go to a permanent league, which we did two months later when we held the original 35-round dispersal draft.)

The first summer newsletter as we know it now was dated “Summer 1986.”  It had no title (just “THE SOMBILLA”) and no “Thoughts while....” (just “League Meeting – April 6, 1986).   1987's summer newsletter was similarly untitled and dated “Summer 1987.”  But it had the first meeting notes label “Thoughts While Tanning.” It contained an impassioned diatribe against the new rule limiting starred starters to 50% of innings (previously they had been unlimited), a report on the new ballpark rule we just adopted, a note on Robin’s and my move to Watertown, and a blurb called “On the Barbecue Circuit,” where I reported that Eric randomly met up with former SOMBILLA manager John Dudek at a friend's cookout.

1988's Summer newsletter was the first one not handwritten; it was typed on my new electronic typewriter. Still untitled and not specifically dated.  Unimaginatively, it still used “Thoughts While Tanning” to summarize the meeting.  It also contained the article “Tsuan Guruism,” a copy of which is on the website: articles (x10.mx)

1989's summer newsletter was still untitled and not specifically dated, but I did change the meeting summary title to “Thoughts While Jet-Skiing.”

 The 1990 summer newsletter was the first one with a title (“Annual Swimsuit Summer Issue”) and first one with a date (August 1990).  So, without further ado, here are the titles of all SOMBILLA Summer Newsletters and the title of the meeting minutes contained within:

Year

Summer Newsletter Title

Meeting Minutes Title

Notes

1990

Annual Swimsuit Summer Issue

Thoughts while studying for (and drinking at) the bar

 

1991

A Midsummer Night's Newsletter

Thoughts while painting the fence

We had just bought our first house (Medford)

1992

Ain't no cure for the summertime newsletter

Thoughts while mowing the lawn

 

1993

Summertime...and the newsletter is easy

Thoughts while changing diapers

!!

1994

Annual Swimsuit Summer Issue

N/a

Minutes say “minutes of annual meeting and draft April 2, 1994”. You could say I was harried or something, but the newsletter is a long one.

1995

First annual Post-Pollinger-Administration Summer Issue

Thoughts while coping with the diaper girls

Dave Pinto was elected Commissioner for 5 years

1996

The Endless Summer Newsletter

Thoughts while looking at yet another house

 

1997

The Suzanne & Donna Summer Newsletter

Thoughts while mowing the lawn

 

1998

A Midsummers Night Newsletter

 

(note the difference in punctuation from 1991)

Thoughts while working on the SOMBILLA archives

Setting up the website

1999

IT

Thoughts while sitting in the kiddie pool

 

2000

SOMBILLA Summer Newsletter

Thoughts while teaching kids to ride two-wheeler

 

2001

The SOMBILLA's Shiny Happy Summer Newsletter

Thoughts while walking the new dog

 

2002

There's no cryonics in baseball Summer Newsletter

Thoughts while watching Independence Day parade

 

2003

The SOMBILLA's illegally corked Summer Newsletter

Thoughts while standing in right field, looking at dandelions

 

2004

The SOMBILLA's 25th Summer Newsletter

Thoughts while running the 200 meters against high school kids

 

2005

The SOMBILLA's First Summer Newsletter of the Post Red Sox Championship Era

Thoughts while floating in the new pool

 

2006

Who wants to be a SOMBILLA Manager? The SOMBILLA Summer Newsletter

Thoughts while procrastinating to write the newsletter

 

2007

Summer's here, and the time is right, for reading the Summer Newsletter

Thoughts while driving through the beautiful North Dakota countryside

 

2008

The Summer Newsletter apologizes for trying steroids when it was younger. It was trying to recover from an injury and deeply regrets any pain this has caused its readers.

Thoughts while listening to the Rangely Lake Loons

 

2009

It's a Cruel Summer Newsletter

Thoughts while converting all my Beatles albums to mp3s

 

2010

The Summertime Newsletter Blues

Thoughts while listening to the frogs in neighbors' pool

 

2011

The Summer Newsletter with no name

Thoughts while contemplating hip resurfacing surgery

 

2012

The (Donna) Summer Memorial Newsletter

Thoughts while aqua-jogging for hip resurfacing surgery recovery

 

2013

The Summer Newsletter

N/a

 

2014

The Other Side of Summer Newsletter

N/a

 

2015

Summer Newsletter '15

Thoughts while thinking about the summer newsletter

 

2016

Summer Newsletter 2016

The Newsletter that is one year older, one year wiser, and one year slower

Thoughts while running at the track

 

2017

Summer Newsletter 2017

(insert snappy subtitle here)

Thoughts while redoing 2/3 of the summer newsletter after laptop fried

 

2018

#Summer Newsletter 2018

Thoughts while scuba diving to find leaks in the pool

 

2019

This SOMBILLA Summer Newsletter Dedicated to Our friend Jeff Donahue 1963-2019

Thoughts while contemplating the shortness of life

RIP friend

2020

SOMBILLA Summer Newsletter: Pandemic Issue

Thoughts while quarantining at home

 

2021

The SOMBILLA Summer Newsletter: Return to Normalcy Issue*

 

*(notwithstanding the Delta variant)

Thoughts while thinking about thoughts about the summer newsletter

 


The Last Five Years [8/21]

 

For the final summer study, I had the computer choose each franchise’s best players over the past 5 years (including the upcoming season based on the 2020 cards). No duplicate players allowed – so Tom doesn’t get 5 Mike Trouts and Randy doesn’t get 5 Max Scherzers, etc.  Whichever version of the player was drafted first by the computer makes the team.

 

Of course, nobody is interested in looking backward, everyone wants to know how the upcoming ’21-22 season will shake out, weird new rules and all.  I think the computer was prejudiced against the 2020 cards because it thought everyone was a limited mutant, no matter how good.  The expected number of players chosen would be 5 (using a 25-man roster based on 5 different seasons), but the average was just over 2.  It is what it is.  For what it’s worth, here’s a list of all the 2020 carded players whom the computer chose to make each franchise’s all 2016-2020 team:

 

Bay City:  B. Keller, S. Perez

Constantinople: M. Gonzalez, L. Gurriel

Future Wax: J. Hahn, D. Lamet

Haiku Aggression: none

Neverwinter:  M. Fried, L. Giolito, K. Maeda

New Orleans: none

North Dakota: S, Bieber

Oceanus: T. Rosenthal

So, what would we predict?  Well, we’ve only played 4 of the 5 seasons.  For what it’s worth, here are the 4-year records for the franchises:

 

                    W    L   Pct  Championships

North Dakota      131   93  .585       1

Future Wax        123  101  .549       1

Oceanus           116  108  .518

Neverwinter       111  113  .496       1

New Orleans       108  116  .482

Constantinople    103  121  .460       1

Haiku Aggression  103  121  .460

Bay City          101  123  .451

 

But for this league, that might be misleading.  5 Mookie Betts’s and 4 Jake deGroms aren’t going to be allowed to play.  For this study, teams whose best players were spread out among the 5-year period will do the best.  Also, there’s no way to know how the ballparks chosen for each team will affect the actual final roster.

 

OK, enough with the foreplay.  Let’s let the 5-year franchise all-star teams have at it.  The rosters were only 25 men, so I had the league set up for no injuries and for the computer to “Try to Limit Overusage”.  Here are the final regular season standings:

 

LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 2021 SOMBILLA Last 5

 

                            WON LOST  PCT   GB  MAGIC#

2021 Future Wax WAX          93  75  .554 ----  *WON*

2021 Constantinople CON      88  80  .524  5.0       

2021 North Dakota NDK        87  81  .518  6.0       

2021 New Orleans NEW         87  81  .518  6.0        

2021 HaikuAggression HAI     86  82  .512  7.0       

2021 Oceanus OCE             85  83  .506  8.0       

2021 Bay City BAY            74  94  .440 19.0       

2021 Neverwinter NEV         72  96  .429 21.0       

 

LEAGUE LEADERS FOR 2021 SOMBILLA Last 5                              

  

----BATTING AVERAGE----  

-----HOMERUNS-------   -----RUNS BATTED IN----    

 C.Seager      CON  .303  

 M.Trout       CON    58   M.Trout       CON   128  

 M.Trout       CON  .298  

 K.Davis       NDK    58   K.Davis       NDK   115  

 M.Gonzalez    NDK  .286  

 G.Stanton     WAX    50   J.Donaldson   CON   107  

 J.Martinez    NEW  .281   

 P.Alonso      NDK    48   C.Yelich      NDK   105  

 J.McNeil      BAY  .279  

 J.Martinez    NEW    47   P.Alonso      NDK   105  

 J.Lucroy      HAI  .276  

 J.Donaldson   CON    45   J.Bell        NEV   104  

 R.Cano        NEV  .274  

 A.Judge       NEW    44   J.Martinez    NEW   104  

 D.Lemahieu    HAI  .270  

 B.Dozier      WAX    43   M.Trumbo      HAI   102  

 C.Yelich      NDK  .268  

 C.Bellinger   HAI    42   J.Smoak       NEW   100  

 R.Acuna       NEV  .267  

 J.Smoak       NEW    42   G.Stanton     WAX    99  

 M.Cabrera     BAY  .267  

 C.Yelich      NDK    41   B.Dozier      WAX    97  

 E.Andrus      NEV  .266  

 OTHERS TIED WITH     38   R.Acuna       NEV    97  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

----------WINS---------  

 M.Scherzer    WAX    19  

 J.Verlander   HAI    19  

 J.Fernandez   NEW    17  

 A.Nola        OCE    17  

 J.Arrieta     CON    16  

 R.Porcello    NEV    16  

 J.Degrom      NDK    16  

 Z.Greinke     WAX    15  

 G.Cole        BAY    14  

 C.Kershaw     WAX    14  

 OTHERS TIED WITH     13  

---------SAVES---------  

 J.Leclerc     WAX    37  

 B.Treinen     NEW    34  

 C.Kimbrel     NDK    34  

 P.Strop       OCE    34  

 K.Yates       CON    32  

 A.Chapman     NEV    30  

 Z.Britton     BAY    29  

 B.Workman     HAI    29  

 E.Diaz        HAI     9                            

 S.Doolittle   CON     8                            

 C.Allen       BAY     7                            

 A.Bummer      HAI     7

----------ERA----------  

 A.Nola        OCE  2.91  

 L.Severino    HAI  3.09  

 K.Hendricks   HAI  3.09  

 B.Snell       BAY  3.12  

 C.Kershaw     WAX  3.15  

 J.Degrom      NDK  3.30  

 J.Verlander   HAI  3.47  

 J.Fernandez   NEW  3.48  

 J.Flaherty    HAI  3.52  

 W.Buehler     OCE  3.55  

 C.Kluber      OCE  3.78  

 G.Cole        BAY  3.79  

 

                           

AWARDS VOTING FOR 2021 SOMBILLA Last 5

 

MVP AWARD                               CY YOUNG AWARD

M.Trout(CON) 419                        M.Scherzer(WAX) 118

G.Stanton(WAX) 341                      J.Verlander(HAI) 95

J.Martinez(NEW) 204                     A.Nola(OCE) 49

J.Donaldson(CON) 134                    J.Degrom(NDK) 18

A.Judge(NEW) 100                        J.Leclerc(WAX) 8

 

 

But it wouldn’t be a season without the playoffs!

 

Future Wax vs. New Orleans

Constantinople vs. North Dakota

 

Future Wax 7  New Orleans 2

Future Wax 6 New Orleans 3

New Orleans 3 Future Wax 2

Future Wax 8 New Orleans 7 (10 innings)

Future Wax 6 New Orleans 2

 

Future Wax wins series 4 games to 1

MVP Max Scherzer (2-0, 1.80, 15 innings, 8 hits 6 BB, 21 K’s

 

Constantinople 7 North Dakota 4

Constantinople 8 North Dakota 6

Constantinople 8 North Dakota 5

Constantinople 13 North Dakota 6

 

Constantinople wins series 4 games to 0
MVP Roberto Perez (.313, 4 homers 11 rbis)

World Series!

Constantinople 5 Future Wax 4

Constantinople 10 Future Wax 5

Future Wax 10 Constantinople 7

Future Wax 6 Constantinople 4

Constantinople 8 Future Wax 7

Constantinople 10 Future Wax 9 (11 innings)

 

Game story for game 6:

Right fielder Bryce Harper cracked 2 homeruns and had 5 RBI as the

Constantinople Manatees bested Future Wax in 11 innings 10 to 9

at Wax Dome.

 

Both teams were tied at 9 runs apiece after nine innings. Finally,

Constantinople pulled the game out in the 11th inning.  Lourdes Gurriel

blasted a solo shot.  Constantinople totaled 11 hits on the night. 

 

The victory went to Seranthony Dominguez(2-0), who went 1 and 1/3 innings,

allowing no runs. Seth Lugo(0-1) was given the loss in relief.

 

 

Constantinople wins series 4 games to 2 and is crowned “Best of the Last 5 Years”

MVP Mike Trout (.429, 2 HR, 6 RBI, 7 BB, OPS 1.214)



SUMMER STUDY NO. 1 –WHAT WAS THE GREATEST SOMBILLA TEAM OF ALL-TIME? [8/20]

 

OK, Eric, you got your wish. I sprang for the 1987 computer cards to put together that famous ’88-89 Yoknapatawpha team of yours that went 44-12, still the SOMBILLA record.  I already had 13 of the last 14 computer seasons, and chose the SOMBILLA champion for each year.  That gave 14 teams in the tournament. 

 

To round out THE GREATEST SOMBILLA LEAGUE OF ALL TIME, I added the 43-13 ’91-92 Future Wax champions, who won the last such tournament of great SOMBILLA teams back in 2009. To finish this impressive bunch of teams, I purchased the 1981 season so we could use the old Bay City Nazgul.  They went 34-16 in the 6-team SOMBILLA, Robin’s first season in the SOMBILLA as she shared the team with Tsuan. For many years this team was considered “The Greatest SOMBILLA Team of All-Time”, at least until Yoknapatawpha came along.  Considering they came from a 6-team league, as opposed to 8 from all the other teams in this study, should there be an asterisk if they win it all?

 

I used each team’s actual ballparks except for these three oldest SOMBILLA teams; I could not find any records to indicate what park they played in.  So I gave them average ballparks.  Likely this hurt Yoknapatawpha, holder of the best home record (22-6) of all-time.

 

Here is the final roster of teams:

 

’81-82 Bay City Nazgul
’88-89 Yoknapatawpha
’91-92 Future Wax
’06-07 Constantinople
’07-08 Future Wax
’09-10 Dem Bums
’10-11 New Orleans
’11-12 The Cheddarmen
’12-13 North Dakota
’13-14 North Dakota
’14-15 Future Wax
’15-16 “What Eric Said?”
’16-17 Constantinople
’17-18 Future Wax
’18-19 North Dakota
’19-20 Future Wax

 

For a first pass, each team will play each other 12 times, for a 180 game schedule:

 

And, without further ado, here are the results:

 

                          W    L   PCT  GB

'12-13 North Dakota     116  64  .644 ----

'11-12 The Cheddarmen   104  76  .578  12.0

'09-10 Dem Bums          98  82  .544  18.0       

'19-20 Future Wax        98  82  .544  18.0       

'16-17 Constantinople    96  84  .533  20.0       

'91-92 Future Wax        95  85  .528  21.0       

'17-18 Future Wax        93  87  .517  23.0       

'18-19 North Dakota      91  89  .506  25.0       

'14-15 Future Wax        90  90  .500  26.0       

'06-07 Constantinople    87  93  .483  29.0       

'10-11 New Orleans       85  95  .472  31.0       

'07-08 Future Wax        83  97  .461  33.0       

'82-83 Bay City Nazgul   80 100  .444  36.0       

'88-89 Yoknapatawpha     78 102  .433  38.0       

'13-14 North Dakota      74 106  .411  42.0       

'15-16 WES?              72 108  .400  44.0       

 

I swear I did not rig this; that’s an impressive showing for that ’12-13 team against a strong field.  But sorry there Eric and Robin.  Is Strat-O discriminating against these older teams?  And I can feel Jeff’s wrath from the ether.  D. Murphy of the Wax led the league with a .353 average, followed by Harper (.330) and Ichiro (.323). Adrian Gonzalez hit 65 homers, ARod hit 63.  D Lowe went 25-13, Kershaw was 18-3 with a 2.49 ERA to lead the league.  The computer awarded the MVP to ARod (gag) .293, 63, 149  

 

16 teams is too unwieldy.  For the next round, the 9 teams that were .500 or better are invited.  And to justify my expenses, the Yoks and Bay City Nazgul were extended invitational entries to give it another shot.  11 teams, playing each other 16 times for a 160 game schedule.

 

Round 2 Final Standings:

 

                         WON LOST PCT   GB 

'16-17 Constantinople        98  62  .613 ----  

'12-13 North Dakota          93  67  .581  5.0       

'11-12 The Cheddarmen        86  74  .538 12.0       

'17-18 Future Wax            80  80  .500 18.0       

'91-92 Future Wax            80  80  .500 18.0       

'18-19 North Dakota          78  82  .488 20.0       

'14-15 Future Wax            74  86  .463 24.0       

'82-83 Bay City Nazgul       74  86  .463 24.0       

'19-20 Future Wax            74  86  .463 24.0       

'88-89 Yoknapatawpha         73  87  .456 25.0       

'09-10 Dem Bums              70  90  .438 28.0  

 

Some changes at the top with CN, 5th place 20 games out in the first run, vaulting to the top in this run.  But no dice (to coin a phrase) for BCN and YOK. Bryce Harper (.319, 62, 146) won the MVP and Betances (7-3, 2.73, 33 saves) won the Cy Young.

 

Let’s move on.  The top six teams move on to round 3 – two North Dakotas, 2 Future Waxes, one Constantinople, and The Cheddarmen.

 

Round 3

                        WON LOST  PCT   GB 

'12-13 North Dakota      88  72  .550 ----  

'11-12 The Cheddarmen    87  73  .544  1.0       

'91-92 Future Wax        81  79  .506  7.0       

'18-19 North Dakota      79  81  .494  9.0       

'17-18 Future Wax        73  87  .456 15.0       

'16-17 Constantinople    72  88  .450 16.0 

 

MVP was Donaldson(.297, 56, 140) for last place CN, while the Cy Young went to Rob Dibble (12-8, 2.48, 36 sv) for the defending ’91-92 champs, hanging tough and making it to the final four.

 

Round 4

                          WON LOST  PCT   GB  MAGIC#
'11-12 The Cheddarmen      96  72  .571 ----  
'12-13 North Dakota        87  81  .518  9.0        
'18-19 North Dakota        81  87  .482 15.0        
'91-92 Future Wax          72  96  .429 24.0        

 

This time it’s The Cheddarmen winning convincingly, Tulowitzki (.261, 37, 114) winning MVP, and R. Soriano (9-6, 3.39 30 sv) winning the Cy Young.

 

It’s time for a showdown.  Who knew 7-8 years ago that these two champions in back to back years from the ancient rivals would be considered the top two SOMBILLA teams of all time? Best of 7?  Nah, time for a 162-game showdown.

 

 

 

 

 

Round 5

                           WON LOST  PCT   GB 

'11-12 The Cheddarmen       86  76  .531 ----  *WON*

'12-13 North Dakota         76  86  .469 10.0

 

Tulo (.288, 36, 92) repeats as MVP and Weaver (20-8, 3.01) wins the Cy Young. So there you go.  The 2011-2012 Cheddarmen were the greatest SOMBILLA team of all time.

 

 

 

Or were they?  They certainly proved to be the best team over the long haul.  But what about in a short series?  16 teams affords us the opportunity to conduct a tournament of best of 7 series. 

 

Using the Strat-O computer’s “Tournament Mode” I put these 16 teams into a 16-team best of 7 series bracket.  I seeded the teams based on how they finished above.

 

 

Round 1 (seeding shown in parenthesis):

 
(1)   '11-12 The Cheddarmen   Defeats (16)  '15-16 WES? 4 games to 0
(15)  '13-14 North Dakota     Defeats (2)   '12-13 North Dakota 4 games to 1
(3)   '18-19 North Dakota     Defeats (14)  '07-08 Future Wax 4 games to 3
(13)  '10-11 New Orleans      Defeats (4)   '91-92 Future Wax 4 games to 1
(5)   '17-18 Future Wax       Defeats (12)  ’06-07 Constantinople 4 games to 1
(6)   '16-17 Constantinople   Defeats (11)  '09-10 Dem Bums 4 games to 2
(10)  '19-20 Future Wax       Defeats (7)   '14-15 Future Wax 4 games to 1
(8)   '82-83 Bay City Nazgul  Defeats (9)   '88-89 Yoknapatawpha 4 games to 1

 

A shocker for #15 seed ND, which knocks out the ’12-13 ND team that made it all the way to the finals of the first all-time league above.  #13 New Orleans also pulled off an upset, knocking out Future Wax in 5 games. An intriguing #8 vs #9 matchup of the two old-timer teams, with BCN winning in 5 games to move on to the next round.

 

MVP for this round was Josh Donaldson (.611, 3, 10) for CN in 6 games.

 

Round 2

(1)  '11-12 The Cheddarmen  Defeats (15) '13-14 North Dakota  4 games to 1
(13) '10-11 New Orleans    Defeats (3)   '18-19 North Dakota NDA 4 games to 1
(10) '19-20 Future Wax     Defeats (5)   '17-18 Future Wax 4 games to 2
(8)  '82-83 Bay City Nazgul Defeats (6)   '16-17 Constantinople 4 games to 2
 
New Orleans pulls off its 2nd upset, knocking out ND in 5 games and will face the heavy favorite in the semi-finals.  And the Robin-Tsuan entry rolls into the semi-finals as the 2nd seed remaining!   

 

After two rounds, Dave Winfield of the Yoks was hitting .471 to lead the tournament. Tulowitzki of The Cheddarmen led with 5 homers and 14 rbis.  Greinke of FW, Carpenter of New Orleans and Liriano of CN were all 3-0.

 

And we’re down to an intriguing final 4.  On to the semi-finals!

 

Semi-finals

 

(1) '11-12 The Cheddarmen  Defeats(13) '10-11 New Orleans 4 games to 0
(10)'19-20 Future Wax     Defeats (8)  '82-83 Bay City Nazgul 4 games to 0
 

It’s the end of the road for Cinderella New Orleans and retro darlings BCN as both get swept.  Can unheralded 10th seeded last year’s champs Future Wax knock off The Cheddarmen juggernaut?

 

Finals

The Cheddarmen 3 Future Wax 2  (Verlander outduels Kershaw; Utley HR)

The Cheddarmen 3 Future Wax 1  (J. Weaver win, Soriano save; Scherzer loss, Konerko and Werth HR

 

Future Wax 4  The Cheddarmen 3 (11 innings) (Upton walk off HR off Balfour)

Future Wax 3  The Cheddarmen 2  (Foltynewicz win, McHugh save, G. Gonzalez L HRs: Tulowitzki, Baez, Voit

 
The Cheddarmen 10  Future Wax 9 (B. Wilson win, Soriano SV, Castillo L, HR - T.Tulowitzki, C.Crawford, J.Werth, R.Zimmerman, P.Fielder,
           M.Machado-2

Future Wax 5 The Cheddarmen 1 (Scherzer win, Vazquez SV, Weaver L, HR: M.Machado, J.Upton, G.Springer

 

Series tied 3-3.  Game 7!

 

Future Wax 5  The Cheddarmen 2

W – Watson, SV – McHugh, L – Balfour, HR: .Upton, M.Chapman-2, T.Tulowitzki

 

’19-20 Future Wax wins series 4 games to 3

 

Tulo and Machado each had 10 home runs in the tournament, with MVP Tulo adding 26 rbis.  Soriano had 10 saves.


 


SUMMER STUDY NO. 2 – Ballparks


Study 2 A - The Ballpark Effect by Jed Corman

 

We all know that ballparks can have a significant effect on SOMBILLA games but just how great is that effect?  Using my best guess at everyone’s 26-man roster (although the computer may have dropped it to 25.  But I think that’s ok for my purposes.) I did a quick study and here are the results:

 


HR 1 SI 1

HR 10 SI 10

HR 19 SI 19

AVG

0.199

0.238

0.271

ERA

2.87

4.21

5.45

RUNS

493.25

696.88

896.38

HITS

1012.75

1244.75

1475.75

DBLS

243.25

250

254

TPLS

28.63

26

28.75

HRS

153.13

257.13

359.25

SB

65.88

52.75

42.75

BB

519.25

543.88

545.63

 

The above is based on a 154-game season (2019 cards) and shows averages per team in our league.  There is plenty more room to expand upon this study both in breadth and depth.  For example, testing HR 2 SI 2 etc.  Also, isolating for the effects of SI vs. HR.  And doing different years....

 

Going from a minimal park to an average park there is an average 41% increase in runs scored.  Going from an average park to a maximum park there is a 29% increase in runs scored.  It would be interesting to do more testing to see whether there is a steady decline in the percentage increase as you add SI and HR.

 

There is a 20% increase in BA going from min to avg.  And then a 14% increase in BA from avg to max.

 

There is a 23% increase in Hits from min to avg and a 19% increase from avg to max.

 

There seems to be a slight increase in the number of Doubles.  Triples however fluctuated.  I would have expected doubles and triples both to go up to some degree because even though ballparks shouldn't affect doubles and triples, the more at bats there are...the more you'd expect.  Triples though are pretty rare and maybe will just fluctuate.

 

Homers show a 68% increase per team on average going from a min park to an avg park  Wow.  Then it's a 40% increase from avg to max.

 

Interestingly, SB went down and then down again.  The obvious inference to draw is that SB are much more valuable in a min park than in a max park.  I didn't fiddle with SB settings so I don't know whether I was being "aggressive" or conservative.  Regardless, it does seem that SB definitely have a downward trajectory.

 

Walks seem to go up especially from min to avg (5% or so).  The jump going from avg to max is negligible.  Again, I would expect walks to go up because of more PA due to overall more offense but that's a guess on my part.

 

In conclusion, it seems that the biggest jumps occur when moving from a minimum to an average park.  After that, while there is considerable impact still, it seems to lessen.  The effect of ballparks on HRs is especially pronounced.  This of course makes sense given that there are a lot more BP HR than BP SI chances on the cards, but now it's quantified.

 

 

 

Study 2 B – Managerial Ballpark Tendencies

 

Jed’s study gave me an idea to look at what ballparks SOMBILLA managers have chosen over the years to see if there are any tendencies among induvial managers or league-wide trends.

For the study, I examined the ballparks chosen by league managers for the 14 seasons from 2006-2007 through 2018-2019.  Why these 14?  Prior to 2006-2007, Matt’s Manila Folders were managing his shared team with Jed.  And last year, the league collaborated to determine Jeff’s team’s ballpark.  Choosing these 14 seasons allows us to look at the tendencies of 8 managers, including Jeff and Jed.

 

Here is the raw data for your perusal, showing the ballparks chosen by each manager:  Note that the most recent 10 seasons list singles first and the earliest 4 seasons list HRs first.  I copied these directly from the website and that’s how they were listed (and I’m too lazy to re-order them).

 

 

 

If you add up all 14 ballpark numbers and divide by 14, what is the average park chosen by each manager?

 


Arnie

Robin

Jed

Eric

Jeff

Harold

Randy

Tom


L

R

L

R

L

R

L

R

L

R

L

R

L

R

L

R


















S

7

10

5

7

8

7

7

8

6

6

13

13

12

12

14

14

HR

9

11

9

10

6

6

9

10

7

8

7

9

10

9

11

12

 

Over the past 14 seasons, Tom’s parks on average are the most hitter friendly, highest in all four categories!  Jed’s parks, on average are the most pitcher friendly for home runs, with Jeff and Robin having the lowest average for ballpark singles.

 

Arnie is most likely to favor righty hitters.  Randy is the only manager whose parks on average favor lefties for homers, while Jed was the only manager whose parks on average favor lefties for singles.

 

Looking back at that first chart, Tom is most likely to be an extremist – he’s chosen 19’s across the board 4 times, and “1”s across the board once, including an odd sequence of three seasons from 2014-2017 when he went from all 19’s to all 1’s to all 19’s again.

 

Randy is most likely to be the most unbalanced; 5 times in 14 years, he has chosen the max differential in homers (R vs L), most of any team. (And if you count last season, it’s 6 times in the past 15 years).  Robin and Jeff never chose a park that used the most unbalanced homers allowed.

 

What about the league as a whole?  Are there any trends we can detect?

 

 

For this, I did add in last year’s ballparks chosen, which show that last year the league had the lowest BP HR numbers in the past 15 seasons!  The overall trend is down a little bit, as the league attempts to tamp down on the home run explosion in real baseball.

 

Doing the same thing for Ballpark singles for the league:

 

 

 

 

Not much to see here; looks pretty random.

 

Anyway, thanks for playing along, hope you enjoyed it.

 


 


SUMMER STUDY NO. 3 – SOMBILLA 2020 Cute Ratings

 

By Robin Perlow

 

Teams are listed in order of most cute to least cute. 1 point was given for each cute player, 2 points for exceptionally cute players and -1 for particularly unattractive players/domestic abusers. All ratings are entirely subjective. My personal preference is generally for clean shaven players, and some players I labeled cute come with the “clean shaven only” (CSO) caveat. Exceptionally egregious facial hair gets a -1, and Kiké Hernandez in particular went from exceptionally cute to merely cute because of his mustache. It is entirely possible that some player I did not identify as cute would be cute clean shaven (the classic example being former Giants reliever [can’t remember whose Strato team he was on] Brian Wilson, who has great eyes but had [has?] a horrendous beard that couldn’t be overlooked); I did not take the time to search for pictures of all players bearded and unbearded. Point totals listed below are not total number of cute players but reflect a combination of cute and super-cute points and deductions taken as noted above.

 

Before the team rankings comes the eagerly anticipated new Cutest Man in the Sombilla (replacing the cut Chris Archer) announcement—as Jed guessed during the waiver draft, it is indeed Manatee Dansby Swanson (only because his older look-alike Charlie Culberson is not in the league and because Andrew Miller insists on a heavy beard—if he would commit to wearing a face mask at all times, he could take the crown away from Dansby).

 

1.      Bay City (20). To absolutely no one’s surprise, my team is the cutest overall. Bay City boasts three super-cute players (Benintendi, Holt, and Reddick [all current or former Red Sox]) and benefited from last season’s trade with Oceanus, obtaining cute Burnes & Chirinos for average-looking Strop. The deduction for unattractive Blake Snell was negated by drafting cute Jesus Luzardo this season. Newly drafted Yuli Gurriel is not cute but has great hair.

2.      Future Wax (18). Drafting former Bay City-ites Dinelson Lamet and Buster Posey and having more super-cute players than any other team (Greinke, Lamet, Paddack, Plesac, and Springer) makes up for behavioral deductions for Vazquez and Addison Russell (why is he still in the league?) and beard deduction for Blackmon.

3.      New Orleans (17). Only one super-cute player (Kris Bryant) but an overall cute pitching staff, led by Glasnow, Sonny Gray, and Matz (nice waiver pickup), and no deductions boost Harold into the #3 spot.

4.      Constantinople (15). Boasts the new Cutest Man in the Sombilla and an all-cute outfield of super-cute Bader and regular cute Haniger, Harper, Martinez, Trout, and CSO waiver-pickup Senzel. Tatis not cute but good hair. Deductions taken for Dustin May (the Justin Turner of pitchers) and Archie Bradley’s beard.

5.      North Dakota (11). Has three super-cute players (Andrew Miller, B. Anderson, and Lindor) but loses points for unattractive Kimbrel and domestic abuser Osuna. And cut super-cute (now regular cute) Kiké and erstwhile Cutest Man in the Sombilla Archer.

6.      Oceanus (10). Drafting Kiké keeps Jed from falling into the cellar, and if Kiké shaves his mustache, the Assholes move into a tie for fifth (rather than a tie for sixth). Loses a point for Doolittle’s facial hair (but I like his politics) and gains a point for drafting former Bay City-ite Anibal Sanchez. Rendon also gets the CSO label.

7.      “What Eric Said?” (10). Really tied for sixth. Mikolas another cute player with a regrettable mustache. Drafting the super-cute Yaz (much cuter than his grandfather) keeps him a step ahead of Haiku Aggression.

8.      Haiku Aggression (9). Only super-cute player is Xander. Cutting Matz was the kiss of death for this team. No deductions, just not enough good-looking players.

 



Jeff’s teams through the years [8/19]

 
Jeff Donahue joined the SOMBILLA in 1994.  His in with the league was that his wife Amy worked with Andrew & Beth Nowell. In his first year in the league, he shared a team with Dave Pinto.  Dave, who had previously been managing full-time, preferred to share a team and cut back on managerial duties.

Their team in ’94-95 was named Mirkwood, from Tolkien’s Lord of the Rings.  They finished in 7th place (out of 9 teams) at 25-31.

The following year, ’95-96, Jeff changes the team name to Metrowest and they finish last (18-38).

 Metrowest finishes in last place again in ’96-97 (Lofton leading the league with 19 steals). At the end of the season, Dave resigns from the league to pursue a full-time job with the nascent Stats Inc.  “Jeff, the team is all yours,” he says in his resignation email.

After another sub-.500 season in ’97-98 (during which Jeff and Eric set a record for most runs combined in a 24-14 Eric win), Metrowest breaks through in ’98-99 with Jeff’s first good season, a 32-24 team, good for third place.  Led by Mo Vaughn, Larry Walker and Pat Hentgen, he loses a tough 7 game playoff to New Orleans.  In 1998, Jeff also recruited Tom for the league after Land moved to California.

Another lackluster season for Metrowest in ’99-00 leads to Jeff changing his team name to Area 51 for the ’00-01 season.  The new team name doesn’t help (17-36, 8th place).  Nor does it help for the ’01-02 season (19-37, 8th place), during which he set a league record for losing all 7 games in a 7-game series (against Harold).

But in ’02-03, Jeff squeezes into the playoffs, winning a one-game playoff for 4th place with New Orleans.  Jeff drives 75 minutes to Marblehead to play one game, and wins 4-3 in 10 innings.  Area 51 then stunned first place North Dakota 4 games to 1 to advance to the World Series for the first time to face mighty Future Wax.  Led by Cy Young winner, Curt Schilling and Mike Mussina, Jeff wins the championship!  He wrote “Area51 melts Wax 4 games to 1, cruising to the franchises first World Series victory.  Celebrations and ticker tape parades are scheduled but will not be disclosed to the general public.  Officials allege all celebratory information will be released once it is declassified.”

Jeff was voted manager of the year after winning his first SOMBILLA Championship.

The next year, ’03-04, defending champion Area 51 finished at 28-28, missing the playoffs.  In ’04-05 the resurgent squad finished 3rd at 32-24, but lost to Constantinople in 5 games in the first round of the playoffs.

The following two seasons, ’05-06 and ’06-07 saw Area 51 finish in 7th and 8th place, respectively, although M. Young set an obscure league record with 10 triples in ’05-06.

In ’07-08, Area 51 made the playoffs again, finishing in 3rd place at 28-28, 9 games behind 2nd place Future Wax.  After Jeff goes up 3 games to 1, Future Wax storms back to win the final 3 games to take the series.

After another last place finish in ’08-09, Jeff finishes 4th in ’09-10 (28-28) but is unceremoniously swept in the first round by first place Future Wax (who then get swept by Eric’s Dem Bums in the World Series).

Jeff finishes ’10-11 in 6th place, and then on opening night October 30, 2011: “After changing his team's name from Area 51 to the Raging Alcoholics (and changing his ballpark to Chicken and Beer Park) in honor of Lester and Buchholz, Jeff went out and swept Jed over the Internet.”

The Raging Alcoholics finish in 7th place 25-31.  The next year, ’12-13, Jeff becomes “What Eric Said” and finished in 6th place with the same record as the year before.  On 11/28/12, Javier Vazquez, pitched a no-hitter against Constantinople. He fell one hit batsman short of a perfect game. Carlos Gonzales made a spectacular play to rob a HR on Constantinople's 2nd batter of the game. 

In ’13-14 “What Eric Said” misses the playoffs by two games (27-29).

In ’14-15, “What Eric Said” wins a one-game playoff over ND, 3-1 to finish in 4th place (30-27) but loses to Future Wax in 6 games.  CarGo leads the league with 20 homers.

In the 2015-2016 pre-season poll, Jeff was picked for last place.  After the mid-season holiday break, Jeff adds a “?” to his team’s name.  He goes on to win manager of the year after winning his second championship, taking great pride and motivational indignation at the preseason poll.  Lester leads the league in ERA at 2.71. After tying FW for 2nd place at 32-24, he beats them in five games in the playoffs, then defeats Jed in the World Series in 6 games.

He wrote “After a 13-year drought the faithful fans (all one or two of them) of “What Eric Said?” are celebrating a second World Series win.  In post-game interviews the manager stated “It was a great win for the team, after coming up short in the first round the year prior, the team pulled it all together to make what most of the league prognosticators thought was impossible.”  The manager attributes the catalyst that sparked the unlikely run to the inclusion of the “?” in the team’s name.

At the start of the ’16-17 season, Jeff moves the “?” to outside the quotation marks in “What Eric Said”?, but then moved it back after Robin (the editor) had asked him about it when scoring their first series of the season.  Back to the bottom (16-40) in ’16-17, Jeff wins another manager of the year award in ’17-18 by finishing in 2nd place (33-23) after being picked for last in the preseason poll again. Realmuto leads the league with a .352 batting average, Tillman goes 8-3.

His all-time regular season record is 583-724 .446   and his post-season record was 26-29 .473. At the start of the ’16-17 season, Jeff moves the “?” to outside the quotation marks in “What Eric Said”?, but then moved it back after Robin (the editor) had asked him about it when scoring their first series of the season. 

 
Drafting all-stars [8/19]

As suggested by Eric.  Who is better at drafting players who immediately make the all-star team?

This year, Robin led the way with 3 drafted players making the all-star game (W. Smith, McNeil, Polanco):  Eric, Arnie, Harold & Jed had 2 each while Jeff and Tom each drafted one all star.  RAT did not draft any all-stars this year!. Looking back over the past 5 years:

                                Total All-stars                       All-stars who were just drafted

Arnie                                      51                                           8

Robin                                     35                                           8

Harold                                   35                                           7

Eric                                         37                                           6

Tom                                       37                                           6

RAT                                       47                                           3

Jed                                          40                                           3

Jeff                                         27                                           2

Looks like North Dakota and Bay City have drafted the most players who made the all-star team 3 months after being drafted - with 8 selections each.  And North Dakota has the most all-stars over the last five years, averaging more than 10 a season.  Good study, thanks Eric!

At the other end of the spectrum, looks like Jeff has both the fewest total all-stars and fewest newly drafted all-stars.  Way to denigrate Jeff, Eric.  Nice going, jerk.


What if Jeff’s team had Babe Ruth? [8/19]

Take a look at the standings on page 1.  Last season, Jeff finished dead last 14 games out of first, 9 games out of the playoffs and 4 games out of 7th place.  Not a good team in the SOMBILLA. What if he had Babe Ruth on his team last year?  Using computer Strat-O and the Hall of Fame cards, I added the Babe to Jeff’s team (replacing Chisenhall, who batted .194 in 67 at bats).  So what happened in a computer replay of last year?

                            WON LOST  PCT   GB 

2018 Oceanus OCE             97  71  .577 ----  

2018 New Orleans NOR         92  76  .548  5.0       

2018 North Dakota NDA        89  79  .530  8.0       

2018 Constantinople CON      85  83  .506 12.0       

2018 Future Wax FUT          82  86  .488 15.0       

2018 What Eric Said? WES     77  91  .458 20.0       

2018 Nidavellir NID          75  93  .446 22.0       

2018 Bay City BAY            75  93  .446 22.0  

The Babe helped a little, enabling WES? to escape last place.  He hit .an astounding 392 with 76 homers and 168 rbis to win the triple crown.  But Jeff is still 14 games under .500 and 20 games out.

OK, let’s help out Jeff’s pitching and give him Walter Johnson.  Johnson replaces Lester, who finished with an 11.45 ERA in the SOMBILLA.  Jeff’s team with the Babe and the great Walter Johnson:

                             WON LOST  PCT   GB

2018 Oceanus OCE            103  65  .613 ---- 

2018 New Orleans NOR        100  68  .595  3.0       

2018 Future Wax FUT          92  76  .548 11.0       

2018 North Dakota NDA        85  83  .506 18.0       

2018 Nidavellir NID          75  93  .446 28.0       

2018 What Eric Said? WES     74  94  .440 29.0       

2018 Constantinople CON      73  95  .435 30.0       

2018 Bay City BAY            70  98  .417 33.0   

Jeff’s team is worse??!!  The Big Train did his part, going 19-10 with a 3.14 ERA, but WES? had two 20-game losers (Samardjia and Leake). SAD!  Alright, let’s stop fooling around.  We’ll add both Christy Mathewson and Ted Williams to his team, replacing Brad Peacock and Trey Mancini, respectively.  I mean, how can a team with Babe Ruth, Ted Williams, Christy Mathewson and Walter Johnson not win the SOMBILLA?  (At first I considered Carl Hubbell but Jed reminded me Hubbell was a lefty.)

                            WON LOST  PCT   GB 

2018 New Orleans NOR        100  68  .595 ---- 

2018 Oceanus OCE             87  81  .518 13.0       

2018 Future Wax FUT          87  81  .518 13.0       

2018 Nidavellir NID          83  85  .494 17.0       

2018 What Eric Said? WES     82  86  .488 18.0       

2018 North Dakota NDA        80  88  .476 20.0       

2018 Bay City BAY            77  91  .458 23.0       

2018 Constantinople CON      76  92  .452 24.0   

I’m kind of shocked.  This is embarrassing.  Ruth hit 59 homers and the Splendid Splinter and the Babe both hit .347, and Ted had a .454 OBP.  Walter Johnson went 19-13, Mathewson was 17-11; Jeff’s team led the league in batting, but his pitching still needs help.  The SOMBILLA is a tough league. .

So I gave him Bob Gibson and Rollie Fingers (replacing Leake and Rodney). 

                           WON LOST  PCT   GB  
2018 What Eric Said? WES     94  74  .560 ----  
2018 New Orleans NOR         92  76  .548  2.0        
2018 Oceanus OCE             91  77  .542  3.0        
2018 Future Wax FUT          87  81  .518  7.0        
2018 Bay City BAY            84  84  .500 10.0        
2018 North Dakota NDA        84  84  .500 10.0        
2018 Nidavellir NID          71  97  .423 23.0        
2018 Constantinople CON      69  99  .411 25.0        

That did it!  Ted hit .382, Ruth won the MVP (.328, 62, 131), Johnson (21-11, 3.55) and Mathewson (20-7, 3.37) finished 1-2 in the Cy Young.  Gibson and Fingers oddly each had 5.06 ERAs. 

 


2015 Draft Analysis [8/19]

 It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2015 (Cards 2014) draft. 

We have 4 SOMBILLA seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:

 

As a result, some of these teams’ players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, and SBs) and be more maligned than they deserve.

Round 1:

1. Jed -- Abreu, Jose

.290 / .336 / .531 / .867 (262 PA), 19 HR, 46 RBI, 2 SB

Still Owned

2. Eric -- Pederson, Joc

 Nothing showing for …

Still Owned

3. Arnie -- Betts, Mookie

.251 / .315 / .356 / .671 (489 PA), 10 HR, 34 RBI, 10 SB

Still Owned

4. Robin -- Soler, Jorge

.188 / .235 / .176 / .411 (17 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2018 waivers, redrafted by Arnie 2019

5. Jed -- Brantley, Michael

.287 / .338 / .367 / .705 (450 PA), 6 HR, 36 RBI, 9 SB

Still Owned

6. Eric -- Richards, Garrett

9-5, 0 SV, 4.57 ERA, 99 K (122 IPS)

Still Owned

7. Harold -- Polanco, Gregory

.233 / .258 / .226 / .484 (31 PA), 0 HR, 4 RBI, 3 SB

Still Owned

8. RAT -- Springer, George

.242 / .316 / .380 / .696 (618 PA), 25 HR, 60 RBI, 10 SB

Still Owned

 

Best Pick:  Jose Abreu supplied better SOMBILLA statistics over a shorter span of time, but the best players are still George Springer and Mookie Betts.  Mookie gets the nod as a superb defensive player and a perennial MVP candidate who is often in the same sentence as Mike Trout.  I expect his SOMBILLA performances to only get better and better as the years go on.  Springer has been having a solid year and is just a touch worse than Mookie when looking at all the metrics, and may suffer from my slight Rotisserie biases.  I would say it was a coin toss but after Yelich got snubbed as being the best first round pick last year, I had to give Arnie the nod this year.

Worst Picks:  Jorge Soler* was a SOMBILLA disappointment who never really hit and Robin cut him in disgust before this analysis.  As of today, Soler has 36 homers, 91 RBI and a 876 OPS and projects for 43 homers and 111 RBI.  He turned 27 and found a low key major league city (KC) to bloom into a usable player.

Other:..Pederson might have some good stats, the SOMBILLA just has not seen any.  He has 26 homers this year and 26 (2015), 25 (2016), 11 (2017) and 25 (2018) respectively in the previous years showing consistency when healthy.

* Robin adds: Note that Soler is taunting Bay City this year the way #5 pick & former Bay Cityite continues to taunt me for cutting him.

Last Year Update:  Last year we had Yelich taking second place in the first round behind Josh Donaldson, but  is now a rising MVP who should have been the best of that round.  Profar, who was the worst pick in last year’s first round, actually has a job at last and a question of what value he will have in five more years. 

 

Round 2:

9. Eric -- Hendricks, Kyle

5-5, 0 SV, 4.44 ERA, 61 K (81 IPS)

Still Owned

1. Jed -- Mesoraco, Devin

.236 / .310 / .371 / .681 (197 PA), 7 HR, 24 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2017 waivers

11. Robin -- Harrison, Josh

.250 / .287 / .328 / .615 (582 PA), 7 HR, 51 RBI, 3 SB

Cut in 2019 waivers

12. Arnie -- deGrom, Jacob

18-17, 0 SV, 4.86 ERA, 269 K (272 IPS)

Still Owned

13. Jeff -- Martinez, J.D.

.300 / .367 / .531 / .898 (706 PA), 45 HR, 126 RBI, 1 SB

Traded Still Owned

14. Tom -- Carrasco, Carlos

23-12, 1 SV, 4.37 ERA, 256 K (232.67 IPS)

Still Owned

15. Harold -- Santana, Danny

.318 / .342 / .461 / .803 (219 PA), 6 HR, 35 RBI, 6 SB

Cut in 2017 waivers

16. RAT -- Stroman, Marcus

9-9, 1 SV, 4.73 ERA, 109 K (144.67 IPS)

Still Owned

 

Best Pick:  JD Martinez was just a monster over this time period and was the World Series MVP for Jeff’s last Championship team.  He was traded for NO 3rd round pick in the 2017 draft (became Buchter) plus a player to be named later (Realmuto after the season).and continues to be a mainstay for Harold now and into the future.

Worst Pick:  The perennial search for the next starting catcher led to Devin Mesoraco being picked early in the second by Jed.  However, injury and a failure to break through in MLB led him to being cut.  Danny Santana made a run at being just as bad but had a single good season to keep him from the worst pick of the round.

Other  Two good starters were a close 2nd in this round – Jacob deGrom and Carlos Carrasco have distinguished themselves in the SOMBILLA.  deGrom is the better MLB pitcher and has one of the best cards in the set that will be used this year.  Carrasco has been oft injured but has put together some useful cards that have so far produced better SOMBILLA statistics; that should change as deGrom looks to be the one getting better as the two age.

Round 3:

17. Jed -- Tanaka, Masahiro

9-12, 0 SV, 5.15 ERA, 157 K (174.67 IPS)

Still Owned

18. Eric -- Castillo, Rusney

 

Cut After One Year

19. Arnie -- Miller, Andrew

7-5, 8 SV, 2.75 ERA, 162 K (108 IPS)

Still Owned

2. Robin -- Davis, Wade

5-5, 15 SV, 1.81 ERA, 120 K (89.67 IPS)

Still Owned

21. Jeff -- Giles, Ken

4-1, 19 SV,  0.96 ERA, 74 K (56.33 IPS)

Still Owned

22. Tom -- Arrieta, Jake

19-12, 0 SV, 3.63 ERA, 278 K (278 IPS)

Still Owned

23. Tom -- Betances, Dellin

3-5, 7 SV, 2.13 ERA, 140 K (101.33 IPS)

Still Owned

24. RAT -- Sanchez, Aaron

6-2, 2 SV, 3.07 ERA, 65 K (73.33 IPS)

Still Owned

 

Best Pick:  A lot of good pitching went in this round and is still owned by their hopeful teams.  Jake Arrieta won a World Series MVP and he pitched a large number of innings in the last 4 seasons.  He has started to decline and might never be dominant again but that can be said about the rest of the round as well.  All but one of the other players have done well but Arrieta did enough to take the honor.

Worst Pick:  Eric optimistically grabbed a Boston Red Sox prospect early, but he did not pan out and Eric cut him immediately.

Other:  Arnie and I made a deal that got me an extra pick I used to draft Betances who I was surprised was still available and might prove to have more good seasons than Arrieta if he recovers from this year’s arm trouble.  Arnie got perennial one year lefty killer Steve Pearce to fill a need in the next round and something else….

Round 4:

25. Eric -- Dickerson, Corey

.322 / .363 / .665 / 1.028 (212 PA), 19 HR, 54 RBI, 0 SB

Still Owned

26. Robin -- Britton, Zack

6-3, 6 SV, 3.48 ERA, 87 K (75 IPS)

Still Owned

27. Jed -- Neshek, Pat

1-1, 11 SV, 2.10 ERA, 31 K (25.67 IPS)

Cut After 1 year

28. Arnie -- Kiermaier, Kevin

.283 / .340 / .476 / .816 (368 PA), 15 HR, 53 RBI, 5 SB

Still Owned

29. Jeff -- Casilla, Santiago

3-2, 1 SV, 2.25 ERA, 38 K (44 IPS)

Cut in 2018 waivers

3. Arnie -- Pearce, Steve

.237 / .301 / .343 / .644 (143 PA), 3 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB

Cut After 1 Year

31. Harold -- Pompey, Dalton

 

Cut in 2017 waivers

32. RAT -- Baez, Javier

.000 / .000 / .000 / 0 (3 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 1 SB

Still Owned

 

Best Pick:  This was a battle between the close Zack Britton and the slugging Corey Dickerson. In this case the lack of complete statistics left Corey with an amazing slash line that carried him over the 6 save sub 3.5 performance of Robin’s lefty.

Worst Pick:  Pompey had to be the worst pick, as he did not even have one year of contributions before Harold gave up on him after two lackluster seasons.

Other:  Javier Baez had a break-out year last year and could end up being the best player of the round.  The SOMBILLA and Wax will have to see how the slugging middle infielder works out.  I would not vote against him, but he is a big risk/big reward type player.

Round 5:

33. Jeff -- Sipp, Tony

1-1, 1 SV, 2.45 ERA, 27 K (29.33 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

34. Eric -- Duffy, Danny

3-1, 0 SV, 4.36 ERA, 26 K (33 IPS)

Cut After One Year

35. Robin -- Loup, Aaron

0-0, 1 SV, 2.873 ERA, 12 K (15.67 IPS)

Cut After One Year

36. Arnie -- Turner, Justin

.254 / .330 / .357 / .687 (552 PA), 15 HR, 49 RBI, 4 SB

Still Owned Traded

37. Jeff -- Taylor, Michael

 

Cut in 2017 waivers

38. Tom -- McHugh, Collin

3-5, 0 SV, 5.34 ERA, 67 K (64 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

39. Eric -- Semien, Marcus

 

Cut in 2018 waivers

4. RAT -- Fiers, Mike

2-4, 4 SV, 3.30 ERA, 31 K (30 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

 

Best Pick:  Justin Turner (and his beard) is much feared in MLB especially if you pitch left handed.  He is a high value real life player who has produced some great cards that have not gotten as many good rolls in the SOMBILLA.  He has been a 1 at 3B and is back from injury and poised to be valuable going forward.

Worst Pick:  Michael Taylor has been passed over twice as a prospect in real MLB and Jeff held him but then discarded him and ended up with the only player still owned in the round (Turner) after making a trade with Arnie.

Round 6:

41. Eric -- Cron, C.J.

 

Cut in 2016 waivers

42. Jed -- Duda, Lucas

.247 / .323 / .476 / .799 (189 PA), 14 HR, 38 RBI, 1 SB

Cut in 2017 waivers

43. Jed -- Van Slyke, Scott

.257 / .366 / .585 / .951 (41 PA), 4 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB

Cut After One Year

44. Robin -- Strop, Pedro

5-2, 9 SV, 2.10 ERA, 91 K (90 IPS)

Still Owned

45. Harold -- Odor, Rougned

 

Still Owned

46. Tom -- Rondon, Hector

0-2, 4 SV, 4.57 ERA, 45 K (45.33 IPS)

Cut in 2018 waivers

47. Harold -- Ramirez, Neil

0-0, 0 SV, 6.978 ERA, 9 K (1.33 IPS)

Cut After One Year

48. RAT -- Duke, Zach

1-0, 2 SV, 1.80 ERA, 12 K (15 IPS)

Cut After One Year

 

Best Pick:  Prospecting and reliever round with Strop taking the honors via longevity and solid overall statistics.

Worst Pick:  CJ Cron is a big tall hitter that ended up being a bust for the ever changing secretive dwarves.

Round 7:

49. Jed -- Abad, Fernando

2-0, 0 SV, 5.59 ERA, 4 K (19.33 IPS)

Cut After One Year

5. Eric -- Jepsen, Kevin

1-3, 2 SV, 3.86 ERA, 37 K (39.67 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

51. Robin -- Ramos, AJ

2-8, 4 SV, 5.01 ERA, 82 K (73.67 IPS)

Cut in 2019 waivers

52. Arnie -- Hutchison, Drew


Cut After One Year

53. Jeff -- Cain, Lorenzo

.249 / .275 / .328 / .603 (652 PA), 7 HR, 49 RBI, 11 SB

Traded Still Owned

54. Tom -- Valbuena, Luis

.209 / .284 / .338 / .622 (74 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2018 waivers

55. Harold -- Franco, Maikel

.344 / .382 / .735 / 1.117 (34 PA), 4 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB

Still Owned

56. RAT -- Shoemaker, Matt

0-0, 0 SV, 0.00 ERA, 5 K (4 IPS)

Cut After One Year

 

Best Pick:  Lorenzo Cain was drafted by Jeff, who traded him to CN, and later regained his services.  Cain has been a solid speedy defensive CF with a 1 glove and always seemed to hit left handed pitching better than average.

Worst Pick:  Hutchison and Shoemaker were the two worst of this round.  Hutchison was a prospect grab by Arnie that never became a star and Shoemaker was a journeyman who was oft injured but always made the sleeper lists for Rotisserie leagues.

Round 8:

57. Arnie -- Gillaspie, Conor

.196 / .229 / .313 / .542 (48 PA), 1 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB

Cut After One Year

58. Robin -- Ruf, Darin

.244 / .393 / .286 / .679 (56 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB

Traded to FW for Hamels and cut in 2017 waivers

59. Jed -- Warren, Adam

5-8, 0 SV, 4.48 ERA, 78 K (84.33 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

6. Arnie -- Boxberger, Brad

0-0, 0 SV, 9.00 ERA, 14 K (6 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

61. Jeff -- Singleton, Jonathan

 

Cut After One Year

62. Tom -- Smith, Seth

.167 / .194 / .290 / .484 (31 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB

Cut After One Year

63. Harold -- Bauer, Trevor

2-0, 0 SV, 0.00 ERA, 8 K (15 IPS)

Still Owned

64. RAT -- LaRoche, Adam

.220 / .327 / .374 / .701 (211 PA), 10 HR, 24 RBI, 0 SB

Cut After One Year

 

Best Pick:  The eccentric Bauer looks to have put together a year that all the prognosticators hoped for, and he is the only one of the round who has any hope for a SOMBILLA future.  There is a great article about Bauer that became a chapter from a book from the Effectively Wild podcasters (“The MVP Machine”).

Worst Pick:  Jonathan Singleton got a big contract from Houston and Jeff gave him a shot, but he was gone after one year.

Round 9:

65. Jed -- Panik, Joe

.287 / .360 / .423 / .783 (175 PA), 7 HR, 22 RBI, 1 SB

Cut in 2019 waivers

66. Eric -- Hahn, Jesse

0-2, 1 SV, 4.86 ERA, 39 K (50 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

67. Arnie -- Escobar, Eduardo

.246 / .258 / .318 / .576 (66 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2017 waivers

68. Robin -- Alcantara, Arismendy

 

Cut After One Year

69. Jeff -- Bethancourt, Christian

 

Cut After One Year

7. Tom -- Otero, Dan

0-3, 2 SV, 2.67 ERA, 5 K (3.33 IPS)

Cut After One Year

71. Harold -- Gonzales, Marco

1-0, 1 SV, 2.89 ERA, 7 K (9.33 IPS)

Cut in 2016 waivers

72. RAT -- Peralta, Jhonny

.196 / .231 / .342 / .573 (117 PA), 5 HR, 12 RBI, 2 SB

Cut After One Year

 

Best Pick:  Choose either Panik, who stayed around the longest but was a weak hitting part timer, or Otero who was a one year wonder who pitched well and was eventually re-drafted (to be written about in another draft analysis for the same team).

Worst Pick:  Alcantara or Bethancourt never played and were cut immediately, another pick-em in this round of pick-ems…

Round 10-13:

73. Eric -- Wood, Alex

3-0, 0 SV, 4.22 ERA, 28 K (32 IPS)

Still Owned

74. Jed -- Peralta, David

.299 / .396 / .455 / .851 (101 PA), 5 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB

Still Owned

75. Robin -- Ahmed, Nick

 

Cut in 2017 waivers

76. Arnie -- Taylor, Chris

 

Cut After One Year

77. Jeff -- Holland, Derek

2-0, 0 SV, 4.22 ERA, 7 K (1.67 IPS)

Cut After One Year

78. Jeff -- Peralta, Wily


Cut After One Year

79. Harold -- Morin, Michael

0-2, 1 SV, 2.65 ERA, 13 K (17 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

80. RAT -- Blackmon, Charlie

.349 / .410 / .497 / .907 (288 PA), 8 HR, 47 RBI, 12 SB

Still Owned

81. Jed -- Quintana, Jose

2-9, 0 SV, 6.03 ERA, 113 K (128.33 IPS)

Cut in 2019 waivers

82. Eric -- Cosart, Jarred


Cut After One Year

83. Arnie -- Kazmir, Scott

6-5, 0 SV, 4.32 ERA, 78 K (102 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

84. Robin -- Susac, Andrew

.225 / .262 / .429 / .691 (42 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

Cut After One Year

85. Jeff -- Marisnick, Jake

.429 / .429 / .429 / .858 (7 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 2 SB

Cut in 2017 waivers

86. Tom -- Paxton, James

3-4, 0 SV, 5.11 ERA, 73 K (88 IPS)

Still Owned

87. Harold -- Heaney, Andrew


Cut in 2017 waivers

88. RAT -- Strickland, Hunter

2-2, 5 SV, 4.74 ERA, 32 K (38 IPS)

Cut in 2019 waivers

89. Robin -- Herrera, Dilson

.556 / .556 / 1.333 / 1.889 (9 PA), 2 HR, 6 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2017 waivers

9. Jeff -- Vazquez, Christian

.274 / .337 / .348 / .685 (92 PA), 1 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB

Still Owned

91. Tom -- Hammel, Jason

3-1, 0 SV, 1.58 ERA, 27 K (45.67 IPS)

Cut in 2016 waivers

92. Harold -- Quackenbush, Kevin

2-1, 0 SV, 4.15 ERA, 19 K (17.33 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

93. RAT -- McKenry, Mike

.268 / .373 / .482 / .855 (83 PA), 6 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2017 waivers

94. Tom -- Rollins, Jimmy

.174 / .230 / .272 / .502 (191 PA), 4 HR, 15 RBI, 4 SB

Cut After One Year

95. Harold -- Rivera, Rene

.368 / .429 / .500 / .929 (42 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB

Cut After One Year

96. Tom -- Soria, Joakim

0-0, 1 SV, 2.55 ERA, 20 K (17.67 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

 

Best Pick:  Charlie Blackmon turned into a valuable source of power and steals for Wax and is starting to age out of MLB, so his time is coming to a close.  James Paxton was a lefty starter with potential drafted by CN and had some good partial seasons in MLB.  He has had Cy Young type months, and the question is can he be healthy and pitch up to his potential.

Waiver Wire:  Wily Peralta was cut in the same year he was drafted.  The only worse decision than picking him was claiming him.  (Jeff and me)

Other:  Chris Taylor never played for Arnie but the versatile player put together a career year to be re-drafted and analyzed in a future edition.

2014 Card Set Results:

Team

Stats

Arnie

.239 / .301 / .365 / .666 (564 PA), 13 HR, 43 RBI, 3 SB

Eric

.308 / .349 / .639 / .988 (166 PA), 16 HR, 37 RBI, 0 SB

Harold

.315 / .346 / .442 / .788 (292 PA), 7 HR, 43 RBI, 9 SB

Jeff

.230 / .269 / .290 / .559 (238 PA), 2 HR, 18 RBI, 5 SB

Jed

.272 / .335 / .458 / .793 (883 PA), 47 HR, 132 RBI, 10 SB

Robin

.244 / .269 / .326 / .595 (279 PA), 4 HR, 34 RBI, 1 SB

Tom

.178 / .235 / .291 / .526 (289 PA), 7 HR, 28 RBI, 4 SB

Wax

.228 / .307 / .401 / .708 (397 PA), 21 HR, 50 RBI, 2 SB

 

Team

Stats

Arnie

6-5, 0 SV, 3.89 ERA, 94 K (92.67 IPS)

Eric

11-9, 2 SV, 4.29 ERA, 166 K (191 IPS)

Harold

3-3, 2 SV, 4.00 ERA, 48 K (54 IPS)

Jeff

7-2, 10 SV, 2.29 ERA, 60 K (63 IPS)

Jed

8-6, 11 SV, 3.60 ERA, 131 K (135 IPS)

Robin

4-6, 13 SV, 2.50 ERA, 124 K (115 IPS)

Tom

18-20, 9 SV, 3.39 ERA, 309 K (361.33 IPS)

Wax

5-7, 9 SV, 2.36 ERA, 100 K (114.33 IPS)

 

Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:

Team

Stats

Arnie

.256 / .319 / .379 / .698 (1666 PA), 44 HR, 149 RBI, 19 SB

Eric

.322 / .363 / .665 / 1.028 (212 PA), 19 HR, 54 RBI, 0 SB

Harold

.318 / .350 / .472 / .822 (326 PA), 11 HR, 52 RBI, 10 SB

Jeff

.276 / .324 / .428 / .752 (1457 PA), 53 HR, 186 RBI, 14 SB

Jed

.275 / .339 / .432 / .771 (1415 PA), 62 HR, 185 RBI, 14 SB

Robin

.250 / .296 / .340 / .636 (706 PA), 12 HR, 70 RBI, 3 SB

Tom

.182 / .240 / .291 / .531 (296 PA), 7 HR, 28 RBI, 4 SB

Wax

.259 / .333 / .407 / .74 (1320 PA), 54 HR, 157 RBI, 25 SB

 

Team

Stats

Arnie

31-27, 8 SV, 4.33 ERA, 523 K (488 IPS)

Eric

21-16, 3 SV, 4.45 ERA, 290 K (357.67 IPS)

Harold

5-3, 2 SV, 3.13 ERA, 56 K (69 IPS)

Jeff

10-4, 21 SV, 1.92 ERA, 146 K (14.33 IPS)

Jed

19-30, 11 SV, 5.12 ERA, 383 K (432.33 IPS)

Robin

18-18, 35 SV, 2.98 ERA, 392 K (344 IPS)

Tom

54-44, 15 SV, 3.81 ERA, 911 K (903 IPS)

Wax

31-27, 8 SV, 4.33 ERA, 523 K (488 IPS)

 

Draft Summary:

Round

Best

Team

Worst

Team

1

Betts

Arnie

Soler

Robin

2

JD Martinez

Jeff

Mesoraco

Jed

3

Arrieta

CN

Castillo, R

Eric

4

Dickerson

Eric

Pompey

Harold

5

Turner

Arnie

Taylor

Jeff

6

Strop

Robin

Cron

Eric

7

Cain

Jeff

Hutch/Shoemaker

Arnie/Wax

8

Baier

Harold

Singleton

Jeff

9

Panik/Otero

Jed/CN

Alcantara/Bethancourt

Robin/Jeff

10+

Blackmon

Wax

Wily Peralta

Jeff/CN

10+

Paxton

CN

 

 

 

Best Draft:  I am going to give it to Arnie and Jeff.  3 of the best players in rounds 1-7 played on Jeff’s team at one point, and, well, in this year I have to let him share the honor.  Arnie had the best player in the draft and accumulated a good blend of hitting and pitching statistics from this draft over the years.  He only had one Worst pick and that a flyer on a SP who just failed to make his quality staff.

Worst Draft:  This draft had a lot of individual bad rounds for teams.  Robin had the worst pick in Soler in the first round.  Eric and Harold got the least statistically out of the draft, but both have some short areas in the reporting.  Eric pulls out the worst draft by the lack of stats and 2 worst rounds in the top 6 rounds.


A brief history of card burning [8/18]

First published in 2006, now revised and updated.

Until 1998, Robin was in charge of all card burning decisions. The first documented card burning is from 1984, when we burned Bucky Dent.  Card burnings for  years prior to 1984 have not been documented, although it is believed that the annual SOMBILLA card burning did begin before 1984.

1985 - Mike Torrez

1986 - Pete Rose

1987 - Pete Rose

1988 - Steve Garvey

1989 - Glenn Hoffman

1990 - Bill Buckner

1991 - Gary Carter

1992 - Gary Carter

1993 - Gary Carter

1994 - Matt Young

1995 - Jack Morris

1996 - Darryl Strawberry

1997 - Mike Greenwell

At the ’97 draft, before we burned Mike Greenwell.  Land proposed formalizing the card burning process by allowing for nominations and putting the card burning to a vote. His proposal passed 7-2.

1998 –Tony Phillips and Wil Cordero

1999 - Wil Cordero

2000 - Nominations were received for John Rocker, Al Martin, Daryl Strawberry, and Bobby Chouinard, the most number of nominations ever. The votes were Rocker 5, Martin 1 (Eric abstained). John Rocker was then burned.

2001 - The only nomination received was for Bobby Chouinard, who was then burned.

2002 - The winning choice was to burn Ruben Rivera. The card of Derek Jeter watched and cheered.

2003 - The winning choice was to burn David Wells, who was then burned. If we’d had a copy of his book we’d have burned that too.

2004 - There was a lot of sentiment around burning ‘alleged’ steroid user Barry Bonds. There was also a lot of momentum for burning another Future Wax bad boy, rapist Ramon Castro. Some tried to argue creatively that, if it hadn’t been for the steroids, Bonds would be a rapist too. In the end, that speculation proved to be no match for actual facts, and Castro was burned.

2005 - Robin had previously proposed resurrecting an old Canseco card and ‘injecting’ it, although she was vague about how that would be accomplished. As a result, we kept it simple and burned Barry Bonds.

2006 – As usual we burned Barry Bonds.

2007 - There was discussion of pouring gas onto an old Uegeth Urbina card and igniting it, but in the end we burned Brett Myers.

2008 - We burned 3-time SOMBILLA Cy Young Award winner, adulterer and steroid user Roger Clemens.

2009 - The league voted to burn A-Rod. However, Tom refused to allow his extra (non-laminated league-issued) A-Rod to be burned and after much hand wringing, we moved on without a card burning for the first time in draft history.

 2010 - I printed off a computer version of A-Rod and an old computer version of Clemens (to prevent a reoccurrence of last year when the league voted to burn A-Rod, but Tom refused to allow his A-Rod to be burned). Jeff offered up Brett Myers as well, and for the first time ever, we had a triple burning. There was brief concern as the pyre grew to record heights.

 2011 - After a brief discussion, Jed’s nomination of Nyjer Morgan, an all-around jerk, was approved and he was burned. Appropriately, a day or two later, he was referred to in the press as “the fiery Nyjer Morgan.”

 2012 - After a brief discussion about burning John Lackey, Bobby Jenks, and/or Ryan Braun, the consensus was to burn Manny Ramirez.

 2013 - The league very much wanted to burn A-Rod.  But he is usable for Tom.  After Harold promised to snail mail his copy of A-Rod to Tom, Tom finally agreed to the burning.  (Robin adds that Ryan Braun is the early front-runner for next year’s burning – only because ‘banned for life’ A-Rod won’t have a card).

 2014 - The league burned both A-Rod and Ryan Braun without much controversy.

 2015 - The league burned Ervin Santana, who had just been suspended for PEDs.

 2016 -The league burned Aroldis Chapman and Jose Reyes.

 2017 – As A-Rod was not usable, Tom again let us burn him.

 

Card Burning Leaderboard

A-Rod 5

Gary Carter 3

Pete Rose 2

Wil Cordero 2

Barry Bonds 2

Roger Clemens 2

Brett Myers 2

 

  I’m a Pham! - [8/18]

 

In the wake of Harold’s drafting of former North Dakota OF Tommy Pham 3rd overall, I wanted to verify if that was indeed a record and decided to turn it into a study.  Turns out it only tied the record, set by Ryan Dempster & Estaban Loaiza, both of whom were originally cut by the ill-fated Jed & Clint duo, and Matt Clement, cut by Tom.  Who knew?

What other players have been re-drafted in the first two rounds, and how have they fared after being redrafted? Chagrined former manager in parenthesis. Stats shown are those after being redrafted.

First  round

3rd – Tommy Pham, Harold 2018 (Arnie)

3rd – Ryan Dempster, Eric 2009 (Jed & Clint) 8-11, 5.90

3rd – Estaban Loaiza, Harold 2004 (Jed & Clint)  6-6, 4.14

3rd - Matt Clement , Eric 2003 (Tom) (13-8, 5.30)

4th – Joel Pineiro, Tom 2010 (Robin) (5-5, 5.81)

4th – Magglio Ordonez, Arnie 2008 (Jed) (.280, 18, 89)

4th – Jermaine Dye, Jed 2007 (Jeff) (.286, 13, 27)

4th - Jeff D'Amico, Matt, 2000 (Arnie) (4-5, 7.84)

5th – Michael Brantley, Jed  2015 (Robin) (.289, 6, 36)

5th – Jamey Wright, Robin 2000 (Robin) (3-6, 7.94)

6th – Daniel Murphy, FW 2017 (Arnie) (.312, 10, 42)

6th – Carlos Pena, Tom 2008 (Arnie) (.216, 40, 96)

 

Second round

1st – Frank Castillo, Matt 2000 (Land) Never played!

3rd –John Burkett, Eric 2002 (Eric) (2-3, 8.86)

4th – John Lackey, Harold, 2016 (WES?) (2-3, 7.20)

4th – Jeret Wright, Robin, 2004 (Eric) 5-2, 7.31 ERA

5th – Grant Balfour, Arnie 2009 (Robin) 1-4, 9 SV, 2.87

5th – Paul Wilson, Eric 2000 (Jeff) (0-3, 13 sv, 3.86)

6th – Ryan Madson, Harold 2018 (Future Wax and Bay City)

6th – Brett Myers, Jed 2011 (Jeff) appearing in both the first two studies! (5-6, 5.29)

8th – M. Young, Eric 2012 (Jeff)  (.280, 4, 19)

8th – J. Benoit, Harold 2011 (Tom) (2-1. 2.95)

8th – Mike (not Joe) Thornton, Tom 2009 (Arnie) 4-7, 6 SV, 5.74 

8th – Brad Radke, Tom 2005 (Matt) 4-5, 4.67 ERA, 52 K

8th – Tim Belcher, Arnie 1997 (Harold) (4-6, 7.55)

9th – Dave Nilsson, Jed & Clint 2000 (Future Wax) (.323, 16, 39)

Best performance by a retread in the first two rounds: Magglio Ordonez,4th overall by Arnie in 2008 (Jed) (.280, 18, 89).  Honorable mention: C. Pena Tom (40 HR) and Matt Clement, Eric (13-8)

 

Most popular spot: 8th pick in the 2nd round

Most likely to draft a retread in first two rounds : Eric has done it five times

Most likely to be chagrined at having former cut redrafted in first two rounds: Jeff and Robin (4)

Most likely to redraft own player in first two rounds:  Eric and Robin, 1 each

 

Part II

Who has had the most players redrafted, period?  Well, I’m not going to comb through 20 years of draft reports for that; doing the first two rounds was tedious enough.  But looking at the last five years can be done.  Plus it may be more relevant anyway.

 Here are the totals for the past 5 drafts (2014-2018)

 Players cut who were redrafted:

1. Robin 13

2. Jed 9

3t. RAT 8

3t. Jeff 8

3t. Harold 8

6. Arnie 7

7. Tom 6

8. Eric 2

 I’m sure this comes as no surprise to Robin (who notes that this number is even more striking given that some of her players died and were thus unlikely to be drafted posthumously).  Eric appears to be the best ‘cutter.’  Or else his cuts are simply so crappy and useless there’s little chance anyone will ever want them again.  Hard to say.

 This next category is somewhat more random; I don’t think anyone specifically scouts or targets players who have previously been in the league any more than other players.

 Players drafted who were previously in the league:

 
1. Tom  13

2. Jed 9

3. Harold 8

4t. Eric 7

4t. RAT 7

6. Jeff  5

7t. Arnie 4

7t. Robin 4

And finally, who has redrafted their own players?

Jed, Robin, Harold, Tom – twice each

Arnie, Eric – once

RAT, Jeff – have not redrafted their own player in the past five years.

 
 

 


North Dakota vs. Future Wax - which team was better? [8/18]

22 years ago I first published this study in the summer newsletter.  Back then, I was coming off a heartbreaking World Series loss to Andrew in 6 games.  That Series featured Dennis Martinez, Robin’s ace pitcher, traded to the Wax in mid-season (see “The Trading and Loan Scandal”) winning 2 games against me in the World Series.  It also featured my thinking that Bernard Gilkey had hit a go-ahead 3-run homer in the 8th inning of game 6, only to learn (after yelling and leaping around the room like a maniac) from Andrew, calmly sitting there waiting for me to return, that I had been looking on the wrong side of Gilkey’s card.  Like the Red Sox < 2004, I believed I would never win a SOMBILLA World Series in my lifetime.

That summer, I said:

“Which team was really better, North Dakota or Future Wax? What about before the big ransom trades? Who did the trades help more? And (again) which team was really better, North Dakota or Future Wax? To try to answer those questions, I played North Dakota against Future Wax on the trusty Strat-O computer for 1000 games, both before and after the big ransom trades.

Why do a study like this? Am I insane? (Of course, but sanity is not relevant.). I had nothing to gain and everything to lose. If it turned out North Dakota was better, then I was a lousy manager and should have won the World Series. If it turned out Future Wax was better, then that means that Future Wax really was better, a horrible thought.”

Here we are 22 years (and 5 North Dakota World Series titles) later, and I am coming off an even more heartbreaking World Series loss, in 7 games.  A one-run loss in the finale, which could have gone either way, missing a 1-16 HR chance, yada, yada, yada.

 So, I pitted the two teams against each other for 2000 games.  What happened?

 In summary, North Dakota kicked Future Wax’s ass.  In 2000 games, North Dakota won 1119 and Future Wax won 881, a .560 winning percentage.  Certainly statistically significant evidence that North Dakota was indeed the better team.  Here are some stats:

 


AVG

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

CS

E

 North Dakota

.269

69890

9854

18815

3848

416

2736

9524

611

306

1167

 Future Wax

.247

69367

8675

17112

3113

406

2930

8404

270

159

1080

 


ERA

W

L

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

 North Dakota

3.96

1119

881

18053.2

17112

8675

7945

2930

5725

19185

 Future Wax

4.59

881

1119

17944.8

18815

9854

9146

2736

6763

16336

 
OK, not that big a surprise.  North Dakota did finish in first place, 4 games and 71 percentage points ahead of Future Wax. North Dakota led in every possible team stat category – except homers and errors.  Here are some interesting tidbits.  Facing only FW or ND pitching for 2000 games, here are the batting leaders:

 

D.Murphy

.328

T.Turner

.307

Y.Tomas

.297

M.Betts

.291

D.Ortiz

.288

 Daniel Murphy, who finished 5th in the actual SOMBILLA with a .312 average, hit better against North Dakota pitching than he did against the rest of the league.

Home Run leaders:

 

D.Ortiz

469

C.Santana

385

B.Dozier

380

D.Murphy

333

M.Machado

316

 

RBIs:

 

D.Ortiz

1126

B.Dozier

1009

D.Murphy

957

C.Santana

932

C.Yelich

930

 
Pitching winning percentage was not all North Dakota:

 

 

W

L

Pct

A.Reed

60

34

.638

C.Kershaw

119

73

.620

R.Hill

111

70

.613

C.Kimbrel

47

33

.588

K.Herrera

39

29

.574

 

Wins

J.Cueto

184

M.Estrada

141

M.Fulmer

126

M.Scherzer

125

J.deGrom

121

 

ERA

 

N.Jones

2.97

A.Miller

3.01

C.Kershaw

3.06

A.Reed

3.17

S.Oh

3.44

 But wait!  Things are different in a 7-game series.  The best pitchers start more often, the sludge (Teheran was 85-168 5.83) are banished to a mop-up role.  It’s a different analysis.  So, I decided to pit the teams into 100 best of seven series, even inputting the actual World Series starters into the Starter schedule that the computer allows for.

So what happened in the 100 Best of 7 Replays?  Here are some interesting facts:

 North Dakota won 63 of the 100 series overall.

23 were won in 7 games

16 were won in 6 games

13 were won in 5 games

And 11 of the series were 4 game sweeps.

 

Of Future Wax’s 37 series wins:

11 were won in 7 games

15 were won in 6 games

10 were won in 5 games

And only 1 was a 4 game sweep.

 

So, overall, 34, or 1/3, went to 7 games as did the one in real life.  Some more tidbits:  David Ortiz was the MVP in 30 of the series.  (Max Scherzer was 2nd with 10 MVP awards).  Scherzer led the way with 20 Cy Young awards (Estrada was 2nd with 16).

 In real life David Ortiz was 7 for 29 (.241), with 2 homers and 4 rbis (1 BB and 1 2B) in the World Series, his SOMBILLA swan song, not exactly MVP material.  Certainly, had he performed as well as the 30 David Ortiz’s who won World Series MVP awards in this simulation (including perhaps hitting a 2-run homer in the 7th inning of game 7 to take a 4-3 lead in his last SOMBILLA at bat, instead of just missing and hitting a double [in which Ramos got thrown out at the plate]), it would have made a nice poetic ending to a great season and a great career.  But it was not meant to be.

 

Combining this with the first study, it’s safe to say that North Dakota was the better team .Of course, instead of blaming David Ortiz, I could tip my hat to Manager of the Year runner-up Randy Divinski.  Or series MVP Max Scherzer (2-0, 2.33 ERA, 19.3 inns, 12 hits, 8 BB, 23 Ks).  Or blame myself for not being able to beat a team that the SOMBILLA computer at least believed to be inferior.  I still don’t feel any better after doing this study.

Post-script:  On the summer pool party/bbq circuit, I ran into Randy and we talked SOMBILLA and I mentioned I was doing this study.  Randy lamented about 2010 when Future Wax (39-17) was swept by Eric (29-27) in the World Series, and that he couldn’t imagine any computer simulation from that season in which Eric’s team could win four consecutive games against FW.  I guess we all have our SOMBILLA demons.

 



RULE CHANGE PROPOSALS  [8/17]

Thanks to Robin for suggesting this one.  She knew she would be last; she prefers to focus on choosing who to burn.  Who proposes the most rule changes?  What are the most significant proposals people have come up with?  For this study, I went back to 2000 and summarized everyone’s proposals as well as the results.  No “Strat-O initiated changes” included.

 

GM

# Proposals passed

#Proposals voted down

Total Proposals

Most significant proposal

Tom

23

7

30

Eliminate cutting players at the draft, followed by a waiver draft  (2009)

Arnie

14

10

24

Begin the season at the end of October instead of at the beginning of October (2002)

Randy

10

8

18

Post-season pitchers innings are 1/15 (same as limited batters)  (2002)

Eric

7

10

17

Roll for rainout (2004)

Jed

2

7

9

Each team can design their own ballpark (2000)

Matt

 

6

6

All six were proposals to eliminate the DH

Harold

2

3

5

Call up a 26th man (2001)

Tsuan

2

1

3

12 round draft instead of 10 (2001)

Jeff

 

1

1

Eliminate the DH in honor of Matt (2010)

Robin

 

½

½

Compensation for dead players (2017)

 It should not come as a shock that Tom is the most prolific. Most of my proposals are various clarifications of the bylaws, although I tried unsuccessfully to eliminate the rainout rule 6 times and designing ballparks 4 times.   Rediscovered this from 2006: A proposal by Randy to rename the "thing-off" to the "Phelps-off" passed 6-2.



HOW THE TEAMS WERE BUILT [8/17]

Which teams rely on their farm systems? Who has the most active front office? Who signs the free agents? This summer, I analyzed each team's current 45-man roster and reviewed how every player ended up on the roster. I divided them up into three categories:

Farm system – Players who were originally drafted by the team and are still on the roster. In essence, these players are those who have spent their entire SOMBILLA career with one team.

Trade – Self-explanatory.

Free agents – Drafted players who previously played for another team, were cut, and then picked up as free agents, even if redrafted by the same team.

 

Team

Farm System

Trade

Free Agent

North Dakota

39

4

2

Bay City

39

4

2

Future Wax

38

5

2

Smoking Loons

36

2

7

“What Eric Said”?

35

6

4

Constantinople

34

4

7

New Orleans

33

5

7

Oceanus

28

12

5

 One team stands out as different from the others – Oceanus.  Jed has twice as many players on his roster acquired via trade than any other team.  And fewer players (62%) on his team that he actually drafted when first available.    Other than outlier Jed, the other teams are all fairly similar.  Another interesting fact: North Dakota and Bay City have identical stats here.  Marital collusion?

 Finally, it’s interesting to compare how the league compares to nine years ago, the last time I did this study:

 

Team

Farm system

Trade

Free agents

Future Wax

42

1

2

Bay City

43

0

2

Constantinople

43

0

2

Area 51

40

1

4

New Orleans

40

2

3

North Dakota

41

2

2

Knuckle Sandwiches

41

1

3

Hibernia

43

2

0

 The SOMBILLA certainly trades much more frequently than it did in 2008. Hard to say if that’s an actual trend or not, as these studies are both just snapshots in time.  You’d have to look at every year’s 45 man roster to see if there is an upward trend in trading, or we are just in a frenzied period.  Free agents are also up - from 18 to 38.  I think the new waiver draft has accounted for some of that, but certainly not all of it.
 



Who (does the computer think) are the best players this year? [8/17]

I took all the major leaguers with 2016 cards and let the computer draft a 25-man roster.  Who are the best 25 players in the league, at least according to the computer? Below is the roster, along with the round that the computer drafted the player in.  The first puck overall?  Bay City’s Zach Britton.  Don’t get me wrong – he has a great card, but really?  A lefty reliever over Mike Trout or a starting pitcher?  The computer is weird.

 Still, it’s hard to argue too much with this All-SOMBILLA first team, except for the fact that one player – Nick Frankin – is not even in the league this year.  While it may not be exactly the team that you (or Lamana) would draft, it would still kick some serious butt in the SOMBILLA. And I’m not just saying that because 7 North Dakota players are on the team (most in the league).  “What Eric Said”? has just one.

                                

Player

Computer Draft Position

SOMBILLA Team

Mike Trout                                  

2

Constantinople

Brian Dozier                               

4

Future Wax

Nolan Arenado

5

Smoking Loons

Mookie Betts

6

North Dakota

Khris Davis                                 

7

North Dakota

David Ortiz                                 

8

North Dakota

Gary Sanchez                            

9

New Orleans

Corey Seager                            

12

Constantinople

Wilson Ramos                            

15

North Dakota

Miguel Cabrera                          

19

Bay City

Charlie Blackmon                      

22

Future Wax

Nick Franklin                              

21

---------

Robinson Cano                          

23

Oceanus

Kris Bryant                                 

24

New Orleans

Trevor Story                               

25

Oceanus

 

 

 

Zach Britton                               

1

Bay City

Clayton Kershaw           

3

Future Wax

Kyle Hendricks                          

10

Smoking Loons

Rich Hill                                     

11

North Dakota

Chris Devenski                        

14

Bay City

Johnny Cueto  

13

North Dakota

Kenley Jansen                         

16

New Orleans

Aroldis Chapman           

17

“What Eric Said”?

Andrew Miller                              

18

North Dakota

Mark Melancon                            

20

Constantinople

 I then had the computer draft a 2nd team – the all SOMBILLA 2nd team.  Or the Washington Generals of the SOMBILLA. As with the first team, the computer found a guy – Hernan Perez – who is not in the league.  A few eyebrow raising choices.  This team would be a likely SOMBILLA playoff team, but not a shoo-in for the championship.

 

Player

Computer Draft Position

SOMBILLA Team

Jose Altuve                   

1

Oceanus

Josh Donaldson  

2

Constantinople

Joey Votto          

3

Oceanus

Mark Trumbo      

4

Smoking Loons

Ryan Braun        

5

Future Wax

Jackie Bradley Jr   

7

New Orleans

Evan Gattis         

9

Oceanus

Carlos Correa     

11

Bay City

Jonathan Lucroy 

17

Smoking Loons

Yoenis Cespedes    

20

New Orleans

Edwin Encarnacion  

21

North Dakota

Hernan Perez       

22

-----------

Nelson Cruz        

23

North Dakota

Joc Pederson      

24

Smoking Loons

Jonathan Villar    

25

North Dakota

 

 

 

Max Scherzer              

6

Future Wax

Seung Hwan Oh         

8

Smoking Loons

Madison Bumgarner   

10

Future Wax

Jon Lester              

12

“What Eric Said”?

Addison Reed       

13

North Dakota

Jeurys Familia      

14

New Orleans

Tyler Thornburg     

15

“What Eric Said”?

Jake Arrieta          

16

Constantinople

Dan Otero             

18

Constantinople

Craig Kimbrel       

19

North Dakota

 Combining these two teams, here are the totals of players in the computer’s top 50:

 
North Dakota – 12

Constantinople – 6

Future Wax – 6

New Orleans - 6

Smoking Loons – 6

Oceanus – 5

Bay City – 4

“What Eric Said”? – 3




Salaries in the SOMBILLA [8/17]

 It’s been awhile since we looked into each owner’s payroll.  Who are the SOMBILLA’s big market teams, for whom money is no object?  Who is trying to buy the Championship?  In other words, who are the Dodgers of the SOMBILLA (I wanted to say Yankees, but alas LA has surpassed New Yuck for highest payroll now.)

 Conversely, who are the league’s small market cheapskate owners, operating on a shoestring budget?

 For this study, I let the computer choose each person’s 25-man roster as that was the most expedient.  The computer always makes a few questionable choices (more on that in another study), but it was good enough for this.  I used the 2017 MLB data that is readily available on a few websites.  Note that there are two players on 25-man rosters this year with no salary – for two very different reasons: David Ortiz and Jose Fernandez.  For these two I used their final 2016 salary.

 The results:

 1.   “What Eric Said”? - $259,172,381

 This team’s whopping payroll is far and away the highest in the league, more than $50,000,000 over the 2nd place team.  Unlike the Dodgers though, Jeff has little to show for this largesse, coming off a last place finish in ’16-17, and his prospects for this year aren’t great.  But the players do love playing for him, and he did win the championship two years ago, so he may be on to something. He has the highest salaried pitching staff and infield. How soon until fans revolt for paying outrageous ticket prices?

 Here are his five highest paid players:

 
1.       Jon Lester               $25,000,000

2.       Freddie Freeman   $20,859,375

3.       Carlos Gonzalez    $20,428,571

4.       Rick Porcello          $20,125,000

5.       Jeremy Hellickson $17,200,000

5.       Aroldis Chapman   $17,200,000

 Total players over $10,000,000: 14

 2. Constantinople - $206,893,076

 No big surprise here, although Tom is definitely a distant 2nd.  His payroll is higher than all MLB teams except the Dodgers (which says more about the Dodgers than about Tom’s team).  Note that while Istanbul has about 15,000,000 people, Constantinople’s peak population was about 400,000, about the size of Oakland, in the 1100’s.  So it’s a small-market team with deep pockets.  No surprise that he has the highest paid outfield.  His five highest paid players:

 
1.       Jason Werth         $21,571,4292

2.       Mike Trout            $20,083,333

3.       Russell Martin     $20,000,000

4.       Josh Donaldson   $17,000,000

5.       Jake Arrieta         $15,637,500

Total players over $10,000,000: 9

 

3. Bay City - $206,518,417

Surprise!  Always known for her generous clubhouse benefits (and death benefits for dependents of deceased players), Robin has no problem showering her players with money.  Like Jeff, that does not seem to help this big market team in the win column. The uniforms may be a little  tight, especially the pants, but the players don’t complain.  Buster and Sal constitute the highest paid catching tandem in the league. Her five highest paid players:

1.       Miguel Cabrera $28,000,000

2.       Cole Hamels      $22,500,000

3.       Buster Posey      $22, 177,778

4.       M. Upton, Jr       $22,125,000

5.       Chris Davis        $21,233,006           

 Total players over $10,000,000: 9  

 4. Oceanus - $198,824,888

A mid-market team, Jed studiously avoids spending over $200M and has gotten pretty good mileage.  But like the Boston Bruins in the 80’s, 90’s, and 00’s, he puts out a competitive product to get the fans into seats, but he’s just too cheap to get the one or two players to put them over the top.  Will Robinson Cano be that guy?  Has the cheapest outfield in the league.  His five highest paid players:

 1.       David Price             $30,000,000

2.       Robinson Cano        $24,000,000

3.       Masahiro Tanaka     $22,000,000

4.       Joey Votto               $22,000,000

5.       Stephen Strasburg   $16,428,571

Total players over $10,000,000: 7

 5.       Future Wax - $189,922,205

Six years ago, in the last SOMBILLA Salary study, the cheap bastards of RAT had the league’s lowest payroll. They’re not as cheap as they were, moving up to be a mid-market team .  They do pay the league’s highest individual salary (Kershaw).  RAT’s five highest paid players:


1.       Clayton Kershaw         $33,000,000

2.       Max Scherzer               $22,142,857

3.       Matt Kemp                   $21,500,000

4.       Ryan Braun                  $19,199,365

5.       Jay Bruce                      $13,000,000

 Total players over $10,000,000: 9

 6.  North  Dakota -  $187,849,915

 No surprise to see that a team that plays in Gackle Park, a ballpark with a capacity (300) greater than the population of the town of Gackle (291), struggles to keep up with its large-market competitors.  But the team still manages to attract top talent with its laid-back prairie lifestyle and fun winters.  Their five highest paid players:

 1.       Johnny Cueto               $23,500,000

2.       Dexter Fowler               $16,500,000

3.       David Ortiz                   $16,000,000 (still on payroll for the upcoming SOMBILLA season)

4.       Dustin Pedroia              $14,642,348

5.       Marco Estrada             $14,500,000

 Total players over $10,000,000: 9

 7.  New Orleans - $170,137,153

 Twelve years after Hurricane Katrina and New Orleans management is still struggling to fill seats and land a TV contract.  Easy to see why Harold is fond of trading highly paid players to stockpile cheaply paid draft picks. Has the cheapest infield in the league.  His five highest paid players:

 1.       Albert Pujols                 $26,000,000

2.       Yoenis Cespedes          $22,500,000

3.       John Lackey                 $16,000,000

4.       Gio Gonzalez                $12,000,000

5.       Chris Sale                      $12,000,000

 Total players over $10,000,000: 8

 8. Smoking Loons - $160,895,392

 A distant last in payroll, this team is an embarrassment. The cheapest of cheap bastards, the owner spends way too much money on owner ‘amenities’ instead of on his loyal players. 13 major league clubs have higher payrolls than this deadbeat. Spends the least amount of any team on pitching.  His five highest paid players:

 1.       Justin Verlander  $28,000,000

2.       Adrian Gonzalez  $22,357,142

3.       Neal Walker         $17,200,000

4.       Yadier Molina     $14,200,000

5.       Nolan Arenado    $11,750,000

Total players over $10,000,000: Only 6!



Trade Register Update [8/16]

Back in 2010, I compiled a list of all SOMBILLA trades in league history.  You can see it here:

http://SOMBILLA.x10.mx/studies.htm#attr

I received a request to update this list.  So here you go:

5/5/08

This trade was not shown on the original list: A51 trades Chipper Jones to New Orleans for a “player to be named later” (Nick Markakis, after the current SOMBILLA season) and New Orleans 3rd round pick in the upcoming draft.

 If New Orleans makes the playoffs (which it did), the 3rd round pick becomes a 2nd round pick (became Joey Devine.  Who?) and New Orleans in return gets A51’s 8th round pick (Jerry Blevins).

11/10/09

Shoppach from FU for ND’s James Shields.  If Shields is a #1 starter per Lamanna for the 2010 season, then ND also gets a 3rd round pick in the 2011 draft.  If Shields is a #2 for 2010, its a 5th round pick in the 2011 draft. Shields was neither. Jed won this trade convincingly.

 

12/20/09

With much trepidation, Dem Bums wish to announce a trade of Jones's, Adam for Chipper (NO). Eric worries that Adam will become the next Eric Davis (he noticed that Adam is now a 1 in cf), and remembers a similar trade he made some years ago, trading for an aging yet stellar Larry Walker, only to see his season go down the tubes despite improving his team significantly on paper.

 

Harold assures Eric that Chipper will not disrupt the locker room cohesion. Eric thinks Harold is full of shit.

 

only time will tell...

 

(Ed note: Adam Jones is not the next Eric Davis, and Eric won the World Series that year).

 

1/19/10

Trade Update: after what seemed a prolonged negotiation in which little was actually negotiated, Arnie agreed to trade Grant Balfour to Eric for Ramon Ramirez, straight up, no chaser. It relieves Eric of one sox bullpenner, which was his primary motive. Too many pitchers on the olde home team had proved too stressful. Balfour said he was pleased to hear he was leaving a team that had changed its name mid-year.

 

(Balfour had a few good seasons after this for Eric, while Ramirez was cut).

1/24/10

ND sends Josh Hamilton to FW for Nelson Cruz, ND.  After FW won the trade early (with Hamilton having an MVP-type season), Cruz has come on for the last few seasons to help Arnie win this trade.

 

3/21/10

Fugakyu and New Orleans have agreed to the following trade: Ichiro Suzuki for Orlando Hudson plus New Orleans' 5th round draft choice in this year's draft (became Sean White).  Ichiro has now vowed to play until he's in his late 40's (a la Paul Molitor) and continue to hit for an even higher average

1/5/11

North Dakota, now 11 years removed from its last championship, and 2 years removed from its choke as the league's overwhelming favorite, has acquired centerfielder Carlos Beltran from hapless Bay City in exchange for 3B Chase Headley and a 2nd round draft pick (became Logan Morrison).  Despite (true) whispers that the two GMs were sleeping with each other, the Bay City front office points out that it was in fact, Fugakyu that initiated trade talks, "driving up the price" by forcing North Dakota to sweeten its offer.

Odd man out Dexter Fowler, who was designated for assignment, stormed out of the locker room and his whereabouts are unknown.

 

1/6/11

The New Orleans Ellis and the Fugakyu Pufferfish have agreed (pending the result of physical examination of the cards) to exchange 3B Ian Stewart plus a conditional draft choice for 3B Chone Figgins.  An anonymous source unauthorized to discuss the trade indicated that the conditional draft choice would be a 2011 4th round pick or a 2011 3rd round pick if the Ellis wins the Richman Cup (which he did!  The pick became Evan Meek).

 

The addition of Figgins means that all 25 Ellis players have a 1 range rating.  Figgins gives the Ellis a much sought-after leadoff threat and an irrepressible clubhouse presence.

 

The Pufferfish meanwhile seem to be sending a wait 'til next year signal.  However, Stewart will get a chance to play and does add some power to the lineup. 

 

1/22/11

Eric has traded Bob Howry and a 6th round pick to Robin (became Wil Rhymes) for reliever Kiko Calero. The original draft pick that Eric and Robin agreed on was a 7th rounder, but that got upgraded to a 6th rounder when Arnie, upon being notified of the trade's imminence, and exercising some obscure husbandly prerogative, angrily counter-offered a reliever of his own plus a better 6th round pick.

Robin, having begun negotiations in good faith, generously allowed Eric to match Arnie's proposal and agreed to the trade.

Eric feels relieved that he caused only a trifle amount of strife in their marriage, and lucky that the negotiations didn't escalate unreasonably due to Arnie's baseless tampering.

 

10/12/11

Eric's team (still nameless) traded Alexei Ramirez to Fugaku for Rajai Davis and a 6th round pick next year (became Corey Luebke). 

 

10/30/11

Fukakyu traded CJ Wilson and Huff to Bay City for V. Wells and a 7th round pick from Bay City if CJ Wilson is a "1" in Lamana's (became Fernando Salas).

2/9/12

Beating the trade deadline by mere hours (i.e. New Orleans 41st game tonight), the Raging Alcoholics trade Nick Swisher to New Orleans for a fourth round pick (became Brandon Belt) in the upcoming draft (which become a third if New Orleans wins the whole thing and Swisher plays in the World Series).

 Swisher is scrambling to sober up to get to the series vs. Constantinople tonight.

 

4/3/12

CN announces two trades:

CN trades Kelly Johnson to Fugakyu for Rafael Furcal.

Jed needs to announce a new cut...

CN trades Coco Crisp to The Cheddarmen (or whatever they will be called next year) for Chipper Jones

 

11/7/12

From Harold to Arnie: Ok, so to recap:

1.  I play Napoli Sunday vs Eric and pound him

2.  At 6pm Sunday you announce the trade to the league:  Napoli for a 2nd round pick, which becomes a first if you make the playoffs (which ND did; the pick became Matt Harvey)
3.  I give you Napoli Tuesday night, and you pound me.

 

1/15/13

Cheddarmen traded his 1st round pick (April 2014 Draft -- 2013 Cards, became Shelby Miller) for CN's Closer (Papelbon) and starting RFer (Pence).

 

3/9/13

Jeff and Harold made a trade - New Orleans trading Adam Jones straight up for Alex Gordon.

11/21/13

CN trades his 1st round pick (April 2015 Draft -- 2014 Cards, became Garrett Richards) to Cheddarmen for his closer (Grant Balfour) and Melky Cabrera (Starting LFer) and an 8th round pick (April 2015 Draft -- 2014 Cards, traded to ND).

 

CN GM when reached for comment, "We felt that we made a good deal last year and that we would do it from either side.  So when we say the opportunity to put our money where our rhetoric was we did it."

Cheese GM, "We are open for business; we will not propose trades but send us real offers and we will think about it." At which point, an as yet unnamed reporter asked "What is it with all the "we's"?  Y'all royalty or some such..." That is when the fight broke out as staffs of both teams streamed into the conference area and beat reporters lived up to their names delivering...

 

January, 2014

1/6 New Orleans has sent lefty relievers Charlie Furbush and Luis Avilan to The Cheddarmen for a 5th round pick in the 2014 draft
1/6
New Orleans has also sent lefty S/R Wade Miley to Future Wax for a 5th Round Pick (became JP Howell).
1/7 New Orleans is burning.  The fire sale continues as New Orleans send Carroll and Swisher to "What Eric Said" for a 7th Rd pick in 2014 draft (became Gaby Sanchez)  If WES makes the World Series the pick becomes the 6th and if WES wins WS (ya right) the pick becomes a number 5. 
1/11 New Orleans trades Scott Atchison to Manatees for a 5th round pick in the upcoming draft (became Zach Wheeler) 
1/12 The Cheddarmen trades Papelbon to North Dakota for M. Boggs.
1/12 Oceanus trades J.J. Hardy and a 7th round pick (became Coco Crisp) for Rollins and David Murphy.  (Matt Joyce, called up from the taxi squad to replace Murphy on the 25-man roster, became the World Series MVP).
1/14 ScutaroBay City to Oceanus for Infante

 

11/23/14

Only minutes before taking the field for game 1 of the much anticipated Tidy Bowl series between The Pierogies and Oceanus, Shin-Soo Choo found out he'd been traded to 'What Eric Said.' 'Yeah, I knew my card had been scanned into a PDF and attached to an email, so I'm not surprised' said the rotund Choo. Terms of the deal were Choo plus a conditional middle-round draft choice (became Tony Sipp) for a number 1 pick (became Michael Brantley).

 

12/5/14

Victorino, OC to ND for a 6th round pick (became Scott Van Slyke)

12/13/14

Oceanus has traded Joe Mauer to New Orleans for Travis D'Arnaud and a player to be named later, rumored to be Ian Desmond.

 

1/22/15

What Eric Said and Oceanus have agreed to the following trade:

Heyward, Lawrie and Thornburg (WES) for Holliday, Kendrick, Nathan and Medlen (OCE).

The first and only 7-player trade in league history.

 

3/28/15

The Oceanus Assholes have traded Todd Frazier to the What Eric Said _____ for a conditional 2016 draft choice.  It will be a 5th round choice if Frazier is rated in Lamanna's Baseball Bulletin as a top 75 player, otherwise it will be a 6th round choice (subsequently traded to Harold).

 

4/3/15

New Orleans trades Jeff Samardzija and a conditional 8th round pick in 2016 (became Billy Burns) only if Samardzija isn't ranked as of the top 25 starters in Lamanna in 2016 to “What Eric Said” for a 6th round pick in the 2015 draft (became Roughned Odor) and a 2nd round pick in the 2016 draft (became Brad Ziegler).

 

11/16/15

Oceanus and the Smoking Loons have agreed to terms on a trade that will send Troy Tulowitzki to Oceanus in exchange for Xander Bogaerts.

 

11/18/15

New Orleans and Oceanus have agreed to the following trade:

Hiroki Kuroda for a 2016 7th round pick, which becomes a 6th round pick if Oceanus reaches the Finals (became Andres Blanco) or becomes a 5th round pick if Oceanus wins the Championship (ha ha ha ha).

Actually, the ha ha ha ha part was an editorial comment, not part of the actual agreement.

Terms were finalized when Oceanus agreed to have a wheelchair ferry the ancient Kuroda from the mound to the dugout between innings.

 

10/15/15

NO receives Jeff’s 4th round and 6th round picks (JP Realmuto and Javy Lopez) in exchange for D. Santana and NO’s 6th round pick (traded to ND)

 

12/2/15

North Dakota has acquired 2nd baseman Robinson Cano from New Orleans in exchange for a 2nd and a 7th round pick this year (John Lackey and Aaron Hicks), and a 6th round pick in 2017.  "I have nothing funny to say.  This is serious business," stated the North Dakota GM when asked to comment.  "Fuck you all," he added.

 

12/13/15

Robin had an uncharacteristically good day at Jeff's place (where she possibly went 2-10 last year), but what was truly shocking was that she made a trade! Harold offered Jayson Werth for a 7th-round pick (became Jarrett Parker), and BC picked up the hirsute RF and immediately ordered him to shave.

1/26-27/16

1. North Dakota trades Kluber to Oceanus for Archer and a 6th round pick (became Travis Shaw) (the worse of Jed's two potential picks).  The pick becomes a 5th in 2017 if Jed ends up with no 6th rounder.
2. Smoking Loons acquired Papelbon and E. Escobar from North Dakota for a 2nd round pick (became Roberto Osuna).
3. "What Eric Said" (now "What Eric Said?") acquired Justin Turner and an 8th round pick (became Dan Haren) from North Dakota in exchange for a 3rd rounder (became Andrew Chafin).
4. North Dakota trades Y. Gomes and Pearce to Future Wax for Tyson Ross.
5. Bay City acquired Andrew Cashner and its previously traded 9th round pick from North Dakota for a 5th round pick (became Jarrod Eickhoff).

2/14/16

After the 5th inning, ND and NO made a trade, with ND acquiring C Rene Rivera from NO for a 10th round pick in 2017 (solely to save Matt Wieters' 2 remaining plate appearances).  Rivera grabbed his catcher's mitt and sprinted from the NO dugout to home plate to catch for North Dakota. 3 innings and a Grandal 3-run homer for NO later, the two managers realize that the trade was made during North Dakota's 49th game, or 5 innings after the trading deadline.  The teams agree to make the trade retroactive to the beginning of the game (although Wieters one PA in the game still counts). Final score 13-1 New Orleans.

3/6/16

In its third, yes, third! trade of the season, Bay City acquires Moustakas from New Orleans for Kenley Jansen (thus purging its bullpen of all Jansens/Janssens, as Casey was cut last year), enabling the Moose to rejoin many of his real-life Royals teammates on the BC roster.

 

3/21/16

New Orleans makes its third trade in this offseason, trading Stephen Strasburg and its 5th round pick this year (became Matt Duffy) to Oceanus for Jose Bautista and Oceanus’ 7th round pick in the 2017 draft.  The 7th round pick is negated if Strasburg is not a top 25 starter in Lamanna for the 2017 season OR Strasburg pitches less than 150 innings in the 2016 MLB season.

 

3/29/16

Kazmir, ND to “WES?” for 8th round pick (became Enrique Hernandez).




THE SOMBILLA HALL OF FAME

Hall of Fame?  Seriously, Arnie?  How the heck are you gonna decide this?  And why do you get all that power? 

Good questions, and thanks for asking.  The answer is that I am not going to decide – you all – the SOMBILLA managers -- have already decided.  Every year (except for 1981-1984 when there were no awards), we SOMBILLA managers vote for MVP and Cy Young looking back over the season just ended.  What better way to determine the best players over a period of time than to use the collective wisdom of SOMBILLA managers who voted each year? 

I visited the hot attic to pull the annual voting summaries (tabulated in each summer newsletter).  Then I added them all up year by year, player by player.  The totals should give us a pretty good idea of who we, the SOMBILLA managers, felt were the best SOMBILLA performers over an extended time period – the history of the league.

One slight drawback – in addition to no awards for three of the earliest seasons of the league, I did not publish the MVP and Cy Young voting summaries < 1990.  At least we know who won the award for those 6 seasons, so I gave the winners 25 points for each of those, a rough approximation of the winners’ vote totals.  We still have actual voting totals for the past 26 seasons - not too shabby.

So, for this first ballot SOMBILLA Hall of Fame, 9 hitters and 9 pitchers will be inducted – the top 9 in each category of out annual voting.  Why 9 and not, say 10?  You’ll see in a minute.  Here is your initial SOMBILLA Hall of Fame class, along with vote totals:

Name

Team

Vote total

Bonds

FW

170

Piazza

FW

94

Pujols

ND

76

M. Ramirez

NO

74

E. Davis

FW

65

Trout

CN

57

Edmonds

FW-MF

57

Griffey

FW

56.5

McGwire

MF

56

 

Name

Team

Vote total

Maddux

FW

148

Clemens

Eric – ND - Jed

136

Pedro

FW

103.5

Verlander

Eric

96

Rivera

NO

57

R. Johnson

ND

52

Smoltz

Jed

51.5

Ryan

MF

48

Schilling

Jeff

46

 

The controversial Barry Bonds won a record four SOMBILLA MVP awards.  His high number of votes is even more impressive when you realize that as steroid/giant head allegations dogged him at the end of his career, some SOMBILLA managers began leaving him off their ballots completely.  Unlike the real baseball HOF, though, that blackballing is not enough to keep him out of the SOMBILLA HOF.

So who just missed the cut?  Who is on the cusp?  Here are the next six hitters and pitchers – number 10-15

A Rod

CN

50

Belle

FW

48

Baines

Eric

41

A. Gonzalez

Eric

39

Howard

CN

37

Votto

Jed

36

Kershaw

FW

43

Drabek

BC

42.5

Foulke

Eric

41.5

Clemens

ND

40

Guthrie

FW

35

Wetteland

ND

34

 

I made the executive decision to keep A. Rod out of this initial class.  Indeed, after A. Rod won the ’06-07 SOMBILLA MVP, the 2007 SUMMER newsletter had the following asterisk next to A. Rod’s vote total:  * asshole


ALL-TIME FRANCHISE ROSTERS

 

Using the same data set, I thought it’d be fun for everyone to see all of the great players they’ve had who have received votes through the years.  It’s not really an all-time franchise list, since there won’t be someone at every position, more of a list of each franchise’s players who have ever received votes for SOMBILLA MVP and Cy Young. But All-time franchise rosters sounds better.

 


Bay City

1. Ripken

25

1. Murray

25

3. Thomas

23.5

4. Beltran

16

5. M. Cabrera

14

6. Jeter

12

7. C. Davis

9

8. G. Davis

4

9. Green

3

10. I. Rodriguez

1.5

11. V. Martinez

1

 

1. Drabek

42.5

2. Boddicker

25

2. Gordon

25

2. Halladay

25

5. Oswalt

18

6. Prior

6

7. Mesa

3

 

 


Constantinople

 

1. Trout

57

2. A Rod

50

3. Howard

37

4. JGiambi

27

5. Bay

18

6. Morales

6

6. Mondesi

6

6. Bruks

6

6. A. Jones

6

10. T. Hunter

4

11. Everett

3

12. Alfonzo

2

13. Stairs

1

13. Jaso

1

13. Harper

1

13. B. Abreau

1

 

 

1. Hudson

31

2. Schmidt

22

3. Zimmerman

20

4. Dotel

19

4. Park

19

6. Wolf

14

7. Papelbon

12

8. Urbina

8

9. Cain

7

10. Dickey

3

11. Benoit

2

11. Foster

2

11. G. White

2

 

 


Eric (too many team names to list)

1. Baines

41

2. A. Gonzalez

39

3. Winfield

25

4. Stanley

16

5. Konerko

15

6. Youkilis

12

7. P. Fielder

10

8. Y. Molina

9

9. Hayes

6

10. Palmeiro

5

11. Tulowitzki

4

11. Eisenreich

4

13. Dykstra

2

14. Soto

1

14. Sanders

1

 

 

1. Verlander

96

2. Clemens

75

3. Lincecom

45

4. Foulke

41.5

5. Burnett

25

5. Hershiser

25

5. Sutcliffe

25

8. Portugal

24

9. Weaver

23

10. Frowirth

13

11. J. Smith

10

11. Nelson

10

11. Nomo

10

14. Lowe

8

15. Millwood

5.5

16. Jim Johnson

4

16. P. Wilson

4

16. Weaver

4

19. Clement

3

19. Hill

3

Future Wax

1. Bonds

170

2. Piazza

94

3. E. Davis

65

4. Griffey

56.5

5. Edmonds

53

6. Belle

48

7. Strawberry

33

7. Kemp

33

9. J. Gonzalez

28

10. Ludwick

24

11. Thome

22

12. Moss

20

12. McCutchen

20

14. Upton

18

15. Garciaparra

16

16. Tartabull

15

17. Stanton

13

18. Berkman

6

19. Pasqua

5

20. Reyes

2

21. Quentin

1

 

 

1. Maddux

148

2. Pedro

103.5

3. Kershaw

43

4. Guthrie

35

5. Nathan

33

6. Scherzer

23

7. Zambrano

18

8. Dibble

17

9. Greinke

9

9. J. Thompson

9

11. Bosio

6

11. Hanson

6

11. J. Santana

6

14. Garrelts

3

14. Morgan

3

14. Wood

3

17. Moyer

2.5

18. Hamilton

1

 

 


Jed (solo, with various team names and with Clint)

 

1. Votto

36

2. Abreau

9

3. C. Pena

7

4. Gwynn

6.5

5. Leyritz

5

6. Suzuki

4

7. Brantley

3

8. Jeffries

2

8. Bautista

2

10. R. Henderson

1

10. D. Lee

1

 

1. Smoltz

51.5

2. Clemens

21

3. Lackey

17

4. Sanders

11

5. Webb

8

6. Kluber

3

6. Kuroda

3

6. Mussina

3

6. Soria

3

10. F. Hernandez

1

 

 


Jeff/Dave/Joel (this same franchise has had three managers)

 

1. L. Walker

25

2. Puig

8

3. D. Santana

7

4. Tejada

6

5. Greenwell

5

5. Buhner

5

7. LoDuca

4

8. Walker

3

8. Olerud

3

8. Markakis

3

8. Lowell

3

8. C. Gonzalez

3

 

1. Schilling

46

2. Belcher

22

3. Samardzjia

12

4. W. Rodriguez

7

5. Pettitte

6

6. Glavine

5

6. Swindell

5

8. Garcia

4

8. Vazquez

4

10. Lohse

3

11. F. Rodriguez

2

12. Lester

1

12. Mussina

1

 

 


Manila Folders (solo Matt and with Jed)

 

1. McGwire

56

2. M. Williams

19

3. O. Smith

5

4. Edmonds

4

5. Whitaker

3

5. D. Henderson

3

5. Canseco

3

8. J. Lopez

2

9. Wilkins

1

9. K. Millar

1

9. Hoiles

1

 

1. Ryan

48

2. Appier

7

 

 

 


North Dakota

 

1. Pujols

76

2. R. Alomar

34.5

3. M. Vaughn

24

4. McGriff

23

4. Hamilton

23

6. Ellsbury

22

7. L. Gonzalez

18

8. Alou

16.5

9. B. Williams

15

10. Hafner

11

10. H. Ramirez

11

12. Ortiz

6

13. Justice

4

13. Guerrero

4

13. Craig

4

13. Cirillo

4

17. Segui

1

17. Lankford

1

17. Cano

1

 

 

1. R. Johnson

52

2. Clemens

40

3. Wetteland

34

4. Hoffman

29

5. Kimbrel

27

6.JR Richard

25

7. Beck

24

8. Peavy

23

9. M. Morris

13

9. Nagy

13

11. Gagne

11

12. Haren

10

13. Wainright

9

14. B. Jones

7

15. M. Adams

5

16. Cueto

4

17. Fleming

1

 

 


New Orleans (Ross’s Raiders, LH’s)

 

1. M. Ramirez

74

2. Mitchell

35

3. Cano

32

4. Wright

31

5. Sandberg

27

6. E. Martinez

21

7. Sheffield

8

8. Bagwell

7

9. Glaus

4

10. Vizquel

3

11. Werth

2

12. Van Slyke

1

12. O. Cabrera

1

12. Cuddyer

1

 

 

1. Rivera

57

2. R. Martinez

32

3. Valenzuela

25

4. Percival

22

4. Willis

22

6. D. Jones

16

7. Chamberlain

14

7. Sale

14

9. Leiter

10

10. Brown

9

10. Lilly

9

12. Uehara

8

13. Erickson

6

14. Carpenter

4

14. Harnisch

4

16. Carmona

3

16. Wagner

3

18. Benson

1

18. Langston

1



Door #1, Door #2 or Door #3?

 

How does the league do with its 1st pick overall?  Who has had the most?  Is there a difference in the top 3 picks?  The answer to these questions and more drives this summer study.  Below is a list of the top three draft picks each year, along with the decision of which of the top three picks was the best in hindsight.  Wherever possible, I used the retrospective draft analyses – done by me through 2004, and Tom since 2005.

 

Year

First pick overall

2nd pick overall

3rd pick overall

Best pick

1985

Gooden, T&A

Sandberg, Joel

Ripken, Robin

Ripken, Robin (3)

1986

Coleman, Matt

S. Fernandez, Robin

Guillen, Jed

Fernandez, Robin (2)

1987

Sierra, Arnie

Canseco, Joel

Eichhorn, Yitz

Canseco, Joel (2)

1988

McGwire, Matt

Dunne, Dave

B. Santiago, Arnie

McGwire, Matt (1)

1989

Jefferies, T&A

Cone, Robin

Belcher, Durga & Harold

Cone, Robin (2)

1990

Griffey Jr. T&A

G. Olson, Durga & Harold

A. Benes, Robin

Griffey, T&A (1)

1991

F. Thomas, Robin

Justice, Arnie

S. Alomar, Durga & Harold

Thomas, Robin (1)

1992

Plantier, Matt

Barberie, Dave

I. Rodriguez, Robin

Rodriguez, Robin (3)

1993

Schilling, Dave

Tewksbury, Jed & Clint

Eldred, Dave

Schilling, Dave (1)

1994

M. Ramirez, Harold

Sele, Robin

Bere, Land

Ramirez, Harold (1)

1995

A. Rod, Land

Trachsel, Harold

Klesko, Arnie

A. Rod, Land (1)*

1996

C. Johnson, Matt

C. Jones, Dave & Jeff

Nomo, Eric

C. Jones, D&J (2)

1997

Renteria. Jeff

Radke, Matt

A. Jones, Jed & Clint

A. Jones, J&C (3)

1998

Grieve, Robin

V. Guerrero, Jed & Clint

Alfonzo, Land & Brian

Guerrero, J&C (2)

1999

JD Drew, Eric

O. Hernandez, Jed & Clint

E. Chavez, Matt

Chavez, Matt (3)

2000

Benson, Harold

Mateo, Harold

Foulke, Eric

Foulke, Eric (3)

2001

Furcal, Matt

Weaver, Jeff

Vidro, Jeff

Vidro, Jeff (3)

2002

V. Guerrero. Jeff

Oswalt, Robin

Pujols, Arnie

Pujols, Arnie (3)

2003

Prior, Robin

Beckett, Matt & Jed

Clement, Eric

Beckett, M&J (2)

2004

M. Cabrera, Robin

Webb, Matt & Jed

Loaiza, Harold

M. Cab, Robin (1)

2005

Wright, Harold

BJ Upton, Robin

Mauer, Matt & Jed

Wright, Harold (1)

2006

F. Hernandez, Jed

Patterson, Jeff

Hermida, Harold

Hernandez, Jed (1)

2007

D. Young, Jeff

Verlander, Eric

A. Sanchez, Robin

Verlander, Eric (2)

2008

Carmona, Harold

Lincecum, Eric

Hamilton, Arnie

Hamilton, Arnie (3)

2009

Longoria, Jeff

Bruce, RAT

Dempster, Eric

Longoria, Jeff (1)

2010

Wieters, Arnie

Hanson, Robin

Zobrist, Harold

Zobrist, Harold (3)

2011

Posey, Robin

Heyward, Jeff

Stanton, Randy

Stanton, Randy (3)

2012

Lawrie, Jeff

Trout, Tom

Fister, Jed

Trout, Tom (2)

2013

Harper, Tom

Cespedes, Harold

Darvish, Robin

Harper, Tom (1)

2014

J. Fernandez, Harold

Puig, Jeff

Bogaerts, Jed

Bogaerts, Jed (3)

2015

Abreau, Jed

Pederson, Eric

Betts, Arnie

Betts, Arnie (3)

2016

Correa, Robin

Lindor, Arnie

Bryant, Harold

Too soon

 

* asshole

 

Summary

Total number of drafts: 31

 

Fairly even distribution actually.  Sometimes, the best pick is clear and a consensus (examples, McGwire, Griffey, A. Rod).  Sometimes the person with the first pick screws up badly by not choosing the consensus (choosing Lawrie over Trout for example) or choosing Phil Plantier over I. Rodriguez (or Mussina & Bagwell, also chosen in the first round of 1992’s draft).

 

But more often than not, the choice is not so clear cut.  Many of these first rounders were chosen because of a great card rather than future potential, so it’s important to keep that in mind.

 

Other fun facts:

 

First pick overall
Robin 6

Matt 5

Harold 5

Jeff 5

RAT 3

Arnie 2

Jed 2

Eric 1

Tom 1

Dave 1

Land 1

 


Injuries in the SOMBILLA

 With the demise of the Couch of Woe, a flurry of emails around the league brought to the forefront the always topical injury discussion.  Seeing as it’s been 10 years since the last injury study, an update is in order.

 Ideally, we would examine a historical list of all players who have gone on the DL, say, over the past 10 years, and add ‘em up. Or something like that. Although such data exists, it’s ridiculously difficult to sift through, while trying to determine which players were actually in the league at the time of the injury.  So, I won’t.

Right now

At the all-star break, 42 of the league’s 360 players were on the DL, or 12%. They were spread not so evenly among the league’s teams. Unlike the all-star lists, you don’t want your team to be at or near the top:

NO – Vazquez, Morneau, A, Gordon, Wright, Wheeler, Strasburg, Werth, D. Gordon

BC – Mcab, Harrison, Cobb, Myers, Aoki, Odorizzi, Darvish

WES – Freeman, Cozart, Medlen, Garza, Holliday, D. Holland

PR – Dickerson, Weaver, Alvarez, Utley, Furbush, Zimmerman

ND – Perdoia, Nava, C Lee, Wainwright

OC – Mesoraco, Prado, d’Arnaud, Rendon, Bautista

FW – Springer, Stanton, Profar, A. Sanchez, Stroman, Scherzer

CN – W. Peralta, Doolittle, Adams

But that’s just a snapshot in time. It doesn’t prove anything and you can’t draw any conclusions from it. Indeed, the snapshot would’ve been different in May, and will be different again in September (except for people like Darvish, Wainwright, or Profar out for the season).

  1. Fluke injuries.

Pitchers get sore arms. Players pull hamstrings. These are normal, almost expected. But occasionally, weird, inexplicable injuries occur to players. Is this a random occurrence by team or not? Well, some teams clearly are more susceptible to weird injuries. Coincidence?   At first I was going to list just the collection of some of the strangest injuries over the past 10 years affecting SOMBILLA players by team, but then I decided – what the heck, I’ll throw in all of the older weird injuries as well.  (Listed in order of weird injury count):

Robin:

Eric

·         Raul Ibanez missed time because of a sleeping injury. Seriously. It’s certainly not the most glamorous-sounding sports injury in history.

RAT

Arnie

Harold

Jeff

·         Phillies reliever Antonio Bastardo was unavailable to pitch after he apparently was ticked off after allowing three runs (two charged to starter Cole Hamels) in relief against the Twins. The reliever took out his frustration on a squat machine, and the squat machine “returned the favor.” Bastardo reportedly ended up with a cut over his left eye, and the eye was nearly swollen shut.

·         Texas Rangers shortstop Elvis Andrus was scratched from spring training action because of “sensitivity” in his left biceps. How did his arm get so irritated? From being tattooed for hours. Andrus spent nine hours getting a massive portrait of his father, Emilo, who died in 1996, tattooed on his left arm

·         Michael Taylor sliced his finger after he hit his hand on a light fixture in the team’s dugout while throwing his gum away.

·         Hisashi Iwakuma strained middle finger on his throwing hand. However, the injury didn’t happen while he was throwing. Instead, he got it caught in a net, the protective movable screen used for batting practice.

·         Miami Marlins pitcher Henderson Alvarez was scratched from a start because of an infection in his right shin from an ingrown hair.

Jed

 Tom

·         Bryce Harper took 10 stitches above his left eye after smashing a bat against a wall in frustration.

·         “The ham and cheese sandwich that attacked Matt Cain”. All right, to be technical, it wasn’t the ham, the cheese or the sandwich itself that assaulted Cain. It was the knife he was using to finish off that sandwich. Cain told the San Francisco Chronicle’s Henry Schulman that he’s managed to successfully make sandwiches, and cut them with a knife, many times. But with this one, he “went to cut it, to make it fancy in triangles.” And, alas, the knife cut more than his fancy this time. He was slicing away when he dropped the knife, tried to catch it and learned an important lesson: Knives are sharp. That’s why they’re used to cut fancy triangles in sandwiches instead of, say, fingers.

·         In 2006, Matt Wise cut his hand on salad tongs at the team buffet.

·         In 2011, Indians' rookie Jason Kipnis strained his hamstring while stretching to avoid, you know, straining his hamstring.

·         Who can forget Kendry Morales, who went from elation to disappointment in a matter of seconds as he broke his leg celebrating a walkoff grand slam against Seattle. The injury caused him to miss the rest of the season.

 

  1. Deaths.

On a more somber note, a few SOMBILLA players have actually died while on active rosters, none in the past 10 years, thankfully:

 

Conclusion.

It may not be entirely based on a statistically valid sample size, but Robin’s team does appear to have an inordinate number of both normal (see current DL) and weird injuries and deaths, heading up every category in this unscientific study.  The Couch of Woe Effect is real.  But will it be sustained?

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

THE CUTE RATINGS

 Back by popular demand, after a 9-year absence…The Cute Ratings!  By Robin Perlow, guest columnist

 To no one’s surprise, the team with the most cute players, and the cutest player in the SOMBILLA, is Bay City, sporting just over half a cute roster with 23 cuties. The team with the fewest is The Pierogies, with only 12 cute players, but it does feature the winner of “cutest newly discovered cute player” (someone whom I did not know what he looked like prior to assembling the rankings): pitcher Jarred Cosart. Below are the fascinating details (teams ranked least cute to most cute). Note that three teams are tied with 16:

 The Pierogies—12: Catcher Norris loses out because of his 2014 Reddickian facial hair. Fewest number of cute pitchers with just 4. Would have even fewer if not for attractive draft (Pederson, G. Richards, R. Castillo, A Wood, and the aforementioned Cosart).

 “What Eric Said”—16: The least cute of the three with 16 cuties due to deductions for extreme unattractiveness of Broxton, Buchholz, and Garza. Jeff’s infielder Cozart no match for Eric’s pitcher Cosart. Note that one of his cuties is former Bay Cityite (drafted but cut in the waiver draft) Jack Marisnick.

Oceanus—16: Boosted by Xander Bogaerts but undercut by Pat Neshek. Does have one of the top 5 cutest in Chris Archer. Scott Van Slyke, unlike his father, Andy, is not cute. Tied with Constantinople for cutest infield in number of players with 7, but Bogaerts the tie-breaker.

North Dakota—16: The cutest of the 16ers thanks to the Yankees’ no-beard policy. Andrew Miller exceptionally cute clean-shaven (although I prefer him with longer hair). Arnie’s draft also helped overall team attractiveness (Betts, DeGrom, Miller, Kiermaier, Gillaspie, Chris Taylor).

 
Future Wax—17: Second-cutest pitching staff (to mine) with 10. Greinke, Hamels, Kershaw make a good-looking 1-2-3 rotation. I prefer Aybar and McCutchen with longer hair, but they are still attractive enough with short hair to make the list.

 
Constantinople—19: Tied for cutest infield with Oceanus with 7. Sean Doolittle a detriment. Note that former Bay Cityite Kevin Siegrist makes the list (if I had assembled my cut list by looks, I’d have done better than I did by assembling by usability).

 New Orleans—20: I gave both Jason Werth and Robinson Cano a half point each (Cano apparently started growing a beard the day he left the Yankees), as each would be cute clean-shaven. Sports the cutest outfield with 6.5 (everyone but Pompey and Santana). Harvey, Gray, Fernandez an attractive top 3 starting rotation. Quackenbush’s hideous beard and Joba Chamberlain bring down an otherwise very cute team. Note that former Bay Cityites Huston Street and Michael Cuddyer make the list.

 Bay City—23: Features the “Cutest Player in the SOMBILLA” in former Head & Shoulders spokesman CJ Wilson (now out for the season, and, according to Dave Pinto, disliked by his teammates on the Angels). Unbeknownst to me, I drafted an extremely attractive pitcher in AJ Ramos. Reddick forgoing the “Rip Van Reddick” beard helps immensely [see comment on Norris], as does Danny Espinosa shaving the horrendous mustache he sported in Spring Training.

 
The rest of the league is closing the gap a bit; in 2006, I had 21 cuties and the second-cutest team (A-51) had only 14.

 
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JULY MADNESS

 
For the next study, I decided to do the SOMBILLA Summer Newsletter’s first tournament.  I originally wanted to do a 16-team tourney with the last 16 SOMBILLA Champions. 

 

<Stepping onto soapbox>

Unfortunately, due to Strat-O’s  arcane ‘key system’ for each computer year purchased, it is difficult to access past seasons, that had been downloaded onto a different computer.  As I’ve complained about here before, Strat-O refuses to help, you are not only supposed to have kept the access code, but also be able to access the old computer’s hard drive to relinquish the one authorized code back to the “cloud” so you can download it onto the new computer.  Ridiculous.

<Stepping off of soapbox>

 
I was able to access all of the past 8 seasons, which is at least a nice geometric number.  But an 8 team tournament is kind of boring, so I took all 16 of the SOMBILLA’s World Series participant teams over the last 8 seasons.  I thought about making it a 32-team tournament, using all 32 playoff teams from the past 8 years, but it is labor intensive trying to ensure each team has the correct roster as used (for most teams, they reflect my estimate of the 25-man roster that I set up, and do not include in-season trades).  So 16 it was.  (Maybe next year I’ll have time to add the rest of the playoff teams and let Jed and Jeff play.)

 
All managers are represented, except Jeff and Jed. Jeff has not made it into the SOMBILLA World Series since he won the Championship in 2003.  In the 12 years since then, he has lost in the first round of the playoffs 4 times, including last season.

However, Jed blows that away.  He has not appeared in the SOMBILLA World Series since 1990, when he managed the Plymouth Satellites to the 11th inning of the 7th game against legendary Yoknapatawpha (44-12).  We all remember that one:

 
**POST MORTEM** About 2 or 3 days after the series, Eric discovered to his horror and dismay that in the 9th inning of game 6, Barrett, who botched a squeeze just before Jones's single won it, was ineligible to pinch-hit for Uribe because no one was left to play shortstop. What to do? Replay it from there, and then possibly replay game 7? (Horrors!) Eric first consulted Jed, and then me. Both Jed and I came to the following independent conclusions:
     1. Barrett's at bat was inconsequential - he screwed up; it was T. Jones who won the game.
     2. If the games were replayed and Jed won, it would be a 'tainted' victory.
Because Jed & I came to the same conclusions on our own, it was agreed by all three of us to let the games stand. Thus, it is Eric who has the 'tainted' victory. (Just kidding).

    

Anyway, Jed, both solo and co-owning (Clint and Matt) has lost in the first round of the playoffs 6 times in the past 25 years, having gone 14 seasons, from ’92-93 to ’05-06, without even making the playoffs.

Anyway, Eric has 4 teams in this tournament – 2 as The Cheddarmen, and one each as Go Avocado! and Dem Bums.  Future Wax and New Orleans have 3 teams each, while Bay City, New Orleans, and North Dakota have two teams each.

 

For seeding, the World Series winning teams were seeded 1-8 of course.  For those 8 teams, I used their teams’ post-season records.  Three teams had 8-3 post-season records, so to break the tie, I went with regular season wins.  Eric had the top two seeded teams.  The number 1 seeded team in the tournament was Dem Bums ’09-10, which went 8-3 in the post-season after going 34-20 in the regular season.

Seeds 9-16 were the World Series losers, seeded in order of regular season wins.  Interestingly, none of those 8 teams had the same number of wins, so I didn’t need to have a 2nd tiebreaker rule.

Here are the teams seeded 1-16:

 

    1.  Dem Bums         ’09-10
    2.  The Cheddarmen   ’11-12
    3.  North Dakota     ’13-14
    4.  North Dakota     ’12-13
    5.  Future Wax       ’07-08
    6.  Future Wax       ’14-15
    7.  Constantinople   ’08-09
    8.  New Orleans      ’10-11

9.     Future Wax       ’09-10

10.      Go Avocado!      ’10-11

11.      New Orleans      ’08-09

12.      Constantinople   ’13-14

13.      The Cheddarmen   ’12-13

14.      New Orleans      ’14-15

15.      Bay City         ’11-12

16.      Bay City         ’07-08

 
This sets up a rematch of two actual SOMBILLA World Series in the first round - ’11-12 Cheddarmen/Bay City (2 vs 15 seed) and ’12-13 Cheddarmen/North Dakota (5 vs 12 seed).

 
Round 1:

(Seeding in parenthesis)

(8)   2010 NEW Defeats (9)   2009 RAT 4 games to 0
(10)  2010 GOA Defeats (7)   2008 CON 4 games to 3
(6)   2014 RAT Defeats (11)  2008 NEW 4 games to 2
(5)   2007 WAX Defeats (12)  2013 CON 4 games to 1
(13)  2012 CHE Defeats (4)   2012 NDK 4 games to 0
(3)   2013 NDK Defeats (14)  2014 NEW 4 games to 1
(15)  2011 BAY Defeats (2)   2011 CHE 4 games to 3
(1)   2009 DBM Defeats (16)  2007 BAY 4 games to 1

Biggest upset of the first round?  The 2011—2012 rematch – this time Bay City shocks Dem Bums in 7 games (Eric won the original in 5 games). The only other series to go 7 games was Eric’s ’10-11 Dem Bums knocking off ’08-09 CN in 7 games (CN’s World Series champs actually finished 4th that year at 27-29, so perhaps a no. 7 seed was a mistake). Eric’s teams went 3-1 overall, only Robin’s upset prevented him from claiming 4 of the 8 teams in the 2nd round.  Randy’s 3 teams were 2-1.  CN’s two teams were knocked out, leaving 5 managers still in it.  Only 5 of the original World Series winners (the top 8 seeds) won in the first round. 

Here is the first round leaderboard
TOURNAMENT REAP REPORT - JulyMadness
 
BATTING AVERAGE     HOME RUNS           RUNS BATTED IN
M.Young   CHE .579  M.Ramirez DBM    5  A.Torres  BAY   11
N.Markaki NEW .542  C.Pena    CON    5  D.Fowler  NDK   10
Y.Molina  CHE .500  A.Huff    DBM    4  A.Huff    DBM    9
J.Thome   WAX .471  A.Torres  BAY    4  M.Napoli  NEW    9
C.Utley   CHE .462  OTHERS TIED W    3  OTHERS TIED W    8
 
WINS                SAVES               ERA
J.Peavy   NDK    2  R.Soriano DBM    3  MANY TIED WIT 0.00
C.Kershaw RAT    2  J.Papelbo CON    3
J.Weaver* DBM    2  H.Kuo     BAY    3
OTHERS TIED W    1  OTHERS TIED W    2
 
 
CUR HIT STREAK      STOLEN BASES        STRIKEOUTS
C.Crawfor DBM    7  C.Crawfor DBM    3  J.Santana WAX   21
R.Martin  CON    7  J.Reyes   WAX    3  T.Lincecu DBM   19
A.Gonzale BAY    6  OTHERS TIED W    2  J.Weaver  DBM   19
OTHERS TIED W    5                      T.Lincecu DBM   19
                                        OTHERS TIED W   17
 
 Round 2:


So, we’re down to the Elite Eight. Here are the remaining teams:

 1.  Dem Bums ’09-10

3.  North Dakota ’13-14
5.  Future Wax ’07-08
6.  Future Wax ’14-15
8.  New Orleans ’10-11 
10. Go Avocado! ’10-11 
13. The Cheddarmen ’12-13 
15. Bay City ’11-12 
 
No rematches here, although ’11-12 Bay City, after knocking off #2 seed The Cheddarmen, is once again matched up against Eric, this time the #1 seed.  Can they do it again?
 
(6)   2014 RAT Defeats (8)   2010 NEW 4 games to 2
(10)  2010 GOA Defeats (5)   2007 WAX 4 games to 3
(13)  2012 CHE Defeats (3)   2013 NDK 4 games to 1
(1)   2009 DBM Defeats (15)  2011 BAY 4 games to 2
 
No.  And, after ’12-13 Cheddarmen upsets #3 seed ’13-14 North Dakota, Eric owns 3 of the Final Four teams.  That ’12-13 Cheddarmen team, which lost the World Series to North Dakota in 5 games, is now 8-1 in the tournament.
 
Here are the leaders after two rounds:
 
BATTING AVERAGE     HOME RUNS           RUNS BATTED IN
N.Markaki NEW .542  A.Huff    DBM    8  A.Huff    DBM   18
M.Young   CHE .472  M.Ramirez DBM    6  B.McCann  WAX   15
P.Fielder CHE .472  L.Berkman WAX    6  L.Berkman WAX   12
P.Burrell CON .455  J.Thome   WAX    6  J.Upton   RAT   12
OTHERS TIED W .429  OTHERS TIED W    5  A.Torres  BAY   12
 
WINS                SAVES               ERA
C.Kershaw RAT    3  S.Downs   DBM    4  J.Howell  RAT 0.00
OTHERS TIED W    2  OTHERS TIED W    3  I.Kennedy NDK 0.00
                                        J.Weaver  CHE 0.59
                                        K.Correia CON 0.84
                                        C.Kershaw RAT 1.09
 
CUR HIT STREAK      STOLEN BASES        STRIKEOUTS
R.Zimmerm DBM   12  J.Reyes   WAX    4  M.Bumgarn RAT   32
B.McCann  WAX   11  M.Bourn   CHE    4  T.Lincecu DBM   32
B.Zobrist NEW    9  B.Upton   BAY    4  J.Santana WAX   30
M.Cabrera BAY    9  OTHERS TIED W    3  M.Scherze RAT   27
C.Utley   CHE    8                      T.Lincecu DBM   25
  

 

Round 3 – the Final Four

It’s the Eric show!  (And I don’t mean former North Dakota pitcher Eric Show).  Only last year’s champion Future Wax cracks the Eric monopoly.  Eric impressively has three different team names as well:

 

(1) Dem Bums ’09-10 vs. (13) The Cheddarmen ’12-13

(6) Future Wax ’14-15 vs. (10) Go Avocado ’10-11

 

Dem Bums 10 The Cheddarmen 1

The Cheddarmen 3  Dem Bums 1

The Cheddarmen 4  Dem Bums 3

The Cheddarmen 5  Dem Bums 4

The Cheddarmen 7  Dem Bums 6

 

The Cheddarmen wins 4 games to 1

 

Go Avocado! 9  Future Wax 5
Go Avocado! 3  Future Wax 2
Future Wax 7  Go Avocado! 1
Future Wax 6  Go Avocado! 5
Go Avocado! 2  Future Wax 1
Go Avocado! 7  Future Wax 5
 
Go Avocado! wins 4 games to 2
 
World Series

It’s the team that lost the World Series to North Dakota in 5 games (13th seeded The Cheddarmen ’12-13) vs. the team that lost the World Series to New Orleans in 7 games (10th seeded Go Avocado! ’10-11).

 

Game 1 – The Cheddarmen 9 Go Avocado! 7

 

Win:Verlander(1-0) Loss:Wilson(0-1) Save:Betancourt(1st)
Homeruns- P.Fielder(1st), A.Gonzalez(1st), T.Tulowitzki(1st), M.Ramirez(1st)
 
Michael Young had 4 hits and scored 3 times at the ballpark as The
Cheddarmen club beat the Go Avocado!2011 ballclub by the count of 9 to
7.Justin Verlander(1-0) was pleased to get credit for the victory with a lot of help from his teammates.  
 
Game 2 – Go Avocado! 4  The Cheddarmen 3
 
Win:Lincecum(1-0) Loss:Weaver(0-1) Save:Franklin(1st)
Homeruns- P.Fielder-2(3rd)
 
Prince Fielder rocketed 2 homeruns as the Go Avocado!2011 team defeated the
The Cheddarmen ballclub by the score of 4 to 3 at the ballpark.
 
Tim Lincecum(1-0) was very good in the win.  He allowed only 6 hits and no
walks in 8 innings.
 
 
Game 3 – Go Avocado! 4  The Cheddarmen 2
 
Win:Wuertz(1-0) Loss:Papelbon(0-1) Save:Thatcher(1st)
 
In a tight game it was the Go Avocado!2011 team 4, The Cheddarmen club 2
in 13 innings at the ballpark.
 
The score was knotted at 1 after nine innings.  Go Avocado!2011 ended up
winning it in the 13th inning.  After an out was recorded, Troy Tulowitzki
started the rally when he drew a walk.  Ryan Zimmerman followed and he
doubled.  Ryan Sweeney then doubled.  
 
Game 4 Go Avocado! 5 The Cheddarmen 3
 
Center fielder Nyjer Morgan had 2 base hits as the Go Avocado!2011 team
defeated The Cheddarmen club by a score of 5 to 3 at the ballpark.
 
Go Avocado!2011 won the game with a rally in the top of the 9th inning with 2
runs on 3 base hits.  Manny Ramirez led off the inning for Go Avocado!2011
when he slapped a single.  J.D. Drew was next and he stroked a single.
Yadier Molina then slapped a one-base hit.  Morgan was up next and he worked
the squeeze play to perfection.
 
Game 5  The Cheddarmen 2 Go Avocado! 0
 
Justin Verlander took a no-hitter into the 7th inning as The Cheddarmen
club defeated the Go Avocado!2011 team by a score of 2 to 0 at the
ballpark.
 
Verlander(2-0) was simply too much for the Go Avocado!2011 batters.  He didn't
give up much, just 1 hit and 1 walk in 7 and 2/3 innings.  Verlander racked
up 10 strikeouts, seeing his ERA drop from 9.95 to 4.50.  The right-handed
Verlander lost his no-hit bid when Adrian Gonzalez doubled with two outs in
the 7th inning.
 
Game 6 Go Avocado! 6  The Cheddarmen 5
 
Win:Lincecum(2-0) Loss:Weaver(0-2) Save:Franklin(2nd)
Homeruns- T.Tulowitzki(1st), P.Fielder-2(6th), T.Tulowitzki(2nd)
 
Designated hitter Prince Fielder launched 2 homeruns and had 5 RBI and Tim
Lincecum mowed down 12 Cheddarmen batters at the ballpark where the Go
Avocado!2011 team beat The Cheddarmen club by the score of 6 to 5.
 
The home town fans were very appreciative of the fine hitting performance
provided by Fielder.  He lost the ball over the fence for three runs in the
3rd inning and cleared the fences for a two-run home run in the 5th inning.
The Cheddarmen threatened in the 9th but their rally came up short.  
 
The win went to Lincecum(2-0), who allowed 3 runs in 8 innings. Ryan Franklin
earned his 2nd save.  Jered Weaver(0-2) was the losing pitcher.  
 
When asked about his strikeout total for the game, Lincecum offered, 'The
fans really got into it.  It is fun to see them tally up the strikeout
totals up there in the stands.  Fortunately, I kept them busy this afternoon
- of course, it would be all for naught without the 'W'.'
 
Go Avocado! wins the Series (and the tournament) 4 games to 2

 

World Series MVP: Prince Fielder. Go Avocado!  .259, 6 homers, 12 rbi’s.




Managers: Regular Season vs. Playoffs [8/14]

 

As suggested by Eric (gee, I wonder why).  Who has the best post-season record compared to their regular season record?  Who is the worst?  Normally, I get around to updating the all-time regular season and post-season totals per manager in September, just before the SOMBILLA season begins. I went ahead and did it a little earlier this year – these include the season just concluded:

 

Regular season

 

 

 

 

Post season

 

 

 

W

L

Pct.

W

L

Pct

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Randy Divinski

633

434

.593

 

Eric Robinson

90

63

.588

Jed Corman

594

497

.544

 

Tom Kinney

48

40

.545

Tom Kinney

486

409

.543

 

Randy Divinski

77

78

.497

Arnie Pollinger

979

864

.531

 

Jed Corman

53

56

.486

Harold Mellor

748

677

.525

 

Harold Mellor

65

72

.474

Eric Robinson

943

882

.517

 

Arnie Pollinger

74

86

.463

Robin Perlow

773

933

.453

 

Jeff Donahue

15

18

.455

Jeff Donahue

452

575

.440

 

Robin Perlow

27

35

.435

 

So who has the biggest discrepancy?  Here are the results of Post-season winning percentage minus Regular season winning percentage:

 

Manager

Post season pct minus Regular season pct

 

 

Eric

+ .071

Jeff

+ .015

Tom

+ .002

Robin

- .018

Harold

- .051

Jed

-. 058

Arnie

- .068

Randy

-.096

 

Big surprise there.  The past two seasons have not knocked Eric off the top of the heap.  (Indeed he still had a winning pct in the post-season of 2012-2013 despite losing the World Series in 5 games, thanks to sweeping Randy in the first round).  Biggest post-season disappointment?  Randy, almost 100 percentage points lower when March rolls around than in the regular season.  Jeff, with one World Series crown, is a surprising 2nd, although his league-worst regular season winning percentage is a major factor.

 

As expected, the league fares worse, relatively speaking, in the post-season than in the regular season.  What?  How’s that now?  Isn’t the aggregate winning pct for all teams .500 in both the regular season and the post-season?  Yes.  But not all teams get the chance to count toward that aggregate .500 post-season percentage.  Only the best 4 teams move on and get to play in March.  So, the regular season winning percentage of those teams who play in the playoffs is > .500, yet they play only .500 ball in March.  Therefore, it’s logical that the regular season percentage should be higher than post-season pct for most teams.

 

Note that the winning percentages of the eight active managers is not .500 (it is .515), because it does not account for the combined totals of the rest (Clint, Matt, Dave, Land, Tsuan, Andrew, Brian, Tom M., Ritchie Dudek, Yitz and Durga)

 

Anyway, that was an easy one.  Thanks, Eric.

  
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ballpark study [8/14]

 

Last summer we studied home and away records and concluded that Jed is the best manager at maximizing his ballpark dimensions to suit his team.  This summer we ask different questions – what ballparks does each manager like to choose?  How much do ballpark designs fluctuate from year to year?  Which managers prefer hitter’s parks, average parks, and pitchers’ parks?  What about fences (what about them)?

 

First, the raw data.  Here are lists of every manager’s ballpark dimensions going back ten seasons.   (These are readily available on the SOMBILLA website.  Going back further than that would require a trip into the attic and digging through old newsletters, not gonna happen).  Note that for Jed’s first two seasons in this study (’04-05 and ‘-05-’06, he shared a team with Matt, so Matt gets his nose into this study a little bit as well.

 

 

Home Runs

Singles

Fences

 

 

 

Home Runs

Singles

Fences

 

 

L

R

L

R

 

Season

 

 

L

R

L

R

 

Season

Arnie

11

11

5

5

High

13-14

 

Harold

8

8

19

19

High

13-14

 Ar

14

18

5

8

Low

12-13

 

 

18

18

19

19

High

12-13

 

3

11

6

13

Low

11-12

 

 

1

1

13

7

High

11-12

 

7

15

13

19

Low

10-11

 

 

1

1

15

9

High

10-11

 

9

12

7

7

High

09-10

 

 

1

1

1

1

High

09-10

 

7

5

12

18

High

08-09

 

 

2

5

15

15

High

08-09

 

13

13

6

9

High

07-08

 

 

19

19

19

19

High

07-08

 

4

7

7

16

High

06-07

 

 

19

19

19

19

High

06-07

 

8

15

6

6

High

05-06

 

 

10

1

10

4

High

05-06

 

4

4

6

9

High

04-05

 

 

19

19

4

4

High

04-05

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tom

19

7

7

1

Split

13-14

 

Randy

16

8

10

10

Low

13-14

 

10

19

13

19

High

12-13

 

 

11

17

14

17

Low

12-13

 

1

1

17

17

High

11-12

 

 

10

5

13

8

Low

11-12

 

17

17

19

19

High

10-11

 

 

10

7

10

13

High

10-11

 

3

10

10

19

Low

09-10

 

 

1

8

5

14

Split

09-10

 

19

12

19

12

High

08-09

 

 

12

5

12

5

High

08-09

 

19

19

19

19

Low

07-08

 

 

19

9

19

9

High

07-08

 

5

18

19

19

High

06-07

 

 

18

10

19

15

Split

06-07

 

1

10

10

19

High

05-06

 

 

18

9

18

9

Low

05-06

 

19

19

19

19

High

04-05

 

 

19

7

15

11

Low

04-05

 

 

Home Runs

Singles

Fences

 

 

 

Home Runs

Singles

Fences

 

 

L

R

L

R

 

Season

 

 

L

R

L

R

 

Season

Robin

6

6

1

1

High

13-14

 

Jeff

1

4

4

4

Low

13-14

 

14

11

5

7

High

12-13

 

 

10

10

9

9

Low

12-13

 

10

10

14

14

High

11-12

 

 

1

4

1

1

Low

11-12

 

12

9

5

2

High

10-11

 

 

6

6

6

6

High

10-11

 

7

7

4

4

High

09-10

 

 

4

10

9

9

Low

09-10

 

15

15

5

5

High

08-09

 

 

8

14

6

9

High

08-09

 

11

14

11

11

High

07-08

 

 

11

8

4

4

High

07-08

 

3

16

3

11

High

06-07

 

 

14

6

1

1

High

06-07

 

15

19

7

7

High

05-06

 

 

4

13

11

11

High

05-06

 

7

11

5

11

High

04-05

 

 

14

14

12

9

Split

04-05

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Eric

3

3

11

8

Low

13-14

 

Jed

1

1

1

1

High

13-14

 

5

2

9

5

Split

12-13

 

 

1

1

1

1

High

12-13

 

7

14

6

6

Low

11-12

 

 

14

19

10

10

High

11-12

 

17

17

7

7

High

10-11

 

 

14

5

11

5

High

10-11

 

17

17

7

7

High

09-10

 

 

1

1

10

5

Split

09-10

 

16

13

7

7

Split

08-09

 

 

4

2

2

4

High

08-09

 

11

16

8

3

High

07-08

 

 

7

14

7

14

High

07-08

 

8

15

5

5

High

06-07

 

 

4

4

4

4

High

06-07

 

7

13

7

7

High

05-06

 

Jed & Matt

8

10

10

13

High

05-06

 

15

15

10

10

High

04-05

 

Jed & Matt

8

10

13

15

High

04-05

 

 

 

 

So, what parks does every manager choose, on average?  Here is the answer – each manager’s average park over the past 10 seasons, rounded to the nearest integer:

Average Ballparks for last 10 years

 

 

Home Runs

Singles

 

 

L

R

L

R

Index

Tom

11

13

15

16

186

Randy

13

9

14

11

159

Harold

10

9

13

12

145

Eric

11

13

8

7

144

Robin

10

12

6

7

136

Arnie

8

11

7

11

132

Jeff

7

9

6

6

106

Jed

6

7

7

7

93

 

The “Index” is calculated as an estimate of the standard OPS (On base + Slugging) function, where Home Runs yield a “4” for Slugging, while Singles are a “1”.  And both HR and singles are a “1” for On base.  This yields an Index = (5 x (HR vs L + HR vs R)) + (2 x (S vs. L + S vs. R)).

 

Tom clearly is the manager who likes hitters’ parks the most, leading or tying for the lead in 3 of the 4 categories for highest average ballpark number, while Jed is the most pitchers’ park-oriented manager. 

 

Using these calculated Indexes, we can slot each manager’s tendencies on a year by year basis.  A true average park (1-10 for everything) yields an Index of 140.  So, I used a range of 120-160 to depict an average park, while any ballpark > 160 is a hitters’ park, and any park < 120 is a pitchers’ park.

  

 

Pitchers park

Ave park

Hitters park

 

< 120

120-160

> 160

Tom

2

2

6

Randy

3

2

5

Harold

5

1

4

Eric

2

4

4

Robin

3

4

3

Arnie

3

5

2

Jeff

6

3

1

Jed

5

4

1

 

Tom is most likely to choose a hitters’ park, followed closely by Randy.  Jed and Jeff have chosen a hitters’ park just once in the last 10 years.

 

Boring Arnie is the most likely manager to choose an average park, although Eric, Robin and Jed appear to be fond of average parks as well.  Extremist Harold is least likely to choose an average park. No surprise there.

 Jeff is the most likely to choose a pitchers’ park, followed closely by Harold and Jed.

 What about ballpark variations?  Who wildly jumps around from year to year?  Who is fairly consistent from year to year?  We can answer these questions with Excel’s Standard Deviation function.  The higher the standard deviation, the higher the variance from year to year in ballpark dimensions.  Conversely, the lower the standard deviation, the more consistency from year to year:

 

Standard Deviation

 

 

 

 

 

Home Runs

Singles

 

 

L

R

L

R

Total SDEV

Eric

5

5

2

2

14

Robin

4

4

4

4

16

Arnie

4

4

3

5

16

Jeff

5

4

4

3

16

Randy

6

3

4

3

17

Jed

5

6

4

5

20

Tom

8

6

4

6

24

Harold

8

8

6

7

30

 Remember, those numbers represent standard deviation from year to year, not the actual ballpark numbers (i.e. 1-8 or something).  The most consistent ballpark chooser?  Eric!  You can see this from the first table, which shows the actual ballparks chosen every year.  Eric’s had ballpark singles 1-7 for three years in a row (and for four of the 10 seasons).  Indeed his ballpark single Standard Deviations of “2” for both sides are the lowest SDEV for anyone.  At the other end is extremist Harold, who bounces wildly from extreme hitters’ park to extreme pitchers’ park willy nilly, much to the confusion of his fan base.

 Finally, what about Fences?  (Yes, what about them?)

 

 

 

Fences

 

 

 

 

High

Low

Split

Robin

 

10

0

0

Harold

 

10

0

0

Jed

 

9

0

1

Tom

 

7

2

1

Arnie

 

7

3

0

Eric

 

6

2

2

Jeff

 

5

4

1

Randy

 

3

5

2

 

“Split” means that half the fence is high, and half is low.  Robin and Harold have never had low fences!  Robin’s choice is out of moral opposition to the entire robbing HR rule; she’d have high fences even with “1”’s at every OF position.  Jed is close to their High Fence perfection as well.  Meanwhile, Randy has had high fences only 3 times in 10 seasons, splitting his fences in two years, same as Eric.

-------------------------------------------------------------

TANKING THE FINAL WEEKEND [8/14]

 

This past season, Harold got swept (by me) on the final night of the regular season. This annoyed both Robin (who got knocked out of the thing-off) and Jeff (who got knocked out of the playoffs).  Harold asks, what are the W-L statistics for teams that have a chance to be in the rolloff during the final weekend of the season?  In other words, is tanking really an issue as an incentive to getting a better draft pick? 

 Of course, we instituted the “thing-off” years ago for this very reason - to eliminate excessive focus on the final standings (a la the NBA) and therefore reduce the incentive to tank games.  Nevertheless, the incentive still exists.

 I went back 10 years for this one. 

 >>- Digression <<- In going through old Twits Notes, I came across this entry for Twits Notes dated 2/13/2005, describing the annual ice hockey game on the backyard rink:   “It took 12 long months of frustration for Matt and Arnie to extract revenge on the ice, but after an exhausting 15 minutes of action, (bolstered by replacement player callup Tom), they finally eeked out a victory over Harold and Jeff, 3-2.  

The ice was pristine early in the morning when Harold's family arrived, but with the blaring sun, temps climbing into the high 30's and 6 kids feverishly skating up and down the rink for 3+ hours, conditions had deteriorated to slush and divots by the 1:30 game time.

Nevertheless a crowd of spouses and children provided the extra adrenaline for the five aging gladiators to put on a show.  The best action was provided during the first half of the game which remained scoreless as fresh legs focused on defense at all costs.  Jeff broke free and finally scored the first goal, but a nice feed from Tom to Matt tied it up. Fast and furious action then produced a wild scramble in front of the net, and Arnie ("Espo") whacked in a loose puck from the side of the net to make it 2-1.  A defensive breakdown left Jeff alone in front for the tying goal, 2-2.  A barely perceptible, but clearly audible, sigh of relief was heard at the announcement of "next goal wins".  The extra man proved to be the difference as Harold and Jeff were spread too thin to prevent some nice passing from the trio, leaving Arnie alone in front to poke in the winning goal.  The crowd applauded, the players collapsed on the ice, the dog barked, and this year's SOMBILLA hockey challenge drew to a close.”

 Anyway, back to the study:

2005:  The final night of the season had all the teams playing at once.  All 4 series had something at stake as Robin,  Matt, Eric and Arnie all battled for the final playoff spot, while Tom & Randy had to settle first place, and even Jeff needed to cement 3rd place. When Eric and Robin both won their first games against Harold and Tom respectively to start the night, things looked interesting.  But then ND came from behind to beat Randy and hang onto a 2 game lead for 4th with 3 to play.  FW came back to win game 2, but Eric couldn't capitalize on this, falling to Harold to remain 2 games out of the playoffs with 2 to go.  Robin beat Tom again to stay alive to also remain 2 games out.  Matt, meanwhile was eliminated early on, but still seemed to enjoy himself.  

 

No evidence of tanking there, as far as I can tell.

 

2006: A controversial one-game playoff between Arnie and Randy resulted from the final weekend.  Harold, Jeff and Matt were all safely out of the playoffs by the final weekend.

 More old fun describing this controversial one-game playoff:

 The one-game playoff of 2006.

The first controversy erupted when North Dakota ended the 56 game season with only 2 innings of relief left for the one-game playoff.  And starter Randy Johnson had only 4 1/3 inns available. The only other ND eligible starter was Escobar.  Did Escobar have to start?  Could Randy Johnson start?  What happens after 6 1/3 innings?  A flurry of e-mails skyrocketed around the league - with well-thought out issues, proposals, indignations and controversy. Finally, ND sent an e-mail entitled "I DON'T GIVE A SHIT ANYMORE" and agreed to adopt the FW proposal:

"OK, Randy Johnson will start this game in one hour.  He will pitch 4 1/3 innings.  Then I have three relievers available to pitch 2 1/3 innings. That's right, 2 1/3 innings.  I audited all of my innings for the entire year and found another 1/3 inning.  Then after 6 2/3 innings, whoever is on the mound will be tired for the rest of the game.
And I'm going to kick your ass."

FW won the game 7 -3.

The next morning (Sun. 3/4), Randy sent the following e-mail to the league:  

"I was sitting down this morning to write to you all about the exciting season finale in which Jim Edmonds went 4-4, with 3 doubles and a home run, for 5 RBIs, leading Future Wax to a 7-3 victory over North Dakota.

But first I was going to finish my season stats by adding the 57th game to the regular season total. In doing so, I looked at my check sum routine and discovered that there were no innings reported in game 53 (the other stats were entered). I looked closer and to my horror, it was a game Zambrano pitched 7-1/3 innings.

This reduced Zambrano's available innings for game 57 to 5.3, but he pitched 6.6 in the game -- clearly illegal.

Therefore, we are going to have to replay some or all of the game. We are going to need a ruling by Matt as to whether we should replay the game from the point of "infraction" (that is, after the first out of the 5th, when Zambrano's arm should have fallen off) or replay the entire game.  (I want the former, Arnie the latter; there is nothing decisive in the bylaws, I think).

To make matters worse, Arnie and I cannot play before 2 pm today (he has a road race). If I win, I am prepared to play Eric immediately, but Arnie may or may not be.  So we will have to work out with Eric whether he should come out this way today and when.

If all this wasn't farcical enough, after the game last night Arnie ripped his entire team in half. He will have to break out the Scotch tape to replay the game.

In his last act as Vice Commissioner, Matt ruled that the game had to be replayed in its entirety.  Andrew responded angrily "I do not agree at all with the ruling.  It would have been perhaps different if they entered the game thinking Zambrano had unlimited innings and come to find out he had 1-2 innings.  In this case it's a difference of his leaving in the 6th versus Randy choosing to leave him in a bit longer.  He made an honest mistake and in effect gets a 1972 Russian Basketball team "replay.” 

The game was replayed anyway.  

Big Papi's solo blast held up through 6 innings, ND ominously stranding 7 runners through the first 6.  Bonds led off the 7th with a triple (on a 1-5, out otherwise) and was knocked in by Chavez to tie it.  M. Alou smacked his 21st homer in the 8th to make it 2-1 ND. 

Bottom of the 9th, ND up 2-1.  Bonds walks, Edmonds, singles, Giles walks.  Bases loaded nobody out for FW against a tired M. Gonzalez.  Infield in.  But Chavez strikes out (on his card).  C. Wilson up.  He hits a GB1b(X).  Pujols (3e11) fields it cleanly and gets Bonds at the plate.  Clayton up.  Tying run on 3rd, winning run on 2nd, ND one out away from the win.  Clayton walks.  Ford strikes out.  Extra innings.

ND gets 2 more on in the 10th but can't score (story of the season).  Bottom of the 10th, Burke walks.  Berkman hits a gbss(x). It should be a dp, but rolls a "5" so Burke moves over.  Bonds hits an open single to left.  The slow (1-9) Burke rounds 3rd with Crawford (0 arm) throwing.  Randy rolls a 5. Game over, team ripped in half again.

M. Gonzalez, the last ND pitcher, with an arm that had fallen off, but was then glued back on, pitched the final 4 innings tired (and yielded no tired singles).  ND stranded 12 runners in all.

 

2007: Unlike the two prior years, a potential tanking existed here with only 3 games separating 3rd from 6th in the final standings. ND finished one game out of the playoffs, despite winning 3 of 4 on the final night of the season! 

 Twits Notes (2/25/07)  It was a wild final night of the regular season.   Run out of town by an angry mob, Reykjavik (ND) found their season hanging by a thread (magic number for Randy = 2).   After winning game 1, 6-3, the enigmatic team blew a prime opportunity to win game 2, losing 4-3 in 12 innings, leaving the bases loaded in the 3rd, 6th, and most distressingly, 10th inning.  Pujols had 2 chances to win the game in extra frames and choked. (C. Jones had the big 12th inning hit for A51).  The pair of incompetent teams proceeded to torture Arnie and Jeff yet again in game 3 as the game dragged into the 12th inning yet again.  This time it was A51 leaving tons of runners. Finally, Pujols, the game 2 goat, homered in the bottom of the 12th. 

Just to see if the last game meant anything, I called Jed.  He had just won the first three against Randy!!  So, with one game left, Reykjavik (ND) and Future Wax were tied!  A one-game playoff 2 years in a row between the same teams??!!  Contreras proceeded to pitch a 3-hit shutout to win for RK/ND.  On the Internet, Jed was up 2-0 against FW, but Randy scored 2 in the 9th to send it to extra innings.  Randy then scored 2 in the 12th to go up 4-2, but Jed tied it!  Finally, Randy won it on a HR to clinch first place and avoid another one-game playoff.

 2008: ND again was involved, but this time blew the chance at a playoff spot: 

 Twits Notes (2/29/08) With a playoff spot on the line, Game 1 was essentially a playoff game.  The teams used 11 pitchers and 26 hitters.  NO jumped to a 4-0 lead, but Watford City (ND) clawed back and had one final chance in the bottom of the 9th down 6-4 with 2 on and 2 out with Pujols up.  Meredith struck him out to end it.  That was all the fight Watford City had left.  They then rolled over on their back in game 2, 11-4 to be eliminated and hand Bay City a playoff berth.  Chased out of Watford City, the team ended up in Bismarck.

The last game was an experimental game for the fans.  The teams used the:

 2010: Needing to win 3 games against the lowly 7th place Earthworms (ND) to make the playoffs, the Manatees quickly found themselves in a 2-0 hole, helped by a costly Kinsler error in the 2nd inning.  They clawed back and managed to tie it in the 8th on a pinch-hit homer by Nady off Qualls.  Tim Hudson pitched valiantly for CN into the bottom of the 10th, yielding just 6 hits.  But he was done in by Ian Kinsler who misplayed Papi's grounder into a single and error.  A walk to Kapler and sac by Pedroia forced CN to bring the infield and outfield in.  Then Ryan Doumit's sac fly won the game, 3-2, and CN had their backs up against the wall.

The Manatees jumped out to a 4-0 lead in game 2 and surprise 26th man, starter C. Young is yanked in the 3rd.  Mediocre relievers Heath Bell and Mike 'wait till next year' Adams pitch the next 5 2/3 innings for the Earthworms, yielding just one run, but they're still down 5-2 going into the bottom of the 7th.  Whereupon the Earthworms explode for 5 runs off Chad Billingsley.  Season over for the Manatees, stopping CN's 10-year consecutive playoff streak.  Final score 7-6, Flaming Earthworms.  Tom won the final two meaningless anti-climactic games.

 Note that CN’s winning the final two games after being eliminated certainly counteracts any notion of tanking to get a better draft pick.

 2011:  Nothing interesting here to end the season, but Eric and I did exchange emails just before our playoff series (in which he swept me):

 

Eric: so i'll show you my team stats if you show me yours....

Arnie: Tom sent the stats already

Eric: right. but i was hoping to share our entire team, player by player stats, not totals. if you don't care to, that's fine. no prob.

Arnie: That's exactly what Tom always sends.  Click on the tab at the bottom labeled "Ind Totals"

Eric: ahh...i knew that.
 
(actually, i never noticed that tab before....)

thanks.

oy.

Arnie: Idiot.

2012: There was a 4-way rolloff in the 2012 draft – the final weekend of the season featured only one sweep – and that was when Robin swept Jed after both were tied for 4th: 

 The BC/FU showdown almost didn't occur as Hamachi/connectivity issues took up the first hour.  Finally, Jed saved the day by hosting a 'Webex' session and playing all of the games on his computer, while Robin dictated her managing over the phone and watched the action on a 30-second delay.  After getting swept, perhaps Jed is having second thoughts, although nobody could doubt his integrity. 

 2013: “Twits Notes: Jeff's series win over Harold unfortunately sets up "Draftmaggedon" as there will need to be two rolloffs - the Bryce Harper rolloff between just Tom and Harold, and then another rolloff among Tom, Robin and Jeff for the second pick.” Given the complexity of this draftmaggedon, it seems highly unlikely Harold was trying to lose to trigger it.

And finally, 2014: Per Jed "Unsatisfying split likely knocks both teams out of playoff contention unless Randy can sweep Eric.  There.  I just freaked Eric out.  Awoken the karmic gods."

“In fact, such a sweep by Randy would precipitate an unprecedented three-way tie for fourth and a scramble to check the bylaws on how to proceed.  Randy finishes 2nd by winning 2-4 games, with ND finishing 3rd.  If Eric wins 3 games, he finishes 3rd, ND takes 2nd and Randy finishes 4th.  If Eric sweeps, he takes 2nd place, with ND in third and Randy in fourth.  Got it?”

 Eric ended up winning 3.

 OK, so I admit that this ‘study’ actually devolved into Twits Notes and e-mail memories.  Anecdotally, I don’t think anyone has ever purposely tanked by intentionally mismanaging. It has definitely been pointed out that the better way to tank is to simply trade off your best players so that you can still valiantly show you are trying to win by managing your ass off with a truly shitty team.  And that is legal.  As for tanking the final weekend, usually there are too many permutations.  But that does not placate Robin and Jeff, who are still pissed at Harold and me for my sweep of Harold on the last week of the season this year.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

MULTIPLE  AWARDS [8/14]

 

Tsuan asks, “Has any SOMBILLA team ever had the MVP, Cy Young and Rookie of the Year Award Winners”?  I assume he means in real life, since the SOMBILLA does not give out a Rookie of the Year Award.  The answer is – yes!  It’s been done three times, twice by Tsuan’s teams and once by North Dakota:

 

2007 (’08-09 SOMBILLA Season)  – North Dakota (Pujols – MVP, C. Lee – Cy Young, Pedroia – ROY)

1997 (’98-99 SOMBILLA Season) – Future Wax (Griffey – MVP, Pedro – Cy Young, Nomar – ROY)

1993 (’94-95 SOMBILLA Season) – Future Wax (Bonds – MVP; Maddux – Cy Young, Piazza and Salmon – ROY)

 

It is of course easy enough to ask whether any team has ever had both the SOMBILLA’s MVP and Cy Young winners anyway.  The answer is yes, although it hasn’t been accomplished in 14 seasons:

 

1998 (’99-00 Season) – North Dakota (M. Vaughn - MVP, Clemens – Cy Young)**

1997 (’98-99 Season) – Future Wax (Piazza - MVP, Pedro -  Cy Young)

1988 (‘89-90 Season) – Yoknapatawpha (Winfield – MVP, Hershiser – Cy Young) *

1987 (’88-89 Season) – Manila Folders (McGwire – MVP, Ryan – Cy Young) *

1983 (’84-85 Season) – Bay City (Murray – MVP, Boddicker – Cy Young)

 

* Eric and Matt also won Manager of the Year awards, respectively

** Arnie also won Manager of the year that year.  But Mo Vaughn not only shared the MVP award (with Juan Go) that year, he was traded to ND in mid-season by Shithead.

 

 


WHAT IF THE SOMBILLA WAS A ROTISSERIE LEAGUE? [8/13]

 
This one is also by Tom.  He points out that it is more than just a rotisserie type study since he actually has included left/righty stats.  He ranks each team’s hitting vs R and L, Starting pitching vs. R and L and “Power” however tt is computed.  Presumably he is including all 45 men on the roster.

 
Doing an analysis of our teams using the splits available for the current (2013) MLB year:

 Team

Hitting vs L

Hitting vsR

SP vs L

SP vs R

RP vs L

RP vs R

Power

Total

NO

6

8

1

2

1

1

2

21

ND

4

1

2

3

5

7

1

23

CN

1

3

6

4

4

4

4

26

Fugakyu

3

2

3

6

3

8

3

28

BC

2

4

7

8

2

6

5

34

Wax

7

6

5

1

8

2

6

35

Eric

5

7

4

5

7

5

8

41

A52

8

5

8

7

6

3

7

44

“I was 5th two weeks ago, but am now 3rd. ND and Harold are fighting for top honors…”

 Breakdown:: 

 

 

Total

Vs. Lefties

HITTERS

 

SB

RC

AVG

OBP

SLG

2B%

3B%

HR%

TB/PA

BB%

K%

RC

A52 Totals

 

125

1021.1

0.254

0.32

0.395

4.9

0.3

2.4

0.36

8.2

21.4

273.2

Jed Totals

 

184

1270.2

0.251

0.33

0.41

4.7

0.5

2.7

0.36

9.8

20.1

348.5

Robin Totals

 

119

1012.2

0.267

0.324

0.41

4.9

0.5

2.4

0.37

6.9

17.7

284.5

CN Totals

 

140

1179.5

0.258

0.329

0.418

5.2

0.3

2.8

0.37

8.9

21.5

310.3

Arnie Totals

 

170

1250.1

0.269

0.333

0.442

5.5

0.3

3.2

0.4

8.2

16.2

340.6

Harold Totals

 

116

851.8

0.276

0.35

0.429

4.6

0.4

2.8

0.38

9.7

18.3

277.2

Eric Totals

 

95

1005.7

0.271

0.333

0.425

4.6

0.4

2.8

0.38

8.3

16.5

304.1

WAX Totals

 

98

948.1

0.25

0.31

0.423

5.2

0.5

3.2

0.38

7.8

20.4

244.7

 
Vs. Righties

 

HITTERS

AVG

OBP

SLG

2B%

3B%

HR%

TB/PA

BB%

K%

RC

A52 Totals

0.268

0.33

0.434

4.6

0.5

3.1

0.39

7.9

18.5

758.1

Jed Totals

0.272

0.34

0.438

4.8

0.4

3.1

0.39

8.5

18.2

930.2

Robin Totals

0.265

0.333

0.421

4.6

0.4

2.8

0.38

8.3

17.6

736.9

CN Totals

0.271

0.349

0.449

5

0.5

3.2

0.4

10

19.6

880.5

Arnie Totals

0.276

0.341

0.446

4.8

0.4

3.2

0.4

8.6

17.4

915

Harold Totals

0.262

0.329

0.412

4.4

0.5

2.7

0.37

8.6

19.5

581.4

Eric Totals

0.268

0.324

0.417

4.3

0.5

2.8

0.38

7

16.8

711.2

WAX Totals

0.27

0.339

0.428

4.7

0.3

3

0.38

8.9

20.1

713.8

  

 

Total

Vs. Lefties

Pitchers

IP

TBF

RA

AVG

OBP

SLG

H/9

2B/9

3B/9

HR/9

BB/9

K/9

RA

A52 Totals

1375

5703

641

0.258

0.309

0.421

9.14

1.74

0.17

1.23

2.92

7.66

310.2

Jed Totals

1330

5524

609.8

0.242

0.295

0.37

8.24

1.41

0.21

0.85

2.95

7.75

277.1

Robin Totals

1464

6192

703.7

0.242

0.301

0.385

8.38

1.51

0.21

1

3.24

8.14

318.8

CN Totals

1403

5872

647.7

0.241

0.303

0.397

8.44

1.72

0.13

1.16

3.19

9.03

298.6

Arnie Totals

1731

7238

834.3

0.253

0.301

0.403

8.78

1.97

0.13

0.99

2.77

8.08

361.7

Harold Totals

1765

7315

750.8

0.236

0.294

0.366

8.04

1.6

0.1

0.88

3.29

8.87

366.9

Eric Totals

1446

6034

639.7

0.243

0.305

0.374

8.29

1.5

0.17

0.88

3.49

7.51

326.3

WAX Totals

1265

5207

542.8

0.248

0.298

0.406

8.63

1.72

0.22

1.11

2.98

9.26

243.5

Vs. Righties 

Pitchers

AVG

OBP

SLG

H/9

2B/9

3B/9

HR/9

BB/9

K/9

RA

A52 Totals

0.24

0.279

0.375

8.14

1.64

0.12

0.89

2.2

7.76

330

Jed Totals

0.259

0.287

0.405

8.92

1.69

0.08

1.06

1.97

7.97

330

Robin Totals

0.245

0.291

0.396

8.48

1.5

0.12

1.16

2.85

8.34

381.4

CN Totals

0.238

0.281

0.383

8.04

1.71

0.16

0.95

2.67

7.86

343.1

Arnie Totals

0.252

0.286

0.4

8.72

1.74

0.18

1

2.21

8.42

471.5

Harold Totals

0.237

0.279

0.359

8.01

1.28

0.08

0.9

2.53

8.27

381.7

Eric Totals

0.237

0.292

0.371

7.93

1.48

0.09

0.94

3.02

8.04

311.5

WAX Totals

0.23

0.268

0.355

7.66

1.69

0.14

0.73

2.31

7.84

301.3

 


BEST PLAYERS IN THE SOMBILLA    [8/13] 

So, if you could draft the absolute best players in MLB (and thus, the SOMBILLA) for the upcoming season, who would you draft?  I let the computer draft a 25-man team from all players in MLB based on the 2012 cards, and this is the team it came up with.

                 DRAFT YEAR TEAM BAL  AB DO TR HR BAVG  BB K'S RBI  OB%  SL%

Mike Trout         1   2012  LAA  4R 559 27  8 30 .326  67 139  83 .399 .564

Miguel Cabrera     4   2012  DEA  4R 622 40  0 44 .330  66  98 139 .393 .606

Yadier Molina      5   2012  SLN  3L 505 28  0 22 .315  45  55  76 .373 .501

Ryan Braun         6   2012  MLN  5L 598 36  3 41 .319  63 128 112 .391 .595

Edwin Encarnacion  7   2012  TOA  3L 542 24  0 42 .280  84  94 110 .384 .557

Giancarlo Stanton  8   2012  MMN  1L 449 30  1 37 .290  46 143  86 .361 .608

Robinson Cano      9   2012  NYA  8R 627 48  1 33 .313  61  96  94 .379 .550

Ian Desmond       11   2012  WAN  1L 513 33  2 25 .292  30 113  73 .335 .511

Jay Bruce         16   2012  CIN  1R 560 35  5 34 .252  62 155  99 .327 .514

Buster Posey      18   2012  SFN  9L 530 39  1 24 .336  69  96 103 .408 .549

Josh Hamilton     23   2012  TEA  1R 562 31  2 43 .285  60 162 128 .354 .577

Pete Kozma        24   2012  SLN   E  72  5  3  2 .333   7  19  14 .383 .569

Brandon Snyder    25   2012  TEA  6L  65  2  0  3 .277   3  26   9 .309 .446

                Catcher       1b   2b   3b   ss   lf   cf   rf   ARM 

Trout                                             1e5  1e5  1e5  +1  

Cabrera                       4e14      4e14                         

Molina          1e1 -4t4p2    4e25                                   

Braun                                             3e7            +0  

Encarnacion                   3e7       4e65      4e25           +1  

Stanton                                                     3e10 -3  

Cano                               1e6                               

Desmond                                      2e19                    

Bruce                                                       1e6  -4  

Posey           2e4 -1t6p0    3e13                                   

Hamilton                                          2e9  3e9  3e9  -2  

Kozma                              4e22      3e22                     

Snyder          4e16 +2t20p0  3e13      4e25      4e16      4e16 +0  

                  DRAFT BAL WON LOST  ERA  IP HITS WALKS K'S HR GS SV

Fernando Rodney     2    E   2   2   .60  75   43   15   76  2  0 48

Clayton Kershaw     3   1R  14   9  2.53 228  170   63  229 16 33  0

Kris Medlen        10    E  10   1  1.57 138  103   23  120  6 12  1

Gio Gonzalez       12   4R  21   8  2.89 199  149   76  207  9 32  0

Justin Verlander   13    E  17   8  2.64 238  192   60  239 19 33  0

Craig Kimbrel      14   1L   3   1  1.01  63   27   14  116  3  0 42

Arondis Chapman    15   2L   5   5  1.51  72   35   23  122  4  0 38

Grant Balfour      17   3L   3   2  2.53  75   41   28   72  4  0 24

R.A. Dickey        19   1R  20   6  2.73 234  192   54  230 24 33  0

Huston Street      20   3L   2   1  1.85  39   17   11   47  2  0 23

Ryan Cook          21   4R   6   2  2.09  73   42   27   80  4  0 14

David Price        22   2L  20   5  2.56 211  173   59  205 16 31  0

No argument with Trout as first overall, but what’s up with Brandon Snyder as the final pick?  Yes, that Brandon Snyder who got some playing time for the Sox this year at 3B. He was not someone I considered drafting (couldn’t hit well enough) and the collective wisdom of the SOMBILLA agreed with me.  I guess the computer likes him because he plays 5 positions, but all-MLB?   That’s seriously fucked up.  (Robin note – maybe he was picked so that there would be a backup for every position.  I feel compelled to point out that each team does have two or more catchers).

 For the heck of it, I then had the computer draft another team.  So, here is your 2nd team All SOMBILLA/MLB:

 

                 DRAFT  YEAR TEAM BAL  AB DO TR HR BAVG  BB K'S RBI  OB%  SL%

Andrew McCutchen   1    2012  PIN  4L 593 29  6 31 .327  70 132  96 .400 .553

Joey Votto         2    2012  CIN  3R 374 44  0 14 .337  94  85  56 .474 .567

Adrian Beltre      4    2012  TEA  5R 604 33  2 36 .321  36  82 102 .359 .561

Josh Willingham    3    2012  MNA   E 519 30  1 35 .260  76 141 110 .366 .524

Aaron Hill         5    2012  ARN  2R 609 44  6 26 .302  52  86  85 .360 .522

Josh Reddick       7    2012  OAA  1L 611 29  5 32 .242  55 151  85 .305 .463

Jimmy Rollins      9    2012  PHN  4R 632 33  5 23 .250  62  96  68 .316 .427

Carlos Ruiz       11    2012  PHN  1R 372 32  0 16 .325  29  50  68 .394 .540

Adam Dunn         15    2012  CHA  1L 539 19  0 41 .204 105 222  96 .333 .468

Wilin Rosario     20    2012  CON  8L 396 19  0 28 .270  25  99  71 .312 .530

Alfonso Soriano   21    2012  CHN  1R 561 33  2 32 .262  44 153 108 .322 .499

 

                Catcher       1b   2b   3b   ss   lf   cf   rf   ARM 

McCutchen                                              1e1       +0   

Votto                         1e9                                      

Beltre                                  1e10                          

Willingham                                        5e6            +1   

Hill                               2e6                                

Reddick                                                3e7  1e7  -5   

Rollins                                      1e14                     

Ruiz            1e7 -1t3p3                                            

Dunn                          5e6                 5e16           +2   

Rosario         4e1 -1t19p7   5e30      5e65                          

Soriano                                           5e1            -2   

 

              DRAFT  BAL WON LOST  ERA  IP HITS WALKS K'S HR GS SV

Johnny Cueto    6      3R  19   9  2.78 217  205   49  170 15 33  0

Kenley Jansen   8      2R   5   3  2.35  65   33   22   99  6  0 25

Matt Cain      10      5R  16   5  2.79 219  177   51  193 21 32  0

Felix Hernandez12      1R  13   9  3.06 232  209   56  223 14 33  0

Tom Wilhelmsen 13      3R   4   3  2.50  79   59   29   87  5  0 29

Jim Johnson    14      1R   2   1  2.49  69   55   15   41  3  0 51

Casey Janssen  16      7L   1   1  2.54  64   44   11   67  7  0 22

Jake McGee     17      9R   5   2  1.95  55   33   11   73  3  0  0

Brandon Beachy 18      3L   5   5  2.00  81   49   29   68  6 13  0

Sergio Romo    19      2L   4   2  1.79  55   37   10   63  5  0 14

Kyle Lohse     22      1R  16   3  2.86 211  192   38  143 19 33  0

J.J. Putz      23       E   1   5  2.82  54   45   11   65  4  0 32

Jonathan Papelbon 24    E   5   6  2.44  70   56   18   92  8  0 38

Cole Hamels    25       E  17   6  3.05 215  190   52  216 24 31  0           

 
A Harold-esque 14 man pitching staff.  Although not quite as good as the first team, this is still a great team that would likely win the SOMBILLA championship (despite having only ‘5’s in left field). Note that Soriano is not in the league. Here is the breakdown of SOMBILLA team by team players on the first and second team all-MLB as chosen by the Strat-O computer:

 RAT (11)– Beachy, Braun, Bruce, Hamels, Hamilton, Hill, Kershaw, McCutchen, McGee, Ruiz, Stanton

Arnie (7) – Cueto, Encarnacion, J. Johnson, Kimbrel, Kozma, Rollins, Romo

Eric –(6)  Balfour, G. Gonzalez, Y. Molina, Papelbon, Verlander, Wilhelmsen

Tom (6) – Cain, Dickey, Rodney, Rosario, Trout, Willingham

Jed (5)– Beltre, F. Hernandez, Medlen, D. Price, Votto

Robin (5) M. Cabrera, Jansen, Janssen, Posey, Reddick

Harold (5)– Cano, Desmond, Dunn, Putz, Street

Jeff (3) – Chapman, Cook, Lohse

 

With 11 of the top 50 players (at least according to the computer), perhaps Randy’s post-draft chest pounding may not have been all bluster after all.


BEST OF THE LAST 5 YEARS [8/13]

 For the next study, I returned to the Strat-O computer.  I took each franchise’s players over the past 5 SOMBILLA seasons and let the computer choose the best 25 players, with no duplicate players (i.e, there is only one Albert Pujols on ND’s team, not five of them).  Talk about a tough league!   Yeah, I know we did this last year.  I’m lazy, it’s relatively easy, and moderately interesting.

 I let the computer decide which of the many duplicates were the best (based on the player’s computer draft position).  It’s not exactly the same as last year – I have added in the 2012 cards, that is, the upcoming SOMBILLA season, yet to be played, and 2007 drops off.  So the 5 MLB seasons are 2008-2012, featuring the last 4 SOMBILLA seasons, plus the upcoming one.

 Because we are all focused on the upcoming season, here are the 2012 cards represented:

 Bay City (Posey, Reddick, Scutaro, Headley, Jansen, Janssen)
Constantinople (Trout, Rosario, Willingham, Rodney, Dickey)
Future Wax (A. Ramirez, Ruiz, Braun, Stanton, McGee)
New Orleans (Desmond, Sale, Harvey, Street, Strasburg)
North Dakota (D. Murphy, Wieters, Beltran, Rollins, Kimbrel, J. Johnson)
Oceanus (Beltre, Medlen, Price)
The Cheddarmen (Y. Molina, Balfour, G. Gonzalez)
“What Eric Said” (Pierzynski, Andrus, Lawrie, Chapman, Lohse)

 A couple of observations. 

 1.       One would expect an even distribution of players from the five seasons.  That is, the 2012 cards should have 1/5 of all the cards represented in the study, or 40 players (1/5 x 8 x 25).  And indeed there 38 cards from the upcoming season (19%). 

2.       BC and ND have the most 2012 cards in the study, (6), Jed and Eric have the fewest (3).  But you can’t necessarily draw many conclusions from that.  A lot depends on the quality of each team’s 2007-2011 cards, making it ‘easier’ or ‘harder’ for one of their 2012 cards to break into the lineup.

 So, what happened?  Who has the best players over the past/present 5 years of the SOMBILLA?  Using each team’s actual ballpark from the middle (‘10-11) season of the five, and a 168-game schedule, here are the final standings:

 

                    WON LOST  PCT   GB 

Future Wax           93  75  .554 ---- 
Oceanus              91  77  .542  2.0
North Dakota
         87  81  .518  6.0 
The Cheddarmen       84  84  .500  9.0     
Constantinople
       81  87  .482 12.0       
What Eric Said       80  88  .476 13.0       
New Orleans
          79  89  .470 14.0       
Bay City
             77  91  .458 16.0      

 Fairly good parity here, with only two teams able to win 90+ games. No doubt some of these results can be attributed to the vagaries of ballparks chosen, whether appropriate or not.  But the league was only .513 at home, with Oceanus by far the best home team (51-33, big surprise – see study #1) and RAT the best road team (also 51-33).

 Against the best pitchers over the past 5 years, only 3 players were able to hit over .300:

----BATTING AVERAGE----

 J.Hamilton    RAT  .328 (2010 cards)
 M.Ramirez     CHE  .317 (2008)
 I.Suzuki      NEW  .313 (2009)
 B.Posey       BAY  .299 (2012)
 Y.Molina      CHE  .296 (2012)
 M.Trout       CON  .289 (2012)
 A.Beltre      OCE  .287 (2012)
 M.Kemp        RAT  .277 (2011)
 H.Ramirez     NDK  .276 (2008)
 M.Teixeira    WES  .275 (2008)
 D.Pedroia     NDK  .270 (2011)
 J.Ellsbury    NDK  .269 (2011)

 But Jose Bautista (2010 card) had a good year against the SOMBILLA’s best pitchers over the last 5 years!

 --------HOMERUNS-------   -----RUNS BATTED IN----  

 J.Bautista (2010)   OCE    66   J.Bautista    OCE   137 
 M.Reynolds (2009)   NDK    49   V.Wells       OCE   121 
 A.Pujols   (2009)   NDK    46   M.Kemp        RAT   117 
 M.Ramirez  (2008)   CHE    45   A.Pujols      NDK   113 
 V.Wells    (2010)   OCE    43   M.Reynolds    NDK   110 
 G.Stanton  (2012)   RAT    40   R.Zimmerman   CHE   108 
 M.Kemp     (2011)   RAT    38   J.Werth (2009)CHE   104 
 J.Werth    (2009)   CHE    38   P.Fielder     CHE   100 
 J.Bay      (2009)   CON    35   M.Ramirez     CHE    98 
 J.Hardy    (2011)   OCE    34   J.Willingham(2012)CON 93
 P.Fielder  (2009)   CHE    34   G.Stanton     RAT    92 
 R.Zimmerman(2009)   CHE    34   Y.Molina      CHE    91 

 

Here are the MVP and all-star voting:

MVP AWARD          
J.Bautista(OCE) 405
M.Kemp(RAT) 357   
V.Wells(OCE)
205 
A.Pujols(NDK)
133
M.Ramirez(CHE)
98 
 
ALL-STAR SELECTIONS BY POSITION
Y.Molina(DBM) 1,720,572
1B A.Pujols(NDK) 3,028,604
2B D.Pedroia(NDK) 2,189,988
3B M.Reynolds(NDK) 2,699,630
SS H.Ramirez(NDK) 2,521,228
LF M.Ramirez(CHE) 3,025,627
CF M.Kemp(RAT) 3,311,426
RF J.Bautista(OCE) 4,762,673

 

Pitching:

----------WINS---------

 C.Hamels   (2011)   RAT    19-8
 C.Sabathia (2008)   CON    19-13
 I.Kennedy  (2011)   NDK    17-9
 J.Verlander(2011)   CHE    17-10
 C.Kershaw   (2011)  RAT    16-9
 Z.Greinke   (2009)  RAT    15-8
 R.Halladay  (2011)  BAY    15-13
 A.Wainwright(2010)  NDK    15-13
 J.Jurrjens  (2009)  BAY    15-14
 R.Dempster  (2008)  CHE    15-14

 ----------ERA----------

 R.Harden  (2008)    RAT  3.29
 C.Hamels            RAT  3.38
 A.Wainwright        NDK  3.53
 J.Vazquez (2009)    WES  3.57
 C.Carpenter (2009)  NEW  3.60
 C.Kershaw           RAT  3.66
 Z.Greinke           RAT  3.66
 J.Verlander         CHE  3.69
 C.Buchholz (2010)   WES  4.00
 J.Jurrjens          BAY  4.02
 R. Hellickson (2011)WES  4.13

-----SAVES---------  

H.Kuo    (2010)     BAY    39
J.Nathan (2008)     RAT    39
A.Chapman(2012)     WES    39
R.Soriano(2010)     CHE    37
A.Bailey (2009)     OCE    36
C.Kimbrel(2012)     NDK    35
F.Rodney (2012)     CON    34
M.Rivera (2008)     NEW    33

 

Finally, Cy Young voting:

CY YOUNG AWARD
A.Bailey(OCE) 114
C.Hamels(RAT)
96
H.Kuo(BAY) 51
J.Verlander(DBM) 18
R.Harden(RAT) 8

Playoffs (note the interesting rematch of last year’s SOMBILLA playoffs, with both series an exact reversal of what happened in real life)

Future Wax 9  The Cheddarmen 3
Future Wax 3  The Cheddarmen 2
Future Wax 3  The Cheddarmen 1
Future Wax 11 The Cheddarmen 2

 Future Wax wins series 4 games to 0

(Kemp .556, 3 HR, 5 RBI, Thome .357, 3 HR, 6 RBI)

 Oceanus 10  North Dakota 1
North Dakota
8 Oceanus 4
Oceanus 12 North Dakota 4
Oceanus 3 North Dakota 1
North Dakota
12 Oceanus 8
North Dakota
9 Oceanus 3
Oceanus 5 North Dakota 4 

Oceanus wins series 4 games to 3

(Wells .393, 4 HR, 11 RBI, Hardy .407, 4 HR, 10 RBI)

World Series: - Best of the Last 5 Years:

Future Wax 3  Oceanus 1
Future Wax 3  Oceanus 2
Future Wax 6  Oceanus 5
Future Wax 8  Oceanus 3

 
Future Wax wins World Series (for the second time in a row for the ‘last 5’ leagues) 4 games to 0

MVP Aaron Hill (2009 card)  .375, 2 HR, 5 RBI



Home/Away Advantage [8/2013]

 Triggered by Jed’s incredible home/away split of the past two seasons, I decided to do a more in-depth analyses of the SOMBILLA’s home-field advantage.

 As you may recall, it was determined in May that Jed set the record last year for most home wins minus away wins. In 2011-2012, he tied with Eric and ND for the best home record - 18-10.  But he was dead last with an away record of 8-20, for a +10 home > away differential.  He also led the league this past year with a +7 differential.  Jed’s is a noble record on some level. (In theory, his team was really bad, likely the worst in the league in a neutral park based on his away record, but he chose the perfect park for his team to maximize its potential. 

An odder record is the reverse - the team with the best Road wins > Home wins record.  I guess that would prove who was the most inept manager at choosing a ballpark. This reverse record was also set last year - by Harold.  He led the league with a 19-9 away record, but was last with only an 11-17 record at home, a -8 differential. He also had the worse home record this year (see below) and led the league at -3 away > home differential.  Harold may need to rethink his “if I’m going to lose anyway, I want to have fun” strategy at picking his park.

We have readily accessible data on home/away records from the league’s website (‘What? We have a website?’) going back to the ’96-97 season, 17 full seasons.  I could probably go up into the attic on this 95 degree day and dig up the data for prior years, but I don’t want to do that and you can’t make me.  Anyway, below is a table showing every SOMBILLA manager’s home minus away wins per season for the past 17 years:

i

 

Despite managing in the league for only 7 of the past 17 seasons, Jed has at least twice as many home minus away wins as anyone else.  And his average of 5.1 trounces everyone else.  That, my leaguemates, is quite statistically significant.  Jed is clearly the best manager in the league at maximizing home field advantage for his teams.

 Other interesting facts – Tom is the league’s most equal home/away manager, winning one more game at home than away over 16 seasons. It doesn’t necessarily mean he is the worst (or 2nd worst) at maximizing home field advantage.  I’m not exactly sure what it means.  Other factors come into play here, especially with 8 managers bunched up between 0.2 and 1.8 home minus away wins per season.  Away victories are greatly influenced by the quality of one’s team, being able to win at all parks.  Home wins are influenced by quality of the team playing home games as well of course, but it can also be greatly influenced by maximizing the home field dimension advantage.  Think of the parks you hate playing in because of match-up problems for your team, ballpark-homer wise.

 I haven’t mentioned Clint, but I am impressed to see him significantly ahead of all managers in away wins minus home wins.  I’m kind of at a loss here because I suspect Jed had something to do with choosing the parks when those two shared the team.

 Finally, despite what I said about Tom and away wins above, I am still surprised to see North Dakota with less of a statistical home field advantage than almost everyone.  Perhaps the annual 15,000 game pre-season computer simulation I do to choose a park is in vain.  But I refuse to stop, ‘cause it’s fun.

 Here is the data looking back at only the last 10 seasons:

 i

 Jed still leads of course, but Randy and Jeff are averaging more than two home wins more than away wins per season, so those guys appear to have learned how to obtain a nice home field advantage compared to ealier years .  I’m last. Still not giving up my ballpark simulations.

 And finally here is the data for just the past 5 seasons:

 

 

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

Total  09-13

Average

Jed

7

10

3

8

1

29

5.8

Randy

-1

0

2

7

4

12

4.0

Tom

-2

0

0

2

7

7

3.5

Eric

2

5

0

2

4

13

3.3

Jeff

1

-1

-1

3

3

5

1.7

Arnie

-1

4

-2

2

0

3

1.5

Robin

-1

2

-4

1

1

-1

-0.3

Harold

-3

-8

2

1

4

-4

-1.3

 Jed has gotten even better, while Randy, Tom and Eric have figured it out!  Harold has chosen some questionable parks for his teams over the past few seasons, and has paid the price.  But at least he had fun doing it.

 Here are the top 6 seasons of Home minus Away victories of all-time:

 

1.  Jed 2011-2012      +10

2.  Robin 1998-1999   +9

3.   Jed 2009-2010       +8

4.   Tom 2008-2009     +7

4.   Randy 2009-2010  +7

4.  .Jed  2012-2013      +7            

 Here are the top 5 seasons of Away minus Home victories of all-time:

 1. Harold 2011-2012    -8

2. Eric 1996-1997         -6

2. Matt 1999-2000        -6

2. Robin 2001-2002      -6

2. Clint  2001-2002       -6

 Until Harold’s record-breaking home ineptitude two years ago, it had been 10 years since any team had even 6 more away wins than home wins.

 Here’s another chart – Standard Deviation.  Think of that as a measure of volatility, or predictably.  The lower the STD DEV the smaller the year-to-year variation:

 

 

     STD

     DEV                      

Robin

3.52

Harold

3.43

Matt

3.38

Jed

3.27

Tom

3.05

Clint

2.98

Randy

2.84

Jeff

2.82

Eric

2.79

Arnie

2.53

 Over the past 17 seasons, Robin has been the most volatile/unpredictable, at least for Home-Away record, not temperament. Over the past 5 seasons, Harold’s home vs away record is the least predictable:

 

 

STD DEV

Harold

4.26

Jed

3.31

Tom

3.07

Randy

2.87

Arnie

2.15

Robin

2.14

Jeff

1.79

Eric

1.74

 Actually, I like this standard deviation stuff.  Looking at all teams’ total wins and standard deviation of total wins (home + away) over the past five seasons:

 

 

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

Ave Wins

Std Dev

Arnie

37

32

32

20

34

31.0

6.48

Randy

31

24

24

39

26

28.8

6.38

Robin

25

30

14

19

25

22.6

6.19

Harold

21

30

32

23

34

28.0

5.70

Jeff

25

25

25

29

17

24.2

4.38

Eric

32

31

36

34

26

31.8

3.77

Jed

29

26

33

32

35

31.0

3.54

Tom

24

26

28

28

27

26.6

1.67

 Tom has been remarkably consistent over the past 5 seasons.  His win totals range from 24-28, with a standard deviation of wins of less than half that of everyone else. I lead the volatility circus, aided greatly by the Flaming Earthworms’ 20-win 2009-2010 season.


All-Star Study [8/12]

Every summer, almost as a footnote, the newsletter lists each team’s all-stars as an unscientific look ahead at how each manager’s Strat-O team is doing. I decided to take a more formal look at that all-star count this summer to, among other things, see if it can actually be called scientific at all.

First, some raw data. Going back to the first year of the contracted re-created 8-team league , we’ve had 11 all-star summers, beginning with 22. Over that time period here are the numbers of all-stars for each manager:


RAT

Arnie

Robin

Eric

Jed

Tom

Harold

Jeff

2012

11

8

7

10

8

8

9

3

2011

13

10

10

11

10

6

2

4

2010

9

10

8

12

10

9

6

11

2009

9

8

9

12

8

8

6

5

2008

11

6

4

9

8

8

6

6

2007

10

7

8

5

11

8

7

6

2006

10

7

9

7

7

7

8

6

2005

6

12

9

5

5

9

11

6

2004

8

10

9

3

4

7

5

10

2003

6

7

7

6

9

9

8

9

2002

5

12

9

9

6

5

8

6

Total

98

97

89

89

86

84

76

72

No wonder I wanted to do this study! What about a more recent look – say, the past 5 years (including this year):


Eric

RAT

Jed

Arnie

Tom

Robin

Jeff

Harold

2012

10

11

8

8

8

7

3

9

2011

11

13

10

10

6

10

4

2

2010

12

9

10

10

9

8

11

6

2009

12

9

8

8

8

9

5

6

2008

9

11

8

6

8

4

6

6

Total

54

53

44

42

39

38

29

29

Over the last 5 years, Eric leads the way with 54 all-stars, followed closely behind by RAT. And again, Jeff is last.

But does the number of all-stars really mean anything? Does it have any actual predictive value towards a team’s results the following season? I can think of three reasons why it might not:

  1. Players get chosen for the all-star game based on the first half performance. Many players tail off (or conversely have great second halves without being on the all-star team). While this likely evens out team by team, it would seemingly lower the predictive value of the number of all-stars toward a team’s success the following season.
  2. Not all the best players get chosen for the all-star game. Controversy and all that,
  3. The SOMBILLA team will still end up drafting players the following spring who will impact the team’s performance. To a lesser extent, trades can also factor in.

So, I took the 11 years worth of all-star data from the first table and paired each team’s number of all-stars with their team’s number of wins the following SOMBILLA season. Some correlation was obvious. RAT’s 11 all-stars in 28 helped lead the team to 39 wins in the ‘9-1 season. Eric’s 12 all-stars in 29 led him to 36 wins in ‘1-11. Conversely, Jed’s (and Matt’s) paltry 4 all-stars in 24 led them to only 14 wins in ‘5-6 (possibly causing Matt to flee the league). But how to explain Jed’s 37 wins the following year with only 5 all stars in 25? Or RAT’s 6 all-stars in 23 leading to 36 wins in ‘4-5? Is it all random or is there some correlation?

I lined up all 8 SOMBILLA seasons (1 seasons of 8 teams) worth of data and ran an excel correlation against the two variables. It turns out there is a correlation, albeit not very high. Based on actual data points (all stars between 4 and 12), one all-star is worth about one extra SOMBILLA win, on average, Yippee.


When you expand the table to extrapolate the data for numbers of all-stars below and above the actual data points, the correlation is even less, with 1 all-star representing about .65 wins:

Number of all-stars

Number of wins the following year

1

23.4

2

24.2

3

25.1

4

25.6

5

26.4

6

27.0

7

27.7

8

28.3

9

28.8

10

29.5

11

30.0

12

30.6

13

31.1

14

31.7

15

32.3

16

33.2

17

33.7

18

34.4

Note that the league record for most all-stars is 14, set by North Dakota back in 1997. In ‘98-99 ND won only 3 games but did go on to win the SOMBILLA World Series.

Finally here is the raw data so you can see for yourself how all team’s all-stars correlate to wins the following season:


RAT

AP

Robin

Eric

Jed

Tom

Harold

Jeff


All-stars

W

All-stars

W

All-stars

W

All-stars

W

All-stars

W

All-stars

W

All-stars

W

All-stars

W


















2012

11


8


7


10


8


8


9


3


2011

13


10


10


11


10


6


2


4


2010

9

24

10

32

8

30

12

31

10

26

9

26

6

30

11

25

2009

9

24

8

32

9

14

12

36

8

33

8

28

6

32

5

25

2008

11

39

6

20

4

19

9

34

8

32

8

28

6

23

6

29

2007

10

26

7

34

8

25

5

26

11

35

8

27

7

34

6

17

2006

10

37

7

24

9

26

7

23

7

23

7

39

8

24

6

28

2005

6

29

12

28

9

27

5

20

5

37

9

30

11

33

6

20

2004

8

32

10

31

9

32

3

35

4

14

7

32

5

27

10

22

2003

6

36

7

29

7

26

6

27

9

24

9

36

8

15

9

31

2002

5

30

12

31

9

18

9

35

6

23

5

31

8

28

6

28


87


89


82


79


78


76


67


69


There are no wins shown for the 211 or 212 all-stars because we haven’t played with those cards yet, silly.


BEST OF THE LAST 5 YEARS [8/12]

For the next study, I turned to the Strat-O computer. I took each franchise’s players over the past 5 SOMBILLA seasons and let the computer choose the best 25 players, with no duplicate players (i.e, there is only one Albert Pujols on ND’s team, not five of them). I let the computer decide which of the many duplicates were the best (based on the player’s computer draft position). But this study has a twist. I threw in the 2011 cards, that is, the upcoming SOMBILLA season, yet to be played. So the 5 MLB seasons are 27-211, featuring the last 4 SOMBILLA seasons, plus the upcoming one.

Because we are all focused on the upcoming season, here are the 211 cards represented:

Area 51 (Avila, Clippard, Romero, Bastardo, Hellickson)

Bay City (Granderson, A. Cabrera, Morrison, Weeks, Heisey, Halladay, Janson, O’Flaherty, CJ Wilson, Madson)

Constantinople (Kinsler, Santana, Pence, Cain, Holland, Casilla, Vogelsong)

Fugakyu (Beltre, Hardy, Bonafacio, Fister, Salas, Hanrahan, Shields)

Future Wax (Kemp, Reyes, S. Rodriguez, Upton, Kershaw, Venters, Axford, Hamels)

New Orleans (Napoli, Ad. Jones, Putz, C. Martinez)

North Dakota (Ellsbury, Pedroia, Wieters, Craig, Kimbrel, Lee, Adams, Cueto)

The Cheddarmen (Y. Molina, Verlander, Weaver, Motte)

A couple of observations.

  1. One would expect an even distribution of players from the five seasons. That is, the 2011 cards should have 1/5 of all the cards represented in the study, or 4 players (1/5 x 8 x 25). But there are 53 cards from the upcoming season (26.5%). Is 2011 the best set of cards from the last 5 years or is it a statistical anomaly with other variables in play?
  2. Just because Robin has the most 211 cards in the study, you can’t necessarily conclude that Robin will have the best team next year while Harold and Eric will have the worst. Eric has won the championship in 2 of the 4 seasons played, Harold has won once; presumably great players from those championship teams will also be in this league, making it ‘harder’ for one of their 2011 cards to break into the lineup.

So, what happened? Who has the best players over the past/present 5 years of the SOMBILLA? Using each team’s actual ballpark from the middle (‘09-10) season of the five, and a 168-game schedule, here are the final standings:


                        WON  LOST  PCT   GB
North Dakota NDK        110   67  .601   ----
Future Wax RAT           97   71  .577    4
The Cheddarmen CHE       91   77  .542   10
Constantinople CON       78   90  .464   23
Bay City BAY             77   91  .458   24
Area 51 A51              76   92  .452   25
Fugakyu FUG              76   92  .452   25

New Orleans NEW          76   92  .452   25

Now before everyone cries ‘fix’, might I point out that I have done all sorts of studies over the years, and ND hardly seems to win them all, if any. This is what happened; I am just reporting the results. Looks like there was a wild scramble for the final playoff spot, though.

No doubt some of these results can be attributed to the vagaries of ballparks chosen, whether appropriate or not. Yet, ND and FW had the best home record, while ND, CH and FW tied with the best road records. NO and A51 had the worst home records, while Bay City had the worst road record by far.

Only 3 players hit over .300:

----BATTING AVERAGE----

J.Hamilton (2010 card) RAT .322
M.Ordonez (2007) NDK       .317
M.Kemp (2011) RAT          .302
J.Reyes (2011) RAT         .295
H.Ramirez (2008) NDK       .291
A.Pujols (2009) NDK        .276
M.Teixeira (2008) A51      .275
P.Polanco (2007) FUG       .275
M.Cabrera (2010) BAY       .273
J.Ellsbury (2011) NDK      .272

Albert Pujols (29 card) had a good year against the SOMBILLA’s best pitchers over the last 5 years:

--------HOMERUNS------- -----RUNS BATTED IN----

A.Pujols (2009) NDK    53   A.Pujols (2009) NDK 118
P.Fielder (2009) CHE   48   M.Kemp (2011) RAT   111
J.Bautista (2010) FUG  45   P.Fielder (2009) CHE 104
C.Pena (2007) CON      45   C.Quentin (2008) RAT 102
M.Cabrera (2010) BAY   43   M.Ordonez (2007) NDK 100
M.Kemp (2011) RAT      41   A.Rodriguez (2007) CON 97
M.Reynolds (2009) NDK  40   D.Ortiz (2007) NDK 96
A.Rodriguez (2007) CON 35   C.Pena (2007) CON 95
B.Hawpe (2007) BAY     35   M.Cabrera (2010) BAY 95
C.Quentin (2008) RAT   32   J.Ellsbury (2011) NDK 94


Here are the MVP and all-star voting:

MVP AWARD

A.Pujols (2009) (NDK) 395
M.Kemp (2011) (RAT) 373
Z.Greinke (2009) (RAT) 22
J.Ellsbury (2011)(NDK) 13
P.Fielder (2009) (CHE) 97

 

ALL-STAR SELECTIONS BY POSITION

C B.McCann (2008) (RAT) 1,603,257
1B A.Pujols (2009) (NDK) 4,742,055
2B I.Kinsler (2011) (CON) 2,138,125
3B A.Rodriguez (2007)(CON) 2,212,185
SS H.Ramirez (2008) (NDK) 2,229,041
LF M.Holliday(2007) (FUG) 2,069,697
CF M.Kemp(2011) (RAT) 4,254,456
RF M.Ordonez (2007) (NDK) 2,651,348

 

Pitching:

----------WINS---------
Z.Greinke (2009) RAT    22-8
J.Peavy (2007) NDK      18-7
A.Wainwright (2010) NDK 18-8
C.Kershaw (2011) RAT   18-11
U.Jimenez (2010) RAT   17-11
J.Verlander (2011) CHE 15-9
C.Carpenter (2009) NEW 15-11
J.Shields (2011) FUG   15-13
T.Lilly (2009) NEW     14-12
C.Lee (2011) NDK        14-12


----------ERA----------
R.Harden (2008) RAT     2.66
C.Kershaw (2011) RAT    2.91
Z.Greinke (2009) RAT    2.96
C.Carpenter (2009) NEW  3.08
C.Sabathia (2008) CON   3.11
C.Buchholz (2010) A51   3.12
J.Peavy (2007) NDK      3.26
J.Verlander (2011) CHE  3.31
A.Wainwright (2010) NDK 3.33
T.Lilly (2009) NEW      3.49

---------SAVES--------
J.Soria (2008) FUG 41
J.Putz (2007) RAT 39
M.Rivera (2008) NEW 38
A.Bastardo (2011) A51 38
R.Soriano (2010) CHE 34
T.Hoffman (2009) NDK 33
G.Holland (2011) CON 33
H.Kuo (2010) BAY 33

<>

CY YOUNG AWARD
Z.Greinke(2009) (RAT) 133
J.Peavy (2007) (NDK) 87
J.Verlander(2011) (CHE) 43
A.Wainwright (2010) (NDK) 16
C.Kershaw(2011) (RAT) 8

Playoffs

North Dakota 4 Constantinople 2
Constantinople 4 North Dakota 1
North Dakota 7 Constantinople 1 (Peavy 5 hitter, 14 K’s )
Constantinople 4 North Dakota 1
North Dakota 5 Constantinople 4
North Dakota 7 Constantinople 6

North Dakota wins series 4 games to 2

(Cliff Lee 2-, Ortiz 2 HR, 5 RBI)


The Cheddarmen 10 Future Wax 5
Future Wax 5 The Cheddarmen 4
Future Wax 11 The Cheddarmen 5
Future Wax 9 The Cheddarmen 4
Future Wax 5 The Cheddarmen 3

Future Wax wins series 4 games to 1

(Ludwick .579, 4 homers, 8 rbi; Hamilton .4)

World Series – best cards over the last 5 years

North Dakota vs., Future Wax

Game 1: North Dakota 4 Future Wax 1

Win: Lee(1-0) Loss: Kershaw(0-1) Save: Hoffman(1st) Homeruns- M.Ordonez-2(2nd), M.Alou(1st)

Magglio Ordonez knocked 2 homeruns as the North Dakota ballclub defeated the Future Wax club by a score of 4 to 1. Future Wax never recovered after North Dakota took the lead in the bottom of the 4th inning scoring one runner. North Dakota banged out 8 hits on the afternoon. The victory went to Cliff Lee(1-0) who went 7 and 1/3 innings, allowing 1 run. Lee was helped out by Trevor Hoffman who recorded his 1st save. Clayton Kershaw(0-1) took the loss. Despite the loss, he struckout 13 North Dakota batters in 6 and 2/3 innings.

Game 2: Future Wax 5 North Dakota 2

Win: Greinke(1-0) Loss: Wainwright(0-1) Homeruns- M.Reynolds(1st), D.Pedroia(1st)

Brian McCann had 2 base hits and Zack Greinke pitched a complete game as the Future Wax ballclub defeated the North Dakota club by the score of 5 to 2. Greinke(1-0) delivered a fine performance for Future Wax. He allowed 5 hits and 6 walks in 9 innings and was touched for 2 homeruns. Future Wax had a total of 9 hits for the game. Adam Wainwright(-01) took the loss. He surrendered 3 runs and 4 hits in 5 and 1/3 innings.

Game 3: North Dakota 4 Future Wax 1

Win: Peavy(1-0) Loss:Jimenez(0-1) Save:Hoffman(2nd) Homeruns- D.Pedroia(2nd), J.Thome(1st)

In a good matchup it was the North Dakota team 4, the Future Wax ballclub 1. Jake Peavy(1-0) pitched a solid game. He went 7 innings allowing 5 hits and 2 walks. Peavy mowed down 9 Future Wax batters. North Dakota had a total of 8 hits for the game. Peavy got relief help from Trevor Hoffman who gained credit for his 2nd save. Ubaldo Jimenez(0-1) was the losing pitcher. He surrendered 4 runs and 7 hits in 7 and 1/3 innings.

Game 4: Future Wax 4 North Dakota 2

Win: Hamels(1-0) Loss: Johnson(0-1) Save:Putz(1st) Homeruns- J.Rollins(1st), J.Thome(2nd)

Ryan Braun had 3 base hits and the Future Wax ballclub beat the North Dakota club 4 to 2. Future Wax tallied 3 runs in the bottom of the 4th inning when they had 4 base hits. The key offensive moment was provided by Jose Reyes who electrified the ballpark when he doubled bringing home two baserunners. Future Wax out-hit North Dakota for the game, 9 hits to 4. Cole Hamels(1-) got credit for the victory, pitching 5 and 1/3 innings and allowing 1 run. Hamels was helped out by J.J. Putz who recorded his 1st save. Josh Johnson(0-1) suffered the loss.

Game 5: Future Wax 4 North Dakota 2

Win: Harden(1-0) Loss: Cueto(0-1) Save: Putz(2nd) Homeruns- A.Pujols(1st), R.Braun(1st)

Rich Harden didn't allow a hit until the 7th inning as the Future Wax club bested the North Dakota team 4 to 2 at the [generic] ballpark. Ryan Braun helped send the fans home happy. He doubled in the 3rd inning and hit a 'grand salami' to the delight of his teammates in the 4th inning. Future Wax had 1 hits for the game and North Dakota had 2. Harden(1-0) got credit for the victory, pitching 8 innings and allowing 2 runs. The right-handed Harden lost his chance for a no-hitter when Albert Pujols homered with nobody out in the 7th inning. J.J. Putz preserved the game for Harden, recording his 2nd save. Johnny Cueto(0-1) took the loss. He was knocked around by Future Wax, allowing 6 hits and 2 walks in 3 and 2/3 innings. Everyone seemed to enjoy the performance of Harden - except North Dakota. North Dakota's manager lamented, "He just was 'on' this afternoon. He was keeping our guys off balance all game. A fine game by a good strikeout pitcher - makes it a fun game for the hometown fans - unfortunately we were the visitors"!

Game 6: North Dakota 5 Future Wax 2

Win: Lee(2-0) Loss: Kershaw(0-2) Homeruns- M.Reynolds(2nd)

David Ortiz hit 2 doubles and Cliff Lee had a complete game at the ballpark where the North Dakota ballclub beat the Future Wax club by the score of 5 to 2. Lee(2-0) was very good in the win. He allowed only 7 hits and 4 walks in 9 innings. Neither team managed to score after the 4th inning. Clayton Kershaw(-2) was tagged with the loss. He was not very effective, surrendering 5 runs in 3 and 1/3 innings.

Game 7: Future Wax 13 North Dakota 7

Win: Putz(1-0) Loss: Aardsma(0-1) Homeruns- J.Hamilton(1st), A.Hill(1st), R.Braun(2nd), J.Ellsbury(1st), A.Pujols(2nd), D.Ortiz(1st), M.Ordonez(3rd), M.Alou(2nd)

Josh Hamilton hit one over the fence and had 4 RBI as the Future Wax ballclub staged a dramatic comeback over the North Dakota team by a score of 13 to 7. North Dakota was unable to overcome the big offensive rally by Future Wax in the 9th inning as they ripped North Dakota for 7 runs on 3 hits. The big moment was provided by Aaron Hill who deflated the mood of the partisan fans when he caught a hold of a bad pitch for a Grand Slam homerun. For the game Future Wax out-hit North Dakota 12 to 7. The victory went to J.J. Putz(1-0) who went 2 innings, allowing 3 runs. David Aardsma(0-1) was the losing pitcher in relief. He surrendered 2 runs in 2 innings and saw his ERA increase from 3. to 5.4.

Future Wax wins series 4 games to 3. Damn.

Series MVP: Ryan Braun (2007 card) .5 (11 for 22), 2 HR, 7 RBI



Salaries in the SOMBILLA (8/11)

Who are the SOMBILLA’s large market teams? Who are the small market teams operating on a shoestring? Who are the big spenders and cheapskate owners? Should the SOMBILLA institute a salary cap?

I let the computer choose each team's 25-man roster. The computer's not perfect in that regard, making a few surprising selections from amongst each team's 45-man roster, but I figure it got at least 20 of the 25 people correct for each team. That’s good enough for me and this study without spending another week of my precious summer nitpicking each selection. Using the salary database available on the USA Today website, here are the results:

1. Constantinople. $191,209,780. No surprise here. Tom was the league’s 2nd biggest spender in the last study three years ago with $174 million. Although we could call them the Yankees of the SOMBILLA, the amazing thing is that the Yankees payroll is actually higher ($202,689,028). Think about that. We have an all-star league, yet the Yankees payroll is higher than the SOMBILLA's highest team. (No, Harold, the Bosox payroll is actually only $161 million). The pressure will be on the high-priced CN players to perform this year. Number of millionaires: 21

Ten highest paid:


A Rod

32,000,000

Sabathia

24,285,714

Howard

20,000,000

Hunter

18,500,000

Bay

18,125,000

Youk

12,250,000

Hudson

9,000,000

Cain

7,333,333

Hart

6,833,333

Billingsley

6,275,000

2. New Orleans. $187,971,750. No secret to the SOMBILLA’s last year’s championship. Harold bought it! Like Tom, he outspends all MLB teams except the Yankees. 9 of his players make $10,000,000 or more. Number of millionaires: 21

Ten highest paid:


Suzuki

18,000,000

Morneau

15,000,000

Rivera

14,911,700

Carpenter

14,259,403

Wright

14,250,000

Rios

12,500,000

Dunn

12,000,000

Kuroda

11,765,724

Cano

10,000,000

Figgins

9,500,000


3. Go Avocado. $165,576,684. Hmmm, Go Avocado vs. New Orleans in a 7-games World Series. Coincidence? I think not. Now we know the real secret to their successful seasons last year. He pays a lot for his starters (Lincecum, Dempster, Verlander, Weaver), and they respond well. Number of millionaires: 20


Utley

15,285,714

Crawford

14,857,142

Lincecum

14,000,000

Dempster

13,500,000

Verlander

12,850,000

Konerko

12,000,000

Werth

10,571,428

R Soriano

10,000,000

Zimmerman

9,025,000

J Weaver

7,365,000


4. Fugakyu. $157,787,826. Another playoff team, another high payroll. His payroll is still higher than all MLB teams, other than the Yankees, Phillies and Red Sox. Number of millionaires: 21

Ten highest paid:


Mauer

23,000,000

Beltre

14,000,000

Furcal

13,000,000

F Hernandez

11,700,000

Roberts

10,000,000

Huff

10,000,000

Myers

8,000,000

Bautista

8,000,000

Victorino

7,500,000

Votto

7,410,655


5. Bay City. $135,780,783. A big drop-off from the league’s big-market teams to the small market teams, led by Robin. All those coiffered tight uniform expenses cut into the amount her team can spend on player salaries. Number of millionaires: 16

Ten highest paid:


Wells

26,187,500

M Cab

20,000,000

Halladay

20,000,000

Oswalt

16,000,000

V Mart

12,000,000

Ethier

9,500,000

F Sanchez

6,000,000

A Sanchez

3,700,000

Gallardo

3,500,000

Kuo

2,725,000

6. North Dakota. $135,541,162. Suspiciously similar payroll to Bay City for the league’s only owners who are married to each other. And as a small-market team, he has another excuse for blowing the playoff series to Eric. Number of millionaires: 21


Pujols

14,508,395

Ortiz

12,500,000

H Ramirez

11,000,000

Lee

11,000,000

M Ordonez

10,000,000

Rolen

8,166,666

Johnson

7,750,000

Bell

7,500,000

Wainright

6,687,500

Danks

6,000,000


7. Area 51 $131,421,738. Cheapskate Jeff had the highest payroll in the SOMBILLA just 3 years ago. Clearly something is afoot out there in New Mexico. Alien fans are not pleased. Number of millionaires: 19

Ten highest paid:


Teixeira

23,125,000

Zambrano

18,875,000

F Rod

12,166,666

Swisher

9,100,000

Sizemore

7,666,666

Vlad

7,611,455

W Rodriguez

7,500,000

Garza

5,950,000

Lester

5,750,000

D. Young

5,375,000


8. Future Wax $123,276,248. How the mighty have fallen. You’d think with 3 owners, these cheapskates could scrounge up some more dough to help the cause, but no, the Pirates of the SOMBILLA just don’t care anymore. This franchise is an embarrassment. Does Randy think we won't notice how they pocket ticket receipts? Number of millionaires: 16

Ten highest paid:


Santana

21,644,707

A Ramirez

14,600,000

Reyes

11,000,000

Hamels

9,500,000

Uggla

9,146,942

Hamilton

8,750,000

Kemp

7,100,000

Valverde

7,000,000

McCann

6,700,000

Scott

6,400,000


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CUT PLAYER ANALYSIS (8/11)


Everyone in the league agonizes over their final cuts and then inevitably laments their poor decisions, when guys they have cut go on to have great seasons. So, this summer, I decided to take a closer look at this phenomenon and answer the pressing questions of who is the worst ‘cutter’ in the league and who makes the best cutlist decisions.

I examined cuts from the last 15 years, going all the way back to the 1997 draft. At first, I thought about taking all the players each team had cut who had become redrafted and put all their ‘redrafted’ cards onto a computer Strat-O team. The goal of that league would be to come in last of course, to show that you were the most adept at cutting players, since the players you cut subsequently sucked more than anyone else’s players who’d been cut.

But I realized that it would be impossible to field enough players on a team (see below) who’d been cut and then redrafted by another team. I suppose I could’ve used all cut players, not just those who’d been redrafted, but that would have taken way too long.

So instead, I am just listing the players cut by each team in the past 15 years who have been redrafted by another team. (I also thought about compiling all the stats of those redrafted, but then decided I wanted a little bit more of the summer to myself).

So here are the lists. Note that any players who were cut and redrafted more than once appear on more than one team, so that each team can get ‘credit’ for screwing up. There is s second list of just those players redrafted by the same team that cut them:


  1. Arnie. (29) – I guess I am the worst cutter in the league, because more players I’ve cut have been redrafted in the past 15 years than anyone else’s team. However, since this is my fucking study, I have decided to alter the conclusion, by rationalizing this by concluding that I’ve had more talent on my roster than anyone else over the past 15 years and therefore I can’t help but cut quality players who get picked up by others. Anyway, here they are:

S. Baker, Church, Infante, Kouzmanoff, C. Lewis, C. Pena, J. Rivera, D. Ross, R. Santiago, L. Scott, C. Snyder, Thornton, R. Belliard, Bradford, T. Clark, R. Winn, Eckstein, Bordick, J. Reed, M. Barrett, O. Cabrera, Conine, R. Sanchez, D’Amico, D. Wells, R. Cedeno, C. Hayes, Naehring, D. Lewis

  1. Jed (28) – In fairness, I think a few of these guys were actually contracted out of a job rather than just cut, so Jed should probably rank 4th or 5th: (And maybe he can blame Clint or Matt for some of these). But he can’t complain about being 2nd too much, having cut Halladay.

Aurilia, T. Clark, Dempster, Grudzielanek, Zumaya, Radke, Loiaza, D. Ross, B. Giles, M. Ordonez, Carrasco, Howry, Ponson, O. Hernandez, K. Garcia, Schmidt, Halladay, M. Cordova, Leskanic, Higginson, Hollandsworth, A. Gonzalez, D. Lewis, Mayne, Tewksbury, McElroy, Espinoza, Deer

  1. Robin (26) – I know she is shocked not to be first, but it’s still a fine, impressive list, and probably would have ‘won’ the computer league: Takes 3rd over Randy by virtue of more egregious cuts.

G. Anderson, Ankiel, Balfour, Breslow, O. Cabrera, Hensley, Ohman, Pineiro, Street, R. Tejada, J. Valentin, CJ Wilson, R Winn, Fucking Juan Uribe, M. Adams, Gross, Stairs, Acevedo, Embree, Vizcaino, K. Escobar, W. Gonzalez, J. Mesa, Surhoff, Grebeck, T. Goodwin


  1. RAT (26) – Perhaps there is something to that roster talent hypothesis after all:

R. Castro, R. Durham, J. Guthrie, A. Jones, Saltalamachia, C. Zambrano, Bottalico, Mirabelli, L. Hernandez, B. Giles, Cormier, J. Tavarez, M. Williams, Wakefield, Nilsson, Embree, Velarde, T. Fernandez, M. Maddux, M. Stanton, Stottlemyre, R. Jefferson, Offerman, E. Davis, Radinsky, Becker


  1. Jeff (21) – Can’t think of anything witty to say about Jeff, as usual:

Affeldt, Crede, R. Franklin, B. Myers, Olivo, Renteria, Wickman, Marrero, Glavine, Erstad, Eckstein, Cormier, Dye, Bordick, Randa, Holmes, Burnitz, P. Wilson, C. Guillen, Aguilera, Belinda

  1. Harold (20) – Another fine computer team, just needs 5 more players:

Bradford, Branyan, T Jones, Percival, O. Vizquel, M. Alou, Leiter, Jenkins, Wunsch, Grace, Ochoa, L. Gonzalez, Lieber, G. Lloyd, Baldwin, Belcher, Guthrie, Trombley, MacFarlane, Valle

  1. Tom (15) – Tom has cut very prudently over the years. It wouldn’t surprise me if he had a large wall-grid of all SOMBILLA players’ projections and stats, with arrows and graphs and stuff:

Ausmus, R. Belliard, Benoit, Ellis, Howry, J. Phelps, Politte, E. Santana, W. Alvarez. Timlin, Pavano, R. Durham, Clement, G. Anderson, M. Batista

  1. Eric (6) – What the fuck?!! Jawdroppingly statistically significant. Has anyone else noticed that Eric consistently shows up as an outlier on my summer studies? He’s been the whitest team in the league, the oldest team in the league, had the fewest pitchers on a championship team, and was involved in the largest ‘who’s your daddy (vs Randy). He is clearly paranormal when it comes to the SOMBILLA:

Millwood, J. Wright, J. Valentin, Glavine, Clayton, Fassero

Next, here is a (much shorter) list of everyone who has been redrafted by the team that cut them

Eric (6) – Farnsworth, Pierzynski, Clayton, Hampton, Payton, Burkett
Arnie (6) - M. Gonzalez, R. Hernandez, McGriff, D. Fletcher, G. Hill, C. Hernandez
RAT (5) – Madson, M. Guthrie, Rincon, Charlton, D. Lee Jeff (5) – Mussina, D. Marte, Sauerbeck, Glavine, Blauser Harold (5) – G. Matthews, Carpenter, Baerga, Grace, FPS Tom (5) – Radke, Casey, J. Guillen, Herges, C. Guillen Robin (3) – J. Wright, M. Maddux, O’Flaherty Jed (1) – Jaha

Pretty bunched other than Robin and Jed..

Two players appear on both lists – Tom Glavine and Royce Clayton were cut and redrafted by both the same team that cut them as well as another team entirely. And in the course of doing this study, I uncovered another record – only one player has actually played on four different SOMBILLA franchises - Mike Bordick. (Harold, J&C, Arnie and Dave).



  • First Round Pitchers [8/10]
  • For the first study this summer, the SOMBILLA’s research department looks at pitchers drafted in the first round. It’s no great draft secret that drafting pitchers is riskier than drafting position players. So many things can go wrong with pitchers, injury-wise. And yet, we can’t help ourselves. The main reason is shear pragmatism. Good available righty starters are always at a premium. There are rarely that many available, and so they are invariably taken in the first round, regardless of their future potential. But is that really true? Are most first round pitchers righty starters?

    We’ve held 25 drafts since that original 35-round dispersal draft in 1985. (Man, are we old). There have been 210 first round draft picks. Of those, 96 have been pitchers (46%). So, despite the fact that these picks are generally riskier, the league has still split its first rounders almost evenly between pitchers and hitters.

    What about first picks overall? Who have they been and how have they fared? The very first player taken in the very first draft was a pitcher. T&A drafted Dwight Gooden in that first and only dispersal draft. But that draft doesn’t count. What about the regular annual drafts after that?

    Pitchers taken first overall in the draft

    1993 – Curt Schilling (Dave)

    2000 – Kris Bensen (Harold)

    2003 – Mark Prior (Robin)

    2006 – Felix Hernandez (Jed)

    2008 – Fausto Carmona (Harold)

    Two out of 5 had, or are in the middle of, great careers. Two (Bensen and Prior) were derailed by injuries, while it’s too early to determine where Carmona will end up

    1. Pitchers taken second overall
    2. Eighteen pitchers have been taken second overall, including 4 of the 5 seasons where a pitcher was also taken 1st overall. This means that in 19 of the 25 drafts (76%) a pitcher was taken first or second overall. Who are these second overalls?

      1986

      S. Fernandez

      Robin

      1988

      Dunne, M

      Dave

      1989

      Cone

      Robin

      1990

      Olson

      D&H

      1993

      Tewksbury

      Jed

      1994

      Sele

      Robin

      1994

      Bere

      Land

      1995

      Trachsel

      Harold

      1997

      Radke

      Matt

      1999

      O. Hernandez

      Jed

      2001

      Weaver

      Jeff

      2002

      Oswalt

      Robin

      2003

      Beckett

      Matt

      2004

      Webb

      Matt

      2006

      Patterson

      Jeff

      2007

      Verlander

      Eric

      2008

      Lincecum

      Eric

      2010

      Hanson

      Robin

      Twice we have had pitchers go 1-2-3. In 1993, it was Schilling, Tewksbury and then Eldred (Dave). Exactly 10 years later in 2003, it was Prior, Beckett and Clement (Eric). So get ready for a run on pitching early in the 2013 draft.

      But despite almost half of the first round draft picks being pitchers, the most pitchers taken in the first round in any year is 5, which the league has done twice – in 1986 and 1990 – both years before we had 9 picks in the first round (which the league did from 1992 – 2001).

    3. Starters vs. Relievers
    4. 70% of pitchers taken in the first round are starters (67 out of 96). Of those 67, 62 of them (93%) were righty starters. Only 5 lefty starters have ever been chosen in the first round: S. Fernandez (Robin, ’86); Leiter (Harold ’97); Ankiel (Robin ’00); O. Perez (Harold ’05); C. Lee(Arnie ’09).

      Of the 29 relievers taken in the first round, only one was a lefty – Rob Murphy, drafted by Eric in 1988 (Eric won the championship the next two seasons with Murphy a stalwart in the pen).

    5. Managers
    6. Who is the most likely to draft a pitcher in the first round? Eric. He has drafted 17 first round pitchers over the years. Least likely? Jeff, who has drafted only 2 first round pitchers in his 17 years of draft participation. (Tom also has only drafted 2 pitchers in the first round, but has participated in only 13 drafts, so Jeff's ’first round pitcher percentage is lower). The list:

      Eric 17

      Harold 14

      Robin 14

      RAT/T&A 12

      Matt 11

      Jed 9

      Arnie 8

      Tom 2

      Jeff 2

    7. Pitchers taken twice in the first round
    8. Finally, two pitchers hold the odd distinction of having been drafted in the first round twice! Livan Hernandez (9th overall by RAT in ‘98; 7th in ’04 by Arnie) and Dempster (’01 by Jed; ’09 by Eric). But Dempster wins the oddity battle; both of his selections were as 3rd overall.

       

      ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ALL - TIME TRADE REGISTER [8/10]

    As suggested by Tom. I really had to scrounge the attic for some of this stuff. I did the best I could; hopefully I was able to account for the vast majority of all SOMBILLA trades.

    In going through some of the old stuff, I came to the conclusion that I was kind of a jerk at times. Sorry, Clint et al. I also enjoyed looking through a lot of it; damn we’ve been doing this a long time.

    "This league hates to trade" – Durga Rao, 1988

    Date

    Trade

    Draft Day 1979

    Arnie despised Reggie Jackson, so immediately after the draft gave him to Tsuan for two pens.

    June 1979

    Arnie trades Gossage and Carew to Jed for for someone named Jerry Martin and 3 other nobodies.

    11/1982

    Arnie trades Lonnie Smith to Joel for Moose Haas.

    11/21/83

    J.Niekro, L. Smith and L. Durham, Them (Jed) for J. Thompson, Lacy and Spillner, Shellshock II (Andrew).

    Forster, Shellshock II for J. Dwyer, Them

    11/22/83

    Back in the olden days when the draft consisted of drafting 4 MLB teams for a one-year league, each team ended up with holes to fill and lots of trade bait of multiple players at one position. So, a week after the draft, we would schedule an official trade night.

    • L. DeLeon and Beard, ND for P. Niekro, Moffitt and T. Martinez, Them
    • Buckner, S. Davis, Beard and Forster, Them for J. Morgan and Holland, BC
    • Trillo, Eric for Dauer, Them
    • Dauer, Eric for Gantner, ND
    • Reuss, Shellshock II for O. Smith, BC
    • R. Jackson, Eric for Barker, Shellshock II
    • Cey, Shellshock II for R. Jones, ND
    • Dw. Murphy and Molitor, ND for Bair, BC
    • J. Palmer, Them for J. Andujar, BC
    • Royster, Them for A. Griffin, ND

    12/4/83

    P. Niekro, Montefusco, and T. Martinez, ND for Schmidt and Carlton, Eric

    12/20/83

    McGlaughlin, ND for R. Jones, Shellshock II

    12/27/83

    S. Sanderson, Sardukar for G. Hendrick, BC

    11/1985

    Joel receives Moseby from FW for Chris Bando (a steal, per Twits Notes)

    11/1986

    • Robin trades Kirby Puckett to Jed straight up for Andy Hawkins!
    • Eric trades a first round pick to FW for Templeton
    • Jed trades a first round pick to FW for Baines
    • Joel receives M. Moore from Jed for a 3rd round pick (became B. Witt)
    • Jed trades Viola to Matt for a 2nd round pick (became Ontiveros)
    • Matt acquires Molitor from Jed for a 5th round pick

    1/1/1987

    According to the 1/11 Twits Notes "For the first time in league history, there have been no mid-season trades, although one was almost pulled off at Jed’s New Year’s party."

    1988

    • Eric trades 5th to Jed (became H. Reynolds) for Garber
    • Arnie trades 6th to Robin (becamse M. Brantley) for a loan of Bud Black for a year. A few years later, after the SOMBILLA’s trading and loan scandal, the league banned loaning of players.
    • Eric trades 2nd to Arnie (became P. Perry) for Diaz
    • Harold traded Winfield to Eirc for a 2nd round pick (became R. Martinez), which Eric thought was a steal. Winfield went on to win the MVP that year, batting something over .350, and propelled Eric to the championship.

    1988-1989

    • Durga trades Barry Bonds and a 6th round pick (became Leiter) to FW for a 2nd round pick (became Gant) and Kevin McReynolds, altering the course of the SOMBILLA for the next 20 years.
    • ND receives a 2nd round pick (became J. Reed) from Dave for LaValliere.
    • Jed trades a 2nd round pick (became Berryhill) to Matt for Fisk.
    • T&A trades a 7th round pick (J. Robinson) and Bonilla to Jed for Boggs & Gallaraga.
    • BC trades a 7th to FW (traded in the bullet above) for Storm Davis.
    • Dave trades a 3rd round pick, Sandberg and Gagne to D&H for Ojeda, Samuel and Hammaker.
    • Matt trades a 1st round pick (became Harvey) to D&H for Nolan Ryan.
    • D&H trades a 4th (Santovenia) to Robin for A. Griffin.
    • D&H trades Perez and J. Davis to FW for a 2nd (Smiley).

    1989

    Rickey Henderson, ND to Jed for G. Bell, Seitzer, and Shelby.

    Julio Franco, ND to Dave for Samuel

    John Farrell and a 4th round pick to Matt for Whitson

    Draft Day 1990

    Dawson, ND for Darling, NO

    DeLeon and a 5th (Darwin) from Jed to Eric for Hrbek and Baines

    Seitzer, NO to Eric for a 2nd (R. Martinez)

    Draft Day 1991

    Belcher and D. Ward, Durga and Harold to Dave for Gwynn. Then Gwynn, D&H to Jed for a 1st round pick (used to take S. Alomar 3rd overall).

    10/26/1991

    Bonilla and a 4th round pick (became M. Flanagan) from Jed to Robin for C. Finley and a 10th (Desarcina)

    April 1992

    After the expansion draft Land immediately traded Stanton and A. Rhodes to Jed for Zeile. He also traded M. Thompson to Eric for a 7 th rounder in the following year’s draft (became Neel).

    10/23/1992

    Dawson, Harold to Eric for a 5th round pick (became Schofield)

    10/27/1992

    Sam Horn, Dave & Land to Jed for B. Witt

    December 1992

    McReynolds from Harold to Arnie for Raines

    Draft Day 1993

    • Jed trades 9th and 8th in ’94 for T&A’s 7th in ’94
    • ND acquires little Leo Gomez from Dave in return for a switch of 1st round picks (Eldred 3rd overall to Dave, Beck 8th overall to Arnie).
    • C. Snyder to Eric from Jed for a 10th
    • Land’s 1st (Schilling) to NO for Harnisch & Vizquel
    • Milligan, Z. Smith to Land from Jed for a switch of 2nd round picks (Jed drafted Piazza and Land got G. Pena)
    • T. Fernandez, Hollins and a 2nd from Jed to T&A for Sheffield

    1993

    Gooden, Jeffries and A. Watson to Jed & Clint from T&A for Piazza and P. Martinez (Mon.)

    12/23/94

    Harnisch, CN to NO for Astacio and R. Martinez

    2/5/94

    Clemens, Eric to Arnie for two first round picks (became McMurtry and Hamelin)

    Feb. 1994

    • Tartabull and Portugal to Eric for Eckersley, Meacham & Hershiser
    • BC trades D. Martinez and a 6th round pick (Amaral) to FW for a 2nd round pick (S. Berry). This trade precipitated marital strife.

    Circa Draft Day 1994

    • G. Vaughn and Daulton, NO to Eric for the 1st pick overall (M. Ramirez)
    • Harvey and a 7th round pick from NO to FW for Cedeno and A. Rhodes
    • Mattingly, NO to Matt for a 5th (Cooke)

    Summer 1994

    Key, L. Smith, Bordick and a 4th round pick from Arnie to Dave for Larkin and B. Williams

    1994-1995

    • Eric trades 2nd round pick to NO (became T. Jones) for Sandberg and Russell
    • Eric trades Rojas after the season to FW w/Daulton and Bedrosian for Fielder and Buhner

    Draft Day 1995

    • Mussina and D. Lewis from Arnie to Dave for 2 1st round picks (96 & 97) and a 5th (became Klesko, Isringhausen and Cirillo)
    • R. White & ’96 2nd (Q. Veras) from Harold to Dave for Baerga
    • Robin’s 4th, 7th and 9th to Land for P. Kelly, a 7th and a 9th
    • S. Cooper, Matt to Land for a 3rd round pick (Gomez, lefty reliever)
    • Wallach, Arnie to Dave for a 9th and a 6th in ’96

    1995-1996

    These trades were made during 95-96, involving draft picks. The summary here is the resulting trade after draft picks) per ’96 summer newsletter.

    • Puckett, T. Fernandez, and R. Durham from Jed & Clint to RAT for Suppan, Florie and Fryman (trade was actually Fernandez and Puckett and a 5th to T&A for Fryman a 3rd and a 6th)
    • Steinbach, Slaught, Assenmacher and D. Wilson from Arnie to Jeff for Daulton
    • B. Taylor and Dar. Jackson from Eric to Land for T. Worrell
    • B. McDonald from Jeff to Eric for Tucker
    • A. Martin and Cummings, Land to Arnie for K. Foster

    Draft Day 1996

    • Weiss, Arnie to Matt for 4th round pick (became Fossas)
    • O’Neill, Jed and Clint to Arnie for a 2nd round pick (became J. Schmidt)
    • Gant and ’97 5th (became MacFarlane) from Harold to Eric for Eisenreich and ’97 1st became Leiter) and 7th picks

    2/21/97

    Folders trade Ellis Burls to CN for J. Navarro and a 4th (became Offerman)

    Draft Day 1997

    • Arnie trades E. Young to Harold for two 3rd round picks (Rosado and F. Cordova)
    • Harold trades R. Greer & 1st (T. Walker) to Jeff for Schilling, a 4th (Bielecki) and a 6th (Baldwin)
    • Jed trades Hollandsworth to Harold for Vizquel

    10/2/97

    A. Martin, North Dakota was traded to Bay City for 1998 and 2000 5th round draft picks (J. Reed and Remlinger).

    1/31/98

    At the trading deadline for both teams, North Dakota acquired Chales Nagy from J&C’s Bunghole Quahogs for a 1999 2nd round pick (became Woodard).

    3/23/98

    New Orleans acquires Craig Biggio from the Bunghole Quahogs for Eric Young, a '98 4th round pick (Burnitz), a '99 1st round pick (Hinch) and a '99 5th round pick (Servace).

    Bunghole acquires Mussina for a 4th round pick (Brocail) from Jeff.

    Draft day 1998

    Most trades below are written as analyzed in the 2002 SOMBILLA summer newsletter (thus the sometimes confusing tenses).

    1. Eric traded Matt Stairs to Robin for her 2nd round pick. Eric used this pick to draft Kotsay, who played 1 season for Eric - at most, and may possibly have never played in the league. Stairs spent 3 productive years on the BC roster, hitting 26 homers and batting .303 one year. Clear advantage to Robin on this trade.

    2. A. Benitez & Myers from Harold to Jeff for Glavine and a 6th round pick (became Carpenter). Glavine played one season for Harold, who then traded him to Eric. Glavine has pitched in the league every year and next season will be no exception. Benitez has been a mainstay in Jeff's bullpen as well. Myers pitched one season for Jeff, and Carpenter never pitched in the SOMBILLA. A tough call. If Glavine wasn't a lefty, this would be easy. We'll call it even.

    3. Beck from Arnie to Matt for a 3rd rounder, which became A. Nunez. Beck lasted only one season with Matt, but that's one more than Nunez ever played. Advantage: Matt.

    4. DeShields from Eric to Land for a 6th round pick (became Cather). Each lasted only one season in the league (Cather was a limited relief mutant). Even.

    5. R. White and a 2nd round pick (became T. Greene) from Jeff to Land for I. Valdes. Both Valdes and R White have played on their new teams for 3 of the last 4 seasons, but White had a fine 2001 and Valdes' future is questionable. Advantage: Land & Brian.

    6. B. Jones from ND to Land for Sanchez and a 7 th round pick (became Segui). Sanchez was instrumental in ND's '99 championship and Segui had 2 productive seasons. Jones pitched one season for CN. Advantage: ND

    7. B. Roberts from RAT to Matt for a 9th round pick in '99. We assume he played for Matt in '98-99. RAT drafted Desi Relaford. A tie.

    8. Jose Valentin from Robin to Eric for a 6 th round pick in '99 (that became Randy Winn). I’ll give this trade to Robin as Winn is having a fine 2002. Of course, Robin cut him last year.

    1/7/99

    Metrowest acquires Mike Stanley from Kakania (Eric) in exchange for Pokey Reese and a 7th round pick (Wendell).

    1/7/99

    North Dakota trades Albie Lopez, Jeff Cirillo, and an 8th round pick (H. Bush) to Manila Folders for Jeff Shaw

    3/13/99

    BC acquires Mickey Morandini for B. Taylor. If either player makes a team’s roster the following year and the other does not, a 7th round pick is thrown in.

    3/26/99

    About a week before the draft, Jed & Clint acquired Jose Offerman and a 3rd round pick (became Mike Caruso) from Constantinople for a 2nd round pick (became Abreau) and a 6th round pick (became Howry). Snicker.

    4/7/99

    4 days after the draft, Eric acquired Tom Glavine from New Orleans for 2000 3rd round pick (became Geoff Jenkins), plus a very complicated formula for a player to be named later involving Eddie Perez or a swap of 2000 6th round picks. To make a long trade short, it turned out to be Glavine and Trot Nixon to Eric for Geoff Jenkins and Brent Mayne. A slight advantage to Eric.

    10/7/99

    Clavius (Eric) acquires Brian Jordan from Shithead (Jed) for Encarnacion and a '01 5th round pick.

    12/8/99

    The Constantinople Manatees held a press conference early today to announce the trading of right handed middle man Rob Nen to New Orleans for a player to be named later. (A third round draft pick if Harold does not make the playoffs, a second round draft pick if he does or first round pick if he wins the whole thing. Also, as part of the deal, Harold traded away the right to choose his 10th draft pick, giving CN 11 picks and NO 9 picks overall).

    12/28/99

    SOMBILLA Defending champion North Dakota has announced the acquisition of Mo Vaughn from 'Fire Sale' Shithead today. The trade contains the most complicated contingency ever consummated by the 20-year old league. In exhange for Mo (currently batting .355 with 10 homers and 28 rbi's for the Quahogs), North Dakota gives up a 2nd round pick in the 2000 draft (became Nilsson) and a 2001 draft pick that could be anywhere from 1st-10th:

    1st: If ND wins championship this year AND next year AND Mo hits 45+ homers

    or bats .330+ vs. righties in 2000.

    2nd: If ND wins the championship this year AND Mo hits 45+ homers or bats

    .330+ vs. righties its a 2nd rounder.

    3rd: If ND wins the championship this year AND Mo hits 40+ homers or bats

    .320+ vs. righties.

    4th: If Mo (hits .300+ versus righties or 35 HR) AND has 350+ plate

    appearances

    5th: If Mo (hits .300+ versus righties or 25 HR) AND has 300 - 349 plate

    appearances

    6th: If Mo (hits .300+ versus righties or 20 HR) AND has 250 - 299 plate

    appearances

    7th: If Mo hits below .300 versus righties AND has fewer than 35 HR, but

    has a card

    8th: If Mo has fewer than 40 plate appearances (or no card), but plans to

    return in 2001.

    9th: If Mo has no card because he retires or has a career-ending injury.

    10th: If ND misses the playoffs this year, AND Mo has no card because he

    retires or has a career threatening injury.

    It ended up as a 4th and Bunghole chose Alfonseca.

    Draft day 2000

    1. M. Williams, Manila Folders and a 4th round pick in 2002 to Future Wax for a 2nd round pick in 2000. Became Matt Williams and Craig Wilson for Torii Hunter. Williams gave FW a few great cards, but Hunter’s awesome. Advantage: Matt.

    2. R. Clemens, North Dakota to Manila Folders for a 3rd round pick in 2001 and a 3rd round pick in 2002. The two picks for Clemens became Lance Berkman and Orlando Cabrera. We’ll call that one a draw.

    3. Bunghole trades its 1st round pick (1st overall) to New Orleans for a 1st round pick (7th overall) and a 3rd round pick. Essentially, Harold got Benson from Jed & Clint for Zimmerman and Seanez. After all is said and done, a pretty minor trade, with a slight advantage to Jed & Clint.

    9/24/00

    TTFKA Bay City acquiring Francisco Cordova and a 9th round pick (became Buehrle!) from North Dakota for a 4th rounder (R. White).

    10/21/00

    Jay Buhner and a 9th round pick goes from Dewey Dells (Eric) to Area 51 for Reggie Sanders. Additionally, if Buhner makes Jeff's squad next year (2001-2002), then Eric gets his 9th pick and Jeff gets Eric's 10th pick in the March 2002 draft.

    10/27/00

    The Dewey Dells have called up Albert Belle from their AAA club, the Manila Folders, in exchange for a 3rd round pick (Blanco).

    1/4/01

    North Dakota reacquires Jeff Cirillo from the Folders in exchange for 1st and 6th round draft picks (Zito and Chen).

    1/11/01

    Miguel Tejada was traded to Area 51 for Fernando Tatis and a 2001 7th round draft switch (if A51's pick is better than CN, CN will trade their 7th round pick for A51's)

    Draft Day 2001

    1. Cirillo, ND to Robin for a 2nd round pick (became Rollins). Advantage: Arnie

    2. Matt traded his 8th round pick to Eric (became Koskie) for an 8th rounder in 2002 (became Grimsley). Advantage: Eric.

    3. Kevin Brown to Harold from Jed & Clint for a 1 st, 5th & 7th in both the 2001 and 2002 drafts. This was a huge trade at the time. But the 2001 picks became Dempster & Lugo (they could not use the 7th round pick, having exhausted their 10 picks beforehand). And because Jed & Clint’s team, BiG DiG was contracted out of existence, they never got to use their 2002 picks either (Harold did forfeit his 2nd , 6th and 8th round picks in the 2002 contraction draft). Advantage: Harold

    5/2001

    Clint & Jed traded Travis Fryman and their second 5th round pick (whichever is worse) in the 2002 draft (became C. Wilson) for Future Wax's 2nd round pick in 2002.

    Draft Day 2002

    • FW trades McGriff and a 2nd round pick in ’92 (became Sanders) and a 2nd in ’93 to Dave (HB) for Buhner, Boggs and a 2nd in ’93
    • Dunston, FW for Morris, ND
    • Sabo, MF to ND for a 2nd in ’03
    • Trammell, Jed for Eric’s 6th round pick
    • Robin trades her 1st (became Mussina) and 7th (became Gallego) round pick to Arnie for his 1st (became P. Rodriguez)

    5/1/2002

    Biggio, FW to Jed for Palmer & a 7th. If Palmer hits > 25 HR, it becomes a 5th

    Draft Day 2003

    There was a blockbuster trade on draft day. Matt and Jed traded Jim Edmonds and E. Chavez to RAT for B. Giles, Kendall, D. Lee and a first round pick (which was used to draft Eric Hinske). Edmonds then won back to back SOMBILLA MVP Awards for RAT.

    A minor trade on draft day was Kotsay from Eric to Harold for a 5th (Batista) and a 7th (Embree)

    During the week leading up to the draft, North Dakota traded Johnny Damon to Jeff for David Eckstein. Jeff got the better of that one, but not by a lot.

    11/24/2003

    Constantinople acquires Gary Matthews Jr. from Gawd B (Eric) in exchange for an 8th round draft pick.

    12/17/2003

    Eric trades Hideo Nomo, next year's #2 pick, and a player to be named later (B. Donnelly) to Jeff for Miguel Tejada and a swap of #3 picks, if Jeff has the higher pick in round 3. Later it would be revealed to be perhaps the first steroid user for steroid user trade (Donnelly for Tejada).

    Draft Day 2004

    There was one blockbuster trade during draft week 2004. Lance Berkman, North Dakota was traded to Future Wax for Gary Sheffield and Jeff Kent. To completely evaluate that, though, note that 2 years later, North Dakota unloaded Sheffield and Jason Michaels and 2 draft picks (became Wang and C. Duncan) to Harold for Contreras and Glaus.

    So, counting just SOMBILLA stats since the trade, we have Berkman:

    .289 (233 for 807), 49 homers, 161 rbis

    vs.

    2 years of Sheffield, Glaus and Contreras and 4 years of Kent:

    .256 (305 for 1193), 63 homers, 182 rbi's plus 12-6, 4.65 ERA.

    True, the Sheffield trade to New Orleans involved additional players, so a more accurate analysis would discount the ND stats listed above somehow to account for the trading of Michaels and 2 draft picks. Nonetheless after 4 SOMBILLA seasons, the trade appears to be fairly even. However, looking forward to the '07 and '08 cards, RAT appears to win this trade.

    12/2/2004

    North Dakota acquires Estaban Loaiza from Montreal in exchange for a 1st

    and a 7th round pick in the 2005 draft (O. Perez and Buck).

    12/2004

    Hildalgo from Harold to RAT for a 4th. If Hidalgo has no PA in the next 2 seasons for FW and is not traded, then Harold gives a 6th to FW in ’07 (Harold did).

    3/30/2005

    M. Ramirez and a 4th round pick (Rowand) from New Orleans to Swarzluna (Eric) for L. Walker, Helton and P. Reese

    Tavarez from NO to SW for a 5th (becomes a 4th if Eric wins WS)

    3/31/2005

    Orlando Hudson, Bay City to New Orleans for an ’05 (M. Adams) and an ’06 5th round pick (B. McCarthy)(the ’06 pick becomes a 7th rounder if Hudson loses his "1" fielding rating).

    4/2/2005

    Johnny Estrada, Bay City to North Dakota for a 2006 4th round pick (R. Tejada)

    12/11/05

    Bay City acquires Mench from Area 51 for a 4th round pick (Politte) and Quiroz

    4/1/2006

    Michaels and Sheffield, a 9th round pick in '06 (became Wang) and a 4th round pick in '07 from North Dakota to New Orleans for Contreras and Glaus.

    4/2/2006

    North Dakota trades the rights to the last pick in the draft (became Branyan) to Constantinople for a 6th round pick in '07 (became Johjima).

    Early 2007

    Smoltz to Jeff from Jed for Olivo and a 6th (if Smoltz makes A51 next season and Olivo doesn’t). Jeff gets the 6th if Olivo makes Jed’s team and Smoltz doesn’t make Jeff’s

    Draft day 2007

    Hafner, North Dakota to Knuckle Sandwiches for a 4th round pick (became Luke Scott) and a 1st round pick in ’08 (became M. Ordonez).

    3/29/08

    Kelvim Escobar, North Dakota to Bay City for a 3rd round draft pick (Ellsbury)

    1/14/09

    Jed acquires Neshek and Smoltz from Area 51 in exchange for Maine and a 4th round pick, which becomes a 3rd round pick if Jed makes the playoffs.

    1/22/09

    Fugakyu trades Youkilis + a 3rd round pick (X. Nady) and a 7th round pick (Samardzija) to Constantinople for Pena + Beltre

    3/17/09

    Chris Snyder, Dem Bums to North Dakota for Carl Crawford

    4/5/09

    Dye, Hafner, and Smoltz, Fugakyu to Constantinople for Giambi

     

     

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  • RACIAL PROFILING IN THE SOMBILLA [8/10]
      1. Hard to believe it’s been 9 years since the SOMBILLA’s summer spotlight team examined the always interesting and controversial topic of racial profiling and racism in the SOMBILLA.

        Here are the current team by team breakdowns, listed in order of least diversified to most:

        <>Team     White     Latino     African-American    Asian     Native American     2010 White%     2001 White%
        Tom      31          8         5.5                 0                             69%             53%
        Eric     29         11         4                   1                             64%             67%

        RAT      28         13         3                   1                             62%             64%
        <>Harold   26         12         2                   4             1               58%             57%
        Jeff     24.5       13         6                 1.5                             54%             53%
        <>
        Arnie    24         14         5                   1             1               53%             60%
        Jed      24         13         6                   2                             53%             59%
        <>
        Robin    20.5       15         7.5                 2                             46%             49%

                        W   L     AA     A         Whitest Team     Most diverse
        <>
        MLB 2010       60% 28.5%   9%  2.5%
        SOMBILLA 2010  58% 28%    11%    3%          Tom 69%        Robin 46%
        <>
        SOMBILLA 2001  58% 25%    15%    2%         Eric 67%        Robin 49%
        SOMBILLA 1997  60% 20%    20%               Matt 69%         Land 47%
        <>
        SOMBILLA 1994  57% 19%    24%                Jed 67%        Robin 53%
        SOMBILLA 1991  66% 13%    22%               Eric 80%       Harold 58%

        The numbers were compiled with Robin's assistance (who of course not only knows what all our players look like but also knows who has nice buns and who wears gold chains, etc). There were only about 10 players whom she was not familiar with, so she found pictures on the Internet for them.

        As you can see, the league’s integration progress has stagnated over the past nine years. Although only 3 of the 9 teams are whiter than they were nine years ago, Constantinople’s shocking stockpiling of white players during this timespan is the bulk of the reason for the league’s lack of progress. The league does have fewer white players than MLB in general and more Latino ballplayers than ever before – more than 1/4 of the league, although they appear to have replaced African-Americans rather than white ballplayers. The black population in the league continues its steady decline, mirroring MLB. Asians are up to 12.5 from 8, and we now have a new category, as the SOMBILLA features 2 Native American players.

        Tom takes over the dubious honor as whitest team in the league from two-time winner Eric (the 2nd whitest team), who back in 1991 in the inaugural study owned a team that was 80% white! Bucking the Latino trend, Tom employs a mere 8 players of Latino origin, and is also the only team with no Asians. 'Southern Man' Harold again has the fewest African-Americans on his team, only 2 (but the most Asians with 4).

        Always employing among the most minorities on her club, Robin is the most politically correct team again. As always she has the most African-American and Latino ballplayers.

        Other random facts – Jeff has the fewest white pitchers (11), while Jeff and RAT have the most Latino pitchers (7 each). Robin has 6 black outfielders, more than all but 2 other teams have on their entire rosters.

        Note: Jeter was counted as half black/half white and Damon as half white/half Asian.

         

        -------------------------------------------------------------





  • COMPARING THE GREAT SOMBILLA TEAMS [8/09]
      1. Study 3A

        This study first ran in the 2002 summer newsletter and it seemed like a good time to update it. Not to mention fun! To refresh your memory, that study went back and chose the eight most recent SOMBILLA champions and threw them all into a Champions League to determine the greatest SOMBILLA team of all-time (or at least the eight seasons leading up to 2001-2002). The Future Wax team of 2001-2002 won that Champions League study.

        This time, my goal was to expand the number of teams in the SOMBILLA Champions League. Because I have every computer baseball season since 1989, I figured that made a nice, even 20 champions we could look at!

        Alas, since that original 2002 study, Strat-O has implemented a new disk protection system requiring you to hold a season "Authorization Code" before you can access the season. If you transferred that authorization to a computer and then got a new computer, you are out of luck unless you actually retained the Authorization Code. Who here still has the same computer they had back in 2002? You can see the issue.

        I actually had to go up into the attic and pull out my old hard drive from my old computer that thankfully I still had. It had all the teams since 1989 on it, and wasn’t a total loss. I was able to access 12 of the past 20 seasons, oddly (including 12 of the past 13). I was unable to access 2004 or 1989-1994. I spoke with Strat-O and they were unsympathetic. I actually contacted Tom to see if he had the 2004 season to lend me, but like me, he had transferred that season to a now-defunct computer. Well, I certainly wasn’t going to fork over $80 to Strat-O (@ $10 a season) just to have a complete study. After my initial rage and bummed-out ness, I decided to make the best of it and have fun with it despite Strat-O’s paranoid absurd restrictions.

        So, I still had a formidable 12-team, Champions League, with the following 12 SOMBILLA Champions participating in the league (listed chronologically):

        Finn’s People ‘96-97

        Future Wax ‘97-98

        North Dakota ‘98-99

        North Dakota ‘99-00

        New Orleans ‘00-01

        Future Wax ‘01-02

        Area 51 ‘02-03

        Gawd B ‘03-04

        Constantinople ‘04-05

        Constantinople ‘06-07

        Future Wax ‘07-08

        Constantinople ‘08-09

        I used each team’s actual ballparks as well as the Computer Manager. Each team was scheduled to play each other team 14 times, 7 at home and away, for a 154 game schedule, just like the old days before 1962.

        Here are the final regular season standings. (The first year listed is the actual MLB card year. The name of the team includes the SOMBILLA season)

         

        LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR 2008 SM Champions League

                                    WON LOST PCT GB
        2000 Future Wax 02 FW2     92 62 .597 ----
        1997 North Dakota 99 ND1   86 68 .558 6.0
        1995 Finn's People97 FIN   81 73 .526 11.0
        1996 Future Wax 98 FW1     81 73 .526 11.0
        2007 Constantinopl07 CN2   80 74 .519 12.0
        2002 Gawd B04 GWB          80 74 .519 12.0
        1999 New Orleans 01 NEW    77 77 .500 15.0
        2004 Constantinopl05 CN1   76 78 .494 16.0
        1998 North Dakota 00 ND2   73 81 .474 19.0
        2001 Area 51-03 A51        72 82 .468 20.0
        2009 Constantinopl09 CN3   67 87 .435 25.0
        2008 Future Wax 08 FW3     59 95 .383 33.0

         

        That ’01-02 Future Wax team still looks like the team to beat, winning the pennant by an impressive 6 games. Interestingly the two last place teams are the two most recent champions. Here are the stats leaders from this league (you can match up the teams with the abbreviations shown above):

        (Note the steroid-tainted HR leaders, probably all by Griffey & Bagwell? – RP)


        LEAGUE LEADERS FOR 2008 SM Champions League
        ----BATTING AVERAGE---- --------HOMERUNS------- -----RUNS BATTED IN---
        R.Ventura FIN .359        A.Jones CN2 71       A.Galarraga FW1 174
        D.Justice ND1 .355        A.Rodriguez CN2 57   A.Jones CN2 162
        M.Piazza FW2 .341         K.Griffey Jr FW1 57  J.Bagwell NEW 141
        R.Palmeiro FIN .340       A.Jones CN1 55       A.Jones CN1 137
        B.Williams ND1 .336       B.Bonds FW2 55       A.Rodriguez CN2 137
        B.Bonds FW2 .333          M.Ramirez NEW 54     B.Bonds FW2 137
        R.Alomar ND1 .330         A.Rodriguez CN1 52   R.Palmeiro FIN 133
        N.Garciaparra FW2 .329    A.Galarraga FW1 52   M.Ramirez NEW 132
        J.Bagwell NEW .322        M.Piazza FW2 51      G.Sheffield FW2 130
        B.McCann FW3 .321         G.Sheffield FW2 51   M.Piazza FW2 127
        T.Fernandez NEW .321      J.Bagwell NEW 49     A.Rodriguez CN1 125
        J.Kent FW2 .319           R.Palmeiro FIN 48    D.Justice ND1 120


        ------WINNING PCT------ ----------ERA---------- ---------SAVES---------
        G.Maddux(21-8) FW2 .724   R.Clemens ND2 3.55    O.Dotel CN1 33
        R.Clemens(21-8)ND1 .724   R.Clemens ND1 3.67    J.Papelbon CN3 31
        M.Redman (13-5)CN1 .722   G.Maddux FW1 3.99     S.Kline A51 31
        S.Chacon (13-6)CN2 .684   S.Reed ND2 4.06       B.Wagner NEW 31
        G.Maddux (19-10)FW1.655   P.Martinez FW2 4.09   J.Wetteland ND1 30
        P.Martinez(13-8)FW2.619   D.Lowe GWB 4.13       T.Hoffman ND2 27
        D.Lowe (15-10)GWB .600    C.Schilling A51 4.35  T.Worrell FIN 25
        K.Millwood(15-10)GWB.600  R.Johnson ND1 4.39    J.Nathan FW3 24
        R.Johnson (14-10)ND1.583  G.Maddux FW2 4.50     T.Jones CN2 20
        S.Reed (11-8) ND2 .579    K.Millwood GWB 4.50   E.Guardado GWB 19
        L.Hernandez(15-11)FW2.577 M.Redman CN1 4.57     K.Ryan FW1 19
        OTHERS TIED WITH .571     H.Nomo FIN 4.57       J.Jimenez FW2 18


        AWARDS VOTING FOR 2008 SM Champions League



        MVP AWARD             CY YOUNG AWARD
        A.Rodriguez(CN2) 373 R.Clemens(ND1) 123
        A.Jones(CN2) 364     G.Maddux(FW2) 97
        B.Bonds(FW2) 217     P.Martinez(FW2) 44
        J.Bagwell(NEW) 141   H.Nomo(FIN) 16
        A.Rodriguez(CN1) 102 R.Johnson(ND1) 7


        ALL-STAR SELECTIONS BY POSITION
        C M.Piazza(FW2) 2,711,377         J.Varitek(CN1) 2,663,237
        1B J.Bagwell(NEW) 4,192,759       A.Galarraga(FW1) 3,339,095
        2B J.Kent(FW2) 2,938,271          B.Boone(A51) 2,788,626
        3B A.Rodriguez(CN2) 4,659,583     A.Rodriguez(CN3) 2,464,409
        SS A.Rodriguez(CN1) 3,866,383     J.Reyes(FW3) 2,593,692
        LF B.Bonds(FW2) 3,565,747         B.Bonds(FW1) 3,230,317
        CF A.Jones(CN2) 4,315,845         K.Griffey Jr(FW1) 3,309,572
        RF M.Ramirez(NEW) 3,416,818       G.Sheffield(FW1) 2,594,122
        Pi R.Clemens(ND1) 4,473,199       H.Nomo(FIN) 3,093,552
        R.Johnson(ND1) 2,799,109          P.Martinez(FW2) 2,790,795
        G.Maddux(FW2) 2,782,501           B.Wagner(NEW) 2,538,309
        G.Maddux(FW1) 2,284,769           J.Papelbon(CN3) 2,274,005
        R.Clemens(ND2) 2,096,125          T.Jones(CN2) 1,946,785
        T.Hoffman(ND2) 1,695,907          D.Lowe(GWB) 1,575,520

        Well, it wouldn’t be a real Strat-O season without playoffs. Because 50% of our league makes the playoffs, I put 50% (the top 6 teams) in these playoffs too. The first two teams got first round byes, with 3rd playing 6th and 4th playing 5th in the first round. This matched up Eric’s two champions – Gawd B and Finn’s People – against one another, while Constantinople from three years ago played FW’s 11-year old champion team in the other matchup.


        Playoffs – Round 1
        Finn’s People d. Gawd B 4 games to 2 (After going up 3-0, FP wins in 6)
        Constantinople 06-07 d. Future Wax ‘97-98 4 games to 1 (Future Wax’s only win was a game 5 18-13 slugfest)
        So, CN moves on the semi-finals – a rematch against Future Wax, but this Future Wax is the heavy favorite first place version from ‘01-02. Finn’s People goes up against North Dakota ‘98-99 in a classic luggage-fest.

        Playoffs – Semi-finals
        Future Wax 12 Constantinople 6

        Future Wax 14 Constantinople 13 (13 innings)
        Future Wax 16 Constantinople 12
        Constantinople 13 Future Wax 9 (11 innings)
        Future Wax 8 Constantinople 3
        Future Wax wins series 4 games to 1. FW scored 52 runs in 5 games against one of the best teams of all-time. Piazza hit 5 homers and batted .522 over the 5 games.
         
        North Dakota 2 Finn’s People 1
        Finn’s People 11 North Dakota 7
        North Dakota 4 Finn’s People 3
        North Dakota 6 Finn’s People 2
        Finn’s People 7 North Dakota 4
        Finn’s People 6 North Dakota 4
        North Dakota 9 Finn’s People 8 (10 innings).

        Game 7

        Finn’s People 5 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 - 8 12 1

        North Dakota 0 4 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 1 - 9 10 0

        Win:Wetteland(1-1) Loss:McMichael(1-1) Homeruns- R.Palmeiro(3rd), H.Baines(3rd), D.Segui(2nd), B.Santiago(1st)

        "First baseman David Segui slammed a homerun and had 3 RBI as the North Dakota 99 ballclub defeated the Finn's People97 club in 10 innings by a score of 9 to 8 at the ballpark. Both teams were tied at 8 runs apiece after nine innings. North Dakota 99 won the game in the 10th inning. After an out was recorded, Scott Rolen drew a walk. Rolen was safe at second on a stolen base. Brad Fullmer struck out, unable to help the rally. Ryan Klesko came up and he was walked intentionally. Barry Larkin stepped into the box and delivered a single resulting in an exciting win for North Dakota 99 and a wild post-game celebration by the home town fans. North Dakota 99 banged out 10 hits on the afternoon. The win went to John Wetteland(1-1) who allowed no runs in 1 and 2/3 innings. Greg McMichael(1-1) was charged with the loss in relief. He allowed no hits and 2 walks in 1 inning."

        And so, incredibly, we have a World Series rematch between the same teams from the summer study 7 years ago, won by Future Wax in 4 straight games.


        World Series
        Future Wax 9 North Dakota 3 (Giles, Bonds, Thome, Piazza homers, Maddux CG)
        North Dakota 4 Future Wax 1 (M. Morris, Wetteland shut down FW; Alomar 3 hits)
        Future Wax 7 North Dakota 6 (Back and forth game; Piazza 2-run HR in the 5th off R Johnson the key blow)
        Future Wax 3 North Dakota 1 (Pedro is too much, scattering 9 hits, 1 walk, 12 K’s)
        North Dakota 4 Future Wax 1 (Clemens, Shaw and Wetteland too much, scattering 7 hits)
        Future Wax 9 North Dakota 8 (Bonds (2 HRs, 4 BI’s), hits a study-ending walk-off home run in the bottom of the 9th. Lead changed hands 5 times
        Future Wax d. North Dakota 4 games to 2

        Having knocked off all-comers in 2 studies seven years apart, I guess it’s safe to say that the 2001-2002 Future Wax is the greatest SOMBILLA team of alltime.

        Study 3B

        Next, I decided to let everyone play. I included Robin and Jed, both left out of Study 3A. For Robin, her World Series team from two years ago was the obvious choice. Jed, who has shared numerous forgettable teams with Clint and Matt over the years, seemingly had his best team (of those for which I had computer Strat-O) last year when he finished in first place.

        For the other six holdovers, I chose the highest finishing team from Study 3A to compete in this 8-team league. Again, I used each team’s actual ballparks as well as the Computer Manager. Each team in this 8-team league was scheduled to play each other team 22 times, 11 at home and away, for a 154 game schedule, same as Study 3A.

        Here are the final regular season standings. (The first year listed is the actual MLB card year. The name of the team includes the SOMBILLA season)

         

        LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR Best of SOMBILLA

                                    WON LOST PCT GB
        2000 Future Wax 02 FW2       94 60 .610 ----
        2007 Fugakyu 09 FUG          87 67 .565 7.0
        2007 Constantinopl07 CN2     81 73 .526 13.0
        2001 Area 51-03 A51          80 74 .519 14.0
        1997 North Dakota 99 ND1     79 75 .513 15.0
        1999 New Orleans 01 NEW      71 83 .461 23.0
        2006 Bay City 08 BAY         69 85 .448 25.0
        1995 Finn's People97 FIN     55 99 .357 39.0

        As expected, FW wins the pennant easily. Poor Eric! Finn’s People simply outclassed here, finishing 39 games out after a respectable showing in the first study. (I noticed that Mark Portugal finished 3-24 with a 7.87 ERA). Both Jed and Jeff sneak into the playoffs, just ahead of North Dakota.


        LEAGUE LEADERS FOR 2008 Best SOMBILLA


        ----BATTING AVERAGE----     --------HOMERUNS-------     -----RUNS BATTED IN---
        N.Garciaparra FW2 .383     B.Bonds FW2 67           M.Ramirez NEW 165
        B.Bonds FW2 .355           M.Ramirez NEW 65         B.Bonds FW2 152
        M.Ramirez NEW .337         M.Piazza FW2 52          A.Rodriguez CN2 138
        J.Kent FW2 .328            C.Beltran BAY 51         C.Beltran BAY 132
        P.Polanco FUG .327         A.Rodriguez CN2 50       J.Bagwell NEW 128
        A.Rodriguez CN2 .324       C.Pena FUG 46            K.Griffey Jr. FW2 124
        E.Martinez NEW .322        J.Bay CN2 45             J.Bay CN2 123
        D.Justice ND1 .321         D.Justice ND1 45         G.Sheffield FW2 122
        M.Holliday FUG .320        G.Sheffield FW2 44       A.Jones CN2 121
        M.Piazza FW2 .318         OTHERS TIED WITH 42       C.Pena FUG 120
        P.Lo Duca A51 .317         M.Piazza FW2 119
        T.Fernandez NEW .315       D.Justice ND1 112


        ------WINNING PCT------     ----------ERA--------    -----------SAVES---------
        J.Smoltz(16-6)FUG .727     R.Clemens ND1 3.66      M.Corpas FUG 32
        G.Maddux (20-9)FW2 .690    J.Smoltz FUG 3.86       J.Wetteland ND1 30
        R.Clemens(20-9)ND1 .690    P.Martinez FW2 3.90     B.Wagner NEW 28
        L.Hernandez(17-8)FW2.680   J.Vazquez A51 4.05      T.Saito BAY 27
        P.Martinez(14-7)FW2.667    G.Maddux FW2 4.11       J.Jimenez FW2 24
        C.Schilling(19-12)A51.613  H.Nomo FIN 4.13         T.Worrell FIN 23
        A.Sanchez(11-7)BAY .611    B.Webb FUG 4.96         T.Jones CN2 22
        B.Sheets (9-6)CN2 .600     R.Johnson ND1 5.03      S.Kline A51 18
        C.Sabathia(15-10)CN2.600   J.Lackey FUG 5.07       J.Zimmerman A51 11
        F.Cordova (9-6)ND1 .600    R.Oswalt BAY 5.18       R.Springer FUG 7
        J.Vazquez(17-12)A51.586    C.Schilling A51 5.32     OTHERS TIED WITH 6
        A.Harang(15-11)FUG .577    A.Harang FUG 5.42


        AWARDS VOTING FOR 2008 Best SOMBILLA


        MVP AWARD             CY YOUNG AWARD
        B.Bonds(FW2) 403      R.Clemens(ND1) 129
        A.Rodriguez(CN2) 347  P.Martinez(FW2) 90
        J.Kent(FW2) 208       G.Maddux(FW2) 49
        M.Ramirez(NEW) 138    J.Smoltz(FUG) 13
        N.Garciaparra(FW2) 101 C.Schilling(A51) 6


        ALL-STAR SELECTIONS BY POSITION
        C M.Piazza(FW2) 2,624,797     P.Lo Duca(A51) 1,610,020
        1B J.Bagwell(NEW) 2,730,234   C.Pena(FUG) 2,562,740
        2B J.Kent(FW2) 3,124,283      C.Biggio(NEW) 1,981,162
        3B A.Rodriguez(CN2) 3,716,952 C.Jones(A51) 2,060,966
        SS N.Garciaparra(FW2) 2,971,402 M.Tejada(A51) 1,675,029
        LF B.Bonds(FW2) 4,659,583     J.Bay(CN2) 2,960,537
        CF C.Beltran(BAY) 2,828,900   R.Lankford(ND1) 2,421,726
        RF M.Ramirez(NEW) 4,274,232   V.Guerrero(A51) 2,514,842
        Pi R.Clemens(ND1) 4,473,199   P.Martinez(FW2) 2,846,359
        J.Smoltz(FUG) 2,287,853       G.Maddux(FW2) 2,091,138
        C.Schilling(A51) 1,928,360    J.Vazquez(A51) 1,818,842
        M.Corpas(FUG) 1,772,007       B.Wagner(NEW) 1,710,159
        R.Johnson(ND1) 1,652,318      T.Saito(BAY) 1,636,983
        H.Nomo(FIN) 1,581,862         J.Jimenez(FW2) 1,538,476

         

        Going into the playoffs, the question is whether any of these three teams can knock invincible Future Wax ‘01-02 down from the perch.


        Playoffs:
        Future Wax 16 Area 51 3 (Future Wax belts 20 hits)
        Future Wax 8 Area 51 5 (Griffey 3run HR)
        Area 51 13 Future Wax 8 (Dye 5 Rbis)
        Future Wax 11 Area 51 1 (Pedro 3-hitter, Sheffield 4 rbi)
        Future Wax 6 Area 51 4 (Fryman 2 HR)
        Future Wax wins series 4 games to 1
        Fugakyu 3 Constantinople 2 (Ankiel walk-off HR)
        Fugakyu 5 Constantinople 3 (Cust two HR’s)
        Constantinople 11 Fugakyu 8 (A Jones, Giambi HR)
        Constantinople 5 Fugakyu 3 (A-Rod 2 HRs)
        Constantinople 8 Fugakyu 7 (A-Rod 2 more HRs)
        Fugakyu 3 Constantinople 2 (Corpas 2nd win, T Pena save)

        Game 7:


        CN 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 - 4 9 0
        FU 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 - 3 10 1
        Win:Sheets(1-1) Loss:Harang(1-1) Save:Small(1st) Homeruns- A.Rodriguez(7th)

        "Alex Rodriguez jacked one out of the ballyard and had 2 RBI as the Constantinopl07 club staged a dramatic comeback over the Fugakyu 09 team by a score of 4 to 3 at the ballpark. Constantinopl07 went ahead for good in the 3rd inning plating an isolated run utilizing 2 base hits. Constantinopl07 managed 9 hits in their victory. Ben Sheets(1-1) went 5 and 2/3 innings allowing 1 run for the victory. Aaron Small earned the save, his 1st. The loss was charged to Aaron Harang(1-1)."

        Constantinople wins series 4 games to 3

        World Series:
        Future Wax 3 Constantinople 2 (Griffey 2 HR; Maddux W)
        Future Wax 15 Constantinople 14 (FW gets 7 in the bottom of the 9th to win. Bonds 2 HR)
        Future Wax 18 Constantinople 6 (Nomar 5 rbi, Wells 13 K’s)
        Constantinople 6 Future Wax 3 (A-Rod 3-run HR)
        Constantinople 9 Future Wax 3 (A-Rod 2 HRs, 5rbi)
        Future Wax 14 Constantinople 3 (D. Lee 2 HR, 5rbi, Maddux W)
        Future Wax wins series 4 games to 2

         

         

         

        Study 3C

        For the final study, I decided to do something completely different. For the 12 years to which I had access to computer Strat-O – 1995-2003, 2005-2007 (but not including 2008, which has yet to be played by us), I put together each franchise’s best 25-man roster. That is, the best 25 players over the past 12 years (sans 2004) for each team in one giant "Super League".

        For Jed’s franchise, I decided to include not only players from his solo teams of the last few years, but the Manila Folder teams he shared with Matt. For the ‘95-2000 seasons, he shared a team with Clint. So, what the heck; because the Folders and the Clint/Jed teams for those six seasons were all fairly non-descript, I threw all those teams’ players into the Jed pool as well, calling that team the "Fugakyu Folders"

        I had one main rule when assembling the rosters – no duplicate players. Not just within a team (so Future Wax couldn’t have 4 Barry Bonds and 5 Ken Griffeys), but also across teams. Only one Manny Ramirez or Roger Clemens for instance. I let the computer decide which player was the best, and he got to stay in the league.

        Here is a list of the duplicate players (and year of card) across teams on the original 25 man rosters before I replaced the ‘lesser’ of the players:

        Player

        Team that got to keep him

        Team that had to replace him

        Lance Berkman

        North Dakota (2002)

        Future Wax (2006)*

        Kevin Brown

        Fugakyu (1996)

        New Orleans (2000)

        Roger Clemens

        North Dakota (1997)

        Fugakyu (2005) **

        Brian Giles

        Fugakyu (2002)

        Future Wax (2001)

        Troy Glaus

        New Orleans (2000)

        North Dakota (2005)

        Tom Glavine

        New Orleans (1997)

        Dem Bums (1998)

        Area 51 (1997)

        Vlad Guerrero

        Fugakyu (2000)

        Area 51 (2002)

        Todd Helton

        Dem Bums (2001)

        Fugakyu (2000)

        Andruw Jones

        Constantinople (2005)

        Fugakyu (2000)

        Rob Nenn

        New Orleans (2000)

        Constantinople (1998)

        Manny Ramirez

        New Orleans (2000)

        Dem Bums (2006)

        Curt Schilling

        Area 51 (2002)

        New Orleans (1998)

        Gary Sheffield

        Future Wax (1996)

        North Dakota (2003)

        Miguel Tejada

        Dem Bums (2002)

        Area 51 (2000)

        Larry Walker

        Area 51 (1997)

        Dem Bums (2001)

        * I’m sure they don’t believe me.

        ** Resigned to it

        I let the computer decide the entire 25-man rosters. Some of the choices might be questionable (It couldn’t find a better 4th starter for North Dakota than Shawn Estes?) but I quickly decided not to try and second-guess any selections as that could lead to a slippery slope requiring me to spend a multitude of summer nights poring over this stuff. Fuck that.

        I also chose an average ballpark for each team, since I’m not really sure what else would have been fair to cover an entire 12-year period. So, here are the "all-time" 25-man rosters for each franchise. Technically, they represent only 12 of the 29 SOMBILLA seasons, but so what. It’s my fucking study, I’ll call them "All-time teams" if I want to. Anyway, this list of rosters may be more interesting than anything else!


    Area 51 All-time team    
     
                      YEAR TEAM BAL  AB DO TR HR BAVG  BB K'S RBI  OB%  SL%
    <><>Carlos Delgado    2000 TOA 4R 569 57 1 41 .344 123 104 137 .470 .664
    Chipper Jones     1999 ATN 3L 567 41 1 45 .319 126  94 110 .441 .633
    <>Bret Boone        2001 SEA 5L 623 37 3 37 .331 40  110 141 .372 .578
    <>Jose Canseco      1998 TOA 1R 583 26 0 46 .237 65  159 107 .318 .518
    <>Preston Wilson    2003 CON 4R 600 43 1 36 .282 54  139 141 .343 .537
    Terry Steinbach   1996 OAA 1L 514 25 1 35 .272 49  115 100 .342 .529
    Paul Lo Duca      2001 LAN 5L 460 28 0 25 .320 39   30 90  .374 .543
    Mark Teixeira     2005 TEA 2R 644 41 3 43 .301 72  124 144 .379 .575
    Mark Lewis        1995 CIN 4L 171 13 1  3 .339 21   33 30  .407 .480
    Darin Erstad      2000 ANA E  676 39 6 25 .355 64   82 100 .409 .541
    Mickey Tettleton  1995 TEA 2R 429 19 1 32 .238 107 110 78  .396 .510
    Michael Young     2005 TEA E  668 40 5 24 .331 58   91 91  .385 .513
    Larry Walker      1997 CON 5R 568 46 4 49 .366 78   90 130 .452 .720
     
     
                    Catcher       1b   2b   3b   ss   lf   cf   rf   ARM  ClAv DP
    
    Delgado                       4e13                                    .341 23 
    Jones                                   3e18 4e20                     .284 35 
    Boone                              1e11                               .305 26 
    Canseco                                           5e13      5e13 +1   .237 12 
    Wilson                                                 2e8       -2   .323 39 
    Steinbach       2e4 -1t5p1    4e25                                    .276 42 
    Lo Duca         2e3 -1t7p1    3e14                4e25           +0   .338 35 
    Teixeira                      1e3                                     .319 39 
    Lewis                              4e41 4e14 4e48                     .364  1 
    Erstad                        3e2                 1e4  2e4       +1   .327 15 
    Tettleton       4e2 +2t3p0    4e25                4e9       4e9  -1   .238 13 
    Young                                        3e19                     .326 44 
    Walker                        4e25                     3e2  1e2  -4   .328 31 
      
                           YEAR TEAM  THROWS START RELIEF  WON LOST  ERA  IP
    
    <>B.J. Ryan              2006 TOA     L             1     2   2   1.37 72
    Andy Pettitte          2005 HON     L      7           17   9   2.39 222
    Curt Schilling         2002 ARN     R       7          23   7   3.23 259
    Damaso Marte           2003 CHA     L             2     4   2   1.58 80
    Armando Benitez        1999 NYN     R             1     4   3   1.85 78
    Randy Myers            1997 BAA     L             1     2   3   1.51 60
    Norm Charlton          1995 SEA     L             2     2   1   1.51 48
    Al Reyes               2005 SLN     R             2     4   2   2.15 63
    Freddy Garcia          2001 SEA     R     7            18   6   3.05 239
    Brendan Donnelly       2003 ANA     R             2     2   2   1.58 74
    Mike Mussina           2001 NYA     R     7            17  11   3.15 229
    Pat Hentgen            1996 TOA     R     7            20  10   3.22 266 <> 

    2009 Bay City All-Time Team

     
                     YEAR TEAM BAL AB DO TR HR BAVG  BB K'S RBI  OB%  SL%
    Sammy Sosa       2001 CHN 3L   577 34 5 64 .328 116 153 160 .437 .737
    Carlos Beltran   2006 NYN 4R   510 38 1 41 .275 95   99 116 .388 .594
    Ivan Rodriguez   1999 TEA 1R   600 29 1 35 .332 24   64 113 .356 .558
    Frank Thomas     2000 CHA 5L   582 44 0 43 .328 112  94 143 .436 .625
    Derek Jeter      1999 NYA 3R   627 37 9 24 .349 91  116 102 .438 .552
    Miguel Cabrera   2005 FLN 1R   613 43 2 33 .323 64  125 116 .385 .561 Hank Blalock     2003 TEA 8R   567 33 3 29 .300 44   97  90 .350 .522
    Jorge Cantu      2005 TBA 2R   598 40 1 28 .286 19   83 117 .311 .497
    Brady Anderson   1996 BAA 3R   579 37 5 50 .297 76  106 110 .396 .637
    Jeff Frye        1997 BOA 1L   404 36 2 3  .312 27   44  51 .352 .433
    B.J. Surhoff     1995 MLA 3L   415 26 3 13 .320 37   43  73 .378 .492
    Mike Sweeney     1999 KCA 1L   575 44 2 22 .322 54   48 102 .387 .520
    Shawn Green      2001 LAN 1R   619 31 4 49 .297 72  107 125 .372 .598
    Bill Mueller     2003 BOA 1R   524 45 5 19 .326 59   77  85 .398 .540
     
                     Catcher       1b   2b   3b   ss   lf   cf   rf   ARM  ClAv DP
    Sosa                                                        3e6  +0   .297  2 
    Beltran                                                1e2       -3   .275 20 
    Rodriguez       1e1 -5t12p0                                           .304 68 
    Thomas                        4e6                                     .323 21 
    Jeter                                        1e14                     .318 22 
    Cabrera                                 3e12      4e7            -3   .318 34 
    Blalock                            4e71 4e18                          .276 43 
    Cantu                              4e19 4e34                          .309 67 
    Anderson                                               2e4       +0   .285 22 
    Frye                          5e25 3e8  4e65 4e48 4e25 4e25 4e25 +2   .295 43 
    Surhoff         4e13 +2t1p20  3e13                3e3  4e3  4e3  +2   .359 19 
    Sweeney         4e4 +3t13p0   5e27                                    .308 45 
    Green                         4e25                          2e6  -2   .283 21 
    Mueller                            4e22 2e21 5e48                     .293 31 
     
                   YEAR TEAM THROWS START RELIEF WON LOST ERA IP
    Takashi Saito  2007 LAN   R             1      2  1 1.40 64
    Mark Prior     2003 CHN   R     7             18  6 2.43 211
    Odalis Perez   2002 LAN   L     7             15 10 3.00 222
    Guillermo Mota 2003 LAN   R             2      6  3 1.97 105
    Tim Wakefield  2002 BOA   R     6       3     11  5 2.81 163
    Rheal Cormier  2003 PHN   L             2      8  0 1.70 85
    Roy Halladay   2002 TOA   R     7             19  7 2.93 239
    Tom Gordon     1998 BOA   R             1      7  4 2.72 79
    Roy Oswalt     2006 HON   R     7             15  8 2.98 221
    Huston Street  2005 OAA   R             2      5  1 1.72 78
    Andy Benes*    1997 SLN   R     7             10  7 3.10 177
     
     
    Constantinople All-Time Team
     
                      YEAR TEAM BAL  AB DO TR HR BAVG  BB K'S RBI  OB%  SL%
    Alex Rodriguez    2007 NYA 4R   583 31 0 54 .314   95 120 156 .422 .645
    Jason Giambi      2000 OAA 3R   510 29 1 43 .333  137 96  137 .476 .647
    Ellis Burks       1996 CON 4L   613 45 8 40 .344   61 114 128 .408 .639
    Bobby Abreu       2001 PHN 4R   588 48 4 31 .289  106 137 110 .393 .543
    Edgardo Alfonzo   2000 NYN 1R   544 40 2 25 .324   95 70   94 .425 .542
    Jason Varitek     2003 BOA 4L   451 31 1 25 .273   51 106  85 .351 .512
    Ryan Howard       2006 PHN 3R   581 25 1 58 .313  108 181 149 .425 .659
    Russell Martin    2007 LAN 4L   540 32 3 19 .293   67 89   87 .374 .469
    Carl Everett      2003 CHA 4R   526 27 3 28 .287   53 84   92 .366 .510
    Ron Belliard      1999 MLN 1R   457 29 4 8 .295    64 59   58 .379 .429
    Phil Nevin        2001 SDN E    546 31 0 41 .306   71 147 126 .388 .588
    Jeff Reboulet     1995 MNA 1L   216 11 0 4 .292    27 34   23 .373 .398
    Tony Batista      1999 TOA 1R   519 30 1 31 .277   38 96  100 .330 .518
    Andruw Jones      2005 ATN 2R   586 24 3 51 .263   64 112 128 .347 .575
     
                    Catcher       1b   2b   3b   ss   lf   cf   rf   ARM  ClAv DP
    Rodriguez                               2e14                          .286 24 
    Giambi                        3e8                                     .328 16 
    Burks                                             1e6  3e6       -1   .325 33 
    Abreu                                                       3e8  -2   .275 27 
    Alfonzo                            1e12                               .291 27 
    Varitek         2e3 -1t11p2                                           .259 29 
    Howard                        4e14                                    .264  2 
    Martin          1e1 -2t14p1                                           .293 34 
    Everett                                           3e5  4e5  3e5  +1   .303 16 
    Belliard                           2e19 3e37 4e48                     .290 40 
    Nevin                                   4e32                          .287 19 
    Reboulet        4e16 +5t20p20 3e10 3e18 3e25 3e7                      .273 16 
    Batista                                      3e19                     .286 34 
    Jones                                                  1e2       -4   .246 43 
     
                          YEAR TEAM  THROWS START RELIEF WON LOST  ERA  IP
    Jonathan Papelbon    2006 BOA     R            1      4    2 0.92 68
    Jason Schmidt        2003 SFN     R         7         17   5 2.34 208
    Tim Hudson           2003 OAA     R         7         16   7 2.70 240
    Ismael Valdes        1995 LAN     R         7  3      13  11 3.05 198
    Ugueth Urbina        1998 MON     R            1       6  3  1.30 69
    Denny Neagle         1997 ATN     L         7         20  5  2.97 233
    Bobby Jenks          2007 CHA     R             1      3  5  2.77 65
    Randy Wolf           2002 PHN     L         7         11  9  3.20 211
    Todd Jones           2005 FLN     R             1      1  5  2.10 73
    Octavio Dotel        2002 HON     R             2      6  4  1.85 97
    Gabe White           2000 CON     L             2     11  2  2.36 84
     
     

    2009 Dem Bums All-Time Team

     
     
                     YEAR TEAM BAL  AB DO TR HR BAVG  BB K'S RBI  OB%  SL%
    Todd Helton      2001 CON 6R   587 54 2 49 .336 98 104 146 .432 .685
    Steve Finley     2000 ARN E    539 27 5 35 .280 65 87   96 .361 .544
    Miguel Tejada    2002 OAA 1R   662 30 0 34 .308 38 84  131 .354 .508
    Mike Lieberthal  1999 PHN 5L   510 33 1 31 .300 44 86   96 .363 .551
    Ed Sprague       1996 TOA 4L   591 35 2 36 .247 60 146 101 .325 .496
    Chase Utley      2006 PHN 1R   658 40 4 32 .309 63 132 102 .379 .527
    Greg Vaughn      1998 SDN 2R   573 28 4 50 .272 79 121 119 .363 .597
    Jay Buhner       1996 SEA 2L   564 29 0 44 .271 84 159 138 .369 .557
    Prince Fielder   2007 MLN 4R   573 35 2 50 .288 90 121 119 .395 .618
    Mark Loretta     2002 HON E    283 18 0  4 .304 32 37   27 .381 .410
    Eddie Perez      1998 ATN 4R   149 12 0 6  .336 15 28   32 .404 .537
    Eric Davis       1996 CIN 4R   415 20 0 26 .287 70 121  83 .394 .523
    Mike Macfarlane  1996 KCA E    379 24 2 19 .274 31 57   54 .339 .499
    J.D. Drew        1998 SLN 2R    36  3 1 5  .417 4  10   13 .463 .972
     
                    Catcher       1b   2b   3b   ss   lf   cf   rf   ARM  ClAv DP
    Helton                        1e2                                     .326 32 
    Finley                                                 1e3       -1   .240 23 
    Tejada                                       1e19                     .340 46 
    Lieberthal      1e3 -3t1p3                                            .281 41 
    Sprague                                 3e17                          .242 12 
    Utley                         3e24 3e19                               .292 19 
    Vaughn                                            3e2            +2   .255 12 
    Buhner                                                      1e3  -5   .280 16 
    Fielder                       4e15                                    .267 29 
    Loretta                       3e10 3e6  4e6  3e40                     .283 31 
    Perez           2e1 +1t2p2    4e30                                    .349 24 
    Davis                         4e25                2e4  3e4       +0   .277  8 
    Macfarlane      3e2 -1t7p1                                            .248 12 
    Drew                                              2e16 3e16 2e16 -1   .435  0 
     
                         YEAR TEAM  THROWS START RELIEF WON LOST  ERA  IP
    Derek Lowe           2002 BOA     R     7            21  8   2.58 220
    Rafael Betancourt    2007 CLA     R             2     5  1   1.47 79
    Hideo Nomo           1995 LAN     R     7            13  6   2.54 191
    Keith Foulke         2001 CHA     R             1     4  9   2.33 81
    Hideki Okajima       2007 BOA     L             1     3  2   2.22 69
    Mike Hampton         2000 NYN     L     7            15 10   3.14 218
    Rafael Soriano       2003 SEA     R             2     3  0   1.53 53
    A.J. Burnett         2002 FLN     R     7       3    12  9   3.30 204
    Kevin Millwood       2002 ATN     R     6            18  8   3.24 217
    Akinori Otsuka       2006 TEA     R             1     2  4   2.11 60
    Tom Glavine          1997 ATN     L     7            14  7   2.96 240
     
     
     

    Fugakyu Folders All-Time Team

     
                     YEAR TEAM BAL  AB DO TR HR BAVG  BB K'S RBI  OB%  SL%
    Mark McGwire     1998 SLN 4R   509 21 0 70 .299 162 155 147 .470 .752
    Ken Caminiti     1996 SDN 4L   546 37 2 40 .326 78   99 130 .408 .621
    Albert Belle     1995 CLA 4R   546 52 1 50 .317 73   80 126 .401 .690
    Jim Edmonds      2000 SLN 2R   525 25 0 42 .295 103 167 108 .411 .583
    Javy Lopez       2003 ATN 1L   457 29 3 43 .328 33   90 109 .378 .687
    Jay Bell         1999 ARN 4L   589 32 6 38 .289 82  132 112 .374 .557
    Rich Aurilia     2001 SFN 2L   636 37 5 37 .324 47   83  97 .369 .572
    Charles Johnson  2000 CHA 5R   421 24 0 31 .304 52  106  91 .379 .582
    Chone Figgins    2005 LAA 3R   642 25 10 8 .290 64  101  57 .352 .397
    Jermaine Dye     2006 CHA 1L   539 27 3 44 .315 59  118 120 .385 .622
    Chuck Knoblauch  1996 MNA 2L   578 35 14 13 .341 98  74  72 .448 .517
    Brian Giles      2002 PIN 5R   497 37 5 38 .298 135  74 103 .450 .622
    Vladimir Guerrero2000 MON 3L   571 28 11 44 .345 58  74 123 .410 .664
    Travis Hafner    2006 CLA 1L   454 31 1 42 .308 100 111 117 .439 .659
     
                    Catcher       1b   2b   3b   ss   lf   cf   rf   ARM  ClAv DP
    McGwire                       3e13                                    .299  5 
    Caminiti                                1e23                          .335 35 
    Belle                                             4e7            +1   .300 44 
    Edmonds                       4e10                     1e5       -1   .253  3 
    Lopez           4e1 +1t8p0                                            .332 33 
    Bell                               3e25      4e22                     .277 16 
    Aurilia                                      3e19                     .254 33 
    Johnson         1e4 -2t5p2                                            .273 24 
    Figgins                            3e23 2e10 4e31 2e5  3e5  3e5  +1   .276 29 
    Dye                                                         4e7  -2   .277 27 
    Knoblauch                          1e10                               .327 16 
    Giles                                             3e8  4e8       +1   .288 22 
    Guerrero                                                    2e11 -5   .284 37 
    Hafner                        5e13                                    .284 14 
     
                         YEAR TEAM  THROWS START RELIEF WON LOST  ERA  IP
    Kevin Brown          1996 FLN     R     7             17 11 1.89 233
    John Smoltz          2003 ATN     R             1      0  2 1.12 64
    Jeff Zimmerman       1999 TEA     R             2      9  3 2.36 88
    Joakim Soria         2007 KCA     R             1      2  3 2.48 69
    Mike Jackson         1998 CLA     R             1      1  1 1.55 64
    Jeff Nelson          2001 SEA     R             1      4  3 2.76 65
    Rick Reed            1997 NYN     R     6       4     13  9 2.89 208
    Darryl Kile          1997 HON     R     7             19  7 2.57 256
    Jeff Shaw            1997 CIN     R             2      4  2 2.38 95
    Barry Zito           2003 OAA     L     6             14 12 3.30 232
    Brandon Webb         2006 ARN     R     7             16  8 3.10 235
     
     
     
     

    Future Wax All-Time Team

     
                      YEAR TEAM BAL  AB DO TR HR BAVG  BB K'S RBI  OB%  SL%
    Barry Bonds       2001 SFN 3R   476 32 2 73 .328 177  93 137 .515 .863
    Ken Griffey Jr.   1997 SEA 4R   608 34 3 56 .304  76 121 147 .382 .646
    Jim Thome         2002 CLA 6R   480 19 2 52 .304 122 139 118 .445 .677
    Juan Gonzalez     1996 TEA 8L   541 33 2 47 .314 45   82 144 .368 .643
    Vinny Castilla    1998 CON E    645 28 4 46 .319 40   89 144 .362 .589
    Mike Piazza       1997 LAN 1R   556 32 1 40 .362 69   77 124 .431 .638
    Nomar Garciaparra 1998 BOA 1R   604 37 8 35 .323 33   62 122 .362 .584
    Jeff Kent         2000 SFN 2R   587 41 7 33 .334 90  107 125 .424 .596
    Denny Hocking     2000 MNA 2R   373 24 4 4  .298 48   77  47 .373 .416
    Brian McCann      2006 ATN 2R   442 34 0 24 .333 41   54  93 .388 .572
    Craig A. Wilson   2001 PIN 2L   158  3 1 13 .310 15   53  32 .390 .589
    Marcus Thames     2006 DEA 2R   348 20 2 26 .256 37   92  60 .333 .549
    Gary Sheffield     1996 FLN E   519 33 1 42 .314 142 66  120 .465 .624
                    Catcher       1b   2b   3b   ss   lf   cf   rf   ARM  ClAv DP
    Bonds                                             2e7            +1   .328  0 
    Griffey Jr.                                            1e7       -3   .322 29 
    Thome                         4e13                                    .283  3 
    Gonzalez                                                    3e3  +0   .309 28 
    Castilla                                2e13 4e12                     .337 53 
    Piazza          4e6 +1t10p2                                           .348 41 
    Garciaparra                                  2e29                     .313 46 
    Kent                          3e30 3e11                               .287 29 
    Hocking                       3e25 3e15 3e17 3e14 3e2  3e2  3e2  -2   .258  0 
    McCann          2e6 +0t7p1                                            .319 50 
    Wilson          5e7 +2t20p6   4e10                          5e18 +2   .305  6 
    Thames                                            4e7       4e7  +0   .251  0 
    Sheffield                                                   4e6  -1   .288 28 
     
                         YEAR TEAM  THROWS START RELIEF WON LOST  ERA  IP
    Pedro Martinez       1997 MON     R     7            17 8 1.90 241
    J.J. Putz            2007 SEA     R             1     6 1 1.38 72
    Greg Maddux          1995 ATN     R     8            19 2 1.63 210
    Joe Nathan           2006 MNA     R             1     7 0 1.58 68
    Scott Williamson     1999 CIN     R             3    12 7 2.41 93
    Mark Wohlers         1995 ATN     R             1     7 3 2.09 65
    Matt Mantei          1998 FLN     R             2     3 4 2.96 55
    Mel Rojas            1996 MON     R             2     7 4 3.22 81
    Kazuhiro Sasaki      2001 SEA     R             1     0 4 3.24 67
    Johan Santana        2005 MNA     L     7            16 7 2.87 232
    Carlos Zambrano      2003 CHN     R     7            13 11 3.11 214
    Kerry Wood           2003 CHN     R     7            14 11 3.20 211
     
     
     

     

    New Orleans All-Time Team

     
                      YEAR TEAM BAL  AB DO TR HR BAVG  BB K'S RBI  OB%  SL%
    Richard Hidalgo   2000 HON 1R   558 42 3 44 .314  56 110 122 .391 .636
    Jeff Bagwell      1999 HON 1L   562 35 0 42 .304 149 127 126 .454 .591
    Todd Hundley      1996 NYN 5R   540 32 1 41 .259  79 146 112 .356 .550
    Alfonso Soriano   2002 NYA 1L   696 51 2 39 .300  23 157 102 .332 .547
    Omar Vizquel      1999 CLA 1L   574 36 4 5 .333   65 50   66 .397 .436
    Moises Alou       1998 HON 2R   584 34 5 38 .312 84  87  124 .399 .582
    Bill Spiers       1997 HON 3R   291 27 4 4 .320 61   42   48 .438 .481
    Neifi Perez       1998 CON 2L   647 25 9 9 .274 38   70   59 .313 .382
    Jorge Posada      2000 NYA 1L   505 35 1 28 .287 107 151  86 .417 .527
    Edgar Martinez    2000 SEA 3L   556 31 0 37 .324 96 95   145 .423 .579
    Marquis Grissom   1996 ATN 2L   671 32 10 23 .308 41 73   74 .349 .489
    Troy Glaus        2000 ANA 7L   563 37 1 47 .284 112 163 102 .404 .604
    Manny Ramirez     2000 CLA 2L   439 34 2 38 .351 86 117  122 .457 .697
     
     
                    Catcher       1b   2b   3b   ss   lf   cf   rf   ARM  ClAv DP
    Hidalgo                                           1e8  2e8  1e8  -4   .274 33 
    Bagwell                       2e8                                     .283 11 
    Hundley         2e2 -1t6p2                                            .254 20 
    Soriano                            3e24                               .300 15 
    Vizquel                                      1e18           5e25 +3   .295 17 
    Alou                                              2e5  3e5       -1   .295 31 
    Spiers                        4e25 3e23 2e35 4e72                     .350 12 
    Perez           5e16 +5t20p20                2e21                     .241 16 
    Posada          2e1 -2t8p3    4e21                                    .247  8 
    Martinez                      5e11                                    .305 24 
    Grissom                                                1e1       -2   .257 28 
    Glaus                                   2e5  4e48                     .277  9 
    Ramirez                                                     3e4  -2   .307  2 
     
                        YEAR TEAM  THROWS START RELIEF WON LOST  ERA  IP
    Billy Wagner        1999 HON     L             2    4   1 1.57 75
    Dontrelle Willis    2005 FLN     L     7           22  10 2.63 236
    Mariano Rivera      1996 NYA     R             2    8   3 2.09 108
    Al Leiter           1998 NYN     L     7           17   6 2.47 193
    Doug Jones          1997 MLA     R             1    6   6 2.02 80
    Troy Percival       1995 CAA     R             2    3   2 1.95 74
    Chris Carpenter     2005 SLN     R     7           21   5 2.83 242
    Arthur Rhodes       2001 SEA     L             1    8   0 1.72 68
    Bartolo Colon       2002 MON     R     7           20   8 2.93 233
    Tom Glavine         1997 ATN     L     7           14   7 2.96 240
    Robb Nen            2000 SFN     R             1    4   3 1.50 66
     

     

    2009 North Dakota All-Time Team

     
                    YEAR TEAM BAL  AB DO TR HR BAVG  BB K'S RBI  OB%  SL%
    Luis Gonzalez   2001 ARN 2R   609 36 7 57  .325 100 83 142 .429 .688
    Roberto Alomar  2001 CLA 3R   575 34 12 20 .336 80 71  100 .415 .541
    Barry Larkin    1996 CIN 1L   517 32 4 33  .298 96 52   89 .410 .567
    Benito Santiago 1996 PHN 4L   481 21 2 30  .264 49 104  85 .332 .503
    Albert Pujols   2006 SLN 2R   535 33 1 49  .331 92 50  137 .431 .671
    Jimmy Rollins   2007 PHN 1L   716 38 20 30 .296 49 85   94 .344 .531
    Matt Lecroy     2001 MNA 1R    40 5 0 3    .425 0   8   12 .429 .775
    Jeff Cirillo    1996 MLA E    566 46 5 15  .325 58 69   83 .391 .504
    Ramon Hernandez 2006 BAA 3L   501 29 2 23  .275 43 79   91 .343 .479
    Ray Lankford    1997 SLN 2L   465 36 3 31  .295 95 125  98 .411 .585
    David Ortiz     2006 BOA E    558 29 2 54  .287 119 117 137 .413 .636
    Magglio Ordonez 2007 DEA 3L   595 54 0 28  .363 76 79   139 .434 .595
    Lance Berkman   2002 HON 5R   578 35 2 42  .292 107 118 128 .405 .578
    Scott Rolen     1998 PHN 2L   601 45 4 31  .290 93 141  110 .391 .532
    David Justice   2000 NYA 4L   524 31 1 41  .286 77 91   118 .377 .584
      
                    Catcher       1b   2b   3b   ss   lf   cf   rf   ARM  ClAv DP
    Gonzalez                                          3e0            +2   .297 30 
    Alomar                             1e5                                .359 20 
    Larkin                                       1e20                     .284 38 
    Santiago        2e2 -2t13p2   4e13                                    .220 26 
    Pujols                        1e7                                     .312 50 
    Rollins                                      1e12                     .256 34 
    Lecroy          4e13 +1t1p0   4e25                                    .443  0 
    Cirillo                       3e25 3e14 2e21                          .325 33 
    Hernandez       2e1 -1t17p4   4e25                                    .270 40 
    Lankford                                               2e11      +2   .285 18 
    Ortiz                         5e30                                    .277 28 
    Ordonez                                                     3e1  -1   .393 35 
    Berkman                                           2e7  3e7  3e7  +0   .301 20 
    Rolen                                   1e14                          .280 18 
    Justice                                           3e6  4e6  3e6  +0   .274 33 
     
                         YEAR TEAM  THROWS START RELIEF WON LOST  ERA  IP
    Eric Gagne           2003 LAN     R            1     2 3 1.20 82
    Randy Johnson        2001 ARN     L     7           21 6 2.49 250
    Heath Bell           2007 SDN     R             2    6 4 2.02 94
    Trevor Hoffman       1996 SDN     R             2    9 5 2.25 88
    Jason Isringhausen   2002 SLN     R             1    3 2 2.48 65
    Jake Peavy           2007 SDN     R     7           19 6 2.54 223
    Buddy Groom          2002 BAA     L             1    3 2 1.60 62
    Chris Young          2007 SDN     R     6            9 8 3.12 173
    Roger Clemens        1997 TOA     R     8           21 7 2.05 264
    Shawn Estes          1997 SFN     L     6           19 5 3.18 201
     

    Talk about a tough league!

    New Orleans won the first "Study 3C" 7 years ago, when it represented only the best rosters of the then past 5 seasons (1996-2000) So, what happened this time? How’d it turn out? Here are the final standings (using a 168-game schedule, so that each team played each other team 24 times).

     

    LEAGUE STANDINGS FOR All-time SOMBILLA Super League
     

    WON LOST PCT GB

    2009 Future Wax WAX         100 68  .595 ----
    2009 New Orleans NEW         94 74  .560 6.0
    2009 North Dakota NDK        90 78  .536 10.0
    2009 Area 51 A51             87 81  .518 13.0
    2009 Dem Bums DEM            80 88  .476 20.0
    2009 Constantinople CON      79 89  .470 21.0
    2009 Fugakyu Folders FUG     77 91  .458 23.0
    2009 Bay City BCY            65 103 .387 35.0


    LEAGUE GRAND TOTALS FOR All-time SOMBILLA Super League

    TEAM AVG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS E
    2009 Future Wax .263 5861 981 1541 268 30 424 966 42 27 103
    2009 North Dakota .252 5690 898 1432 280 52 313 867 63 35 86
    2009 New Orleans .247 5779 900 1428 312 27 321 877 111 40 141
    2009 Bay City .247 5763 765 1423 299 29 283 748 46 20 107
    2009 Area 51 .246 5808 856 1426 332 15 285 837 46 21 79
    2009 Fugakyu Folders .245 5762 901 1414 249 21 379 887 54 17 100
    2009 Constantinople .239 5706 812 1361 229 28 313 786 60 27 80
    2009 Dem Bums .228 5709 795 1302 277 26 301 774 33 8 79
    -------------------- ---- ----- ---- ----- ---- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----
    LEAGUE TOTALS .246 46078 6908 11327 2246 228 2619 6742 455 195 775

     
     

    TEAM ERA W L IP H R ER HR BB SO OAVG
    2009 North Dakota 4.32 90 78 1503.1 1235 778 722 307 720 1774 .222
    2009 New Orleans 4.50 94 74 1512.2 1433 842 756 322 594 1509 .246
    2009 Dem Bums 4.59 80 88 1505.1 1402 808 768 298 653 1228 .245
    2009 Future Wax 4.71 100 68 1519.1 1376 872 795 353 629 1779 .237
    2009 Constantinople 4.84 79 89 1503.2 1447 854 809 322 584 1422 .251
    2009 Area 51 4.93 87 81 1515.0 1419 885 830 323 680 1553 .245
    2009 Fugakyu Folders 5.09 77 91 1498.0 1473 919 847 332 694 1272 .254
    2009 Bay City 5.38 65 103 1483.1 1542 950 886 362 545 1363 .265
    -------------------- ----- --- --- ------- ----- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----
    LEAGUE TOTALS 4.79 672 672 12040.2 11327 6908 6413 2619 5099 11900 .246

     
     
    Only one batter hit over .300!!
     
     
    LEAGUE LEADERS FOR 2009 All-time SOMBILLA Super League
     
    ----BATTING AVERAGE---- --------HOMERUNS------- -----RUNS BATTED IN----
    M.Piazza WAX .327        M.McGwire FUG 79     M.McGwire FUG 154
    E.Alfonzo CON .294       B.Bonds WAX 68       B.Bonds WAX 143
    J.Thome WAX .290         S.Sosa BCY 61        L.Gonzalez NDK 143
    B.Bonds WAX .290         J.Thome WAX 55       A.Pujols NDK 125
    M.Young A51 .290         A.Rodriguez CON 51   S.Sosa BCY 121
    S.Sosa BCY .288          T.Glaus NEW 51       J.Thome WAX 121
    A.Pujols NDK .287        L.Gonzalez NDK 49    M.Piazza WAX 115
    E.Burks CON .286         A.Pujols NDK 49      R.Hidalgo NEW 112
    L.Walker A51 .284        K.Griffey Jr. WAX 47 T.Glaus NEW 112
    G.Sheffield WAX .282     M.Piazza WAX 47      A.Rodriguez CON 110
    B.Boone A51 .276         R.Hidalgo NEW 44      L.Walker A51 108
    T.Helton DEM .275        J.Edmonds FUG 42     K.Griffey Jr. WAX 107
      
     ------WINNING PCT------   ----------ERA---------- ---------SAVES---------
     J.Schmidt(16-5)CON .762   K.Brown       FUG  3.38 B.Wagner      NEW    45
     P.Martinez(19-7)WAX.731   J.Schmidt     CON  3.47 J.Smoltz      FUG    35
     G.Maddux (16-6)WAX .727   G.Maddux      WAX  3.54 T.Saito       BCY    34
     K.Brown (21-9)FUG  .700   R.Clemens     NDK  3.60 J.Putz        WAX    34
     B.Webb (17-8) FUG  .680   P.Martinez    WAX  3.64 E.Gagne       NDK    34
     D.Lowe  (18-9)DEM  .667   C.Carpenter   NEW  4.41 B.Ryan        A51    33
     R.Clemens(19-12)NDK.613   C.Schilling   A51  4.53 J.Papelbon    CON    29
     C.Schilling(18-12)A51.600 R.Johnson     NDK  4.54 K.Foulke      DEM    23
     I.Valdes(12-8) CON .600   J.Peavy       NDK  4.58 
     K.Wood  (14-11)WAX .560   M.Hampton     DEM  4.59 
     T.Glavine(15-12)NEW.556   D.Lowe        DEM  4.60                             
     M.Mussina(12-10)A51.545   F.Garcia      A51  4.68                             
     

    AWARDS VOTING FOR 2009 All-time SOMBILLA Super League


    MVP AWARD                               CY YOUNG AWARD
    B.Bonds(WAX) 413                        P.Martinez(WAX) 122
    M.McGwire(FUG) 364                      R.Clemens(NDK) 95
    M.Piazza(WAX) 197                       E.Gagne(NDK) 46
    J.Thome(WAX) 129                        G.Maddux(WAX) 17
    L.Gonzalez(NDK) 96                      K.Brown(FUG) 8
     

    ALL-STAR SELECTIONS BY POSITION

    C  M.Piazza(WAX) 2,633,147              I.Rodriguez(BCY) 1,423,586
    
    1B M.McGwire(FUG) 4,613,564             A.Pujols(NDK) 2,615,082
    
    2B J.Kent(WAX) 2,236,892                B.Boone(A51) 1,889,604
    
    3B A.Rodriguez(CON) 2,440,547           T.Glaus(NEW) 2,350,310
    
    SS B.Larkin(NDK) 2,232,695              N.Garciaparra(WAX) 1,942,938
    
    LF B.Bonds(WAX) 4,680,201               L.Gonzalez(NDK) 2,785,208
    
    CF R.Hidalgo(NEW) 2,261,881             J.Edmonds(FUG) 2,035,410
    
    RF S.Sosa(BCY) 2,895,502                L.Walker(A51) 2,395,755
    
    Pi P.Martinez(WAX) 4,492,993            R.Clemens(NDK) 3,742,308
    
       E.Gagne(NDK) 3,459,349               J.Schmidt(CON) 3,447,487
    
       C.Schilling(A51) 3,168,633           K.Brown(FUG) 3,019,423
    
       T.Saito(BCY) 2,958,432               B.Wagner(NEW) 2,948,016
    
       G.Maddux(WAX) 2,931,412              J.Putz(WAX) 2,515,035
    
       B.Ryan(A51) 2,267,609                R.Johnson(NDK) 2,069,258 

         

         

         

        All-time SOMBILLA Super League Playoffs

        Future Wax 11 Area 51 1 (Bonds, Griffey, Piazza, Castilla HR)
        Future Wax 6 Area 51 1 (Santana, Putz 6-hitter)
        Future Wax 13 Area 51 1 (Thome 2 HR, 5 RBI, Zambrano 6-hit CG)
        Future Wax 7 Area 51 6 (11 inns) (Griffey 2 HR 4 rbi, including game winner in the 11th)

        Future Wax wins series 4 games to 0

         

        New Orleans 9 North Dakota 2 (Carpenter 6-hitter to kickoff this all-time super luggage series)
        New Orleans 4 North Dakota 3 (Glavine and Wagner hang on as ND rally falls short)
        North Dakota 2 New Orleans 0 (Estes & Gagne, 1-hit shutout)
        North Dakota 2 New Orleans 1 (C Young 12 K’s, Gagne 2nd save) <>
        North Dakota 6 New Orleans 2 (Clemens 5-hitter, Pujols, Ortiz HR)

        North Dakota wins series 4 games to 2

         

        All-time SOMBILLA Super League World Series

        Future Wax 3 North Dakota 2 (12 innings) (Thames walk-off, Putz 3 1/3 shutout inns for the win)
        North Dakota 6 Future Wax 5 (Big Papi HR, 4 RBI) <>
        Future Wax 4 North Dakota 2 (Thames HR, Zambrano and Putz pitched well)
        North Dakota 4 Future Wax 1 (Estes – 2 hits, 3 bb, 12 ks in 7 ½ inns, Gagne 2nd save)
        Future Wax 6 North Dakota 4 (Maddux win, Putz save)
        Future Wax 6 North Dakota 1 (Pedro no-hitter into the 7th, Nomar HR)

        Future Wax wins the All-Time SOMBILLA Super League World Series 4 games to 2

        It’s a Future Wax sweep of the computer studies.




  • WHO’S YOUR DADDY? [8/09]

      1. Which managers have an easier time against other managers? Who actually likes to play against Randy? Who can’t wait to play Jed? Who hates playing Robin?

        This summer, we look at each manager’s won/loss record vs. each other team. I did it in two parts. First, I went back six seasons, starting with the 2003-2004 season. Originally, I was going to go back only 5 seasons, but in pulling down the data from the attic, I accidentally pulled the 6th season (‘03-04), so I figured what the heck, use the data.

        Using the past six seasons also enables us to look at Matt’s last three years in the league in addition to Jed’s most recent three years. Each team played each other team 48 games (Matt and Jed 24 each, and Arnie and Randy who played 49 games owing to that one-game playoff a few years ago). Without further ado, here is the data:

        Total 2003-2009


        Wins are across, losses down












        Arnie

        Robin

        Eric

        Harold

        Randy

        Jeff

        Tom

        Jed

        Matt

        Arnie

        ---

        29

        24

        28

        22

        29

        23

        9

        13

        Robin

        19

        ---

        20

        26

        19

        22

        19

        13

        16

        Eric

        24

        28

        ---

        27

        16

        29

        21

        7

        14

        Harold

        20

        22

        21

        ---

        24

        30

        17

        12

        15

        Matt

        11

        8

        10

        9

        6

        7

        10

        ---

        ---

        Randy

        27

        29

        32

        24

        ---

        29

        20

        11

        18

        Jeff

        19

        26

        19

        18

        19

        ---

        17

        11

        17

        Tom

        25

        29

        27

        31

        28

        31

        ---

        10

        14

        Jed

        15

        11

        17

        12

        13

        13

        14

        ---

        ---

         

        So, over the last six seasons, who is the biggest daddy? That’s easy – Randy against Eric. Randy is 32-16 against Eric over the past six seasons, a .667 winning percentage.

        Other notables:

        Tom vs Harold (31-17), Tom vs Jeff (31-17) and Harold vs. Jeff (30-18). Jed is 17-7 against Eric. No wonder why Eric complains about playing on the computer.

        But look at the league’s records against Matt, over his last three seasons. Every team had a winning percentage against him, led by Randy (18-6). No wonder we were all sad to see him go.

        So, who likes to play against Randy? Why, Tom of course, who is 28-20 against him. Who likes playing Jed? Robin! She is 13-11 against him. Who hates playing Robin? Harold. She is 26-22 against him. Who is your Daddy?

         

        Now, looking at just the most recent three seasons:

        Total 2006-2009

        Wins are across, losses down



        Arnie

        Robin

        Eric

        Harold

        Jed

        Randy

        Jeff

        Tom

        Arnie

        ---

        16

        14

        9

        9

        11

        16

        11

        Robin

        8

        ---

        12

        14

        13

        11

        9

        11

        Eric

        10

        12

        ---

        12

        7

        8

        11

        9

        Harold

        15

        10

        12

        ---

        12

        13

        20

        9

        Jed

        15

        11

        17

        12

        ---

        13

        13

        14

        Randy

        13

        13

        16

        11

        11

        ---

        17

        11

        Jeff

        8

        15

        13

        4

        11

        7

        ---

        7

        Tom

        13

        13

        15

        15

        10

        13

        17

        ---

        Over the past three years, Harold is a staggering 20-4 against Jeff. He should drive out to Hopkinton more often. In fact three of the top 4 "Daddy records" are against Jeff:

        Jed vs. Eric (17-7)

        Randy vs. Jeff (17-7)

        Tom vs. Jeff (17-7)

        Who’s your Daddy now?

        Finally, with six years worth of data, how often do you think one team beat another 8 games to 0 during the season. To do that, you not only have to be good, you have to be lucky too, since even the worst teams are still an all-star team. It’s only been done three times in six years:

        Harold has swept Jeff 8-0 two times in the past three seasons, including last year! And Randy swept Matt 8-0 in ‘05-06, Matt’s last year in the league (no wonder Randy was so verklempt when Matt resigned).

        Just for good measure, here are the totals for last season:

        2008-2009

        Wins are across



        Arnie

        Robin

        Eric

        Harold

        Jed

        Randy

        Jeff

        Tom

        Total

        Arnie

        ---

        5

        6

        4

        2

        4

        6

        7

        34

        Robin

        3

        ---

        4

        5

        4

        3

        3

        3

        25

        Eric

        2

        4

        ---

        4

        3

        6

        4

        3

        26

        Harold

        4

        3

        4

        ---

        5

        5

        8

        5

        34

        Jed

        6

        4

        5

        3

        ---

        5

        7

        5

        35

        Randy

        4

        5

        2

        3

        3

        ---

        6

        3

        26

        Jeff

        2

        5

        4

        0

        1

        2

        ---

        3

        17

        Tom

        1

        5

        5

        3

        3

        5

        5

        ---

        27

         



    ______________________________________________________________

    GREAT MOMENTS IN SOMBILLA HISTORY (8/07)

    It’s been > 10 years since this list was compiled. It is time to update and relook at the Great Moments throughout the years!

    Early June 1979

    Tsuan calls Arnie with the idea to form a summer Strat-O league.

    June 1979

    At the league’s second week of games, Arnie presents the acronym "SOMBILLA"

    August 1979

    Just before game #6 of the first World Series won by Tsuan in 6 games over Jed, Arnie says "Some didn't think it would go this far, others said 'it's going seven.' " (You had to be there.) 

    November 1981

    The draft almost got called off. This was the first winter league and we did the draft on a Friday night after work in my Marlborough St. apartment. Tsuan was sick and couldn't make it, but nobody wanted to reschedule, and we (Jed, Eric, Joel, Lou, [and I] were all ready. I called him:

    Tsuan's female roommate: "He's sick and throwing up. He can't come."
    Arnie: "What if we drafted by phone?"
    She shouts the message to some unseen force. The message comes back.
    "He says you wouldn't have the nerve."
    Arnie: "We're ready to go."
    She relays the message. Muffled sounds.
    She says, "What about Lou?" (The new guy no one had ever met).
    Arnie: "He's here, now".
    Message shouted, "He's there now". More muffling noises.
    Tsuan gets on the phone. "But I have all the cards".

    And so, Joel and Eric drove over to Tsuan's apartment on Beacon Hill, got the cards, returned, and the draft was on.

    January 1982

    Don Sutton (Tsuan) no-hits Lou.

    November 1982 

    Vol. I No. 1 of the SOMBILLA newsletter.

    Dec. '82 - Jan. '83

    North Dakota loses 13 straight and 24 of 26.

    March 1983

    In her first year in the league, Robin wins the championship, sharing a team with Tsuan.

    November 1983 

    Joel wins 11 in a row to start the season.

    November 1984

    "Tsuan attempts to pull draft coup" becomes the first blasting.

    November 1984

    First SOMBILLA study, "The Ralph Houk Rating," which calculated a team’s inability to use its bench.

    January 1985

    First known usage of the phrase "2-20 man" by Arnie

    May 5, 1985

    "Eric Lost the Scoresheets" 

    October 6, 1985 

    League votes to expand/go to permanent league/elects first Commissioner.

    Nov. 17, 1985 

    Matt drafts Gary Redus 9th overall in permanent league dispersal draft.

    December 1985

    SOMBILLA featured in Strat-o-Matic Review: "Gamer introduces wife to S-O-M baseball on first date"

    February 1986 

    Arnie accidentally breaks chair at Jed and Joel's after missing game-winning homer. 

    November 1986

    Jed invents the "dash" technique for recording non-strikeout outs.

    December 1987

    Tom Henke pitches 12 innings in relief as last pitcher for Robin in 20-inning, 10-7 win over Future Wax. 

    January 1988 

    Mike Scott (Jed) no-hits Joel. 

    January 1988

    Eric Davis (a.k.a. Roger Maris) hits 19th homer off Jack Morris (a.k.a Tracy Stallard) to break George Foster's (a.k.a. Babe Ruth's) record. 'There will be an asterisk" declares Commissioner (a.k.a. Ford C. Frick).

    January 1988

    League original Joel stuns the league by announcing his resignation, effective at the end of the season. Despite pleas and threats from the league, Joel moves on with his life.

    March 1988

    The first World Series game 7 in SOMBILLA history. In the bottom of the 11th, FW’s Andrew has righties E. Davis, McReynolds, Schmidt, and Laudner scheduled up.

    Either Yitz or Dave: "Should we put in Eichhorn?" (Historical note - Eichhorn had 0 hit and walk chances vs. righties but was vulnerable to lefties).
    The other: "What if he pinch-hits for Eric Davis?"
    The first one: "Do you think he'd pinch-hit for Eric Davis?"
    Yitz: "He'd never pinch-hit for Eric Davis"

    Yitz and Dave put in Eichhorn to face Eric Davis. Andrew pinch-hits Daryl Strawberry for Eric Davis. With Eric listening over the speakerphone, and me straining to escape to drive Robin's friend, Bev, to the airport, yet unable to bring myself to do it, Daryl Strawberry hits a homer off Eichhorn's card.

    Yitz: "Fuck."

    July 1988

    "Tsuan Guruism" coined in summer newsletter

    November 1988

    Harold joins the league. He goes 3-17 to begin his SOMBILLA career.

    December 1988

    Arnie accidentally breaks chandelier at Jed and Joel's after 9th inning game-winning hit. 

    March 1989

    Mark McGwire wins triple crown for Matt. 

    December 1989

    SOMBILLA headline blares: "League uncovers ‘Raines-gate’: Commissioner to be burned at the stake, beheaded, and face firing squad; retains first place"

    December 1989

    North Dakota starts the season 20-4 with Yoknapatawpha close behind at 18-6, setting up a big 4-game series in Gackle Park. The Yoks sweep the series, pitching 3 shutouts and holding ND to 2 runs to set the mark for best first half (22-6).

    January 2, 1990 

    Danny Jackson, Tim Belcher & Randy Myers pitch a combined no-hitter for Harold vs. Future Wax .

    March 1990

    Eric finishes the season 44-12. 

    March 1990

    Eric beats Jed 4 games to 3 in the World Series on Sax's sac fly in bottom of the 11th. Two days later, Eric discovers to his horror an error in playing game 6 (ineligible pinch-hitter), but games are not played over. (There were a few reasons. One of the reasons was that if the games were played over and Jed won, it would be a ‘tainted’ victory. Instead, Eric was left with the ‘tainted’ victory).

    November 1990

    Clint joins the league, sharing a team with Dave.

    February 1992 

    Andrew wins 11 in a row to tie Joel's record. He finishes 12 games ahead of 2nd place Jed to set a record.

    March 1992 

    League votes to expand to nine teams and give Land his own team.

    January 1993

    Clint loses 44 of first 61 games as manager to break North Dakota losing percentage mark.

    January 1993

    Commissioner nearly resigns following allegations of bias against Clint.

    March 1993

    Eric defeats Dave 9-5 in the 7th game to win the World Series, despite being outscored by his opponents in the regular season.

    January 1994

    North Dakota was battling Future Wax for first place and acquired Roger Clemens at the trading deadline from Eric for 2 first round picks (after attempting to acquire him via loan, precipitating the Trading and Loan Scandal). Upon discovery of the Clemens trade, Andrew called Robin, the North Dakota manager's wife, to pursue a trade.

    At the time of receipt of Andrew's call, Robin had played 38 games, 2 fewer than the trading limit. Two nights before, a scheduled 4-game series with Dave that would have put Robin over the trading deadline was postponed when Dave simply forgot to show up, luckily for Future Wax. Dennis Martinez was Robin's best pitcher that year, and one of the best starters in the league. Robin traded Dennis Martinez (and a 6th round pick) to her husband's nemesis, Andrew, for a second round pick (which became Sean Berry).

    Martinez went on to win two games against North Dakota in the World Series, including a 2-1, 5-hitter against Saberhagen in a crucial Game 5 showdown. For two years after that, the trading of Martinez to Future Wax and Martinez's World Series success against North Dakota caused a small amount of marital friction.

    July 1994

    After losing the World Series to Future Wax in 6 games, North Dakota’s manager plays the teams against each other in a 2,000 game computer simulation, to determine which team was really better, and concludes that Future Wax really was the better team.

    November 1994 

    Robin, in first place by 2 1/2 games at 20-8, gives birth to Jinny Ryann Pollinger.

    February 1995

    Land discovers that he accidentally used Astacio for 2 more innings than allowed for the season during a win over Robin, and the game is decided to be replayed, with Land ahead, from that point in the 7th inning. After all the games are finished, Robin is still 1/2 game ahead of Eric, and the Land game is played over with Astacio replaced by Gott. Land hangs on to win 2-1 and the league has its first one-game playoff ever. Unfortunately for Robin, Frank Thomas was injured in the last series of the season, causing him to miss the playoff game.

    Eric wins league's first ever one-game playoff (9-2) and goes on to defeat Matt in the World Series in 7 games. 

    March 1995

    Arnie resigns as Commissioner. Dave elected as the SOMBILLA's second Commissioner. 

    November 1995

    Randy joins the league.

    March 1996

    Game 7 of the North Dakota/New Orleans playoff series ends when, with ND ahead 4-3 in the 9th and NO up with 2 out and 2 runners on, Carlos Garcia hits into a clutch out.

    March 1996

    After years of futility, ending with mutilated, burned and/or frozen teams, North Dakota wins its first World Series 4 games to 2 over Future Wax, beating Dennis Martinez in the final game (see January 1994). That night, the North Dakota manager absolved the Bay City manager of all future discussion of the Dennis Martinez incident.

    February 1997

    Clint misses the playoffs by one game for the second year in a row.

    March 1997

    Dave resigns as Commissioner. Arnie re-elected Commissioner. Matt named league’s first Vice-Commissioner. 

    February 1998

    Randy beats Eric 29-6, to set the league’s single game run mark.

    March 1998

    Robin, Jeff, Brian and Clint are in the first 4-way rolloff for the first pick in the draft. Robin won (and chose Ben Grieve)

    October 1998

    Tom joins the league

    October 1998

    Carlos Hernandez makes his SOMBILLA debut, five years after he was drafted as a prospect, kept in the 'minors' for 3 years, cut in '96, then redrafted. Finally, after years of 10-hour bus rides, he made it to the big "SOMBILLA show". He came up in the third inning, struck out and was injured for three games.

    October 1998

    Harold beats Clint 29-3, the largest wipeout in league history

    December 1998

    In Eric's series with Clint, Lieberthal, in his first AB of the game, was HBP and injured. He was replaced by Stanley, who, in his first AB, was HBP and injured. With no catchers remaining, Eric used emergency catcher Robin Ventura, who, in his first AB, struck out and was injured.

    January 1999

    Mike Piazza of FW breaks the SOMBILLA single season HR record with his 27th He finishes with 30.

    January 1999

    North Dakota wins 11 in a row to tie league record

    January 1999

    Randy Johnson fans 20 New Orleans hitters

    February 1999

    Mike Piazza wins the triple crown for Future Wax

    March 1999

    North Dakota comes back to win final 4 games of playoff series over New Orleans after losing the first 3 games

    November 1999

    Randy wins 12 in a row to break the league record

    November 1999

    Shithead (with Clint at the helm) loses 11 in a row to tie the league record

    February 2000

    Clemens wins his 12th game for ND to set a new league mark

    February 2000

    First SOMBILLA ice hockey game with Jeff & Harold defeating Arnie & Matt 3-1.  Arnie complained that the choppy conditions negated any potential extra speed, and Matt complained that he had just moved a bunch of furniture the day before, and they both complained about the poor officiating

    January 2001

    Matt loses 14 games in a row to break the all-time consecutive loss streak

    February 2001

    Manila Folders break the SOMBILLA’s legendary single-season worst record at 10-43 (.189)

    February 2001

    E-mail from Arnie:

    Eric has determined that if Clint wins five against Harold, I drop 2 of 3 to Robin, Eric wins only 4 of 7 against Matt and Jeff, and Randy sweeps Tom, then it's a five-way tie for 2nd place.

    Holy shit!!  I checked the bylaws and they state "If more than 4 teams tie for 1st-4th, we'll play it by ear."  We could be headed for a constitutional crisis!

    E-mail from Matt:

    It's not a crisis. It's just a reaffirmation that our System works. God bless you all, and God bless the Strat-o-Matic Baseball Ivy League League, Advanced. (<<<Standing Ovation>>>)

    E-mail from Eric:

    And God bless the vice commissioner, for without his disaster-by-design season I do believe we would not now look like so many stowaways stuffed inside a steamer trunk.  Which only affirms my worst fears, that the Folders will rally round their Shemp-like leader and play the spoiler roll in true Stooge fashion, wherein the season will end in a melee of comedic chaos, and then fade to black abruptly without resolution.......

    February 2001

    N. Dakota’s R. Alomar finishes regular season with .411 batting average.

    March 2001

    New Orleans comes back to win final 4 games of World Series over Future Wax, after losing the first 2 games, to win first ever championship.

    October 2001

    Overheard moments before Tom arrived in Arlington:
    Jack: "Which one is Tom? Is he the bald silly one?"
    His Dad: "No, that's Eric."

    October 2001

    In the FW/MF series, in the 6th inning of the 2nd game, M. Ordonez batting against L. Hernandez, the 20-sided 'thing' split in half during a routine roll.

    January – March 2002

    Clint resigns from the league; league debates and finally decides to contract BiGDiG out of existence.

    January 2002

    Harold defeats Jeff in the league’s first ever 7-game sweep, hitting 27 homers and outscoring him 79-25.

    March 2002

    Future Wax wins World Series game 7, 8-7 against New Orleans with Pedro as the closer, the tying run on base, and Hundley, the winning run, at bat. Hundley grounds out.

    November 2002

    Harold walks Barry Bonds intentionally 18 times in a row as Bonds finishes the series 0 for 5 with 4 K's.

    February 2003

    ND scores 13 runs in the top of the first vs. Future Wax. In the record-setting first inning, ND recorded 15 hits (3 of them were tired rolls), 2 stolen bases, an error, and 2 homers all off the beleaguered Greg Maddux. A late FW rally fell short by three touchdowns as ND tied the league record for most runs in a game, winning 29-7. ND had a league-record total of 35 hits - Alomar, L. Gonzalez and Klesko had 5 each, while McGriff and Cabrera both chipped in with 4.

    February 2003

    A steroid-filled Barry Bonds smacks his 31st homer to break the SOMBILLA’s single season HR record. He finishes with 32.

    March 2003

    Jeff sweeps Matt to force a one-game playoff. He drives 75 miles to play one game, then defeats Harold 4-3 in 10 innings.

    March 2003

    Area 51 defeats the Wax in 5 games in the World Series for first SOMBILLA championship.

    December 2003

    Randy shows up at Tom’s old apartment (which he had moved from a year earlier) to play. After finally making it to Tom’s new house an hour late, their extra-inning filled series ends around 2 AM, with a Tom sweep.

    January 2004

    Unbeknownst to Eric, he ties the league record with his 12th win in a row.

    January 2004

    Eric’s Derek Lowe no-hits North Dakota.

    February 2004

    For the first time in four years, conditions were set for the SOMBILLA hockey showdown – and a rematch. Gametime weather: bright sunshine, 24 degrees and blustery winds.

    Jeff started the scoring on a nice feed from Harold. But Arnie tied it up, putting on a Gretzky-like move through Jeff's legs. A score off a give and go with Matt appeared to give Matt and I a 2-1 lead, but it was ruled that Matt hadn't cleared the zone and the goal was disallowed (with little complaint). The seriousness of the game was never more evident when Jeff decked Arnie with a vicious elbow near the far boards (other observers would later say Arnie simply smashed into Jeff, who was just standing there, and just fell down). Good passing by Harold and Jeff led to the go-ahead goal, but a pretty pass from Matt led to an easy goal for me and it was tied 2-2.

    Windchills were around zero, players were tired and sweaty, as all four dug deep after it was announced "next goal wins". Play stayed near the perimeter and close checking and quick reactions reduced scoring chances. Harold had the puck on the left wing. Matt left Harold to cover Jeff, who was heading for the net, at the same time I charged to cover Harold to poke the puck away.

    Matt and I never saw each other. Time stood still as our two bodies and sticks became intertwined, and with that, our hopes at revenge, 'iced' for four years, crashed to the ice with us. Jeff potted the easy empty-netter and this year's hockey bash was history...

    February 2004

    A.J. Burnett wins his 12th game for Eric to tie league record.

    December 2004

    Tom begins season 23-5 to break the record for best first half record

    March 2005

    Tom wins his first league championship, defeating Future Wax in 6 games.

    December 2005

    Matt uses Pedro Feliz, a player not even in the SOMBILLA, in a series against Tom. Eric summed it up when he wrote: "Rosey Ruiz strikes again! Matt, you're a genius. I don't think any punishment is necessary. The mere exposure of the incident is enough. I stand in awe."

    There was no comment from GM Jed "Hand to Forehead" Corman.

    January 2006

    Randy defeats Harold 6-5 in 17 innings. 41 players are used, including 14 pitchers, and there were 5 bunts, including 3 squeeze plays.

    January 2006

    Matt loses a record 17 games in a row, then shocks the league by announcing his resignation.

    March 2006

    The one-game playoff of 2006.

    The first controversy erupted when North Dakota ended the 56 game season with only 2 innings of relief left for the one-game playoff. And starter Randy Johnson had only 4 1/3 inns available. Could Randy Johnson start? What happens after 6 1/3 innings? A flurry of e-mails skyrocketed around the league - with well-thought out issues, proposals, indignations and controversy. Finally, ND sent an e-mail entitled "I DON'T GIVE A SHIT ANYMORE" and agreed to adopt the FW proposal, but concluding that
    "Randy Johnson will start this game in one hour…And I'm going to kick your ass."

    FW won the game 7 -3.

    The next morning (Sun. 3/4), Randy sent the following e-mail to the league:

    "I was sitting down this morning to write to you all about the exciting season finale in which Jim Edmonds went 4-4, with 3 doubles and a home run, for 5 RBIs, leading Future Wax to a 7-3 victory over North Dakota.

    But first I was going to finish my season stats by adding the 57th game to the regular season total. In doing so...discovered...to my horror...Zambrano's available innings for game 57 [were] 5.3, but he pitched 6.6 in the game -- clearly illegal.

    Therefore, we are going to have to replay some or all of the game. We are going to need a ruling by Matt as to whether we should replay the game from the point of "infraction" (that is, after the first out of the 5th, when Zambrano's arm should have fallen off) or replay the entire game. (I want the former, Arnie the latter; there is nothing decisive in the bylaws, I think).

    If all this wasn't farcical enough, after the game last night Arnie ripped his entire team in half. He will have to break out the Scotch tape to replay the game.

    In his last act as Vice Commissioner, Matt ruled that the game had to be replayed in its entirety. Andrew responded angrily "I do not agree at all with the ruling...He made an honest mistake and in effect gets a 1972 Russian Basketball team "replay".

    The game was replayed anyway.

    Big Papi's solo blast held up through 6 innings, ND ominously stranding 7 runners through the first 6. Bonds led off the 7th with a triple (on a 1-5, out otherwise) and was knocked in by Chavez to tie it. M. Alou smacked his 21st homer in the 8th to make it 2-1 ND.

    Bottom of the 9th, ND up 2-1. Bonds walks, Edmonds singles, Giles walks. Bases loaded nobody out for FW against a tired Gonzalez, the last ND pitcher. Infield in. But Chavez strikes out (on his card). C. Wilson up. Pujols fields it cleanly and gets Bonds at the plate. Clayton up. Tying run on 3rd, winning run on 2nd, ND one out away from the win. Clayton walks. Ford strikes out. Extra innings.

    Bottom of the 10th, Burke walks. Berkman moves him over. Bonds hits an open single to left. The slow (1-9) Burke rounds 3rd with Crawford (0 arm) throwing. Randy rolls a 5. Game over, team ripped in half again.

    M. Gonzalez, the last ND pitcher, with an arm that had fallen off, but was then glued back on, pitched the final 4 innings tired (and yielded no tired singles).

    March 2006

    With the winning run at bat in the 9th inning of Game 7 of the World Series, Tom’s Romero and Dotel strike out MVP Edmonds and Giles to beat Randy for his 2nd consecutive World Series win.

    November 2006

    The SOMBILLA’s Internet era gets underway with a rocky start as the Smoltz-gate controversy mars the Knuckle/Constantinople series.

    December 2006

    Jed travels over 300 miles to play 20 games in a hotel room in 24 hours, going 14-6 to take over first place.

    February 2007

    Randy wins game 56 with a 13th inning HR to clinch 4th place and avoid another one-game playoff with ND.

    March 2007

    Tom wins his third consecutive World Series against Randy, including his second consecutive game 7 one-run game.

     ________________________________________________________________________________

    HOW THE FRANCHISES WERE BUILT [8/08]

        Which teams rely on their farm systems? Who has the most active front office? Who signs the free agents? This summer, I analyzed each team's current 45-man roster and reviewed how every player ended up on the roster. I divided them up into three categories:

        Farm system – Players who were originally drafted by the team and are still on the roster. In essence, these players are those who have spent their entire SOMBILLA career with one team.

        Front office – Players acquired via trade.

        Free agents – Drafted players who previously played for another team, were cut, and then picked up as free agents.

        Team

        Farm system

        Trade (front office)

        Free agents

        His own weird category*

        Future Wax

        42

        1 (Berkman)

        2 (Anderson, Cameron)

         

        Bay City

        43 or 44*

        *

        1 (Bradford)

        1 (Escobar)

        Constantinople

        43

        0

        2 (C. Pena, Church)

         

        Area 51

        40

        1 (Smoltz)

        4 (Percival, Grudzelanik, Vizquel, Guerrero)

         

        New Orleans

        40

        2 (Sheffield, Helton)

        3 (Carrasco, O. Cabrera, Phelps)

         

        North Dakota

        41

        2 (Glaus, Kent)

        2 (Alou, M. Ordonez)

         

        Knuckle Sandwiches

        41

        1 (Hafner)

        3 (Howry, Ankiel, Dye)

         

        Hibernia

        43

        2 (M. Ramirez, Tejada)

        0

         

        *Escobar was originally drafted by Robin, then cut, then redrafted by North Dakota, then traded back to Robin. This makes him eligible to be counted for Robin as both farm system and trade.

        Surprisingly, at least to me, there is not a lot of variation among us. All teams have between 40 and 43 players on their roster who were drafted originally by them. And all teams, except for Tom, have 1 or 2 players on their roster acquired via trade. The most variation is among free agents.

        In addition to the surprising lack of variability, the only other conclusion is that Durga's famous lament from 20 years ago still holds true. "This league hates to trade."


    ALL-TIME FRANCHISE PLAYERS (8/07)

    Who’s your best player in franchise history? I asked each tem to help with this one and received responses from all but Jeff.

    North Dakota

    Randy Johnson. An integral part of the team’s championship glory years (including one championship year when, due to injury, he was actually a 66-inning reliever). Has made the team virtually every year since 1993.

    Constantinople

    Alex Rodriguez*. Since 1996, he is either #1 or #2 in all cumulative statistics of note including 168 homeruns, which is almost twice that of the second place Manatee who had 97 homers. The consummate team player, he has been willing to change positions, be a defensive replacement and accept a part time role for an isolated year if that means the team having its best shot at winning a championship. The face of the franchise.

    The Human Stains, et al

    Well, if I'd kept hold of Clemens I would say he's the all-time franchise player. But since I traded him and still won several titles A.C. (after Clemens), I suppose I should select someone else. That said, since I also don't keep stats anymore, unless I'm competing, it's a hard call. Minus statistical reflection, I may have to elect Rafael Palmeiro as the all-time franchise player, since I had him virtually his whole career (thanks to one of the worst trades I'll wager RAT ever made).

    But where would I have been without, say, Lenny Dyskstra, Von Hayes, Dale Murphy, Harold Baines, Orel Hershiser, Dennis Eckersley, even Dave Winfield for a few years? Or Mike Stanley? and what about----Steve Sax? And Mark Clear? (just kidding.) and Rick Sutcliffe? ah, the good old days....so I guess Palmeiro gets the nod, steroids and all.

    Manila Folders

    Mark McGwire, perhaps the best SOMBILLA season ever, winning the triple crown for the first, and only, time.

    A close second would be Gary Redus, for defining the drafting philosophy of the team so well.

    Jed

    Which franchise? I think players I traded had more impact on the league so I'll go with Mike Piazza.

    New Orleans

    Mariano Rivera. 10th round pick in '96 draft. 'Nuff said.

    Bay City

    Pudge Rodriguez. Pretty sure he’s made my team every year since I drafted him, and he probably saved me dozens (hundreds?) of runs with his throwing arm (or, more accurately, the threat of his throwing arm). Honorable mention to 1st BC pick ever, Cal Ripken, Jr.

    Future Wax

    The most important player in FW franchise history is Barry Bonds, or __________ on his card. Bonds is a four-time league MVP (92-93, 94-95, 01-02, 02-03), holds the league records for homeruns (32), runs (74), OPS (1.465), and SLUG (.994). Since 1997, he has hit 42 post-season home-runs (stats for 01-02 are missing) over 90 play-off games.

    * asshole



    SUCCESSFUL LEFTY STARTERS (8/07)

    Harold, on the heels of lefty Dontrelle Willis winning the Cy Young award asked how many lefties have ever won the Cy Young award? What championship teams have had lefties in the rotation?

    The first question is easy – only 2 lefty pitchers have ever won the SOMBILLA’s Cy Young award. The first was Fernando Valenzuela for Yitz’s Learned Hands, back in ‘86-87. He finished with an 8-5 record and a 3.05 ERA for the 7th place Hands. And Dontrelle Willis, last year, was the second.

    As far as lefties on championship teams goes, see below:

    Year

    Manager

    Team Name

    Lefties in the rotation

    1979

    Tsuan

    Nazgul

    Waits

    1981-1982

    Tsuan

    Nazgul

    Reuss, Underwood

    1982-1983

    Robin/Tsuan

    Bay City Nazgul

    Valenzuela

    1983-1984

    Jed

    Evil Bunnies

    None

    1984-1985

    Jed

    Shithead

    M. Young

    1985-1986

    Eric

    Marakesh Express

    None

    1986-1987

    Andrew/Tsuan

    Future Wax

    Hesketh

    1987-1988

    Andrew/Tsuan

    Future Wax

    None

    1988-1989

    Eric

    Yoknapatawpha

    None

    1989-1990

    Eric

    Yoknapatawpha

    None

    1990-1991

    Andrew/Tsuan

    Future Wax

    None

    1991-1992

    Andrew/Tsuan

    Future Wax

    Nabholz, Mulholland

    1992-1993

    Eric

    Franz Josef Land

    None

    1993-1994

    Andrew/Tsuan

    Future Wax

    None

    1994-1995

    Eric

    The White Visitation

    Fassero?*

    1995-1996

    Arnie

    North Dakota

    R. Johnson

    1996-1997

    Eric

    Finn's People

    None

    1997-1998

    Randy/Andrew/Tsuan

    Future Wax

    None

    1998-1999

    Arnie

    North Dakota

    R. Johnson

    1999-2000

    Arnie

    North Dakota

    Rosado, D. Wells

    2000-2001

    Harold

    New Orleans

    Leiter

    2001-2002

    Randy/Andrew/Tsuan

    Future Wax

    D. Wells

    2002-2003

    Jeff

    Area 51

    None

    2003-2004

    Eric

    Gawd B

    None

    2004-2005

    Tom

    Constantinople

    Redman

    2005-2006

    Tom

    Constantinople

    None

    2006-2007

    Tom

    Constantinople

    Sabathia

    * not sure if he spot started.

    13 of the 27 champions had no lefty starters. A compelling stat. And looking at the three champions with two lefty starters, Underwood (he of lefty-yanking rule fame), Nabholz, and Rosado were all spot starters, not regulars in the rotation. Meaning that half of all champions had no lefties in the rotation and the other half had one regular.


    The Cute Ratings [8/06]

    Presenting the nonannual Cute Ratings by Robin Perlow, guest columnist

    To, I’m sure, no one’s surprise, Bay City is the cutest team in the Sombilla, with a whopping 21 cute players, easily topping runner-up A51, who has 14 cuties. Swarzluna has the fewest, with only 8 cute players, but only 9 truly ugly ones, whereas FW has 15 ugly guys (compared to BC, which has only 4 ugly ones—including trade pick-up Kevin Mench). Catcher is probably the least attractive position (I didn’t separate infielders or outfielders by position), with only 5 cute ones out of 29 in the league. MF has 2 of these, so 4 teams (CN, ND, NO, A51) have no cute catchers.

    In my exhaustive search to determine the "cutest player in the SOMBILLA" (to replace the cut [and retired] Alex Gonzalez [not the Red Sox one] and the cut Steve Finley—the previous titleholders), there was no clear winner. I am forced to declare a tie amongst Khalil Greene (A51), Mike Cameron (FW), and newcomer J.J. Hardy (MF). My choices are purely subjective; thus, Cleveland heartthrob Grady Sizemore and former 50 Most Beautiful Person Mike Lowell didn’t make the cut. Certain players, including Matt Clement (SW), Nick Swisher (A51), Dan Johnson (FW), and Doug Davis (ND), would be more highly rated if they got rid of offensive facial hair—what I call the Billy Koch syndrome (a former BC player who, if not for his shaved head and chin fringe [the Jay Buhner look], would have been cute. Craig Wilson (FW) was much cuter as a Pirate with longer hair than as a Yankee (but this holds true for most players). A few current players (Jose Cruz, Jr., Ken Griffey, Jr., and Coco Crisp) are not as cute as their fathers (OK, I’m showing my age, and I’m anxious to get a look at Kyle Drabek, son of former BC ace Doug Drabek, who was highly drafted in MLB this June).

    What follows are a few notes on the high and low lights of each team (from worst to first). Please note that if I was not familiar with a player’s looks, I relied on the MLB Web site, so some people may have been unfairly but unavoidably penalized for being non-photogenic.

    SW (8)—Cutest player: Manny Ramirez (with the dreadlocks). Exceptionally unattractive bullpen (Turnbow, J. Tavarez, Rincon).

    CN (10)—Cutest player: Brad Radke, ugliest: Wise. Giambi much cuter as an A in the pre-steroid days.

    ND (10)—Cutest players: Rollins, Wily Mo, Francoeur (in fact, half the ND outfield is cute). Really ugly battery with Johnson pitching to either Bard or Castro. Travis Hafner (who’s actually from North Dakota) is the league’s ugliest DH.

    FW (12)—Cutest players: Cameron, Nomar, B. Anderson, D. Johnson. Least attractive: Barajas, Penny, Jacobs.

    MF (12)—Cutest players: Hardy, Zito (with hair), B. Roberts. Most attractive corps of catchers, with Javy Lopez and LaRue cute and Mauer not ugly. Tied with A51 for 2nd fewest ugly guys (6).

    NO (12)—Cutest players Benson, Cano, Michaels. Best smile: former BCer O-Dog. Colon-Posada battery rivals ND’s for ugliest. Very cute infield with Soriano still at 2B for the coming season.

    A51 (14)—Cutest player: Greene, Ugliest: Donnelly, Myers, Molina, Reyes. Another attractive outfield, with 5 of 8 being cute.

    BC (21)—Cutest players: new draftees Cotts, Granderson, and Langerhans, along with usual suspects Blalock, Wakefield, and Hawpe (newly discovered as cute—I never knew what he looked like till I did this study—nor did I know what the cute draftees looked like [except Huston Street] ). Ugliest: former A51er Mench, Laird, and Tejeda (all either former or current Texas Rangers--but so’s Blalock, so it’s not in the water there).

     


    BAD BOYS OF THE SOMBILLA [8/06]

    Which league’s franchise doesn’t give a shit about societal mores? Who flaunts boorish, illegal behavior in the rest of the league’s face? Which team is the most gentlemanly, intolerant of criminal activity on its roster? This summer, the SOMBILLA spotlight team studies the bad boys of the SOMBILLA - detailing a team by team summary of arrest records.

    Not surprisingly, Future Wax heads the shame roll. Tsuan and Andrew (and more recently Randy) clearly have an eye for stockpiling thugs, hoodlums and criminals. The question is, do their wives know about this predilection?

    At the other extreme, Constantinople has a very scant bad boy record.   Tom & Land win the goody two shoes award.

    Future Wax

    Area 51/Hatchbacks/Sardukar

    Manila Folders/Bunghole Quahogs

    (Jed assumes liability for both franchise’s bad boys)

    New Orleans

    North Dakota

    Swarzluna

     

    Bay City


    Constantinople

     



    Who have we burned? [8/06]

    Not really a study, just a compilation. Somewhat related to Study 3. Including direct quotes from recent summer newsletters:

    2006 – As usual we burned Barry Bonds.

    2005 - Robin had previously proposed resurrecting an old Canseco card and ‘injecting’ it, although she was vague about how that would be accomplished. As a result, we kept it simple and burned Barry Bonds.

    2004 - There was a lot of sentiment around burning ‘alleged’ steroid user Barry Bonds. There was also a lot of momentum for burning another Future Wax bad boy, rapist Ramon Castro. Some tried to argue creatively that, if it hadn’t been for the steroids, Bonds would be a rapist too. In the end, that speculation proved to be no match for actual facts, and Castro was burned.

    2003 - The winning choice was to burn David Wells, who was then burned. If we’d had a copy of his book we’d have burned that too.

    2002 - The winning choice was to burn Ruben Rivera. The card of Derek Jeter watched and cheered.

    2001 - The only nomination received was for Bobby Chouinard, who was then burned.

    2000 - Nominations were received for John Rocker, Al Martin, Daryl Strawberry, and Bobby Chouinard, the most number of nominations ever. The votes were Rocker 5, Martin 1 (Eric abstained). John Rocker was then burned.

    1999 - Wil Cordero

    1998 - Tony Phillips and Wil Cordero

    Previous to 1998, Robin was in charge of card burning decisions. At the ’97 draft, Land proposed formalizing the card burning process by allowing for nominations and putting the card burning to a vote. His proposal passed 7-2.

    1997 - Mike Greenwell

    1996 - Darryl Strawberry

    1995 - Jack Morris

    1994 - Matt Young

    1993 - Gary Carter

    1992 - Gary Carter

    1991 - Gary Carter

    1990 - Bill Buckner

    1989 - Glenn Hoffman

    1988 - Steve Garvey

    1987 - Pete Rose

    1986 - Pete Rose

    1985 - Mike Torrez

    1984 - Bucky Dent

    Card burnings for  years prior have not been documented.


    All-time SOMBILLA Home Run Leaders (updated 7/05)

    Last summer, we presented the top 71 all-time SOMBILLA home run leaders (all those with more than 50).

    Here is an updated list of the top 20:

    Rank     Name                     HR

    1

    Bonds

    297

    2

    Griffey

    197

    3

    Piazza

    169

    4

    McGwire

    162

    5

    Ramirez

    158

    6

    Sosa

    147

    7

    Thome

    146

    8

    Bagwell

    132

    9

    Rodriguez, A

    130

    10

    Thomas, F

    127

    11

    Williams, M

    127

    12

    Martinez, E

    122

    13

    McGriff

    121

    14

    Sheffield

    120

    15

    Belle

    116

    16

    Davis, E

    113

    17

    Gonzalez, Ju.

    112

    18

    Walker, L

    110

    19

    Burks

    105

    20

    Palmeiro

    101


    All-time SOMBILLA Wins Leaders

    As promised last summer, here is the following list of SOMBILLA wins leaders, dating back from ‘83-84, the first year we kept stats for all the teams, through last year. A couple of years in there, (for example, last year) not all the teams did their stats, but this is the best we can do.

    Hopefully, I got everyone. If you think of someone who should be on the list, let me know -and I’ll look into it. This list includes all those with 30 or more recorded wins:

    THE MAKING OF CONSTANTINOPLE


    Constantinople, thanks to the astute managing and GMing of Tom (and to a lesser extent, Land) won its first SOMBILLA championship 4 months ago – 13 years after being awarded an expansion franchise (Note: this 13 years is shorter than the 19 years it took the Yitz/Durga/Harold franchise to win its first championship, while Manila is on 20 and counting).

    In the spring of 1992, the SOMBILLA voted 6-2 to award Land his own expansion team and become the 9th team in the league. (Arnie and Robin, who were and are good friends with Land, cast the only opposing votes. Arnie because he didn’t want to do the extra scheduling and stats, and Robin, on principle. Land did not hold it against us, inviting us to his wedding a few years later.)

    A few weeks before the April draft, the other 7 teams were allowed to protect 30 players (then as now, rosters were 45 players). Since we (the established teams) were going to cut 10 of these people anyway, we basically screwed Land by giving him crap (or perhaps a slight upgrade from crap) expansion players to choose from. He was limited to 2 players per team. I recall that after he got the list he called me to ask if he was forced to actually take two players from every team. I said no.

    He got 10 draft picks – last pick in every round, then we gave him the stack of leftovers, from which he chose 20 or so players to fill out his roster. We magnanimously gave him two weeks to do that.

    1. Were any of the expansion pickups any good? Or even helpful? Well, in the ’92 Summer Newsletter, I posted the following analysis:

    From

    Who he took

    Who he should have taken

    Jed

    Fisk, E. King

    Bruno (.273), Deer (21 hr), Incaviglia (.278)

    Arnie

    Samuel, Maldonado

    Honeycutt (2.88), Welch (2.99)

    Matt

    Carpenter, Orsulak

    Carpenter (2.28) , Bichette (.314)

    Eric

    Eisenreich, L. Johnson

    Eisenreich (.277) , Seitzer (.283)

    Robin

    B. Smith, O’Brien

    Black (2.90), Jacoby (.280)

    Harold

    Hibbard, Treadway

    D. Jones (2.25)

    Dave

    Ojeda

    Ojeda (3.01 ), B. Witt (3.79)

    Andrew

    Mulholland, R. McDowell

    R. McDowell (2.95) , Magadan (.300)

    While I did some nitpicking analyses here, the fact is he had crap to choose from, since 2/3 of the guys on the list were about to get cut anyway. How did these 15 castoffs do? Did any of those 15 expansionists last? In the first year (in which Land finished 8th , beating out Jed & Clint), Samuel batted .291, Eisenreich .245, Fisk .231, while Mulholland was 3-9 (4.03), McDowell 2-2 (4.26) and Ojeda 3-3 (6.91). Samuel and Eisenreich were regulars.

    At the ’93 draft, Land cut 7 of these 15 players. In year 2, ‘93-94, Orsulak, Maldonado, Mulholland and Carpenter were all on the 25-man roster, Mulholland going 5-8 (4.28) for the last place team. By year 3, ‘94-95 (last place again), only Terry Mulholland remained. (I recall that when I called Land at work, I would leave word with the receptionist that "Terry Mulholland" had called). In ‘95-96, when Land shocked the league by making the playoffs, none of this group contributed.

    2. His fist draft? Tapani, Pagnozzi, Stanton, Joyner, Navarro, Do. Henry, C. Davis, P. Munoz, Mercedes, and A. Rhodes. 4 years later when he made the playoffs, Munoz, Davis, Joyner, and Pagnozzi were all on the team. In the ’96 summer newsletter, Chili Davis was named the best 7 th round pick (tied with T&A’s Mercker). Nobody else won a best or worst draft pick award.

    3. Finally, what about the stack of leftover sludge? He had 20 picks. During the 2 week period he had to decide, a couple of astute managers were also scouting this "pile" and offered some trades to Land in return for him picking up some guys they wanted. First, the choices:

    1. Pecota

    11 Taubensee

  • 2  D. Hansen
  • 12. F. Castillo

  • 3. P. Kelly
  • 13. Ashby

  • 4. M. Thompson
  • 14. W. Alvarez

  • 5. Belliard
  • 15. M. Williams

  • 6. D. Hamilton
  • 16. W. Ritchie

  • 7. Devereaux
  • 17. Pall

  • 8. L. Stevens
  • 18. Gott

  • 9. O. Nixon
  • 19. M. Freeman

  • 10. Rose
  • 20. Timlin

    Land immediately traded Stanton and A. Rhodes to Jed for Zeile. He also traded Thompson to Eric for a 7 th rounder in the following year’s draft. When Land made the playoffs 4 years later, Zeile, Hansen, O. Nixon and Taubensee all took part in the celebration. Nixon still holds the league’s all-time single season steal record (53 in ‘92-93)

    Check out that last guy! Literally, the 45th man on his roster, not even drafted, the last guy in the league and he’s having an all-star year in ’05. He was an ill-advised cut of Tom’s in 2002, the last remaining player on the original Constantinople.

    The ‘04-05 team

    Land hasn’t participated in a few years now. How many were Land guys and how many Tom’s? Researching the 25 players on Tom’s championship roster, here are a few facts:

    *RP note: He had the last pick in the draft and was choosing between Giambi and Mark Whiten. I counseled him to take the pre-steroid Giambi because he was so cute).

     

    The others:

    1999: Tom’s first draft – he and Land worked together. Abreau – 2nd round, Varitek – 6 th , C. Everett- 8th

    2000: Land and Tom still working together. Hudson – 1st, K. Wells – 4th, Dotel – 7 th

    2001: Land still active in Gming. It’s hard from the outside to know who was responsible for drafting whom. But at least until ’02, Land had a strong interest in participating as a GM. Herges – 7th round (cut in ’03 and redrafted in ’04).

    2002: The "contraction draft". Perhaps the low point of the Land/Tom marriage as there was some brief discussion of Tom getting Clint’s old team and finding a new manager for Land. In the end, they reached an amiable understanding. A. Jones – 1st , Nevin – 2nd (both former BiG DiG players), Mora – 13 th round (cut in ’03 and redrafted in ’04).

    2003: Tom may have been flying solo for this one. Borowski – 8th, C. Lee – 9th, J. Schmidt – 10 th

    2004: Land definitely AWOL. Ensberg – 1 st, Mora – 2nd, J. Guillen – 3rd , Redman – 4th, Herges – 4th, Bay – 7th , Stairs – 9th, Wunsch – 10th, Durham – 11th , Capuano – 12th


    MR. IRRELLEVANT

    In the NFL, the last player drafted is nicknamed "Mr. Irrelevant" and is feted to a week long party in California. Former Pats LB Marty Moore was drafted last and had a productive career for New England. So these guys can be good pickups, but there has to be some good scouting and some luck. We’ve even instituted our own tradition, shouting "Spooneybarger" to officially end the draft. Who are these guys? And who is the best Mr. Irrelevant?

    Year

    Name

    Drafted by

    Result after being drafted

    1985

    Rich Dotson

    Joel

    One season (0-1)

    1986

    Dave LaPointe

    Yitz

    DNP

    1987

    Don Sutton

    Joel

    DNP

    1988

    Andres Thomas

    Eric

    DNP

    1989

    Jody Davis

    Dave

    DNP (this was after a fine career with Yitz’s team)

    1990

    Fred Manrique

    Dave & Clint

    DNP

    1991

    Chuck Nagy

    Jed

    Three seasons (15-17)

    1992

    Dave Hollins

    Andrew

    One season

    1993

    J. T. Bruett

    Arnie (on behalf of Dave, as a result of a trade)

    DNP

    1994

    Lonnie Smith

    Arnie

    One season (.250)

    1995

    Danny Jackson

    Jed & Clint

    One season (3-5)

    1996

    Jason Giambi

    Land

    A great steroid-enhanced career

    1997

    Rob Deer

    Matt

    One season (.286)

    1998

    Larry Sheets

    Matt

    ? (no stats)

    1999

    David Ortiz

    Arnie

    Not a bad player

    2000

    Paul Abbott

    RAT

    One season (2-1)

    2001

    Mark Grace

    Harold

    Two seasons

    2002

    Jeromy Burnitz

    Harold

    DNP

    2003

    Tim Spooneybarger

    RAT

    DNP

    2004

    Doug Waechter

    Eric

    DNP

    2005

    Damian Easley

    Tom

     

    There is actually one Hall of Famer on this list. The problem is, when Joel drafted Don Sutton with the last pick of the 1987 draft, the guy was 42, and Joel was about to end his affiliation with the SOMBILLA. To me, that’s the worst Mr. Irrelevant pick. At least everyone else was trying. A pretty negligible list, with a couple of notable exceptions (as I write this, Ortiz just singled in A-Rod in the All-Star game). Giambi is the best Mr. Irrelevant, but after performance enhancing drugs are factored in, you have to go with Ortiz. Chuck Nagy is an honorable mention.

    Some of these guys did play in the league, although for most of those, their best Strat-O years were with other managers before they were redrafted as Mr. Irrelevant. For the record, this study was not my idea.


    All-time SOMBILLA Home Run Leaders (7/04)

    It’s been a long-time coming, but I finally did some serious data entry and have come up with the following list of SOMBILLA home run leaders, dating back from ‘83-84, the first year we kept stats for all the teams, through last year. A couple of years in there, not all the teams did their stats, but this is the best we can do.

    Hopefully, I got everyone. If you think of someone who should be on the list, let me know -and I’ll look into it. Next year, we’ll do the wins leaders:

    Here are the top 25:

    Rank        Name                      HR

    1

    Bonds

    264

    2

    Griffey

    193

    3

    McGwire

    162

    4

    Piazza

    159

    5

    Ramirez

    141

    6

    Sosa

    140

    7

    Thome

    128

    8

    Williams, M

    127

    9

    Bagwell

    124

    10

    McGriff

    121

    11

    Belle

    116

    11

    Martinez, E

    116

    13

    Davis, E

    113

    13

    Rodriguez, A

    113

    15

    Thomas, F

    111

    16

    Gonzalez, Ju.

    109

    16

    Walker, L

    109

    18

    Burks

    105

    18

    Sheffield

    105

    20

    Palmeiro

    101

    21

    Galarraga

    98

    21

    Mitchell, K.

    98

    23

    Strawberry

    94

    24

    Vaughn, M

    92

    25

    Klesko

    91

    25

    Ripken

    91

    Here’s everybody else with more than 50, although I’m less confident I got everybody.

    27

    Canseco

    81

    27

    Clark, W

    81

    27

    Murray, E

    81

    30

    Jones, C.

    76

    31

    Henderson, R.

    75

    31

    Murphy, D

    75

    33

    Ventura

    74

    34

    Giambi, J

    72

    34

    Lankford

    72

    36

    Williams, B

    71

    37

    Baines

    70

    37

    Bonilla

    70

    37

    Guerrero, V

    70

    40

    Tettleton

    68

    40

    Whitaker

    68

    42

    Dawson

    67

    43

    Jones, A

    66

    43

    Schmidt

    66

    43

    Tartabull

    66

    46

    Edmonds

    65

    46

    Hrbek

    65

    48

    Giles, B

    64

    48

    Justice

    64

    48

    Rodriguez, I.

    64

    48

    Sandberg

    64

    52

    Alou

    63

    52

    Buhner

    63

    54

    Brett

    62

    55

    Parrish, L

    60

    56

    Green, S

    59

    57

    Davis, G

    58

    58

    Fisk

    57

    59

    Delgado

    56

    60

    Winfield

    55

    61

    Biggio

    54

    61

    Mattingly

    54

    61

    Olerud

    54

    61

    Stanley

    54

    65

    Bichette

    53

    65

    Evans, DW

    53

    65

    Guerrero, P

    53

    65

    Vaughn, G

    53

    69

    Alomar, R

    51

    69

    Carter, G

    51

    71

    Helton

    50


    INJURIES IN THE SOMBILLA


    A recent e-mail chain that made its way around the league leads to this next study. Are injuries randomly dispersed throughout all the teams or does one team or a few teams receive an inordinate amount of injuries to its players?

    Ideally, we would examine a historical list of all players who have gone on the DL, say, over the past 10 years and add ‘em up. Or something like that. Unfortunately, I could find no such historical listing. So, I’ve come up with a few alternatives.

    1. Right now
    2. At the all-star break, 49 of the league’s 360 players were on the DL, or 14%. They were spread not so evenly among the league’s teams, ranging from a high of 9 players on the DL, (both RAT and Tom), to a low of 3 for Matt & Jed (only A. Boone, Beckett and Ohka). For the record, RAT’s DL was Williamson, J. Gonzalez, Mantei, Valverde, A. Ramirez, Griffey, Spooneybarger, R. Castro, and W. Miller. Tom’s DL was Mondesi, Mora, Stewart, Ellis, Hudson, Nelson, Borowski, Casey, and Nevin.

      But that’s just a snapshot in time. It doesn’t prove anything and you can’t draw any conclusions from it. Indeed, the snapshot would’ve been different in May, and will be different again in September (except for people like Ohka, Arthur Rhodes or Ritchie Sexson out for the season).

    3. Fluke injuries.

    Pitchers get sore arms. Players pull hamstrings. These are normal, almost expected. But occasionally, weird, inexplicable injuries occur to players. Is this a random occurrence by team or not? Well, some teams clearly are more susceptible to weird injuries. Coincidence? Here’s a collection of some of the strangest injuries over the years affecting SOMBILLA players by team:

    Robin:

    RAT

    Arnie

    Jeff/Dave/Joel

    Yitz/Harold

     

    Jed & Clint.

    Eric

     

    Matt:

     

    Tom/Land

     

    1. Deaths.

    On a more somber note, a few SOMBILLA players have actually died while on active rosters:

    1. Limited Players.
    2. For the only real ‘study’ here, I tried to look at limited players over the past 10 years per franchise. I made a point not to count mutants - guys with great cards drafted in spite of being limited. We’re looking at established roster people who are injured enough that they can’t get to 350 plate appearances and are hence limited. It’s not perfect - it won’t catch guys like Mo Vaughn who get injured for whole season.

      Unfortunately, the historical stats aren’t really up to where they should be to make this accurate. Unofficially, Tom & Land and Jeff both had 14 such players over the 10 years to lead the pack, followed closely by North Dakota with 13. The Folders and Bay City chime in with 12, while Harold and Jed had 9 each. Future Wax, surprisingly while hit with many unusual injuries (see above) had only 7 players over this time limited due to injury (they had plenty of mutants, who do not count). Eric brings up the rear with only 7, but that’s probably more of a function of all those years without stats than anything else.

       

    3. Conclusion.

    Robin’s team appears to have an inordinate number of injuries and deaths, but all teams appear to have been affected in one way or another. I was going to say that Matt appears least affected, but then I remembered Darryl Kile, whose demise rightly earned Matt a seat on the "couch of woe" on draft day.



    GREAT PLAYERS ON BAD TEAMS

    In 1972, Steve Carlton of the Philadelphia Phillies, went 27-10, with a 1.97 ERA to win the Cy Young Award. His team, as you may know, finished dead last, at 59-97, making Carlton’s season all the more remarkable. This summer, thanks to a suggestion by Eric, the league asks, "who have been the Steve Carltons of the SOMBILLA?"

    There have been some remarkably bad teams in the SOMBILLA. Here is a list of all the last place teams over the years:

    Year Team                       W  L  Pct  GB
    1979      Sardukar             20 30 .400  13
    1981-1982 North Dakota         14 36 .280  17
    1982-1983 North Dakota         19 31 .380  15
    1983-1984 Marakesh Express     23 27 .460  4.5
    1984-1985 Shellshock III Nazgul19 31 .380  10
    1985-1986 Manilla Folders      20 36 .357  15
    1986-1987 Sardukar             23 33 .410  11
    1987-1988 Sardukar             19 37 .339  20
    1988-1989 Bay City             21 35 .375  14
    1989-1990 Bay City             18 38 .321  26
    1990-1991 Bay City             23 33 .411  13
    1991-1992 Hatchbacks           21 35 .375  22
    1992-1993 Adirondack           19 37 .339  15
    1993-1994 Constantinople       21 35 .375  16
    1994-1995 Constantinople       19 37 .339  17
    1995-1996 Metrowest            18 38 .321  21
    1996-1997 Metrowest            19 37 .339  22
    1997-1998 Bay City             22 34 .393  12
    1998-1999 Kakania              16 40 .286  24
    1999-2000 Constantinople       23 33 .404  16
    2000-2001 Manila Folders       10 43 .189  27.5
    2001-2002 BiG DiG              18 38 .321  20
    2002-2003 Manila Folders       18 38 .321  16

    No doubt, there have been some pretty bad teams that did not finish in last place over the years. Indeed, on three occasions (85-86, 87-88 and 88-89) two teams finished at the bottom with identical records. But as always ties are broken based on head-to-head competition, and what better way to settle last place once and for all? I’d say this is a pretty fair representation of the worst SOMBILLA teams ever. The creme de la creme (or crap de la crap).

    So, have there been any great performances from this motley collection of SOMBILLA teams? Well, we only started keeping real stats for the league beginning in 1984, but I can say with a fair amount of certainty there wasn’t a single good performance from either of the two ND teams that were spectacularly bad during the SOMBILLA’s infancy.

    Fred Lynn of Eric’s ‘83-84 Marakesh Express was the first notable bad team high achiever, winning the league batting crown that year at .324 (that team also holds the record for being the best last-place team ever, finishing with a respectable .460 winning percentage). You have to shoot ahead 7 years to find another great performance – Robin’s Glenn Davis is still the only player to lead the league in homers for a last place team (19). Kenny Lofton was a stolen base leader for Jeff’s last place team in ‘96-97 (he had 19). The ‘99-00 Constantinople team had the only pitcher to lead the league in a major category from a last place team – he had 11 saves. The ill-fated BiG DiG team of ‘01-02 had Vlad Guerrero leading the league with a sparkling .754 slugging average. And finally, last season, Ichiro piled up 16 stolen bases to give the last-place Folders a league-leader. Some pretty lame performances in the long history of the league.

    The following is my best shot at the SOMBILLA’s all-time best performance for a last place team all-star team (I tried to stick to regulars, and not pick some shmuck who hit .380 in 32 at bats):

    Pos. Name         Team    Ave   HR   BI Comments

    1B Frank Thomas 97-98 BC .317   17   42
    2B Bret Boone   95-96 MW .335    5   27
    SS Cal Ripken   90-91 BC .286    6   30
    3B Chipper Jones96-97 MW .249   15   41
    3B George Brett 86-87 SA .295   10   29 Sentimental backup
    LF Kal Daniels  88-89 BC .311    8   27 Platoon player, only 122 AB
    CF Fred Lynn    84-84 ME .324   10   34 Batting leader, gold glover, 50 games
    RF V. Guerrero  01-02 BD .366   18   52 .754 SLG to lead league
    C  Gary Carter  86-87 SA .240   15   30
    DH Kevin Millar 02-03 MF .342   12   51
    PH Jose Canseco 91-92 HB .265   18   39
    PH Mo Vaughn    96-97 MW .288   17   37
    PH Glenn Davis  90-91 BC .239   19   34
    PH Julio Franco 91-92 HB .342    3   21
    PH Tony Gwynn   87-88 SA .332    5   31 13 SB

                                W-L   ERA   SV

    SP Jose DeLeon     92-93 AD 5-2   2.73
    SP Len Barker      84-85 ME 6-4   3.57
    SP Tom Browning    86-87 SA 7-7   3.36
    SP A. Fernandez    97-98 BC 8-5   5.58
    SP/RP S. Fernandez 90-91 BC 3-2   2.33   3
    SP/RP Jim Beattie  84-85 ME 6-2   3.30   1
    RP Niedenfuer      85-86 S3N3-2   2.19   2
    RP Bruce Sutter    85-86 MF 2-0   2.20   2
    RP Carman          86-87 SA 2-2   2.05   4
    RP Tom Henke       88-89 BC 5-2   3.47   3
    RP Jim Gott        94-95 CN 1-1   1.69   3
    RP Uegeth Urbina   99-00 CN 1-4   1.51  11


    Designing Ballparks

    Despite a plurality of the league against the concept of designing parks, we are still stuck with it. I was asked to do a study of the phenomenon of designing ballparks and whether this really leads to SOMBILLA extremism, whatever that means, and other heinous results.

    First, a few facts. This misguided rule was voted in at the 2000 annual meeting. Thus, we’ve played 3 seasons under this regime.

    Is there any correlation to success? Well despite the fact that only 8 of the league’s 26 teams (31%) over that period have used normal parks over the past 3 years, 2/3 (67%) of the league’s championships have been won by teams with normal parks. Of the 8 teams using normal parks, 4 made the playoffs (50%), while 8 of the 16 teams (also 50%) with designed ballparks also made the playoffs. Indeed, the only season in the last 10 years that North Dakota did not make the playoffs, was the one year that the team played in a designed park. One could argue that taken together, these two facts show that once a team reaches the playoffs, its success depends largely on whether or not it plays in a designed or a normal park.

    What about home advantage? Well, the home record for the 8 teams using normal parks over the past 3 years is 114-110 (.509). The home record for the abnormal parks was 261-241 (.520). Of course, there are other more important variables involved, like strength of team, to take any of these results too seriously. (That is, you could put together a team of Babe Ruth, Ty Cobb, Ted Williams, etc. and compare them in an abnormal park against a team full of Lou Merlonis in a normal park – or vice versa - well, you get the idea).

    The two main criticisms of designing ballparks are that allowing so, has, counterintuitively, led to a lack of creativity in designing parks and ballpark extremism. The two are actually interrelated.

    As far as creativity goes, in fairness, it’s interesting to note that in ‘01-02, two of the teams using normal parks, Jeff & Robin, played in the same ballpark (Chicago AL). The other team using a normal park that year, Randy, played in Colorado, which was the most extreme hitter’s park available for both sides.

    Nevertheless, the lack of creatively in designing parks jumps out and hits you in the face. In ‘00-01, Tom, Harold, and Matt all played in the same designed park, which also happened to be the most extreme park favoring righties allowable.

    In ‘00-01, 6 of the 7 teams that designed their park used at least one dimension in the extreme (either a 1-19, BP HR or S, 1-2 HR, or the largest spread allowed between lefty and righty), including the three mentioned above. In’ 01-02, 5 of 6 teams played in an extreme ballpark (under that definition), and the other team, arguably, played in the extreme average park (HR 1-10 both sides). And last year, again 5 of the 6 teams played in an extreme park. Thus, it’s an indisputable fact that designing parks has led to ballpark extremism. (And, as a correlation, when 84% of teams that design their parks do so with an extreme park, the league suffers from a lack of creativity.)

    One of the responses to this fact is, "so what? Why is that a bad thing?" That’s a hard question to answer objectively. One could probably point to skewed home/away stats if we had such data, but we don’t. Although there seems to be no significant home field advantage (indeed, 2 of the 3 best home teams last year played in normal parks), we’re left with more subjectivity than objectivity. (If anyone has suggestions for data to look at in an objective study of this issue, I’d be happy to listen).

    So, subjectively, I ask in response to "so what?" whether it is a good thing that 2 of the 6 designed parks last year had HR 1-19 for righties, and 2 others used HR 1-19 for lefties? Or that 4 of the 7 teams designing parks in ‘00-01 used 1-19 for righty homers? Is that creative? Would they all end up in Colorado (which, ironically, is now the absolute extreme this year, 1-19 for everything) if they couldn’t design such parks, as has been suggested? Given that all of these teams had significantly reduced HR for the non- 1-19 side, I don’t think so.

    In short, it is indisputable that designing parks has led to extremism, and as a direct result of the quest for extremism, a lack of ballpark creativity. As to whether that’s good or bad, you’ll have to judge for yourself.

    Addendum number 1 - by Eric
    Thanks Arn. Another really nerdly terrific job. If the summer newsletters were to ever survive as the lone artifacts of humankind, I believe it to be a given that an alien race would never be able to decode our mysteries. Hell, it's tough enough for me, and I live at the center of a
    dark, human mystery.
            Okay, let's talk about Summer Study No. 4 - Designing Ballparks. It's classic Arnstudy, both fair and biased, and filled with many ingenious parentheticals. The data since our conversion to designer parks seems to bear out Arnie's thesis that we are dull and un-inventive and perhaps even frightened by our own freedom to choose. I, of course, am never dull, almost always inventive, but predictably terrified and distrustful of my own freedom. But that doesn't mean I want structure imposed from with-out. I just need to get laid (but that's another dark, all-too-human mystery).
            I would embrace (if embrace is the right word, and if a parenthetical is indeed the right place to question word choice) (...and it probably is...) Arnie's critique if it included a similar study of the three years prior to the advent of designerism. But I fear the results would show that extremism and lack of creativity exists within the smaller selection of Stratparks, and that being given the freedom to design merely allows us to
    mirror our own past choices. And then be smug about it, even if our team gets smoked at home. To wit: having scanned the available Stratparks for this year, only one seems to fill, in part, the criteria for my team as it exists now. I say "seems" because I am not an off-season in-putter of data or cruncher of numbers. It's too hot. The only thing I crunch is the ice in my rum and coke. And I say "in part", because while I like the lefty/righty homer differential of that Stratpark, I don't like the singles situation. (Which reminds me, I need to join a dating service.) Admittedly, though, I have no greater intuition or expertise today than other years in selecting
    numbers for a park. It's a crap shoot. So...
            In New Hampshire, motorcyclists are not required by law to wear a helmets. Seems pretty stupid to me, but I don't ride a motorcycle. The law essentially says that if you're dumb enough to get on a hog without a helmet then you're smart enough to accept the consequences of your choice, even if you wipe out and wake up brain-dead.
            I think Arnie has given us good information to work with. He exposes our lack of creativity and shows that we are apt to give in to our sporting hormones and go for the cheap thrills of excess. He shows that we are more alike than different, which, if he were an anthropologist, sort of makes him the Louis Leakey of Strato.
            But as Arnie says, the problem is ultimately subjective. Would putting an end to designer parks increase creativity and limit extremism? Subjectively, and perhaps even objectively, I'd say it wouldn't.

    Addendum number 2 - Arnie
    Slicing through the introspective laments, musings, and assorted and sundry silliness, Eric responded to this summer's study on designing ballparks by agreeing with the conclusion that the league has not shown creativity in designing ballparks.
        To quote:  "I would embrace (if embrace is the right word, and if a parenthetical is indeed the right place to question word choice) (...and it probably is...) Arnie's critique if it included a similar study of the three years prior to the advent of designerism. But I fear the results would show that extremism and lack of creativity exists within the smaller selection of Stratparks, and that being given the freedom to design merely allows us to mirror our own past choices."
        Tsuan and Jeff weighed in that they agreed with Eric (although I'm not too confident that they understood exactly what they were agreeing to).  For example, Eric later noted that he did not like the singles situation of a particular ballpark, and in doing so, reminded himself that he has to join a dating service.  Were they agreeing with this observation as well.
        In any event, I have gone back to the three years prior to the league's adoption of designing ballpark abominations, er, dimensions.  I was able to determine 7 of the 9 parks from '97-98, 5 of 9 from '98-99 and 7 of 9 from '99-00.  Here are the results:

        '97-98:  3 teams played in Colorado (1-19 everything) that year - Matt, RAT, and Eric.  Harold played in the opposite - LA, which had HR 1-3 and S 1 for both sides.  Robin played in the most extreme park against lefties - HR L 1-2, R 1-8 (although it favored lefties for singles 1-14/1-9). ND was extremely average - 1-9 for everything.  CN, then managed by Brian, showed some creativity, LS 1-3, LHR 1-7, RS 1-9, RHR 1-12.

        '98-99:  Jeff and I both played in Cinci, the park which most favored lefties (HR 1-16 for L, 1-6 for R).  Harold played in a park that favored righties (1-8/1-3 HR) and (1-15/1-12 S).  Matt played in the park that most favored righties (HR 1-18/1-9), although this park, like Robin's the year before, favored lefties for singles (1-10/1-7).  Robin's park favored lefties (1-15/1-9 HR), but was even for S (1-11).

        '99-00:  Matt and RAT both chose Colorado, but note that Colorado that year had L HR 1-16, and R HR 1-19.  Robin chose an average park (HR 1-10).  Jeff and ND both chose parks that favored lefties, but differently (1-14/1-9 HR for Jeff, 1-11/1-3 HR for ND).  Both Harold and Eric chose parks with singles - 1.  Harold's HR was 1-5, while Eric had 1-9 L and 1-12 R.

        Observations:  Extremeism cannot be avoided.  In any year, most teams will seek out an extreme hitter's park, extreme pitcher's park or a park that favors one side heavily.  It is likely that 2 or more teams will choose the same park (but no more likely than with designing ballparks).  But, when forced to choose among the 50 'real' parks, there does seem to be more creativity.  Sometimes, an extreme park for HR is opposite for singles.  This forces extremists to either choose that 'mixed' park or choose a park that's less extreme, with different creative numbers.  Other times, with the notable exception of Colorado, the parks that are extreme for homers at one end, are not extreme or are average for singles.

        Conclusion:  Extremeism cannot be avoided.  I do believe there has been a noticable (but not large) decrease in creativity due to designing parks.



    Comparing great SOMBILLA teams [7/02]

    Because I have all of the computer teams since 1989, I thought it would be fun to compare great SOMBILLA teams of the recent past. This study will be in three parts. First, I ran the past eight SOMBILLA champion teams in one league to see which team was the best, from the ‘94-95 White Visitation through the current reigning ‘01-02 Future Wax champions. I used each team’s actual home ballpark numbers (I knew saving all those old scoresheets would come in handy for something.) Here are the results (note the 168-game schedule)

                              W   L   Pct  GB
    ‘01-02 Future Wax        98  70  .583  --
    ‘98-99 North Dakota      90  78  .536   8
    ‘97-98 Future Wax        90  78  .536   8
    ‘95-96 North Dakota      89  79  .530   9
    ‘99-00 North Dakota      86  82  .512  12
    ‘00-01 New Orleans       82  86  .488  16
    ‘94-95 White Visitation  73  95  .435  25
    ‘96-97 Finn’s People     64  104 .381  34

    Playoffs

    ‘01-02 Future Wax d. ‘95-96 North Dakota 4 games to 3
    ‘98-99 North Dakota d. ‘97-98 Future Wax 4 games to 2

    World Series

    ‘01-02 Future Wax d. ‘98-99 North Dakota 4 games to 0

    Was last year’s Future Wax champion the greatest SOMBILLA team of all time? Now before we all jump on the ‘ridicule Eric’ bandwagon, let’s look at his champion teams more closely. That Finn’s People team was in fact a .500 team, finishing in 4th place at 28-28. Eric was one game ahead of two teams tied for 5th, 13 games behind Future Wax that year (41-15), before stunning FW and ND in the post-season. The computer only looks at these teams on paper. And on paper, that’s a .500 team. The White Visitation champions of 1995 also finished in 4 th place, and in fact, had to win a one-game playoff over Robin to earn the right to play more post season games. While I can program the computer with certain of Eric’s managerial tendencies ("Extreme Aggressive" relief usage for example), the computer cannot reproduce Eric’s great post-season managing abilities and inexplicable post-season karma. The computer blindly sees two 4th place teams (including a .500 team) and thinks they’d get pounded by these other teams. Would they?

    Average

    Wins

    Garciaparra ‘01-02 FW .365

    R. Johnson ‘95-96 ND 22-11

    Ramirez     ‘00-01 NO .349

    Clemens     ‘99-00 ND 21-7

    Piazza      ‘97-98 FW .339

    P. Martinez ‘01-02 FW 20-4

    Nilsson     ‘97-98 FW .329

    Saberhagen  ‘95-96 ND 19-16

    Bonds ‘97-98 FW .322

    Clemens     ‘95-96 ND 18-12

       

    Home Runs

    ERA

    McGriff    ‘95-96 ND 67

    P. Martinez ‘01-02 FW 2.91

    Griffey    ‘97-98 FW 59

    Clemens     ‘99-00 ND 2.95

    Bonds      ‘97-98 FW 56

    R. Johnson  ‘95-96 ND 3.76

    Ramirez    ‘00-01 NO 54

    Nomo        ‘96-97 FP 4.01

    Piazza     ‘97-98 FW 50

    Clemens     ‘98-99 ND 4.35

    RBIs

    Saves

    Ramirez ‘00-01 NO 158

    Hoffman    ‘99-00 ND 39

    McGriff ‘95-96 ND 153

    Wagner     ‘00-01 NO 34

    Bagwell ‘00-01 NO 146

    Wetteland  ‘95-96 ND 28

    Griffey ‘97-98 FW 142

    McMichaels ‘94-95 WV 27

     

    Jiminez    ‘01-02 FW 25



    MVP

    Cy Young

    Bonds   ‘97-98 FW 618

    Clemens    ‘99-00 ND 793

    Ramirez   ‘00-01 NO 603

    P Martinez ‘01-02 FW 754

    Griffey   ‘97-98 FW 594

    R Johnson  ‘95-96 ND 750

    Bagwell   ‘00-01 NO 587

    Wagner     ‘00-01 NO 723

    McGriff   ‘95-96 ND 568

    Clemens    ‘95-96 ND 584


    First team All-stars                           Second team All-stars

    C  Piazza      ‘97-98 FW                       Piazza     ‘01-02 FW
    1B Bagwell     ‘00-01 NO                       McGriff    ‘95-96 ND
    2B Kent        ‘01-02 FW                       Biggio     ‘00-01 NO
    3B Rolen       ‘98-99 ND                       Thome      ‘97-98 FW
    SS Garciaparra ‘01-02 FW                       Larkin     ‘99-00 ND
    LF Bonds       ‘97-98 FW                       Bonds      ‘01-02 FW
    CF Griffey     ‘97-98 FW                       B Williams ‘98-99 ND
    RF Ramirez     ‘00-01 NO                       Sheffield  ‘97-98 FW
    P Clemens      ‘99-00 ND                       Nomo       ‘96-97 FP
    P Martinez     ‘01-02 FW                       Clemens    ‘98-99 ND
    R Johnson      ‘95-96 ND                       R. Johnson ‘98-99 ND
    Wagner         ‘00-01 NO                       Wetteland  ‘95-96 ND
    Clemens        ‘95-96 ND                       Rojas      ‘97-98 FW
    Hoffman        ‘99-00 ND                       S. Reed    ‘99-00 ND

     

    Run no. 2

    For the 2nd run, I decided to let everyone play. I chose each franchise’s best team including all the years since I’ve had computer Strat-O (going back to the 1989 cards, or the ‘90-91 season). Future Wax, North the White Visitation and New Orleans were all plucked from the first run. (The highest finishing season in the first run was chosen, except for New Orleans, which had just one representative). Constantinople’s representative team was from last year, when Tom finished at 38-18, finishing in 2 nd place on a tie-breaker. Jeff’s team was the Metrowest team from the ‘98-99 season, which finished in 3rd place at 33-23, losing to New Orleans in 7 games in the playoffs. Matt’s team was the ‘94-95 Folders that finished in 2nd place at 32-24, beat Future Wax in 5 games, and then lost to the White Visitation in the World Series in 7 games. Robin’s representative was ‘92-93 Bay City, which finished in 1 st place at 34-22, losing to Future Wax in 7 games in the playoffs. For Jed & Clint, you have to go all the way back to their first season together, the last time that franchise made the playoffs – ‘91-92 – when they finished in 2nd place at 31-25 (losing in 6 games to Ross’s Raiders in the playoffs. Thanks to some serious research, I was able to use each team’s actual ballpark numbers from their season.

                              W   L  Pct  GB
    ‘01-02 Future Wax        99  61 .619  --
    ‘01-02 Constantinople    88  72 .550  11
    ‘98-99 North Dakota      87  73 .544  12
    ‘94-95 White Visitation  86  74 .538  13
    ‘00-01 New Orleans       83  77 .519  16
    ‘98-99 Metrowest         81  79 .506  18
    ‘94-95 Manila Folders    74  86 .463  25
    ‘91-92 Arkansas          64  96 .400  35
    ‘92-93 Bay City          58 102 .363  41

    Playoffs

    ‘01-02 Future Wax d. ‘94-95 White Visitation 4 games to 0
    ‘98-99 North Dakota d. ‘01-02 Constantinople 4 games to 1

    World Series

    ‘01-02 Future Wax d. ‘98-99 North Dakota 4 games to 0.

    Was last year’s Future Wax champion the greatest SOMBILLA team of all time? Is there bias toward the more recent teams or are those teams just stronger? Well, given that both the White Visitation and New Orleans fared better in this league, than in the first run, I’d say that it’s just a question of the quality of the teams, not the year of the cards.

    Average

    Wins

    Garciaparra ‘01-02 FW .350

    Maddux       ‘01-02 MW 21-9

    E. Martinez ‘00-01 NO .338

    Clemens      ‘98-88 ND 18-14

    Greer       ‘98-99 MW .335

    P. Martinez  ‘01-02 FW 17-4

    Ramirez     ‘00-01 NO .333

    L. Hernandez ‘01-02 FW 17-11

    Molitor     ‘94-95 MF .332

    Hentgen      ‘98-99 MW 17-10

       

    Home Runs

    ERA

    Sheffield   ‘01-02 FW 57

    P. Martinez ‘01-02 FW 3.20

    Ramirez     ‘00-01 NO 55

    Rijo        ‘94-95 MF 3.59

    M. Williams ‘94-95 MF 55

    R. Johnson  ‘98-99 ND 3.94

    Bagwell     ‘00-01 NO 52

    Farr        ‘91-92 AK 4.25

    L. Walker   ‘98-99 MW 50

    Clemens     ‘98-99 ND 4.29



    RBIs

    Saves

    Ramirez     ‘00-01 NO 169

    G. White   ‘01-02 CN 40

    Sheffield   ‘01-02 FW 155

    McMichaels ‘94-95 WV 33

    L. Walker   ‘98-99 MW 152

    Wagner     ‘00-01 NO 32

    Bagwell     ‘00-01 NO 150

    Wetteland  ‘98-99 ND 28

    M. Williams ‘94-95 MF 143

    Myers      ‘98-99 MW 23



    MVP

    Cy Young

    Bagwell       ‘00-01 NO 623

    P Martinez ‘01-02 FW 664

    Sheffield     ‘01-02 FW 596

    Wagner     ‘00-01 NO 600

    Ramirez       ‘00-01 NO 583

    Clemens    ‘98-99 ND 516

    L. Walker     ‘98-99 MW 578

    Park       ‘01-02 CN 503

    A. Rodriguez, ‘01-02 CN 571

    R Johnson  ‘98-99 ND 480

    First team All-stars                      Second team All-stars

    C Piazza       ‘97-98 FW                  Stanley ‘94-95 WV
    1B Bagwell     ‘00-01 NO                  E Martinez ‘01-02 NO
    2B Alfonzo     ‘01-02 CN                  Kent ‘01-02 FW
    3B M Williams  ‘94-95 MF                  Fryman ‘01-02 FW
    SS A Rodriguez ‘01-02 CN                  Ripken ‘92-93 BC
    LF Sheffield   ‘01-02 FW                  Belle ‘94-95 MF
    CF Dykstra     ‘94-95 WV                  Griffey ‘01-02 FW
    RF Ramirez     ‘00-01 NO                  L Walker ‘98-99 MW
    P Clemens      ‘99-00 ND                  G White ‘01-02 CN
    P Martinez     ‘01-02 FW                  Maddux ‘01-02 FW
    R Johnson      ‘95-96 ND                  Rijo ‘94-95 MF
    Wagner         ‘00-01 NO                  Wetteland ‘98-99 ND
    Park           ‘01-02 CN                  Hentgen ‘98-99 MW
    McMichael      ‘94-95 WV                  Hudson ‘01-02 CN


    Run no. 3

    For the last run, I decided to take each team’s best players from the last 5 years to form 9 "Superteams." Each team features the best players from the ‘97-98 season through the just completed ‘01-02 season (representing the 1996-2000 cards). No duplicate players were allowed, not just on one team, but in the entire league. I let the computer decide which team was able to use the best player. For example, Kevin Brown could have played for 3 franchises – Matt, Clint or Harold. The computer decided that the 1996 Kevin Brown (‘97-98 Manila Folders) was the best. A list of all the other players who could have played for 2 or 3 teams in this league, but did not:

     
    Using each team’s ballpark from the ‘99-00 season, here are the final standings:

                        W   L  Pct  GB
    New Orleans       115  45 .719  -
    Future Wax         95  65 .594  20
    North Dakota       95  65 .594  20
    Gawd B             88  72 .550  27
    Constantinople     75  85 .469  40
    BiG DiG            70  90 .438  45
    Manila Folders     66  94 .413  49
    Bay City           62  98 .388  53
    Area 51           54  106 .338  61

     
    Playoffs

    Future Wax d. North Dakota 4 games to 1
    New Orleans d. Gawd B 4 games to 2

    World Series

    New Orleans d. Future Wax 4 games to 2

    I think what this shows, unequivocally, is that Harold has had the most depth, by far, of any team in the league over the past 5 years. Or at least more of his players had great years between 1996 and 2000 than any other team. The funny thing is, only 4 of Harold’s 25-man roster were from his champion team of 2000-2001 (1999 cards). The breakdown:

    1996: Grissom, Hundley, Percival, Rivera

    1997: Al. Benes, Biggio, Erickson, D. Jones, Schilling, Spiers

    1998: Alou, Harnisch, Leiter, C Wilson

    1999: Bagwell, R Cedeno, Vizquel, Wagner

    2000: Glaus, Hidalgo, Jenkins, E. Martinez, Nen, Posada, Ramirez

    Average

    Wins

    Piazza FW      .342

    Schilling NO 25-7

    E. Martinez NO .322

    Clemens ND 22-9

    Ramirez NO     .310

     

    Caminiti BD    .308

     

    Bonds FW       .308

     
       

    Home Runs

    ERA

    McGwire MF 77

    Millwood GB   3.58

    Bonds FW   67

    Clemens ND    4.25

    Bagwell NO 61

    Fassero GB    4.32

    Sosa BC    57

    P Martinez FW 4.43

     

    Glavine GB    4.52

       

    RBIs

    Saves

    Bonds FW    168

    Hoffman ND    42

    McGwire MF  154

    Foulke GB     37

    Hidalgo NO  149

    Wagner NO     36

    Glaus NO    147

    Williamson FW 31

    Castilla FW 141

    Gordon BC     23

    MVP

    Cy Young

    Bonds FW        663

    Schilling NO  770

    McGwire MF      638

    Foulke GB     667

    Bagwell NO      613

    Clemens ND    666

    Burks CN        585

    Wagner NO     657

    A. Rodriguez CN 567

    P Martinez FW 626

    First team All-stars                     Second team All-stars

    C  Piazza FW                             I Rodriguez BC
    1B McGwire MF                            Bagwell NO
    2B Biggio NO                             R Alomar ND
    3B Glaus NO                              Castilla FW
    SS A Rodriguez CN                        Larkin ND
    LF Bonds FW                              Burks CN
    CF Hidalgo NO                            Edmonds MF
    RF Sosa BC                               Sheffield FW
    P Clemens ND                             Hoffman ND
    P Martinez FW                            R Johnson ND
    Foulke GB                                Smoltz BD
    Wagner NO                                D Jones NO
    Schilling NO                             Williamson FW
    Rivera NO                                Millwood GB


    THE CUT LISTS [7/02]

    Tom expressed an interest in having the historical record of all of the cut lists on record (which circulate as one big stack on draft day, and go back to 1989) and have them posted on the website. So this is really more of a historical data dump than a true study, although certain interesting facts can be gleaned. For example, who has been cut the most times? This is clearly an inexact science as some people literally put on their cut list – "Smith" or "Jones" or "Wilson, etc – and I refuse to go back and try and figure out who such person is (even if that would be theoretically possible.). As best I can tell no one has been cut four times. The following players have been cut thrice: Rick Aguilera, Stan Belinda, Mark Eichhorn, Joe Girardi, Lonnie Smith, Dick Schofield, Todd Stottlemyre, and Dave Valle. This also answers the question of who has been drafted the most times (except for any three-timers who are still in the league, like Jeromy Burnitz). But like death and taxes, inevitably, all players, even Cal Ripken himself, end up on the cut list [unless of course they are contracted out of existence]).


    Cut list 3/30/02


















    North Dakota

    New Orleans

    TTFKA Bay City

    Gawd B

    Manila Folders

    Future Wax

    Area 51

    Constantinople


    Saberhagen

    Alan Benes

    Cal Ripken Jr

    Lansing

    Fasano

    Palmer

    Brocail

    Baldwin


    Fletcher

    Harnisch

    Sadler

    D. Cruz

    Beck

    Wohlers

    Swindell

    Rupe


    Rick White

    T. Jones

    Frye

    Payton

    Colbrunn

    Hocking

    Greer

    Thurman


    Bergeron

    Trachsel

    McElroy

    G. Vaughn

    Richard

    Johnstone

    Veras

    Timlin


    Hatteberg

    Wunsch

    E. Wilson

    Flaherty

    R. Ordonez

    Galarraga

    Huff

    Veres


    Lima

    Hairston

    Reames

    Nitkowski

    Bichette

    K. Rogers

    Randa

    G. White


    Grebeck

    S. Alomar

    Elarton

    Hampton

    Mahomes

    M. Williams

    Wendell

    Batista


    Hill

    Burkhart

    Stairs

    Fetters

    D'Amico

    Embree

    Wall

    DeShields


    Sheldon

    A. Boone

    Buford

    Cook

    Ledee

    K. Walker

    Eaton

    C. Guillen


    C. Smith

    Grace

    Dreifort

    JT Snow

    Oliveras

    Tavarez

    A. Gonzalez

    Stynes


    Shaw

    Speirs

    A. Brown

    Belle

    Mulholland

    Abbott


    Anderson


    Barrett

    D. Lewis

    A Fernandez

    Bernero

    Graffanino

    Piatt


    Vander Wal


    Rosado

    R. Rivera

    Aybar

    J. Wright

    Bell

    Rusch


    Clement


    Silva





    Mi. Williams


    Howry







    Truby




                     

    Cut list 4/1/01









                     

    North Dakota

    New Orleans

    TTFKA Bay City

    Dewey Dells

    Manila Folders

    Future Wax

    Area 51

    Jed & Clint

    Constantinople

    Nagy

    T. Fernandez

    M Maddux

    Ju. Guzman

    Carlyle

    Moyer

    Blake

    Halladay

    Dunwoody

    S. Reed

    Widger

    Q McCracken

    John Valentin

    C Castillo

    Simas

    McGlinchy

    R. Henderson

    Brosius

    Wetteland

    Mayne

    W Veras

    Ed. Perez

    M Jackson

    Delucci

    Canseco

    Gooden

    BJ Jones

    C. Hernandez

    FPS

    B Anderson

    Grimsley

    R Brogna

    Chouinard

    Hentgen

    Offerman

    R Martinez

    Lampkin

    Grissom

    F Cordova

    Curtis

    Ram Ortz

    Wakefield

    Wilson

    H. Rodriguez

    Alvarez

    A. Nunez

    Grace

    W Gonzalez

    Spradlin

    Weiss

    Castillo

    Morris

    Gwynn

    Huskey

    Sanchez

    Irabu

    O Cabrera

    Stottlemyre

    Knoblauch

    Munoz

    Stanley

    Jaha

    Karros

    Benard

    Pote

    T Martinez

    Aguilera

    Mabry

    Thompson

    J Guillen

    K. Garcia

    Trammel

    O'Neill

    Erickson

    K Escobar

    E. Davis

    Navarro

    Lloyd

    Sauerbeck

    Nilsson

    Hermanson

    Sefcik


    Acevedo

    H Baines

    S Andrews

    Rincon

    Buhner

    Seanez

    Neagle



    Cone






    Tapani










    Cut list 4/2/00


















    North Dakota

    New Orleans

    TTFKA Bay City

    Clavius

    Manila Folders

    Future Wax

    Metrowest

    Shithead

    Constantinople

    J Reed

    Olson

    B McRae

    Cather

    X Hernandez

    Taylor

    Greene

    Service

    Darensbourg

    Leyritz

    Girardi

    Osborne

    Jo Valentin

    Hoiles

    Ogea

    Tucker

    Jeffries

    C Perez

    Segui

    Mar Anderson

    Hayes

    Orosco

    Molitor

    Plesac

    Assenmacher

    B Smith

    Joyner

    Candiotti

    Davis

    Berry

    Portugal

    Nunnally

    Montgomery

    Cloude

    A Hinch

    C Davis

    Estes

    Bradford

    Pulsipher

    Bere

    Tabaka

    Gunderson

    M Clark

    M Caruso

    O Nixon

    Plunk

    Wilson

    Morandini

    Brantley

    D White

    Belinda

    Bergman

    A Gonzalez

    T Greene

    S Spencer

    Goodwin

    R Winn

    W Guerrero

    R Becker

    Bottalico

    R Myers

    B Higginson

    Radinsky

    Loiselle

    Lewis

    Mesa

    McMichael

    Relaford

    Ledesma

    Paul Wilson

    D Bell

    Osuna

    D Fletcher


    Corsi

    Gant

    TJ Mathews

    Lee

    Fontenot

    Moehler

    Guillen

    Wells


    J Carter

    Crabtree

    Stanton

    Rojas


    B Bohanan







    Hamilton













    Cut list 4/3/99









                     

    North Dakota

    New Orleans

    Bay City

    Kakania

    Manila Folders

    Future Wax

    Metrowest

    Bunghole Quahogs

    CN

    Dickson

    Baerga

    Merced

    Eldred

    T Evans

    B Hunter

    Naehring

    Wilkins

    Hollandsworth

    Magnante

    T Ward

    Embree

    K Hill

    Lira

    D Nilsson

    Holtz

    Cordova

    Zeille

    Sojo

    Ochoa

    Tewksbury

    James

    M Wilkins

    Hershiser

    McDowell

    Grudzielanek

    L Johnson

    Conine

    Kev Mitchell

    Surhoff

    McDonald

    Wasdin

    Ayala

    Haynes

    Jaha

    Taubensee

    Gilkey

    FP Santangelo

    Drabek

    MacFarlane

    B Roberts

    Danny Patterson

    Steinbach

    Berroa

    O'Leary

    R Jefferson

    Orie

    Al Martin

    Fielder

    Mouton

    Mike Grace

    Blauser

    Hollins

    F Rodriguez

    Da Martinez

    Baldwin

    Vizcaino

    Sprague

    Stocker

    Bochtler

    Key

    Carrasco

    Valdes

    D'Amico

    Hanson

    Bonilla

    Stahoviak

    Sheets

    Holt

    Newfield

    Avery

    J Gonzalez

    McGriff

    Langston

    Jamey Wright

    Fassero

    Thompson

    K Ryan

    Clark

    Sanders

    Astacio


    D Jones


    Burkett

    Bautista

    Stephenson

    Holmes

    Florie






    Spoljaric



    Worrell




















    Cut list 3/29/98


















    North Dakota

    New Orleans

    Bay City

    Lagavulan 16

    Manila Folders

    Future Wax

    Metrowest

    Bunghole Q

    Constantinople

    Belcher

    J Ruffin

    S Fernandez

    Bullinger

    Borbon

    Valle

    Cormier

    Hitchcock

    Acre

    Casian

    King

    Borland

    Sandberg

    Deer

    Cordero

    Slaught

    Hudek

    C Perez

    Fossas

    Howard

    Tarasco

    Pavlik

    Maddux

    Espinoza

    McLemore

    Slocumb

    Prieto

    Schourek

    C Garcia

    M Nieves

    T Worrell

    McCaskill

    Elster

    Wendell

    Wade

    Van Landingham

    Osik

    Bielecki

    B Butler

    F Castillo

    Sparks

    D. Martinez

    Ju Franco

    Watson

    Girardi

    Gil

    Smiley

    P Kelly

    J Walton

    Listach

    Wolcott

    Tettleton

    Leyritz

    Pagnozzi

    G Hill

    Petkovsek

    B Ruffin

    Lemke

    Karsay

    M Guthrie

    Everett

    Paquette

    Mieske

    R Cedeno

    Eisenreich

    R Pemberton

    Tartabull

    Stottlemyre

    Boggs

    Charlton

    Phillips

    Whiten

    Naehring

    Seitzer

    J Bluma

    Roberson

    Karcovice

    Eckersley

    Rogers

    Discarcina

    Foster



    T Goodwin


    B Brown

    Coppinger

    Bordick


    Sanders





    Rapp




    D Young




























    Cut list 3/29/97


















    North Dakota

    New Orleans

    Bay City

    Finn's People

    Manila Folders

    Future Wax

    Metrowest

    Bunghole Q

    Constantinople

    Cummings

    E Anthony

    Henke

    Russell

    DeLeon

    Whitaker

    Oliva

    Perry

    P Munoz

    Leiper

    Ontiveros

    Ry Thompson

    Leskanic

    B MacDonald

    Puckett

    Lewis

    Javier

    G Pena

    Whiteside

    Pena

    Eichhorn

    Hamelin

    Me Perez

    Pirkl

    Pendleton

    Veres

    Reboulet

    L Gomez

    Henry

    Eischen

    Dykstra

    Rijo

    B Henry

    Greenwell

    Eusebio

    Hansen

    Sierra

    A Cedeno

    P Wagner

    Parent

    Swift

    D Johns

    Aguilera

    Henneman

    Gates

    G Williams

    Gagne

    Grebeck

    Bones

    Mattingly

    Mercker

    Alfonzo

    Lewis

    Belinda

    Hayes

    Cangelosi

    E Williams

    BR Hunter

    Plantier

    Carreon

    Blauser

    Murray

    M Perez

    Daulton

    Gonzalez

    Hosey

    Sabo

    Abbott

    Reuter

    Williams

    Carr

    Van Poppel


    Raines

    J Bates

    Manto

    Gaetti

    Haney


    Risley

    Bere


    T Scott

    Jacome


    Andujar

    Meacham


    Blowers

    B Munoz



















    Cut list 3/30/96


















    North Dakota

    New Orleans

    Bay City

    White Visitation

    Manila Folders

    Future Wax

    Metrowest

    Freon Smugglers

    CN

    Kreuter

    Freeman

    M Munoz

    Tom Greene

    Burnitz

    B Harvey

    A Young

    Arocha

    Whitmore

    Kruk

    Howe

    PA Martinez

    R. Gutierrez

    Gomez

    Hesketh

    Ro Kelly

    D Jackson

    Cooper

    Stankiewicz

    Cox

    J Felix

    Trammell

    J Hernandez

    C Howard

    Easley

    McElroy

    Neal

    Bass

    Fermin

    S Mack

    Aquino

    Nunez

    Manzanilla

    Leius

    Nied

    Brumfield

    Huff

    Lieber

    J Voight

    Dawson

    Redus

    Stanton

    Barberie

    Reynoso

    Dar Jackson

    Van Slyke

    Torres

    W Chamberlain

    K Mitchell

    Whiten

    Ward

    Wallach

    Manwaring

    E Perez

    Dunston

    Cooke

    Ro Thompson

    Hrbek

    Nokes

    Becker

    Heredia

    Bo Jackson

    JR Phillips


    Jean

    R Mejia

    Trlicek

    O Smith

    Lind

    Quantrill

    Tewksbury

    Scanlon


    F Jose

    J Frye


    Polonia

    T Fernandez

    Dreifort

    Kingery

    Mulholland


    Mills

    R Gonzales


    Stinnett

    Morris

    Eldred

    Hamilton

    Miramda


    MacFarlane



    Darling


    L Smith


    Bautista









    Billy Taylor










    Cut list 4/1/95


















    North Dakota

    New Orleans

    Bay City

    White Visitation

    Manila Folders

    Future Wax

    Mirkwood

    Haiti

    Constantinople

    Honeycutt

    Bottenfield

    Thigpen

    Winfield

    Kilgus

    Gallego

    Gutterman

    Charlton

    Hibbard

    Innis

    Trombley

    Rogers

    Pagliarulo

    Wertz

    E Davis

    Levis

    Wilson

    Williams

    Fleming

    Guthrie

    Jose Guzman

    Poole

    Lee

    Strawberry

    Arias

    Henneman

    McDowell

    P Clark

    D Stewart

    B Barnes

    Fletcher

    Rivera

    T Rhodes

    E Murray

    Farr

    Gott

    Lo Smith

    Shaw

    M Turner

    Snyder

    Boston

    Bedrosian

    LaValliere

    Carreon

    Deveroux

    May

    M Lewis

    Joe Oliver

    Bankhead

    Coleman

    Dibble

    Hulse

    P Smith

    Carpenter

    C Hernandez

    Lloyd

    Lilliquist

    Cuyler

    Incaviglia

    Amaral

    Belcher

    Howell

    Buechele

    J Abbott

    Lansing

    Greg A Harris

    Frohwirth

    Valle

    Offerman

    Darwin

    H Johnson

    Orsulak



    M Maddux

    Milt Thompon


    Nabholz

    Witt

    Anderson

    Monteleone



    Militello



    Morgan

    Belinda

    R Jordan

    Milligan






    Reuter



    Treadway






    Bosio













    Cut list 4/2/94


















    North Dakota

    New Orleans

    Bay City

    Hollowmen

    Manila Folders

    Future Wax

    Hatchbacks

    Adirondack

    CN

    Brunansky

    Leach

    Greg W Harris

    Owen

    Elster

    Rasmussen

    Righetti

    Deer

    Mercedes

    Downs

    Harkey

    Jim Austin

    Seitzer

    Hurst

    Tackett

    T Burns

    Franco

    Ashby

    Welch

    Howe

    Gruber

    D Murphy

    Milaki

    Nokes

    Whitehurst

    Reynolds

    Stevens

    Calderon

    Eichhorn

    Greg Olson

    Sax

    Randolph

    Radinsky

    Neagle

    Reimer

    Blankenship

    M Gardner

    Morris

    Glenn Davis

    Fermin

    Wedge

    Willis

    K Miller

    Borders

    Sharperson

    G Bell

    Schofield

    Candelaria

    Pena

    Ryan

    Stottlemyre

    G Brett

    Mayne

    Maldonado

    McReynolds

    Pugh

    Chito Martinez

    Quintana

    Dave Hernandez

    Jefferson

    Bruett

    Nagy

    Henry

    R Rodriguez


    Olin

    Brantley

    Viola

    Harper


    Wedman

    Hickerson

    Oquendo



    Downing

    Pasqua

    Wakefield


    Cole

    Z Smith

    Tomlin




    Cotto

    Melendez


    Morris

    Freeman

    J Reed




    Olivares

    Magadan


    Gross

    Castillo



















    Cut list 4/3/93


















    North Dakota

    Ross's Raiders

    Bay City

    Franz Josef Land

    Manila Folders

    Future Wax

    Hatchbacks

    Adirondack

    Constantinople

    Johnston

    Grey

    Bass

    Lefferts

    Ackerfelds

    Doran

    Holman

    Horn

    King

    Walton

    Spiers

    Stillwell

    Barry Jones

    Armstrong

    Barfield

    Kiecker

    Scioscia

    O'Brien

    P Guerrero

    Schooler

    B Black

    T Crews

    Berenguer

    Bailes

    R Sanford

    Browning

    Smith

    Gallego

    Valle

    Flanagan

    G Nelson

    Dressendorfer

    Cerone

    Meulens

    DeLeon

    Pall

    Osuna

    McGee

    Daniels

    T Burke

    Fraser

    Habyan

    Machado

    Delucia

    Ritchie

    M Moore

    Chameino

    Jacoby

    Hayes

    Reardon

    Scudder

    Decker

    Aquino

    Ojeda

    Stieb

    D Jackson

    Ruskin

    Lansford

    Sanderson

    Hanson

    Boddicker

    Incaviglia

    Rose

    Wallach

    Buechelle

    A Pena

    Gaetti

    T Wilson

    Gubicza

    Gibson

    J Clark

    Pecota

    Darling

    Wells

    Briley

    Yount

    Berryhill

    M Davis


    DeJesus

    Fisk

    Villanueva



    Landrum

    L Harris




    Eisenreich









    Belliard









    Samuel



















    Cut list 4/4/92


















    North Dakota

    Ross's Raiders

    Bay City

    Franz Josef Land

    Manila Folders

    Future Wax

    Hatchbacks

    Adirondack


    Crim

    McGafffigan

    Tudor

    Girardi

    Agosto

    J Browne

    Burns

    Brunansky


    Honeycutt

    Geren

    Parrish

    Tracy Jones

    D Parker

    Gleaton

    Dayley

    Darwin


    Da Smith

    Brooks

    B Ripken

    Dave Anderson

    Duncan

    Hartley

    Magrane

    Higuera


    Sw Smith

    Worthington

    Santovenia

    Marzano

    Heath

    Plesac

    Mansigle

    Bo Jackson


    Webster

    Yelding

    Kipper

    Bolton

    G Wilson

    Garrelts

    Lemon

    Lo Smith


    Whitson

    Javier

    C James

    Leary

    Leonard

    Leiter

    Mulliniks

    R Harris


    Schofield

    Kittle

    Fitzgerald

    Rob Murphy

    Farrell

    McCullers

    Moseby

    Scott


    A Davis

    G Young

    OC Boyd

    Deshaies


    Neidlinger

    LaCoss






    Thon


    Gallaraga






















    Cut list 3/30/91


















    North Dakota

    Ross's Raiders

    Bay City

    "Team name unkown (Eric)"

    Manila Folders

    Future Wax

    Hatchbacks

    South Dakota


    August

    Marshall

    J Nieves

    Uribe

    Dw Evans

    Ken Howell

    Stanley

    Worrell


    Cadaret

    Bautista

    L Medina

    Templeton

    Hawkins

    Pascual Perez

    J Davis

    M Williams


    Plunk

    Valenzuela

    Randolph

    Jeltz

    Cary

    Joyner

    Esasky

    Lynn


    S Fletcher

    Boone

    S. Davis

    Sutcliffe

    Herr

    Jack Howell

    Meyer

    M Wilson


    Whitt

    Liriano

    Jeff Robinson

    Holton

    Liebrandt

    O McDowell

    A Anderson

    Blyleven


    K Phelps

    Griffin

    Orosco

    Barrett

    McLemore

    Reuschel

    Bedrosian

    Ready


    McClendon

    Sheets

    Lilliquist

    Hernandez

    Wynne

    Jordan

    M Moore

    C Davis


    Lancaster

    Worthington

    SL Salazar

    C Washington

    Hudler

    McClure

    Hammaker

    Hough


    C Young

    Benzinger

    Komminsk

    A Thomas

    Oberkfell

    Morgan

    G Carter

    Heaton



    Pettis



    Dotson


    Show

    C Martinez









    Espinoza




















    Cut list 4/8/90


















    North Dakota

    LH's

    Bay City

    Yoknapatawpha

    Manila Folders

    Future Wax

    Dave & Clint

    Plymouth


    P Perry

    Allenson

    B Fisher

    Dernier

    Durham

    Dempsey

    Campusano

    Jones


    Cox

    Guante

    R Horton

    Gossage

    Guidry

    B Stanley

    Meacham

    Guzman


    McMurtry

    Maldonado

    Rice

    Rhoden

    Musselman

    Rasmussen

    Sellers

    Mirabella


    D Robinson

    Terrell

    M Brantley

    Quinones

    Palmer

    K Gross

    Rick Leach

    Walk


    Shelby

    Wegman

    Carm Martinez

    Ashby

    L Parrish

    Gedman

    Flanagan

    Puhl


    Coles

    Youmans

    G Walker

    Kilgus

    Upshaw

    M Witt

    Dunne

    Aldrete


    LaPoint

    B Ripken

    D Schmidt

    Schiraldi

    Hudson

    Braggs

    J Clancy

    J Robinson


    Schofield


    F Williams

    Paredes

    Diaz

    E King

    R Robinson

    Ray


    Sveum


    Leiper

    Beniquez

    B Bell

    Minton

    Mohorcic

    Harris


    Cangelosi


    W Gardner


    B Hatcher

    M Schmidt

    Carman

    J Morris






    Krukow























    Cut list 3/31/89


















    North Dakota

    Learned Hands

    Bay City

    Yoknapatawpha

    Manila Folders

    Future Wax

    Hatchbacks

    Madagascar


    E Nunez

    Eichhorn

    Dravecky

    Correa

    Quissenberry

    Soto

    Cruz

    Tekulve


    Tanana

    Ruffin

    McCaskill

    Garber

    Dixon

    Williamson

    Ward

    Tabler


    Rawley

    Virgil

    Owen

    Wyneger

    Shirley

    Presley

    Buckner

    G Wilson


    Niedenfuer

    Dw. Murphy

    Kingery

    A Hall

    Sanderson

    Aguayo

    Forsch

    Ontiveros


    Schroeder

    Pedrique

    M Davis

    DeCinces

    Gullickson

    J Davis

    Andujar

    Dipino


    F White

    Morrison

    C Brown

    Da Evans

    Harper

    Wilkinson

    Sutton

    Swift


    Brock

    Bernazard


    Blyleven

    McRae

    Aguilera

    Dawley

    Buice


    Teufel

    Parker


    Fielder

    Hulett


    Lopez

    Petry


    Moreland

    G Mathews


    Clear

    Wilson


    Mitchell

    Power


    Foley




    Roenicke


    Lo Smith









    Cooper









    Madlock









    Duncan









    Burleson



     


    HOW THE TEAMS WERE BUILT

    This summer, I decided to look at each team in the SOMBILLA and determine how its GM acquired its players. Players can wind up on your team in two ways - via the draft or by trade. But drafted players can be looked at in two ways as well - the rookies, or SOMBILLA first timers, who came up from your farm system - and the free agents, those guys who have been in the SOMBILLA before, but who were cut by someone. An older one year wonder who has never been in the league is not considered a free agent for purposes here. The reason is that you discovered him and no one else - hence he counts towards your farm system totals.

    Here are the results:
     
    Team Farm system (i.e. draft) Trade Free agency Home grown percentage
             
    New Orleans 40 4 2 87.0%
    North Dakota 39 3 3 86.7%
    Constantinople 38 4 3 84%
    Other 99 36 5 3 82%
    Area 51 37 6 2 82%
    Manila Folders 37 4 4 82%
    TTFKA Bay City 36 3 6 80%
    The Dewey Dells 36 5 4 80%
    Future Wax 35 5 5 78%
    TOTAL 334 39 (10%) 32 (8%) 82%

    Surprisingly, there is not a lot of variation, although some observations can still be made. 82% of the league's players are still with the team that originally drafted them. In fact, a close look shows there is no secret to success, as last year's World Series participants, New Orleans and Future Wax are at opposite ends of the spectrum in terms of home-grown talent. This would seem to make sense - there are many paths to success, but drafting well and trading well in any combination, will get you there.

    Years ago, long-since departed league member Durga lamented that the SOMBILLA hates to trade. Given that only 10% of the league's 405 players have been traded, I'd say that's still the case. No one team appears to be any more trade happy than any other.

    As far as free agency goes, one of the arguments used by the league's vote (I want to say 'faction', but 7-2 was the vote) to increase the draft to 12 rounds was that, you'll need to cut more players in order to be able to draft the full 12 rounds. This will increase the pool of future potential recycled free agents. This year 16 of the 90 picks, or 18%, were actually recycled free agents, one more than last year. It will be interesting to see if this percentage goes up in future years.



    RACIAL PROFILING IN THE SOMBILLA (7/01)

    Always at the cutting edge of controversy, this summer, the SOMBILLA spotlight team, sponsored by the International Committee for Karma, Yada, yada, yada; the Politically Correct Oversight Order (ICKYPOO), revisits a familiar subject.

    Team White Latino African-American Asian '01 White% 97 White%

    Eric   30    5          9            1       67%        64%
    RAT    29    9          6            1       64%        64%
    Matt   27   11          5            2       60%        69%
    Arnie  27   11          7            0       60%        60%
    J&C    26   11          6            1       59%        67%
    Harold 26   16          3            1       57%        60%
    Jeff   24   14          7            0       53%        64%
    Tom    24   11          9            1       53%        42%
    Robin  22   12         10            1       49%        47%

                W   L  AA  A
    TOTAL 2001 58% 25% 15% 2%
    TOTAL 1997 60% 20% 20%
    TOTAL 1994 57% 19% 24%
    TOTAL 1991 66% 13% 22%

    The numbers were compiled with Robin's assistance (who of course not only knows what all our players look like but also knows who has nice buns and who wears gold chains, etc). There were only about 10 players whom she was not familiar with, so we found pictures on the Internet for them.

    As you can see, the league has made great progress in its integration efforts over the past four years, as only 3 of the 9 teams are whiter than they were four years ago. The league does have more Latino ballplayers than ever before - fully 1/4 of the league, although they appear to have replaced more African-Americans than white ballplayers. The black population in the league is at its lowest point ever. I am not certain of the causes of this, whether due to racism in real baseball, expansion, worse quality of African-American players in real baseball (I have read that basketball and football are now the sports of choice for many urban youths), or a less 'enlightened' league. And , we of course now have a new category, as the SOMBILLA features 8 Asian players.

    Eric, who back in 1991 in the inaugural study owned a team that was 80% white, has regained his title as 'Red Sox of the SOMBILLA', with the whitest team in the league. Bucking the Latino trend, Eric employs a mere 5 players of Latino origin, and has banned all Salsa music in the clubhouse. 'Southern Man' Harold has only 3 African-Americans on his team, replacing them with a league-high 16 Hispanics.

    Robin, always employing among the most minorities on her club, earns the most politically correct team honors, including a league-high 10 African-Americans. Matt, the league's most racist team 4 years ago, has made a few baby steps to see the light, as he employs one white, one black and one Latino catcher.

    This is probably a reflection on MLB as a whole, but across the league, 73% of the pitchers are white (82% for Eric), but only 34% of the outfielders. Tom has the most politically correct infield - only 27% white, while Eric (who else) has the whitest infield at 64%.

    One final interesting discovery was that New Orleans' Danny Graves is counted as Asian; his mother is Vietnamese and he was born in 'Nam.
     



    SOMBILLA STANDINGS STUDY [7/00]

    This summer, I decided to analyze the SOMBILLA's final standings over the years. Not team-by-team, but as a league. Of course, as a whole, all teams taken together will finish at .500. But the number of teams that finish with winning percentages does not have to be the same as the number of teams with losing records. (For example, last season, only 3 teams finished over .500). If there were no extraneous influences, you would expect the league to experience a sort of bell-curve effect, with most of the teams bunched in the middle, around .500, with fewer good or bad teams (.600 or .400 winning percentage), and even fewer great or awful teams (.700 or .300). What are the SOMBILLA's trends and why?

    You can divide the SOMBILLA into 3 eras. First, you have the 6-team, non-permanent league representing 5 seasons from 1979-1985. Then, you have the eight team permanent league, representing 7 seasons from 1985-1992. Finally, we have the current setup, a nine-team, permanent league that has been in effect from 1992-2000.

    For this final era, however, we had an expansion team, Land's Constantinople. This was a true expansion team, with no stars amidst a league of 8 all-star teams. Constantinople finished 8th , 9 th and 9th in its first 3 years, before surprising the league by making the playoffs and finishing 4th in its 4 th year. Although many teams other than Land have had bad teams 3 years in a row, expansion is an obvious reason for these years, and I decided it could taint the study, the purpose of which was to search for other effects on final standings. Therefore, the third era in this study, excludes those 3 expansion years, and instead includes the past five seasons - 1995-2000.

    In these graphs, winning percentage is on the y-axis (bottom) and the number of SOMBILLA teams during the graph era with those winning percentages is on the x-axis (left).

    In the years 1979-1985, while the peak number of teams is around .500, more teams are actually clustered to the right of .500 then to the left. In fact, the second highest peak (5 teams) is for the winning percentage range of .560-599.

    Back in those days, while a few managers came up with some really bad teams, it was generally easy to end up with a good competitive team, because each SOMBILLA team got to draft 4 major league teams and combine them into one all-star team. Talent was able to be pretty well dispersed in a league like this. Managing deficiencies and bad luck became more pronounced than talent. With this type of year to year league, even Joel could end up in first place (1983-1984) and T&A as they were then known, could easily come up with a stinker year (1984-1985).

    As the league entered the permanent years, the successful teams were able to stay that way by being able to retain their good players from year to year, In the new era, success was not as easy as it was when we drafted team-by-team each season, With a permanent league, you had to keep 80% of your team from year to year. So scouting and drafting became as important as trading. You couldn't be guaranteed to have a competitive team just by being able to draft 4 teams and combining them like the old days.

    While, as expected, many teams are clustered around the .500 mark, there's a solid community of teams that also finished between .440 and .480. Losing teams outnumber the winning ones. Here is where we can see the effect of the first 10 permanent league championships being split between T&A and Eric.

    In the current era, we see that the league has 'normalized' (although the study must be flawed because I don't see how we can call ourselves 'normal'). The league has reached maturity and we have a sort of stability - most teams end up in the middle, with a much smaller number of teams above .520 or below .480. This sort of 'predictive' balance manifests itself in a bell curve-like distribution.

    This is interesting in light of the recent success of RAT, New Orleans and North Dakota and playoff droughts by other teams.

    I think, however, in the new century, the SOMBILLA may be entering an unprecedented era of parity. The upcoming season, based on the 1999 cards, promises to be one of the most competitive on record. And a quick glance at this year's' All-Star count shows that parity (with the notable exception of one team) could certainly challenge this bell-curve.

    While I do think that conclusions can be drawn, and have attempted to do so above, I encourage others of you who have actually experienced managing teams that make up the statistical data in this study to think about other theories behind this data to draw your own conclusions about what it all means. And stop looking at me that way.



  • SALARIES IN THE SOMBILLA [8/08]
  • Which team is trying to buy a championship a la the Yankees? Who are the small market teams operating on a shoestring? Who are the big spenders and cheapskate owners? Should the SOMBILLA institute a salary cap?

    I let the computer choose each team's 25-man roster. The computer's not perfect in that regard, making a few surprising selections from amongst each team's 45-man roster, but I figure it got at least 20 of the 25 people correct for each team. And given that it's almost mid-August, that's good enough for me and this study without spending another week nitpicking each selection. Using the salary database available on the USA Today website, here are the results:

    1. Area 51. $174,583,395. Although we could call them the Yankees of the SOMBILLA, the amazing thing is that the Yankees payroll is actually much higher ($209,081,577). Think about that. We have an all-star league, yet the Yankees payroll is 20% higher than the SOMBILLA's highest team. Jeff clearly has the fewest wins per $$ spent in the league, but I guess the owner has deep pockets and doesn't really care. Number of millionaires: 20

    Five highest paid:

    A. Pettitte 16,000,000

    V. Guerrero 15,500,000

    Smoltz 14,000,000

    Teixeira 12,500,000

    Lowell 12,500,000

    1. Constantinople. $171,981,440. The fact that Tom's payroll is 2nd highest comes as no surprise, being a perennial favorite having won 3 of the last 4 championships. 10 of his players make $10,000,000 or more (they are, in addition to the top 5 below, Sheets, Sabathia, Guillen, Varitek, Howard). Number of millionaires: 16

    Five highest paid:

    A. Rodriguez 28,000,000

    B. Abreau 16,000,000

    T. Hudson 15,500,000

    A. Jones 14,726,910

    C. Lee 12,500,000

     

    1. Bay City. $158,114,084. Now we know the real secret to her successful season last year. The highest paid starting rotation in the league (Halladay, Oswalt, Buehrle, Escobar) makes almost as much as Hibernia's entire payroll. And her catchers (Pudge and V Mart) don't come cheaply either. Number of millionaires: 20

    Five highest paid:

    D. Jeter 21,600,000

    C. Beltran 18,622,809

    M. Buehrle 14,000,000

    R. Oswalt 13,000,000

    F. Thomas 12,560,000

    1. Future Wax. $155,109,713. The only surprise is that they rank only 4th highest. You'd think with 3 owners, they could afford to fork over a little more dough. Does anyone else notice that the top 4 teams in payroll were the four playoff teams last year? Their payroll is still higher than all MLB teams, other than the Yankees. Number of millionaires: 16

    Five highest paid:

    J. Santana 16,984,216

    C. Zambrano 16,000,000

    J. Thome 15,666,666

    B. Bonds 15,533,970

    A. Ramirez 15,000,000

    1. Knuckle Sandwiches. $148,860,748. All those computer and Internet expenses cut into the amount the team can spend on player salaries. Jed seems to spend generously on outfielders – Suzuki, Hunter and Holliday average over $14,000,000 apiece! Number of millionaires: 19

    Five highest paid:

    I. Suzuki 17,102,149

    T. Hunter 16,500,000

    D. Lee 13,250,000

    J. Beckett 10,166,666

    J. Dye 9,500,000

    M. Holliday 9,500,000

     

    1. New Orleans. $143,355,800. Harold likes to spend on his bullpen – Rivera, Wagner and Lidge are all high price. Despite the 'low' payroll, Harold is good to his team; free performance enhancing drugs are a staple perk. Number of millionaires: 17

    Five highest paid:

    M. Rivera 15,000,000

    A. Soriano 14,000,000

    J. Posada 13,100,000

    A. Dunn 13,000,000

    J. Garland 12,000,000

    1. North Dakota. $124,755,686. Playing in 400 seat capacity Gackle Park has always made it tough for this small-market team to compete for the expensive players. And forget about a TV contract when there isn't any TV in the state to begin with. Rumor has it that the controversial Berkman ($14,500,000) trade was simply a salary dump for the Pirates of the SOMBILLA. Number of millionaires: 17

    Five highest paid:

    M. Ordonez 15,768,174

    A. Pujols 13,870,949

    D. Ortiz 13,000,000

    T. Glaus 12,500,000

    J. Kent 9,000,000

    1. Hibernia. $84,262,880. Does anyone know what the hell Eric is doing over there with his revenue stream? With a payroll approximately the same as the Milwaukee Brewers, and not even in the same stratosphere as the rest of the league, this franchise is an embarrassment. Does he think we won't notice how he spends ticket receipts on illegal activities? Number of millionaires: 16

    Five highest paid:

    AJ Burnett 13,200,000

    P. Konerko 12,000,000

    D. Lowe 10,000,000

    A. Rowand 9,600,000

    C. Utley 7,785,784


    Salaries in the SOMBILLA (7/00)


    Who's trying to buy the championship? Who thinks that you can forget about scouting, managing, strategy, class, ethics, common decency, and the paying fans by throwing more money in the faces of the baseball players? In other words, who are the Yankees of the SOMBILLA? Always at the cutting edge of controversy, this summer's SOMBILLA spotlight team examines salaries around the league.

    Like 4 years ago, I chose each team's 25-man roster, with the help of the SOMBILLA computer drafter. I'd say together we're about 90% accurate; that is, I probably averaged about 22 correct of the actual men who will make up each team's 25-man roster in the upcoming '00-01 season, good enough for this study. All 2000 salaries were taken from those published by the USAToday website.

    1. Future Wax - $127,960,122

    The Yankees of the SOMBILLA. Actually, they're probably more like the Orioles of the SOMBILLA, since the Yankees actually do win championships with all of their spending. Future Wax's average salary of $5,100, 000 is more than double the average salaries of the SOMBILLA's highest paid team 4 years ago (Eric). FW has the highest paid catching, infield and outfield in the SOMBILLA. Incredibly, despite the SOMBILLA being essentially a 9-team all-star league, Future Wax is the only team actually outspending the Yankees ($115M), which probably tells you more about the team with the largest payroll in the history of professional sports than it does about the SOMBILLA. Top 5 salaries (note that Griffey doesn't even make the list):

      1. Mike Piazza   $12,071,429
      2. Pedro Martinez 11,500,000
      3. Greg Maddux    11,100,000
      4. Barry Bonds    10,658,826
      5. Gary Sheffield  9,916,667
      No. of millionaires - 20
    2.  North Dakota - $ 114,053,343

    It's probably no coincidence that 2 of the most successful teams in the league are coughing up the most mullah. Team's catchers are paid an embarrassingly league-low average of only $604,000. Up from 5 th in the poll of 4 years ago as the players demanded to be paid "like Eric's team." Generous owner has ensured no holdouts by paying whatever it takes. 2nd highest paid pitching staff in the league. Salaries up from just $54 million 4 years ago. Top 5 salaries:

       
      1. Randy Johnson  $13,350,000
      2. Bernie Williams 12,357,143
      3. Mo Vaughn       11,166,667
      4. Ray Lankford     7,600,000
      5. Roberto Alomar   7,196,756
      No. of millionaires - 19
    3. Bay City- $ 105,113,866

    No one ever accused Robin of not being good to her players. Salaries are up from $58 million just 4 years ago, when she had the 4th highest payroll in the league. She probably would have the highest paid catchers if she had anyone else to pay besides Pudge. One or two big signings and she could easily be no. 2 (no one can catch the Yankees, er, I mean Future Wax).

    Top 5 salaries:

      1. David Cone   $12,000,000
      2. Sammy Sosa    11,000,000
      3. Derek Jeter   10,000,000
      4. Shawn Green    9,416,667
      5. Ivan Rodriguez 8,600,000
      No. of millionaires - 18


    4. Manila Folders - $ 91,913,789

    After being the league's 3rd cheapest team 4 years ago, Matt has 'bought into' the concept of trying to win by paying well. Although he's trying to downplay his chances this year ("my team sucks"), he is still dipping into the vault to keep his stars fat, dumb and happy. I know Matt married into a little money, but I had no idea. Kevin Brown (see below) accounts for almost half of Matt's pitchers' salaries. This could affect morale in the bullpen. Top 5 salaries:

      1. Kevin Brown     $15,714,286
      2. Albert Belle     12,868,670
      3. Mark McGwire      9,333,333
      4. Dante Bichette    7,000,000
      5. Roberto Hernandez 6,000,000
      5. Chuck Knoblauch   6,000,000
    No. of millionaires - 15
     
     

    5. Metrowest - $84,797,889

    Although Jeff believes his team has a "great shot" this year, his players, underpaid and underfed, may think otherwise. Actually, the team average salary of $3,392,000 is only $285,000 less than Matt's - chump change for these guys. Heck we all make that in gate receipts each Strat-O game. Although he's paying almost $25 million more in salaries as he did in '96, that still isn't enough to prevent him dropping from 2nd highest payroll (back when he shared the team with Dave) to 5th overall now that he no longer has Stats Inc.'s financial backing. Top 5 salaries:

      1. Larry Walker $12,142,857
      2. Kenny Lofton   7,500,000
      3. Andy Pettitte  7,000,000
      4. Mike Mussina   6,786,032
      5. Carlos Delgado 6,600,000
      No. of millionaires - 16


    6. Clavius - $ 83,860,363

    It's no big secret why Eric's team has fallen from its championship highs of 4 seasons ago when he not so coincidentally had the league's highest payroll. He's had to trade some of his better players to finance his extravagant lifestyle and has paid for it on the field. He's hoping to field a better product this year, but seems unwilling to have to pay for it. Top 5 salaries:

      1. Tom Glavine $ 9,463,237
      2. Rafael Palmeiro 8,620,921
      3. Robin Ventura 8,000,000
      4. Brian Jordan 7,600,000
      5. Greg Vaughn 7,097,962
      No. of millionaires - 16
    New Orleans - $ 81,563,421
    Two years removed from the World Series, Harold has sold off his best players for baby furniture, and team morale is at an all-time low. Harold has an eclectic, warped mix of salaries. He has the highest salaried pitching staff in the league, including millionaires Leiter, Rivera, Erickson, Schilling, T. Jones, Harnisch, Wagner, Rhodes, Percival and Colon, yet spends the lowest of any team on his outfield - $10,480,000 (a paltry $2,100,000 per player). Top 5 salaries:
      1. Al Leiter     $7,750,000
      2. Mariano Rivera 7,250,000
      3. Craig Biggio   6,750,000
      4. Scott Erickson 6,620,921
      5. Jeff Bagwell   6,500,000
      No. of millionaires - 19


    8. Shithead - $ 76,934,570
    Four years ago I wrote "They've been trying to analyze why their team has the league's current longest playoff-less streak. Bad luck? Bad drafting? Not enough home games against certain teams? Nah. These guys are just cheap, plain and simple." It is just as valid today as then. They're paying their pitching staff a shocking league-low of only $19,800,000, almost half of it going to their highest paid player, Smoltz. The rest of the staff will be eating canned dog food again this year, averaging frighteningly low salaries of only $1,400,000. Top 5 salaries:

      1. John Smoltz    $8,500,000
      2. Chuck Finley    7,911,948
      3. Jay Bell        7,000,000
      4. Javy Lopez      6,250,000
      5. Henry Rodriguez 4,600,000
      No. of millionaires - 19


    9. Constantinople - $ 65,079,999
    Considering that the SOMBILLA is essentially an all-star league of sorts, it's a disgrace that Tom & Land pay their players less money than nine real major league teams (Yankees, Boston, Baltimore, Cleveland, Texas, Arizona, Atlanta, LA, Mets). Don't tell their players that their puny average salary of $2,600,000 is still approximately 2500 times the average salary of Constantinople's citizens; they'll simply say "oh yeah? Well, Future Wax's players make 5000 times as much." It should be no surprise that they finished in 9th place last year. Top 5 salaries:

      1. Wilson Alvarez $9,000,000
      2. Ellis Burks     5,500,000
      3. Eric Karros     5,375,000
      4. Carl Everett    5,000,333
      5. Denny Neagle    4,750,000
      No. of millionaires - 15

    Championship analysis - 1999 Summer newsletter

    This summer's first study was suggested by Eric, and will be in three parts. First, he asks "How many fourth-place teams have gone on to win the championship?"

    The answer is four (and, not surprisingly, Eric is responsible for three of them):


    Of course, this begets the obvious follow-up question, "What is the breakdown of championships won by place?" The SOMBILLA has completed 19 seasons. Of the 19, here is the breakdown:

    1st place - 10 championships (53%)
    2nd place - 3 championships (16%)
    3rd place - 2 championships (10%)
    4th place - 4 championships (21%)

    The statistical conclusion I'd draw from this summary is that if you finish first, you have a 50-50 chance of winning the championship. The other 50% chance is split evenly among the other three playoff teams.

    Eric's next question is "Has there ever been a champion with more than three lefties on his or her staff, in any combination of starting and relieving?".

    Our statistical records go back to only Volume I of the SOMBILLA newsletter - '83-84. So, unless Tsuan can remember his first three championship teams, the research covers only the last 16 championship teams. Anyway, the answer is........Yes! The very first Future Wax championship team, in '86-87, had 4 lefties on its staff - Juan Agosto, Dave Righetti, Mark Davis, and Joe Hesketh - out of a total of 10 pitchers. Agosto, Righetti and Davis were all relievers, while Hesketh was the traditional lefty-to-be-yanked starter.

    Of the other 15 championship teams, the majority (9) had 3 lefties on their staffs, including last year's North Dakota team. Five others had two lefties on their staffs, and 1, Yoknapatawpha in '88-89 had just one - Rob Murphy. That team had only 8 pitchers on its staff (Murphy, Burke, Hershiser, Eckersley, Reuschel, Sutcliffe, DeLeon and Clemens), which I believe makes it the only team in league history with only 8 pitchers.

    To complete this championship study, Eric asks "Which players have won the most championships in the SOMBILLA. In other words, who is the Bill Russell of the SOMBILLA?"

    I suspect he asks this question off of Roger Clemens's sterling World Series performance this year (3-0). Although final stats do not exist for the SOMBILLA's first three seasons, some partial stats do, enough to reconstruct some rosters, not enough to determine who the lefty pitchers were (see above) but enough for this question. Note that, if you lump in Tsuan's old Nazgul champions (including the Robin-Tsuan Bay City Nazgul champion of '82-83) with Tsuan's Future Wax teams, only 4 franchises have ever won the SOMBILLA Championship. These are Nazgul/Future Wax, Jed's Evil Bunnies and Shithead teams ('83-85), Eric's various teams in the 80's and 90's, and North Dakota.

    Anyway, the answer is a three-way tie: Clemens, Daryl Strawberry and Orel Hershiser have all won 5 championships. All three won their championships with 2 different franchises. Also, all three players were drafted in the original 1985 permanent league draft, and all three are still active in MLB (although Clemens is the only one still in the SOMBILLA and Strawberry is only active on the streets of Tampa).

    Strawberry won one championship with Jed's Evil Bunnies (the last pre-permanent league champion) in '84-85, and 4 with Future Wax ('86-87, '87-88 (remember the homer in the bottom of the 11th of game 7 off Eichorn?), '90-91, '91-92).

    Hershiser won three with Eric (Marakesh Express '85-86, Yoknapatawpha '88-89, '89-90), and two with Future Wax ('93-94 and '97-98).

    Clemens won three with Eric (Yoknapatawpha '88-89, '89-90, Franz Josef Land '92-93) and 2 with North Dakota ('95-96, '98-99).

    Eight other players have won 4 SOMBILLA championships: Jesse Barfield, Tony Fernandez and Eric Davis (all with Future Wax), Dale Murphy (all with Eric), Dennis Eckersley, Cecil Fielder, and Rafael Palmeiro (Eric's teams and Future Wax), and Bill Doran (Jed's Evil Bunnies and Future Wax).

    What? No Bonds? No Griffey? No Maddux? Nope. These guys have won 'only' 3 championships.


    Is There Excessive Focus On Early Draft Picks? - 1999 Summer Newsletter

    During the days leading up to this year's draft, a number of changes to the league’s draft lottery were proposed. When the league’s anti-change faction weighed in against all proposals, I aligned myself with those conservatives by stating in an e-mail that there was excessive focus paid to the top pick overall (as well as the first round). I also noted that, in fact, it’s the later rounds of the draft that are the most important for building up a team.

    This summer, I decided to put the facts where my mouth is by researching the issue. I compiled a list of all players who played in the 1999 All-Star Game, as well as any player who received an MVP or Cy Young vote in the SOMBILLA over the last five years. Adding in these players included people like A. Belle, Bonds, and G. Maddux who didn’t make the All-Star Game, but have done well in the SOMBILLA. Also, since the point of drafting is not just to draft guys with good cards (or with the potential to produce good cards), but to also translate those good cards into good SOMBILLA performances, including these players ‘SOMBILLA-izes’ the study.

    A total of 95 players met the criteria, arguably the best players in the SOMBILLA currently and over the past five years. Once this list was compiled, I then went through to determine what rounds these players were drafted in and compiled the totals. Two players on the list, Cal Ripken and Tony Gwynn, were actually drafted in the original 1985 permanent league (Cal third overall by Robin and Gwynn in the 5th round by Joel) and were excluded from the study, because I want to focus on the annual 10-round draft. Of the remaining 93 players, 5 were actually drafted twice – Jeremy Burnitz (3rd round by Matt in ’94 and 4th round by Jed & Clint in ’96), Al Leiter (6th round by T&A in ’89 and 1st round by Harold in ’96), Nagy (twice by Jed & Clint - 11th round in ’91 and 4th round in ’95 [after being cut in '94]); Offerman (3rd by T&A in ’91 and 4th by Land in ’97), and Mike Stanley (10th round by Dave in ’88 and 2nd round by Eric in ’94). I included both draftings in the study for a total of 98.

    Here are the results:

    1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th7th8th9th10th11th
    27   15  15 10   9   4   6   3   6   2    1

    At a first glance, you might think that the results prove me wrong. Well, I must say the results are probably intuitive, but may not actually prove me wrong. In fact, just over a quarter of the best players get snagged in the first round. Here’s where you get the blue-chippers like Griffey, R. Alomar, Jeter, McGwire, Canseco, P. Martinez and Frank Thomas. But the flip side is that fully ¾ of the very best players in the league do not get taken in the first round!! I’d venture to guess that more than 25% of the league’s cumulative scouting time is spent on that first round, yet, as I noted in the e-mail, it’s the other rounds that contribute the most star players.

    Rounds 2 & 3 are quite significant – in fact, more than half of the league’s best players are gone by the end of the 3rd round, which is probably not news to anyone. However, a lot of these guys get overlooked in the 1st round. Examples of these players are A. Belle, Barry Bonds (a .220 3rd rounder in ’87), Hoffman, G. Maddux (5.61 ERA 3rd rounder in ’88), Nen, Lima, Lankford, B. Williams, Piazza, Sosa (2nd rounder by Robin in ’90).

    By round 4, the so-called blue-chippers are gone, but ½ of the players who will be the SOMBILLA’s best players remain. You can snag the like of Burnitz, I. Valdes, Lofton, S. Casey, Palmeiro, Thome, and SOMBILLA Cy-Young winner Drabek in rounds 4 & 5.

    By round 7 when your opponents are filling up their roster with aging one-year wonders, people like Jay Bell, Juan Gonzalez, Barry Larkin, Larry Walker and Matt Williams are still out there. Aren’t these guys ‘blue-chippers’? Would a change to the draft lottery system help the less successful teams get players like this?

    It doesn’t stop there: In the 8th round you can draft John Smoltz, Harold Baines, and John Jaha. And check out this litany of 9th round picks: Randy Johnson (81st player taken in the 1990 draft), Jeff Kent (77th overall in 1993), Mike Lieberthal (76th in 1998), Fred McGriff (69th overall in ’88 and alas, cut in '99), and Kevin Mitchell (67th in ’87).

    And last but not least, Mariano Rivera, SOMBILLA Cy Young winner in 1997-1998, was taken 84th overall by Harold, in the 10th round with the 5th-to-last pick in the 1996 draft.

    Sure we’d all like a crack at that first pick. But for every McGwire or Griffey, there’s a can’t miss Phil Plantier or Reuben Sierra (see the complete list of 1st picks overall in the archives). We were all salivating over JD Drew, but where is he now? Of course, he may still end up being a superstar, but there are no sure things. Remember, half of the league’s best players are still available after the 3rd round. Is there excessive focus on the first pick overall? The first round? Should you care about jockeying for draft lottery position? The facts are here. You be the judge.


    The Cute Ratings - 1999 Summer Newsletter

    By Robin, guest columnist

    Ten years ago, I introduced “The First Annual(?) SOMBILLA Cute Ratings." I guess it’s now the Decennial(?) SOMBILLA Cute Ratings. Last time, I considered myself “fairly generous” with my ratings, to arrive at a total of 26% cute players in the league, but I was much more generous this time around. I rated every player in the league (although a substantial number were judged by poor-quality pictures in the Stats book or online, and I cannot be held responsible for misjudging anyone [either way] on the basis of these pictures) (Ed note: Robin does not give herself enough credit for actually knowing what at least 80% of the league’s players look like.) I came up with 165 cute players out of 405, for a total of 40.7% cute. I guess, to be more accurate, this is really the Attractive or Cute Ratings, as a much smaller percentage than 40.7% are truly cute. (Ed note: must be some sort of female-speak.) I gave one extra point to teams with very cute players and deducted one point for extremely ugly players.

    To no one’s surprise, once again I have the cutest team, with 25 cute players (16 in 1989), and this time Harold, with only 13, has the ugliest team. (Back in ’89, the Folders, ND, and Madagascar (Jed) tied for the least attractive team with 10 apiece.) Apparently, expansion has added a high proportion of cute players to the league. (Ed note: or perhaps as we age, ourstandards lessen a bit and we become less discerning. I’ll go sleep on the sofa now. )

    1. The Team Formerly Known as Bay City (25) – This team still has a player cited for cuteness 10 years ago (Ripken) as well as the starting catcher on the All-Cute team (Pudge Rodriguez). I also have 2 of the 5 players rated as Best Looking Prospects a decade ago (Brady Anderson & Tom Gordon) and traded the 3rd, ages ago, to Jed & Clint (Chuck Finley). The other 2 (Ed Jurak & Jeff Kunkel) are no longer in MLB. Sammy and Brady narrowly miss the All-Cute Team. This team currently features only cute players on the DL (Gordon, Frye, Sadler, Osborne, Floyd & McCracken). Cutest player: Sammy Sosa (and B. Anderson)

    2. Constantinople (22) – This team boasts All-Cute outfielder Ellis Burks (also praised 10 years ago, and whom I tried to trade for but ended up with the non-hunky Matt Stairs). Aside from NO, this is the only team with 2 cute catchers (Ausmus & Todd Greene). This franchise didn't exist a decade ago, so no other then & now comparisons can be made. Cutest player: Ellis Burks

    3. Metrowest (20) – This team, as the Hatchbacks, also came in third in 1989. Their strength is in the outfield, where the departure of Mike Greenwell and addition of the likes of Preston Wilson, Jeff Hammonds & Dye helps. No members of All-Cute Team here, though. Cutest player: Eli Marrero

    4. Bunghole (18+1) – This team gets extra credit for having the cutest player in the league (and in fact in all of MLB) – Toronto’s Alex Gonzalez, who beats out a crowded field (Jeter, A-Rod, Larkin, etc) for All-Cute shortstop. Interestingly, this franchise as Madagascar also boasted the cutest player in the league 10 years ago (Carlton Fisk). BQ has another All-Cute Team member in outfielder Mike Cameron, and has a potential cute successor to All-Cute catcher Pudge Rodriguez in AJ Hinch. Cutest player: Alex Gonzalez (also Cameron)

    5. Future Wax (18) – This team made a good trade (cutewise, and unfortunately for me, otherwise) in giving up the unattractive Morandini for Bay City's Billy Taylor. Ray Durham ties with Homer Bush for All-Cute 2nd baseman. They retain 1989 cutie Barry Bonds, who joins Griffey, Juan Gonzalez & Giles for an attractive outfield. Also tops the league with 8 cute pitchers. Cutest player: Ray Durham

    6. Clavius (17-1+1) The only team with both an extremely cute player (Steve Finley) & an extremely ugly one (Buhner). Ten years ago, the franchise, as Yoknapatawpha, was fourth cutest with 12. Overall, a cute outfield (Finley and JD Drew to name two), with only Baines & Curtis (along with the hideous Buhner) marring it, and a fairly cute pitching staff led by Lowe, Glavine & Stottlemyre. Cutest player: Steve Finley

    7. Manila Folders (17-1) Probably the least attractive outfield corps in the league with only Yankees Ledee & Spencer & old-timer D. White attractive. Trading with ND for Cirillo was a good move, but getting Beck wasn’t, as he earns Matt a demerit. Homer Bush (tied for All-Cute 2nd baseman) along with Relaford & E. Chavez makes for an attractive young infield. Traded away All-Cute outfielder Burks but still moves up from a tie for least cute team in 1989 to seventh cutest. Cutest player: Homer Bush

    8. North Dakota (16-1) Trading Beck saves Arnie from being the only team with two hideous players (although I gave serious thought to awarding a double demotion to Randy Johnson for being the ugliest player in the SOMBILLA). Only one of his six catchers (Hatteberg) is attractive. Starting pitchers (Lima, M. Morris, Cordova, Estes) and shortstops (Larkin and A. Nunez) are this team’s strengths. Glenallen Hill is the All-Cute DH and the team's cutest player.

    9. New Orleans (13) The ugliest team in the SOMBILLA. A very unattractive infield, with the only cuties Biggio, A.Boone & Spiers. As Learned Hands, this team ranked fifth a decade ago. Does have two cute catchers (S. Alomar & Hundley) – matching only CN. “Fat Toad” Irabu does not help pitching staff, and Tom Goodwin wasn’t cute enough to make Bay City’s outfield. Must work on drafting strategy as, out of 10 draftees, only Boone is cute from ’99 draft. Cutest player: Richard Hidalgo

    The All-Cute Team

    1B - Darin Erstad, Metrowest
    2B - Ray Durham, Future Wax and Homer Bush, Manila Folders
    SS - Alex Gonzalez, Bunghole Quahogs
    3B - Eric Chavez, Manila Folders
    OF - Ellis Burks, Constantinople
    OF - Mike Cameron, Bunghole Quahogs
    OF - Steve Finley, Clavius
    C - Pudge Rodriguez, Bay City
    DH - Glenallen Hill, North Dakota
    P - Chuck Finley, Bunghole Quahogs


    What if the SOMBILLA was a Rotisserie League? - 1999 Summer Newsletter

    Of course, we all know that Strat-O Matic is superior to Rotisserie 'baseball', where home runs equal stolen bases, there's no fielding (except for the Bill James version) and managing games doesn't exist. But since it's summer time, a time to be passive, I thought it might be fun to look at how the league's doing in various categories.

    Thanks to the free "Team Tracker" available on the USA Today Baseball page, I was able to compile team totals for SOMBILLA teams through July 18. Of course, there are caviats. I used all 45 rostered players for all teams. In the real Strat-O season, stats for prospects or others not on the 25-man roster would not count. Also, each team has a differing proportion of pitchers to hitters, so a team with more hitters on its 45-man roster might be able to hit more home runs than another team with more pitchers. And, true to real Rotisserie (but unlike the Strat-O we all know and love) fielding is irrelevant.

    The way Rotisserie works is simple. I chose 10 categories of stats. Each team is ranked against each other in all categories, and then the rankings are totaled. A team finishing first in all categories would have a score of 10, the worst score would be 90.

    The offensive stats were Batting Average, Home Runs, Slugging Pct, On-Base percentage, and Runs. I refused to do stolen bases because that would equate stolen bases to home runs, which is something a junior-high school Rotisserie kid might do, but not us. I substituted runs for stolen bases, figuring that runs also measure speed, but are more important than stolen
    bases.

    The pitching stats used were ERA, Homers Allowed, WHIP (walks and hits to innings pitched - a typical Rotisserie stat that actually has relevance to the SOMBILLA), winning percentage by pitchers, and saves.

    Anyway, I wouldn't put a lot of stock into this (how important to Strat-O is having a good W/L pct in real life?), but Jeff, you can if you want to.

    Stats through 7/18
     

    Ave HR SLG OBP Runs ERA HRA WHIP Win% Sv Total
    1. Metrowest .279 (5) 323 (1) .472 (3) .359 (3) 1330 (1) 4.23 (2) 101 (1) 1.39 (3) .544 (3) 30 (7) 29
    2. North Dakota .291 (2) 182 (8) .472 (3) .364 (2) 763 (8) 4.21 (1) 207 (8) 1.35 (2) .557 (1) 75 (3) 38
    3. Future Wax .292 (1) 223 (6) .516 (1) .373 (1) 765 (7) 4.69 (7) 154 (4) 1.473 (7) .450 (8) 73 (4) 42
    4. Constantinople .285 (3) 287 (3) .473 (2) .353 (5) 1118 (3) 5.38 (9) 140 (3) 1.474 (8) .413 (9) 90 (2) 44
    5. New Orleans .279 (5) 215 (7) .454 (7) .353 (5) 966 (5) 4.36 (3) 160 (6) 1.33 (1) .525 (5) 112 (1) 45
    6. Bay City .285 (3) 230 (4) .454 (7) .356 (4) 1089 (4) 4.65 (5) 137 (2) 1.48 (9) .518 (7) 38 (6) 51
    7. Clavius .276 (7) 224 (5) .457 (5) .342 (9) 903 (6) 4.41 (4) 155 (5) 1.41 (4) .553 (2) 27 (8) 55
    8. Bunghole Quahogs .276 (7) 289 (2) .456 (6) .347 (8) 1158 (2) 4.75 (8) 215 (9) 1.42 (5) .530 (4) 26 (9) 60
    9. Manila Folders .270 (9) 173 (9) .439 (9) .349 (7) 701 (9) 4.69 (6) 169 (7) 1.42 (6) .519 (6) 55 (5) 73


    HOME AND AWAY ANALYSIS - 1998 Summer newsletter

    For the first study this year, I wanted to do an update of the SOMBILLA study from five years ago, "Who is the Best Manager in the SOMBILLA"?   now found reprinted in the archives in its entirety. That study was done using the Bill James Pythagorean theorum for each team over a five-year period. The Pythagorean Theorum predicts team wins and losses with a formula using runs for and runs against. Differences in actual and expected wins are due to luck and managing. I reasoned that over a period of five years, luck would even out, leaving only managing as a factor. I started to compile the Pythaorean Theorums for the SOMBILLA's last 5 years, but after 'wasting' my time doing them for '93-94 and '94-95 I hit against a road block. We haven't been tracking runs against in the last 3 years! (And some teams haven't tracked runs for either). Bummer! That's one casualty of parenthood for me (not being able to do all the league's stats anymore). For the record, North Dakota had the most actual wins over expected wins (indictaing managerial ability) in the '93-94 and 94-95 seasons combined (+9).

    So, instead, I'll do a less exciting (and less controversial) study to answer which are the best home teams. We have been compiling home and away records over the last 4 seasons. Here are team won-lost records at home over that time:

    Future Wax      76-34  .691
    North Dakota    67-45  .598
    New Orleans     61-51  .545
    Bay City        58-54  .518
    Manila Folders  55-57  .491
    Lagavulan 16    55-59  .482
    Bunghole Quahogs53-59  .473
    Constantinople  50-62  .446
    Metrowest       48-64  .428

    Eric and Future Wax have played a different number of home games due to their screwup two years ago when they forgot to look at the schedule and played in the wrong park. The numbers don't lie - Future Wax is the toughest team to play at home - the Montreal Forum of the SOMBILLA. You know you'll never get a call in the last period, er inning, when you're in the Waxdome. But of course, a lot of this has to do with team strength. Future Wax also has the best overall record over that time. Which teams are most suited toward playing in their own parks? Again, using data from the last four years, here is the difference, per team, in the number of home wins over away wins:

    Metrowest       +10
    Future Wax       +9
    Bay City         +9
    New Orleans      +6
    Manila Folders   +3
    Lagavulan 16     +2
    Constantinople   +1
    Bunghole Quahogs -1
    North Dakota     -2

    A couple of surprises here.  Despite having the worst overall home record over the last 4 years, Metrowest has actually been more geared toward playing in its own park then any other team. (Or they're so horrible on the road that they've distorted the study). Future Wax's +9 is made up almost entirely of Andrew's bizarre '94-95 record, when he went 22-6 at home (a league record), but a league worst 9-19 on the road, good for a +13. Two teams, North Dakota and the Bunghole Quahogs actually do better on the road - chameleon teams that can adapt well to their opponent's parks (or they just choose the wrong home park). I'm not really sure what this study really shows, but like I said, it wasn't my first choice. 


    Rating the cards - 1998 Summer newsletter

    A lot of managers rate players different ways. One of the most common, is "Linear Weights" This is a basic formula, whereby each result has a different value. For example, homers are 7 points, triples are 4, doubles 3, singles 2, etc. Slugging percentage is a form of linear weights, assigning 4 bases for a homer, 3 for a triple etc. A lot of managers, especially those in Strat Fan, it seems, are enamored with On-base average Plus Slugging (OPS) as the best way to measure a Strat-O card. OPS is, of course, another form of linear weights. Although OPS is good, it is actually more accurate to use On-base Times Slugging (OTS). A quick glance at the Bill James runs-created formula (as well as Pete Palmer's The Hidden Game of Baseball) bears this out. As James explains, offense is a function of being able to get on base and moving the runner over. These measures are interrelated geometrically, which you get from OTS, not linearly, like you get with OPS, or any other form of linear weights. In other words, measuring a player's offense (or pitching card) can't be done with 4th grade arithmetic, which most managers do, because a player's offense is not based on a linear function. Instead, if you want to be more accurate, you have to move up to 8th grade algebra because the measurement is a polynomial. Bill James does a pretty good job of ridiculing Linear Weights in the Historical Abstract. Also, the Bill James Abstracts from 84-86 offer great detailed analysis of this stuff. The Bill James runs created formula actually factors DP chances into on-base percentage, which I do as well. And, because walks sometimes can move runners over, he factors a percentage of walks into the slugging portion of the formula, which I also do. Finally, stolen bases and caught stealings factor into the ability to advance runners and he factors those in too. The formula is:

    (H + W + HBP - CS - GIDP) * (TB + .26 (TBB + IBB + HBP) + .52(SH +SF +SB))
    (AB +TBB +HBP +SH +SF)

    But of course, this formula is for real baseball statistics. You need to make adjustments to it for translating into Strat-O cards. For example, not all GbA results on a batter's card will result in a double play. I determined, based on reasearch from Pete Palmer's, The Hidden Game, that a batter has an 18% chance to be up with a runner on 1st and less than two outs (a potential double-play situation). So, you need to multiply the batter's (or pitcher's) GbA numbers by .18 to make the formula accurate.

    So what's the difference between OTS and OPS? A guy with 40 OB chances and 40 SLG chances will have the same OPS as a guy with 30 OB chances and 50 SLG chances (80) but the first guy will have a higher OTS than the second guy. OTS rewards hitters for having good on-base AND good slugging. Being really good in one will not compensate for being deficient in the other as it will using OPS or linear weights.

    To get away from unwieldy numbers when calculating the OTS of my players, I simply divide the OTS by 25. For example, a player with 50 OB and 50 SLG has an OTS of 100 by my system (50 x 50)/25, the same as OPS. A player with 60 OB, but only 40 SLG has an OTS of only 96. Because OTS is geometric, differences between players' cards are far greater than they are under OPS.

    Additionally, you can determine a player's clutch OTS, by adding (or subtracting) the player's clutch chances from both the on-base and slugging chances. To further gain an edge over my opponents, I long ago (back in the days when Lotus 1-2-3 ruled the earth), set up a spreadsheet whereby I type in a ball-park's dimensions, hit the macro key, and get a print-out of all of my batters' OTS's (in the clutch and not in the clutch) against each of my opponent's pitcher's OTS's in that particular park. (Of course, I also get a printout of all of my pitchers OTS's and his hitters OTS's in that park as well.).

    Enough of this pseudo-intellectual mathematical drivel. Get on with it, you whiny, turd-filled geek. Anyway, according to my calculations, for whatever that's worth, here are some lists for the upcoming SOMBILLA season ('97 cards). (All ratings reflect average ballparks):

    BEST HITTERS, BOTH SIDES COMBINED:

    1. Thomas, BC    419
    2. Piazza, FW    407
    3. L. Walker, MW 342
    4. Larkin, ND    334
    5. McGwire, MF   324
    6. Ramirez, NO   307
    6. Justice, ND   307
    8. Bonds, FW     300
    9. M. Vaughn, MW 297
    10. Bagwell, NO  295

    BEST CLUTCH HITTERS, BOTH SIDES COMBINED:

    1. Thomas, BC    462
    2. Gwynn, BQ     391
    3. PIazza, FW    373
    4. Alou, NO      329
    5. McGwire, MF   324
    6. Alfonzo, CN   309
    7. McGwire, MF   287
    8. Bagwell, NO   286
    9. T. Ward, NO   281
    10. Biggio, BQ   277

    BEST HITTERS vs. RIGHTIES:

    1. L. Walker, MW    230
    2. McGwire, MF      212
    3. PIazza, FW       206
    4. Bagwell, NO      184
    5. Thome, FW        176

    BEST HITTERS vs. LEFTIES

    1. Thomas, BC    252
    2. Larkin, ND    215
    3. Piazza, FW    202
    4. Sheffield, FW 190
    5. M. Vaughn, MW 183

    BEST PITCHERS, BOTH SIDES COMBINED:

    1. P. Martinez     8
    2. D. Jones, NO   10
    3. Wetteland, ND  11
    4. Shaw, MF       14
    5. Clemens, ND    17
    5. R. Johnson, ND 17
    7. Maddux, FW     18
    7. Magnante, ND   18
    9. B. Wagner, NO  25
    9. Stanton, MF    25
    9. Hoffman, ND    25


    All-time All-Star Alphabetical League (as published in Strat Fan - Spring 1998)

    THEY 'R' THE BEST

    Editor's Note: What type of draft league is it where, in the league's first year, Mickey Mantle and Willie Mays would be on one team, but Jamie Quirk would be the first round draft pick on another? Where Pete Rose and Brooks Robinson would be bench-jockeys on one team, but Del Unser and Jose Uribe would be 1-2 in at-bats on another? Where the pitching was strong enough throughout a 25-team league to hold Ted Williams to a .301 average, and deep enough so that Sandy Koufax, Carl Hubbell and Greg Maddux would be reduced to closers, but where Tom Zachry would be the No. 1 starter and go 9-28, 4.97 (along with fellow 20-game losers Geoff Zahn and Pat Zachry) on another? Don't have it yet? One more big clue: The team that won the most games had Tris Speaker, Al Simmons, Willie Stargell, Mike Schmidt, Ryne Sandberg and Ver Stephens in its lineup. Still stumped? Read on.

    What if you went through the Baseball Encyclopedia, made up an all-time all-star team for every letter in the alphabet, and played them in a league? Which letter would be the best? That's exactly what I wanted to find out in my All-time All-Star Alphabetical League.

    And, after finishing with a 110-52 regular season record, the 'R' team, Round Pond (named after a small village in Mid-Coast Maine), led by MVP Babe Ruth and Cy Young winner Nolan Ryan, went on to defeat arch-rival Slope (a town in the North Dakota badlands) 4 games to 1 in the All-time Alphabetical World Series.

    Round Pond had excellent pitching. Ryan (21-9, 2.21) tossed a 3-hit shutout in game 1 of the Series, and had both a 1-hit shutout and a 5-hitter against Minot (and its Mantle, Mays, Musial outfield) in the semi-finals. Besides Ryan, Round Pond had a staff of Robin Roberts (18-6, 3.09), Jerry Reuss (14-7, 3.49), Red Ruffing (17-10), JR Richard, Jeff Reardon, Ed Reulbach, Eppa Rixey, Rick Rhoden, and Rick Reushel. In addition to Ruth (.336, 63 homers, 158 rbi's), Frank Robinson (.336, 31, 136), Jackie Robinson (who pulled off a delayed steal of home with Pete Reiser in game 4 of the World Series), Brooks Robinson, Cal Ripken, Pete Rose, Ed Roush, and 19th-century star John Reilly anchored a great lineup.

    Like most teams, Slope also had a great lineup, (Stargell, Schmidt, Sandberg, Speaker, Simmons) but what separated the best teams from average teams in this league were their pitching staffs. Slope's starters of Spahn (22-8, 2.78), Seaver (15-4, 2.89), and Sutton (20-7, 3.16) shut down Waldoboro (H. Wagner, T. Williams, the Waners) in the semi-finals and made them the series favorites in my eyes. But it was Round Pond's Robin Roberts who garnered World Series MVP honors, winning 2 of the 5 games, and sporting a 1.50 ERA.

    Creating the teams

    Using the Career Normalized version of the Strat-O-Matic Career Historical Baseball disks, I let the computer draft each of the teams, followed by my own eyeballing of the actual Hall of Fame list to ensure no injustices. I liked the fact that the Career Disks can be used to play stars from different eras with the additional Normalization (so that hitters from the 20's and pitchers from the 60's are not so distortingly dominant). Still, the drafter had a few unexpected glitches. It never drafted a pitcher 1st or 2nd and usually not until 5th or 7th player chosen. For example, for Jerimoth Hill (named after the highest point in Rhode Island), the obvious first choice would be Walter Johnson, but the computer drafter chose Reggie Jackson first. OK, so Jackson's not a bad first choice. Agreed. But the computer then chose Hughie Jennings, Joe Judge, and the immortal Charlie Jones before deciding on Walter J.

    The single biggest computer drafting glitch occurred for Minot. I figured that the computer would decide on either Mantle or Mays first, and sure enough it went with Mantle. But, not only didn't the computer choose Mays 2nd, it didn't choose Mays for the 25-man roster at all! I understand the computer goes by positions, and so it felt it more important to stock up on other positions like shortstops and catchers, instead of another centerfielder, but not even Mays for a bench player? I mean Dale Murphy was a fine player, but Dale instead of Mays? Marty McManus? Minnie Minoso? (All of whom the computer grabbed instead of Mays.) After I rescued Mays from the forgotten masses, he didn't disappoint, batting .326, with 20 homers and 81 rbi's.

    There were enough players for every letter except X. (There has never been a major-leaguer whose name begins with X). So, I decided to go with a 25-team league. Most of the teams were named after cities and towns in Maine and North Dakota. Here is each team's 1st draft pick, and first pitcher, as chosen by the Strat-O computer:

    Hank Aaron       Pete Alexander
    Dan Brouthers    Bert Blyleven
    Ty Cobb          Steve Carlton
    Bill Dickey      Wild Bill Donovan
    Buck Ewing       Dock Ellis
    Jimmy Foxx       Bob Feller
    Lou Gehrig       Lefty Grove
    Rogers Hornsby   Carl Hubbell
    Monte Irvin      Jason Isringhausen (thru 95)
    Reggie Jackson   Walter Johnson
    Chuck Klein      Tim Keefe
    Nap Lajoie       Ted Lyons
    Mickey Mantle    Christy Mathewson
    Bill Nicholson   Hal Newhauser
    Mel Ott          Claude Osteen
    Vada Pinson      Jim Palmer
    Jamie Quirk      Jack Quinn
    Babe Ruth        Nolan Ryan
    Tris Speaker     Tom Seaver
    Sam Thompson     Frank Tanana
    Del Unser        George Uhle
    Arky Vaughan     Dazzy Vance
    Ted Williams     Early Wynn
    Carl Yastrzemski Cy Young
    Chief Zimmer     Tom Zachary

    I do like the new CD-ROM scheduler better than the old DOS version, which had trouble creating a schedule for a league with a lot of teams. This scheduler simply asks what percentage of games each team should play in its own division (I chose 40%), and then does the rest, with none of the myriad error messages I always got with the DOS scheduler.

    Preseason Prognostication

    Eyeballing the teams before the season, I declared Minot and Waldoboro the pre-season favorites, overlooking the 2 best teams, Round Pond and Slope. At the other extreme, you know that a team that considers Jamie Quirk to be its best player is going to have some trouble. Poor Qatar batted a league low .205 as a team with a league low 30 homers, and had a 5.44 ERA. Only Idaho (5.69) had a worse ERA. Speaking of Idaho, they were the only team with very limited "stars" whom I allowed in the league. Most letters had plenty of great, or at least solid, players to choose from. But for the I, Q, U and Z teams, there was very little to choose from. As a result, Ed Irvin (career 2 for 3, with 2 triples) and Orlando Isales (2 for 5, 1 triple) made the Idaho team. By the time I noticed these guys with a study-ruining distorted amount of triples, it was too late. I couldn't release them in the middle of the league, because that would give an unfair advantage to teams that had yet to play Idaho. I didn't want to start all over because - well - I don't have a lot of spare time in my life (The two weeks it took me to do the league and write this is all I can afford). While I'm embarrassed about Irvin's 108 triples, and Isales's 90 triples, I do not think it ruined the overall results of the study. The cream still rose to the top. If anything, they elevated Idaho to 3rd worst team from the worst team. I used average ballparks (HR 1-9, Singles 1-8) for all teams.

    I wasn't sure whether any division was better than any other, so before the season, I decided that the 4 division winners would be seeded 1-4, with the next four best records being seeded 5-8 instead of just going by overall record. I wanted to reward teams that may have won a particularly tough division, but because of the tough schedule, not had a great record. (But this method would screw a team like Round Pond which won 110 games, but because it couldn't beat out Slope, received only the no. 5 seed). As it turned out, Bismarck (featuring father and son Bonds, Berra, Brock, Boudreau, Browning, Brouthers, V. Blue, Bunning) won a tough A-G division, with 6 of the 7 teams finishing over .500. Thus, Bismarck was seeded 4th, and was matched up against Round Pond in the 1st round. Ironically, that was the best series in the entire post-season, the only one to go 7 games.

    Bismarck      95-67  .586 --         Minot        104-58  .642  --
    Copenhagen    93-67  .574  2         Kamploops     89-73  .549  15
    Damariscotta  88-74  .543  7         Lewiston      84-78  .519  20
    Antarctica    87-75  .537  8         Helsinki      84-78  .519  20
    Greenland     86-76  .531  9         Jerimoth Hill 74-88  .457  30
    Frobisher Bay 85-77  .525 10         Idaho         52-110 .321  52
    Edinborough   77-85  .475 18

    Slope        111-51  .685 --         Tunk Lake     96-66  .593  --
    Round Pond   110-52  .679  1         Waldoboro     94-68  .580   2
    Oshkosh       83-79  .512 28         Vancouver     82-80  .506  14
    Norway        73-89  .451 38         Yellowknife   81-81  .500  15
    Parshall      72-90  .444 39         Uxbridge      61-101 .377  35
    Qatar         23-139 .142 88         Zap           41-121 .253  55

    Playoff results

    1st round:
    Slope d. Kamloops 4 games to 0
    Minot d. Copenhagen 4 games to 2
    Waldoboro d. Tunk Lake 4 games to 0
    Round Pond d. Bismarck 4 games to 3 (Bismarck won game 1 3-2 in 19 innings. Round Pond won the series after being down 3 games to 1)

    2nd round:
    Slope d. Waldoboro 4 games to 2
    Round Pond d. Minot 4 games to 2

    World Series:
    Round Pond d. Slope 4 games to 1



    RACISM IN THE SOMBILLA (7/97)

    Always at the cutting edge of controversy, this summer, the SOMBILLA spotlight team, in conjunction with the Commissioner's Office on Politically Correct Opportunities to Play (COPCOP), revisits a subject studied in the '91 and '94 summer newsletters.

    Team  White Black Hispanic Other    '91 White %    '94 White%    '97 White%
    Matt   31    7       7                 60%            51%             69%
    Jed & Clint 30 9     6                 69             67              67
    Jeff   29   11       5                 71             62              64
    RAT    29    6      10                 62             58              64
    Eric   29   10       5     1 (Japanese)80             56              64
    Harold 27    7      11                 58             56              60
    Arnie  27   10       8                 60             53              60
    Robin  21   11      13                 64             53              47
    Land & Brian 19 10  15     1 (Korean)  --             56              42
    TOTAL 1997 60% 20%  20%                                               60
    TOTAL 1994 57% 24%  19%                               57
    TOTAL 1991 66% 22%  13%                66

    The numbers were compiled with Robin's assistance (who of course is not only the only one in the league who actually knows what all our players look like, but also who has nice buns and who wears gold chains), we present an analysis of everyone's 45-man roster. There were about 5 players who she was not familiar with, so we guessed. But, she notes "even if we guessed wrong on these, it shouldn't change any team's profile too much."

    As you can see, the league appears to have regressed in its integration efforts over the past three years, as 6 of the 9 teams are whiter than they were three years ago. Although the league does have more Hispanics than ever, and of course, has found it necessary to add a 4th racial category, "other", we now have fewer African-Americans in the league than ever. I am not certain of the causes of this, whether due to racism in real baseball, expansion, worse quality of black players, or a less 'enlightened' league.

    Matt, who was the most politically correct team 3 years ago, has become 'No More Mr. Nice Guy' and has completely reversed his image to become the 'Red Sox of the SOMBILLA' in just 3 short years. Meanwhile, Jeff's attitude is separate but equal - his entire pitching staff is white, while 9 of his 11 outfielders are black or Hispanic.

    Land & Brian are to be commended for having the most politically correct team ever studied, including a bi-lingual clubhouse sign policy for its 15 Hispanics. Unlike Jeff, only 8 of their 20 pitchers are white.

    Jed & Clint, the league's most racist team 3 years ago, have stuck to their sinful ways, and clearly have not seen the light. 12 of their 15 infielders are white. At the other end, Future Wax and North Dakota are the only teams with more minority infielders than white ones.

    I'll leave it to others to interpret this, but as a whole, 70% of the league's outfielders are minorities (66 of 90). Matt, of course bucks the trend (50% white outfielders), while Land & Brian and Jeff have an 82% minority outfield (9 of 11).


    Original 1985 dispersal draft, revisited.

    The SOMBILLA held the one and only 35-round permanent league dispersal draft in 1985. Way, way back in the summer of 1990, we critiqued that draft and made some conclusions. But in 1990 many of these players were still active and some had a lot more years left. With the benefit of 18 years of middle age, it’s time to take a look back again.

    The original 1990 review will be reprinted here, updated wherever I see fit.

    (August 1990)

    I got this idea from the Boston Globe last summer when they analyzed recent NBA drafts. It has now been over 4 ½ years since eight of us got together at Jed’s to form a permanent league. The original 35-man draft was held on November 17, 1985. Remember that we were drafting based on the ’84 cards we had in front of us and ALSO the ’85 stats that were final, before the ’85 cards had come out. In analyzing the best and worst picks of each round, I’ve decided to exclude "one-year wonders." When drafting a one-year wonder, you are drafting for one purpose only, fully expecting to cut the player after the season. Thus, it’s not really fair to include such draft picks in the analyses. Examples of one-year wonders are Denny Walling for T&A a few years ago. (Note how T&A easily morphed into RAT when Randy joined) , ormore recently Lo. Smith for Jed this year. There are tons more but you know what I mean.

    SOMBILLA records through the ‘89-90 season are shown (sorry folks I just ain’t going back to add up the final career SOMBILLA stats for someone like Cal Ripken, or anyone else for that matter. It’s like, summer, you know?)

    Round 1

    As in 1990, this is an eight-way tie. As I stated back then "oh sure, we could all sit here and nit-pick about whose career has been better, but I think that these eight have all stood the test of time." Listed in order:

    1. Gooden, T&A (29-17, 3.53, 373 k’s in 426 inns)
    2. Sandberg, Joel (.228, 26, 118)
    3. Ripken, Robin (.262, 39, 128)
    4. Hershiser, Eric (26-24, 3.41)
    5. R. Henderson, Arnie (.266, 33, 109, 97 sb)
    6. Boggs, Jed (.294, 13, 99)
    7. Mattingly, Yitz (.287, 38, 136)
    8. O. Smith, Matt (.255, 4, 84)

    Round 2

    Best picks – 10. Valenzuela, Yitz (25-21, 3.80, 308k’s in 414 inns); 11. Trammell, Jed (.256, 30 125); 12. Stieb, Arnie (20-61, 3.35); 13. Da. Murphy, Eric (.258, 50, 155); 14. Tudor, Robin (13-20, 5.09); 15. Brett. Joel (.266, 40, 153)

    Worst pick – 9. Gary Redus (.228, 6, 39). Enough has been written already. (That was what we said in 1990. But to verify that this was the worst pick of all-time, simply review the list of players from this draft taken after him, starting with the Best picks of the 2 nd round above. Then compare to the list of players taken after Adrian Beltre in 1999.)

    Also picked – 16. Gedman, T&A. Who knew he’d fade away into nothingness?

    Round 3

    Best picks 18. Lance Parrish, Robin (.212, 39, 96); 19. T. Pena, Eric (.272, 15, 83); 20. T. Fernandez, T&A (also picked in the ’99 draft above for you trivia buffs), 22. Winfield, Yitz (.284, 30, 107); 24. Raines, Arnie (.260, 14, 67, 73 sb)

    Also picked: 17. G. Carter, Joel; 21. W. Hernandez, Jed; 23. Quissenberry, Matt

    Round 4

    Best picks: 25. Saberhagen, Arnie; 26. Whitaker, Matt; 28. Scioscia, Jed; 30. Yount, Eric (.257, 25, 99)

    Worst pick: 29. Soto, T&A

    Also picked: 27. D. Garcia, Yitz; 31. Herr, Robin; 32. Andujar, Joel

    Round 5

    Best picks: 33. Orosco, Robin; 36. Gwynn, Joel (.291, 8, 107); 39. Ju. Franco, Arnie

    Also picked: 34. Blyleven, Eric; 35. Moseby, T&A; 37. McGee, Yitz; 38. Leibrandt, Matt; 40. J. Morris; Jed (a.k.a, kick me)

    Orosco is one of only 3 players from this draft still in ML. (R. Henderson and Clemens are the others.

    Round 6

    Best picks: 45. Murray, Joel (.242, 30, 102); 48. Butler, Robin (.253, 7, 82, 54 sb)

    Worst picks: 42. Niedenfuer, Arnie (incredible that this obscure reliever is mentioned twice in one newsletter); 43. W. Wilson, Matt; 47. Gossage, Eric

    Also picked: 41. M Witt, Jed; 44. Darling, Yitz; 46. Righetti, T&A

    Round 7

    Best pick: 50. Baines, T&A; 54. P. Guerrero, Arnie (.298, 34, 130); 55. J. Howell, Jed

    Worst pick: 52. Seaver, Robin

    Also picked: 49. Sutcliffe, Eric; 51. Boddicker, Joel; 53. B. Bell, Matt; 58. Reardon, Yitz

    Round 8

    Best picks: 59. Welch, Arnie; 60. Dw. Evans, Matt (.245, 48, 160); 63. Schmidt, T&A (.236, 44, 127); 64, K. Hernandez, Eric (.281, 21, 106)

    Worst pick: 57. Waddell, Yitz (the first player picked who never played in the league)

    Also picked: 58. Barfield, Jed; 61. Bryn Smith, Robin; 62. Lemon, Joel

    Round 9

    Best pick: 65. Strawberry, T&A ended up playing over 10 years in the league.

    Worst pick: 72. Easler, Eric

    Also picked: 66. Bedrosian, Joel; 67. Rice, Robin; 68. Guidry, Matt; 69. A. Davis, Arnie; 70. G. Bell, Jed; 71. Brooks, Yitz

    Round 10

    Best pick: 75. Hrbek, Jed (.249, 38, 115)

    Worst pick: 77. Rozema, Matt

    Also picked: 73. C. Washington, Eric; 74. J. Leonard, Yitz; 76. Caudill, Arnie; 78. Youngblood, Robin; 79. J. Cruz, Joel; 80. K. Howell, T&A.

    Round 11

    Best picks: 85. Hough, Jed; 86. Lansford, Yitz

    Worst pick: 87. Scurry, Eric

    Other picks: 81. Meacham, Joel; 82. Jacoby, Robin; 83. Heath, Matt; 84. Doran, T&A; 88. F. White, Arnie

    Round 12

    Best picks: 90. DeLeon, Eric; 96. Show, Joel

    Worst pick: 93. D. James, T&A

    Also picked: 89. Key, Arnie; 91. J. Davis; Yitz; 92. Armas, Jed; 94. Leal, Matt; 95. Dravecky, Robin (until his arm fell off – and I don’t mean because he used up all his innings)

    Round 13

    Best pick: J. Clark, Jed (.246, 35, 107)

    Worst picks: 99. M. Young, T&A; Lahti, Yitz

    Also picked: 97. G. Walker, Robin, 98. Upshaw, Matt; 100. Pendleton, Joel; M. Barrett, Eric; Wallach, Arnie

    Round 14

    Best picks: Dave Smith, Arnie; Gaetti, Eric; Fisk, Matt

    Worst picks: Flanagan, Joel; S. Davis, T&A

    Also picked: Ray, Jed; Lavelle, Yitz; D. Moore, Robin (R.I.P.)

    Round 15

    Best picks: K. Gibson, Joel; Viola, Jed; Langston, Yitz

    Worst pick: Sundberg, Arnie. A lot of the worst players picked in the first part of the draft were veterans whose best years were behind them.

    Also picked: Shirley, Matt; Marshall, T&A; Candelaria, Robin; Lefferts, Eric

    Round 16

    Bets picks: 121. N. Ryan, Yitz; 124. Clemens, Eric. Ironic that these two Texans were taken in the same round. Eric’s choice of Clemens with the 124th pick in this draft could quite possibly be the greatest SOMBILLA draft pick of all time. But as I put it, back then, who knew? Clemens had a lot of potential, but ended 1985 on the DL.

    Worst pick: Tunnell, Matt; Lacy,Joel.

    Also picked; Petry, Jed; Filson, Arnie; Oil Can, Robin; M. Moore, T&A.

    Round 17

    Best pick: Kirby Puckett, Robin. 136th overall. (.275, 26, 100)

    Worst picks: McRae, Matt; Dwaley, Joel

    Also picked: Denny, Eric; Horner, Arnie; Ch. Davis, Jed; Parker, Yitz; Bradley, T&A

    Round 18

    Best pick: V. Hayes, Eric

    Worst picks: C. Bando, Joel; Power, Jed

    Also picked: McReynolds, T&A; Slaught, Robin; Cox, Arnie; Gullickson, Matt; Dw. Murphy, Yitz

    Round 19

    Best pick: John Franco, Jed

    Worst picks: Ojeda, Yitz; Lea, Joel

    Also picked; Beniquez, Eric; Schofield, Arnie; Black, Robin; Tippy Martinez, Matt; Samuel, T&A

    Round 20

    Best picks: J. Carter, Robin; Lee Smith, Arnie; Van Slyke, Yitz

    Worst pick: Reggie Jackson, Matt

    Also picked: Mullinicks, Joel; Presley, T&A; DiPino, Jed

    Round 21

    Best pick: M. Scott, Jed. (26-12, 4.43, 313 K’s in 319 inns). Pitched a no-no against Joel in 1988.

    Worst picks: Nichols, Arnie; K. Gross, T&A

    Also picked: Honeycutt, Yitz; Schroeder, Eric; Cooper, Joel; Gladden, Robin; Orsulak, Matt (best name in this round)

    Round 22

    Best picks: Gubicza, T&A (noted that his W-L records were 2-8, 2-7, 9-0, 1-2); F. Lynn, Jed (.262, 39, 93)

    Worst picks: Buckner, Joel. He wasn’t yet infamous.

    Also picked: Perconte, Matt; A. Pena, Robin; Rawley, Arnie; DeCinces, Eric; Koosman, Yitz

    Round 23

    Best pick: P. O’Brien, Robin (.247, 24, 81)

    Worst picks: J. Gutierrez, Arnie; G. Frazier, Joel. As noted in 1990, "I think the study is more interesting (and funnier) in the later rounds."

    Also picked: Tabler, Jed; Virgil, Yitz; Da. Evans, Eric; D. Robinson, T&A; Sutter, Matt

    Round 24

    Best picks: L. Durham, Matt; D. Schmidt, Robin; Agosto, T&A

    Worst picks: Garvey, Yitz; J. Tibbs, Arnie

    Also picked: Wohlford, Joel; Rhoden, Eric, Puhl, Jed

    Round 25

    Best pick: K. Phelps, Arnie (.231, 34, 82)

    Worst picks: G. Hoffman, Matt; Lollar, Joel

    Also picked: Oester, Jed; Wiggins, Yitz; Dernier, Eric; Schatzader, T&A; A. Griffin, Robin

    Round 26

    Best picks: R. Dempsey, Jed; Brunansky, T&A

    Worst picks: Hoyt, Robin; Foster, Joel

    Also picked: Tanana, T&A; Wockenfuss, Eric; O. Concepcion, Yitz; Mason, Arnie; G. Wilson, Matt

    Round 27

    Best picks: Dawson, Arnie; Randolph, Robin

    Worst pick: Santana, Eric

    Also picked: T. Landrum, Yitz; Oberkfell, Matt; Hubbard, Jed; Holland, Joel

    Round 28

    Best pick: Reuschel, Eric

    Worst pick: Ga. Maddox, Matt

    Also picked: Lo. Smith, Joel; Corcoran, T&A; Mi. Davis, Robin; Backman, Jed; Teufel, Arnie; Cedeno, Yitz

    Round 29

    Best picks: Pagliarulo, Eric; Templeton, T&A

    Worst pick: R.L. Jackson, Arnie

    Also picked: Shelby, Jed; Burns, Yitz; Lezcano; Matt; Stanley, Joel; Owen, Robin

    Round 30

    Best pick: E. Davis, T&A. This was the back breaker for the rest of the SOMBILLA.

    Also picked: Rucker, Eric; Baylor, Robin; Lopez, Joel; R. Ramirez, Arnie; Campbell, Matt; Bonnell, Yitz; Francona, Jed

    Unfortunately, I’ve lost the page of my copy of the 1990 summer newsletter, which evaluated the rest of the draft. It’s much

    harder to look back 15 years than it is to look back just 5 years, so I can’t really make good retroactive awards here, unless its obvious.

    Round 31

    Brenly, Arnie; Lopes, Jed; Pettis, Yitz; Cey, Matt; Matthews, T&A; Dilone, Joel; Smithson, Robin; Sax, Eric.

    Round 32

    Steve "If there’d been a urinal on the mound I would have used it" Crawford, Eric; Martinez, Robin; Madlock, Joel; Gantner, T&A; Vukovich, Matt; Terrell, Yitz; Hawkins, Jed; Nipper, Arnie

    Round 33

    Collins, Joel; Butcher, Robin; Bailey, T&A; Hill, Jed; Balboni, Eric; N. Allen, Arnie; Sisk, Yitz; Yeager, Matt

    Round 34

    Best picks: Hurst, Matt, T. Phillips, Jed

    Also picked: Fingers, Yitz; Ward, Joel; Brock, Arnie; Rayford, T&A; Wynegar, Eric; Carew, Robin

    Round 35

    Best pick: Eckersley, Eric

    Also picked: Willard, Arnie; Horton, Robin; Rose, Matt; Ma. Davis, T&A; Kittle, Yitz; Lynch, Jed; Dotson, Joel

    Best draft, 1985: After this draft, Eric and Andrew went on to share the next 10 SOMBILLA championships, winning 5 each. Clemens, Eckersley, Strawberry and E. Davis were part of the reason for those 10 championships.

    Worst draft 1985: I’ll give you one guess. He’s no longer in the league (and it isn’t Yitz).

    Trivia: In the middle of the draft T&A proposed that we make it 40 rounds, instead of 35. It’s a good thing we didn’t.



    1993 DRAFT ANALYSIS (7/97)

    In what is now an annual event, this summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the April 3, 1993 draft. As always, the first 2 rounds (18 picks) will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. After that, all picks are lumped together by round. The player's SOMBILLA stats are shown.

    We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '93 draft (the 92, 93, 94, and 95 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, 1996, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 1997, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft has the potential to have played in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '92-93, Dave ended up with the 1st and 3rd picks in the draft, after a trade with North Dakota, in which the teams exchanged 1st round picks and ND acquired little Leo Gomez as well.

    Round 1
    1. Schilling, Dave (After '97, will be 5 of 6 seasons (12-10, 2.55))
    2. Tewksbury, Jed & Clint (A one-year wonder at 8-6, 4.55)
    3. Eldred, Dave (A one-year wonder for Dave at 3-0, 2.43, Eric snagged him in the 7th round at this year's draft)
    4. X. Hernandez, Matt (2 seasons, 1-1, 2.35, 5 sv)
    5. Cordero, T&A (3 seasons at .253, 10 homers, 27 rbis. The real question is, does Beth know that this wife-beater is still a proud member of her husband's team?)
    6. M. Alou, Harold (Has played all 4 seasons, plus has great cards for 96 & 97, at .280, 23, 69)
    7. B. Anderson, Robin (Like Alou, six seasons. .262, 17, 65)
    8. Beck, Arni (In the exchange of draft picks with Dave, 2 seasons, plus '97 (2-0, 2.57, 21 saves)
    9. Rojas, Eric (3 seasons, plus '96, 1-7, 3.93, 10 sv)

    Best pick(s): Tie. Alou and Anderson, with a very close honorable mention of Schilling. The difference is that Moises and Brady are the only players from this draft to be in the SOMBILLA all 6 seasons. Schilling had one bad year in there.

    Worst pick: Tewksbury, J&C. He was not projected as a one-year wonder at the time. Ironically, my trade with Dave was contingent on whether Tewksbury was available with the 3rd pick. If he had been, I would have drafted him instead of switching picks with Dave and dropping down to 8th.

    Round 2
    10. Ke. Gross, J&C (1 season 2-6, 5.54)
    11. Piazza, J&C (3 seasons, plus 96 & 97, .288, 35, 115).
    12. R. Hernandez, Matt ( 3 seasons, + 96 & 97, 4-6, 3.20, 19 sv)
    13. Listach, Matt (1 season , 2 for 4)
    14. W. Greene, Dave (has not yet played)
    15. Astacio, Land (2 seasons +96, 5-6, 3.78)
    16. Lilliquist, Robin (1 season, 2-0, 0.00, 3 sv) (this is the 2nd time she drafted him)
    17. G. Pena, Land (4 seasons, .271, 9, 49)
    18. Meacham, Eric (2 seasons, 3-1, 4.73, 1 sv)

    Best pick: Piazza, Jed & Clint. Of course, we're evaluating draft picks in this study, not trades. Worst pick: W. Greene, Dave. This guy has to be the worst pick in the 1993 draft, as he was the first player chosen who has never played in the league. Amazingly, he is still on Metrowest's roster! Showing a lot of patience.

    Round 3

    Best pick: Deion Sanders, Land (4 of 6 seasons) Worst pick: Sam Millitello, Robin. Who?

    Also picked: Wilkins, J&C (3), Gilkey, Arni (3), Boston, Matt (2), Wakefield, T&A (2) (the first of two times they've drafted him), Guthrie (2) - redrafted by T&A this year, Holmes, Dave (2), Owen, Eric (1)

    Round 4

    Best pick: Tie. Eric Karros, Land and Mike Bordick, Arni (3 of 6 seasons each) Worst pick: Luis Rivera, Matt. Never played in the league.

    Also picked: Manwaring , J&C (2), Nilsson, T&A (2), R.Gonzalez, Robin (2), Bret Boone, Dave (1), Fetters, Eric (1); Trombley, Harold (never played for Harold, but Eric just drafted him this year).

    Round 5

    Best pick: Conine, Arni (3 of 6 seasons) Worst picks: Arias, Dave & Nied, J&C. The only players from this round who never played in the league.

    Also picked: B. Jordan, J&C (2), Cooper, Matt (2), Hickerson, Land (1), Leach, Harold (1), Schofield, Harold (1), Austin, Robin (1)

    Round 6

    Best pick: Tim Salmon, T&A. An outstanding 6th round pick, Salmon blows away all the other picks in this round. Coming up on his 5th usable year of 6 seasons, he was the 50th pick overall. Worst picks: P. Smith, J&C, C. Hernandez, Arni, Pugh, Harold. Never played in the league.

    Also picked: B. MacDonald, Matt (2); Wickman, Dave (2), Blankenship, Land (1), Ryan Thompson, Robin (1), Curtis, Eric (1)

    7th round

    Best picks: Mi. Perez, J&C and Wohlers, T&A - 3 years out of 6. Worst pick: Jessie Levis, Dave. The only player from this round to never play in the league.

    Also picked: Neel, Land (2), C. Garcia, Harold (2), Monteleone, Land (1), R. Rodriguez, Arni (1), Willis, T&A (1), Osborne, Robin (1)

    8th round

    Best picks: John Jaha, J&C and Jefferson, T&A (3 years each, although T&A cut him the next year, Jefferson's back in the league). Worst picks: Hulse, Dave and Wedge, Matt. Never played.

    Also picked: Mills, Harold (2), Scanlan, Land (1), Fleming, Arni (1), Kev. Rogers, Robin (1), Clayton, Eric (1)

    9th, 10th, & 11 rounds

    Best pick: Eric's John Valentin. Who says Eric can't draft prospects? Valentin's going on 4 out of 6 seasons. Worst pick: Bottenfield, Harold. Never saw the "Big Strat-O Table".

    Also picked: Girardi, Land (3), Kent, T&A (3), Vizcaino, Robin (3), Cormier, Dave (2), Hayes, Arni (2), Tackett, T&A (1), Brunansky, Arni (1), Sharperson, Land (1), Rasmussen, T&A (1), R. Jordan, J&C (1), Bruett (0 - but cutting Dave a break, he was the only 11th round pick).

    Best drafters, 1993: T&A. Despite drafting men who beat up women, they also drafted Wakefield, Nilsson, Salmon, Wohlers, R. Jefferson, Tackett, Kent, Rasmussen. Interestingly, they had only 3 picks in the first 5 rounds (no 2nd or 5th round picks)

    Worst drafter, 1993: Dave (Schilling, Eldred, W. Greene, Holmes, Boone, Arias, Wickman, Levis, Hulse, Cormier, Bruett). Half of Dave's draft picks never played in the league, compared to all 10 T&A picks. No wonder Dave resigned.



    1994 DRAFT ANALYSIS (7/98)

    For our annual draft review, this summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the April 2, 1994, draft. As always, the first 2 rounds (18 picks) will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. After that, all picks are lumped together by round. The player's SOMBILLA stats are shown.

    We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '94 draft (the 93, 94, 95, and 96 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, 1997, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 1998, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '93-94, Harold acquired the first pick in the entire draft from Eric, the season champion.

    Round 1
    1. Ramirez, Harold. (1998 season will mark 4 out of a possible 6 seasons in the league). .299, 17 homers, 75 rbis
    2. Sele, Robin (If he ends up usable this year, Robin will have 3 years from him). 7-10, 6.33
    3. Bere, Land (2 seasons) 9-11, 6.50
    4. Hammonds (A huge disappointment so far, he has had only a cup of coffee for Dave & Jeff [1 for 7]. Still on Jeff's roster.)
    5. P. Martinez, T&A (5 of 6 seasons. For some reason, he didn't pitch for them in '96-97). 19-10, 6.33
    6. Karsay, Matt (Never played in the SOMBILLA).
    7. R. White, Harold (4 of 6 seasons) .321, 2 homers, 8 rbis
    8. McMichael, Eric (4 of 6 seasons) 4-1, 7.31, 11 saves
    9. Galarraga, T&A (5 of 6 seasons) .294, 34 homers, 111 rbi's

    Best pick - Pedro Martinez, T&A(by a hair over Galarraga. The biggest difference is that Pedro's 9 years younger).
    Worst pick - Karsay, Matt. This guy is the earliest pick in league history to never make the league. In other words, he is the worst draft pick in SOMBILLA history.

    Round 2
    10. Mondesi, Land (5 of 6 seasons) .288, 18, 72
    11. Tarasco, Robin (never played in the SOMBILLA)
    12. Stanley, Eric (5 of 6 seasons) .316, 51, 131
    13. Leyritz, J&C (2 seasons) .272, 22, 68
    14. Quantrill, Dave (1 season) 4-0, 2.02, 2 sv
    15. Stocker, Matt (2 seasons) .183, 0, 9
    16. Salomon Torres, Harold (never played in the SOMBILLA)
    17. Kreuter, Arnie (1 season) .297, 3, 22
    18. S. Berry, Robin (4 seasons) .279, 24, 94

    Best picks - Raul Mondesi, Land; Mike Stanley, Eric
    Worst pick - Tarasco, Robin (chosen over Torres because he was picked 11th overall).

    Round 3
    Best pick - Trevor Hoffman, Arnie (5 of 6 seasons)
    Worst picks - Carr, Jed & Clint; Burnitz, Matt (neither played in the SOMBILLA)
    Also picked - Bedrosian, Eric (1 season); Turner, Robin (1); Gates, Land (2); Darwin, Dave (1); Hansen, Harold (3); Portugal, Eric (2)

    Round 4
    Best pick - Jesse Orosco, Eric (Having another fine year in '98, this veteran will have quietly played in 5 of the 6 seasons). He gets the nod over Easley, because Easley has played only 3 seasons, and who's to say Orosco won't outlast him?
    Worst picks - Nieves, Robin; Wertz, Matt; Gil, Arnie (never played in the league)
    Also picked - Van Poppel, Land (1); Arocha, J&C (1); Easley, Dave (3); Ruffin, Harold (2); Reuter, T&A (2)

    Round 5
    Best pick - Pat Hentgen, Dave (4 of 6 seasons)
    Worst pick - none. Although a few players drafted in this round played only 1 season in the league, that's expected from this round, where you can always pick up a one-year wonder to fill a hole. No one should be penalized for that.
    Also picked - Eisenreich, Eric (2); J. Tavarez, T&A (1); A. Martin, Land (2); Blowers, J&C (1); Cooke, Harold (1); Lansing, Harold (1); B. Jones, Arnie (2); K. Ryan, T&A (2)

    Round 6
    Best pick - Derek Bell, Jed & Clint (4 of 6 seasons). An excellent 6th round pick
    Worst picks - R. Gutierrez, Eric; E. Perez, Land; J. Hernandez, Matt (never played)
    Also picked - P. Martinez, Robin (the 'other' Pedro Martinez - 2); Newfield, Dave (1); Lloyd, Harold (1); Honeycutt, Arnie (1); Amaral, T&A (1)

    Round 7
    Best pick - None. On the same theory as the 5th round, that one-year wonders fill a role - they can't be considered 'great' (or lousy) draft picks
    Worst picks - Roberson, Eric; Mejia, Robin; Stahoviak, Dave; Reynoso, J&C; Kilgus, Matt - none ever played
    Also picked - (see what I mean about no best pick) J. Bautista, Matt (1); T. Rhodes, T&A (1); P. Clark, Arnie (1); Hitchcock, J&C (1)

    Round 8
    Best pick - Eric Plunk, Arnie (4 of 6 seasons). This was also the 2nd time North Dakota drafted Plunk, having used him for a couple of years and cutting him.
    Worst picks - Whitmore, Land; A. Watson, J&C; Incaviglia, Matt; D. Jean, Harold; Miranda, T&A. None of these guys ever played after being drafted in this round, although Inky had a career with Jed way back when.
    Also picked - Voight, Robin (1); Gallego, T&A (1)

    Rounds 9&10
    Best pick - Jim Edmonds, Matt (4 of 6 seasons). It seems there's one of these guys in every draft.
    Worst picks - S. Fletcher, Eric; P. Wagner, Robin; B. Munoz, Land; D. May, Arnie; Bo Jackson, J&C; Valle, Matt; D. Bautista, Matt (none ever played)
    Also picked - T. Wilson, J&C (1); Shaw, Harold (1); Ayala, T&A (1); Buechelle, Land (1); Trlicek, Eric (1); Bass, Arnie (1); Lo. Smith, Arnie (1)

    Best draft, 1994: T&A (P. Martinez, Galarraga, Reuter, K. Ryan, Amaral, T. Rhodes, Gallego, Miranda, Ayala). Not a great draft, but it was not really a stellar draft for the entire league.  A couple of true stars, and except for Miranda, all of these guys found their way onto Future Wax's roster at some point.

    Worst draft, 1994: Matt (Karsay, Stocker, Burnitz, Wertz, J. Hernandez, Kilgus, Incaviglia, Edmonds, Valle, D. Bautista). Edmonds notwithstanding, 8 of Matt's 10 picks never played in the SOMBILLA. I'm not even sure who "Wertz" is.


    1995 Draft Analysis (7/99)

    For our annual draft review, this summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 1995 draft. As always, the first 2 rounds (18 picks) will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. After that, all picks are lumped together by round. The player's SOMBILLA stats are shown.

    We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '95 draft (using the 94, 95, 96, and 97 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 1998 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 1999, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '94-95, Land finished dead last by 4 games, earning the uncontested right to draft first in each round. In addition, through trades, he ended up with 6 of the top 32 picks. How'd he do (how'd we all do?)?

    Round 1
    1. A. Rodriguez, Land (1999 season will mark 4 of a possible 6 seasons in the league) .269, 6 homers, 31 rbi's
    2. Trachsel, Harold (2 seasons) 7-7, 4.68
    3. Klesko, Arnie (Although he hasn't turned into the monster HR guy I hoped for, 1999 will make it 6 out of 6 for him) .259, 35 hr, 97 rbi
    4. Delgado, Dave (his appearance in this winter's SOMBILLA (98 card) will be his first and only season)
    5. Floyd, Robin (possibly 2 seasons) .306, 3, 10
    6. J. Hamilton, Tsuan (3 seasons) 20-11, 5.33 (As I recall, Andrew couldn't make it to the draft, and so Tsuan made all the picks for Future Wax)
    7. (The retired) Bob Hamelin, Eric (1 season) .177, 10, 27
    8. Ashby, Matt (another good year in '99 gives him 5 of 6) - incomplete stats
    9. Bones, Eric (1 season) 4-6, 5.38 (at least he isn't retired)

    Best pick: A-Rod, Land although a close second to Matt's Andy Ashby who has turned into a great pitcher.
    Worst pick: Despite the 10 SOMBILLA homers, you gotta go with a 7th pick overall who retires 4 years after being drafted.

    Round 2
    10. Van Landingham, Land (1 season) 4-3, 2.68
    11. K. Rogers, Dave (2 seasons) 4-13, 7.47 - picked up by Future Wax in the 5th round in this year's draft
    12. A. Gonzalez, J&C (Tor.) (looks like they have the wrong Alex Gonzalez [but not if you draft by looks - Robin])
    13. Ontiveros, Harold (1 season) 6-2, 3.81
    14. S. Green, Robin (a SOMBILLA rookie with last year's 97 cards, '99 will make 3 good seasons in a row) .285, 1, 10
    15. J. Lopez, J&C (5 out of 6) .230, 19, 69
    16. S. Reynolds, Arnie (a good '99 should make 3 out of 6) 10-10, 5.39
    17. Brogna, Matt (2 seasons) .329, 18, 48
    18. T. Jones, Harold (3 seasons) 7-6, 5.87, 2 sv

    Best pick - J. Lopez, although Green is coming on strong. It'll be interesting to compare them in 3 years.
    Worst pick - A. Gonzalez, J&C. The first player from this draft to never play in the SOMBILLA. Arguably the worst pick in the ’95 draft, which makes him the first player to be the best in one study (Robin’s Cute Ratings in Study #3) and the worst in another in the same year.

    Round 3
    Best pick - Rob Nen, Land (an impressive 6 for 6) 7-4, 2.96, 19 sv
    Worst pick - Jose Oliva, Dave - the second player from this draft to never make anyone's roster. (Honorable mention to Red Sox and former Red Sox Pat Rapp, Bullinger, and Manzanillo)
    Also picked - Howe, Harold (1 season), P. Gomez, Matt (1 season), Mesa, Robin (3 seasons), Manzanillo, Tsuan (1 season), Foster, Land (1 season), Rapp, Matt (1 season), Bullinger, Eric (1 season)

    Round 4
    Best pick - Ismael Valdes (should be 6 for 6) 20-18, 4.70, 3 sv
    Worst picks - none. Six of the nine players drafted in this round played only 1 season in the league. That's tolerable from this round, where you can pick up a one-year wonder to fill a hole. No one should be penalized for that. (Technically, Albie Lopez doesn't fit that mold, since his one year came 3 years after being drafted, saving him from being the obvious worst pick in this round.)
    Also picked - Nagy, J&C (3 seasons), Brantley, Eric (3 seasons) Heredia, Dave; Freeman, Harold; Y. Perez, Land; Henry, Tsuan; A. Lopez, Arnie; Nokes, Matt (1 season each)

    Note: One of the funnier memories from the ’95 draft came from this exchange:

    Arnie – “I draft Albie Lopez”
    Eric – (paging through his draft sheets) “And he is...?”
    Arnie – “A fat Mexican”

    Round 5
    Best pick - Vinny Castilla, Tsuan (5 of 6 seasons) .313, 25, 84
    Worst picks - Everett, Dave and Darling, Matt. What were they thinking? Neither one ever played in the league (after being drafted in '95 that is. Darling did have a short career for the old Learned Hands).
    Also picked - Carrasco, J&C (1 season); R. Greer, Harold (3 seasons); Cirillo, Arnie (4 seasons); Borland, Robin (3 seasons);
    S. Reed, Arnie (3 seasons); Aquino, Eric (1 season)

    Round 6
    Best pick - Mark Clark, Dave (by default). (2 seasons)
    Worst picks - Hesketh (Tsuan), and Mabry (Matt) - never played
    Also picked - DeLeon, Matt (1 season); Hudek (J&C); Leiber (1 season, although he's having an interesting '99); Eichhorn, Robin (1 season), Leiper, Arnie (1 season, but did strike out Barry Bonds to end the SOMBILLA World Series that year); Lemke, Eric (1 season)

    Round 7
    Best pick - Bill Risley, J&C (the only player from this round to play more than 1 season)
    Worst pick - Stinnett, Matt (never played)
    Also picked - M. Munoz, Robin; T. Scott, Harold; Mieske, Land; Becker, Tsuan; Wallach, Dave; Fermin, Eric; Dreifort, Dave (1 season each)

    Round 8
    Best pick - None - nobody played more than 1 season
    Worst picks - Leius, Dave; Mouton, Matt - never played in the league
    Also picked - Acre, Land; Eusebio, J&C; Cox, Harold; Frye, Robin; Pirkl, Tsuan; Huff, Arnie; B. Taylor, Eric (1 season each)

    Rounds 9, 10, & 11
    Best pick - Kevin Seitzer, Harold (a former cut of North Dakota, he played 3 seasons with Harold)
    Worst picks - JR Phillips, Land; BL Hunter, Tsuan; C. Howard, Tsuan; Jacome, Robin; D. Jackson, J&C (never played)
    Also picked - E. Williams, Robin (1 season); Kingery, J&C (1 season), D. Fletcher, Arnie (2 seasons); Stankiewicz, Arnie (1 season); S. Javier, J&C (2 seasons); Ogea, T&A; Schourek, Arnie; Brumfield, Land (1 season each)
     

    Best draft, 1995: Land! (A-Rod, Van Landingham, Nen, Foster, I. Valdes, Y. Perez, Mieske, Acre, JR Phillips, Brumfield.) Not a tremendous draft by any means, but it was not really a stellar draft for the entire league. He did manage to snag three great players, more than anyone else was able to do)

    Worst draft, 1995: Matt (also the 1994 worst drafter) (Ashby, Brogna, P. Gomez, Rapp, Nokes, Darling, DeLeon, Mabry, Stinnett, Mouton). As usual, Matt's scouting ended after the 2nd round.


    1996 DRAFT ANALYSIS (7/00)


    For our annual draft review, this summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 1996 draft. As always, the first 2 rounds (18 picks) will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. For these two rounds, SOMBILLA stats are available for those players who haven't played for Eric or Matt the past 2 years. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.

    We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '96 draft (using the 95, 96, 97, and 98 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 1999 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2000, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. The number of seasons that the player has played (or is projected to play) in the SOMBILLA is shown, regardless of whose SOMBILLA team they actually ended up playing with.

    In '95-96, Matt finished in 8th place, 2 games ahead of Dave & Jeff and won the rolloff for the right to draft first overall. This was the last draft in Medford. How'd we do?

    Round 1

      1. C. Johnson, Matt. His great season in 2000 will mean Charles will play for Matt in 6 consecutive seasons, although he has not become Ivan Rodriguez.
      2. C. Jones, Dave & Jeff ("D&J"). 6 for 6 as well (.276, 48 homers, 159 rbi's)
      3. Nomo, Eric 2 seasons, maybe 3
      4. Isringhausen, Arnie. Has never played in the SOMBILLA, although he is a candidate for the 2000 season.
      5. Jeter, Robin. 5 of 6 seasons (.228, 9 homers, 65 rbis)
      6. G. Anderson, Land. One season (.277, 7, 26)
      7. Percival, Harold 5 of 6 seasons, with the 2000 season in question. (11-6, 2.42, 20 sv)
      8. Wakefield, RAT. One season (7-1, 5.05)
      9. Damon, Arnie. '99 card will be his SOMBILLA rookie season
       

      Best picks: Tie. Chipper and Derek. Even though Chipper's played in all 6 and Jeter hasn't (not usable in his rookie year), these are two of the best players in the game.

      Worst pick: A few years ago, I declared Matt's 1st round pick of Steve Karsay (6th overall in the '94 draft) to be the worst pick in SOMBILLA history because he was the highest draft pick to ever not play in the league. Well, Karsay finally had a good year in '99, causing him to get redrafted by Robin this year (He also may be usable for 2000). On the other hand, Jason Isringhausen was drafted 2 spots higher than Karsay, and has still never played in the league. The pressure is on to see if he can finish strong in 2000 to be usable and avoid the distinction of being the worst pick in league history. (And Isringhausen is the only reason I'm not writing about Johnny Damon here).

      Round 2
      10. Pettitte, D&J. 5 of 6 seasons (although he kind of stunk in '99, Jeff may be forced to use him anyway, which would make him a probable 6 for 6) (15-19, 5.53)
      11. F. Castillo, Eric. 1 season (4-4, 6.09)
      12. Nelson, Matt. 3 seasons
      13. Jose Valentin, Robin 2 seasons
      14. M. Cordova, Jed & Clint (J&C). Never actually made their 25-man roster, although he had a cup of coffee for injuries.
      15. Ausmus, Land. 4 seasons. (.267, 10, 52)
      16. Q. Veras, D&J. 5 seasons, although never a starter for Jeff - strictly a bench-warmer (.215, 4, 15)
      17. Bottalico, RAT 2 seasons (6-3, 3.19, 14 sv)
      18. J. Schmidt, J&C 2 seasons (6-7, 5.46)

    Best pick - Tie. Pettitte, D&J and Ausmus, Land. The only reason Pettitte makes Jeff's staff every year is because Jeff's other starters are always even worse.

    Worst pick - M. Cordova J&C. At least Eric used Castillo for a full season.

    Round 3

    Best pick - D. Wilson, D&J. A pretty weak round 3 if you ask me.

    Worst pick - D. Veras, J&C. The first player (other than possibly Isringhausen) from this draft who never played in the SOMBILLA.

    Also picked - M. Maddux, Matt (2 seasons); Charlton, D&J (2); Leskanic, Eric (1); Pulsipher, Robin (0, but drafted after Veres); Belinda, Land (1); Ochoa, Harold (1); Suppan, J&C (1)

    Round 4

    Best pick - Alfonzo, D&J. Of course, Jeff cut Alfonzo a year later (his first move as sole GM of the franchise after Dave resigned), and Land picked him up 3rd overall at the '98 draft.

    Worst pick - None. Five of the nine players drafted in this round played only 1 season in the league. That's tolerable from this round, where you can pick up a one-year wonder to fill a hole. No one should be penalized for that. (Technically, Roger Cedeno doesn't fit that mold, since his one year came 3 years after being drafted, saving him from being the obvious worst pick in this round.)

    Also picked - Pavlik, Eric (1); Fossas, Arnie (1); Corsi, Robin (3); Slocumb, J&C (2); Worrell, Eric (1); D. Henry, Harold (1); Plesac, RAT (3); Cedeno, Arnie (1)

    Round 5

    Best pick - R. Durham, RAT. A decent 2000 gives him 3 seasons in the league.

    Worst picks - Tucker, D&J; F. Rodriguez, Land. The 3 rd & 4th players picked who never played in the league.

    Also picked - Lira, Matt (1); W. Williams, D&J (1); Ruffin, Robin (2); Petkovsek, Harold (1); Haney, RAT (1); E. Young, Arnie (2)

    Round 6

    Best pick - John Franco, J&C. Of course, they had to draft him only because they'd cut him 2 years earlier after a distinguished career with Jed. It was an excellent redraft, though, as a fine '00 season will give him 5 of 6 seasons.

    Worst pick - R. Davis, Harold. The only player from this round who never made it to the SOMBILLA

    Also picked - JT Snow, D&J (2); Walton, Eric (1); Colbrunn, Matt (1-3 seasons, I really don’t know); Acevedo, Robin (1); Cummings, Arnie (1); Florie, J&C (2); Whiteside, Arnie (1)

    Round 7

    Best pick - Higginson, J&C (2 seasons)

    Worst pick - K. Abbott, Matt; Johns, RAT. Never played

    Also picked - M. Lewis, D&J; Manto, Eric; Hosey, Robin; C. Perez, Land; Cangelosi, Harold; G. Williams, Arnie (1 season each)

    Round 8

    Best pick - A. Benitez, Harold (although Harold traded him to D&J after the draft)

    Worst pick - H. Perry, J&C. Never played

    Also picked - Crabtree, Eric; Borbon, Matt; T. Goodwin, Robin; A. Osuna, Land - 2 seasons each (not bad for the 8th round); Reuter, RAT; Henneman, J&C (1 season each)

    Round 9

    Best pick - Denny Neagle, Land. An outstanding 9th round pick, Neagle will have played 5 of 6 seasons after 2000,

    Worst pick - Hollandsworth, Harold. The only player from this round not to play in the league.

    Also picked - Sparks, Matt; Parent, Eric; E. Murray, J&C; Eischen, Robin; (1 season each); Morandini, RAT (2)

    Rounds 10 & 11

    Best pick - Mariano Rivera, Harold. An incomprehensible 10 th round pick, the 83rd pick overall. Rivera is 5 for 6.

    Worst picks - L. Andujar, Matt; Wolcott, RAT

    Also picked - Lansing, Eric (4); Bates, Robin; Huskey, Land; Carreon, RAT; Gaetti, Matt; Reboulet, Land; A. Pena, Harold (1 season each)
     
     

    Best draft, 1996: Dave & Jeff! (C. Jones, Pettitte, Q. Veras, Charlton, D. Wilson, Alfonzo, W. Williams, Tucker, JT Snow, M. Lewis)

    Worst draft, 1996: Matt (also the 1994 and 1995 worst drafter) (C. Johnson, J, Nelson, M. Maddux, Lira, Colbrunn, K. Abbott, Borbon, Sparks, L. Andujar, Gaetti). Enough said.



    DRAFT ANALYSIS - 1997

    This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 1997 draft. As always, the first 2 rounds (18 picks) will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. For these two rounds, SOMBILLA stats are available for all players except for partial stats for some who played for Eric or Matt during the past 3 years. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.

    We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '97 draft (using the 96, 97, 98 and 99 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 2000 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2001, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '96-97, Dave & Jeff finished in last place, earning the right to draft first overall. Dave resigned from the league at the end of the season, giving Jeff the entire ownership of the team. This was the first draft ever held in Holliston. How'd we do?

    Round 1

    1.  Renteria, Jeff (.268, 6 homers, 53 rbis). Has played in four full seasons, although does not appear to be usable in either 2000 or 2001.
    2.  Radke, Matt (partial stats 7-4, 8.52). 2 seasons, plus having a good 2001.
    3.  A. Jones, Jed & Clint (.271, 32, 78). A productive 3 seasons, with a good card in 2000.
    4.  T. Walker, Jeff (.252, 3, 15). Jeff's 2 nd pick in the top 4 has played just one season so far, but has a good card in 2000 and is having a good 2001.
    5.  C. Park, Land & Brian (6-8, 4.60) 2 seasons, plus 2000 and 2001.
    6.  L. Castillo, Robin (.229, 0, 16). 2 seasons, plus 2000 and 2001.
    7.  Garciaparra (.350 [234 for 668], 35, 142). 5 teams had a crack at this guy (one person had two cracks) and snubbed their noses. 3 seasons, plus 2000 and (I assume a limited) 2001.
    8.  Rolen, Arnie (.241, 19, 80). 3 seasons, plus 2000 and 2001
    9.  A. Leiter, Harold (13-9, 5.66) 3 seasons, plus 2000 and 2001

    Best pick: Right now, I gotta go with Nomar. Those would be great stats in MLB, let alone an all-star league like the SOMBILLA. But in ten years, it'll be interesting to compare Andrew Jones's career with Nomar's; Jones is still only 24, 3 years younger than Nomar.

    Worst pick: No one really. T. Walker and Castillo both got off to very slow starts in their careers. Walker especially looked like a bust. But he's turned his career around nicely.

    Round 2

    10. Erstad, Jeff (.292, 1, 11) 3 seasons, plus 2000.
    11. Brosius, L&B (.263, 3, 21) 1 season plus 2000.
    12. B. Wagner, Harold (9-3, 3.91, 4 sv) 3 seasons, plus having a good 2001
    13. S. Sanders, J&C (8-4, 2.59). One season.
    14. TJ Mathews, Matt (2-0, 10.48, 4 sv) One season
    15. R. Pemberton, Robin (6 for 16, 3 rbis)
    16. Kendall, RAT (.318, 6, 33). 3 seasons, plus 2000
    17. Belcher, Arnie (4-6, 7.55) One season
    18. M. James, Eric (0-1, 5.29, 2 sv) One season.

     Best pick - Tie. Wagner, Harold and Kendall, RAT. Let's see. 5 teams drafted one year wonders in this round. 2 of the four who didn't played in the World Series last year.

    Worst pick - Rudy Pemberton, Robin. Mutant supreme, but the 15th overall pick for 16 at bats?

    Round 3

    Best pick - Giles, RAT. All 6 seasons, one of only two players from this draft with that claim. I see a trend here. They find these guys who then get to play in the World Series for Randy.

    Worst pick - Bluma, Robin. The earliest player drafted who never played in the SOMBILLA.

    Also picked - Dye, Jeff (1 season + 2000); R. Ordonez, Matt (2 seasons); T. Worrell, J&C (1 season); Rosado, Arnie (3 seasons); T. Adams, L&B (2 seasons, plus 2000); R. Jefferson, Arnie (1 season); Cook, Eric (3 seasons).

    Round 4

    Best pick - Shuey, Arnie. Not usable at all for 3 calendar years (2 seasons) after being drafted but played last SOMBILLA season, had a fine 2000 and is looking good again in 2001.

    Worst pick - Bielecki, Harold. Never played in the SOMBILLA. Chosen just ahead of Prieto

    Also picked - Prieto, L&B (never played); Al. Benes, Harold (2 seasons); Grudzelanik, J&C (2 seasons); Offerman, L&B (2 seasons); Trombley, Eric (2 seasons); Guthrie, RAT (1 season); E. Davis, Eric (1 season)

    Round 5

    Best pick - T. Clark, J&C (4 seasons, plus a fine 2001). An outstanding 5th round pick.

    Worst pick - Bochtler, RAT. The only player from this round to not appear in the SOMBILLA.

    Also picked - Wendell, Jeff (2 seasons plus 2000); Shaw, Matt (3 seasons plus 2001); MacFarlane, Eric (1 season); Radinsky, L&B (2 seasons); B. Taylor, Robin (3 seasons); D'Amico, Arnie (cut after 2 season ending surgeries, was drafted 4th overall by Matt this year); Sprague, Eric (1 season)

    Round 6

    Best pick - McElroy, Robin. After being cut by J&C, Robin picked him up and got 3 seasons out of him.

    Worst picks - Coppinger, RAT; Dickson, Arnie. We gambled and lost.

    Also picked - Baldwin, Harold (1 season); Batista, L&B (1 season); R. Rivera, Harold (1 season); Burba, J&C (2 seasons); Becker, Matt (1); Flaherty, Eric (1)

    Round 7

    Best pick - D. Graves, Harold (3 seasons)

    Worst picks- 'Way Back' Wasdin, Matt; D. Young, L&B; Eldred, Eric; Wade, J&C. Never made the big-time.

    Also picked - Holtz, Jeff (1); J. Wright, Robin (cut and redrafted 5th overall this year); Mi. Grace, RAT (1); Estes, Arnie (2)

    Round 8

    Best pick - FPS, Harold (although Harold cut him and redrafted him last year). 3 seasons

    Worst picks - McCracken, Robin; Stahoviak, Eric. Never played.

    Also picked - McLemore, Jeff (1); Whiten, L&B (1); Berroa, J&C (1); Stottlemyre, Matt (1); Elster, RAT (1); Casian, Arnie (1)

    Round 9

    Best picks - Tie. Urbina, Harold (all 6 seasons) and M. Sweeney, Robin (5 seasons). Two outstanding 9th round picks.

    Worst picks - B. Brown, Matt; Paquette, J&C; Howard, Harold. Quite a contrast to Urbina and Sweeney.

    Also picked - P. Wilson, Jeff (1); Espinoza, RAT (1); Osik, Arnie (1); Stairs, Eric (4 seasons and in most years, would be the best 9 th round pick)

    Rounds 10 & 11

    Best picks - N. Perez, Harold (3 seasons); B. Mueller, Robin (4 seasons). Perez is 4 years younger.

    Worst pick - None

    Also picked - H. Rodriguez, J&C (2); S. Andrews, Matt (1); Valle, RAT (1); Deer, Matt (1)

    Best draft, 1997: Harold (A. Leiter, B. Wagner, Bielecki, Al. Benes, Baldwin, R. Rivera, Graves, FPS, D. Howard, N. Perez). 4 years later, he won the World Series.

    Worst draft, 1997 tie: Matt (for the 4th consecutive year) (Radke, TJ Mathews, R. Ordonez, Shaw, Becker, Wasdin, Stottlemyre, B. Brown, S. Andrews, Deer) and Eric (M. James, Cook, Trombley, E. Davis, MacFarlane, Sprague, Flaherty, Eldred, Stahoviak; Stairs). Coming off a SOMBILLA championship, this draft began Eric's downward spiral into the SOMBILLA's netherworld.


    DRAFT ANALYSIS - 1998

    This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 1998 draft. As always, the first 2 rounds (18 picks) will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. For these two rounds, SOMBILLA stats are available for all players except for partial stats for some who played for Clint, Eric or Matt during the past 4 years. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.

    We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '98 draft (using the 97, 98, 99 and 00 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 2001 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2002, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '97-98, we had a historic 4-way rolloff for the 1st pick – between Clint, Robin, Jeff & Brian. How'd we do?

    The player’s SOMBILLA stats (where available) are shown.

    Round 1

    1. Grieve, Robin (.177, 5 homers, 16 rbis). Has played a bench role for 3 of Robin’s teams, and does not appear to be usable in either 2000 or 2001.
    2. V. Guerrero, Jed & Clint (partial stats [Clint did stats for 51 games in 97-98 and 44 games last year] .311, 44 HR, 142 rbi. All 6 seasons.
    3. E. Alfonzo, Land & Brian (.291, 30, 128). All 6 seasons.
    4. Jose Cruz Jr., Jeff (0 for 5). Played a bit role last year, but has a good card for 2001.
    5. Jaret Wright, Eric. We have no records for 98-99, but I don’t think he has ever played in the SOMBILLA.
    6. Rick Reed, Matt (only half a season’s stats exist: 4-2 4.50). 2 seasons, plus 2001
    7. Matt Morris, Arnie (4-3, 4.02). Only 1 season so far, but will play in ‘02-03 and is having a good 2002.
    8. Speirs, Harold (.305, 1, 33) 2 seasons.
    9. L. Hernandez, RAT (3-6 6.69) 2 seasons.

    Best pick: Well, I gotta go with God Vlad, but Alfonzo, who was cut by Jeff a year earlier, is a very close 2nd . No one else in this round (Morris is probably 3rd) is even close to these two so far.

    Worst pick: A few years ago, I declared Matt's 1st round pick of Steve Karsay (6th overall in the '94 draft) to be the worst pick in SOMBILLA history because he was the highest draft pick to ever not play in the league. Well, Karsay finally had a good year in '99, causing him to get redrafted by Robin. Then, two years ago, I declared Jason Isringhausen to be the new worst pick ever because he was 4th overall in the ’96 draft, and had still never played in the league. Well, Izzy had a fine 2001 and will be on my staff this year. Now Jaret Wright, on the other hand, is out of the SOMBILLA having been cut by Eric this year for having no card. It is pretty safe to say that Mr. W. will not be a late bloomer like Karsay and Izzy. Therefore, I think once and for all, we can now declare "Jaret Wright was the worst SOMBILLA draft pick of all time".

    Round 2

    1. T. Greene, L&B (.420, 3, 20) 1 season
    2. Tejada, L&B (.238, 6, 22) 1 season, plus 2001 and 2002.
    3. Cameron, Jed & Clint (.235, 7, 20) 1 season, plus 2001
    4. Kotsay, Eric. 0 or 1 season. No idea; Eric doesn’t "do" stats
    5. Millwood, Eric (13-9, 5.97) Probably 3 seasons.
    6. Nunnally, Matt Presumably he played for Matt in ‘97-98, but no one will ever know.
    7. Loiselle, Arnie (0-0, 7.94). 1 season, demoted when Jeff Shaw acquired in midseason.
    8. Hidalgo, Harold (.287, 17, 54) 2 seasons, plus 2001
    9. Hermanson, RAT (12-4, 5.77) 3 seasons

    Best pick – Tejada, Land & Brian in a very close choice over both Millwood and Hermanson. I give Tejada the nod because he’s now in the midst of his 3rd straight solid year, so his stock is still rising. Hermanson and Millwood are not usable in either 2001 or 2002.

    Worst pick – Tough call. Loiselle was a pretty bad pick, but he did play for me. Similar to Nunnally. But I tend to doubt that Kotsay ever played for Eric and since he has no way to prove otherwise, we’ll go with Kotsay.

    Round 3

    Best pick – Todd Helton, Jed & Clint. (.306, 30, 74) 5 of the 6 seasons; he wasn’t usable when first drafted. Great 3 rd round pick, guys. I’m sure it was all Clint’s idea.

    Worst pick – Abraham Nunez, Arnie. Although he actually did get called up for an injury replacement (1 for 4), there’s no sugarcoating this waste of a 3rd rounder.

    Also picked – Dreifort, Robin (4 seasons); S. Stewart, L&B (3 seasons, plus 2001 and 2002); Tomko, Jeff (1 season); Encarnacion, Eric (1 season assumed); Magnante, Arnie (1 season); F. Cordova, Arnie (2 seasons); J. Thompson, RAT (1 season)

    Round 4

    Best pick – Tatis, Jeff (.246, 14, 48) 3 seasons, plus 2002. Pronounced "Tattice" and "Tate-iss" by league members when drafted by Jeff, he appears to have the last laugh.

    Worst pick – As best I can tell, Carlos Guillen (Land and Brian) has never actually played in the SOMBILLA.

    Also picked – M. Ordonez, J&C (only 1 season. Shocking isn’t it?); Escobar, Robin (1 season plus 2001), D. Cruz, Eric (at least 2 seasons, but who really knows?); Stanton, Matt (at least one season, but there’s no paper trail); Fullmer, Arnie (only 1 season, but one memorable World Series homer); Burnitz, J&C (1 season); G. Stephenson, RAT (1 season). Note that half of these guys were redrafted this year.

    Round 5

    Best picks – Jeff Reed, Arnie; Blauser, Jeff; Sojo, Arnie; T. Ward, Harold; D. Patterson, RAT, W. Guerrero, Eric. One year wonders, all.

    Worst picks – Everyone else: K. Garcia, Jed & Clint, Jeremy Gonzalez, L&B; Spoljaric, Matt. They gambled and lost.

    Round 6

    Best picks – Alan Embree, Robin (1-0, 2sv, 5.55) 2 seasons, plus 2002; Rincon, FW (1-2, 2sv, 9.00) 2 seasons, plus 2001.

    Worst picks – Carpenter, Harold; Graffanino, Matt; Orie, Harold. Never made it to the big table.

    Also picked – Cather, Eric (1); Easley, J&C (1); Sullivan, Eric (2 seasons, I think); Carlos Hernandez, Arnie (2 rings)

    Round 7

    Best picks - Glanville, Robin (.327, 3, 23, 9sb); J. Powell, J&C (2-2, 4.81, 4 sv); Segui, Arnie (.308, 17, 62); D. Lewis, Harold (.200, 0, 6). We all got 2 seasons each out of these guys.

    Worst picks- Fat Toad Irabu, Harold, and Tom Evans, Matt. Never made the big-time.

    Also picked - Naehring, Arnie; Gunderson, RAT 1 season each.

    Round 8

    Best pick - Bartolo Colon, Harold. (15-10, 6.43) 3 seasons, plus 2002. An outstanding 8th round pick.

    Worst picks - M. Valdez, Land & Brian. Never played.

    Also picked - E. Marrero (2 seasons); Loaiza, J&C (3 seasons); Tewksbury, Robin (1); Stottlemyre, Eric (1 or 2; no one will ever know); Wilkins, Matt (1); Ledesma, RAT (2). A pretty good 8 th round for the league, actually.

    Round 9

    Best picks - Tie. Lieberthal, Eric (4 seasons, and maybe 2002); Posada, Harold (2 seasons, plus 2001 and 2002). You too can draft all-star catchers in the 9th round.

    Worst picks - Dunwoody, L&B; Cloude, Jeff; Belinda, RAT. Quite a contrast to Lieberthal and Posada.

    Also picked - Frye, Robin (2); Helling, J&C (3); Lowe, Eric (2, plus 2002 - coming on strong)

    Rounds 10 & 11

    Best picks - Mendoza, Harold; F. Vina, L&B, traded to Matt (both 2 seasons plus 2001 and 2002)

    Worst pick - O'Leary, L&B; Aybar, Robin; Thomson, Matt; Holt, RAT; Haynes, Jeff; Sheets, Matt

    Also picked - P. Reese, Jeff (3)

    Trades

    Back in the days, many trades were consummated on or around draft day. 1998 was no exception. Here were the trades made and how they turned out:

    1. Eric traded Matt Stairs to Robin for her 2 nd round pick. Eric used this pick to draft Kotsay, who played 1 season for Eric - at most, and may possibly have never played in the league. Stairs spent 3 productive years on the BC roster, hitting 26 homers and batting .303 one year. Clear advantage to Robin on this trade.
    2. A. Benitez & Myers from Harold to Jeff for Glavine and a 6th round pick (became Carpenter). Glavine played one season for Harold, who then traded him to Eric. Glavine has pitched in the league every year and next season will be no exception. Benitez has been a mainstay in Jeff's bullpen as well. Myers pitched one season for Jeff, and Carpenter never pitched in the SOMBILLA. A tough call. If Glavine wasn't a lefty, this would be easy. We'll call it even.
    3. Beck from Arnie to Matt for a 3rd rounder, which became A. Nunez. Beck lasted only one season with Matt, but that's one more than Nunez ever played. Advantage: Matt.
    4. DeShields from Eric to Land for a 6th round pick (became Cather). Each lasted only one season in the league (Cather was a limited relief mutant). Even.
    5. R. White and a 2nd round pick (became T. Greene) from Jeff to Land for I. Valdes. Both Valdes and R White have played on their new teams for 3 of the last 4 seasons, but White had a fine 2001 and Valdes' future is questionable. Advantage: Land & Brian.
    6. B. Jones from ND to Land for Sanchez and a 7 th round pick (became Segui). Sanchez was instrumental in ND's '99 championship and Segui had 2 productive seasons. Jones pitched one season for CN. Advantage: ND
    7. B. Roberts from RAT to Matt for a 9th round pick in '99. We assume he played for Matt in '98-99. RAT drafted Desi Relaford. A tie.
    8. Jose Valentin from Robin to Eric for a 6 th round pick in '99 (that became Randy Winn). I’ll give this trade to Robin as Winn is having a fine 2002. Of course, Robin cut him last year.

    Best draft, 1998: A tie between Jed & Harold. Jed had an excellent early draft (V. Guerrero, Cameron, Helton, M. Ordonez, Burnitz, K. Garcia, Easley, J. Powell, Loaiza, Helling), while Harold came on strong at the end (Speirs, Hidalgo, T. Ward, Carpenter, Orie, D. Lewis, Irabu, Colon, Posada, Mendoza).

    Worst draft, 1998: Matt (for the 5th consecutive year) (R. Reed, Nunnally, Stanton, Spoljaric, Graffanino, Evans, M. Wilkins, Thomson, Sheets). It's not that difficult to figure out how Matt ended up 10-43 last year.

    DRAFT ANALYSIS - 1999

    This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 1999 draft. As usual, the first 2 rounds will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. For these two rounds, SOMBILLA stats are available for all players except for partial stats for some who played for Eric or Matt during the past 4 years. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.

    We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '99 draft (using the 98, 99, 00 and 02 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 2002 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2003, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '98-99, Clint and Eric had a roll-off for the 1st pick – with Eric winning. How'd we do?

    The player’s SOMBILLA stats (where available) are shown.

    Round 1

    1. JD Drew, Eric (.287, 12 hr, 46 rbi with partial stats) 2 SOMBILLA seasons, plus a good 2003.
    2. O. Hernandez, J&C (7-5, 4.66) 2 seasons for those guys. Picked up in the 3rd round this year by Harold after being contracted out of a job.
    3. E. Chavez, Matt (.254, 17, 57) 3 seasons so far, plus 2002 and 2003.
    4. A. Beltre, Land & Tom Actually went 0 for 10 as an injury replacement once.
    5. Carlos Beltran, Robin (.268, 10, 40) Late bloomer – 2001, 2002 and 2003.
    6. Jeremy Giambi, also known as "Giambi-lite" (.254, 6,19) 1 season so far, plus 2002.
    7. K. Wood, RAT (9-4, 5.52 over 2 seasons). Also 2002 and 2003.
    8. Rolando Arrojo, Arnie (10-4, 3.81, 2 sv) 2 seasons

    Best pick: At this juncture, I’d say Chavez was the best pick. He’s had a good year every year except his draft year, when he was a September callup. Wood is a close 2nd and Drew and Beltran are coming on strong as well.

    Worst pick: Last year, I declared that Jaret Wright, drafted 5th overall in the ’98 draft was the worst SOMBILLA draft pick of all time, since he was the highest drafted player (to date) having never appeared in the league. Cameo appearances as an injury call-up aside (when simply being the only position player available on your roster can be the reason), Beltre is now the highest drafted player never to appear in the league. Being a position player makes it all the more outrageous, since, as we all know, pitchers are a lot less predictable. Thus, I declare Adrian Beltre to be the new worst draft pick of all-time.*

    Round 2


    9.  Abreau, L&T (.314 [221 for 704], 35, 141). All six seasons.
    10. T. Lee, Eric (.258, 2, 7) 1 season
    11. Ledee, Matt (.260, 4, 9) 1 season
    12. Elarton, Robin (3-2, 6.08, 3sv) 2 seasons
    13. Pavano, L&T (4-4, 3.61) 2 seasons
    14. A. Gonzalez, Jeff. 0 seasons
    15. Mantei, RAT (0-0, 6.32, 1 sv) 1 season
    16. Glaus, Harold (.268, 44, 101) 4 seasons, counting 2002 and 2003
    17. Woodard, J&C (1-0, 5.53, 1 sv) 1 season

    Best pick – Abreau, L&T. Arguably the best pick of the entire 1999 draft; they made a nice comeback from Beltre.

    Worst pick – A. Gonzalez, Jeff. The Florida A. Gonzalez, the only player from this round who never played in the league. Although in fairness to Jeff, it was a pretty shitty round for most of the league, and he’s having a good 2003.

    Round 3

    Best pick – Shane Spencer, Matt. 3 of the 6 seasons, although one could argue that the only reason this guy got to play in the league was because Matt’s teams were so crappy, he didn’t have anyone better. The other conclusion is that, with a couple of notable exceptions, the 1999 draft was a terrible draft. We should have all stayed home.

    Worst picks – Vazquez, Eric; Moeller, J&C; Caruso, J&C; C. Guillen, Jeff; Matt Anderson, Harold. See what I mean?

    Also picked – Daal, Robin; Mi. Williams, RAT; Lima, Arnie

    Round 4

    Best pick – Steve Kline, Jeff. This obscure lefty reliever has been in Jeff’s bullpen for 4 straight seasons, and has a World Series ring. In a few years it’s possible A. Ramirez will be considered the best pick from this round.

    Worst picks – C. Castillo, Matt, Stan Spencer, Arnie. Who?

    Also picked – Brocail, Jeff; Konerko, Eric; Christiansen, Robin, Rocker, L&T; A. Ramirez, RAT; T. Fernandez, Harold

    Round 5

    Best picks – Loretta, Eric and Sexson, Jeff. Five seasons for both and still going strong.

    Worst pick – Bobby Smith, J&C. Never draft retired hockey players.

    Also picked – Mulholland, Matt; Casey, L&T; Cabrera, Robin; K. Rogers, RAT; Service, J&C; Hatteberg, Arnie

    Round 6

    Best pick – Varitek, L&C. Not Hatteberg.

    Worst pick – E. Wilson, Robin. Surprisingly, only one player from this round never played in the league. Definitely a better round for the league than the 3rd round.

    Also picked – Howry, L&T; Winn, Robin; Fasano, Matt; Wall, Jeff; Mecir, RAT; C. Wilson, Harold; Hill, Arnie

    Round 7

    Best picks – Wendell, Eric and P. Byrd, Matt. 3 seasons each.

    Worst pick – None. Every other player from this round was a one-year wonder (Sefcik had a surprise bonus year as well).

    Also picked – Bohanon, J&C; Darrensbourg, L&T; Hayes, Robin; Nitkowski, Eric; Lloyd, RAT; T. Goodwin, Harold; Sefcik, Arnie

    Round 8

    Best picks – C. Everett, L&T; D. Lee, RAT; H. Bush, Matt. 2 seasons each.

    Worst picks – Bere, Eric; Tabaka, Matt; Marlon Anderson, Harold. Never played.

    Also picked – Yan, J&C; M. Maddux, Robin; Bergman, Jeff.

    Trivia: I believe this is the first round in history to have 3 picks in each category.

    Round 9

    Best picks – Ponson, J&C; Simas, RAT; Leyritz; Arnie; A. Boone, Harold. 1-year wonders. If you can’t find a 1-year wonder in the 9th round, you’re just prospecting.

    Worst picks – Relaford, Matt; Baldwin, L&T; Sadler, Robin; Fontenot, Jeff (everyone else)

    Rounds 10 -12

    Best picks – Bordick, J&C; D. Ortiz, Arnie. Due to a technicality (J&C were out of draft picks), Harold agreed to draft Bordick for Bunghole (in exchange for a 9th round pick in ’00, which became Chris Widger). David Ortiz was a 12th round pick who was actually the last player chosen in the entire ’99 draft. Having a fine 2003 will give him 3 seasons, same as Bordick.

    Worst pick – Girardi, Harold. Incredibly, the only player from these rounds not to make it.

    Also picked – E. Perez, Eric; Paul Wilson, Jeff; Lightenberg, RAT; Benard, Arnie; D. Wells, Arnie; C. Bradford, Harold.

     

    Trades

    Only two ‘major’ trades were consummated on or around draft day (there were several minor trades) 1999:

    1. On 3/26/99 – About a week before the draft, Jed & Clint acquired Jose Offerman and a 3rd round pick (became Mike Caruso) from Constantinople for a 2nd round pick (became Abreau) and a 6th round pick (became Howry). Snicker.
    2. On 4/7/99, 4 days after the draft, Eric acquired Tom Glavine from New Orleans for 2000 3rd round pick (became Geoff Jenkins), plus a very complicated formula for a player to be named later involving Eddie Perez or a swap of 2000 6th round picks. To make a long trade short, it turned out to be Glavine and Trot Nixon to Eric for Geoff Jenkins and Brent Mayne. A slight advantage to Eric.

    Best draft, 1999: RAT. Solid, but not spectacular. Other teams seemed to gamble more (and lose), while as usual, these guys got what they needed. (Wood, Mantei, Mi. Williams, A. Ramirez, K. Rogers, Mecir, Lloyd, D. Lee, Simas, Lightenberg)

    Worst draft, 1999: Harold (breaking Matt’s 5-year string) (Glaus, Matt Anderson, T. Fernandez, C. Wilson, T. Goodwin, Marlon Anderson, A. Boone, Girardi, Bradford). In fairness, he had no 1 st or 5 th round picks, and he basically forfeited his 10t h round pick (the Bordick thing). He also managed to win the World Series 3 years later, anyway.



    DRAFT ANALYSIS - 2000

    This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2000 draft. As usual, the first 2 rounds will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.

    We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '00 draft (using the 99, 00, 01 and 02 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 2003 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2004, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '99-00, Clint, Eric, Robin, Harold and Tom (all the non-playoff teams) were involved in an unprecedented 5-way rolloff for 1st pick – with Harold winning. How'd we do?

    The player’s SOMBILLA stats are shown.

    Round 1

    1. Benson, Harold (13-6, 5.44) 2 seasons
    2. Mateo, Harold (8 for 12 with 2 homers in bit parts over 2 seasons)
    3. Foulke, Eric (4-6, 29 sv, 2.60) all six seasons
    4. Hudson, Tom & Land (23-15, 2.58) all six seasons
    5. Ankiel, Robin (3-8, 3 sv, 7.35) 2 seasons
    6. Ramon Ortiz, Matt (4-5, 6.10) 1 season
    7. Zimmerman, Jed & Clint (4-7, 10 sv, 5.12) 2 seasons
    8. Williamson, RAT (9-4, 18 sv, 6.19) 3-4 seasons
    9. Ritchie, Arnie (5-5, 1 sv, 4.92)
    10. Best pick: Tim Hudson, with Keith Foulke an honorable mention. They’re both pretty awesome and it would be a tie, except that I give more weight to Hudson’s being a starter - he pitches 3x more innings than Foulke, making him a more valuable Strat-O pick in my opinion.

      Worst pick: Well, an excellent case could be made for Todd Ritchie (or perhaps Ramon Ortiz?), but I’m going with Ruben Mateo for two reasons. One, Ritchie was actually a regular in my rotation one year. Mateo only played for Harold as an injury callup. And the second reason is that Mateo was the second pick overall, Ritchie was 9th .

      Round 2

    11. V. Wells, Robin (1 for 6 as an injury callup, but great 2003 and 2004)
    12. Clement, Tom & Land (6-11, 6.21) 5 seasons (3 of these will be with Eric who redrafted him 3rd overall in ’03 after an ill-advised cut)
    13. Hampton, Eric (12-7, 5.14) 3 seasons (redrafted by Eric this year)
    14. F. Garcia, Jeff (7-8, 6.50) 3 seasons
    15. Halladay, Jed & Clint (4-4, 1 sv, 6.77) 3 seasons, 2 of which were for Robin
    16. Russ Ortiz, Matt (6-14, 6.74) 3-4 seasons
    17. Rupe, Tom & Land (3-5, 6.35) 1 season
    18. T. Hunter, Matt (.332, 28 hr, 69 rbi) 3 seasons
    19. Nilsson, Jed & Clint (.323, 16, 39) 1 season

    Best pick – Matt Clement, Tom & Land (just rating the draft pick, not the decision to cut him). When all is said and done, V. Wells may well be the best player from this bunch as he is still only 25 and just coming into his own.

    Worst picks – Tie between Rupe and D. Nilsson, 1 year wonders both.

    Round 3

    Best picks – Petrick and Jenkins, Harold; Koch, Robin 3 seasons all

    Worst picks – Bergeron, Arnie. The first pick from this draft who never appeared in the league.

    Also picked – Villone, J&C; Hermanson, RAT? (my notes say Tom drafted him, but I think that’s a mistake. He played for RAT that year); Milton, J&C; Seanez, Harold; Febles, RAT

    Round 4

    Best pick – Phil Nevin , Jed & Clint. He played two years for the ill fated BiG DiG and was picked up in the contraction draft by Tom. He will play in all 6 seasons.

    Worst picks – B. Davis, Jeff; Person, Matt. Never played. Some early prospecting turned sour.

    Also picked – Durazo, Robin; Garces, Eric; Kapler, Jeff; B. Davis, Jeff; Embree, RAT; R. Hernandez, Arnie; K. Wells, T&L. Note that Garces and Kapler were consecutive picks. A prize to whoever comes up with the best joke about contrasting physiques.

    Round 5

    Best pick – Mike Remlinger, Arnie. 2004 will represent the first time he’s not usable since being drafted.

    Worst pick – Branyan, Jeff; B. Carlyle, Matt. The only guys from this round who never played. Who is B. Carlyle?

    Also picked – Shumpert, J&C; Ochoa, Eric; Belliard, T&L;; R. Cedeno, Harold; Johnstone, RAT; M. Barrett, Arnie

    Round 6

    Best pick – Luis Gonzalez, Arnie. The next year he hit 56 homers. 5 seasons overall.

    Worst pick – W. Morris, Jeff. Consecutive DNPs for Jeff.

    Also picked – Karsay, Robin; Mays, T&L; Mayne, Harold; Jaha, J&C; Quinn, Matt; T. Nixon, Eric; Cormier, RAT. A pretty good round overall, actually.

    Round 7

    Best pick – Octavio Dotel, Tom & Land. 3 seasons in the league - now Oakland’s shitty closer.

    Worst pick – W. Veras, Robin. Hard to believe, but he’s the only 7th rounder to not play in the SOMBILLA

    Also picked – Surhoff, J&C; McGlinchy, Jeff; Singleton, Eric; Daubach, Matt; FP Santangelo, Harold; wife-beater Chouinard, RAT; Grebeck, Arnie

    Round 8

    Best pick – Eric Gagne, Arnie. 5 seasons. Passing Bartolo Colon as the best 8th round pick of all time.

    Worst pick – D. Ward, Tom. Hard to believe, but he’s the only 8th rounder to not play in the SOMBILLA

    Also picked – Velarde, Robin; Grimsley, Eric; Sauerbeck, Jeff; B. Wells, J&C; Olivares, Matt; Pote, Harold; Moyer, RAT

    Round 9

    Best pick – The much-maligned Byung-Hyun Kim. He’s still just 25 and has played 4 seasons for Robin. Actually top to bottom, this draft could be the best SOMBILLA draft ever.

    Worst pick – Blake, Jeff. Hard to believe, but he’s the only 9th rounder to not play in the SOMBILLA

    Also picked - Widger, Harold; Aguilera, Eric; B. Trammell, Tom; Mahomes, RAT; Delucci, RAT; Lampkin, Arnie

    Rounds 10 -11

    Best pick – C. Guzman. Eric. Nice 10th-round 3-season grab here.

    Worst pick –M. Munoz, RAT. Hard to believe, but he’s the only 10th rounder+ to not play in the SOMBILLA

    Also picked – W. Gonzalez, Robin; Thurman, Tom; Lieber, Arnie; E. Diaz, Robin; P. Abbott, RAT

    Trades

    Three trades were consummated on draft day 2000:

    1. M. Williams, Manila Folders and a 4th round pick in 2002 to Future Wax for a 2nd round pick in 2000. Became Matt Williams and Craig Wilson for Torii Hunter. Williams gave FW a few great cards, but Hunter’s awesome. Advantage: Matt.
    2. R. Clemens, North Dakota to Manila Folders for a 3rd round pick in 2001 and a 3rd round pick in 2002. The two picks for Clemens became Lance Berkman and Orlando Cabrera. We’ll call that one a draw.
    3. Bunghole trades its 1st round pick (1st overall) to New Orleans for a 1st round pick (7th overall) and a 3rd round pick. Essentially, Harold got Benson from Jed & Clint for Zimmerman and Seanez. After all is said and done, a pretty minor trade, with a slight advantage to Jed & Clint.

    Best draft, 2000: North Dakota. Excellent draft after a particularly slow start. But as noted earlier, a very good draft for the league as a whole. (Ritchie, Bergeron, Ramon Hernandez, Remlinger, M. Barrett, L. Gonzalez, Grebeck, Gagne, Lampkin, Lieber)

    Worst draft, 2000: Jeff (for what it’s worth, 3 years later, a couple of these guys played on his championship team) (F. Garcia, Kapler, B. Davis, Branyan, W. Morris, McGlinchy, Sauerbeck, Blake). Eerily, Harold had the worst draft of ’99 and also managed to win the World Series 3 years later. The key to success??!


    DRAFT ANALYSIS - 2001

    This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2001 draft. As usual, the first 2 rounds will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.

    We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '01 draft (using the 00, 01, 02 and 03 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 2004 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2005, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons. In '00-01, Matt finished in last place convincingly and had the first pick. How'd we do?

    The player’s SOMBILLA stats are shown.

    Round 1

    1. Furcal, Matt (.276, 2 hr, 33 rbi) 3 seasons (+1 season as a callup)
    2. Weaver, Jeff (7-6, 1 sv, 5.83) 2 seasons
    3. Vidro, Jeff (.292, 9, 43) 5 seasons
    4. D’Amico, Matt (4-5, 7.84) 1season
    5. Jamey Wright, Robin (3-6, 7.94) 1 season
    6. Burrell, Tom (.292, 14, 54) 3 seasons (includes ’05)
    7. Zito, Matt (11-15, 6.82) 3 seasons
    8. J. Jiminez, RAT (1-4, 10 sv, 6.66) 1 season
    9. Dempster, Jed & Clint (2-9, 8.21) 1 season
    10. Best pick: Not even close. Jose Vidro, Jeff (Jeff actually acquired this pick from Eric in the L. Walker trade)

      Worst pick: What a shitty first round! 4 players who were one year wonders. Since D’Amico was the first of the lot, 4 th overall, he gets the nod (although I do recall he had a good card).

      Round 2

    11. F. Castillo, Matt – never played!
    12. B. Molina, Jeff (.230, 14, 52) 4 seasons (including 2005)
    13. Rollins, Arnie (.323, 0 4) 4seasons (including 04 and 05)
    14. M. Lowell, J&C (.276, 24, 86) 4 seasons
    15. P. Wilson, Eric (0-3, 13 sv, 3.86) 1 season
    16. G. White, Tom (4-1, 5 sv 1.41) 1 season
    17. C. Smith, Arnie (2-2, 6.65) 1 season
    18. Sasaki, RAT(3-6, 6 sv, 6.25) 2 seasons
    19. Wunsch, Harold (4-1, 1 sv, 4.50) 1 season

    Best picks– Rollins, Arnie; Lowell, Jed & Clint; B. Molina, Jeff– tough call to name just one.

    Worst picks – Frank Castillo, Matt. The worst draft pick of 2001.

    Round 3

    Best pick – Lance Berkman, Arnie (regardless of your opinion of the trade to RAT) 5 seasons (all 6 if he becomes usable for 2005).

    Worst picks – Patterson, Jeff; Blanco, Matt; Hawkins, J&C; Leskanic, Robin; K. Walker, RAT; Burkhart, Harold. One year wonders all.

    Also picked – Wolf, Tom (3); W. Williams, Arnie (2)

    Round 4

    Best picks– Eaton, Jeff (1 for Jeff and 1 redrafted by Arnie); Armas, Eric (2); Higginson, Matt (2)

    Worst picks – Okha, Matt. Never played.

    Also picked – R. White, Arnie; C. Lee, J&C; Alfonseca, J&C; Penny, RAT; Soriano, Harold. One season each

    Round 5

    Best pick – Placido Polanco, Matt. All 6 seasons! (Some of those no doubt legit good cards. Others perhaps because he drafts guys like Frank Castillo and Okha, so somebody has to play).

    Worst pick – Piatt, RAT. Early prospecting gone sour. Did go 2 for 3 in an injury callup.

    Also picked – Randa, Jeff (2, including 1 for Robin); M. Suzuki, J&C (1); Rekar, J&C (1); A. Brown, Robin (1); Strickland, Tom (1); D. Fletcher, Arnie (1); Lugo, J&C (1)

    Round 6

    Best pick – Derek Lee, RAT. 1 season for RAT, then he was traded to Matt & Jed at the 2003 draft along with Brian Giles, Jason Kendall, & a 1st round pick (became Eric Hinske) for Edmonds (SOMBILLA MVP this past season) and Eric Chavez. 3 seasons overall.

    Worst pick – Huff, Jeff. DNP

    Also picked – Speier, Matt (1); F. Rodriguez, Robin (3, but no triple crown like D. Lee); Fordyce, J&C (1); Hollandsworth, Eric (1); Stynes, Tom (1); Chen, Matt (2, just redrafted); Hairston, Harold (1)

    Round 7

    Best pick – Jay Payton, Eric. 3 seasons in the league. Eric drafted him knowing he’d be on the Red Sox 4 years later (however briefly).

    Worst pick – Lombard, Jeff; Kohlmeyer, J&C. Who?

    Also picked – Richard, Matt (1); Herges, Tom (2); Sparks, Robin (2); L. Rivas, Arnie (1); Truby, RAT (1)

    Round 8

    Best pick – Corey Koskie, Eric. 4 seasons.

    Worst pick – R. Bell, Matt. Hard to believe, but he’s the only 8th rounder to not play in the SOMBILLA

    Also picked – McLemore, Jeff (2); D. Buford, Robin (1); Pierre, Eric (1); R. Ortiz (Ana), Tom (1); Tollberg, Arnie (1); Wells, RAT (1); Barcelo, Harold (1)

    Round 9

    Best pick – Mark Buehrle, Robin. 4 seasons and still going strong.

    Worst picks – Zuletta, Jeff; Rusch, RAT; Kinney, Harold – never played in the SOMBILLA

    Also picked – Garland, Harold (believe it or not, but 05 will be his debut); Reames, Robin (1); Veres, Tom (1)

    Rounds 10 -12

    Best pick – AJ Burnett,. Eric. A 12 th round pick, the 89th player chosen, has played 4 seasons.

    Worst picks – Bernero, Eric; J. Silva, Arnie – never played

    Also picked – A. Gonzalez, Robin (1) (aka ‘the cute one’); C. Guillen, Tom (2); Estellela, Arnie (1); Hocking, RAT (1); D. Lewis, Harold (1); Matheney, Eric (2); Vander Wal, Tom (1); Sheldon, Arnie(1); Grace, Harold (1)

     

    Trades

    Three trades were consummated on draft day 2001

    1. Cirillo, ND to Robin for a 2nd round pick (became Rollins). Advantage: Arnie
    2. Matt traded his 8th round pick to Eric (became Koskie) for an 8th rounder in 2002 (became Grimsley). Advantage: Eric.
    3. Kevin Brown to Harold from Jed & Clint for a 1 st, 5th & 7th in both the 2001 and 2002 drafts. This was a huge trade at the time. But the 2001 picks became Dempster & Lugo (they could not use the 7th round pick, having exhausted their 10 picks beforehand). And because Jed & Clint’s team, BiG DiG was contracted out of existence, they never got to use their 2002 picks either (Harold did forfeit his 2nd , 6 th and 8 th round picks in the 2002 contraction draft). Advantage: Harold

    Best draft, 2001: Eric!. All the more impressive is that he didn’t have a 1st , 3rd or 5 th rounder and his 2nd round pick was P. Wilson. Three years later he won the championship. (P. Wilson, Armas Jr., Hollandsworth, Payton, Koskie, Pierre, Bernero, Matheney, Burnett)

    Worst draft, 2001: Matt, despite 3 first round picks. (Furcal, D’Amico, Zito, F. Castillo, Okha, Higginson, Polanco, Speier, Chen, C. Richard, R. Bell).

     


    DRAFT ANALYSIS - 2002

    This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2002 draft. As usual, the first 2 rounds will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.

    We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '02 draft (using the 01, 02, 03 and 04 seasons), and we will begin playing another season, the 2005 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2006, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons.

    This was the draft after the Bunghole Quahogs dissolved. After much discussion, it was decided to lump all of the Bunghole dispersal players in with the rookies and free agents to create one big super draft. Robin and Jeff rolled off for the first pick with Jeff winning. Eric and Arnie rolled for the 3rd pick, with Arnie winning. How'd we do?

    The player’s SOMBILLA stats are shown.

    Round 1

    1. V. Guerrero, Jeff (.286, 48 hr, 142 rbi) all 6 seasons
    2. Oswalt, Robin (14-24, 5.83) all 6 seasons
    3. Pujols, Arnie (.298, 64, 181) all 6 seasons
    4. Helton, Eric (.300, 30, 91) all 6 seasons
    5. Aurilia, Matt & Jed (.304, 11, 32) 1 season
    6. A. Jones, Tom & Land (.276, 46, 134) 6 seasons
    7. A. Dunn, Harold (.236, 13, 47) 4 seasons
    8. W. Miller , RAT (12-8, 7.16) 2 seasons
    9. Best pick: A star among stars, I have to go with Pujols here (despite the outcries of ‘fix’). Guerrero, Oswalt, A. Jones and Helton are all great players, but when all is said and done, I think Pujols will be considered the best.

      Worst pick: In a round filled with future Hall of Famers and then current all-stars, Matt & Jed chose a one year wonder.

      Round 2

    10. Piniero, Robin (2-2, 3.00) 1 season
    11. LoDuca, Jeff (.327, 16, 47) 3-4 seasons (depending on whether he makes Jeff’s team for 05)
    12. Burkett, Eric (2-3, 8.86) 1 season
    13. Mulder, Arnie (9-17, 5.94) 3 seasons
    14. Ichiro, Matt & Jed (.315, 13, 55, 31sb) 6 seasons (stats missing for 1 ½ seasons)
    15. Nevin, Tom & Land (.330, 28, 90) 4 seasons
    16. Cameron, RAT (.235, 7, 19) 2-3 seasons

    Best pick– Nice comeback by Jed & Matt to snag Ichiro here

    Worst picks – Joel Piniero, Robin and John Burkett, Eric

    Round 3

    Best pick – John Smoltz, Matt & Jed (a contracted Bungholian, he will have played at least 5 of the 6 potential seasons. We have no stats from this franchise for last year).

    Worst picks – Zimmerman, Jeff and Baez, Tom & Land. Both are one-year wonders, although it took Baez a few years to earn his one-year wonder status

    Also picked – J. Uribe, Robin (2); Escobar, Arnie (2); Farnsworth, Eric (3), N. Johnson, Harold (2 – ’05 and ’06)

    Round 4

    Best pick – Guardado, Eric (5 seasons!)

    Worst pick – J. Ortiz, Tom & Land. Drafting a Colorado pitcher, what did they expect? The first player from this draft who never played in the SOMBILLA.

    Also picked – Catalanotto, Robin (3); Fox, Jeff (1); T. Phelps, Arnie (1); O. Cabrera, Arnie (3); F. Lopez, Harold (1); M. Giles, RAT (3)

    Round 5

    Best picks – Mike Lowell, Jeff and Craig Wilson, RAT – A Red Sox and a Yankee. 4 of 6 seasons for both.

    Worst pick – Carlos Pena, Arnie. Alas. Other than a brief injury callup, a total bust.

    Also picked – Fossum, Robin (1); D. Miller, Eric (1); T. Hall, Tom & Land (1); Rincon, RAT (2). Izturis, drafted by Harold is not listed with Pena as a worst pick even though he has never played in the SOMBILLA because he is still on Harold’s team as a prospect.

    Round 6

    Best pick – Roy Halladay, Robin. All 6 seasons. An outstanding 6th round pick, 2 years after I chided Jed & Clint for taking him in the first round and one year after Jed & Clint cut him.

    Worst pick – A. Berroa, RAT. Has never played in the SOMBILLA (though he is still on their roster 4 years later).

    Also picked – Lidle, Jeff (1); Manzanillo, Eric (1); B. Groom, Arnie (2); K. Millar, M&J (3); Sheets, T&L (2); Riedling, RAT (1)

    Round 7

    Best pick – CC Sabathia, T&L, assuming he is usable in ’06, which would give him 3 seasons

    Worst pick – Lawton, Eric DNP

    Also picked – Stanton, Jeff (1); J. Cruz, Robin (1); W. Gonzalez, Arnie (2); Mesa, M&J (2); Kreuter, Harold (1); Weathers, RAT (1)

    Round 8

    Best pick – David Eckstein, Jeff 2 seasons – one with Arnie, one with Eric and none for Jeff who cut him, not realizing that he was the best 8th round pick.

    Worst pick – Duckworth, Robin and Reitsma, Eric. The only 8th rounders to not play in the SOMBILLA

    Also picked – LeCroy, Arnie (1); V. Nunez, M&J (1); Conine, T&L (1); Charlton, RAT (1)

    Round 9

    Best pick – Brian Lawrence, Harold. 3 seasons.

    Worst picks – Crede, Jeff. Hard to believe he’s the only player from the 9th round to have never played in the SOMBILLA

    Also picked – Redmond, Robin (1); Cairo, Arnie (1); Grimsley, M&J (2); J. Lopez, M&J (1); Fassero, T&L (1); Mirabelli, RAT (2)

    Round 10

    Best pick – Craig Counsell, Harold and Luis Matos, Jeff. 2 seasons each

    Worst pick – Shea Hillenbrand, Eric. Hard to believe he’s the only player from the 10th round to have never played in the SOMBILLA

    Also picked – O. Perez, Robin; D. Bautista, Arnie; D. Williams, M&J; Lincoln, T&L; R. Sanchez, RAT – 1 season each

    Round 11

    Best pick – AJ Pierzynski, Eric (4 seasons). An outstanding pickup in the 11th round.

    Worst pick – Dempster, T&L. Yup, you guessed it. Hard to believe he’s the only player from the 11th round to have never played in the SOMBILLA

    Also picked – Shinjo, Robin; V. Padilla, Arnie; D. Young; Javier, Harold; Colome, RAT - 1 season each

    Rounds 12-15

    (Because of contraction, the draft was 14 rounds. Two teams chose in the 15th round as a result of trades).

    Best picks: Tim Wakefield, Robin and Melvin Mora, T&L. 3 seasons each. Great picks!

    Worst picks: Mienkiewicz, Eric; Redding, T&L; Jiminez, Harold; R. Ordonez, Eric; B. Smith, RAT; Cordova, Eric; Alfonseca, M&J; Burnitz, Harold.

    Also picked: Ma. Grace, Robin (1); Zaun, Arnie (1); Matthews, M&J (1); T. Perez, RAT (1); McGriff, Arnie (2); J. Hernandez, M&J (1); Hairston, Harold (1); Fick, M&J; Lilly, Harold (2)

    Trades

    There were no trades consummated on draft day 2002! You are all a bunch of woosies.

    Best draft, 2002: Jeff! (Although it was a remarkably even draft):

    (Guerrero, LoDuca, Zimmerman, Fox, Lowell, Lidle, Stanton, Eckstein, Crede, Matos)

    Worst draft, 2002: Eric (Helton, Burkett, Farnsworth, Guardado, D. Miller, Manzanillo, Lawton, Reitsma, Hillenbrand, Pierzynski, Mienkiewicz, R. Ordonez, Cordova). Impressively drafting 3 players with "z’s" in their names.


    DRAFT ANALYSIS - 2003

    This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2003 draft. As usual, the first 2 rounds will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.

    We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '03 draft (using the 02, 03, 04 and 05 cards), and we will begin playing another season, the 2006 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2007, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons.

    Robin and Matt rolled off for the first pick with Robin winning. How'd we do?

    The player’s SOMBILLA stats are shown for rounds of picks. But note that Eric has only completed 2 ½ of the 4 years worth of stats , and Jeff 3.

    Round 1

    1. Prior, Robin (16-11, 4.73) 3 seasons
    2. Beckett, Matt & Jed (7-6, 5.06). Yes, that Josh Beckett. 3 seasons, counting ’07.
    3. Clement, Eric (13-8, 5.30) Yes, that Matt Clement. 3 seasons
    4. Kearns, Harold (.275, 11 hr, 37 rbi) 3 seasons
    5. J. Phelps, Tom (.311, 10, 37) 2 seasons
    6. Hafner, Arnie (.327, 25, 73) 3 seasons
    7. Hinske, Matt & Jed (.327, 9, 22) Yes, that Eric Hinske. 1 season.
    8. Borchard, Jeff. Never played in the SOMBILLA
    9. Best pick: Tough call. I’m going with a 3-way tie among Prior, Beckett and Hafner. These are the only 3 players still in the SOMBILLA. (Although Prior’s future is iffy at best).

      Worst pick: In what easily could be the worst first round of a SOMBILLA draft ever, Jeff Borchard (I had to look up his ironic first name) takes the cake. Indeed, I believe he is the only first-round pick in the history of the league to never have played in the SOMBILLA - and he was cut in 2005. I hereby nominate this as the worst draft pick in SOMBILLA history. Gary Redus rejoices!

      Round 2

    10. Julio, Matt & Jed (0-1, 17.36) 1 season. That ERA is not a typo.
    11. Blalock, Robin (.297, 5, 17) 2 seasons, counting ‘07
    12. J. Spivey, Eric (.232, 2, 17) 1 season
    13. L. Hawkins, Harold (5-9, 10 sv, 5.09) 3 seasons
    14. A. Huff, Matt & Jed (.270, 10, 46) 3 seasons
    15. Infante, Arnie (went 1 for 3 in a brief injury callup)
    16. F. Cordero, RAT (7-2, 3.63) 3 seasons
    17. F. Rodriguez, Jeff (6-7, 5.08, 2 saves) 5 seasons

    Best pick– Nice comeback by Jeff to snag K-Rod here. Note that the card Jeff drafted was the extremely limited (6 innings) F Rod card and that was the only season he hasn’t been usable.

    Worst pick – Omar Infante, Arnie. Note that Matt & Jed had 4 picks in the first 13, which they used to draft Beckett, Hinske, Julio, and Huff. Three years and multiple loss records later, Matt quit the league.

    Round 3

    Best pick – Chad Bradford, Arnie (3 seasons, counting ’06 and ’07 in Robin’s pen). This says a lot more about this round than it does about ‘ol Chad.

    Worst picks – Everyone else was a one-year wonder! Hammond, Robin; R. Lopez, M&J; J. Jones, Eric; O. Hernandez, Harold; L. Vizcaino, T&L; Bellhorn, RAT; Acevedo, Jeff

    Round 4

    Best pick – Mark Ellis, Tom (2 seasons, MVP of the World Series and still on Tom’s team)

    Worst pick – Sean Burroughs, RAT. The only player from this round who never played in the SOMBILLA.

    Also picked – A. Kennedy, M&J; Randa, Robin; Holmes, Eric; LaRue, Harold; Dessens, Arnie; S. Reed, Jeff. One-year wonders, all.

    Round 5

    Best pick - Carl Crawford, Arnie. 4 seasons (counting ’07) so far.

    Worst pick – Damian Moss, RAT. Who?

    Also picked – G. Anderson, Robin (2); Lackey, M&J (2- in ’06 and ’07); Donnelly, Eric (2); M. Batista, Eric (2); Pollitte, T&L (2); D. Marte, Jeff (3).

    Round 6

    Best pick – Jake Peavy, Arnie. 4 seasons (counting ’07) so far.

    Worst pick – B. Myers, Jeff. Went from highly touted prospect to having his card burned. While it is true that, Tom’s H. Choi was drafted in the round and also never played in the SOMBILLA, he never beat up his wife on a public street (as far as we know).

    Also picked – Wilkerson, M&J (2); Mota, Robin (3) (then served a 5-game steroid suspension); Matt Williams, Eric (1); Kielty, Harold (1) - yes that Kielty; Spiezio, RAT (1);

    Round 7

    Best pick – Carlos Zambrano, RAT 5 seasons (counting ’07) so far

    Worst picks – S. Stewart; M&J; Hendrickson, T&L; K. Garcia (arrested for assaulting Fenway security guard). One-year wonders all.

    Also picked – O. Hudson, Robin (4, counting ’07); G. Matthews, Eric (1 so far, but still in the league); Embree, Eric (3); Bard, Arnie (2, counting ‘07)

    Round 8

    Best pick – Mike Cuddyer, Robin (2 seasons, counting ’07). Not exactly Zambrano, here.

    Worst pick – C. Woodward, M&J; Womack, Eric; E. Chavez, Harold (the wrong E. Chavez) Never played in the SOMBILLA

    Also picked – Borowski, T&L; R. Vazquez, Arnie; Guthrie, RAT; Durocher, Jeff. One season each

    Round 9

    Best pick – Johan Santana, RAT. All 6 seasons, making him arguably the best player from this draft. The sad part is that everyone knew who he was – he had a good card – but we all passed because he was a lefty.

    Worst pick – Mi. Williams, M&J. The only player from this surprisingly very good round to not play in the SOMBILLA

    Also picked – Pratt, Robin (1); Payton, Eric (2); Washburn, Harold (2); C. Lee (2 so far, including ’07); Wigginton, Arnie (1); Sauerbeck, Jeff (1)

    As a league, we did better in this round than we did in rounds 3 and 4!

    Rounds 10-12

    Best picks – Jason Schmidt and JC Romero, Tom. 3 seasons each, including ’07 for Romero and both are still on Tom’s team.

    Worst picks– DeJean, M&J; Castro, RAT; Runelvys Hernandez, Robin; Lohse, Harold; C. Lewis, Arnie; Schneider, RAT; Spooneybarger, RAT. None of these guys played in the SOMBILLA, though the Spooneybarger tradition survives.

    Also picked – B. Larsen, Robin (1); J. Vizcaino, Eric (1); Byrd, Harold (1); Winn, Arnie (2); Lane, Jeff (1); J. Kennedy, RAT (1); Kinkade, Harold (1); M. Barrett, T&L (2); Ginter, Arnie (1)

    Trades

    Best draft, 2003: North Dakota!

    (Hafner, Infante, Bradford, Dessens, Crawford, Peavy, Bard, R. Vazquez, Wigginton, R. Winn, C. Lewis, Ginter)

    Worst draft, 2003: Matt & Jed (Beckett, Hinske, Julio, Huff, R. Lopez, A. Kennedy, Lackey, Wilkerson, Stewart, Woodward, Mi. Williams, DeJean)



  • DRAFT ANALYSIS - 2004
  • This summer we will do our 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2004 draft. As usual, the first 2 rounds will be listed in order, for heightened scrutiny. After that, all picks are lumped together by round.

    We've conducted 4 SOMBILLA seasons since that '04 draft (using the 03, 04, 05 and 06 cards), and we will begin playing another season, the 2007 cards, in a few months. Finally, in real life, we are currently in the midst of a 6th Strat-O season, 2008, and we can project who might be usable. Thus, each player from this draft will have the potential to play in all six SOMBILLA seasons.

    For the 2004 draft analysis below, the player’s SOMBILLA stats are shown for the first 2 rounds of picks. But note that Eric has only completed a total of 1 complete and 2 partial years worth of stats for these 4 seasons, and it's completely unknown who played for his team in '06-07, so his players may be more maligned than they deserve. Also Jed's and Harold stats for 2 seasons are only half complete, and Jeff's stats are only ¼ complete for '06-07.

    Round 1

    1. M. Cabrera, Robin. All 6 seasons. .281 (192 for 683), 33 homers, 127 rbis
    2. Webb, Matt & Jed. 4 seasons, which include '06 and '07. 4-4, 6.10
    3. Loaiza, Harold. 1 season . 6-6, 4.14
    4. Teixeira, Jeff. 5 seasons. 232, 20,49
    5. Reyes, RAT. 5 seasons, .301, 7, 31
    6. Ensberg, Tom. 3 seasons, .247, 33, 93
    7. L. Hernandez, Arnie. 2 seasons 6-9, 6.27
    8. R. Soriano, Eric. 3 seasons, 0-1, 1.88, 7 saves.

    Best pick: M. Cabrera in a close call over Reyes. Based on the fact that he's played in all SOMBILLA seasons.

    Worst pick: Loaiza, Harold (although Harold did smartly unload him to ND for a 1st-rounder).

    Round 2

    9. V. Martinez, Robin. 4 seasons including '07 and '08. (.260, 6, 32)

    10. Bradley, M&J. 3 seasons (.315, 2, 9)

    11. M. Young, Jeff. 5 seasons (.254, 3, 30)

    12. Contreras, Harold. 2 seasons (12-6, 4.65)

    13. Harden, RAT. 1 season (5-2, 4.59)

    14. Mora, Tom. 3 seasons (.340, 21, 58)

    15. Podsednick, Arnie. 1 season (.279, 4, 20)

    16. K. Greene, Jeff. 2 seasons (.145, 1, 5)

    Best pick – Michael Young, Jeff. Noses out V. Martinez (also a better fielder).

    Worst pick – Tie, Harden, RAT and the Pod, Arnie. Although Harden's the better major leaguer, their SOMBILLA impact is the same (not counting Randy’s famous "Harden-gate" last year).

    Round 3

    Best picks – Tie – Brad Lidge, Harold and Scot Shields, Arnie 5 out of 6 seasons for both.

    Worst pick – Kurt Ainsworth, Eric. The only player drafted in this round who never played in the league. Unless he played during the year Eric didn't do any stats.

    Also picked: - Cormier, Robin (1); Quantrill (1), M&J; Valverde, RAT (4); J. Guillen, Tom (3 or 4); Riske, Jeff (1)

    Round 4

    Best pick – Hideki Matsui, Jeff. 4 seasons.

    Worst pick - Matt Kata, Eric. Who?

    Also picked: - Villarreal, Robin; Alvarez, M&J; Gerut, Harold; J. Phillips, RAT; Redman, Tom; Kershner, Arnie. 1 year wonders, all.

    Round 5

    Best picks – Rocco Baldelli, Eric. and Dontrelle Willis, Harold

    Worst pick – Jerome Williams, Jeff. Who?

    Also picked – Cintron, Robin; D. May, M&J; Schoeneweis, RAT; Herges, Tom; Ponson, Arnie

    Round 6

    Best pick – Jeremy Bonderman, Eric. Only 2 known seasons. But I'm giving Eric the benefit of the doubt, given that otherwise Wily Mo is tied with Bonderman.

    Worst picks – A. Lopez, Robin (although he did help Tom win a World Series after being traded); Hasegawa, M&J; Franklin, Jeff; Tavarez, Harold; M. Ryan, RAT; Hammock, Tom. All one year wonders.

    Also picked – Wily Mo Pena, Arnie. 3 seasons.

    Round 7

    Best pick – Jason Bay, Tom. 5 out of 6 seasons so far

    Worst picks – Matos, Robin; Heredia, RAT; Bordick, Eric. One season each.

    Also picked – Seo, M&J (2); King, Harold (2); BJ Ryan, Jeff (4); J. Rivera, Arnie (4)

    The league did better in this round than it did in round 4.

    Round 8

    Best picks – Mahay, Robin and Timlin, Eric (2 seasons each).

    Worst picks – D. Young, M&J; J. Gonzalez, RAT. Never played in the league. I remember watching the late Jeremy Gonzalez get his ass kicked in spring training the next year.

    Also picked – Olivo, Jeff; Baerga, Harold; Moyer, Eric; Eaton, Arnie. One season each

    Round 9

    Best pick – Joe Nathan, RAT. All 6 seasons and last season's SOMBILLA Cy Young winner. Was this Tsuan's or Andrew's?

    Worst pick –Affeldt, Jeff. No play SOMBILLA.

    Also picked – A. Boone, M&J (1); Morneau, Harold (3); Stairs, Tom (1); Michaels, Arnie (2); Meche, Eric (1); Estrada, Robin (1).

    Rounds 10-12

    Best picks – Chase Utley, Eric and Dan Haren, Arnie. 3 seasons each and both 2008 all-stars.

    Worst picks– Balfour, Robin; Nix, M&J; Pavano, M&J; C. Miller, Harold; Hampton, Eric.

    Also picked – A. Everett, Harold (3); Ford, RAT (2); Wunsch, Tom (1); Ross, Arnie (2); DaVanon, RAT (1); Durham, Tom (3); J. Wilson, M&J (1); Bigbie, Harold (1) ; Helms, RAT (1); Capuano, Tom (2).

    Trades

    There was one blockbuster trade during draft week 2004. Lance Berkman, North Dakota was traded to Future Wax for Gary Sheffield and Jeff Kent. To completely evaluate that, though, note that 2 years later, North Dakota unloaded Sheffield and Jason Michaels and 2 draft picks (became Wang and C. Duncan) to Harold for Contreras and Glaus.

    So, counting just SOMBILLA stats since the trade, we have Berkman:

    .289 (233 for 807), 49 homers, 161 rbis

    vs.

    2 years of Sheffield, Glaus and Contreras and 4 years of Kent:

    .256 (305 for 1193), 63 homers, 182 rbi's plus 12-6, 4.65 ERA.

    True, the Sheffield trade to New Orleans involved additional players, so a more accurate analysis would discount the ND stats listed above somehow to account for the trading of Michaels and 2 draft picks. Nonetheless after 4 SOMBILLA seasons, the trade appears to be fairly even. However, looking forward to the '07 and '08 cards, RAT appears to win this trade.

    Best draft, 2004: Eric!

    (R. Soriano, Ainsworth, Kata, Baldelli, Bonderman, Bordick, Moyer, Timlin, Meche, Utley, Hampton). It was a pretty weak draft.

    Worst draft, 2004: RAT (J. Reyes, Harden, Valverde, J. Phillips, Schoenewies, M. Ryan, Heredia, J. Gonzalez, Nathan, Ford, DaVanon, Helms).


  • SUMMER STUDY NO. 1 - DRAFT ANALYSIS - 2005
  • By Tom,  guest columnist. (Edited by Arnie and Robin)

    CHALLENGE – One of the things about which I was thinking before Arnie asked me to write the Draft Analysis was to ask my fellow managers to participate in an experiment for next year.

    1. Right before the draft, open up a word file and write some of your thoughts about the upcoming draft. I don’t want your super secret hush hush strategy or your lists of utility players. I was thinking more of what you were thinking of your team going in and what general thoughts you had about your draft and the draft in general. For example: Eric might have written this year that he had a good team and needed to pick up a quality starter, a lefty power bat and x quality relievers and y prospects. Robin might have written that she saw this draft as a chance to rebuild and wanted to concentrate on hitting prospects. I could have written up two different strategies, because I had a strategy for my team when I thought I was dicing off for the 2nd pick. (It is eerie how many players from my first analysis were drafted by the Troika (RAT).)
    2. Right after the draft, create another word file and write a little about how "you" did in the draft and a little about your impressions of the draft as a whole. This year I would say that I was too concentrated on this year and did not shift to getting a future pitcher soon enough to get one of the top three.
    3. Email me them and I will not open them for four years and then see what happened.

    Anyway. . . .

    It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2005 draft. The first two rounds will as always be listed in detail with actual SOMBILLA seasons (where possible) and a look at 2009 usability and some glance to the future. I may be a bit more wordy than Arnie has been in past years and he may of course edit all that out …

    As I am writing this it is only a month into the season, so unless I come back and update this there will be very little about the 2009 season in this analysis. We have 4 SOMBILLA seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:

    As a result, some of these teams’ players may lose out in counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned that they deserve.

    Round 1: (stats shown are Average/Onbase/slugging/OPS)


    Team

    Player

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    Stats

    1

    Harold

    David Wright

    X

    X

    X

    X

    .313 / .388 / .515 / .903 (681 PA), 40 HR, 124 RBI, 8 SB

    2

    Robin

    BJ Upton




    X

    .275 / .351 / .335 / .686 (191 PA), 4 HR, 14 RBI, 3 SB

    3

    M&J

    Joe Mauer

    ?

    X

    X

    X

    .279 / .354 / .396 / 0.75 (429 PA), 11 HR, 60 RBI, 5 SB

    4

    Eric

    Jake Westbrook

    X

    ?



    3-1, 5.36 ERA, 37 K

    5

    Harold

    Oliver Perez

    X




    2-2, 3.69 ERA, 54 K

    6

    Jeff

    Grady Sizemore


    X

    X

    X

    .255 / .354 / .383 / .737 (407 PA), 11 HR, 26 RBI, 13 SB

    7

    RAT

    Zack Greinke




    X


    8

    TSK

    Bobby Crosby






    Best Pick: This is a remarkable echo of the 2004 draft with a #1 pick overall who was a 3B middle of the order stalwart (M. Cabrera) versus a 5 tool lead off hitter (Reyes). This is a closer battle, though. While Wright has it all over Sizemore in the statistics to date, Sizemore in one publication is the #1 player at his position for next SOMBILLA year and the #1 CF for the future and the 12th best player in the 2008 set. (Wright is the 26th best player). Wright has the slightest edge in what may be a tie in the long run.

    Worst Pick: Bobby Crosby. At one point, Peter Gammons selected him as his preseason MVP candidate but the injury bug bit him and bit him and he was eventually cut without ever playing a single game in the SOMBILLA. He joins Jeff Borchard as the worst 1st round pick ever and, like Borchard, was the first pick after the first World Series victory for two different franchises. Could this be a WS hangover? (Gary Redus is smiling somewhere.)

    Other: This was a solid first round. The two position players not mentioned in Best/Worst are solid plus future contributors. Mauer is arguably the best catcher going forward and probably has not missed a SOMBILLA season and provides remarkable offense and defense at a hard to get and important position. BJ Upton is a late bloomer (or because he made the majors so young and searched for a position maybe he should have some other description) who was a #1 overall pick from HS and is now being rated as the 3rd best CF going into the future. Both of these players could enter the argument for SOMBILLA HOF when all is said and done. Three starting pitchers were taken and the first two had short-term value with one already being cut. Greinke of the anxiety disorder has a rating of the 19th best starter for the future and is 10-5 with a 2.08 ERA as of this writing.

    Round 2:


    Team

    Player

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    Stats

    9

    Harold

    Bronson Arroyo

    X


    X


    4-4, 5.60 ERA, 54 K

    10

    Eric

    Juan Rincon

    X


    X


    2-2, 11 SV, 3.82 ERA, 35 K

    11

    M&J

    Brian Roberts


    X


    X

    .221 / .302 / .328 / .63 (232 PA), 3 HR, 22 RBI, 8 SB

    12

    Robin

    Jaret Wright

    X




    5-2, 7.31 ERA, 43 K

    13

    Arnie

    Mike Gonzalez

    X

    X

    X


    4-3, 5 SV, 2.28 ERA, 73 K

    14

    Jeff

    Dallas McPherson






    15

    RAT

    Scott Kazmir



    X

    X

    4-2, 4.75 ERA, 52 K

    16

    TSK

    Brad Radke

    X




    4-5, 4.67 ERA, 52 K

    Best Pick: Brian Roberts. His statistics so far have not been flashy and would have been hurt by the lack of stats reported in the 2004 card set, but this was one of the worse second rounds I have ever thought about. He is rated as one of the top 3 second basemen in the 2008 card set though, 19th best card in the set and 4th best 2B going forward. The specter of steroids float around his name (which Jed is no doubt happy to hear), but with speed as one of his best features it is less worrisome than it otherwise would be (and he is cute – RP).

    Worst Pick: Dallas McPherson was drafted and never used and has now been cut. Jeff likes 1st round three baggers and this power prospect just could not hit enough to hold onto a job.

    Other: Eight players were drafted, only 3 are still on teams, 1 never played, 2 were one year players and 1 of those was a good stop gap for a playoff contender. This second round was drafted for the short term; the best of which was Juan Rincon who closed for Eric.

    Round 3:


    Team

    Player

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    Stats

    17

    Harold

    Chris Carpenter

    X

    X

    X


    12-7, 0 SV, 5.74 ERA, 174 K (197.4 IPS)

    18

    Robin

    Bobby Maditsch

    X




    1-0, 1 SV, 2.50 ERA, 17 K (28.7 IPS)

    19

    M&J

    Danny Kolb






    20

    Eric

    Shinjo Takatsu

    X




    1-4, 2 SV, 5.93 ERA, 14 K (19.7 IPS)

    21

    Arnie

    Juan Uribe

    X

    X



    .290 / .316 / .551 / .867 (136 PA), 7 HR, 19 RBI, 0 SB

    22

    Jeff

    Gavin Floyd






    23

    RAT

    Jeremy Reed






    24

    TSK

    Carlos Guillen

    X


    X

    X

    .347 / .404 / .519 / .923 (416 PA), 16 HR, 61 RBI, 21 SB

    Best Pick: If Chris Carpenter was healthy now or had been more healthy in his career he would be the best pick of the round. But I give the nod to Carlos Guillen, who is on his last legs, but has provided a .923 OPS for 3 seasons and started at SS for a contending team.

    Worst Pick: Jeremy Reed but only because I assume that Danny Kolb played in the non-reporting year of card set 2004.

    Round 4:


    Team

    Player

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    Stats

    25

    Eric

    Aaron Rowand

    X



    X

    .287 / .334 / .462 / .796 (392 PA), 14 HR, 39 RBI, 4 SB

    26

    Eric

    Daniel Cabrera






    27

    M&J

    Ryan Drese






    28

    Robin

    Dustan Mohr

    X




    .273 / .400 / .375 / .775 (120 PA), 3 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB

    29

    Arnie

    Yhency Brazoban






    30

    Jeff

    Nick Swisher

    X


    X

    X

    .292 / .363 / .513 / .876 (80 PA), 5 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB

    31

    Harold

    Ryan Freel

    X

    X

    X


    .301 / .420 / .337 / .757 (300 PA), 3 HR, 25 RBI, 29 SB

    32

    TSK

    Sean Casey

    X

    X



    .308 / .357 / .369 / .726 (84 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB

    Best Pick: Aaron Rowand edges out Ryan Freel since he is still on his team and provides CF1 defense.

    Worst Pick: Cabrera, Drese and Brazoban never played and have since been cut.

    Round 5:


    Team

    Player

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    Stats

    33

    Robin

    Mike Adams






    34

    Robin

    Brad Hawpe



    X

    X

    .255 / .349 / .434 / .783 (355 PA), 15 HR, 54 RBI, 0 SB

    35

    M&J

    Eric Byrnes






    36

    Harold

    David DeJesus

    X

    X


    X

    .242 / .305 / .335 / .640 (486 PA), 10 HR, 58 RBI, 9 SB

    37

    Arnie

    Dave Bush



    X


    3-4, 0 SV, 7.46 ERA, 62 K (76 IPS)

    38

    Harold

    Eli Marrero

    X




    .300 / .386 / .421 / .807 (57 PA), 1 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB

    39

    RAT

    Ryan Madson

    X




    3-1, 1 SV, 2.45 ERA, 14 K (25.7 IPS)

    40

    Robin

    Gabe Gross






    Best Pick: This was a close battle, but Hawpe gets the nod based on slightly better stats and a better future.

    Worst Pick: Gross, Adams and Byrnes never played and have since been cut.

    Round 6:


    Team

    Player

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    Stats

    41

    Harold

    Chad Cordero

    X

    X

    X


    3-2, 1 SV, 1.94 ERA, 43 K (41.7 IPS)

    42

    Eric

    Yadier Molina




    X

    .202 / .287 / .191 / .478 (94 PA), 0 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB

    43

    M&J

    Armando Almanzar






    44

    Robin

    Jorge Cantu

    X

    X



    .264 / .297 / .452 / .749 (155 PA), 5 HR, 24 RBI, 0 SB

    45

    Arnie

    Jose Lopez






    46

    Jeff

    Kiko Calero

    X




    1-1, 0 SV, 2.07 ERA, 6 K (13 IPS)

    47

    RAT

    Glendon Rusch

    X




    3-1, 1 SV, 2.13 ERA, 18 K (25.3 IPS)

    48

    TSK

    J.T. Snow

    X




    .333 / .401 / .467 / .868 (137 PA), 4 HR, 21 RBI, 0 SB

    Best Pick: Chad Cordero has been a solid reliever (some question on his ERA comes from the partial years reported by Harold) and even though he has been cut he still beats out Yadier Molina who may be an exceptional defensive catcher but that is just not enough.

    Worst Pick: Alamanzar and Lopez who never played and have both been cut.

    Other: JT Snow started one year for a World Series team as a 1B-1 and might have been the best of a mediocre round despite one year wonder status if Cordero had not been serviceable to good for 3 years.

    Round 7:


    Team

    Player

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    Stats

    49

    Harold

    Robb Quinlan

    X




    .263 / .317 / .390 / .707 (41 PA), 1 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB

    50

    Robin

    Ricky Bottalico

    X




    2-1, 0 SV, 2.27 ERA, 27 K (23.7 IPS)

    51

    M&J

    Lyle Overbay



    X


    .238 / .304 / .261 / .565 (23 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB

    52

    Eric

    Brandon Inge

    X




    .359 / .457 / .522 / .979 (46 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

    53

    Harold

    John Buck






    54

    Jeff

    Frank Francisco

    X




    0-2, 1 SV, 2.28 ERA, 22 K (19.7 IPS)

    55

    RAT

    J. D. Closser






    56

    TSK

    Salomon Torres

    X

    X



    2-1, 5 SV, 3.91 ERA, 30 K (62 IPS)

    Best Pick: Salomon Torres gets the nod based on more playing time and more years played while putting up solid stats and closing for a team and winning 2 rings.

    Worst Pick: Buck and Closser for never playing and being cut.

    Other: Everyone in this round has been cut subsequently.

    Round 8:


    Team

    Player

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    Stats

    57

    Harold

    Alexis Rios

    X



    X

    .317 / .368 / .412 / .78 (68 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB

    58

    Eric

    Zach Day

    X




    2-2, 0 SV, 4.31 ERA, 19 K (41.7 IPS)

    59

    M&J

    Jason LaRue


    X



    .190 / .333 / .176 / .509 (51 PA), 0 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB

    60

    Robin

    Guillermo Quiroz






    61

    Arnie

    Moises Alou

    X

    X

    X

    X

    .298 / .363 / .466 / .829 (830 PA), 41 HR, 119 RBI, 6 SB

    62

    Jeff

    Kevin Mench

    X

    X

    X


    .210 / .247 / .371 / .618 (170 PA), 4 HR, 21 RBI, 0 SB

    63

    RAT

    Scott Linebrink

    X

    X



    2-2, 2 SV, 4.57 ERA, 59 K (59 IPS)

    64

    TSK

    Braden Looper

    X




    3-2, 0 SV, 2.88 ERA, 18 K (25 IPS)

    Best Pick: Moises Alou has just played and played and played at a high level. Rios has the best future and is the only player to have not been cut. Rios could be the better pick 5 years from now, but I do not have a crystal ball.

    Worst Pick: Quiroz for having never played. (He was actually traded to Jeff for fellow 8th rounder, Big Head Mench – RP)

    Round 9:


    Team

    Player

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    Stats

    65

    Harold

    Kazuo Matsui






    66

    Robin

    Clint Barmes

    X

    X



    .200 / .200 / .400 / .600 (10 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

    67

    M&J

    Bruce Chen


    X



    1-2, 1 SV, 4.54 ERA, 21 K (29.7 IPS)

    68

    Eric

    Akinori Otsuka

    X


    X


    3-2, 4 SV, 4.69 ERA, 26 K (32.6 IPS)

    69

    Arnie

    Chris Young


    X


    X

    5-6, 0 SV, 6.40 ERA, 75 K (85.7 IPS)

    70

    Jeff

    Tom Glavine

    X




    3-7, 0 SV, 6.87 ERA, 55 K (93 IPS)

    71

    RAT

    Jose Hernandez

    X




    315 / .362 / .534 / .896 (58 PA), 4 HR, 13 RBI, 0 SB

    72

    TSK

    Jason Kubel






    Best Pick: Chris Young based on having a future. This tall right hander has never seen a runner that he wants to throw over to keep on the bag, but he is murder on right handed batters.

    Worst Pick: Matsui was drafted but later forfeited as it turned out that Harold was not eligible to pick him.

    Other: Jason Kubel was a late round gamble on an injured player who can hit. He is still on a roster, but has been nothing but a tease. It is May and he is batting over 300 and has 5 homers in the middle of the Twins lineup but who knows if he will have a card that can play in a league like this.

    Round 10-13:


    Team

    Player

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    Stats

    73

    Eric

    Darin Erstad

    X




    .400 / .500 / .417 / .917 (12 PA), 0 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB

    74

    M&J

    Coco Crisp


    X



    .270 / .315 / .369 / .684 (130 PA), 1 HR, 20 RBI, 7 SB

    75

    Robin

    Luis Ayala






    76

    Arnie

    Ruben Gotay






    77

    RAT

    Al Leiter

    X




    5-1, 0 SV, 4.50 ERA, 45 K (54 IPS)

    78

    TSK

    Doug Mirabelli

    X




    .113 / .217 / .217 / .434 (60 PA), 2 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB

    81

    M&J

    Chone Figgins


    X


    X

    .316 / .356 / .392 / .748 (393 PA), 4 HR, 36 RBI, 28 SB

    82

    Eric

    David Eckstein






    83

    Arnie

    Doug Davis

    X

    X



    8-10, 0 SV, 5.43 ERA, 130 K (142.3 IPS)

    84

    RAT

    Royce Clayton

    X




    .200 / .235 / .309 / .544 (136 PA), 2 HR, 12 RBI, 1 SB

    85

    TSK

    Ryan Howard

    X

    X

    X

    X

    .308 / .391 / .596 / .987 (557 PA), 49 HR, 135 RBI, 0 SB

    89

    M&J

    Noah Lowry






    90

    Arnie

    Luke Hudson






    91

    RAT

    Jose Castillo






    92

    TSK

    Brian Meadows

    X




    0-0, 0 SV, 6.07 ERA, 10 K (16.3 IPS)

    93

    Arnie

    Ryan Church






    94

    RAT

    Jamie Burke

    X




    .289 / .319 / .298 / .617 (47 PA), 0 HR, 22 RBI, 0 SB

    96

    TSK

    Damian Easley

    X

    X



    .298 / .341 / .545 / .886 (132 PA), 7 HR, 19 RBI, 0 SB

    Best Pick: Only two of these players are still on teams and I have to give the nod to Ryan Howard who has played every year and is likely to play for a little while longer.

    Worst Pick: Take a choice of any number of players who never played.

    Other: Damian Easley deserves some kind of honorable mention for being the last pick of the draft and supplying .886 OPS for two years on a World Series winning team.

     

    2004 Card Set Results:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    .302 / .377 / .616 / .993 (297 PA), 26 HR, 62 RBI, 0 SB

    Eric

    .321 / .364 / .500 / .864 (250 PA), 9 HR, 30 RBI, 4 SB

    Harold

    .292 / .367 / .411 / .778 (428 PA), 10 HR, 51 RBI, 26 SB

    Jeff

    .200 / .241 / .443 / .684 (79 PA), 4 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB

    RAT

    .245 / .282 / .361 / .643 (241 PA), 6 HR, 47 RBI, 1 SB

    Robin

    .282 / .381 / .403 / .784 (181 PA), 3 HR, 22 RBI, 0 SB

    TSK

    .308 / .370 / .495 / .865 (467 PA), 22 HR, 73 RBI, 3 SB

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    6-4, 1 SV, 4.95 ERA, 69 K (80 IPS)

    Eric

    9-10, 14 SV, 4.89 ERA, 120 K (195 IPS)

    Harold

    6-5, 1 SV, 4.23 ERA, 117 K (129.7 IPS)

    Jeff

    4-10, 1 SV, 5.65 ERA, 83 K (125.7 IPS)

    RAT

    13-5, 3 SV, 3.73 ERA, 104 K (137.3 IPS)

    Robin

    8-3, 1 SV, 4.95 ERA, 87 K (109.1 IPS)

    TSK

    9-8, 3 SV, 4.23 ERA, 97 K (155 IPS)

    Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics for the four completed seasons:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    .297 / .356 / .478 / .834 (966 PA), 48 HR, 138 RBI, 6 SB

    Eric

    .281 / .340 / .419 / .759 (544 PA), 16 HR, 59 RBI, 4 SB

    Harold

    .288 / .366 / .418 / .784 (1633 PA), 55 HR, 229 RBI, 46 SB

    Jeff

    .247 / .327 / .396 / .723 (657 PA), 20 HR, 59 RBI, 13 SB

    M&J

    .276 / .339 / .368 / .707 (1258 PA), 19 HR, 143 RBI, 48 SB

    RAT

    .245 / .282 / .361 / .643 (241 PA), 6 HR, 47 RBI, 1 SB

    Robin

    .263 / .345 / .406 / .751 (831 PA), 27 HR, 106 RBI, 3 SB

    TSK

    .313 / .382 / .525 / .907 (1386 PA), 79 HR, 242 RBI, 21 SB

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    20-23, 5 SV, 5.54 ERA, 340 K (367.1 IPS)

    Eric

    11-11, 17 SV, 4.86 ERA, 131 K (211 IPS)

    Harold

    21-15, 1 SV, 5.04 ERA, 325 K (358.4 IPS)

    Jeff

    4-10, 1 SV, 5.65 ERA, 83 K (125.7 IPS)

    M&J

    1-2, 1 SV, 4.54 ERA, 21 K (29.7 IPS)

    RAT

    17-7, 4 SV, 4.06 ERA, 196 K (219 IPS)

    Robin

    8-3, 1 SV, 4.95 ERA, 87 K (109.1 IPS)

    TSK

    9-8, 5 SV, 4.31 ERA, 110 K (192 IPS)

    Best Draft: Harold – D. Wright, O. Perez, Arroyo, Carpenter, Freel, DeJesus, Marrero, Cordero, Quinlan, Buck, Rios and Matsui (sort of). He still has 6 of these players (even though I would argue that Oliver Perez will not play this year and is likely to be cut) and most of them have the potential to be starters in any of the years to come.

    Worst Draft: This is close. Arnie only has one player still on his roster, but the players who are gone now produced the second best statistics over the last four years. Thus, Eric gets the nod for the worst draft with Westbrook, Rincon, Takatsu, Rowand, Cabrera, Molina, Inge, Day, Otsuka, Erstad and Eckstein. He still has Rowand and Molina but every other team has at least one hold over that are the equal or better of either of these.

    Other: Surprisingly, RAT almost had the worst draft. The only factor that keeps them out of the spot is that Greinke on medication has the potential to be a solid starter. Only 3 of the draftees played after that first year and they did not draft a single offensive player to talk about, of course when you have their offense maybe you do not need to draft offense every year.

    Players Missed? It is hard to list a Rockies LHP as missed, but Brian Fuentes shows up 18th from Lamanna and was eventually drafted the following year. Casey Kotchman (25) and Chad Tracy (31) were also drafted in a future draft. The two best players not drafted were Adrian Gonzalez and Kevin Youkilis. Both were late bloomers and listed by Lamanna in the 40’s but not drafted that year or the next, and now are starters for teams in the SOMBILLA.



    2006 DRAFT [8/10]

    by Tom  (edited by Arnie & Robin)

    CHALLENGE (Renewed) – One of the things that I was thinking about before Arnie asked me to write the Draft Analysis was to ask my fellow managers to participate in an experiment for next year.

    1. Right before the draft, write some of your thoughts about the upcoming draft. I don’t want your super secret hush hush strategy or your lists of utility players. I was thinking more of what you were thinking of your team going in and what general thoughts you had about your draft and the draft in general. For example: Eric might have written this year that he had a good team and needed to pick up a quality starter, a lefty power bat and x quality relievers and y prospects. Robin might have written that she saw this draft as a chance to rebuild and wanted to concentrate on hitting prospects.
    2. Right after the draft, add a little about how "you" did in the draft and a little about your impressions of the draft as a whole. This year I would say that I was too concentrated on this year and did not shift to getting a future pitcher soon enough to get one of the top three.
    3. Email me them and I will not open them for four years and then see what happened.

    It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2006 draft. Actual SOMBILLA season stats (where possible) will be provided, along with a look at 2009 usability and some glance to the future.

    As I am writing this it is late July and I am in San Diego and really distracted so any 2010 analysis will be limited. We have 4 SOMBILLA seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:

    As a result, some of these teams players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned that they deserve. (Ed note – serves them right).

    Round 1: (Years are MLB years; ? means No Data; X* = Partial Stats; T = Top Tier; U = Usable; F+ = Future Top Performer; FU = Future Usable; F- = Future Unusable, I=Injured)


    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    Stats

    1. Jed - Felix Hernandez

    X




    T/F+

    1-4, 0 SV, 6.530 ERA, 31 K (31.7 IPS)

    2. Jeff – John Patterson

    X*


    CUT



    0-2, 0 SV, 4.355 ERA, 34 K (31 IPS)

    3. Harold - Jeremy Hermida

    X


    X



    0.286 / 0.286 / 0.857 / 1.143 (14 PA), 2 HR, 8 RBI, 0 SB

    4. Arnie – Jeff Francoeur

    X



    CUT


    0.283 / 0.338 / 0.477 / 0.815 (65 PA), 3 HR, 8 RBI, 1 SB

    5. Robin – Huston Street

    X

    X

    X

    CUT

    U

    4-6, 6 SV, 4.442 ERA, 79 K (77 IPS)

    6. Eric - Ryan Zimmerman

    ?

    X*

    X*

    X

    T/F+

    0.265 / 0.312 / 0.431 / 0.743 (311 PA), 11 HR, 50 RBI, 2 SB

    7. RAT – Jhonny Peralta

    X



    ?

    CUT

    0.320 / 0.393 / 0.536 / 0.929 (112 PA), 7 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

    8. Tom – Matt Cain

    X

    X

    X


    T/F+

    9-10, 0 SV, 5.957 ERA, 150 K (193.4 IPS)

    Best Pick: This was a three horse race with a bit of a photo finish, but I give the nod to Matt Cain. King Felix is likely to pull away in the future barring an injury, but until this coming year has not lived up to his potential. Cain has been a workhorse and mainstay on a team that does not have a history of selecting quality pitching (ed note – the 4 recent championships notwithstanding of course) . Ryan Zimmerman has been consistent but not spectacular at a power position. However, he looks to contribute for years to come.

    Worst Pick: Jeremy Hermida, just cut loose by the Red Sox, edges out Francoeur. He has never been able to do more than spot mutant pinch hitting duty. His potential has tantalized Harold just enough that he has not cut him, but the bottom line is that he may never start for Harold and who knows who Harold might have kept instead of him. Francouer has been good enough to start against lefties and may have made other teams in some of the years that he did not play for Arnie.

    Other: I did not choose John Patterson as the worstpick in the round, but he is the classic conundrum. A potential one year wonder as a middle of the road pitcher had a career year and the question you have to ask yourself is "Am I good enough that he gets me into the playoffs?" It is hard not to be optimistic in the first round… I picked Pineiro this year and he becomes my best pitcher, but I turned my back on Elvis Andrus and Neftali Perez to make that pick. (ed note – see Study Number 1!)

    Round 2:

    Draft

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    Stats

    1. Jed - Justin Duchscherer

    X

    X


    X

    -/FI

    5-5, 9 SV, 4.747 ERA, 74 K (91 IPS)

    2. Jeff - Rickie Weeks


    X



    FI

    0.333 / 0.429 / 0.286 / 0.715 (7 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 1 SB

    3. Harold - Jonny Gomes

    X


    CUT



    0.294 / 0.400 / 0.459 / 0.859 (220 PA), 11 HR, 33 RBI, 5 SB

    4. Arnie - Aaron Heilman

    X

    X

    X


    CUT

    6-3, 4 SV, 4.418 ERA, 100 K (110 IPS)

    5. Robin - Conor Jackson



    X

    X

    -/F-

    0.177 / 0.273 / 0.336 / 0.609 (128 PA), 6 HR, 17 RBI, 0 SB

    6. Eric - Derek Turnbow

    ?


    X

    CUT


    0-1, 2 SV, 4.500 ERA, 29 K (20 IPS)

    7. RAT – Brian McCann


    X


    X?

    T/F+

    0.293 / 0.369 / 0.448 / 0.817 (444 PA), 19 HR, 66 RBI, 2 SB

    8. Tom – Jesse Crain

    X

    X


    CUT


    2-5, 1 SV, 4.758 ERA, 16 K (45.4 IPS)

    Best Pick: I have to go with Brian McCann, he is the #2 catcher looking into the future and is a left handed hitting power bat that is almost good enough to carry him as a DH. He has the best card this year of the 2nd rounders and will be a top flight contributor on a good club going forward. I have to give a nod to Heilman, who has contributed the most to his team over the 3 years that he played. He is exactly what Arnie hoped for as a solid reliever that gave 3 years of 7th and 8th inning work.

    Worst Pick: To be controversial, I am going with one of the players who is still on a roster—Conor Jackson. This tantalizing talent has done very little more than hold a roster spot (and contract Valley Fever) for Robin and she had much higher hopes than that.*

    Other: Duchschererererer has been a tease, but his injury history makes him one of those might-have-been picks. With that said he has contributed more than any other pick this round outside of Heilman and McCann.

    Round 3:

    Draft

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    Stats

    1. Jed - Matt Holliday

    X

    X

    X

    X

    T/F+

    0.273 / 0.326 / 0.413 / 0.739 (635 PA), 21 HR, 88 RBI, 9 SB

    2. Jeff - Al Reyes

    X

    CUT




    2-0, 5 SV, 4.500 ERA, 14 K (14 IPS)

    3. Harold - Andy Marte



    CUT




    4. Arnie - Matt Murton

    X

    X

    CUT



    0.143 / 0.182 / 0.182 / 0.364 (22 PA), 0 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB

    5. Robin - Neal Cotts

    X

    CUT




    2-0, 1 SV, 2.520 ERA, 24 K (25 IPS)

    6. Eric - Joe Blanton

    ?



    CUT



    7. RAT – Zach Duke

    X


    CUT



    2-2, 0 SV, 5.447 ERA, 19 K (34.7 IPS)

    8. Tom – Scott Eyre

    X


    CUT



    1-0, 6 SV, 2.077 ERA, 21 K (26 IPS)

    Best Pick: Matt Holliday wins this round going away as he has played every year and is rated #1 in LF this year and into the future. One interesting note is that his SOMBILLA OPS is not what one would expect; is this the result of Jed’s parks or what?

    Worst Pick: You have to go with one of the guys who has never played… Andy Marte edges out Blanton (because he might have played in 2005 and just has had the better real career).

    Other: Almost everyone else was short term reliever type pick excluding Matt Murton who has a career that has never made sense to me. He is a quad A type guy who takes a walk a who big league manager cannot seem to give a chance to. Only one player in this round is still owned.

    Round 4:

    Draft

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    Stats

    1. Jed - Chad Tracy

    X


    CUT



    0.290 / 0.330 / 0.434 / 0.764 (106 PA), 4 HR, 16 RBI, 1 SB

    2. Jeff - Aaron Fultz

    X

    CUT




    0-0, 1 SV, 4.369 ERA, 9 K (10.3 IPS)

    3. Harold - Hector Carrasco

    X

    X


    CUT


    1-4, 0 SV, 5.023 ERA, 30 K (43 IPS)

    4. Robin – Robinson Tejada



    CUT




    5. Jeff - Cliff Politte

    X

    CUT




    0-1, 0 SV, 3.000 ERA, 5 K (9 IPS)

    6. Eric - Prince Fielder

    ?


    X

    X

    T/F+

    0.275 / 0.356 / 0.516 / 0.872 (225 PA), 15 HR, 39 RBI, 0 SB

    7. RAT – Javier Valentin

    X

    CUT


    ?


    0.202 / 0.286 / 0.457 / 0.743 (105 PA), 8 HR, 18 RBI, 0 SB

    8. Tom - Jonathan Papelbon


    X

    X

    X

    U+/F+

    8-6, 24 SV, 3.377 ERA, 93 K (69.3 IPS)

    Best Pick: This round is a bit of a toss up. I will avoid bias calls (especially after my first round choice) and go with Prince Fielder. The only questions his future has are "Will he eat himself out of baseball?" and "Where will he play next?" Second choice is Papelbon who has been a stalwart closer on a winning team. He is a bit flamboyant and who knows where he will be pitching 3 years hence…

    Worst Pick: Tejeda just never cracked Robin’s roster and has now moved on to a new team (Harold) after a major league resurgence with a bad team in KC.

    Round 5:

    Draft

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    Stats

    1. Jed – Bob Howry

    X

    X

    X

    CUT


    8-3, 6 SV, 3.151 ERA, 57 K (71.4 IPS)

    2. Jeff - Justin Huber



    CUT




    3. Robin - Brandon McCarthy



    CUT




    4. Arnie - Edwin Encarnacion





    -/?


    5. Robin - Curtis Granderson

    X


    X

    X

    U/FU

    0.249 / 0.326 / 0.416 / 0.742 (353 PA), 18 HR, 52 RBI, 9 SB

    6. Eric - Rafael Betancourt

    ?

    X

    X


    -/?

    2-0, 4 SV, 2.544 ERA, 24 K (28.3 IPS)

    7. RAT – Tony Clark

    X

    CUT




    0.256 / 0.326 / 0.448 / 0.774 (181 PA), 10 HR, 23 RBI, 0 SB

    8. Tom – Ervin Santana


    X


    X

    -/?

    5-7, 0 SV, 5.224 ERA, 149 K (174 IPS)

    Best Pick: .Curtis Granderson has worse stats than one might expect, but he has played and has a nice future in NY if he can stay healthy. Howry was solid in relief and Ervin Santana has been an enigma that has played important games for CN.

    Worst Pick: Justin Huber wins this round as a player that showed some potential in the majors but could not garner many AB’s in MLB and no SOMBILLA AB’s at all. Brandon McCarthy had the better major league stats so he avoids this honor.

    Other: Encarnacion has no SOMBILLA playing time, but Arnie still owns him. Is Arnie just optimistic or does Encarnacion have incriminating pictures of Arnie …(ed note, I was going to cut him but I fell for the classic ‘hot spring training syndrome’)

    Round 6:

    Draft

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    Stats

    1. Jed - Randy Winn

    X

    CUT




    0.371 / 0.411 / 0.642 / 1.053 (95 PA), 6 HR, 22 RBI, 1 SB

    2. Jeff - Ryan Doumit


    CUT





    3. Harold - Robinson Cano


    X


    X

    U

    0.365 / 0.390 / 0.584 / 0.974 (77 PA), 3 HR, 15 RBI, 0 SB

    4. Arnie - Chris Duffy



    CUT



    0.260 / 0.315 / 0.296 / 0.611 (54 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB

    5. Robin - Casey Kotchman

    X


    X

    X


    0.284 / 0.331 / 0.416 / 0.747 (332 PA), 9 HR, 34 RBI, 0 SB

    6. Eric - Fernando Cabrera

    ?


    CUT




    7. RAT – Mike Jacobs



    CUT

    ?


    0.250 / 0.341 / 0.463 / 0.804 (41 PA), 2 HR, 6 RBI, 0 SB

    8. Tom – Todd Jones

    X

    X

    CUT



    2-3, 9 SV, 3.433 ERA, 34 K (36.7 IPS)

    Best Pick: You have to go with Cano even though he has had limited PA so far, because he is rising star who will be amongst the best second baggers for years to come.

    Worst Pick: Fernando Cabrera was the only player to not have any SOMBILLA ABs and will never have any Sombilla AB’s. He was big and had a big arm, but his head was not into Baseball. At least Doumit was later drafted and played.

    Other: Randy Winn and Todd Jones did their jobs, but were never picked as future stars. Jones was given a chance to make his swan song count for a couple of championship runs.

    Round 7:

    Draft

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    Stats

    1. Jed - Brian Fuentes

    X

    X

    X

    X

    CUT*

    8-3, 4 SV, 4.291 ERA, 80 K (77.6 IPS)

    2. Jeff - Dan Wheeler

    X

    X

    CUT



    2-1, 0 SV, 5.261 ERA, 37 K (47.9 IPS)

    3. Harold - Juan Padilla

    X

    CUT




    0-0, 0 SV, 1.084 ERA, 2 K (8.3 IPS)

    4. Arnie - Scott Baker

    X

    CUT




    1-0, 2 SV, 2.660 ERA, 12 K (20.3 IPS)

    5. Robin - Clay Hensley



    CUT




    6. Eric - Jay Witasick

    ?

    CUT





    7. RAT – Geoff Jenkins

    X

    CUT


    ?


    0.317 / 0.361 / 0.497 / 0.858 (155 PA), 6 HR, 16 RBI, 0 SB

    8. Tom – Joaquin Benoit

    X

    X

    X

    CUT


    11-1, 2 SV, 3.596 ERA, 84 K (82.6 IPS)

    Best Pick: A round of short term players, the best of which was Benoit as he did as much as Brian Fuentes but he did it in 3 years instead of 4.

    Worst Pick: Clay Hensley as he never made any Sombilla rosters.

    Other: Scott Baker came back into the league and has a future, but what ?

    Round 8:

    Draft

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    Stats

    1. Jed – Aaron Harang


    X

    X


    CUT

    4-6, 0 SV, 5.337 ERA, 99 K (111.3 IPS)

    2. Jeff - Mark Grudzielanek

    X

    X


    X


    0.271 / 0.312 / 0.372 / 0.684 (266 PA), 2 HR, 30 RBI, 1 SB

    3. Harold - Dustin McGowan


    CUT





    4. Arnie - Ramon Castro

    X

    CUT




    0.067 / 0.160 / 0.080 / 0.24 (50 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

    5. Robin - Jason Vargas

    X

    CUT




    1-0, 4 SV, 6.750 ERA, 31 K (24 IPS)

    6. Eric - Damian Miller

    ?

    CUT





    7. RAT – Dan Johnson




    CUT



    8. Tom – Chris Shelton

    X


    CUT



    0.347 / 0.365 / 0.606 / 0.971 (104 PA), 6 HR, 20 RBI, 0 SB

    Best Pick: Aaron Harang did what you want out of an 8th round starter. He gave Jed innings and a couple of good seasons but his star has diminished in Cincy.

    Worst Pick: Dan Johnson was the best heralded minor leaguer of the round and never played in the SOMBILLA.

    Other: Chris Shelton was just what CN needed as powerful mutant plus (more ABs than most mutants). He even tantalized a little more showing well for a month here and there with a bunch of major league teams that never figured him out either. McGowan was later drafted by and started for Robin.

    Round 9:

    Draft

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    Stats

    1. Jed – Willie Taveras




    CUT



    2. Harold - Craig Counsell

    X

    CUT




    0.407 / 0.484 / 0.548 / 1.032 (31 PA), 0 HR, 3 RBI, 1 SB

    3. Harold - Chien-Mig Wang


    X

    X



    8-4, 0 SV, 6.253 ERA, 58 K (113.7 IPS)

    4. Robin - Ryan Langerhans

    X


    CUT



    0.250 / 0.400 / 0.300 / 0.7 (10 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB

    5. Eric - Dioner Navarro





    CUT


    6. RAT – Andy Sisco

    X


    CUT



    1-0, 0 SV, 13.469 ERA, 15 K (14.7 IPS)

    7. Tom – Aaron Small

    X

    CUT


    ?


    0-2, 0 SV, 7.313 ERA, 17 K (32 IPS)

    Rounds 10-14:


    Team

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    Stats

    10

    1. Jed – J.J. Hardy



    X

    X


    0.219 / 0.265 / 0.412 / 0.677 (34 PA), 1 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB

    10

    2. Harold - Ryan Church


    CUT





    10

    3. Arnie - Ron Belliard

    X

    X

    CUT



    0.385 / 0.385 / 0.385 / 0.77 (13 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB

    10

    4. Robin - Gerald Laird


    X


    X

    CUT

    0.227 / 0.287 / 0.295 / 0.582 (129 PA), 2 HR, 8 RBI, 1 SB

    10

    5. Eric - Juan Encarnacion



    CUT




    10

    6. RAT – Wilson Betemit

    X



    CUT


    0.250 / 0.283 / 0.272 / 0.555 (92 PA), 1 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB

    10

    7. Tom – Kameron Loe

    X

    CUT




    2-5, 0 SV, 6.815 ERA, 21 K (38.3 IPS)

    11

    1. Jed – Garrett Atkins


    X



    CUT

    0.333 / 0.402 / 0.386 / 0.788 (127 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB

    11

    2. Harold - Glenn Williams

    X

    CUT




    0.429 / 0.529 / 0.353 / 0.882 (17 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 1 SB

    11

    3. Arnie - Luis A. Gonzalez

    X

    CUT




    0.267 / 0.327 / 0.388 / 0.715 (49 PA), 1 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB

    11

    4. Robin - Paul Maholm

    X



    X


    4-9, 0 SV, 6.442 ERA, 57 K (95 IPS)

    11

    5. Eric - Chris Snyder


    X


    X

    CUT

    0.167 / 0.286 / 0.250 / 0.536 (28 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB

    11

    6. RAT – Brian Anderson


    CUT





    11

    7. Tom – Shawn Chacon

    X

    CUT




    3-1, 0 SV, 2.250 ERA, 14 K (40 IPS)

    12

    1. Jed – Chris Ray


    X

    CUT



    1-0, 1 SV, 2.250 ERA, 11 K (12 IPS)

    12

    2. Harold - Seth McClung


    CUT





    12

    3. Arnie - Carlos Silva


    CUT





    12

    4. RAT – Rod Barajas

    X

    CUT




    0.303 / 0.361 / 0.407 / 0.768 (108 PA), 3 HR, 15 RBI, 0 SB

    12

    5. Tom – Matt Wise

    X


    CUT



    2-0, 0 SV, 0.415 ERA, 18 K (21.7 IPS)

    13

    1. Arnie - Ian Snell





    CUT


    14

    2. Arnie - Russell Branyan (immediately traded to Tom for a 6th round pick next year)

    X

    CUT




    0.349 / 0.440 / 0.580 / 1.02 (50 PA), 4 HR, 6 RBI, 0 SB

    Arnie jumps in here:

    Best Pick (9-14): Chien-Mig Wang due to his outstanding one card and resulting SOMBILLA season for Harold. Although strong consideration goes to Barajas of RAT and Jed’s Atkins, both of who had nice one year contributions. Nobody else here produced close to that kind of value.

    Worst Pick: This is an impossible question.

    Other: JJ Hardy and Paul Maholm are the only two players listed who are still in the league. Although don’t ask me why.

    2005 Card Set Draft Results:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    0.216 / 0.278 / 0.307 / 0.585 (241 PA), 5 HR, 14 RBI, 1 SB

    Eric

     

    Harold

    0.314 / 0.412 / 0.480 / 0.892 (279 PA), 13 HR, 45 RBI, 7 SB

    Jeff

    0.304 / 0.328 / 0.414 / 0.742 (58 PA), 0 HR, 8 RBI, 1 SB

    RAT

    0.275 / 0.338 / 0.446 / 0.784 (794 PA), 37 HR, 94 RBI, 0 SB

    Robin

    0.299 / 0.356 / 0.493 / 0.849 (73 PA), 4 HR, 8 RBI, 0 SB

    TSK

    0.347 / 0.390 / 0.597 / 0.987 (154 PA), 10 HR, 26 RBI, 0 SB

    Jed

    0.318 / 0.367 / 0.509 / 0.876 (275 PA), 13 HR, 54 RBI, 4 SB

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    3-1, 5 SV, 2.926 ERA, 61 K (64.6 IPS)

    Eric

     

    Harold

    1-2, 0 SV, 3.176 ERA, 20 K (34 IPS)

    Jeff

    2-3, 6 SV, 4.324 ERA, 67 K (66.6 IPS)

    Jed

    9-8, 16 SV, 4.190 ERA, 113 K (111.7 IPS)

    Robin

    6-3, 10 SV, 4.133 ERA, 89 K (98 IPS)

    TSK

    16-15, 16 SV, 3.810 ERA, 179 K (274 IPS)

    RAT

    3-2, 0 SV, 7.834 ERA, 34 K (49.4 IPS)

    Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    0.226 / 0.285 / 0.312 / 0.597 (253 PA), 5 HR, 16 RBI, 1 SB

    Eric

    0.264 / 0.328 / 0.456 / 0.784 (564 PA), 27 HR, 92 RBI, 2 SB

    Harold

    0.326 / 0.407 / 0.504 / 0.911 (359 PA), 16 HR, 61 RBI, 7 SB

    JEFF

    0.272 / 0.315 / 0.370 / 0.685 (273 PA), 2 HR, 32 RBI, 2 SB

    Jed

    0.290 / 0.342 / 0.433 / 0.775 (997 PA), 34 HR, 140 RBI, 12 SB

    Robin

    0.249 / 0.316 / 0.388 / 0.704 (952 PA), 35 HR, 112 RBI, 10 SB

    TSK

    0.347 / 0.390 / 0.597 / 0.987 (154 PA), 10 HR, 26 RBI, 0 SB

    RAT

    0.282 / 0.349 / 0.447 / 0.796 (1238 PA), 56 HR, 160 RBI, 2 SB

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    7-3, 6 SV, 4.144 ERA, 112 K (130.3 IPS)

    Eric

    2-1, 6 SV, 3.354 ERA, 53 K (48.3 IPS)

    Harold

    9-8, 0 SV, 5.673 ERA, 90 K (165 IPS)

    Jeff

    4-4, 6 SV, 4.652 ERA, 99 K (112.2 IPS)

    Jed

    27-21, 20 SV, 4.603 ERA, 352 K (395 IPS)

    Robin

    11-15, 11 SV, 5.335 ERA, 191 K (221 IPS)

    TSK

    45-40, 42 SV, 4.717 ERA, 617 K (759.4 IPS)

    RAT

    3-2, 0 SV, 7.834 ERA, 34 K (49.4 IPS)

    Best Draft: Jed, who drafted (F. Hernandez, Duchscherer, Holliday, Tracy, Howry, Winn, Fuentes, Harang, Taveras, Hardy, Atkins, Ray) and still has 4 of them included his big one two punch of King Felix and Matt Holliday. He drafted first and set the tone for the whole draft. His draft choices made the most balanced impact, being in the top three for both pitching and offense for the last 4 years.

    Worst Draft: I have to go with Arnie who drafted Francoeur, Heilman, Murton, Encarnacion, Duffy, Baker, Castro, Belliard, L Gonzalez, Silva, Snell and only has Edwin Encarnacion to show for it who has never played in the SOMBILLA.


    THE 2007 DRAFT [8/11]

    In what has now become a summer tradition, Tom Kinney presents his third annual 4-year retrospective draft analysis. (edited by Arnie & Robin)

    ……

    It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2007 draft. The first two rounds will as always be listed in detail with actual SOMBILLA Seasons (where possible) and a look at 2010 usability and some glance to the future. I may be a tad more wordy than Arnie has been in past years and he may of course edit all that out …

    We have 4 SOMBILLA Seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:



    As a result, some of these teams’ players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned than they deserve.

    Round 1: (Years are MLB years not SOMBILLA years -- T = Top Tier, U = Usable, F+ = Future Top Performer, FU = Future Usable)

    Draft

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    Stats

    1. Jeff - Delmon Young





    FU

    0.271 / 0.292 / 0.412 / 0.704 (216 PA), 7 HR, 28 RBI, 3 SB

    2. Eric - Justin Verlander





    T/F+

    12-6, 0 SV, 4.952 ERA, 202 K (196.3 IPS)

    3. Robin - Anibal Sanchez





    FU

    3-5, 0 SV, 4.400 ERA, 27 K (45 IPS)

    4. Arnie – Hanley Ramirez





    T/F+

    0.276 / 0.342 / 0.443 / 0.785 (479 PA), 20 HR, 55 RBI, 14 SB

    5. Harold – Nick Markakis





    U/FU

    0.313 / 0.394 / 0.441 / 0.835 (472 PA), 11 HR, 48 RBI, 8 SB

    6. Jed - Jermaine Dye


    CUT



    DONE

    0.286 / 0.342 / 0.632 / 0.974 (114 PA), 13 HR, 27 RBI, 0 SB

    7. RAT – Stephen Drew





    ?

    0.167 / 0.167 / 0.167 / 0.334 (6 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

    8. Tom – Russell Martin





    U/FU

    0.251 / 0.326 / 0.328 / 0.654 (518 PA), 9 HR, 42 RBI, 11 SB



    Best Pick: Justin Verlander is a true example of a number one starter. A big strikeout machine who if he would have better second half to seasons would have several American League Cy Youngs already.

    Worst Pick: I never would have thought this on draft day, but Stephen Drew turns out to be the first round loser. He has never gained a foothold in the SOMBILLA and he blew out his ankle this year. He has never lived up to his hype and maybe he will come back and be an adequate shortstop but it does not look like he will be that powerful left-handed batting SS whom many drooled over.

    Other: Jermaine Dye turned out to be a one-year wonder who flamed out of the league faster than was expected. Delmon Young as a first overall pick just escaped goat status by putting together a good year this year that leads hope to future usability. I do not think he will ever live up to the pre-trade hype.

    Round 2:

    Draft

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    Stats

    1. Eric - Jered Weaver





    T/F+

    7-2, 0 SV, 3.678 ERA, 68 K (78.3 IPS)

    2. Jeff - Chris Iannetta





    FU

    0.274 / 0.384 / 0.488 / 0.872 (86 PA), 5 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB

    3. Arnie - Josh Johnson





    T/F?

    6-8, 0 SV, 4.579 ERA, 128 K (153.3 IPS)

    4. Robin - Freddie Sanchez





    ?

    0.228 / 0.266 / 0.281 / 0.547 (263 PA), 2 HR, 24 RBI, 1 SB

    5. Harold - Francisco Liriano





    ?

    1-1, 0 SV, 4.197 ERA, 19 K (19.3 IPS)

    6. Jed - Joel Zumaya


    CUT



    INJ

    1-2, 2 SV, 4.252 ERA, 14 K (12.7 IPS)

    7. RAT – J.J. Putz



    CUT


    FU

    2-1, 2 SV, 2.477 ERA, 49 K (32.7 IPS)

    8. Tom – Ian Kinsler





    T/F+

    0.256 / 0.335 / 0.436 / 0.771 (337 PA), 17 HR, 49 RBI, 14 SB


    Best Pick: I have to declare a tie between Jered Weaver and Ian Kinsler. Both are at the top of their positions and both look to have premium futures. Kinsler is in the same SOMBILLA ballpark as Hanley and has solidified his defense moving forward. Weaver has a bright future that makes up for his one SOMBILLA season. If Weaver had been picked at the end of the round and Kinsler at the top I might have given Weaver solo honors.

    Worst Pick: Another tie between a 2nd bagger and a pitcher. Freddie Sanchez has never lived up to his 2nd round status (and of course, being on BC, is injury-prone). Joel Zumaya had the big arm, but his delivery just could not be repeated consistently without blowing out his arm.

    Other: Josh Johnson has big-time stuff and could be a perennial Cy Young candidate if he could just stay healthy. Francisco Liriano has never lived up to his billing as the next Johan Santana. He has been inconsistent when healthy and his health is always a question.

    Round 3:

    Draft

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    Stats

    1. Jeff - Jonathan Broxton





    U/FU?

    7-9, 3 SV, 4.728 ERA, 128 K (106.6 IPS)

    2. Eric - Adrian Gonzalez





    T/F+

    0.304 / 0.387 / 0.530 / 0.917 (656 PA), 45 HR, 106 RBI, 0 SB

    3. Robin – Takashi Saito





    ?

    7-3, 15 SV, 3.060 ERA, 73 K (64.7 IPS)

    4. Arnie - Chris Young





    ?

    0.500 / 0.500 / 0.500 / 1 (2 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB

    5. Harold - Cla Meredith



    CUT



    1-1, 1 SV, 2.571 ERA, 6 K (7 IPS)

    6. Jed - Bill Hall

    CUT





    0.340 / 0.392 / 0.451 / 0.843 (51 PA), 0 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB

    7. RAT – Carlos Quentin





    FU

    0.276 / 0.323 / 0.544 / 0.867 (248 PA), 17 HR, 54 RBI, 1 SB

    8. Tom – Dennis Reyes

    CUT





    1-1, 3 SV, 7.627 ERA, 19 K (17.7 IPS)


    Best Pick: A Gone is probably the only hitter that moving to San Diego was just the best thing that ever happened to him. He is now the heart of the Boston Red Sox order and a gold glove first basemen. He has been huge in real life and the SOMBILLA.

    Worst Pick: I have to go with Cla Meredith who was used for 7 innings but took up a roster spot for 3 years. He edges out the toolsy Young, who still has Arnie enthralled with that hope for next year.

    Other: Broxton has been a consistent power pitcher. His splits have sometimes limited his overall value, but sometimes having an extreme split can be exactly what is needed. He has fallen off and may never return to form. The fear we have with any reliever is that he is good for a handful of years and then nothing. Saito was surprisingly useful over this time period as well.

    Round 4:

    Draft

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    Stats

    1. Eric - Scott Proctor


    CUT




    0-1, 0 SV, 3.942 ERA, 18 K (13.7 IPS)

    2. Jeff - Fabio Castro

    CUT





    2-0, 0 SV, 0.769 ERA, 4 K (11.7 IPS)

    3. Harold - Chris Duncan


    CUT




    0.340 / 0.353 / 0.784 / 1.137 (51 PA), 6 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB

    4. Robin - Reed Johnson




    CUT


    0.253 / 0.312 / 0.344 / 0.656 (369 PA), 5 HR, 30 RBI, 2 SB

    5. Harold - Gary Matthews Jr.


    CUT




    0.342 / 0.410 / 0.448 / 0.858 (134 PA), 3 HR, 22 RBI, 3 SB

    6. Arnie - Luke Scott



    CUT



    0.344 / 0.406 / 0.547 / 0.953 (106 PA), 5 HR, 25 RBI, 2 SB

    7. RAT – Dan Uggla






    0.277 / 0.336 / 0.521 / 0.857 (307 PA), 21 HR, 54 RBI, 3 SB

    8. Tom - Mark Teahan



    CUT



    0.325 / 0.373 / 0.516 / 0.889 (126 PA), 8 HR, 23 RBI, 5 SB


    Best Pick: This round belongs to Dan Uggla as a second basemen with power. Too bad that he does not play a little better defense or produce a better OBP. He is having a rough year this year after being shipped to a new real life team. He has contributed two seasons and will be useful in this upcoming SOMBILLA year.

    Worst Pick: In a round filled with short term players who played well in the SOMBILLA and Uggla, it comes down to Scott Proctor and Reed Johnson. Reed played a lot of seasons mostly defensively for Robin and had more value than his Slugging + OBP. (Robin adds “and because I just cut him, is batting over .300 [see summer study #2]) The much overused in real life Scott Proctor gets the nod because he just did not play enough or contribute enough to not get the worst pick nod.

    Round 5:

    Draft

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    Stats

    1. Jeff - Andre Ethier






    0.274 / 0.342 / 0.399 / 0.741 (193 PA), 6 HR, 24 RBI, 4 SB

    2. Eric - Troy Tulowitzki






    0.260 / 0.328 / 0.473 / 0.801 (482 PA), 25 HR, 74 RBI, 2 SB

    3. Robin - Will Ohman

    CUT





    0-1, 0 SV, 5.255 ERA, 10 K (13.7 IPS)

    4. Arnie - Matt Thornton

    CUT





    0-2, 1 SV, 3.273 ERA, 19 K (22 IPS)

    5. Harold - Brandon League

    CUT





    0-1, 0 SV, 14.400 ERA, 4 K (5 IPS)

    6. Jed - Jeff Francis


    CUT




    0-3, 0 SV, 7.394 ERA, 17 K (35.3 IPS)

    7. RAT – Cole Hammels






    12-10, 0 SV, 4.749 ERA, 147 K (149.7 IPS)

    8. Tom – Eric Bedard


    CUT




    3-4, 0 SV, 6.043 ERA, 76 K (70 IPS)


    Best Pick: Troy Tulowitzki gets the nod as the defensive wiz (1 SS) with power that if he can stay healthy will be one of the best SS in the set into the future. One thing to realize is that it does not hurt his SOMBILLA value as long as he has 350+ PA’s and may even have better cards for his lesser PA’s.

    Worst Pick: Brandon League, who in real life has taken over as the Seattle closer this year, was a one-year wonder with only 5 IPs and not very good ones at that.

    Other: Andre Ethier was traded for a high pick this year and has had more real life success than SOMBILLA success. He is someone who I always think will have better Strat success than he has had in the SOMBILLA. Cole Hammels has had his moments in Strat and real life (who can forget that dominant post season where he led the Phillies …) but he could just not compete with Tulo.

    Round 6:

    Draft

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    Stats

    1. Eric - Scott Downs






    1-3, 5 SV, 4.295 ERA, 34 K (46.1 IPS)

    2. Jeff - Adam LaRoche




    CUT



    3. Arnie - Howie Kendrick




    CUT



    4. Robin - Jason Jennings


    CUT




    3-5, 0 SV, 4.867 ERA, 70 K (94.3 IPS)

    5. RAT - Pedro Feliciano


    CUT




    2-0, 0 SV, 3.632 ERA, 20 K (22.3 IPS)

    6. Jed - Dave Ross

    CUT





    0.192 / 0.300 / 0.462 / 0.762 (30 PA), 2 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB

    7. RAT – Josh Barfield


    CUT





    8. Arnie - Kenji Johjima


    CUT




    0.286 / 0.309 / 0.390 / 0.699 (249 PA), 6 HR, 29 RBI, 0 SB


    Best Pick: In the most mediocre round so far, we have to go with Scott Downs. He has had longevity going for him and has had some valuable years in real baseball. He has been a middling but useful end of the bullpen player in the SOMBILLA.

    Worst Pick: I am going to go with Howie Kendrick and Adam LaRoche as two long-term teases who stayed with their teams but could never crack the lineups. Kendrick is finally having a good year this year in real life, but too little too late.

    Other: David Ross is the favorite one-year back up catcher that I believe has resurfaced several times since this draft. I do not remember much of Josh Barfield – son of a major leaguer who played second but has not played it well enough to get into the SOMBILLA.

    Round 7:

    Draft

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    Stats

    1. Jeff - Matt Garza






    8-6, 0 SV, 5.534 ERA, 147 K (174 IPS)

    2. Eric - Duaner Sanchez


    CUT




    0-1, 2 SV, 4.737 ERA, 3 K (5.7 IPS)

    3. Robin - Hong-Chih Kuo






    1-1, 2 SV, 3.064 ERA, 44 K (47 IPS)

    4. Arnie - Adam Wainwright






    5-5, 0 SV, 4.862 ERA, 84 K (90.7 IPS)

    5. Harold - Julio Lugo

    CUT





    0.262 / 0.318 / 0.318 / 0.636 (66 PA), 1 HR, 6 RBI, 2 SB

    6. Jed - Carlos Villanueva




    CUT


    0-1, 0 SV, 5.172 ERA, 4 K (8.7 IPS)

    7. RAT – Esteban German

    CUT





    0.341 / 0.426 / 0.468 / 0.894 (94 PA), 2 HR, 14 RBI, 3 SB

    8. Tom – Anthony Reyes



    CUT





    Best Pick: This is a fight between Matt Garza and Adam Wainwright. I have to tip my hat to Matt Garza. Before spring training I would have gone with Wainwright because he looked like he was going to break out as a perennial Cy Young candidate, #1 pitcher, etc. but then major surgery and you always have to put a question mark next to his name until you see him return to form. Matt Garza came into the spring traded and with the pundits questioning if he was over-rated. He went to hitter-friendly Chicago, but his strikeout rate is up and he looks to continue his SOMBILLA usability for years to come.

    Worst Pick: Anthony Reyes is a player who looked like he might just turn out a year as a good pitcher but something always happened. He got his shots but just could not put it together.

    Round 8:

    Draft

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    Stats

    1. Eric - A.J. Pierzynski

    CUT






    2. Jeff - Adam Lind






    0.259 / 0.282 / 0.479 / 0.761 (163 PA), 8 HR, 25 RBI, 1 SB

    3. Arnie - Kevin Kouzmanoff


    CUT





    4. Robin - Chad Bradford



    CUT



    2-2, 0 SV, 5.546 ERA, 19 K (35.7 IPS)

    5. Harold - Gabe Gross

    CUT






    6. Jed - Wes Helms

    CUT





    0.378 / 0.429 / 0.673 / 1.102 (49 PA), 2 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB

    7. RAT – Matt Kemp






    0.667 / 0.714 / 0.714 / 1.428 (7 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 1 SB

    8. Tom – Casey Blake

    CUT





    0.303 / 0.378 / 0.554 / 0.932 (74 PA), 5 HR, 12 RBI, 3 SB



    Best Pick: I have only a partial year of SOMBILLA stats for Matt Kemp, but he has been a dominant real life player for the Dodgers and looks to be a good solid player for years to come.

    Worst Pick: Gabe Gross and Kouzmanoff have never played for their SOMBILLA teams and you have to just toss a coin and choose which one is the worst pick. (Pierzynski did play but for some reason the database refuses to show his partial year .222 average …)

    Other: Adam Lind who has resurrected his career asks for the tape on Kemp. “Has he even had enough PA’s to qualify for a Best Pick?!?”

    Round 9-13:

    Draft

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    Stats

    1. Jeff - Pat Neshek


    CUT




    1-5, 5 SV, 3.971 ERA, 27 K (34 IPS)

    2. Eric - Ramon Ramirez



    CUT



    1-2, 2 SV, 5.928 ERA, 34 K (33.4 IPS)

    3. Robin - Lastings Milledge






    0.320 / 0.393 / 0.536 / 0.929 (28 PA), 1 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB

    4. Arnie - Jose Valentin

    CUT





    0.255 / 0.306 / 0.486 / 0.792 (173 PA), 10 HR, 24 RBI, 2 SB

    5. Harold - Jeff Baker

    CUT





    0.200 / 0.333 / 0.500 / 0.833 (6 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

    6. Jed – Josh Willingham


    CUT




    0.400 / 0.400 / 0.900 / 1.3 (30 PA), 4 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB

    7. RAT – Marcus Thames



    CUT



    0.265 / 0.307 / 0.604 / 0.911 (192 PA), 19 HR, 46 RBI, 0 SB

    8. Tom - Chad Billingsley






    5-8, 4 SV, 3.778 ERA, 129 K (145.3 IPS)


    1. Eric - Alex Escobar

    CUT





    0.556 / 0.556 / 1.222 / 1.778 (9 PA), 2 HR, 8 RBI, 0 SB

    2. Arnie - Rich Hill


    CUT




    4-1, 0 SV, 4.056 ERA, 59 K (71 IPS)

    3. Robin - Jeremy Sowers

    CUT





    2-2, 0 SV, 6.636 ERA, 6 K (21.7 IPS)

    4. Harold - Chris Capuano

    CUT





    0-4, 0 SV, 9.223 ERA, 25 K (28.3 IPS)

    5. Jed - Jamey Carroll

    CUT





    0.295 / 0.392 / 0.353 / 0.745 (102 PA), 0 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB

    6. RAT – Fernando Rodney


    CUT




    1-0, 0 SV, 4.200 ERA, 33 K (30 IPS)

    7. Tom – Bobby Jenks



    CUT



    7-4, 6 SV, 6.501 ERA, 72 K (70.6 IPS)


    1. Eric - Adam Jones






    0.238 / 0.311 / 0.379 / 0.69 (190 PA), 6 HR, 24 RBI, 4 SB

    2. Robin - Yuniesky Betancourt



    CUT



    0.000 / 0.000 / 0.000 / 0 (4 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB

    3. Arnie - James Shields






    11-12, 0 SV, 5.767 ERA, 127 K (146.7 IPS)

    4. Harold - Mike Napoli






    0.212 / 0.325 / 0.317 / 0.642 (243 PA), 9 HR, 38 RBI, 0 SB

    5. Jed - Boof Bonser


    CUT





    6. RAT – Rich Aurilia

    CUT





    0.328 / 0.394 / 0.549 / 0.943 (71 PA), 4 HR, 13 RBI, 0 SB

    7. Tom – Ray Durham

    CUT





    0.241 / 0.288 / 0.456 / 0.744 (226 PA), 11 HR, 29 RBI, 1 SB


    1. Eric - Scott Olson

    CUT





    1-1, 0 SV, 8.282 ERA, 13 K (16.3 IPS)

    2. Harold - Jeff Karstens

    CUT






    3. Jed - Kevin Youkilis






    0.289 / 0.394 / 0.477 / 0.871 (629 PA), 36 HR, 106 RBI, 2 SB

    4. Tom - Bob Wickman

    CUT





    1-2, 0 SV, 7.219 ERA, 12 K (18.7 IPS)

    1. Jed - John Maine



    CUT



    3-2, 0 SV, 5.394 ERA, 30 K (31.7 IPS)

    2. Tom - Chris Sampson

    CUT





    2-0, 1 SV, 1.286 ERA, 9 K (14 IPS)



    Best Pick: .These were the nickname rounds: ”Big Game James” Shields was one of the better picks. He has not set the SOMBILLA on fire, but has supplied innings beyond his draft position. Tampa Bay has rated him beyond what the critics have and he has had renewed success in the “Year of the Pitcher Part Deux” this year.

    Chad “Buzzsaw” Billingsley started well and is once again usable but his real life team has used him in mysterious ways allowing for his SOMBILLA owner to use him as a starter and reliever while being starred in the same year. The fantasy mavens have been disappointed and question his future (mostly because they had rated him as a potential #1 starter), but he has been a solid SOMBILLA contributor especially considering his round.

    Kevin “Greek God of Walks” Youkilis has become a solid regular. His power was a question but he has grown into his stroke and worked hard at his defense to become a gold glove first baseman. He has made himself an above-average corner man and a starter for the declining Manatees.

    Worst Pick: You really cannot make a bad pick in these rounds.

    Other: A number of hitters were drafted in these rounds and have now found new teams via trade and waivers (re-drafts), as Adam Jones was traded to Harold and little Jamie Carroll was re-drafted this year. If you are Jed drafting in these rounds a hitter, then the Manatees will want him soon…. Willingham was drafted by the Manatees after he was cut and Youkilis was a trade target.

    2006 Card Set Results:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    0.300 / 0.349 / 0.504 / 0.853 (490 PA), 23 HR, 79 RBI, 6 SB

    Eric

    0.365 / 0.407 / 0.604 / 1.011 (91 PA), 6 HR, 17 RBI, 0 SB

    Harold

    0.332 / 0.382 / 0.498 / 0.88 (325 PA), 12 HR, 47 RBI, 5 SB

    Jeff

    0.296 / 0.343 / 0.475 / 0.818 (265 PA), 11 HR, 40 RBI, 4 SB

    Jed

    0.312 / 0.376 / 0.541 / 0.917 (375 PA), 21 HR, 64 RBI, 0 SB

    Robin

    0.234 / 0.284 / 0.314 / 0.598 (443 PA), 6 HR, 42 RBI, 2 SB

    TSK

    0.271 / 0.322 / 0.464 / 0.786 (575 PA), 28 HR, 76 RBI, 13 SB

    WAX

    0.289 / 0.339 / 0.535 / 0.874 (540 PA), 34 HR, 103 RBI, 5 SB



    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    1-5, 1 SV, 4.39 ERA, 66 K (84 IPS)

    Eric

    1-6, 2 SV, 6.40 ERA, 59 K (64.7 IPS)

    Harold

    2-7, 1 SV, 7.25 ERA, 54 K (59.6 IPS)

    Jeff

    3-4, 2 SV, 5.62 ERA, 56 K (40 IPS)

    Jed

    1-6, 2 SV, 6.35 ERA, 35 K (56.7 IPS)

    Robin

    13-16, 6 SV, 4.94 ERA, 173 K (235.1 IPS)

    TSK

    9-4, 5 SV, 6.29 ERA, 89 K (83 IPS)

    WAX

    10-5, 2 SV, 4.11 ERA, 163 K (140 IPS)



    Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    0.282 / 0.335 / 0.448 / 0.783 (1009 PA), 41 HR, 134 RBI, 18 SB

    Eric

    0.281 / 0.356 / 0.493 / 0.849 (1337 PA), 78 HR, 212 RBI, 6 SB

    Harold

    0.290 / 0.371 / 0.421 / 0.792 (972 PA), 30 HR, 126 RBI, 13 SB

    Jeff

    0.269 / 0.316 / 0.435 / 0.751 (658 PA), 26 HR, 89 RBI, 8 SB

    Jed

    0.298 / 0.387 / 0.500 / 0.887 (1005 PA), 57 HR, 170 RBI, 2 SB

    Robin

    0.244 / 0.295 / 0.325 / 0.62 (664 PA), 8 HR, 57 RBI, 3 SB

    TSK

    0.261 / 0.329 / 0.411 / 0.74 (1281 PA), 50 HR, 155 RBI, 34 SB

    WAX

    0.286 / 0.342 / 0.541 / 0.883 (925 PA), 63 HR, 183 RBI, 8 SB



    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    26-28, 1 SV, 4.86 ERA, 417 K (483.7 IPS)

    Eric

    22-16, 9 SV, 4.80 ERA, 372 K (389.8 IPS)

    Harold

    2-7, 1 SV, 7.25 ERA, 54 K (59.6 IPS)

    Jeff

    16-20, 8 SV, 5.09 ERA, 302 K (314.6 IPS)

    Jed

    4-8, 2 SV, 6.01 ERA, 65 K (88.4 IPS)

    Robin

    18-19, 17 SV, 4.39 ERA, 249 K (322.1 IPS)

    TSK

    19-19, 14 SV, 5.11 ERA, 317 K (336.3 IPS)

    WAX

    17-11, 2 SV, 4.26 ERA, 249 K (234.7 IPS)


    Facts about the Draft: Jeff voted this draft as a bad draft since he only choose to draft 9 players, or he voted that he liked his team more than the draft. Robin only drafted 11 and everyone else drafted 12. Jeff was also most satisfied with the draft a year later when he only cut one player he had drafted in this draft (he had trade at least on Pat Neshek). It was a solid draft for contributing in the first year, and 34 of the players drafted were still owned (5 years later) at the time of this analysis versus the previous year’s draft, which had 20 players still owned 5 years later. The top prospecting rounds were particularly good, yielding 18 keepers (almost what was kept from the whole draft a year before) versus 8 keepers from the previous year’s draft.

    Best Draft: This is the draft that put Eric on the slow path to dominance (he finished at the bottom of the pack the year after to snag Lincecum and almost nothing else for the future) that he is enjoying the last two years in the SOMBILLA. He drafted Justin Verlander, Jered Weaver, Adrian Gonzalez, Scott Proctor, Troy Tulowitzki, Scott Downs, Duaner Sanchez, A.J. Pierzynski, Ramon Ramirez, Alex Escobar, Adam Jones and Scott Olson. Someone still owns six of these players and the other five are carrying Eric to glory now.

    Worst Draft: This was a hard choice, but Jed gets the nod. He went from best draft to worst draft in consecutive years. The only long-term keeper he snagged was Youk, and he traded him (and Hunter) for Beltre and Pena (and a pick who might have become Cory Wade in the 4th). He drafted Jermaine Dye, Joel Zumaya, Bill Hall, Jeff Francis, Dave Ross, Carlos Villanueva, Wes Helms, Josh Willingham, Jamey Carroll, Boof Bonser, Kevin Youkilis and John Maine.


    THE 2008 DRAFT [8/12]

    In what has now become a summer tradition, Tom Kinney presents his third annual 4-year retrospective draft analysis. (edited by Arnie & Robin):

    It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2007 Cards (2008 draft). As I am writing this it is late July (bleeding into early August) and I have had a very busy summer. We have 4 SOMBILLA seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:

    As a result, some of these teams’ players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned than they deserve.

    Round 1:

    1  Harold - Fausto Carmona

    8-5,  0 SV, 3.81 ERA, 61 K (104 IPS)

    Still Owned

    2. Eric - Tim Lincecum

    22-15,  0 SV, 4.38 ERA, 397 K (359.3 IPS)

    Still Owned

    3. Arnie - Josh Hamilton

    .331 / .390 / .548 / .938 (546 PA), 30 HR, 85 RBI, 9 SB

    Traded and Still Owned

    4. Arnie - Magglio Ordonez

    .280 / .340 / .420 / .76 (615 PA), 18 HR, 89 RBI, 2 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    5. Jeff - Alex Gordon

    .417 / .462 / .538 / 1 (13 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    6. Tom - Carlos Pena

    .216 / .346 / .425 / .771 (581 PA), 40 HR, 96 RBI, 3 SB

    Traded and Still Owned

    7. Robin - Yovani Gallardo

    5-7, 0 SV, 4.773 ERA, 107 K (103.7 IPS)

    Still Owned

    8. RAT - Ryan Braun

    .288 / .316 / .586 / .902 (152 PA), 12 HR, 36 RBI, 1 SB

    Still Owned

    Best Pick: This was an exceptional first round. My prior version of this analysis went, "I am going to give the nod to Josh Hamilton by a hair as he has had several years of MVP play. In the SOMBILLA, an injury plagued year does not matter as long as the player gets 35 PA that are exceptional. One manager once opined that a player who is great for 350+ and then just does not have those ‘come back to earth’ months because he gets injured makes that player more valuable than the iron man who grinds out a full season for his MLB team. Tim Lincecum is a close second, but he lost out as he has looked particularly bad this (2012) season and some pundits think he might be looking at the end of his career. But he does have one more exceptional card for Eric to dominate the league with."

    However, Instead of giving the nod to a pick, I am going to give the nod to Future Wax as they drafted the unbalanced rookie card of Ryan Braun, who became a more balanced threat and NL MVP. They have the best chemistry in the SOMBILLA. They also traded for oft injured Josh Hamilton (for 2009 3rd round pick Nelson Cruz) and won big as he is having another MVP season (Ed note, he was at least until recently).

    Worst Pick: Alex Gordon was heading toward the worst pick, but he got out of the infield and out of his own head and put together a good season in 2011, which Jeff will get to use in the upcoming SOMBILLA season. The jury is still out as to what his final level of play will be. Fausto Carmona turned out to be older than MLB thought and really named Roberto Hernandez. He turned out to be a malcontent in the clubhouse and while we cannot fault Harold, Carmona/Hernandez has to be considered the worst pick of this exceptional first round.

    Other: .Carlos Pena was a retread power pick that the Manatees turned (with Beltre) into Youk and Torii Hunter when he was slumping part-way through the season. Both sides made out in the deal in the long run and somehow the .500 Manatees got hot in the playoffs with good matchups and walked away with the Series that year.

    Round 2:

    1. Jed - Joakim Soria

    12-6, 26 SV, 2.264 ERA, 105 K (99.3 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    2. Arnie - Heath Bell

    5-2,  0 SV, 3.046 ERA, 90 K (85.7 IPS)

    Still Owned

    3. Eric - Peter Moylan

    4-1, 1 SV, 4.39 ERA, 24 K (28.7 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    4. H -- Joba Chamberlain

    0-1, 17 SV, 3.426 ERA, 45 K (39.4 IPS)

    Still Owned

    5. Jeff - Brandon Phillips

    .200 / .251 / .280 / .531 (781 PA), 14 HR, 66 RBI, 31 SB

    Still Owned

    6. Tom - Hunter Pence

    .290 / .315 / .541 / .856 (111 PA), 4 HR, 15 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    7. Robin - Carlos Marmol

    6-5, 8 SV, 2.528 ERA, 120 K (99.7 IPS)

    Still Owned

    8. RAT - Justin Upton


    Still Owned

    Best Pick: The typical scramble for the best relief arms available. Soria has just had the best years and even though he was cut this year after Tommy John surgery, I still have to give him the nod. Heath Bell could have taken it but he just imploded this year for Miami and seems to have turned out to be a product of Petco.

    Worst Pick: Peter Moylan had one low IP year before Tommy John surgery ended his career with Eric’s team. He was a one-sided reliever who had potential but just could not put together a healthy year since. Justin Upton is a 1 who can hit for power and run, but has yet to put together a season worthy of a second round pick in the SOMBILLA. He is having a rough 2012, but one day he might put together a career as he is still very young. [Ed note: That’s what I keep hoping about his (older) brother too!]

    Other: Joba Chamberlain looked to be a great pick here, but injuries and the mysteries of the Yankees conspired to make him only a postscript. Pence finally had a good year and will be the best Manatee hitter in a year that looks pretty grim.

    Round 3:

    1. Harold – Orlando Cabrera

    .272 / .307 / .400 / .707 (205 PA), 5 HR, 21 RBI, 3 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    2. Eric - Hideki Okajima

    1-0, 0 SV, 3.512 ERA, 37 K (41 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    3. Arnie - Rafael Perez

    1-1, 2 SV, 2.942 ERA, 55 K (52 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    4. Jed - Manny Corpas

    1-1, 1 SV, 1.688 ERA, 19 K (32 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    5. Jeff - George Sherrill

    1-1,  0 SV, 3.853 ERA, 27 K (32.7 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    6. Tom - Yunel Escobar

    .279 / .343 / .365 / .708 (747 PA), 16 HR, 84 RBI, 5 SB

    Still Owned

    7. Arnie - Jacoby Ellsbury

    .291 / .317 / .317 / .634 (82 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 4 SB

    Still Owned

    8. RAT - Phil Hughes

    1-3,  0 SV, 4.673 ERA, 39 K (52 IPS)

    Traded Still Owned

    Best Pick: This was a tough call, but I will bow to the potential of Jacoby Ellsbury. He had a dominant real life season last year, hitting for power, running, and playing Gold Glove caliber defense. Arnie has not gotten the advantage of that card yet, but I have in my other league and it is. The only question I have with Jacoby is his ability to have at least 350 PA’s. A close second is Yunel Escobar who has supplied a solid performance as a 2 SS who has not missed many PA’s and will once again be the starting SS for the Manatees.

    Worst Pick: No one was terrible, but I guess I have to pick someone. I will go with Cabrera as a short-termer who probably could have been drafted later in the draft.

    Round 4:

    1. Jed - Daisuke Matsuzaka


    Kept for more than 1 year

    2. Arnie - Mark Reynolds

    .278 / .345 / .513 / .858 (409 PA), 22 HR, 68 RBI, 6 SB

    Still Owned

    3. Eric - Corey Hart


    Kept for more than 1 year

    4. Harold - Matt Capps

    3-3, 0 SV, 3.176 ERA, 30 K (51 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    5. Jeff - Damaso Marte

    0-3, 0 SV, 7.692 ERA, 13 K (11.7 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    6. Tom - Kelly Johnson

    .238 / .344 / .411 / .755 (151 PA), 7 HR, 23 RBI, 2 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    7. Robin - C.J. Wilson

    1-2, 0 SV, 5.294 ERA, 16 K (18.7 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    8. RAT - Jarrod Saltalamacchia


    Kept for more than 1 year

    Best Pick: This was a strange round as few of these players have not been cut and three of them were claimed by other teams as part of our new waiver draft. CJ Wilson was cut immediately and then drafted another year by Jed who then traded him back to his original owner, Robin, after he had a big real life year (and she realized how cute he was). Mark Reynolds has to be the best pick as the only player still owned and for whatever reason has better SOMBILLA stats than real life stats.

    Worst Pick: Dice-K edges out super catcher prospect Salty who never really got a chance to play for Wax even though he now has gotten a chance for the home town Red Sox. Dice-K never lived up to his hype and was just a disappointment. Corey Hart and his sunglasses was not a bad pick, he just could not crack the dominant lineup of the team whose name is ever in flux.

    Other: Kelly Johnson is one of those intriguing left handed power bats at 2B but never seemed to hit up to his cards or his potential before the Manatees booted him and Jed picked him up from the scrap heap.

    Round 5:

    1. Harold - Joe Beimel

    0-0, 0 SV, 1.084 ERA, 2 K (8.3 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    2. Eric - Geovany Soto

    .269 / .361 / .445 / .806 (391 PA), 22 HR, 52 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    3. Arnie - Dustin Pedroia

    .266 / .323 / .361 / .684 (844 PA), 15 HR, 92 RBI, 11 SB

    Still Owned

    4. Jed - Russ Springer

    4-2, 1 SV, 2.854 ERA, 31 K (41 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    5. Jeff - Cameron Maybin


    Still Owned

    6. Tom - Cody Ross

    .253 / .300 / .438 / .738 (80 PA), 3 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    7. Robin - Asdrubal Cabrera

    .240 / .269 / .269 / .538 (26 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    8. RAT - Aaron Hill


    Still Owned

    Best Pick: After a strange round, we end up with a stellar round. The best pick goes to the scrappy Red Sox 2nd bagger who has provided Gold Glove defense and both production and PA’s up the middle for North Dakota.

    Worst Pick: I am going to go with Joe Beimel who was a one out pitcher who just did not have enough IPs to allow him out of the last position in this round. Aaron Hill really did have PA’s and was a 1 at least one of the years for Wax. Maybin was and is still very young and just starting to have the kind of real-life success that might translate into a SOMBILLA season or two.

    Other: Geovanny Soto was essential and clutch for several Eric teams and probably could have grabbed best in the round honors if not for Pedroia’s solid performances. Asdrubal Cabrera has now put together 1 and a half good years that Robin will put to good use in the near future.

    Round 6:

    1. Jed - Jack Cust

    .158 / .335 / .280 / .615 (200 PA), 9 HR, 17 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    2. Arnie - Bobby Seay

    0-1, 1 SV, 5.035 ERA, 14 K (14.3 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    3. Eric - Manny Delcarmen

    1-2, 2 SV, 5.55 ERA, 31 K (32.7 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    4. Jed - Shane Victorino

    .240 / .316 / .299 / .615 (421 PA), 8 HR, 34 RBI, 24 SB

    Still Owned

    5. Jed - Rick Ankiel

    .283 / .315 / .604 / .919 (111 PA), 11 HR, 18 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    6. Tom -Homer Bailey

    1-0, 0 SV, 4.252 ERA, 14 K (12.7 IPS)

    Still Owned

    7. Robin - Edinson Volquez

    5-7,  0 SV, 7.448 ERA, 85 K (87 IPS)

    Still Owned

    8. RAT - Travis Buck


    Kept for more than 1 year

    Best Pick: Jed had three picks this round so he should have the best pick and did with Victorino, who is looking forward to his walk year this year where he will make good coin in real life. He is a switch-hitting CF who has earned the 1 rating. Rick Ankiel has put up better numbers, but he was not and will not be the better player when all is said and done.

    Worst Pick: I have to give the nod to Travis Buck because Randy never reported his stats.

    Other: Volquez looked to be the steal of the draft, but Tommy John and inconsistency leaves him as a question that is yet to be answered. For some reason the Manatees keep hoping that Homer Bailey will put it together but the numbers are against him lasting much longer on the roster.

    Round 7:

    1. Harold - Ted Lilly

    14-6, 0 SV, 4.585 ERA, 14 K (159 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    2. Eric - Chris Schroder

    0-0, 1 SV, 3.186 ERA, 10 K (11.3 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    3. Arnie - Daric Barton

    .290 / .345 / .509 / .854 (116 PA), 6 HR, 23 RBI,  0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    4. Jed - Kelly Shoppach

    .200 / .294 / .330 / .624 (466 PA), 15 HR, 38 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    5. Jeff - Gil Mesche


    Kept for more than 1 year

    6. Tom - James Loney

    .270 / .338 / .496 / .834 (139 PA), 9 HR, 23 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    7. Robin - Eric O'Flaherty

    2-4, 1 SV, 3.506 ERA, 24 K (33.3 IPS)

    Still Owned (cut and redrafted)

    8. RAT - Ryan Ludwick

    .349 / .388 / .659 / 10.47 (232 PA), 15 HR, 41 RBI, 1 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    Best Pick: Late round flyers and fillers, but I have to give the best pick to RAT for Ryan Ludwick, who put together one great season a year after this draft. Shoppach had the most seasons, but his overall level of play was outshown by the MVP-level season that Ludwick put up. Lilly gave two seasons as an aging veteran back-end starter, including an 8-1 season the year of this draft.

    Worst Pick: .You have to go with Meche who never threw a pitch in anger in the SOMBILLA. He showed potential but then just washed quickly out of professional baseball.

    Round 8:

    1. Jed - Tony Pena

    1-0, 2 SV, 1.093 ERA, 19 K (24.7 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    2. Arnie - Jeremy Accardo

    1-2, 0 SV, 3.863 ERA, 24 K (23.3 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    3. Eric - Raul Ibanez

    .220 / .278 / .306 / .584 (108 PA), 2 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    4. Harold - Franklin Gutierrez

    .171 / .247 / .195 / .442 (77 PA), 1 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    5. Jeff - Troy Percival

    0-2, 3 SV, 3.750 ERA, 12 K (12 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    6. Tom - Billy Butler

    .337 / .400 / .443 / .843 (210 PA), 4 HR, 25 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    7. Robin - Dustin McGowan

    2-4, 0 SV, 7.109 ERA, 57 K (63.3 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    8. RAT - Ubaldo Jimenez

    6-7, 0 SV, 5.936 ERA, 92 K (94 IPS)

    Still Owned

    Best Pick: .Two of these players were AL All Stars this year and neither can play defense. Billy Butler takes "best pick" honors this round as the only player still owned and will probably even play in the upcoming season for the Manatees. Raul Ibanez has never put up a good SOMBILLA season, being used primarily as a lefty bench bat who never seemed to hit enough for Eric to use consistently.

    Worst Pick: The only player to be cut immediately was D-Mac after a disappointing rookie SOMBILLA season. Toronto gave him a long-term contract this year and he then immediately got injured which was pretty much his usual status throughout his career – thus making him a typical Bay City pitcher.

    Other: Ubaldo had that one good card, but he has not been able to put together another season beyond that one even though he has escaped Coors Field.

    Round 9-13:

    1. Harold - Brian Wolfe


    Cut After One Year

    2. Eric - Jason Werth

    .244 / .337 / .345 / .682 (510 PA), 15 HR, 52 RBI, 7 SB

    Still Owned

    3. Arnie - J.R. Towles

    .250 / .400 / .533 / .933 (15 PA), 1 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    4. Jed - Kurt Suzuki

    .500 / .667 / .333 / 1 (3 PA), 0 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    5. Jeff -Omar Vizquel

    .500 / .700 / .600 / 1.3 (10 PA), 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    6. Tom - Kevin Correia

    0-0, 0 SV, 5.152 ERA, 20 K (29.7 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    7. Robin - Jair Jurrjens

    2-9, 0 SV, 5.490 ERA, 64 K (100 IPS)

    Still Owned

    8. RAT - Jeremy Guthrie

    10-1, 0 SV, 2.749 ERA, 43 K (75.3 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year




    1. Jed - Joey Votto

    .326 / .402 / .545 / .947 (418 PA), 26 HR, 75 RBI, 5 SB

    Still Owned

    2. Arnie - Ryan Spillborghs

    .287 / .385 / .346 / .731 (182 PA), 2 HR, 26 RBI, 1 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    3. Eric - Jack Hannahan


    Cut After One Year

    4. Harold - Felix Pie


    Kept for more than 1 year

    5. Jeff -Eric Byrnes

    .188 / .250 / .356 / .606 (104 PA), 3 HR, 10 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut After One Year

    6. Tom - Reggie Willits

    .280 / .427 / .262 / .689 (103 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 8 SB

    Cut After One Year

    7. Robin - Miguel Montero

    .195 / .244 / .329 / .573 (82 PA), 3 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    8. RAT - Shawn Hill


    Cut After One Year




    1. Harold - Josh Phelps

    .357 / .471 / .588 / 1.059 (34 PA), 2 HR, 13 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    2. Eric - Jeff Keppinger

    .185 / .254 / .239 / .493 (71 PA), 1 HR, 6 RBI,0  SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    3. Jed - Melky Cabrera

    .233 / .304 / .428 / .732 (411 PA), 22 HR, 63 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut After One Year?

    4. Jeff - Steve Pearce

    .158 / .200 / .150 / .350 (20 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    5. Tom - Ryan Church

    .252 / .344 / .352 / .696 (122 PA), 2 HR, 8 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    6. RAT - Akinori Iwamura

    .214 / .353 / .206 / .559 (34 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 1 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year




    1. Eric - Brian Bannister


    Cut After One Year

    2. Harold - John McDonald

    .250 / .250 / .250/ .5 (8 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    3. Tom - Norris Hopper

    .360 / .385 / .423 / .808 (26 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    4. RAT - Garrett Anderson


    Cut After One Year




    1. Harold - Lee Gardner

    2-3, 0 SV, 4.439 ERA, 13 K (22.3 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    Best Pick: .This was easy as the best hitter in MLB (and last year’s unanimous SOMBILLA MVP) was picked up in the tenth round by Jed in Joey Votto. I wish I could say that I was not looking to draft a 1B hitter type, but I drafted two in earlier rounds and just missed on the truly awesome Votto.

    Worst Pick: You really cannot make a bad pick in these rounds.

    Other: Jason Werth has a large number of mediocre SOMBILLA at bats, but he has a long term contract and has flashed solid real-life play so he shows potential for the future. Montero is a solid left-handed catcher who has a future in the SOMBILLA for Bay City. Melky Cabrera was on the next year’s cut list but played that year for Jed so there must have been a correction done later. Of course, Jed eventually did cut him in time for him to get redrafted by Eric, have a good season and then become a starting All Star for the NL this year (MVP of the All Star Game). Jurrjens looked like he was on the way to being a quality starter, but after a tough start to 2012 MLB is questioning his future.

    2007 Card Set Results:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    .310 / .366 / .473 / .839 (947 PA), 32 HR, 153 RBI, 5 SB

    Eric

    .226 / .294 / .310 / .604 (252 PA), 5 HR, 20 RBI, 1 SB

    Harold

    .282 / .331 / .418 / .749 (251 PA), 7 HR, 36 RBI, 3 SB

    Jeff

    .196 / .244 / .332 / .576 (352 PA), 12 HR, 38 RBI, 13 SB

    Jed

    .237 / .332 / .395 / .727 (689 PA), 33 HR, 86 RBI, 12 SB

    Robin

     

    TSK

    .264 / .351 / .423 / .774 (1160 PA), 45 HR, 142 RBI, 12 SB

    Wax

     

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    4-3, 2 SV, 3.673 ERA, 111 K (98 IPS)

    Eric

    6-7, 2 SV, 4.296 ERA, 105 K (125.7 IPS)

    Harold

    19-10, 17 SV, 3.94 ERA, 174 K (262.7 IPS)

    Jeff

    0-5, 3 SV, 4.058 ERA, 37 K (37.7 IPS)

    Jed

    8-6, 13 SV, 1.91 ERA, 87 K (113.1 IPS)

    Robin

    11-10, 5 SV, 4.794 ERA, 163 K (172.7 IPS)

    TSK

    0-0,  SV, 5.152 ERA, 20 K (29.7 IPS)

    Wax

     

    Wax just did not report this season after his World Series hangover, but it was strange that Robin had no offensive contributors in the first year. She was too busy drafting a pitching staff? Harold had the best pitching first year with the Manatees and North Dakota drafting offensive contributions.

    Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    .286 / .348 / .437 / .785 (2809 PA), 94 HR, 390 RBI, 33 SB

    Eric

    .246 / .334 / .370 / .704 (18 PA), 40 HR, 117 RBI, 7 SB

    Harold

    .256 / .309 / .367 / .676 (324 PA), 8 HR, 37 RBI, 3 SB

    Jeff

    .203 / .258 / .293 / .551 (928 PA), 18 HR, 82 RBI, 34 SB

    Jed

    .243 / .329 / .398 / .727 (2030 PA), 91 HR, 248 RBI, 31 SB

    Robin

    .206 / .250 / .315 / .565 (108 PA), 3 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

    TSK

    .265 / .350 / .405 / .755 (2270 PA), 85 HR, 289 RBI, 18 SB

    Wax

    .316 / .359 / .596 / .955 (418 PA), 27 HR, 82 RBI, 3 SB

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    7-6, 3 SV, 3.286 ERA, 183 K (175.3 IPS)

    Eric

    28-18, 4 SV, 4.30 ERA, 499 K (473 IPS)

    Harold

    27-18, 17 SV, 3.984 ERA, 255 K (384 IPS)

    Jeff

    1-6, 3 SV, 4.628 ERA, 52 K (56.4 IPS)

    Jed

    18-9, 30 SV, 2.146 ERA, 174 K (197 IPS)

    Robin

    23-38, 9 SV, 5.16 ERA, 473 K (505.67 IPS)

    TSK

    1-0, 0 SV, 4.882 ERA, 34 K (42.4 IPS)

    Wax

    17-11, 0 SV, 4.555 ERA, 174 K (221.3 IPS)

    Facts about the Draft: Robin seemed to decide that this draft was a bad draft since she choose to draft only 9 players, (or else she decided that she liked her team more than the draft). Jeff drafted only 1 and everyone else drafted 12. It was a solid draft for contributing in the first year and 32 of the players drafted were still owned (5 years later) at the time of this analysis. A surprisingly small number of the players drafted were cut in the first year at 18 versus 25 and 28 respectively after the two previous drafts; 16 players from the first 3 rounds are still owned, and strangely 5 of the 5th round picks are still around.

    Best Draft:  This was a draft that had good players drafted by everyone. However, Arnie traded up and worked hard and put together the best draft. He drafted for that year and the future at once. North Dakota picked up big contributors Magglio Ordonez, Josh Hamilton, Heath Bell, Rafael Perez, Jacoby Ellsbury, Mark Reynolds, and Dustin Pedroia. His draft dropped off late with Bobby Seay, Barton, Accardo, Towles and Spillborghs.

    Worst Draft: Harold had a tough draft. He picked up so-called Fausto Carmona #1 and just could not recover. His draft for the long term relied on Carmona and Joba to be his standard bearers as the rest of the draft was all about the short term. His complete draft was Fausto Carmona, Joba Chamberlain, Orlando Cabrera, Matt Capps, Joe Beimel, Ted Lilly, Franklin Gutierrez, Brian Wolfe, Felix Pie, Josh Phelps, John McDonald, and Lee Gardner.


    THE 2009 DRAFT [8/12]

     In what has now become a summer tradition, Tom Kinney presents his fourth annual 4-year retrospective draft analysis (edited by Arnie & Robin):

     
    It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2009 (Cards 2008) draft.  As I am writing this it is late July and as usual a very busy summer.  We have 4 SOMBILLA Seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:

    As a result, some of these teams’ players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned than they deserve.  (Arnie note: maligning those who don’t do their stats does have a long tradition in the SOMBILLA.)

    Round 1:

    1  Jeff - Evan Longoria

    .246 / .323 / .401 / .724 (811 PA), 33 HR, 112 RBI, 12 SB

    Still Owned

    2  RAT - Jay Bruce

    .228 / .296 / .302 / .598 (159 PA), 3 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    3. Eric - Ryan Dempster

    8-11, 0 SV, 5.90 ERA, 129 K (157 IP)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    4. Robin - Travis Snider

    .429 / .467 / .533 / 1 (15 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    5. Arnie - Cliff Lee

    8-6, 0 SV, 3.92 ERA, 102 K (144.2 IP)

    Still Owned

    6. Jed - Ricky Nolasco

    7-6, 0 SV, 5.65 ERA, 148 K (135.1 IP)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    7. Harold - Hiroki Kuroda

    10-17, 0 SV, 6.24 ERA, 146 K (219.1 IP)

    Still Owned

    8. Tom - Nate McLouth

    .256 / .341 / .379 / .72 (132 PA), 4 HR, 26 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

     

    Best Pick:  Both Evan Longoria and Hiroki Kuroda did play in the SOMBILLA all four years, but Evan Longoria has to be the choice.  He is a perennial 1 at third and the #2 Lamanna choice at his position for the near future, and the 4th best in the current set.  It is surprising that his slash lines were not better given his performance in MLB, but I think anyone would take him #1 overall if there was a re-draft now.

    Worst Pick:  This is a battle between McLouth and Snider.  Snider has almost no PA in the SOMBILLA, but he is still owned by Robin and struggling to fit into a real MLB lineup now with the Pirates.  McLouth is on his 3rd MLB team but seems to have made himself useful for the surprising Orioles.  Snider just edges him out as the worst pick.

    Round 2:

    1. Jeff - Taylor Teagarden

    .257 / .350 / .625 / .975 (40 PA), 4 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    2. Robin - Chris Davis

    .256 / .267 / .481 / .748 (131 PA), 6 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    3. Eric - Jose Arredondo

    2-1, 3 SV, 2.45 ERA, 19 K (22 IP)

    Cut After One Year

    4. RAT - Max Scherzer

    2-0, 0 SV, 1.56 ERA, 22 K (17.1 IP)

    Still Owned

    5. Arnie - Grant Balfour

    1-4, 9 SV, 2.87 ERA, 42 K (37.2 IP)

     Traded

    6. Jed - Shin-Soo Choo

    .255 / .362 / .350 / .712 (500 PA), 14 HR, 52 RBI, 11 SB

    Still Owned

    7. Jeff - Joey Devine

    3-1, 3 SV, 3.37 ERA, 14 K (18.2 IP)

    Cut After One Year

    8. Tom - Matt Thornton

    4-7, 6 SV, 5.74 ERA, 68 K (64.1 IP)

    Kept for more than 1 year

     

    Best Pick:  Upon first glance, Chris Davis wins this honor based almost entirely on a monster (historic) first half to the current MLB season.  He has had one of best power strokes amongst young players, but his approach has led to a low contact rate.  I have heard multiple stories crediting the Baltimore hitting coach, change of scenery and a player turning 27 and “getting it”.  However, since the All Star Break (when I started this) he has struck out 20 times (more than any other player). (Robin note: I blame Cano for picking him in the HR Derby). But he could go 0 for second half and still have a good year. Shin-Soo Choo earns a tie as both a consistent performer and for his 2013 MLB season.  Choo has put together a dominant performance against right handed pitching (.341/.470/.600) and has stayed in CF for a contending team.

    Worst Pick:  This round is traditionally one for teams with aspirations to draft the best available relievers.  Two of these were cut immediately, and so I decided to select Jeff’s entire round as the worst since he had one of those ‘one year only’ relievers, but he also took a catcher that had one limited card but never lived up to being his catcher of the future.  Take your pick on which of these two players is the worst pick in this round.

    Other:  Max Scherzer has not been bad, but has never put together a great year until this year.  He always seemed to have the stuff, but he could not put together that year.  Right now, he looks to be top 10 and if this is a sign of things to come he could end up as the best pick of this round if Chris Davis proves to be a one-year wonder. (Robin note: He hit 33 HR and batted .290 in 2012. So he may make my team this year – not a one year wonder). 

    Round 3:

    1. Jeff - Brad Ziegler

    1-2, 1 SV, 4.56 ERA, 8 K (17.7 IP)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    2. RAT - Chris Volstad

    -,  SV,  ERA,  K ( IP)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    3. RAT - Nelson Cruz

    .294 / .355 / .530 / .885 (515 PA), 33 HR, 101 RBI, 22 SB

    Traded for Hamilton

    4. Robin - Pablo Sandoval

    .289 / .332 / .521 / .853 (413 PA), 22 HR, 62 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    5. Arnie - Chad Qualls

    1-2, 0 SV, 7.55 ERA, 32 K (31 IP)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    6. Tom - Xavier Nady

    .308 / .360 / .471 / .831 (172 PA), 7 HR, 36 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut After One Year

    7. Harold - Jesse Litsch

    2-4, 0 SV, 6.37 ERA, 18 K (53.7 IP)

    Cut After One Year

    8. Jeff - Jon Lester

    12-15, 0 SV, 4.34 ERA, 215 K (280 IP)

    Still Owned

     

    Best Pick:  Nelson Cruz has been a solid contributor mostly for Arnie, who traded first round pick Josh Hamilton for Cruz a year into his service.  Josh Hamilton had been the best pick of the first round in last year’s draft analysis.  I have to tip my cap to Wax for choosing the best contributor in the round and then converted him for a quality former first round pick a year after drafting him.  He is now part of the biogenesis scandal and Hamilton’s future is a ???... (but that is for a future analyses if I ever do a 10-year lookback.)

    Worst Pick:  Chris Volstad was taken as a starter of the future for Wax and he never developed and was cut unused and unwanted.  This gives Future Wax the best and worst pick in the same round, which is a strange sort of accomplishment.  Imagine if they had had only one pick and had taken Volstad…

    Other:  Jon Lester has become a staff anchor for the Red Sox and despite being left handed will continue to be a contributor to whatever Jeff is calling his team.  Kung Fu Panda deserves a mention for both a great nickname, two MLB World Series rings and a round of applause for an athlete that looks like me (round) that can really pick the ball and also is a real contributor with the stick.

    Round 4:

    1. Jeff - Mike Mussina

    5-6, 0 SV, 5.22 ERA, 47 K (86.3 IP)

    Cut After One Year

    2. Robin - Craig Breslow

    0-1, 1 SV, 7.91 ERA, 19 K (3.7 IP)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    3. Eric - Jim Johnson

    2-0, 6 SV, .6.67 ERA, 14 K (27 IP)

    Cut After One Year

    4. RAT - J.P. Howell

    0-1, 1 SV, 8.61 ERA, 33 K (3.3 IP)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    5. Arnie - John Danks

    2-5, 0 SV, 5.57 ERA, 67 K (74.3 IP)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    6. Jed - Cory Wade

    3-0, 3 SV, 3.11 ERA, 17 K (26 IP)

    Cut After One Year

    7. Harold – Scott Baker

    3-6, 0 SV, 4.44 ERA, 31 K (54.7 IP)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    8. Tom - Taylor Buchholz

    2-2, 2 SV, 2.49 ERA, 26 K (25.3 IP)

    Cut After One Year

     

    Best Pick:  This round featured 6 relievers and two starters, all of who were cut. Jim Johnson not only performed for Eric but has become a very dependable real-world closer for a surprisingly competitive Orioles.  He is now back in the SOMBILLA (redrafted by Arnie last year) and is the only one of the round to still have value if we were drafting today.

    Worst Pick:  It is hard to choose a worst pick in a round like this one, but I give it a tie to the two lefty specialists who just got hammered in the SOMBILLA – Craig Breslow and JP Howell.

    Other:  Jeff redrafted Mike Mussina as he put together an inning-eating year, one year after being cut by Jeff.  He knew it was one year (Arnie: we think) but Jeff needed the innings which is a common lament…

    Round 5:

    1. Jeff - Jesse Carlson

    2-1, 3 SV, 3.23 ERA, 16 K (16.7 IP)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    2. RAT - Armando Galarraga

    0-1, 1 SV, 5.11 ERA, 22 K (37 IP)

    Cut After One Year

    3. Eric - Aubrey Huff

    .223 / .241 / .421 / .662 (133 PA), 6 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    4. Robin - Mike Fontenot

    .297 / .383 / .391 / .774 (115 PA), 2 HR, 12 RBI, 2 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    5. Arnie - Ryan Doumit

    .187 / .218 / .282 / .5 (78 PA), 0 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    6. Jed - Geoff Geary

    0-2, 2 SV, 2.57 ERA, 11 K (21 IP)

    Cut After One Year

    7. Harold - Elijah Dukes

    .319 / .466 / .420 / .886 (88 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 4 SB

    Cut After One Year

    8. Tom - Mike Aviles

    .369 / .414 / .571 / .985 (70 PA), 1 HR, 9 RBI, 3 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

     

    Best Pick:  Mike Aviles gets the nod as the lefty killer that put up the best splits, edging out the other part timers picked up in this round.

    Worst Pick:  Elijah Dukes’s temperament won him this dishonor.  Enough said about Mr. Dukes.

    Round 6:

    1. Jeff - Clay Buchholz

    6-4, 0 SV, 4.632 ERA, 52 K (68 IP)

    Still Owned

    2. Robin - Kevin Gregg

    0-0, 1 SV, 3.934 ERA, 10 K (18.3 IP)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    3. Eric - Alexei Ramirez

    .287 / .304 / .404 / .708 (171 PA), 5 HR, 20 RBI, 3 SB

     Traded

    4. RAT - Frank Francisco

    0-0, 1 SV, 1.895 ERA, 19 K (19 IP)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    5. Arnie - Johnny Cueto

    6-2, 0 SV, 2.301 ERA, 36 K (58.6666666666667 IP)

    Still Owned

    6. Jed - Ryan Theriot

    .283 / .358 / .296 / .654 (162 PA), 0 HR, 12 RBI, 5 SB

    Cut After One Year

    7. Harold - Gavin Floyd

    14-12, 0 SV, 4.226 ERA, 147 K (208.7 IP)

    Still Owned

    8. Tom - Denard Span

    .326 / .430 / .412 / .842 (279 PA), 5 HR, 28 RBI, 7 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

     

    Best Pick:  If I had analyzed this round before this season, Cueto would be my choice hands down.  But Clay Buchholz has once again shown that he can be a front-line starter.  Now the real question is when will either of these two flashy starters put together several years of health and effectiveness.  Best bets of the round though.

    Worst Pick:  Ryan Theriot is the one-year wonder that really never had any power.  He had one serviceable season and even then the Cardinals were quick to kick him to the curb, and he never caught on or hit again for any period of time.

    Other:  Span was my leadoff guy that was going to play center with Andruw Jones retiring, (although Jones did play well for other SOMBILLA teams after this) .  He (Span) was serviceable but eventually he was pushed off the worst team in the league.  He also proved a disappointment in Washington this year and may never live up to the hopes and expectations of his 2008 call up.

    Round 7:

    1. Jeff - Darren Oliver

    1-6, 5 SV, 3.29 ERA, 48 K (65.6666666666666 IP)

    Still Owned

    2. RAT - Clayton Kershaw

    12-7, 0 SV, 3.23 ERA, 181 K (189.333333333333 IP)

    Still Owned

    3. Eric - Chris Dickerson

    .293 / .370 / .522 / .892 (46 PA), 2 HR, 12 RBI, 4 SB

    Cut After One Year

    4. Robin - Max Ramirez

    .250 / .250 / .375 / .625 (8 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    5. Arnie - Daniel Murphy

    .241 / .359 / .297 / .656 (64 PA), 0 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    6. Tom - Jeff Samardzjia

    -,  SV,  ERA,  K ( IP)

    Cut After One Year

    7. Harold - Steven Shell

    0-0, 0 SV, 5.41 ERA, 3 K (13.3 IP)

    Cut After One Year

    8. Tom - John Baker

    .405 / .500 / .568 / 1.068 (44 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

     

    Best Pick:  Clayton Kershaw just blows everyone away.  He is arguably top 5 and maybe the pitcher any MLB GM would start a staff with if they could have anyone now.  He is a player that not only lived up to expectations, but increased his control and presence in the majors.  Of course, if he was right handed, he would be even more valuable.

    Worst Pick:  Jeff Samardzjia was cut when he was sent to the bullpen in MLB and did not look good there.  Once Epstein took over, his career turned around and before I could get him back Harold drafted him in the last draft. Under Harold’s golden touch with pitchers, it would not surprise me if he was not a perennial top 30 pitcher and usable in a SOMBILLA rotation.

    Round 8:

    1. Harold - Jerry Blevins

    0-0, 0 SV, 2.90 ERA, 3 K (9.3 IP)

    Cut After One Year

    2. Robin – Marlon Byrd

    .237 / .283 / .324 / .607 (346 PA), 2 HR, 26 RBI, 7 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    3. Eric - Justin Masterson

    1-3, 0 SV, 2.74 ERA, 29 K (42.6666666666667 IP)

    Still Owned

    4. RAT - Ronnie Belliard

    .267 / .353 / .412 / .765 (51 PA), 2 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    5. Arnie - Jerry Hairston

    .257 / .325 / .333 / .658 (120 PA), 0 HR, 10 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut After One Year

    6. Jed - Kevin Slowey

    -,  SV,  ERA,  K ( IP)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    7. Harold - Dan Wheeler

    0-1, 0 SV, 6.34 ERA, 11 K (21.3 IP)

    Cut After One Year

    8. Tom – Brandon Morrow

    -,  SV,  ERA,  K ( IP)

    Cut After One Year

     

    Best Pick:  Justin Masterson by the virtue of being kept.  He developed a better slider to left handed pitchers this year and has always been dominant against right handed hitters.  Some thought he had already had his career year in the SOMBILLA (2011 cards) and he got used as a part time starter.  Now it looks like he will be a true #1 if he can keep up his current performance through the end of the 2013.

    Worst Pick:  Brandon Morrow had the tools and the K ability, but his owner could not wait and cut him in the waiver fiasco event that happens after the draft and then could not get him back.  He has been inconsistent in real life and may never pitch for a contender in the SOMBILLA.  Back-to-back bad starter picks to CN.

    Round 9-14:

    1. Jeff - Carlos Gonzalez

    .252 / .286 / .380 / .666 (503 PA), 14 HR, 69 RBI, 18 SB

    Still Owned

    2. RAT - Will Ohman

    1-0, 0 SV, 2.40 ERA, 8 K (15 IP)

    Cut After One Year

    3. Eric - Kosuke Fukudome

     /  /  / 0 ( PA),  HR,  RBI,  SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    4. Robin - Jed Lowrie

     /  /  / 0 ( PA),  HR,  RBI,  SB

    Cut After One Year

    5. Arnie - Mike Adams

    6-4, 21 SV, 2.55 ERA, 106 K (95.3666666666667 IP)

    Still Owned

    6. Jed - Nick Blackburn

    -,  SV,  ERA,  K ( IP)

    Cut After One Year

    7. Harold - David Ross

    .191 / .292 / .348 / .64 (161 PA), 6 HR, 18 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    8. Tom - Brian Bruney

    0-0, 2 SV, 3.21 ERA, 18 K (14 IP)

    Cut After One Year

    1. Robin - Joe Crede

    .176 / .279 / .309 / .588 (136 PA), 3 HR, 8 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    2. Eric - Brian Giles

    .312 / .385 / .429 / .814 (226 PA), 6 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    3. RAT - Martin Prado

    .261 / .293 / .353 / .646 (249 PA), 4 HR, 24 RBI, 1 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    4. Arnie - Gabe Kapler

    .265 / .317 / .341 / .658 (126 PA), 1 HR, 10 RBI, 2 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    5. Jed - Chris Sampson

    4-1, 1 SV, 2.82 ERA, 17 K (38.3 IP)

    Cut After One Year

    6. Harold - Jason Kendall

    .220 / .264 / .321 / .585 (53 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    7. Tom - Arthur Rhodes

    2-0, 1 SV, 4.62 ERA, 20 K (15.6 IP)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    1. RAT - Ryan Shealy

    .316 / .316 / .579 / .895 (19 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    2. Eric - Andy Sonnanstine

    -,  SV,  ERA,  K ( IP)

    Cut After One Year

    3. Arnie - Chase Headley

    .276 / .346 / .376 / .722 (205 PA), 5 HR, 24 RBI, 6 SB

     Traded

    4. Jed - Emmanuel Burriss

     /  /  / 0 ( PA),  HR,  RBI,  SB

    Cut After One Year

    5. Harold - Jason Bartlett

    .286 / .329 / .384 / .713 (438 PA), 7 HR, 46 RBI, 16 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    6. Tom - Ramon Santiago

    .313 / .459 / .262 / .721 (61 PA), 0 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    1. Arnie - Sergio Romo

    9-1, 8 SV, 4.27 ERA, 59 K (59 IP)

    Still Owned

    2. Jed - Brett Gardner

    .241 / .336 / .313 / .649 (214 PA), 3 HR, 12 RBI, 18 SB

    Still Owned

    3. Harold - Ian Stewart

     /  /  / 0 ( PA),  HR,  RBI,  SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    1. Jed - Mark DeRosa

    .285 / .358 / .438 / .796 (137 PA), 5 HR, 15 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    1.  Jed - Carlos Gomez

     /  /  / 0 ( PA),  HR,  RBI,  SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

     

    Best Pick:  CarGo has been the best of what is one of the best late rounds I have ever seen.  Mike Adams, while never a closer in MLB, has been one of the dominant relievers in various sets over the years. Chase Headley was picked up and traded to Robin for Carlos Beltran, who was a piece towards last year’s championship.  Chase Headley is also staking a claim to being a top 5 3B for the foreseeable future.  Sergio Romo is again a quality late round reliever picked up by Arnie.  So it looks like the late rounds of this draft were mostly a North Dakota show of dominance into the deep dive of future prospects.

    Worst Pick:  Can you really be a bad pick this late.  The players who never played?  Or the ones that get cut right away without playing?  

    Other:  Jed picked Carlos Gomez to end this draft and then never played him.  At our last draft, Jed redrafted him in the 10th round.  Will he play for him this time?  He is better, he has a positive WAR (Wins Above Replacement) because of his defense, power and speed. 

    2008 Card Set Results:

    Team

    Stats

    ARNIE

    .233 / .294 / .314 / .608 (344 PA), 1 HR, 33 RBI, 4 SB

    ERIC

    .279 / .336 / .437 / .773 (405 PA), 14 HR, 40 RBI, 4 SB

    Harold

    .282 / .355 / .352 / .707 (344 PA), 3 HR, 23 RBI, 12 SB

    JEFF

    .300 / .370 / .517 / .887 (211 PA), 11 HR, 43 RBI, 3 SB

    Jed

    .297 / .374 / .369 / .743 (390 PA), 7 HR, 40 RBI, 6 SB

    Robin

    .263 / .319 / .391 / .71 (653 PA), 13 HR, 57 RBI, 6 SB

    TSK

    .321 / .403 / .445 / .848 (596 PA), 15 HR, 92 RBI, 7 SB

    WAX

    .333 / .385 / .484 / .869 (192 PA), 4 HR, 33 RBI, 2 SB

     

    Team

    Stats

    ARNIE

    14-19, 10 SV, 5.05 ERA, 236 K (267.6 IP)

    ERIC

    12-7, 9 SV, 3.12 ERA, 107 K (141.3 IP)

    Harold

    14-20, 0 SV, 4.80 ERA, 123 K (279.3 IP)

    JEFF

    18-17, 7 SV, 4.07 ERA, 156 K (26.7 IP)

    Jed

    11-6, 6 SV, 3.93 ERA, 117 K (16.3 IP)

    Robin

    0-0, 2 SV, 3.76 ERA, 17 K (26.3 IP)

    TSK

    5-3, 6 SV, 3.43 ERA, 73 K (7.9 IP)

    WAX

    3-2, 3 SV, 4.63 ERA, 104 K (118.6 IP)

     

    Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:

    Team

    Stats

    ARNIE

    .254 / .320 / .339 / .659 (593 PA), 6 HR, 60 RBI, 10 SB

    ERIC

    .281 / .326 / .427 / .753 (576 PA), 19 HR, 60 RBI, 7 SB

    Harold

    .265 / .332 / .376 / .708 (740 PA), 15 HR, 74 RBI, 20 SB

    JEFF

    .249 / .310 / .400 / .71 (1354 PA), 51 HR, 191 RBI, 30 SB

    Jed

    .260 / .355 / .346 / .701 (1013 PA), 22 HR, 91 RBI, 34 SB

    Robin

    .259 / .310 / .419 / .729 (1164 PA), 35 HR, 121 RBI, 9 SB

    TSK

    .317 / .404 / .431 / .835 (758 PA), 18 HR, 106 RBI, 11 SB

    WAX

    .274 / .329 / .444 / .773 (993 PA), 43 HR, 143 RBI, 23 SB

     

    Team

    Stats

    ARNIE

    33-24, 38 SV, 3.90 ERA, 444 K (50.6 IP)

    ERIC

    13-15, 9 SV, 4.49 ERA, 191 K (248.6 IP)

    Harold

    29-40, 0 SV, 5.29 ERA, 359 K (58.3 IP)

    JEFF

    30-35, 12 SV, 4.33 ERA, 400 K (553 IP)

    Jed

    14-9, 6 SV, 4.57 ERA, 193 K (22.6 IP)

    Robin

    0-1, 2 SV, 6.43 ERA, 29 K (49 IP)

    TSK

    8-9, 11 SV, 4.60 ERA, 132 K (119 IP)

    WAX

    15-9, 3 SV, 3.77 ERA, 285 K (308 IP)

     

    Facts about the Draft:  This was the last year before the new waiver wire process.  Three teams decided to pick only 10 players – Eric, Robin and Jeff.  21 of the 90 players drafted have been continuously owned since the draft.  Eric apparently disliked this draft because he drafted only 10 and still owns only 1 of them (plus Balfour who he traded for).  Jeff drafted only 10, but he has kept more than anyone else at 5 (Arnie sort of kept 7 in that he now has Cruz and he traded away Headley and Balfour, who are both still owned in the league).  34 players were cut after the first year.  Next year, I will do a summer study on these kind of numbers over the drafts that I analyzed and get some indication of what is an average year and what is an outlier…

    Best Draft:  This was closer than one would think in that a number of good players were spread out amongst various teams – Wax (Kershaw, Cruz, Scherzer, Bruce), Robin (Davis, Sandoval, Headley sort of), and Arnie (Lee, Balfour, Cueto, Adams, Headley, Romo) But I had to hand the Best Draft crown to Jeff, who picked first overall and picked Longoria, Teagarden, Devine, Ziegler, Lester, Mussina, Carlson, Buchholz, Oliver and CarGo…  Jeff had a well balanced draft picking up 2 exceptional hitters, 2 solid front line starting pitchers and a mess of useful relievers.

    Worst Draft:  CN Manatees do not still own any of the players drafted.  He squandered his draft on short term gains picking up:  McLouth, Thornton, Nady, T. Buchholz, Aviles, Span, Samardzjia, Baker, Morrow, Bruney, Rhodes and Santiago.

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    2010 DRAFT ANALYSIS

     

    It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2010 (2009 cards) draft.  As I am writing this it is early August and as usual a very busy summer, probably the busiest in my memory.  Anyway, we have played 4 SOMBILLA seasons with the players from this draft; however, note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:

     

    As a result, some of these teams’players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned than they deserve.

    Round 1:

    1. Arnie -- Matt Wieters (C)

    0.319 / 0.349 / 0.486 / 0.835 (249 PA), 10 HR, 40 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    2. Robin -- Tommy Hanson (SP)

    6-9, 0 SV, 4.63 ERA, 115 K (128.3 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    3. Harold -- Ben Zobrist (2B)

    0.255 / 0.338 / 0.405 / 0.743 (619 PA), 24 HR, 71 RBI, 13 SB

    Still Owned

    4. Tom -- Joel Pineiro (SP)

    5-5, 0 SV, 5.81 ERA, 43 K (102.3 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    5. Jeff -- Elvis Andrus (SS)

    0.238 / 0.301 / 0.295 / 0.596 (770 PA), 8 HR, 64 RBI, 38 SB

    Still Owned

    6. Jed -- Andrew Bailey (RP)

    4-5, 13 SV, 3.78 ERA, 57 K (52.3 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    7. Randy -- Andrew McCutchen (CF)

    0.217 / 0.284 / 0.348 / 0.632 (500 PA), 16 HR, 53 RBI, 11 SB

    Still Owned

    8. Eric -- Mike Wuertz (RP)

    4-4, 8 SV, 2.18 ERA, 44 K (33 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    Best Pick:  Before reviewing the accumulated SOMBILLA stats, I thought McCutchen would be the runaway no doubt best pick.  But Zobrist edges him out in stats so far, and has positional flexibility as well.  But McCutchen is a CF-1 and a likely NL MVP candidate in real life for years to come.  He is also younger.  So Andrew McCutchen takes this round.

    Worst Pick:  I have said on more than one occasion that it is almost always a mistake to take a pitcher that is pitching over his head just because that is your biggest need.  Well, I did just that, thinking that I had just missed the playoffs and could come back. Bad pick by me; Pineiro (former Bay City and current 50-game PED suspension) saves Tommy Hanson from taking the dishonors.

    Round 2:

    9. Robin -- Alcides Escobar (SS)

    0.206 / 0.216 / 0.284 / 0.5 (162 PA), 1 HR, 11 RBI, 3 SB

    Still Owned

    10. Arnie -- David Aardsma (RP)

    3-4, 4 SV, 6.40 ERA, 48 K (44.97 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    11. Harold -- Jason Frasor (RP)

    2-1, 1 SV, 3.68 ERA, 22 K (22 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    12. Tom -- Kendry Morales (1B)

    0.321 / 0.366 / 0.656 / 1.022 (224 PA), 21 HR, 52 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    13. Jeff -- Neftali Feliz (RP)

    5-3, 9 SV, 2.54 ERA, 38 K (49.66 IPS)

    Still Owned

    14. Jed -- Marco Scutaro (SS)

    0.241 / 0.336 / 0.265 / 0.601 (223 PA), 1 HR, 13 RBI, 4 SB

    Cut After One Year

    15. Randy -- Garrett Jones (OF)

     No stats reported for his one season…

    Cut After One Year

    16. Eric -- Nyjer Morgan (CF)

    0.318 / 0.362 / 0.387 / 0.749 (282 PA), 2 HR, 22 RBI, 18 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

     

    Best Pick:  If Neftali Perez had been more healthy or consistent as he went from starter to closer, then he would have had a chance.  However, the Cuban defector K. Morales takes the round with an OPS over 1.  The broken leg celebration may be all we remember five years from now, but he looked to be a switch hitting 1B with power that was supposed to replace Howard.

    Worst Pick:  This round is traditionally one for teams with aspirations to draft the best available relievers.  I am going to go with the one year wonder Garrett Jones who had no reported stats as his team tanked his one SOMBILLA season.  Was it because they squandered a 2nd round pick on Jones?  Maybe they were just enjoying the McCutcheon pick too much.

    Other:  Defensive whiz Escobar may yet prove to be the most valuable if Morales is cut after a disappointing 2014 campaign.

    Round 3:

    17. Arnie -- Mike Gonzalez (RP)

    4-0, 1 SV, 3.37 ERA, 32 K (32 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    18. Robin -- Kiko Calero (RP)

    3-1, 2 SV, 3.15 ERA, 22 K (20 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    19. Harold -- J.A. Happ (S/R)

    4-4, 0 SV, 4.29 ERA, 39 K (65 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    20. Tom -- Luke Gregerson (RP)

    3-5, 7 SV, 2.79 ERA, 54 K (51.63 IPS)

    Still Owned

    21. Jeff -- Ronald Belisario (RP)

    3-1, 1 SV, 3.46 ERA, 19 K (26 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    22. Jed -- Scott Feldman (SP)

    1-1, 0 SV, 4.43 ERA, 33 K (46.7 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    23. Randy -- Kyle Blanks (LF)

    0.154 / 0.353 / 0.353 / 0.706 (17 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    24. Eric -- Ryan Franklin (RP)

    3-2, 1 SV, 2.85 ERA, 16 K (25.3 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

     

    Best Pick:  Back to back good picks for CN as they picked up Luke Gregerson on the heels of Morales.  This round was all about bullpen and/or spot starters, and Gregerson was just better than the others over the last five years and is the only player still owned.  He will be in the middle of the CN bullpen despite never taking over the closer role for a major league club. 

    Worst Pick:  Wax also goes back to back, picking their third outfielder of the draft.  This one only got 17 PA after the lost season and he is history.  Headline puns abound as Future Wax comes up shooting Blanks.

    Round 4:

    25. Robin -- Darren O'Day (RP)

    4-1, 3 SV, 3.41 ERA, 30 K (37 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    26. Harold -- Alfredo Acevedes (RP)

    0-1, 1 SV, 3.41 ERA, 28 K (34.3 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    27. Arnie -- Dexter Fowler (OF)

    0.321 / 0.413 / 0.426 / 0.839 (317 PA), 7 HR, 28 RBI, 9 SB

    Still Owned

    28. Tom -- Colby Rasmus (OF)

    0.220 / 0.233 / 0.317 / 0.55 (60 PA), 1 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    29. Jeff -- Rick Porcello (SP)

    Potential that may just be coming to fruition now…

    Still Owned

    30. Jed -- Rajai Davis (OF)

    0.278 / 0.330 / 0.335 / 0.665 (209 PA), 1 HR, 24 RBI, 14 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    31. Randy -- Erick Aybar (SS)

    0.333 / 0.378 / 0.444 / 0.822 (45 PA), 0 HR, 8 RBI, 2 SB

    Still Owned

    32. Eric -- Bob Howry (RP)

    2-0, 0 SV, 3.42 ERA, 12 K (23.7 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

     

    Best Pick:  Dexter Fowler has played in our league better than you thought he would looking at his raw cards. I believe that his slash stats benefited from his manager wisely using him in good situations and platoons  (real life .270/.360/.788).  He put up good numbers and good defense in the SOMBILLA.  I was ready to pick him in this round, but Arnie scooped him up and I had to go with my second choice of Rasmus.  He was in the heart of things as Arnie became a juggernaut over the last couple of seasons.

    Worst Pick:  Rick Porcello just edges out Colby Rasmus as the worst pick.  He just has not been good enough to crack a SOMBILLA pitching staff.  He shows some signs of becoming a solid 3 or 4 in Detroit but that still might not get him more than low-level status in the SOMBILLA.  Rasmus will start this year for CN and has been a total head case in real life.  Five years from now Rasmus maybe the worst of the two, but that is for another analysis.

    Round 5:

    33. Arnie -- Mat Latos (SP)

    4-4, 0 SV, 4.26 ERA, 61 K (67.67 IPS)

    Still Owned

    34. Robin -- Randy Wells (SP)

    1-6, 0 SV, 7.02 ERA, 25 K (48.7 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    35. Jed -- Sean White (RP)

    5-2, 2 SV, 3.81 ERA, 9 K (26 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    36. Tom -- Casey McGehee (3B)

    0.233 / 0.308 / 0.368 / 0.676 (133 PA), 5 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    37. Jeff -- Gordon Beckham (3B)

    0.000 / 0.500 / 0.000 / 0.5 (2 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    38. Jed -- Jeremy Affeldt (RP)

    5-6, 2 SV, 1.82 ERA, 35 K (59.3 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    39. Randy -- Sean Burnett (RP)

    2-1, 2 SV, 2.28 ERA, 14 K (23.67 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    40. Eric -- Maicer Izturis (2B)

     

    Kept for more than 1 year

     

    Best Pick:  Affeldt gets the nod because he has exceeded his expectations and provided great bullpen value.  Latos is one of my personal cheeseballs and may turn out to be the best of the round.  Too bad that he (Latos) has not been able to blossom into that #1 or #2 starter that his owners (Arnie and I) expected.  (I picked him in the teens in my 26-team league and I have been happy with that and still look forward to his leadership to come).

    Worst Pick:  Gordon Beckham was expected to be a starter at 2B, and Jeff still is holding on to him hoping for that breakout year. His defense has improved to Gold Glove levels but he is so inconsistent with the bat in the majors it is hard to get a read on whether he is in or out of favor in Chicago.  Izturis has no stats mostly because he was absorbed into one of these “Other Cheesehead” lines that Eric likes to include in his stats.

    Round 6:

    41. Robin -- Brian Matusz (SP)

     

    Still Owned

    42. Arnie -- Nick Masset (RP)

    3-2, 0 SV, 5.13 ERA, 22 K (26.3 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    43. Harold -- Fu-Te Ni (RP)

    2-0, 0 SV, 4.09 ERA, 12 K (11 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    44. Tom -- Josh Willingham (OF)

    0.236 / 0.346 / 0.344 / 0.69 (500 PA), 17 HR, 55 RBI, 3 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    45. Jeff -- Daniel Bard (RP)

    5-4, 5 SV, 3.53 ERA, 59 K (66.37 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    46. Jed -- David Price (SP)

    13-9, 0 SV, 4.51 ERA, 218 K (229.67 IPS)

    Still Owned

    47. Randy -- Claudio Vargas (RP)

     

    Cut After One Year

    48. Eric -- Juan Rivera (OF)

    0.308 / 0.386 / 0.500 / 0.886 (44 PA), 2 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

     

    Best Pick:  One of those left handed starters taken late that is a #1 in the majors and pretty good in the SOMBILLA is David Price.  Jed was probably thinking, Price is still on the board well let’s swing for the fences.  He is still probably happy over this one.

    Worst Pick:  Robin probably saw Matusz as the big left handed starter that Price turned out to be and he was hyped in Baltimore to be just that.  He is now pitching in relief but she is still holding on to him, hoping (He was almost usable with the 2013 cards, but is a bust in 2014.)

    Round 7:

    49. Arnie -- Alberto Callaspo (2B)

    0.333 / 0.375 / 0.458 / 0.833 (48 PA), 0 HR, 6 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut After One Year

    50. Robin -- Andres Torres (OF)

    0.233 / 0.286 / 0.420 / 0.706 (231 PA), 7 HR, 22 RBI, 8 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    51. Harold -- Matt Diaz (RF)

    0.317 / 0.429 / 0.551 / 0.98 (49 PA), 3 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut After One Year

    52. Tom -- Brian Sanches (RP)

    2-2, 2 SV, 5.13 ERA, 21 K (26.33 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    53. Jeff -- Kevin Millwood (SP)

     

    Cut After One Year

    54. Jed -- Oscar Salazar (LF)

    0.289 / 0.333 / 0.354 / 0.687 (48 PA), 1 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    55. Randy -- Seth Smith (OF)

     

    Kept for more than 1 year

    56. Eric -- Brian Wilson (RP)

    3-2, 1 SV, 4.50 ERA, 53 K (54.03 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

     

    Best Pick:  This was not a round to get excited about.  One-year wonders and relievers dominate. Andres Torres got the most play but did not really set the league afire.  Take your pick amongst those that played.

    Worst Pick:  Kevin Millwood wins mostly because he never played.  And I am sure that Seth Smith did something in that lost Wax season and was probably SD’s best hitter this year.

    Round 8:

    57. Robin -- Kyle McClellan (RP)

    1-0, 0 SV, 1.80 ERA, 8 K (25 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    58. Harold -- Huston Street (RP)

    2-2, 1 SV, 2.37 ERA, 54 K (49.3 IPS)

    Still Owned

    59. Arnie -- Angel Pagan (OF)

    0.341 / 0.390 / 0.474 / 0.864 (251 PA), 6 HR, 34 RBI, 16 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    60. Tom -- Brad Bergesen (SP)

    1-5, 0 SV, 6.57 ERA, 21 K (50.7 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    61. Jeff -- Alex Avila (C)

    0.275 / 0.366 / 0.433 / 0.799 (254 PA), 11 HR, 34 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    62. Jed -- Casey Blake (3B)

    0.309 / 0.457 / 0.400 / 0.857 (70 PA), 3 HR, 12 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut After One Year

    63. Harold -- Robinson Tejeda (SP)

    1-1, 0 SV, 2.70 ERA, 26 K (23.3 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    64. Eric -- Ryan Sweeney (RF)

    0.170 / 0.235 / 0.216 / 0.451 (51 PA), 0 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

     

    Best Pick:  Houston Street just edges out Alex Avila who has proven to be a serviceable catcher for Jeff’s ever changing team.  Harold seems to be able to pick those relievers that will be real life closers and solid contributors in the SOMBILLA. (And Robin seems to cut those pitchers a year too soon).

    Worst Pick:  Bergesen had a #1 starter card according to Lamana but he was not a normal #1 starter.  He had to be used the right way and CN failed badly.

    Round 9-14:

    65. Arnie -- Scott Hairston (OF)

    0.210 / 0.264 / 0.391 / 0.655 (87 PA), 4 HR, 13 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    66. Robin -- Michael Brantley (OF)

     

    Kept for more than 1 year

    67. Harold -- Josh Outman (RP)

    1-1, 1 SV, 4.44 ERA, 23 K (24.3 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    68. Tom -- Brandon Lyon (RP)

    1-1, 0 SV, 4.44 ERA, 33 K (46.63 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    69. Jeff -- Geraldo Parra (OF)

    0.289 / 0.326 / 0.377 / 0.703 (215 PA), 4 HR, 26 RBI, 6 SB

    Still Owned

    70. Jed -- Jeff Francoeur (OF)

     

    Cut After One Year

    71. Randy -- Carlos Ruiz (C)

    0.242 / 0.303 / 0.303 / 0.606 (518 PA), 6 HR, 50 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    72. Eric -- Joe Thatcher (RP)

    3-0, 1 SV, 2.49 ERA, 25 K (25.33 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    73. Robin -- Nolan Reimold (OF)

    0.279 / 0.340 / 0.553 / 0.893 (47 PA), 4 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    74. Arnie -- Chris Tillman (SP)

     

    Kept for more than 1 year

    75. Harold -- Ian Desmond (SS)

    0.190 / 0.234 / 0.248 / 0.482 (145 PA), 1 HR, 16 RBI, 1 SB

    Still Owned

    76. Tom -- Miguel Olivo (C)

    0.297 / 0.329 / 0.630 / 0.959 (173 PA), 17 HR, 36 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    77. Jeff -- Chris Coghlan (OF)

    0.278 / 0.326 / 0.403 / 0.729 (181 PA), 4 HR, 23 RBI, 1 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    78. Jed -- CJ Wilson (RP)

    11-23, 0 SV, 6.35 ERA, 206 K (267.67 IPS)

    Still Owned (by Robin)

    79. Randy -- Brett Anderson (SP)

     

    Still Owned

    80. Eric -- Michael Bourn (OF)

    0.198 / 0.252 / 0.241 / 0.493 (357 PA), 1 HR, 18 RBI, 13 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    81. Arnie -- Fernando Martinez (OF)

     

    Cut After One Year

    82. Robin -- Wade Davis (SP)

     

    Kept for more than 1 year

    83. Harold -- Ryan Roberts (2B)

    0.000 / 0.000 / 0.000 / 0 (2 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    84. Tom -- Ryan Raburn (LF)

    0.174 / 0.240 / 0.200 / 0.44 (25 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

    85. Jeff -- Wandy Rodriguez (SP)

    7-8, 0 SV, 5.72 ERA, 103 K (140 IPS)

    Kept for more than 1 year

    86. Jed -- Angel Guzman (RP)

    1-0, 2 SV, 3.00 ERA, 23 K (24 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    87. Randy -- Jeff Neimann (SP)

     

    Kept for more than 1 year

    88. Eric -- Kevin Kouzmanoff (3B)

     

    Cut After One Year

    89. Robin -- Lou Marson (C)

     

    Kept for more than 1 year

    90. Harold -- Francisco Cervelli (C)

    0.083 / 0.353 / 0.059 / 0.412 (34 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

    Kept for more than 1 year

     

    Best Pick:  There are a number of these players that are still owned, but Michael Brantley, stupidly cut by Robin last year, may have put together the best season (for no SOMBILLA manager yet) this summer.  Olivo was a solid source of power for CN as catcher and Ruiz has been good and may still have a future for the WAX boys.  Desmond is a 1 SS who has not yet gotten his offense on in the SOMBILLA.  CJ Wilson is the cutest of these players and Robin still hopes that he will return to the form that got him a huge major league deal.

    Worst Pick:  Can you really be a bad pick this late.  The players who never played?  Or the ones that get cut right away without playing?  

    Other:  Franceour was drafted and cut in the waiver draft and I could not figure when Marson was cut but he is not around now.

    2009 Card Set Results:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    0.324 / 0.373 / 0.452 / 0.825 (518 PA), 9 HR, 64 RBI, 17 SB

    Eric

    0.337 / 0.396 / 0.439 / 0.835 (212 PA), 4 HR, 20 RBI, 11 SB

    Harold

    0.283 / 0.382 / 0.428 / 0.81 (283 PA), 12 HR, 43 RBI, 6 SB

    Jed

    0.267 / 0.347 / 0.319 / 0.666 (496 PA), 6 HR, 50 RBI, 15 SB

    Jeff

    0.272 / 0.320 / 0.390 / 0.71 (444 PA), 12 HR, 66 RBI, 4 SB

    Robin

    0.239 / 0.323 / 0.414 / 0.737 (99 PA), 4 HR, 10 RBI, 1 SB

    Tom

    0.282 / 0.330 / 0.550 / 0.88 (518 PA), 39 HR, 98 RBI, 0 SB

    Wax

     

     

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    9-6, 4 SV, 4.63 ERA, 82 K (83.6 IPS)

    Eric

    12-6, 9 SV, 3.47 ERA, 109 K (116.7 IPS)

    Harold

    11-10, 3 SV, 3.83 ERA, 179 K (204.2 IPS)

    Jed

    12-8, 16 SV, 3.83 ERA, 141 K (169 IPS)

    Jeff

    5-3, 9 SV, 3.02 ERA, 49 K (50.7 IPS)

    Robin

    7-13, 5 SV, 4.85 ERA, 122 K (161.3 IPS)

    Tom

    11-13, 4 SV, 5.42 ERA, 133 K (227.6 IPS)

    Wax

     

     

    Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    0.316 / 0.375 / 0.453 / 0.828 (952 PA), 27 HR, 121 RBI, 26 SB

    Eric

    0.249 / 0.301 / 0.311 / 0.612 (734 PA), 5 HR, 47 RBI, 31 SB

    Harold

    0.240 / 0.325 / 0.372 / 0.697 (849 PA), 28 HR, 96 RBI, 15 SB

    Jed

    0.268 / 0.349 / 0.316 / 0.665 (550 PA), 6 HR, 54 RBI, 19 SB

    Jeff

    0.257 / 0.320 / 0.345 / 0.665 (1422 PA), 27 HR, 147 RBI, 45 SB

    Randy

    0.233 / 0.298 / 0.331 / 0.629 (1080 PA), 23 HR, 114 RBI, 13 SB

    Robin

    0.227 / 0.266 / 0.384 / 0.65 (440 PA), 12 HR, 42 RBI, 11 SB

    Tom

    0.261 / 0.335 / 0.449 / 0.784 (1115 PA), 61 HR, 163 RBI, 3 SB

     

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    16-10, 7 SV, 4.76 ERA, 183 K (194.6 IPS)

    Eric

    15-8, 11 SV, 3.29 ERA, 150 K (161.37 IPS)

    Harold

    12-10, 4 SV, 3.53 ERA, 204 K (229.2 IPS)

    Jed

    40-46, 19 SV, 4.85 ERA, 581 K (705.67 IPS)

    Jeff

    21-16, 16 SV, 4.32 ERA, 225 K (291.7 IPS)

    Randy

    5-4, 2 SV, 4.76 ERA, 52 K (109.67 IPS)

    Robin

    15-17, 5 SV, 4.52 ERA, 200 K (258.97 IPS)

    Tom

    20-26, 9 SV, 5.13 ERA, 278 K (425.93 IPS)

     

    Facts about the Draft:  This was the first year of the new waiver wire process and everyone drafted their full 12 players.  (Future Wax traded Matt LaPorta to CN which got FW a better pick the next year and just demonstrated how stupid CN can be)  Eric apparently hated this draft because he has kept no players from it on his current roster, although he did win the World Series that year so maybe he just did not need anybody for long.  The short-and long-term statistical winners in the hitting categories go to Tom and Arnie, but Jed picked up the best pitching stats so far.

    Best Draft:  If the draft was to be awarded on one player then Wax would get it for Andrew McCutcheon.  However, Arnie gets the nod for a solid if unspectacular draft.  He still owns Wieters (Tommy John this year so who knows), Fowler and Latos. and his one-year and five-year stats are just ahead of the field.  Overall, Arnie drafted Matt Wieters, David Aardsma, Mike Gonzalez, Dexter Fowler, Mat Latos, Nick Masset, Alberto Callaspo, Angel Pagan, Scott Hairston, Chris Tillman, Fernando Martinez and Chris Perez

    Worst Draft:  World Series hangover for Eric who just did not keep anyone he drafted and the players picked did not excel for him in the short term either... (Eric’s team was just too good in the short term.)  He drafted: Mike Wuertz, the fiery Nyjer Morgan, Ryan Franklin, Bob Howry, Maicer Izturis, Juan Rivera, Brian Wilson, Ryan Sweeney, Joe Thatcher, Michael Bourn, Kevin Kouzmanoff and Brad Ausmus.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Draft Analysis 2011

     
    By Tom Kinney, edited by A&R

     
    It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2011 (Cards 2010) draft.  As I am writing this it is mid-July and as usual a very busy summer…We have 4 SOMBILLA Seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:

     
    As a result, some of these teams players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned that they deserve.

    Round 1:

    1. Robin - Buster Posey

    0.271 / 0.322 / 0.379 / 0.701 (612 PA), 13 HR, 57 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    2. Jeff - Jason Heyward

    0.231 / 0.311 / 0.339 / 0.65 (440 PA), 12 HR, 41 RBI, 3 SB

    Traded Still Owned

    3. Randy - Mike Stanton

    0.241 / 0.323 / 0.457 / 0.78 (669 PA), 40 HR, 104 RBI, 1 SB

    Still Owned

    4. Tom - Carlos Santana

    0.242 / 0.345 / 0.389 / 0.734 (229 PA), 8 HR, 23 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    5. Arnie - Starlin Castro

    0.000 / 0.273 / 0.000 / 0.273 (11 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 2 SB

    Still Owned

    6. Jed - Jose Bautista

    0.207 / 0.333 / 0.393 / 0.726 (832 PA), 53 HR, 130 RBI, 4 SB

    Still Owned

    7. Eric - Jhoulys Chacin

    3-3, 0 SV, 3.000 ERA, 42 K (39 IPS)

    Cut in the last Draft

    8. Harold - Stephen Strasburg

    7-8, 0 SV, 3.986 ERA, 123 K (119.2 IPS)

    Still Owned

    Best Pick:  The once and future Giancarlo has been the best real life baseball player and all the players have worse stats in the SOMBILLA than one would expect.  He is the best RF for the future and in the current set.  Stanton is a human highlight machine hitting breathtaking homeruns to all fields.  Busty Posey comes close, as he is listed as the best C for the future and in the current set.   Posey’s bat is good enough that SF hopes that playing him at first will lengthen his career and effectiveness.  Either could have been the pick here.

    Worst Picks:  This was also a two horse race.  Starlin Castro has never lived up to his early billing and may never be a starting SS in the SOMBILLA.  The Cubs are interested in trading him or letting him start a career elsewhere and if he ends up at 3B, I will predict a cut without him getting more SOMBILLA at bats.  Chacin was picked to fill a need for a partial year.  Eric was overly optimistic, but Chacin’s health and Coors has conspired to limit him to that first card.  Castro has a chance, but I am going to give him the nod.

    Other:  Jed and Harold both took chances in the late part of this round.  The revamped Bautista swing amongst rumors of substances made Bautista risky, but he has out-performed the round in HR and RBIs but fell short in future value and on base/OPS values.  Strasburg is showing some signs of weakness this year, but he has been very good if not the #1 pitcher that he could still become.

    Round 2:

    9. Robin - Domonic Brown

    0.205 / 0.241 / 0.329 / 0.57 (158 PA), 5 HR, 19 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut 2015 waiver process

    10. Randy - Daniel Hudson

    1-3, 0 SV, 6.149 ERA, 23 K (33.2 IPS)

    Cut  2014 waiver process

    11. Jeff - Jeremy Hellickson

    7-7, 0 SV, 3.759 ERA, 89 K (143.2 IPS)

    Still Owned

    12. Tom - Pedro Alvarez

    0.231 / 0.268 / 0.500 / 0.768 (164 PA), 14 HR, 33 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    13. Robin - Logan Morrison

    0.314 / 0.372 / 0.468 / 0.84 (94 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2013 waiver process

    14. Jed - Brett Myers

    5-6, 0 SV, 5.294 ERA, 61 K (102 IPS)

    Cut 2013 waiver process

    15. Eric - Drew Stubbs

    0.320 / 0.404 / 0.474 / 0.878 (57 PA), 2 HR, 4 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut 2014 waiver process

    16. Harold - Joaquin Benoit

    2-1, 0 SV, 2.950 ERA, 32 K (39.2 IPS)

    Traded Still Owned

     

    Best Pick:  Benoit was a re-drafted pitcher (he had 3 good years (2005-2007) for CN as the best pick of that draft’s 7th round) and may have even have had a career earlier than that…  He has had 2 seasons for Arnie (traded to him as part of the Ellsbury trade last year) and is the best relief card in the current set so he will get at least one more year for ND.  Alvarez was a power hitter that the Red Sox could not sign and CN hoped would have more value.  He still has that power potential so he might surprise when we look back after 10 years…

    Worst Pick:  5 out of 8 picks in this round have been let go.  In a second round like this one, you have to go with the player that one of us had the most hope for – Dom Brown.  He has been a disappointment in Philadelphia as well.  The power shows up in short bursts but he never managed to hit or play enough defense to consistently crack the Phillies’ lineup let alone an All Star league like the SOMBILLA.

    Other:. Daniel Hudson of the multiple surgeries was cut by Wax in the 2013 waiver process and then claimed back by Wax before I could take him and then they cut him in the next year.

    Round 3:

    17. Jeff - Shaun Marcum

    8-10, 0 SV, 5.004 ERA, 92 K (154.2 IPS)

    Cut in the 2014 waiver process

    18. Jeff - Brandon Morrow

    2-2, 0 SV, 3.857 ERA, 37 K (51.1 IPS)

    Cut in the 2015 waiver process

    19. Randy - Jonny Venters

    5-0, 6 SV, 3.121 ERA, 70 K (57.2 IPS)

    Cut in the 2014 waiver process

    20. Tom - Tim Stauffer

    1-4, 4 SV, 4.408 ERA, 20 K (32.2 IPS)

    Cut After One Year, claimed by Jed and cut the next year

    21. Arnie - Sean Marshall

    2-3, 2 SV, 5.484 ERA, 65 K (64 IPS)

    Cut in the 2014 waiver process

    22. Jed - Colby Lewis

    5-4, 0 SV, 5.088 ERA, 82 K (86.2 IPS)

    Cut in the 2014 waiver process

    23. Eric - Gio Gonzalez

    8-12, 0 SV, 4.423 ERA, 186 K (195.1 IPS)

    Still Owned

    24. Jed - Evan Meek

    2-5, 0 SV, 5.455 ERA, 33 K (33 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

     

    Best Pick:  You can look at this round in 2 ways: the only player still owned is Gio, who is below .500 but has eaten up a bunch of innings for Eric.  On the other hand, Johnny Venters has had the most success over his limited career.  Venters has had two Tommy John surgeries and probably will never throw another pitch in anger.  The third round over the drafts from 2006->2011 has seen 1, 5, 3, 2,  1  and 1 player (Gio) still owned five years later so maybe it is a round for short term results.  So I will give the slight nod to Venters.

    Worst Pick:  No one was terrible in this round of short term pitching needs.  Evan Meek was cut after one year and not claimed, but Brandon Morrow pitched one season and then clogged a roster spot for four years.  I will give the nod to Evan though because he really did not do that much and Morrow at least had the flashy fastball that he couldn’t get over the plate.

    Other:  Of particular interest to North Dakota – Colby Lewis and ND GM Arnie share a hip surgeon.  So far, Arnie has had the better post-surgery athletic results - Robin

    Round 4:

    25. Robin - Eric O'Flaherty

    2-4, 8 SV, 1.765 ERA, 33 K (51 IPS)

    Cut in 2014

    26. Randy - John Axford

    3-5, 13 SV, 4.408 ERA, 56 K (49 IPS)

    Cut in 2015

    27. Tom - Jed Lowrie

    0.229 / 0.302 / 0.396 / 0.698 (53 PA), 2 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    28. Jeff - Hisanori Takahashi

    0-1, 1 SV, 9.000 ERA, 20 K (22 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    29. Arnie - Clay Hensley

    2-1, 5 SV, 2.455 ERA, 25 K (29.1 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    30. Jed - Aubrey Huff

    0.189 / 0.268 / 0.317 / 0.585 (205 PA), 7 HR, 21 RBI, 1 SB

    Traded to Robin who cut After One Year

    31. Eric - Neil Walker

    0.250 / 0.262 / 0.349 / 0.611 (195 PA), 4 HR, 18 RBI, 1 SB

    Still Owned

    32. Harold - Austin Jackson

    0.238 / 0.321 / 0.343 / 0.664 (274 PA), 6 HR, 28 RBI, 6 SB

    Still Owned

     

    Best Pick:  Neil Walker has not had great numbers for Eric, but he is a solid defensive player who looks to have a future.  In MLB, he bats 2nd or 4th and provides power from the 2nd base position.  He is projected to be a top 7 player which makes him a starter and he is currently a BP 8 vs. RHPs.  The only real competition here were 3 solid short term relief pitchers who did not do enough to overcome the potential of Walker.

    Worst Pick:  Aubrey Huff looked to be exciting as he was drafted and then traded to Robin during the season.  But he never hit as well as he did in real life and can only be seen as a disappointment.  Maybe he is really cute and that makes all the difference (see Study 3). (Ed note: He’s cute but not ‘really cute’.  Also, I cut O’Flaherty before 2014 and redrafted him before cutting him again – Robin).

    Round 5:

    33. Robin - Danny Valencia

    0.444 / 0.500 / 0.500 / 1 (70 PA), 0 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2013

    34. Jeff - Omar Infante

    0.304 / 0.330 / 0.346 / 0.676 (191 PA), 1 HR, 22 RBI, 6 SB

    Cut After One Year, to be claimed by Jed & traded to Robin

    35. Randy - Ike Davis

    0.253 / 0.335 / 0.455 / 0.79 (200 PA), 10 HR, 33 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2014

    36. Tom - Jaime Garcia

    3-2, 0 SV, 3.547 ERA, 37 K (45.2 IPS)

    Cut in 2013

    37. Arnie - Matt Joyce

    0.234 / 0.309 / 0.392 / 0.701 (204 PA), 7 HR, 16 RBI, 2 SB

    Still Owned after being cut claimed by Jed , cut again and claimed by Tom

    38. Jed - Ryan Hanigan

    0.191 / 0.354 / 0.268 / 0.622 (164 PA), 4 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2015

    39. Eric - Brent Morel

    No Stats

    Cut in 2013

    40. Harold - Joel Peralta

    0-1, 3 SV, 2.647 ERA, 19 K (17 IPS)

    Still Owned

     

    Best Pick:  Not a great round, I have to choose between Ike Davis who was a backup 1B who never really did much but scare Loogies (‘Lefty One Out Guy’) or Jaime Garcia who looked to be a talented LH starter who blew out his arm when CN signed him.  (Same thing happened to Matt Moore, is there a pattern here.?  I am going to go with Jaimie Garcia by the narrowest of margins.

    Worst Pick:  Brent Morel who never played and never looked all that good at any level.

    Other:..Three of these players are still owned but they did not really enter into the conversation for best player.  Joel Peralta has 17 good innings but he is still owned and nearing 40 years old.  Joyce has been a professional left handed hitter, but he has been cut twice once by Arnie and once by Jed.  I regret picking him up instead of keeping Moustakas.  (Infante does not appear to be usable with 2014 or 2015 card – Robin).

    Round 6:

    41. Robin - Alex Gonzalez

    0.283 / 0.353 / 0.474 / 0.827 (133 PA), 6 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2013 waiver process

    42. Randy - Ryan Madson

    1-1, 3 SV, 3.408 ERA, 34 K (34.1 IPS)

    Cut After One Year and claimed by Robin and cut after one year

    43. Jeff - Reid Brignac

     

    Cut After One Year

    44. Tom - John Buck

    0.267 / 0.302 / 0.415 / 0.717 (106 PA), 3 HR, 16 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    45. Arnie - Josh Thole

    0.304 / 0.418 / 0.327 / 0.745 (55 PA), 1 HR, 8 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut in 2013 waiver process

    46. Jed - Javier Lopez

    1-2, 1 SV, 4.091 ERA, 14 K (22 IPS)

    Cut in 2013 waiver process

    47. Robin - Will Rhymes

    0.000 / 0.000 / 0.000 / 0 (5 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year (but turned out to be super cute – R)

    48. Harold - John Jaso

    0.098 / 0.281 / 0.078 / 0.359 (64 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut After One Year

     

    Best Pick:  This round was a real washout, but we will give it to Madson who looked to be coming into his own as teams lined up to make him a closer but a couple of surgeries ended his SOMBILLA career.  He is having a resurgent year in MLB now and we wish him well in his post SOMBILLA career.

    Worst Pick:  Reid Brignac and Will Rhymes did not contribute anything to their teams and share the worst pick honors.

    Round 7:

    49. Robin - Kija Ka'aihue

     

    Cut After One Year

    50. Jeff - Yorvit Torrealba

    0.250 / 0.294 / 0.300 / 0.594 (170 PA), 2 HR, 15 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut in 2013

    51. Randy - Madison Bumgarner

    4-7, 0 SV, 4.893 ERA, 105 K (103 IPS)

    Still Owned

    52. Randy - Mark Ellis

    0.227 / 0.261 / 0.296 / 0.557 (115 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 5 SB

    Cut After One Year

    53. Arnie - Ian Kennedy

    7-5, 0 SV, 3.843 ERA, 71 K (89 IPS)

    Cut in 2014

    54. Jed - Daric Barton

    0.267 / 0.329 / 0.415 / 0.744 (82 PA), 3 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    55. Eric - Chris Carter (Oak)

     

    Cut After One Year

    56. Harold - Jamey Carroll

    0.287 / 0.340 / 0.338 / 0.678 (385 PA), 2 HR, 29 RBI, 6 SB

    Cut in ??? (played 3 seasons)

     

    Best Pick:  Madison Bumgarner has not shown it in the SOMBILLA but he has shown the most talent in MLB. He projects in the top 15 starters going forward so that makes him a potential #1 starter going forward.

    Worst Pick:  Kija and Chris Carter can split this as flyers whom both teams cut after one season.

    Round 8:

    57. Robin - Alexi Ogando

    8-5, 0 SV, 2.926 ERA, 71 K (107.2 IPS)

    Still Owned

    58. Randy - Drew Storen

     

    Still Owned

    59. Tom - Mitch Moreland

    0.385 / 0.429 / 0.571 / 1 (14 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2012

    60. Jeff - Jose Tabata

    0.238 / 0.291 / 0.295 / 0.586 (244 PA), 3 HR, 18 RBI, 12 SB

    Cut in 2013

    61. Arnie - Edwin Jackson

     

    Cut After One Year, claimed by Jed and Cut one year later

    62. Jed - Brendan Ryan

    0.250 / 0.250 / 0.250 / 0.5 (4 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2013

    63. Eric - Peter Bourjos

     

    Cut in 2015

    64. Harold - Jonathan Sanchez

    3-1, 0 SV, 2.042 ERA, 41 K (39.2 IPS)

    Cut in 2013

     

    Best Pick:  Alexi Ogando is still owned (optimism as he was released and claimed by Boston before this season) and was the most effective player amongst the players taken this round.  He has been very effective as a reliever who dominated righties.

    Worst Pick:  Drew Storen would take this as being still owned with no rewards for the team picking him, but he is the #35 reliever this year so he should do something.  I am going to go with Edwin Jackson because he is the most talented player of this group to do nothing at all either in SOMBILLA or as he has bounced around MLB.

    Round 9-14:

    65. Robin - Danny Espinosa

    0.200 / 0.277 / 0.271 / 0.548 (155 PA), 3 HR, 11 RBI, 2 SB

    Still Owned

    66. Jeff - Jake Arrieta

     

    Cut After One Year

    67. Randy - Luke Scott

    0.213 / 0.306 / 0.306 / 0.612 (144 PA), 4 HR, 18 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    68. Tom - Ernesto Frieri

    0-1, 0 SV, 8.000 ERA, 12 K (9 IPS)

    Cut in 2014

    69. Arnie - Adam Rosales

    0.235 / 0.278 / 0.389 / 0.667 (54 PA), 3 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    70. Jed - Bill Hall

    0.281 / 0.373 / 0.441 / 0.814 (102 PA), 5 HR, 12 RBI, 5 SB

    Cut After One Year

    71. Eric - Tyler Colvin

    0.318 / 0.353 / 0.500 / 0.853 (136 PA), 5 HR, 20 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut in 2014

    72. Harold - J.J. Putz

    2-3, 0 SV, 2.430 ERA, 33 K (33.1 IPS)

    Cut in ???

    73. Robin - Ryan Kalish

     

    Cut before his first season

    74. Randy - Sean Rodriguez

    0.265 / 0.351 / 0.333 / 0.684 (111 PA), 1 HR, 9 RBI, 7 SB

    Cut in 2013

    75. Jeff - Justin Smoak

     

    Cut After 1 year, claimed by Tom and cut in 2013

    76. Tom - Santiago Casilla

    4-3, 1 SV, 3.103 ERA, 28 K (29 IPS)

    Cut in 2013

    77. Arnie - Ramon Hernandez

    0.243 / 0.304 / 0.352 / 0.656 (125 PA), 3 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    78. Jed - Matt Belisle

    0-2, 1 SV, 3.106 ERA, 35 K (37.2 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    79. Eric - Matt Guerrier

     

    Cut After One Year

    80. Harold - Chris Denorfia

    0.290 / 0.357 / 0.421 / 0.778 (171 PA), 5 HR, 30 RBI, 7 SB

    Cut in 2013, claimed by Arnie and cut in 2015

    81. Robin - Chris Heisey

    0.308 / 0.364 / 0.465 / 0.829 (187 PA), 7 HR, 29 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut in 2013

    82. Jeff - Juan Castro

     

    Cut After One Year

    83. Randy - David Freese

    0.282 / 0.333 / 0.349 / 0.682 (126 PA), 2 HR, 8 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2014

    84. Tom - Wilson Betemit

    0.273 / 0.318 / 0.415 / 0.733 (176 PA), 2 HR, 19 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut After One YearCut in 2013

    85. Arnie - Wilson Ramos

    0.345 / 0.386 / 0.472 / 0.858 (127 PA), 3 HR, 19 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    86. Jed - Cliff Pennington

     

    Cut After One Year

    87. Eric - J.P. Arencibia

     

    Traded to Jed during the draft then cut in 2014

    88. Harold - Zach Braddock

    0-1, 0 SV, 5.786 ERA, 4 K (4.2 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    89. Tom - Coco Crisp

    0.190 / 0.301 / 0.219 / 0.52 (73 PA), 1 HR, 6 RBI, 9 SB

    Traded to Eric who Cut in 2013

    90. Arnie - Jake Fox

    0.409 / 0.435 / 0.783 / 1.218 (23 PA), 2 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2013

    91. Eric - Kyle Farnsworth

    3-3, 1 SV, 2.374 ERA, 14 K (30.1 IPS)

    Traded to TSK who Cut in 2013

    92. Harold - Ivan Nova

    4-5, 1 SV, 4.113 ERA, 55 K (100.2 IPS)

    Still Owned

    93. Tom - R.A. Dickey

    11-9, 0 SV, 5.018 ERA, 152 K (188.1 IPS)

    Cut in 2015

    94. Arnie - Travis Wood

     

    Cut After One Year

    95. Eric - Dayan Viciedo

     

    Cut in 2015

    96. Harold - Andruw Jones

    0.177 / 0.282 / 0.324 / 0.606 (71 PA), 4 HR, 8 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut before 1st season to be claimed by Jed who then cut him after 1 year

     

    Best Pick:  Wilson Ramos has been oft injured and kidnapped once but he has been an adequate C taken late by ND.  Tyler Colvin has a surprisingly good OPS in his SOMBILLA time.  Casilla, Farnsworth and Putz were all good relievers for their teams. 

    Worst Pick:  Kalish wins this one as he was picked and cut immediately in the waiver draft before he even got on the bus for Bay City. (But just wanting to get on the bus was enough time for him to catch the BC injury bug – Robin).  Lots of players never played, but none so storied as JPArencibia who was drafted by Eric and then traded to Jed when he tried to draft him off of Eric’s roster the following year.

    Other:. Jake Arrieta (redrafted in the 3rd round tnever did anything in this trip to the SOMBILLA majors, but he is looking pretty good in MLB and has a good card for this year for CN.  He is probably the best player of these rounds to get a second bite of the apple.  He just can’t hold a baserunner on to save his life.

    2010 Card Set Results:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    0.268 / 0.345 / 0.389 / 0.734 (380 PA), 12 HR, 39 RBI, 4 SB

    Eric

    0.274 / 0.284 / 0.297 / 0.581 (74 PA), 0 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB

    Harold

    0.233 / 0.313 / 0.299 / 0.612 (364 PA), 6 HR, 39 RBI, 9 SB

    Jed

    0.261 / 0.316 / 0.309 / 0.625 (725 PA), 7 HR, 70 RBI, 20 SB

    Jeff

    0.228 / 0.332 / 0.401 / 0.733 (684 PA), 36 HR, 102 RBI, 7 SB

    Robin

    0.302 / 0.358 / 0.430 / 0.788 (586 PA), 11 HR, 55 RBI, 0 SB

    Tom

    0.252 / 0.332 / 0.368 / 0.7 (413 PA), 10 HR, 57 RBI, 9 SB

    Wax

    0.247 / 0.305 / 0.365 / 0.67 (534 PA), 15 HR, 58 RBI, 12 SB

     

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    3-3, 6 SV, 3.21 ERA, 54 K (56 IPS)

    Eric

    7-7, 1 SV, 3.559 ERA, 100 K (116.2 IPS)

    Harold

    4-3, 2 SV, 2.25 ERA, 79 K (80 IPS)

    Jed

    4-6, 1 SV, 4.88 ERA, 69 K (101.1 IPS)

    Jeff

    13-19, 2 SV, 4.80 ERA, 225 K (281.1 IPS)

    Robin

    3-2, 0 SV, 1.82 ERA, 19 K (29.2 IPS)

    Tom

    8-14, 5 SV, 4.82 ERA, 119 K (166 IPS)

    Wax

    4-7, 11 SV, 4.59 ERA, 101 K (100 IPS)

     

    Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    0.270 / 0.336 / 0.402 / 0.738 (599 PA), 19 HR, 68 RBI, 6 SB

    Eric

    0.283 / 0.314 / 0.420 / 0.734 (388 PA), 11 HR, 42 RBI, 4 SB

    Harold

    0.255 / 0.330 / 0.336 / 0.666 (965 PA), 17 HR, 100 RBI, 21 SB

    Jed

    0.250 / 0.307 / 0.323 / 0.63 (1045 PA), 18 HR, 96 RBI, 23 SB

    Jeff

    0.212 / 0.328 / 0.371 / 0.699 (1389 PA), 72 HR, 186 RBI, 10 SB

    Robin

    0.272 / 0.327 / 0.393 / 0.72 (1414 PA), 34 HR, 137 RBI, 4 SB

    Tom

    0.247 / 0.313 / 0.409 / 0.722 (815 PA), 31 HR, 112 RBI, 10 SB

    Wax

    0.244 / 0.321 / 0.407 / 0.728 (1365 PA), 59 HR, 181 RBI, 13 SB

     

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    11-9, 7 SV, 4.20 ERA, 161 K (182.1 IPS)

    Eric

    14-18, 1 SV, 3.98 ERA, 242 K (264.2 IPS)

    Harold

    18-20, 4 SV, 3.50 ERA, 307 K (354.2 IPS)

    Jed

    17-20, 1 SV, 4.60 ERA, 238 K (371.2 IPS)

    Jeff

    13-19, 2 SV, 4.86 ERA, 225 K (281.1 IPS)

    Robin

    10-9, 8 SV, 2.55 ERA, 104 K (158.2 IPS)

    Tom

    19-19, 5 SV, 4.64 ERA, 249 K (304.2 IPS)

    Wax

    14-16, 22 SV, 4.41 ERA, 288 K (277.2 IPS)

     

    Facts about the Draft:  This draft is one of the weakest of the 6 drafts that I have looked at with only 21 players still owned and some of those questionable like Matt Joyce.  Since the 2006 draft, the number of players owned after 5 years are 20, 34, 31, 23, 24. This was back to back mediocre or worse drafts for CN setting up their run of early picks in the next two drafts, but that is another analysis.

    Best Draft:  Wax!  They would have had and even better draft if arm surgeries did not disrail four of their pitching picks..The draft was:  Stanton,G, Hudson,D, Venters,J*, Axford,J, Davis,I*, Madson,R, Bumgarner,M*, Ellis,M, Storen,D, Scott,L*, Rodriquez,S, and Freese,D.  Stanton stands with Posey as the two best players in the draft.  His late round hitters added flexibility and some statistics.  Hudson, Venters, Axford and Madson could have been even better without injury.  Garcia and Bumgarner were the two young lefties and he chose the right one.

    Worst Draft:  .North Dakota.  Arnie drafted:  Castro,S, Marshall,S*, Hensley,C, Joyce,M*, Thole,J*, Kennedy,I, Jackson,E, Rosales,A, Hernandez,R, Ramos,W, Fox, Wood,T*.  A draft in which he picked up four catchers and one of them worked out but that would not make up for the disappointment that is Starlin Castro.  The patented Arnie system for SP selection that has dominated more recent drafts failed him in this one as Kennedy, Jackson and Wood did not pan out for him over the long haul.  The rest was minor relief help that was adequate but not a big enough win to distance himself from the league’s basement in this draft analyses.  (I will point out that Ian Kennedy (7-5, 3.84) helped me win a SOMBILLA Championship in 2012-2013,  Nevertheless, I humbly accept this ‘worst draft of 2011’ designation. – AP)

     


    Draft Analysis 2012

     (By Tom, edited by Arnie and Robin)

     
    It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2012 (Cards 2011) draft.  We’ve played 4 SOMBILLA seasons with these players, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:

     

    As a result, some of these teams’ players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned that they deserve.

    I often include something about the current baseball season, but I have seen almost no games this year.  The only thing I know is that Bryce Harper is sucking and that last year was an aberration according to statcast.

    Round 1:

    1. Jeff - Brett Lawrie

    0.199 / 0.240 / 0.296 / 0.536 (196 PA), 6 HR, 24 RBI, 1 SB

    Traded, still in the league

    2. Tom - Mike Trout

    0.287 / 0.382 / 0.500 / 0.882 (720 PA), 45 HR, 115 RBI, 23 SB

    Still Owned

    3. Jed - Doug Fister

    10-14, 0 SV, 4.506 ERA, 161 K (237.6 IPS)

    Waived 2016

    4. Randy - Michael Pineda

    8-6, 0 SV, 4.655 ERA, 72 K (96.6 IPS)

    Still Owned

    5. Harold - Eric Hosmer

    0.279 / 0.313 / 0.412 / 0.725 (313 PA), 11 HR, 42 RBI, 6 SB

    Still Owned

    6. Arnie - Craig Kimbrel

    5-5, 33 SV, 2.825 ERA, 162 K (108.3 IPS)

    Still Owned

    7. Robin - Kenley Jansen

    2-4, 17 SV, 2.853 ERA, 102 K (88.3 IPS)

    Traded, still in the league

    8. Eric - Jesus Montero

    0.176 / 0.222 / 0.278 / 0.5 (18 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

    Waived 2014

    Best Pick:  Mike Trout had a bad showing the year of this draft which allowed him to drop to the 2nd pick, but from that point on he has been the most valuable player according to wins over replacement in Major League Baseball.  He has one MVP trophy from the SOMBILLA.  He is still rated as the #1 CF for this year and the future.  Over the years, he has gone from a speedy leadoff hitter with some pop to a feared power hitter who is too valuable to be allowed to steal or too bulked up depending on who you believe.  One year he cannot hit the high fastball, and the next he is amongst the leaders versus the high fastball.  Anaheim, like CN, has been berated by the press as wasting the best years of a historic player by not surrounding him with talent to win.

    Worst Picks:  This is a two horse race.  Brett Lawrie, who did not live up to his pick and was picked before Trout, and Montero, who never played but went last in the round. Montero just edges out Lawrie because Lawrie had a career in the majors and Montero never could make it up to stay.  Also one manager (Jed) still holds out hope that Lawrie can be a player, and Jed knows his waived second basemen…

    Other:..I was in a 26 team league this year and the holder of the top pick came to me for advice.  He was offered Pujols for the #1 pick.  He really needed a first baseman and was tempted.  I offered him Konerko and #10 but could not convince him.  I then said that he should keep the pick and take Trout because if Baseball America and several other minor league experts were half right about his future he is the talent of the generation.  He had outfielders and made the Pujols trade.  The trader took Eric Hosmer to replace Pujols and Trout fell to #5 but not to #10.

     

    Round 2:

    1. Randy - Dustin Ackley

    0.301 / 0.380 / 0.353 / 0.733 (150 PA), 1 HR, 21 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2015

    2. Jed - Desmond Jennings

    0.250 / 0.377 / 0.338 / 0.715 (77 PA), 3 HR, 10 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut in 2015

    3. Tom - Jordan Walden

    -,  SV,  ERA,  K ( IPS)

    Cut in 2014

    4. Jeff - Aroldis Chapman

    5-5, 10 SV, 2.353 ERA, 94 K (72.6 IPS)

    Still Owned

    5. Harold - Chris Sale

    17-8, 0 SV, 3.590 ERA, 239 K (230.6 IPS)

    Still Owned

    6. Arnie - Michael Morse

    0.270 / 0.306 / 0.456 / 0.762 (206 PA), 9 HR, 27 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2014

    7. Robin - Jemile Weeks

    0.250 / 0.297 / 0.349 / 0.646 (175 PA), 4 HR, 24 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut in 2013

    8. Eric - Michael Young

    0.280 / 0.310 / 0.384 / 0.694 (242 PA), 4 HR, 19 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut in 2013

     

    Best Pick:  Chris Sale is yet another example of #1 pitcher that went after the 1st round because he was left handed.  He has been a dominant real life pitcher and carried Harold into the playoffs.  He has a strange delivery/motion that many writers speculated would lead to many injuries and a perhaps a shortened career.  He has been able to overcome these fears to be a feared pitcher, especially by throwback unforms.  This year in major league baseball he has changed his approach to lower his strikeouts per 9, piss off his real-life GM, but increase his efficiency and contact rates.  What this change will bring is a future chapter. 

    Worst Pick:  Jordon Walden was picked as the big dominant right handed reliever that would take his place just beneath Jansen and Kimbrel.  Tommy John surgery and multiple teams later, he just never lived up to his promise.

    Other:. The hitters in this round never lived up to the hopes of their owners. This was a very disappointing round for most of the league.

    Round 3:

    1. Jeff - Antonio Bastardo

    3-0, 0 SV, 1.350 ERA, 19 K (13.3 IPS)

    Cut in 2013

    2. Tom - Greg Holland

    4-7, 22 SV, 3.068 ERA, 82 K (58.6 IPS)

    Cut in 2016

    3. Jed - Howie Kendrick

    0.238 / 0.281 / 0.312 / 0.593 (509 PA), 5 HR, 45 RBI, 3 SB

    Traded, still in the league

    4. Randy - Steve Cishek

    2-3, 6 SV, 4.139 ERA, 40 K (45.6 IPS)

    Cut in 2016

    5. Harold - Dee Gordon

    0.269 / 0.310 / 0.359 / 0.669 (142 PA), 1 HR, 9 RBI, 13 SB

    Still Owned

    6. Arnie - Paul Goldschmidt

    0.227 / 0.310 / 0.386 / 0.696 (539 PA), 21 HR, 55 RBI, 7 SB

    Still Owned

    7. Robin - Glen Perkins

    2-1, 0 SV, 3.541 ERA, 60 K (61 IPS)

    Cut in 2016

    8. Eric - Jason Motte

    3-0, 2 SV, 3.298 ERA, 47 K (43.6 IPS)

    Cut in 2013

     

    Best Pick:  Paul Goldschmidt should be a no brainer except that his SOMBILLA numbers are not all that impressive.  In real life, he is an MVP threat every season but has not done it for North Dakota yet.  He is the best first baseman in this year’s set and is rated as the #1 1B going forward.  The best performance over the last 4 years in the SOMBILLA has been Greg Holland, who has been a dominant reliever and if he had not blown out his arm might have made an argument to supercede Goldie.

    Worst Pick:  There were no bad picks in this round.  If forced to pick one, Howie Kendrick did not perform up to a 3rd round pick’s pedigree.  Dee Gordon despite his drug suspension has developed into a good defensive infielder with top of the league speed and at least has one year hitting for average.  Watch him; he could be a surprise performer from this round.

     

    Round 4:

    1. Randy - Yonder Alonso

     /  /  / 0 ( PA),  HR,  RBI,  SB

    Cut in 2015

    2. Jed - Joel Hanrahan

    2-0, 2 SV, 2.512 ERA, 27 K (28.6 IPS)

    Cut in 2014

    3. Tom - Devin Mesoraco

     /  /  / 0 ( PA),  HR,  RBI,  SB

    Cut in 2013

    4. Jeff - Tyler Clippard

    0-0, 2 SV, 2.512 ERA, 31 K (28.6 IPS)

    Cut in 2013

    5. Jeff - Brandon Belt

    0.265 / 0.345 / 0.373 / 0.718 (220 PA), 4 HR, 26 RBI, 3 SB

    Still Owned

    6. Arnie - Allen Craig

    0.301 / 0.353 / 0.489 / 0.842 (380 PA), 17 HR, 49 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut in 2016

    7. Robin - Brandon League

    1-0, 0 SV, 3.429 ERA, 9 K (21 IPS)

    Cut in 2014

    8. Eric - Melky Cabrera

    0.275 / 0.311 / 0.348 / 0.659 (454 PA), 4 HR, 45 RBI, 2 SB

    Traded, still in the league

     

    Best Pick:  Allen Craig edges out Brandon Belt and a handful of middle relievers.  Belt might still pull out a late SOMBILLA career but Allen Craig had 3 seasons of solid performance for Arnie lifting him above his fellows.

    Worst Pick:  Yonder Alonso looked to be part of this year’s group of very talented 1B of Hosmer, Goldie, Belt, Freeman and Rizzo.  He never was good enough to play in the SOMBILLA and Wax gave up on him in 2015.  Devin Mesoraco also never played but it was due to his penchant for injury not to a lack of talent.

    Round 5:

    1. Jeff - Freddie Freeman

    0.253 / 0.318 / 0.377 / 0.695 (610 PA), 17 HR, 59 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    2. Tom - Mike Moustakas

    0.174 / 0.208 / 0.208 / 0.416 (24 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB

    Waived 2015 but claimed and still owned

    3. Jed - Emilio Bonifacio

    0.286 / 0.348 / 0.337 / 0.685 (92 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 5 SB

    Cut in 2015

    4. Randy - Brandon Beachy

    4-1, 0 SV, 1.620 ERA, 22 K (33.3 IPS)

    Cut in 2014

    5. Harold - Lucas Duda

    0.320 / 0.386 / 0.446 / 0.832 (83 PA), 2 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2013

    6.Arnie - Derek Holland

     

    Waived 2015 but redrafted

    7. Robin - John Mayberry

    0.268 / 0.333 / 0.472 / 0.805 (123 PA), 7 HR, 18 RBI, 3 SB

    Cut in 2013

    8. Eric - Alfredo Aceves

    4-0, 0 SV, 1.262 ERA, 21 K (35.6 IPS)

    Cut in 2014

     

    Best Pick:  Jeff takes his second first baseman and hits on him.  He is a professional hitter and a real world leader. 

    Worst Pick:  Derek Holland never played and was cut in 2014 by Arnie.  Arnie always said “I picked the wrong Holland in this draft.” 

    (Ed note:  Jeff redrafted Derek Holland in 2015 and he made 14 appearances in the bullpen for Jeff’s champion team.  But I did pick the wrong Holland).

    Other:..Moustakas was cut, claimed, then traded.  He never made it for CN and still would not pass later hot corner choices made by the Manatees.

    Round 6:

    1. Randy - Josh Collmenter

    1-3, 3 SV, 3.222 ERA, 35 K (58.67 IPS)

    Cut in 2013

    2. Eric - Cory Luebke

    0-0, 0 SV, 0.000 ERA, 0 K (0.33 IPS)

    Cut in 2014

    3. Tom - Jason Kipnis

    0.288 / 0.362 / 0.366 / 0.728 (423 PA), 8 HR, 46 RBI, 12 SB

    Still Owned

    4. Jeff - Ricky Romero

     

    Cut in 2013 

    5. Harold - J.D. Martinez

    0.377 / 0.400 / 0.655 / 1.055 (55 PA), 4 HR, 13 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut in 2013, redrafted by Jeff

    6. Arnie - Vance Worley

     

    Cut in 2013

    7. Robin - Salvador Perez

    0.321 / 0.353 / 0.518 / 0.871 (255 PA), 12 HR, 48 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    8. Eric - Nate Schierholtz

     

    Cut After One Year

     

    Best Pick:  This was also a two horse race between Kipnis and Perez.  Both players are projected in the top 5 of their respective positions.  Salvador Perez has caught a lot of games for KC and what this will mean for the future is yet to be seen.   Kipnis has lost speed for power and there is some question as to his defense going forward.  I will give the slight nod to Salvador Perez. (Ed note: Who I drafted pre-injured).

    Worst Pick:  Take your pick amongst the players who never played in the SOMBILLA.  J.D. changed his swing, and his team and his future looks bright, but unfortunately Harold cut him before the positive part of those changes took place. Jeff drafted him in the 2nd round in 2015.

    Round 7:

    1. Jeff - Randall Delgado

     

    Cut in 2014

    2. Tom - Henderson Alvarez

     

    Cut in 2013

    3. Jed - Sergio Santos

    5-2, 5 SV, 5.586 ERA, 39 K (29 IPS)

    Cut in 2015

    4. Randy - Javy Guerra

     

    Cut in 2013

    5. Harold - David Robertson

    1-4, 0 SV, 5.604 ERA, 74 K (53 IPS)

    Still Owned

    6. Arnie - Jose Altuve

    0.500 / 0.545 / 0.909 / 1.454 (11 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2014 to be claimed by Jed

    7. Jed - Fernando Salas

    4-2, 6 SV, 3.908 ERA, 22 K (25.3 IPS)

    Cut in 2014

    8. Eric - Joe Smith

    7-6, 21 SV, 2.504 ERA, 61 K (82.67 IPS)

    Still Owned

     

    Best Pick:  Altuve would be the best pick, except that he was cut.  He looks to be an MVP candidate in 2016 MLB and continues to look like one of the top 2B moving forward.  So having disqualified Altuve, Joe Smith steps up as a closer that has lived up or over performed his major league statistics, as stat heads would have predicted.

    Worst Pick:  Choose the cut player who never played in the SOMBILLA.

     

     

    Round 8:

    1. Randy - Bill Bray

    0-0, 0 SV, 4.610 ERA, 8 K (13.6 IPS)

    Cut in 2013

    2. Jed - Alejandro De Aza

    0.283 / 0.368 / 0.426 / 0.794 (68 PA), 1 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut in 2013

    3. Tom - Wilin Rosario

    0.248 / 0.303 / 0.516 / 0.819 (122 PA), 10 HR, 24 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2016

    4. Jeff - Zack Cozart

    0.216 / 0.237 / 0.289 / 0.526 (38 PA), 1 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    5. Harold - Cristhian Martinez

    1-0, 0 SV, 3.750 ERA, 18 K (24 IPS)

    Cut in 2014

    6. Arnie - Matt Downs

     

    Cut in 2013

    7. Robin - Casey Janssen

    3-1, 2 SV, 4.386 ERA, 53 K (65.6 IPS)

    Cut in 2015

    8. Eric -  Ruben Tejada

    0.233 / 0.286 / 0.261 / 0.547 (161 PA), 0 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in the  waiver

     

    Best Pick:  Wilin Rosario was all set to be the best pick as a lefty killer who did just that for CN over the years until he was cut this last draft.  However, according to the story going around – Zack Cozart was talking to Barry Larkin who said “Hey, you ever thought about telling yourself to just crush the inside part of the ball? Not guide it, but wherever that ball is, just crush the inside part of it?” Well, he went with that and now not only is he a 1 at SS but seems to have found power.

    Worst Pick: Matt Downs is the only player to not have played in the SOMBILLA.

    (Ed note:  He may still be the worst pick in this round, but Downs did play for ND in the ‘12-13 season .220/.303/.305/.608 (66 PA), 0 HR, 9 RBI)

    Round 9-13:

    1. Jeff - Lonnie Chisenhall

     

    Cut in 2014

    2. Tom - Ryan Vogelsong

    0-7, 2 SV, 3.467 ERA, 45 K (85.6 IPS)

    Cut in 2014

    3. Jed - Michael Cuddyer

    0.271 / 0.322 / 0.427 / 0.749 (286 PA), 12 HR, 47 RBI, 6 SB

    Cut in 2016

    4. Randy - Phillip Humber

    3-1, 0 SV, 6.511 ERA, 25 K (47 IPS)

    Cut in 2013

    5. Harold - Guillermo Moscoso

    1-1, 1 SV, 6.490 ERA, 18 K (34.6 IPS)

    Cut in 2013

    6. Arnie - Mark Melancon

    2-2, 1 SV, 3.103 ERA, 21 K (29 IPS)

    Cut in 2013

    7.Robin - Brent Lillibridge

    0.291 / 0.391 / 0.438 / 0.829 (64 PA), 4 HR, 9 RBI, 3 SB

    Cut in 2013

    8.Eric - Jose Molina

     

    Cut in 2013

    1. Randy - Brandon McCarthy

    7-2, 0 SV, 4.114 ERA, 47 K (70 IPS)

    Cut in 2014

    2. Jed - Nick Hundley

    0.245 / 0.302 / 0.349 / 0.651 (106 PA), 4 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2013

    3. Tom - Vinnie Pestano

    0-2, 1 SV, 5.192 ERA, 18 K (17.3 IPS)

    Cut in 2014

    4. Jeff - Tyler Chatwood

     

    Cut in 2013

    5. Harold - Ben Revere

    0.277 / 0.302 / 0.337 / 0.639 (86 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 4 SB

    Cut in 2015

    6. Arnie - Bud Norris

     

    Cut in 2014

    7. Robin - Ryan Lavarnway

    0.500 / 0.500 / 2.000 / 2.5 (2 PA), 1 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2014

    8. Eric - Ramon Ramirez

    -,  SV,  ERA,  K ( IPS)

    Cut in 2013

    1. Jeff - Chris Parmalee

    0.333 / 0.400 / 0.600 / 1 (30 PA), 1 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2013

    2. Tom - Troy Patton

    1-0, 3 SV, 2.250 ERA, 20 K (20 IPS)

    Cut in 2014

    3. Jed - Edward Mujica

    9-2, 1 SV, 2.211 ERA, 56 K (77.3 IPS)

    Cut in 2015

    4. Randy - Alez Presley

     

    Cut in 2013

    5. Harold - Alex Liddi

     

    Cut in 2014

    6. Arnie - Nick Punto

     

    Cut After One Year

    7. Robin - Tom Milone

     

    Cut in 2014

    8. Eric - Casey Kotchman

     

    Cut in 2013

    1. Randy - Kyle Seager

    0.235 / 0.303 / 0.359 / 0.662 (429 PA), 11 HR, 40 RBI, 2 SB

    Still Owned

    2. Jed - Mike Leake

    2-1, 1 SV, 3.981 ERA, 36 K (52 IPS)

    Still Owned

    3. Tom - Anthony Rizzo

    0.279/0.339/0.411 / 0.75 (372 PA), 14 HR, 44 RBI, 2 SB

    Still Owned

    4. Harold - Kameron Loe

    0-1, 0 SV, 5.400 ERA, 11 K (10 IPS)

    Cut in 2013

    5. Arnie - Louis Coleman

     

    Cut After One Year

    6. Robin - Kyle Drabek

     

    Cut After One Year

    1. Harold - Eduardo Nunez

    0.091 / 0.231 / 0.077 / 0.308 (13 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut in 2013

    2. Robin - Josh Reddick

    0.208 / 0.271 / 0.364 / 0.635 (398 PA), 15 HR, 35 RBI, 1 SB

    Still Owned

     

    Best Pick:  Three position players stand out – Kyle Seager, Anthony Rizzo and Josh Reddick.  Seager was slow to develop but has become a solid if under-rated manner of the hot corner.  Rizzo was a strange a pick; I had him rated as part of the top 4 (Hosmer, Goldie, Belt and Rizzo).  I thought Hosmer would go in the first round and I wanted Rizzo but always had another priority and once the others went, I asked myself how late can I wait. Reddick has been a better major league player than SOMBILLA player, but he has potential well beyond the last pick of the draft (Ed note: and he’s cute).

    2010 Card Set Results:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    0.284 / 0.325 / 0.469 / 0.794 (292 PA), 14 HR, 37 RBI, 1 SB

    Eric

    0.239 / 0.268 / 0.324 / 0.592 (448 PA), 5 HR, 37 RBI, 3 SB

    Harold

    0.289 / 0.325 / 0.435 / 0.76 (379 PA), 13 HR, 48 RBI, 12 SB

    Jed

    0.276 / 0.321 / 0.389 / 0.71 (262 PA), 6 HR, 31 RBI, 0 SB

    Jeff

    0.248 / 0.316 / 0.335 / 0.651 (576 PA), 13 HR, 53 RBI, 11 SB

    Robin

    0.277 / 0.340 / 0.428 / 0.768 (418 PA), 18 HR, 64 RBI, 7 SB

    Tom

    0.290 / 0.333 / 0.424 / 0.757 (33 PA), 1 HR, 5 RBI, 1 SB

    Wax

    0.276 / 0.360 / 0.324 / 0.684 (139 PA), 1 HR, 17 RBI, 0 SB

     

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    3-3, 3 SV, 3.836 ERA, 76 K (61 IPS)

    Eric

    5-3, 5 SV, 2.805 ERA, 50 K (77 IPS)

    Harold

    3-5, 1 SV, 5.078 ERA, 96 K (106.3 IPS)

    Jed

    7-2, 6 SV, 2.778 ERA, 86 K (81 IPS)

    Jeff

    16-7, 9 SV, 3.908 ERA, 177 K (225.6 IPS)

    Robin

    2-1, 2 SV, 2.815 ERA, 49 K (70.3 IPS)

    Tom

    1-5, 11 SV, 2.753 ERA, 72 K (85 IPS)

    Wax

    17-12, 5 SV, 4.371 ERA, 193 K (278 IPS)

     

    Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    0.263 / 0.326 / 0.438 / 0.764 (1136 PA), 47 HR, 136 RBI, 9 SB

    Eric

    0.267 / 0.304 / 0.341 / 0.645 (875 PA), 8 HR, 75 RBI, 4 SB

    Harold

    0.286 / 0.325 / 0.409 / 0.734 (692 PA), 18 HR, 81 RBI, 25 SB

    Jed

    0.246 / 0.309 / 0.365 / 0.674 (1094 PA), 29 HR, 125 RBI, 4 SB

    Jeff

    0.254 / 0.310 / 0.355 / 0.665 (1138 PA), 26 HR, 124 RBI, 17 SB

    Robin

    0.257 / 0.312 / 0.421 / 0.733 (1017 PA), 43 HR, 136 RBI, 8 SB

    Tom

    0.280 / 0.359 / 0.443 / 0.802 (1661 PA), 77 HR, 230 RBI, 37 SB

    Wax

    0.252 / 0.323 / 0.358 / 0.681 (579 PA), 12 HR, 61 RBI, 2 SB

     

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    7-7, 34 SV, 2.883 ERA, 183 K (137.3 IPS)

    Eric

    14-6, 23 SV, 2.439 ERA, 129 K (162.3 IPS)

    Harold

    20-14, 1 SV, 4.240 ERA, 360 K (352.3 IPS)

    Jed

    17-7, 13 SV, 2.250 ERA, 200 K (192 IPS)

    Jeff

    23-19, 14 SV, 4.323 ERA, 285 K (372.6 IPS)

    Robin

    8-6, 19 SV, 3.508 ERA, 224 K (236 IPS)

    Tom

    5-16, 28 SV, 3.369 ERA, 165 K (181.6 IPS)

    Wax

    25-16, 9 SV, 4.216 ERA, 249 K (365 IPS)

     

    Best Draft:  CN Manatees edge out the field with Trout,M, Walden,J, Holland,G, Mesoraco,D, Moustakas,M*, Kipnis,J*, Alvarez,H, Rosario,W, Vogelsong,R, Pestano,V, Patton,T* and Rizzo,A*.  They got the best player in the draft, a closer, starting 2B and 1B and pitchers to pull them through the 2012 and 2013 seasons.

    Worst Draft:  Eric with whatever his team’s name came out last after winning the World Series with a draft of Montero,J, Young,M, Motte,J, Cabrera,M+, Aceves,A, Luebke,C*, Schierholtz,N*, Smith,J, Tejada,R, Molina,J, Ramirez,R and Kotchman,C*.  He flipped Melky Cabrera for a draft pick but came out of this draft with only Joe Smith as a talented reliever long term.  All the other players were either short term or future picks who did not pan out.


    Draft Analysis – 2013

     

    It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2013 (Cards 2012) draft. 

    We have 4 SOMBILLA Seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:

     

    As a result, some of these teams players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned that they deserve.

    Round 1:

    1. Tom - Bryce Harper

    0.279 / 0.356 / 0.469 / 0.825 (590 PA), 33 HR, 93 RBI, 6 SB

    Still Owned

    2. Harold - Yoenis Cespedes

    0.255 / 0.288 / 0.412 / 0.700 (483 PA), 16 HR, 58 RBI, 4 SB

    Still Owned

    3. Robin - Yu Darvish

    9-15, 0 SV, 5.04 ERA, 293 K (234 IPS)

    Still Owned

    4. Jeff - Kyle Lohse

    12-15, 0 SV, 4.30 ERA, 132 K (257.67 IPS)

    Waived

    5. Jed - Kris Medlen

    6-6, 8 SV, 4.63 ERA, 122 K (149.667 IPS)

    Traded Waived

    6. RAT - Manny Machado

    0.247 / 0.335 / 0.369 / 0.704 (179 PA), 7 HR, 21 RBI, 4 SB

    Still Owned

    7. Eric  - Andrelton Simmons

    0.209 / 0.247 / 0.271 / 0.518 (166 PA), 1 HR, 6 RBI, 1 SB

    Still Owned

    8. Harold - Matt Harvey

    13-10, 0 SV, 4.51 ERA, 157 K (159.67 IPS)

    Still Owned

    Best Pick:  Bryce Harper has been one of the most hyped, young players and as such a no brainer number 1 overall pick.  He has a MLB NL MVP and even in his off years he is still a top 5 player at his position.  After a strong comeback year, he is still the best pick in the round.

    Worst Picks:  This is a tough call, but I am going to put Andrelton Simmons as the choice.  He is putting up an excellent year and might make himself usable.  He is one of the best glove men to play at the premier position but with the crop of new shortstops that can hit he may never start consistently in the SOMBILLA.  He was a player that I wanted to pick up in the second round.

    Other:..Manny Machado was my second choice of the round and he has been a better major league player than SOMBILLA player.  If he becomes a shortstop with a good enough rating he could push his way into contention. Either way he is good enough to put together an MVP season and after a monster second half he looks to be on his way to becoming a consistent Strat player.

     

    Round 2:

    1. Harold -Yasmani Grandal

    0.234 / 0.311 / 0.361 / 0.672 (357 PA), 16 HR, 46 RBI, 1 SB

    Still Owned

    2. Robin - A.J. Griffin

    2-2, 0 SV, 2.91 ERA, 22 K (34 IPS)

    Waived

    3. Tom - Fernando Rodney

    3-2, 9 SV, 2.43 ERA, 31 K (29.67 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    4. Jeff - Ryan Cook

    5-0, 4 SV, 3.00 ERA, 83 K (63 IPS)

    Waived

    5. Jed - Justin Ruggiano

    0.169 / 0.256 / 0.314 / 0.57 (86 PA), 3 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    6. RAT - Brandon Moss

    0.263 / 0.338 / 0.500 / 0.838 (390 PA), 27 HR, 86 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    7. Eric - Jarrod Parker

    3-4, 0 SV, 3.97 ERA, 54 K (68 IPS)

    Waived

    8. Arnie - Will Middlebrooks


    Waived, Claimed, …

     

    Best Pick:  Brandon Moss just pulls ahead of Grandal and Rodney.  Moss has been one of those players that has been dangerous in a fearsome Wax lineup.  Moss’s value has declined and may not be long for the SOMBILLA and Grandal could become the better pick by then end of his career.  Rodney was the best reliever in the set and helped propel CN to the World Series.

    Worst Pick:  Tommy John surgery has ended the career of the two prospect starters in this round but Will Middlebrooks takes the prize as the worst player of the round.  Arnie cut him immediately and he had some hope for Jeff but never made it into a game.

    Round 3:

    1. Tom - Matt Moore

    0-0, 0 SV, 6.23 ERA, 6 K (4.33 IPS)

    Waived

    2. Harold - Jeff Samardzija

    8-9, 0 SV, 3.40 ERA, 113 K (153.33 IPS)

    Traded Still Owned

    3. Jeff - Jean Segura

    0.248 / 0.295 / 0.336 / 0.631 (220 PA), 3 HR, 21 RBI, 16 SB

    Traded Still Owned

    4. Robin - Marco Scutero

    0.217 / 0.263 / 0.283 / 0.546 (152 PA), 2 HR, 11 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut After One Year

    5. Jed - Jon Jay

    0.276 / 0.309 / 0.366 / 0.675 (194 PA), 2 HR, 17 RBI, 7 SB

    Cut After One Year

    6. RAT - Jake McGee

    2-3, 5 SV, 2.18 ERA, 65 K (57.67 IPS)

    Still Owned

    7. Eric - Jonathon Lucroy

    0.255 / 0.297 / 0.390 / 0.687 (333 PA), 7 HR, 36 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    8. Arnie - Jim Johnson

    0-0, 0 SV, 1.12 ERA, 10 K (24 IPS)

    Traded Waived

     

    Best Pick:  Jonathon Lucroy pulls ahead on the basis of having a top 4 Catchers card for the coming season.  He has been a better major league player than Strat player and he looked mediocre this year in real life so it is yet to be seen if he can put it together a future group of cards after this one.

    Worst Pick:  Matt Moore is one of these touted left handers that was downgraded out of the first two rounds, but never lived up to his hype.  Had several no hit bids and looked dominant at times but could not remain healthy or consistent.

    Other:  Jeff Samardzija has had a surprisingly good under the radar career in the SOMBILLA for Harold who has moved him on to Jeff.  Jake McGee is the classic best left handed reliever available pick and has had a solid career and continues to pitch adequately even in Colorado. 

    Round 4:

    1. Harold - Scott Atchison

    1-0, 3 SV, 1.12 ERA, 10 K (16 IPS)

    Traded Cut After One Year

    2. Jeff - George Kontos

    1-2, 0 SV, 7.36 ERA, 22 K (18.333 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    3. Tom - John Jaso

    0.312 / 0.417 / 0.442 / 0.859 (163 PA), 8 HR, 23 RBI, 0 SB

    Waived

    4. Robin - Ronald Belisario

    4-0, 2 SV, 1.37 ERA, 27 K (26.333 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    5. Jed - Darwin Barney

    0.291 / 0.325 / 0.366 / 0.691 (123 PA), 1 HR, 11 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut After One Year

    6. RAT - Wilton Lopez

    1-3, 4 SV, 3.16 ERA, 17 K (25.67 IPS)

    Waived

    7. Eric - Chris Tillman

    2-6, 0 SV, 4.59 ERA, 46 K (86.33 IPS)

    Traded Waived Still Owned

    8. Arnie - David Murphy

    0.177 / 0.295 / 0.235 / 0.53 (132 PA), 2 HR, 4 RBI, 2 SB

    Traded Waived

     

    Best Pick:  This round was all about short term needs, except maybe Chris Tilman who has settled into the occasional 4th SOMBILLA starter.   John Jaso gets the nod as he got CN to the World Series and was the lead off hitter in many of the games and had a 400+ OBP and 859 Slugging plus OBP.

    Worst Pick:  George Kontos and David Murphy tie for two short term players that never contributed much to their teams.

    Round 5:

    1. Tom - Everth Cabrera

    0.253 / 0.309 / 0.320 / 0.629 (175 PA), 2 HR, 12 RBI, 12 SB

    Waived

    2. Harold - Koji Uehara

    1-2, 15 SV, 2.37 ERA, 33 K (38 IPS)

    Waived

    3. Robin - Jason Hammel

    3-2, 0 SV, 4.41 ERA, 44 K (49 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    4. Jeff - Casey Fien

    1-1, 3 SV, 1.23 ERA, 12 K (14.67 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    5. Jed - Junichi Tazawa

    2-1, 7 SV, 1.33 ERA, 18 K (20.33 IPS)

    Waived

    6. RAT - David Hernandez

    0-1, 3 SV, 1.87 ERA, 24 K (24 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    7. Eric - Matt Dominguez


    Waived

    8. Arnie - Mitchell Boggs

    3-0, 0 SV, 1.86 ERA, 17 K (29 IPS)

    Traded Cut After One Year

     

    Best Pick:  None of these players survived being cut at some point, but Koji Uehara gets the nod as he had the most leveraged innings and was just redrafted by Harold the relief pitcher expert.   

    Worst Pick:  Matt Dominguez gets the worse pick of the round as he never got close to making a SOMBILLA team.

    Round 6:

    1. Harold - Wade Miley

    3-1, 0 SV, 4.36 ERA, 34 K (33 IPS)

    Traded Cut After One Year

    2. Robin - Starling Marte

    0.261 / 0.302 / 0.347 / 0.649 (504 PA), 5 HR, 43 RBI, 19 SB

    Still Owned

    3. Tom - Adam LaRoche

    0.242 / 0.324 / 0.486 / 0.81 (148 PA), 11 HR, 30 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    4. Jeff - Jared Burton

    1-0, 3 SV, 5.68 ERA, 16 K (19 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    5. Jed - Chris Carter

    0.218 / 0.307 / 0.429 / 0.736 (254 PA), 15 HR, 48 RBI, 0 SB

    Waived

    6. RAT - Bobby Parnell

    5-2, 6 SV, 4.15 ERA, 35 K (47.66 IPS)

    Waived

    7. Eric - Tom Wilhelmsen

    3-4, 4 SV, 2.89 ERA, 73 K (71.67 IPS)

    Still Owned

    8. Arnie - Raul Valdes

    1-0, 0 SV, 1.42 ERA, 12 K (12.67 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

     

    Best Pick:  Starling Marte gets the nod even with his recent drug suspension.  He is a 1 in any outfield position and has the future potential to become a top outfield hitter.  He edges out Wilhelmsen who has been a consistent reliever throughout even if he cannot keep the closer job in real life.  LaRoche was a one year mutant who did his job for a contender but not worth more of a nod.

    Worst Pick:  Chris Carter will get the nod because he just did not make it over replacement value at his best position -- hitter.  Everyone else was at least replacement for what they were drafted for.

    Round 7:

    1. Tom - Stephen Drew

    0.284 / 0.364 / 0.417 / 0.781 (242 PA), 8 HR, 20 RBI, 4 SB

    Waived

    2. Harold - Luis Avilan

    0-3, 1 SV, 2.38 ERA, 7 K (11.33 IPS)

    Waived

    3. Jeff - Aaron Harang

    4-6, 0 SV, 5.30 ERA, 46 K (74. 7 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    4. Robin - Josh Rutledge


    Cut After One Year

    5. Jed - Joe Nathan

    1-5, 10 SV, 3.86 ERA, 44 K (46.67 IPS)

    Waived

    6. RAT - Darren O'Day

    3-3, 5 SV, 2.77 ERA, 68 K (68.33 IPS)

    Waived

    7. Eric - Andy Dirks

    0.281 / 0.312 / 0.348 / 0.66 (141 PA), 0 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB

    Waived

    8. Arnie - Marco Estrada

    3-3, 0 SV, 4.30 ERA, 75 K (90 IPS)

    Waived

     

    Best Pick:  Darren O’Day has been a consistent right handed hitter killer for more than one team. Longevity and quality gives him the nod.  

    Worst Pick: Josh Rutledge was the next power hitting middle infielder for the Rockies but he never really caught on and they traded him and then Robin cut him.

    Round 8:

    1. Harold - Wade Davis

    1-2, 0 SV, 2.78 ERA, 24 K (22.67 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    2. Jeff - Juan Castro

    0.294 / 0.321 / 0.509 / 0.83 (212 PA), 8 HR, 28 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    3. Tom - Kelvin Herrera

    3-1, 2 SV, 6.39 ERA, 19 K (25.33 IPS)

    Stupid Cut Claimed Still Own

    4. Robin - Adam Eaton

    0.258 / 0.312 / 0.346 / 0.658 (263 PA), 3 HR, 17 RBI, 3 SB

    Still Owned

    5. Jed - Todd Frazier

    0.247 / 0.302 / 0.406 / 0.708 (192 PA), 8 HR, 22 RBI, 4 SB

    Still Owned

    6. RAT - Rob Brantly

    0.226 / 0.351 / 0.243 / 0.594 (37 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    7. Eric - Jonny Gomes


    Waived

    8. - Arnie - Matt Carpenter

    0.225 / 0.308 / 0.328 / 0.636 (574 PA), 10 HR, 56 RBI, 1 SB

    Still Owned

     

    Best Pick:  This round has a surprisingly large number of players that are still in the SOMBILLA.  Juan Castro has the best statistics in a limited number of ABs, but Matt Carpenter has held a spot on one of the best teams over the last 4 years and is developing power in the majors and has a bright future as a cornerstone to the Cardinals.  Herrera got the closer job and looks to have a future better than the idiot who cut him …

    Worst Pick:  Most regretted cut was Wade Davis, who remade himself as a quality reliever.   Johnny Gomes was the worse pick since he was waived and had no reported stats.

    Round 9:

    1. Tom - Sean Doolittle

    5-1, 3 SV, 2.78 ERA, 49 K (45.333 IPS)

    Still Owned

    2. Harold - A.J. Ellis

    0.262 / 0.328 / 0.344 / 0.672 (180 PA), 4 HR, 15 RBI, 0 SB

    Waived

    3. Robin - Erasmo Ramirez


    Waived

    4. Jeff - Casey Kelly


    Cut immediately

    5. Eirc* - Franklin Morales


    Cut immediately

    6. RAT - Mark Trumbo

    0.231 / 0.286 / 0.310 / 0.596 (42 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB

    Waived

    7. Eric - Avisail Garcia

    0.250 / 0.354 / 0.446 / 0.8 (65 PA), 4 HR, 8 RBI, 1 SB

    Waived

    8. Arnie - Addison Reed

    0-3, 0 SV, 5.90 ERA, 25 K (29 IPS)

    Still Owned

     

    Best Pick:  Sean Dolittle has been a closer and a lefty specialist that gets right handers out as well.  He is a Jake Magee but several rounds later.  Only downside has been his lack of consistent health.

    Worst Pick: Four players were cut before or during the waiver draft a week after being drafted.  Casey Kelly and Franklin Morales included in these four makes them the worst picks of the round.

     

    Round 10-13:

    1. Harold - Charlie Furbush

    0-2, 1 SV, 6.11 ERA, 18 K (17.6666666666667 IPS)

    Traded Waived

    2. Robin - Norichika Aoki

    0.284 / 0.336 / 0.404 / 0.74 (307 PA), 8 HR, 28 RBI, 8 SB

    Waived

    3. Tom - Anthony Gose

    / / / 0 ( PA), HR, RBI, SB

    Cut After One Year

    4. Jeff - A.J. Pierzynski

    0.201 / 0.247 / 0.342 / 0.589 (158 PA), 6 HR, 13 RBI, 0 SB

    Waived

    5. Jed - Carlos Gomez

    0.247 / 0.300 / 0.377 / 0.677 (414 PA), 12 HR, 38 RBI, 20 SB

    Cut After One YearWaivedStill Owned

    6. RAT - Octavio Dotel

    0-0, 0 SV, 0.000 ERA, 0 K (0.333333333333333 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    7. Eric - Cody Ross

    0.154 / 0.241 / 0.241 / 0.482 (58 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

    Waived

    8. Arnie - Pete Kozma

    0.259 / 0.333 / 0.500 / 0.833 (30 PA), 1 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    1. Tom - Aaron Crow

    2-1, 0 SV, 6.29 ERA, 24 K (24.3333333333333 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    2. Harold - David Phelps

    0-1, 0 SV, 4.82 ERA, 10 K (9.33333333333333 IPS)

    Waived

    3. Jeff - Brett Jackson

    / / / 0 ( PA), HR, RBI, SB

    Cut After One Year

    4. Robin - Alex Cobb

    8-12, 0 SV, 5.77 ERA, 121 K (128 IPS)

    Still Owned

    5. Jed - Lance Lynn

    5-6, 0 SV, 4.51 ERA, 90 K (101.67 IPS)

    Waived

    6. RAT - Pedro Ciriaco

    / / / 0 ( PA), HR, RBI, SB

    Cut After One Year

    7. Eric - DJ LeMahieu

    0.240 / 0.327 / 0.257 / 0.584 (113 PA), 0 HR, 9 RBI, 4 SB

    Still Owned

    8. Arnie - Andrew Cashner

    4-8, 0 SV, 5.96 ERA, 84 K (99.67 IPS)

    Waived

    1. Jeff - Tanner Scheppers

    4-1, 6 SV, 2.14 ERA, 19 K (21 IPS)

    Waived

    2. Tom - Dan Straily


    Cut at Waiver Draft

    3. Robin - Jose Iglesias

    0.289 / 0.350 / 0.336 / 0.686 (220 PA), 0 HR, 16 RBI, 3 SB

    Still Owned

    4. Jed - Brandon Crawford

    0.202 / 0.260 / 0.316 / 0.576 (288 PA), 8 HR, 22 RBI, 4 SB

    Still Owned

    5. RAT - Freddy Galvis


    Cut at Waiver Draft

    6. Eric - Miguel Gonzalez

     

    Cut After One Year

    7. Arnie - Patrick Corbin

     

    Still Owned

    1. Arnie - Felix Doubront

     


     

    Best Pick:  Two players stand out – DJ LaMehieu who surprised us all maybe most of all Eric to become a solid contributor in the middle of the Rockies’ infield.  Alex Cobb is a solid starter that looks to have a future still after being picked amongst players long since waived.

    2012 Card Set Results:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    0.213 / 0.319 / 0.319 / 0.638 (276 PA), 5 HR, 27 RBI, 2 SB

    Eric

    0.258 / 0.302 / 0.361 / 0.663 (288 PA), 4 HR, 34 RBI, 0 SB

    Harold

    0.276 / 0.340 / 0.391 / 0.731 (353 PA), 12 HR, 38 RBI, 1 SB

    Jed

    0.203 / 0.248 / 0.344 / 0.592 (157 PA), 6 HR, 13 RBI, 0 SB

    Jeff

    0.242 / 0.294 / 0.336 / 0.63 (541 PA), 9 HR, 55 RBI, 9 SB

    Robin

    0.251 / 0.306 / 0.360 / 0.666 (386 PA), 8 HR, 36 RBI, 9 SB

    Tom

    0.279 / 0.354 / 0.444 / 0.798 (619 PA), 31 HR, 90 RBI, 11 SB

    Wax

    0.260 / 0.348 / 0.438 / 0.786 (201 PA), 11 HR, 37 RBI, 0 SB

     

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    6-1, 0 SV, 3.01 ERA, 77 K (107.67 IPS)

    Eric

    4-6, 3 SV, 3.75 ERA, 93 K (100.67 IPS)

    Harold

    8-15, 10 SV, 4.01 ERA, 170 K (197.33 IPS)

    Jed

    17-14, 9 SV, 3.83 ERA, 177 K (256.333 IPS)

    Jeff

    3-6, 15 SV, 2.73 ERA, 81 K (99 IPS)

    Robin

    14-8, 2 SV, 4.09 ERA, 166 K (178.333 IPS)

    Tom

    5-3, 9 SV, 4.17 ERA, 55 K (54 IPS)

    Wax

    4-6, 14 SV, 2.68 ERA, 96 K (117.33 IPS)

     

    Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    0.218 / 0.307 / 0.318 / 0.625 (736 PA), 13 HR, 70 RBI, 3 SB

    Eric

    0.242 / 0.295 / 0.338 / 0.633 (876 PA), 14 HR, 79 RBI, 6 SB

    Harold

    0.249 / 0.303 / 0.382 / 0.685 (1020 PA), 36 HR, 119 RBI, 5 SB

    Jed

    0.252 / 0.292 / 0.400 / 0.692 (590 PA), 17 HR, 62 RBI, 16 SB

    Jeff

    0.237 / 0.295 / 0.372 / 0.667 (1551 PA), 49 HR, 167 RBI, 36 SB

    Robin

    0.265 / 0.314 / 0.351 / 0.665 (1446 PA), 18 HR, 115 RBI, 34 SB

    Tom

    0.276 / 0.355 / 0.439 / 0.794 (1318 PA), 62 HR, 178 RBI, 22 SB

    Wax

    0.254 / 0.335 / 0.437 / 0.772 (648 PA), 35 HR, 116 RBI, 4 SB

     

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    11-14, 0 SV, 4.40 ERA, 223 K (284.333 IPS)

    Eric

    8-14, 4 SV, 3.86 ERA, 173 K (226 IPS)

    Harold

    27-30, 20 SV, 3.77 ERA, 406 K (461 IPS)

    Jed

    28-25, 16 SV, 4.27 ERA, 330 K (468.333 IPS)

    Jeff

    14-18, 25 SV, 4.27 ERA, 274 K (318.333 IPS)

    Robin

    26-31, 2 SV, 4.81 ERA, 507 K (471.333 IPS)

    Tom

    13-5, 14 SV, 4.19 ERA, 129 K (129 IPS)

    Wax

    11-12, 23 SV, 2.86 ERA, 209 K (223.667 IPS)

     

    Best Draft (Short Term):  This goes to the Manatees who drafted an offense to get them into the World Series while picking up the best player of the draft.  Also the best offense over the 4 years so far is the Manatees with Harold, Jed and Robin having the best results for the pitching they picked up.

    Best Draft (Overall):  If you think Matt Harvey is going to be great, then Harold wins.  If you think having the most players still on your roster headed by Darvish, Marte and Cobb then you pick Robin.  But after much thought I pick Robin to hold the trophy by having the most possible lottery tickets going forward.  Robin drafted:  Yu Darvish, A.J. Griffin, Marco Scutero. Ronald Belisario, Jason Hammel, Starling Marte, Josh Rutledge, Adam Eaton, Erasmo Ramirez, Norichika Aoki, Alex Cobb, and finally Jose Iglesias.

    Worst Draft:  Jeff had a tough draft with only Juan Castro still on his team from this draft class.  He drafted for short term pitching problems and got Samardzija in a trade later but just not enough in the short or long term of this draft for them.  Jeff drafted:  Kyle Lohse, Ryan Cook, Jean Segura, George Kontos, Casey Fien, Jared Burton, Aaron Harang, Juan Castro, Casey Kelly, A.J. Pierzynski, Brett Jackson and Tanner Scheppers


    Draft Analysis – 2014, by Tom Kinney (edited by Arnie & Robin)  [8/18]

     

    It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2014 (Cards 2013) draft. 

    We have 4 SOMBILLA seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:

     

    As a result, some of these teams players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, and SBs) and be more maligned that they deserve.

    Round 1:

    1. Harold – Fernandez, Jose

    10-4, 0 SV, 2.914 ERA, 172 K (139 IPS)

    Cut 2018 waivers/dead

    2. Jeff – Puig, Yasiel

    .310 / .358 / .430 / .788 (523 PA), 13 HR, 67 RBI, 14 SB

    Still Owned

    3. Jed – Bogaerts, Xander

    .343 / .383 / .435 / .818 (115 PA), 1 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB

    Traded Still Owned

    4. Robin – Myers, Wil

    .275 / .351 / .436 / .787 (296 PA), 12 HR, 37 RBI, 4 SB

    Still Owned

    5. RAT – Profar, Jurickson

     

    Still Owned

    6. Tom – Miller, Shelby

    3-4, 0 SV, 4.48 ERA, 65 K (7.33 IPS)

    Cut 2018 waivers

    7. Tom – Donaldson, Josh

    .290 / .376 / .449 / .825 (737 PA), 34 HR, 97 RBI, 3 SB

    Still Owned

    8. Arnie – Yelich, Christian

    .305 / .375 / .461 / .836 (317 PA), 13 HR, 38 RBI, 9 SB

    Still Owned

    Best Pick:  This was a great first round for hitting, and if we were to revisit it in 5 more years Bogaerts or Yelich might end up being the best picks.  But 5 years in, I have to go with Josh Donaldson who won a SOMBILLA MVP  and has been a contender for MVP in that other MLB universe.  His numbers in the first four years give him the edge and he is one of the top 3rd basemen in the current card set and he is alive.

    Worst Picks:  The most disappointing pick in this round was most definitely Jurickson Profar, who is the very definition of a first round tease.  He was a Baseball America top prospect, played everywhere and did everything.  Health was his initial downfall and he just never developed into a major league star.

    Other:..This draft has a number of pitchers who have passed on.  If not for a boating accident fueled by narcotics, the best pick laurels would have graced this young hurler’s head.  Alas, it seems that water and SOMBILLA pitchers do not mix.

    Round 2:

    1. Harold – Gray, Sonny

    10-17, 0 SV, 4.33 ERA, 172 K (218.3 IPS)

    Still Owned

    2. Robin – Cole, Gerrit

    8-10, 0 SV, 4.00 ERA, 119 K (153 IPS)

    Still Owned

    3. Jed – Wacha, Michael

    1-2, 0 SV, 2.38 ERA, 33 K (34 IPS)

    Still Owned

    4. Jeff – Iwakuma, Hisashi

    13-8, 0 SV, 3.93 ERA, 132 K (16.3 IPS)

    Cut 2018 waiver

    5. RAT – Rosenthal, Trevor

    0-2, 2 SV, 7.45 ERA, 24 K (19.3 IPS)

    Cut 2017 waiver

    6. Eric – Calhoun, Kole

    .212 / .244 / .355 / .599 (197 PA), 6 HR, 17 RBI, 1 SB

    Still Owned

    7. Tom – Adams, Matt

    .260 / .310 / .433 / .743 (277 PA), 9 HR, 28 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut 2018 waiver

    8. Arnie – Gomes, Yan

    .256 / .290 / .422 / .712 (303 PA), 12 HR, 28 RBI, 0 SB

    Traded Still Owned

     

    Best Pick:  This is a difficult round to choose from; none of these players have developed into the stars that each of the managers hoped.  Iwakuma the older pitcher had a better record but has no future potential.  Cole the second in the round might have looked better if we had two more years of stats as he is a solid regular in MLB.  But the choice comes down to Sonny Gray and Gerrit Cole, both of whom have changed their MLB clubs. Gerrit gets the nod in that he has looked better over the last two years.

    Worst Pick:  Trevor Rosenthal went to the pen in MLB to save his team and it was widely seen as the first stop to becoming a dominant starter.  Both STL pitchers in this round have had injuries and production issues and the talented Wax team moved on from Rosenthal, who never produced even in limited play.

    Other: Back in 2014, in the first two rounds, I was deciding between taking two of these three: Shelby Miller, Gerrit Cole and Sonny Gray, or taking one of the three and Donaldson.  It was clear that the two not taken were the next two starters and they were taken immediately.  If Donaldson (a converted catcher and maybe Moneyball player) had not panned out, then this draft would have been a real might of/could of/should of for CN.  (Note from Robin – I would have drafted the cuter Gray if he was there, and took Cole as the next best.)

    Round 3:

    1. Arnie – Nava, Daniel

    .241 / .309 / .318 / .627 (223 PA), 3 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2016 waivers

    2. Jeff – Torres, Alex

    1-0, 0 SV, 1.64 ERA, 22 K (22 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    3. Jed – Hamilton, Billy

    .274 / .366 / .275 / .641 (142 PA), 0 HR, 10 RBI, 25 SB

    Cut 2018 waivers

    4. Robin – Roark, Tanner

    8-8, 2 SV, 4.02 ERA, 71 K (105.3 IPS)

    Cut 2016 waivers, redrafted by Eric in 2017

    5. RAT – Teheran, Julio

    7-12, 0 SV, 5.75 ERA, 131 K (141 IPS)

    Still Owned

    6. Eric – Arcia, Oswaldo

     

    Cut 2016 waivers

    7. Tom – Melancon, Mark

    7-8, 11 SV, 4.626 ERA, 68 K (103.3 IPS)

    Still Owned

    8. Arnie – Thielbar, Caleb

    2-1, 0 SV, 1.08 ERA, 12 K (16.67 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

     

    Best Pick:  A round of temporary contributors – Billy Hamilton played good D and had a better on base then I expected but no extra base hits at all???  Tanner Roark contributed but the retread Mark Melancon was used in high leverage situations and came through more often then not.

    Worst Pick:  Oswaldo Arcia left no indication that he ever played before he was cut.

    Round 4:

    1. Harold – Gregorius, Didi

    .227 / .275 / .311 / .586 (418 PA), 7 HR, 30 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    2. Robin – Siegrist, Kevin

    1-0, 1 SV, 1.12 ERA, 13 K (16 IPS)

    Cut claimed Cut 2018

    3. Jed – Gyorko, Jedd

    .216 / .281 / .406 / .687 (192 PA), 11 HR, 22 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2016 waivers

    4. Jeff – Carpenter, David

    1-1, 0 SV, 5.24 ERA, 21 K (22.3 IPS)

    Cut 2018 waivers

    5. RAT – Cingrani, Tony

    2-2, 0 SV, 5.50 ERA, 46 K (37.67 IPS)

    Cut 2018 waivers

    6. Eric – Arenado, Nolan

    .233 / .280 / .378 / .658 (325 PA), 8 HR, 30 RBI, 1 SB

    Still Owned

    7. Tom – Smyly, Drew

    2-0, 2 SV, 2.48 ERA, 29 K (29 IPS)

    Cut 2017 waivers

    8. Arnie – Salazar, Danny


    Still Owned

     

    Best Pick: This comes close only because of Eric not reporting his stats.  If Didi had done a little more with the bat, he would be the choice. Nolan Arenado has been a perennial “1” and MLB MVP candidate and looking forward he gets the nod.

    Worst Pick:  I am a big Danny Salazar fan and I always think the next year will be his year.  But he has yet to have one and he might never come through and as such has to be the worst pick.  He is still a lottery ticket but the solid relievers that everyone needs performed as expected or better.

    Round 5:

    1. Eric – Ozuna, Marcell

    .270 / .324 / .468 / .792 (188 PA), 9 HR, 21 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    2. Jeff – Thornburg,Tyler

    1-1, 2 SV, 3.37 ERA, 16 K (26.67 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    3. Jed – Walker, Taijuan

    1-0, 0 SV, 3.00 ERA, 4 K (6 IPS)

    Still Owned

    4. Robin – Castellanos, Nick

    .263 / .323 / .414 / .737 (232 PA), 9 HR, 22 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    5. Harold – Howell, J.P.

    3-2, 0 SV, 4.03 ERA, 24 K (22.33 IPS)

    Cut 2018 waivers

    6. Eric – Miller, Brad

    .214 / .421 / .237 / .658 (38 PA), 1 HR, 5 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut 2016 waivers

    7. Harold – Wheeler, Zach


    Still Owned

    8. Arnie – Davis, Khris

    .247 / .341 / .443 / .784 (88 PA), 5 HR, 9 RBI, 3 SB

    Still Owned

     

    Best Pick:  This was an uninspiring round with the tease of Taijuan versus potential hitters Ozuna and Castellanos.   Marcell has made it out of Miami after a career year, but the nod goes to Nick as he continues to be a solid contributor (and an atrocious fielder).

    Worst Pick:  Zach Wheeler (see Danny Salazar) except that he has been so injured that he is no longer really much of a lottery ticket.  He might start someday but a dominant season would be a surprise for the ages.

    Round 6:

    1. Jed – Archer, Chris

    3-4, 0 SV, 5.18 ERA, 85 K (74.67 IPS)

    Still Owned

    2. Robin – Ventura, Yordano

    1-4, 0 SV, 6.42 ERA, 39 K (47.67 IPS)

    Cut 2017 waivers/dead

    3. Jed – Rendon, Anthony

    .246 / .352 / .366 / .718 (227 PA), 7 HR, 17 RBI, 6 SB

    Still Owned

    4. Jeff – Colon, Bartolo

    1-7, 0 SV, 5.58 ERA, 27 K (71 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    5. RAT – Gennett, Scooter

    .366 / .388 / .541 / .929 (85 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2016 waivers, redrafted by Tom 2018.

    6. Eric – Medica, Tommy

     

    Cut at some point

    7. Tom – Gausman,Kevin


    Still Owned

    8. Arnie – Asche,Cody


    Cut After One Year

     

    Best Pick:  This round started with two potential star pitchers, one of whom died and one was traded to Arnie for the best pitcher in this draft (Kluber).  Anthony Rendon is a talented, oft-injured players who has strung together a solid 2 and half years that gets him the nod in this round.

    Worst Pick:  If you look at the last two rounds, you might call this round for Gausman. Why is he not the worst?  He could have been, but we have to go with Tommy Medica who has not played in MLB since 2014.

    Round 7:

    1. Eric – Kintzler, Brandon


    Cut After One Year

    2. Harold – Sanchez, Gaby

    .412 / .524 / .429 / .953 (63 PA), 0 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    3. Arnie – Crisp, Coco

    .246 / .320 / .345 / .665 (194 PA), 4 HR, 13 RBI, 5 SB

    Cut After One Year

    4. Robin – Vincent, Nick

    2-1, 1 SV, 1.568 ERA, 14 K (17.3 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    5. RAT – Cotts, Neal

    2-0, 2 SV, 3.15 ERA, 22 K (20 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    6. Eric – Wong, Kolten

     

    Still Owned

    7. Tom – Martinez, Carlos

    12-3, 1 SV, 3.189 ERA, 138 K (144 IPS)

    Still Owned

    8. Arnie – Hochevar, Luke

    1-0, 5 SV, .621 ERA, 35 K (29 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

     

    Best Pick:  Carlos Martinez has won a SOMBILLA Cy Young and even though he is having a tough 2018 he is a MLB #1 pitcher.  He was the second best pitcher selected in this draft.  

    Worst Pick:  Six of these picks were picked primarily as one year filler and performed well enough or very well.  (A bit of an assumption in that Eric did not report stats this year.)   The worst pick goes to Wong as a player that has had enough potential to keep, but like Profar never seems to perform well enough to actually play in the SOMBILLA.  He still holds a roster spot despite that.

    Round 8:

    1. Harold – Navarro, Dioner

    .324 / .342 / .493 / .835 (73 PA), 4 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    2. Robin – Owings, Chris

    .294 / .308 / .519 / .827 (52 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB

    Still Owned

    3. Jed – Gattis, Evan

    .211 / .269 / .416 / .685 (353 PA), 22 HR, 56 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    4. Jeff – Franklin, Nick

     

    Cut 2016 waivers

    5. RAT – Ross, Tyson

    2-9, 0 SV, 4.70 ERA, 98 K (103.33 IPS)

    Cut 2016 waivers, redrafted by Arnie, cut 2018

    6. Eric – Norris, Derek

    .157 / .173 / .231 / .404 (52 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2018 waivers

    7. Tom – Hoover, J.J.

    0-0, 1 SV, 1.73 ERA, 16 K (26 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    8. Arnie – Skaggs, Tyler


    Cut After One Year

     

    Best Pick:  Evan Gattis has been a consistent power threat if not a consistent hitter of the baseball edging out Chris Owings as the best of the round.

    Worst Pick:  Tough choice but Nick Franklin as a non-contributor that held roster space the longest is the worst of the round by a hair.

    Round 9:

    1. Harold – Bradley Jr., Jackie

    .221 / .298 / .377 / .675 (382 PA), 11 HR, 47 RBI, 1 SB

    Still Owned

    2. Jeff – Zunino, Mike

     

    Cut 2016 waivers

    3. Jed – Martin, Leonys

     

    Cut 2016 waivers

    4. Robin – Marisnick, Jake

     

    Cut After One Week, but redrafted at least once

    5. RAT – Mercer, Jordy

    .255 / .293 / .483 / .776 (58 PA), 3 HR, 8 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    6. Eric – Pollock, A.J.

    .260 / .307 / .413 / .72 (218 PA), 5 HR, 21 RBI, 4 SB

    Still Owned

    7. Tom – Raburn, Ryan

    .221 / .283 / .513 / .796 (113 PA), 10 HR, 22 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    8. Arnie – Davis, Rajai

    .194 / .217 / .348 / .565 (69 PA), 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2 SB

    Traded; Cut*

     

    Best Pick:  This is a battle between Jackie Bradley Jr. and AJ Pollack, who have been good if inconsistent performers.  AJ Pollock looks to be the better performer going forward if he can maintain slightly better health in the future, so let’s give him the nod.

    Worst Pick: Jake Marisnick gets the worst pick because he was cut within a week of being drafted.

    *Other:  Rajai Davis was traded by Arnie to Robin after season.   He had a great card versus lefties that year but his stats do not reflect the quality of the cards.

    Round 10-13:

    1. Harold – d'Arnaud, Travis

    .196 / .295 / .352 / .647 (105 PA), 3 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2017 waivers

    2. Robin – Odorizzi, Jake

    0-1, 0 SV, 4.50 ERA, 13 K (14 IPS)

    Still Owned

    3. Jed – Allen, Cody

    7-5, 0 SV, 2.589 ERA, 121 K (97.3 IPS)

    Still Owned (by Robin)

    4. Jeff – Garcia, Leury

     

    Cut After One Year

    5. RAT – Villar, Jonathan

     

    Cut After One Year

    6. Eric – Alvarez, Henderson


    Cut 2016 waivers

    7. Tom – Johnson, Chris

    .357 / .392 / .581 / .973 (74 PA), 5 HR, 21 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    8. Arnie – Kluber, Corey

    16-18, 0 SV, 3.96 ERA, 264 K (274.67 IPS)

    Traded Still Owned

    1. Harold – Soriano, Alfonso

    .206 / .289 / .342 / .631 (38 PA), 2 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    2. Jeff – Ryu, Hyun-Jin

    3-5, 0 SV, 7.64 ERA, 60 K (68.34 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    3. Jed – Kelly, Joe

    3-3, 0 SV, 4.73 ERA, 21 K (45.67 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    4. Robin – Murphy, Donnie

    .317 / .359 / .641 / 1 (64 PA), 5 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    5. RAT – Dozier, Brian

    .205 / .292 / .362 / .654 (489 PA), 21 HR, 63 RBI, 13 SB

    Still Owned

    6. Eric – Span, Denard

    .293 / .328 / .421 / .749 (183 PA), 0 HR, 7 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut 2017 waivers

    7. Tom – Farquhar, Danny

    0-3, 4 SV, 3.18 ERA, 30 K (22.67 IPS)

    Cut 2018 waivers

    1. Harold – Gentry, Craig

    .259 / .394 / .273 / .667 (33 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 4 SB

    Cut After One Year

    2. Robin – Satin, Josh

    .351 / .385 / .513 / .898 (39 PA), 0 HR, 6 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    3. Jed – Eovaldi, Nathan


    Cut 2016 waivers

    4. Jeff – Santana, Ervin


    Cut After One Year

    5. RAT – Castillo, Welington

    .218 / .291 / .221 / .512 (86 PA), 0 HR, 7 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut After One Year

    6. Tom – Wilson, Justin

    3-1, 0 SV, 4.63 ERA, 27 K (23.3 IPS)

    Cut After One Year

    1. Harold – Rodriguez, Paco

     

    Cut After One Year

    2. Tom* - Quentin, Carlos

    .291 / .366 / .610 / .976 (123 PA), 13 HR, 29 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut After One Year

    3. RAT – Loney, James

     

    Cut After One Year

     

    Best Pick:  Corey Kluber was the best pitcher taken in this draft if you look at MLB results.  His SOMBILLA record is a losing record but he continues to look to have a great future as he continues to be amongst the best pitchers in baseball.  Carlos Quentin had a great single season and almost was not even picked in this draft (had to trade to get him as my 13th pick).  I loved this draft in that not only did I select 13 players but I drafted two 12 round picks in future years to be part of my current roster

    Waiver Wire:  This was an odd one as two players were cut who were drafted this year and never even settled in to their new draft homes – Jeff Marisnick (Round 9 by Robin) and James Loney (Round 13 by Future Wax).

    2012 Card Set Results:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    .267 / .333 / .357 / .69 (705 PA), 12 HR, 47 RBI, 13 SB

    Eric

     

    Harold

    .288 / .357 / .374 / .731 (353 PA), 9 HR, 43 RBI, 4 SB

    Jed

    .323 / .378 / .427 / .805 (246 PA), 6 HR, 35 RBI, 8 SB

    Jeff

    .223 / .282 / .420 / .702 (383 PA), 23 HR, 53 RBI, 3 SB

    Robin

    .290 / .330 / .494 / .824 (267 PA), 10 HR, 32 RBI, 2 SB

    Tom

    .286 / .360 / .499 / .859 (581 PA), 39 HR, 107 RBI, 2 SB

    Wax

    .252 / .303 / .362 / .665 (307 PA), 6 HR, 30 RBI, 3 SB

     

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    3-1, 5 SV, 0.788 ERA, 47 K (45.7 IPS)

    Eric

     

    Harold

    7-7, 0 SV, 2.76 ERA, 115 K (107.7 IPS)

    Jed

    11-17, 2 SV, 5.17 ERA, 192 K (268 IPS)

    Jeff

    5-8, 0 SV, 3.63 ERA, 77 K (101.7 IPS)

    Robin

    12-7, 4 SV, 2.85 ERA, 80 K (104 IPS)

    Tom

    12-11, 7 SV, 3.98 ERA, 191 K (199 IPS)

    Wax

    5-5, 4 SV, 4.72 ERA, 115 K (106.7 IPS)

     

    Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    0.260 / 0.321 / 0.398 / 0.719 (1194 PA), 38 HR, 99 RBI, 19 SB

    Eric

    0.245 / 0.293 / 0.391 / 0.684 (1201 PA), 29 HR, 102 RBI, 9 SB

    Harold

    0.238 / 0.308 / 0.356 / 0.664 (1112 PA), 27 HR, 118 RBI, 5 SB

    Jed

    0.310 / 0.358 / 0.430 / 0.788 (523 PA), 13 HR, 67 RBI, 14 SB

    Jeff

    0.243 / 0.316 / 0.386 / 0.702 (1029 PA), 41 HR, 115 RBI, 31 SB

    Robin

    0.281 / 0.341 / 0.458 / 0.799 (683 PA), 28 HR, 83 RBI, 5 SB

    Tom

    0.282 / 0.354 / 0.474 / 0.828 (1324 PA), 71 HR, 197 RBI, 5 SB

    Wax

    0.231 / 0.304 / 0.376 / 0.68 (718 PA), 26 HR, 87 RBI, 15 SB

     

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    19-19, 5 SV, 3.52 ERA, 311 K (320.3 IPS)

    Eric

     

    Harold

    23-23, 0 SV, 3.79 ERA, 368 K (379.7 IPS)

    Jed

    20-22, 2 SV, 4.83 ERA, 278 K (370.7 IPS)

    Jeff

    15-14, 0 SV, 3.70 ERA, 264 K (257.7 IPS)

    Robin

    20-24, 4 SV, 4.10 ERA, 269 K (353.3 IPS)

    Tom

    27-19, 19 SV, 3.70 ERA, 373 K (418.7 IPS)

    Wax

    13-25, 4 SV, 5.32 ERA, 321 K (321.3 IPS)

     

    Draft Summary:

    Round

    Best

    Team

    Worst

    Team

    1

    Donaldson

    CN

    Profar

    Wax

    2

    Gerrit Cole

    Robin

    Rosenthal

    Wax

    3

    Melancon

    CN

    Arcia

    Eric

    4

    Arenado

    Eric

    Salazar

    Arnie

    5

    Castellanos

    Robin

    Wheeler

    Harold

    6

    Rendon

    Jed

    Medica

    Eric

    7

    C-Mart

    CN

    Kolten Wong

    Eric

    8

    Gattis

    Jed

    Nick Franklin

    Jeff

    9

    Pollack

    Eric

    Marisnick

    Robin

    10+

    Kluber

    Arnie



    10+

    Quentin

    CN



     

    Best Draft:  Surprisingly, I have to say that CN had the best draft.  Jed has the most players still owned in the league by far with 8 (3 teams have 5, 2 teams have 4, one has 3 and one has 1) but strangely he only has 4 that he picked and Kluber from Arnie. CN, though, has the best one year and 4 year statistics in the league from this draft for both hitters and pitchers, showing that it was a balanced draft.  CN drafted -- Miller,S, Donaldson,J, Adams,M, Melancon,M, Smyly,D, Gausman,K, Martinez,C, Hoover,J, Raburn,R, Johnson,C, Farquhar,D, Wilson,J and Quentin,C. 

    Worst Draft:  This was a fight between Jeff, who has only 1 player left from this draft; Wax who had 2 of the first 3 rounds’ worst picks; and Eric, who has no pitching to show for the draft.  Jeff has some pretty good stats over the 4 years surveyed, which lessens the negative of having only their first round player (Puig) still in the league.  Future Wax gets the worst draft prize because of the early round showing.  Wax drafted -- Profar,J, Rosenthal,T, Teheran,J, Cingrani,T, Gennett,S, Cotts,N, Ross,T, Mercer,J, Villar,J, Dozier,B, Castillo,W

     And Loney,J* (cut shortly).


    Draft Analysis – 2016 by Tom Kinney (8/24/2020)

     

    (edited by Arnie & Robin)

     

    It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2016 (Cards 2015) draft. 

    We have 4 SOMBILLA Seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:

     

    As a result, some of these teams’ players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, and SBs) and be more maligned than they deserve.  Maybe we should compile Eric’s stats from his opponents’ scoresheets. (Or maybe maligning Eric’s players is fitting punishment for his stat neglect – Arnie)

    In 2016, Jeff was coming off of his last World Series victory and CN was about to embark on its last World Series victory (both of these were against Jed). 

    Interestingly, everyone has kept exactly 3 or 4 of the 2016 draft class going into our COVID battle this upcoming season.  There are also a number of players who have been re-drafted after being cut, including Canha (Jed 1st rounder 2020), Pham (Harold 1st rounder 2018), Ketel Marte, etc.  To see this in context, here are the totals of players still owned four years after being drafted (i.e., the time period for our annual draft analysis) over the last 11 years of drafts:

    Draft Class

    Kept till Analysis Year

    2006c2005

    20

    2007c2006

    34

    2008c2007

    31

    2009c2008

    23

    2010c2009

    24

    2011c2010

    21

    2012c2011

    25

    2013c2012

    30

    2014c2013

    35

    2015c2014

    35

    2016c2015

    27

     

    The 2016 waiver wire brought Alcides Escobar to CN. Two trades for Cain and Gordon on top of that may have just given them enough defense to win the campaign following this draft (2016 [2015 cards]).  The waiver wire also bought Jason Werth as a lefty killer that CN needed.  But CN sacrificed Carlos Santana and his guitar, but cutting him –he was picked up by the Wax—enabled RAT to make the last couple of Series.


    The players from this class who are still in the league with the team that drafted them:

    Round

    Drafted

    Draft List

    STATS

    1

    2

    Arnie -- Lindor, Francisco

    .236 / .303 / .344 / .647 (831 PA), 22 HR, 90 RBI, 15 SB

    2

    13

    Arnie -- Osuna, Roberto

    4-4, 7 SV, 2.84 ERA, 98 K (85.67 IPS)

    6

    44

     Arnie -- Gallo, Joey

    .172 / .289 / .341 / .63 (135 PA), 7 HR, 17 RBI, 0 SB

    9

    66

     Arnie -- Kela, Keone

    2-0, 1 SV, 3.44 ERA, 33 K (34 IPS)

    1

    5

    Eric -- Syndergaard, Noah

    6-1, 0 SV, 2.19 ERA, 35 K (41 IPS)

    3

    21

    Eric -- Severino, Luis

    4-2, 0 SV, 2.47 ERA, 51 K (40 IPS)

    8

    61

    Eric -- Dyson, Sam

    1-1, 1 SV, 4.85 ERA, 10 K (13 IPS)

    1

    3

    Harold -- Bryant, Kris

    .229 / .339 / .357 / .696 (841 PA), 33 HR, 99 RBI, 3 SB

    2

    9

    Harold -- Familia, Jeurys

    3-4, 4 SV, 4.67 ERA, 41 K (54 IPS)

    4

    32

    Harold -- Realmuto, J.T.

    .277 / .313 / .452 / .765 (595 PA), 24 HR, 68 RBI, 7 SB

    7

    50

    Harold -- Hicks, Aaron

    .199 / .308 / .351 / .659 (302 PA), 15 HR, 36 RBI, 4 SB

    1

    8

    Jeff -- Schwarber, Kyle

    .154 / .336 / .284 / .62 (116 PA), 6 HR, 12 RBI, 2 SB

    3

    20

    Jeff -- Conforto, Michael

    .222 / .316 / .368 / .684 (272 PA), 11 HR, 25 RBI, 0 SB

    5

    40

    Jeff -- Iglesias, Raisel

    4-8, 7 SV, 2.61 ERA, 121 K (117 IPS)

    2

    15

     Jed -- Buxton, Byron

    No Stats

    4

    31

    Jed -- Inciarte, Ender

    .257 / .284 / .350 / .634 (468 PA), 8 HR, 43 RBI, 19 SB

    7

    55

    Jed -- Nola, Aaron

    5-6, 0 SV, 3.07 ERA, 195 K (175.67 IPS)

    1

    1

    Robin -- Correa, Carlos

    .247 / .317 / .389 / .706 (653 PA), 26 HR, 76 RBI, 3 SB

    2

    10

    Robin -- McCullers, Lance

    6-12, 0 SV, 5.32 ERA, 134 K (13.33 IPS)

    12

    89

    Robin -- Davies, Zach

    0-1, 0 SV, 6.35 ERA, 12 K (11.33 IPS)

    1

    4

    Tom -- Seager, Corey

    .280 / .351 / .392 / .743 (502 PA), 15 HR, 57 RBI, 1 SB

    2

    11

    Tom -- Sano, Miguel

    .257 / .333 / .526 / .859 (156 PA), 13 HR, 30 RBI, 0 SB

    5

    36

    Tom -- Harris, Will

    2-2, 3 SV, 3.83 ERA, 85 K (82.33 IPS)

    6

    43

    Tom -- Rodon, Carlos

    No Stats

    1

    6

    Future Wax -- Russell, Addison

    .237 / .302 / .335 / .637 (388 PA), 9 HR, 34 RBI, 6 SB

    2

    14

    Future Wax -- Schoop, Jonathan

    .216 / .247 / .299 / .546 (77 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB

    5

    38

    Future Wax -- Turner, Trea

    .236 / .278 / .391 / .669 (371 PA), 15 HR, 38 RBI, 18 SB

     


    Let’s start the round by round analysis:

    Round 1:

    1. Robin -- Correa, Carlos

    .247 / .317 / .389 / .706 (653 PA), 26 HR, 76 RBI, 3 SB

    Still Owned

    2. Arnie -- Lindor, Francisco

    .236 / .303 / .344 / .647 (831 PA), 22 HR, 90 RBI, 15 SB

    Still Owned

    3. Harold -- Bryant, Kris

    .229 / .339 / .357 / .696 (841 PA), 33 HR, 99 RBI, 3 SB

    Still Owned

    4. Tom -- Seager, Corey

    .280 / .351 / .392 / .743 (502 PA), 15 HR, 57 RBI, 1 SB

    Still Owned

    5. Eric -- Syndergaard, Noah

    6-1, 0 SV, 2.19 ERA, 35 K (41 IPS)

    Still Owned

    6. Future Wax -- Russell, Addison

    .237 / .302 / .335 / .637 (388 PA), 9 HR, 34 RBI, 6 SB

    Still Owned

    7. Jed -- Keuchel, Dallas

    8-6, 0 SV, 2.64 ERA, 106 K (140 IPS)

    Cut 2019

    8. Jeff -- Schwarber, Kyle

    .154 / .336 / .284 / .62 (116 PA), 6 HR, 12 RBI, 2 SB

    Still Owned

     

    Best Pick:  This was a great first round of value in the year of the short stop as 4 go in the first round.  Syndegaard loses out somewhat since his team does not report his statistics and Corey Seager’s Tommy John surgery cost him in the early running.   So the battle goes down to Lindor versus Correa and you could go either way but Lindor wins on health and a better SS glove. (Arnie:  A year after this draft after Lindor had had a much better 2016 than Correa, I offered Robin to trade Lindor straight up for Correa, but she said no). (Robin: Again, why is domestic abuser Addison Russell still in the league?)

    Worst Picks:  All the players were worth picking when they were picked, but I have to go with Schwarber, who has just never lived up to first round value in MLB or the SOMBILLA. 

    Round 2:

    9. Harold -- Familia, Jeurys

    3-4, 4 SV, 4.67 ERA, 41 K (54 IPS)

    Still Owned

    10. Robin -- McCullers, Lance

    6-12, 0 SV, 5.327 ERA, 134 K (13.33 IPS)

    Still Owned

    11. Tom -- Sano, Miguel

    .257 / .333 / .526 / .859 (156 PA), 13 HR, 30 RBI

    Still Owned

    12. Harold -- Lackey, John

    4-9, 0 SV, 6.04 ERA, 124 K (149 IPS)

    Cut 2018 waiver process

    13. Arnie -- Osuna, Roberto

    4-4, 7 SV, 2.84 ERA, 98 K (85.67 IPS)

    Still Owned

    14. Future Wax -- Schoop, Jonathan

    .216 / .247 / .299 / .546 (77 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI

    Still Owned

    15. Jed -- Buxton, Byron

     No Statistics

    Still Owned

    16. Harold -- Ziegler, Brad

    2-2, 4 SV, 3.20 ERA, 13 K (25.33 IPS)

    Cut 2018 waiver process

     

    Best Pick:  You have one talented starter who has had some success in the SOMBILLA who could look better 5 years from now, and 3 relievers who did close for their teams trying to get the nod, but Miguel Sano (despite his Tommy John surgery) has produced in the SOMBILLA and looks to have a starting DH card for the coming season.  Sano and Gallo had some great home run derbies in the minors and both look like they could be premier power hitters in the majors.  Sano’s big arm that gave him a chance to stick at 3B and be a medium level defense looks to be decreased by Tommy John so he will probably end up a DH or 1B player who still looks to hold the best pick for this round.

    Worst Pick:   Byron Buxton is still on Jed’s team but still has not gotten into a game.  So you have to nominate him as the worst pick as a 2nd rounder; he should have played by now.  Is this the Moneyball player who would be described as young and talented but never good enough to make an impact in the majors?

    Round 3:

    17. Robin -- Watson, Tony

    1-1, 0 SV, 0.83 ERA, 14 K (21.67 IPS)

    Cut 2020 waiver process

    18. Arnie -- Vogt, Stephen

    .253 / .317 / .415 / .732 (164 PA), 9 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2017 waiver process

    19. Harold -- Cecil, Brett

    1-1, 0 SV, 2.51 ERA, 18 K (14.33 IPS)

    Cut 2017 waiver process

    2. Jeff -- Conforto, Michael

    .222 / .316 / .368 / .684 (272 PA), 11 HR, 25 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    21. Eric -- Severino, Luis

    4-2, 0 SV, 2.47 ERA, 51 K (40 IPS)

    Still Owned

    22. Future Wax -- Smith, Carson

    2-2, 2 SV, 2.894 ERA, 45 K (28 IPS)

    Cut 2019 waiver process

    23. Jed -- Cervelli, Francisco

    .275 / .383 / .308 / .691 (201 PA), 2 HR, 16 RBI

    Cut 2018 waiver process

    24. Arnie -- Chafin, Andrew

    0-1, 0 SV, 3.00 ERA, 24 K (27 IPS)

    Cut 2017 waiver process

     

    Best Pick:  Even though we do not know all the statistics for Luis Severino, we do know he is both still owned and one of the best pitchers in MLB.  He is coming off of injury and now faces a COVID season of uncertainty, but he is still the brightest point of light in this round.

    Worst Pick:  Two catchers were taken with some hope to become their teams’ starters.  Both were cut pretty soon as disappointments, and they are the worst picks over short term relievers who are the usual expected round three fodder.

    Other:  Conforto is the other keeper that came out of this round and when healthy has looked good in MLB, but has not had as much SOMBILLA success as one might expect, but I am sure that Sam has some hope for him.

    Round 4:

    25. Harold -- Rodriguez, Francisco

    1-1, 1 SV, 5.64 ERA, 25 K (22.33 IPS)

    Cut 2018

    26. Arnie -- Grichuk, Randal

    .225 / .301 / .376 / .677 (133 PA), 3 HR, 13 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut 2018

    27. Robin -- Piscotty, Stephen

    .242 / .304 / .398 / .702 (171 PA), 6 HR, 18 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut 2018/Redrafted

    28. Tom -- Garcia, Jaime

    2-5, 0 SV, 3.15 ERA, 34 K (54.33 IPS)

    Cut 2017

    29. Eric -- Matz, Steven

    No Statistics

    Cut 2020

    3. Future Wax -- Gutierrez, Franklin

    .214 / .286 / .403 / .689 (77 PA), 4 HR, 15 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2017

    31. Jed -- Inciarte, Ender

    .257 / .284 / .350 / .634 (468 PA), 8 HR, 43 RBI, 19 SB

    Still Owned

    32. Harold -- Realmuto, J.T.

    .277 / .313 / .452 / .765 (595 PA), 24 HR, 68 RBI, 7 SB

    Traded Still Owned

     

    Best Pick:  JT Realmuto was the catcher of the draft.  Harold later traded him for JD Martinez and ???  He is a solid 1 on defense and is well above average as a hitter especially as a catcher.

    Worst Pick:  You have to go with the player with no statistics just beating out the short-term Franklin Gutierrez who had few PAs for Wax.


    Round 5:

    33. Arnie -- Eickhoff, Jerad

    No Statistics

    Cut 2018

    34. Arnie -- Marte, Ketel

    .389 / .389 / .611 / 1 (18 PA), 0 HR, 3 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut 2017

    35. Jed -- Duffy, Matt

    .222 / .250 / .268 / .518 (168 PA), 0 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2018 Traded

    36. Tom -- Harris, Will

    2-2, 3 SV, 3.83ERA, 85 K (82.33 IPS)

    Still Owned

    37. Eric -- Parra, Gerardo

    .248 / .267 / .398 / .665 (161 PA), 6 HR, 22 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2020

    38. Future Wax -- Turner, T

    .236 / .278 / .391 / .669 (371 PA), 15 HR, 38 RBI, 18 SB

    Still Owned

    39. Jed -- Teixeira, Mark

    .241 / .341 / .407 / .748 (182 PA), 7 HR, 21 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut 2017

    4. Jeff -- Iglesias, Raisel

    4-8, 7 SV, 2.61 ERA, 121 K (117 IPS)

    Still Owned

     

    Best Pick:  This round has three keepers all of whom have been very good for their teams.  Iglesias and Harris have been mainstays in relief for CN and Jeff.  But Trea Turner in a draft full of shortstop talent proves to be just one step below the first-rounders but a great value in the 5th round.

    Worst Pick:  So Arnie came into this round with the first two picks and he is usually the master of finding the best starting pitcher in a draft.  But this year Eickhoff let him down, but he then picked Marte, who turned out be a pretty good player after he cut him too soon. 

    Round 6:

    41. Arnie -- Shaw, Travis

    .263 / .284 / .627 / .911 (102 PA), 11 HR, 16 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2017/Redrafted/Cut again

    42. Robin -- Gibson, Kyle

    4-4, 0 SV, 4.21 ERA, 53 K (68.33 IPS)

    Cut 2017/Redrafted/Cut again

    43. Tom -- Rodon, Carlos

    No Statistics

    Still Owned

    44. Arnie -- Gallo, Joey

    .172 / .289 / .341 / .63 (135 PA), 7 HR, 17 RBI, 0 SB

    Still Owned

    45. Eric -- Blazek, Michael

    1-2, 2 SV, 4.22 ERA, 8 K (1.67 IPS)

    Cut 2017

    46. Future Wax -- Morales, Kendrys

    .212 / .289 / .336 / .625 (277 PA), 9 HR, 35 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut 2017 claimed and cut later

    47. Harold -- Blanco, Andres

    .262 / .338 / .382 / .72 (68 PA), 2 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2017

    48. Harold -- Lopez, Javier

    1-0, 0 SV, 1.26 ERA, 12 K (14.33 IPS)

    Cut 2017

     

    Best Pick:  Another double round for Arnie and this time he picked up Shaw, who he cut after he contributed to his team, and he maintains the power prospect Joey Gallo who has looked great versus CN but not as good against the rest of the league.

    Worst Pick:  We have to put up the big lefty starter Rodon who had Tommy John and never pitched for CN and may never pitch more than a couple of starts for CN, yet took up a roster slot year after year.


    Round 7:

    49. Harold -- Parker, Jarrett

    .471 / .571 / .762 / 1.333 (21 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut 2017

    5. Harold -- Hicks, Aaron

    .199 / .308 / .351 / .659 (302 PA), 15 HR, 36 RBI, 4 SB

    Still Owned

    51. Harold -- Canha, Mark

     No Statistics

     ???

    52. Jeff -- Ross, Joe

    1-6, 0 SV, 5.26 ERA, 23 K (25.67 IPS)

    Cut 2018

    53. Eric -- Lagares, Juan

     No Statistics

    Cut 2017

    54. Future Wax -- Madson, Ryan

    0-0, 2 SV, 2.28 ERA, 26 K (23.67 IPS)

    Cut 2017

    55. Jed -- Nola, Aaron

    5-6, 0 SV, 3.07 ERA, 195 K (175.67 IPS)

    Still Owned

    56. Jeff -- McCann, James

    .202 / .257 / .307 / .564 (303 PA), 7 HR, 31 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2019

     

    Best Pick:  After the break, Jed took one of the best starters in this draft – Aaron Nola.  His name sounds like he should have been chosen by Harold, given the pun potential.  He is both a solid MLB ace and looks to continue to contribute going forward.

    Worst Pick:  I am not sure how or when Canha was dropped by Harold, but he was and became a 1st rounder this year for Jed.  But the change of fortune and lack of statistics makes him the saddest pick of the round.

    Round 8:

    57. Jeff -- Burns, Billy

    No Statistics

    Cut 2017

    58. Jeff -- Haren, Dan

    5-4, 0 SV, 4.83 ERA, 56 K (72.67 IPS)

    Cut 2017

    59. Robin -- Travis, Devon

    .280 / .311 / .403 / .714 (273 PA), 5 HR, 26 RBI, 4 SB

    Cut 2019

    6. Tom -- Forsythe, Logan

    .169 / .229 / .396 / .625 (96 PA), 7 HR, 17 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2019

    61. Eric -- Dyson, Sam

    1-1, 1 SV, 4.85 ERA, 10 K (13 IPS)

    Still Owned

    62. Future Wax -- Alvarez, Jose

    2-3, 0 SV, 6.75 ERA, 11 K (13.33 IPS)

    Cut 2017

    63. Jed -- Gregerson, Luke

    2-1, 4 SV, 0.92 ERA, 53 K (49 IPS)

    Cut 2019

    64. Arnie -- Hernandez, Enrique

    .273 / .289 / .400 / .689 (45 PA), 0 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2018/Redrafted/Cut/Claimed in waiver draft

     

    Best Pick:  Always a hard round to pick someone. We could go with Dyson, but who knows what he has contributed despite still holding a roster slot.  But let’s give the nod to Luke Gregerson who was a very effective late inning reliever for Jed.

    Worst Pick:  Billy Burns never played a game in the SOMBILLA and was cut early.


    Round 9:

    65. Robin -- Givens, Mychal

    6-4, 1 SV, 4.35 ERA, 62 K (68.33 IPS)

    Cut 2020

    66. Arnie -- Kela, Keone

    2-0, 1 SV, 3.44 ERA, 33 K (34 IPS)

    Still Owned

    67. Tom -- Capps, Carter

    1-0, 5 SV, 3.00 ERA, 22 K (12 IPS)

    Cut 2018

    68. Eric -- Hendriks, Liam

    0-1, 0 SV, 3.09 ERA, 41 K (32 IPS)

    Cut 2018/Claimed on Waivers

    69. Future Wax -- Goins, Ryan

    .207 / .277 / .264 / .541 (148 PA), 2 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2017

    70. Jed -- Mahtook, Mikie

    .289 / .333 / .979 / 1.312 (48 PA), 11 HR, 24 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2017

    71. Jeff -- DeShields Jr., Delino

    .224 / .384 / .274 / .658 (73 PA), 0 HR, 3 RBI, 3 SB

    Cut 2017

     

     

     

     

    Best Pick:  A boring pick, but we have to go with the not very nice person but a player still owned by Arnie – Keone Kela.  He was on my list as a late inning future reliever – unusable for 2016 - and Arnie grabbed him one pick before I was ready to pick him. Honorable mention to Mahtook, who did his job as a lefty killer mutant for Jed.

    Worst Pick:  Everyone was used by their teams, but I guess we have to go with Goins and DeShields who just could not stick with their SOMBILLA teams.

    Round 10-13:

    73. Robin -- Santana, Domingo

    .258 / .330 / .437 / .767 (327 PA), 16 HR, 38 RBI, 2 SB

    Cut 2020

    74. Tom -- Kelley, Shawn

    3-0, 4 SV, 3.37 ERA, 26 K (21.33 IPS)

    Cut 2018

    75. Arnie -- Pham, Tommy

    .362 / .486 / .556 / 1.042 (72 PA), 4 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2017/Redrafted

    76. Eric -- Perez, Carlos

     No Statistics

    Cut 2017

    77. Future Wax -- Rupp, Cameron

    .193 / .233 / .283 / .516 (60 PA), 0 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2018

    78. Jed -- Vizcaino, Arodys

    3-0, 1 SV, 1.32 ERA, 14 K (13.67 IPS)

    Cut 2017

    79. Jeff -- Volquez, Edinson

    0-7, 0 SV, 6.67 ERA, 56 K (82.33 IPS)

    Cut 2017

    81. Robin -- Herrera, Odubel

    .264 / .307 / .386 / .693 (342 PA), 7 HR, 29 RBI, 6 SB

    Cut 2020

    82. Tom -- Swihart, Blake

     No Statistics

    Cut 2017

    83. Eric -- Hinojosa, Dalier

    No Statistics

    Cut 2016

    84. Future Wax -- Ramirez, Erasmo

    4-0, 0 SV, 3.60 ERA, 25 K (35 IPS)

    Cut 2017

    85. Jed -- Hechavarria, Adeiny

     No Statistics

    Cut 2017

    86. Jeff -- Altherr, Aaron

    .161 / .316 / .316 / .632 (38 PA), 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut 2017

    89. Robin -- Davies, Zach

    0-1, 0 SV, 6.35 ERA, 12 K (11.33 IPS)

    Still Owned

    9. Tom -- Liriano, Francisco

    4-3, 0 SV, 5.14 ERA, 64 K (61.33 IPS)

    Cut 2017

    91. Eric -- Bastardo, Antonio

    0-0, 1 SV, 2.19 ERA, 14 K (12.33 IPS)

    Cut 2017

    92. Future Wax -- Ethier, Andre

    .313 / .362 / .482 / .844 (141 PA), 6 HR, 19 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2017

    93. Jed -- Uehara, Koji

    1-0, 0 SV, 9.00 ERA, 4 K (4 IPS)

    Cut 2017

    94. Jeff -- Burnett, A.J.

    No Statistics

    Cut 2016

    97. Robin -- Thompson, Trayce

    .212 / .268 / .375 / .643 (56 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB

    Cut 2017

    98. Tom -- Raburn, Ryan

    .310 / .474 / .500 / .974 (38 PA), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 0 SB

    Cut 2017

    99. Eric -- Duffey, Tyler

    No Statistics

    Cut 2017

    10. Jeff -- Venditte, Pat

    No Statistics

    Cut 2017

    101. Robin -- Anderson, Cody

    No Statistics

    Cut 2017

     

    Best Pick/Worst Pick:  These rounds were very lackluster, usually you get a player who surprises but not in this draft.  Two potential catchers were drafted and fizzled.  Tommy Pham would have been a strong pick but Arnie gave up on him.  (He was cut a year later and he became the third pick overall two years later for Harold.)  Domingo Santana has been a solid low level contributor, so if you had to make a pick….  Zach Davies is still on Robin’s roster but has yet to show much in the SOMBILLA.  So bottom line here really is that the late rounds were forgettable.

    Other:  CN picked Raburn for the 3rd time; he was doing the every other year where he is useful as a late round lefty killer but then had a year when he was not worth keeping.


    2015 Card Set Results:

    Team

    Stats

    Eric

    .275 / .306 / .361 / .667 (72 PA), 1 HR, 7 RBI, 0 SB

    Arnie

    .273 / .334 / .451 / .785 (731 PA), 33 HR, 84 RBI, 10 SB

    Jed

    .262 / .325 / .428 / .753 (600 PA), 24 HR, 83 RBI, 7 SB

    Harold

    .245 / .339 / .339 / .678 (322 PA), 8 HR, 33 RBI, 4 SB

    Tom

    .237 / .325 / .451 / .776 (286 PA), 17 HR, 46 RBI, 1 SB

    Wax

    .227 / .287 / .345 / .632 (883 PA), 24 HR, 84 RBI, 6 SB

    Robin

    .208 / .265 / .341 / .606 (498 PA), 15 HR, 46 RBI, 4 SB

    Jeff

    .193 / .288 / .286 / .574 (489 PA), 10 HR, 33 RBI, 6 SB

     

    Team

    Stats

    Jed

    9-7, 4 SV, 2.01 ERA, 118 K (143.67 IPS)

    Eric

    7-4, 4 SV, 2.73 ERA, 72 K (76 IPS)

    Wax

    8-5, 4 SV, 3.51 ERA, 107 K (100 IPS)

    Robin

    9-7, 0 SV, 3.90 ERA, 121 K (136 IPS)

    Tom

    11-8, 12 SV, 4.18 ERA, 176 K (185 IPS)

    Harold

    7-12, 8 SV, 4.37 ERA, 168 K (193.67 IPS)

    Arnie

    3-3, 1 SV, 4.53 ERA, 50 K (53.67 IPS)

    Jeff

    6-18, 0 SV, 5.38 ERA, 177 K (215.67 IPS)

     


    Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:

    Team

    Stats

    Tom

    .263 / .338 / .424 / .762 (792 PA), 36 HR, 107 RBI, 1 SB

    Robin

    .256 / .314 / .400 / .714 (1822 PA), 62 HR, 196 RBI, 17 SB

    Jed

    .253 / .309 / .367 / .676 (1067 PA), 28 HR, 115 RBI, 21 SB

    Eric

    .248 / .267 / .398 / .665 (161 PA), 6 HR, 22 RBI, 0 SB

    Harold

    .245 / .328 / .392 / .72 (1827 PA), 76 HR, 222 RBI, 15 SB

    Arnie

    .242 / .311 / .389 / .7 (1500 PA), 56 HR, 172 RBI, 18 SB

    Wax

    .233 / .290 / .355 / .645 (1539 PA), 46 HR, 156 RBI, 25 SB

    Jeff

    .203 / .303 / .322 / .625 (802 PA), 25 HR, 72 RBI, 6 SB

     

    Team

    Stats

    Arnie

    6-5, 8 SV, 3.01 ERA, 155 K (146.67 IPS)

    Eric

    12-7, 4 SV, 2.84 ERA, 159 K (149 IPS)

    Harold

    12-17, 9 SV, 5.06 ERA, 233 K (279.33 IPS)

    Jeff

    10-25, 7 SV, 4.50 ERA, 256 K (297.67 IPS)

    Jed

    19-13, 5 SV, 2.64 ERA, 372 K (382.33 IPS)

    Robin

    17-22, 1 SV, 4.56 ERA, 275 K (300 IPS)

    Tom

    13-10, 13 SV, 3.97 ERA, 242 K (244.67 IPS)

    Wax

    8-5, 4 SV, 3.51 ERA, 107 K (100 IPS)

     

    Draft Summary:

    Round

    Best

    Team

    Worst

    Team

    1

    Lindor

    Arnie

    Schwarber

    Jeff

    2

    Sano

    CN

    Buxton

    Jed

    3

    Severino

    Eric

    Vogt/Cervelli

    Arnie/Jed

    4

    Realmuto

    Harold

    Matz

    Eric

    5

    Turner

    Wax

    Eickhoff/Marte

    Arnie

    6

    Shaw/Gallo

    Arnie

    Rodon

    CN

    7

    Nola

    Jed

    Canha

    Harold

    8

    Gregerson

    Jed

    Burns

    Jeff

    9

    Kela

    Arnie

    Goins/Deshields

    Wax/Jeff

     

    Best Draft:  Arnie would have had the best draft going away if he had kept Ketel Mate and Tommy Pham after grabbing Lindor as the best player in the draft.  Jed, who picked late in every round, came away winning two rounds and is worth an honorable mention.  Darkhorse – If Seager, Sano, Rodon and Harris have a future then maybe 5 years from now CN and their Tommy Johns will be the winner of the draft.  But the bottom line is that Arnie won two rounds with 3 players and if you ignore his cuts would be the obvious winner so he gets to be the best draft.

    Worst Draft:  It is hard to tell in this very even draft who had the worst one.  It is tempting to go to the black box of Eric’s stats, but he did get two aces whom he still owns in Syndergaard and Severino. This could prove to make his draft look better in 5 years.  Robin never won a round but picked up Correa, who is a premier player bit by the injury bug in the analysis period.  Reluctantly, I have to go with Robin.

     


    The 2017 Draft analysis

     

    For the first time since 2005, someone other than Tom is doing the annual 4-year draft lookback column.  That’s right, Tom’s been doing this for the past 15 years!  He of course wanted to do it again, but as he put it in an email “My current rate of travel and work makes me think I will not have it done till Labor Day”.

    A couple of retired SOMBILLA managers (managers who are retired but not retired from managing) do not have these  work issues.  And so, we proudly present this year’s 4-year retrospective 2017 draft analysis by

     

    Jed Corman, guest columnist.

     

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

     

    Executive Summary

    In terms of rounds won...I (Jed) apparently had the best draft with Harold a close 2nd.  In terms of players still in the SOMBILLA, Tom seems to have had the best draft (see below).

     

    As for the worst draft, it looks like Eric did just a tad worse than Robin.

     

    All that being said...Oceanus, New Orleans and Constantinople all finished out of the playoffs during the 2017-2018 season.  So there wasn't an immediate impact due to having what with hindsight seems like the best drafts.

     

    Not feeling like anyone really crushed this draft.  Harold's selection of Judge in the 6th round was the single best pick of the draft by far.

     

    Manager

    Drafted Players Still in SOMBILLA*

    Tom

    7

    Jed

    6

    Harold

    6

    Jeff

    5

    Arnie

    5

    Randy/Future Wax

    3

    Eric

    1

    Robin

    1

     

    This means that of 96 players selected, only 34 remain in the SOMBILLA.  Pretty tough league to stick around in!

     

    *Not necessarily with the team that originally drafted them.

     

    Round 1

     

     

    Pick

    Player

    Team

    Position

    Drafted By

    1

    Benintendi, Andrew

    BOS

    LF,OF

    Robin

    2

    Sanchez, Gary

    NYY

    C

    Harold

    3

    Bregman, Alex

    HOU

    3B

    Jeff

    4

    Contreras, Willson

    CHC

    C,LF,OF

    Arnie

    5

    Oh, Seung Hwan

    STL

    RP

    Eric

    6

    Murphy, Daniel

    WAS

    1B,2B

    Future Wax

    7

    Story, Trevor

    COL

    SS

    Jed

    8

    Swanson, Dansby

    ATL

    SS

    Tom

     

    At a high level, there are no serious head scratchers here.  One can see why each of these players was drafted.  They all have contributed in the SOMBILLA to a greater or lesser degree.  None of these picks was completely wasted.  6 are still in the SOMBILLA.

     

    A close call as to who has emerged as the best of this bunch but I'm going to give the nod to Story over Bregman.  I think in real baseball, Bregman has played better.  But Story thus far has had more SOMBILLA impact.  It doesn't seem like Bregman has had a good regular season in the SOMBILLA and Story just hit .326 in 2020-2021. 

     

    At the time, it was unclear who would become the better shortstop between Story and Swanson.  However, Dansby, in spite of his cuteness, has disappointed.  He did seem to be making progress in 2019 and 2020.  As 2021 has been such a weird season, with many stars having their worst years, it's still possible Swanson could turn in some usable seasons.  Therefore, I won't rate him the worst pick.

     

    Sanchez has had kind of a similar trajectory although he has been more useful than Swanson so far.

     

    I think I have to award worst pick to Eric for Oh.  Not that it was a bad pick.  Oh was the best reliever available.  Eric changed his team name to Stone Buddha in honor of Oh and then went 23-33 on the season.  Oh had 4 saves (Jansen, the league leader, had 13).  Oh had one more usable season (I assume he made Eric's team – no stats for Eric during the 2019-2020 season) and now he is out of the SOMBILLA.

     

    I suppose based on my reasoning in the last paragraph you could argue Daniel Murphy was as “bad” a pick as Oh.  Always a decent hitter / subpar fielder who'd had a cup of coffee previously in the SOMBILLA, Murphy exploded for a couple of years when he adjusted his launch angle.  Which is code for taking steroids.  Whatever he did, he had a magical 2016 and a fabulous 2017.  Future Wax did win the World Series in 2017-2018 with Murphy hitting .312 and receiving some MVP votes.  Future Wax lost in the WS the following year with Murphy hitting .304.  So, I'd say Murphy made much more of an impact than Oh.

     

    Benintendi hasn't justified being selected #1 overall.  However, he did hit .285 in one SOMBILLA year (the 2018-2019 season) and he's still on Bay City's roster.  He just turned 27 and he's having a relatively good year so there's still hope.  Hence, he's not the worst pick. [Robin: and is the second cutest]

     

    Finally, Contreras has alternated very good seasons with very not so good seasons.  He hit .291 in limited playing time during the 2017-2018 SOMBILLA season.  And he has received significant playing time in 2 seasons since, although he hasn't hit particularly great.  Still, he's only 29 and has a career OPS of .807 as I write this so he remains a keeper at this point.

     

    Round 2

     

     

    Pick

    Player

    Team

    Position

    Drafted By

    9

    Fulmer, Michael

    DET

    SP

    Arnie

    10

    Reyes, Alex

    STL

    P

    Jeff

    11

    Dahl, David

    COL

    LF,OF

    Harold

    12

    Mazara, Nomar

    TEX

    LF,RF,OF

    Robin

    13

    Diaz, Edwin

    SEA

    RP

    Eric

    14

    Leon, Sandy

    BOS

    C

    Future Wax

    15

    Hill, Rich

    LAD

    SP

    Arnie

    16

    Taillon, Jameson

    PIT

    SP

    Tom

     

    Taking them in order, Michael Fulmer is still playing MLB, but he's no longer in the SOMBILLA.  Fulmer did pitch well for Arnie during the 2017-2018 season, compiling a 3.53 ERA and going 4-4.  Arnie made it to the World Series that year.  Fulmer took a no-hitter into the 8th inning in game 5 and notched a victory.  The following season Fulmer has a 4.83 ERA in the SOMBILLA but he does go 7-3 and Arnie considers him his best starter (Arnie does win the WS too).  Fulmer doesn't play the next two seasons and, again, is no longer on Arnie's roster.  But he was a contributor and shockingly, thus far, I'd have to say he was the best pick of the 2nd round.  If we re-evaluate in a few years...there's a good chance he will be superseded because other players are still on rosters.

     

    Reyes was another young phenom (he's only 26 now) who had a promising start to his career but has been derailed because of injuries.  He is still on the Neverwinter roster and is having a fine 2021 MLB season, so maybe Jeff and Sam's patience is going to pay off.  In his one usable season thus far, which was the 2017-2018 season, Reyes came in 3rd in the Rolaids rankings and had a 1.98 ERA.

     

    Dahl hit .315 in a limited MLB 2016 season.  Given that he's only 27 now...you can see why he was drafted.  In the SOMBILLA, he hit .293 in 93 AB, so pretty solid.  He's had a couple more usable years but hasn't seemed to have had much further impact in the SOMBILLA (some stats are missing so I'm not 100% sure).  He is still in the SOMBILLA, now on Neverwinter.  All things considered, not the best pick, not the worst pick.  (Arnie notes that shortly after the draft, Jeff traded a 2nd round pick to Harold for Dahl.  I thought this was both odd and hilarious).

     

    Mazara is no longer in the SOMBILLA.  He is only 26 now and had 3 MLB seasons where he hit 20 homers (and a 4th where he hit 19).  So, again, one can see why he was drafted.  But he hasn't taken the next step and his low OBP has meant he's never made a SOMBILLA appearance.  Given all of that, I have to say he's the worst pick of the 2nd round. (Robin: He was also just cut by the Tigers, so MLB [and Robin] agree with you.)

     

    Second round in a row where Eric picks a reliever.  Diaz is still on his roster, which is saying something for a reliever.  Due to a lack of SOMBILLA stats...I don't know what his impact has been.  Since he has an MLB career WHIP of 1.12 and is still only 27, I'd say Diaz has turned out to be a solid pick.

     

    Sandy Leon is no longer in the SOMBILLA and career-wise has been a pretty terrible hitter.  However, for some reason, he hit .310 during the 2016 MLB season in 252 AB.  At that time he was around 27 years old so I suppose there was some hope he'd provide some additional usability.  He was excellent defensively, if I recall correctly.  Anyway, Leon only hit .214 in the SOMBILLA so he was a disappointment.  If it weren't for Mazara...Leon would be the worst pick.

     

    Rich Hill is now 41 years old and still going strong (and still on Arnie's roster).  He's never been a workhorse starred starter but he's had some usable seasons.  Notably, he was 5-1 with a 2.74 ERA for Arnie in 2017-2018 (and received some Cy Young votes).  He hasn't pitched much since then though.  I feel like, statistically, in real baseball, he's been the best choice of the 2nd round.  But other than that one season...he hasn't had much impact in the SOMBILLA.  One way or another, though, Arnie has ruled the 2nd round.

     

    Jameson Taillon has made a slight contribution thus far.  He pitched 7 innings total in his SOMBILLA rookie season (with a 2.57 ERA!).  He went 1-3 with a 4.33 ERA two years later.  And he pitched 15 innings last SOMBILLA season.  He's only 29 so there's still a chance for him to prove his worth.

     

    So, if you're keeping count, 5 of these guys remain in the SOMBILLA.

     

    Round 3

     

    Pick

    Player

    Team

    Position

    Drafted By

    17

    Flores, Wilmer

    NYM

    1B,3B

    Jeff

    18

    Devenski, Chris

    HOU

    RP

    Robin

    19

    Gray, Jon

    COL

    SP

    Harold

    20

    Jones, Nate

    CWS

    RP

    Arnie

    21

    Roark, Tanner

    WAS

    SP

    Eric

    22

    Buchter, Ryan

    SD

    RP

    Jeff

    23

    Ramirez, Jose

    PHI

    3B

    Jed

    24

    Urias, Julio

    LAD

    SP

    Tom

     

    Flores, always a tempting lefty killer, and terrible defender, was finally drafted.  And he hit .381 (and slugged .794) in 63 AB for Jeff.  So Flores did what was expected of him and arguably more.  But...was a 3rd round pick too high a price for a limited lefty killer?  Flores did hit .300 in 40AB the next season.  But that was that.

     

    Chris Devenski is no longer in the SOMBILLA.  In his MLB career he has a 1.08 WHIP!  But...I assume he's been injured a lot as he only has a total of 316 innings over 6 seasons (and was on Bay City).  He had two good years – 2016 and 2017.  In the SOMBILLA, he went 5-0 with a 3.60 ERA in 2017-2018 and then 0-2 but with a 3.34 ERA in 2018-2019.  All in all, nothing to be ashamed of. [Robin: Randy wanted him for the last name similarity, but he was eventually taken in the waiver draft by Tom].

     

    It seems to me Jon Gray is another guy who has hovered for a while at the edge of draftability.  2016 was his first full big league year, and he had 185 K in 168 IP.  One can see why the pitching-crazed Ellis were interested, as Gray was not even 26 yet at the time.  He subsequently turned in a couple of usable years.  He had a 3.88 ERA in 55.2 IP for Harold in 2017-2018.  But last year he went 1-9 with a 6.27 ERA and now he's out of the SOMBILLA.  I don't think he was a bad choice but I have to call somebody a bad choice so I'll make it Gray.

     

    Nate Jones had only one usable card – his 2016 card.  If I still had the Lamanna guide (pause to imagine Arnie groaning) I could judge where Jones ranked amongst reliever cards but I'll assume it was pretty high.  He barely made the Rolaids list of relievers but he had an outstanding ERA (1.93) and WHIP (.84).  Remember, Arnie made the WS so Jones was a worthy pickup, even if he didn't pan out after that.

     

    Ah, good old Tanner Roark.  I always thought he was a classic example of a guy whose counting stats belied his mediocrity.  But overall in his career he's done pretty damn well.  A 76-68 record with a 1.26 WHIP.  He was about 30 when he was drafted, for the 2nd time, by Eric.  Robin drafted him in 2015.  He had two very good MLB seasons and at least one good SOMBILLA season (no stats for 2017-2018).

     

    Ryan Buchter has had a pretty solid MLB career (3.07 ERA, 1.21 WHIP).  He had a 2.63 ERA and 5 saves in his SOMBILLA debut and was 5th in the Rolaids rankings.  He had a 2.18 ERA and a save the following year.  No stats after that, and he's out of the SOMBILLA. but if you can get two years out of a reliever, you have to say it was at least a decent pick.  Used to call him The Butcher.

     

    Pretty obviously, Jose Ramirez was the best pick of this round.  He has a career OPS of .850.  In the SOMBILLA...he's only had one good season (where he slugged above .500).  But I don't think there's an argument about who the best player on this list is.  I guess it's possible Urias (see below) outdoes Ramirez over time.

     

    Urias is still only 24, which means he was 13 when he was drafted.  He is still on Tom's roster.  He is having an excellent 2021 season, which prevents me from deeming him the worst pick in the round.  Tom has only used him in one SOMBILLA season but, again, looks like he'll be in the rotation maybe this year and next.

     

    Overall, only 2 of these picks belong to current SOMBILLA rosters.

     

    Round 4

     

    Pick

    Player

    Team

    Position

    Drafted By

    25

    Thornburg, Tyler

    BOS

    RP

    Jeff

    26

    Montgomery, Mike

    CHC

    SP

    Robin

    27

    Diaz, Aledmys

    STL

    SS

    Harold

    28

    Tomas, Yasmany

    ARI

    LF,RF,OF

    Arnie

    29

    Trumbo, Mark

    BAL

    RF,OF,DH

    Eric

    30

    Dull, Ryan

    OAK

    RP

    Future Wax

    31

    Lamb, Jake

    ARI

    3B

    Arnie

    32

    Otero, Dan

    CLE

    RP

    Tom

     

     

     

     

     


    Wow, do any of these names jump off the page to you?  None are still in the SOMBILLA.

    Thornburg has had two usable years in his MLB career, including his career year of 2016.  He had a solid year for Jeff during the 2017-2018 campaign – compiling a 2.92 ERA in 24.2 IP.

    Mike Montgomery was an undistinguished lefty who also had a career MLB year in 2016 in limited innings.  Montgomery managed to avoid getting pounded like most lefties in the SOMBILLA, pitching 42 innings for Robin with a 2.57 ERA.  A damn good limited season.

    Aledmys Diaz?  A shortstop who hit .300 with 17 HR in 404 AB in 2016, when he was around 26 years old.  Sounds pretty good.  Unfortunately, he was unable to build on that foundation, instead producing only a couple of marginal (by SOMBILLA standards) seasons since.  He slugged .529 for Harold during the 2017-2018 campaign in 140 AB, a decent contribution.  Appears he's another one-year wonder.

    Yasmany Tomas has dealt with injuries and so we never got to see if his 6'2” 260 lb frame would translate into a perennial 30-40 HR guy.  He hit 31 HR in 2016.  He was a massive lefty killer.  He hit .305 and slugged over .500 for Arnie during the 2017-2018 SOMBILLA season.  Only 59 AB though.

    Holy crap – did you know Mark Trumbo hit 47 HR in 2016?  He had hit over 30 HR a couple of times but always with a low average.  He had a cup of coffee in the SOMBILLA with Future Wax back in the 2013-2014 season.  Due to missing statistics, I don't know how Trumbo performed for Eric during the 2017-2018 SOMBILLA campaign.  He certainly had a shot at leading the league in HR.  I'll bet he hit at least in the double digits.

    Ryan Dull was obviously the most boring pick of the round.  Dull had one usable season and this was it.  Dull pitched 30 IP for Future Wax during 2017-2018.  He had a 5.10 ERA but a surprisingly good WHIP of 1.05.  Again, Future Wax did win the WS and it seems Dull performed well when it counted.

    In 2016 Jake Lamb hit 29 HR, up from 6 the previous season.  This put him on the SOMBILLA's radar and a 4th round pick for a 25-26 year old budding power-hitting infielder seems like a reasonable price to pay.  Lamb hit 30 HR in 2017 and then fell off a cliff.  I'm assuming injuries without looking it up.  He never hit for average.  For Arnie, in 2017-2018 Lamb hit .000 in 11 AB.  In 2018-2019, Lamb didn't play at all!  I guess Lamb is the worst pick of this round.

    Finally, we have Dan Otero.  Dan Otero had 4 good MLB seasons, with 2016 representing his acme (a .91 WHIP).  He was drafted in the 9th round in 2015 by Tom.  During the 2015-2016 season, Otero pitched very well – 30 IP with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of under 1.  But Tom cut him only to redraft him in 2017.  Otero served his purpose again for Tom in 2017-2018 with a 2.78 ERA and 8 saves.  Otero came in 4th in the Rolaids rankings.  Given the slim pickings, I'm choosing Otero as the best pick of the round.

    Round 5

    Pick

    Player

    Team

    Position

    Drafted By

    33

    Peraza, Jose

    CIN

    SS,OF

    Jeff

    34

    Guerra, Junior

    MIL

    SP

    Robin

    35

    Bush, Matt

    TEX

    RP

    Harold

    36

    Cotton, Jharel

    OAK

    SP

    Arnie

    37

    Arcia, Orlando

    MIL

    SS

    Robin

    38

    Lugo, Seth

    NYM

    SP

    Future Wax

    39

    Brach, Brad

    BAL

    RP

    Jeff

    40

    Bowman, Matt

    STL

    RP

    Tom


    Only Seth Lugo remains on a SOMBILLA roster today.  But is he the best of this bunch?  Let's see.

    Peraza has had a couple of good MLB seasons thus far (he is still only 27 years old).  He hit .324 in limited play in 2016 and then .288 in a full season in 2018.  He has gotten some playing time in the SOMBILLA.  He hit .313 and stole 7 bases for Jeff in only 93 AB in 2017-2018.

    Matt Bush was a one-year wonder.  He had a 7.03 ERA for Harold.  Did pick up a save!

    Jharel Cotton???  My gut feeling is that he was the worst pick of the round without even looking anything up about him.  Ok, fine, I'll look him up.  He did pitch 12 innings for Arnie and had a 4.50 ERA.  All right, he's arguably the worst, but see Orlando Arcia (next)....

    Orlando Arcia is still only 26 years old and so was drafted in the hopes he'd blossom.  And in 2017, he hit a career high .277 with 15 HR and 14 SB.  But he's been pretty miserable since.  He hit .143 in 7 AB for Robin in 2017-2018.  He then hit .400 in 5 AB in 2018-2019.  So....250 BA for his SOMBILLA career.  I'm tabbing him as the worst pick in the round. (Although, Robin notes, he is cute and was a 1 ss before being cut by Milwaukee and has re-emerged as an OF for Atlanta).

    Seth Lugo has never pitched more than 101 innings in an MLB season.  But, he's had some good stats and he's offered versatility as a starter/reliever.  In his SOMBILLA career so far he's logged 97.2 IP and compiled a 4.05 ERA.  Yeah, he is the best of this bunch.

    Brad Brach also had a career year in 2016 with a 1.04 WHIP (career 1.32 WHIP).  He racked up a few Rolaids points for Jeff.  Had a 3.74 ERA in 21.2 IP during the 2017-2018 SOMBILLA season.  He also pitched 9 innings with a 9.00 ERA the following season.

    Matt Bowman's 2016 stats were his best but they don't look that great.  Maybe somehow they translated to a great card?  He turned in a meh season for Tom – 18 IP and a 4.00 ERA.

    Round 6

    Pick

    Player

    Team

    Position

    Drafted By

    41

    Maeda, Kenta

    LAD

    SP

    Jeff

    42

    Gsellman, Robert

    NYM

    SP

    Robin

    43

    Hand, Brad

    SD

    RP

    Harold

    44

    Judge, Aaron

    NYY

    RF,OF

    Harold

    45

    Villar, Jonathan

    MIL

    3B,SS

    Arnie

    46

    Kepler, Max

    MIN

    RF,OF

    Future Wax

    47

    Pearce, Steve

    TOR

    1B

    Jed

    48

    Castillo, Welington

    BAL

    C

    Tom

     

    Ok, last round where I'll put in as much detail.  Obviously, the name that stands out here is Aaron Judge and without even doing any research we can declare Harold the winner of this round.  Why, this might be enough to declare Harold the winner of the whole draft.  But I'll dutifully go through the other rounds and see how it all tallies up.

    4 of these players remain on SOMBILLA rosters.

    Kenta Maeda has had a fine MLB career with an overall WHIP of 1.14.  According to Lamanna, Maeda has the 5th best starter's card for our upcoming 2021-2022 season.  If it weren't for Judge, Maeda would be the best choice in this round.  He hasn't performed well in the SOMBILLA yet though.

    Gsellman had a 2.42 in 44 IP during the 2016 season.  He was only 23 years old.  So a 6th round flyer wasn't too much of a reach.  He just didn't pan out.  He pitched 18 innings for Robin in 2017-2018, with a 1.00 ERA!  Because of this performance, Gsellman is not the worst pick in this round.

    Brad (Mr.) Hand has been pretty damn good for the last 6 seasons.  Harold has gotten 4 (and soon to be 5) seasons in a row from this reliever, so this turned out to be an outstanding selection.  Hand has performed only so-so in the SOMBILLA – a total of 59.2 IP with a 4.37 ERA.

    How did we all miss Aaron Judge?  Why wasn't he a first round pick?  [Robin: I think because of his size there were questions about his defense and concerns he would be a Dave Kingman type]. He was a first round pick in real baseball.  Speaking for myself, I'm not sure he was really even on my radar.  [Arnie: Yeah, his projections were not good]. Maybe it was because he hit .179 in 2016.  He then had a transcendent 2017 and overall has an OPS of .940 for his career.

    Jonathan Villar is a fantasy darling that has flirted with draftability over the years.  Seems like he's been around forever but he's only 30.  2016 was his career year.  Villar hit .188 in 64 AB for Arnie.  Which makes him the worst pick of the round.

    Max Kepler looked promising as a 23-year-old in 2016 and did hit 36 HR in 2019.  He's had his SOMBILLA moments.  After being traded to Oceanus, he hit 12 HR during the 2020-2021 SOMBILLA season.

    Steve Pearce has shown flashes of usability.  His best season was 2014 when he had an OPS of .930.  He was drafted in 2015 in round 4 by Arnie.  After hitting only .237 with 3 HR during the 2015-2016 SOMBILLA season, Arnie cut him.  Redrafted in 2017, as a lefty killer I believe, Pearce hit .318 and slugged .568 in 44 AB during the 2017-2018 season.

    Welington Castillo hit pretty well (for a catcher) in 2016 and 2017 but that was that.  In the SOMBILLA, he got a fair amount of playing time in 2017-2018 and 2018-2019, hitting .239 one year and .252 the next.

    Round 7

    Pick

    Player

    Team

    Position

    Drafted By

    49

    Broxton, Keon

    MIL

    CF,OF

    Jeff

    50

    Rodriguez, Sean

    ATL

    1B,2B,SS,OF

    Robin

    51

    Joseph, Tommy

    PHI

    1B

    Jed

    52

    Mondesi, Raul

    KC

    2B

    Arnie

    53

    Healy, Ryon

    OAK

    3B

    Eric

    54

    Law, Derek

    SF

    RP

    Future Wax

    55

    Diekman, Jake

    TEX

    RP

    Harold

    56

    Glasnow, Tyler

    PIT

    SP

    Harold

     

    Only 2 of these guys remain rostered (Mondesi and Glasnow).

    Keon Broxton had his career year in 2016 when he hit .242.  I'll presume there was some hope he'd turn into something.  He didn't.  Doesn't look like he ever played in the SOMBILLA.  Hence, he's the worst pick of the round.

    Sean Rodriguez: see Broxton, Keon.  Although Rodriguez did get 66 AB for Robin in 2017-2018, batting .197.  Being drafted by Bay City led to a horrible car accident in 2017 and he's never been the same.

    Who the fuck is Tommy Joseph?  Well he did get some playing time during the 2017-2018 season, hitting .250 with 1 HR....  I seem to remember he was supposed to be a classic, lumbering power hitter.

    Raul Mondesi, otherwise known as Adalberto Mondesi, is only 25 now and was a pure prospect during this draft.  He has flirted with usability (and is hitting .361 in limited AB in 2021!).  He has gotten some SOMBILLA playing time, hitting .266 in 79AB during the 2019-2020 campaign.

    Ryon Healy has gone steadily downhill since his fine (albeit limited) 2016 season.  No stats available but he did hit at least 1 HR for Eric.

    Derek Law had a 2.13 ERA and a .96 WHIP in 2016 but has never come close to usability since then.  He racked up 9 Rolaids points for Future Wax in the 2017-2018 season and had a 4.32 ERA with 3 saves.

    Jake Diekman had a 6.08 ERA in 13 IP for Harold during the 2017-2018 campaign.

    Tyler Glasnow had a fabulous limited 2019 season and is doing just as well in 2021. [Robin: or was before his alleged sticky-stuff related injury]. He had a terrible year for Harold during 2020-2021, with a 7.48 ERA in 21.2 IP.  He had a great card though (except for a +9 hold).  I think at this point Glasnow is looking like the best pick of the round.

    Round 8

     

    Pick

    Player

    Team

    Position

    Drafted By

    57

    Ryan, Kyle

    DET

    RP

    Future Wax

    58

    Wright, Steven

    BOS

    SP

    Robin

    59

    Hernandez, Cesar

    PHI

    2B

    Harold

    60

    Strahm, Matt

    KC

    RP

    Arnie

    61

    Blanton, Joe

    WAS

    RP

    Eric

    62

    Schugel, A.J.

    PIT

    RP

    Future Wax

    63

    Naquin, Tyler

    CLE

    CF,OF

    Jed

    64

    Manaea, Sean

    OAK

    SP

    Tom

     

    Only 2 remain in the SOMBILLA – Hernandez (a re-draft in 2021) and Manaea.

    Kyle Ryan was a one and done in the SOMBILLA.  He had a 5.82 ERA in 17 IP.  Of this bunch, I guess he's the worst.

    The deadpan Steven Wright had a breakout 2016 but not much thereafter.  He went 4-4 for Robin in 2017-2018, with a 4.29 ERA.  [Robin: then in real-life got injured on the basepaths and prevented his wife from calling 911, then got caught for steroid use – Bay City prefers to hold up Tim Wakefield as our knuckleball role model.

    Cesar Hernandez has turned in 3 usable seasons.  So far, in the SOMBILLA, he has hit .280 in 211 AB.  He's tied with Manaea as the best choice.

    Matt Strahm had a 1.23 ERA in a limited 2016 season.  He pitches well in even years.  In 2017-2018 he pitched 8.1 scoreless innings for Arnie.  He also made Arnie's roster in 2019-2020.

    Joe Blanton was a terrible starter who found his niche as a reliever.  One and done in the SOMBILLA.  No stats.

    AJ Schugel had a 1.04 WHIP in 2016.  He pitched 10.1 scoreless innings for Future Wax in 2017-2018.  And that has been his SOMBILLA career thus far.

    Tyler Naquin had an .886 OPS in 2016 and he was only 25 years old back then.  But that was his peak.  He did hit .339 in 109 AB for Oceanus in 2017-2018, a bright spot during a dismal season.

    Sean Manaea has a career 1.20 WHIP.  But he is a lefty.  But in 65 SOMBILLA career innings, he has a 3.74 ERA.  He's tied with Hernandez as the best choice.

    Round 9

    Pick

    Player

    Team

    Position

    Drafted By

    65

    Anderson, Tim

    CWS

    SS

    Jeff

    66

    Toles, Andrew

    LAD

    OF

    Future Wax

    67

    Edwards Jr., Carl

    CHC

    RP

    Harold

    68

    Dickerson, Alex

    SD

    LF,OF

    Arnie

    69

    Vargas, Kennys

    MIN

    1B

    Eric

    70

    Schimpf, Ryan

    SD

    2B

    Future Wax

    71

    Upton Jr., Melvin

    TOR

    LF,CF,OF

    Robin

    72

    Santana, Ervin

    MIN

    SP

    Tom

     

    Tim Anderson and Alex Dickerson (a re-draft in 2021) are the sole remaining SOMBILLA-rostered players out of this round.

    Anderson sure can hit and seems to be steadily climbing the shortstop rankings.  I'd say he's proven thus far to be the pick of the round.

    I'm assuming Andrew Toles has an injury history.  He's only 29 but hasn't played since 2018.  He hit .314 in 105 AB in 2016, so there was some promise.  He hit .053 in his one SOMBILLA season.

    Edwards had a .81 WHIP in 2016 and played 2 seasons in the SOMBILLA.  He fared poorly compiling a 6.35 ERA in 17 total innings.

    Alex Dickerson didn't play for Arnie but was re-drafted in 2021 by...Arnie!

    Kennys Vargas may never have played for Eric.  With no stats, I can't be sure.  I'm going to say he's tied for the worst pick in this round.

    Ryan Schimpf hit 20 HR in 276 AB in 2016.  His last MLB season was 2018.  He never played in the SOMBILLA.  Tied for the worst pick in this round.

    Melvin (aka BJ) Upton was originally drafted in 2005 (by Robin).  But assessing his re-draft in 2017...well, at that point he was a one-year wonder.  He hit .220 in the SOMBILLA in 2017-2018 in 41 AB.

    Ervin Santana was another re-draft.  For some reason, he turned in two stellar seasons in 2016 and 2017.  This translated to a 6.16 ERA for Tom in 159.1 IP.

    Round 10

    Pick

    Player

    Team

    Position

    Drafted By

    73

    Bell, Josh

    PIT

    1B

    Jeff

    74

    Solis, Sammy

    WAS

    RP

    Robin

    75

    Happ, J.A.

    TOR

    SP

    Harold

    76

    Duke, Zach

    STL

    P

    Eric

    77

    Renfroe, Hunter

    SD

    OF*

    Future Wax

    78

    Musgrove, Joe

    HOU

    SP

    Jed

    79

    Neris, Hector

    PHI

    RP

    Tom

     

    Wow, 4 of these guys are still in the SOMBILLA: Bell, Renfroe, Musgrove and Neris.

    In 2019, Josh Bell hit 37 HR.  He has struggled since.  But he's still only 28.  In the 2020-2021 SOMBILLA season Bell hit .303 with 14 HR and a .665 slugging percentage.  Uh, I guess he's the best pick of this round.  Although maybe Musgrove will turn out better?

    Sammy Solis had a career year in 2016.  He pitched 16 innings for Robin in 2017-2018, with a 4.50 ERA.

    JA Happ was 20-4 in 2016.  His best season by far.  He went 1-7 for Harold in 2017-2018, with a 8.32 ERA.  Ouch.  Maybe it was bad luck more than anything, but he's the worst pick in this round.

    Zach Duke has had a pretty crappy career overall but when he switched from starter to reliever he had a usable season or two.  No stats so not sure how he performed in the SOMBILLA.

    Hunter Renfroe hit .371 in 35 AB in 2016.  He only got 11 AB during the 2017-2018 SOMBILLA campaign but he hit .455.  Hasn't played in the SOMBILLA since but is still clinging to a roster spot.

    Joe Musgrove has turned in multiple almost usable cards thus far in his career.  He has made a few starts in the SOMBILLA.  He's having his best season in 2021.

    Hector Neris has had two good seasons – 2016 and 2019.  Maybe Tom is holding onto him until 2022 when Neris is due for another good season.  Neris sure pitched great for Tom in 2017-2018 (33.1 IP 2.16 ERA).  Not so great in 2020-2021 though.

    Round 11

    Pick

    Player

    Team

    Position

    Drafted By

    80

    Cuthbert, Cheslor

    KC

    3B

    Jeff

    81

    Norris, Daniel

    DET

    SP

    Robin

    82

    Bedrosian, Cam

    LAA

    RP

    Arnie

    83

    Velasquez, Vince

    PHI

    SP

    Eric

    84

    Smith, Mallex

    TB

    LF,CF,OF

    Future Wax

    85

    Colome, Alex

    TB

    RP

    Jed

    86

    Belisle, Matt

    MIN

    RP

    Tom

     

    Only 2 of these players remain rostered in the SOMBILLA – Bedrosian (now on Oceanus) and Colome.

    Cheslor Cuthbert looked fairly promising back in the day.  But his .731 OPS in 2016 was his high point.  He never played in the SOMBILLA.  ¼ worst pick.

    Doesn't look like Daniel Norris ever played in the SOMBILLA either.  ¼ worst pick.

    Bedrosian did well for Arnie (2.40 ERA) but not so well for me (7.88 ERA).  He is (marginally) usable again for the upcoming season.

    Vince Velasquez has never played in the SOMBILLA. ¼ worst pick.

    Mallex Smith has never played in the SOMBILLA. ¼ worst pick.

    Alex Colome had a 1.54 ERA and 8 saves during the 2017-2018 SOMBILLA season (good for #2 in the Rolaids rankings).  He didn't fare so well in 2018-2019 but was excellent again in 2019-2020 and solid in 2020-2021.  He is the best pick in this round.

    Matt Belisle had a 1.86 ERA in 9.2 IP for Tom in 2017-2018. 

    Rounds 12-16

    Pick

    Player

    Team

    Position

    Drafted By

    87

    Pillar, Kevin

    TOR

    CF,OF

    Eric

    88

    Torres, Carlos

    MIL

    RP

    Jed

    89

    Perez, Roberto

    CLE

    C

    Tom

     

    90

    Ramos, Edubray

    PHI

    RP

    Eric

    91

    Flynn, Brian

    KC

    RP

    Jed

    92

    Pomeranz, Drew

    BOS

    SP

    Tom

     

    93

    Jankowski, Travis

    SD

    CF,RF,OF

    Eric

    94

    Maurer, Brandon

    SD

    RP

    Jed

     

    95

    Baez, Pedro

    LAD

    RP

    Jed

     

    96

    Margot, Manuel

    SD

    OF*

    Jed

     

    Remaining in the SOMBILLA: Pillar, Perez, Pomeranz, Baez and Margot.  Some were redrafted though.

    Pillar has never been a good hitter but his defense has earned him a SOMBILLA roster spot.  Yet he did hit .333 for Eric during the 2018-2019 SOMBILLA campaign (36 AB).  And .316 in 57 AB in 2020-2021.  Really, he has exceeded expectations.  In fact, he's the best pick of these rounds.

    Carlos Torres had one good year.  He did not fare well during the 2017-2018 SOMBILLA season – 5.06 ERA in 32 IP.

    Roberto Perez is a terrible hitter who hit 24 HR in 2019.  This (and his defense) is likely why he still has a SOMBILLA roster spot.  He did hit 11 HR for Tom during the 2020-2021 campaign.

    No stats for Edubray Ramos in the SOMBILLA.  Looks like maybe he was traded to Future Wax during the 2019-2020 campaign?  If it's the same E. Ramos...he pitched 5 scoreless innings for Randy....

    Bryan Flynn was another one-and-done reliever.  He had a 6.43 ERA for Oceanus in 2017-2018.

    Drew Pomeranz has spent time in and out of the SOMBILLA.  He was not very effective as a starter but was reborn as a reliever.  He had a 4.62 ERA during the 2017-2018 season.  Redrafted by Arnie in 2021.

    Travis Jankowski has pretty much sucked, although he is hitting .333 in 2021!  I don't think he's ever played a SOMBILLA game.  I'm going to say he's the worst pick of these rounds.

    Brandon Maurer had a 3.33 ERA during the 2017-2018 season.

    Pedro Baez has been in and out of the SOMBILLA.  He had a 2.76 ERA in 2017-2018.  He had a 5.27 ERA for Eric during the 2020-2021 season.

    Manuel Margot never played for Oceanus.  He was picked up during a waiver draft by Arnie and hit .239 in limited action during the 2020-2021 campaign.


    The 2018 SOMBILLA Draft – A Retrospective [8/22]

    By Jed Corman, guest columnist

    Introduction

    It's that time of year to reflect upon the past. To ask such questions as “what the fuck was I thinking?”  To wonder what might have been if you hadn't followed Lamanna's advice. And if you're Future Wax, to rue not going with G8 instead of H5.

    To refresh memories, North Dakota won the 2018/19 World Series. Future Wax was the runner up. These were clearly the two best teams. Did they go for it in the 2018 draft or was their success more due to their past team-building efforts?  Who positioned themselves the best for the next 4 years?  Read on to find out.

    Executive Summary

    Fine, if you don't want to read the whole article, which I labored over for hours, here's what you need to know. This draft kind of sucked in terms of overall talent. The best players (with maybe one exception) were in fact taken in Round 1.

    In terms of tallying a score based on who won or lost each round, Robin and Tom had the best draft. Arnie had the worst draft. Both Arnie and Randy were net negative.

    So clearly just judging on a round-by-round basis is of limited usefulness. For example from 2018/19 through 2021/22 Arnie and Randy had the second and third most regular season wins and between them won 3 out of the 4 World Series. And during 2018/19, based on a quick assessment, both Arnie and Randy got some fine performances out of their 2018 draftees (see: Marwin Gonzalez).

    96 players were drafted. 30 are still rostered (21 of whom were selected in the first 5 rounds). Some of whom were cut and redrafted. It's a tough league.

    Round 1

    1

    Bellinger, Cody

    LAD

    1B,OF

    Eric

    2

    Olson, Matt

    OAK

    1B

    Jed

    3

    Pham, Tommy

    STL

    OF

    Harold

    4

    Devers, Rafael

    BOS

    3B

    Tom

    5

    Albies, Ozzie

    ATL

    2B

    Robin

    6

    Moncada, Yoan

    CWS

    2B

    Jeff

    7

    Hoskins, Rhys

    PHI

    1B,OF

    Arnie

    8

    Robles, Victor

    WAS

    OF

    Future Wax

    Well, we can certainly say that Future Wax wasn't going for it with this pick. Robles jumps out as the worst pick of the first round. In the Washington, DC, area we are painfully aware that he has not panned out. And he was just cut in the most recent Waiver Draft.

    Bellinger was the clear-cut choice for the #1 pick and I remember being pissed that Eric won the thing-off. However, Bellinger, after his excellent performances in 2017 and 2018 and a transcendent 2019, has been pretty awful. He is only turning 27 this year, though, so there's still time to reverse course. In the SOMBILLA, in the half year's worth of statistics I could find, Bellinger was awesome: OBP of .440 and SLG of .848.

    There are 3 players who could be considered the best choice of round 1: Olson (who was a mutant that year), Devers and Albies. Something of a toss up to choose between them but Devers and Albies are younger and since Albies is a superb defender at 2B (and cute – Robin). I'm going to give him the nod as the best selection. Devers is having an awesome 2022 though..

    Pham gave Harold some good years (after being cut by Arnie the year before). He was on the SOMBILLA leader board in several categories in 2018/19. Hoskins, in spite of a .200 BA, had an OPS of .972 in 50 AB. And an OPS of .830 as a regular in 2019/20. Hoskins only got 15 AB in 2020/21 and hit only .133. He will presumably get some usage during the 2022/23 season. Not a world beater but far from a bust. Moncada has had only one good season (2019) but that's more than Victor Robles can say.

    As of now 6 of these players remain rostered (Robles and Pham are out of the league).

    Scoring: Robin 1. Randy -1.

     Round 2


     

    9

    Castillo, Luis

    CIN

    SP

    Tom

    10

    Anderson, Chase

    MIL

    SP

    Harold

    11

    Zunino, Mike

    SEA

    C

    Jed

    12

    Green, Chad

    NYY

    SP

    Eric

    13

    Godley, Zack

    ARI

    SP

    Robin

    14

    Madson, Ryan

    WAS

    RP

    Harold

    15

    Ray, Robbie

    ARI

    SP

    Arnie

    16

    Rivero, Felipe

    PIT

    RP

    Future Wax

     Robbie Ray has had two excellent years (including winning a Cy Young award) and that's sufficient to earn him a tie for the best choice of round 2. That and the fact that he's still rostered. As a lefty in the SOMBILLA, he wasn't treated particularly kindly during the 2018/19 season, but he did ok: 4-5, 4.10 ERA, 88 K in 68 IP. He did close out North Dakota's World Series victory by pitching a 1-2-3 10th inning in Game 7!

    I'm going to give a half vote to Luis Castillo, who has quietly, overall, had better stats than Ray. Castillo did not do so well in limited appearances in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19 – a 6.57 ERA (but a 3-1 record!). He did so-so this past season (4-4, 4.16 ERA). Bottom line is, he's been a contributor and he's still rostered.

    Worst pick?  A few contenders. Godley has had one usable season – 2017. He went 2-5 for Bay City during 2018/19, with a 4.02 ERA in 65 IP. I would say he's the worst pick of the second round. Zunino (another in a long line of failed attempts to find my Catcher of the Future)  has been awful but he was just re-drafted this year, so he's produced 2 usable seasons. Although.that shouldn't count toward evaluating this pick. However, he also had an OPS of .959 in 122 AB for Oceanus in 2018/19. Chase Anderson seems to have steadily gotten worse over time. You could certainly argue he's just as bad as Godley but his overall career has been better. But factoring in their SOMBILLA careers.I'll make it a tie between Godley and Anderson.

    I think Madson was the best reliever available that year. He was never good again but he'd had some usable cards in the past. In the SOMBILLA in 2018/19, he had a pretty unremarkable season. A 3.47 ERA and a record of 1-2 with 2 saves. Similarly, Rivero (a lefty) had a spectacular 2017 and outperformed Madson in the SOMBILLA (1.84 ERA with 4 saves). Rivero had 3 good years in a row (especially 2017 and 2019) and then he changed his name to Felipe Vazquez and then he was found guilty of sexual assault. And speaking of relievers, Chad Green (not to be confused with Shane Greene) was cut during the most recent Waiver Draft (in spite of being the 27th best reliever in the set according to Lamanna), snapped up gratefully by Arnie and quickly succumbed to injury probably because of proximity to Bay City. He has provided several usable years and given that he's been continuously rostered one could make an argument that he's the best choice in this round.

    4 of these picks are still rostered.

    Scoring: Robin -1/2, Harold -1/2, Tom ½, Arnie ½.

    Round 3 

    17

    Garcia, Avisail

    CWS

    OF

    Jed

    18

    Happ, Ian

    CHC

    2B,OF

    Eric

    19

    Claudio, Alex

    TEX

    RP

    Harold

    20

    Bradley, Archie

    ARI

    RP

    Tom

    21

    Minor, Mike

    TEX

    RP

    Robin

    22

    Albers, Matt

    MIL

    P

    Harold

    23

    Gonzalez, Marwin

    HOU

    1B,2B,SS,OF

    Arnie

    24

    Hader, Josh

    MIL

    RP

    Eric

     I think without even doing any research we can declare Eric the winner of this round. Happ and Hader are still rostered. Hader is a dominant reliever. He has a career WHIP of .85 (at the time I am writing this). He is obviously the best selection in round 3. Happ has had a career OPS of .806 (but has been somewhat limited I presume by injuries).

    Of the rest, only Avisail Garcia is still rostered (he was re-drafted in 2021). So we'll say he's not the worst choice of the round. He has a career OPS of .749. A marginal SOMBILLA player.

    Is there a clear worst choice?  In terms of their 2018/19 SOMBILLA performances, Matt “Fat” Albers did pretty well (2.28 ERA), Claudio was solid (3.18 ERA), Bradley was excellent (2nd in Rolaids), Minor was decent (a 4.06 ERA but 5 saves) and Gonzalez was excellent (.316 average). These guys were all drafted to contribute immediately and they did. None of these guys are still rostered (Bradley was dropped in this year's Waiver Draft). As hard as it's going to be to do the math, I'll say it's a 4-way tie for worst pick. Since two of these picks were Harold's, he loses the round. But.again.these guys did what they were asked to do.

    3 of these players are still on SOMBILLA rosters.

    Scoring: Eric 1, Arnie -1/4, Robin -1/4, Harold -1/4, Harold -1/4

    Round 4

     

    25

    Rosario, Eddie

    MIN

    OF

    Jed

    26

    Berrios, Jose

    MIN

    SP

    Eric

    27

    Taylor, Chris

    LAD

    2B,OF

    Harold

    28

    Bour, Justin

    MIA

    1B

    Tom

    29

    Winker, Jesse

    CIN

    OF

    Robin

    30

    Giolito, Lucas

    CWS

    SP

    Jeff

    31

    Parker, Blake

    LAA

    RP

    Arnie

    32

    Barnes, Austin

    LAD

    C,2B

    Future Wax

    The two names that stand out to me on this list are Giolito and Berrios. These guys are basically the same age (turning 28 in 2022) and have comparable career statistics. I'll give a slight nod to Giolito as the best choice of the round as he has turned in 3 seasons with a WHIP of 1.10 or less.

    Eddie Rosario has been a SOMBILLA contributor (he had an OPS of .911 as a regular player in 2018/19) so even though he got cut by Oceanus in the 2022 Waiver Draft (and he waited for months before revealing he had vision problems) he's not the worst choice of the round. And New Orleans did pick him up in the 2022 Waiver Draft..

    Jessie Winker, still rostered, has a career .868 OPS and had his best year in 2021. He may end up being the best choice of this round, if we were to look back 5 years from now. Prior to 2021, though, he was limited (injuries?). Robin note: of course, injuries.  He plays for BC.

     Chris Taylor is still hanging on in the SOMBILLA. He has a career OPS of .781 and 2017 was his career year. Maybe not a star but a contributor and not the worst choice of the round.

    Justin Bour had a solid season for Constantinople in 2018/2019. Granted, their fences were as usual only 200 feet to all fields and the playing surface was laminated to speed up balls hit on the ground. But Bour did hit .299 with an OPS of .798 in 117 AB. Bour never hit higher than .227 again in real baseball.

    And then we have Blake Parker and Austin Barnes. Parker went 4-3 with a 3.21 ERA during the 2018/19 SOMBILLA campaign. Barnes hit .229 in limited play (83 AB). 2017 was an outlier for Parker. He had a WHIP of .83 that year, but never had a WHIP of lower than 1.22 after that. Barnes has similarly sucked since 2017. I'm going to choose Barnes by a hair as the worst pick in this round.

    5 players still rostered.

    Scoring: Jeff 1, Randy -1.

    Round 5

     

    33

    Neshek, Pat

    PHI

    RP

    Jed

    34

    Nicasio, Juan

    SEA

    RP

    Eric

    35

    DeJong, Paul

    STL

    2B,SS

    Jeff

    36

    Haniger, Mitch

    SEA

    OF

    Tom

    37

    Alonso, Yonder

    CLE

    1B

    Robin

    38

    Mancini, Trey

    BAL

    1B,OF

    Jeff

    39

    Cashner, Andrew

    BAL

    SP

    Arnie

    40

    Swarzak, Anthony

    NYM

    RP

    Future Wax

    Wow, a lot of meh here!

    Going in order, Neshek I'm sure had been in the league before as he had a few usable seasons. 2017 was probably his second best year. In the SOMBILLA, in 2018/19, Neshek led Oceanus in saves with 7. He was solid.

    Juan Effin' Nicasio?  In the half season of SOMBILLA stats I have for him, he had a 10.95 ERA. He never had a usable card again. I think we have a candidate for worst pick but hang on..

    Paul DeJong is still rostered!  2017 was his career year but he did hit 30 homers in 2019. His batting average has fallen off a cliff though. He did not do well in very limited play in the SOMBILLA – a .190 BA in 21 AB.

    Mitch Haniger is still rostered too!  He has a career OPS of .819. He's turned in 3 excellent seasons (including 39 homers in 2021, who knew?). By gosh, I'm going to boldly declare he's the best choice of this round before I even look at the rest of the guys. In the 2018/19 SOMBILLA campaign, he had an OPS of .834 and 13 HR while playing regularly.

    Yonder Alonso. Where is he now?  Over yonder. To be fair, he contributed during the 2018/19 SOMBILLA season – he had a .797 OPS in 165 AB. But unless he changed his name to Pete, he is no longer rostered. 2017 was his only usable year. But thanks to Nicasio, he wasn't the worst choice in this round.

    Trey Mancini remains rostered. He has hit over 20 homers 4 seasons in a row, including 35 in 2019. I'd say he's the second best pick of the round. Unfortunately, he does play for the Orioles.

    Andrew Cashner looked like a good bet at the time, coming off a season where he had a 3.40 ERA in 166 IP. He went 5-4 for Arnie in 2018/19, with a 4.30 ERA. He was a decent contributor.

    Finally, Swarzak!  He was great in 2017 but had a 6.44 ERA for Tom during the 2018/19 SOMBILLA season. Adjusting for the ballpark, that's like a 2.50 ERA elsewhere. Alas, Swarzak never replicated 2017 and at the time I'm writing this doesn't seem to be on an MLB roster.

    3 of these players are still in the SOMBILLA.

    Scoring: Tom 1, Eric -1.

    Round 6

     

    41

    Avila, Alex

    ARI

    C

    Jed

    42

    Martinez, Jose

    STL

    1B,OF

    Eric

    43

    Smoak, Justin

    TOR

    1B

    Harold

    44

    Kahnle, Tommy

    NYY

    RP

    Tom

    45

    Cishek, Steve

    CHC

    RP

    Robin

    46

    Morrow, Brandon

    CHC

    RP

    Harold

    47

    Alfaro, Jorge

    PHI

    C

    Arnie

    48

    Rosenthal, Trevor

    FA

    P

    Future Wax

    Once again, nobody really jumps off the page here.

    Going in order, Avila if I recall correctly was something of a mutant that year. Certainly, 2017 was an outlier for him, although 2011 was a career year. Anyway, Avila did turn out some usable cards because he was a left-handed hitter with good on base and a touch of power. And not bad defensively. In the 2018/19 SOMBILLA season, he had an OPS of .814 in 92 AB. Not the worst pick in the round. Not the best. Like every round in this draft for me thus far..

    Jose Martinez had a career .803 OPS so pretty decent. 2017 was, you guessed it, his best year. However, it was limited (272 AB). He did hit over .300 in 2018 but declined rapidly after that. He seems to be out of the MLB even though he's only 33 years old. I know he had a torn meniscus at one point, not sure if that torpedoed him. In the 2018/19  SOMBILLA season, he did absurdly well in limited appearances: an OPS of 1.656 in 45 AB (with 8 HR). He must've been a mutant – yes, he was a lefty-killer!  It doesn't look like Martinez played again in the SOMBILLA.

    Smoak had 38 homers in 2017. He never had more than 25 in any other season. 2017 was his career year by a long shot. He must have been somewhat injury prone as he only had more than 500 AB in 2 seasons. Anyhoo, in the SOMBILLA 2018/19 season, Smoak didn't play much (61 AB) but had an OPS of .910. Smoak did horribly in the SOMBILLA in the 2019/20 season, hitting under .100 in 32 AB. But he was on the roster for two seasons. Not the worst pick.

    Kahnle also had his best season in 2017. In the SOMBILLA, he provided Tom with 15 IP and an ERA of 1.80. He got cut but was redrafted in 2020. So he got two years of SOMBILLA experience, but in re this selection, he was one and done. But his good SOMBILLA performance saves him from being the worst pick of the round.

    Cishek I'm sure had been in the league previously as he had at least one usable card from 2011 to 2016.   In the SOMBILLA, in 2018/19, Cishek had 4 saves for Robin and an ERA of 2.60 in 17 1/3 innings. Pretty good. Also, had a 2.73 ERA and 2 saves in 26 1/3 IP in 2019/20. Can't call him the worst pick.

    Brandon Morrow. He sounds promising for worst pick, doesn't he?  He was a starter earlier in his career and then switched to the pen after his ERA went into the 5s (something went wrong). This was a redraft (2013 and he was cut after 1 year). Well, as it turns out, he had a few years as a reliever where his ERA was 2.something or even 1.something. But very limited innings. In the SOMBILLA, in 2018/19, Morrow pitched 17 innings and had an ERA of 3.71 but with 3 saves and a good WHIP. Doesn't look like Morrow pitched again in the SOMBILLA.

    Alfaro seemed like a promising catcher. And he's only just turning 29 in 2022 so I don't want to write off his career yet. But he went in the wrong direction year after year. In 2017, albeit in only 107 AB, he hit .318 with an OPS of .874. But the next year, he hit .262 with an OPS of .731. Etc. During the 2018/19 SOMBILLA season, Alfaro performed miserably in his 42 AB. His OPS was .565. I acquired Alfaro from Arnie and I know he got some limited playing time. So maybe not the worst pick but maybe?  Circling back I'm going to say Alfaro was the worst pick. He hung onto a SOMBILLA roster for quite a while but really if anything had a negative impact.

    The oft-injured Rosenthal has had flashes of brilliance. I re-drafted him in 2021 and in 2018 he was also a redraft (originally drafted in 2014). Overall, then, Rosenthal has been useful. But just focusing on this 2018 selection.he performed very well in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19, with 8 saves and a 2.70 ERA. He didn't play in the SOMBILLA in 2019/20 so for this iteration of Rosenthal he went one and done. I'm going to say Rosenthal was the best pick because he played a key role in getting Randy to the World Series and won the Rolaids relief award for 2018/19.

    None of these guys is still on a SOMBILLA roster.

     Scoring: Randy 1, Arnie -1.

     Round 7

     


    Petit, Yusmeiro

    OAK

    RP

    Jed

    50

    Taylor, Michael

    WAS

    OF

    Eric

    51

    Williams, Trevor

    PIT

    SP

    Harold

    52

    Knebel, Corey

    MIL

    RP

    Tom

    53

    Pirela, Jose

    SD

    OF

    Robin

    54

    Peacock, Brad

    HOU

    RP

    Jeff

    55

    Jackson, Austin

    SF

    OF

    Arnie

    56

    Chapman, Matt

    OAK

    3B

    Future Wax

    If you've made it this far, I'm impressed. I'll get briefer with the comments from here on out. For those keeping score at home, so far, Tom is having the best draft (he is + 1.5) and Randy and Harold are tied for last (at -1).

    Petit was rostered up until the 2022 Waiver Draft. He's had a career WHIP of 1.15 and has been particularly good over the last 5 years. He had a 3.65 ERA and a save in 2018/19. He had a 3.18 ERA in 2019/20. And he had a 2.12 ERA in 2020/21. By gosh, he might be the best pick of the round..

    Taylor is another Nationals prospect who never panned out. 2017 was of course his career year. He was effectively one and done in the SOMBILLA. In his 2018/19 cup of coffee, he had an OPS of .892 in 37 AB.

     Williams did horribly in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19 – 7.86 ERA in 34 1/3 IP. New Orleans' worst pitcher that season. But his career year was 2018 and in 2019/20 in the SOMBILLA he went 6-1 with a 3.48 ERA. Probably not the worst pick of the round then.

    Corey “Evil” Knebel did poorly in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19: 7.98 ERA albeit with 2 saves. In real baseball, in 2017, he had 126 K in 76 IP. Knebel may still produce usable cards in the future but so far he's one and done in the SOMBILLA. Candidate for worst selection though at the time this was probably considered a great pick. He had a nice 2021 season (.97 WHIP) but wasn't drafted presumably because of limited innings.

    Pirela?  Who?  Let me guess: he had his career year in 2017 and hasn't been heard from since. Bingo. He was kind of marginal in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19 – an OPS of .799 in 62 AB. Tied with Knebel for worst pick so far.

    Peacock strutted his stuff for one year in the SOMBILLA to the tune of a 2-4 record with a 4.91 ERA. Tied with Knebel and Pirela for worst.

    Jackson had an OPS of 1.084 in 42 AB in the SOMBILLA 2018/19 season. But that was that.

    Chapman, without looking anything up, feels like the best pick of the round. He's the only guy still rostered. He has hit over 20 HR 3 times, including 36 in 2019. He's a stellar defender. However, he didn't play in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19. He hit .235 in 2019/20 with 8 HR and .183 in 2020/21 with 13 HR. Ok, I'll make it a tie for best pick between Chapman and Petit.

    Again, only 1 guy from this round still rostered.

    Scoring: Randy ½, Jed ½, Tom, Robin, Jeff -1/3

    Round 8

    57

    Lyons, Tyler

    STL

    RP

    Jed

    58

    Greene, Shane

    DET

    RP

    Eric

    59

    Hedges, Austin

    SD

    C

    Harold

    60

    Gennett, Scooter

    CIN

    2B

    Tom

    61

    Nelson, Jimmy

    MIL

    SP

    Robin

    62

    Freeman, Sam

    ATL

    RP

    Jeff

    63

    Faria, Jake

    TB

    SP

    Arnie

    64

    O'Day, Darren

    BAL

    RP

    Jed

    I'd be lyin' if I said I remembered Lyons. I'm sure he was one and done in the SOMBILLA. Ah, he was a lefty who had the best ERA for me (2.55) in 2018/19. 2 saves to boot. He can't be the worst pick of the round..

    Shane (not Chad) Greene was part of Eric's effort to get a monopoly on all green players. And he's still on the team currently named the Vita-Rays!  Without complete SOMBILLA stats it's hard to say but his multi-year tenure makes him a candidate for the best choice of the round. He's had 3 usable cards..

    Harold tried Hedging his bets but it didn't work out. Hedges is a career .194 hitter but as a catcher with double-digit HR power it seemed worth taking a flyer on him. He did get 3 AB in the SOMBILLA in 2019/20 (and hit .333). Something he can tell his grandchildren someday. Worst pick thus far.

    Gennett had a couple of excellent seasons and got some decent usage in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19 and 2019/20. I'll say he's tied with Greene.

    Nelson had a 5.05 ERA in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19 but soaked up 73 IP with a 5-3 record. Missed some time due to injury (but thankfully avoided death) and was redrafted in Round 12 in 2022 (by Arnie, whose main goal was to re-draft former yet still living Bay City players). Not the worst.

    Freeman pitched 8 IP in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19 with a 7.88 ERA. One and done. Arguably as bad as Hedges.

    Faria didn't play in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19. I guess he was a prospect who had a promising 2017 but went downhill from there. Faria takes over last place in the race for worst pick!

    Darren (“why can't I get players like that?”) O'Day enjoyed previous and future success in the SOMBILLA. In 2018/19, he had a 4.35 and 2 saves. Kind of meh but not the worst pick. Cut in the 2022 Waiver Draft.

    3 of these guys are still rostered (Nelson via re-draft).

    Scoring: Arnie -1, Tom ½, Eric ½

    Round 9

    65

    Leone, Dominic

    STL

    RP

    Jed

    66

    Mauer, Joe

    MIN

    1B

    Eric

    67

    Maddox, Austin

    BOS

    P

    Harold

    68

    Duvall, Adam

    CIN

    OF

    Tom

    69

    Hernandez, Teoscar

    TOR

    OF

    Robin

    70

    Rodney, Fernando

    MIN

    RP

    Jeff

    71

    Gyorko, Jedd

    STL

    3B

    Arnie

    72

    Suarez, Eugenio

    CIN

    3B

    Future Wax

    A clear winner for best choice in this round: Teoscar Hernandez. I don't think he was on my radar but he did have a .907 OPS in 88 AB in real baseball in 2017. Kudos to Robin for sticking with him through a couple of unusable seasons. He blossomed in 2020 and 2021 (32 HR). One of only two guys from this round who has survived in the SOMBILLA (and the only one with continuous SOMBILLA service).

    Leone was one and done (but re-drafted in 2022). He had a 4.71 ERA (and a save) in the SOMBILLA in 2018/19. Tied for worst pick.

    Potential Hall of Famer Joe Mauer was of course a redraft in 2018 after several unusable seasons. He hit .286 in 82 AB in 2018/19 for his swan song in the SOMBILLA.

    Austin (“unfortunately not Greg and it's spelled differently”) Maddox only pitched for one year in MLB. He did have a .52 ERA in 17 IP. Presumably he was seen as a prospect. If he'd been drafted by Robin I'd assume he'd died. He did pitch 7 IP  in the SOMBILLA with a 1-0 record and a 2.57 ERA. Tied for worst pick.

    Duvall is one of those guys perpetually on the cusp of making the SOMBILLA. A power hitter and decent fielder with a painful BA. He hit 33 HR in 2016 (undrafted), 31 in 2017 (drafted) and 38 in 2021 (undrafted! - the most HR ever for an undrafted player?). He hit .214 in the SOMBILLA 2018/19 campaign with 4 HR in 56 AB. Marginal. Tied for worst pick.

    Rodney sure played for a lot of teams (in real baseball)!  2017 was of course his best year (he had 39 saves). In the 2018/19 SOMBILLA campaign, he had a 4.85 ERA and 1 save. Tied for worst pick.

    Gyorko, a former Asshole, was once a promising power-hitting second baseman. He played well for North Dakota in 2018/19 – hitting .275 with an OPS of .817 in 109 AB. Solid.

    Suarez hung in there in the SOMBILLA until the 2022 Waiver Draft. He hit .199 in 181 AB (ouch!) for Future Wax during the 2018/19 campaign. He also hit .222 in 2019/20. But in 2020/21 he hit .313 with 12 HR. Overall, a solid pick.

    2 players are currently rostered (one a re-draft).

    Scoring: Robin 1, Jed, Tom, Jeff, Harold: - 1/4

    Round 10

     


    Marisnick, Jake

    HOU

    OF

    Jed

    74

    Nunez, Eduardo

    BOS

    2B,3B,OF

    Eric

    75

    Frazier, Clint

    NYY

    OF

    Harold

    76

    Kintzler, Brandon

    WAS

    RP

    Tom

    77

    Camargo, Johan

    ATL

    3B,SS

    Robin

    78

    Chisenhall, Lonnie

    CLE

    OF

    Jeff

    79

    Weaver, Luke

    STL

    SP

    Arnie

    80

    Hunter, Tommy

    PHI

    RP

    Future Wax

    Marisnick was a mutant, if I remember correctly. Also, good defensively?  He had an .831 OPS in 64 AB during the 2018/19 SOMBILLA campaign. One and done.

    Nunez did well in the half season of stats we have for him in 2018/19: OPS of .931 in 40 AB. He was originally drafted in 2012 and cut in 2013. He was drafted again in 2014.

    Frazier was drafted by Harold solely on the basis that a) he played for the Yankees and b) with a name like Clint Frazier, he ought to be good. He ultimately got to play in the SOMBILLA in 2021/22 and had a .868 OPS in 123 AB. He got cut in the 2022 Waiver Draft. But I'll still say he's the best player picked because he had the most impact in the SOMBILLA.

    Kintzler had a win and a couple of saves and a 3.94 ERA for Tom in 2018/19. Seems like that was his SOMBILLA career.

    [The cute] Camargo had a 1.002 OPS in 19 AB for Robin in 2018/19. He went on to hit .203 in 182 AB in 2019/20. So he got some SOMBILLA playing time but it wasn't productive overall. He seems to have fallen off a cliff after 2018 (which may have happened literally since he was playing for Bay City).

    Chisenhall hit .194 in 67 AB in the SOMBILLA during 2018/19. Must've gotten injured – out of baseball after a limited 2018. Tie for worst pick.

    Weaver pitched 8 2/3 IP with a 7.27 ERA for Arnie in 2018/19. I think that was it for him. Tie for worst pick.

    Hunter had an 11.37 ERA in 6 2/3 IP in 2018/19. I feel like he was a re-draft in 2018 and I feel like it was Robin who drafted him. But in a quick glance through previous drafts I didn't find him. Tie for worst pick. (Robin: I don’t recall drafting him and if I did, it certainly wasn’t for his looks.)

    No player remains rostered.

    Scoring: Harold: 1, Jeff, Arnie, Randy: -1/3

    Round 11

     


    Bundy, Dylan

    BAL

    SP

    Jed

    82

    Newcomb, Sean

    ATL

    SP

    Eric

    83

    Morrison, Logan

    MIN

    1B

    Tom

    84

    Lamet, Dinelson

    SD

    SP

    Robin

    85

    Leake, Mike

    SEA

    SP

    Jeff

    86

    Chirinos, Robinson

    TEX

    C

    Arnie

    87

    Delmonico, Nicky

    CWS

    OF

    Future Wax

    Out of this group, only Lamet is still clinging to life in the SOMBILLA. By virtue of that he's the front runner for best pick of the round. He really hasn't pitched much in his career. In the SOMBILLA in 2018/19, he got in 15 IP with a 6.60 ERA. Has that been it for him thus far? [Ed note, actually he was 6-4 for FW last year with a 4.40 ERA in 88 IP and appeared frequently in the World Series.  He’s the pitching equivalent of Brantley).  Hmmm, let's see if anyone's SOMBILLA performance elevates them above Lamet.. Nope, I'll give it to Lamet.

    Dylan Bundy had one very usable year where he was in the top tier of SOMBILLA starters. His performance though (in 2021/22) was not great: 2-4 with a 5.40 ERA in 58 1/3 IP. Cut during the 2022 Waiver Draft.

    Sean (“not Don and it's spelled differently anyway”) Newcomb was a prospect that never played in the SOMBILLA as far as I can tell. Thus, worst pick of the round.

    Morrison had an .877 OPS in 90 AB for Tom in 2018/19. I believe that was it for him. (Robin had him before this)

    Former Asshole Leake (an excellent fielding pitcher, if I recall) did well in 2018/19: a 3.04 ERA in 74 IP. But nothing after that.

    Robinson Chirinos spent a few years on a few different franchises in the SOMBILLA. He had an OPS of 1.273 in 35 AB (6 HR) for Arnie in 2018/19. I'm assuming he was a lefty-killer that year.

    Delmonico sounds delicious but had a brief SOMBILLA career. He did have an OPS of .863 in 33 AB for Future Wax in 2018/19. He did hit a couple of homers against me as Future Wax beat me in the first round of the playoffs. Never heard from again.

    No player remains rostered.

    Scoring: Robin 1, Eric -1.

    Round 12

    88

    Souza, Steven

    ARI

    OF

    Tom

    89

    Barnhart, Tucker

    CIN

    C

    Robin

    90

    Hays, Austin

    BAL

    OF

    Jeff

    91

    Alvarado, Jose

    TB

    RP

    Arnie

    92

    Suzuki, Kurt

    ATL

    C

    Future Wax

     Round 13

     

    93

    Rosario, Amed

    NYM

    SS

    Jeff

    94

    Goody, Nick

    CLE

    RP

    Future Wax

     

    Round 14

     

    95

    Crawford, J.P.

    PHI

    3B

    Jeff

    96

    Freese, David

    PIT

    3B

    Future Wax

     Three of these guys are currently rostered!  However, one (Hays) was a re-draft and another (Crawford) is on a different team.

    Souza had an OPS of .796 in 58 AB during 2018/19.

    Barnhart, a fine defensive catcher, does not appear to have ever gotten a PA in the SOMBILLA?  Tied for worst pick.

     
    Hays, redrafted in 2022, also may never have gotten a PA in the SOMBILLA. Tied for worst pick.

    Alvarado appeared in the 2019/20 SOMBILLA campaign. He notched 2 saves and compiled a 3.12 ERA in 26 IP.

    Suzuki totally had a career year in 2017 and hit .290 for Future Wax in 2018/19. He got a little playing time in 2019/20 as well.

    Rosario doesn't appear to have had a PA in the SOMBILLA. Since he's still rostered, though, I'll elevate him above being the worst pick.

    Goody hasn't worked out so good. He had a 6.53 ERA during the 2018/19 season with 1 save in 20 2/3 IP.

    JP (not Brandon, even though he's also a SS) Crawford is an excellent defensive SS who has gotten some playing time for New Orleans in the SOMBILLA. He hit .210 in 195 AB in 2021/22. I'll say he's the best pick because he has played the most and is still rostered. But there were no great picks in this round.

    Freese was originally drafted by Future Wax in 2011 and cut in 2014. In 2017 I think he was a lefty-killer?  Certainly he was much better vs. L. Anyway, in 2018/19, he hit .296 for Randy in 54 AB.

    Again, 3 players still rostered.


    Scoring: Jeff 1, Jeff -1/2, Robin -1/2


    The 2019 SOMBILLA Draft: A Retrospective

    By Jed Corman. (Ed note, after reading this, I conclude that Jed has a lot of time on his hands).

    I remember the 2019 SOMBILLA draft like it was yesterday.  Which means, I don't remember it at all.  My memory is pretty bad.

    I'm sure we all had our reasons for making the choices that we did.  And it's easy to judge with 20-20 hindsight.  But if nothing else, these retrospectives remind us of how difficult it is to find players who consistently produce usable cards.  Only 38 from this draft are still rostered (some of whom are re-drafts or cut list pickups).

    Executive Summary

    In terms of awarding points, the winner of the 2019 draft is Arnie (with Jed in second).  And Jeff received the least amount of points (with Randy 2nd to last).

    Expanding the context, Future Wax won the 2019/2020 season World Series.  In the 4 seasons completed since the 2019 draft, North Dakota has the most overall wins (128 – an average of 32 per year!), has made the playoffs every year and won a World Series title.  Oceanus has 123 wins and 2 World Series appearances (yes, Yankees fans, I know those don't count).

    The 2019 Draft

     

    Round 1

     

     

     

     

    1

    Shohei Ohtani

    P, DH

    Tom

     

    2

    Ronald Acuna  Jr.

    OF*

    Jeff

     

    3

    Juan Soto

    LF

    Eric

     

    4

    Gleyber Torres

    2B

    Harold

     

    5

    Walker Buehler

    SP

    Jed

     

    6

    Blake Snell

    SP

    Robin

     

    7

    Luke Voit

    1B, DH

    RAT

     

    8

    Kyle Tucker

    LF, RF

    Arnie

     

    It was mildly surprising (to me, at least) that Tom took Ohtani first.  I would have taken Acuna (because that's who Lamanna said to take, of course).  Not sure about the rest of the league.  Clearly the first 3 players are excellent, and we can't really say yet who the best choice of the round was.  At the time I am writing this, Ohtani, Acuna and Soto all have an outstanding career OPS, but Soto's is the highest.  However, Ohtani has pitched excellently too.  I'm going to award 1/3 points to Tom, Jeff and Eric.  Both at the time and in retrospect, these are the top 3 choices in the draft in some order.

    Meanwhile, Tucker has been quietly damned good (career OPS of .832).  Buehler has produced some terrific cards but won't be back in the SOMBILLA until 2024 or maybe even 2025.  Snell had one transcendent year but has been kind of meh since.  The same goes for Gleyber Torres.

    Which leaves Luke Voit.  He does have a career OPS of .807 (at the time I am writing this).  But he's only had two unlimited cards.  He was a mutant a couple of times.  In this group, you have to consider him the worst choice of the round.  Even though he hasn't been a bust.  He is the only one of this group no longer rostered.

     

    Round 2

     

     

     

     

    9

    Blake Treinen

    RP

    Harold

     

    10

    Jack Flaherty

    SP

    Eric

     

    11

    Miles Mikolas

    SP

    Jeff

     

    12

    Seranthony Dominguez

    RP

    Tom

     

    13

    Mike Clevenger

    SP

    Jed

     

    14

    Will Smith

    RP

    Robin

     

    15

    Mike Foltynewicz

    SP

    RAT

     

    16

    Adam Ottavino

    RP

    Arnie

     

     Impressive how the talent level falls so quickly.  Not surprising that Harold took the best available reliever in Treinen.  Treinen had a .78 ERA and a .83 WHIP in 2018 for Oakland.  This after multiple unusable seasons with our Washington Nationals.  He also produced a fine season in 2021.  Treinen set the league record for saves during the 2019/2020 season (since eclipsed by Giovanny Gallegos).

    Jack Flaherty (still only 27) has fine overall career statistics but presumably due to injuries (always reasonable to assume for a pitcher) he hasn't pitched more than 78 IP over the last 4 seasons.  He was chosen here as a potential ace after a very good 2018 and produced his best season in 2019.  His statistics in the SOMBILLA were recorded only for the pandemic computer only ’20-21 season (6-4, 6.07) .  He appears once in the 2019/2020 TWITS Notes (as a “tough luck loser”).  He appears 6 times in the 2020/2021 TWITS Notes (3 negative and 3 positive mentions).

    Miles Mikolas was selected because of his career year in 2018.  A starred starter and presumably the best or one of the best available starting pitcher cards.  He also turned in a fine 2022 season.  In the SOMBILLA, his stats for the 2019/2020 season were not recorded, but Mikolas receives 4 TWITS Notes mentions suggesting he pitched well.  I guess his 2022 card wasn't usable in spite of his good stats.

     Dominguez (still only 28) was considered a closer of the future.  And he had a fine 2018 season (a .93 WHIP e.g.).  He pitched 12.1 IP for Tom, with an ERA of 5.11.  He did pick up a save.  Cut in 2020 or 2021, he produced a usable 2022 season and was re-drafted by Sam in the 6th round of the 2023 draft.

     Mike Clevinger followed up a promising 2017 season with his best overall year in 2018.  He was a starred starter with a 1.16 WHIP.  His stats were better in 2019, except he only pitched 126 IP.  He was a mutant for Arnie in ’20-21 (see below) but he's been unusable/injured since (though he seems healthy now).  Clevinger had a solid 2019/2020 season for Oceanus, with a 3.59 ERA in 92 IP.  He was traded to North Dakota on April 14th, 2020:

    “Attempting to acquire as many players ending in "inger" as they can, North Dakota announces the acquisition of Mike Clevinger from Oceanus.  In exchange, North Dakota sends Nelson Cruz, German Marquez, a 4th round draft pick, an 8th round pick (the one previously acquired from Oceanus), 2 bags of baseballs, three dozen bats, and a batting cage to Oceanus.”  Note: I still have the equipment!

    Without doing any research, I'd say Oceanus got the better of that trade.  Clevinger had a meh 2020/2021 season for North Dakota, going 3-2 with a 4.37 ERA in 47 1/3 IP.  Unusable and accused of domestic violence, Arnie cut (and burned) Clevinger this past April.

    Will Smith (the lefty reliever, not the catcher) had a fine 2018 season and followed up with a fine 2019 season.  And he was picked up in the 2023 Waiver Draft.  So he's had staying power in the SOMBILLA.  But a 2nd round pick for a lefty reliever?  Well, he did top 30 saves twice in his career.  He pitched well for Robin in 2019/2020, with a 1.29 ERA in 21 IP.  He followed that up with a 10.32 ERA in 11 1/3 IP in 2020/2021.  He pitched 1 2/3  IP in the 2022/2023 season. (Other Ed note: due to many ballparks vs. righties – he pitched only in CN.)

    Mike Foltynewicz came out of nowhere to post a truly outstanding 2018.  He was a starred starter with a 1.08 WHIP.  He never did nearly as well before or after.  He delivered for Future Wax – he had a 2.92 ERA in 76 IP.  All mentions I find in TWITS Notes are about Folty pitching well.  And remember, Future Wax did win the World Series in 2020....

     Adam Ottavino is shockingly still in MLB!  And pitching ok this year so far.  He's had a few decent years. (Ed note: Arnie traded him to Robin, and he was 4-0, 2.93 for her in ’20-21.) Ottavino had 6 saves (according to TWITS Notes, though the final stats say he had 5...) for Arnie and a 4.99 ERA.  He pitched 30.2 IP, so Arnie did use him a lot.

    OK, a lot of guys here don't have fabulous track records.  I'm going to say Dominguez was the worst (though maybe he'll redeem himself in his second tour of the SOMBILLA) and I'll split the best selection between Clevinger and Treinen (in acknowledgement of his setting a record). (Ed note:  Jed didn’t realize Ottavino pitched for Robin after I traded him to her so perhaps he would also get a tie as having played the most in the SOMBILLA).

    4 of these guys are still rostered but one was a re-draft (Dominguez) and one reclaimed in the Waiver Draft (Smith – because Tom needed a monopoly on all Will Smiths).

     

    Round 3

     

     

     

     

    17

    Brandon Nimmo

    OF

    Jed

     

    18

    Kirby Yates

    RP

    Tom

     

    19

    Max Muncy

    1B, 2B, 3B, LF

    Eric

     

    20

    Charlie Morton

    SP

    Jeff

     

    21

    Whit Merrifield

    2B, OF

    Jed

     

    22

    Dereck Rodriguez

    SP, RP

    Robin

     

    23

    Jose Leclerc

    RP

    RAT

     

    24

    German Marquez

    SP

    Arnie

     

     
    Nimmo has proven a valuable Strat-O player due to his high OBP.  His defense has improved to at least average (relative to the rest of the league).  Just traded from Oceanus to whatever Eric's team will be called.

     Kirby Yates, eh?  I smell a one-year wonder.  By the way, his nickname is “Chubbs Senior!”  OK, I was wrong, he was a two-year wonder.  And those two years were truly outstanding.  In the 2019/2020 SOMBILLA season Yates pitched 13 1/3 IP and had an ERA of 3.38.  Oh, just noticed this was for only half a season.  Anyway, he went 5-3 with a 4.88 ERA for Tom in 2020/2021 as well (which is impressive given that the Manatees were probably playing in a park where the fences were 150 from home plate).

     Muncy has stuck around and has a career OPS of .830 at the time I am writing this.

    Morton too has held onto a SOMBILLA roster spot.  I suspect he was a re-draft but maybe not as he had a high WHIP in his career up until 2017 (why wasn't he drafted in 2018?).  His golden years were 2018, 2019 and 2021.  He has been worth his salt.  Sorry, had to say it.

    Whit Merrifield, late bloomer and fantasy darling, offered a nice combination of positional flexibility, speed and overall usefulness.  His career OPS of .755 isn't all that exciting.  But he has a career BA of .285.  And he hit over .300 in 2018 (with 45 SB!) and in 2019.  He was traded in 2020 to Future Wax (along with Adam “why can't I get players like that?” Eaton) for Max Kepler (fittingly, also cut in 2023).

    Dereck Rodgriquez had an undistinguished career with one shining year – 2018, of course.  He had a 1.13 WHIP in 118 IP.  He had a 7.53 ERA for Robin in 2019/2020. (Other Ed note: Legacy draft - he’s Pudge’s som.)

    Jose Leclerc had a superb 2018 (.83 WHIP).  He was cut at some point and since then had a semi-usable 2022 but wasn't re-drafted.  Still only 29, I wouldn't be surprised if he re-appears in the SOMBILLA.  He led Future Wax in saves with 9 during the 2019/2020 season.

     Marquez was drafted by Arnie?  I always think of him as an Asshole.  Oh, right, see above-mentioned trade of Clevinger.  Due to pitching in Colorado, Marquez's bad stats translated to good cards.  2018 was his best season.  230 Ks in 196 IP and a WHIP of 1.20 (again, in Colorado).  Cut in the 2023 waiver draft.  I don't think he ever pitched particularly well in the SOMBILLA, but he did pitch.  Still only 28!

    Pretty clearly Rodriguez was the worst choice of the round.  I'd say Nimmo was the best choice.

    3 of these guys are still rostered.

     

    Round 4

     

     

     

     

    25

    Jace Fry

    RP

    Jeff

     

    26

    Francisco Mejia

    C

    Tom

     

    27

    Taylor Rogers

    RP

    Harold

     

    28

    Collin McHugh

    RP

    Eric

     

    29

    Jesus Aguilar

    1B

    Jed

     

    30

    Jeff McNeil

    2B, 3B

    Robin

     

    31

    Francisco Cervelli

    C

    RAT

     

    32

    Kike Hernandez

    UT

    Arnie

     

    Jace Effin' Fry?  Can I just declare him the worst of the round without even looking him up?  Ok, fine, I'll do my due diligence.  His nickname is Frenchy – pretty awesome.  His 2018 stats don't jump off the page, but I'll presume he was a usable lefty reliever.  Yes, he was very tough on lefties.  No SOMBILLA stats available.

     Mejia was lauded as a future all-star catcher.  Still only 27.  So far he's only produced 2 possibly usable limited cards.  Was he ever used?  Yes!  He went 3 for 8 in the 2022/2023 season.  And then was cut.

    Mr. Rogers is a lefty reliever with better than average (in MLB) stats.  2018 and 2019 were his golden years.  He had a 1.21 ERA for Harold during the 2019/2020 campaign in 22 1/3 IP.  And a 2.96 ERA in 27 1/3 IP the following SOMBILLA season.  Nice.

    McHugh has produced 3 or 4 usable cards and was a re-draft in 2019.  2018 was his best year statistically.  He got traded by Eric to Future Wax (Eric jettisoned half his relief staff in what was clearly an effort to tank), which was a key move for Randy given that he did win the WS in 2020.  He pitched well for Future Wax.

    Aguilar was the prototypical overweight power-hitting first baseman.  He hit 35 HR in 2018.  He never came close to reproducing that magical year.  He did have an OPS of .860 in 121 AB in the 2019/2020 season.  He may have had some subsequent usage but I'm not seeing it.

    McNeil has averaged over .300 in his career, with an OPS of over .820.  This includes leading MLB with a .326 BA in 2022.  From 2018 through 2020 McNeil produced some excellent numbers.  He had a down year in 2021 (injuries I presume or anxiety about being on Bay City) but avoided getting cut and bounced back big time.

     Cervelli (which means “brains” in Italian) produced some highly usable cards.  While his overall stats are kind of pedestrian, in 2018 he had an OPS of .809 and I seem to remember he was one of the best catchers in the set (he was also strong defensively).  Wasn't he an Asshole at one point?  Yes, I drafted him in 2016 (in the 3rd round no less).  THAT was the year he had one of the best catching cards for sure.  And Harold had Cervelli before that.  Anyway, he did well for Future Wax in 2019/2020, posting an OPS of .820 in 131 AB.

    Hernandez I feel has bounced around the SOMBILLA.  He got a lot of usage for Arnie during the 2019/2020 season but hit just .163.  His two best years were 2015 and 2018, where he had an OPS of over .800.  Always tantalizing because of his exceptional positional flexibility (and cuteness).

    OK, so Fry WAS the worst choice of the round and McNeil the best.

    3 of these guys are still rostered.

     

    Round 5

     

     

     

     

    33

    Jeremy Jeffress

    RP

    Jeff

     

    34

    Richard Rodriguez

    RP

    Tom

     

    35

    Elias Diaz

    C

    Eric

     

    36

    Kyle Freeland

    SP

    Harold

     

    37

    Miguel Andujar

    3B

    Jed

     

    38

    Brad Keller

    SP, RP

    Robin

     

    39

    Ryan O'Hearn

    1B

    Jeff

     

    40

    Jorge Soler

    RF

    Arnie

     

    Of this group, Andujar had the most promise, finishing 2nd in the Rookie of the Year voting behind Ohtani.  Andujar had 27 HR and 47 doubles.  And then he got injured and never produced a usable card again.  And I guess he wasn't usable enough in 2019/2020 because I don't see any SOMBILLA stats for him.

    Soler was kind of meh in 2018 but he was a 26-year-old who'd produced an OBP of .820 in half a season.  So a good guy to take a risk on in the 5th round (and a bad guy for Robin to cut).  And he then hit 48 homers in 2019! He's always been a lefty killer and he hit .297 last year in 74 at bats for ND. At the time I am writing this, Soler is second in homers in MLB (and an all-star).

    The other guys?  Jeffress had a couple of excellent years.  Rodriguez as well.  Diaz had his best year in 2018 and presumably got some usage in the SOMBILLA (no stats though).  In spite of being a lefty, Freeland did well for Harold in 2019/2020 – he had a 3.02 ERA in 62 2/3 IP.  Keller got a lot of use for Robin (5.18 ERA in 167 IP).  O'Hearn was a mutant in 2018.  He has done nothing since (though he is having a better than career average 2023 so far...).

     So, I'm going to say Andujar turned out to be the worst choice given that he didn't contribute in any way in the SOMBILLA.  And I'll say Soler was the best choice since he produced the most impactful season. (Ed note: He was a redraft.  Robin originally drafted him 4th overall in 2015, then cut him the year before this 2019 draft.  Robin adds “just consider him the right-handed Michael Brantley – also cut 1 year prior to greatness.)

    Only Soler is still rostered.

     

     

    Round 6

     

     

     

     

    41

    Tyler Flowers

    C

    Jeff

     

    42

    Harrison Bader

    OF

    Tom

     

    43

    Jared Hughes

    RP

    Harold

     

    44

    Ryan Pressly

    RP

    Eric

     

    45

    Reyes Moronta

    RP

    Arnie

     

    46

    Jorge Polanco

    SS

    Robin

     

    47

    Diego Castillo

    RP

    RAT

     

    48

    Shane Bieber

    SP

    Arnie

     

    Gotta give Arnie kudos for drafting Bieber, a top-notch starter, in the 6th round.  This after a not particularly impressive 2018 where Bieber had a WHIP of 1.33.  But Bieber was only 23 and had a phenomenal 2019, followed by a truly spectacular limited 2020.  He must've been injured during 2021 but his stats weren't that bad, and he pitched 200 IP in 2022.  Bieber is clearly the best choice of this round.

    “Elvis” Pressly gets an honorable mention (he did have 15 saves for last-place Oceanus during the 2022/23 campaign).

    Bader remains on Tom's roster today in spite of underwhelming career statistics.  He is still only 28, plays good defense (was cute as a Cardinal but not a Yankee) and has experienced some SOMBILLA usage.

    Hughes is one goofy looking mofo (nickname: “Ostrich”).  He had a fine 2014 season but doesn't appear to have been drafted then.  His career stats are better than average.  2018 was his best season, of course.  He performed well for Harold in 2019/2020, with a 1.69 ERA in 21 1/3 IP.

    Moronta had one usable year in his brief MLB career.  And that year was 2018.  He did very well for Arnie, though – 3 wins (no losses) and 4 saves with a 2.33 ERA in 27 IP.

    Polanco I feel has bounced in and out of the SOMBILLA.  He's currently on North Dakota.  He was good in 2018, better in 2019 and had his career year in 2021 (33 homers!).  He hit .190 for Robin in 2019/2020.  He fared better playing for North Dakota in the 2022/2023 season (.260...but only 3 homers).

    Can I be reading this correctly?  Castillo pitched 21 IP for Future Wax in the 2019/2020 season and had an ERA of 0.00?  And 7 saves.  Wow.  He had his lowest WHIP in 2018 but produced some additional usable seasons.  Still just 29 years old but currently unrostered.

    Oh, I forgot about Tyler Flowers.  His best season was 2017 but he wasn't drafted then.  Not sure why he was picked after his pretty meh half season in 2018.  Maybe he was strong defensively?  No stats for him for the 2019/2020 season.  But I'll still call him the worst choice of the round.

     4 guys still rostered.

     

    Round 7

     

     

     

     

    49

    Josh Fields

    RP

    Jeff

     

    50

    Kyle Crick

    RP

    Tom

     

    51

    Scott Schebler

    OF

    Eric

     

    52

    Oliver Perez

    RP

    Harold

     

    53

    Corbin Burnes

    RP

    Jed

     

    54

    Scott Oberg

    RP

    Robin

     

    55

    Freddy Peralta

    RP

    RAT

     

    56

    Danny Jansen

    C

    Arnie

     

     The name that jumps off the screen is Corbin Burnes, who has become an elite starting pitcher.  Kudos to me for choosing him.  However, I traded him to Robin before he decided to become an ace.  I got Pedro Strop in the deal in exchange for Burnes, Robinson Chirinos and a 6th round draft choice.  Overpay much?  Strop did pitch well in 2019/2020....

    For Josh Fields, 2018 was the best and last year of his career.  Though 2017 was a fine year, for some reason he wasn't drafted.  No stats on how he performed in the SOMBILLA (but he only pitched 41 IP in real baseball and Jeff didn't make the postseason in 2019/2020 so Fields couldn't have been an MVP contender).

    Crick makes me want to rub my neck for some reason.  2018 was his only usable season.  He pitched 8 1/3 scoreless innings for Tom in 2019/2020!

    Schebler sounds like a Yiddish insult.  He hit 30 homers in 2017 and wasn't drafted!  He didn't perform as well in 2018.  No stats recorded for him for the 2019/2020 season.  He hit better against lefties but wasn't a true lefty killer.  I'm thinking he didn't set the league on fire.

    Oliver Perez was in and out of the SOMBILLA.  His career statistics were not impressive, but he produced some real gems.  He was a starter during the 2000s and had a fabulous 2004 season and I believe was chosen in the first round in the 2005 draft.  In 2018 he had a miniscule 1.39 ERA (and .74 WHIP) in 39 IP.  He pitched 11 1/3 IP for Harold during the 2019/2020 campaign with a 1.59 ERA.

    Scott Oberg was Robin's effort to find a player like Darren O'Day.  Oberg, O'Day, what's the difference?  Obie (imaginative nickname!) had two good years in 2018 and 2019 and then was out of MLB.  He gave Robin 24 IP worth of meh (4.50 ERA, 1 win, 3 losses, 2 saves) during the 2019/2020 season.  He pitched 8 1/3 IP in 2020/2021 with a 5.40 ERA for Robin, then was traded to Arnie for Ottavino (continuing the “O” theme) and had a 3.00 ERA for North Dakota in 10 games. He developed a rare bloodor heart ailment due to his tenure with BC.

     Freddy (don't call me Wily or Wandy or David) Peralta is still only 26 years old!  And he's still rostered.  He was drafted mainly as a prospect though he was usable in 2019/2020 and pitched 12 ok innings for Future Wax.  2021 was far and away his best year so far (though it didn't translate to SOMBILLA success).  Honorable mention.

    Danny Jansen is still only 28 years old.  Why do I feel he was on Future Wax?  Anyway, this was a stab on Arnie's part at drafting the elusive “catcher of the future.”  Well, it's elusive to me at any rate.  Jansen only had 81 AB in 2018 and got only 8 AB in the SOMBILLA (hitting .125).  But he was re-drafted by Harold in 2023.

     I'm going to award -1/4 for Fields, Jansen, Oberg and Schebler.

    3 guys still rostered.

     

    Round 8

     

     

     

     

    57

    John Gant

    SP, RP

    Jeff

     

    58

    Caleb Ferguson

    RP

    RAT

     

    59

    Jesse Chavez

    RP

    Harold

     

    60

    Joey Wendle

    2B, SS, 3B, LF

    Eric

     

    61

    David Hernandez

    RP

    Jed

     

    62

    Ramon Laureano

    CF

    Robin

     

    63

    Daniel Robertson

    2B, SS, 3B, LF

    RAT

     

    64

    Kyle Gibson

    SP

    Arnie

     

     As Ayn Rand asked in Atlas Shrugged, who is John Gant?  The answer is a pretty mediocre pitcher.  His 2018 season wasn't particularly usable by SOMBILLA standards (e.g., a 1.30 WHIP) but he was a starter/reliever with 114 IP.  He had a slightly better 2019 and an even better (limited) 2020.  So maybe he got some additional usage in the SOMBILLA (stats not recorded).

     Caleb Ferguson is still only 26 years old.  And still pitching (though not rostered).  And he has better than average career stats.  He provided Randy with 8 1/3 IP of ok relief during the 2019/2020 campaign (judiciously spreading out 10 walks).

    Jesse Chavez sure had an undistinguished career prior to 2018.  But then he produced a 2.55 ERA / 1.06 WHIP season.  BUT...39 IP were after a trade to the Cubs where he had a 1.15 ERA and a .79 WHIP.  He pitched very well for Harold during 2019/2020 – a 2.25 ERA in 16 IP.  He had one more usable year, but I don't think he was re-drafted.

    Wendle remains in the league, now on Neverwinter.  2018 was his best season and even then his OPS didn't crack .800.  Certainly not a SOMBILLA difference maker.

     I think David Hernandez was a one-year wonder.  No, actually a two-year wonder.  He was picked in the 5th round of the 2013 draft by Future Wax.  He had a fine SOMBILLA season during 2019/2020, with 7 saves and a 1.35 ERA in 26 2/3 IP.

    Ramon Laureano (still only 28) showed promise in 2018 and truly blossomed in 2019 (24 homers and a .861 OPS).  And then...he started to suck and kept on sucking.  Injuries?  Well, of course, he played for Bay City. Then he tried to compensate for his injuries by doing PEDs and was suspended for 80 games. He was quite good defensively (strong arm [-4]).  In all, he provided about one and a half useful SOMBILLA seasons.

    Daniel Robertson had a career average of .227 and a career OPS of .683.  He did have a promising 2018 where he hit .262 with an OPS of .797.  In the SOMBILLA he hit .174 for Randy in 69 AB.

    Kyle Gibson has been drafted, cut, drafted and cut again in his SOMBILLA career.  In 2018 he was a starred starter with unimpressive statistics.  Arnie did use him to the tune of 64 1/3 IP and a 2-8 record with a 4.90 ERA.  He did much better for Tom in 2022/2023.

    I'd like to give Wendle credit for longevity, but I don't think he's been a contributor.  So, I'll say Laureano was the best choice.  And Robertson was the worst choice.

    Only Wendle remains rostered.

     

    Round 9

     

     

     

     

    65

    Jose Peraza

    SS

    Jeff

     

    66

    Touki Toussaint

    SP

    Tom

     

    67

    Mike Soroka

    SP

    Eric

     

    68

    Ryan Brasier

    RP

    Harold

     

    69

    Alex Verdugo

    OF

    Jed

     

    70

    Travis Shaw

    3B

    Robin

     

    71

    Nathan Eovaldi

    SP

    RAT

     

    72

    Tyler White

    1B

    Arnie

     

     At first glance Alex Verdugo jumps off the page as the best choice.  But his career trajectory has been downward.  Still, he's produced some usable SOMBILLA seasons.  He hit a solid .270 during the 2022/2023 campaign, for example.

    Jose Peraza is still young (28) but seems to be out of MLB.  Mediocre career stats.  Naturally, 2018 was his career year and for a 9th round pick at the time this seemed quite reasonable.  He'd hit .288 with 31 doubles, 14 homers and 23 stolen bases.  I'm assuming he got injured the following season and never achieved his potential.

    Touki Toussaint makes the all-time all-name team.  He's still only 26!  Drafted as a prospect.  Never really produced a usable season.  Though Tom DID use him in 2019/2020 (and Toussaint had a 6.75 ERA in 12 IP).

    Mike Soroka makes me think of My Sharona.  Now that'll be running through your head for a few hours.  Anyway, he clings like grim death to the team formerly known as Dead Nettles' roster.  He is still only 25.  He had a very nice 2019 season and was 6-7 for Eric in ’20-21.  But he did not pitch in MLB in ’21 or ‘22.  I heard a rumor that Bay City has made a trade offer for him. (No truth to this rumor – he is still alive).

    Ryan Brasier (he must have taken some shit for that name growing up) had an absurd 2018 – a .77 WHIP in 33 2/3 IP.  He hasn't been usable since.  He compiled a 1.93 ERA during the 2019/2020 campaign in 14 IP for Harold.

    Travis Shaw hit over 30 homers in both 2017 (undrafted though) and 2018.  Why wasn't he drafted in 2018?  Well, for sure, he totally sucked after 2018.  In the SOMBILLA he hit .168 but led Bay City with 11 homers.

    Nathan Eovaldi has had some traction in the SOMBILLA.  He had an ok 2018 season but pitched great for Future Wax (5-0 with a 1.74 ERA in 46 2/3 IP) during the 2019/2020 season.  He's having a terrific 2023 at the time I'm writing this.

     Tyler White?  Well, he did have an OPS of .887 in 210 AB in 2018.  And he was a lefty killer.  He performed well in the SOMBILLA in 2019/2020 – an OPS of .940 in 56 AB.

     I'll say Toussaint was the worst choice and Verdugo is the best choice of this round.

     3 still rostered.

     

    Round 10

     

     

     

     

    73

    Clay Buchholz

    SP

    Jeff

     

    74

    Eduardo Escobar

    3B, SS

    Tom

     

    75

    Jonathan Holder

    RP

    Harold

     

    76

    Tyler O'Neill

    OF

    Eric

     

    77

    Craig Stammen

    RP

    Jed

     

    78

    Franmil Reyes

    RF

    Robin

     

    79

    Albert Almora Jr

    CF, LF

    RAT

     

    80

    Brandon Lowe

    2B, LF, RF

    Arnie

     

    Buchholz had several fine seasons and certainly was in and out of the SOMBILLA prior to the 2019 draft.  2018 was an excellent but limited season for Buchholz (only 98 1/3 IP).  We don't have stats on how Buchholz did for Jeff in the SOMBILLA in 2019/2020.  He had a terrible 2019, his last in MLB.

     Escobar has maintained a roster spot on Constantinople.  So he must be doing something right.  2018 and 2019 have been his best seasons (with OPS of over .800 each year).  He hasn't lit up the SOMBILLA but, again, he has had staying power.

     Holder is a fine name for a reliever.  I assume Harold drafted him because he was on the Yankees.  2018 was his only usable year.  In the SOMBILLA he compiled a 5.48 ERA in 21 1/3 IP.

    Tyler O'Neill might be the buffest major leaguer.  He is still only 27 years old.  So Eric picked him based on power potential (O'Neill slugged .500 in 130 AB in 2018).  Then Eric stuck with him through down years in 2019 and 2020.  And O'Neill exploded in 2021 with 34 homers and a .912 OPS.  And he was a 1 in RF, if I recall.  He regressed in 2022 and thus far in 2023.  But his 2021 season in itself justified a 10th round pick.

     Good old Craig Stammen.  He produced a string of almost usable years from 2012 through 2017.  But I don't think he was ever previously drafted.  Certainly, 2018 was his career year.  He had a 4.91 ERA in 22 IP in the SOMBILLA.

     Franmil Reyes remains rostered in the SOMBILLA.  He is still only 27.  And he is still huge (listed at 265 lbs which means he may weigh 300 lbs).  He has hit 30 or more homers twice in his MLB career.  He hit .215 for Robin during the 2019/2020 campaign.  And .267 (in 30 AB) during 2022/2023.

    Almora had his best season in 2017 but wasn't drafted.  After a decent 2018, maybe Future Wax figured the youngster was legit.  He was not.  He hung around MLB for 4 totally unproductive seasons.  He hit .206 for Randy during 2019/2020 (albeit with a .470 OPS).

    Brandon Lowe in the 10th round!  The steal of the draft?  He's still only 28 and has a career OPS of .837.  In 2018 he only hit .233 in 130 AB.  But Arnie must've seen something in him.  (Ed note: MPSTM). The OPS went up to .850 in 2019 and then .916 in the limited 2020 season.  Lowe hit 39 homers in 2021.  He must've been injured in 2022.  But he seems back on track in 2023.

    Lowe is the best choice of the round.  Some other solid picks though (Reyes, O'Neill, Escobar).  Almora was the worst choice.

    4 are still rostered.

     

    Round 11

     

     

     

     

    81

    Joshua James

    RP, SP

    Jeff

     

    82

    Jose Castillo

    RP

    Tom

     

    83

    Trevor Richards

    SP

    Eric

     

    84

    Austin Meadows

    OF

    Harold

     

    85

    Victor Arano

    RP

    Jed

     

    86

    Ryan McMahon

    IF

    Robin

     

    87

    Jordon Hicks

    RF

    RAT

     

    88

    Matt Barnes

    RP

    Arnie

     

    Josh James had a brief MLB career.  2018 was his only usable year (and only 23 IP at that).  No SOMBILLA stats recorded.

     Jose Castillo is only 27 but seems to be out of MLB.  He must've gotten injured after 2018.  He had a nice limited year.  He pitched 5 1/3 IP and allowed 0 earned runs in the SOMBILLA.  Meaning that together, Diego and Jose Castillo pitched 26 1/3 scoreless innings.  Got to be a record number of scoreless innings for two guys with the same last name in the same season.

    Trevor Richards must've been chosen as a starting pitcher prospect.  He did have more K's than IP in 2018.  But his only usable year was a limited 2021.  And it's unclear if he was rostered for the 2022/2023 SOMBILLA season.

    Meadows is still only 27.  He produced one transcendent year – 2019, where he had 33 homers and a .912 OPS.  He went hitless in 5 AB during the 2019/2020 SOMBILLA season for Harold.  Had a pretty disappointing 2020/2021 SOMBILLA campaign, hitting .247 with only 8 homers.  I suspect Harold was playing in a possibly extreme pitchers' park (he had the worst team batting average that year...).

    Victor Arano was a one and done.  He did what he was chosen to do, though: a 1.35 ERA in 20 IP with 2 saves.

    Ryan McMahon has hit 20 or more homers 3 times in his career.  He does play in Colorado though.  He's never had an OPS greater than .780.  But he's kept a roster spot since being drafted, and he’s a 1 at 3B.

     Jordan Hicks (who is a pitcher and not a RF) I'm assuming has dealt with injuries throughout his career (but he's still only 26).  Not sure he's ever gotten any SOMBILLA usage.  Yet he's still rostered.  Oh, wait, he did pitch 1 IP in 2019/2020.

     Matt Barnes was never that good.  2021 was his best year.  Arnie didn't use Barnes in 2019/2020 but got 7 2/3 solid innings out of him during 2022/2023.  And then cut him. 

     I'm going to say James was the worst choice of the round and Meadows the best.

     3 are still rostered.

     

    Round 12

     

     

     

     

    89

    Taylor Cole

    RP

    Tom

     

    90

    Martin Maldonado

    C

    Harold

     

    91

    Ketel Marte

    2B, SS

    Eric

     

    92

    Williams Astudillo

    C, 2B

    Jed

     

    93

    Stephen Piscotty

    RF

    Robin

     

    94

    Willy Adames

    SS, 2B

    RAT

     

    Round 14

     

     

     

     

    95

    J.A. Happ

    SP

    Tom

     

    96

    Nick Martini

    LF, CF

    Harold

     

    Did we skip round 13 out of superstition? 

    Willy Adames and Ketel Marte are the two best choices in these rounds.  Adames has a .763 career OPS and is a stellar defender at shortstop.  Marte has a .791 career OPS but isn't much of a defender.  So I'll give the nod to Adames.  Helluva pickup in round 12. 

    Marte was cut by Eric in 2023 but picked up by Oceanus (hoping that his pattern of doing well every OTHER year continues).

    Cole had an excellent limited 2018 and that was that.  He pitched 2 1/3 scoreless IP for Tom during the 2019/2020 SOMBILLA season.

    Martin Maldonado was a defense first catcher (well, still is as he's still in MLB).  His highest OPS was .728 in 2020.  He hit .233 for Harold in 2019/2020 in 30 AB.  Presumably he was brought in for defense in the later innings.

     Astudillo was supposed to be a hitting machine and he was a mutant in 2018 (with a .355 BA in 93 AB).  He did not turn into “the catcher of the future.”  He hit .243 in 37 AB during the 2019/2020 campaign.  Looks like he's out of MLB.

    Piscotty hit 27 homers in 2018.  And yet lasted until the final round?  He was originally drafted in 2016.  After 2018 he totally sucked.  Robin used him full time and he hit .240 for her in 179 AB with 24 RBI (leading the team).

    J.A. Happ is a lefty starter with slightly better than average career numbers.  And yet...he had 4 years where he compiled a 58-28 record mainly for Toronto.  2015 was his best statistical year but he was limited (63 1/3 IP).  During the 2019/2020 SOMBILLA season, Happ pitched 23 2/3 IP and had a stellar 1.90 ERA.

    Nick Martini was the bartender in It's A Wonderful Life.  He served hard drinks for men who want to get drunk fast.  He did have an OPS of .811 in 152 AB in 2018.  Doesn't look like he ever got a cup of coffee in the SOMBILLA.  So, I guess that makes him the worst choice of the round.

     2 are still rostered.



    The 2020 Draft

    By Jed Corman, guest columnist

    Executive Summary

     

        COVID!

        Best Overall: Robin and Harold

        Worst Overall: Arnie

        # Players Still Rostered on the Team that Drafted Them*: 25

        New Record for most players related to former players ever drafted**

    *Only 25 players are still with their original team.  However, due to re-drafts, 31 are currently in the SOMBILLA.

    **Not verified.

    Prologue

     On March 5th, 2020, Arnie sent out the list of draftable players.  Draft Day was set for March 29th.  I was coming to Holliston!  It was unclear if Sam (the new guy) could attend in person but eventually it was established that he could!

     There was no indication of a sense of anything being different.  By that time we'd read about COVID.  But of course nobody knew what was really about to hit us.

     On March 12th (the day Tom Hanks announced that he and his wife had COVID) I reluctantly decided not to come up for the draft.  Already – after just a week – things had started to shift.

     Between March 12th and March 17th it still seemed that the draft might happen in person.  Most league members didn't feel too uncomfortable yet.  Major League Baseball had delayed the start of the season so we debated whether we should delay the draft accordingly.  Generally people still wanted to have the draft on March 29th.  As Harold put it: “I was thinking of keeping it 29 March just to give us (or me) a sense of normalcy in these crazy times.”

    Then Tom reported that he was feeling sick and he may well have had COVID.  And he was under tremendous pressure at work due to all the employees needing to be set up to work from home.  He requested a later draft date and the league quickly assented.  We were coming to realize that this draft would have to be conducted through a video chat anyway and since MLB itself wouldn't start until July a delay really didn't matter.

    And so the draft took place on April 18th, 2020.  Via Zoom.  Note that the Waiver Draft took place on July 26th.

    And one final thing: the 2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign was played exclusively via computer and so is the only season where we truly have complete stats for all teams.  Kind of cool even though Eric hated it.

    Round 1

    1.      Yordan Alvarez – Eric.  Still only 26.  A true masher.  In his career thus far his OPS has never been lower than .877.  He is a DH and he can't run.  And still he is arguably the best choice of the round.

    2.      Fernando Tatis Jr. – Tom.  He's only 25!  In his first 3 seasons his OPS was never lower than .937.  But his past 2 seasons he's fallen off significantly and he was suspended.  His ceiling is higher than Alvarez because Tatis is a 5 tool player (and a SS).  Will he ever get back to his earlier level?

    3.      Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – Robin.  The slugging first baseman is also still just 25!  He's had a fine career.  A worthy first round choice.

    4.      Bo Bichette – Sam.  Continuing the trend of selecting sons of former players, the new guy makes his first pick.  And Bichette too has had a good career and has justified his being taken in round 1.  Not the slickest fielding SS though.

    5.      Pete Alonso – Arnie.  The beefy first baseman hit 53 homers in 2019.  And he's hit 40 or more 2 other times.  Again, can't argue against this pick.

    6.      Eloy Jimenez – Harold.  The not rangy outfielder is still youngish (27) but it may be that his first season (2019) was his career year.  He hit 31 homers.  The next year his OPS was higher.  He didn't produce an unlimited card again until 2023, which was a meh year.  Certainly can't declare him a bust though.

    7.      Mark Canha – Jed.  2019 was far and away a career season for the (mainly) outfielder.  He had an OPS of .913.  He hit 26 homers (in 410 AB).  I think Lamanna (pause for scoff from Arnie – I wonder if I could insert a sound effect somehow?) pegged him as having one of the best cards in the set.  Canha would be the worst choice of the round but a) he's turned in multiple usable cards due to his penchant for walking and b) see Randy's choice.

    8.      Chris Paddack – Randy.  The still just 28-year-old Paddack had his career season in 2019.  He had a .98 WHIP.  More strikeouts than innings pitched.  Randy couldn't be blamed for thinking he might've found an ace.  But he's never come close to reproducing that season and seems to be getting worse over time.  Only player selected in this round not still on a roster.

    Best: Eric, Tom.

    Worst: Randy

    Rostered: 7

    Round 2

    9.      Giovanny Gallegos – Sam.  2019 was the reliever's best season and I seem to remember he had one of the best, if not the best, reliever cards in the set.  He has turned in a couple of additional usable cards.

    10.   Jesus Luzardo – Robin.  The lefthander is still just 26 years old.  Robin had to stay patient but was rewarded with a fine (if limited) 2022 season and another excellent 2023 season.  The future looks bright. But he is a pitcher.  On Bay City. And currently on the 60-day IL.

    11.   Cavan Biggio – Tom.  Yet another son of a major leaguer.  Unfortunately, Biggio the younger has had probably only one limited usable card.  The second baseman has good patience but not much else.

    12.   Brandon Workman – Eric.  In 2019, Workman went 10-1 with a 1.88 ERA.  Ironically, he was 1-10 in 2014.  Anyhoo, 2019 was Workman's only good year.  But it was quite a good year.

    13.   Gavin Lux – Arnie.  Still just 26, the highly-touted second baseman has never had a good season, yet he's still playing.  On the Dodgers no less.

    14.   Hyun-jin Ryu – Harold.  Interestingly, Ryu had a fabulous 2018 season but wasn't drafted then. Maybe because he only pitched 82 innings?  Anyway, of course 2019 was a career year for the hefty lefty.  Harold did get some use out of Ryu in at least one subsequent season.

    15.   Mitch Garver – Jed.  In 2019 the slugging catcher hit 31 homers in 311 at bats.  His OPS was .995.  I was in win-now mode.  And I did finish first in the regular season.  Garver has turned in some additional usable cards though not looking good for the 2025/26 SOMBILLA season....

    16.   Brandon Woodruff – Randy.  I guess Future Wax needed pitching.  Wow, Woodruff has been really good.  His career WHIP is 1.05.  Sad to say, he is out for the 2024 season.

    Best: Randy

    Worst: Arnie

    Rostered: 4

    Round 3

    17.   Yuli Gurriel – Robin.  Gurriel hit 31 homers in 2019 and was a 1e5 at first base.  He never hit more than 15 homers in a season after that.  His 2021 season was excellent though.  2 very usable cards.

    18.   Marcus Semien – Harold.  His career numbers aren't that impressive but he has produced 3 outstanding cards.  2019, of course.  But also 2021 (45 homers!) and 2023.  Hmmm, I'm seeing a pattern.  He's also been an excellent fielder (2B and SS) and a bit of a threat on the basepaths.

    19.   Pedro Baez – Eric.  This was the righty reliever's second cup of coffee in the SOMBILLA.  I drafted him previously.  He pitched a total of 360 MLB innings with a 1.11 WHIP.  His 2020 season was usable so Eric got 2 years out of him.

    20.   John Means – Sam.  Means has excellent SOMBILLA career statistics!  However, presumably due to injuries, the lefthander has only pitched more than 43 innings twice.  But both times his card was usable.  And he's still rostered and only 31 and doing well in 2024....

    21.   Lance Lynn – Arnie.  The former Asshole Lynn rebounded from a crappy 2018 to start a string of 4 usable cards in a row with an excellent 2019 campaign.  A starred starter who struck out 243 batters in 208 innings.  I remember he was particularly tough on righties.

    22.   Hansel Robles – Harold.  2019 was Robles' career year.  It was a fine year for the reliever – 72 innings with a 1.02 WHIP.  One and done though.

    23.   Will Smith – Tom.  Wow, the highly-touted catcher was not taken until late in the 3rd round?  He did only have 170 AB but he was very usable (.908 OPS).

    24.   Aaron Bummer – Eric.  Totally the best name in the round and probably in the whole draft. And the righty reliever's 2019 was his best.  His 2020 was excellent too but he only pitched 9 innings. Which isn't a lot even during a 60-game season.

    Best: Tom

    Worst: Harold, Eric

    Rostered: 3

     Round 4

    25.   Frankie Montas – Robin.  In 2019 Montas went 9-2 with a 2.63 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in 16 starts.  I imagine Robin hoped that this was a sign of an impending breakout for the 26-year-old (at the time).  He did produce a fine 2021 season so Robin has so far gotten 2 good cards out of him.

    26.   Dustin May – Tom.  The tall, skinny, still-only-26-years-old righthander has a career ERA of 3.10 and a 1.05 WHIP.  Outstanding!  Except...he's never pitched more than 56 innings in a season and he's out for the 2024 season.  The 56 innings did come during the shortened 2020 campaign so Tom did get some usage out of May.

    27.   Carson Kelly – Eric.  2019 was Kelly's career year.  The defensive whiz had an OPS of .826. His 2021 card may also have been usable (he did crush lefties that year).

    28.   Mike Yastrzemski – Sam.  Another relative of a former player!  An older rookie in 2019, Yastrzemski had a fine season (.852 OPS) followed by a career year in the limited 2020 season (.968 OPS).  An excellent (out)fielder (and cute – Robin) to boot.  But...his OPS hasn't been above .775 since.

    29.   Ryan Yarbrough – Jed.  The lefty starter/reliever has a career WHIP of 1.19 at the time I am writing this.  Not bad.  In 2019 he had a WHIP of 1.00 in 141.2 innings pitched.  I got some use out of his 2020 card as well.  If he keeps up his excellent 2024 I can see him getting re-drafted.

    30.   Tyler Duffey – Harold.  The Doof (his real nickname!) has had a largely undistinguished career as a starter turned reliever.  However, his 2019 season was excellent (a 1.01 WHIP) and 2020 was even better.  So two usable cards.

    31.   Anibal Sanchez – Jed.  The mediocre starter had at least a couple of tours of duty in the SOMBILLA.  He was drafted #3 overall by Robin in 2007 after a very promising 2006 season (when he was 22 years old or so).  After some off years, he started doing better and finally, in 2020, I selected him after what statistically appears to have been a pretty meh 2019 season.  He was better in 2018 but apparently not drafted in 2019 (?).  Anyhoo, one and done for me.

    32.   Robert Stephenson – Randy.  Stephenson has had one very good season – 2019.  The righty reliever had a 1.04 WHIP and 81 Ks in 64.2 IP.  His 2023 was actually even better but he was not drafted.

    Best: Sam

    Worst: Harold (based on The Doof's performance in the SOMBILLA – 8.61 ERA)

    Rostered: 3

    Round 5

    33.   Zac Gallen – Robin.  Gallen has had a good career so far and is still only 28 years old.  Career WHIP of 1.11 at the time I am writing this.  I'd say every season of his has been usable except 2021, which wasn't far off usable.

    34.   Ross Stripling – Tom.  His 2019 card had 90 innings of starter/relief with a WHIP of 1.15 (not incredible but ok).  It was one and done for Stripling in Constantinople.  Stripling would get re-drafted by Arnie in 2023.  And famously dangled as trade bait before the 2023/24 SOMBILLA season started.

    35.   Jordan Luplow – Eric.  2019 was far and away the outfielder's best season.  He was a premier lefty killer (a 1.181 OPS vs. L).  One and done.

    36.   Tyler Clippard – Sam.  The bespectacled righty reliever had a fine career WHIP of 1.11 and produced two truly outstanding cards in 2019 and 2020.

    37.   Colin Poche – Arnie.  At the time I'm writing this the lefty reliever has a career WHIP of 1.11 as well....  His two best seasons thus far have been 2019 and 2023 (redrafted by Eric).  One and done for Arnie.  I wonder if a batter gets a hit off of him, can he say he screwed the Poche?

    38.   Sandy Alcantara – Harold.  Still only 28 years old, Alcantara's 2019 card was borderline usable (he had a 7.04 ERA in the SOMBILLA in 2020/21).  He kept getting better though and in 2022 produced the 3rd best starred starter card.  Like pretty much every pitcher in MLB, he's out for the 2024 season.

    39.   Brett Gardner – Jed.  Brett Gardner offered defense, on-base, speed and a touch of power.  A lefty batter who was much better vs. righties.  Certainly this was a re-draft (I drafted him in 2009) and maybe a re-re-draft.  In 2019 Gardner hit a career high 28 homers.  With a career high OPS of .828.  His last SOMBILLA season though.

    40.   Brian Reynolds – Randy.  At the time I write the switch-hitting Reynolds has a career OPS of .821!  Who knew?  2019 was an outstanding debut – he made the all-rookie team.  He had a bad sophomore slump but rebounded with his best season in 2021.  2022 and 2023 not as good but still usable.  A fine pick.

    Best: Robin

    Worst: Tom (worst performance of the one and dones)

    Rostered: 4

    Round 6

    41.   Gio Urshela – Robin.  2019 was a career year for the third baseman but 2020 was excellent as well.  And in 2022 he was marginally usable.

    42.   Marcus Walden – Tom.  Waldo (actual nickname) produced the one usable card of his career in 2019.  He was a reversed righty with 78 innings.  He had an 8.71 ERA during the 2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign.

    43.   Anthony Bass – Eric.  4th reliever chosen thus far by Eric.  Bass has turned in 3 usable cards with his performances in 2019, 2020 and 2022 (he was re-drafted by Sam in 2023).  Pretty good for a 6th round choice.

    44.   Mike Minor – Sam.  The new guy eschews the league's distaste for lefty starters and snags the journeyman hurler, who had his second best season in 2019 (and was never usable again). Minor led Neverwinter in innings pitched but went 2-9 with a 7.06 ERA.

    45.   Tommy Edman – Arnie.  The utility man debuted in 2019 with an impressive .850 OPS.  He played solid defense and could steal a base.  Of course he never came close to that level again.  Edman did bat .382 (and a sizzling .432 vs. righties) in 76 at bats for North Dakota in 2020/21.

    46.   Asdrubal Cabrera – Jed.  On our website this draft choice was attributed to Harold but it was in fact mine.  The former Bay City-ite was picked up by the Nationals later in 2019 and went nuts as Washington enjoyed a dream season.  Cabrera had an OPS of .969 in 124 at bats.  One and done.

    47.   Michael Lorenzen – Robin.  The outfielder turned reliever turned starter had a career year in 2019.  Lorenzen acquitted himself well in the SOMBILLA with a 3-1 record, a 3.16 ERA and 45 k's in 31 ip.  Redrafted by Arnie this year with a good limited card and he is having a good 2024....

    48.   Emilio Pagan – Randy.  Naturally, the righty reliever had his best season in 2019, with a .83 WHIP.  But he also turned in a stellar 2023 (re-drafted by Sam in the 4th round).  Pagan wasn't used by Future Wax in 2020/21?  Randy must've had one hell of a relief staff....

    Best: Robin

    Worst: Randy

    Rostered: 4

    Please take a 5 minute break before continuing to read.

    Round 7

    49.   Trevor Gott – Robin.  The marginal righty reliever did have a 1.10 WHIP in 2019 (and a 1.03 WHIP in 2022).  I assume Robin cut him and he was not redrafted.  But Gott did his job – a 2.82 ERA for Bay City in 2020/21.

    50.   Keston Hiura – Arnie.  How I remember this moment.  In 2019 the lefty batting Hiura had a .938 OPS in 314 at bats (1.021 vs. righties).  He was 23 years old and on the all-rookie team.  I had assumed he'd be drafted in the 2nd round, which meant I wouldn't have a shot at him, and I put him out of my mind.  I remember my shock that he was still available and I was pissed at Arnie. [I credit the newly initiated 5-minute break after the 6th round (which I voted against) for determining he was still there – AP]. But when all is said and done, 2019 was far and away Hiura's career year.  I did grab him later in a waiver draft and he was barely usable and now he's out of MLB and the SOMBILLA.

    51.   Nick Ahmed – Eric.  This long ago Bay City-ite was a SS 1e14.  He had a career year hitting (.753 OPS).  He was excellent vs. lefties.  He got only 8 at bats for Eric and only appeared in 11 games overall but he did hit .375 during the 2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign.  Eric did get another season out of him.

    52.   Hanser Alberto – Sam.  2019 was totally a career year for Alberto (whose nickname should have been V05, I mean c'mon).  He hit .305 and was a bit of a lefty killer.  Offered some positional flexibility.  One and done for the Alpacas as far as I can tell, although Arnie picked him up in the next year’s waiver draft.

    53.   Brian Anderson – Arnie.  Was a 2 at 3B and a 3 (with a -3 arm!) in RF.  A meh hitter for his career, he was at his peak circa 2018-2020.  Arnie got 2 years out of him.  He did not fare well in the SOMBILLA (e.g. hitting .230 during the 2020/21 campaign).

    54.   Brandon Kintzler – Harold.  The reliever had a very average career.  For example, a career record of 24-24.  Previously drafted (by Eric) in 2014.  And before that Kintzler had a stint on Constantinople.  He had a 1.02 WHIP in 2019 (his career best).  He was also reversed.  He went 0-3 with a 4.35 ERA during the 2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign.  One and done for the Ellis.

    55.   Cam Bedrosian – Jed.  Son of Cy Young award winner Steve Bedrosian!  Originally drafted by Arnie in 2017.  Bedrosian produced usable cards with his 2019 and 2020 efforts.  He had a 7.88 ERA during the 2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign and a 7.04 during 2021/22.

    56.   Dinelson Lamet – Randy.  El Flaco (“The Skinny” in English) didn't look all that flaco (but did look cute – Robin).  The righthanded starter has been in the majors since 2017 and is still only 31 so I assume his low career total of 367 innings (at the time of this writing) is due to multiple injuries*.  The only usable card Lamet has produced was during the COVID-shortened 2020 season.  He pitched 88 innings for Future Wax in the SOMBILLA in 2021/22 with 108 Ks and an ERA of 4.40. 

    * (no doubt stemming from his early tenure with Bay City)

    Best: Nobody*

    Worst: Everybody*

    Rostered: 0

    If you're a positive person feel free to switch Best to Everybody and Worst to Nobody.

    Round 8


    57.   Jason Castro – Robin.  The catcher's career year was 2013 but it doesn't seem he was drafted in 2014.  Anyway, the lefthanded hitting Castro had a .854 OPS vs. righties and he was a 2(-1)e1 behind the plate (237 AB).  Robin maximized his usage but he hit only .228 in the SOMBILLA.

    58.   Roberto Perez – Tom.  The superb defensive catcher – a 1(-4)e1 – had a career year in 2019 with a .773 OPS (.656 was his career average).  He was excellent against lefties.  Tom got a lot of use out of him in the SOMBILLA – Perez had 11 homers in 152 AB in 2020/21.  And Perez played a little (and, offensively, very badly) during the 2021/22 campaign.

    59.   Omar Narvaez – Eric.  3rd catcher taken in a row.  Narvaez was lefthanded and a good hitter who was a liability behind the plate with his +2 arm.  In the SOMBILLA he performed almost exactly the same as Perez – Narvaez had 12 homers in 153 at bats.  2019 was his career year.

    60.   Adam Kolarek – Sam.  The lefty reliever had a solid 2019 followed by his best season in 2020. He was extremely tough on lefthanded batters but pretty awful against righties (in 2019).  He performed adequately in the SOMBILLA in 2020/21 (4.05 ERA in 13 innings).  He had a 1.93 ERA in 2021/22.

    61.   Joakim Soria – Arnie.  The former Asshole reliever produced several usable cards during his career.  In 2019 he had a WHIP of 1.03.  He had a 4.15 ERA in the 2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign.  And a 4.35 ERA during the 2021/22 season. 

    62.   Tony Gonsolin – Harold.  The Dodger starter has a career WHIP of 1.05.  He's been usable almost every season (though alas he like so many others is out for 2024).  In 2022 he went 16-1 with a WHIP of .87.

    63.   Daniel Hudson – Jed.  I believe there were two D Hudsons but I'm 99% sure I drafted the relief pitcher who played for Toronto and Washington in 2019.  Not Dakota Hudson, who pitched for St. Louis.  Hudson compiled a 2.42 ERA during the 2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign (in 26 innings).  Originally drafted in the second round of the 2011 draft by Randy.

    64.   Brendan McKay – Randy.  In real life, the lefty starter was taken with the 4th pick overall by Tampa Bay in 2017.  He only pitched (in the majors) in 2019.  Never actually got to see any SOMBILLA action.

     

    Best: Harold

    Worst: Randy

    Rostered: 1

    Round 9

    65.   Nick Anderson – Robin.  The righty reliever has never had a season with a WHIP over 1.10 But he has rarely pitched enough innings to be usable.  Robin did get 2 excellent cards out of him.  Anderson was terrific during the 2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign – a 2.30 ERA with 46 Ks in 27.1 IP.  In 2021/22 he had a 2.51 ERA.

    66.   Trevor May – Harold.  The big righty reliever had his overall best season in 2019.  A 1.07 WHIP.  More K's than IP.  But he didn't fare so well in the SOMBILLA – a 5.61 ERA during the 2020/21 campaign.  He was a one and done.

    67.   Luis Arraez – Eric.  Arraez debuted in 2019 hitting .334.  He's never hit below .294.  He can barely field, he can't run, he has minimal power.  But boy can he hit for average.

    68.   Mike Tauchman – Sam.  A pretty average to maybe below average major leaguer, Tauchman of course had a career year in 2019 (.865 OPS).  The lefthanded hitting outfielder was better against lefthanded pitching.  He hit .159 in the SOMBILLA in 44 AB.

    69.   Griffin Canning – Arnie.  The lanky (still just 28-years-old) righthander made his debut in 2019 with some promise (a 1.22 WHIP, more Ks than IP).  I don't think he ever appeared in a SOMBILLA game.

    70.   Christian Walker – Harold.  The first baseman had been around for a while but never got more than 49 at bats until his breakout 2019.  He would later in his career earn a 1 defensive rating but was a 3e14 in 2019.  Walker did ok for Harold during the 2020/21 SOMBILLA season – hitting .252 with 9 homers.  While he was redrafted in 2023 by Randy (11th round), Walker was one and done for Harold.

    71.   J.B. Wendelken – Jed.  A limited righty reliever with a .92 WHIP in 2019.  Wendelken had 15 saves (in just 13.1 IP) and a 1.35 ERA for Oceanus during 2020/21.  And by gosh he was usable the next year as well – he compiled a 2.63 ERA in 24 IP in 2021/22.

    72.   Luis Urias – Randy.  I'd say this was a pure prospect play by Randy.  Urias was 23 and unusable.  The infielder did have a breakout in 2021 with 23 homers.  Did Randy hold onto him that long?  Nope.  And he wasn't redrafted.

    Best: Eric

    Worst: Randy

    Rostered: 2

    Round 10

    73.   Tyler Skaggs – Robin.  In a bold move to avoid injuries and curses, Robin drafted the already deceased lefthander.  At least his last season was his best statistically.  Skaggs had a 2.19 ERA for Robin in 4 starts during the 2020/21 SOMBILLA campaign.

    74.   Jose Urquidy – Tom.  The forever promising righthander has pretty decent career stats (he is, you guessed it, out for 2024).  A 1.14 WHIP, for example.  Urquidy has made some SOMBILLA appearances.  I know I had him at one point (waiver draft?).  But in Constantinople, Urquidy compiled a 10.34 ERA in 15.2 IP in 2020/21.

    75.   Kevin Pillar – Eric.  A gold glove caliber yet light-hitting (having a great 2024 at the time I'm writing this though) outfielder.  This was a redraft by Eric, who drafted Pillar in 2017.   2020 season was his best ever, so Eric enjoyed two usable cards this time around.  Oh – Pillar hit .316 in 57 AB for Eric (Haiku Aggression) in 2020/21.

    76.   Tommy Kahnle – Sam.  Drafted by Tom in 2018, the righty reliever has pitched better than average statistically in his career but only twice achieved 60 or more IP.  2019 was one of those seasons.  Kahnle had a 1.06 WHIP and 88 K in 61.1 IP.  In the SOMBILLA, Kahnle produced a 4.15 ERA in 21.2 IP.

    77.   Nico Goodrum – Arnie.  Presumably he was drafted for his utility – he had 7 positions listed on his card.  In 2019 Goodrum was something of a lefty killer too.  One and done.  Lifetime SOMBILLA batting average: .189.

    78.   Brandon Brennan – Harold.  Brennan pitched 57 innings in his entire career.  47.1 of which were in 2019.  Maybe his card belied his statistics?  He was tough on righties (but horrible against lefties).  4.86 lifetime SOMBILLA ERA.

    79.   Jarlin Garcia – Jed.  The imposing lefty reliever had a decent brief MLB career.  Garcia provided 3 years worth of cards.

    80.   Sean Murphy – Randy.  Randy took a flier on the young catcher who only had 53 AB in 2019. Obviously Murphy has more than justified the investment, being considered one of the best catchers in MLB.

    Best: Randy

    Worst: Tom, Arnie

    Rostered: 1

    Round 11

    81.   Brock Holt – Robin.  The utility man had a few usable seasons but never an OPS > .773.  I'm somewhat surprised he wasn't drafted in 2015 after hitting .281 for the Red Sox.  And being really cute.  2019 was his highest batting average (.297) and the lefty batter did better against righties.  Holt hit .256 in the SOMBILLA in 82 AB.  One and done.

    82.   Josh Taylor – Tom.  The big lefty reliever (who does a plie before every pitch) had his only usable season in 2019.  Tough on lefthanded hitters.  He compiled a 4.40 ERA in 14 IP for the Manatees.  Second best ERA on the staff (keep in mind Tom's typical ballpark dimensions).  One and done. 

    83.   Darwinzon Hernandez – Eric.  The big lefty reliever was 23 at the time of the draft and playing for the Red Sox so presumably a homer/prospecting pick.  He did have 57 Ks in 30.1 IP.    I don't think he ever got to the mound in a SOMBILLA contest.  He had a serious control issue.

    84.   Ty Buttrey – Sam.  The big righty reliever had his one usable season in 2019.  Maybe his card was better than his stats (slightly reversed, 1.27 WHIP) but I'd say he was an innings-soaker-upper at best in the SOMBILLA.  He had an almost respectable 4.24 ERA in 17 IP for Neverwinter.

    85.   Brent Suter – Arnie.  The Harvard-educated  lanky lefthander has had a decent if injury-riddled career thus far (he's still in the majors...).  In 2019 he had a .49 ERA (in 18 IP).  He gave North Dakota 7 IP in 2020/21 with a 2.45 ERA.  His stats suggest Arnie should have gotten another year or two out of him but I guess his cards weren't good enough.

    86.   Austin Riley – Harold.  The slugging third baseman didn't have an auspicious 2019 (hence his being available in round 11).  Nor did he fare well in 2020.  But the Ellis were patient with his development and in 2021 he arrived, hitting .303 with 33 HR.  He then hit 38 HR in 2022 and 37 HR in 2023.  Arguably the best choice in the whole draft, considering the round.

    87.   John Brebbia – Jed.  The hirsute righty reliever has compiled solid stats in his career.  He had some better years than 2019 but he was tough on righties and struck out more than his IP.  Treated roughly in the SOMBILLA to the tune of a 7.90 ERA in 27.1 IP.  One and done (he missed the 2020 MLB season).

    88.   Austin Nola – Randy.  Aaron's brother seems to be out of the majors at least after a fairly brief career.  The catcher (who also played 1B, 2B, 3B and RF) had two good years in a row in 2019 and 2020.  Just started tailing off after that though.  Nola hit .259 in 2020/21 and then .268 in 2021/22 in the SOMBILLA (68 total AB).

    Best: Harold

    Worst: Eric

    Rostered: 1

    Rounds 12-14

     

    89.   Dakota Hudson – Tom.  See Daniel Hudson above.  Dakota Hudson was and still is NOT Daniel Hudson.  The lanky righty sure looked promising in 2020, coming off a 2019 season where he went 16-7 with a 3.35 ERA.  But...with a WHIP of 1.35.  In the SOMBILLA in 2020/21 he got hit hard resulting in a 7.51 ERA (but a 4-4 record).  Seems to have been a one and done.

    90.   CJ Cron – Sam.  Another son of a former major leaguer (who knew)?  “Crony” hit 187 HR in his career and often flirted with usability.  The beefy first baseman's 2018 season (30 HR) was actually better than his 2019 (25 HR).  Neverwinter got some limited use from Cron for 3 years. 

    91.   Joe Jimenez – Arnie.  The rotund righty reliever has pitched quite well the last 3 years but has not been called up to the SOMBILLA.  In 2019 he was a prospecting pick for Arnie, who saw 82 Ks in 59.2 IP as promising.  But Arnie couldn't keep a reliever on his roster for 3 seasons without any contributions.  If Jimenez keeps up his fine 2024 season, he might get re-drafted.

    92.   Kevin Newman – Jed.  The at-the-time 26-year-old shortstop/utility man was pegged as one of those possible breakout candidates, I seem to recall.  He hit .308 in 2019!  But he went in the opposite direction.  Newman never played in the SOMBILLA (I had Trevor Story pre-Boston at the time).

    93.   Zach Plesac – Randy.  Crikey, a nephew of Dan Plesac!  “Sac” (!) produced 3 potentially usable cards but was only in the SOMBILLA during the 2021/22 campaign (where he fared well – a 3.34 ERA).  In 2022 he broke his hand punching the pitcher's mound.

    94.   Jordan Yamamoto – Tom.  A prospecting pick (still 23 at the time of the draft), the undersized righty starter was also marginally usable.  And use him the Manatees did – Yamamoto went 3-2 with a 6.55 ERA in the SOMBILLA.  Out of MLB after 2021.

    95.   Nick Senzel – Tom.  Still only 28 years old the perennial “5-tool” prospect has tantalized SOMBILLA GMs with his potential since his debut in 2019.  The 3B (and sometimes OF) has been derailed by injuries.  He was picked up at some point by Oceanus and then redrafted in 2024 by Eric.  The Eric karma effect has led to Senzel having arguably his best season ever thus far.

    96.   Stefan Crichton – Tom.  Fittingly, the Spooneybarger pick is a righty reliever.  Crichton had a 1.02 WHIP in 2019 and was reversed.  Tom benefited from two usable seasons, darned good for a final pick of a draft.

    Best: Tom, Sam

    Worst: Jed, Tom, Arnie

    Rostered: 1

    Epilogue

    I decided to award the “Best Draft” to the team(s) that had the most players still rostered from this draft.  If any of these players had been traded, I would have tried to factor that in.  But that wasn't an issue.  Any players from this draft who were cut and later redrafted were not considered.  Both Robin (Guerrero, Luzardo, Montas, Gallen and Urshela) and Harold (Jimenez, Semien, Alcantara, Gonsolin and Riley) still have 5 players on their rosters from this draft.  The rest of the league averaged 2.5 players still rostered.

    By the same token, Arnie has only 1 player remaining on his team from the 2020 draft – his first round choice, Pete Alonso.  So he had the “Worst Draft.”

    I used quotation marks to indicate that it's a very crude way to measure the impact of a draft on a team.  If we look at team records in the 4 seasons since this draft, Arnie has the most overall wins.  Robin has probably had the best trajectory since the 2020 draft.  She's improved every year except last year – when she won the title!

    Having now done several draft retrospectives I would posit that if you have 3 players (or more) remaining on your team from a draft 4 years ago, you acquitted yourself respectably in that draft.

     


    AGES IN THE SOMBILLA (7/97)

    Who's rebuilding by stocking up their roster with young prospects? Who's going for broke with aging veterans? This summer, we look at the ages of all the teams to contrast and compare. Using players' ages as of July 1, the following table summarizes my findings:
    Team Pitchers Catchers Infielders Outfielders Under 25 30 and over Average
    CN     26.9   30.5         27.7      29.6       10       12          28.0
    MW     30.1   32.4         27.4      27.2        6       19          28.8
    BC     29.4   26.7         27.6      29.8        7       15          28.9
    ND     29.3   30.0         28.3      28.9        9       22          29.1
    FW     29.7   28.5         29.5      27.7        4       16          29.2
    BQ     28.6   28.0         30.1      29.7        4       21          29.3
    MF     29.5   30.0         29.2      29.3        3       21          29.4
    NO     29.4   29.5         29.9      29.4        4       23          29.5
    FP     31.4   32.0         30.7      31.9        0       29          31.4

    As you can see, Constantinople has the youngest team, which would be expected from an "expansion" team. Indeed, Land & Brian's pitching staff is almost 2 years younger than the next youngest pitching staff, the Bunghole Quahogs. Constantinople has the fewest veterans, with only 12 players 30 and over. Bay City has the youngest catchers, while Metrowest boasts both the youngest infield and outfield.

    At the other extreme, the league's geezers, Finn's People, has a team that is almost two years older than the next oldest team, New Orleans. Eric owns the oldest pitchers, infielders, and outfielders. With almost 2/3 of the defending champions 30 years old and over, you have to wonder about the future of a team with only one all-star (see 'How is Your Team Doing?', later in this newsletter). Not only does he not have any players under 25, he has no players under age 27 and only two players (Tim Crabtree and Scott Stahoviak) who are 27.

    Of course, it's easy to jump on the 'ridicule Eric' bandwagon. But, given that he's won 6 championships in 12 years, it's important to examine the meaning behind the numbers a little more closely. What's the most important thing about being a GM in Strat-O? The answer's easy - collecting players with great Strat-O cards. Some of us draft young phenoms, in the hopes that in the future, the young player will produce great Strat-O cards. But there's also a big risk to taking young players with lousy cards (see Annual 4- Year Draft Retrospective). Another way to collect guys with great Strat-O cards is to draft guys with great Strat-O cards. Of course, you can draft only 10 guys with great Strat-O cards (in theory) in any given year, but much of the other 60% of a team's 25-man roster can be made up of players with great cards acquired in trades for future draft picks. So, when interpreting the results of this study, keep in mind that there are many ways to collect players with great Strat-O cards.

    Some other facts from this study: Future Wax owns the league's oldest players, Dennis Eckersley and Dennis Martinez, both 42. Other 40-year olds in the league are Bay City's Brett Butler, Finn's People's Jesse Orosco, Manila Folders' Paul Molitor, New Orleans' Doug Jones. The league's youngest player is 20-year old Andruw Jones, of the Bunghole Quahogs.


    The advantages of managing while pregnant (11/7/94)

    Robin appears to have found the answer to guaranteed wins: pregnancy. When pregnant with Rachel in '92-93, she finished first with her best record ever - 34-22. Now, pregnant with child no. 2, she's riding high, in first place again, at 20-8. This means her career records look like this:

    When pregnant       58-30  .659
    When not pregnant  262-311 .457

    We'll see what happens in January. (Post-script - she plummeted out of the playoff picture).


    First picks overall in SOMBILLA drafts (updated) (7/94)

    Someone, Matt, I think it was, asked who the worst first pick overall was. Since I did not know the answer, he suggested it be a topic for the summer newsletter. And so, here is the list of all No. 1 picks since the permanent league began in 1985:

    1985: Dwight Gooden, T&A
    1986: Vince Coleman, Matt
    1987: Ruben Sierra, Arni
    1988: Mark McGwire, Matt
    1989: Greg Jeffries, T&A
    1990: Ken Griffey, Jr. T&A
    1991: Frank Thomas, Robin
    1992: Phil Plantier, Matt
    1993: Curt Schilling, Dave
    1994: Manny Ramirez, Harold
    1995: Alex Rodriguez, Land
    1996: Charles Johnson, Matt
    1997: Edgar Renteria, Jeff
    1998: Ben Grieve, Robin
    1999: JD Drew, Eric
    2000: Kris Benson, Harold

    Sorry, Matt, but although a good case could be made for Colemen or even Sierra, I think it's Plantier.



    North Dakota vs. Future Wax - which team was better? (7/27/94)

    Which team was really better, North Dakota or Future Wax? What about before the big ransom trades? Who did the trades help more? And (again) which team was really better, North Dakota or Future Wax? To try to answer those questions, I played North Dakota against Future Wax on the trusty Strat-O computer for 1000 games, both before and after the big ransom trades.

    Why do a study like this? Am I insane? (Of course, but sanity is not relevant.). I had nothing to gain and everything to lose. If it turned out North Dakota was better, then I was a lousy manager and should have won the World Series. If it turned out Future Wax was better, then that means that Future Wax really was better, a horrible thought.

    On February 3, 1994, the date of the SOMBILLA TRADING AND LOAN SCANDAL , North Dakota was in second place at 25-13. Future Wax was tied for 5th with Adirondack at 16-19. In 1,000 games aginst each other, using these pre-trade rosters, the teams look like this:

    Future Wax   527-473 .527
    North Dakota 473-527 .473

                    AB      R     H    2B   3B    HR  RBI   SB  CS  BB   E
    North Dakota  34,866  4935  9296 1759  281   959 4634  932 461 3721 597
    Future Wax    34,881  5205  9053 1622  128  1800 5012  195  94 3383 777

                   .Ave    OBP    Slg
    North Dakota   .267   .337   .416
    Future Wax     .260   .325   .468

                     IP       H       ER     HR    SO     ERA
    North Dakota  8963.3    9053    4877   1800   6823   4.90
    Future Wax    8998      9296    4435    959   6145   4.44

    As you can clearly see, North Dakota was obviously the better team. Just look at, um, oh,. . . . triples! In this all important category, I crushed him. And, um, stolen bases . . . Alright, alright. So this isn't rotisserie-ball where stolen bases are equal to homers. Clearly, Future Wax's power was the difference between the teams. Interstingly, the home-road difference wasn't as great as expected. In the Waxdome , (homers 1-18), it was FW 268-232. In Gackle Park (homers 1-8), it was Futuwe Wax 259-241.

    What about the ransom trades? With our new trading deadline, teams in the hunt must ransom their futures to go for it. Teams that don't (Manila Folders and New Orleans) fall by the wayside. North Dakota got Clemens, arguably the single best starting pitcher in the league with the '92 cards, replacing Abbott in the rotation. Future Wax traded for 4 picthers, getting D. Martinez from Robin, and Eckersley, Meacham, and Hershsier from Eric. These 4 pitchers replaced Bosio, Gooden, Melendez, and Stanton. Playing 1,000 games against each other, using actual final World Series rosters, looked like this:

    Future Wax   525-475 .525
    North Dakota 475-525 .475

                    AB      R     H    2B   3B    HR  RBI   SB  CS  BB   E
    North Dakota  34,495  4566  8935 1618  260   934 4286  870 487 3633 656
    Future Wax    34,580  4864  8721 1620  117  1704 4672  228  75 3166 795

                   .Ave    OBP    Slg
    North Dakota   .259   .330   .402
    Future Wax     .253   .315   .454

                     IP       H       ER     HR    SO     ERA
    North Dakota  8965.3    8721    4454   1704   6963   4.47
    Future Wax    8993      8935    4077    934   6215   4.08

    While, obviously, both teams were better and had improved pitching, the fact is, the trades made no difference in ter,ms of how these two fared against each other. In other words, paying the ransoms enabled both terms to improve by the same amount, and ensured their World Series participation without changing the difference between the two teams. I guess the moral is, you not only have to pay a ransom, you actually have to out-ransom the other guy, not just keep up.

    After the trade, the home-road differential increased, with FW going 273-227 in the Dome, but only 252-248 at Gackle Park. While I could play him even in a hitter-neutral park, especially with Clemens, North Dakota just could not match up in a homer park.

    In the final analyses, my team probably matched up worse against Future Wax than against every other team. True, they probably were better than every other team, but more to the point, their park at HR 1-18, made it difficult for my team, an average SOMBILLA homerun team.

    Some interesting tid-bits. Playing in 1,814 out of 2,000 possible games against the Future Wax pitching staff, Fred McGriff batted .277, with 469 home runs and 1279 rbi's. Lankford, in 1,851 games, was .298, with 343 homers and 1346 rbi's. Don Slaught batted .356 against Future Wax pitching (1,186 for 3,335) in 1,221 games. Clemens, starting 242 games in the last 1000, went 97-87 with a 3.81 ERA against Future Wax, holding them to a .230 average. In 764 games in relief, Rod Beck was 82-97 with a 3.39 ERA and 404 saves.

    Although North Dakota was 3rd in the SOMBILLA with a respectable 3.67 ERA, Future Wax made mince-meat of its pitching staff. Bonds batted .288 in 1,912 games with 568 homers, 1,280 rbis and 1,392 walks, and a .629 slugging average. Griffey hit 'only' 375 homers in 1,749 games, batting .289. Gonzalez pounded North Dakota for 573 homers in 1,867 games, batting .242 with 1,358 rbi's. Sheffield batted .311 with 443 homers and 1,220 rbi's. D. Martinez started 233 games over the last 1,000 games, going 93-75 with a 4.04 ERA

    In one sense, this study made me feel better. I lost the World Series, despite finishing in first place, to a team that was just better. In another sense, it pisses me off that the odious Future Wax had a better team! This year, maybe I'll play ND vs. FW 1,000 games before the season, so I can design a team to beat them . . .



    All-time team franchise single-season leaders:
    (First published 1/1/94, updated 6/9 and 7/04):

    Team

    Ave

    HR

    RBI

    Robin

    Bonilla, 96-97 .357

    F. Thomas, 95-96 21

    T. Martinez 98-99

    Sosa 99-00

    Sosa 99-00 49

    Arnie

    R. Alomar, 00-01 .411

    L. Gonzalez, 02-03 26

    L. Gonzalez, 02-03 53

    Jed/Clint

    Guerrero, 01-02 .366

    J. Clark, 88-89 19

    H. Rodriguez 99-00

    J. Clark, 88-89 56

    Future Wax

    Garciaparra, 01-02 .388

    Bonds, 02-03 32

    Piazza, 98-99 74

    Jeff/Dave/Joel

     

    L. Walker 99-00 .350

    Canseco, 91-92 18

    L. Walker, 98-99

    L. Walker, 99-00

    L. Walker, 98-99 62

    Eric

    Baines, 96-97 .377

    Da. Murphy, 88-89 23

    Stanley, 94-95 57

    Matt/Jed

    Belle, 96-97 .360

    Belle, 97-98 26

    McGwire, 88-89 70 Belle, 96-97 70

    Harold/Yitz

    Vizquel, 00-01 .397

    Ramirez, 00-01 28

    Ramirez, 00-01 80

    Tom/Land/Brian

    Alfonzo, 01-02 .384

    Burks 00-01 23

    A. Rodriguez 01-02 62

     

    Wins

    ERA

    Saves

    Robin

    Drabek, 91-92 10-4

    Drabek, 91-92 1.76

    Henke, 87-88 9

    Arnie

    Clemens 99-00 12-2

    Hammaker, 84-85 2.12

    Beck, 94-95 19

    Jed/Clint

    Scott, 88-89 9-3

    Smoltz, 90-91

    Denny, 84-85 1.52

    J. Howell, 89-90 9

    Future Wax

    P. Martinez, 98-99 11-2

    Maddux, 95-96 1.74

    R. McDowell, 87-88 12

    Jeff/Dave/Joel

    Belcher, 92-93 10-3

    Robinson, 88-89 2.37

    Ward, 92-93 10

    Durocher, 03-04

    Eric

    Burnett, 03-04 12-1

    Clemens, 90-91 2.07

    Burke, 88-89 14 Frowirth, 92-93 14

    Matt

    Ashby, 96-97 8-1

    Ryan, 88-89 2.38

    R. Hernandez, 93-94 10

    Harold/Yitz

    Langston, 93-94 9-3

    Smiley, 90-91 2.21

    Myers, 89-90 16

    Tom/Land/Brian

    Park, 01-02 10-3

    R. Martinez, 94-95 3.46

    D. Henry, 94-95 11

    Urbina 99-00


    Who is the best manager in the SOMBILLA? (7/27/93)

    Many summers, I publish the prior year's Bill James Pythagorean Analyses. As you know, this is a formula that has been proven to predict winning percentage based on runs for and runs against, using the following formula:

    Runs1.83
    ((Runs1.83)+(Runs allowed1.83))

    Again, variances from the predicted percentage are due to only two factors: luck (both good and bad) and managing (both good and bad). A team with an actual winning percentage higher than predicted has had either good managing, good luck, or both. The following are the good managing/good luck numbers for '93:

                 Actual   Projected
                 wins     wins       Pyth
    Eric           31       25        6
    Robin          34       30        4
    Dave           33       32        1
    Harold         32       32        0
    Land           22       22        0
    Jed & Clint    19       20       -1
    Matt           26       27       -1
    Andrew         30       32       -2
    Arnie          25       28       -3

    Big whoop. It doesn't really tell us who the best manager is, only who had the best combination of good managing and luck last year. Never afraid to ask the hard question, the SOMBILLA spotlight team asks "Who is the best manager?" The Pythagorean formula is a better gauge than pure won-lost record to answer this question because putting together a winning team is general managing, not managing. Winning with what you have is managing.

    As I proved mathematically last year, in the long run, all luck cancels out. Sure, any individual game may have lots of luck, but over the course of a season, that luck is neutralized somewhat. Over many seasons, it will all even out. (For anyone who doesn't remember my mathematical proof, click here .) If luck cancels out in the long run, the only factor left in a multi-year Pythagorean study would be the change in team won-lost percentage that was due to managing!

    I ran each manager's Pythagorean formula for the past five years and summed them up. The results are below. For Clint, who has now managed two consecutive last place teams with different managers (Jed and Dave), I simply combined the Pythagorean formulas of those two teams. For Jed&Dave, I treated their totals as though they managed each of those teams alone. Obviously, it would be more accurate to use the actual runs for and runs against for Jed& Clint's team and Dave & Clint's team, but hey, you do it.

    The results are striking:

                    1988-1993
                 Actual   Projected
                 wins     wins       Pyth
    Eric          170      153        17
    Robin         123      119         4
    Dave          127      126         1
    Land           22       22         0
    Harold        143      144        -1
    Clint          40       41        -1
    Matt          129      131        -2
    Andrew        160      163        -3
    Arnie         128      132        -4
    Jed           144      150        -6

    Whatever conclusions one can draw (people seem to be pretty well bunched), no one can dispute that over the past five years, Eric has unquestionably been the best manager in the SOMBILLA (again, distinguish general managing). The difference between Eric and no. 2, Robin, is greater than the difference between Robin and everyone else. That, my friends, is significant. In fact, Eric has led the league or tied for the league lead in Pythagorean wins above projected wins 4 of the last 5 years. One year and maybe he had great luck. But five years? (Eric, you can pay me in installments if you want).


    Is lucky rolling statistically possible? (1/1/92)

    I would like to address what I believe is an excessive focus by some managers on whether they are rolling on their card or their opponent's card. By concentrating so closely on this type of breakdown, these managers are guilty of making two false assumptions.

    The first false assumption is what I call the Ruth/Johnson syndrome. Basically, it assumes that all batters are Babe Ruth and all pitchers are Walter Johnson. The 1927 Babe Ruth card, basic version has 15.6 homer chances, 39 walk chances and 32 hit chances. The 1914 Walter Johnson card has 3 walk chances and nothing else. If Ruth faces Johnson the result will clearly depend on whose card you roll. There are no Ruths or Johnsons in the SOMBILLA. Even Eckersley and Dibble have hits on their cards.

    Assume K. Maas (one of the best vs. RHP) is batting against E. Hanson, a fine reversed starter. Even in this matchup, Maas is better off rolling in Hanson's 5 column than in hos own 1 column. Thus, instantly declaring 'shit' after seeing that the roll is on the pitcher's card, but before actually reading the result, makes no sense (of course, after you read 'strikeout', saying 'shit' is perfectly appropriate). These are two excellent players. What about an average matchup? The results are even more striking. Take H. Johnson against Gooden. There are 2 columns on Gooden's card for hitting that are better than 2 columns on Johnson's card!

    Finally, keep in mind that even a 'naked' column on a pitcher's card will still contain X chances. Each pitcher has 30 X-chances (out of 108 chances = 28%). Assuming that the league averages 2's and 3's on defense adds another 6 hit chances to each pitcher on average, to say nothing about reaching by error.

    The second false assumption is that even assuming all batters are Ruth and all pitchers are Johnson, it is statistically possible to consistently roll on your own or your opponent's card. As I will demonstrate, this is a fallacy.

    Assuming a league average of .250 means 9 hits per team per game (9 for 36). Add another average of 7 walks per game and each manager rolls about 43 times a game. The average times rolled on your and your opponent's card is thus 21.5 times each per game. Using basic statistical concepts, the formula for variance is 21.5 x .5 x .5 or 5.38. The standard deviation is then 2.32 (square root of 5.38). Using standard statistical tables, it can be concluded that there is a 99% chance that a person will roll within 2.58 standard deviations per game, or between 16 and 27 times on your card (6 more or less than expected per game, less than 1 per inning). In other words, in only 1 out of every 100 games you play (once every 2 years) can you expect to roll on your card (or your pitcher's card) 7 times more than expected over an entire game.

    Carried even further, you should expect to roll 2408 times per season (43 x 56). There is a 99% chance that over the course of the season you will roll on your card between 1,141 and 1,267 times (only 63 more or less than expected - 1,204), or just about once per game! (For the hard core, I will gladly show you the calculations.) This supports the basic statistical "law of large numbers." Flipping a coin 10 times, (or having 10 at bats), you might very well have 8 heads (or rolls on the pitcher's card). But flip a coin 2,408 times, and with 99% certainty, you'll be within 63 of 1,204 heads.

    Enough of this impersonal proof. So what do you do when no matter what you roll, it seems like you're rolling all on the pitcher's card, or just missing on your cards? Well, ask yourself why we play Strat-O-Matic? there are many reasons, but one reason is because we believe that it is realistic. Of course, the fact that we use 8 all-star teams instead of 26 teams skews the stats (as well as not playing 162 games), but we all, deep down, believe that Strat-O knows what it is doing. So when Clemens mows you down with a 2-hitter, why not attribute it to the fact that Clemens is pitching a great game instead of you rolling poorly? When your opponent crunches 6 homers off you, why not attribute it to what might happen in real life if McGriff, Bonds, Fielder, Strawberry et al were actually on the same team, rather than 'he keeps rolling on his card,' since we now know it all balances out? Just a thought.


    Beer consumption per person per Strat-O night - 11/3/91

    1979:      1.6    1985-1986: 2.7   1990-1991: 1.6
    1981-1982: 2.2    1986-1987: 3.1   1991-1992: 1.3
    1982-1983: 2.4    1987-1988: 2.9
    1983-1984: 2.5    1988-1989: 2.4
    1984-1985: 2.6    1989-1990: 2.0

    Are we getting old, wimpy, health-conscious, or all of the above?


    Twits Notes 1/9/91

    Are the new charts producing fewer errors? Dave thinks so. Through 32 games, this year's teams are averaging .77 errors per game. Last year, teams averaged .66 errors per game, and in '88-89, teams also averaged .66 errors per game. Assuming that overall fielding talent has remained constant (a shaky premise, I admit), the charts are producing more errors, not fewer! Of course the overall fielding talent could in fact be much, much, worse, so that the increase in errors per team is actually less than it should be, so that the charts really are producing fewer errors, but I'm not going to get involved with that one.


    Twits Notes 11/27/90

    Jed's bad start has prompted speculation about his propensity to make late-season charges. The following are records for the past four years:

                   1st half    2nd half    Difference
                   --------    --------    ----------
    Harold - Yitz    46-66      61-51         +15
    Dave-Joel        42-70      49-63          +7
    Jed              63-49      67-45          +4
    Eric             62-50      66-46          +4
    Robin            47-65      48-64          +1
    Andrew           62-50      62-50           0
    Matt             55-57      49-63          -6
    Arni             61-51      46-66         -15

    It looks like Harold is the 2nd half team, not Jed. In fact, 12 of the 15 game 2nd half gain for Harold-Yitz has come in the past two years, with Harold at the helm. At the reverse end...well, we won't talk about that.


    2nd-half charges

    Which teams are better in the second half, and which in the first half? Who's likely to make a late-season charge, and who's likely to pull an El Foldo?

    Here are the teams' first and second half records over the last four seasons. On the theory that it's better to finish strong, the teams are sorted from the largest second half differential over first half to the smallest:

                     1st Half      2nd Half         Differential (percentage points)
    Bunghole Quahogs 48-59  .449    59-58  .504            +55
    Metrowest        39-70  .358    47-68  .409            +51
    North Dakota     69-44  .611    71-40  .640            +29
    Constantinople   43-58  .426    56-67  .455            +29
    Lagavulan 16     48-57  .457    60-60  .500            +23
    Future Wax       70-39  .642    73-40  .646            +4
    New Orleans      54-50  .519    62-58  .517            -2
    Manila Folders   52-50  .510    55-67  .451            -59
    Bay City         60-57  .513    47-61  .435            -78

    The biggest second half turnarounds? Clint and Jeff. The biggest second-half flops? Matt and Robin.



    How good was Eric's team? (August 1990)

    In light of Eric's phenomenal record (44-12) last year, I decided to determine just how good his team really was by developing a computer model on Lotus to simulate our league and replay the 'season'  200 times to see how often Eric (or anyone else for that matter) won the World Series. First, a little background.

    Each team was assigned a winning percentage for the model. The percentage was determined as 1/2 actual winning percentage + 1/2 Bill James pythagorean method. As you all know, James' method is the most accurate predictor of team winning percentage known to man. What do you mean, you never read past the player comments? The formula is (Runs2/((Runs 2 )+(Runs allowed2)). James notes that the exponent 1.83 is actually more accurate than 2, so I used that as the exponent. In case you're wondering, the pythagorean predictions are:

                     RF   RA   Pth   W   L
    Yoknapatawpha   254  163  .692  39  17
    Plymouth Satell 290  224  .616  34  22
    LH's            215  209  .513  29  27
    North Dakota    284  263  .535  30  26
    Hatchbacks      276  272  .507  28  28
    Manilla Folders 221  296  .369  21  35
    Future Wax      261  283  .463  26  30
    Bay City        248  339  .361  20  36

    As you all know from reading Bill James (come on this is basic sabremetrics), differences in projected wins and losses and actual wins and losses are due to luck and managing. Thus, Eric won 5 more games than projected due to good managing/good luck, or 9% of his games! At the other end, T&A finished 6 games below projected due to back luck/bad managing (hey it could be all bad luck, you know?).

    Anyway, once I had each team's estimated winning percentage for the model, I determined the odds of each team winning vs. everybody eles. For Eric vs. Matt, where E represents Eric's pct. and M is Matt's pct, the formula is, (E x (1-M))/(E x (1-M)) + (M x 1-E)). Since Eric's study winning pct was .739 and Matt's was .372, the chances of Eric beating Matt in one game were .827. Using Lotus's random number generator, I was able to 'play' each team against each other 8 times as in our real season, and then do the post-season. Each Lotus 'season' took about 30 seconds to run. I was planning on running 200 seasons, but ended up at 203 due to 3 practice runs I forgot about and were included in the totals. In any case, the results are below:

                     W     L   Pct   1st  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th  7th  8th  WS
    Yoknapatawpha 8662  2706  .762   185   15   3    0    0    0    0    0  148
    P Satellites  7242  4126  .637    15  138  36    8    5    0    1    0   34
    LH's          6056  5312  .533     1   27  68   60   34   11    2    0    7
    North Dakota  6007  5361  .528     2   16  73   67   33    9    3    0   11
    Hatchbacks    5280  6088  .464     0    6  17   48   72   37   18    5    1
    M Folders     4116  7252  .362     0    1   0    6   20   46   74   56    1
    Future Wax    4448  6920  .391     0    0   6   12   32   68   56   29    1
    Bay City      3661  7707  .322     0    0   0    2    7   32   49  113    0

    Note that Eric finished first 'only' 185 times or 91.1% (North Dakota actually finished first twice!) Eric also won the World Series only 72.9% of the time. This makes sense, since in a short series anything can happen. Actually Bill James has showed that in real life, with a random distribution of winning percentages, the best team wins the World Series only 25% of the time (see 1989 Baseball Abstract). Given Eric's phenomenal winning percentage, I'm still not surprised that he 'only' wins the World Series 72.9% of the time. After all, in real life he had to go extra innings in 7 games. Other notes - Bay City made the playoffs only twice in 203 seasons and was the only team to not win a World Series. Bay City also had the worst individual record for one particular 'season' in the study, coming in at a horrendous 9-47 one year (.161). Most games out for one season was also Bay City at 35 (YK was 48-8, while BC was 13-43). On the left below are the standings from the season with the best team record (YK at 49-7), and on the right are the standings from a season that I thought was interesting:

                      W   L    GB   Pct                   W   L   GB  Pct
    Yokanapatawpha   49   7    -   .875   Yoknapatawpha  46  10   -  .821
    North Dakota     31  25    18  .554   P. Satellites  42  14   4  .750
    P. Satellites    30  26    19  .536   North Dakota   25  31  21  .446
    LH's             29  27    20  .518   Future Wax     24  32  22  .429
    Hatchbacks       28  28    21  .500   M. Folders     23  33  23  .411
    Future Wax       22  34    27  .393   Hatchbacks     22  34  24  .393
    Manilla Folders  19  37    30  .339   LH's           22  34  24  .393
    Bay City         16  40    33  .286   Bay City       20  36  26  .357


    Fastest starts in SOMBILLA history:

    This study first ran in the 11/14/89 newsletter but has been updated.

    Season      Team           Start   Finish
    1981-1982   Sardukar       11-0    30-20 2nd place - lost in playoffs
    1989-1990   North Dakota   10-0    29-27 4th place - lost in playoffs
    1979        North Dakota    8-0    21-29 5th place
    1997-1998   Manila Folders 12-1    29-27 4th place - lost in playoffs
    1992-1993   New Orleans    12-2    32-24 3rd place - lost in playoffs
    1988-1989   Yoknapatawpha  10-2    31-25 1st place - won World Series
    1989-1990   Manilla Folders 10-2    33-23 3rd place - lost in World Series
    1991-1992   Future Wax     10-2    43-13 1st place - won World Series
    1996-1997   Future Wax      9-2    41-15 1st place - lost in playoffs


    Series splits (11/3/88)

    There has never been a week where all 4 series were splits 2 games to 2.  This is not surprising when you consider that the odds of that happening are less than 2%. Suspicious? The odds of 1 series being split (assuming a 50-50 chance of each team winning a game, of course, which isn't always correct) are 6/16, or 3/8. Also, the odds of a sweep are 2/16, and odds for a 3-1 series are 8/16. ( I use 16 as denominator because there are 16 permutations possible per series - - 24=16.) If chances for any series being split are 3/8, then four splits are (3/8)4 =.0198.



    Ralph Houk Rating (11/19/84)

    The Ralph Houk Rating measures a team's inability to use its bench. The higher the rating, the more the manager relies on one set lineup. The calculation is simple: it is the percentage of a team's at bats which were made by the nine players with the most at bats on the team. For the SOMBILLA's '83-84 season, here are the Ralph Houk Ratings:

    Sardukar         96.8
    Bay City         90.7
    North Dakota     90.0
    Marakesh Express 89.5
    Shellshock II    82.5
    Shithead         81.0

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